WEBVTT - Episode 855: Border Security and the Los Angeles Protests

0:00:04.760 --> 0:00:07.960
<v Speaker 1>On this episode of Newsworld, I wanted to discuss the

0:00:08.000 --> 0:00:11.399
<v Speaker 1>recent ice raids and the protest in Los Angeles, what

0:00:11.440 --> 0:00:13.880
<v Speaker 1>they mean and what I think needs to be done

0:00:14.200 --> 0:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>to move forward with immigration policy. So I'm really pleased

0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:20.960
<v Speaker 1>to welcome my guests Joshua Travino. He is the Senior

0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:24.959
<v Speaker 1>Fellow for the Western Hemisphere Initiative at the America First

0:00:25.000 --> 0:00:41.120
<v Speaker 1>Policy Institute and a good friend. Joshua, Thank you, and

0:00:41.240 --> 0:00:42.960
<v Speaker 1>welcome back to Newsworld.

0:00:43.479 --> 0:00:45.519
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Speaker Gingrich, pleased to be here.

0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:49.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious in the wake of the recent unrest in California,

0:00:50.000 --> 0:00:53.720
<v Speaker 1>many Americans were surprised to see Mexican flags waved as

0:00:53.840 --> 0:00:57.640
<v Speaker 1>cars burned. Did you think this was merely symbolic or

0:00:57.760 --> 0:01:02.200
<v Speaker 1>was it part of a deeper, coordinated political message, as is.

0:01:02.120 --> 0:01:04.600
<v Speaker 2>So often the case in human events. The answer is both,

0:01:04.680 --> 0:01:06.760
<v Speaker 2>but it's more one than the other. A use of

0:01:06.760 --> 0:01:10.240
<v Speaker 2>the Mexican flag that is symbolic in certain quarters, although

0:01:10.360 --> 0:01:13.920
<v Speaker 2>I should note that as a Mexican American myself, you

0:01:13.959 --> 0:01:16.360
<v Speaker 2>don't see it much in my native South Texas. It's

0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:18.280
<v Speaker 2>not the case in California, and it's because you have

0:01:18.319 --> 0:01:22.640
<v Speaker 2>a different and differently politicized population there. The challenge for

0:01:22.760 --> 0:01:26.040
<v Speaker 2>the United States at large comes in the reality that

0:01:26.160 --> 0:01:30.320
<v Speaker 2>the existence of these flags and their deployment in civil

0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:34.800
<v Speaker 2>unrest is not mere organic expressions of what I would

0:01:34.840 --> 0:01:39.160
<v Speaker 2>describe as legitimate cultural pride. There are specific political messages,

0:01:39.240 --> 0:01:42.280
<v Speaker 2>There are specific attacks on American sovereignty coming from within

0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:45.800
<v Speaker 2>the United States, and I think most consequentially for US,

0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:49.080
<v Speaker 2>those attacks upon sovereignty are actively supported by the Mexican

0:01:49.120 --> 0:01:51.720
<v Speaker 2>regime itself. And we can talk about the rhetoric that

0:01:51.760 --> 0:01:54.920
<v Speaker 2>they've deployed as this unrest has gone on, but it's

0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:56.840
<v Speaker 2>something that we need to notice and understand.

0:01:57.520 --> 0:02:02.080
<v Speaker 1>What do you think has the protest in Los Angeles

0:02:02.520 --> 0:02:06.640
<v Speaker 1>and the way they spread quickly to places like Seattle,

0:02:06.760 --> 0:02:07.720
<v Speaker 1>New York and Chicago.

0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:11.959
<v Speaker 2>The left has spent almost a generation now. I don't

0:02:11.960 --> 0:02:15.600
<v Speaker 2>think it really came to the four until the protests

0:02:15.600 --> 0:02:18.240
<v Speaker 2>against the Iraq War and the George W. Bush administration

0:02:18.520 --> 0:02:21.840
<v Speaker 2>really alerted the mainstream American left to the reality that

0:02:21.880 --> 0:02:24.639
<v Speaker 2>they had a mass mobilization potential that could slide into

0:02:24.680 --> 0:02:27.919
<v Speaker 2>violence pretty easily. And so you saw this develop over

0:02:28.040 --> 0:02:30.720
<v Speaker 2>essentially the past twenty years, moving into the Occupy Wall

0:02:30.720 --> 0:02:34.079
<v Speaker 2>Street movement and then really taking off in Barack Obama's

0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:37.840
<v Speaker 2>second term with the unrested Ferguson and in other places,

0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:40.799
<v Speaker 2>and I think culminating in what was to my mind

0:02:40.840 --> 0:02:44.280
<v Speaker 2>genuinely an insurrection in summer twenty twenty in which the

0:02:44.400 --> 0:02:48.359
<v Speaker 2>violent apparatus at the left was brought to bear against

0:02:48.480 --> 0:02:51.639
<v Speaker 2>I wouldn't even say conservative governance, but simple American constitutional

0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:55.040
<v Speaker 2>governance at large. It is a movement that has really

0:02:55.040 --> 0:02:59.399
<v Speaker 2>brought back unfortunately, political assassination to American civics has really

0:02:59.560 --> 0:03:02.040
<v Speaker 2>made us in the street violence. And So to your question,

0:03:02.120 --> 0:03:04.360
<v Speaker 2>what we're seeing, what we've seen in Los Angeles, what

0:03:04.400 --> 0:03:06.959
<v Speaker 2>we saw in other cities is at a fundamental level,

0:03:07.600 --> 0:03:11.000
<v Speaker 2>a reactivation of that network of violence, a resort by

0:03:11.000 --> 0:03:14.880
<v Speaker 2>a movement that cannot win through persuasion, cannot win at

0:03:14.919 --> 0:03:18.160
<v Speaker 2>the ballot box, to the fundamental pre political force, which

0:03:18.240 --> 0:03:20.840
<v Speaker 2>is force it self. And that's what we're seeing. In

0:03:20.919 --> 0:03:23.320
<v Speaker 2>the case of LA You've got third party foreign state

0:03:23.400 --> 0:03:24.200
<v Speaker 2>involvement as well.

0:03:24.840 --> 0:03:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Now what do you mean by that?

0:03:26.600 --> 0:03:29.560
<v Speaker 2>What I mean is that their underlying motives for the

0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:32.400
<v Speaker 2>violence in Los Angeles, in particular, talking about seeing the

0:03:32.440 --> 0:03:34.839
<v Speaker 2>deployment of Mexican flags and so on, and it's something

0:03:34.880 --> 0:03:39.200
<v Speaker 2>that we have to understand because it's not mere humanitarian impulse. Right,

0:03:39.240 --> 0:03:41.600
<v Speaker 2>it's not sorrow for the migrants, and it's not sorrow

0:03:41.600 --> 0:03:44.600
<v Speaker 2>for those being deported. What ice Wood President Trump is,

0:03:44.960 --> 0:03:48.760
<v Speaker 2>i think correctly striking at and enacting these deportations, and

0:03:48.800 --> 0:03:51.760
<v Speaker 2>specifically in the precipitating events in Los Angeles where they

0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:55.440
<v Speaker 2>were going after apparently a human trafficking hub, is they're

0:03:55.480 --> 0:03:58.800
<v Speaker 2>striking at a profit model that benefits both the cartels

0:03:59.000 --> 0:04:02.480
<v Speaker 2>and their partners the Mexican regime. That's important to understand.

0:04:03.120 --> 0:04:06.240
<v Speaker 2>The business model for the cartel's visa v. Human trafficking,

0:04:06.280 --> 0:04:08.960
<v Speaker 2>which characterizes one hundred percent of a legal migration these

0:04:09.040 --> 0:04:11.240
<v Speaker 2>days and has for some time, can really be thought

0:04:11.280 --> 0:04:14.240
<v Speaker 2>of as sort of an evil subscription service. They extort

0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:17.240
<v Speaker 2>the trafficked people on their way to the border, but

0:04:17.320 --> 0:04:21.480
<v Speaker 2>once the border is crossed, the expectation and it's enforced,

0:04:21.640 --> 0:04:23.960
<v Speaker 2>is that these individuals will go to jobs in the

0:04:24.040 --> 0:04:27.159
<v Speaker 2>United States. Frequently they're already set up, and they will

0:04:27.160 --> 0:04:29.800
<v Speaker 2>continue to fund the cartels and their partners in the

0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:33.240
<v Speaker 2>Mexican state, in particular with remittances that come back. This

0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:35.719
<v Speaker 2>is why, for example, you saw the President of Mexico

0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:39.960
<v Speaker 2>essentially threaten protests and demonstrations in the United States if

0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:42.240
<v Speaker 2>remittances were taxed. This is a big deal for them.

0:04:42.279 --> 0:04:45.920
<v Speaker 2>It's billions of dollars in revenue. It's no wonder that

0:04:46.040 --> 0:04:49.320
<v Speaker 2>violence resulted when that model was attacked, But of course,

0:04:49.320 --> 0:04:50.960
<v Speaker 2>for us, the answer is that we should keep attacking it.

0:04:51.600 --> 0:04:55.400
<v Speaker 1>From your perspective, do you think their effort is designed

0:04:55.400 --> 0:04:59.320
<v Speaker 1>to try to make it so difficult for ICE to

0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:04.200
<v Speaker 1>operate that the whole deportation system eventually just collapses.

0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:08.160
<v Speaker 2>Oh, without question, Without question, they want to raise the

0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:11.880
<v Speaker 2>price tag of deportations. They want to raise the price

0:05:11.960 --> 0:05:15.920
<v Speaker 2>tag of enforcement actions and make it not worthwhile, because,

0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:18.680
<v Speaker 2>of course, the theory of action is that if every

0:05:18.680 --> 0:05:22.240
<v Speaker 2>time you conduct a workplace raid, or you conduct a deportation,

0:05:22.560 --> 0:05:25.839
<v Speaker 2>or it's a surprise apprehension that a mob's going to gather,

0:05:26.080 --> 0:05:29.040
<v Speaker 2>then the operational calculus changes, and frankly, it will if

0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:32.440
<v Speaker 2>taken to its logical extreme. It's an environment in which

0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:35.279
<v Speaker 2>two things happen. One is that deportations can't occur, but

0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:37.120
<v Speaker 2>that's not the real goal. The real goal is that

0:05:37.200 --> 0:05:41.360
<v Speaker 2>it becomes an environment in which law ordered governance can't occur,

0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:43.919
<v Speaker 2>and that's the ultimate end state of the other side.

0:05:44.680 --> 0:05:47.760
<v Speaker 1>The Democratic leader in the House made a comment the

0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:50.960
<v Speaker 1>other day that ICE agents should not wear a mask

0:05:51.360 --> 0:05:53.520
<v Speaker 1>because eventually you're going to figure out who you are.

0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:57.479
<v Speaker 1>And I thought, thinking back, for example, to the Italian

0:05:57.560 --> 0:06:01.360
<v Speaker 1>tradition trying to deal with the mafia, in fact, you

0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:04.200
<v Speaker 1>put their wives and their families and their children at

0:06:04.320 --> 0:06:07.599
<v Speaker 1>risk if they become known. And I think people don't

0:06:07.640 --> 0:06:12.600
<v Speaker 1>realize how elaborate and how intense the opposition can become.

0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:15.960
<v Speaker 2>I think you're completely right, and I guess two observations

0:06:16.000 --> 0:06:18.520
<v Speaker 2>on that. One is the exactly to your point. This

0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:22.159
<v Speaker 2>is something that characterizes law enforcement in places that are

0:06:22.320 --> 0:06:27.520
<v Speaker 2>stricken with organized crime, Italy being one example, Mexico being another. Actually,

0:06:27.520 --> 0:06:30.320
<v Speaker 2>there's a reason that when you see anti cartel operations,

0:06:30.360 --> 0:06:33.920
<v Speaker 2>really anti cartel operations, the agents the military law enforcement

0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:36.480
<v Speaker 2>are masked, and it's because people do go after families.

0:06:37.160 --> 0:06:39.760
<v Speaker 2>But there's something else that's even more portentous for us

0:06:39.800 --> 0:06:43.360
<v Speaker 2>as Americans buried in that, and it's that this Democratic

0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:47.320
<v Speaker 2>comment indicates a fracturing of what used to be sort

0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:49.679
<v Speaker 2>of a criminal code. I don't want to ascribe honor

0:06:49.720 --> 0:06:53.040
<v Speaker 2>to thieves. But it is the reality that rewinding back

0:06:53.080 --> 0:06:55.479
<v Speaker 2>to the nineteen forties is a very famous incident in

0:06:55.520 --> 0:06:57.000
<v Speaker 2>which there was a member of one of the Five

0:06:57.040 --> 0:06:58.920
<v Speaker 2>Families in New York and the New York City mafia

0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:01.120
<v Speaker 2>wanted to kill Thomas and you probably know about this,

0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:04.839
<v Speaker 2>so he proposed it, and in response, the other mafioso

0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:07.119
<v Speaker 2>has killed him because that was a line that wasn't crossed.

0:07:07.120 --> 0:07:09.680
<v Speaker 2>You didn't go after law enforcement, certainly not their families.

0:07:10.320 --> 0:07:13.240
<v Speaker 2>If that's changed in modern day America, then it's a

0:07:13.360 --> 0:07:15.640
<v Speaker 2>very very dark passage for us, and it's one to

0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:17.440
<v Speaker 2>which we should spare no effort to reverse.

0:07:18.080 --> 0:07:21.840
<v Speaker 1>To what extent are we seeing behaviors that have been

0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:26.760
<v Speaker 1>relatively normal in Mexico as the cartels fight to take

0:07:26.800 --> 0:07:29.320
<v Speaker 1>control of the country. To what extent have we seen

0:07:29.360 --> 0:07:32.200
<v Speaker 1>them starting to come across the border and also begin

0:07:32.320 --> 0:07:34.960
<v Speaker 1>to be part of the operating reality we have to

0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:35.960
<v Speaker 1>deal with in the US.

0:07:37.000 --> 0:07:39.000
<v Speaker 2>That's a great question. Those of us who followed the

0:07:39.040 --> 0:07:41.720
<v Speaker 2>cartels and the breakdown of Mexican civics and the Mexican

0:07:41.800 --> 0:07:45.000
<v Speaker 2>state partnership with the cartels over many years have known

0:07:45.080 --> 0:07:47.640
<v Speaker 2>for some time that a lot of the features of

0:07:47.720 --> 0:07:50.440
<v Speaker 2>Mexican cartel violence have been present in the United States

0:07:50.520 --> 0:07:53.280
<v Speaker 2>for a while. I was in Laredo, Texas, my father's

0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:56.280
<v Speaker 2>hometown actually about a year ago, and we talked with

0:07:56.320 --> 0:07:59.720
<v Speaker 2>some security personnel, and there's kidnap houses in Laredo where

0:07:59.720 --> 0:08:01.600
<v Speaker 2>people or kidnapp they're tied up. The only thing that

0:08:01.600 --> 0:08:03.600
<v Speaker 2>doesn't happen in the United States is the murder. They're

0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:06.440
<v Speaker 2>taken across the river and then killed these victims. But

0:08:06.480 --> 0:08:08.200
<v Speaker 2>you go to a place like Phoenix and they do

0:08:08.280 --> 0:08:13.080
<v Speaker 2>have operational sites where people are killed. The personnel, the methodologies,

0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:16.440
<v Speaker 2>the expertise is all present in the United States. The

0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:20.200
<v Speaker 2>only thing that we have yet to see is mass

0:08:20.200 --> 0:08:22.640
<v Speaker 2>attacks on law enforcement. I would say, prior to two

0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:26.600
<v Speaker 2>weeks ago, mass attacks on law enforcement, actual seizure of territory.

0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:29.280
<v Speaker 2>Those would be the two phenomenon in Mexico that we

0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:31.720
<v Speaker 2>haven't seen in the US yet. But again, going back

0:08:31.720 --> 0:08:33.959
<v Speaker 2>to la you can argue that both of these are

0:08:34.000 --> 0:08:36.960
<v Speaker 2>increasingly in evidence. I think the seal is broken and

0:08:37.000 --> 0:08:39.520
<v Speaker 2>we need to look for more of this. Unfortunately, as

0:08:39.760 --> 0:08:42.480
<v Speaker 2>one goes on, because that expertise is not here in

0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:44.600
<v Speaker 2>the United States. Just to enjoy the weather, it's here

0:08:44.600 --> 0:08:46.280
<v Speaker 2>for a purpose to what he said.

0:08:46.120 --> 0:08:51.239
<v Speaker 1>With us almost inevitably draw us into fighting the cartels

0:08:51.240 --> 0:08:52.360
<v Speaker 1>in Mexico itself.

0:08:53.080 --> 0:08:56.600
<v Speaker 2>That's a great question. It depends on which section of

0:08:56.679 --> 0:09:00.600
<v Speaker 2>the executive apparatus you talk to. There is I think

0:09:00.600 --> 0:09:03.440
<v Speaker 2>it's fair to say, and most of it's occurring in public,

0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:05.640
<v Speaker 2>some of it's behind the scenes. But there's a debate

0:09:05.720 --> 0:09:08.680
<v Speaker 2>underway within the Trump administration as to how much to do.

0:09:09.280 --> 0:09:12.240
<v Speaker 2>I'll be circumspect in naming who, but there is a

0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:15.880
<v Speaker 2>cohort that genuinely believes that the path forward is as

0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:18.320
<v Speaker 2>much cooperation as we can get with the regime, with

0:09:18.360 --> 0:09:21.360
<v Speaker 2>this cartel affiliated regime. I happen to disagree with that,

0:09:21.480 --> 0:09:23.600
<v Speaker 2>but it's a real position, and it's one that is

0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:25.600
<v Speaker 2>going to point toward and what they see is the

0:09:25.800 --> 0:09:29.440
<v Speaker 2>superseding interest in trade between Mexico and the United States.

0:09:29.559 --> 0:09:32.440
<v Speaker 2>And there's another cohort from public reporting you can characterize

0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:35.400
<v Speaker 2>as based more around the Defense and National Security apparatus

0:09:35.800 --> 0:09:38.120
<v Speaker 2>that really does believe that American hard power needs to

0:09:38.120 --> 0:09:39.960
<v Speaker 2>be brought to bear and that we need to be

0:09:40.040 --> 0:09:42.559
<v Speaker 2>willing to do things that the Mexican state itself will

0:09:42.600 --> 0:09:45.160
<v Speaker 2>not No surprise. That's where I'm aligned. I think that

0:09:45.240 --> 0:09:47.199
<v Speaker 2>happens to be a correct analysis of the nature of

0:09:47.240 --> 0:09:50.520
<v Speaker 2>the Mexican state. But the debate is unfolding, and I'll

0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:52.839
<v Speaker 2>tell you, Speaker Gingrich, that we're going to see who wins.

0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:58.000
<v Speaker 2>The debate is in the conversations on reauthorizing USMCA, which

0:09:58.040 --> 0:10:00.920
<v Speaker 2>are opening this fall and need to be completed by

0:10:01.000 --> 0:10:04.400
<v Speaker 2>July first, twenty twenty six. If you see US asking

0:10:04.440 --> 0:10:07.760
<v Speaker 2>for security concessions from the Mexican's real ones, then you'll

0:10:07.800 --> 0:10:09.800
<v Speaker 2>know that the security side one. But if you see

0:10:09.840 --> 0:10:12.800
<v Speaker 2>it just tracked on the trade and commerce lines, you'll

0:10:12.840 --> 0:10:13.960
<v Speaker 2>know that something else has happened.

0:10:30.840 --> 0:10:34.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's reported that Stephen Miller issued it directed

0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:38.560
<v Speaker 1>from the White House, that I should make a minimum

0:10:38.559 --> 0:10:42.040
<v Speaker 1>of three thousand arrests a day. Is that kind of

0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:47.960
<v Speaker 1>mathematically oriented model a sustainable approach to deportation.

0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:51.560
<v Speaker 2>It's impossible to evaluate on my end because I don't

0:10:51.600 --> 0:10:53.320
<v Speaker 2>know the rationale behind it, and I also don't know

0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:55.760
<v Speaker 2>the timeframe behind what's been reported on the three thousand

0:10:55.800 --> 0:10:59.000
<v Speaker 2>a day. How I interpret the number which I can't

0:10:59.000 --> 0:11:01.120
<v Speaker 2>read Stephen Miller's mind, And I think this is probably

0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:03.880
<v Speaker 2>correct given his public record, I interpret the number is

0:11:04.000 --> 0:11:05.800
<v Speaker 2>really sort of along the lines of build the wall,

0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:07.320
<v Speaker 2>which is not going to be a physical wall in

0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:09.680
<v Speaker 2>every single spot on the border, but it's demand for

0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:12.120
<v Speaker 2>meaningful action, and I think that's right. So if the

0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:15.560
<v Speaker 2>numbers three thousand, if it's five thousand, if it's two thousands,

0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:18.040
<v Speaker 2>what he's asking for is more, and he's asking for

0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:21.520
<v Speaker 2>a meaningful dent in the illegal population, which again I'm

0:11:21.559 --> 0:11:23.240
<v Speaker 2>of the school that it's in the tens of millions

0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:25.800
<v Speaker 2>and not in the single digit millions, and so the

0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:30.160
<v Speaker 2>need for haste is evident. And I think that accentuates

0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:32.920
<v Speaker 2>if you think I'm not saying Stephen Miller thinks this,

0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:35.520
<v Speaker 2>because he probably doesn't, But if you think that the

0:11:35.559 --> 0:11:38.800
<v Speaker 2>midterms next year will go poorly for the Republicans, when.

0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:43.000
<v Speaker 1>You think about deportation, in your mind, what scale is

0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:46.640
<v Speaker 1>sustainable and necessary.

0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:48.640
<v Speaker 2>Part of this is a prudential question as to what

0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:51.720
<v Speaker 2>the apparatus at hand is. I don't think there's much

0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:55.559
<v Speaker 2>more important in American governance right now than mass deportation.

0:11:56.200 --> 0:11:58.080
<v Speaker 2>That's not a position I would have held a decade

0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:00.439
<v Speaker 2>ago in full candor on the South Tech and we're

0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:04.079
<v Speaker 2>accustomed to cross border movement. But as conservatives, we follow

0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 2>prudence in reality, and one of the realities is that

0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 2>the nature of crossing has changed. It's trafficking, it's cartels,

0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:13.880
<v Speaker 2>it's got state backing. So rooting that out is almost

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:18.080
<v Speaker 2>existentially important at this point. I'll say this too. In

0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 2>the past six to eight weeks, we have seen not

0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:25.920
<v Speaker 2>one but two incredible examples of strategic blows landed at

0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 2>both the Russians and then the Iranians by what all

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:33.640
<v Speaker 2>describe archly is alien populations within. And that's not a

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:37.760
<v Speaker 2>complaint about American diversity. I'm Mexican American. My sons are Chinese,

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 2>so we're beneficiaries this catholicity of American identity that we have.

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:44.120
<v Speaker 2>But we also have a duty to secure ourselves and

0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 2>to secure our homeland and our way of life. And

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 2>an illegal population in the tens of millions is by

0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:52.960
<v Speaker 2>its nature a threat, because it takes a sliver of

0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 2>one percent of that population to be antagonistic toward us

0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.679
<v Speaker 2>to constitute a true strategic threat to the United States.

0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Numbers seventeen million. How would you go about finding and

0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 1>deporting seventeen million people?

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:12.160
<v Speaker 2>Oh gosh, I can give guidelines to it, which I'm

0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:14.560
<v Speaker 2>sure has already been thought of by mister Miller and

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 2>the folks at DHS. You know that they cluster in

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:20.560
<v Speaker 2>particular sectors. You know that they cluster in particular communities.

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:23.600
<v Speaker 2>You know that they cluster in particular geographies. This is

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:26.120
<v Speaker 2>where in the United States it gets a bit complicated, because,

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 2>of course we have nothing like a national ID card.

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 2>The closest we have to it is kind of an

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:34.000
<v Speaker 2>ad mixture of Social Security numbers and driver's licenses, neither

0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 2>of which are totally secure. But you've got to have

0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 2>an apparatus that's capable of discerning and adjudicating at that scale.

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:41.880
<v Speaker 2>It's not clear to me that we have everything that

0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 2>we need. I think our friends at DHS would agree

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 2>that they could do with more resources, So we ought

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:47.520
<v Speaker 2>to properly resource it to that end.

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:51.719
<v Speaker 1>Don't you all only need some kind of administrative procedure

0:13:52.720 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 1>that somehow identifies and checks each person.

0:13:56.559 --> 0:14:00.160
<v Speaker 2>Probably, yeah, you probably do. And there's attempts at that

0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:04.400
<v Speaker 2>HE verify being one, normal employment verification, whether it's a

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:06.800
<v Speaker 2>ten ninety nine or a W two being another, and

0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 2>so that just needs to be enforced. Probably too, there

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.040
<v Speaker 2>needs to be I'll venture into a little bit of

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:13.880
<v Speaker 2>an area of ignorance for myself which will make me

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 2>like every other public commentator on all topics, which is

0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 2>that there probably needs to be more employer's side enforcement

0:14:19.560 --> 0:14:19.880
<v Speaker 2>as well.

0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:25.200
<v Speaker 1>In your mind, is that done with the active cooperation

0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 1>of the employers or is it done by operating raids.

0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:31.160
<v Speaker 2>It's got to be both. You can't assume a single

0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 2>prong approach for this kind of thing. I guess, no,

0:14:34.240 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 2>it's more than a guess. I think the truth is

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.640
<v Speaker 2>that most American employers will want to cooperate. There will

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:40.680
<v Speaker 2>be a subset who don't. Those are the ones that

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 2>you maintain the capacity and practice of raids.

0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 1>For One of the groups have been called dreamers, and

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:51.640
<v Speaker 1>they've been identified several different times by Obama and by Trump.

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:54.880
<v Speaker 1>Do you carve them out or just deport them?

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 2>The category of dreamers, it's unfortunate because it's such a

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:00.840
<v Speaker 2>tough one from a perceptual stand point, But we have

0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:05.760
<v Speaker 2>to understand why these categories exist. The category of the

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 2>dreamer was specifically created to make from a communicative perspective,

0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:14.600
<v Speaker 2>a cohort of what i'll put in quotes acceptable illegal

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:18.960
<v Speaker 2>aliens in the United States, the conservatives and also rule

0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:21.960
<v Speaker 2>of law oriented liberals and Democrats, of whom there are

0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:25.480
<v Speaker 2>many would find it politically impossible to deport, and then

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 2>having established that precedent, then you could move outward because then,

0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 2>of course the point is conceded that you can't deport everybody.

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 2>It's tough, but you have to have the law of

0:15:33.840 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 2>the law, not in a mindless fashion, but in a

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.160
<v Speaker 2>fashion that displays the prudential wisdom of understanding why it

0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:41.520
<v Speaker 2>is that the other side created this category to start with.

0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 2>So no, I wouldn't create a carp for dreamers. I

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:48.480
<v Speaker 2>would establish the same standard for each Here's the thing, though,

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 2>that you know, for those wanting a prudential individual level

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 2>applications of the law and justice and individual cases, you

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 2>can actually do that once you've cleared out the tens

0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 2>of millions who've come in. You can actually do that

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 2>once you've solved the major problem. Tactical solutions become possible

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:07.520
<v Speaker 2>only when the strategic challenge has been met, And we

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:09.400
<v Speaker 2>still have to meet the strategic challenge.

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 1>How many million do you think you have to be

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Speaker 1>deported to have met the strategic challenge?

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 2>That depends upon your theory of how many are here,

0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 2>which nobody really knows. I am of the school of

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 2>thought that it's between twenty and thirty million, which is

0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 2>a titanic number. I've heard Obviously, either are those who

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 2>go much lower than that the high end that I've heard.

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't adhere to this, but I have heard of

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 2>incredible peoples that it's in the thirty to fifty million range.

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.720
<v Speaker 2>I find that strange mycadriulity, but it could be the case.

0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 2>You have to deport enough. We can't get into macnamara solutions.

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 2>There's not a body count of the day that's going

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:44.240
<v Speaker 2>to be adequate. We have to look to change behaviors.

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 2>We should deport enough to break the business model that

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 2>facilitated the deportations period full stop. That could be five million,

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:54.680
<v Speaker 2>that could be two guys. We don't know, and it's

0:16:54.680 --> 0:16:58.880
<v Speaker 2>the unknowability that militates toward us having to apply all

0:16:58.880 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 2>efforts to get to it. I think we'll know when

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 2>we see, and until then we keep it going full speed.

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 1>One of the side problems here is the White House

0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>on February first, issued a fact she that says, quote,

0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 1>the Mexican drug trafficking organizations have an intolerable alliance with

0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:22.959
<v Speaker 1>the government of Mexico, and the Mexican President, Claudia Scheinbaum,

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 1>strongly opposed designating the cartels as foreign terrorists. Has she

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:30.840
<v Speaker 1>largely been not helpful?

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Oh, that depends on who you ask. The State Department

0:17:35.040 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 2>will tell you that she's been the most helpful person

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:37.640
<v Speaker 2>of all time.

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Of course, that could be a very limited description.

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.160
<v Speaker 2>Indeed, it could. Yeah, yeah, that's right, that's right. No,

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:45.720
<v Speaker 2>but unfortunately they really are cooperating and selling her and

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:48.920
<v Speaker 2>her regime as a genuine partner, which they're not. First

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 2>of all, the Mexican state is in partnership with its cartels.

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:56.040
<v Speaker 2>There is a Mexican state cartel alliance. It has existed

0:17:56.119 --> 0:18:00.639
<v Speaker 2>for years. And what changed in twenty eighteen the arrival

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:04.359
<v Speaker 2>of the current Mexican regime under the Morena Party, is

0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:07.679
<v Speaker 2>that it rose from becoming sort of an opportunistic partnership

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 2>to one that really was essential to the advancement of

0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 2>this leftist Venezuela's style ideology that Morena is using to

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:18.960
<v Speaker 2>transform Mexican society. So it is an existential partnership for them.

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:21.200
<v Speaker 2>They need it and they require it for the maintenance

0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:24.200
<v Speaker 2>of their rule. What President Claudia Scheinbaum in Mexico has

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:26.720
<v Speaker 2>done very smartly, I think. I mean, she's a very

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.360
<v Speaker 2>intelligent and cunning person, not like her predecessor at all,

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 2>who was much more of a blunt instrument. She understands

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 2>that so long as she can provide what I'll call

0:18:34.560 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 2>the tactical window dressing to the Americans, sending over individual narcos,

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:42.480
<v Speaker 2>sending over criminals, sending over cartel bosses, that most of

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:47.080
<v Speaker 2>our governing apparatus is going to interpret that as sufficient cooperation.

0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:50.240
<v Speaker 2>It's not. And this is something that we've said at

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:52.320
<v Speaker 2>the America First Policy Institute and also at the Texas

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:55.159
<v Speaker 2>Public Policy Foundation for some time now, which is that

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:58.760
<v Speaker 2>real change comes not when the handover cartel members, but

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:03.919
<v Speaker 2>when the handover politicians. When you see political actors, officeholders, governors,

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 2>cabinet secretaries, senators, congressmen, and even the former president of

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 2>Mexico himself under indictment and handed over to the Americans,

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 2>then we'll know that they're serious about breaking the cartel alliance.

0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:17.880
<v Speaker 2>But we haven't seen that yet, and I don't think

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:21.280
<v Speaker 2>we're going to and until that happens to a meaningful

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 2>degree from within their own party. It is a signal

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 2>to us that they are going to maintain that partnership

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 2>with their cartels.

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 1>And in March twenty twenty five, Fox News up ed

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:53.080
<v Speaker 1>you wrote that the Mexican state quote establishes Marina Party,

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:56.879
<v Speaker 1>sells throughout the United States, and activates someone desired. What

0:19:56.920 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>does that mean?

0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 2>We have to understand that the Mexicans, even prior to

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 2>Morena's arrival at national power, has always regarded its nationals

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 2>abroad and it's illegal migrants abroad as its own. Now,

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 2>in a sense, that's not unusual. I mean, we regard

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:14.600
<v Speaker 2>Americans abroad as our own as well. But what's different

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:18.160
<v Speaker 2>about the Mexican regime's attitude toward Mexicans in the United

0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 2>States is that they're essentially active participants in the corpus

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 2>of Mexican civics. So, for example, if you are a

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Mexican national in the US, whether you're here illegally or

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:29.880
<v Speaker 2>not is irrelevant to them. In fact, they think it's

0:20:29.920 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 2>virtuous if you're here illegally in some way. Some of

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:33.959
<v Speaker 2>the ideologues will say that. But if you're a Mexican

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:36.800
<v Speaker 2>resident in say California or Texas, or Nebraska or Iowa.

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:41.400
<v Speaker 2>You actually have a congressman representing you in the Mexican Congress.

0:20:41.520 --> 0:20:44.480
<v Speaker 2>You actually have a liputado who you can vote for

0:20:44.640 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 2>the Mexican Consulate. You actually have allocated votes for Mexicans

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 2>abroad in the presidential races. It's very different than what

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:53.400
<v Speaker 2>you see in the United States. I mean, it's unthinkable

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:56.560
<v Speaker 2>that Americans in France would have electoral votes for themselves,

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 2>so but the Mexicans do that. And it's because this

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:03.120
<v Speaker 2>this ideological belief that wherever the Mexican population is, there

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:06.720
<v Speaker 2>too is Mexico. And that goes double for essentially the

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 2>southwestern quadrant of the United States, everything from California all

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 2>the way over to Texas, which in official Mexican discourse

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:16.120
<v Speaker 2>you see this over and over and over, is still

0:21:16.119 --> 0:21:19.879
<v Speaker 2>regarded as fundamentally Mexican land. I'm personally offended by this.

0:21:19.960 --> 0:21:22.560
<v Speaker 2>As a descendant of them. Thank God for Zachary Taylor's army.

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 2>It's the best thing that happened to my lineage. That's

0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 2>something that they operationalize. And so to your question about

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.879
<v Speaker 2>the Morena party, cells Morena has followed this to the

0:21:29.920 --> 0:21:31.639
<v Speaker 2>logical degree, and they do have party sales in the

0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 2>United States, and these party cells, we've seen them activate

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:38.159
<v Speaker 2>from time to time. I have personally seen Morena posters,

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:40.800
<v Speaker 2>not even election related, but just posters affirming loyalty to

0:21:40.840 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 2>the leader on their s manuel in Laredo, Texas, an

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:47.199
<v Speaker 2>American town, when the New York Times reported accurately on

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 2>the Mexican president's ties to the sin Lower cartels and

0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 2>the fact that he's likely been taking money from them

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 2>since two thousand and six, the Morena party sell in

0:21:54.560 --> 0:21:57.600
<v Speaker 2>New York City organized a quote unquote spontaneous protest to

0:21:57.680 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 2>pick at the New York Times. Same thing when they

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 2>wanted to welcome undrestmen will to Washington, d C. When

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 2>he traveled there. I have had conversations in Mexico itself

0:22:07.400 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 2>with senior Mexican officials, advisors to the current president, who

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:12.840
<v Speaker 2>have told me directly. I was astonished to hear this

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 2>said that if need be, they will activate the Mexicans

0:22:16.040 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 2>in the United States to defend their country because, in

0:22:18.560 --> 0:22:20.879
<v Speaker 2>their words, there's thirty million of them. Look, I'm one

0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:22.280
<v Speaker 2>of them, and I'm sure not going to defend the

0:22:22.280 --> 0:22:24.800
<v Speaker 2>Mexican regime. But this is sort of a very dangerous

0:22:24.840 --> 0:22:27.680
<v Speaker 2>hubris that they have, and I think it is absolutely

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:31.119
<v Speaker 2>unthinkable that that phenomenon is not at play somehow in

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 2>Los Angeles, given the rhetoric, and given the interest at

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:38.440
<v Speaker 2>play emanating from Mexico City, and if we had certainly

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:40.760
<v Speaker 2>local and state law enforcement, which you don't in California,

0:22:40.760 --> 0:22:43.080
<v Speaker 2>with any responsibility, this would already be investigated.

0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:47.800
<v Speaker 1>From your perspective, are we almost inevitably going to have

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 1>some kind of collision with the Mexican government.

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 2>It's going to come sooner or later. And I say

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:56.719
<v Speaker 2>that with tremendous regret as somebody who is fundamentally from Mexico.

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 2>The Mexican regime people don't think that of me, but

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.880
<v Speaker 2>I actually am. I want Mexico to prosper and flourish

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:04.560
<v Speaker 2>and be the best place it can possibly be. But

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:07.439
<v Speaker 2>right now we have a choice as Americans. We have

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:11.520
<v Speaker 2>a choice from a strategic perspective. We can accept the

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:16.280
<v Speaker 2>confrontation now and demand real cooperation and real partnership that

0:23:16.359 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 2>frankly they owe us. There's no other way to put it,

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:23.000
<v Speaker 2>or we can wait a decade until Mexico is fully

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:29.760
<v Speaker 2>Venezuela ezed and has Venezuelan Cuban Russian Chinese personnel swarming

0:23:29.760 --> 0:23:32.360
<v Speaker 2>over it, which is a process that's already begun. Then

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:34.359
<v Speaker 2>we can deal at it from that position, which is

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 2>going to be far more fraught and dangerous than before.

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 2>I'd rather do it now, and I'd rather do it well.

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:41.560
<v Speaker 2>It can still be handled in the realm of diplomacy,

0:23:42.000 --> 0:23:43.879
<v Speaker 2>because the alternative is much worse.

0:23:44.840 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>As you look at this, would you say that Trump

0:23:47.320 --> 0:23:49.160
<v Speaker 1>has turned the corner on this.

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 2>Issue on Mexico itself? Yes, he's done something very important.

0:23:54.440 --> 0:23:58.480
<v Speaker 2>What President Trump has done is introduced reality into it.

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:02.320
<v Speaker 2>The fact that there was a day one executive order

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:05.840
<v Speaker 2>designating the cartels as foreign terror organizations, which, as you

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 2>noted before, Mission Speaker, the Mexican President opposed, and the

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:11.359
<v Speaker 2>reason she opposed it is because it can sweep up

0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:13.880
<v Speaker 2>the political partners of the cartels as well. The fact

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 2>that he did that, the fact that he explicitly reoriented

0:24:17.440 --> 0:24:20.479
<v Speaker 2>the national security apparatus the defense of the southern border,

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:24.399
<v Speaker 2>the fact that he talked about an Article one, section

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 2>ten constitutional invasion in its proper sense. All of that

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:30.639
<v Speaker 2>is transformative. And so you know, one of the things

0:24:30.680 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 2>that I said to a variety of colleagues the day

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:37.080
<v Speaker 2>after inauguration day was that God forbid, if his presidency

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:39.399
<v Speaker 2>had ended after twenty four hours, he still would have

0:24:39.440 --> 0:24:41.679
<v Speaker 2>done more good to this relationship than any president of

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:45.119
<v Speaker 2>the preceding fifty sixty years. And I still think that's true.

0:24:45.400 --> 0:24:48.080
<v Speaker 2>As in all things, you know, with governments setting the predicates,

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:50.360
<v Speaker 2>only part of the battle. Execution is the next and

0:24:50.480 --> 0:24:54.560
<v Speaker 2>what remains is to execute according to the precedence he set.

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:56.679
<v Speaker 2>I think the jury is still out on that, and

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:59.640
<v Speaker 2>that's not because of the president. It's because of the biocracy,

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 2>which is the eternal foe of the American interest, and

0:25:02.840 --> 0:25:06.520
<v Speaker 2>we've got to make sure that that bureaucracy carries out

0:25:06.560 --> 0:25:07.359
<v Speaker 2>the president's wishes.

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:11.800
<v Speaker 1>In this respect, I was frankly startled by the speed

0:25:11.840 --> 0:25:15.360
<v Speaker 1>with which they closed down the border and the decisiveness.

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that's sustainable?

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:19.800
<v Speaker 2>We have to understand that there's two reasons the border

0:25:19.840 --> 0:25:23.160
<v Speaker 2>is closed down. One is superior enforcement on the American side,

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:26.359
<v Speaker 2>which the President deserves full credit for, as does the

0:25:26.440 --> 0:25:29.639
<v Speaker 2>DHS apparatus for at large, as does the DoD And

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 2>that is sustainable. I mean, that's a permanent mission for

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:35.680
<v Speaker 2>American governance. But there's another reason that the border was

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:37.639
<v Speaker 2>shut down, and I think that's one that gets missed

0:25:37.760 --> 0:25:40.199
<v Speaker 2>is that the Mexicans chose to shut it down. The

0:25:40.240 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 2>Mexican state cartel partnership chose to pause trafficking. And I

0:25:44.280 --> 0:25:47.920
<v Speaker 2>want to emphasize pause because it is not permanently solved.

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:51.159
<v Speaker 2>The Mexicans are waiting for two things. They're waiting for

0:25:51.280 --> 0:25:54.400
<v Speaker 2>USMCA reauthorization, which, as I mentioned, is due no later

0:25:54.640 --> 0:25:57.879
<v Speaker 2>than July first, twenty twenty six. They need that to

0:25:57.920 --> 0:25:59.920
<v Speaker 2>sustain their economy. And then the second thing that they're

0:26:00.000 --> 0:26:02.480
<v Speaker 2>waiting for is the midterm elections in twenty twenty six.

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:08.119
<v Speaker 2>If USMCA reauthorization is implemented without security concessions, and if

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 2>the Democrats take control of the Congress after the midterms

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:14.919
<v Speaker 2>in twenty twenty six, then those long attention spans can

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:17.440
<v Speaker 2>come back in twenty twenty seven. I believe, and we've

0:26:17.440 --> 0:26:20.040
<v Speaker 2>said this to many people, that twenty twenty seven will

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.920
<v Speaker 2>see a resumption of human trafficking from the Mexican side

0:26:23.040 --> 0:26:25.080
<v Speaker 2>in full. So we're not out of the woods yet.

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:26.960
<v Speaker 2>We're at a pause right now. They're trying to wait.

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:30.479
<v Speaker 1>Us out, and in Mexico itself are the cartels gaining

0:26:30.560 --> 0:26:34.119
<v Speaker 1>or losing ground vis a vis the Mexican State.

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:38.080
<v Speaker 2>I guess it depends on the metric that one's interested in.

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:40.120
<v Speaker 2>There are some cartels that are on the wayne. There's

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:42.760
<v Speaker 2>been a civil war in the Sala cartel for the

0:26:42.840 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 2>past several months. I think in sinal Low in particular,

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:48.040
<v Speaker 2>which has been an epicenter. There's a temporary increase in

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:51.119
<v Speaker 2>all described as army control, not state control. But we

0:26:51.200 --> 0:26:53.320
<v Speaker 2>have to understand that the army itself is a trafficking

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:56.919
<v Speaker 2>organization in Mexico, and so to say that there's a

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.760
<v Speaker 2>dichotomy between state control and cartel controls is to subscribe

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 2>to a false premise about the situation. I think what

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:06.440
<v Speaker 2>I would say is that the state is exerting more

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:10.439
<v Speaker 2>control over its cartel partners and more control over the

0:27:10.480 --> 0:27:13.040
<v Speaker 2>cartels that are not in partnership with it than it

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:16.040
<v Speaker 2>has previously. But we've seen this cycle before this too.

0:27:16.080 --> 0:27:17.040
<v Speaker 2>We're not out of the woods.

0:27:17.440 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 1>I want to thank you for joining me. This is

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:22.000
<v Speaker 1>clearly going to be an evolving issue, and I hope

0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:25.160
<v Speaker 1>that you will come back again as it evolves. Our

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:27.640
<v Speaker 1>listeners can follow the work you're doing at America First

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Policy Institute. By visiting your website at America First Policy

0:27:32.240 --> 0:27:34.560
<v Speaker 1>dot com, which we will have on our show page.

0:27:34.560 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 1>And I really appreciate you spending time with us.

0:27:37.560 --> 0:27:38.920
<v Speaker 2>It's always a pleasure. Thank you, sir.

0:27:41.840 --> 0:27:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Thank you to my guest Joshua Travino. You can learn

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:48.320
<v Speaker 1>more about America First Policy Institute on our show page

0:27:48.359 --> 0:27:51.320
<v Speaker 1>at newsworld dot com. Newsworld is produced by Game of

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:55.639
<v Speaker 1>three sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive producer is Guernsey Sloan.

0:27:56.119 --> 0:27:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Our researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the show

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:03.440
<v Speaker 1>was created by Steve Penley. Special thanks to the team

0:28:03.480 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>at Ginglishtree sixty. If you've been enjoying Newtsworld, I hope

0:28:07.119 --> 0:28:09.520
<v Speaker 1>you'll go to Apple Podcast and both rate us with

0:28:09.600 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 1>five stars and give us a review so others can

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>learn what it's all about. Right now, listeners of newts

0:28:16.000 --> 0:28:20.000
<v Speaker 1>World concern up for my three freeweekly columns at ginglistre

0:28:20.080 --> 0:28:23.760
<v Speaker 1>sixty dot com slash newsletter. I'm Newt Gingrich.

0:28:24.080 --> 0:28:25.440
<v Speaker 2>This is Newtsworld.