1
00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:02,800
Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

2
00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,440
Speaker 2: Do us proud read enough?

3
00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:15,040
Speaker 3: No, we're running again, so smoothe so sweet, splendid sixteen

4
00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:19,800
Speaker 3: just glorious execution. Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty

5
00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,800
Speaker 3: percent effort four thousand percent of the time. How shot

6
00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:26,680
Speaker 3: with that shop with mind? Good buddy, and.

7
00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,720
Speaker 2: That's why you see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements,

8
00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:31,360
Speaker 2: the most.

9
00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 3: Dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picks them.

10
00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,760
Speaker 2: Shut up, I'm trying.

11
00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:42,400
Speaker 1: The one.

12
00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,440
Speaker 3: It's left too, the wide eyed.

13
00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:47,040
Speaker 1: Drilled bibus.

14
00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,239
Speaker 3: How old earth.

15
00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:50,120
Speaker 2: Pick that happens?

16
00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:55,960
Speaker 1: Hello everyone, Welcome back to Wondergol soccer betting podcast from

17
00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,480
Speaker 1: the Action Network. My name is Michael Leebuff and joining

18
00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,760
Speaker 1: me for this week's episode. In every episode are bj

19
00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:06,039
Speaker 1: Cunningham and Anthony Dbundo. Together the three of us will

20
00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,919
Speaker 1: take you on a handicapping and venture. We can't promise

21
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,080
Speaker 1: you it'll be fun, but it will be adventurous. As

22
00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,640
Speaker 1: we go through all ten upcoming Premier Premier League matches,

23
00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,240
Speaker 1: we'll touch on Bundesliga, La Liga, Siria a league give

24
00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,200
Speaker 1: out a three like underdog parlay less. I checked it

25
00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,839
Speaker 1: was one hundred and sixteen to one. And the best

26
00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,959
Speaker 1: bets from each of us in the upcoming Premier League

27
00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,399
Speaker 1: match week. But before we get to all that, a

28
00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,880
Speaker 1: reminder that wonder Goal is proudly presented by Bet three

29
00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:35,600
Speaker 1: sixty five and Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

30
00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:38,520
Speaker 1: That's why you get more boosts with them than anybody else.

31
00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,679
Speaker 1: Every day that they power up odds on hundreds of

32
00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,800
Speaker 1: bets to give you a chance to win more. Bet

33
00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:48,000
Speaker 1: three sixty five boosts specific markets, your winnings and even parlays,

34
00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,400
Speaker 1: and they can't stop, won't stop there, keep an eye

35
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:54,360
Speaker 1: out for their biggest and best odds with the incredible

36
00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,880
Speaker 1: super boost. Check out the boosts and see why it's

37
00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:00,080
Speaker 1: never ordinary. At Bet three sixty five. You must be

38
00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:06,320
Speaker 1: twenty one or older and president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

39
00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,679
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, or eighteen and older in Kentucky.

40
00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:11,760
Speaker 1: If you have a gambling problem or know anybody with

41
00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,680
Speaker 1: one at once help, please call one eight hundred gambler

42
00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,080
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms, conditions

43
00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:22,600
Speaker 1: and restrictions apply. All right, here we go. It's a good,

44
00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:26,880
Speaker 1: riveting ten match slate awaiting us here. We're gonna start

45
00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:31,160
Speaker 1: with a classic, a podcast classic, because this is one

46
00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,120
Speaker 1: a matchup that we love. We've now dug it to

47
00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,520
Speaker 1: what six times or this will be will be getting

48
00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,680
Speaker 1: to six. Since Brentford's been up, they seem to always

49
00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:43,200
Speaker 1: play Liverpool. Well, a couple draws in there, some really

50
00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:47,959
Speaker 1: impressive performances. They are hosting Jurgen Klops reds. Brentford is

51
00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,680
Speaker 1: plus four to fifty Liverpool minus one sixty seven. The

52
00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,680
Speaker 1: draw is plus three twenty. You'd imagine with the way

53
00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,120
Speaker 1: that Anthony talks about Liverpool that he just be running

54
00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,040
Speaker 1: to the window to lay the one sixty seven with

55
00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,720
Speaker 1: his with his red. But when it comes to Brentford,

56
00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:06,440
Speaker 1: it's almost like picking between two children. Here, Tottenham just

57
00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:08,760
Speaker 1: standing on the outside of the park wanting to be

58
00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:12,880
Speaker 1: let in and Anthony's just ignoring him. Anthony, though, you

59
00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:14,799
Speaker 1: think the Bees can make this one pretty.

60
00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,000
Speaker 3: Close, Well, you know there's something happening and it's only

61
00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,160
Speaker 3: two games, so I'm not going to overreact. But Mark

62
00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,000
Speaker 3: Fleckin has been good two straight games for him where

63
00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:26,760
Speaker 3: he has saved at least one goal worth of post

64
00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:30,120
Speaker 3: shot expected numbers. So against City, I know they ultimately

65
00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,520
Speaker 3: conceded three goals, but the post shot numbers were over

66
00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:35,880
Speaker 3: four in that match, and then against Wolves keeping the

67
00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,520
Speaker 3: clean sheet. Some good saves in that one for him.

68
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,480
Speaker 3: You know, I don't really think it's easy to like

69
00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,040
Speaker 3: project goalkeepers and I think it's of course a huge

70
00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,480
Speaker 3: advantage for Liverpool and the biggest difference between the two

71
00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:51,560
Speaker 3: teams quality of the goalkeepers. Liverpool probably should have Alison

72
00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,280
Speaker 3: back in net based on the fact that he was sick,

73
00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:57,200
Speaker 3: you know, couldn't play last weekend. He'll be back, so

74
00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:01,440
Speaker 3: that's nice for Liverpool's defense. But away from home this season,

75
00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:05,560
Speaker 3: Liverpool's been about average and expected gold differential and there

76
00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,280
Speaker 3: are some you know, we were just talking off air.

77
00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,560
Speaker 3: They've played City away, Newcastle away, Spurs away, like there

78
00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:14,760
Speaker 3: are some scheduling effects and some red card effects to

79
00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,680
Speaker 3: those numbers. They kind of dragged down, especially their attack,

80
00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,360
Speaker 3: which is only created about one point four xg P

81
00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:24,640
Speaker 3: ninety away from home. But they're still not operating like

82
00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,440
Speaker 3: the full throttle here. Soul Bush lies out, Trent's out.

83
00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,760
Speaker 3: I think Sala looks like he's another week away based

84
00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,479
Speaker 3: on the comments that Clock made. They've got, you know,

85
00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:38,160
Speaker 3: other things to worry about. But the reality of this

86
00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,400
Speaker 3: Liverpool team is that at Anfield, yes, we've talked about

87
00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:44,080
Speaker 3: it Fortress Anfield, they've lost once in the league in

88
00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:47,159
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty nine games with fans, but away

89
00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,320
Speaker 3: from home they've been just kind of I don't want

90
00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,479
Speaker 3: to say average, but like not nearly as dominant, and

91
00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,560
Speaker 3: I think that's you know, worth noting as they go

92
00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:55,080
Speaker 3: to Brentford.

93
00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:55,320
Speaker 1: Here.

94
00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,599
Speaker 3: The other thing, you know, Brentford since getting Ivan Tony back,

95
00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,080
Speaker 3: we talked about this every week and I kind of

96
00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:03,400
Speaker 3: continue to say this, but they've created five point eight

97
00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,040
Speaker 3: XG in the four matches since Tony returned. That includes

98
00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:10,080
Speaker 3: a match against City where they created over one XG

99
00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,520
Speaker 3: and had eighteen penalty box touches. So they showed that

100
00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:14,240
Speaker 3: they can go up against one of the top teams

101
00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,320
Speaker 3: and break through and create chances. And of all the

102
00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,239
Speaker 3: teams that went to Liverpool this season, if you compare

103
00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:24,080
Speaker 3: just raw XG, no team played them tougher than Renford did.

104
00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,840
Speaker 3: And I know Arsenal got a draw, Brentford ultimately lost

105
00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,039
Speaker 3: that match three nil and Boaymu missed some big chances

106
00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:32,799
Speaker 3: flecking hurt them. Liverpool had a couple off side goals,

107
00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:35,640
Speaker 3: so there was definitely some air in those XG numbers

108
00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:37,920
Speaker 3: that made it look closer than it was. But they've

109
00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:40,160
Speaker 3: shown that they can be competitive with this team already.

110
00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:43,080
Speaker 3: They can create chances on the break and I think,

111
00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:45,919
Speaker 3: you know, so long as you know Darwin's putting up

112
00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,760
Speaker 3: these godlike numbers, Liverpool's going to be fine. But I

113
00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,839
Speaker 3: think they're vulnerable in this spot for sure. And a

114
00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:53,840
Speaker 3: full goal I cannot get to. I had these two

115
00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 3: teams point nine x G non penalty XG different on

116
00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:01,080
Speaker 3: a neutral you figure, okay, maybe you know, you adjust

117
00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,159
Speaker 3: that because of goalies, with Liverpool having the best and

118
00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:07,000
Speaker 3: Brentford having one of the worst. But then you factor

119
00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:08,840
Speaker 3: in home field and I'm at a point where I'm

120
00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,800
Speaker 3: very comfortable taking Liverpool or Brentford plus one catching the

121
00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,120
Speaker 3: full goal at home as we do every week on

122
00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:16,880
Speaker 3: the show. It seems we just got Brentford, but the

123
00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:18,880
Speaker 3: market still rates them as the fifteenth best team in

124
00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,680
Speaker 3: the league. I think they're much better than that. I

125
00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,400
Speaker 3: think they're closer to tenth and fifteenth. So one more

126
00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,560
Speaker 3: time every week these I mean every week to Bee

127
00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:26,600
Speaker 3: ever knocking to back the.

128
00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,760
Speaker 1: Bees, not in the spot. Can I just point out

129
00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:33,400
Speaker 1: one weird scheduling anomaly for Brentford and you guys might

130
00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:35,400
Speaker 1: be knowing where I'm going with this. They played eight

131
00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:39,000
Speaker 1: matches across all competitions since Christmas, like that little break

132
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:40,800
Speaker 1: that they take, and then they get into the like

133
00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:44,720
Speaker 1: the jam packs fixtures. Four of them have been against Wolves. Yeah,

134
00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:47,520
Speaker 1: just bizarre. So because they had the f A Cup replay,

135
00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,120
Speaker 1: they played you know twice when the fixture lists flipped

136
00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:51,960
Speaker 1: over because they played them last in the first stuff.

137
00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:56,080
Speaker 1: And generally they just think that they've been impressive, like

138
00:06:56,120 --> 00:07:01,480
Speaker 1: they had that one stretch over mid November through the

139
00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:06,200
Speaker 1: November International break, then coming into December when they dropped

140
00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:09,800
Speaker 1: seven of eight with that one win it only coming

141
00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:13,440
Speaker 1: against Lootontown and what was a dominant effort. But that's

142
00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:18,040
Speaker 1: teams seems to be have been heavily downgraded by that

143
00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,960
Speaker 1: stretch and since that stretch, and if you look at

144
00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,760
Speaker 1: the big picture numbers here, like this is a team that,

145
00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,760
Speaker 1: like you said, I think grades out closer to tenth

146
00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 1: ninth or you know, between ninth and twelve in the

147
00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,800
Speaker 1: Premier League and has a pretty high ceiling, especially at

148
00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:40,120
Speaker 1: home and They've just punched up so well in these

149
00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 1: kind of matches under Thomas Frank and I don't believe

150
00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:47,000
Speaker 1: that that is just you know, noise. I think that

151
00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:50,400
Speaker 1: that's actually a thing you can believe in with teams

152
00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 1: like this. So I've never got a problem backing Brentford

153
00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:57,160
Speaker 1: at this kind of price. There you compare their expected

154
00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:00,400
Speaker 1: goals to their actual goals, and like you said this,

155
00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,440
Speaker 1: a lot of this is because Mark Fleckin couldn't stop

156
00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,960
Speaker 1: a cold for quite a bit of the season. But

157
00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,720
Speaker 1: it's you know, we're talking about like an eleven point

158
00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:13,040
Speaker 1: different plus six expected goal differential minus five goal differential.

159
00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,080
Speaker 1: So yeah, Liverpool is much more likely to win this

160
00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,800
Speaker 1: match than Brentford. But at plus four to fifty at home,

161
00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:19,720
Speaker 1: very dangerous team. I think the Bees are a live

162
00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:21,480
Speaker 1: underdog here, so I'm happy to back them.

163
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,280
Speaker 2: Bj I am too, and I am going to back

164
00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,679
Speaker 2: them in a little different way, you know, Anthony. Obviously

165
00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:29,160
Speaker 2: the nail on the head of the previous meeting at

166
00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:32,240
Speaker 2: a handfield that was actually pretty even. I actually like

167
00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:34,040
Speaker 2: Brentford here in the first half. You can get them

168
00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,440
Speaker 2: plus half a goal at around minus one twenty is

169
00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,800
Speaker 2: the best price. I think Brentford does have a pretty

170
00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,840
Speaker 2: big advantage in this match, and it's on set pieces.

171
00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,040
Speaker 2: You know, Liverpool hasn't been that great this season. They're

172
00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:48,000
Speaker 2: fifteenth in actually per set piece allowed. They allowed one

173
00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,439
Speaker 2: against Burnley this past weekend, that's how they scored. And Brentford,

174
00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:53,760
Speaker 2: you know, continually is still one of the best set

175
00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,280
Speaker 2: piece teams in the Premier League, and as they showed

176
00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:58,920
Speaker 2: in the previous meeting, they're incredibly dangerous on the counter

177
00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:01,360
Speaker 2: if Liverpool's going to play high line, especially with Ivan

178
00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,320
Speaker 2: Tony Beck. I mean this is I mean, we talk

179
00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,880
Speaker 2: about Brentford, they were putting up good underlying numbers and

180
00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:09,400
Speaker 2: I know they played a little bit an easier schedule

181
00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:13,040
Speaker 2: during that time period, but within Boemu hurt obviously Tony

182
00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,800
Speaker 2: still banned and we saw obviously being injured as well.

183
00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:19,160
Speaker 2: They were basically playing a front two of Mulpi and

184
00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:22,720
Speaker 2: Keen Lewis Potter and still putting up pretty decent underlying numbers.

185
00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:24,720
Speaker 2: So now to the fact they have Ivan Tony Beck

186
00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,080
Speaker 2: Wesa's return from the Africup of Nations, they have a

187
00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,520
Speaker 2: pretty decent front two here that has pace to get

188
00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,800
Speaker 2: in behind Liverpool's back line. But the big thing about

189
00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:36,040
Speaker 2: Brentford is not only they're being at home, but they

190
00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:39,160
Speaker 2: have not been blown out in the first half against

191
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,560
Speaker 2: good teams this year. I'm just gonna run through a

192
00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:43,800
Speaker 2: few matches here. You know, home against Tottenham x G

193
00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,840
Speaker 2: at half was one point one to point seven at United,

194
00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:50,640
Speaker 2: they won the x G battle point five to point three.

195
00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,000
Speaker 2: Away at Liverpool, you know they were they obviously were

196
00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:55,800
Speaker 2: down with to have one nothing, but the XTGZ point

197
00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,520
Speaker 2: five to point seven home against Arsenal point eight to

198
00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:02,760
Speaker 2: one point one. Home against Brighton. Basically even the recent

199
00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,360
Speaker 2: away match to Tottenham they played really well in the

200
00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,839
Speaker 2: first half actually actually won the actually battle point six

201
00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,600
Speaker 2: to point five. And then their recent match against Manchester

202
00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,880
Speaker 2: City at the half they were obviously leading one nothing

203
00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,160
Speaker 2: but actually was point four to point nine. So they

204
00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,360
Speaker 2: have not been blown out in any match against really

205
00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:21,600
Speaker 2: good competition in the Premier League in the first half

206
00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:24,559
Speaker 2: this season. So getting them plus half a goal here

207
00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:26,520
Speaker 2: for the first half obviously being a home I think

208
00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:29,000
Speaker 2: is huge. You know, typically with teams like Brentford, and

209
00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:32,120
Speaker 2: we saw this past weekend with Everton, Michael Is teams

210
00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,040
Speaker 2: can be really good in these low blocks for an

211
00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,960
Speaker 2: extended period of time, but facing a team like Manchester

212
00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,040
Speaker 2: City or Liverpool that just keeps coming at you over

213
00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,680
Speaker 2: and over and over and over again, you start to

214
00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,520
Speaker 2: tire out as the match goes along, and that's kind

215
00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,040
Speaker 2: of what happened with Everton and that's something that I'm

216
00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:46,760
Speaker 2: kind of worried about here with Brentford as we get

217
00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,680
Speaker 2: towards the end. Obviously hopefully they get a goal to

218
00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:53,320
Speaker 2: start and get a lead here. But I really like

219
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,240
Speaker 2: Brentford here in the first half plus a half again

220
00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,880
Speaker 2: having been blown out against good competition in the first half,

221
00:10:57,920 --> 00:10:59,720
Speaker 2: so I think it's a decent price for them to

222
00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:01,720
Speaker 2: East gets the break at a draw.

223
00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:09,320
Speaker 1: Okay, let's move on to City and Chelsea next. Of course,

224
00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,920
Speaker 1: it's massive game at the top of the table, so

225
00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 1: is the Brentford Liverpool match. Liverpool sitting on fifty four points,

226
00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,560
Speaker 1: City in Arsenal on fifty two. City has a game

227
00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:22,040
Speaker 1: in hand on both of them, and they are minus

228
00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:24,920
Speaker 1: three hundred at home to Chelsea traveling at seven to

229
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,720
Speaker 1: one and a draw would pay out plus four to fifty.

230
00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,840
Speaker 1: Here City is rolling. They get the win in the

231
00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,640
Speaker 1: midweek two over at Copenhagen three to one in Denmark,

232
00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:41,040
Speaker 1: so their Champions League tie looks at least in a

233
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:45,600
Speaker 1: ton of control here. Their last loss came to aston Villa.

234
00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:48,360
Speaker 1: This is across all competitions. That was on December sixth,

235
00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,920
Speaker 1: and since then they've won every match save for a

236
00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:54,280
Speaker 1: two to two draw at home to Crystal Palace. So

237
00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:57,559
Speaker 1: this just it looks exactly like the pattern we saw

238
00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:02,080
Speaker 1: last year from City, except the differences that this year

239
00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:04,240
Speaker 1: they're fighting off two teams in a in a title race.

240
00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,880
Speaker 1: And the other context you need to remember is that

241
00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:09,960
Speaker 1: for a long time when they were waffling this season,

242
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,080
Speaker 1: they didn't have Kevin de Bruyne, and waffling of course

243
00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:18,360
Speaker 1: being a relative term, and now they have him in

244
00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,600
Speaker 1: their ranks. So it shouldn't be that big of a

245
00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,960
Speaker 1: surprise that City is rolling. I will say that not

246
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,720
Speaker 1: the toughest schedule of late, and they've looked great, but

247
00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:31,240
Speaker 1: you know, the three to one win against Burnley, a

248
00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:35,040
Speaker 1: three one win against Brentford, tuneil against Everton, uh three

249
00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:38,520
Speaker 1: to one win against Copenhagen when they played Newcastle. The

250
00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:41,360
Speaker 1: Newcastle team has not looked itself, especially a couple of

251
00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:44,800
Speaker 1: weeks ago or a month ago, when they played Sheffield United,

252
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 1: Everton Pallace, Lowton Town Red Star, Like it's it's been

253
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:52,400
Speaker 1: a while since they've had a serious shake and I

254
00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,200
Speaker 1: think Chelsea can give them one here. Like we know

255
00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,000
Speaker 1: that the process for Chelsea shillis to be good enough,

256
00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,120
Speaker 1: and I think that that war to play at seven

257
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:04,040
Speaker 1: to one, like they should play to this number. They

258
00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,680
Speaker 1: should give you at least a hope against a team that, Hey,

259
00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:09,160
Speaker 1: they played one of their better games of the season

260
00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,280
Speaker 1: against City. Granted that was the reverse fixture and it's

261
00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:14,640
Speaker 1: four to four and crazy don't expect to see something

262
00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,160
Speaker 1: similar play out, But I don't know. I'm happy to

263
00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,560
Speaker 1: take a seven to one shot on a team with

264
00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,439
Speaker 1: what the fourth or fifth best expected goal differential of

265
00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,800
Speaker 1: the season, even against Manchester City. Anthony.

266
00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:28,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, So, like I have the tiniest bit of value

267
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:31,120
Speaker 3: on Chelsea and my numbers, but I really think we

268
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,200
Speaker 3: have to look deeper at this Chelsea team and kind

269
00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,480
Speaker 3: of figure them things out. Because they got home against

270
00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:39,280
Speaker 3: Palace if you backed them, but like they were pretty

271
00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,360
Speaker 3: dog shit in that game. They waited until the ninetieth,

272
00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,000
Speaker 3: they didn't get a shot until the forty fifth. They

273
00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:47,480
Speaker 3: had a lot of possession that led to nothing, possession

274
00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,760
Speaker 3: that led to no shots, and that's really been kind

275
00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:51,600
Speaker 3: of the story. Even with Jackson in the lineup, they

276
00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:55,360
Speaker 3: haven't been able to get enough quality shots. They're still creating,

277
00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,560
Speaker 3: you know, almost two xg p ninety with him in

278
00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,440
Speaker 3: the lineup. It's so hard because if you look at

279
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:02,959
Speaker 3: their goal difference for the season, their extra difference plus

280
00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,200
Speaker 3: point four two. But if you go a little further

281
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:08,240
Speaker 3: into it, it kind of just looks more like they

282
00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:10,720
Speaker 3: had a really good start to the season, didn't finish well,

283
00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:13,040
Speaker 3: and then the last two months have been just kind

284
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,640
Speaker 3: of league average. They since November began, they're averaging one

285
00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,320
Speaker 3: point six x g P ninety. They're conceding almost one

286
00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,720
Speaker 3: point six themselves. They have a barely positive ext difference.

287
00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:26,320
Speaker 3: So if you wanted to go at this, I mean,

288
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,480
Speaker 3: Chelsea even pretty good on set pieces. When they went

289
00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:32,720
Speaker 3: to anfield, they just had really no chance, Like they

290
00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:35,080
Speaker 3: couldn't play out. They were under pressure the entire match,

291
00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:39,080
Speaker 3: they had no real structure. Liverpool's pressing intensity and to

292
00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:42,760
Speaker 3: a lesser extent, like even arsenals are much higher than

293
00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,560
Speaker 3: what we're seeing from City right now. City will let

294
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,600
Speaker 3: you possess. They will let you do more things with

295
00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:51,440
Speaker 3: the ball then you're currently allowed to do against Arsenal

296
00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:55,000
Speaker 3: or Liverpool. And so as a result, it has made

297
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,280
Speaker 3: the City defense a little bit worse. And you've seen

298
00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,680
Speaker 3: that show up, you know, I think Edison's been shakier

299
00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:02,760
Speaker 3: if you look at his numbers. You even watch like

300
00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,840
Speaker 3: how they conceded yesterday to Copenhagen, Like it was an

301
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,280
Speaker 3: Edison backpass that put them in danger and ultimately it

302
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:11,280
Speaker 3: took like a twenty five yard goal to score. But Brentford,

303
00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,720
Speaker 3: you know, it was like a weird miscommunication in the

304
00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:15,760
Speaker 3: back line playing that high line off of a goalkick.

305
00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:16,280
Speaker 2: Like.

306
00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,920
Speaker 3: They have not been as sharp and that's reflected in

307
00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 3: all of the numbers, whether it's past completion rates allowed,

308
00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:28,080
Speaker 3: whether it's total EXG you conceded year over year, extual

309
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:31,640
Speaker 3: you per match conceded, shot quality, and Edison's been worse.

310
00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:34,400
Speaker 3: So I think you've seen the biggest difference has been

311
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:36,520
Speaker 3: the defense for City. Now that now that they're humming

312
00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:41,400
Speaker 3: again with Debryna and Holland and Voteen like good luck, right,

313
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,000
Speaker 3: I mean the Grealish gets hurt, then Doku just comes

314
00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:47,160
Speaker 3: in and like he's awesome. Silva could be an underrated

315
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,840
Speaker 3: loss Bernardo Silva. He picked up a quote heavy knock

316
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,440
Speaker 3: in the Champions League match. Wouldn't shock me if he

317
00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:55,960
Speaker 3: were held out on the for this match. He's underrated

318
00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:58,240
Speaker 3: as a defensive forward in the work that he does

319
00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:01,400
Speaker 3: off the ball to press, so his absence would certainly

320
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 3: be noted, especially if just plays Alvarez, which would then

321
00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:09,720
Speaker 3: put Alvarez, vhot In de Bryna and Holland on the

322
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 3: pitch at the same time, which is insanely attacking. And

323
00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:14,760
Speaker 3: then I think, like Chelsea team total over a half

324
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,480
Speaker 3: first half at plus one eighty is intriguing because I

325
00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:20,640
Speaker 3: do think they could score on City. Do I think

326
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:24,280
Speaker 3: they can like stop City though that I'm a lot

327
00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:28,160
Speaker 3: more dubious of. So I think maybe my favorite bet

328
00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,800
Speaker 3: that the first half team total over or just the

329
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:34,160
Speaker 3: full game honestly, that they score. But they don't have

330
00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:38,440
Speaker 3: a ton to upset here. I mean, you know, obviously

331
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 3: they can be competitive, but it would really it does

332
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,160
Speaker 3: feel like as Chelsea has to come out more if

333
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,040
Speaker 3: they go down a goal, that City is just gonna

334
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 3: just gonna pounce and run run away here. So I

335
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:52,480
Speaker 3: can't back Chelsea, but as far as the spread, but

336
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:53,720
Speaker 3: I think the team totals are live.

337
00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I can't do it, I Anthony, I

338
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:02,000
Speaker 2: am showing a little bit value on Els. But again,

339
00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:07,040
Speaker 2: they are a completely tactically flawed team. And it comes

340
00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,720
Speaker 2: down to what we say every single week is that

341
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 2: you know a lot of times at Chelsea they're they're

342
00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,879
Speaker 2: building out in a three to one with Caysato as

343
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,119
Speaker 2: the main midfielder, and they're pushing Enzo far up the pitch.

344
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:20,679
Speaker 2: And that's great. Like Enzo, he's better as a deep

345
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,200
Speaker 2: line playmaker, but he's also good enough as an attacking

346
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,800
Speaker 2: midfielder type player. And I get it. You want to

347
00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:27,560
Speaker 2: overload the last line of defense and cause a lot

348
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:31,400
Speaker 2: of problems for the defense. But when Chelsea loses the ball,

349
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:35,720
Speaker 2: cay Sato's completely isolated for transition moments and he just

350
00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:37,760
Speaker 2: hasn't been as good as he was at Brighton because

351
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:39,639
Speaker 2: quite frankly, he had a lot more cover. At Brighton,

352
00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 2: he wasn't just left to be alone and defend in

353
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:44,480
Speaker 2: the middle of the pitch like he had lots of

354
00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,040
Speaker 2: other guys around him to help. Now he's just been

355
00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:52,119
Speaker 2: left alone and he's getting torched repeatedly, fouling and everything

356
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,399
Speaker 2: like that. The previous match of this one is interesting,

357
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,359
Speaker 2: the four to four draw, because City played really really

358
00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:02,240
Speaker 2: aggressive in that match and Chelsea how they scored a

359
00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,480
Speaker 2: lot of the goals as they were causing problems off

360
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,440
Speaker 2: high turnovers, and I think that kind of leads Anthony's

361
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,879
Speaker 2: point that if City has they been more shaky at

362
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,359
Speaker 2: the back as of recently, Chelsea could nick a high

363
00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:15,840
Speaker 2: turnover off here and score against them. You know, Connor

364
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,560
Speaker 2: Gallagher is now starting to press from the front line,

365
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,159
Speaker 2: which is good for Chelsea because he's their best presser

366
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 2: by far of anybody on the team. So when you

367
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 2: have your best pressing guy up front and the front line,

368
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,400
Speaker 2: it helps you cause more high turnovers. So that could

369
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,399
Speaker 2: be a good thing for Chelsea. But again, you know,

370
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:36,200
Speaker 2: with City, the reason that Foden has been so good

371
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:42,199
Speaker 2: recently is because with the Bruyna injured, they weren't utilizing

372
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 2: Foden as this where he's at his best, which is

373
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:46,880
Speaker 2: in the middle of the pitch, playing in between the lines.

374
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 2: He's mainly playing out wide, whether it be the left

375
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,199
Speaker 2: wing or right wing due to injuries, just because they

376
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,399
Speaker 2: didn't really have anybody else out there well. Now with

377
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:57,200
Speaker 2: the Bruyna healthy and obviously attracting a lot of attention

378
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 2: from opposing defenses and his positioning, it's a phote into

379
00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,520
Speaker 2: absolutely flourish like playing in between lines scoring goals. So

380
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:06,640
Speaker 2: you know, if you want to play any time goal scorer,

381
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 2: Phil Foden's not you know, a bad look in this match.

382
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:13,000
Speaker 2: But I can't. I can't do it with Chelsea because

383
00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,639
Speaker 2: the Liverpool match is just like right sticking in my

384
00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:19,240
Speaker 2: mind where they couldn't even they barely they got one

385
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:21,960
Speaker 2: shot in the first half and Liverpool just ripped them

386
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,919
Speaker 2: apart piece to piece. I don't want to be in

387
00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:28,640
Speaker 2: that situation again, so I'm just gonna pass and let

388
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:29,440
Speaker 2: City do their thing.

389
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:34,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think when you look at this Chelsea team

390
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:36,399
Speaker 3: now though with Jackson, we still have a chance to

391
00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,720
Speaker 3: get out of if they're under pressure because he's a

392
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:40,840
Speaker 3: decent you know, running in behind, holding up play a

393
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 3: little bit too. So maybe, But and to your point

394
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:47,440
Speaker 3: island on Chelsea money.

395
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say to your point about elite pressing,

396
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,639
Speaker 2: you know City, you know good indicator of you know,

397
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,920
Speaker 2: teams that obviously press very heavily. Is how well they

398
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:57,560
Speaker 2: defend long balls, because a lot of teams are going

399
00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 2: to play balls in over the top. City is around

400
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,919
Speaker 2: lead average in terms of long ball complete completion percentage.

401
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 2: Loud and Rupoul and Arsenal are first and second by

402
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 2: a pretty wide margin. So it just kind of shows

403
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 2: you that city can be played on with long balls.

404
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 2: We'll see if Chelsea actually decides.

405
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:12,920
Speaker 3: To do that though, And that's all has to do

406
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 3: with the pressure, right, If you're not pressuring the ball exactly,

407
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 3: you can play better long balls exactly.

408
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:22,240
Speaker 1: Okay, from those two matches to two that we are

409
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 1: all passing on, but I want to give some context,

410
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,879
Speaker 1: especially to one of them. Fulham and Villa plus one

411
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,360
Speaker 1: ninety Fulham at home Villa plus one twenty. The draw

412
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 1: here is plus two seventy five. It looks like aston

413
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 1: Villa is playing its way. Yeah, people could have seen

414
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 1: that one coming. Justin talker for me to stop betting

415
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:48,959
Speaker 1: against them too, Yeah that said, I mean, I would

416
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: much rather play Villa at this number than Fullham.

417
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:56,480
Speaker 2: But it's going too it's the injury situation. Villa is

418
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 2: not great in terms of the defense. Diego Carlos today

419
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:02,199
Speaker 2: went down with an n in training, cons is out,

420
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 2: Kamara now is out for the season. Who's stopping the

421
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 2: ball when Fulham gets going forward?

422
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 1: I mean it's very it's very by the way, even

423
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,360
Speaker 1: with that defense, just because I don't know, I don't

424
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 1: trust falling the score still.

425
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 2: Well, here's the problem is, like if you're going to

426
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,199
Speaker 2: play a high line, like if you don't have your

427
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 2: normal like center backs with good communication, then it's a

428
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,199
Speaker 2: lot it's a lot easier for teams to play in

429
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 2: behind you.

430
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:27,560
Speaker 3: So yeah, one one mistake and you're in viatrol. And

431
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 3: I exactly, I can't say like, oh, well, this is

432
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,919
Speaker 3: a great matchup for Fulham. Let's bet Fulham overs. But

433
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:34,880
Speaker 3: after what I've said on the show for the last

434
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 3: two months and continue to hemorrhage units, but and money,

435
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 3: but I think this is a great matchup for Fulham

436
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 3: and theory like there is no ball stopping anymore. It's

437
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,479
Speaker 3: very I just said that, it's Jerna esque, right, Like

438
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 3: we have a ton of passers in our team. We

439
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 3: want to have the ball. When you get the ball,

440
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,800
Speaker 3: like go ahead, have fun, good luck, see what happens.

441
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 3: And that's just not going to work. And now that

442
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 3: they're I mean Consa and uh Kamara kamaras their leading

443
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 3: tackler and cons our first and second and tackles plus

444
00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 3: interceptions per match. I mean that's just like, that's the

445
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,400
Speaker 3: spine of the defense. And now you're relying a lot

446
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 3: on Douglas Louise to carry your defense and that's we

447
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 3: I mean, that's just not good enough. We've seen those

448
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,439
Speaker 3: old Villa teams before, you know Emery that kind of

449
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 3: relied on him for some stuff there, and they were

450
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 3: consistently getting toasted defensively. So I think there's some real

451
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 3: defensive laws that full of a team who does like

452
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 3: to you know, press and make it a little more chaotic.

453
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,439
Speaker 3: If they're able to disrupt you know, Villa's passing and

454
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 3: turn them over, there's not going to be much resistance

455
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 3: as they run to the goal. So I think, yeah,

456
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 3: my numbers, honestly, maybe an over right Villa Villa full

457
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,440
Speaker 3: of overs. But yeah, I don't. I don't want to

458
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 3: bet this match.

459
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 1: I don't.

460
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 2: I don't either.

461
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 3: I'm not going to get suckered into it. Unless this

462
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 3: market takes a ton of money on one direction. I'm

463
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 3: not I'm not getting involved. I think it's probably right.

464
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,840
Speaker 1: Let's talk about Burnley and Arsenal necks. Burnley plus eight

465
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 1: fifty welcoming Baja's gunners is a minus three hundred favorite

466
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 1: at the time of recording. In the draw here is

467
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 1: plus four twenty five. Don't see any reason to really

468
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 1: get involved here at bj though. Any any thoughts on

469
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:11,400
Speaker 1: I have a question, go.

470
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 2: For it, a question for for mister du Bundo.

471
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 3: Here we go.

472
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 2: Is Arsenal elite offense? Now?

473
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,960
Speaker 3: No? Why because they're overly relying on set pieces? Never?

474
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 2: What is that not part of the game.

475
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 3: That is a part of the game. It's just a

476
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 3: part of the game that's harder to sustain when you

477
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 3: play elite teams and they'll get as many of them.

478
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 2: I don't see it that way. I see an.

479
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,679
Speaker 3: I mean, look, everybody's back in on Arsenal now, like

480
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:36,719
Speaker 3: everybody was out on Arsenal like two weeks ago. They

481
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 3: had one, you know, two good games against Pallace in

482
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 3: west Ham and now everybody's back in and.

483
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 2: Hang on, hang on is four big scoring chances and

484
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 2: three point five XG against Liverpool. Not good?

485
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: No, it is great.

486
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, they won the match the unbeatable Reds. Well, it

487
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,479
Speaker 3: wasn't an anfield. That's true, it wasn't, but still I mean,

488
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 3: but no, yeah, Arsenal is a very good team, never

489
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,159
Speaker 3: said otherwise. And I think they're going to have the

490
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,200
Speaker 3: occasional game where they beat the hell out of teams

491
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 3: and probably including this one, and that's fine, and then

492
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,240
Speaker 3: we will see what happens going forward. But my point

493
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 3: on Arsenal remains, it's like it's hard to fade them

494
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 3: game to game because they are a very good team,

495
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 3: but they're going to be games where they drop points.

496
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 3: And I think if I'm hoping that they keep smoking

497
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 3: teams and we can start getting inflated numbers, I think

498
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 3: what I'm gonna do instead of taking, like, you know,

499
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 3: the one and a half against Arsenal, is take the

500
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 3: plus a half at like a juicy number against them

501
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:29,159
Speaker 3: as they come down the stretch here a couple of

502
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,439
Speaker 3: times and see if I can't catch them on one

503
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 3: of those one of those days where they don't have

504
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 3: their best attack going, they're not getting set pieces, uh,

505
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 3: and they just drop points and I get a big

506
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 3: payout on it. So I think that's that's kind of

507
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 3: what I'm thinking about it. But again, like Arsenal's got

508
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,639
Speaker 3: Porto in the Champions League. Excited for that. I think

509
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 3: they roll Porto by roll Porto, I mean, like win

510
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:52,239
Speaker 3: three nail on aggregate over two legs. And you know

511
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 3: there were invested in Arsenal during the week for the

512
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 3: rest of the season at least. I am so go gunners, baby,

513
00:24:58,560 --> 00:24:59,360
Speaker 3: but not.

514
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 2: The way, by the way that that team that's too

515
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 2: overreliant on set pieces has the most penalty with box

516
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,640
Speaker 2: touches and box entries of anybody in the Premier League.

517
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 2: Ye just thought i'd point that out.

518
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're a great fields Nobody denied their field tilt

519
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 3: abilities either, but they're in the they're what ninth now

520
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 3: in open play goals.

521
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,440
Speaker 2: Again, set pieces are part of the game, of course.

522
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 2: I know you realize about that, Mike. Come on, Michael,

523
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: help me out.

524
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: This is the I have this conversation with hockey people

525
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 1: all the time when they just talk about gold gold

526
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 1: goalies being foodoo, and I'm like, he's there, I see him,

527
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 1: he's he's real. He's wearing he's wearing a mask, and

528
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 1: he's wearing pillows on his legs. But if I go

529
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 1: over and I poke him, I'm not just going to

530
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 1: go through him, and he's a.

531
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:36,400
Speaker 3: Real person age.

532
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 1: It's all part of the game, all right. We'll put

533
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 1: a bracket in that conversation for now and Anthony can

534
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 1: get back to Pumpy.

535
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,400
Speaker 3: The best team in the world is a lot.

536
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 2: For those who are watching on YouTube, they probably have

537
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 2: seen me and Anthony fist pump cold times. We're in

538
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 2: the middle of watching Bologna and Fiorentina. Blownia just took

539
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 2: a two z leads, so we're actually winning a bet

540
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 2: over here.

541
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: Damn right, I remember that feeling, all right. So next

542
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 1: they are hosting Bourne. With Newcastle's minus one twenty at

543
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 1: home Bournemuth plus three hundred and the draw here pace

544
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 1: out plus three twenty. Newcastle is playing some psychotic games

545
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 1: of late. I don't know how else. I don't know

546
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: how else to put it, Like everything has just been crazy.

547
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: At four to four with Town, the three to two

548
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 1: against Forest, I mean even the Villa, the three one

549
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 1: against Villa was Now there's what four or five four

550
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 1: and a half xtre in that one three to two

551
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 1: lost the City. This is it's been nots. They gave

552
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: up the seven x street to Liverpool. Every game that

553
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: they've played has just gone off the rails in one

554
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:40,680
Speaker 1: way or another, like they aren't going off the rails

555
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 1: in the same way either, which has been crazy. They're

556
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 1: still banged up. E shak out for this one. Callum

557
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 1: Wilson is a doubt. I don't know. Bournemth looks pretty

558
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: dangerous here. We've pumped his team quite a bit. They're

559
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: now thirteenth in the table despite having no wins in

560
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 1: their last five. They have a two draws and three

561
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 1: losses over the last five. We kind of saw this

562
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,679
Speaker 1: course correction coming, but now seems that the opportunity to

563
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 1: come right back in. Yeah again, I'm gonna bet Born

564
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 1: with here, Anthony. I think three to one against this

565
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 1: banged up team that is just you know, playing some

566
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: fever sweat games. Who I actually think that plays it

567
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,640
Speaker 1: to Born miss hands. So I'll back the Cherries here

568
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 1: at three to one.

569
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, you mentioned it right, Like Newcastle, So they've had

570
00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 3: since Boxing day now they have played a three one,

571
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 3: a four to two, a three to two, a three

572
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 3: to one, a four to four and a three to

573
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 3: two in the league and so obviously they have had

574
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 3: some absurd runs here where they're creating a ton conceding

575
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 3: a ton and et cetera, et cetera. But they're extug

576
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 3: You per shot allowed is the worst in the prem

577
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 3: They're x G allowed is almost three tenths of a

578
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 3: goal worse than every other team. And now we get

579
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 3: to fade them as a favorite here at home, and

580
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 3: I think they're very flawed. Like they pretty much stole

581
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 3: the win against Forest, even to win against you know,

582
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 3: the tie against Lootontown, like it was a correct tie

583
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 3: based on the underlying numbers and like it was pretty fair.

584
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 3: They had a couple set piece goals against Villa, but

585
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 3: they got a couple of really big chances and I

586
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 3: you know, bj had them that game and I think

587
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 3: he pointed out, like set pieces, they're not going to

588
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 3: have that set piece advantage against Bournemouth, who is top

589
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 3: five on both ends and XG allowed and created off

590
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 3: of set plays. So that's a big negation of what

591
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 3: Newcastle is very good at. And Newcastle themselves defensively have

592
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,520
Speaker 3: been a disaster on set pieces pretty much all year

593
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 3: and it's hurt them a bunch in terms of goals

594
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 3: there as well. You know, we talked about buying low

595
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 3: on Newcastle and we thought it's just a blip and whatnot.

596
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 3: But at this point in the season we now have

597
00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 3: enough of a sample to say that the sample of

598
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 3: them being average is much bigger than the sample of

599
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 3: them being great. So if you just take the whole season, yes,

600
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 3: Newcastle has about a three tenths of a goal better.

601
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 3: If you would put home field in, you'd say, yeah,

602
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 3: Newcastle should be about minus one fifty one forty. You

603
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 3: would get to about what this number is. But it

604
00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 3: only takes a couple of matches off the front of

605
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 3: the season to then immediately change course on who should

606
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 3: be the favorite, who should be the better team here?

607
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 3: Not the favorite, but the better team. So Spurs laid

608
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 3: minus one pint thirty into BOARDE myuth just after the

609
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 3: new year, and I thought that was about right. Now

610
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 3: Newcastle's laying minus one twenty five. I think that's way

611
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 3: too high for them, given their given their current status.

612
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 3: Right so, they have played sixteen hundred minutes of eleven

613
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:27,719
Speaker 3: and eleven without penalties since uh the middle of September.

614
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 3: Since that first international break, Newcastle has a plus zero

615
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 3: point one point five extra difference and it's gotten slowly

616
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 3: worse as we've gone here Bournemouth plus point three to two.

617
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 3: And you mentioned the Cherryes haven't won any of their

618
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:44,960
Speaker 3: last five, but they haven't played that bad. I mean,

619
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 3: they were competitive with Spurs. They you know, got done

620
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 3: in by Liverpool on a couple of great moments by

621
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 3: great attackers, but the overall flow of the match was

622
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 3: pretty even. They played pretty even in a in a

623
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 3: loss to to Fulham and they were out you know,

624
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 3: playing New Naughtingam Forrest for most of that match as well.

625
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 3: So Bournemouth has played a lot of matches where they've

626
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 3: kind of maybe they're not playing at the extreme heights

627
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 3: we saw where we were like, holy shit, this is

628
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 3: like a plus one extra difference team, Like, Okay, they're

629
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 3: not that obviously, but they have solidified themselves as like

630
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 3: a very solid, consistent team now even if they're like

631
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 3: from a performance perspective, and they have shown that, Okay,

632
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 3: they're not as bad as they were early. Maybe they're

633
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 3: not quite as good as they looked in those next games,

634
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,960
Speaker 3: but they are closer to the good team than the

635
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,760
Speaker 3: bad team in the last five to six matches. And

636
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 3: I think Newcastle is kind of the opposite. Yes, they're

637
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: probably not as bad as they looked for a stretch.

638
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 3: They're probably not as good as they were early in

639
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 3: the season, but they're closer to the mediocre team given

640
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 3: just how bad they are defensively right now, and they

641
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 3: haven't stopped conceding goals and now they're shorthanded in attack.

642
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 3: So they scored a bunch on set pieces against Forrest.

643
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:57,800
Speaker 3: And we'll talk about their situation in a minute. But

644
00:30:58,080 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 3: I'm all over born with here plus a half and money,

645
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 3: and I think they are the lilast dog on the

646
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 3: board this week.

647
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 2: I tend to agree, and I actually really like the

648
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,959
Speaker 2: over here. I think that the totals a little too

649
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 2: low given how these teams have been playing recently. So

650
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 2: you mentioned to Michael cycle ball from Eddie Howe right now.

651
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 2: What has happened to the last three matches to cause

652
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 2: cycle ball to happen is you know, Newcastle went through

653
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 2: the stretch of the end of season where they were

654
00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 2: able to press out of their four three three, everybody

655
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 2: was healthy and they still look like as semblance of

656
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 2: the team that we saw last year. Then injuries derailed them.

657
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 2: Fixed your pile up derailed them. So how switched them

658
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: to a four to five to one and was a

659
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 2: little bit more passive out of possession. That didn't work.

660
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:43,479
Speaker 2: Teams were playing right through them. So How decided, basically

661
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 2: in the Aston Villa match, we're going to go back

662
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:47,600
Speaker 2: to our fourth through three press, but we're going to

663
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 2: do something a little different, you know, typically with the

664
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 2: what they did last year is they tasked their midfielders

665
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 2: with doing a lot of running, you know, covering the

666
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 2: other midfielders once they got past the first line of

667
00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 2: the pressure. Now what Newcastle is doing is tapeishing their

668
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 2: back line up and playing a high line and marking

669
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 2: the opposing team's attacking players. Newcastle's back line, for lack

670
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 2: of a better word, is slow. You know, if they

671
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: want to play shar Batman, Burn and Trippier, they're gonna

672
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 2: get torched repeatedly. You saw that against Lutontown and you

673
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:21,240
Speaker 2: saw that against Nottingham Forest. Like Nottingham Forest was just

674
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 2: using their runners in behind time and time and time

675
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 2: again with Newcastle. So I think How is at the

676
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 2: point where he is like, all right, neither of the

677
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,080
Speaker 2: four or five to one doesn't work, so let's just

678
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: go for it, Like, let's just keep trying to press.

679
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 2: Let's just keep trying this and listen, they've won a

680
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 2: couple of matches. They came back against Lutontown, so who's

681
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 2: to say that it's not going to work. It's been

682
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:44,680
Speaker 2: a lot better than what they're The other option was

683
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 2: with the four or five to one. So with that

684
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 2: in mind, you know, Newcastle essentially since the start of November,

685
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,600
Speaker 2: and we've talked about this, for they've considered the most

686
00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 2: most expected goals of anybody in the Premier League, but

687
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 2: they've also conceded seventeen big scoring chances, which kind of

688
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 2: goes to show you how bad they have been defensively.

689
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 2: But you know, they have been good in creating moments

690
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 2: in transition. You know, their matches are still their matches

691
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 2: since the beginning of November are averaging over four expected goals.

692
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 2: Last nine of their eleven have had at least three

693
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 2: expected goals created. So this is going to be very

694
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 2: back and forth MOREMNTH is definitely live on the counter

695
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,960
Speaker 2: here and should be able to create a lot of

696
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 2: chances because with their with their high press too, because

697
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 2: which is really starting to work under ere Iola since

698
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 2: the beginning since November eleventh, when they beat Newcastle third

699
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 2: best and pass pert defensive action and now they lead

700
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 2: the Premier League and goals scored off of high turnovers.

701
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 2: So I really like the over here projecting three point

702
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 2: eight goals. So I'm expecting a very back and forth

703
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: match with two teams that want to play in transition.

704
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: So over three minus one twenty five for me.

705
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 1: Okay, Forest and west Ham up next. New No's tricky

706
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: trees are plus went the thirty seven hosting David Moyes

707
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: and the Hammers. They are plus one ninety and the

708
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: draw is plus two fifty. Anthony, you'll leave the charge

709
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:08,720
Speaker 1: on this one.

710
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, Matt sells new goalies, same problems. He has minus

711
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 3: two point one post shot expected goals through two matches

712
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:23,799
Speaker 3: at Forrest, worse than Vakadimosh and Turner. Just amazing. We

713
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 3: need more sample. Obviously two games is not anything, but

714
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,840
Speaker 3: it is funny. The set piece numbers in this matchup

715
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 3: on paper do not look great. Forrest has conceded a

716
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 3: lot of goals from set pieces. We know how dangerous

717
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 3: west Ham will always be. They haven't been as good

718
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 3: as you think this year on set pieces, just given

719
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 3: the personnel. But again, like we still know what the

720
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 3: personnel are as soon as long as they have word

721
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 3: prowse and so check and whatnot, they're going to be

722
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 3: dangerous on set plays. So that's a concern. Forrest have

723
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 3: had major problems defending set pieces. Forrest, though, I think

724
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,000
Speaker 3: it's funny, like you would think. I mean, the narrative

725
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 3: around these teams. Forrest can't stop conceding goals. Terrible set

726
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 3: piece d horrible overall seventeenth, lucky to stay up. Okay,

727
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 3: west Ham resilient, defensively, very organized at the back. Well,

728
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 3: I mean okay, sure west Ham have conceded almost ten

729
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 3: more XG this year. Forrest are the best, the best

730
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,400
Speaker 3: non Big three home defense in the league by XG allowed.

731
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,360
Speaker 3: They are very passive. They always have numbers behind the

732
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 3: ball though, and they've conceded a ton of shots and

733
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 3: goals from outside the box, so that has definitely hurt

734
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:36,279
Speaker 3: their numbers and kind of hurt their overall metrics. But

735
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 3: they've only conceded one point one XG at home this year,

736
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 3: so you know, you look at that, plus just how

737
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 3: healthy they are alonga getting minutes Taiwo. You know, while

738
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 3: he's fit, is great. He's got fifteen goals and point

739
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:51,879
Speaker 3: four to two x g per ninety and twenty five

740
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 3: nineties for Forrest over two seasons. It's really good for

741
00:35:56,640 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 3: like a lower level Premier League team, and he is

742
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 3: on a pace to score, you know, a twenty goal

743
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 3: season if he can stay fit, and that's a bigger problem.

744
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 3: But when he is fit, which he is now, he's

745
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 3: good and they're you know, they're getting rain of minutes

746
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,919
Speaker 3: now and I like his you know, impacting this team.

747
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 3: And Gibbs White's been effective, like all these players when

748
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,799
Speaker 3: healthy can form a competent attack west Ham right now,

749
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:27,840
Speaker 3: even with Bowen Pakata healthy. You know, Pakata comes back

750
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 3: next to nothing at home against Arsenal. I think they're

751
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 3: going to struggle to create from open play in this one.

752
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:37,680
Speaker 3: So I like the trees at home money line, John Obett,

753
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,280
Speaker 3: you name it, and taking them to win this one.

754
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 3: I think they're about even teams, and I've got the

755
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 3: home home team barely laying anything.

756
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 1: So okay, let's move on to Spurs and Wolves next.

757
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 1: Tottenham laying a decent number here minus one seventy five,

758
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,920
Speaker 1: Wolverhampton traveling at four to one. The draw here is

759
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,320
Speaker 1: plus three seventy five, and mentioned the uh that's scheduling

760
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 1: quirk with Brentford before in Wolves, and so we can

761
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: just reiterate it. I'm sure that they'll be thrilled to

762
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,560
Speaker 1: take on a team that's not Brentford here and take

763
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 1: on Tottenham, who are coming off of another dramatic victory.

764
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,880
Speaker 1: Wolves have just you know, they keep chugging along. I

765
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:22,880
Speaker 1: think I don't think there's anything concerning about a loss

766
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,640
Speaker 1: to Brentford Shivers at home, and you'd like them, if

767
00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 1: you're Wolverhampton fan or backer, to take care of business

768
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 1: at home against an opponent like that. And they've now

769
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 1: dropped two in a row at them all on you.

770
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 1: But I still I think that they remain dangerous, and

771
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 1: they remain dangerous, especially against a team like Tottenham that

772
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 1: can they can see a lot like they just play

773
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:46,439
Speaker 1: a ton of high event matches and I don't think

774
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:49,399
Speaker 1: that's something that Wolverhampton will shy away from. I think

775
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:54,239
Speaker 1: in previous iterations of Wolves you'd say that, you know,

776
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: that's just not what they want to do. Despite the

777
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:59,800
Speaker 1: Wolves overs trained that Anthony was riding for forever, Spurs

778
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 1: are the same results though, so it looks like they're

779
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: kind of back on on track from that point of view,

780
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,360
Speaker 1: but you look at their their defensive numbers, like they

781
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,759
Speaker 1: gave up almost three extra to Evert in uh the

782
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:18,279
Speaker 1: time before the previous time they played Brighton, you know,

783
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:21,040
Speaker 1: four goals on three point two. It's they have a

784
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 1: chance to do that to basically any decent club. The

785
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:28,799
Speaker 1: one thing I will say for Spurs is I thought

786
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 1: that they'd be I guess I thought that they'd be

787
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 1: a lot more vulnerable against these kind of teams. And

788
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 1: the only team that you'd say was like an ugly

789
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 1: loss on their schedule. I mean, I guess you could

790
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 1: say west Ham at home was ugly, But aside from them,

791
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: it's just Wolves. So yeah, yeah, exactly, And so like

792
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 1: they they should profile as a as a vulnerable favorite

793
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 1: because of their defensive inefficiencies. But then again they can

794
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 1: outscore them against lesser opposition. But I think that's a

795
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 1: little tougher here. There is an injury concerns for Wolves

796
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:05,440
Speaker 1: with Kunya, but I I'm actually okay with tak taking

797
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 1: on Gary O'Neil's side here at this kind of number

798
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:12,200
Speaker 1: and what could be a back and forth crazy match. BJ.

799
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:14,240
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts here Spurs and Wolves?

800
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love the over here over three and a

801
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 2: half at plus one twenty five. You know what, you

802
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 2: know obviously mentioned that you taught him playing very high

803
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 2: event tide matches and that's the way and wants them

804
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,800
Speaker 2: to play it like he wants them to play super

805
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:33,200
Speaker 2: aggressive in possession, putting as much pressure as possible on

806
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:35,440
Speaker 2: the opposing defense. And I mean Liverpool's average mean, excuse me,

807
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 2: Tod him is averaging one point seven non penalty actually

808
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,240
Speaker 2: for ninety minutes, so it's kind of hard to argue

809
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 2: with his philosophies. And obviously, you know toddhim went through

810
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 2: a stretch with both center backs being injured, so kind

811
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 2: of inflates what they've allowed this season. But one thing

812
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 2: that has happened recently, and even with you know, Van

813
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,359
Speaker 2: der Venn and Romero healthy, you know, they conceded two

814
00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 2: point six to Everton and one point six to Brentford,

815
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 2: and they showed a lot of vulnerabilities on the break

816
00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:05,480
Speaker 2: and really what it was is just Van deven cleaning

817
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 2: up everything with this pace and it's great and he's awesome,

818
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 2: but it's also a lot of pressure on him, especially

819
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:15,880
Speaker 2: going up against this Wolves team that listen, there, I

820
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:19,880
Speaker 2: don't really read much into their loss against Brentford because

821
00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 2: Brentford's probably the worst kind of opponent for them to

822
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 2: play in the sense of that Wolves doesn't want to

823
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,400
Speaker 2: have they don't want to hold a lot of possession,

824
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 2: and in that match they held close to seventy percent possession.

825
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:31,400
Speaker 2: You know, here they'll be much more comfortable sitting in

826
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,280
Speaker 2: their defensive block, you know, limiting central progression and getting

827
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 2: the ball out on the counter. If you look at

828
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 2: you know, obviously Kunya is out, but Hawang should be

829
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 2: back for this match, which is a big upgrade. And

830
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 2: the thing is Kunya is only about a point three

831
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:48,400
Speaker 2: eight actually for ninety minutes the season. It's not like

832
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 2: he is ultra ultra crucial to what this Wolves team does.

833
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,040
Speaker 2: And now they have hang back. I don't think there's

834
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 2: really going to be that big of a drop off

835
00:40:55,480 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 2: in terms of what they have offensively going forward. I mean,

836
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 2: Toddam's just incredibly vulnerable because they push Poro and Adogie

837
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:06,479
Speaker 2: up into the half spaces when they're in the final third,

838
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 2: and with Madison healthy and him able to roam and

839
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 2: find the positioning like Spurs, is a very very difficult

840
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 2: team to defend like, don't get me wrong, but when

841
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,000
Speaker 2: they lose the ball, they are incredibly vulnerable on the break.

842
00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 2: That's exactly how Wolves wants to play. And the final thing,

843
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:26,960
Speaker 2: you know, especially the Everton match, Everton obviously keyed in

844
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 2: it on the fact that Vicario, let's just say, isn't

845
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:34,320
Speaker 2: great coming out and defending corners against elite set piece teams.

846
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 2: You know he's done. If you look at his overall

847
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,960
Speaker 2: numbers in terms of preventing you know x G or

848
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 2: allowing it on set pieces, He's actually pretty even for

849
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 2: the season. But obviously Everton was you know, is the

850
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 2: best set piece team in the Premier League, at least

851
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,880
Speaker 2: on corners by x cheaper set piece. And while Vaccario

852
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 2: is a great shot stopper, he's physically small comparatively to

853
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 2: most Premier League keepers, so he has a tougher time

854
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 2: getting through bodies to actually cleared balls out. Spurs are

855
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 2: fourteenth to next cheaper set piece allowed this season. Wolves

856
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 2: is a staple of the Yerie O'Neal he did with

857
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 2: Bournemouth last season. He's doing it with Wolves. Their top

858
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 2: five and next cheaper set piece, so Wolves will have

859
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 2: an advantage there. So I think this is going to

860
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 2: be a very back and forth match. I think it's

861
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: one that sets up pretty well for Wolves to potentially

862
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:20,160
Speaker 2: pull off an upset. But again, their defensive numbers overall

863
00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:22,839
Speaker 2: in terms of X she still aren't that great and

864
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 2: Tottenham will be able to get their chances and probably

865
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:28,719
Speaker 2: will create closer to expected goals. So projecting right on

866
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 2: three and a half goals here, so over three and

867
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 2: a half and plus one twenty five is a good

868
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:33,000
Speaker 2: value play for me.

869
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 3: Pedro Nato plus three fifty to recording assist.

870
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 2: Hmmm, that's probably what's waying anytime goal scorer that might be.

871
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 2: That might be the uh the play in this match.

872
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,440
Speaker 3: I don't know. He might be cooked after the Asian Cup.

873
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 2: It looks like he will. He will be back.

874
00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 1: Hold on poor year again and Son and the boys.

875
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:56,160
Speaker 3: Playing plus three seventy five to score the first goal

876
00:42:56,239 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 3: for Wolves and he is for the game plus three hundred.

877
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:05,720
Speaker 3: I like the Neto bet number better parlay.

878
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 1: You can't do that again.

879
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 3: You mentioned it though, right like netto elite dribbler. In space,

880
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 3: there's always space behind spurs and the with the fullbacks

881
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,399
Speaker 3: pushing up that that's the channels where netto lives yep

882
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 3: to cook. So I think that that's maybe the best

883
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:27,320
Speaker 3: way to play this Wolves. If they go down a

884
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 3: goal like live to get a result, they're going to

885
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 3: be like, yeah, four to one, three to one?

886
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:37,600
Speaker 2: Did they did? I saw the stat. I believe it's

887
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: Tottenham fifteen points dropped from winning positions fifteen points gained

888
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:44,399
Speaker 2: from losing positions this.

889
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,640
Speaker 3: Season Live Betting Darlings that men United everything. Neither are

890
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 3: any good defensively with Tottenham like, they are very good

891
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 3: at playing from behind and comfortable in those positions with

892
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:56,200
Speaker 3: United like they've run pretty good with Lake Ols. So

893
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 3: just as a result of that, they are just so

894
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:01,000
Speaker 3: much fun to live that both both their.

895
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 1: Games Sheffield tonight.

896
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 3: Is that when you have a Villa plus a half

897
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:06,399
Speaker 3: live against United and then he Tootie owns you, which

898
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 3: happened to me.

899
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Sheffield United, the darlings of

900
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 1: this podcast. After last week beautiful, I said, what you're

901
00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 1: gonna what do you want to do on Super Bowl

902
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 1: Sunday is take Sheffield United and parlay them with your

903
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 1: favorite anytime touchdown scorer, first town touchdown score, And I

904
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 1: bet some guy named Noah Gray or Noah Brown and

905
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:31,120
Speaker 1: he didn't score, I would have won a ton of money. Thanks.

906
00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 3: To tell you what, it was a great super Bowl

907
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 3: for random guys. You had not that one Wyldes Scantling,

908
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 3: you had Hardman, you had Juwan Jennings.

909
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, not not the random guy that I landed on

910
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,760
Speaker 1: with Sheffield United. But anyways, thank you to the Blades.

911
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:46,879
Speaker 1: That was great. They're roughly the same price as Time

912
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,760
Speaker 1: at Home plus three seventy five to Brighton Brighton minus

913
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: one fifty four the draws plus three twenty. Interesting thing

914
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:57,279
Speaker 1: about that Newtontown matches, I thought that the consensus, at

915
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:59,640
Speaker 1: least I'm on the soccer betting community was that this

916
00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:02,319
Speaker 1: was that number was pretty crazy and it Newton took money,

917
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 1: uh for that match, so a little weird. But anyways,

918
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 1: the Blades here, I'm just gonna take those take the

919
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 1: money that they won us last weekend and take this

920
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: one off because not not too interested in back of

921
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:27,080
Speaker 1: them here, not interested in backing Brighton either, BJ anything here.

922
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 1: It looks it looks like all three of us are

923
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:30,360
Speaker 1: kind of kicking this one side.

924
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 2: So we've seen two instances of these teams playing, you know,

925
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 2: one was under the previous manager, where it drew one one.

926
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:41,359
Speaker 2: Sheffield basically played like the most passive low block I've

927
00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:44,320
Speaker 2: seen of anybody this season and basically just left Brighton

928
00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 2: just passed the ball kind of around and Brighton did

929
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:48,520
Speaker 2: go up one I neural early and then Brighten got

930
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,200
Speaker 2: a red card in Sheffield winded up tying them, and

931
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 2: then they played in the FA Cup, Brighton scored early

932
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 2: and this is on you know, this is under the

933
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 2: new manager and Chris Wilder, and things just went completely

934
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:01,160
Speaker 2: off the rails, which has been happening with them, Like

935
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:04,320
Speaker 2: Sheffield's going for things now, like they're not just sitting

936
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:07,560
Speaker 2: back and I don't you know again, it's the same

937
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 2: quote that I said last you Know podcast, but it

938
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,240
Speaker 2: rains true with Brighton. Is that, you know, Thomas Franks

939
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:14,360
Speaker 2: said you have to do one of the two. You

940
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 2: either have to press Brighton relentlessly, give them what they want,

941
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:18,600
Speaker 2: or you have to sit back in a little block.

942
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,080
Speaker 2: And I'm not so sure Sheffield's just gonna sit back

943
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 2: in a little block. I don't I don't really see

944
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 2: it that may be happening. So if you want to

945
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:29,280
Speaker 2: chase a big price here, maybe you know a Brighton

946
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 2: team total or even a Sheffield team total. Either could

947
00:46:32,120 --> 00:46:34,000
Speaker 2: be live because they played in the FA Cup and

948
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 2: it ended five to two because Brighton squired early and

949
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 2: Sheffield had to play super aggressive, So you could see

950
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 2: something like that again. Joe Pedro's out for Brighton, which

951
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 2: is a loss for them, but Brighton's getting Matma back,

952
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 2: They've got Anti Fati back, a Dingra Is back from Afcon,

953
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 2: so Brighton has their full force of attackers back. So

954
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:54,800
Speaker 2: it could be a decent BILO opportunity to take Brighton

955
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 2: minus one and a half here. I know it's on

956
00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:01,960
Speaker 2: the road, but I I do believe Brighton is going

957
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 2: to make at least a charge at the top four

958
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:06,160
Speaker 2: over the second half of the season. They might not

959
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:07,960
Speaker 2: get there because they're about ten points back and it's

960
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 2: pretty it's pretty daunting task to overcome. But with their

961
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:17,440
Speaker 2: full attackers healthy, this is a decent BILO opportunity on

962
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 2: Brighton to lay them on the money line or minus

963
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 2: one and a half.

964
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:24,400
Speaker 3: I have negative interest in this game.

965
00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 2: I do too, but I just am trying to give

966
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 2: people something.

967
00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:32,080
Speaker 1: Anthony, Yeah, I appreciate that. It's much. Let's talk about it.

968
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:34,319
Speaker 2: It's Sunday right here, Sunday at.

969
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:38,800
Speaker 1: Nine, Yes, Sunday tough. Lootontown three to one at home.

970
00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:42,120
Speaker 1: United odds on minus one twenty five here and the

971
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:48,720
Speaker 1: jaw is plus three twenty. We talked last week, absolutely,

972
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:53,319
Speaker 1: we talked about Newcastle playing some psychotic stuff. United's right

973
00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 1: there with them, even against Newport County in the in

974
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 1: the f A Cup. So you know, obviously you've got

975
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:04,399
Speaker 1: to keep that in mind when you're betting this team.

976
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:06,480
Speaker 1: But I think that this number still is playable on

977
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:12,279
Speaker 1: United because come on, like, I've loved this Luton Town

978
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 1: ride as much as anybody they. I love watching teams

979
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:18,879
Speaker 1: cover the efforts spread on every match or every game

980
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 1: and every sport. But I I think that this number

981
00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 1: is a little cheap on on a United team that

982
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: it the very least like they are moving in the

983
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 1: right direction in terms of attack results and their attack and.

984
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:34,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, that should be enough.

985
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:39,720
Speaker 1: Like if your biggest flaw is a Swiss cheese defense,

986
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:42,399
Speaker 1: like against a team like Lutontown, I don't think that's

987
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,120
Speaker 1: going to be as big a problem when you should

988
00:48:44,160 --> 00:48:47,160
Speaker 1: be able to, you know, get to three or four here.

989
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:51,359
Speaker 1: So I think that uh, you know, deunit it man.

990
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:54,360
Speaker 1: We we just this is a pendulum swinging team. We

991
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,959
Speaker 1: we go back to the extremes right where like go

992
00:48:57,960 --> 00:48:59,800
Speaker 1: go against them, go against we go against the pendulous

993
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:01,279
Speaker 1: swing that We're like, this is the time, this is

994
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:04,200
Speaker 1: the time. At least I am, and I feel like

995
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,279
Speaker 1: we've had the rhythm down the past two seasons with

996
00:49:06,360 --> 00:49:08,719
Speaker 1: this team, so I think that this is a decent opportunity.

997
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:11,440
Speaker 1: I was on him last week against Villa, and I'm

998
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:12,799
Speaker 1: happy to go right back to him here.

999
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 3: Even against him last week against Villa and he's probably

1000
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:17,719
Speaker 3: against him again this.

1001
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, BJ's BJ's numbers. BJ's numbers are just there.

1002
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 1: He's got a man United tacks because you know, and

1003
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 1: I'd be shocked. I'd be When I saw this line,

1004
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:31,640
Speaker 1: I was like, I'm I would be shocked if I

1005
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:34,400
Speaker 1: got into the rundown and I saw BJ joining me,

1006
00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 1: uh in the United party.

1007
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:38,399
Speaker 3: But I think I think, well, I'll give BJ credit.

1008
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 3: I think he's want to know this season betting men United,

1009
00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 3: that's true, I am, Yeah, but I know I bet

1010
00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 3: them on Boxing Day and one and think that might

1011
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:49,320
Speaker 3: be my only bet on that.

1012
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I actually I'm United at minus one o three.

1013
00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:55,040
Speaker 2: So I do think the price is pretty in line,

1014
00:49:55,160 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 2: and I think it's honestly kind of low. I'm gluten

1015
00:49:57,080 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 2: Town when I when I saw this match, like I

1016
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 2: was really excited because I was like, oh my gosh,

1017
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:02,799
Speaker 2: I'm gonna get looted Town at like plus a half,

1018
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:04,760
Speaker 2: at like plus one twenty five, they're gonna lay minus

1019
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 2: one fifty after that United fraud win against the Villa.

1020
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:11,719
Speaker 2: But they didn't. The market just said nope, that you know,

1021
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 2: that was a fraud win and we're not gonna upgrade.

1022
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 2: I mean, they kind of upgraded them a little bit,

1023
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:18,319
Speaker 2: But I do think it's around where you know it

1024
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 2: should be priced. But I actually like the over here

1025
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:22,759
Speaker 2: over three minus one o five. You know over is

1026
00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:24,319
Speaker 2: always hit in the Premier League, so might as well

1027
00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:28,360
Speaker 2: just keep taking them. But I think the match against

1028
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:31,680
Speaker 2: aston Villa, although United one, it kind of encapsulated how

1029
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,200
Speaker 2: flawed they are out of possession. Yeah, and I'm gonna

1030
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:36,239
Speaker 2: try to I'm gonna try to break it down like

1031
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:38,359
Speaker 2: to a fine tooth comb here of what it actually is.

1032
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 2: So what ten Hawks said in his press conference after

1033
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:45,200
Speaker 2: the match against aston Villa is he does use high

1034
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:48,000
Speaker 2: turnovers as a good indicator whether the press is working.

1035
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,280
Speaker 2: And that's fine. And United I believe have have forced

1036
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:53,400
Speaker 2: the most high turnovers in the Premier League and that's awesome,

1037
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:58,360
Speaker 2: But they are using their pressing structure to basically just

1038
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 2: press the front line, try and steal the ball quickly

1039
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:05,960
Speaker 2: and get an opportunity. Usually teams that press high, teams

1040
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 2: like Liverpool, teams like Arsenal, they're gonna press with everybody.

1041
00:51:09,680 --> 00:51:11,680
Speaker 2: That means that their defensive line is gonna push up,

1042
00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:13,560
Speaker 2: their midfielders are gonnaush up, They're gonna go a mand

1043
00:51:13,560 --> 00:51:18,720
Speaker 2: a man across everywhere and suffocate the opponent. United because

1044
00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:21,879
Speaker 2: they've injuries across their back line and because ten Hawk

1045
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 2: doesn't want them to get exposed, he leaves his back

1046
00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 2: line back. And so what that does is once you

1047
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:29,720
Speaker 2: beat the first line of the pressure, there's this gaping

1048
00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:32,080
Speaker 2: open space for teams to run at them. And if

1049
00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 2: you saw against Villa, I mean, how many times was

1050
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:37,040
Speaker 2: Villa just had the ball just running at the United

1051
00:51:37,040 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 2: back line as they were backpedaling. It happened over and

1052
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 2: over and over again. You know, last year United played

1053
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:46,480
Speaker 2: the same structure, but Kasamira was playing at an elite

1054
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:49,720
Speaker 2: level in terms of ball stopping and was just everywhere

1055
00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:53,920
Speaker 2: in the pitch and covered up essentially that gaping hole

1056
00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 2: in the midfield. Well, now now he's not playing at

1057
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,640
Speaker 2: an elite level. They don't have elite ball stoppers and

1058
00:51:58,680 --> 00:52:00,799
Speaker 2: so teams have just been able to play right through them.

1059
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:03,120
Speaker 2: That's why they're allowing over one and a half non

1060
00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:06,239
Speaker 2: penalty x sheep for ninety minutes. Lowtontown can exploit this

1061
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:08,319
Speaker 2: because they want to play in transition. They're not going

1062
00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:09,920
Speaker 2: to try to play out of the back and give

1063
00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:12,080
Speaker 2: United a chance to turn them over high. They are

1064
00:52:12,120 --> 00:52:14,440
Speaker 2: going to play long balls far up the pitch. You know.

1065
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 2: I mentioned that the City United is around the bottom

1066
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 2: six and long ball completion percentage allowed just kind of

1067
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 2: showing that, yes, the first line of the pressure is good,

1068
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:23,640
Speaker 2: but once you get past that you can play a

1069
00:52:23,640 --> 00:52:26,719
Speaker 2: long ball against their back line. They are incredibly vulnerable.

1070
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 2: Here's another thing that I looked this up and I

1071
00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:32,480
Speaker 2: thought it was quite shocking. Manchester United has allowed the

1072
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,400
Speaker 2: most set piece attempts in the Premier League this season

1073
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 2: with one hundred and fifteen. That's kind of crazy for

1074
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 2: a Big six team. You'd expect a team like Burnley,

1075
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,000
Speaker 2: Sheffield or even Luton. Teams that are defending in their

1076
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:47,400
Speaker 2: own area of the pitch a lot to be allowing

1077
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 2: that many set pieces. They've been average at defending them

1078
00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:52,399
Speaker 2: the season. It's like they've been good, they haven't been bad.

1079
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 2: But the longtown I keep saying, if you get a

1080
00:52:57,719 --> 00:52:59,359
Speaker 2: chance to go watch some clips on Twitter of their

1081
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:02,840
Speaker 2: back post zero overload, it's a beautiful thing to watch

1082
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,360
Speaker 2: them just hoop balls up to the back post and

1083
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 2: see four or five guys just running in and diving

1084
00:53:08,120 --> 00:53:09,600
Speaker 2: at the ball. It's a beautiful thing to see and

1085
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 2: not many teams have really been able to effectively defend it.

1086
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 2: So I do think Lutontown has advantages both in transition

1087
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,080
Speaker 2: and on set pieces for them to score here. Now,

1088
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,399
Speaker 2: with that being said, Lutontown's still terrible defense. They've allowed

1089
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:22,319
Speaker 2: the most big scoring chances in the Premier League. There

1090
00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:25,320
Speaker 2: are gaping holes, you know, in them, especially in the

1091
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:29,000
Speaker 2: middle of the pitch, that United can exploit. So I

1092
00:53:29,040 --> 00:53:31,040
Speaker 2: think this total is too low for a match that

1093
00:53:31,200 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 2: probably is going to be played very back and forth.

1094
00:53:33,040 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 2: You know, United's much better when they're playing in transition.

1095
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:39,839
Speaker 2: So three point seven goals projected over three minus one

1096
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:41,720
Speaker 2: o five probably my favorite play on the board.

1097
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:46,120
Speaker 3: How do you feel about penalty to be awarded slash

1098
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:49,360
Speaker 3: made in this match? Now I'm serious, I think I

1099
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:50,000
Speaker 3: think it's.

1100
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:51,960
Speaker 2: What is it?

1101
00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:55,879
Speaker 3: So? I can't find penalties? But Man United is plus

1102
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:58,279
Speaker 3: three fifty and Luton's plus five to fifty. I think

1103
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:01,439
Speaker 3: you made a good point, which is both of these

1104
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:06,359
Speaker 3: defenses are really bad at keeping teams out of their

1105
00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 3: penalty area. So there's going to be a lot of

1106
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,320
Speaker 3: back and forth. There's going to be a lot of chaos.

1107
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:14,279
Speaker 3: And you talked about Onnana, you know, or at least

1108
00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:16,279
Speaker 3: the high they defense that pieces we've seen Onnana like

1109
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 3: get away with stuff like being overly aggressive defending said pieces.

1110
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:22,960
Speaker 3: And I do think there will be opportunities where United

1111
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,800
Speaker 3: gets in behind this Newton defense and gets those chances

1112
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:27,920
Speaker 3: off of that. The biggest difference for United it has

1113
00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:30,880
Speaker 3: been that Hoyland is playing better and you'll hear like

1114
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 3: getting more service. I don't know, they're playing the same

1115
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:36,960
Speaker 3: guys they always play. I just think that he's playing

1116
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 3: better relatively and getting in better positions to score and

1117
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 3: thus scoring. They also are playing antony less, which is

1118
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:48,600
Speaker 3: a big upgrade, let's be honest, much better better than Anthony.

1119
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:48,959
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1120
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:52,000
Speaker 3: Uh and and Brno has been fine. So like you're

1121
00:54:52,000 --> 00:54:54,720
Speaker 3: starting to see the attack. You know who has scored

1122
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 3: less goals than Newton this year? Uh, look, look more viable.

1123
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:01,480
Speaker 3: Here here's the thing and the stat that's the most

1124
00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:06,280
Speaker 3: shocking you talked about it. Arsenal and United have created

1125
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:10,080
Speaker 3: the most shots off of high turnovers in the league

1126
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:14,360
Speaker 3: this year. United has only scored one goal yep, one

1127
00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 3: all year. They're down there with Burnley, Sheffield and Newton

1128
00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:20,160
Speaker 3: as the fewest goals scored off of high turnovers forced

1129
00:55:20,160 --> 00:55:22,799
Speaker 3: in the league. That has to change be for them

1130
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 3: to take a step forward, because you're right, they do

1131
00:55:24,880 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 3: create a lot of high turnovers, but they're getting all

1132
00:55:28,040 --> 00:55:30,319
Speaker 3: of the risk, which is like oh shit, like our

1133
00:55:30,360 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 3: defense sucks. You're getting through us and get into our

1134
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 3: box very easily without any of the reward, which is,

1135
00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:37,160
Speaker 3: oh great, we just scored. We're of a goal. We

1136
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 3: turned you over. They don't ever score off of it.

1137
00:55:39,239 --> 00:55:41,560
Speaker 3: They have one goal all year. So I think that's

1138
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 3: the balance they're not getting right. They need to be

1139
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,440
Speaker 3: more efficient. I think they will be. I mean they've

1140
00:55:46,480 --> 00:55:48,880
Speaker 3: they run cold, their their attacks better than the numbers

1141
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 3: would suggest, but I think their defense is so flawed

1142
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:55,480
Speaker 3: that you're going to see, you know, the backup defenders

1143
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:59,040
Speaker 3: as wells Martinez going out like McGuire was great against

1144
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:02,319
Speaker 3: Villa thought, but they're still lost. So maybe I'm gonna

1145
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:05,319
Speaker 3: do some team to make a penalty plus three. Maybe

1146
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:06,960
Speaker 3: I'll just take both teams like a half unit on

1147
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:10,000
Speaker 3: both plus three fifty plus five fifty, because I really

1148
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,120
Speaker 3: do think this is the kind of game where there's

1149
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 3: gonna be a ton of action in both boxes. Both

1150
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 3: teams are kind of poor defensively, so it could be

1151
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:20,120
Speaker 3: the kind of game where we get a pen.

1152
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,200
Speaker 2: I was gonna go to your playbook for this, that Anthony.

1153
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:24,600
Speaker 3: Both teams and over two and a half.

1154
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:27,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's like minus one twenty five. Yeah, it just

1155
00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:30,200
Speaker 2: feels too easy, right, but it feels too easy. But yeah,

1156
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 2: I was thinking about.

1157
00:56:30,880 --> 00:56:33,239
Speaker 3: It always does feel too easy. That's that's why it's

1158
00:56:33,400 --> 00:56:35,319
Speaker 3: the square is said on the board. It's like, oh, well,

1159
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 3: every book and then somebody will win. I don't know

1160
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 3: who will win.

1161
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:40,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, every both teams to score is like minus one

1162
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:44,319
Speaker 2: to eighty this week, Like it's just so maybe I'll

1163
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 2: just do like a both teams to score parlay of

1164
00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:46,359
Speaker 2: like five.

1165
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 3: I was thinking the opposite.

1166
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 2: Actually, oh really just like going against.

1167
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:52,560
Speaker 3: One week one week. We're just inside this is the

1168
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:55,080
Speaker 3: week we're going to bet every under slash b twds no,

1169
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:57,720
Speaker 3: and uh, we have to figure out which week it's.

1170
00:56:57,560 --> 00:56:57,880
Speaker 1: Going to be.

1171
00:56:57,920 --> 00:56:59,520
Speaker 2: I don't yeah, I don't know if it's this week.

1172
00:56:59,480 --> 00:56:59,960
Speaker 3: Not this week.

1173
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if you want, we can talk about

1174
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:07,239
Speaker 1: instead of looking at it as a match week, we

1175
00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:09,080
Speaker 1: can look at a calendar week. Because I would say

1176
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,520
Speaker 1: that the the last match that we'll talk about in

1177
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:16,760
Speaker 1: the Premier League, which is Everton in Palace on Monday

1178
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:19,320
Speaker 1: Night football, with Everton as a minus one forty three

1179
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:21,640
Speaker 1: favorite and Palace coming in a plus four to twenty

1180
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 1: five to draw plus two sixty both teams to score.

1181
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:28,120
Speaker 1: No is sitting at minus one forty three. This one

1182
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:31,960
Speaker 1: feels like a uh it could be a real barn

1183
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:34,320
Speaker 1: burner just sick of it.

1184
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 2: Route spot of Michael.

1185
00:57:38,040 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 3: Yeah. It feels like the market's like slowly sharpening on

1186
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:42,800
Speaker 3: this because this is the third time these teams have

1187
00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:45,320
Speaker 3: played yep, because of the f A Cup, and I

1188
00:57:45,360 --> 00:57:46,680
Speaker 3: know I got the under two and a half at

1189
00:57:46,720 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 3: minus one ten in the first meeting, uh and Everton

1190
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 3: was plus one hundred and now it's kind of the

1191
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 3: essay Elisa effect, although alyse one of them was out

1192
00:57:55,440 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 3: for the Cup matches either way, Now you're like minus

1193
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:03,120
Speaker 3: won forty on Everton and the total has gone down.

1194
00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 3: So that kind of gets to what the market thinks

1195
00:58:05,800 --> 00:58:08,080
Speaker 3: of this Palace attack. And I went to go play

1196
00:58:08,080 --> 00:58:10,960
Speaker 3: Palace team total under just like to not score. It's

1197
00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:17,480
Speaker 3: like plus one twenty. So the market is very quickly

1198
00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:20,440
Speaker 3: adjusted to the Palace without at least they at least

1199
00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:23,720
Speaker 3: say an essay. They scored a great goal against Chelsea

1200
00:58:24,520 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 3: from thirty yards, but it wasn't like they had anything

1201
00:58:28,320 --> 00:58:31,120
Speaker 3: else going on in that game. They had twenty five

1202
00:58:31,120 --> 00:58:32,960
Speaker 3: percent of the ball, couldn't get the ball into the

1203
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:33,600
Speaker 3: penalty area.

1204
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:38,040
Speaker 2: So against a flawed transition defense.

1205
00:58:37,760 --> 00:58:40,160
Speaker 3: Against a flawed, flawed team, and now they play a

1206
00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:43,320
Speaker 3: better defense than Everton on the road without those guys.

1207
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:45,040
Speaker 3: I mean, as they may be back, but it seems

1208
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:46,640
Speaker 3: like a long shot. At least he's done for a while.

1209
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:50,560
Speaker 3: They're playing like some kids that are interesting. Frank Franza,

1210
00:58:50,760 --> 00:58:51,720
Speaker 3: It's interesting to me.

1211
00:58:51,720 --> 00:58:52,600
Speaker 1: But like.

1212
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:55,920
Speaker 3: Matteta is so bad.

1213
00:58:57,600 --> 00:59:00,560
Speaker 2: He's perfect for roy Hodgson though, to just send long but.

1214
00:59:00,560 --> 00:59:02,360
Speaker 3: They don't have anybody when he when he brings it

1215
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,960
Speaker 3: down and they win the ball, he passes it to

1216
00:59:05,040 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 3: Jeff Schlupp and then.

1217
00:59:06,040 --> 00:59:10,880
Speaker 2: What you know, or Jordan and Ayu or Will. Yeah,

1218
00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:14,360
Speaker 2: and it's just like Will uses a ten like it's just.

1219
00:59:14,520 --> 00:59:17,400
Speaker 3: Lord Edward's healthy now he should be starting. Yeah, but

1220
00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:19,000
Speaker 3: even Edward same thing. It's like a ship.

1221
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:21,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, It's it's one of those things where Roy Hodgson's

1222
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:23,880
Speaker 2: just like, we just have to we we got to

1223
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:25,960
Speaker 2: send long balls, like we can't just we can't build

1224
00:59:26,040 --> 00:59:27,959
Speaker 2: or like pass, we just got to send long balls.

1225
00:59:27,960 --> 00:59:29,560
Speaker 2: And Matent is the best one that I can use

1226
00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:33,000
Speaker 2: for that. So yeah. But also perhaps even if they

1227
00:59:33,040 --> 00:59:36,120
Speaker 2: are loss for Palace, Marquet he's out too, yeah, like that.

1228
00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:38,560
Speaker 2: He's their best center back by far on the team,

1229
00:59:38,600 --> 00:59:43,040
Speaker 2: so losing him has had a pretty drastic effect, obviously

1230
00:59:43,120 --> 00:59:46,400
Speaker 2: to Corey has been out the entire season, So Palace

1231
00:59:46,440 --> 00:59:47,920
Speaker 2: is you've been able to teams have just able to

1232
00:59:47,920 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 2: play right through the middle of them, whereas in the past. Uh,

1233
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:53,600
Speaker 2: it hasn't been as easy. But the biggest thing in

1234
00:59:53,600 --> 00:59:58,439
Speaker 2: this match corners, which are pretty typical of a Sean

1235
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:02,040
Speaker 2: Deitsch team. But Palace has allowed the highest x cheaper

1236
01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:04,440
Speaker 2: corner in the Premier League, and obviously Everton has the

1237
01:00:04,440 --> 01:00:07,160
Speaker 2: most expected goals in the highest x cheaper corner. So

1238
01:00:08,240 --> 01:00:11,120
Speaker 2: I gotta say, Michael, I get really excited Wheneverton has

1239
01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:13,880
Speaker 2: a corner like I get, I get, the juices get pumping,

1240
01:00:13,920 --> 01:00:16,320
Speaker 2: I get. I'm ready for throwing in the six yard

1241
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:18,440
Speaker 2: box and all the bodies just piling in there. It

1242
01:00:18,480 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 2: really is one of the more exciting things for me

1243
01:00:20,840 --> 01:00:22,320
Speaker 2: to watch in the Premier League this season.

1244
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:25,680
Speaker 3: When Spurs went there that seven thirty am match, it

1245
01:00:25,720 --> 01:00:28,280
Speaker 3: was an ugly, ugly match, but every corner was an

1246
01:00:28,280 --> 01:00:30,720
Speaker 3: electric factory. Trying to think how can we attack this

1247
01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:32,880
Speaker 3: from a from a prop slash fun market angle.

1248
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:35,760
Speaker 2: I was thinking, I can't find goals off of corners. Yeah,

1249
01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:38,240
Speaker 2: they don't offer that, which is terrible. I wish they did.

1250
01:00:38,600 --> 01:00:40,560
Speaker 3: But then can we say who would score the goals?

1251
01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:41,800
Speaker 3: And can we bet them to score first?

1252
01:00:42,120 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 2: Like you can do first goal, you can do method

1253
01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:45,520
Speaker 2: of first goal header, we can do that.

1254
01:00:46,520 --> 01:00:50,120
Speaker 3: Tarkowski is only six to one to score. That's so bad.

1255
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:51,400
Speaker 2: What is the first goal scorer?

1256
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 3: Fourteen to one?

1257
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:54,360
Speaker 2: All fourteen to one? Maybe that maybe we'll do this.

1258
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:56,720
Speaker 3: That's awful odds though, that's terrible.

1259
01:00:57,320 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 2: It should be like thirty to one.

1260
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:00,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, uh.

1261
01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I actually do like Everton this match.

1262
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,480
Speaker 3: Projecting branthwait does he get in the box on corners?

1263
01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:07,600
Speaker 1: He just he's read hot.

1264
01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:10,200
Speaker 2: He scored, he scored against he scored the winner against Spurs.

1265
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:15,320
Speaker 3: Legal wiser right, yeah, twelve for every basically a winner.

1266
01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:18,479
Speaker 3: That's a winner to score Branthwaight, maybe that's better.

1267
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:18,880
Speaker 1: I don't know.

1268
01:01:19,360 --> 01:01:23,800
Speaker 3: I really over takes money and we get closer like

1269
01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:25,680
Speaker 3: minus one twenty five one thirty on the under two

1270
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:27,600
Speaker 3: and a half. I have no interest in this game.

1271
01:01:27,880 --> 01:01:31,000
Speaker 2: I do like Everton actually in this match. Minus one

1272
01:01:31,120 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 2: twenty seven I think is a decent price on them,

1273
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:36,320
Speaker 2: projecting them minus one thirty six massive, you know, obviously

1274
01:01:36,360 --> 01:01:38,480
Speaker 2: a big advantage than corners, but also a massive home

1275
01:01:38,560 --> 01:01:41,760
Speaker 2: road split. Everton a Goodison Park is plus seven actually

1276
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:44,320
Speaker 2: differential Palace minus six point nine away from home, so

1277
01:01:45,600 --> 01:01:48,360
Speaker 2: again without their three best players and even four if

1278
01:01:48,360 --> 01:01:51,680
Speaker 2: you want to count to core I don't. I mean,

1279
01:01:51,960 --> 01:01:56,919
Speaker 2: unless Palace pulls off some type of defensive like voodoo masterclass.

1280
01:01:58,800 --> 01:02:00,360
Speaker 2: I don't see it, but you know, you know, you

1281
01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:02,360
Speaker 2: know how this will go. Michael Everton will create two

1282
01:02:02,360 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 2: and a half expected goles matchurll end zero zero and

1283
01:02:04,840 --> 01:02:07,720
Speaker 2: I'll just we'll just be sitting there being like, is

1284
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,040
Speaker 2: Everton never gonna score again? Are they ever gonna get

1285
01:02:10,040 --> 01:02:12,480
Speaker 2: out of this relegation fight? And then that's when the

1286
01:02:12,520 --> 01:02:14,520
Speaker 2: ten point ten point deduction hits us.

1287
01:02:14,880 --> 01:02:21,240
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, this this, this is supposed to be in

1288
01:02:21,320 --> 01:02:24,880
Speaker 1: terms of the the lawsuits. So anyways, I don't even

1289
01:02:24,880 --> 01:02:25,680
Speaker 1: want to go into I'm.

1290
01:02:25,560 --> 01:02:27,360
Speaker 2: Done talking about politics on this podcast.

1291
01:02:27,520 --> 01:02:30,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, well next week we're doing Brexit, right, so yeah,

1292
01:02:30,120 --> 01:02:34,400
Speaker 3: exactly gear up. Uh the release parlay by the way,

1293
01:02:34,400 --> 01:02:35,280
Speaker 3: that the strike is over.

1294
01:02:35,480 --> 01:02:37,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, the police strike parlays is dead.

1295
01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:40,320
Speaker 3: For those This will be out Thursday morning before the ros.

1296
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:41,360
Speaker 3: So don't catch out it.

1297
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:46,120
Speaker 2: Cash out if you can. I did. But by the way,

1298
01:02:46,120 --> 01:02:47,160
Speaker 2: I never I never said.

1299
01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 3: The PPP a real play.

1300
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:51,040
Speaker 2: I never said this was actually gonna happen. I just

1301
01:02:51,040 --> 01:02:53,320
Speaker 2: said that there is a chance that this could happen.

1302
01:02:53,640 --> 01:02:57,120
Speaker 3: There you go, classic BJ hedging. You can said I

1303
01:02:57,160 --> 01:03:00,120
Speaker 3: would I would never hedge my opinions of course, or

1304
01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:00,800
Speaker 3: she wouldn't.

1305
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:06,040
Speaker 1: Okay, Budesliga Anthony is sitting it out. I'm sitting it out,

1306
01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:06,919
Speaker 1: So it's bja.

1307
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:08,960
Speaker 3: It's just I'm just I'm just in shock about how

1308
01:03:08,960 --> 01:03:12,880
Speaker 3: bad Myyron was last Saturday. Yeah, they got trucked market

1309
01:03:12,880 --> 01:03:15,320
Speaker 3: Market took heavy lever cous In money, and it was right.

1310
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 3: I mean, as soon as they put the three five

1311
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:19,120
Speaker 3: two out, I was like, all right, what are we doing?

1312
01:03:19,440 --> 01:03:23,840
Speaker 3: Three the three four two one? They were disaster. They

1313
01:03:23,840 --> 01:03:25,720
Speaker 3: couldn't defend the wing backs, which is the whole point

1314
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,680
Speaker 3: of playing the three five two or three four two one. Uh,

1315
01:03:28,760 --> 01:03:32,200
Speaker 3: and they couldn't build with dire and freaking oop macano.

1316
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:36,400
Speaker 3: It was just a disaster. Yeah, right, good, good on

1317
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:38,280
Speaker 3: lever Cousin. You know, they deserve to win, and they

1318
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:39,840
Speaker 3: deserve it out of their favorites. So we're gonna need

1319
01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:43,120
Speaker 3: to in the history of the Bundesliga, and there's gonna

1320
01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:45,600
Speaker 3: be some drama coming down the pike here, right leg

1321
01:03:45,720 --> 01:03:48,600
Speaker 3: That's just how the league works. But uh yeah, Byron

1322
01:03:48,720 --> 01:03:52,280
Speaker 3: just getting downgraded to hell. I don't understand this team.

1323
01:03:52,680 --> 01:03:55,400
Speaker 3: I need to like do a complex study on how

1324
01:03:55,760 --> 01:03:58,760
Speaker 3: they can dominate certain teams to an extreme extent and

1325
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:00,959
Speaker 3: then just looks so shit in so many different games

1326
01:04:00,960 --> 01:04:04,200
Speaker 3: this year. But hopefully they're not too shit for us.

1327
01:04:04,440 --> 01:04:07,320
Speaker 3: But yeah, this slight sucks. I tried so hard to

1328
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:08,760
Speaker 3: find a bet at the current numbers and I could

1329
01:04:08,800 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 3: not find one. Mine is a little overvalued, maybe, but

1330
01:04:13,880 --> 01:04:15,480
Speaker 3: you know, should they be really be plus one hundred

1331
01:04:15,480 --> 01:04:16,960
Speaker 3: if they haven't win one win all year against the

1332
01:04:16,960 --> 01:04:19,080
Speaker 3: Osburg who's been like pretty league average, I don't know.

1333
01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:21,000
Speaker 3: That's the only one that stuck out to me. Maybe,

1334
01:04:21,040 --> 01:04:23,800
Speaker 3: but they haven't be playing a lot better minds, they're

1335
01:04:23,840 --> 01:04:25,280
Speaker 3: not getting the results.

1336
01:04:26,120 --> 01:04:29,520
Speaker 2: I like stut Cart on the road minus one and

1337
01:04:29,560 --> 01:04:31,600
Speaker 2: a half plus one thirty against Darmstadt, who is the

1338
01:04:31,600 --> 01:04:36,760
Speaker 2: worst team in the Bundesliga UNDAV will be out for Stutgard,

1339
01:04:36,760 --> 01:04:40,280
Speaker 2: which is lost, but Girasi will be back. Should start

1340
01:04:40,360 --> 01:04:44,720
Speaker 2: up front since still is in really good form. You know, Stutgart.

1341
01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:47,440
Speaker 2: I don't think people realize this. They're likely they are

1342
01:04:47,520 --> 01:04:50,160
Speaker 2: legitimately the third best team in the Bundesliga, like by

1343
01:04:50,160 --> 01:04:53,280
Speaker 2: a pretty wide margin, Like there are a plus one

1344
01:04:53,320 --> 01:04:56,960
Speaker 2: point one three extra differential per ninety minutes and if

1345
01:04:57,000 --> 01:04:59,080
Speaker 2: you look through their schedule. It's not like they've just

1346
01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 2: completely beaten up on the bad teams and then when

1347
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:05,640
Speaker 2: they face you know, the Leipzig's, the Dortmunds, the lever

1348
01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:09,600
Speaker 2: Cousins of the world, they just get pounded. No, they

1349
01:05:09,880 --> 01:05:14,959
Speaker 2: just recently pounded Leipzig five to two. They really should

1350
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:18,160
Speaker 2: have beaten Levercuson in the Cup if not for just

1351
01:05:18,200 --> 01:05:22,680
Speaker 2: a late winner there. They have beaten Dortmund multiple times

1352
01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:25,560
Speaker 2: this season. Like they are a very very good team,

1353
01:05:26,080 --> 01:05:29,680
Speaker 2: Darmstadt has been incredibly poor against good competition. They've played

1354
01:05:29,720 --> 01:05:33,080
Speaker 2: the top five seven times the season, have conceded seventeen

1355
01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:35,360
Speaker 2: point eight expected goal, so there is a you know,

1356
01:05:35,360 --> 01:05:38,600
Speaker 2: an overall for the season, they're well above a minus

1357
01:05:38,600 --> 01:05:40,800
Speaker 2: twenty expected goal to Frenchial at least one you know

1358
01:05:40,840 --> 01:05:43,960
Speaker 2: one minus one per ninety so there's a pretty wide

1359
01:05:43,960 --> 01:05:46,360
Speaker 2: gap between these two teams. So getting minus one and

1360
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:49,240
Speaker 2: a half at you know, plus one thirty, I think

1361
01:05:49,320 --> 01:05:51,680
Speaker 2: is a really really good price on a team that

1362
01:05:51,720 --> 01:05:56,200
Speaker 2: I think continues to be pretty you know, not priced

1363
01:05:56,400 --> 01:05:58,600
Speaker 2: appropriately from where they are in terms of their underlying

1364
01:05:58,640 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 2: metrics in the market. So stutte Gart minus one and

1365
01:06:01,720 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 2: a half at plus one thirty.

1366
01:06:04,440 --> 01:06:07,720
Speaker 1: Okay, Syria. Anthony is on his own here.

1367
01:06:09,160 --> 01:06:11,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna take one out of the BJ playbook.

1368
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:15,400
Speaker 3: Both teams to score no Bologna Lazzio. You know, this

1369
01:06:15,520 --> 01:06:18,040
Speaker 3: Alazzio attack has really fallen off. Chiro mobile A. We've

1370
01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:21,360
Speaker 3: talked about him earlier in the season. He has four

1371
01:06:22,520 --> 01:06:26,320
Speaker 3: non penalty goals this year. In a little over thirteen nineties,

1372
01:06:26,800 --> 01:06:29,760
Speaker 3: Bologna defensively has been the most improved unit in the league.

1373
01:06:30,040 --> 01:06:33,040
Speaker 3: Year over year, They've taken a huge step forward. And

1374
01:06:33,200 --> 01:06:35,120
Speaker 3: both teams to score no. Minus one thirty two at

1375
01:06:35,120 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 3: one book is just way too high for or low

1376
01:06:38,920 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 3: rather for a game that you know, I don't project

1377
01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:45,160
Speaker 3: BTTs knows, but BG, I'm curious where you have this.

1378
01:06:45,240 --> 01:06:47,800
Speaker 3: I should value on the under at two plus money.

1379
01:06:47,800 --> 01:06:50,600
Speaker 3: I have it right around two, and I think that

1380
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:51,640
Speaker 3: that's a better way to play it.

1381
01:06:51,920 --> 01:06:56,600
Speaker 2: I have BTTs no projected at minus one eighty seven.

1382
01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:58,680
Speaker 3: There we go. So I have a feeling based on

1383
01:06:58,720 --> 01:07:00,320
Speaker 3: just where I was on the total relative to market

1384
01:07:00,440 --> 01:07:02,560
Speaker 3: that was gonna be the case, and I'm playing that.

1385
01:07:02,960 --> 01:07:04,800
Speaker 3: I just think it's better than under two it. You know,

1386
01:07:04,800 --> 01:07:07,720
Speaker 3: plus one oh five is out there. I like that more.

1387
01:07:07,720 --> 01:07:10,720
Speaker 3: But yeah, Bologna defensively has been elite this year and

1388
01:07:10,720 --> 01:07:14,800
Speaker 3: and Lazio's attack has been just so mediocre. Uh did

1389
01:07:14,800 --> 01:07:16,920
Speaker 3: they like I said, they had that three match stretch

1390
01:07:16,960 --> 01:07:21,760
Speaker 3: against Inter Anapoli Atlanta they took one shot on targeting,

1391
01:07:21,800 --> 01:07:23,480
Speaker 3: one shot on target and three matches and it was

1392
01:07:23,480 --> 01:07:25,680
Speaker 3: a penalty. So that's what we're dealing with here with

1393
01:07:25,720 --> 01:07:29,840
Speaker 3: Lotso also coming off a tough Champions League match against

1394
01:07:29,880 --> 01:07:31,920
Speaker 3: Byron which we were recording before, so they may.

1395
01:07:31,760 --> 01:07:34,000
Speaker 2: Have just Hopefullyron wins for nothing.

1396
01:07:34,320 --> 01:07:40,840
Speaker 3: But the probably Byron was probably yeah.

1397
01:07:38,880 --> 01:07:43,520
Speaker 1: Okay La Liga BJ one of our one of our.

1398
01:07:45,000 --> 01:07:51,120
Speaker 2: The podcast Yeah podcast going against the frauds bill BAO

1399
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:53,840
Speaker 2: plus one O five against RONA. Boy, did they look

1400
01:07:53,880 --> 01:07:57,680
Speaker 2: like frauds. Against Real Madrid, they looked awful. And what

1401
01:07:57,800 --> 01:08:01,120
Speaker 2: it comes down to is, you know, I did find

1402
01:08:01,120 --> 01:08:03,480
Speaker 2: something interesting in that match is that Gerona is not

1403
01:08:03,520 --> 01:08:05,960
Speaker 2: playing like as aggressively as they were in the beginning

1404
01:08:05,960 --> 01:08:08,760
Speaker 2: of the season. I think their manager Michelle kind of

1405
01:08:08,760 --> 01:08:10,480
Speaker 2: sees the riding on the wall that if they continue

1406
01:08:10,520 --> 01:08:13,360
Speaker 2: to play as aggressively as they do, considering their positioning

1407
01:08:13,480 --> 01:08:15,560
Speaker 2: the table, they have a good chance of falling out

1408
01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 2: of the top four. Although they're title contenders, I don't

1409
01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:20,400
Speaker 2: think that they see it as realistic. So they have

1410
01:08:20,479 --> 01:08:22,880
Speaker 2: been playing you know, they've pulled the reins back a

1411
01:08:22,920 --> 01:08:25,639
Speaker 2: little bit and have just kind of said, Okay, our

1412
01:08:25,680 --> 01:08:28,320
Speaker 2: defense is so bad that if we continue to play

1413
01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:31,800
Speaker 2: this way, I don't know how sustainable it is. And

1414
01:08:32,000 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 2: they've had a couple good performances, like they held both

1415
01:08:34,720 --> 01:08:37,400
Speaker 2: Vigo and Rial Soo SidD under one expected goal. Those

1416
01:08:37,400 --> 01:08:40,280
Speaker 2: matches are relatively low event but then again, you saw

1417
01:08:40,280 --> 01:08:42,080
Speaker 2: with three A Madrid where they struggle at They're going

1418
01:08:42,120 --> 01:08:44,320
Speaker 2: to play high line teams that are able to run

1419
01:08:44,479 --> 01:08:47,599
Speaker 2: behind them, Teams that have pace can really destroy them,

1420
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,680
Speaker 2: and that is exactly what this Billboo team can do.

1421
01:08:49,920 --> 01:08:52,439
Speaker 2: Bill Bow has been incredible at home this season plus

1422
01:08:52,479 --> 01:08:56,599
Speaker 2: sixteen plus sixteen expected goal differential only twelve matches. They

1423
01:08:56,640 --> 01:08:58,400
Speaker 2: were the better team the last time these two teams

1424
01:08:58,400 --> 01:09:00,880
Speaker 2: faced off in Girona, and at a price of plus

1425
01:09:00,920 --> 01:09:02,760
Speaker 2: one o five that is far too short for a

1426
01:09:02,800 --> 01:09:06,719
Speaker 2: team that has much better underlying metrics than Jerona projected

1427
01:09:06,720 --> 01:09:09,559
Speaker 2: Bill Bao at minus one forty two. So I love

1428
01:09:09,640 --> 01:09:11,000
Speaker 2: them plus one oh five.

1429
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:13,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll seckon that. I mean Jerona's defense has been

1430
01:09:13,680 --> 01:09:15,680
Speaker 3: bad all year. They're just finally getting punished for it.

1431
01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:18,519
Speaker 3: And if you can't defend Real Madrid, who's the best

1432
01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:21,240
Speaker 3: transition attack maybe in the world. Bill Al is not

1433
01:09:21,280 --> 01:09:23,240
Speaker 3: Real Madrid, but they're pretty damn good on that spot,

1434
01:09:23,400 --> 01:09:26,280
Speaker 3: so that's a tough matchup for them again, and I

1435
01:09:26,320 --> 01:09:28,280
Speaker 3: agree with bj on that I also took over two

1436
01:09:28,320 --> 01:09:31,640
Speaker 3: and a half Catafe via Real just berial totals a

1437
01:09:31,680 --> 01:09:35,520
Speaker 3: two and a half minus one ten. They are stunningly

1438
01:09:35,560 --> 01:09:38,320
Speaker 3: bad defensively bottom five and everything not even just like

1439
01:09:38,479 --> 01:09:42,400
Speaker 3: XG and goals, but also just the box, the box

1440
01:09:42,560 --> 01:09:46,120
Speaker 3: entries and transition numbers, like everything is just red all

1441
01:09:46,160 --> 01:09:49,240
Speaker 3: over the sheet. And their attacks are still above average.

1442
01:09:49,280 --> 01:09:51,080
Speaker 3: Catafe has you know, shown more life this year. It's

1443
01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:53,640
Speaker 3: not the same old Gatafe who just like tried to

1444
01:09:53,640 --> 01:09:56,080
Speaker 3: win every game one nil and sometimes didn't even try

1445
01:09:56,080 --> 01:09:57,880
Speaker 3: to score. They just said we'll take zero zero see

1446
01:09:57,920 --> 01:10:00,519
Speaker 3: next week. This is not that version. Still not like

1447
01:10:01,000 --> 01:10:02,880
Speaker 3: putting the world on fire, setting the world on fire

1448
01:10:02,880 --> 01:10:04,800
Speaker 3: with their attacking numbers, but they're better than they were

1449
01:10:04,880 --> 01:10:06,760
Speaker 3: and at two and a half, this is total is

1450
01:10:06,760 --> 01:10:07,120
Speaker 3: too long.

1451
01:10:07,680 --> 01:10:11,479
Speaker 1: Okay, none of us have anything in France and legal

1452
01:10:11,880 --> 01:10:14,400
Speaker 1: We're sorry for that. I'm sure it will be rectified

1453
01:10:15,680 --> 01:10:18,759
Speaker 1: for our next episode. So we'll get to our favorite

1454
01:10:18,800 --> 01:10:20,320
Speaker 1: under ducks. Like I said, this one's going to come

1455
01:10:20,320 --> 01:10:24,080
Speaker 1: in roughly around one hundred and sixteen one one six

1456
01:10:24,120 --> 01:10:27,960
Speaker 1: to one, Anthony, Uh, you can go first.

1457
01:10:28,760 --> 01:10:30,880
Speaker 3: So we hit two out of three last week. Yeah,

1458
01:10:31,160 --> 01:10:33,400
Speaker 3: we were close, all three led at the half started

1459
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:36,200
Speaker 3: again some texts, including from BJ saying don't say anything.

1460
01:10:36,479 --> 01:10:38,960
Speaker 3: Didn't say a word. Uh, but it never really felt

1461
01:10:39,000 --> 01:10:41,040
Speaker 3: like Brighton was gonna hold on there, but unfortunately they

1462
01:10:41,080 --> 01:10:43,360
Speaker 3: did not. So two out of three again, fourth time

1463
01:10:43,360 --> 01:10:46,280
Speaker 3: this year we've hit two out of three, so overall

1464
01:10:46,280 --> 01:10:48,439
Speaker 3: we've been profitable if you bet them separately in round robins,

1465
01:10:48,439 --> 01:10:52,280
Speaker 3: et cetera. But we're gonna get one. Maybe never, but eventually,

1466
01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:55,840
Speaker 3: let's start it this week till ride still ride the

1467
01:10:55,840 --> 01:10:57,880
Speaker 3: two hundred one. We haven't done two hundred episodes yet

1468
01:10:58,040 --> 01:11:01,439
Speaker 3: of Underdog parlays, so we're still ahead, barely I think

1469
01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:04,439
Speaker 3: at this point. But yeah, we'll go with Bournemouth three

1470
01:11:04,479 --> 01:11:07,040
Speaker 3: to one on the road at Newcastle. I talked about

1471
01:11:07,040 --> 01:11:09,439
Speaker 3: this match, probably one of my favorite sides of the

1472
01:11:09,439 --> 01:11:12,479
Speaker 3: weekend just think that we've seen so much of a

1473
01:11:12,520 --> 01:11:15,200
Speaker 3: sample now where Bournemouth's just been better than Newcastle, and

1474
01:11:15,240 --> 01:11:17,880
Speaker 3: given the Newcastle injuries and given now poor their defense

1475
01:11:17,880 --> 01:11:20,599
Speaker 3: continues to be. I don't really want to bet them

1476
01:11:20,640 --> 01:11:22,200
Speaker 3: in this spot as a favorite. So I'm going to

1477
01:11:22,280 --> 01:11:25,200
Speaker 3: take the dog with a you know, against a team

1478
01:11:25,240 --> 01:11:26,600
Speaker 3: that's been given up two and a half goals a

1479
01:11:26,600 --> 01:11:29,479
Speaker 3: game for two months now. So give me the cherries.

1480
01:11:29,840 --> 01:11:32,439
Speaker 3: Put the cherry on top of the parlay at three

1481
01:11:32,439 --> 01:11:32,760
Speaker 3: to one.

1482
01:11:33,080 --> 01:11:35,519
Speaker 1: All right, let me kill this parlay right here with Chelsea.

1483
01:11:35,880 --> 01:11:39,280
Speaker 1: They're seven to one against Manchester City. I think it's

1484
01:11:39,320 --> 01:11:42,760
Speaker 1: it's too high for a team that that's processed just

1485
01:11:42,800 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 1: always looks or I should say often looks good enough

1486
01:11:45,439 --> 01:11:47,880
Speaker 1: to be competitive. You guys like them to at least

1487
01:11:47,920 --> 01:11:49,479
Speaker 1: get on the board here. I think that they can

1488
01:11:49,840 --> 01:11:51,439
Speaker 1: put up a fight, enough of a fight to play

1489
01:11:51,479 --> 01:11:55,400
Speaker 1: to the number. I was really waffling between Chelsea and Brentford,

1490
01:11:55,439 --> 01:11:57,680
Speaker 1: but we just Showtford. We use Brentford every week, we

1491
01:11:57,760 --> 01:12:00,880
Speaker 1: use Brentford, but they win and they win wins. I know,

1492
01:12:01,120 --> 01:12:03,240
Speaker 1: So let's go with uh, let's make sure we lose

1493
01:12:03,280 --> 01:12:06,160
Speaker 1: this one with Chelsea at seven to one BJ. What's

1494
01:12:06,160 --> 01:12:06,840
Speaker 1: your favorite dog?

1495
01:12:07,080 --> 01:12:09,200
Speaker 2: Anthony mentioned it. Well, I'll kick things off on Friday

1496
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:13,120
Speaker 2: afternoon Gaitafe plus two sixty five against vi Real. I mean,

1497
01:12:13,160 --> 01:12:14,719
Speaker 2: Anthony hit the nail on the head that the Viral

1498
01:12:14,800 --> 01:12:18,000
Speaker 2: defense is garbage, allowing one point five to three non

1499
01:12:18,040 --> 01:12:20,400
Speaker 2: penal the xtrap ninety mint. Maybe the most alarming stat

1500
01:12:20,840 --> 01:12:23,559
Speaker 2: specifically this match is they are allowing the most crosses

1501
01:12:23,560 --> 01:12:25,679
Speaker 2: into their penalty area. If you know anything about katafe

1502
01:12:25,800 --> 01:12:27,120
Speaker 2: like then he said, it's just a four to four

1503
01:12:27,160 --> 01:12:28,760
Speaker 2: to two low block. They want to get the ball

1504
01:12:28,800 --> 01:12:31,280
Speaker 2: and wide areas and sending crosses and guess what, they

1505
01:12:31,280 --> 01:12:32,800
Speaker 2: have a really good striker to get on the end

1506
01:12:32,800 --> 01:12:35,200
Speaker 2: of those crosses. Mayor i al has fifteen goals on

1507
01:12:35,240 --> 01:12:37,599
Speaker 2: the season, point five to five xtually per ninety minutes.

1508
01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:39,640
Speaker 2: They have a threat actually in the box where they

1509
01:12:39,640 --> 01:12:41,400
Speaker 2: can actually score a lot of these goals. And they

1510
01:12:41,400 --> 01:12:43,600
Speaker 2: are averaging one point two XTGP ninety minutes. I know

1511
01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:45,559
Speaker 2: doesn't sound like a lot, but that is the first

1512
01:12:45,600 --> 01:12:48,559
Speaker 2: time they've averaged over one expect goal for ninety minutes

1513
01:12:48,840 --> 01:12:51,240
Speaker 2: since twenty nineteen, so it's been a while. But their

1514
01:12:51,280 --> 01:12:53,880
Speaker 2: offense is better than it's ever been in terms of

1515
01:12:53,880 --> 01:12:56,799
Speaker 2: the last five years. So I don't think that Viareal

1516
01:12:56,840 --> 01:12:58,519
Speaker 2: should be a odds on favor here given how bad

1517
01:12:58,520 --> 01:13:00,880
Speaker 2: their defense is. So like a Tafe plus two sixty.

1518
01:13:00,600 --> 01:13:05,160
Speaker 1: Five Catafe born with and Chelsea one hundred and sixteen

1519
01:13:05,280 --> 01:13:08,200
Speaker 1: to one at the prices we're looking at right now.

1520
01:13:08,560 --> 01:13:11,200
Speaker 1: On to best bets for this match week in the

1521
01:13:11,240 --> 01:13:13,440
Speaker 1: Premier League, Beja, you can go first.

1522
01:13:13,280 --> 01:13:16,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Lutontown Manchester United over three goals at minus one

1523
01:13:16,720 --> 01:13:19,360
Speaker 2: oh five. Manchester United showed, even though they want against

1524
01:13:19,360 --> 01:13:21,880
Speaker 2: aston Villa, that they are still a flawed team out

1525
01:13:21,920 --> 01:13:23,880
Speaker 2: of possession. When they want to press with their front

1526
01:13:24,320 --> 01:13:26,640
Speaker 2: with their front attackers, that's wonderful and they forced a

1527
01:13:26,680 --> 01:13:29,200
Speaker 2: lot of high turnovers. But when you beat the first

1528
01:13:29,200 --> 01:13:31,519
Speaker 2: line of the pressure, it leaves a gaping space in

1529
01:13:31,520 --> 01:13:34,040
Speaker 2: the middle of the pitch because United doesn't push their

1530
01:13:34,080 --> 01:13:35,959
Speaker 2: back line up because they don't want to be exposed.

1531
01:13:36,160 --> 01:13:38,400
Speaker 2: So for Loutontown, a team that primarily wants to play

1532
01:13:38,400 --> 01:13:41,280
Speaker 2: in transition, they're going to have a lot of chances

1533
01:13:41,400 --> 01:13:44,839
Speaker 2: running right at this Manchester United back line. Also, Manchester

1534
01:13:44,920 --> 01:13:47,040
Speaker 2: United has been pretty average at defending set pieces this

1535
01:13:47,080 --> 01:13:50,360
Speaker 2: season and that's where Loutontown absolutely thrives. They are elite

1536
01:13:50,439 --> 01:13:52,920
Speaker 2: at backpost overloads, just throwing the ball in the back post,

1537
01:13:52,960 --> 01:13:54,720
Speaker 2: putting three or four guys there, and nobody's really been

1538
01:13:54,760 --> 01:13:57,080
Speaker 2: able to defend it effectively. So don't be surprised to

1539
01:13:57,080 --> 01:13:59,960
Speaker 2: see Loughtontown score one goal off of that. But Loutontown

1540
01:14:00,160 --> 01:14:01,880
Speaker 2: is still one of the worst defenses in the Premier

1541
01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:04,040
Speaker 2: League conceid of the most big scoring chances of anybody.

1542
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:06,919
Speaker 2: United plays at their best when they're playing in transition,

1543
01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:09,080
Speaker 2: so this match should be very back and forth with

1544
01:14:09,160 --> 01:14:11,680
Speaker 2: two teams that like to play very, very direct. So

1545
01:14:12,000 --> 01:14:13,760
Speaker 2: I like over three goals at minus one o five.

1546
01:14:13,920 --> 01:14:15,519
Speaker 1: I'm going to stick in that game and do something

1547
01:14:15,520 --> 01:14:18,639
Speaker 1: we rarely, rarely, rarely, if ever do on this podcast.

1548
01:14:18,640 --> 01:14:21,000
Speaker 1: I think we'd have to go back to last Premier

1549
01:14:21,040 --> 01:14:24,479
Speaker 1: League season to find Manchester United as one of our

1550
01:14:24,600 --> 01:14:27,040
Speaker 1: favorite bets on the board at minus one twenty five.

1551
01:14:27,200 --> 01:14:29,840
Speaker 1: Another thing I rarely do is lay a price, especially

1552
01:14:29,880 --> 01:14:32,080
Speaker 1: with a road team in the best bets segment. But

1553
01:14:33,240 --> 01:14:35,840
Speaker 1: it's as poor as United can be defensively. I don't

1554
01:14:35,840 --> 01:14:38,240
Speaker 1: think that they get punished here by a looton Town

1555
01:14:38,280 --> 01:14:41,280
Speaker 1: attack that I'm just not too terrified of and going

1556
01:14:41,280 --> 01:14:42,519
Speaker 1: the other way. I have a lot of faith in

1557
01:14:42,520 --> 01:14:44,920
Speaker 1: what United's doing when they have the ball. So the

1558
01:14:45,160 --> 01:14:48,559
Speaker 1: offensive numbers look decent enough to figure that they should

1559
01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:52,400
Speaker 1: cover over their defensive flaws enough to make this minus

1560
01:14:52,400 --> 01:14:57,679
Speaker 1: one twenty five a decent look so United for me, Anthony, Wow.

1561
01:14:57,520 --> 01:14:59,960
Speaker 3: We have to get Brentford in there. We're contractually obligated to.

1562
01:15:00,479 --> 01:15:03,800
Speaker 3: So Brentford plus one minus one ten against Liverpool at home.

1563
01:15:04,760 --> 01:15:08,120
Speaker 3: Still not full strength Liverpool Alexander Arnold goes out, Solid

1564
01:15:08,120 --> 01:15:11,640
Speaker 3: remains out, Sola bush Lie remains out, So they're not

1565
01:15:11,640 --> 01:15:13,479
Speaker 3: going to be at the full strength that we expect

1566
01:15:13,479 --> 01:15:16,519
Speaker 3: from Liverpool. And we have seen you know them still

1567
01:15:16,520 --> 01:15:19,960
Speaker 3: create a bunch of chances against you know, bad teams, right,

1568
01:15:20,120 --> 01:15:23,160
Speaker 3: but this Burnley team is still right around the league

1569
01:15:23,200 --> 01:15:25,640
Speaker 3: average team and I am just consistently in disagreement with

1570
01:15:25,680 --> 01:15:28,680
Speaker 3: them between the market price on Burnley on Brentford and

1571
01:15:28,720 --> 01:15:31,479
Speaker 3: the actual price on Brentford. So give me the Bees

1572
01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:33,439
Speaker 3: at home plus one. We love backing them against the

1573
01:15:33,439 --> 01:15:36,080
Speaker 3: big boys, especially as a home dog, so I will

1574
01:15:36,080 --> 01:15:39,519
Speaker 3: take them here to be competitive and in like a

1575
01:15:39,680 --> 01:15:40,880
Speaker 3: you know one one two one kind of.

1576
01:15:40,880 --> 01:15:43,800
Speaker 1: Game, and then I'll do it for this episode of

1577
01:15:44,160 --> 01:15:47,000
Speaker 1: Wonder Goal. I hope we set you up nicely for

1578
01:15:47,080 --> 01:15:49,760
Speaker 1: the upcoming match week in the Premier League and the

1579
01:15:49,800 --> 01:15:52,799
Speaker 1: rest of Europe. We will be back on Monday morning

1580
01:15:53,160 --> 01:15:55,760
Speaker 1: to preview the Champions League. Will PRIAIGHTE touch on the

1581
01:15:56,000 --> 01:15:57,840
Speaker 1: one or two Premier League matches that have found their

1582
01:15:57,840 --> 01:16:00,240
Speaker 1: way to trickle in in the midweek as well, so

1583
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:01,960
Speaker 1: I'll be sure to keep a look out for that

1584
01:16:02,000 --> 01:16:04,920
Speaker 1: one for bj and Anthony, for producer Noah on the

1585
01:16:04,960 --> 01:16:06,720
Speaker 1: back end, Oh, Michael e Buff. Thank you to our

1586
01:16:06,720 --> 01:16:08,439
Speaker 1: sponsored Bedday sixty five and we will see you in

1587
01:16:08,439 --> 01:16:16,120
Speaker 1: a couple of days.

1588
01:16:17,080 --> 01:16:21,600
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1589
01:16:21,640 --> 01:16:24,439
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1590
01:16:24,439 --> 01:16:27,599
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler