1
00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:15,640
Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time. Marry Christmas the generation. Welcome

2
00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:18,360
Speaker 1: to the Big Bets on Campus podcast. This is the

3
00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:23,319
Speaker 1: College Football Bowl Betting Preview, Part three. I'm Stucky in

4
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,800
Speaker 1: joining me. As always, my fellow BBOC cost Colin Wilson,

5
00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,240
Speaker 1: will be going through the three bowl games on Thursday,

6
00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:36,760
Speaker 1: December twenty sixth and five on Friday, December twenty seventh,

7
00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,479
Speaker 1: making sure you have this out by Christmas Eve to

8
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:47,200
Speaker 1: get you ready for all that post Christmas Bowl action.

9
00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,319
Speaker 1: Before we get started, quick recap of the college ball

10
00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,920
Speaker 1: playoffs and the weekend that was. It's been a good

11
00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:59,440
Speaker 1: bowl start for the podcast and for me. One of

12
00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:04,080
Speaker 1: the biggest I was on Tulane. Sadly that's just gonna happen.

13
00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,800
Speaker 1: Ty Thompson was so bad, oh man. The actual collegeball

14
00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,880
Speaker 1: playoff games a bit of a snoozer. Shouldn't even say

15
00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:17,680
Speaker 1: a bit big snooze fest. Every favorite, every home team covered.

16
00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:22,399
Speaker 1: Clemson gave a Texas backers a little bit of scarily,

17
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:24,520
Speaker 1: a lot of big big teas they got down with

18
00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,399
Speaker 1: the goal line and then they got another chance to

19
00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,920
Speaker 1: get in the back door. Other than that, very boring

20
00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,360
Speaker 1: just commentary after every game this team shouldn't have been

21
00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,240
Speaker 1: in This team shouldn't have been In the end, it

22
00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,080
Speaker 1: was just a home teams that dominated Ohio State, Texas,

23
00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:46,120
Speaker 1: Penn State, and Notre Dame. Any quick thoughts colin.

24
00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,800
Speaker 2: Full game Fever catch it.

25
00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,680
Speaker 3: I theorized on this podcast and I think a couple

26
00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:53,960
Speaker 3: of other platforms, and even in writing that I was

27
00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:58,160
Speaker 3: worried that the first round being played in home stadiums

28
00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,040
Speaker 3: would replicate the FCS playoffs, And if people are not

29
00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,640
Speaker 3: familiar with what that is, that is home team's throwing

30
00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,480
Speaker 3: up fifty burgers on teams and the travel, with the

31
00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:11,359
Speaker 3: weather and the environment is probably a little bit of

32
00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:13,639
Speaker 3: a shock to the system. And then, you know, I

33
00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,160
Speaker 3: think the bad one for me was I had to

34
00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,600
Speaker 3: take a shot on an underdog somewhere. The one that

35
00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:22,280
Speaker 3: I picked was Tennessee absolutely did not show up. But overall,

36
00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:25,080
Speaker 3: take this as a betting deliverable for next year. Home

37
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:27,959
Speaker 3: field advantage was way more than the book makers made

38
00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:31,280
Speaker 3: up for, and it replicated the FCS playoffs and what

39
00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,240
Speaker 3: Brett told us on our latest show that there could

40
00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,240
Speaker 3: be more home playoff games in the playoff and the

41
00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,400
Speaker 3: futures to come. Let's just keep in mind what happened

42
00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:38,239
Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four.

43
00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:42,280
Speaker 1: The expansion's fine. The teams that got interfine. Yeah, there's

44
00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,840
Speaker 1: been plenty of blowouts, so many blots in the first

45
00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:50,280
Speaker 1: round in past non expansive colletuall playoffs. It's just gonna

46
00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:51,040
Speaker 1: happen sometimes.

47
00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,360
Speaker 4: Hey stuck, Sorry to interrupt before we proceeded the first game.

48
00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:59,480
Speaker 4: A quick message from longtime listener and Ohio State super

49
00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,120
Speaker 4: fan Martin from Florida.

50
00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:08,040
Speaker 5: All Right, listen, mother, this better get played. We're not

51
00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:12,120
Speaker 5: talking about little games here. We're talking about the big

52
00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:17,520
Speaker 5: Mother here. First of all, Marry Christmas, filthy and animals.

53
00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:18,440
Speaker 6: Listen.

54
00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:23,040
Speaker 5: The objective was accomplished tonight. We got a ways to go.

55
00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:29,760
Speaker 5: We have a ways to go. However, what you saw

56
00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,440
Speaker 5: tonight was a glimmer of hope and a sea of darkness.

57
00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:38,160
Speaker 5: And I'm I'm damned proud of those kids, how they

58
00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:42,720
Speaker 5: stood up to the hate. I mean for me too,

59
00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:50,280
Speaker 5: and absolutely put a see Michael Myers on those high

60
00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:54,560
Speaker 5: school babysitters tonight. This is what I'm talking about from

61
00:03:54,560 --> 00:04:00,560
Speaker 5: our boys. We do this. We will win the national chip.

62
00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,960
Speaker 5: I'll be get of a great Christmas. Nothing but love,

63
00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:06,600
Speaker 5: Oh age.

64
00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:12,320
Speaker 1: Let's get into these bowl games. Let's start with the

65
00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,000
Speaker 1: game above Sports Bowl.

66
00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:22,120
Speaker 2: The game above Sports Bowl, by the.

67
00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,000
Speaker 1: Way, Game above, I don't I have no idea. Do

68
00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:25,040
Speaker 1: you know what Game above is?

69
00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,560
Speaker 3: This used to be the Quick Laying Bowl in Detroit,

70
00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:29,560
Speaker 3: So I.

71
00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,960
Speaker 1: This sounds like like a Ponzi scheme. I don't even

72
00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:32,400
Speaker 1: know what it is.

73
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,240
Speaker 3: I know it's not you think it's the Bitcoin St.

74
00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:34,719
Speaker 3: Pete Bowl.

75
00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:40,280
Speaker 1: Here's what. Game Above is a brand rooted in philanthropy,

76
00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:44,080
Speaker 1: dedicated to inspiring greatness through sports, entertainment and youth academies.

77
00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:48,520
Speaker 1: Initially supported by devoted group of alumni, focus on supporting

78
00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,520
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan University and it's community through Game above. Getting

79
00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:54,480
Speaker 1: I don't know what that means.

80
00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,680
Speaker 3: Gys got some what is going on in the gypsy?

81
00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:04,520
Speaker 1: But five thirty Eastern ESPN pitt is a six and

82
00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:09,120
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Here this game we played ford

83
00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:13,560
Speaker 1: Field Fast Track in Detroit, Michigan. Total fifty one and

84
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:18,680
Speaker 1: a half. If you're going to Detroit, Rocos Deli for

85
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:22,480
Speaker 1: sandwiches seldom standard for a nice meal, and our producer

86
00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:24,640
Speaker 1: says dive bar, you gotta go to his jumbos, which

87
00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,000
Speaker 1: looks like a true dive. Bar can't say I've ever been.

88
00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,080
Speaker 1: When I look at this matchup, there are questions with

89
00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:36,400
Speaker 1: Pitt and their quarterback Eli hol Steam, whether or not

90
00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,520
Speaker 1: I'll be healthy enough to go. If he can't go,

91
00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:41,800
Speaker 1: it's gonna be third string David Lynch because Yarnell, who

92
00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:47,800
Speaker 1: played when he was hurt, is in the portal. These

93
00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:49,880
Speaker 1: are you know, we're actually gonna talk about Georgia TA

94
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,119
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt as well in this episode. Those are two teams

95
00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 1: I wanted to bet on in ball season. Was so

96
00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:01,560
Speaker 1: disappointed that was a matchup. It's kind of like when

97
00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:04,000
Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament bracket comes out and you get two

98
00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:06,359
Speaker 1: mid majors that you wanted to bet on and they

99
00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:08,279
Speaker 1: would get matched up against. So these are two teams

100
00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:12,280
Speaker 1: that wanted to fade. I've just been lowing them all

101
00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:12,800
Speaker 1: year long.

102
00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,880
Speaker 3: So the coaches are two and four against the spread

103
00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,240
Speaker 3: and two and five between Ourdoozy and Candle. They have

104
00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:19,520
Speaker 3: not shown up in bull season either.

105
00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, and when I look at the matchup, Toledo is

106
00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:28,279
Speaker 1: incapable of running the ball. I mean they are bottom

107
00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:33,000
Speaker 1: of the barrel rush offense. But you can't run on

108
00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,360
Speaker 1: Pitt so except you know, they get up some run

109
00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:40,720
Speaker 1: explosives aggressive defense. Toledo doesn't event any explosiveness in the

110
00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:46,040
Speaker 1: run game, so you're not really neutralizing anything that Toledo does.

111
00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,839
Speaker 1: You have to beat Pitt through the air, and you

112
00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:52,880
Speaker 1: have to hit explosives through the air against their quarters,

113
00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:58,479
Speaker 1: aggressive corners on the outside as well. That's pretty much

114
00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,720
Speaker 1: all Toledo can do on offense. They have a good

115
00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:06,080
Speaker 1: group of receivers, a quarterback who's way up and down.

116
00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,360
Speaker 1: If you get bad gleas in here, Toledo is gonna

117
00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:09,960
Speaker 1: get blown out.

118
00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:13,679
Speaker 3: Get good, huge, horrible, Yeah, go ahead, I'm sorry.

119
00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,720
Speaker 1: If you get good Gleason, they can hit some explosive plays,

120
00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:20,960
Speaker 1: I expect. You know, the question is kind of block enough?

121
00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:24,040
Speaker 1: Can they give them time? Both of these quarterbacks are

122
00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:29,120
Speaker 1: very poor under pressure. And both of these quarterbacks, if

123
00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:33,480
Speaker 1: you look Hosting seventeen touchdown, seven interceptions, but thirteen big

124
00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:38,400
Speaker 1: time throws, twenty turnover worthy plays. Gleason twenty two touchdown,

125
00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:41,680
Speaker 1: seven receptions, but ten big time throws, fifteen turnover worthy plays.

126
00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:45,400
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if there's a number of turnovers here.

127
00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,200
Speaker 1: There's you know, some havoc minded defense and some offenses

128
00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:56,400
Speaker 1: that can give up havoc. A couple areas where Pitt

129
00:07:56,520 --> 00:08:00,920
Speaker 1: might have an advantage. Special teams good there all year,

130
00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:05,080
Speaker 1: Toledo has not, and then Pitt has been much better

131
00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:08,920
Speaker 1: finishing drives off with touchdowns than Toledo. Part of that

132
00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:13,520
Speaker 1: is Pitt has more options to score because Ledo can't

133
00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:16,200
Speaker 1: run the ball and the field shrinks. Their offense just

134
00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:22,040
Speaker 1: takes a dive. That said, you know, two teams. I

135
00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,080
Speaker 1: want to fade. There's questions whether or not hosting will play.

136
00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:27,800
Speaker 1: I'd be inclined just to take the points, but this

137
00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:29,680
Speaker 1: isn't a bowl game. I feel strongly about what you

138
00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:30,080
Speaker 1: see here.

139
00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, to me, this is I mentioned on the last

140
00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,680
Speaker 3: podcast what we do when we have this kind of

141
00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,240
Speaker 3: makeup with two teams. And so you know, you mentioned

142
00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:41,319
Speaker 3: Tucker Gleason and you mentioned his td to and t

143
00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:44,280
Speaker 3: versus his big time throw to turnover worthy play ratio.

144
00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,120
Speaker 3: Do not get fooled by that twenty two to seven

145
00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,920
Speaker 3: touchdown to interceptions. He is not good with pressure. In

146
00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:50,800
Speaker 3: one hundred and four attempts, He's had two big time

147
00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:55,040
Speaker 3: throws and seven turnover worthy plays. Pitts havoc and lineyards

148
00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:57,360
Speaker 3: are top twenty, their top five, and tackles for loss

149
00:08:57,440 --> 00:08:59,559
Speaker 3: or seventeenth in PBUs. I mean, this is a really

150
00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:03,199
Speaker 3: bad look for Toledo here and I don't expect a

151
00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,040
Speaker 3: lot of points, especially like if Alan Jones doesn't go

152
00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,439
Speaker 3: at left tackle. Steven Gales did have three hundred and

153
00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,120
Speaker 3: thirty one snaps at the position, but he did not

154
00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:13,400
Speaker 3: grade out very well. I don't see much of anything

155
00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,000
Speaker 3: coming out of Toledo, and when you go to the

156
00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:16,480
Speaker 3: other side, it looks like we're going to get David

157
00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,480
Speaker 3: Lynch probably is the quarterback red shirt freshman. If Eli

158
00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:22,400
Speaker 3: whole Steam cannot go six to nine for forty six

159
00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:24,960
Speaker 3: yards and an I int he comes from the IMG Academy.

160
00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:29,520
Speaker 3: But you know what is this offense for Pittsburgh. We

161
00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:33,280
Speaker 3: are one hundred and twenty sixth and havoc allowed. You know,

162
00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:35,960
Speaker 3: Hoole Steam was two point nine seconds per release. That

163
00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,280
Speaker 3: is extremely long. He took twenty one sacks from one

164
00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,839
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty one pressures. I don't see David Lynch

165
00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:46,000
Speaker 3: surviving a offensive line and our offensive period. It's one

166
00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:49,280
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty sixth and havoc allowed. You know, in

167
00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,360
Speaker 3: Toledo's defense is only one of a dozen teams that

168
00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:53,360
Speaker 3: not allow a fifty yard run this season. I was

169
00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,360
Speaker 3: actually shocked by that stuck. There's only like, I think

170
00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:58,200
Speaker 3: twelve teams that haven't allowed a fifty yard run. Well,

171
00:09:58,240 --> 00:09:59,920
Speaker 3: Toledo's one of them, and they're fourth in the nation

172
00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,040
Speaker 3: allowing thirty plus yard rush games. So when you put

173
00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:05,600
Speaker 3: all this together, the fact that Pitt can't protect any

174
00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:07,800
Speaker 3: quarterback no matter who's under center, the fact that Toledo

175
00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,440
Speaker 3: has no avenue to score here, and we may have

176
00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:13,840
Speaker 3: new faces and new pieces on both sides of the offense,

177
00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:16,880
Speaker 3: it's a first half under because right we've seen these

178
00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:18,599
Speaker 3: offenses come out in these bowl games. They don't know

179
00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:20,280
Speaker 3: who they are, or they haven't worked together in a

180
00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,760
Speaker 3: live situation. I took a first half under on the

181
00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:26,720
Speaker 3: twenty six, kind of waffling on the fifty one. You know,

182
00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 3: nothing's shown up here in the market. I will also say,

183
00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:31,720
Speaker 3: just go look at first halves in the first game

184
00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:34,880
Speaker 3: the day after Christmas. It's a shit show of offense.

185
00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:36,400
Speaker 3: So first half under here for me.

186
00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:38,280
Speaker 1: I don't mind that.

187
00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:42,440
Speaker 3: I'll say I don't mind tempo. I know fast tempo.

188
00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:43,400
Speaker 3: It scares me.

189
00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:45,920
Speaker 1: Fast temp on a fast track. I don't mind taking

190
00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,600
Speaker 1: a shot on Toledo money line. I just think there's

191
00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:49,720
Speaker 1: a lot of variants to pick quarterback situation. I think

192
00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,200
Speaker 1: there could be some turnovers. I think if Toledo's hitting

193
00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:57,280
Speaker 1: those explosives with their receivers, then they're going to have

194
00:10:57,320 --> 00:10:59,440
Speaker 1: a shot to win this game. And the Toledo defense

195
00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:01,640
Speaker 1: is solid. It's not as good as last year. But

196
00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:03,880
Speaker 1: you know, if you look, this is a team bad offense.

197
00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,160
Speaker 1: They just have to hit the explosives like they're very

198
00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,560
Speaker 1: inefficient offense outside the top one hundred and both off

199
00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:13,720
Speaker 1: both rushing and passing success rates inside the top forty

200
00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:18,800
Speaker 1: in both on defense, So big difference there. So yeah,

201
00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:23,719
Speaker 1: I don't. He also pits the leading receiver opted out Mumfield. Yeah,

202
00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,319
Speaker 1: not in a game. I feel stronger though that.

203
00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, he spent half his snaps a slot and wide out.

204
00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:31,920
Speaker 3: So it's a huge loss. It's not just one position

205
00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:32,960
Speaker 3: I got to fill. It's a lot.

206
00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:33,880
Speaker 5: All right.

207
00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:39,120
Speaker 1: Let's move on to the Rate Bowl. If you don't

208
00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:41,680
Speaker 1: bet on a bowl as the bowl even.

209
00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:44,560
Speaker 2: Exist, the Rate Bowl.

210
00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:47,640
Speaker 1: This used to be the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. They are

211
00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,280
Speaker 1: apparently rebranding, so it's just the Rate Bowl.

212
00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:52,439
Speaker 3: Was this the Cactus and Motel six? I got to

213
00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:52,959
Speaker 3: look that up.

214
00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,880
Speaker 1: I don't know which one this was. This is nine

215
00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:03,960
Speaker 1: Eastern on ESPN, Rutgers, Kansas State in Phoenix, Arizona. If

216
00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:09,400
Speaker 1: you're going to Phoenix, a follower says, you got to

217
00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,920
Speaker 1: go to Scottsdale and go to Chelsea's Kitchen for the

218
00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,800
Speaker 1: vibes and it's good place. A couple other people co

219
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:21,520
Speaker 1: signed on that. Kennastate six and a half win favorite

220
00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,240
Speaker 1: total fifty and a half. Shato has been very solid

221
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,200
Speaker 1: in Bowls six and two at Rutgers. Says he learned

222
00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,839
Speaker 1: from Paterno when he was a young coach how to

223
00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 1: prepare for bolls. Paterno was always very good in bowl

224
00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:36,199
Speaker 1: games at Chris Common. By the way, I think he's

225
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,720
Speaker 1: two and two in bowls at Kansas State. Was talking

226
00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:41,160
Speaker 1: a little bit about there's a little bit of insight.

227
00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:42,719
Speaker 1: I think every coach is going to be different. Every

228
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:46,080
Speaker 1: situation is different. But he was saying the time between

229
00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,680
Speaker 1: the end of the season and the bowl game set

230
00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,200
Speaker 1: he's done seventy percent of it on roster construction, which

231
00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:58,680
Speaker 1: means like a Portal recruiting thirty percent on prep for Rutgers. Well,

232
00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:02,320
Speaker 1: like some news here, it looks like everyone on Rutgers

233
00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:06,280
Speaker 1: is going to play. I mean their cornerback Robert Longerbeam

234
00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,800
Speaker 1: his Instagram story. I take that as he's going to play.

235
00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,720
Speaker 1: Same with their safety Shack Loyal. Left tackle Holland Pierce

236
00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,640
Speaker 1: still an unknown. Kyle Mnong Guy said discussions are still

237
00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:17,120
Speaker 1: on going, but he did make the trip. He was

238
00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:21,440
Speaker 1: there based on his Instagram. Tiring Pale, their linebacker, said

239
00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,959
Speaker 1: discussions are still on going, so there's a couple questions.

240
00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:25,400
Speaker 1: They did have some injuries at the end of the

241
00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:27,400
Speaker 1: Rego season which are worth monitoring. All of these all

242
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,800
Speaker 1: updated in my file. But they're starting corner Eric Rodgers,

243
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:34,480
Speaker 1: starting DN Aaron Lewis, and starting safety Bibe no Soon.

244
00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,280
Speaker 1: They didn't play in the finale. Rutgers also won't have

245
00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:40,319
Speaker 1: a defensive coordinator for the bowl game. Kansas State.

246
00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,320
Speaker 3: Before you go there, Hallan Pierce had left tackle is

247
00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:47,480
Speaker 3: a huge watch. There's only twenty four snaps that went

248
00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:50,439
Speaker 3: to any other linement to left tackle, so eight hundred

249
00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:53,240
Speaker 3: and fifty snaps for Holland Pierce. Big piece YEP.

250
00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,960
Speaker 1: Kansas State will be without wide receiver Kegan Johnson. They

251
00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,680
Speaker 1: were starting right tackle Calarra Willis, and then they're running

252
00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:04,880
Speaker 1: back Giddins, who declared for the NFL Draft. You got

253
00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,240
Speaker 1: to hit explosives on this Kansas State d The problem

254
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:11,400
Speaker 1: is Rutgers bottom twenty explosiveness on offense. You can't really

255
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,480
Speaker 1: run on Kansas State. You have to beat them through

256
00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:18,920
Speaker 1: the air. Ken Rutgers do that consistently. I do know Rutgers.

257
00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,480
Speaker 1: They won't beat it. They won't beat themselves right with field.

258
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,560
Speaker 1: They'll have good field position. They won't beat themselves with

259
00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:29,160
Speaker 1: turnovers or penalties. You can run on Rutgers, which does

260
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,960
Speaker 1: worry me. Against Davy Johnson, you might see his legs

261
00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,160
Speaker 1: unleashed here and the Kansas State backfield, even if they

262
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,480
Speaker 1: won't have Giddins, what are you seeing here in this game?

263
00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I took Rutgers. I mean you mentioned the avenue

264
00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,600
Speaker 3: for Kansas State to score some points. I think I

265
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:46,600
Speaker 3: want to start real quick with how does Rutgers score points?

266
00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:48,840
Speaker 3: Because when you look at their overall offensive numbers, it's

267
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,880
Speaker 3: like this is just three yards per rush and a

268
00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:53,760
Speaker 3: cloud of dust and hopefully we get a first down

269
00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:56,040
Speaker 3: on the fourth. You know, if mon Guy opts out,

270
00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:58,400
Speaker 3: we got Antoine Raymond even get the nod. He was

271
00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:01,960
Speaker 3: less potent from a mistackles yards after first contact perspective.

272
00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,120
Speaker 3: But really I'm keeping an eye on that offensive line.

273
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:05,520
Speaker 3: Want to see who's going to show up there at

274
00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,920
Speaker 3: left tackle. The Kansas A D you know, second and

275
00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,560
Speaker 3: defensive rushing success rate top ten and defensive stuff rate,

276
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:16,320
Speaker 3: but you mentioned it Rutgers for some reason, despite lacking

277
00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:20,120
Speaker 3: in success rate and EPA, their fourth in havoc allowed

278
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:25,000
Speaker 3: and their thirteenth in offensive momentum killer, which means they

279
00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:29,120
Speaker 3: don't stop themselves. Ever, most disciplined offense in the nation.

280
00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,240
Speaker 3: I think if you look at eight and caliak manis

281
00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:34,080
Speaker 3: same turnover worthy play rate is last year when he

282
00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:35,880
Speaker 3: was at Minnesota, but when you look at what he's

283
00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,760
Speaker 3: done against pressure, that's where you see a huge increase

284
00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,960
Speaker 3: in his production. Last year six point eight percent turnover

285
00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:44,400
Speaker 3: worthy play rate with Minnesota when he had pressure. This

286
00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:46,560
Speaker 3: year that's been cut in half down to three point

287
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:48,920
Speaker 3: eight percent, and Kansas State is one hundred and six.

288
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:50,720
Speaker 3: And pass rush, they've had a problem creating a pass

289
00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,600
Speaker 3: rush all season. So not that this is an explosive

290
00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,760
Speaker 3: pass offense or anything even worth mentioning. But at least

291
00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 3: caliak manis is gonna have an avenue to have clear

292
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 3: windows to row into, because you know, Kansas State is

293
00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:06,080
Speaker 3: not very good at creating contested catches either. But I

294
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:07,640
Speaker 3: have to be kind of mean to Athan calliak Man

295
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:09,440
Speaker 3: is one hundred and seventeenth in on target rate. He

296
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,120
Speaker 3: has not been the most accurate. But this is, like

297
00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:14,120
Speaker 3: you said, a very disciplined offense and you will get

298
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:17,320
Speaker 3: your points out of Rutgers. Now, when you mentioned what's

299
00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:20,040
Speaker 3: is Avery Johnson the only avenue to rush exposive and

300
00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:23,200
Speaker 3: that can that take advantage of the Rutgers defense. You

301
00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:25,480
Speaker 3: have to go through and find a couple mobile quarterbacks

302
00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 3: on the Rutgers schedule. It was actually kind of hard

303
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:29,400
Speaker 3: to find. It seems like they played a lot of

304
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:33,200
Speaker 3: statues and conference play. Billy Edwards seven rushes for twenty

305
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:37,000
Speaker 3: eight yards for Maryland, Kyn Drones nine rushes for six

306
00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 3: yards out of Virginia Tech. Those are respectable numbers. And

307
00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 3: when you take out DJ Giddens out of here, I

308
00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,640
Speaker 3: mean they're going to run zone read power counter concepts

309
00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:48,840
Speaker 3: with climbing. Everything's just going to be on the table.

310
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,520
Speaker 3: But Dylan Edwards not good this year, I mean nothing

311
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 3: compared to what he was at Colorado. He's not had

312
00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:57,760
Speaker 3: a TD since Week seven against Colorado. He's only created

313
00:16:57,800 --> 00:17:00,960
Speaker 3: fifteen missed tackles this season. So Johnson is just the

314
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 3: whole show. And you think that Rutgers defense. Oh, by

315
00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:09,680
Speaker 3: the way, defensive coordinator for Rutgers, Joe Harris Simiak not

316
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,320
Speaker 3: going to be with the team. And Schiatto would not

317
00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,440
Speaker 3: say he would name a play caller in his presser,

318
00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,040
Speaker 3: but we all know it's him calling the plays on defense.

319
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,560
Speaker 3: So I think covering Avery Johnson and putting a spy

320
00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:23,199
Speaker 3: or two spies on him is going to be the

321
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,000
Speaker 3: plan here. He did have Avery Johnson did have four

322
00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:27,919
Speaker 3: explosives over the last two games against since the in

323
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,160
Speaker 3: Iowa State, So I would suspect that that's who gets

324
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,120
Speaker 3: the spy. Kansas State is not going to be able

325
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,479
Speaker 3: to force havoc on the Rutgers offense. The Rutgers offense

326
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:37,359
Speaker 3: is going to play a clean game. I took them

327
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:38,960
Speaker 3: plus seven. I'd still take him at plus six and

328
00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:39,320
Speaker 3: a half.

329
00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:41,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's dog or nothing here. I think

330
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 1: also from a care perspective, This probably means more to Rutgers, yeah,

331
00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:48,040
Speaker 1: in their program than Kansas State. I mean, Kansas State

332
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:53,040
Speaker 1: had higher aspiration, so where was the care level for

333
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:58,200
Speaker 1: the Bowl preparation? And judging from I mean, they're gonna

334
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:01,880
Speaker 1: be without as I mentioned out their starting corner as

335
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:05,639
Speaker 1: well in this game. It looks like this could change.

336
00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 1: But everything I'm seeing is the potential opt outs for

337
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:11,240
Speaker 1: Rutgers are like I'm posting on Instagram that they're like

338
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,639
Speaker 1: excited to play in this game, So that could be

339
00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:18,480
Speaker 1: some signal here. So yeah, I don't love the matchup,

340
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,719
Speaker 1: but I think it's dog or nothing here with Rutgers

341
00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,359
Speaker 1: Kansas State not a game that I love.

342
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,359
Speaker 3: Let's count on Seano is an elite bull coach. You

343
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 3: mentioned it off the top, so that's definitely worth considering

344
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:31,840
Speaker 3: this time of year for sure.

345
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:36,120
Speaker 1: Let's move on to the sixty eight Ventures Bowl nine

346
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:41,919
Speaker 1: pm Eastern ESPN on Thursday night between Arkansas State and

347
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 1: Bowling Green.

348
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 4: Please enjoy this actual sixty eight Ventures commercial I found

349
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:49,960
Speaker 4: looking back.

350
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 6: Our life is just an accumulation of the moments that

351
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:56,160
Speaker 6: we have. Until you learn to love the pain, embrace

352
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 6: the suck, you just love the difficult path. Life is

353
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:03,960
Speaker 6: not gonna be that for Philly. I love risks, the

354
00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 6: game of chas. That's what makes me feel a wile.

355
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:09,439
Speaker 6: It's not supposed to be easy.

356
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,680
Speaker 3: How you do anything is how you do everything.

357
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 2: The sixty eight Ventures Bowl.

358
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: This game will take place in Mobile, Alabama. You gotta

359
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 1: get breakfast at Ruby Slipper and then go get a

360
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 1: drink watch a game at Haley's Bar if you're in Mobile. Currently,

361
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,119
Speaker 1: Bowling Green's seven and a half point favorite. Total fifty

362
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,200
Speaker 1: two and a half. All right, so I like Bowling

363
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: Green in this game, even at seven and a half.

364
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 1: Obviously you'd like to better at seven or lower. I

365
00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:44,720
Speaker 1: think that there's a chance they blow out Arkansas State.

366
00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:50,840
Speaker 1: Arkansas State is the worst Bowl team they I mean

367
00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:54,680
Speaker 1: maybe Western Michigan, but Arkansas State. Just from a power

368
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: ratings perspective, this team somehow won seven games. They went

369
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 1: seven and five with five blowout losses. I know they

370
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 1: cut up to eight against Oldaminion. They're down twenty and

371
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:07,400
Speaker 1: Old de Minion was on its third string quarterback. Here's

372
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,600
Speaker 1: who they beat, Central Arkansas by three. Should have lost

373
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 1: that game. Tulsa by four. South Alabama by two, that's

374
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,160
Speaker 1: the only Bowl team they beat. They blew out Southern Myths.

375
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 1: That's they're one convincing win. They beat Troy by three

376
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: on the last second touchdown. They beat Georgia State by seven,

377
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 1: ULM by seven. Seven wins. One came against the bowl

378
00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:31,879
Speaker 1: team six the other six were teams on powered to

379
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,880
Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred, and they were plus eight

380
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 1: in turnover margin in those games. You cannot get luckier

381
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,680
Speaker 1: than what Arkansas State did to get to Bowl eligibility.

382
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,560
Speaker 1: Were they did? They finish the luckiest team in terms

383
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:46,399
Speaker 1: of second order wins.

384
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 3: I mean, I give me a half second, I'll catch

385
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 3: up with it. Yeah they have I think they did. Yeah,

386
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:52,479
Speaker 3: I remember us talking about this.

387
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 1: They had to have been like, yeah, two and a

388
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:56,639
Speaker 1: half wins or something.

389
00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 3: Three point eight is the different I'm sorry, three point

390
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 3: two second order win total.

391
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,160
Speaker 1: Three point two is they were really like a three

392
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 1: point eight win team.

393
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:07,160
Speaker 3: They should have been three point eight wins this year.

394
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: That's insane. And then Bowling Green I think was actually

395
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 1: a solid team. I think that they're I've'm power rated

396
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 1: right with Ohio now at the end of the season,

397
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 1: which is pretty crazy to say, since how low I

398
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 1: was on Ohio. Arc State will be without their starting corner.

399
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 1: Can I for a second sure.

400
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:30,600
Speaker 3: Nearly the most unlucky team in second order to win

401
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 3: total Bowling Green should have been an eight point four

402
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 3: minus one point four should have been a eight point

403
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 3: four win team. This is this is the second order

404
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 3: win Total.

405
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: Bowl, second order win total Bowl. Yeah. I love Bowling

406
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 1: Green here from a they Bowling Green does have a

407
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 1: few more starters out. They're gonna be without their running

408
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 1: back Stewart, their right tackle, and the all three of

409
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 1: these players were All MAC First Team All MAC Right

410
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 1: tackle Bolshoger is going to Kentucky, and then their linebacker

411
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 1: sip Harold Fan and then our State's just gonna be

412
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,360
Speaker 1: without their starting corner Dante Joyner. Looks like everybody else

413
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 1: will play. Harold Fannen, the stud tight end, one of

414
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 1: the best in the country. He won the Conference Player

415
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 1: of the Year, first ever tight end to do that.

416
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 1: I believe he's gonna play Arkansas State, which has a

417
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 1: dreadful defense. They can't cover, they can't tackle, Their safeties

418
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 1: are really bad. I don't know how they cover him.

419
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 1: And we just saw Pat Conroy, the tight end for

420
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 1: ODU the thirte and quarterback go for four for ninety

421
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:37,160
Speaker 1: for two touchdowns. So I think Bowling Green's acide and

422
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 1: and by the way, artists say, can't really run it

423
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 1: and you can't throw in Bowling Green, and I believe

424
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 1: a Loodokan's gonna play their star corner. But Fannin props, well,

425
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 1: I don't know when they're gonna come out. He needs

426
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 1: eleven yards and he needs twelve catches to set the

427
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 1: single season reck for a tight end.

428
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 3: Yep.

429
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 1: Now, I think they're gonna try to go for it

430
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 1: twelve and obviously he's gonna get eleven yards, but twelve catches, Yeah,

431
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 1: I think he can get it. And he had twelve

432
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: for one to ninety three against ODU, get eleven for

433
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,120
Speaker 1: one thirty seven against Penn State. He's capable of doing

434
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: it in Arkansas State can't cover him. So I think

435
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: it's Bowling Green, and I'm gonna be looking for all

436
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 1: of the in fanin reception props. I don't think maybe

437
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 1: yards will be inflated, but I think that they're going

438
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 1: to try to get him just many easy looks. I

439
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 1: wouldn't even hate the yards. I don't think they're gonna

440
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 1: tackle him. I think he's gonna break a couple. So

441
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 1: fanin props and BG, are you integrants.

442
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,360
Speaker 3: Well, let's talk about that, Harold Fan and Proper real quick.

443
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 3: If you look at the last three games against Western

444
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:59,159
Speaker 3: Michigan Ball State in Miami, Ohio three absolutely the highest

445
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 3: target share rate in the last game of season. It's

446
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 3: my how he ended with twelve, eleven, and sixteen targets

447
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 3: in those last three games. I think Bowling Green has

448
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 3: been pushing for this for a long time. So you

449
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 3: were on the nose there Arkansas State when you said

450
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 3: that they're bad at defense. I think what you meant

451
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 3: is they're the worst. Because they are. They are dead

452
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 3: last and standard down success rate. If Bowling Green is

453
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 3: not sitting on second and four every single drive, I

454
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 3: would be a little bit shocked here. I know the

455
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 3: number has steamed. I got Bowling Green minus six on

456
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 3: the open That was with Terry and Stewart quote tweeting

457
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 3: his teammates the running back saying, do you guys care

458
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,360
Speaker 3: if I join you? This is a collective effort from

459
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 3: Bowling Green to come out and do as much damage

460
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 3: as they can. Now there are you know, right tackle

461
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 3: Alex Wolscheger. He signed with Kentucky. So there's seventy seventy

462
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 3: seven hundred and seventy three snaps it'll be missing, So

463
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 3: a little bit of a position of concern, especially there's

464
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 3: minimal experience at the second string right tackle. But that,

465
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 3: like I said, I'm not sure that's really going to

466
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 3: stop against this Arkansas State.

467
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 1: The bowing is a concern that not great. Now let'll

468
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 1: be missing their at their best, but Arkansas State really

469
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:09,959
Speaker 1: take advantage.

470
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 3: I can't even tell everybody, like the screen I'm staring

471
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 3: at with how much Arkansas State is near dead last

472
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 3: and every single defensive analytic possible. And now you've lost

473
00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:22,400
Speaker 3: probably your best corn, you have lost your best corner

474
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 3: and Dante Joyn her highest graded coverage defender through six

475
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 3: hundred ninety four snaps. With an already horrible Arkansas State secondary,

476
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,360
Speaker 3: Scotle Offler needs to get off the couch here, get

477
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 3: off the toilet. Zero to two against the spread and

478
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 3: bowl games. Butch Jones is five and two against the spread,

479
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:40,400
Speaker 3: so Scott Offler could use one here. Butch Jones mentioned

480
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 3: I think two days ago, I am ramping up my

481
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 3: portal visits over the next ten days, I am more

482
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:48,920
Speaker 3: interested in the future of our program, and this is

483
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 3: a real balancing act with the Bowl. And I was

484
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 3: just like, well, I've already hit six. I think I

485
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 3: needed seven. Half my need to hit eight. I needed

486
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 3: to probably. I mean that that that's the kind of comments.

487
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 3: And considering what Harold Fannin's trying to do, Terry and

488
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 3: Stewart wanted to play instead of leaving the program. You know,

489
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 3: Fanning's going to go up against a covered unit of

490
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 3: the ranks one hundred and seventeenth per PFF. He's going

491
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 3: to get a slot corner and justin Parks that's been

492
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,959
Speaker 3: targeted forty four times this year, allowed thirty four catches.

493
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 3: I mean, there's just nobody.

494
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 1: No one's covering Harold read.

495
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 3: What's covering them. And then Terry and Stewart that inside zone.

496
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: I don't think to play by the way he might.

497
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 3: You think he'll sit even though he said.

498
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 1: He signed with another team. So I don't know, Yeah,

499
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: I think, you.

500
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:33,120
Speaker 3: Know, I'm not going to go into the Arkansas State offense.

501
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 3: I mean, they have a respectable they have some numbers

502
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 3: that they can get with maybe I mean kind of

503
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 3: mid FBS and EPAU Jayalen Rainer.

504
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 1: They have some talent receiver, but the big secondary is legit. Yeah.

505
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, but they're going to have to make some tackles

506
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,719
Speaker 3: because Zach Wallace, the running back in Jalen Rainer are

507
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 3: going to run that inside zone and Bowling Green is

508
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 3: respectable about a fifty two percent success rate. Where I

509
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 3: get worried about this number is that Bowling Green against

510
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:02,640
Speaker 3: inside zone has given up an explosive sixteen percent of attempts.

511
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 3: That is really high. You want to be about an

512
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 3: average of eight percent big play rate. So there is

513
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 3: a chance at Arkansas State is going to rip a

514
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 3: couple with inside zone with Rainer and Wallace. That would

515
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 3: be my worry. But other than that, it maybe the

516
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,879
Speaker 3: fan and props are bigger than the side that you

517
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 3: have on Bowling Green.

518
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:19,919
Speaker 1: That's gonna be fun trying to root him to get

519
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,440
Speaker 1: twelve catches too. All right, let's move on to Friday.

520
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:27,919
Speaker 1: Kick things off noon Eastern on ESPN with the Lockey

521
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 1: Martin Armed Forces Bowl between Oklahoma and Navy.

522
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 3: That's a good thing.

523
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 2: The Armed Forces Bowl Fort Worth.

524
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:59,920
Speaker 1: If you're there, Panthers City for barbecue, Oklahoma is down

525
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:05,160
Speaker 1: down to a let me check the updated board, get

526
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 1: down to a three point favorite total forty three and

527
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 1: a half. This was an easy click for me. Bet Navy.

528
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 1: Now bet Navy money line. If you're gonna bet, it's

529
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,959
Speaker 1: Service Academy to a bowl as a dog, and I'm

530
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: gonna bet these almost every single time.

531
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 4: That's good.

532
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 1: Seventy percent against the spread, north of seventy percent against

533
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 1: it's nineteen ninety good since twenty thirteen, Service Academies fifteen

534
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 1: and three straight up and against the spread. Good, that's

535
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: good fifteen and three, seven and two straight up against

536
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 1: Power four teams over that span.

537
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 3: It's not like, oh, everything's great.

538
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 1: No, everything ain't great, but you know what.

539
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: That's good?

540
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 1: Why are they so successful? One? You know they're going

541
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 1: to show up a lot of these bowls are about motivation.

542
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: Service academies are always going to show up. Two, they

543
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 1: run a unique offense. Do teams want to spend the

544
00:28:55,880 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 1: holidays and bowl the time off preparing really vigorously for

545
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 1: the triple option? Probably not big preparation edge for Navy. Two.

546
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 1: Navy's not worried about the portal and all this other stuff. Oklahoma,

547
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 1: That's all that they're doing. Their staff is doing and

548
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 1: they've hired new offensive coordinator. They're in the portal trying

549
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 1: to build the roster for next year. I doubt that

550
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: they're spending a ton of time on Navy.

551
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 3: Look, if there's anybody that would like to tap out

552
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 3: it made it wants to leave, I'll escort what you

553
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 3: do at the door right now.

554
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 1: Now, Oklahoma, they did hire Ben Arbalkozerci, but he won't

555
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 1: be part of Bowl preparations. Joe John Finley will continue

556
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: to call plays and the offensive staff will be retained

557
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: for this Bowl. Jo John Finnay, I mean they were

558
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: basically like a triple option tap down the stract, but

559
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold won't be playing. But I assume they're going

560
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 1: to just try to run a lot with Michael Hawkins.

561
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: There are a ton of guys in the portal for

562
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 1: Oklahoma and they're not going to play.

563
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 3: It's a work in progress.

564
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 1: We're under construction. All of their receivers, Brenan Thompson, JJ Hester, Farrouke,

565
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: Nick Anders and Angel Anthony, a lot of them are hurt,

566
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 1: but they're not going to play. Their tight end, Bower Sharp,

567
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 1: he's not gonna play. A couple of their corners are

568
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: out they're running back. Javontey Barnes looks like he's not

569
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 1: gonna play if Dean Burks doesn't play, so I don't

570
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: know if he's gonna be healthy enough to play. He

571
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: is on the depth chart. If he can't play, The

572
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: top eight options at receiver are freshmen, so I don't

573
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: think oclone's gonna have any success throw owing it no

574
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: matter for a twenty eight point favorite, Kyo for three

575
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 1: point dog.

576
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 3: That's what being all in means.

577
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 1: Their run defense is very good against Navy.

578
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 4: That's good.

579
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 1: But your boy, my boy, Andy Stutsman, he opted out.

580
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 1: Their safety, Billy Bowman, he also opted out. It does

581
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 1: look like all their defensive linemen are gonna play. Ethan

582
00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 1: Downs that'sa aw his. I think his dad say he's

583
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 1: gonna play. Armison Thomas is gonna play. And then a

584
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 1: couple of other guys I was looking at Terry, Williams,

585
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 1: Ford and Spears Jenny's are all on the bowl depth chart,

586
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: so we'll keep keep an eye there. But Stut's been out,

587
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 1: Bowman out. Those are two big losses. This is a

588
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 1: service Academy is a dog in a bowl. I'm not

589
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 1: overthinking this. Give me the points with Navy. I also

590
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind the under, but I needed Oklahoma's defense

591
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 1: to be at full strength. So at this level of

592
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: a number, I'm not not going in on the under.

593
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 1: We better bring it. Bring your mouthpiece. What are you

594
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 1: seeing here?

595
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. You cannot take an under Listen, Brian Newberry

596
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 3: already has already covered the one bowl game that he's

597
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:24,479
Speaker 3: coached against. This is a big deal for them. You

598
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 3: can't take an under without Danny Stutsman at the second

599
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: level of the defense and Billy Bowman in the back

600
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 3: of the defense. They are critical to making stops, tackling

601
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 3: in space and stopping what this Navy offense is going

602
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 3: to do. Maybe probably a sour end to the season,

603
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 3: so you know, you would think, well, I'm sorry, I'm

604
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:45,880
Speaker 3: sorry Navy. You know, didn't get the chance to win

605
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 3: their conference. The bowl games are going to be very

606
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 3: big to them. Owe you their interest level in this

607
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,840
Speaker 3: not sure venables one and one against the spread and

608
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 3: bowls very limited. In the offense. If Dion Burks doesn't play,

609
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 3: I mean you're looking at an RPO with Hawkins, you know,

610
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 3: in a rushing attack that just really struggled all season.

611
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 3: This offensive line never really got them going either. The

612
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 3: Navy defense is vulnerable on the ground. I mean there's

613
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 3: no doubt we've podcast about that all year. They have

614
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 3: not been able to defend anything that ou will want

615
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 3: to do on the ground with the RPO. But at

616
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,239
Speaker 3: the same time, you're gonna be able to load nine

617
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 3: the box here and just go straight at Michael Hawkins

618
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 3: because a lot of teams did this year. On the schedule. Also, boy,

619
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 3: taking it over here, Navy's thirty second They average about

620
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 3: thirty seconds per play. Not really a fast offense. But

621
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 3: it's the EPA you've got to worry about here tenth

622
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:37,880
Speaker 3: and rushing EPA fourth and passing EPA Oklahoma during the

623
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 3: season with the fourth strength of schedule in the nation

624
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 3: against the SEC sixtieth and defending pass explosives and if

625
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 3: you're missing Billy Bowman on the back end, it sounds

626
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 3: more like a Navy team total over, I would like

627
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 3: more confirmation on what's going on abou ou defensive line.

628
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Davey doesn't cover so be it Service

629
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 1: Academy in a bowl right as a dog, it's not

630
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: a bet for me.

631
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 4: Good.

632
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the sad Birmingham Bowle

633
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: the Birmingham Bowl. Why am I said I mentioned it earlier?

634
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:16,400
Speaker 1: It's Georgia Tech and Vanderbilt, two teams that I almost

635
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 1: undoubtedly would have been on had they been playing not

636
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 1: each other, but they get matched up here in the

637
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 1: Birmingham Ble and Birmingham Alabama three thirty Eastern ESPN on Friday.

638
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 1: If you're going to Birmingham, El Barrio for Mexican and

639
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 1: then it's actually an underrated food spot to go to

640
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:43,480
Speaker 1: some of the local soul food spots all around Birmingham.

641
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: So Georgia Tech, it looks like they did their top

642
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: two receivers in the portal, but Rutherford withdrew so it

643
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:54,360
Speaker 1: looks like he'll play. That's big. As Singleton is in

644
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 1: the portal, he won't play. They're left starting left tackle.

645
00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 1: He's also out. He's going to Arkansas starting out linebacker

646
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 1: Romelo Height he's out. They're starting safety Taste Seymour, he's out.

647
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 1: I think everyone else is gonna play for Georgia Tech.

648
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: They did have some injuries in the secondary late in

649
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 1: the year, so we'll see how healthy they are. But

650
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 1: Haines King should be healthier as well. Vanderbilt. They lost

651
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,879
Speaker 1: one of their offensive lineman, Gunner Hansen, but that's about it.

652
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 1: I think Eli Stowers is gonna play to Ricky right

653
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:24,959
Speaker 1: with the other one I'm watching. I think he's gonna

654
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:28,880
Speaker 1: play the and the offense really struggled down the stretch.

655
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 1: But they've now had time off, scheme up some stuff.

656
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,840
Speaker 1: I think teams started to figure them out. But most importantly,

657
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 1: Pavia wasn't healthy. He now says he's as healthy as

658
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 1: he's been since the opener against Virginia Tech. I mean

659
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 1: he had injuries across the board, so both of these

660
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 1: quarterbacks could be a bit healthier. These are similar teams

661
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 1: like that, and to play on teams two teams, he

662
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:58,560
Speaker 1: always went a back to an underdog. I think Vandy's

663
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,880
Speaker 1: gonna be a bit more motivated and they have closer

664
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 1: to a full strength roster. This is a team that

665
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 1: hasn't been to a bowl since twenty eighteen. By the way,

666
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,680
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech hadn't been to a Bolt since twenty eighteen.

667
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,919
Speaker 1: We saw that motivation playout last year against UCA. Danny

668
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 1: hasn't won a Bowl since twenty thirteen. Both of these

669
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,000
Speaker 1: are like, you know, run first, grinding, offenses. They want

670
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 1: to kind of bleed the clock down, but both secondaries

671
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 1: are extremely vulnerable. The biggest mismatch in this game is

672
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 1: probably Georgia Tech's pass offense efficiency their top twenty and

673
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 1: success rate versus Vandy's secondary bottom ten in the country.

674
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:43,439
Speaker 1: But man, especially if you give me three, I think

675
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,359
Speaker 1: I just got a ride to play on teams here.

676
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: Pobby's going to be healthier. I like this staff to

677
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 1: cook up some things. I think I got to take

678
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:58,240
Speaker 1: the points with Bandy. I mean, one last ride with Hobby,

679
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,399
Speaker 1: although he's going to be back, I think, but one

680
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:07,279
Speaker 1: last ride. It's Pavia as a dog. I think I

681
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,120
Speaker 1: think we got to take it. Do you agree? Disagree?

682
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 3: Completely disagree? If you if you would do two and

683
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:13,719
Speaker 3: a half, we could put on the board, but I

684
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 3: wouldn't do. Ah.

685
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I look, I was at Texas and

686
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 1: Ohio State for me, I'm up nine to seven. I

687
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 1: let you go.

688
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 5: I like that.

689
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:21,480
Speaker 6: Yeah.

690
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,879
Speaker 3: I like Georgia Tech here. I think the first thing

691
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:25,720
Speaker 3: to mention is that it is going to be sixty

692
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,440
Speaker 3: one degrees. But there are fifty chants of rain and

693
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,279
Speaker 3: twelve mile an hour. Twelve mile an hour wins here.

694
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 3: That's going to play into a huge reason why I

695
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 3: already like Georgia Tech. But let me start with the

696
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:39,320
Speaker 3: Vanderbilt offense. Diego Pave is going to run sixty percent

697
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,319
Speaker 3: of the time. They got manned power, a little bit

698
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,879
Speaker 3: of zone rate, everything going on. But their offensive tackle

699
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 3: Gunner Hanson's already with Florida State, and this is an

700
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 3: offense that flip flops their their tackles and their guards

701
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:50,719
Speaker 3: depending on power which side that they want to run.

702
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 3: It's it's a very interesting setup that we talked about preseason.

703
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:57,359
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech. They're pretty average success rate and defending all

704
00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 3: of those Vandy run concepts, but they are twelfth in

705
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,439
Speaker 3: line yards, so they have been able to handle other

706
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,399
Speaker 3: opposing offensive lines and getting a push. Bandy just doesn't

707
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 3: have any exposes with Pavia and Cedric Alexander running back.

708
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 3: Their top thirty in quality drives. But I mean, it's

709
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:12,719
Speaker 3: kind of like what we talked about with Rutgers. They

710
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 3: don't shoot themselves in the foot. A very high ranking

711
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 3: offensive momentum rate, it's just kind of slow and go.

712
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:22,600
Speaker 3: It's hard to stop Pavia fifty six and passing success

713
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 3: rate twenty fourth and EPA. I mean a lot of

714
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 3: that is you know, I'm running. I'm not boom over

715
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:29,359
Speaker 3: the top, play action, whatever you want to call it.

716
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 3: But sixty four targets to Eli Stowers. I don't have

717
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 3: an update on him. I don't know if you do,

718
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 3: but I don't have an update. You know, a trio

719
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 3: of backup tight ends accounted for just ten catches this year.

720
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 1: I think he's going to play.

721
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, if he plays, it's a huge boost. And I

722
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 3: think you know, from a betting perspective, you need to

723
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 3: have that before you would put money on Vanderbilt. We

724
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,239
Speaker 3: don't know right now, but I'm going to get it.

725
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 3: And also, you know Georgia Tech Edge Romela Height, He's

726
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:53,879
Speaker 3: in the portal. He leads a team in pressures which

727
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 3: might not come into play because I'm not sure how

728
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 3: much throwing is going to happen, especially if it's fifty

729
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,440
Speaker 3: percent showers and twelve milet inn hour wins. If running

730
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:02,919
Speaker 3: is important, That's where Georgia Tech I think has a

731
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:06,280
Speaker 3: monster edge, not just Aaron Philo and Haines King working

732
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 3: in tandem. At the end of the year, Filo great

733
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,720
Speaker 3: passing nine to one, big time throw to turnover worthy plays.

734
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:13,920
Speaker 3: Haines King not near the big time throw rate, but

735
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 3: end of the season with only one turnover worthy play

736
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 3: in two hundred and forty seven dropbacks. I didn't even

737
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 3: know that about Haines King, like he's been elite from

738
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:25,479
Speaker 3: a non mistake perspective. The Vandy defense finished one hundred

739
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:27,120
Speaker 3: and twelve in pass rush, So if there is going

740
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 3: to be passing here that if there isn't any rain,

741
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:31,520
Speaker 3: they're not going to get any pressure on whoever's throwing.

742
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 3: But you know, I think we need to talk about

743
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:36,359
Speaker 3: what's going on with the run concepts. So Georgia Tech

744
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:38,760
Speaker 3: is this is why I made the bet. Jamal Haynes

745
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 3: led this rushing attack for Buster Faulkner that is heavy encounter.

746
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 3: Sixty percent of snaps rushing attempts are on counter. With

747
00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 3: Jamal Haynes, they run a little zone read with both

748
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 3: of their quarterbacks, both quarterbacks. Kentucket and run. Vandy saw

749
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 3: counter on sixty four opponent attempts this year on their schedule,

750
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 3: a low and I'm super low thirty four percent success

751
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 3: rate and gave up an explosive one of every five

752
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 3: attempts against teams that ran counter. If it does rain,

753
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:11,720
Speaker 3: and we do have a field that's conducive to chunky

754
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 3: and running attack. Counter is going to absolutely destroy this

755
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 3: bandy defensive front, which I think it will anyways, no

756
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,640
Speaker 3: matter if there's weather. So because Vandy cannot defend this

757
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 3: run concept and Georgia Tech's offense has really put it

758
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:28,360
Speaker 3: on some teams this year, you know, I mean, Vandy

759
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:31,400
Speaker 3: finished bottom twenty in PFF tackling, they finished bottom twenty

760
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 3: in hard stops. Their second level explosives could come for

761
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech and the rush offense their top fifty and

762
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 3: just inside the top fifty and EPA. This fact that

763
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:41,839
Speaker 3: slot Malik Rutherford is coming back in his seventy nine

764
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,880
Speaker 3: targets that I mean Eric Singleton Junior not being there,

765
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 3: he's a whiteout, but having a slot with bad weather

766
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 3: it's a pretty good option, especially at seventy nine targets

767
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 3: and two point four yards per route run. That was

768
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,799
Speaker 3: a huge commitment that was made. I'm within, like, what

769
00:39:55,880 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 3: the last thirty six hours of this pod, I'm taking

770
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech. I think the counter is just too much

771
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:04,839
Speaker 3: for Vandy to defend. I think the rain actually helps

772
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,319
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech a ton, you know, Vandy is kind of

773
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 3: a one trick pony on offense, and you know, just

774
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 3: need Georgia Tech to step up and get a couple

775
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 3: of stops here. But I'll go ahead dead with you here.

776
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 1: I'm trusting Dandy be a little bit more motivated and

777
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 1: the dog in Diego Pavia. Although both quarter both these

778
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 1: quarterbacks are going to make plays extend drives. I'm actually

779
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,240
Speaker 1: looking forward to to watching this one.

780
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 3: God, I wish these two would have played someone else.

781
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 1: Awful. It's really really bad. Uh yeah, I'm wrong. I'm

782
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 1: wrong with Vandy. All right, let's move on to some

783
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 1: messy bowl games Friday night. I mean, man, you ready, time,

784
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 1: It's time? Everybody neck brace on.

785
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 3: Everybody, please get your polaroids out.

786
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 1: I'm wearing my neck brace.

787
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 3: I had to play Bobby Patrino. Now it's your turn.

788
00:40:57,560 --> 00:41:01,440
Speaker 1: Arkansas isn't a bowl game. Although maybe I shouldn't have

789
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 1: to wear this because it doesn't. It doesn't seem like

790
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 1: they want to be in a bowl game.

791
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:04,440
Speaker 3: They don't.

792
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:05,400
Speaker 6: Uh.

793
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 1: The Auto Zone Liberty Bowl seven pm Eastern on ESPN,

794
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 1: Friday night in Memphis, Tennessee.

795
00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:12,240
Speaker 2: The Liberty Bowl.

796
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 1: I know not what costs others do they take.

797
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 7: But as for me, give me liberty or.

798
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 2: Give me.

799
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,399
Speaker 1: I don't claim to be a barbecue expert. I don't

800
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 1: want to get into the who has the best barbecue Porkys.

801
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 1: You say Porky's, I would shock and get pulled.

802
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:34,280
Speaker 3: Porkys, which is owned by Joe Klein from our final

803
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 3: four teams in the in the in nineteen eighties.

804
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:39,719
Speaker 1: So all right, check out Porky's. I would shock to

805
00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 1: pulled pork sandwich. All right. So this is this bowl

806
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 1: is a mess. We have on our agree tab by

807
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 1: the way, we only have we only have two bowls

808
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,319
Speaker 1: so far on the agree with Memphis, which is a win,

809
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 1: and we have Texas Tech plus three. Now this line

810
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 1: went to Arkansas plus three, and I I took some

811
00:41:56,960 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 1: arksall plus three in it dance of some potential news

812
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 1: for Texas Tech, which ended up coming through. Now Arkansas

813
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:08,960
Speaker 1: is sitting for a much smaller in my original bet.

814
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:12,919
Speaker 1: Just took a portion off because I'd had a good,

815
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,480
Speaker 1: good idea that that I was going to come back.

816
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:23,879
Speaker 1: Now Arkansas has flipped back to a favorite, but only

817
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:26,960
Speaker 1: only minus one and a half. Now total fifty two

818
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 1: and a half totals came way down. I think I

819
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:36,760
Speaker 1: still like Texas Tech. Yeah, but very difficult game. In handicap.

820
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:41,280
Speaker 1: These are two very vulnerable defenses facing offenses with major

821
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,759
Speaker 1: question marks. That's how I would sum up this bowl game.

822
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:48,800
Speaker 1: Texas Tech also lost both of its coordinators. Seck Kelly

823
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 1: left to take the head coaching job at FAU, and

824
00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 1: they also let go of their defensive coordinator Tim de Ruter.

825
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 1: They made a really good hire. I thought to replace

826
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,080
Speaker 1: him and Shield would, but they're missing their.

827
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 3: Quardinat By the way, shiel Wood was one of the

828
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 3: hottest coordinator names. He's been following h Willie Fritz, Willie

829
00:43:05,880 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 3: Fritz around. This is a This is an up and

830
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 3: coming star that will be a head coach real soon.

831
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 3: They're in the new defense quarter for Texas Tech.

832
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 1: YEP. Agreed in the portal for Tech, get a couple

833
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 1: offensive linemen. No one else really that impactful. That was

834
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:25,320
Speaker 1: getting a ton of snaps. The big news is starting

835
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 1: quarterback Baron Morton Home missed the ball after having surgery.

836
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:30,759
Speaker 1: That means freshman will Hammond will go. He did see

837
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,439
Speaker 1: time this season. He came into that TCU game when

838
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 1: Morton was injured. Freshman, but you know, he's gonna have

839
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 1: time to prepare with these Bawl practices. I actually think

840
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 1: he might be a better fit for this offense. He can,

841
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:46,320
Speaker 1: he's a little bit more mobile, he can run the

842
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:51,839
Speaker 1: Reid option, so I don't hate it. They they're one

843
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:56,839
Speaker 1: of their wide receivers, Josh Kelly did opt out. And

844
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,440
Speaker 1: they did have some injuries, a lot of injuries all year,

845
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,799
Speaker 1: So this defense might look actually healthier than it's been.

846
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 1: I mean, just in the their regular season finale. I'm

847
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:08,359
Speaker 1: not sure in their status, not one hundred percent sure,

848
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 1: but both are starting defensive tackles missed, they're you know,

849
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,399
Speaker 1: one of their linebackers and played. Since we ate they're

850
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,359
Speaker 1: starting safety didn't play in the final few games, they

851
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:21,360
Speaker 1: could look a lot healthier on defense. Meanwhile, and the

852
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 1: big news is TODs Brooks. We don't know. I thought

853
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: he was definitely an opt out. He's listed as RB

854
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,959
Speaker 1: one on the depth chart. Yep, that's a good sign

855
00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:34,440
Speaker 1: they need him having needs him. He is just absolutely massive.

856
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,280
Speaker 1: So if he doesn't play, this gets a little iffy.

857
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:39,720
Speaker 1: If he does, he is RB one in the depth chart.

858
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,360
Speaker 1: Hopefully it's not one of those things where he comes

859
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:44,640
Speaker 1: in the first drive and then doesn't play. But I

860
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:48,080
Speaker 1: think if he plays, I like Texas Techas. Arkansas's roster

861
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 1: is in shambles. Starting center Addison Nicols, starting left guard,

862
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 1: Andrew Kus starting right guard, Josh Brown. They all signed already,

863
00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 1: they're not going to play.

864
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:02,920
Speaker 3: What's that to all the Old Miss? Almost all of

865
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:03,720
Speaker 3: them to Old Mess?

866
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:06,560
Speaker 1: Lots of Old Miss. There's all their starting receivers. Andrew

867
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:10,399
Speaker 1: Armstrong's opting out Sitaneas sign with Oklahoma. They're starting tight

868
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: end lucast signed with Old Miss. They're starting safety, one

869
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 1: of their linebackers, one of their dns all gone to

870
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 1: Quinnin's opting for the NFL to Quinnin Jackson, opting out

871
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 1: one of their backup running backs in the portal along

872
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 1: the defensive line, Landon Jackson, the best defensive player, he's

873
00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 1: opting out Eric Gregory, their best defensive tackle, he's opting out.

874
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,799
Speaker 1: They only have six healthy scholarship offensive lineman. You're gonna

875
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 1: have a new starting center and new right guard, and

876
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 1: then one of the receivers, Tyrone Broden, he's doubtful dealing

877
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: with the family matter. Here are the snap counts, So

878
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 1: you got Tyler Green is gonna play. Here are the

879
00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 1: snap counts. Are the starters, the skill position starters on

880
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 1: the bold depth chart. Running back Rodney Hill one hundred

881
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:57,919
Speaker 1: and fifteen snaps, Isaac Tesla, He's the experienced guy. Three

882
00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:01,960
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty snaps. Wide receiver Monte Harrison fifty eight.

883
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:06,760
Speaker 1: Wide receiver CJ. Brown forty two. Tight end Andreas Paski

884
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 1: won fifty three. I mean, so I think this Texas

885
00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 1: Tech roster is in much better shape. I actually don't

886
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:18,319
Speaker 1: mind Hammond, think he's a good fit. And if if

887
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 1: Brooks plays, I think they're gonna be able to move

888
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:24,720
Speaker 1: the ball on Arkansas, a very short handed Arkansas defensive

889
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:29,120
Speaker 1: front in an already vulnerable secondary. And who's running the ball?

890
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 1: Who's Green throwing it to? I mean, you know you're

891
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,280
Speaker 1: into props with this game. Look for maybe Green rushing props.

892
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 1: What are I gonna you want to win this game?

893
00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:38,360
Speaker 1: You're gonna run Green. It's the only haven't run what

894
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 1: like thirty times in this game.

895
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:40,680
Speaker 3: The only offense.

896
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:44,439
Speaker 1: I still like Tech, even with the backup quarterback. Now

897
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,680
Speaker 1: Hammond could this is just a risky taking the bulls.

898
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:50,439
Speaker 1: I don't think it. I think we had a little

899
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:54,520
Speaker 1: bit more Intel than ty Thompson. But it could just

900
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:56,400
Speaker 1: he could just come in and it could be a disaster.

901
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:57,600
Speaker 1: Just a risky take.

902
00:46:57,640 --> 00:46:57,879
Speaker 5: You don't.

903
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 1: We don't really know, but I still I like tech

904
00:47:00,520 --> 00:47:03,600
Speaker 1: here have minus one and a half, especially if Brooks

905
00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 1: plays and he is on the depth chart, which is

906
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 1: a good sign. Are you still sticking with Texas.

907
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,879
Speaker 3: Tent woo pick suey.

908
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 1: Absolute dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

909
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 3: I don't know how we win a game the rest

910
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:17,239
Speaker 3: of the year, just flowing program up. Give us a

911
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:17,920
Speaker 3: death sentence.

912
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:20,719
Speaker 2: Collins talking razorback football.

913
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 3: I am, I am. Let me throw in a couple

914
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 3: of notes around some things that you said. First off,

915
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:29,239
Speaker 3: we're recording this on the twenty third, so as you know,

916
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 3: as as I do these handicaps, I've got to start

917
00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:33,879
Speaker 3: looking at weather, and I'm doing them about four days out.

918
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 3: So this could change seventy one percent chance of rain

919
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:40,080
Speaker 3: thirteen mile an hour wins. If Taylor Green even had

920
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 3: someone to throw to. He hasn't been accurate and the

921
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 3: weather dictates that he it might be a shitty day

922
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:48,120
Speaker 3: to be a thrower. You know, you mentioned Tesla twenty

923
00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:50,160
Speaker 3: five catches that leads all pass catchers now, Bray and

924
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:52,640
Speaker 3: Russell is our running back that has been already been

925
00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:55,239
Speaker 3: in the portal twice and come back out. He is

926
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,160
Speaker 3: the player that Pittman's been talking about this trying to

927
00:47:57,160 --> 00:48:00,480
Speaker 3: make a better financial future for himself. But what does

928
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 3: it matter. He does not create misstackles. He just likes

929
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 3: to bull you over. Not sure that's going to work here.

930
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 5: Now.

931
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:07,480
Speaker 3: The big question on this side of the ball is

932
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:11,960
Speaker 3: can Texas Tech defend Taylor Green against it with the

933
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 3: second string offensive line who has made unbelievable Taylor Green

934
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,840
Speaker 3: has made unbelievable critical mistakes in the RPO game. And

935
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 3: if you want to know why all of these targets

936
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,840
Speaker 3: are in the portal, especially considering like Andrew Armstrong is

937
00:48:24,880 --> 00:48:28,360
Speaker 3: like Taylor Green's roommate, these guys have been hot pissed

938
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:30,360
Speaker 3: with Taylor Green for the second half of the season.

939
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 3: They've wanted nothing to do with his accuracy where he

940
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 3: has put the ball one hundred and fifteenth an on

941
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 3: target rate for Arkansas. Taylor Green has not adjusted to

942
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:43,319
Speaker 3: SEC defenses whatsoever. After leaving Boise State. He has a

943
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,920
Speaker 3: huge pressure to sack just there's way too much going on.

944
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:48,719
Speaker 3: When he was a Boise State at eight point eight

945
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:51,440
Speaker 3: percent pressure to sack ratio. This year he saw one

946
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty seven pressures, a nineteen point seven percent

947
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:58,759
Speaker 3: pressure to sack ratio. It's not been good. So you

948
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 3: wonder what the offense is going to be. It's gonna

949
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:02,799
Speaker 3: be a lot of him rolling out. You say, can

950
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 3: Texas Tech defend that? Well, let's look at some mobile

951
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 3: quarterbacks on this Texas Tech defense that they've faced. Texas

952
00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:11,200
Speaker 3: Tech d against West Virginia Garrett Green ten rushes minus

953
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:15,760
Speaker 3: eleven yards, Shador Sanders nine rushes sixteen yards, Sam Levitt

954
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 3: for the playoff Arizona State nine rushes for twenty five yards,

955
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:21,759
Speaker 3: and then John Mattier. I had to throw it in there.

956
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,120
Speaker 3: John Mattia went twenty one for one ninety seven. I mean,

957
00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:27,440
Speaker 3: but it's John Mattira, right, heisman leader maybe John Mattier,

958
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,160
Speaker 3: So I throw that out. I don't knock Texas Tech defense,

959
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:31,720
Speaker 3: but they have shown a try.

960
00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 1: Or beat up in that game too. They're missing multiple stars,

961
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 1: lost more starters during the game.

962
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I throw that out. They've been good. I mean,

963
00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:40,919
Speaker 3: listen to the name Garrett Green, Shaduur Sanders, Sam Levitt,

964
00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 3: though those are respectable quarterbacks that have leser can get

965
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 3: outside the pockets. I don't think Taylor has any avenue

966
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 3: to get anything here. And if he gets popped and

967
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:49,720
Speaker 3: feels a little bit of an injury, you think Petrino's

968
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 3: golden child that he's been connected to since when Patrino

969
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:54,759
Speaker 3: was at Missouri State. He's gonna let him play and

970
00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:58,239
Speaker 3: maybe have an injury for next year. Absolutely not. Oh,

971
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 3: by the way, Malachi Singleton, our back up in the

972
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:02,360
Speaker 3: portal long gone, So I don't know who'd play quarterback.

973
00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 1: I think in the freshman Yeah, yeah, something happens to

974
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 1: Green is going to be running a lot, which could happen.

975
00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:12,480
Speaker 3: If Taj now Here's I want everybody to be careful

976
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 3: with the total, right, So the total did come down

977
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:15,719
Speaker 3: about three or four points. I think that could be

978
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:17,880
Speaker 3: portal related. But I'm not sure everybody's catching up with

979
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 3: what the weather's doing. I mean, there is a very

980
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:22,200
Speaker 3: large chance of rain. Oh, by the way, Arkansas's end

981
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:24,120
Speaker 3: this ball two years ago, I can't even I don't

982
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:25,879
Speaker 3: even know what the motivation is. Again on I forty

983
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:28,799
Speaker 3: and traveled on the other side of the state. If Taj

984
00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:32,239
Speaker 3: Boyd is playing here, you don't want I wouldn't think

985
00:50:32,239 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 3: you'd want to take an under because he could just

986
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 3: go crazy if there's bad or if there's rain, right,

987
00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:40,040
Speaker 3: if it's a sloppy track over there, I just think

988
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 3: that would be a really bad idea. Hamm in fourteen

989
00:50:42,480 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 3: of twenty two two big time throws, one turnover, worthy

990
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:47,759
Speaker 3: play three games of action, he flashed some designed run

991
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:50,319
Speaker 3: against TCU, and week nine. I think he can work

992
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 3: in tandem with Boyd here and get some damage on

993
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 3: the ground. You would say left tackle Dalton Merriman's in

994
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 3: the portal, but two other players did combine for four

995
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,520
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty three snaps at the blindside tack position.

996
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 3: Landon Jackson's not there to take advantage of that. So

997
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:05,919
Speaker 3: I have no problems with the offensive line for Texas Tech.

998
00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:08,480
Speaker 3: So with toaj Boy, this is absolutely a play on

999
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 3: Texas Tech. I expect that line to move. I would

1000
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:12,719
Speaker 3: be careful with the total if TAJ Boy does play

1001
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:14,840
Speaker 3: because of the weather, it'd be more like a Texas

1002
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 3: Tech team total over an Arkansas team total under. No

1003
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:25,280
Speaker 3: matter what that that that's it. I mean at Arkansas,

1004
00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:28,719
Speaker 3: you know what we're on to uh thero a do

1005
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,520
Speaker 3: Booby flanned. It's onto basketball season before we have baseball

1006
00:51:32,560 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 3: season because football's over.

1007
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:36,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, but Tabu canon for text Tech's also in the portal.

1008
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,600
Speaker 1: But yeah, the offensive line should be okay here, and

1009
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,440
Speaker 1: it helps when you're going up against the short handed

1010
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 1: Arkansas defensive line and TODJ. Brooks the main and it's

1011
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:50,160
Speaker 1: just a signal around Arkansas doesn't seem like they're overly

1012
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 1: excited to be here.

1013
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 3: Joey McGuire too, and know against the spread and bulls.

1014
00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, uh, guns up, it's time to take this off

1015
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,680
Speaker 1: all right. Now, let's get do a messier bowl game.

1016
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:06,640
Speaker 1: The Direct TV Holiday Bowl.

1017
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,440
Speaker 3: Is it gonna get played? I mean, I mean there's the.

1018
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 1: State says they're not going to opt out. Uh, Washington State,

1019
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:16,759
Speaker 1: Syracuse The Direct TV Holiday Bowl eight pm Eastern on.

1020
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 2: Fox, the Holiday Bawl.

1021
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: It's kind of disappointing. This is the what's it? Well,

1022
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 1: Arkansas at seven pm? So that's good. There's play two

1023
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:33,440
Speaker 1: bowl games going on because this one could get ugly

1024
00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:41,040
Speaker 1: because Washington State, I mean, who's playing for them? Who's coaching?

1025
00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:43,600
Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be without their head coach, Alvinsecryner,

1026
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:45,200
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator, quarterbacks coach.

1027
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:47,680
Speaker 3: The interim had an inn Did you read this? The

1028
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:51,279
Speaker 3: interim like thirty six hours ago, won't even tell anybody

1029
00:52:51,320 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 3: who the defensive staff is. They asked who the play

1030
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 3: caller was. He won't even talk about who the defensive

1031
00:52:56,200 --> 00:53:00,439
Speaker 3: staff is. Are you kidding me? Uh?

1032
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 1: Yeah? This line. Oh, by the way, this is in

1033
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:06,800
Speaker 1: San Diego, California. My watch is still in San Diego

1034
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:11,359
Speaker 1: for pet We been out there fish tacos. What's up?

1035
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:12,720
Speaker 3: Fish tacos?

1036
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:13,120
Speaker 5: Oh?

1037
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, just go around go park fish tacos. Yeah, you

1038
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:19,200
Speaker 1: gotta go gas lamp. It's like the coorst thing to say.

1039
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:20,759
Speaker 1: That's where my wife used to slip gas lamp.

1040
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 3: Have you been to Petco?

1041
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:25,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, gotta fuck it. I gotta love baseball young Blood.

1042
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:29,359
Speaker 1: If you're a drinker, go to Young Blood, get reservations

1043
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:32,080
Speaker 1: and go there. It's like speakeasy cockpail bar.

1044
00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:35,720
Speaker 3: Props to a podcast producer. By the way, he's mentioning

1045
00:53:35,760 --> 00:53:39,319
Speaker 3: that this is Syracuse's second ear in row and in

1046
00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:42,200
Speaker 3: a quick bowl because they got boat raced like forty

1047
00:53:42,200 --> 00:53:45,040
Speaker 3: five to zero by who was it, South Florida and

1048
00:53:45,080 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 3: the Boca Raton Bowl last year, but now this year

1049
00:53:47,560 --> 00:53:50,680
Speaker 3: Syracuse like can get exact some revenge from the players

1050
00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 3: that are held over so second ear in a row

1051
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:54,400
Speaker 3: for a foot bowl for Syracuse.

1052
00:53:54,440 --> 00:53:58,840
Speaker 1: Here, Yes, this is the Washington State. Washington State is

1053
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:03,000
Speaker 1: your quit watch wazoo without their staff who's out for them?

1054
00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 1: Ten eleven starters, who knows it will be more? Starting

1055
00:54:06,040 --> 00:54:08,960
Speaker 1: a quarterback, John Matier, starting running back way Shaun Parker,

1056
00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:12,720
Speaker 1: starting wide receiver, Chris Hutson. They're starting right tackle, starting

1057
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:17,040
Speaker 1: both starting cornerback, starting linebackers, starting safety, two starting defensive tackles.

1058
00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:21,400
Speaker 1: They're starting punter is even not going to play. And

1059
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:23,520
Speaker 1: then you have a couple other defensive deputies that have

1060
00:54:23,560 --> 00:54:25,400
Speaker 1: played like four hundred snaps. Want a safety, one a

1061
00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:30,120
Speaker 1: defensive lineman. I mean it looks like Zeby Ekhals will

1062
00:54:30,160 --> 00:54:34,160
Speaker 1: get the start at quarterback. Syracuse one of their starting

1063
00:54:34,160 --> 00:54:36,920
Speaker 1: corners in the transfer portal. But these two teams couldn't

1064
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 1: be any more different. Now they're approaching this. The entire

1065
00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 1: Washington State staff is out, All the players are opting

1066
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:46,880
Speaker 1: out in the portal. Fran Brown the head coach for Syracuse,

1067
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:49,520
Speaker 1: and I think he cares about this game in some

1068
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:51,200
Speaker 1: of those Syracuse players last year, by the way, they

1069
00:54:51,200 --> 00:54:54,960
Speaker 1: got embarrassed forty five nothing the South Florida in a

1070
00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,680
Speaker 1: game where they didn't have a coach. He said, everyone

1071
00:54:57,719 --> 00:55:01,040
Speaker 1: in Syracuse he expects to play. His exact quote was,

1072
00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 1: we don't opt out around here, So I mean this

1073
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:09,160
Speaker 1: line has Some people got this line and opened to

1074
00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 1: like three two and a half three I think, which

1075
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:18,600
Speaker 1: I mean. I figured in the tier was gonna opt out,

1076
00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,799
Speaker 1: so I got some. I got a better number than

1077
00:55:21,800 --> 00:55:25,480
Speaker 1: what's out there now on Syracuse. It's now sixteen and

1078
00:55:25,520 --> 00:55:30,600
Speaker 1: a half total fifty nine and a half. The total

1079
00:55:30,640 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 1: seems high because how's Washington State scoring. I know Syracuse'

1080
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:37,600
Speaker 1: d isn't good, but like, couldn't shouldn't this go like

1081
00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:41,600
Speaker 1: the Syracuse South floridgain last year? Forty five? Nothing like?

1082
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:45,960
Speaker 1: That's that's the vibes I get. Would I still lay

1083
00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,200
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half. We got to talk about the

1084
00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 1: current lines. I think it closes above seventeen. So yes,

1085
00:55:52,600 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 1: if you're gonna bet this it's Syracuse or nothing, don't.

1086
00:55:56,040 --> 00:56:00,879
Speaker 1: I wouldn't go anywhere near Washington State. But this line

1087
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:03,279
Speaker 1: has obviously moved a time. I don't know if it's

1088
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:08,800
Speaker 1: moved enough. It's Syracuse or nothing, but it's sixteen and

1089
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:10,919
Speaker 1: a half in the bowls. A lot delay would help

1090
00:56:11,000 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 1: help this out here.

1091
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 3: Got in the app last night, that would be Sunday,

1092
00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:19,479
Speaker 3: December twenty second. Two books have put it out team

1093
00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 3: total over thirty seven and a half for Syracuse here.

1094
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:26,440
Speaker 3: I just I don't see any other option going on here.

1095
00:56:26,480 --> 00:56:30,440
Speaker 3: Considering Washington State's defensive numbers were app I mean, Arkansas

1096
00:56:30,520 --> 00:56:33,720
Speaker 3: stateish absolutely horrific, and now they've lost almost every single

1097
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:35,799
Speaker 3: starter over there. They gave up thirty eight or more

1098
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:38,279
Speaker 3: in the season to Oregon State, New Mexico, Boise State.

1099
00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,040
Speaker 3: In San Jose State, Sarahcu scored thirty eight or more

1100
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:44,360
Speaker 3: against the defenses of Miami, Virginia Tech UNLV in Ohio.

1101
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:47,920
Speaker 1: By the way, Washington State, we should also mention before

1102
00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:51,400
Speaker 1: all these opt outs, there's probably signal that something was

1103
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:56,520
Speaker 1: very wrong because they got they lost their last three games,

1104
00:56:56,520 --> 00:56:59,480
Speaker 1: all as double digit favorites. This is the team that

1105
00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:04,000
Speaker 1: was trending in the wrong direction already and now it's

1106
00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:06,759
Speaker 1: just an absolute mess.

1107
00:57:06,920 --> 00:57:10,839
Speaker 3: Well, I mean, colinm Accord's got his full weapons here.

1108
00:57:11,040 --> 00:57:15,520
Speaker 3: Seventh and passing success right sixteenth and quality drives. You know,

1109
00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:17,360
Speaker 3: they weren't that great an EPA. They were one hundred

1110
00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:19,680
Speaker 3: and fifth, But that could change here against this defense

1111
00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:21,960
Speaker 3: if you go to the other side. The reason stuck

1112
00:57:22,000 --> 00:57:24,840
Speaker 3: that I am I some of these bowls, these lines

1113
00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:27,120
Speaker 3: are getting like out of control, they stop and then

1114
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:31,120
Speaker 3: the team covers by the closing line. I have a

1115
00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 3: feeling this could happen because I went back and I

1116
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:36,160
Speaker 3: watched a whole bunch of tape of zeb Eckhouse, who's

1117
00:57:36,200 --> 00:57:38,880
Speaker 3: going to be the quarterback here for Washington State. Six

1118
00:57:38,920 --> 00:57:40,160
Speaker 3: of seven passing on the year.

1119
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 1: But if you do a little bit, they do you

1120
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:43,160
Speaker 1: want to go do some Christmas shopping? Sorry, they have

1121
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:45,440
Speaker 1: watching film of Zebhouse?

1122
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:49,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, well yeah, Mandy wasn't happy about that. Eight thousand

1123
00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:52,840
Speaker 3: yards at Bryant for seventy one touchdowns and twenty five interceptions.

1124
00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,440
Speaker 3: He generated seventy five big time throws to just fifty

1125
00:57:55,440 --> 00:58:00,440
Speaker 3: turnover worthy plays. He threw in a thousand rush yards

1126
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,800
Speaker 3: over three seasons. Almost all of that came on scrambles.

1127
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:06,560
Speaker 3: Kid can move, Kid can throw. Kyle Williams eighty six

1128
00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 3: targets is still available in the slot and the white

1129
00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:09,960
Speaker 3: out from what I can read here, and running back

1130
00:58:10,040 --> 00:58:13,720
Speaker 3: Leo Plasi had fifty three carries for three point three

1131
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:16,800
Speaker 3: yards after first contact. I don't think the Wazoo offense

1132
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 3: is completely dead. And the tape I saw of Zebieck

1133
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:23,040
Speaker 3: House at Bryant, I mean it's Bryant. I get it.

1134
00:58:23,120 --> 00:58:26,720
Speaker 3: We're watching neck football here. I get it. It didn't

1135
00:58:26,720 --> 00:58:29,080
Speaker 3: look bad. So I'm gonna stick with Syracuse team total

1136
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:31,200
Speaker 3: over because if Washington State wants to put points up

1137
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 3: on the board, Hey, Fran Brown's ready to roll right,

1138
00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:34,640
Speaker 3: He's ready to hit you as fast as he can.

1139
00:58:35,240 --> 00:58:38,959
Speaker 1: As this is bod written all over. What a mess

1140
00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:41,760
Speaker 1: this is. So let's move on to the final bowl game.

1141
00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 1: Will cover on this podcast in the final bowl game

1142
00:58:44,080 --> 00:58:48,720
Speaker 1: on Friday night, December twenty seventh, the SRS Distribution Las

1143
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:51,720
Speaker 1: Vegas Bowl, ten thirty pm Eastern on ESPN Late Night

1144
00:58:52,400 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 1: Las Vegas.

1145
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:59,080
Speaker 6: Right Light said, going to send to send my fire.

1146
00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 3: Got a lot of money. That's rid of the burn,

1147
00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:04,720
Speaker 3: So get the steak.

1148
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:08,080
Speaker 2: So the Las Vegas Bawl.

1149
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:11,080
Speaker 1: All right, I tweet out an updated list of all

1150
00:59:11,080 --> 00:59:14,040
Speaker 1: the restaurants, every different type, bracket out updated list. I'll

1151
00:59:14,040 --> 00:59:17,400
Speaker 1: do that again right around like February. I'll give you

1152
00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:19,960
Speaker 1: the staples. You gotta go to Westgate watch a game.

1153
00:59:19,960 --> 00:59:23,480
Speaker 1: You gotta go to Circa watch a game. If you're

1154
00:59:23,520 --> 00:59:26,560
Speaker 1: going to a book. If you're down Circa Downtown, go

1155
00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:28,960
Speaker 1: to Berries. And then the two staples that I'll give you.

1156
00:59:29,040 --> 00:59:31,720
Speaker 1: Not like the trendy or where the new hottes chefs are.

1157
00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 1: Golden Steer. Go to Golden Steer. It's a Las Vegas institution.

1158
00:59:37,360 --> 00:59:41,560
Speaker 1: Get the table side Caesar, get a steak lobster. And

1159
00:59:41,600 --> 00:59:45,640
Speaker 1: then a place where we've all been together, pepper Mill.

1160
00:59:46,360 --> 00:59:49,600
Speaker 1: You gotta go to pepper Mill even late night. Don't

1161
00:59:49,680 --> 00:59:54,120
Speaker 1: order the Scorpion drink like me. Remember I had that drink.

1162
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:56,000
Speaker 3: Yes, I made you order it because I had what

1163
00:59:56,560 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 3: seven different alcohols in it? You and I had it

1164
00:59:58,360 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 3: at what four in the morning.

1165
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:03,200
Speaker 1: I don't get heartburn. I don't really get hangovers. I

1166
01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:07,240
Speaker 1: had the worst heartburn hangover of my life. This thing

1167
01:00:07,360 --> 01:00:10,800
Speaker 1: was like this big and it was just it was

1168
01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:13,840
Speaker 1: blue drinking out of flour in the morning. One of

1169
01:00:13,880 --> 01:00:17,680
Speaker 1: my one of my biggest regrets in life was that

1170
01:00:18,720 --> 01:00:22,120
Speaker 1: drinking that drink the next morning was hell on earth.

1171
01:00:23,120 --> 01:00:26,120
Speaker 3: Anyway, Can I throw in a couple. Yeah, okay, So

1172
01:00:26,320 --> 01:00:28,080
Speaker 3: if you don't want to go to Vegas and be

1173
01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:30,560
Speaker 3: on the Strip or downtown. I have spent a lot

1174
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:33,040
Speaker 3: of trips out of Red Rock, specifically, go into red

1175
01:00:33,080 --> 01:00:35,840
Speaker 3: Rock Canyon Grill. They have a great TV and bar

1176
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 3: set up some of the biggest shrimp and Bloody Mary's

1177
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:43,040
Speaker 3: I've ever had. It's rocked me a few times. But

1178
01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:46,120
Speaker 3: if you are on the Strip and you don't want

1179
01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:47,920
Speaker 3: to pay two hundred dollars to sit down in a book,

1180
01:00:48,240 --> 01:00:49,600
Speaker 3: and you don't want to deal with the riff raff

1181
01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:51,439
Speaker 3: of the bullshit of the people with ten dollars bets

1182
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:54,920
Speaker 3: that are yelling over you, I love going over to Encore.

1183
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:57,360
Speaker 3: Actually right in between OnCore and Win and I think

1184
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:58,680
Speaker 3: you and I have been there before with a couple

1185
01:00:58,680 --> 01:01:02,280
Speaker 3: of people is the east Side Lounge. Now, the east

1186
01:01:02,320 --> 01:01:06,120
Speaker 3: Side Lounge has a couple of pull down screens with projectors,

1187
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:11,160
Speaker 3: extremely comfortable couches, extremely comfortable chairs. It is made to

1188
01:01:11,200 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 3: be a martini bar, but they put the sports on.

1189
01:01:14,520 --> 01:01:17,000
Speaker 3: They don't charge you to sit down. You can get

1190
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:18,880
Speaker 3: if you have a group of five or less. The

1191
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:22,560
Speaker 3: east Side Lounge is quietly one of the best places

1192
01:01:22,560 --> 01:01:25,920
Speaker 3: to watch a game, and it is also about forty

1193
01:01:25,920 --> 01:01:29,120
Speaker 3: five second walking distance the Encore Sports book. Little tiny

1194
01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:31,480
Speaker 3: little booth that they got east Side Lounge is one

1195
01:01:31,480 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 3: of my little hidden favorites in Las Vegas.

1196
01:01:34,960 --> 01:01:37,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, always a great time. Can't wait to get back

1197
01:01:37,160 --> 01:01:40,600
Speaker 1: there soon. Texas A and M three and a half

1198
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:45,400
Speaker 1: point favor total fifty one and a half. Tough game

1199
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:50,479
Speaker 1: to crack. Texas A and M transfer portals to wide

1200
01:01:50,520 --> 01:01:53,600
Speaker 1: receiver Cyrus Allen, and then they got three key opt

1201
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: outs DN, Nick Scuton, d N Chamar Stewart, D tackle

1202
01:01:58,160 --> 01:02:01,439
Speaker 1: Schamar Turner, so three of them more important defensive lineman.

1203
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:03,040
Speaker 1: Now they have good depth there. They still have good

1204
01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:06,200
Speaker 1: defensive lineman, but those are three other best players up front.

1205
01:02:06,680 --> 01:02:09,000
Speaker 1: Alco said he doesn't expect any other opt out. So

1206
01:02:09,040 --> 01:02:14,080
Speaker 1: they love Moss. He's been hurt. Not on the depth chart.

1207
01:02:14,120 --> 01:02:15,080
Speaker 3: Moss is done.

1208
01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:20,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's done. USC David hit a lot harder in

1209
01:02:20,920 --> 01:02:24,320
Speaker 1: the portal, starting right tackle Mason Murphy. They're starting wide

1210
01:02:24,360 --> 01:02:27,480
Speaker 1: receiver Karen Hudson, starting wide receiver Deuce Robinson, starting one

1211
01:02:27,480 --> 01:02:30,800
Speaker 1: receiver zach Ry Branch. Their backup running back Quinton Joyner

1212
01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:34,400
Speaker 1: who signed with Texas Tech. That's important because wood he

1213
01:02:34,480 --> 01:02:37,560
Speaker 1: Mark is opting out. You know, then you got a

1214
01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:40,400
Speaker 1: couple other depth pieces. They're starting cornerback, Jalen Smith is

1215
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:44,280
Speaker 1: opting out. Looks like they're starting guard. Pregnant will play.

1216
01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:50,760
Speaker 1: Kamari Ramsey's coming back. It looks Brian Jackson is going

1217
01:02:50,800 --> 01:02:57,320
Speaker 1: to lead the backfield. Now, I think so this Lin's

1218
01:02:57,320 --> 01:02:59,160
Speaker 1: sitting at three and a half. By the way, us

1219
01:02:59,160 --> 01:03:01,320
Speaker 1: he already played in this stadium. It's a little bit

1220
01:03:01,360 --> 01:03:02,360
Speaker 1: of an advantage there.

1221
01:03:02,840 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 3: And well it's Jade. What are you talking about is

1222
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:06,040
Speaker 3: Jade Mavis Stadium?

1223
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:11,360
Speaker 1: Yes, and USC played there, played us U LSU the opener. Yeah,

1224
01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 1: so a little bit of familiarity there. I I'm inclined

1225
01:03:17,320 --> 01:03:20,560
Speaker 1: to take the points here. It's more of a gut feel.

1226
01:03:21,520 --> 01:03:24,720
Speaker 1: The USC still has talent at wide receiver, right lane Lemon,

1227
01:03:25,520 --> 01:03:28,439
Speaker 1: They're gonna have talent. Lincoln Riley's gonna draw up some things.

1228
01:03:28,520 --> 01:03:32,040
Speaker 1: I like what I saw from my ada against Notre Dame.

1229
01:03:32,600 --> 01:03:34,680
Speaker 1: He seemed to grasp that offense. And now he's gonna

1230
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:36,640
Speaker 1: get a couple more weeks. Remember he took over the

1231
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:38,640
Speaker 1: job from Millner Moss halfway through the season. He's gonna

1232
01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:41,400
Speaker 1: get a couple more weeks of Bowl practices to kind

1233
01:03:41,400 --> 01:03:45,280
Speaker 1: of work with the ones or some new ones, and

1234
01:03:45,320 --> 01:03:47,280
Speaker 1: that Texas A and M defensive line that was the

1235
01:03:47,360 --> 01:03:49,560
Speaker 1: strength of their team. It's still gonna be good and

1236
01:03:49,560 --> 01:03:51,320
Speaker 1: they still players up there, but it's not gonna be

1237
01:03:51,320 --> 01:03:53,800
Speaker 1: as deep and it's not gonna be as talented. Obviously,

1238
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:55,960
Speaker 1: when you have three opt outs up front, I know

1239
01:03:56,080 --> 01:03:58,200
Speaker 1: USC is not a full strength. Most of that is

1240
01:03:59,040 --> 01:04:01,800
Speaker 1: a wide receiver. I still believe in their talent at

1241
01:04:01,800 --> 01:04:04,440
Speaker 1: wide receiver. I mean lane was pretty much like kick

1242
01:04:04,520 --> 01:04:06,520
Speaker 1: to the curb and then against Notre Dame, what do

1243
01:04:06,600 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 1: they have three touchdowns in that game? I kind of

1244
01:04:12,320 --> 01:04:15,080
Speaker 1: like USC. I think A and M was overrated all year.

1245
01:04:15,320 --> 01:04:20,240
Speaker 1: I was rooting for them, but I think, and here's

1246
01:04:20,280 --> 01:04:22,600
Speaker 1: the other key for me, if you're gonna get me

1247
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:26,400
Speaker 1: three and a half in this game, I love the

1248
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:32,960
Speaker 1: USC defensive staff, like from top to bottom, so you

1249
01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:37,680
Speaker 1: give them extra time to repair. Here for Reed, who

1250
01:04:37,760 --> 01:04:40,560
Speaker 1: I think can get confused and is limited in certain ways,

1251
01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:47,720
Speaker 1: I think that's advantage USC. Trojans in Vegas three and

1252
01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:52,360
Speaker 1: a half. I don't know if their opt outs warn't this.

1253
01:04:53,680 --> 01:04:55,320
Speaker 1: I like the Trojans probably gonna be on the plus

1254
01:04:55,360 --> 01:04:55,960
Speaker 1: three and a half.

1255
01:04:56,160 --> 01:04:58,480
Speaker 3: Let's start. Let's start from the beginning here, because if

1256
01:04:58,480 --> 01:05:00,160
Speaker 3: this would have been played during the regular season the

1257
01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:01,800
Speaker 3: neutral side, I would have had a Texas A and

1258
01:05:01,880 --> 01:05:04,400
Speaker 3: M minus four. That two and a half opener I wanted.

1259
01:05:04,880 --> 01:05:06,920
Speaker 3: But I also was in this area where it's like

1260
01:05:06,920 --> 01:05:08,400
Speaker 3: I got to see the opt outs before I make

1261
01:05:08,440 --> 01:05:10,400
Speaker 3: a decision. By the time that happened, this thing flew

1262
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:12,560
Speaker 3: past three. I think three is a major key here,

1263
01:05:12,600 --> 01:05:14,080
Speaker 3: so I think you're on the right side of it.

1264
01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't take you two and a half. No,

1265
01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:20,400
Speaker 1: and I wouldn't mind like right, I think the right

1266
01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:24,240
Speaker 1: line here is Ray and at three and a half

1267
01:05:24,240 --> 01:05:27,120
Speaker 1: with the hook, with some of the edges I can

1268
01:05:27,160 --> 01:05:29,520
Speaker 1: see coaching wise, like Lincoln Riley scheme and some stuff

1269
01:05:29,600 --> 01:05:31,320
Speaker 1: up liking what I saw from my IVA, so I

1270
01:05:31,360 --> 01:05:33,240
Speaker 1: think that there's some more upside there. And then this

1271
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:36,440
Speaker 1: d staff getting ready for Reid, who I think is

1272
01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:39,600
Speaker 1: limited throwing the A and M opt outs up front.

1273
01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:42,880
Speaker 1: I think I got to take the hook. Look ahead.

1274
01:05:43,040 --> 01:05:48,480
Speaker 3: So let's talk about market because once this thing got

1275
01:05:48,520 --> 01:05:51,080
Speaker 3: past three and I finally you know, we knew who

1276
01:05:51,120 --> 01:05:52,320
Speaker 3: was going to be in this game, and who wasn't

1277
01:05:52,360 --> 01:05:54,280
Speaker 3: going to be in this game. The sharpest, the the

1278
01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:57,960
Speaker 3: sharpest book out on the out in the West went

1279
01:05:58,040 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 3: to four for eight minutes and then with snap right

1280
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:02,320
Speaker 3: back to three and a half. And I completely agree

1281
01:06:02,320 --> 01:06:05,760
Speaker 3: with that move. So I think market entry here. We've

1282
01:06:05,760 --> 01:06:08,520
Speaker 3: talked about this before. Market entry is important. And if

1283
01:06:08,560 --> 01:06:10,560
Speaker 3: I see a four in one of these lazy books

1284
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:12,000
Speaker 3: where I can get a dime down, I'm going to

1285
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:16,560
Speaker 3: go for it. On USC you mentioned jade Mayeva. The

1286
01:06:16,680 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 3: fact that the Texas A and M defensive line is

1287
01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:22,200
Speaker 3: going to be missing Skirton Stewart Turner on the inside.

1288
01:06:22,320 --> 01:06:24,200
Speaker 3: That is a huge boost to jade Maeva because he

1289
01:06:24,240 --> 01:06:27,960
Speaker 3: does not like pressure whatsoever. You know, Kyraen Hudson's going

1290
01:06:27,960 --> 01:06:30,160
Speaker 3: to Penn State branch is rumored to He could be

1291
01:06:30,160 --> 01:06:33,480
Speaker 3: announcing to Georgia today, which would be crazy. Deuce Robinson's

1292
01:06:33,480 --> 01:06:35,840
Speaker 3: going to Florida State. So you mentioned Jacobe Lanez there,

1293
01:06:35,880 --> 01:06:37,440
Speaker 3: but he only had a one point four yards per

1294
01:06:37,520 --> 01:06:39,760
Speaker 3: route run. That could just be a usage issue. That

1295
01:06:39,800 --> 01:06:42,320
Speaker 3: could just be not enough sample size on thirty six targets.

1296
01:06:42,360 --> 01:06:46,720
Speaker 3: But slot mackay Lemon forty six catches three point one

1297
01:06:46,800 --> 01:06:51,160
Speaker 3: yards per route run. Holy shit, that is majorly explosive.

1298
01:06:51,680 --> 01:06:57,720
Speaker 3: Zero rushing expectations here without Mars Joiner, I see avenues

1299
01:06:57,960 --> 01:07:00,000
Speaker 3: for hitting the slot. Just spamming the slot. I think

1300
01:07:00,040 --> 01:07:02,000
Speaker 3: that's what my eighteen year old says, Dad, you're spamming

1301
01:07:02,040 --> 01:07:05,439
Speaker 3: the button in Fortnite. Spamming the slot here with limit,

1302
01:07:05,520 --> 01:07:07,240
Speaker 3: I think that is the avenue for them to score.

1303
01:07:07,560 --> 01:07:08,960
Speaker 3: The Texas A and M offense is going to be

1304
01:07:09,040 --> 01:07:11,200
Speaker 3: extremely limited. I mean, Marcel Reid gets the nod of

1305
01:07:11,280 --> 01:07:13,640
Speaker 3: Mauri Daniels. We've talked about him, and just the yards

1306
01:07:13,680 --> 01:07:16,040
Speaker 3: after first contact or not there. The explosiveness is not

1307
01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:19,000
Speaker 3: there from that running game fiftieth and success rate rushing

1308
01:07:19,040 --> 01:07:21,920
Speaker 3: past EPA just outside the top fifty. And those are

1309
01:07:22,000 --> 01:07:24,560
Speaker 3: numbers that you know. I mean Reid struggled a lot

1310
01:07:24,600 --> 01:07:26,920
Speaker 3: at time. His best passing grades came against LSU and

1311
01:07:26,960 --> 01:07:29,680
Speaker 3: the Auburn defenses in US is one hundred and eleventh.

1312
01:07:29,680 --> 01:07:33,080
Speaker 3: And contested catch rate Reid coudca clips two hundred yards,

1313
01:07:33,080 --> 01:07:35,919
Speaker 3: similar to what he did against South Carolina, New Mexico State.

1314
01:07:35,960 --> 01:07:38,640
Speaker 3: In Auburn, it's can they get in the end zone.

1315
01:07:38,720 --> 01:07:39,680
Speaker 3: I mean, we've talked about this.

1316
01:07:39,760 --> 01:07:40,200
Speaker 6: A and M.

1317
01:07:40,240 --> 01:07:44,160
Speaker 3: You've got to get better and your extended red zone attempts.

1318
01:07:45,440 --> 01:07:47,080
Speaker 3: You know, a big trench advantage for Texas A and

1319
01:07:47,200 --> 01:07:49,520
Speaker 3: M here for the offense from a line yards from

1320
01:07:49,560 --> 01:07:52,600
Speaker 3: a stuff rate, big special teams advantage here for Texas

1321
01:07:52,640 --> 01:07:59,040
Speaker 3: A and M tenth per sp plus to USC's fifty sixth. Again,

1322
01:07:59,080 --> 01:08:01,280
Speaker 3: this could come down to a feal and you know

1323
01:08:01,320 --> 01:08:02,760
Speaker 3: what that would be in favor of Texas A and

1324
01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:05,280
Speaker 3: M here at the end. So I'm gonna be looking

1325
01:08:05,320 --> 01:08:07,919
Speaker 3: for USC at four. I think there's gonna be heavy stock.

1326
01:08:07,920 --> 01:08:09,680
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be heavy text A and M money,

1327
01:08:09,800 --> 01:08:11,760
Speaker 3: I really do. And then I think some of the

1328
01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:13,439
Speaker 3: ones that are thinking like us are going to snap

1329
01:08:13,480 --> 01:08:15,800
Speaker 3: the fours. If you get the four and it goes

1330
01:08:15,840 --> 01:08:17,760
Speaker 3: to four and a half, I wouldn't be scared, not

1331
01:08:17,760 --> 01:08:19,320
Speaker 3: gonna be scared by the money because the money is

1332
01:08:19,360 --> 01:08:20,479
Speaker 3: going to come in on text A and M. So

1333
01:08:20,600 --> 01:08:21,720
Speaker 3: if you want to put it on the board at

1334
01:08:21,720 --> 01:08:25,080
Speaker 3: three and a half, that we agree for the podcast purposes,

1335
01:08:25,120 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 3: we can, because I think three is ultimately the most

1336
01:08:27,800 --> 01:08:28,360
Speaker 3: key number.

1337
01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:30,599
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be watching the market as well see where

1338
01:08:30,600 --> 01:08:35,120
Speaker 1: this potentially goes. But I will be on USC if

1339
01:08:35,120 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 1: three and a half is the best I can get,

1340
01:08:36,840 --> 01:08:37,720
Speaker 1: so yeah, let's put it on.

1341
01:08:37,720 --> 01:08:39,719
Speaker 3: The board and be patient.

1342
01:08:40,720 --> 01:08:44,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, keep an eye on the app as always. So

1343
01:08:45,760 --> 01:08:50,040
Speaker 1: that's seven Bowl games. Thursday, December twenty sixth Friday, December

1344
01:08:50,120 --> 01:08:57,280
Speaker 1: twenty seventh. We got an agree on USC quick Rundown

1345
01:08:58,160 --> 01:09:02,120
Speaker 1: Pit Toledo Rutgers into the state. I'm leaning taking the

1346
01:09:02,160 --> 01:09:08,040
Speaker 1: points like Bowling Green, like Howard Fan and props Navy.

1347
01:09:08,040 --> 01:09:11,360
Speaker 1: It's a service Academy catching points blind for me. I

1348
01:09:11,360 --> 01:09:13,240
Speaker 1: think I'm just gonna take the points, take the three

1349
01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:17,559
Speaker 1: with Paviya, Texas Tech arkets, I'll we still like Texas Tech.

1350
01:09:17,640 --> 01:09:21,599
Speaker 1: Keeping eye on TODs Brooks, Syracuse, Washington State, Syracuse are

1351
01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:23,800
Speaker 1: nothing still and then we both like USC.

1352
01:09:23,920 --> 01:09:27,280
Speaker 3: And you want to wrap up Syracuse team total over

1353
01:09:27,560 --> 01:09:30,880
Speaker 3: the zeb ch House for Washington State, you're under the microscope.

1354
01:09:31,080 --> 01:09:35,479
Speaker 3: I watch too much, Bryant Off too much, Brian Phil all.

1355
01:09:35,439 --> 01:09:38,160
Speaker 1: Right, that'll do it for us. We will be back

1356
01:09:38,200 --> 01:09:41,400
Speaker 1: later this week with Part four. Thanks for tuning in,

1357
01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:43,200
Speaker 1: Thanks to Colin for joining me, Thanks to our producing

1358
01:09:43,200 --> 01:09:44,400
Speaker 1: on the back end. Most importly, thanks to all of

1359
01:09:44,400 --> 01:09:46,559
Speaker 1: you for tuning inmagtry su scrap on subscrap, scrape, tel Friend,

1360
01:09:46,600 --> 01:09:50,160
Speaker 1: Tell Enemy, scard our YouTube channel BBOC really helps us out.

1361
01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 1: It's time for us to go find some more Bowl winners.

1362
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:53,680
Speaker 1: We'll catch you later in the week.

1363
01:09:53,760 --> 01:09:57,360
Speaker 3: Cheers, peace out.

1364
01:09:55,320 --> 01:10:07,520
Speaker 7: The most lurking time all the most lurking time.

1365
01:10:07,280 --> 01:10:07,920
Speaker 5: Of the.

1366
01:10:15,840 --> 01:10:20,360
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1367
01:10:20,400 --> 01:10:23,160
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1368
01:10:23,200 --> 01:10:26,280
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler