1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,920 Speaker 1: All right, let's find out what's been going on at 2 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 1: Disney as it came out with sales and profit that 3 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: was below Wall Street expectations, joining us to look at 4 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:11,479 Speaker 1: all this is gua Tech and Media as a Bloomberg 5 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: intelligence guita looking at what's happened in Disney. I mean 6 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: it's quite something. You add twelve million subscribers, which is 7 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,800 Speaker 1: a big, big beat on the consensus, and he's still 8 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: coming below estimates. What happened here? Yeah, and that's it's 9 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: a really good, good question. I mean, um, what happened 10 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: was they came in light on profits, and they came 11 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 1: in light on profits both on the streaming side and 12 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: the streaming of course there are absolutely no profits, which 13 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: meant there were more losses than expected. So so far 14 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: we have seen four billion dollars in fiscal two losses. 15 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: And then on the theme park side as well, and 16 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:47,160 Speaker 1: this was a little bit of a surprise. I think 17 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 1: to most investors. They came in about twenty short of 18 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: consensus in terms of you know, park profits. So I 19 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: think those two were like the big headline numbers that 20 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: is kind of causing this weakness and after hours normally 21 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: when we think about costs in streaming, we would be 22 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: thinking about access of content, but that's not a problem 23 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: for Disney has loads of content. So it's kind of 24 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: curious what is the where is the cost structure that's 25 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: so high when it isn't the content, so it is 26 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:23,119 Speaker 1: the content too. They are spending uh really, they're they're 27 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: spending tons and tons of money for producing some of 28 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: these really big shows on the Disney Plus platform. Yes, 29 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: they have access to i P, but remember creating even 30 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: like one season of The Mandalorian or some of these 31 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: Marvel series, it costs of about twenty five million per episode. 32 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 1: So we're looking at, you know, ten billion dollars in 33 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 1: content costs for fiscal two. That's probably going to go 34 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: up the next year. So they are spending a lot 35 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: on content. But where they're really looking to get more 36 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: efficiencies going forward is really in the marketing spend. So 37 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: with you know, with them launching in so many different markets, 38 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 1: they obviously had to undertake very intensive marketing efforts, but 39 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: obviously all of that is going to come down pretty 40 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: pretty nicely going forward. So that's interesting because it means 41 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: that they need new content, not just the other content, 42 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 1: but are they also producing some content that is only 43 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: for the streaming, it's not for the theatrical and therefore, 44 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 1: you know, you really have to up the spending. Oh. Absolutely, 45 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 1: there is a lot of content that's exclusively for streaming. 46 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: Whether it's all of these Marvel TV shows, whether it's 47 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: you know the Mandalorian which is a Star Wars show, Um, 48 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 1: we had and or we have you know, she Hug, 49 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: all of these are created exclusively for the Disney Plus platform. 50 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: Um and so yes, they do have you know, just 51 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: that component. But of course, as you mentioned, they also 52 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: have you know, content that they are creating for a 53 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,920 Speaker 1: theatrical worldwide theatrical releases, which then also again flows back 54 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: into the Disney Plus platform after about two months or so. Um, 55 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: you know at the box office. Well, tell me sounds 56 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: what happens that you know, we've got just on the 57 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 1: sports side of things that you know, we've got major headwinds. Indeed, 58 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 1: with all these different rights that they have to screen 59 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: sport in different jurisdictions. Uh, these cost a lot of 60 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: money and a lot of these are coming up for renew. Yeah, 61 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: that is a big, big, you know, pain point, not 62 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: just for Disney. I think it's it's for all of 63 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: you know, the media landscapes. So for Disney, Disney they 64 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,799 Speaker 1: are the biggest sports rights holder right now. They pay 65 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: about nine billion dollars every year and that's really because 66 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: of ESPN and all of the marquee rights that ESPN holes. Um. Yes, 67 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 1: there is huge cost inflation. On average. We've seen at 68 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:42,880 Speaker 1: least about you know, fifties sixty cost inflation every time 69 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: these rights come up for renewal. So that is something 70 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: that that Disney is definitely looking at down the road. 71 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: But what they have shown us so far is that, 72 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: you know, they are willing to exercise a lot of 73 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: discipline and forego rights if it doesn't make financial sense 74 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: to them. So they did that recently in India with 75 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: the I p L cricket streaming rights. Um that was 76 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 1: really a huge magnet for them in terms of subscriptions, 77 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 1: but it was very, very expensive, and so they decided 78 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: to let that go, and they said they're going to 79 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: do the same thing for new sports rights that kind 80 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: of come up. They're going to be very financially disciplined 81 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: as they take a look into those You mentioned the 82 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,839 Speaker 1: parks were disappointing. Was a lot of that tied to 83 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: China because of lockdowns or whether it was it also 84 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 1: disappointing in North America. No, it was definitely some of 85 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: it was international. And with China, what they did mention 86 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: was that they have very very actually they have absolutely 87 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: no visibility into when Shanghai is going to be able 88 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 1: to reopen. So that is definitely going to take a 89 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 1: toll in terms of pranctability. But you know what was 90 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: disconcerting was that we saw some pretty weak results from 91 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 1: the US, you know, the domestic parks as well. Of course, 92 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 1: some of that was tied to Hurricane Ian, which affected 93 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: their Florida park. It resulted in about sixty five million 94 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: dollars of operating income impact. But they also talked about 95 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 1: higher costs and so one has to wonder about inflationary 96 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: pressures in their cost pace. Um, you know, they talked 97 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 1: about costs of new attractions. So all of that kind 98 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 1: of really took or or you know, exerted pressure on 99 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: on the bottom line for for the market segment. Excellent stuff, Guita, 100 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: thanks very much. We know that Disney is off the 101 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: worst levels and after hours of stock traded down about 102 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: almost eight percent, now down about six six point one percent. 103 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: Gita wrong and often is. Tech and media analysts at 104 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence