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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros PGA Podcast,

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Speaker 1: where we'll get you set from a gambling perspective for

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Speaker 1: the Tours Cognizant Classic teeing off from PGA National in

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Speaker 1: Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, filling

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Speaker 1: in for Pat fitz Morris and of course joined by

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Speaker 1: a longtime friend and colleague of mine, a man who

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Speaker 1: is the king of both spice and long shot outrightes. Baby,

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Speaker 1: Yes he's Bo mcbray or Bo. How are you and

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Speaker 1: what are the vibes like? As we're roughly one and

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Speaker 1: a half months into the twenty twenty six professional golf season.

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Speaker 2: Has it already been that long? It's been a whirlwind.

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Speaker 2: I'm tired and cranky as always, that's my baseline anyway.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm doing great. We're having a great season

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Speaker 2: to first six weeks or so. I think I think

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Speaker 2: we got more in store. We got some more long

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Speaker 2: shot binks to cash and this week especially is going

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Speaker 2: to be a whole different strategy for betting this tournament

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Speaker 2: to keep interest and to give some people out there

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Speaker 2: something to root for, something to watch for when they

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Speaker 2: tune into the Cognizant Classic.

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Speaker 1: Okay, well, I like to hear that. And majors of

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Speaker 1: course are right around the corner next month as well.

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Speaker 1: So a lot of fun things happening in the pro

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Speaker 1: golf for Old A quick reminder to please subscribe to

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Speaker 1: both the Betting Pros YouTube channel and audio feed. Also

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Speaker 1: make sure you give this video a like if you

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Speaker 1: enjoy this type of content. Today's program does look like this.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna break down everything you need to know about

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Speaker 1: PGA National the course, We're gonna break down the odds,

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Speaker 1: are hard rock, best bets of the week, full betting cards,

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Speaker 1: and one and done picks. But first we are gonna

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Speaker 1: start with our recap of last week's Genesis Invitational and

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Speaker 1: what a weekend it was as Jacob Bridgeman gets his

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Speaker 1: first PGA Tour victory last week at Riviera Country Club.

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Speaker 1: Bridgeman opened with rounds of sixty eight, sixty four and

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Speaker 1: sixty four, and the kid took a six shot lead

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Speaker 1: into Sunday. But your guys, Kurt Kitty Yama and Adam Scott,

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Speaker 1: they mounted charges on Sunday with some spectacular rounds. Kitty

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Speaker 1: Yama shot at sixty four. Old Man Scott was a

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Speaker 1: sixty three. Rory McElroy also in the chase, shooting a

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Speaker 1: final round sixty seven. However, Bridgeman held them off. He

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Speaker 1: shot one over par seventy two on Sunday, didn't make

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Speaker 1: any birdies after that third hole, but he did squeeze

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Speaker 1: out a clutch par on a tough par for eighteenth

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Speaker 1: hole to win by just a shot. His drive found

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Speaker 1: that fairway on eighteen and his approach actually landed within

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Speaker 1: twenty feet, but wasn't the best lag put from the

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Speaker 1: young gent and had a testy three footer to win it.

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Speaker 1: He rolls it in finishes eighteen hunder part just ahead

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Speaker 1: of two of your favorite golfers to bat, Kurt Kitty

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Speaker 1: Yama and Rory McElroy.

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Speaker 3: BO.

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Speaker 1: So, what are your takeaways from the Genesis Invitational.

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Speaker 2: I man, it's not a surprise to see Jacob Bridgeman

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Speaker 2: win on the PGA Tour. He was somewhat of a

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Speaker 2: surprise to see him win his first one at Riviera

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Speaker 2: of all places. But this guy has started this season

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Speaker 2: off super duper hot, like blazing hot, liquid hot Magma

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Speaker 2: is Jacob Bridgman right now? This guy got married in

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Speaker 2: December and He's got his first PGA Tour victory in February.

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Speaker 2: He's kicking off twenty twenty six with a bang. He's

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Speaker 2: already cracked off a few top finishes before this week,

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Speaker 2: and overall we did pretty well in the placement betting market.

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Speaker 2: I didn't mention Kitty I'm on the show, but if

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Speaker 2: you know me, I always have a five dollars bet

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Speaker 2: reserve for my guy from Chico that I'm good friends with.

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Speaker 2: It's just it was one shot shy. I was rooting

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Speaker 2: for him to come down and catch Jacob Bridgeman, but

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Speaker 2: didn't pan out. It's still a great tournament to watch.

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Speaker 2: We're on to the next week. We're onto the Florida Swing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, Bo, Were you disappointed by any of these

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Speaker 1: big guns who didn't really show up here at Riviera

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Speaker 1: that we are expecting and these sportsbooks were certainly expecting

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Speaker 1: too as well.

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Speaker 2: That's the nature of golf man. Riviera is a really

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Speaker 2: tough golf course and the conditions were almost too easy

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Speaker 2: to get started. And Scottie Scheffler namely was a huge

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Speaker 2: favorite here like he is every week. Another third consecutive

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Speaker 2: round one kind of flop where he was fighting uphill

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Speaker 2: the rest of the tournament. And you're not gonna win

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Speaker 2: too many tournaments on the PGA Tour falling behind in

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Speaker 2: the first round, even if your name is Scotty Scheffler,

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Speaker 2: it's not surprising. It's just it's surprising to see him

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Speaker 2: struggle in round one so many times. I think he's

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Speaker 2: gonna write the ship pretty quickly. Most of the big

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Speaker 2: guns have this week off, so he'll be able to

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Speaker 2: regroup and we'll be looking at some young guns, up

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Speaker 2: and comers, the risers, the ones that you're not going

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Speaker 2: to hear about until you watch or listen to this show.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, and the PGA Tour is now heading to Florida's

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Speaker 1: Atlantic Coast for the Cognistant Classic. This is probably going

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Speaker 1: to be one of the weaker fields we see this

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Speaker 1: entire season, specifically that we've seen so far in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty six, with a lot of the big name skipping

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Speaker 1: as you mentioned Jacob Bridgman, even Withdrew after his win

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Speaker 1: in LA last weekend. The tournament. It will be played

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Speaker 1: at PG National. As we mentioned at the top, it's

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Speaker 1: a par seventy one, measuring just over seventy two hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: This is a court, designed by Jack Nicholas himself best

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Speaker 1: known for that bear Trap, comprised of the fifteenth, sixteenth,

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Speaker 1: and seventeenth holes, and it's one of the toughest three

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Speaker 1: stretches on tour all season long. The fifteenth and seventeenth

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Speaker 1: holes are par threes that require some pretty nervy te

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Speaker 1: shots over water. PG National is very close to the

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Speaker 1: Atlantic Ocean as well, so you're gonna look at some wind,

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Speaker 1: probably breezy here, making it really hard to judge some

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Speaker 1: of those shots. The sixteenth hole in particular, though, this

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Speaker 1: is a difficult par four with water down the right

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Speaker 1: side and in front of that green. The field is

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Speaker 1: always well over par when it comes to that bear trap,

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Speaker 1: and this track really takes the drivers out of players

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Speaker 1: hands bow and it's one of those where par four's

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Speaker 1: because of all the water, short irons, mid iron plays,

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Speaker 1: those are gonna be very, very crucial, more so than

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Speaker 1: a wedge play. This week. It also is going to

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Speaker 1: have Bermuda greens and the course usually is playing firm

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Speaker 1: and fast. Scrambling ability going to be also critical here.

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Speaker 1: At the cognizant good Win players usually going to have

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Speaker 1: an advantage, so look at those players Bogie voydants also

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Speaker 1: going to be key our boy Joe high Smith. He

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Speaker 1: is the defending Cognizant Classic champion. He shot sixty four

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Speaker 1: in each of his last two rounds A season ago

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Speaker 1: finished nineteen under par to beat Jacob Bridgman and JJ

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Speaker 1: Spaond by two shots. Austin Eckrote won the PGA National

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Speaker 1: event in twenty twenty four, finished seventeen under par. Chris

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Speaker 1: Kirk won it in twenty twenty three. He finished fourteen

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Speaker 1: hundred to beat Eric Cole in a playoff, and then

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Speaker 1: Big stepst Rakka twenty twenty two. He won it with

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Speaker 1: a score of ten under par. The fore cast right

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Speaker 1: now calling for about in the upper seventies temperature wise,

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Speaker 1: win gusts of ten to fifteen miles per hour for

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Speaker 1: most of the weekend. However, we are looking at a

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Speaker 1: chance of thunderstorms on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, maybe making

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Speaker 1: things a little bit more on steady. So Bo, what

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Speaker 1: is it going to take to win this week at

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Speaker 1: pg National?

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Speaker 2: You covered it really well. This course has a lot

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Speaker 2: of very sharp dog legs and forced layups, with a

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Speaker 2: lot of water, a lot of trees and just tough

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Speaker 2: tough conditions for if you're off on ball striking at all, here,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna be playing out of the rough and it's

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Speaker 2: no fun because this golf course, although it's not that long,

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Speaker 2: it's about average length par seventy one. It's been a

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Speaker 2: par seventy for years and years. But the tough, very

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Speaker 2: tough par four tenth toal is now a very easy

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Speaker 2: par five. They landated by twenty yards, so you're winning

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Speaker 2: score relative to pars should be about four shots lower

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Speaker 2: on average, even though your total score is gonna be

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Speaker 2: about the same. So I think that gonna you're gonna

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Speaker 2: be looking for guys that who a can get off

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Speaker 2: the tee with accuracy and can plan their approach shot

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Speaker 2: from one hundred and fifty to two hundred yards. Not

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Speaker 2: only does this course take away driver on a lot

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Speaker 2: of holes, it takes away wedges, which is interesting because

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Speaker 2: it's not a long course. You'd think, oh, you're going

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Speaker 2: to be hitting a lot of wedges into these greens

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Speaker 2: like at Pebble Beach a couple weeks ago. Not the case.

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Speaker 2: Most I'd say sixty percent plus of these approach shots

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Speaker 2: are from more than one hundred and fifty yards so

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Speaker 2: this is the course where mid and long iron play

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Speaker 2: is met with long irons and hybrids off the tee

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Speaker 2: where you have to think your way around the golf course,

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Speaker 2: and these Bermuda greens are extremely tricky, especially when the

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Speaker 2: wind is up. I think that this is going to

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Speaker 2: be somewhere in that fifteen to twenty under par again,

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Speaker 2: maybe cracking twenty because of the added par five. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be accuracy all the way and if you

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Speaker 2: make mistakes, you have to be able to get up

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Speaker 2: and down for par here otherwise it's going to be

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Speaker 2: a short week. Bo.

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Speaker 1: Were you a hybrid guy? I cannot hit my hybrid

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Speaker 1: as I've aged. It was my favorite club in my

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Speaker 1: teen years, and now I am absolutely disastrous with it.

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Speaker 2: That's usually the opposite. Usually we go from the actual

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Speaker 2: irons two hybrids to help to get the ball in

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Speaker 2: the air, as our club had reduces. Right now, I

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Speaker 2: have one hybrid in the bag and it's a two

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Speaker 2: iron hybrid. It's my fairway finder, so I don't usually

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Speaker 2: play it unless I'm in long shot on par five.

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Speaker 1: From the fairway or rough.

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Speaker 2: It's pretty good at getting through some light rof but

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Speaker 2: off the te I like it if I need to

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Speaker 2: find a fairway a little eighteen degree hybrid stinger Alave

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Speaker 2: Tiger Woods but not quite as cool.

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Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and get to the odds. But first,

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Speaker 1: a quick reminder to please download the free Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: app today for iOS and Android. With the Sportsbook Sync feature,

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Speaker 1: you can actually automatically track your bets across all major

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Speaker 1: books in just one spot. Easily monitor your pet performance

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Speaker 1: by sport and bet type, including game picks, props and

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Speaker 1: of course parlays as well. Create custom betting systems, define

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Speaker 1: winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a free trial up

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Speaker 1: BP premium by downloading the app and acting your trial

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Speaker 1: on the upgrade screen. Now let's go ahead and jump

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Speaker 1: into the odds, starting with the favorites. Adam Scott nineteen

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Speaker 1: to one, coming off that great weekend, Shane Lowry, a

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Speaker 1: very well renowned wind player, nineteen and a half to one,

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Speaker 1: Rasmus Hoyguard twenty two and a half to one, Nikolai

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Speaker 1: Hoygard and Ryan Girard twenty four and a half to one,

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Speaker 1: Michael Thorne Jornson and Keith Mitchell twenty six to one,

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Speaker 1: Brooks twenty eight to one, Daniel Berger, Rasmus Niguard Peterson

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Speaker 1: thirty four to one, Davis Thompson thirty five to one,

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Speaker 1: Aaron Raie thirty eight to one, and will Zalatorus battling

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Speaker 1: back to thirty nine to one. Does anyone stick out

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Speaker 1: in this group?

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Speaker 2: To you bo, there's two guys that this is the

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Speaker 2: top tier here is really interesting because we had the

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Speaker 2: withdrawal at the top. We had two withdrawals at the top,

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Speaker 2: namely the defending champion from last week, with no Jacob Bridgman. Here,

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Speaker 2: the odds are bumped down. Nineteen to one for your

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Speaker 2: outright favorite is very long, honestly for an average. That

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Speaker 2: kind of opens up the rest of this field.

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Speaker 1: Really.

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Speaker 2: I think that a lot of these guys in this

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Speaker 2: tier are overpriced, where you're not getting any value at all.

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Speaker 2: Right At the top is Adam Scott. I think he's

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Speaker 2: not a very good fit for this course. I would

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Speaker 2: like him if he is in that twenty five to

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Speaker 2: thirty range, but nineteen to one, no go. Shane Lowry

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Speaker 2: is a good one, he's not a great one. I'd

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Speaker 2: rather see him over twenty as well. But because these

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Speaker 2: and I think these odds are going to get shorter. Honestly,

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Speaker 2: we're still having the books react to these withdrawals earlier. Today,

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Speaker 2: these odds are getting shorter, not longer. So I'm going

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Speaker 2: to be looking for guys who are going to slip

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Speaker 2: back to the pack, even though they're just as good,

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Speaker 2: if not a better pick for this golf course, in

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Speaker 2: this tournament. I'm looking for the guys who are going

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Speaker 2: to get better odds as the week progresses, versus the

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Speaker 2: other way, because the guys that are going to get shorter,

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Speaker 2: I don't any part of them. The very top on

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Speaker 2: my board is Michael thorpe Jornsen. He's a young gun,

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Speaker 2: lots and lots of firepower. He's been playing great golf

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Speaker 2: in a couple stints this season so far. He's got

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Speaker 2: every bit of the firepower it's going to take to

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Speaker 2: win here. Very good wind player, surprisingly for how young

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Speaker 2: he is, not a lot of experience, but he's going

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Speaker 2: to be the guy that I think has the firepower

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Speaker 2: to win at twenty four twenty six to one, depending

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Speaker 2: on the book and Brooks Koepka Brooksy Florida, he is

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Speaker 2: the Florida man. He's twenty eight to one. He's number

242
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Speaker 2: one in my model by a good clip, all green,

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Speaker 2: all the way across all the categories that I'm looking at.

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Speaker 2: I'm filtering heavily for Bermuda grass for difficult scoring conditions.

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Speaker 2: I'm also kind of filtering based on the last twenty

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Speaker 2: four rounds that those players had in those conditions. So

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Speaker 2: I do the ultra filtered method, So it kind of

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Speaker 2: whittles down the guys who are just kind of hot now.

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Speaker 2: Flavor of the Week dominated the West Coast swinging. They

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Speaker 2: come out to Florida and they have no idea how

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Speaker 2: to play Florida golf. So I'm more interested in how

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Speaker 2: do they play Bermuda courses? How do they play the

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Speaker 2: courses that require them to plan their way around? And

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Speaker 2: I think if you're going to look there, Brooksy lots

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Speaker 2: of experience.

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Speaker 1: He's a Florida.

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Speaker 2: Golfer through and through and ball striking extraordinaire. He's got

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Speaker 2: the pedigree, he's got the great odds twenty eight to

259
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Speaker 2: one if he gets shorter, I'll probably go as short

260
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Speaker 2: as twenty two to one on Brooksy. But I think

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna keep slipping if he gets into

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Speaker 2: the thirty range. We're hitting all the green light. We're

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Speaker 2: hitting all the green lights.

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Speaker 1: It's crazy to see this field and see Brooks all

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Speaker 1: the way down at where he is, because you know,

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Speaker 1: four or five years ago we wouldn't believe it, right,

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Speaker 1: and it's just kind of time major winner. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't even know if there's five major winners in

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Speaker 1: the season. I'm sure there is maybe, but Shane Lowry's

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Speaker 1: that one.

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Speaker 2: Who else has one?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough, I honestly, Adam Scott. Scott's got a couple.

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Speaker 1: A couple's got a green jacket. Yeah, yeah, so xalatoris

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Speaker 1: if Zalators ever get one? Maybe? No, Okay, all right,

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Speaker 1: I know he's close a couple players for me bo

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Speaker 1: that I was interested in. Shane Lowry. We mentioned great

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Speaker 1: win player, strong track track record at this event. Since

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, he's finished second, fifth, fourth, and eleventh

279
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Speaker 1: at the Congas top thirty in his last four events,

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Speaker 1: as well number one in shots gain total coming in

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Speaker 1: which you love to see Ryan Gerard. He's someone like

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Speaker 1: he's been good, He's been really really good. He's already

283
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Speaker 1: had a couple of running up finishes this season. He

284
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Speaker 1: also finished fourth in his debut at this event in

285
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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, and he was twenty fifth last year,

286
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Speaker 1: so he's another guy. Can he put it together here

287
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Speaker 1: in Florida rather than the West Coast. Nikolai Hoygard probably

288
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Speaker 1: my favorite person on the board this week. He was

289
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Speaker 1: third in our IBT projections this week, number one in

290
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Speaker 1: shots gain, ball striking, number two driving distance in this field,

291
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Speaker 1: top three the last time out in Phoenix, tied for

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Speaker 1: twenty second, twenty second at the Farmers as well, and

293
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Speaker 1: then ty for fourth if you count that Dubai Desert

294
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Speaker 1: Classic on the DP World Tour earlier this year, so

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Speaker 1: he's in good form. Also finished eighteenth here at PG

296
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Speaker 1: National a season ago. Daniel Berger usually pretty good on

297
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Speaker 1: those Bermuda Greens. He's had a pair of top five

298
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Speaker 1: finishes at the Cognizance since twenty twenty and then Keith

299
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Speaker 1: Mitchell the vie Man one at PG National in twenty

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Speaker 1: nineteen and also has had a pair of top ten

301
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Speaker 1: finishes since then. So do any of those, whether Keith Mitchell, Berger, Hooygard,

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Speaker 1: Gerard Lowry and any of those, whether it's even a

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Speaker 1: proper a DFS standpoint interest you at all.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's there's there's some interest there. I do have

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Speaker 2: a top ten bet On Burger. I don't think he

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Speaker 2: can win here. He's not a winner at all. He

307
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Speaker 2: hasn't won since as long as I can remember. But

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Speaker 2: his back I don't think he's won as he No,

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Speaker 2: he's he's a Florida State guy, North Florida guy. This

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Speaker 2: is a this is his backyard basically, and every year

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Speaker 2: we get we hear, oh, we're playing the cognizant. Let's

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Speaker 2: bet Daniel Berger. Everybody get in line like Lemmings, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: vote to bet on Daniel Berger. Well, he's never gonna

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Speaker 2: win a tournament. The way he's playing his whole bag

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Speaker 2: right now is he never quite puts it all together.

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Speaker 2: This is the kind of course where I can see

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Speaker 2: him cracking the top ten. At plus two ninety five.

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Speaker 2: That's pretty pretty darn good for a player of his

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Speaker 2: caliber too, have a good week, maybe not win, but

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Speaker 2: top ten paying out three to one just about that's

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Speaker 2: really nice. All these other guys I like, I just

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00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,920
Speaker 2: don't love them at their current numbers. So all the

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Speaker 2: guys you mentioned have merritt. I'm just not on Kashmir

324
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Speaker 2: Keith because as much success as he's had here. He

325
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Speaker 2: also is just not the guy that gets over the

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Speaker 2: finish line for you.

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Speaker 1: DFS.

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Speaker 2: Sure, Kashmir Keith is so much fun to play in

329
00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:26,600
Speaker 2: defense because he's either gonna go lower, he's gonna burst

330
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Speaker 2: into flames. It's fun to watch. Betting on him is

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Speaker 2: it's fruitless to say the least.

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Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough, let's get to the mide mid range options.

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Speaker 1: Christian bazudenhow and Alex Smalley forty one to one, Max Homer,

334
00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,720
Speaker 1: Christopher Wrighton forty two to one, Hotong Lee forty three

335
00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,560
Speaker 1: to one, Mac Weisner forty seven to one. And then

336
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Speaker 1: you have Steven Jaegerman, Rico Hooey, and Chris Kirk at

337
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,960
Speaker 1: fifty eight to one, Max McGreevy at fifty to one.

338
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,000
Speaker 1: You also have Jordan Smith fifty three to one, John Keefer,

339
00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:01,480
Speaker 1: who's pretty high up in some projections I saw this

340
00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,960
Speaker 1: week as well, fifty five one, Mackenzie Hughes fifty eight

341
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,600
Speaker 1: to one, Ricky Castillo and John Perry at fifty nine

342
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 1: to one. Is there anyone in this group that intrigues

343
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,520
Speaker 1: you a bit more about bo Max Homa?

344
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:18,800
Speaker 2: Max Homa again, dude, this guy, this guy, loves courses

345
00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,520
Speaker 2: like this. Take driver out of his hands, he doesn't

346
00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:24,560
Speaker 2: make mistakes with irons in his hand, and the way

347
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:28,080
Speaker 2: he's been rolling the ball this season, Maxhama's due for

348
00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,439
Speaker 2: a breakout. This is his year to show that that

349
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,760
Speaker 2: his best days are not behind him. He's had a

350
00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:37,600
Speaker 2: rough couple last years, but I think he's already turned

351
00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 2: that corner. He's got his mental state right again. His

352
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:44,000
Speaker 2: whole life is kind of back together to where he's

353
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Speaker 2: focused on championship golf again. This is a guy who

354
00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,200
Speaker 2: did win a lot of money for us in twenty

355
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,720
Speaker 2: twenty two at Riviera, and this is the kind of

356
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:55,919
Speaker 2: guy who's an extremely intelligent golfer can definitely plan his

357
00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,919
Speaker 2: way around around PGA National. Jack Nicholas designs are just

358
00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:04,199
Speaker 2: about difficulty. They want you to make good shots and

359
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,399
Speaker 2: punish bad shots. Maxim is full of great shots. And

360
00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:09,119
Speaker 2: if you take driver out of his hand and you

361
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,959
Speaker 2: really aren't putting too much pressure on him to hit

362
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,199
Speaker 2: and stick it close with wedges all day, this is

363
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,800
Speaker 2: a kind of course where Maxhoma can really sing. And

364
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,399
Speaker 2: I was able to get him on one book at

365
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,960
Speaker 2: forty eight to one, so that's fantastic. I would like

366
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:24,439
Speaker 2: him at forty three or forty two, that's fine with me.

367
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Speaker 2: But forty eight is where I got him, and I'm ecstatic.

368
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 2: And then you mentioned it Johnny Keefer, Johnny Keefer, this

369
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 2: is so top ten bet for Johnny Keiefer plus four

370
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 2: to twenty for Keefer. I mean, how good is that?

371
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,199
Speaker 2: Plus four twenty top ten Johnny Keefer. He's got a

372
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 2: lot of talent. This is this guy. I don't think

373
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Speaker 2: he has enough experience to feel the pressure that he's

374
00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,560
Speaker 2: supposed to feel at this kind of tournament. But this

375
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 2: is the great equalizer tournament. The none of the top

376
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,520
Speaker 2: guys are here. This is where you can actually, as

377
00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,320
Speaker 2: a PGA to a rookie like he is, is step

378
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,920
Speaker 2: up and show the world what you can do, especially

379
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,280
Speaker 2: at Jack's place like this is the place where you

380
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,640
Speaker 2: can you can see some of these deep shots make

381
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 2: a run. And I don't know if Keeper can win.

382
00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:11,359
Speaker 2: But four plus four twenty on a top ten for

383
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 2: a guy with his immense talent, is it's too much

384
00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:15,360
Speaker 2: to overlook?

385
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 1: Yeah. I was looking for him in maybe a top

386
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 1: twenty or top thirty market, and the odds were actually

387
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: a little bit shorter than I was hoping, I was

388
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:25,239
Speaker 1: hoping maybe I could find closer to four to one

389
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,719
Speaker 1: on that, But it seems like the books are kind

390
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:28,720
Speaker 1: of keying in on this kid.

391
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:30,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's getting a lot of he's getting a lot

392
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 2: of heat from there's a lot of money rolling in

393
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,160
Speaker 2: because the sharps know who Johnny Keeper is, and even

394
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,240
Speaker 2: though he's not a mainstream name yet, he will be

395
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 2: by the end of the season. So that's That's just

396
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,960
Speaker 2: the thing is this tournament is kind of fun to

397
00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:49,679
Speaker 2: bet a myriad of smaller bets. Like I'm not I'm

398
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 2: not going to call in on one guy. I'm saying, Okay,

399
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 2: let's dabble. Let's throw three bucks on thorpe Jornson, Let's

400
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:57,840
Speaker 2: throw five bucks on Brooksy, Let's throw let's throw a

401
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,919
Speaker 2: couple of ladders in here with low ritch because I

402
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 2: want to watch this tournament. I want to see the

403
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,439
Speaker 2: drama across the bear trap. Because if that wind is

404
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:07,639
Speaker 2: up and you got two different par threes out a

405
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 2: three hole stretch that are over two hundred yards, you

406
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 2: have to hit them on this tiny little isthmus over

407
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 2: a lake with the wind blowing. Drama is at top

408
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 2: form and this is where I want to see some

409
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:20,639
Speaker 2: of these young guns really show their metal.

410
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,719
Speaker 1: It's about building a portfolio, is what baw McBrier is saying.

411
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 1: One other person in this range who's probably mentioned, Chris Kirk,

412
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,399
Speaker 1: absolute horse for the course. He's been just got awful

413
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 1: this season. Bow He's only made one cut in four

414
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 1: torrents played in twenty twenty six, but he did win

415
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 1: at PG National in twenty twenty three and then finished

416
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,439
Speaker 1: seventh in twenty twenty two as well. Let's go to

417
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: long shots, though, where we have players like Sammy Ve

418
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: at sixty to one. We have Tom Cams sixty six

419
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,399
Speaker 1: to one, Seamus Power, who I've also been seeing getting

420
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 1: some steam out there on the internet at sixty seven

421
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,159
Speaker 1: to one, and twenty twenty four Champ Austin Ekro all

422
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,440
Speaker 1: the way out at eighty to one. So any long

423
00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 1: shots that are peaking your interests, BOW.

424
00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,360
Speaker 2: Two, I have one guy eighty four to one that's

425
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:07,200
Speaker 2: a Milliano Rio. This guy's got talent. He's the kind

426
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 2: of guy who on a tough golf course really shines.

427
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,439
Speaker 2: Great iron player, great ball striker in general. Ball strikers

428
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,959
Speaker 2: are gonna have lots of fun here, and even if

429
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 2: the winds up, Grio's perfectly equipped. I think he's just

430
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,760
Speaker 2: simply mispriced. I was expecting to see Grio in that

431
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:23,719
Speaker 2: fifty five to sixty five range, and when I saw

432
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 2: him at eighty four, I jumped at it. Eighty four

433
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 2: to one for his talent on a course that fits

434
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 2: his game really well, that's really nice. And then all

435
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,159
Speaker 2: the way down at one hundred and fifty five to

436
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 2: one is another horse for the course, Davis Riley. Davis

437
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 2: Riley is also having a terrible season, and it's helped

438
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 2: us in the odds because I think this is where

439
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 2: we start to see Davis Riley thaw out. He's not

440
00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 2: a very good California golfer, let's just say that. But

441
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 2: he's number six in my model overall, and he does

442
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,160
Speaker 2: not have a single category in the red where he's

443
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 2: in the bottom half, not one. And Davis Riley is

444
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 2: down there at one hundred and fifty five to one.

445
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: Outright, let's do it, okay, and Eric van Roy and

446
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 1: kive another guy off to a terrible start this season,

447
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,399
Speaker 1: Ozer for four making cuts, but he did finish second

448
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 1: at PGA Naty in twenty twenty four and ninth in

449
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five as well. And a quick reminder before

450
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,160
Speaker 1: we continue that today's show is brought to you by

451
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:24,600
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00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,119
Speaker 4: hundred and nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler.

475
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Speaker 4: In Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

476
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 1: Bo who is your hard rock best bet of the week?

477
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 1: Where are you heading for the cognizant.

478
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 2: I'm going to head to my best value bet, and

479
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 2: that's Max Home at forty eight to one. That's that's

480
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 2: a fantastic bet. I'm excited for it because I really

481
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 2: do think Max Homma can win this golf tournament. He's

482
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 2: he's every bit as good as anybody here, and this

483
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,360
Speaker 2: is the kind of course where he's going to be focused.

484
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 1: Okay, I like to hear that about Max Homa, one

485
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 1: of those players that a couple of years ago, was

486
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 1: just on such an upward trajectory and has really fallen off.

487
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 1: But glad to see starting to get things back. And

488
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 1: those are some of the best stories in golf boat

489
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 1: are the comebacks, right and seeing these players really redeem themselves.

490
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: So hopefully Homa can find home this weekend and get

491
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: Bow's tickets to the window for me. I like to

492
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 1: pay the juice, folks, because you're only gonna pay it

493
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 1: if you lose. So I'm gonna go ahead and drink

494
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 1: a steep glass of here. I'm gonna go Nikolai Hoyguard,

495
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,439
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go on the top thirty. This guy's

496
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 1: a fourteen percent top five rate on this green type

497
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: type to the eleventh best rate in this field, and

498
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 1: he's finding those greens in regulation at the twentieth highest

499
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 1: clip this season as a whole, not just in this field.

500
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:49,120
Speaker 1: At seventy percent clip seventy two seventy point two scoring

501
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 1: average this season, that's the twenty sixth best in this field.

502
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:54,159
Speaker 1: But you should keep in mind he's only played at

503
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 1: those two signature events as well, and hasn't played any

504
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 1: of these Let's just call him, you know, lesser field

505
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 1: Bush League horses events, whatever you want to say, But

506
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 1: I think this field is so weak, Bo, that things

507
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 1: would have to go disasterlly wrong for the day not

508
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 1: to finish top thirty this week for me. Yeah, all right,

509
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 1: and Bo, let's go ahead and round it out with

510
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: the full betting cards. For me, I'm just on that

511
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: Hoyguard top thirty minus one thirty two, and give me

512
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 1: old Shane Lowry on the top twenty at plus one

513
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: away love getting that at plus money for one of

514
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 1: the betting favorites. Where are you heading?

515
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 3: Bo?

516
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 2: I got a whole mess of bets here, and I

517
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 2: have a couple that I didn't even include yet. So hello, Yeah,

518
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:41,160
Speaker 2: So Michael Thorbjornsen twenty four to one, brooks Kepka, five

519
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,720
Speaker 2: time major winner twenty eight to one, Max Oma forty

520
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 2: eight to one, Emiliano Grio eighty four to one, Davis

521
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 2: Riley one hundred and fifty five to one. I have

522
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 2: a top ten on Daniel Berger at plus two ninety five,

523
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,640
Speaker 2: top ten on Johnny Keefer at plus four twenty And

524
00:25:57,920 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 2: here's two bonus bets for you. This is gonna be

525
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 2: on eighteen your years Young Blades Brown top twenty plus

526
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 2: three to twenty. This guy's got lots of talent. He's

527
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 2: he's a lot more of a distance player than you think.

528
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 2: It's not going to come into play here, but he's

529
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 2: got lots of firepower. And this is the kind of tournament.

530
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 2: It's a great equalizer. I've been saying that the whole show.

531
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 2: This tournament invites those players the PGA, to our rookies

532
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 2: to show what they've got and then finally shout out

533
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 2: NorCal Lnto Griffin Top twenty bet is at plus seven sixty.

534
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 2: He came in at number five in my entire model,

535
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 2: Lanto Griffin, Pride of Northern California. He's getting a couple

536
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 2: bucks at plus seven sixty to finish in that top twenty.

537
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 4: BO.

538
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 1: I've known you for many many years. I have done

539
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: many many shows with you, and I don't think we've

540
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 1: ever gotten through one without a shout out nor Cow.

541
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 1: So I appreciate you keeping it on brand there.

542
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 2: Let's wait, a quarter of this field is from Northern California,

543
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 2: so there's so many guys.

544
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 1: That's true, that is fair. Let's go ahead and round

545
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 1: out the show with our one and done competition picks.

546
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 4: BO.

547
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,879
Speaker 1: Last week you had Tommy Fleetwood and he got tied

548
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: for seventh, good for six hundred thousand, three one hundred

549
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 1: and two hundred dollars. And then we had Pat who

550
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:16,199
Speaker 1: had Patrick Cantley the ice Water finished high for thirty seventh,

551
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 1: earned him just over ninety two thousand dollars. Bo, you

552
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 1: currently stand with a commanding lead over four point five million,

553
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: Pat under one point five million, so nearly a three

554
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 1: million dollar swing that Pat has to make up over

555
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,400
Speaker 1: the back half of this season. And you pick first

556
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 1: this week, my friend, So who are you taking?

557
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the sure thing and go with Shane Lowry.

558
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 1: Ooh okay, okay, So Pat, Pat gave me two choices here.

559
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,680
Speaker 1: His first one was Shane Lowry, but since you took

560
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: that and I was also going to be on that,

561
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 1: that was gonna be my pick. And you know, I

562
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 1: don't know how he feels. Hoygard would be my other one,

563
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 1: but I don't know how he feels about that. So

564
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,399
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with you know, fathers away. Hey, the

565
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 1: kids will play, but I'm gonna stick to what he

566
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 1: said here, Ryan Girard for old Patty fits baby so

567
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 1: Bo great stuff as always man, that is gonna do

568
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,879
Speaker 1: it for us. On this week's episode of the Betting

569
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 1: Pros PGA podcast, Pat and Bow. There to be back

570
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: next week to previewed the Arnold Palmer Invitational at bay Hill.

571
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 1: The Arnold Palmy always one of the best out there,

572
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 1: so looking forward to that episode. Until then, please just

573
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:27,679
Speaker 1: quick favor smash that like button. If you enjoyed this

574
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 1: video and don't first get to subscribe to the Betting

575
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel and that audio feed as well. Plus

576
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,240
Speaker 1: go ahead download the free Betting Pros app and sink

577
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 1: your sportsbooks today. Thanks for watching. Take care of y'all.

578
00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 1: I'm set with Wilcock. He's Bowmac Prayer. We'll catch you

579
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 1: next time.

580
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

581
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

582
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Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

583
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584
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Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our.

586
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Speaker 3: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting pro us

587
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Speaker 1: HM