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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into another episode of our weekly

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Speaker 2: college basketball pick show. My name is Matt Perrault. Normally

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Speaker 2: you guys see me on the Daily Juice podcast, but

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Speaker 2: this is all about the Sweet sixteen. We've got games

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Speaker 2: on Thursday, games on Friday, four games on Thursday, and

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Speaker 2: four games on Friday. What I'm going to do today

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Speaker 2: is I'm going to break down all eight games. I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to go too heavy into all of them,

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Speaker 2: but I'm going to give you some leans in some

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Speaker 2: ways you can approach this.

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Speaker 1: Matchup.

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Speaker 2: That is very interesting because it's only the second time

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Speaker 2: in history that we have seen no mid majors, only

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Speaker 2: Power conference schools left in the Sweet sixteen. The only

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Speaker 2: other time this happened was last year. So we are

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Speaker 2: into a situation where there is a lot of data,

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Speaker 2: a lot of infram these teams have played similar opponents.

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Speaker 2: We can kind of look at it and use some

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Speaker 2: of the trends to be our friends here as we

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Speaker 2: roll into these eight games, including some really interesting matchups

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Speaker 2: and with some great trends, some great coaches, Hall of

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Speaker 2: Fame coaches Rick Patino and John Kellapari, and some young

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Speaker 2: studs like tj Otzolberger and Tommy Lloyd, who are all available.

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Speaker 2: I have got four plays that I have made that

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Speaker 2: you guys can fade or follow, but I will give

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Speaker 2: you thoughts on all eight games coming up here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. Before we get to the picks for today,

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Speaker 2: let's go directly into the first game that we'll be

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Speaker 2: played coming up on Thursday. So we've got Illinois in Houston, Iowa,

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Speaker 2: Nebraska Tech, Texas, Perdue, and Arkansas and Arizona. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the seven to ten tip in San Jose between

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Speaker 2: Texas and Purdue. There are some very interesting numbers going

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Speaker 2: into this basketball game, mainly that Matt Painter has been

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Speaker 2: tremendous with Purdue ats twenty eight and fourteen ATS in

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Speaker 2: the forty two games he has played with Purdue in

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Speaker 2: the NCAA tournaments. He's been awesome in the first two rounds.

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Speaker 2: He hasn't been great in the Sweet sixteen or later,

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Speaker 2: just five and seven ats. But here's the wild thing.

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Speaker 2: Texas is the sixth team to play in the first

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Speaker 2: four and then wind up making the Sweet sixteen. All

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Speaker 2: five teams previously were dogs, but they went three one

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Speaker 2: in one ats in the sweet sixteen. Two of them

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Speaker 2: closed at plus six or higher, which is where Texas

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Speaker 2: is right now at plus seven and a half. Those

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Speaker 2: teams both covered now Sean Miller. A lot has been

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Speaker 2: made of this, okay, and the public is going to

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Speaker 2: trail is and I'm not saying that that's awesome, but

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Speaker 2: Sean Miller's been an underdog in the tournament fifteen times

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Speaker 2: Sean Miller eleven and four ats in those games, three

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Speaker 2: and oh straight up against the spread, three and oh

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Speaker 2: against ats for Shawn Miller in this year's tournament, and

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Speaker 2: people keep on doubting Texas, including me, guess what I'm

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Speaker 2: done doubting Texas. I'm going to come in and I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the points gave me Texas plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: They're outside shooting has been tremendous. I think Texas is

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Speaker 2: going to find a way to get it done here,

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Speaker 2: to keep it close and maybe even pull the upset

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Speaker 2: here over Perdue. I haven't loved Purdue in this tournament.

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Speaker 2: They looked good, not great, and I think when you

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Speaker 2: look at some of the metrics going into this matchup,

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Speaker 2: I think Texas is going to have an opportunity late

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Speaker 2: in this game to win this game. They may not cover,

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Speaker 2: but I mean they may not win, but I do

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Speaker 2: think that they're going to cover. It's an eighty two

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Speaker 2: seventy four win for Perdue. According to kempom, what puts

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Speaker 2: it at eight. We're at seven and a half. We're

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Speaker 2: right there. I just don't love the metrics. When you

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Speaker 2: look at the defense for Perdue effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 2: they're two hundred and twenty second. They are two hundred

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Speaker 2: and forty fourth in two point shooting. They're one hundred

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Speaker 2: and seventy second in three point shooting. Yes, their offense

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Speaker 2: is highly efficient. In Texas's defense has not been good,

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Speaker 2: but Sean Miller is a master, and with extra time

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Speaker 2: to prepare for Purdue, I just think that Texas has

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Speaker 2: enough here to keep the game close. We're going with

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Speaker 2: Texas plus seven and a half. We go to the

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Speaker 2: second game. This game will tip off at four thirty Pacific,

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Speaker 2: seven thirty Eastern.

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Speaker 1: Iowa and Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: I gotta be honest, look at this is a hard

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Speaker 2: game to handicap for me.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska has been very good in this tournament.

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Speaker 2: Iowa's coming off of a ten and a half point

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Speaker 2: dog outright victory over Florida, knocking out the number one

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Speaker 2: seed over Generally speaking, this is when a team will lose,

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Speaker 2: will get beat, and Nebraska hits their threes like they

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Speaker 2: have been hitting their threes. It's hard not to like

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Speaker 2: the Huskers to win this game, but I'm not betting it.

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Speaker 2: I've got too much emotional baggage tied to this. I

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Speaker 2: like Ben McCollum a lot from his time at Drake.

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Speaker 2: I really like Fred Hoiberg as a person. I can't

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Speaker 2: stayd Nebraska basketball as a program. Them in the Elite

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Speaker 2: eight would kind of like, you know, that hurts my

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Speaker 2: brain because they've never gone to the Sweet sixteen. Now

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Speaker 2: they go to the Elite eight. That's the farthest that

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Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jays have gone to the Elite eight.

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Speaker 2: So that would tie them, which is somewhat shocking given

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Speaker 2: how the futility of Nebraska basketball historically has been downright pathetic.

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Speaker 2: So I have a hard time with this game. I'm

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Speaker 2: just not going to get involved with it. I'm just

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Speaker 2: going to sit back and watch it and not go crazy.

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Speaker 2: These teams met in the Big Ten Tournament.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry.

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Speaker 2: At the end of the season in Nebraska, they lost

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Speaker 2: at Iowa by five. Nebraska did and they beat Iowa

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Speaker 2: by nine, laying four and a half. So here's the

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Speaker 2: rubber match with a chance to go to the suite

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Speaker 2: to the Elite eight. If I'm leaning on it, I'm

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Speaker 2: taking Nebraska, Okay. If I have to make a play,

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Speaker 2: I would take the Huskers to go ahead and win

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Speaker 2: and cover. But I'm not going to get involved with

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Speaker 2: this game. I just think it's it's it's too complicated

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Speaker 2: of a game to get into it for me. On

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Speaker 2: that third game on Thursday, let's talk about Saint John's

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Speaker 2: sorry third game, It's going to be Arkansas in Arizona.

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Speaker 2: This is wild. So a total for this game is

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Speaker 2: one sixty six. That is high, but it's not as

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Speaker 2: high as like Alabama Michigan, but it's still high. Arizona

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Speaker 2: is laying seven and a half points in this one.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's gonna make this as John Kella Pari and has

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Speaker 2: how John Kella Pari's record has been. This is the

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Speaker 2: biggest dog he has been since he was a dog

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Speaker 2: of seven and a half points with UMass up against Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: a game in which Kentucky won and covered easily. Patino

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Speaker 2: blew out John Calipari, here's Tommy Lloyd. This number has

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Speaker 2: been creeping down. I think the problem for Arkansas is

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Speaker 2: that they're not going to be able to stop the

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Speaker 2: interior scoring for Arizona, the bigs for Arizona. I think

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Speaker 2: there's a really big problem here for Arkansas. Defensively. I

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Speaker 2: don't think they're going to be able to stop this offense.

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Speaker 2: And I think you're going to see a ton of

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Speaker 2: points being scored here for Arkansas, sorry for Arizona. Arizona

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Speaker 2: covering big spreads kind of concerns me a little bit here.

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Speaker 2: Away from home though they were thirteen and six ats,

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Speaker 2: they were eleven and a half point favorites against Utah State.

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Speaker 2: They crept over that and one by twelve. We were

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Speaker 2: on them. We saw Arkansas and not cover against High Point.

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Speaker 2: They were laying twelve and a half and they won

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Speaker 2: by six. But Rick Patino has been an absolute master,

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Speaker 2: Sorry John calipariy rather has been an absolute master in

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Speaker 2: this tournament. He's been a dog in this turnnament thirteen times.

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Speaker 2: He's nine to three to one ATS. When he has

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Speaker 2: been with Arkansas in Kentucky, he's seven to zero to

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Speaker 2: one ats. And John Kellapari as a dog of four

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Speaker 2: points or more in the NAA Tournament is seven and

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Speaker 2: one ats. So I don't want to get involved with

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Speaker 2: this directly from a point spread perspective. I want to

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Speaker 2: look at a team total, and I think Arizona's going

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Speaker 2: to score ninety points in this game. I think they

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Speaker 2: get up and down. I think they're going to put

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Speaker 2: a hurting defensively on this Arkansas team. Kempalm has the

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Speaker 2: number at eighty seven. In eighty seven point performance for

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Speaker 2: Arizona against Arkansas, the number is eighty seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one to eight, minus one ten depending on

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Speaker 2: the book. But this is the fourth most efficient offense,

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Speaker 2: the forty fourth in effective field goal percentage. But you're

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Speaker 2: up against the two hundred and seventy fifth defense with

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Speaker 2: two point defense for Arkansas, up against a top fifty

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Speaker 2: offense shooting the.

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Speaker 1: Three and in the paint.

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Speaker 2: I just think there's a big mismatch with the power

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Speaker 2: players with the strength and size you're running out there

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Speaker 2: with guys who are seven to guys who are six',

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Speaker 2: eight guys who are six,', nine like there's just a

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Speaker 2: lot of size in Bulk. FOR arizona i don't think

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Speaker 2: that that. Factors, In well Darius a. Cup's tremendous he

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Speaker 2: may go off and score a ton of. POINTS himself

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Speaker 2: I think arizona's probably comfortable. With that just shut down.

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Speaker 2: EVERYBODY else I think arizona probably. Does COVER but i

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Speaker 2: think the better play is to Just take arizona with

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Speaker 2: their team total to go over eighty seven and a

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Speaker 2: half because of their advantage that they have in. The

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Speaker 2: paint We're going arizona team total over eighty seven and

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Speaker 2: a half points Up against arkansaw here and then for

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Speaker 2: the last game Here, on thursday we go and Talk

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Speaker 2: about Illinois. And HOUSTON now i already have a bet

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Speaker 2: on this GAME because I have houston winning the bracket

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Speaker 2: at plus.

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Speaker 1: One ten this is going to be a.

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Speaker 2: Tough, MATCHUP okay i don't mind if somebody wants to

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Speaker 2: go ahead and grab a Hold of illinois plus three and.

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Speaker 1: A HALF but i think you bet, an endgame.

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Speaker 2: ALL right i think you've got to watch and see

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Speaker 2: how this, plays Out because illinois's offense matches up very

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Speaker 2: very well Up. Against houston three point shot is an.

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Speaker 2: Ultimate Equalizer brad underwood Coached AT Steven F Austin brad

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Speaker 2: underwood going back To the. Houston area this is not

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Speaker 2: foreign territory. For him he lived there. For years houston

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Speaker 2: is Awesome, In, Houston okay when they Play, in houston they.

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Speaker 2: Haven't lost when they play in the State, of texas

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Speaker 2: they are also very difficult. TO beat I like houston

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Speaker 2: to win, this GAME but i am afraid of the

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Speaker 2: number at three and a half in, CLIMBING here i.

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Speaker 2: Don't know my event might go to four if it

216
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Speaker 2: keeps on. GOING up i think you have to jump

217
00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:56,360
Speaker 2: in And take illinois at. Some Point kelvin sampson has

218
00:11:56,400 --> 00:12:00,199
Speaker 2: not been great in this tournament late as a get

219
00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:01,880
Speaker 2: later into, this tournament things have kind of gone a

220
00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:06,920
Speaker 2: little shaky. For him houston is a dominant, team DEFENSIVELY

221
00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:10,360
Speaker 2: so i don't hate the underthought on. This Game but

222
00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,120
Speaker 2: i've got a plus one ten Bet. ON houston i

223
00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:17,560
Speaker 2: think they beat whoever Wins for Nebraska Or iowa houston

224
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,760
Speaker 2: Beats or illinois beats, That team i'm gonna go. IN

225
00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,439
Speaker 2: game i got plus one Ten. On houston if there

226
00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,480
Speaker 2: is a chance To get illinois by, plus five six

227
00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:28,960
Speaker 2: seven on the, money line, you know six dollars on

228
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,800
Speaker 2: the money line at, Some point i'm Gonna. Take, illinois

229
00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,600
Speaker 2: okay so this is an in game bet for Me

230
00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:38,319
Speaker 2: with Illinois and houston because of the pre flop Bet

231
00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,360
Speaker 2: that i've Got with houston at plus. One ten, all

232
00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:43,960
Speaker 2: right let's move On. To friday but before we, do

233
00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:46,120
Speaker 2: that let me go ahead and remind you about our

234
00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:48,959
Speaker 2: friends At Hard. Rock bet they are going to give

235
00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:51,640
Speaker 2: us A hard rock bet of, the day so, stay

236
00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:55,079
Speaker 2: tuned coming up. For that here in just one Second,

237
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,760
Speaker 2: to friday we Go With saint John's. In duke this

238
00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:02,480
Speaker 2: is gonna. Be Awesome, rick patino as a top, six

239
00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,760
Speaker 2: seed has only closed at plus six or higher three

240
00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:10,280
Speaker 2: times and he covered all. Three games these teams are

241
00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:14,240
Speaker 2: going to play a grinded. Out style this is Just.

242
00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:18,560
Speaker 2: Barn burner duke this year is twelve and three in

243
00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:22,440
Speaker 2: the non conference to. THE under i don't think we

244
00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:24,920
Speaker 2: see points in this game by. Any means you're giving

245
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 2: both these coaches a lot of time to prepare for.

246
00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:30,319
Speaker 2: EACH other i think you're giving both these coaches a

247
00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,160
Speaker 2: chance to find. Some Issues john shire has been, a

248
00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:37,360
Speaker 2: dog has been an under coach this year in the,

249
00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:40,480
Speaker 2: non Conference and duke is playing a Team In saint

250
00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,120
Speaker 2: john's that is not going to be afraid, of them,

251
00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,600
Speaker 2: and frankly there's going to be Fans For saint JOHN'S.

252
00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:50,280
Speaker 1: In, dc okay this is going to be an.

253
00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:54,480
Speaker 2: Awesome atmosphere maybe the best atmosphere of, any game maybe

254
00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:58,079
Speaker 2: OUTSIDE of i, Don't Know, Iowa state tennessee with a

255
00:13:58,160 --> 00:13:59,800
Speaker 2: number of cyclone fans that should Be.

256
00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,520
Speaker 1: In chicago there's gonna be both.

257
00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:06,600
Speaker 2: Fans. There seven the line. IS seven i think you

258
00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:09,960
Speaker 2: can one hundred Percent Take. SAINT john's i think it's a.

259
00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,760
Speaker 2: GOOD play i will Be On saint john's plus seven,

260
00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,480
Speaker 2: on this but It is duke and the way these

261
00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:18,120
Speaker 2: favorites have covered in, THIS tournament i think the, better

262
00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:22,680
Speaker 2: play the more logical play to come, in here is

263
00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:24,520
Speaker 2: just to go and take the under one forty two

264
00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:27,000
Speaker 2: and a Half for Duke And. SAINT john's i like

265
00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,040
Speaker 2: the under in. THIS game i don't think we see

266
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,200
Speaker 2: a lot. OF points i think it's an absolute rock

267
00:14:31,240 --> 00:14:33,960
Speaker 2: fight between these, two Teams And saint john's has been

268
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:38,120
Speaker 2: such a dead under team for this season and frankly,

269
00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,920
Speaker 2: this tournament they've been such a dead under TEAM that

270
00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,840
Speaker 2: i don't think we. SEE points i think we see

271
00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:47,760
Speaker 2: complete brawl between. These two so far, This Year saint

272
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,920
Speaker 2: john's they are twenty three and twelve to. The under

273
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,320
Speaker 2: duke is twenty four and twelve to. The under we've

274
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,440
Speaker 2: got nine of the last ten Games For saint john's.

275
00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:01,120
Speaker 2: Going under only one game was, gone over dating all

276
00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:05,640
Speaker 2: the way back to the Thirteenth. Of February For. Saint

277
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,840
Speaker 2: john's that game Was Against. Seaton hall we went over

278
00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,920
Speaker 2: by ten and. A half three of the last four have. Gone,

279
00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,840
Speaker 2: over sorry go on Under. For duke virginuinent Over And

280
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:19,320
Speaker 2: florida state. Went OVER but Tcu and siana the last

281
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,120
Speaker 2: two games in the tournaments have both gone under Because of.

282
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:25,520
Speaker 2: DUKE'S defense i think this is a. Defensive brawl we'll

283
00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,080
Speaker 2: go ahead and take the under one forty two and

284
00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:32,920
Speaker 2: a Half for Duke And saint john's second Game, on

285
00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:38,640
Speaker 2: friday we Get into Alabama. And, michigan look the number

286
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:40,400
Speaker 2: is one seventy seventy four and.

287
00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:41,320
Speaker 1: A half it's.

288
00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:44,880
Speaker 2: Creeping down after spiking it went open at one seventy

289
00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:46,360
Speaker 2: one and. A half it was bed all the way

290
00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:48,600
Speaker 2: up to one, seventy five and now it's coming. Back

291
00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,440
Speaker 2: down we have not seen many totals of one to

292
00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,680
Speaker 2: seventy five IN the. Nxaa tournament this is super high

293
00:15:55,960 --> 00:16:00,400
Speaker 2: for this but five and one six times previous we've

294
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:02,400
Speaker 2: seen a total of one to seventy five or higher

295
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,000
Speaker 2: and we're five and one to the over in. Those

296
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,720
Speaker 2: GAMES so i think you bet. THE over i think

297
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:09,560
Speaker 2: it's the only play in. This Game but i'm not.

298
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,920
Speaker 2: Really great, YOU know i don't feel great, about it

299
00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,280
Speaker 2: just because it's a new. Shooting environment we don't know

300
00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:17,800
Speaker 2: how these players are going to handle. The pressure they

301
00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:20,560
Speaker 2: could be gripping the basketball lit a little bit tighter

302
00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,240
Speaker 2: than they want to be. Gripping it Here, in chicago

303
00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 2: IT'S an. Nba arena, sorry sorry, in yeah Right, in

304
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:29,000
Speaker 2: chicago IT'S an.

305
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:30,120
Speaker 1: Nba arena there's.

306
00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,160
Speaker 2: Going to be Tons of michigan. Fans there there'll be

307
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:35,080
Speaker 2: a Bunch of alabama fans there. As well michigan laying

308
00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,240
Speaker 2: nine and a half. OR ten i want no part.

309
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:39,560
Speaker 2: Of THAT and nato it's has been pretty good against

310
00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,680
Speaker 2: the spread in these in these games in, the tournament

311
00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:46,440
Speaker 2: nine IN three ATS and ina tournaments when there's a

312
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:47,560
Speaker 2: total of one to fifty five.

313
00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,360
Speaker 1: Or higher so, up, tempo upspeed, YOU know i.

314
00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,640
Speaker 2: DON'T know, i Mean it's michigan's not great covering big

315
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,560
Speaker 2: numbers when it gets to. Double digits michigan is In

316
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,400
Speaker 2: the less sixteen games as a double. Digit favorite they're

317
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:05,960
Speaker 2: three and. Thirteen Ats so i'm not in Love with.

318
00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:09,679
Speaker 2: Michigan There so i'm gonna pass on. THAT game i

319
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 2: don't want to get involved with. That one let's Go

320
00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,600
Speaker 2: In michigan State. IN connecticut i have absolutely. NO idea

321
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,560
Speaker 2: i have a Bet On michigan state. To win i'm

322
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:20,960
Speaker 2: gonna live to to win, the bracket to, win there

323
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 2: to win to get to the. Final four i'm gonna

324
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,199
Speaker 2: wait and see obviously what Happens, on thursday And then

325
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,280
Speaker 2: i'm gonna have to see in game what happens. AS

326
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 2: well i don't know what to make. Of that to be,

327
00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,879
Speaker 2: COMPLETELY frank i really don't know what to make. OF

328
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:36,600
Speaker 2: it i think it's a really. Hard game it's a

329
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 2: great game. To watch hurley has been eighteen and four

330
00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,159
Speaker 2: as a head coach IN The naa tournament eight and

331
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,600
Speaker 2: oh Ats in sweet sixteen games.

332
00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:45,080
Speaker 1: Or later.

333
00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:50,040
Speaker 2: I'ment's insane izzo has been phenomenal in tournament games that

334
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,480
Speaker 2: are low spreads of three points. Or less he's nineteen

335
00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 2: and nine straight up and eighteen and. Ten ats so

336
00:17:57,320 --> 00:18:00,159
Speaker 2: that's a. Coin flip like you tell, ME once i to,

337
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,359
Speaker 2: The other i'm not gonna fight you. ON that i

338
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,080
Speaker 2: don't know what to do, with that to be. Quite

339
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,959
Speaker 2: honest it's time now for The Hard rock bet of.

340
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,679
Speaker 2: The day we know we are into the dance here

341
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,600
Speaker 2: and if your bracket's, been busted you're. Not alone don't,

342
00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 2: worry though you can still call the next big upset

343
00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 2: this week For the sweet sixteen and turn your picks

344
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 2: into payday At Hard. Rock bet the heart stopping zero

345
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:25,080
Speaker 2: on the clock moments pay At Hard, rock bet they're

346
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,440
Speaker 2: giving out twenty five dollars in bonus bets throughout. The

347
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,120
Speaker 2: tournament if your team you bet to win or cover

348
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:32,920
Speaker 2: hits a. Buzzer beater so don't sit on. The bench

349
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,720
Speaker 2: download The Hard rock bet app and let's get the

350
00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:40,040
Speaker 2: party started and let's finish up here with the, last

351
00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 2: day last game coming up In the, sweet sixteen and

352
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 2: That is Tennessee And. Iowa State joshua jefferson is expected

353
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,160
Speaker 2: to play in, this game and that's why this number

354
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,200
Speaker 2: has gone from three and a half to four and. A,

355
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 2: half look this.

356
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:57,639
Speaker 1: Is Tough rick barnes is a really.

357
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 2: Good coach he's been In the sweet sixteen sixteen times.

358
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:03,959
Speaker 2: Or later he's six and ten, straight up six and

359
00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:07,840
Speaker 2: ten against, the spread. Not great when he is listed as,

360
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,880
Speaker 2: an underdog he's zero and five straight up and one

361
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:15,680
Speaker 2: in four against. THE spread i like betting against teams

362
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,879
Speaker 2: that have coaches that have had little success in. This

363
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 2: Round rick barnes is a guy you can fade if

364
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 2: you want to lay four and. A half go right

365
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,239
Speaker 2: ahead if you don't. Like this BUT once i got

366
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 2: to four and, A half i. Got, WORRIED okay I

367
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 2: Like iowa state to win. THE game I Like iowa State.

368
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 2: IN chicago i like. The matchup jefferson playing with a.

369
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 2: Bum ankle how many minutes can? He go how long

370
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 2: can he? Sustain it, we'll, see right he didn't play

371
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 2: last week after. The injury let's see what the staff.

372
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 2: Can do there is the worry About tg otzenberger's name

373
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 2: being floated Around For. North CAROLINA but i Don't Like,

374
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,879
Speaker 2: rick BARNES and i Don't Think rick barnes wins. This

375
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 2: Game But rick barnes, might cover and that concerns me

376
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:57,840
Speaker 2: about a back door or a.

377
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 1: LATE game i don't want to be sweating out four and.

378
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,440
Speaker 2: A half that feels a little heavy for a game

379
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,600
Speaker 2: with a very, low total in a GAME that i

380
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,480
Speaker 2: think winds up. Going UNDER so i don't hate a

381
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,959
Speaker 2: one to thirty eight and a, half underplay but that is.

382
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:13,680
Speaker 2: SUPER low, i mean that's down There With michigan State

383
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 2: in connecticut at one, thirty Six or Iowa and nebraska

384
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:17,919
Speaker 2: down at one.

385
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:19,680
Speaker 1: Thirty, two like these are.

386
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 2: Games that i'm a little bit on the concern side

387
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,760
Speaker 2: to come in and take. The under THESE are, nba

388
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 2: arenas so, these guys this is not an awful shooting

389
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:32,160
Speaker 2: environment for all. These Games so i'm a little worried

390
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,640
Speaker 2: about it unless it gets Like. A yukon, I'm Sorry

391
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:36,680
Speaker 2: saint john's in duke game where they're just going to

392
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,520
Speaker 2: beat the hell out of. Each other so, to me it.

393
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,399
Speaker 2: Is JUICY but, i, think well we only pay the

394
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,040
Speaker 2: juice when. WE lose i think we come in And

395
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 2: Take iowa state on the money line and lay the

396
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 2: one dollar and eighty five cent price on THIS because

397
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,399
Speaker 2: i just don't want to sweat. IT out i Think the.

398
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 2: CYCLONES win i Think the cyclones are a. BETTER team

399
00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 2: i think they've got. MORE weapons i think there were

400
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,880
Speaker 2: more Talented. In Tennessee iowa, state WINS but i don't

401
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 2: want to worry about that price or that four and

402
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 2: a half. Point number i'd rather pay the price and

403
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 2: just go money Line With. Iowa state i'm minus one.

404
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 2: Eighty five if, they lose it can blow up the.

405
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 2: Entire day sure that would stink to see, them LOSE

406
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,199
Speaker 2: but i Do Think iowa. State wins i'm just not

407
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 2: sure about, the Cover so i'm willing to lay the.

408
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: Juice There iowa state minus one eighty five are plays for.

409
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:26,640
Speaker 2: The show, now again you can do whatever you want

410
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,200
Speaker 2: with all, those games but THE bets i have MADE

411
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 2: that i want you guys to know about and give.

412
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 2: Them out texas plus seven and a half to Keep

413
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,360
Speaker 2: The shawn miller, Train Going Duke saint john's under one

414
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 2: forty two and, A half arizona team Total against arkansas

415
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 2: over eighty seven and, a half and We're Going iowa

416
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 2: state money line for the hard rock bet of the

417
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 2: Day Minus. Matt parolt you guys can follow me across

418
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 2: all of. My socials we're back next week for the.

419
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 2: Final four will give you plays as we Head to

420
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 2: indianapolis For the final four next week on our college

421
00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,879
Speaker 2: basketball pick show here On The betting pro.

422
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 1: YouTube channel