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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju us prow

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Speaker 1: read enough. No, we're running again, so smoothe so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen just glorious execution.

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Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 3: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: How shot with that? Shop with mind? Good buddy, and.

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Speaker 2: That's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 3: Look at his movements, the most.

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Speaker 2: Dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody picks them. Shut up, I'm trying the one.

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Speaker 3: It's left too, the wide eyed.

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Speaker 1: Drilled bibus. How old Earth pick that happens? Helloy one.

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Speaker 1: Welcome back to Wondergol Soccer betting podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: My name is Michael Lee buff Enjoining me as always

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Speaker 1: will be my co host and friends Anthony Dbundo and

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Speaker 1: BJ Cunningham, and together the three of us are going

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Speaker 1: to break down the sixteenth Champions League match Week two

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Speaker 1: matches starting on Tuesday and finishing up on Wednesday. But

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Speaker 1: before we get to all that fun, just a reminder

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Speaker 1: that Wonder Goal is proudly presented by Bet three sixty

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Speaker 1: five and Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary. Bet

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Speaker 1: three six five believes that every sport should be epic

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Speaker 1: every tournament, every game, every point, every play from the

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Speaker 1: moments that are legendary, like us almost hitting our three

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Speaker 1: leg underdog parlay over the weekend, but Anthony deciding not

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Speaker 1: to go with time instead picking Strasbourg. To the ones

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Speaker 1: that fly under the radar, like Anthony forgetting to track

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Speaker 1: our bets in the app and for the Wonder Goal

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Speaker 1: account and missing out on several nice wins. See for

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Speaker 1: yourself when you sign up with the Code Action and

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Speaker 1: whatever moment, it's never ordinary. At bet three six five,

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Speaker 1: you must be twenty one or older and you must

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Speaker 1: be present in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia.

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Speaker 1: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem

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Speaker 1: and wants help, please call one one hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: off in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply, BJ and Anthony.

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Speaker 1: We had a nice weekend in the Premier League.

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Speaker 2: But we almost in the trifecta. Leeboff I forgot to

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Speaker 2: track the bets. I should have bet Tottenham and Messi

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Speaker 2: is probably out for the season, so our enter Miami

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Speaker 2: tickets are dead and the Orange loss, so it was

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Speaker 2: just a banner weekend for me and us as a podcast.

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Speaker 1: Well, we'll lift try to lift you up here with

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Speaker 1: the Champions League. All that is in the past. We're

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Speaker 1: not wants to pat ourselves on the back or lament

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Speaker 1: our losses too much. We just look forward and that

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Speaker 1: means that we're looking forward to Tuesday when things get

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Speaker 1: going once again in the Champions League. We'll start with

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Speaker 1: Napoli hosting Real Madrid inside plus one sixty two at home,

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Speaker 1: slight underdog Madrid traveling at plus one fifty five in

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Speaker 1: the draws plus two sixty. These odds, of course, are

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Speaker 1: from our very good friends at Bet three sixty five. Anthony,

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Speaker 1: you are the only one with anything play here. I

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Speaker 1: don't think we should be surprised that you're going against

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Speaker 1: Real Madrid and that always goes well for you.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I've already you know. If you want to hedge

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Speaker 2: against this bet, just wait and then bet Jude Bellingham.

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Speaker 2: Anytime goals scorer live, he will score live to screw me. Somehow,

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Speaker 2: and he used to do it at Dortmund all the

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Speaker 2: time too, so it was very annoying. But in terms

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Speaker 2: of this match, the market has moved a little bit

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Speaker 2: toward Real Madrid because Venetia's started on Sunday against our

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Speaker 2: Saturday against Jerona in their three zero win, and he

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Speaker 2: will presumably start in this match, and so you know,

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Speaker 2: you do have to upgrade the Real Madrid attack, which

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Speaker 2: really struggled to create chances without him and was relying on,

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Speaker 2: you know, the average finishing of josslou and not a

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Speaker 2: ton of shot production. They looked really bad in the

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Speaker 2: derby lost to a And I'm going to kind of

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Speaker 2: ask a trivia question, and I'm going to go further

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Speaker 2: into this. How many wins do you think Real Madrid

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Speaker 2: has in its last twenty three Champions League matches away

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Speaker 2: from the bernabout on the road.

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Speaker 3: Wins last twenty three twelve leave of.

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Speaker 2: If you have a guess ten, The answer is seven.

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Speaker 2: It's actually a lot less than I thought. And it

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Speaker 2: kind of gets at the point that as good as

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Speaker 2: this Real side has been, especially the voodoo they've been

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Speaker 2: able to create in the knockout stage and at home

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Speaker 2: and in certain circumstances. They have not been great. You know,

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Speaker 2: we saw last year in the group stage they got

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Speaker 2: beat at Leipzig for example. And I think this Napoli

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Speaker 2: defense is extremely underrated. Dominant performance against Letcha over the

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Speaker 2: weekend unfortunately scored and stopp you're trying to burn my

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Speaker 2: under but did hold Lecha under a half expected goal.

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Speaker 2: And that's really been the story of the season. They

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Speaker 2: sold their best defender to Bayern and have not you know,

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Speaker 2: and got a new manager come in and they have

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Speaker 2: not fallen off defensively at all. And if you look

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Speaker 2: at the shot numbers in Syria, they're allowing seven shots

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Speaker 2: per match and they've played an okay schedule, not a

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Speaker 2: great schedule, but about a league average training the schedule,

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Speaker 2: and they're allowing seven shots per match, which is actually

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Speaker 2: less than Jose Marino's Roma. They're allowing the fewer shots

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Speaker 2: on target per match, the third longest average shot distance.

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Speaker 2: This is an elite defense and they don't really press

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Speaker 2: a ton and I think that actually could work in

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Speaker 2: their favor here. Real Madrid will not get as much

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Speaker 2: space in behind because Napoli is not going to play

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Speaker 2: this uber high line against Venetius where I think, you know,

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Speaker 2: without Vinie, maybe it's better to press Madrid a little

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Speaker 2: bit because they don't have that threat with Vinnie in.

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Speaker 2: I almost want a more passive team and Napoli if

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Speaker 2: you look at like pass completion rate allowed and NPPDA

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Speaker 2: like they're not extremely aggressive. So I do think that,

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Speaker 2: you know, real if you look at kind of their

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Speaker 2: body of work this season, first you can just do

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Speaker 2: like raw expect a gold differential. They've been considerably worse,

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Speaker 2: marginally worse than last year, considerably worse than Barsa for example,

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Speaker 2: and then you can look at, you know, the individual

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Speaker 2: games against good teams. They've gone down in just about

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Speaker 2: every match this season against a good side. And you

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Speaker 2: know they they the Vigo match, they got a very

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Speaker 2: fortunate of our call. They kind of overturned what should

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Speaker 2: have been a goal conceded over one XG in that match.

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Speaker 2: That's a pretty quality attack that I do rate. Socia

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Speaker 2: Dodd scored early and should have scored again in that match.

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Speaker 2: It ended to one to Madrid. But again, Sociadad, you

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Speaker 2: know really good at LETTI pretty much took a to Madrid.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know that we've seen like a complete

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Speaker 2: Madrid performance against the quality side outside of I guess

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Speaker 2: maybe the Champions League. So they're gonna have to prove

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Speaker 2: it to me here and I'm gonna take Napoli, john

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Speaker 2: a bed at home, elite defense, Ocehaman, whatever's happening behind

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Speaker 2: the scenes, he's still playing in scoring goals. So I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna roll with the Italians.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was thinking about a draw here, but I

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Speaker 1: don't know his price. Stay Away does feel a little

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Speaker 1: low scoring, and I think that Madrid doesn't need to

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Speaker 1: press the issue here. They can go there, get a

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Speaker 1: point and feel pretty good about it. We'll stay in

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Speaker 1: Italy though, Beja. We'll talk Enter and Benfica. Odds on

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Speaker 1: at home minus one twenty five, Benfica plus three thirty

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Speaker 1: three and the draw is plus two seventy five. This

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Speaker 1: is a Group D match. We talked before the Champions

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Speaker 1: League started about how one of our kind of hypotheses

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Speaker 1: here was to keep going against Benfica, or to go

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Speaker 1: against Benfica and not get caught up in what they

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Speaker 1: did in the past two seasons is they've been raided

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Speaker 1: a bit less their talisman in two transfer windows, and

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Speaker 1: it worked in match Week one against Salzburg. They had

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Speaker 1: basically a melt down there against the young Austrian side

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Speaker 1: who cash is a big underdog on the money line.

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Speaker 3: BJ.

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Speaker 1: I know what Anthony's going here, but I wanted to

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Speaker 1: see what your thoughts here for Inter and Benfica work.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a pass for me. It's obviously a rematch

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Speaker 3: of the quarterfinals from last season, and that first leg

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Speaker 3: was actually quite an interesting the one that was at Benefica,

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Speaker 3: where you could make the argument that Benefica was the

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Speaker 3: better side for the whole first half and then suddenly

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Speaker 3: Berea scores a goal and then the whole tide turns

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Speaker 3: and Inter puts another one in, and it's kind of

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Speaker 3: all she wrote. And even in the second leg in Italy,

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Speaker 3: you know, if you look overall expected goals was pretty

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Speaker 3: even throughout both legs of that match. Ben if he

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Speaker 3: could put it in a great performance against Porto on Friday,

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Speaker 3: beat them one now sort of controlled the match, dominated it.

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Speaker 3: But the question is of Benefica, and I think you

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Speaker 3: saw this against Salzburg. You know they obviously they got

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Speaker 3: the red card early, but Benefica is such a possession

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Speaker 3: dominant side in Portugal and Inter is honestly a very passive,

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Speaker 3: and a team that plays well in transition doesn't really

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Speaker 3: need a lot of possessions. So the worry here is

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Speaker 3: that Benefica could get caught out if they control a

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Speaker 3: lot of possession, and Inter could get them in transition.

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Speaker 3: But you know, I only projected the inner at plus

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Speaker 3: one oh four, and maybe I'm a little too low

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Speaker 3: on Enter here, but it seems to be about priced

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Speaker 3: about right for me, so it's a pass for me.

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Speaker 3: I'm sure Inter will win this like three nothing and

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Speaker 3: just rip Benefica apart. But you know, Benefica does still

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Speaker 3: have a very solid squad. Even if they have lost

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Speaker 3: some talent and they don't have a true striker up front,

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Speaker 3: they're still a very good team.

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Speaker 1: It's it's one of a few, very few matches in

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Speaker 1: match week two that you can talk about how what

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Speaker 1: happened in the first game of the Champions League season

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Speaker 1: kind of throws what Benfica has to do now into flux.

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Speaker 1: When you lose to Salisburg is a big favorite at home,

184
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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're gonna need to find three points,

185
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Speaker 1: three unexpected points from somewhere. So you wonder if that

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Speaker 1: kind of plays into this one too a little bit Anthony.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the way they play anyway, with depressing

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Speaker 2: and possessing of the Schmidt, you know, kind of team

189
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Speaker 2: they're always going to be in that way. I will

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Speaker 2: find this match to be very interesting tactically. Like Bjay

191
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Speaker 2: said first, like was it Benfica, which made it a

192
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Speaker 2: little easier for Interro to just kind of sit off

193
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Speaker 2: and let them have the ball. I think they're gonna

194
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Speaker 2: do the same thing in this matchup. But I think

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Speaker 2: inter is better this year in transition, and I think

196
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Speaker 2: that's the difference, Like they shedding the old guys and

197
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Speaker 2: getting Marcus Tarram and who's such a good dribbler, such

198
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Speaker 2: a good ball progressor, and then you know, a pretty

199
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Speaker 2: good finisher and is himself, you know, makes a huge difference.

200
00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:29,400
Speaker 2: They're also getting more production out of Lataer Martinez, who's

201
00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,920
Speaker 2: been just unreal. I mean, he's not gonna finish at

202
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Speaker 2: the rate that he has this year. He's got nine

203
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Speaker 2: goals from four and a half expected goals, but he's

204
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Speaker 2: putting up zero point seventy six xg per ninety, which

205
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Speaker 2: is considerably better than last year. So you know, I'm

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Speaker 2: I'm really you know, they rotated in the midweek and

207
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Speaker 2: they they you know, they got caught by Soswolo, and

208
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Speaker 2: then you know, they kind of rotated a little bit

209
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Speaker 2: more in the weekend and Martinez came out at halftime,

210
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Speaker 2: so they've been kind of managing his minutes, and so

211
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Speaker 2: I think their eyes are all set on this fixture.

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Speaker 2: I'm just lower than the market. I'm Benfica at this point,

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Speaker 2: and it was true last week two weeks ago. It's

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Speaker 2: true again. Defensively, yes, good showing against Porto, but again,

215
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Speaker 2: like if you go back and watch how that red

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Speaker 2: card came to be, how the penalty came to be,

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Speaker 2: it came from them being really vulnerable in defensive transition

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Speaker 2: against like a really young, fast team who kind of

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Speaker 2: hit them quick. Inter's not young, but they certainly can

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Speaker 2: do similar things with more talent than that Salisburg side had.

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Speaker 2: So I am laying it with Ben with Inter here.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about that Salsburg side plus one

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Speaker 1: eighty at home hosting Sociadad plus one fifty five. The

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Speaker 1: Basque Country or Basque side is coming over as so

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Speaker 1: slight road favorite and the drafts plus two thirty. I

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Speaker 1: would like to get behind Sociodad here, bj And I

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Speaker 1: know you're gonna say, I just when the prices are

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Speaker 1: big on Salisburg, I think you go for it and

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Speaker 1: that already paid off. So I know it sounds, you know,

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Speaker 1: pretty biased, but we were I was on it beforehand.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me against Benfica. We all were fading Benfiica anyways.

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Speaker 1: But when when it's the prices are like this, it's

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Speaker 1: just doesn't set up well for him. So your thoughts here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's a It's actually a really good

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Speaker 3: tactical match up here for Sociydad because you know, listen,

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Speaker 3: great win from Salsburg, they got the benefit, you got

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Speaker 3: the red card early and then obviously they went on

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Speaker 3: and won the match. But what we always know with

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Speaker 3: Red Bull teams is that they have an identity. They

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Speaker 3: are going to play high intensity, high pressing and they

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Speaker 3: want to play and be deadly in transition. Well, good

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Speaker 3: luck doing both of those things against Soci Dad, because

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Speaker 3: they not only a pretty much the most underrated team

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Speaker 3: in La Liga, but they just put a beat down

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Speaker 3: on Athletic Bilbao, who plays pretty much the exact same

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Speaker 3: style four four two, high intense, high pressing and looking

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Speaker 3: to play in transition, like literally the exact carbon copy

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Speaker 3: of what they're about to play here in Salzburg, and

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Speaker 3: Sociad themselves will play out a four four two in

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Speaker 3: their primary primary method attack is they like to slow

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Speaker 3: the pace down, slow progressions up the middle of the pitch,

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Speaker 3: and they like to do deep circulations, which is essentially

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Speaker 3: just moving the ball from side to side looking to

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Speaker 3: find areas where they can actually exploit it and get

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Speaker 3: in the middle. You know, take Fuso. Kubo has been

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Speaker 3: in an unreal form, scoring a ton of goals for them.

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Speaker 3: I think they can play through the Salzburg press pretty

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Speaker 3: pretty easily. Quite frankly, like they are third in La

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Speaker 3: Laga and offensive pass per defense, back to their top

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Speaker 3: six in build up completion percentage and listen, I just

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Speaker 3: don't think this is really one of the most talented

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Speaker 3: Salisburg sides that we've ever seen. I mean, obviously we

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Speaker 3: talk about every year they got raided, obviously this summer,

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Speaker 3: but if you look back at some of the Salzburg

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Speaker 3: teams of the past, you know two years ago when

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Speaker 3: they were under March, the team that made it to

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Speaker 3: the round of sixteen, that team in the Austrian Bundesliga

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Speaker 3: had a plus one point four or five expected gold

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Speaker 3: provenchial per ninety minutes. Well, now we're talking about Salisburg team.

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Speaker 3: That's only around point nine. So there is actually a

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Speaker 3: pretty significant gap between what the Salsburg team was and

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Speaker 3: what they are now. So I project did associated as

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Speaker 3: a plus one fifteen road favorite and it's a great

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Speaker 3: tackle matchup for them. So like them, John no Bett

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Speaker 3: and the best price you can find on that is

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Speaker 3: minus one twenty two at the three six five.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and one interesting thing, you know, Socio Dot they

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Speaker 2: had a poor start to the season from a results perspective,

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Speaker 2: and the underline performances weren't great. You know, they've aged

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Speaker 2: a little better. You know, Jerona and Vigo are maybe

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Speaker 2: better than we thought. They drew one one with both

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Speaker 2: of those teams blue late leads, but they were not

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Speaker 2: fully fit. They had some matches in there at the

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Speaker 2: Palomus match, especially where they were not playing any of

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Speaker 2: their best attackers. Sadik had not been in yet, Marino

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Speaker 2: was out or Rzaba was out. It was pretty much

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Speaker 2: just Kubo or nothing. And now with Sadek in there,

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Speaker 2: you know, Cubo's you know fit and firing, and the

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Speaker 2: rest of this team has kind of come around. I

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Speaker 2: think they played what's pretty close to their best eleven

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Speaker 2: in that match against bill Bao over the weekend, so

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Speaker 2: I think they're trending upwards. Zubamendi and Marino is a

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Speaker 2: really good midfield pairing, you know, arguably better than what

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Speaker 2: ben Vika's got right now. So I think that I

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Speaker 2: would I would lean that way too. I can't quite

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Speaker 2: get there, because again I'm still uncertain about Salzburg. I

297
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Speaker 2: want to see like a full match of them. I

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Speaker 2: hate red cards. I'm officially anti red card. Oh really,

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Speaker 2: it just gives us less it gives us less information.

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Speaker 2: After this week, I was so excited. I didn't get

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Speaker 2: a chance to watch live, but I was so excited

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Speaker 2: to go back and have to watch Liverpool Spurs. And

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Speaker 2: then I'm like, well, if the red card happens in

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Speaker 2: the twentieth minute or whatever, then like the rest of

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00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,200
Speaker 2: the match is completely different now and I can't learn

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Speaker 2: anything about it. I want, you know, would have Tottenham,

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Speaker 2: what would Toughtenham have looked like? I don't know, We'll

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Speaker 2: never know. We'll discuss that on Wednesday. But yeah, I'm

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Speaker 2: an anti red card gives us less information, mikes matches

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Speaker 2: less fun. So that's my official position for now.

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Speaker 3: Just get exact week.

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Speaker 1: Just let them let people clang into one another. Uh,

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Speaker 1: quickly breeze through Arsenal. Lens the frenchise plus four to

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Speaker 1: twenty five at home, ar many penalties?

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Speaker 2: Will Arsenal get this time? Mediocre attacking numbers.

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Speaker 3: Stop and you gotta be in the bott the anthony?

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Speaker 1: What do you think, BJA anything here? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I mean listen, Lens has had a very very poor

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Speaker 3: start to the season. They've lost a ton of matches

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Speaker 3: in a row. They they down Strasbourg this weekend, but

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Speaker 3: the underlying performances for Lens really have been bad. And

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Speaker 3: you know they got the drawas to be in the

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Speaker 3: opening match and Arsenal, I mean, we'll see what type

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Speaker 3: of squad they have. You know, they did play a

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Speaker 3: lot of the guys that were questionable coming into and

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Speaker 3: they had a great performance against the Bournemouth. So I

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Speaker 3: do project a little bit of value on Arsenal. Uh

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Speaker 3: you know, minus one and plus one all five. So

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Speaker 3: if you want to lay it with Arsenal, I'd wait

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Speaker 3: and see what their lineup looks like. For this Champions

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Speaker 3: League match. I don't know if they're going to you know,

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Speaker 3: with uh, with Sokka and Rice questionable going into the

333
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Speaker 3: Bournemouth match, I'm not so sure that they're going to

334
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Speaker 3: play them again like three days later, So wait and see.

335
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Speaker 3: But you know, maybe some steam comes in on Lens

336
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Speaker 3: before this one. But yeah, do project a little bit

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Speaker 3: of value on Arsenal, who's just fine, by the way,

338
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Speaker 3: and I know the Anthony likes to tell everybody the

339
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,800
Speaker 3: sky is falling with Arsenal, but they're fine. Everything's fine.

340
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Speaker 2: Yeah, they are fine, but they are just not as good.

341
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Speaker 2: And you know, the market continues to downgrade Arsenal. Yeah,

342
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Speaker 2: and I continue to feel similarly, this would be an

343
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Speaker 2: under and nothing for me. You know, Arsenal's you know,

344
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Speaker 2: game control remains really solid. Defensively, they're still very good.

345
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Speaker 2: The question is whether or not they create enough against

346
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Speaker 2: what is a still a decent Lens defense, I mean,

347
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Speaker 2: lens biggest problem. First off, they've run bad from an

348
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Speaker 2: expected goals allowed versus actual goals loud perspective, they've been

349
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Speaker 2: pretty unlucky to be, you know, all the way down

350
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Speaker 2: the table. The other problem, which I think is a

351
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Speaker 2: much more real problem is they can't score because they

352
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Speaker 2: lost Oponda and i Fana and like they're just not

353
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Speaker 2: they don't they don't replace them, so it's hard to

354
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Speaker 2: see how they score here. Difficult a way match for

355
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Speaker 2: Arsenal in the Champions League could be a slow match,

356
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Speaker 2: kind of methodical in a way from the gunners. I

357
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Speaker 2: see them as you know, we're gonna get ahead and

358
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Speaker 2: then we're just gonna sit on the ball in very

359
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 2: Arteta esque style. So yeah, it's under nothing here.

360
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Speaker 1: For me PSV and Sevilla BJ PSV minus one ten

361
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,320
Speaker 1: their odds on at home, Sevilla traveling as plus two

362
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:21,119
Speaker 1: eighty underdogs and the Jaws plus through sixty. You're the

363
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:22,600
Speaker 1: only one with anything here.

364
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, why not just face Sevia weekend week

365
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:31,120
Speaker 3: out again. Sevia's defense continues to just be unbelievably horrible.

366
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 3: They they look decent sometimes in an attack, you know,

367
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 3: getting the ball in the Saria on crosses has been

368
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:40,000
Speaker 3: working for them. They've scored some low quality chances speciically

369
00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:44,439
Speaker 3: in sal Maria from outside the box. But this PSV attack,

370
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Speaker 3: I mean we didn't really see it much against Arsenal.

371
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,919
Speaker 3: Arsenal control that match, but we talked about it in

372
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Speaker 3: the preview pod. The pieces they have with Lang, with

373
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Speaker 3: Irving Lozano, Ricardo, Peppi, Bachioko, this attack can give Sevilla

374
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Speaker 3: a lot of problems. And this is also a PSV

375
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Speaker 3: team that has just been housing teams in the area

376
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Speaker 3: to b say, gearing up for a match like this.

377
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Speaker 3: While Savilla just continues to lead goals, they've conceded over

378
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Speaker 3: one expected goal in every single match that they have

379
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Speaker 3: played so far this season. So projected, PSV's a pretty

380
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 3: substantial favorite here. So getting them at even money, I

381
00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,159
Speaker 3: think is a very very cheap price and a PSV

382
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,440
Speaker 3: team that's desperate as well, because they lost their opening

383
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Speaker 3: match to Arsal.

384
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Speaker 1: Finally, a party United minus two twenty five at home

385
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 1: against Galatasaraye plus six hundred the draws plus three fifty

386
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 1: they did United over the weekend worked out wonderfully. He

387
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 1: can't Roy Hodgson just doesn't lose at Old Trafford. No,

388
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:48,439
Speaker 1: in fact, he just only does his win at the

389
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Speaker 1: Theater of Dreams. So that was a wonderful, wonderful hit.

390
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 1: And the reason I'm bringing it up is like, if

391
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Speaker 1: you're comparing Crystal Palace to Galatasaraye Kylas is probably the

392
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,119
Speaker 1: neutral field favorite by a little bit, but it's not

393
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,919
Speaker 1: like a massive difference, I would say in terms of

394
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:09,240
Speaker 1: like talent in like a one off game. So Palace

395
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:13,879
Speaker 1: closed plus four seventy five five to one ish against

396
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Speaker 1: United at Old Trafford and now we're looking at galatass

397
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:22,720
Speaker 1: right it's six to one. So even after another dreadful

398
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: performance from United, nothing too shocking in the market, I

399
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 1: would say, which is a little strange. I'm on the

400
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,600
Speaker 1: money line here with galatast Or. I shouldn't be a surprise.

401
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 1: It's pretty easy argument to make. It's one that I've

402
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 1: made a bunch of times this season. I will be

403
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,399
Speaker 1: back in United when they're big underdogs because obviously the

404
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 1: upside is still significant with this team, but the floor

405
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 1: is just so low with the way they're going right now.

406
00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: They could lose to anybody at any venue in the

407
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 1: competitions they're playing, and then until they get all that

408
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: sorted out, it's any time that they're going to be

409
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,120
Speaker 1: serving up numbers like this, I'll be in on it.

410
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: And as disappointing as a drug against Copenhagen was at

411
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 1: home for the Turkish side like it was just they

412
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 1: couldn't score that game. That game should have been over

413
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 1: in like fifteen minutes, but of course it wasn't. Anthony.

414
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:21,000
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts here?

415
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they played a great first halfish thirty

416
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:28,439
Speaker 2: minutes against Copenhagen overall, like you just pull up like

417
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 2: advanced box score from that match. Red card was late,

418
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 2: so it didn't matter. But the overall look on it, right,

419
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 2: fifteen touches in the penalty area for Copenhagen, twenty three

420
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 2: for Galatasaray x G one point one, two point six.

421
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:47,440
Speaker 2: Like it was an okay home result against a much

422
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 2: inferior team, it was not particularly inspiring as for someone

423
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 2: who was expecting them to kind of roll in that

424
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 2: match and bet them to do so. The market also

425
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 2: moved hard against them, which I will always respect. So

426
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 2: what does that mean for this? I leaned clearly towards

427
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,399
Speaker 2: gallatass Ride. There's a reason we all bet them to

428
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 2: advance from this group. I am not going to add

429
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 2: more to my position, unlike the Napoli thing, where I'm like,

430
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 2: all right, I have an Apple group ticket, but I'm

431
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 2: going to add more this situation, I'm going to say

432
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 2: all right. You know what, I'm not gonna bet this match,

433
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,360
Speaker 2: gonna wait and see how you know this plays out.

434
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 2: If you're not invested in Galatasa R then yes, I

435
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 2: would invest in them plus one in a quarter here.

436
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 2: I do think that. You know, United, we talked about

437
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,159
Speaker 2: them on Thursday and we said, well, maybe, you know,

438
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:33,120
Speaker 2: I kind of gave this like if you squint, maybe

439
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 2: they're figuring some things out here. No, that was not

440
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 2: the case on Saturday. Pretty dull attacking performance from them, lifeless.

441
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 2: Rashford continues to make bad decisions, you know from from

442
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 2: wide areas crossing and shooting, and Hoyland is not really

443
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,159
Speaker 2: popped thus far. So you know, as much as I

444
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 2: think the midfield could improve, they're playing amabat out of position,

445
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 2: They're still dealing with all these injuries. They're just not

446
00:22:58,160 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: a very good team at the moment.

447
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 1: Yep, they're not a very good team at the moment.

448
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:05,360
Speaker 1: And yet they are minus two twenty five. And yet

449
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 1: we can't get BJ.

450
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 2: To reporting this United is overrated, were was overrated coming

451
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 2: in the season.

452
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,680
Speaker 1: Perhaps, yeah, perhaps, And all we hear is BJ talk

453
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 1: about how he left the bet against this team, and

454
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:22,120
Speaker 1: we couldn't get him in on palace with this true

455
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: get him on galatassor I hear either.

456
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 2: I was too scared. I was too scared about the

457
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 2: money line, so on them.

458
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 3: I just like there's something. I like this a little

459
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 3: bit more. I love the over here because I think

460
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,400
Speaker 3: we need to highlight some of the things that could

461
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 3: go wrong for Galatas Rye in this match. You know,

462
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 3: Anthony mentioned that machigan'st Copenhagen. Copenhagen forced sixteen high turnovers.

463
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 3: It was the most of anybody in the first match

464
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 3: week or match day in the Champions League. United's forced

465
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 3: eighty one high turnovers the season. That is the most

466
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 3: of anybody in England. So there is a very concerning

467
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 3: type of of a thing that could go wrong for

468
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 3: Galatass Right, and you saw it with that match against Copenhagen.

469
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 3: Is that the Galatas Right matches can be very chaotic,

470
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 3: very end to end because of their style of play.

471
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,880
Speaker 3: They like to sit you know, four four two mid

472
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 3: blocks at a lot of pressing traps and try to

473
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 3: win the ball off somewhat high in the kind of

474
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 3: that mid right across the halfway line, and then they

475
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 3: just want to do quick quick transitions and that really

476
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 3: leaves them open once they relose the ball, and it

477
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 3: kind of just creates this chaotic match. What do we

478
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 3: know about Manchester United, Well, Eric ten Hogg has said

479
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 3: many times that he wants them to become the best

480
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,880
Speaker 3: transition team in the world, and actually I think United

481
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 3: is a decent transition team. They're not a good build

482
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:40,399
Speaker 3: up team. They're actually a horrible build up team, but

483
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 3: they are pretty good in transitioning. With Mason Mount being

484
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 3: reintegrated to the squad, I think it makes it a

485
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 3: lot lot easier for them to get at this gallot

486
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,880
Speaker 3: task right team, pick out those passes, get the ball

487
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 3: out wide. I mean it was it was a bad

488
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 3: performance against Crystal Palace, Like if we could highlight that

489
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 3: United only created one point three x G and took

490
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 3: nineteen shots, controlled seventy seven percent possession. But this is

491
00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 3: a much different opponent than what Chrystal Palace was because

492
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 3: obviously Chrystal Palace scored early and then they just sat

493
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 3: off and Darren United to break them down and United

494
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 3: couldn't do it. Galatas Rye, I mean last season in

495
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,239
Speaker 3: the Turkish Super League, they can see one point five

496
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 3: to four x cheap or ninety minutes because of their

497
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 3: high intensity and very open style of play. So I

498
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 3: think this is a very back and forth, open type

499
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 3: matchup will be on the Galataster ride money line. Don't

500
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 3: count me out, guys, but I do like over three

501
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,360
Speaker 3: goals at minus one fifteen, which I do project three

502
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 3: point nine goals. So I think it's the totals far

503
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,879
Speaker 3: too low here for what should be a very open,

504
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 3: back and forth type match very fun one, honestly.

505
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, it should be said. They still did complete fifteen

506
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 2: passes in the penalty area against Copenhagen, so you know

507
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 2: the ball progression is good, it's just the other end. Yeah,

508
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 2: Copenhagen's sixty nine percent pass completion rate against galatas or

509
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 2: iye two, which is the second lowest of any team

510
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 2: in the first match day.

511
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Losander Martinez is going to be out for

512
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,400
Speaker 3: a very extended period of time. So there's your best

513
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 3: build up center back to build aunt of the back, right.

514
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:09,120
Speaker 2: He hasn't been this year.

515
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 3: He hasn't the options behind him marn't grade either, So

516
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 3: it's it's gonna have to be sending the ball along

517
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 3: and let's play a transitional match with the pass Rye,

518
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 3: which should be a lot of fun.

519
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 1: All right, I will wrap up Tuesday's slates with a

520
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 1: pretty quick conversation about these next two matches. None of

521
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 1: us have anything on Copenhagen, they're twelve to one on

522
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,639
Speaker 1: the three way line. At home hosting Bayern who are

523
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 1: minus five hundred, the draws six to one, give you

524
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 1: guys three to one. If you want to pipe up

525
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,880
Speaker 1: and say anything here, no, all right, let's move on

526
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 1: to Unyan Berlin then almost got a point against Real

527
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 1: Madrid there until, like anthey said, Jude Bellingham popped up

528
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 1: again in what the ninety six minute was it with

529
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,679
Speaker 1: him for that one? Uh? There minus one ten at

530
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: home hoping hosting Braga who are three to one on

531
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,359
Speaker 1: the money line, and the draw is plus two sixty.

532
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 1: This is a twelve forty five kickoff. So Tuesday's Champions

533
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:08,239
Speaker 1: League matches are interestingly set up from just like a

534
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 1: betting perspective. The two twelve forty five games are Salsberg

535
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 1: hosting Sociodod and this one. So for people who are

536
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 1: just looking for action, like that's their choices. Interesting, it

537
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,959
Speaker 1: would be interested to just hear what people who are

538
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 1: doing that, just just throwing like you know, ten or

539
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 1: fifteen bucks for a fun sweat to get them through

540
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: the early part of a Tuesday afternoon till a three

541
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 1: pm matches till they to they lose money on Kala

542
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,679
Speaker 1: tassar I where they end up and why? But Bjay,

543
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 1: you're maybe helping some people out here.

544
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, why is Unjan Blin laying a full

545
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 3: half goal here? Like there is really no reason why

546
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 3: they should be. We've seen so far in the Bundesliga

547
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 3: for them and they've lost what four straight matches. Now

548
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 3: do we have to have the conversation of when's the

549
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 3: positive regression going to hit Union Blend because they haven't

550
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 3: scored for three matches and they've created four expected goals. Now,

551
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 3: you know, Heidenheim got the win against them over the weekend,

552
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 3: but Unon Blind did create two to expected goals. But

553
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: that is a horrific defense that they just played. Now

554
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,879
Speaker 3: they're going to take on a Braga side that I

555
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,639
Speaker 3: thought putting in a pretty decent performance against Napoli in

556
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 3: the first match day, Like they didn't get run over.

557
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 3: They obviously conceded around halftime and as the match got

558
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,199
Speaker 3: on late they started coming at them and flurry and

559
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 3: actually create the post one that could have gone in

560
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 3: to tie that match. So no reason why Euyon Blynn

561
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 3: should be minus one twenty here. Project this pretty close

562
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:31,720
Speaker 3: to a pickham Braga and the Portuguese Premier League. They

563
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 3: got to play on Thursday Unjan Berlin had to play

564
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 3: on Saturday, so two days extra of rest for Braga

565
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 3: as Portugal accommodated their Champions League match on Tuesday, giving

566
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 3: them extra rest. So decent spot here for Braga, who

567
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 3: honestly their style of play as well fits well. They

568
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 3: like to do a lot of deep circulations, so you know,

569
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 3: moving the ball side to side because they play a

570
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 3: lot of low blocks in Portugal. Should work pretty well

571
00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 3: here against Jon Blin, who was allowed the most crosses

572
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 3: of any team in the Bundesliga into their penalty. So

573
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 3: it's really good low block that we always talk about.

574
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 3: It's conceding chances this year. So the defense is falling

575
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 3: off now, I mean, we just got to keep fading though.

576
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 2: That's a Wednesdays Lynn sanity run is.

577
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 1: Over, it is, I'm sure they'll reel off now. Every

578
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 1: time Anthony says that, I feel like the team then

579
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 1: just reels off real nice hot stretch here. Yep, Wednesday

580
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: time start with El Gasico is Anthony's friend coined, We'll

581
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: give him credit for that. It's Newcastle and PSG basically

582
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,040
Speaker 1: a pick him on the three way line, with Newcastle

583
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,320
Speaker 1: slight home favorite plus one fifty five, the Parisians are

584
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 1: plus one sixty and the draws plus two seventy five.

585
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: If it ain't broke, don't fix it. That's my thinking.

586
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: Here went with the draw on Newcastle's first match and

587
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 1: somehow got that one over the line against me line

588
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 1: that was quite a sweat man. Oh my god, just

589
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 1: how you drew it up?

590
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 2: Fourteens in the first half, most shot they've ever conceded

591
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 2: under Eddie Howe twenty five nil.

592
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 1: No, I'll be back on the draw here. I think

593
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: that this matches won't It'll almost feel like a little

594
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 1: bit of a rugby match like phases more than a

595
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 1: back and forth affairs. We've talked a lot about the

596
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 1: Premier League, everyone running to be on the front foot.

597
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: It seems like and I know Newcastle was scoring it

598
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 1: will recently, but they seem to be a little bit

599
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: of an outlier in that regard, So I don't think

600
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: it's ever going to be a bad idea. I mean,

601
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: they drew a lot of matches last year too, so

602
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 1: I don't think the draw is ever going to be

603
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 1: a bad play, except maybe when they take on Sheffield United.

604
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 1: So I'll be back here on the draw here, I

605
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 1: think plus two seventy five in what I think is

606
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: going to be more of a slog than you might

607
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 1: think considering all the talent on the pitch. Here, Anthony,

608
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 1: what about.

609
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 2: You under I'm back Newcastle under three goals minus one twelve? Look,

610
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,360
Speaker 2: if you pull between the posts does some really good

611
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 2: stuff on pass charts maps, and if you pull up

612
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 2: what PSG looks like under Luis Enrique, it is football terrorism.

613
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 2: It is. It is so painful. It's just it's like

614
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 2: Spain from from the World Cup. At times, like it's

615
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 2: just center back, center back, right back, center back, center back,

616
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 2: center mid center back, center back, center mid center back.

617
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 2: Eventually we get to him, babe, and then he does

618
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 2: something and Newcastle, you know, am I worried Aboutkieran Trippy?

619
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 2: Are going up against killing him? Baba? Of course that's

620
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 2: going to be a disaster. But I think you know,

621
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 2: the way this team defends continues to be elite. Defensively.

622
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 2: Conceded nothing to Burnley, conceded almost nothing to Sheffield. Obviously,

623
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 2: you know PSG has better attackers than that, but still

624
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 2: like this is a defense that has continuously stayed elite.

625
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 2: The attack had that one game in the Sun, but

626
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 2: I think How's going to go for a more conservative

627
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 2: approach because he knows that they're going to be having

628
00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 2: less of the ball on this match, and that's what

629
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 2: Newcastle wants. They on Newcastle, they want the other team

630
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 2: to have the ball and they want to break in transition,

631
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 2: get one on ones and then you know, run run

632
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 2: at defenders with it. No, Harvey Barnes is a loss

633
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,520
Speaker 2: for their attack and PSG. I thought it was interesting

634
00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:17,400
Speaker 2: when when City played Newcastle they were so conservative and

635
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 2: so passive and just kept the ball for the whole

636
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 2: match and did nothing. Nothing happened in the match. It

637
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 2: was a terrible soccer match. They won one nil. Enrique

638
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:25,680
Speaker 2: is kind of in the same school where it's like,

639
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:27,800
Speaker 2: well they can't score and hit us in transition if

640
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 2: they never have the ball, and if we always have

641
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 2: the ball and never do anything with it, it's a

642
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 2: perfect setup for us. So I think there's gonna be

643
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 2: a lot of stale possession here. So under three for me,

644
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 2: I think it's a little high, and I'm going to bet.

645
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 1: That anything for you here El Gassico BJ.

646
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love Newcastle here. I think it's a fantastic

647
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 3: spot for them. You know, Anthony mentioned Luis Enrique's possession

648
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 3: dominant style. Here's a trivia question for you, guys. Over

649
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 3: or under seventy percent possession so far on average for

650
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 3: PSG in League on Obviously, I'll take the under seventy

651
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 3: one point six percent of that posession on average for

652
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 3: PSG in legun one hundred and ninety two ten plus

653
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,240
Speaker 3: pass sequence is ninety one more than the next closest

654
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 3: team in France, saying I'm not sure this next team is,

655
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 3: but there is a match that PSG has played this

656
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 3: season in France that I want to point out, the

657
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 3: Matchkin's Niee where they lost three to two. Nice did

658
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 3: things very till, very similar to what Newcastle is going

659
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 3: to do to them. They didn't press them high, they

660
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 3: kind of sat off set. Some pressing traps actually forced

661
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 3: a lot of high turnovers, one of them eventually led

662
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 3: to a goal and then they killed PSG multiple times

663
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 3: in transition and scored two goals off of it. Newcastle

664
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 3: is going to take it to even a much larger

665
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 3: level because they are one of the most physical teams

666
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 3: to try to build out through in the entire world.

667
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 3: So if I mean PSG's obviously going to try to

668
00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 3: build out of the back, they're not going to send

669
00:33:58,240 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 3: them all along and then get mixed up in a

670
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 3: transition match with Newcastle. Like Anthony said, I'm sure they're

671
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,720
Speaker 3: going to try to slow the pace down. But this

672
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 3: isn't in Paris. This is at Saint James Park where

673
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 3: Newcastle is amazing. I mean they have a plus one

674
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 3: point four to seven expect a gold differential for ninety

675
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 3: minutes in the Premier League since the start of last season. Now,

676
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 3: the other thing about PSG under Enriquez is things have

677
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:23,799
Speaker 3: kind of changed from what they were in the past.

678
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 3: You know, if you remember in the Champions League and

679
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 3: in the past, PSG would get to this part when

680
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:30,320
Speaker 3: they'd face a team that could control possession, now not

681
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 3: necessarily Newcastle, but they would sit off. They wouldn't press

682
00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 3: because obviously they had in Baba Messi and Neymar who

683
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 3: really wouldn't do much defensive work. Well, now PSG is

684
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 3: pressing high, they're trying to win the ball back because

685
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 3: of the front three that they have, the guys that

686
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 3: do more defensive They have a passive per defensive action

687
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 3: of eight right now. Last season in the Galtier it

688
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 3: was at eleven. So that just shows how much more

689
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,319
Speaker 3: intense PSG is they're pressing. If they try to do

690
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:54,600
Speaker 3: that with Newcastle, that's going to play right into their

691
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,399
Speaker 3: hands because Newcastle is just going to play a bunch

692
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 3: of long balls, a bunch of over the top to

693
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 3: e shoch alb Moron and all of their attackers and

694
00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 3: just make this a up and down transitional type match.

695
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 3: So really the pace of this match is going to

696
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 3: be very very interesting because Newcastle obviously wants it to

697
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 3: be high and fast while PSG wants it to be slow.

698
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 3: And yes, you know, Karen trip here going it's a

699
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 3: bape is going to be a nightmare. It's gonna be terrible.

700
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,799
Speaker 3: But Newcastle can do things with the press u their

701
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 3: pressing traps to cause a lot of problems for PSG,

702
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 3: similar to what Nis did to them. So I like

703
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 3: Newcastle drawno bet at minus one twenty here actually protected

704
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 3: Newcastle around eat money favorite. I think that the market

705
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 3: is far too low on them. I think it's far

706
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 3: too high on PSG, who's honestly not been in that

707
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 3: creative form in lege on anyway. I know they played

708
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 3: a dominant match over against Dortmunt in the first Champions League.

709
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 3: But Dortmund, with what we've talked about, is a very

710
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 3: very overrated team at this point. So Newcastle dramo bet

711
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 3: at minus one twenty for me, all.

712
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 1: Right onto that overrated Dortmund side plus one forty five hosting.

713
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:02,240
Speaker 2: Milan, by the way, boring in stoppage time on Friday

714
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 2: to burn the under I hate red cards.

715
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: We'll see if we can end this match with twenty

716
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: two players on the field. For you, Anthony, I'm Milan's

717
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 1: plus one eighty and the Druss plus two to eighty

718
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 1: not too interesting from a branding perspective here. What are

719
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: your thoughts though, Anthony.

720
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 2: I will have the preview for this match where I

721
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: will have a bet, probably going to be diving into

722
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:25,840
Speaker 2: props because this match from a side and total perspective

723
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 2: looks about right to me. Milan is the better team.

724
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 2: Dorman gets their home field advantage. You know, Milan is

725
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:33,879
Speaker 2: not going to take a ton of chances in possession here.

726
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:37,719
Speaker 2: They're going to be extremely passive and they've shown some

727
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 2: real quality defending, so you know, I don't think this

728
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 2: is going to be similar to what Milan just did

729
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 2: to Newcastle, where Milan actually let Newcastle have some of

730
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 2: the ball and then crush them in transition and dominated

731
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:54,080
Speaker 2: those areas. You know, So I would lean toward the

732
00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 2: under if you had a better total here, just because

733
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 2: I do think Milan is passive and Dortman's attack continues

734
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 2: to be average. They're not getting a good shot volume

735
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 2: at all, ful Krug scores, you know, their first big

736
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:07,920
Speaker 2: chance they get a penalty against a pretty bad Hoffenheim defense.

737
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 2: But again, like they've created a ton of chances if

738
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 2: you just pull up the XG table in Germany, but

739
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 2: they have played such a weak schedule that their numbers

740
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 2: are all inflated across the board right now, and and

741
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 2: I think that there's some some flaws there. So yeah,

742
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 2: under nothing from the from the total perspective, IM gonna

743
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:27,919
Speaker 2: be diving into props and kind of breaking this down

744
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 2: more tactically in the app and on the website should

745
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 2: be up on Tuesday.

746
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 1: All right, we'll look forward to that, and we'll also

747
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 1: look forward to at Letty Atletico Madrid hosting Fayan Ord.

748
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 2: Oh look out, this is a podcast to army out.

749
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:50,279
Speaker 1: Diego. Simeoni's side entity looks like it's catching some defensive

750
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:54,920
Speaker 1: form in La Liga and nobody's nobody's doing anything against them,

751
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:57,440
Speaker 1: I think under one x G and three straight matches,

752
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,840
Speaker 1: including a win against top of the table Real Madrid.

753
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: A bit.

754
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 2: Well, they give up two goals like the worst team

755
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:07,320
Speaker 2: in the league today.

756
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 1: They're how hearts. That was all luck. They were doing

757
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: a bit that was all luck. Box stuff was point

758
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 1: what was the point seven to two xtre for Cadiz. Yeah,

759
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:23,759
Speaker 1: just it's just and guess what they still want because

760
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 1: that's what simeoni sides do. Uh, they might as won

761
00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 1: fifty hosting your your boys the Nord. We're four to

762
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: one on the money line and you're gonna obviously go

763
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,879
Speaker 1: against Simeoni here because you just don't rate the guy.

764
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:39,879
Speaker 1: So it's it's becoming personal between you and all those

765
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 1: col scenaros, the matrics mattress makers.

766
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, so no Santa Jimenez for Fine Nord, which BJ

767
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,239
Speaker 2: can't wait to tell you, because they have no chance

768
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,839
Speaker 2: without him. He is important and he's very good. Fine Ord.

769
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:58,319
Speaker 2: Just one at iaks destroyed them. He scored twice. Yes,

770
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 2: you have to. You have to go look up what

771
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 2: happened in that match, because they they couldn't finish it

772
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 2: the day they started it. That's all said, very dramatic,

773
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 2: very upset for some gamblers. But the the uh, as

774
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 2: far as this match goes, I actually think this number

775
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 2: is about right here. So at LETTI opened around minus

776
00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 2: one seventy five one, and I would have loved to

777
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 2: have grabbed, you know, Fine Word plus one around minus

778
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 2: one ten, which you could have gotten. Now at Letti's

779
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 2: down to like minus one sixty one sixty five, and

780
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 2: you got to start laying juice on the plus one.

781
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 2: And so with Jimenez out and this not being necessarily

782
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 2: great without him, I still lean toward Fineord. I'm gonna

783
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:40,719
Speaker 2: hope that we get more money on at leat and

784
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: I can get a better price though, because I'm not

785
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 2: gonna lay big juice for the plus one here on

786
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 2: the road. But Fine Word to advanced tickets are looking

787
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 2: are looking to good so far, you know, at Letti,

788
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 2: the Champions League version that we saw against Lazio was

789
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,800
Speaker 2: old school textbook at Letti, and I do wonder if

790
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 2: you know their defense has fallen off, and so that

791
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:04,799
Speaker 2: has hurt their approach in La Liga because they've had

792
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:06,799
Speaker 2: to be more open, because they've conceded more goals in

793
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:09,279
Speaker 2: like a week to week league setting. But again, and

794
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,680
Speaker 2: I said this last time too, like the Champions League

795
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:14,200
Speaker 2: seems different to me, and they certainly played that way

796
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 2: against Lazio and ultimately should have kept a clean sheet

797
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,319
Speaker 2: if not for some crazy heroics.

798
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:23,879
Speaker 1: Okay, so it sounds like Anthony's changing his tune at Letty,

799
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:28,200
Speaker 1: he will be joining us on no chance some futures.

800
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:30,440
Speaker 1: By the time we get to the round of sixteen.

801
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 2: No chance, the defense is not good enough anymore.

802
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 1: You'll be telling you how they're at twenty one exactly.

803
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 2: It's funny, Michael, Michael, you think we should invest in

804
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 2: Tottenham title futures after this weekend. I was I was

805
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:44,880
Speaker 2: wondering if he had any input on that.

806
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, right, you think it might be basically dragged you

807
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:50,799
Speaker 1: to the window to try to bet that And you said,

808
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: I don't even know what this guy is that this

809
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,839
Speaker 1: big Greek Australian guy is how I'll wait. I'll wait

810
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,359
Speaker 1: until some of my soccer Twitter people start to say

811
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:05,080
Speaker 1: that they're legit it. Celtic now plus one ninety hosting

812
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 1: Lazio should be a wonderful atmosphere in Glasgow. Celtic's of

813
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 1: home underdog here plus one ninety Latzio traveling at plus

814
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 1: one thirty seven. Like Anthony Ludatu got to snatch a

815
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:21,799
Speaker 1: grab point at home against Simeoni's boys and the draws

816
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,399
Speaker 1: plus through fifty, I got nothing here. I just can't

817
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 1: do it anywhere. I already can't do it anymore. So

818
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 1: I'll be passing and it seems like all of us

819
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:31,760
Speaker 1: will be beaja any thoughts.

820
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 3: I mean, I'd lead under here if I were to

821
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 3: play anything, but Celtic is dealing with syminduries. You know,

822
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,359
Speaker 3: Cameron Carter Vickers is probably gonna miss this match, so

823
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,480
Speaker 3: that's their best defender and that's a huge loss. I mean,

824
00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:51,399
Speaker 3: Lazio has been in awful form for quite a while now.

825
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 3: They've beaten Torino, but like outside of that, they've been very,

826
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 3: very poor. Yeah, and Brendan Rodgers obviously is going to

827
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 3: play a very you know, passive, slow progression build up

828
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 3: rather than post Kokla, who was more high intense looking

829
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,799
Speaker 3: to get the ball forward going quicker. So it's going

830
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:11,760
Speaker 3: to be a very very slow paced type match which

831
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 3: really does lean towards an under. But again, you know,

832
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:19,080
Speaker 3: Celtic being without their best defender is kind of concerning.

833
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:21,319
Speaker 3: So it's a pass for me if we can get

834
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,720
Speaker 3: to under two and a half or at plus one twenty,

835
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 3: maybe under three at like minus one twenty on flying

836
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 3: on it. But as of right now I'll be passing.

837
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 2: I gotta say Joe Hart cooked and that's scary for

838
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 2: the under. The goal he gave up to Stangs in

839
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 2: the first match, I mean the first half against fine

840
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,000
Speaker 2: or nothing happened, like there was zero attempts on goal

841
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:45,359
Speaker 2: for really either team reasonable and Stangs hits a free

842
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 2: kick that should have been saved, he doesn't save it.

843
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 2: And then of course what happened in the second half,

844
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 2: Michael two red cards. Red cards, yeah, at a penalty

845
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 2: and then you know, a miss and so it kind

846
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,800
Speaker 2: of got out of control. But you know, Celtics defense

847
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 2: was okay, I thought against final, but again that was

848
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 2: fine without their two best attackers too, So like I

849
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 2: don't want to I don't want to read too much

850
00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 2: into that, but this would be Celtic or nothing for me.

851
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 2: Latzio is a road favorite here, overvalued as hell, but again,

852
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 2: like the injuries and the goalie situation just scare the

853
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:16,200
Speaker 2: shit out of me in backing them. And we've you know,

854
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,120
Speaker 2: we've seen the song and dance so many times now

855
00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 2: with with with these Scottish teams, they never actually get

856
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:22,399
Speaker 2: results except for that one Rangers run, so.

857
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 3: Probably past They'll still get my heart though, you know,

858
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,120
Speaker 3: I'll still buy in every single like right when the draws. Yeah,

859
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 3: I said Celtic to advance, just like right off the bat.

860
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, all three of us with something on this

861
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,080
Speaker 1: match coming up. It's when I say what match it is,

862
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: we'll probably know where we're going. One of the teams

863
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:45,840
Speaker 1: of the podcast are d Leipzig at home against Manchester City.

864
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:47,520
Speaker 2: What a result they got this weekend?

865
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,680
Speaker 1: Oh boy, Leipzig plus three seventy five City traveling at

866
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:54,040
Speaker 1: minus won forty three off a lost to Wolves over

867
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:57,240
Speaker 1: the weekend and the Jaws plus three twenty Yeah, Leipzig

868
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,719
Speaker 1: coming off the two to two against Byron and just

869
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,280
Speaker 1: have been. It's it's it feels like a really easy

870
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:04,839
Speaker 1: match to kind of set up. It's this Leipstick team

871
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:08,239
Speaker 1: is just fantastic. Like they're very very good. And yeah

872
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:10,759
Speaker 1: they're they're hosting the best team in the world, but

873
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:13,239
Speaker 1: they at home. They just should not be this high.

874
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,880
Speaker 1: And it's anybody like this is a great number on Leipsig.

875
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: So I'll be on the money line. Pretty simple one

876
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,360
Speaker 1: to the handicap for me, Anthony.

877
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 2: Okay, so there's a few things. One, Leipzig has a

878
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 2: really interesting statistical profile this year because they have run

879
00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 2: like they have finished at the rate it is preposterously good.

880
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,439
Speaker 2: Every chance goes in for them right now, That's.

881
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:38,919
Speaker 1: What happens when you have Timo Werner on your set.

882
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, well they haven't been playing him, that's

883
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 2: he actually came in off the bench and scored, so

884
00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 2: even when they sub him in, he's been producing. But no,

885
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 2: I mean O Ponda and and Pow Like they have

886
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,520
Speaker 2: so many different options that they can do. And that's

887
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 2: what I like about this team. You know, whether it's

888
00:44:55,440 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 2: powsand O Ponda, Almo Chavy like Cessco, like, they're are

889
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 2: so many different players that can fit together and make

890
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 2: it work. It was interesting that, you know, the market

891
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 2: at the same time that Leipzig was getting steamed against

892
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:12,439
Speaker 2: Saturday because that line actually closed like minus one twenty

893
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:16,720
Speaker 2: five one thirty Byron on the money line. The market

894
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 2: was moving against City here because of what happened on Saturday.

895
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 2: Now City was a little bit lackluster and attack the

896
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 2: defense stuff. I thought was just like, we don't have

897
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 2: Rodery and now we're playing Calvin Phillips and that's just

898
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:33,359
Speaker 2: like a big difference in defensive midfield. BJ bet on

899
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:37,799
Speaker 2: Manchester City and they lost the prime all season, which

900
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 2: is really funny. And I never actually bet the Wolves

901
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 2: team total over, which is also really funny. Such but yeah,

902
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 2: hilarious weekend. But the reality of this match is that,

903
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 2: like if you watch the first half of what Leipzig

904
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 2: did to Buyer pressing in their four four to three three,

905
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 2: taking away all of the space in the middle and

906
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:03,120
Speaker 2: forcing everything out wide. City in the past, you know,

907
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 2: would be perfectly fine with that because they had one

908
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,440
Speaker 2: of the best, you know, crossing fullbacks in the world.

909
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:11,879
Speaker 2: Now they're not as dominant out why, they're much more

910
00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 2: centrally because Foden and Alvarez kind of occupy those central

911
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:19,479
Speaker 2: spaces more so than you know, their traditional wingers would

912
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 2: and Grealish has been kind of in and out. Doku's

913
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 2: kind of the one difference maker here. But again in

914
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 2: that system, I think that you know, City could struggle

915
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 2: in the you know, early on, and I expect Pep

916
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 2: to tweak and you know, figure some things out. We're

917
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:35,680
Speaker 2: gonna need at least one or two goals to get

918
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:39,359
Speaker 2: to get a result here. But you know, you can

919
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 2: go back to the Champions League around of sixteen when

920
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 2: these two sides met first leg, City closed minus one fifteen.

921
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 2: That was in February. I think both teams are probably

922
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 2: power rated higher now than they were then, so I

923
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,359
Speaker 2: can't get to the difference in the minus one forty five.

924
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 2: So like say plus.

925
00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 1: Half, it's gonna be great.

926
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 2: Oh well, I mean they get this result here, that's

927
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 2: two for two on the on the toughest stretch in

928
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,319
Speaker 2: world football. Who do they have this weekend? That's that's

929
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:06,840
Speaker 2: the question.

930
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,759
Speaker 1: Hopefully we can hopefully it's hopefully it's like Heidenheim or

931
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 1: Bokum or something, and we can just go against him.

932
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 2: It's Bochum perfect boake them at home though probably right.

933
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 3: It's uh, yeah, Leipstick is at home in that match.

934
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's yeah.

935
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 1: We'll be on BOKEM. Don't worry about it.

936
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:24,000
Speaker 2: We will figure it out how to back. It's really

937
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:25,479
Speaker 2: bad defensively for bocum right.

938
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 1: Now, BJ come on?

939
00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:30,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I actually liked the under a lot more

940
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:32,400
Speaker 3: here under three and even money.

941
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,880
Speaker 2: We did the same thing last time, I know I did.

942
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,319
Speaker 2: We all said under. I think you took Leipsig plus

943
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:40,920
Speaker 2: one and a half at City and I took the

944
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:43,800
Speaker 2: under and I was actually in the Action Network office

945
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:45,880
Speaker 2: and got some people to bet it. Yeah, and it

946
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 2: was seven nil. Yeah, but that was that was a

947
00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:52,799
Speaker 2: banner day for my for my clout in the in

948
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 2: the office as a Docker kapper.

949
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:58,520
Speaker 3: That was also the second What happened in the first leg,

950
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:01,440
Speaker 3: it was actually a very very very conservative approach from

951
00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:04,239
Speaker 3: both teams, and City did obviously score. I believe it

952
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,480
Speaker 3: was around the twenty seventh minute. I think it was

953
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 3: Mars scored and City just kind of controlled the ball.

954
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 3: They didn't really take any more chances after that. You know,

955
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:14,360
Speaker 3: Leipzig obviously, like you mentioned, they are a team that

956
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 3: wants to dominate the middle of the pitch, and so

957
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 3: does City, so it's going to be very very interesting.

958
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 3: I don't see like, Here's the thing is, like Leipzig

959
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 3: knew what they could do to Byron because they did

960
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 3: it earlier this season. To them, they knew that they

961
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:28,399
Speaker 3: could go out and press them. I'm not so sure

962
00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 3: that there Marco Rose is going to have the same

963
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:32,680
Speaker 3: approach and come out and just start trying to press City.

964
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 3: I think it's a very dangerous game to play, which

965
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:38,799
Speaker 3: will create a very open style match, which yes does

966
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,040
Speaker 3: favor Leipzig, but also it doesn't at the same time,

967
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:46,200
Speaker 3: so City. I think we'll Perp's gonna want more game

968
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 3: control after what he's been seeing the last few matches

969
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 3: about how they keep getting beat in transition. So I

970
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,839
Speaker 3: do like under three goals. You know that first leg

971
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:58,800
Speaker 3: only two expectacles total were created across both teams. I

972
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 3: was very kind of a snooze one one draw. I

973
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 3: think we could see something similar to that in this match.

974
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:05,719
Speaker 3: I think since of being so early on in the

975
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:08,640
Speaker 3: group stage, I think we're it's it's going to be

976
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 3: a little bit slower paced than we're expecting. I think

977
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 3: you'll see Leipsig sit off quite a bit and try

978
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:14,799
Speaker 3: to condense the middle of the pitch and not really

979
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:18,359
Speaker 3: press City high as much. So only projected about two

980
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 3: point six goals here. So under three d even money

981
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 3: good enough for me.

982
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll get you in.

983
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 3: I'll job with Galassie and Leipzig and all these other

984
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 3: teams that will just get blown out but perfect, you know.

985
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:33,920
Speaker 3: But for the purposes of this under three should be

986
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,040
Speaker 3: a fun one to watch City win seven.

987
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,919
Speaker 1: No, all right, we'll go pretty quickly through the last

988
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:41,960
Speaker 1: three matches on Wednesday, then we'll give out our favorite

989
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:45,760
Speaker 1: bets for match week two. We'll start with a match

990
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,719
Speaker 1: with the Beach. You're on an island here, You're on

991
00:49:48,760 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 1: an island in Belgrade with Red Star plus one fifteen

992
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:56,160
Speaker 1: hosting young Boys plus two twenty the draws plus two sixty.

993
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:57,840
Speaker 1: You do like this team a lot.

994
00:49:57,680 --> 00:49:59,640
Speaker 3: I do, and I don't think we got to see

995
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 3: true what they are because they had to play the

996
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 3: best team in the world on the road to begin

997
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 3: and they did have a moment for us to score

998
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 3: at four half. That was a wonderful moment. One I

999
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 3: will not trade for anything in this slack time. But

1000
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 3: you know, Belgrade's a team that obviously in the Serbian

1001
00:50:14,520 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 3: League controls a lot of possession like they're very very

1002
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:19,000
Speaker 3: good at doing that. They're very very good at counter

1003
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 3: pressing teams that are worse than them, which I think

1004
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 3: that this young boys team, you can make an argument

1005
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:26,080
Speaker 3: is the worst team in this competition. If you look

1006
00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 3: at their numbered up through Switzerland, they were only around

1007
00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:31,480
Speaker 3: a plus a half actually differential pro ninety minutes. But

1008
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,560
Speaker 3: obviously I mentioned I don't know seventeen thousand times that

1009
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:37,320
Speaker 3: Belgrade was a plus one point twenty six expect to

1010
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 3: go to Frencial promiinty minutes in the Serbian League. Both

1011
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:42,760
Speaker 3: of those teams, by U eighth coefficients or total league

1012
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:46,319
Speaker 3: transfer value are pretty even when you compare them, So

1013
00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:49,200
Speaker 3: I think there's a pretty significant gap here for Belgrade.

1014
00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 3: I think you're going to see a much different style

1015
00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 3: player from them, one that's caused them to have so

1016
00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:57,839
Speaker 3: much success domestically. So plus one fifteen is too cheap

1017
00:50:57,840 --> 00:50:59,040
Speaker 3: for me, Okay.

1018
00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 1: So are there on your own? Nothing for any of us? Really?

1019
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:07,439
Speaker 1: With Porto and Barcelona Porto three to one at home,

1020
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:10,000
Speaker 1: Barcelona otsign might as went eighteen on the road to

1021
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 1: draw us plus two seventy five. I'm I'm kind of

1022
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:16,000
Speaker 1: tempted by Barcelona, but ultimately I think I'm going to

1023
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 1: pass here, Anthony, any thoughts.

1024
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 2: Not particularly Barcia continues to put up elite, elite numbers.

1025
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 2: I think they're they're kind of figuring things out, like

1026
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 2: they started a little slow tweaking, you know, the system,

1027
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 2: getting Cancello in there and and getting Gundwan in, like

1028
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:32,720
Speaker 2: getting figured out what the fit is for their talent,

1029
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:36,959
Speaker 2: and there are some questions defensive midfield. Frankly Deyong goes

1030
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 2: out with an injury, he's going to miss time and

1031
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,680
Speaker 2: he's gonna be out here. I think, you know, how

1032
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 2: does that impact Barsa? It makes him a little more

1033
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,160
Speaker 2: vulnerable in transition because it means more Rio romeyu minutes

1034
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 2: probably isn't great. You know, Porto traditionally though like very

1035
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:54,239
Speaker 2: low block, very transition oriented, not going to have any

1036
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,720
Speaker 2: possession whatsoever in this game. So you know, when Barcia

1037
00:51:57,760 --> 00:52:00,319
Speaker 2: scores first is what decides this game. If bar goes

1038
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 2: up early and they're able to just like strangle the

1039
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:05,279
Speaker 2: game out, that changes everything. If Porto can you know,

1040
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 2: find their moments because Barsa has looked vulnerable in transition.

1041
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:13,800
Speaker 2: Vego especially really impressed in that match and scored twice

1042
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 2: on them, so you know bars is not infallible. But yeah,

1043
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:19,719
Speaker 2: this number is about right for me and I have

1044
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 2: no interest in betting this at this number. If it

1045
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:23,880
Speaker 2: got to like even money, I would take BARSA.

1046
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:27,160
Speaker 1: And lastly, Royal Antwerp is hot's on at home against

1047
00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:30,440
Speaker 1: Shocktar Antwerp minus one twenty five, Shocktar plus three fifty

1048
00:52:30,440 --> 00:52:32,640
Speaker 1: and the draws plus two seventy five. Anything.

1049
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 3: I don't want to bet Shocktar is so bad here. Yeah,

1050
00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:40,320
Speaker 3: this is so inflated on Antwerp. But both of Shocktar

1051
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 3: as usual starting to center backs are out, so that

1052
00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:45,560
Speaker 3: makes things a lot more challenging going on the road

1053
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:48,280
Speaker 3: to Belgium. But this Antwerp team, along with young Boys

1054
00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 3: is them two are probably the two worst teams in

1055
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:54,400
Speaker 3: this entire competition, so laying minus one thirty seven against

1056
00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:58,200
Speaker 3: the proven Champions League squad is a lot to say

1057
00:52:58,200 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 3: the least.

1058
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:01,319
Speaker 2: So it would be shock nothing here again for me

1059
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:03,960
Speaker 2: as well. But they're such a black box. They're so

1060
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: hard to really realize. And like you said, the backup

1061
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:09,759
Speaker 2: defenders were so bad against Porto, I thought they actually

1062
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:13,520
Speaker 2: played a decent match overall, but the errors in the

1063
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:15,920
Speaker 2: space was there was a lot of it to exploit.

1064
00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:19,360
Speaker 1: Okay, that's all sixteen matches. I'm proud of both of

1065
00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:22,799
Speaker 1: you guys under an hour to get all sixteen done

1066
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 1: and dusted. But now we'll talk our favorite bets for

1067
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 1: match week two, BJ What do you have?

1068
00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:30,759
Speaker 3: Manchester United galatas Rye over three goals and minus one

1069
00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:33,359
Speaker 3: to fifteen should be a very fun, chaotic, back and

1070
00:53:33,360 --> 00:53:36,040
Speaker 3: forth type match. What you saw from galatas Rye in

1071
00:53:36,080 --> 00:53:38,600
Speaker 3: their opening match against Copenhagen is they are a team

1072
00:53:38,680 --> 00:53:40,400
Speaker 3: that wants to play high intensity and a team that

1073
00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:42,680
Speaker 3: wants to play in transition. They turned the ball over

1074
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:46,720
Speaker 3: sixteen times in their own end against a team from Denmark.

1075
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:48,840
Speaker 3: Manchester United has forced the most height turnar rovers of

1076
00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,880
Speaker 3: anybody in the Premier League, so Mitches United can actually

1077
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:54,240
Speaker 3: play at their best, which is them playing in transition

1078
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,960
Speaker 3: as opposed to being a build up style team. Well.

1079
00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:00,200
Speaker 3: Manchester United defensively, though, is still down three of they're

1080
00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:03,759
Speaker 3: usual four starters across their back line. Galatasaray has a

1081
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:06,160
Speaker 3: ton of talented attacking players and a team that really

1082
00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:09,080
Speaker 3: wants to do quick transition attacks, you know, play guys

1083
00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:10,640
Speaker 3: off their back line and they create a lot of

1084
00:54:10,719 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 3: chances that way. A team that creates north of two

1085
00:54:13,000 --> 00:54:15,839
Speaker 3: expected goals in the Turkish super League and a team

1086
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:17,080
Speaker 3: that can really put the ball on the back of

1087
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 3: the net against the Red Devils, so should be very fun, chaotic,

1088
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 3: back and forth type match. So I like over three

1089
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:24,439
Speaker 3: goals in minus one fifteen.

1090
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:26,440
Speaker 1: All right, I'll stay in that match. I like Galatasaraye

1091
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:28,920
Speaker 1: on the money line six to one. You just got

1092
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:31,799
Speaker 1: to keep going against this United side, and especially when

1093
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:34,200
Speaker 1: you're getting a good number on a team that is

1094
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:36,760
Speaker 1: pretty good. We're all pretty high on for this Champions

1095
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:41,920
Speaker 1: League season. United closed as a longer price against Crystal Palace.

1096
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:44,120
Speaker 1: So the weekend Palace closed plus four to seventy five

1097
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 1: ish at Old Trafford Palace one one nil. And I

1098
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,200
Speaker 1: don't really think there's that much of a difference between

1099
00:54:50,320 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 1: the Eagles and Galatasarai. These are two solid teams, so

1100
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:57,120
Speaker 1: getting six to one just a few days after that

1101
00:54:57,120 --> 00:55:00,680
Speaker 1: performance feels quite generous. So I will make a shot

1102
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 1: here on the team from Turkey. Anthony, what do you have?

1103
00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Napoli draw no bet at

1104
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:13,200
Speaker 2: home against Real Madrid right around even money. I think

1105
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:16,800
Speaker 2: even with Venetia's junior back, this Real Madrid defense potentially

1106
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:20,319
Speaker 2: without Aliba and no Mila Tao, like they're down to

1107
00:55:20,440 --> 00:55:22,680
Speaker 2: just Rutiger and Nacho as the two center backs, and

1108
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 2: no Aliba is a pretty significant loss for them going

1109
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:28,360
Speaker 2: up against Osaman. And this Napoli side continues to be

1110
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 2: extremely elite defensively, the best in Siria, even better than

1111
00:55:33,040 --> 00:55:35,839
Speaker 2: Roma because of shots stopping as well with Maray, so

1112
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,719
Speaker 2: I think that this is a good spot to go

1113
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:42,240
Speaker 2: against Madrid, where in fact, despite their Champions League plot armor,

1114
00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:45,080
Speaker 2: they have just seven away wins in the last twenty

1115
00:55:45,120 --> 00:55:48,239
Speaker 2: three and I think that's kind of instructive in the

1116
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:50,160
Speaker 2: fact that like this has still been a flawed team

1117
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,440
Speaker 2: even though they've always seemed to get that moment when

1118
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:54,640
Speaker 2: they need it hasn't always come in the group stage though,

1119
00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:57,759
Speaker 2: So Napoli draw no bet at home, I think these

1120
00:55:57,800 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 2: teams are close to even.

1121
00:56:00,960 --> 00:56:04,160
Speaker 1: There we go another episode of Wonder Goals in the books.

1122
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:08,239
Speaker 1: We will be back, of course on Thursday morning to

1123
00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:13,400
Speaker 1: preview the upcoming Premier League and European slate things continue

1124
00:56:13,400 --> 00:56:18,279
Speaker 1: to get interesting in the Premier League Wild Weekend that

1125
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 1: just concluded, so be sure to check out that. Be

1126
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:23,759
Speaker 1: sure to check out all our other Action Network podcasts.

1127
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:27,680
Speaker 1: I will also stump for Line Change, our NHL betting podcast.

1128
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 1: The NHL season starts a week from Tuesday, so be

1129
00:56:31,160 --> 00:56:34,120
Speaker 1: sure to check out our preview episodes, etc. And then

1130
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:39,160
Speaker 1: of course like subscribe, rate, Review, Wonder Goal and everything else.

1131
00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 1: Five stars please it would be very nice. And thank

1132
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:45,600
Speaker 1: you to our producer Noah. Thank you to you dear

1133
00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:49,400
Speaker 1: listeners for listening. Good luck with all your bets. Bjay Anthony,

1134
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:56,200
Speaker 1: I will see you guys again Thursday.

1135
00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:04,920
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1136
00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:07,719
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1137
00:57:07,760 --> 00:57:10,840
Speaker 2: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler