WEBVTT - Boeing CEO to Step Down in Overhaul Sparked by Safety Crisis

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Wait inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Boeing shares initially at their high up almost four percent.

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<v Speaker 3>Today they're off.

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<v Speaker 2>Those levels, just up again about one point two percent.

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<v Speaker 3>But we had some big news early this morning.

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<v Speaker 4>Tim Yeah, CEO Dave Calhoun stepping down at the end

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<v Speaker 4>of the year. Chairman Larry Kellner will not stand for reelection.

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<v Speaker 4>Stan Deal, who's the umbattled chief of Boeing's Commercial airplane division,

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<v Speaker 4>also departing immediately. He'll be replaced by Chief Operating Officer

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<v Speaker 4>Stephanie Pope.

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<v Speaker 2>All Right, safe to say, much work to be done

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<v Speaker 2>as a planemaker continues to struggle to get a handle

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<v Speaker 2>on a spiraling safety crisis. So let's get to our

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<v Speaker 2>key interview on Monday. Bloomberg News Boston Bureau chief Brook

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<v Speaker 2>Sutherland with us. She's followed industrials and the space for years.

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<v Speaker 2>She's a writer for the Bloomberg Industrial Strength newsletter. With

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<v Speaker 2>us too, someone who knows so much about the aerospace

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<v Speaker 2>and airline industry, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Aerospace, Defense and Airlines analyst,

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<v Speaker 2>George Ferguson. Hey, Brooke, and George, I feel like not

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<v Speaker 2>a surprise maybe the news today considering that a bunch

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<v Speaker 2>of airlines had meetings with Boeing's board last week. But

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<v Speaker 2>CEO Dave Calhoun was not a part of those meetings.

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<v Speaker 2>But let's go through it because it's important to understand

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<v Speaker 2>the details. Brook, let me start with you break down

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<v Speaker 2>the news and changes, who is all leaving, and what

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<v Speaker 2>it means for this company going forward.

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<v Speaker 5>Sure, so it's a pretty sweeping leadership overhaul. So Stan Deal,

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<v Speaker 5>who oversaw the commercial Airplanes division, is retiring. He will

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<v Speaker 5>be replaced by Stephanie Pope, who, as you said, had

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<v Speaker 5>just been appointed to chief operating officer. You also have

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<v Speaker 5>the chairman of the board who will not stand for

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<v Speaker 5>re election. And then CEO Dave Calhoun is planning to

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<v Speaker 5>depart at the end of the year. Now that is

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<v Speaker 5>a pretty long time away from now that they do

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<v Speaker 5>not have a replacement yet identified for Calhoun, and I

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<v Speaker 5>think that's really the key question, is you figure out

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<v Speaker 5>where Boeing goes from here and how it recovers is

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<v Speaker 5>who do they get to fill that job?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so George, come on in on that. Where does

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<v Speaker 4>Boeing go from here? And will these leadership changes at

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<v Speaker 4>the top And we don't know them all yet, as

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<v Speaker 4>Brook mentioned, we still don't know of new CEO for

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<v Speaker 4>Boeing at this point. Does that is that enough to

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<v Speaker 4>turn the company around? Is that enough to fix Boeing?

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<v Speaker 6>Well?

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<v Speaker 7>So, I don't think so, right. I think that what

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<v Speaker 7>really matters is obviously stability of the production process and quality,

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<v Speaker 7>and uh, that's just going to take a little while, uh,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, to push through to I think, reinforce their

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<v Speaker 7>oversight on the on the line and the stability of

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<v Speaker 7>that manufacturing process. So I think that effort is ongoing

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<v Speaker 7>and Dave Calhoun's obviously going to oversee that until he leaves.

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<v Speaker 7>I think that they could have got a shot in

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<v Speaker 7>the arm here and they the markets are giving them

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<v Speaker 7>a bit of the shot in the arm already on

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<v Speaker 7>bringing in someone new that they think will do a better.

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<v Speaker 6>Job of this process.

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<v Speaker 7>I think it's key for going to bring in someone

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<v Speaker 7>who's got a good manufacturing resume. You know who's focused

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<v Speaker 7>on quality manufacturing and on a strong engineering culture. That

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<v Speaker 7>remains to be seen, but clearly the markets are excited

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<v Speaker 7>about just the fact that it's going to change from here.

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<v Speaker 2>George, I want to come back to you, though. The

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<v Speaker 2>first thing I thought about, I'm like, oh, Calhoun is out,

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<v Speaker 2>who's replacing him? And then I'm like, no, he's not

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<v Speaker 2>stepping down until the end of the year. It's only

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<v Speaker 2>the end of March. That's a long time. Are they

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<v Speaker 2>just kind of buying time in your educated view of

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<v Speaker 2>this industry, because they just weren't. They knew they had

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<v Speaker 2>to kind of move him along, at least publicly, but

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<v Speaker 2>they just don't have the right person yet, and that

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<v Speaker 2>we should assume that they're going to have a new

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<v Speaker 2>CEO in sooner rather than later, because to me, as

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<v Speaker 2>an outsider an observer, you need to have a new

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<v Speaker 2>CEO in place.

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<v Speaker 7>So sorry, I think that was for me.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, oh I'm sorry, Yes, no worries, yees.

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<v Speaker 7>So I think the I think the board was a

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<v Speaker 7>bit flat footed here, right, And I think that's what

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<v Speaker 7>I perceive of this long wait until Calhoun leaves. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>I think Calhoun had a number of people on the

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<v Speaker 7>board that he was responsible for putting on there, maybe

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<v Speaker 7>a little bit of loyalty. So I think it took

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<v Speaker 7>the you know, the outsiders of the airlines to show

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<v Speaker 7>up and talk to the board frankly and so. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 7>so I think they're flat footed. I think they need

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<v Speaker 7>time to figure out who they're going to bring in

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<v Speaker 7>to replace Calhoun. I think it's going to be someone

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<v Speaker 7>outside Boeing again, someone with a resume that's strong in

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<v Speaker 7>manufacturing and a strong engineering culture.

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<v Speaker 6>There's a lot to.

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<v Speaker 7>Do this year at Boeing, so I'd hope that if

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<v Speaker 7>they find someone sooner, maybe Calhoun even goes sooner because

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<v Speaker 7>they're going to put a lot in place this year

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<v Speaker 7>that's going to matter a lot in the years down

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<v Speaker 7>the road.

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<v Speaker 2>Ry and Brook come on in on that. I guess

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<v Speaker 2>that's my point. It's like, I just thought, you got

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<v Speaker 2>to have somebody new in that spot that as long

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<v Speaker 2>as Dave Calhoun is there. I don't know, how do

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<v Speaker 2>you perceive that or isn't that part of the problem

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<v Speaker 2>that they need somebody new in charge.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, I think it sends a signal to say

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<v Speaker 5>that he's departing at the end of the year. And

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<v Speaker 5>Boeing as a company that is in need of signals

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<v Speaker 5>right now, especially on the positive front, to show that

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<v Speaker 5>they're taking action, that they're taking this seriously, and so

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<v Speaker 5>I think this does that for them. But that was

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<v Speaker 5>my initial point of like, well, it matters who you're

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<v Speaker 5>going to get to replace him in terms of figuring

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<v Speaker 5>out where this company goes. And I completely agree with

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<v Speaker 5>George that it needs to be somebody with a real

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<v Speaker 5>manufacturing expertise, somebody who is going to go line by

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<v Speaker 5>line in that factory and get them to the point

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<v Speaker 5>where they can deliver quality airplanes. But I think you

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<v Speaker 5>know that this is an important moment of accountability. But

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<v Speaker 5>I do think it's striking that you know this is

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<v Speaker 5>coming on the heels of the criticism from customers, those

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<v Speaker 5>who determine ultimately how much money Boeing makes and what

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<v Speaker 5>it's marketsha looks like those are financial metrics. We've of

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<v Speaker 5>course had very public criticism of Boeing from the FAA,

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<v Speaker 5>which did an audit of its manufacturing line and has

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<v Speaker 5>called upon the company to come up with a plan

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<v Speaker 5>within ninety days to fix systemic quality control issues. We

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<v Speaker 5>did not see this announcement come right on the heels

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<v Speaker 5>of that FAA report, and so I think that is

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<v Speaker 5>very interesting and sort of underlines what the challenge is

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<v Speaker 5>here with Bowling's culture in terms of getting this company

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<v Speaker 5>to be a real engineering manufacturing enterprise.

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<v Speaker 2>Again.

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<v Speaker 4>It's also, I think notable given that in twenty twenty one,

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<v Speaker 4>the company's board actually raised the mandatory retirement age for

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<v Speaker 4>the CEO from sixty five to seventy with the idea

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<v Speaker 4>that Calhoun would stay on through a few more years.

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<v Speaker 4>Here's what Dave Calhoun told CNBC a little earlier today

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<v Speaker 4>when asked about what he wants to see in the

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<v Speaker 4>next CEO quote. I want somebody who knows how to

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<v Speaker 4>handle a big, long, long cycle business like ours. It's

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<v Speaker 4>not just the production of an airplane, it's development of

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<v Speaker 4>the next airplane. It'll be a fifty billion dollar investment.

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<v Speaker 4>I would like somebody who clearly has the experience inside

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<v Speaker 4>our industry. Brook, are there any names that are floating

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<v Speaker 4>around the space right now based on your reporting? Any

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<v Speaker 4>names come to mind of people or positions companies that

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<v Speaker 4>they would come from at this point?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, I think that the best man for the

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<v Speaker 5>job would probably be Larry Colp. When you just look

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<v Speaker 5>at the turnaround that he's been able to engineer at GE,

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<v Speaker 5>and the type of skills that Boeing needs are very

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<v Speaker 5>similar to those that Larry has. He is a meticulous

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<v Speaker 5>operator and that's really you know, a big part of

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<v Speaker 5>his turnaround effort at GE is going in and improving

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<v Speaker 5>factory operations one step at a time, one small change

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<v Speaker 5>at a time that really adds up to make a

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<v Speaker 5>big difference in terms of how that company's operations are run.

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<v Speaker 5>Now Larry is on the cuss of the final piece

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<v Speaker 5>of the breakup of GE. He has had, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>a very successful track record that I don't know if

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<v Speaker 5>he is looking is his contract challenge Atvolling, but we'll

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<v Speaker 5>have to see. But he is obviously sort of the

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<v Speaker 5>name that comes up just because of how much SSS

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<v Speaker 5>he has had a GE. But you know, there's others

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<v Speaker 5>out there that I think will certainly enter the conversation.

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<v Speaker 5>Dave Gitlin is on Boeing's board. He was a former

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<v Speaker 5>executive at United Technologies, which is now known as RTX.

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<v Speaker 5>He now runs Carrier, which is an air conditioning business.

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<v Speaker 5>But he obviously has a lot of aerospace manufacturing expertise

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<v Speaker 5>in the connection to Boeing.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we've talked a lot with him actually on our

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<v Speaker 2>air George, come on in on who you think might

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<v Speaker 2>be the kind of CEO, our person out there that

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<v Speaker 2>you think should maybe take over. And I do find

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<v Speaker 2>it interesting in that interview on CNBC that Dave Calhoun

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<v Speaker 2>said that he will have a say in the decision

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<v Speaker 2>on a new CEO. I wanted to start their first job, George,

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<v Speaker 2>does it make sense? I mean, you have to have

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<v Speaker 2>the former CEO of Boeing who understands this company so

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<v Speaker 2>well to help in that transition or no? Or yes?

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<v Speaker 7>So I think you would want the CEO to help

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<v Speaker 7>you in the transition. And as far as names are concerned,

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, you know, there's some people I know, some

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<v Speaker 7>people that have been in the industry for a while.

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<v Speaker 7>Shanna hand Down at Spear comes to mind. But he

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<v Speaker 7>said he wants to get out of the business, that

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<v Speaker 7>his wife gave him a year to turn around spirit.

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<v Speaker 7>I think it's gonna take longer, but ultimately get bought.

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<v Speaker 7>And then there's Ray Connor that used to run Boeing

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<v Speaker 7>commercial airplanes. He's very smart person, but getting getting up

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<v Speaker 7>there in age in the in the high sixties. But

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<v Speaker 7>I'm sure you know, they're gonna have to cast a

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<v Speaker 7>wide up. But I'm sure there's somebody out there that's

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<v Speaker 7>got the skills of like a Larry Culp that can

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<v Speaker 7>come in and get the job done. That's the challenge

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<v Speaker 7>is finding the right person.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, did Calhoun's letter to employees, He wrote, the

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<v Speaker 2>eyes of the world are on us, and I know

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<v Speaker 2>we will come through this moment a better company. George,

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<v Speaker 2>let me start with you. What's it gonna take for

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<v Speaker 2>Boeing to come through this moment and really be a

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<v Speaker 2>better company and not have in another year or two

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<v Speaker 2>an issue.

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<v Speaker 7>So I think what's gonna take is they're gonna have

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<v Speaker 7>to change wholesale change the culture at Boeing. Right, the

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<v Speaker 7>Boeing culture became too much about spreadsheet management, managers running

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<v Speaker 7>you know, the different divisions, not having engineers involved and everything.

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<v Speaker 7>I think they've really got to look at their business

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<v Speaker 7>as all about building a quality product. You know, you

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<v Speaker 7>can't totally give up in the financial metrics, but you

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<v Speaker 7>have to loosen the financial metrics here because you're going

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<v Speaker 7>to have to spend more money to train people to

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<v Speaker 7>bring the next generation of workers into the aerospace world

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<v Speaker 7>and their managers. You're gonna have to spend more money

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<v Speaker 7>on oversight, which is those managers. You're going to have

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<v Speaker 7>to get into the supply chain, stabilize the supply chain,

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<v Speaker 7>not squeeze it, look to develop it as well as

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<v Speaker 7>is it for You're one team, and so it's going

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<v Speaker 7>to take a relaxation of everything's about the next penny

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<v Speaker 7>of the bottom line and more about how do we

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<v Speaker 7>build the infrastructure to make great airplanes for the next

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<v Speaker 7>one hundred years.

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<v Speaker 6>Brook.

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<v Speaker 4>I hear what George said just now, and I think

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<v Speaker 4>to myself, we could have had this conversation in twenty twenty,

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<v Speaker 4>post twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen Max crashes. And indeed

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of the folks who leveled criticism against Boeing

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<v Speaker 4>in the wake of those two accidents did mention a

0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:13.040
<v Speaker 4>lot of what George just mentioned. This all to say

0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:15.960
<v Speaker 4>that these aren't new issues at Boeing at this point,

0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:19.440
<v Speaker 4>and these issues weren't necessarily created under a Dave Calhoun.

0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:21.959
<v Speaker 4>Does that mean that they have to go external to

0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:24.920
<v Speaker 4>find someone brand new to come in and change the culture.

0:11:26.360 --> 0:11:28.040
<v Speaker 5>I don't know that they have to, but I think

0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:30.440
<v Speaker 5>that it would be helpful. And even with Dave Calhoun,

0:11:30.480 --> 0:11:32.920
<v Speaker 5>he sort of branded himself as an outsider when he

0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:34.839
<v Speaker 5>was brought in, but he'd been on the Boweing board

0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.199
<v Speaker 5>since two thousand and nine, so this was a company

0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 5>that he had a lot of institutional knowledge and involvement in.

0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:43.480
<v Speaker 5>And I think there's something to be said for fresh

0:11:43.520 --> 0:11:46.400
<v Speaker 5>eyes at this point. To your point, you know, the

0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:50.000
<v Speaker 5>time to be talking about quality control issues and manufacturing

0:11:50.000 --> 0:11:53.400
<v Speaker 5>at Boeing was after those first two seven thirty seven

0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:57.280
<v Speaker 5>Max crashes. We shouldn't still be having this conversation today,

0:11:57.480 --> 0:11:59.599
<v Speaker 5>and yet we are. And so that suggests that you

0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:04.040
<v Speaker 5>meet something more dramatic to happen, to really get to

0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:06.600
<v Speaker 5>the core of what is going on at Bowing and

0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:08.840
<v Speaker 5>how do you get back to making quality airplanes. But

0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:10.559
<v Speaker 5>I do want to come back to what Carol was

0:12:10.559 --> 0:12:12.320
<v Speaker 5>talking about from that letter, because it's not just a

0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:14.800
<v Speaker 5>here and now. It is a forward looking question as

0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:17.120
<v Speaker 5>well of where does Boeing go from here in the

0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:19.800
<v Speaker 5>competitive landscape. They have lost a lot of market share

0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:22.320
<v Speaker 5>relative to Airbus and they need to be thinking about

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 5>what comes next, what is their next airplane? How do

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.800
<v Speaker 5>you get back to at least some level of equity

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:29.520
<v Speaker 5>with Airbus on a competitive landscape.

0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:32.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, it sounds x extential almost, Brooke. I mean, are

0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:35.080
<v Speaker 2>we getting to that point that you know, it's just

0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:37.920
<v Speaker 2>too many mistakes and when you start to have carriers,

0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:40.240
<v Speaker 2>you know, saying we're going to go elsewhere. I mean,

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 2>it's about maybe the existence going forward longer term.

0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:43.800
<v Speaker 8>Is that right?

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:45.000
<v Speaker 2>Is that how you're thinking about it?

0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:47.400
<v Speaker 5>Sure? I mean, I don't think there's a world when

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.199
<v Speaker 5>where airlines want to only buy planes from Airbus. We're

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:53.280
<v Speaker 5>already in a doofully and that's not very helpful as

0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:55.480
<v Speaker 5>it is, but certainly to make that more lopsided is

0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:57.319
<v Speaker 5>not in those airlines interests. And I think part of

0:12:57.320 --> 0:12:59.720
<v Speaker 5>why they're so frustrated is because they need Boeing to

0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:02.760
<v Speaker 5>be successful. They want Boeing to be successful, not just

0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 5>in terms of negotiating on some of these orders, but

0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 5>also in terms of getting the planes that they've already

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:11.559
<v Speaker 5>purchased and actually giving them delivered on time and without

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.760
<v Speaker 5>any kind of defects. And so I think, you know,

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 5>it's also from a US perspective, Boeing as a national champion,

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 5>the US needs Boeing to be successful, and I think

0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 5>that's why there's so much pressure and scrutiny right now.

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.079
<v Speaker 5>And in the end, I mean, I think everybody's rooting

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:26.880
<v Speaker 5>for Boeing to figure this out, but they are the

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:28.280
<v Speaker 5>only ones that can really do that.

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:30.599
<v Speaker 4>Work, right, George, you heard Brooke mention the way that

0:13:30.640 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 4>Airbus has pulled ahead in recent years when it comes

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 4>to the market. Would it be completely out of this

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:39.680
<v Speaker 4>world to look at Airbus as a place where the

0:13:39.720 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 4>next CEO of Boeing could come from? Should we dismiss that?

0:13:43.280 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:47.679
<v Speaker 7>I mean, anything can happen, but that one I think

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 7>would be very difficult.

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 6>There's a potential.

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:57.079
<v Speaker 2>I guess, never say never, never say never. What last thought? Hey,

0:13:57.080 --> 0:13:58.840
<v Speaker 2>Brooke just got thirty seconds. I want to go back

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 2>to you on this out like moving the headquarters back

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:03.920
<v Speaker 2>to Seattle, A right, they went to Chicago, then they

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:06.360
<v Speaker 2>went to Virginia. That's a long, long away from where

0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:07.720
<v Speaker 2>the product's actually made.

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.360
<v Speaker 5>Just quickly it is, and I think that that would

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:14.520
<v Speaker 5>be a smart symbolic move. On Boeing's point, you need

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:16.640
<v Speaker 5>to go back to where the airplanes are manufactured and

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 5>make sure it's clear that that's where your executives are focused.

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 2>All right, guys listen, thank you so much, really appreciate

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:23.800
<v Speaker 2>this deep dive. Bog and shares, by the way, still

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:26.840
<v Speaker 2>up about one point two percent our thanks to Bloomberg

0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 2>News Boston bureau chief Brooks Sutherland, also writer for the

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:33.040
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Industrial Strength newsletter, and of course our Bloomberg Intelligence

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 2>Senior Aerospace, Defense and Airlines analyst, George Ferguson.

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.040
<v Speaker 3>Guys, thank you so much.

0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.640
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's interesting though, like what they talked about,

0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 2>when you start to have airlines, you know, cutting some

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 2>of their flight offerings because they don't have the planes

0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 2>that they need. That's when airlines are like enough, those

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 2>are the customers are boeing.

0:14:49.800 --> 0:14:51.720
<v Speaker 4>We're not the customers are Boeing. We're the customers of

0:14:51.760 --> 0:14:53.360
<v Speaker 4>the airlines. The airlines are the ones.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:54.920
<v Speaker 2>But the trickle down of it.

0:14:55.040 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch

0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Listen on Apple car Play and then Bright Auto with

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:12.120
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0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, a little bit of news. I'm sure you know

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:17.800
<v Speaker 2>we've been certainly reporting about it here at Bloomberg when

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 2>it crossed a New York judge ruled Donald Trump's first

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 2>criminal trial will start April fifteenth of Manhattan, getting the

0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:25.600
<v Speaker 2>case back on track after a short delay that was

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:28.120
<v Speaker 2>caused when thousands of pages of new evidence emerged. And

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:31.160
<v Speaker 2>then also today, Donald Trump vowed to post a one

0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 2>hundred and seventy five million dollars bond in New York

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:36.880
<v Speaker 2>civil fraud lawsuit after an appeals court slashed it by

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 2>more than two thirds and handed him a crucial financial

0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 2>lifeline as state authorities were preparing to start seizing his assets.

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 2>So that's kind of the latest on former President Donald

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:48.440
<v Speaker 2>Trump's legal back Trump. But there's other stuff going on.

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 4>In the meantime, our group of very very well known

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 4>Wall Street and Silicon Valley folks who are either overtly

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:58.160
<v Speaker 4>or quietly embracing the GOP nominee for president and the

0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 4>prospect of returning to the political turbulence of the Trump era.

0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:04.720
<v Speaker 4>This story Carol by brad Stone.

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 2>Brad, of course, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week, the

0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 2>author of several books, including two on Jeff Bezos, Amazon

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 2>on Bound, and The Everything Store. Brad joins us right

0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:14.880
<v Speaker 2>now from our San Francisco bureau. His story, by the way,

0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 2>featured in the new issue of Bloomberg Business Week that's

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:20.080
<v Speaker 2>out on newsstands, on the Bloomberg and at Bloomberg dot com. Brad,

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:22.920
<v Speaker 2>great to have you here. Let's get to the who,

0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:24.720
<v Speaker 2>the what, and the why of your story, because the

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 2>story of the who alone reads like Who's who. It

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 2>feels like of Silicon Valley and also of Wall Street.

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 2>So tell us about who's doing this and what they're

0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 2>up to.

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.360
<v Speaker 9>Right, Thank you, Carol. I was calling it the revolt

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:40.120
<v Speaker 9>of the winners, and this very conspicuous support among business

0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:44.240
<v Speaker 9>leaders in tech and primarily on Wall Street for former

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 9>President Trump. And as Tim described, there are kind of

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 9>two brands of support. There's the overt support and so

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:54.800
<v Speaker 9>you've got Howard Lutnick of Canter Fitzgerald and John Poulson,

0:16:56.920 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 9>the hedge fund owner holding fundraiser for Trump, Nelson Peltz

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 9>Disney Foyle who endorse Trump recently, and then the more

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 9>subtle forms of support. Ken Griffin from Citadel saying on

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:14.639
<v Speaker 9>TV that Trump would be good for the capital markets,

0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:18.400
<v Speaker 9>and of course Elon Musk on the service formerly known

0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:22.399
<v Speaker 9>as Twitter almost every single day, suggesting that he's moving

0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 9>in a right word direction and hasn't endorsed Trump, but

0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 9>is certainly putting a lot of distance between him and

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:30.240
<v Speaker 9>the current president.

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 4>And as you mentioned the piece, you know he's saying

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.520
<v Speaker 4>Elon Musking, he hasn't endorsed and he won't donate to

0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:38.280
<v Speaker 4>any political candidates. But certainly a lot can happen between

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:42.240
<v Speaker 4>now and November fifth, Brad. So what happened in terms

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 4>of this transformation for some of these folks over the

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 4>last four years There were quite a few after January

0:17:49.560 --> 0:17:53.120
<v Speaker 4>sixth who came out and distanced themselves from the former president.

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 4>What has happened in your view over the last four

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.440
<v Speaker 4>years or over the last year to move people back

0:17:58.480 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 4>to former President Trump?

0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah?

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 6>No, I mean I think.

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:03.639
<v Speaker 9>Look and there are plenty of business leaders who are

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:07.679
<v Speaker 9>moving in the opposite direction and endorsing or supporting President Biden.

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 9>And maybe in a future column I'll look at that,

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 9>but there is there is this movement. Another great example

0:18:13.520 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 9>is jeff Yass by the way, from Susquehanna International, the

0:18:18.359 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 9>Pennsylvania billionaire who may or may not own a portion

0:18:22.440 --> 0:18:24.680
<v Speaker 9>of the company that has merged with Truth Social and

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:27.880
<v Speaker 9>given Trump a potential lifeline. He was once a never

0:18:27.920 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 9>Trumper and is now certainly making some news favorable to

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.200
<v Speaker 9>the former president. So look, I mean, I try to

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 9>diagnose what's going on here. I mean, I think there's

0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:39.879
<v Speaker 9>a couple things, you know, in the in the case

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 9>of jeff Yass, maybe this is very transactional. You know,

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 9>Trump has reversed his position of TikTok yas is a

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 9>major owner of Byte Dance. I do think there's a

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:52.520
<v Speaker 9>sort of material concern here with some of these billionaires

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:57.080
<v Speaker 9>looking at at Biden's economic and taxation policies and and

0:18:57.080 --> 0:18:59.919
<v Speaker 9>and the idea that Biden raised in the State of

0:19:00.160 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 9>Union to instate a billionaire tax, to increase the corporate

0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:07.600
<v Speaker 9>tax rate, to roll back the higher end of some

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 9>of the Trump tax cuts. There's Biden's antitrust agenda. There's

0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 9>the pro labor stance, and the fact that Sean Faine

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:20.280
<v Speaker 9>from the UAW was a guest of the White House

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:23.040
<v Speaker 9>during the State of the Union and recognized by the President.

0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 9>And you know, to somebody like Elon Musk who runs

0:19:26.240 --> 0:19:30.399
<v Speaker 9>a non union shop, these are existential concerns. So I

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.440
<v Speaker 9>think we can get into what some of the emotional

0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 9>reasons might be, but those are perhaps some of the

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:37.160
<v Speaker 9>rational decision making that's going on right now.

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.200
<v Speaker 2>And I totally get the rational side. I love when

0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:41.439
<v Speaker 2>you get into kind of the more emotional side of like,

0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:44.160
<v Speaker 2>these guys are disruptors and they like when things kind

0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:46.880
<v Speaker 2>of get it feels like unsettling. Talk about that kind

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 2>of thinking and why they may be providing support for

0:19:49.920 --> 0:19:50.639
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump.

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:53.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, you know, I don't want to get too far

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 9>into the psychologist's office with this analysis, but I think,

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.280
<v Speaker 9>you know, to some extent, they feel like Biden and

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:03.760
<v Speaker 9>you know, maybe the Biden administration victimized them a little bit,

0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 9>ran against the one percent or the point one percent,

0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:12.360
<v Speaker 9>so they don't feel recognized. I think this maybe reassessment

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:16.040
<v Speaker 9>of tech power in Wall Street power over the last decade,

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:21.440
<v Speaker 9>you know, left them feeling at a little victimized. And yeah,

0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 9>and then there's the sense of being contrarians, being disruptors.

0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 9>You know, Peter Thild made this contrarian bet in twenty sixteen,

0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:32.399
<v Speaker 9>and you know, to a certain extent it backfired on him,

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:34.199
<v Speaker 9>but he got a lot of mileage out of it,

0:20:34.240 --> 0:20:36.199
<v Speaker 9>and he had the ear of the president back in

0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:40.639
<v Speaker 9>twenty sixteen. So perhaps some of these business leaders are

0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 9>billionaires see where the political wins are shifting and want

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:47.560
<v Speaker 9>to have the ear of someone who they think, despite

0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 9>you know, the arguments for against, it's someone you know,

0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 9>who they might think has a shot of winning the

0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:56.679
<v Speaker 9>next election, and so they're trying to get on that

0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:58.879
<v Speaker 9>side of history. I think probably for a lot of

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:03.200
<v Speaker 9>these folks, there are different reasons. But you know, I

0:21:03.440 --> 0:21:06.639
<v Speaker 9>don't think that we can dismiss the pure capitalism here

0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:08.920
<v Speaker 9>and the idea that some of these folks just see

0:21:08.920 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 9>a better tax regime and perhaps anti trust regime under Trump.

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:15.439
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, let's talk about the anti anti trust regime, because

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:18.719
<v Speaker 4>that is one area where President Biden has you know,

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 4>been I think, in his view, pretty successful at this point.

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 4>That's certainly a part of it, Brad. But I do

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.920
<v Speaker 4>wonder to what extent, you know, how these folks did

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:30.639
<v Speaker 4>over the last four years during President Biden. Because Carol

0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:32.600
<v Speaker 4>and I were talking about this a little earlier as

0:21:32.600 --> 0:21:34.600
<v Speaker 4>we were preparing for this, and we're thinking to ourself,

0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:37.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, talking with each other, Well, it's not necessarily like,

0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 4>you know, yes, there was some rhetoric in the State

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.160
<v Speaker 4>of the Union, but it's not like there were policies

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:44.679
<v Speaker 4>put in place that actually hurt these folks who you

0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:45.200
<v Speaker 4>write about.

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:48.439
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, and I guess that's the question I had. You know,

0:21:48.520 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 9>the markets are going to determine a lot of the

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:56.639
<v Speaker 9>financial success for some of these figures. I mean, you

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:59.639
<v Speaker 9>look at like Larry Ellison of Oracle, who has been

0:21:59.680 --> 0:22:04.520
<v Speaker 9>report to be dining with President Trump as Trump looks

0:22:04.560 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 9>to improve his fundraising status, and you know, like the

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:13.840
<v Speaker 9>markets like predictability, and what we do know again, I'm

0:22:13.840 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 9>trying not to be political here in my analysis, but

0:22:16.119 --> 0:22:18.400
<v Speaker 9>what we do know is that you know, President Trump

0:22:18.560 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 9>historically and certainly it seems on the compantrail brings an

0:22:21.760 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 9>element of unpredictability and chaos and the markets don't like that.

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:27.880
<v Speaker 9>So I do think that, you know, some of these

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:31.280
<v Speaker 9>business leaders are trying to be opportunistic and they're embracing

0:22:31.320 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 9>an agent of chaos. And it will be interesting to

0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:38.480
<v Speaker 9>see where that support goes, whether it waivers as we

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 9>get into the real campaign season, or people are paying

0:22:41.600 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 9>attention and when the former president hasn't necessarily been as

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:47.480
<v Speaker 9>scripted as perhaps some of his handlers would like.

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 2>I love this line in your story in your reporting, Brad,

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:54.640
<v Speaker 2>you say billionaires aren't all that different from Trump's main

0:22:54.720 --> 0:22:59.160
<v Speaker 2>constituency constituency of less educated, working class white households. Both

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 2>groups tend to seek conspiracy by far off elites who

0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 2>are out to deprive them of influence, expropriate their money

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:09.159
<v Speaker 2>in squander America's advantage abroad. Like, it's interesting to see,

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:14.399
<v Speaker 2>like make that connection between those two groups. But I

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 2>don't know, it's just kind of very interesting and fascinating, right.

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 2>We could bring a lot of therapists and psychologists on

0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:20.520
<v Speaker 2>this one, but it's fascinating that connection.

0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 9>It's one thing that I had never seen before and

0:23:25.480 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 9>don't necessarily know how to interpret, which is the sort

0:23:28.600 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 9>of venom that's out there. And maybe I'm paying too

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 9>much attention to social media among certain elites. For other elites,

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:37.679
<v Speaker 9>for academic leaders. I mean, this was came clear in

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:42.520
<v Speaker 9>the battle against Harvard's president by Wall Street leaders like

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 9>Bill Ackman, and this idea to scramble for influence. There's

0:23:47.600 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 9>a great book which I'll recommend that, Caroll. I know

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 9>you're a big reader, but a book called End Times

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:57.120
<v Speaker 9>by Peter Turchin, where he actually somewhat apocalyptically describes the

0:23:57.280 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 9>end of regimes across centuries and one of the telling

0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:04.640
<v Speaker 9>tales of moments of instability has been when the elites

0:24:04.680 --> 0:24:07.520
<v Speaker 9>start competing each other and battling for influence. So I

0:24:07.760 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 9>don't know, maybe that's a little bit of a downer

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:11.639
<v Speaker 9>note to introduce, but I feel like.

0:24:12.359 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 4>Sounds like a sweet movie and Compar't worry, Brad, We're

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 4>not going to end on that note. Okay, we're not

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:23.679
<v Speaker 4>going to I'm going to look, the election can go anyway.

0:24:23.680 --> 0:24:25.399
<v Speaker 4>We have no idea how it's going to go between

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:28.399
<v Speaker 4>now and November fifth, but we do know, and we

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:30.880
<v Speaker 4>do know that money plays a big role in politics.

0:24:30.920 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 4>But does the support of the folks you write about, Brad,

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:36.119
<v Speaker 4>any idea if it actually moves the needle when it

0:24:36.160 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 4>comes to what matters, which which, of course is turnout

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:41.880
<v Speaker 4>and votes in these swing states well and.

0:24:41.680 --> 0:24:45.919
<v Speaker 9>And fundraising obviously does matter. And I'm not an expert

0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:48.600
<v Speaker 9>in this, but you know, from what I read, President

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 9>Biden is is out raising Trump, and I think that's

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 9>one of the reasons why the Trump campaign has out

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 9>been there soliciting, either soliciting donations or having conversations with

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:02.359
<v Speaker 9>folks like Mary Ellison and jeff Yass. And I don't

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:04.800
<v Speaker 9>know that any of them have necessarily stepped up. I

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:09.040
<v Speaker 9>mentioned the fundraiser that Lutnik and Paulsen were holding I

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:13.240
<v Speaker 9>think beginning at next month. Whether that support translates to

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:16.639
<v Speaker 9>the ballot box, I mean Trump, the Trump campan has

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:19.520
<v Speaker 9>to be careful, right, because you don't you don't want

0:25:19.520 --> 0:25:24.200
<v Speaker 9>to necessarily turn off your broad base of supporters, working

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:28.560
<v Speaker 9>class supporters by trumpeting your billionaire support. So it's a

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:31.439
<v Speaker 9>careful line that they've got to they've got to walk right.

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:33.320
<v Speaker 2>And also in an industry, I feel like the tech

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:35.360
<v Speaker 2>world really knows how to play well with their enemies,

0:25:35.359 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 2>their frenemies that they often work with. So could they

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:40.679
<v Speaker 2>just be hedging as you end the story, Brad in

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.440
<v Speaker 2>terms of the outcome, A really great read and really

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:46.360
<v Speaker 2>timely read. Brad, Thank you really appreciate. Bradstone, of course,

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:47.880
<v Speaker 2>the editor of Bloomberg Business Week.

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:53.080
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:25:53.200 --> 0:25:56.399
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on applecar Play

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business End. You can

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:02.520
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:07.439
<v Speaker 1>York station, just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven thirty oh.

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:09.760
<v Speaker 4>Agusta is certainly keeping an eye on the economic data

0:26:09.760 --> 0:26:11.640
<v Speaker 4>this week and what it means for the broader market,

0:26:11.960 --> 0:26:16.240
<v Speaker 4>in particular those megacap tech stocks that shape the momentum trade.

0:26:16.560 --> 0:26:19.240
<v Speaker 4>And that's exactly where we go now, Carol, because this

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:21.640
<v Speaker 4>group of mega caps have had their own market branding.

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:24.399
<v Speaker 4>First it was the Fang stocks, then it was the

0:26:24.400 --> 0:26:28.639
<v Speaker 4>mag seven when newcomer in Nvidia joined the crowd. Now,

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:31.359
<v Speaker 4>how does this how does this ring? Okay, I'm listening

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:35.720
<v Speaker 4>Magnificent two, the Middling too, and the Math three. I mean, gosh,

0:26:35.760 --> 0:26:37.439
<v Speaker 4>it's like doesn't necessarily have the same ring too?

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:38.680
<v Speaker 2>A great name for garage band.

0:26:38.720 --> 0:26:39.639
<v Speaker 6>Don't you think it is?

0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:40.040
<v Speaker 5>All right?

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:42.119
<v Speaker 2>As investors have come to focus on the importance of

0:26:42.480 --> 0:26:45.719
<v Speaker 2>AI and Vidian, Meta have surged ahead. Microsoft and Amazon

0:26:45.760 --> 0:26:48.720
<v Speaker 2>have done reasonably well On Apple, Tesla and Alphabet have

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 2>been trailing Tim the s and P five hundred.

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:54.840
<v Speaker 4>Eric Wiener is Equity as America's team leader for Bloomberg News.

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:57.600
<v Speaker 4>He writes about this for Bloomberg Business Week along with

0:26:57.800 --> 0:27:01.280
<v Speaker 4>Jaron Wittenstein and Mark German. So Blazing two and tep

0:27:01.280 --> 0:27:03.760
<v Speaker 4>It five are starting to emerge. The story by the

0:27:03.800 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 4>way featured in the new issue of BusinessWeek magazine. You

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:07.520
<v Speaker 4>can get it on newsstands, get the story on the

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:11.520
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg terminal, and at Bloomberg dot com slash BusinessWeek. So

0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:13.520
<v Speaker 4>we've talked a lot about the rise of AI and

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:17.400
<v Speaker 4>video in video certainly ahead of the pack, meta platforms

0:27:17.400 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 4>doing incredibly well. Also, are we to the point, Eric

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 4>where we just have to sort of give up this

0:27:22.440 --> 0:27:27.359
<v Speaker 4>moniker of mag seven because Tesla is doing so poorly well.

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 6>The bigger question is does Tesla even belong?

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:33.159
<v Speaker 10>I mean, the idea of the mag seven really is

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:38.040
<v Speaker 10>the big tech stocks, and then what's been driving big

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 10>tech and ever since really AI reared its head as

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 10>a driver middle of last year, that's been sort of

0:27:46.320 --> 0:27:48.879
<v Speaker 10>moving everything up. So the market has kind of been

0:27:48.960 --> 0:27:51.359
<v Speaker 10>riding on that. You can see it in chips right now.

0:27:52.560 --> 0:27:53.600
<v Speaker 6>Tesla doesn't do that.

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:59.800
<v Speaker 10>Tesla's problems are its own, completely opposite of or completely

0:27:59.840 --> 0:28:03.640
<v Speaker 10>so say from the group, Apple is a different dynamic.

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 10>Apple is falling into exactly you know, it's at the

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:09.600
<v Speaker 10>bottom end of the Magnificent seven if you want to

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:13.439
<v Speaker 10>call it that or whatever for a very magnificent seven reason.

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 10>Whereas Apple is when you're dealing with the tesla, you're

0:28:16.280 --> 0:28:20.439
<v Speaker 10>talking about ev adoption, you're talking about infrastructure, you're talking

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:21.400
<v Speaker 10>about things.

0:28:21.200 --> 0:28:23.320
<v Speaker 6>At the other company's right, they don't deal with that.

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:24.199
<v Speaker 6>They don't deal with that.

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:27.560
<v Speaker 10>Apple, on the other hand, this is something that we

0:28:27.560 --> 0:28:30.160
<v Speaker 10>were seeing a long time ago. They weren't getting punished

0:28:30.160 --> 0:28:32.439
<v Speaker 10>for it, uh, and then people figured it out, and

0:28:32.480 --> 0:28:35.880
<v Speaker 10>that was that they aren't really growing uh. And if

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 10>they don't, the bet, the long term bet on Apple

0:28:38.840 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 10>would be that they are going to be the ones

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:44.720
<v Speaker 10>that are going to elegantly figure out how to get

0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:47.719
<v Speaker 10>AI into our pockets. And if anybody's going to do that,

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:49.640
<v Speaker 10>you know Apple's products are going to do that, and

0:28:49.920 --> 0:28:51.120
<v Speaker 10>that's your long term bet.

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 6>But if you're looking at them right.

0:28:52.920 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 10>Now, they have a very orderly, very revenue heavy business

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:03.320
<v Speaker 10>that just churns it out. But the growth is not there.

0:29:03.440 --> 0:29:05.840
<v Speaker 10>And like when you're talking about what people were buying

0:29:05.880 --> 0:29:09.480
<v Speaker 10>into with Apple, they were buying into a perpetual growth machine.

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:11.520
<v Speaker 10>And if you're not going to get more people to

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:13.480
<v Speaker 10>buy iPhones, you're not going to get more people to

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:14.600
<v Speaker 10>buy their products.

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 6>Where is that growth going to come from?

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:20.240
<v Speaker 10>And Vidia answers that question Meta answers that question apple less,

0:29:20.240 --> 0:29:21.480
<v Speaker 10>So are you making.

0:29:21.240 --> 0:29:23.800
<v Speaker 2>Though a decision or investors kind of making a decision

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 2>by saying, okay, AI is the idea the technology that

0:29:28.760 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 2>we all have to jump on board, and it's going

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:33.560
<v Speaker 2>to be what everything else is measured off of. Are

0:29:33.560 --> 0:29:35.400
<v Speaker 2>we smart to do that already?

0:29:35.680 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 6>Oh? God? Well?

0:29:37.240 --> 0:29:40.400
<v Speaker 10>So my first book was in Oral History of Wall

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:44.680
<v Speaker 10>Street and it went through every boom since nineteen twenty nine,

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:48.320
<v Speaker 10>and this is normally what happens, which is that technology.

0:29:48.360 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 10>I mean you can go back to like people making

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 10>photocopies and is xerox being seen as revolutionary? So it's

0:29:54.720 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 10>always because the stock market is a forward looking mechanism

0:29:58.320 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 10>and it's got all this hope into it. The idea

0:30:00.720 --> 0:30:02.840
<v Speaker 10>is like, what's going to be the next thing? And

0:30:02.960 --> 0:30:06.080
<v Speaker 10>how early can I get in on that? AI appears

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:09.000
<v Speaker 10>to be the next thing. However, there have been other

0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:13.360
<v Speaker 10>next things that have not panned out, and that's where

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 10>you kind of have to wonder if that, like, is

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:16.800
<v Speaker 10>this the dot.

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:18.160
<v Speaker 6>Com moment or is this not?

0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:23.320
<v Speaker 10>And we have yet to really see it because even

0:30:23.360 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 10>at the beginning of the dot com moment, you couldn't

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 10>necessarily see what it was about to become because I

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:27.720
<v Speaker 10>guess I.

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 2>Just think about fang right, Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google,

0:30:32.240 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 2>Like they all weren't the same kind of company, right,

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:37.240
<v Speaker 2>Like we just we have this love of like grouping people.

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 2>It's a cute little you know word, and then kind

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:43.200
<v Speaker 2>of trading around it. I get it that they're massive companies, right,

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 2>and they are great momentum you know drivers if you will.

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:49.080
<v Speaker 2>So I'm just I guess I'm trying to think about

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:50.640
<v Speaker 2>like how we need to think about the market and

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 2>the importance of classification of some.

0:30:52.800 --> 0:30:55.280
<v Speaker 6>Of these names. Investment strategists love to do this.

0:30:55.680 --> 0:30:57.800
<v Speaker 10>You can think about the bricks where they did it

0:30:57.520 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 10>on geography. You know, Yeah, you're putting together various different

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:05.880
<v Speaker 10>things and creating a thesis around it. But if you're

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 10>actually looking at the market, what you kind of want

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:12.720
<v Speaker 10>to do is go beyond that and look into what

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:17.440
<v Speaker 10>each each valuation is and what their growth prospects are,

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 10>because you need to time when you're buying, and you

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 10>also need to time what you're buying.

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 4>Does it also tell us any sort of story about

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:26.800
<v Speaker 4>indexing in the index? Given that the S and P

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:30.800
<v Speaker 4>five hundred is a market cap weighted index and it's

0:31:30.920 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 4>overwhelmingly turns out to be these top companies.

0:31:35.080 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 10>That is absolutely it. So when you think about what

0:31:39.080 --> 0:31:42.920
<v Speaker 10>we're doing when every every day all of our four

0:31:42.960 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 10>to one k's and all the things that are index related,

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:50.360
<v Speaker 10>this pressure just piles in all of these all of

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:55.440
<v Speaker 10>these fund managers and passive managers need to step in

0:31:55.520 --> 0:31:58.920
<v Speaker 10>and buy these stocks because the index is weighted that way.

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 10>So the more that this gets centralized, the more that

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:08.040
<v Speaker 10>centralization moves things up. What we're seeing now is the

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:11.600
<v Speaker 10>market kind of sort of fluctuating in terms of the numbers.

0:32:11.600 --> 0:32:14.800
<v Speaker 10>It's not climbing as much, but the rest of the market,

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 10>if you look underneath the hood, there's a lot of growth.

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:20.200
<v Speaker 10>There's a lot of companies that are moving, but they're

0:32:20.240 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 10>not showing up in at the index level because they

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 10>just don't have the waiting.

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:27.920
<v Speaker 2>So, do we do an injustice maybe as media, right

0:32:28.000 --> 0:32:29.959
<v Speaker 2>and whoever or whoever comes up with these and then

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:32.120
<v Speaker 2>we all jump on board, right, Because as you say,

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:34.680
<v Speaker 2>we've talked about the market, the gains broadening out and

0:32:34.720 --> 0:32:36.440
<v Speaker 2>the importance of all of these other names that are

0:32:36.480 --> 0:32:38.480
<v Speaker 2>out there. So do we do an injustice of kind

0:32:38.520 --> 0:32:40.840
<v Speaker 2>of trying to classify some of these guys.

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:43.440
<v Speaker 10>I think it's simplistic. I think what you guys are

0:32:43.440 --> 0:32:45.320
<v Speaker 10>trying to do in getting behind it is the actual

0:32:45.400 --> 0:32:46.040
<v Speaker 10>right answer.

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 4>But like thank you, you can come back.

0:32:49.880 --> 0:32:51.440
<v Speaker 10>But in all seriousness, like if you look at the

0:32:51.480 --> 0:32:53.959
<v Speaker 10>socks index, you look at what chips are doing, and

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 10>you start to wonder is that good for the market?

0:32:56.440 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 10>Where is that going to show up? It's not that simple,

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:03.080
<v Speaker 10>And but we tend to tell a simple story because

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:05.400
<v Speaker 10>that's the easiest way for people to understand the market now.

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 2>And I also think it's really smart to kind of

0:33:07.480 --> 0:33:10.560
<v Speaker 2>as we go through this AI crazy four year reality,

0:33:10.600 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 2>if you will, like to understand each company that even

0:33:13.040 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 2>though they drop the phrase or something, but what does

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 2>it really mean for their business going fard.

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 10>Do you remember when the dot com era was going

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 10>on in pet stores were well, yeah, exactly, pet stores

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:23.040
<v Speaker 10>are technology.

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:23.520
<v Speaker 3>Companies, exactly.

0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:25.200
<v Speaker 2>The puppet is probably exactly.

0:33:25.360 --> 0:33:25.560
<v Speaker 5>We know.

0:33:25.600 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 3>It is really fun.

0:33:27.240 --> 0:33:30.400
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Eric Having, Equity's America's team leader at Bloomberg

0:33:30.440 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 2>News joining us in studio. You're listening and watching Bloomberg

0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:34.520
<v Speaker 2>Business Week, and this is Bloomberg.

0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch US

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:43.560
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:33:43.600 --> 0:33:45.760
<v Speaker 1>on Apple car Play and then Brout Auto with a

0:33:45.760 --> 0:33:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business app, or watch US live on YouTube.

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 4>As I mentioned, it's the company behind the theme parks

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:58.120
<v Speaker 4>Lego Land, Madame two, So it's Pepa Pig Theme Park,

0:33:58.160 --> 0:33:59.840
<v Speaker 4>the London Eye and many more. In fact, it's got

0:33:59.840 --> 0:34:02.960
<v Speaker 4>part works and attractions in twenty three countries around the world,

0:34:03.280 --> 0:34:06.640
<v Speaker 4>serving more than sixty guests per year. It's called Merlin Entertainments,

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:10.160
<v Speaker 4>formerly a publicly held company now owned by Blackstone, the

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:13.479
<v Speaker 4>Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and more.

0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 6>We got the CEO with us we do.

0:34:15.200 --> 0:34:17.640
<v Speaker 2>Indeed, right next to us, Scott O'Neil, he's CEO at

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:21.080
<v Speaker 2>Merlin Entertainments. He's joining us here in our studio. Scott

0:34:21.080 --> 0:34:24.279
<v Speaker 2>also previously president of Madison Square Garden Sports, which was

0:34:24.320 --> 0:34:26.600
<v Speaker 2>of course owner of the Knicks, Rangers, Liberty and Moore,

0:34:26.640 --> 0:34:30.000
<v Speaker 2>and the CEO of Harris Blitzer Sports and Entertainment, which

0:34:30.040 --> 0:34:33.000
<v Speaker 2>includes the Philadelphia seventy six Ers, New Jersey Devils and more.

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Scots are we've read.

0:34:34.000 --> 0:34:36.880
<v Speaker 11>Look at you guys, having the whole background.

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 2>In Sorry, we've done your bio we're done.

0:34:39.480 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 4>That's not everything.

0:34:40.760 --> 0:34:41.839
<v Speaker 2>How are you?

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 9>You know?

0:34:42.480 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 11>I'm pretty happy I moved to the UK. It's been

0:34:46.080 --> 0:34:46.760
<v Speaker 11>a big adjustment.

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:47.239
<v Speaker 3>Do you like that?

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:48.359
<v Speaker 6>I do.

0:34:48.520 --> 0:34:51.240
<v Speaker 11>I didn't anticipate how challenging.

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:51.560
<v Speaker 6>The move would be.

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:55.279
<v Speaker 11>I've grown up in this little bubble between New York, Philly, Connecticut,

0:34:55.280 --> 0:34:56.880
<v Speaker 11>New Jersey, and.

0:34:57.280 --> 0:34:59.400
<v Speaker 2>What was challenging the weather or just different.

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:02.280
<v Speaker 11>I just think, well, I have My youngest is seventeen

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:04.359
<v Speaker 11>years old, So taking a seventeen year old out I

0:35:04.360 --> 0:35:06.560
<v Speaker 11>had just have to do this. One quick story is

0:35:07.120 --> 0:35:08.959
<v Speaker 11>you know, we're having that heart to heart, that father

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:12.480
<v Speaker 11>daughter connect conversation, and she she holds up her finger

0:35:12.920 --> 0:35:16.799
<v Speaker 11>and points in my chest and says, dad, let me

0:35:16.840 --> 0:35:20.640
<v Speaker 11>get this straight. Your career is more important than my happiness.

0:35:21.000 --> 0:35:22.719
<v Speaker 11>And she turns and just walks out of the room.

0:35:23.120 --> 0:35:25.239
<v Speaker 2>And I was like, but but I love you.

0:35:25.760 --> 0:35:28.520
<v Speaker 6>I mean I love you, honey filizes up.

0:35:29.000 --> 0:35:32.600
<v Speaker 11>So that transition was harder than we thought. But she's

0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:37.359
<v Speaker 11>happy now, she's in London with me. She won an

0:35:37.360 --> 0:35:39.680
<v Speaker 11>international basketball championship, gold.

0:35:39.480 --> 0:35:42.319
<v Speaker 2>Medal score, congratulations.

0:35:41.520 --> 0:35:44.480
<v Speaker 11>So she's doing great. She's she's thriving. My wife's happy.

0:35:44.600 --> 0:35:47.840
<v Speaker 11>So yes, So life's sad you'll can you imagine, I

0:35:47.840 --> 0:35:48.960
<v Speaker 11>can tell you're in my chest.

0:35:49.040 --> 0:35:52.600
<v Speaker 4>Boom boom, She'll never forgive you. But that's okay, No, yeah,

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:57.160
<v Speaker 4>that's okay. You know, your business is all about leisure

0:35:57.200 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 4>and discretionary spending, and you've got a great view around

0:36:00.719 --> 0:36:04.520
<v Speaker 4>the world because you're in what more than twenty countries

0:36:04.560 --> 0:36:04.839
<v Speaker 4>at this.

0:36:04.800 --> 0:36:06.280
<v Speaker 11>Point, twenty three countries.

0:36:06.440 --> 0:36:08.279
<v Speaker 4>So just give us an idea of how things are

0:36:08.320 --> 0:36:09.160
<v Speaker 4>going when it comes to.

0:36:09.120 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 3>That spending and doing stuff.

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:14.120
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, well, we're pretty fortunate. For those of us who

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:17.839
<v Speaker 11>had children in COVID, it was a little close when

0:36:17.840 --> 0:36:21.799
<v Speaker 11>we couldn't leave the house. And when COVID ended, we

0:36:21.840 --> 0:36:24.360
<v Speaker 11>got on planes as quickly as we could. But the

0:36:24.400 --> 0:36:27.240
<v Speaker 11>one thing we were searching for was connection and meaning

0:36:27.280 --> 0:36:29.719
<v Speaker 11>and memories. And we moved away from the economy of

0:36:29.760 --> 0:36:32.640
<v Speaker 11>things the economy of experiences, and so we have a

0:36:32.640 --> 0:36:36.360
<v Speaker 11>lot of tailwinds. It is a look, it's it's we

0:36:36.480 --> 0:36:39.680
<v Speaker 11>go from Malaysia, Korea, Japan, China all the way to

0:36:39.680 --> 0:36:41.920
<v Speaker 11>the US and everything in between. Yeah, and so we

0:36:41.960 --> 0:36:43.719
<v Speaker 11>get to see quite a bit. So whenever people are like,

0:36:43.760 --> 0:36:47.360
<v Speaker 11>how's business, I'm like, so, where is it bad? Yeah,

0:36:47.520 --> 0:36:50.840
<v Speaker 11>China is tougher than we anticipated. We anticipated even this

0:36:51.040 --> 0:36:54.359
<v Speaker 11>year of recovery a little bit quicker than it's come.

0:36:54.520 --> 0:36:56.360
<v Speaker 2>So people are doing it or is it just a

0:36:56.600 --> 0:36:57.600
<v Speaker 2>fraction of what it was.

0:36:57.640 --> 0:36:58.280
<v Speaker 6>It's just slower.

0:36:58.400 --> 0:37:02.520
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, yeah, Domestic tourism slower. Their international tourism coming out

0:37:02.520 --> 0:37:05.120
<v Speaker 11>of China is a bit more than we thought. US

0:37:05.200 --> 0:37:07.160
<v Speaker 11>is still fine. The US is great, and the US

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:09.520
<v Speaker 11>consumer we're wonderful people.

0:37:10.040 --> 0:37:11.000
<v Speaker 4>You spend money.

0:37:11.040 --> 0:37:13.680
<v Speaker 11>We do love to spend money, and we love experiences

0:37:13.719 --> 0:37:15.040
<v Speaker 11>and memories and fun things.

0:37:15.120 --> 0:37:17.919
<v Speaker 2>So does that mean we're a pre pandemic for you guys?

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 11>We're over pre pandemic over people, both in terms of

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 11>revenue and volume. And the UK is a little schizophrenic,

0:37:24.880 --> 0:37:27.360
<v Speaker 11>very good for internationals last year. This year it's a

0:37:27.400 --> 0:37:31.160
<v Speaker 11>little slower. Domestics is slow and Europe slow. Now remember

0:37:31.200 --> 0:37:34.719
<v Speaker 11>we had bizarre weather last year. Okay, so you know

0:37:34.800 --> 0:37:37.319
<v Speaker 11>most of our peers Disney and Universal and I know

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:40.359
<v Speaker 11>you've never most people listening maybe haven't heard of Marlin

0:37:40.480 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 11>Entertainments before, but we are the number two theme parks

0:37:43.600 --> 0:37:45.000
<v Speaker 11>in the tracks business in the world.

0:37:45.120 --> 0:37:47.360
<v Speaker 2>Does that frustrates you, like if you think about so

0:37:47.400 --> 0:37:49.319
<v Speaker 2>many of those names, like a Land like we just

0:37:49.360 --> 0:37:52.560
<v Speaker 2>went through them. I mean, they're well known, bands are great,

0:37:52.600 --> 0:37:54.640
<v Speaker 2>but that the recognition it's coming.

0:37:54.920 --> 0:37:56.040
<v Speaker 11>Okay, it is coming.

0:37:56.160 --> 0:37:57.000
<v Speaker 6>It's a great change.

0:37:57.120 --> 0:37:59.640
<v Speaker 4>But it doesn't even matter if these brands aren't necessarily connected.

0:37:59.680 --> 0:38:02.279
<v Speaker 4>The other people know that Madame Tusodes is owned by

0:38:02.280 --> 0:38:03.600
<v Speaker 4>the same folks who on Legoland.

0:38:03.760 --> 0:38:05.719
<v Speaker 11>I think it does. I think when you talk about

0:38:05.800 --> 0:38:08.600
<v Speaker 11>not to be too technical, but we are Bloomberg, you know,

0:38:08.719 --> 0:38:12.719
<v Speaker 11>when you talk about Ibada meeting multiple, when you think

0:38:12.760 --> 0:38:14.759
<v Speaker 11>about how do you grow your multiple? One of the

0:38:14.760 --> 0:38:18.560
<v Speaker 11>things that that I think matters to Disney is their brand,

0:38:18.880 --> 0:38:20.239
<v Speaker 11>you know. And I think one of the things that

0:38:20.320 --> 0:38:24.120
<v Speaker 11>matters to Universal are the licensed partners, the brand ip partners.

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:26.120
<v Speaker 11>And you look at ours green you know, you take

0:38:26.560 --> 0:38:29.399
<v Speaker 11>you know personally, I take Legoland and Peppa and Madame

0:38:29.440 --> 0:38:31.400
<v Speaker 11>Tussaus and I put them up against there. So I

0:38:31.640 --> 0:38:33.960
<v Speaker 11>and I we're dragging behind them. Now, we're we're way

0:38:34.000 --> 0:38:36.759
<v Speaker 11>ahead of our the US regional theme parks like the

0:38:36.800 --> 0:38:39.840
<v Speaker 11>Six Flags and the Sea Worlds and the Cedar Fairs

0:38:40.040 --> 0:38:42.040
<v Speaker 11>in terms of multiple. But I think we've got a

0:38:42.120 --> 0:38:45.879
<v Speaker 11>we have a journey ahead of us to map that

0:38:46.040 --> 0:38:48.400
<v Speaker 11>the brand and the experience to where we are.

0:38:48.560 --> 0:38:50.279
<v Speaker 2>It's the movie or something like like, how do you

0:38:50.320 --> 0:38:51.520
<v Speaker 2>know what I'm seriously.

0:38:51.200 --> 0:38:53.160
<v Speaker 11>There could be some content around it, right, So we

0:38:53.239 --> 0:38:55.400
<v Speaker 11>have a lot of different brands and so so we

0:38:55.480 --> 0:38:58.640
<v Speaker 11>have to take a portfolio approach for sure. But yeah,

0:38:58.640 --> 0:39:04.520
<v Speaker 11>I did know, I know, I just I did about amazing, amazing,

0:39:04.600 --> 0:39:06.239
<v Speaker 11>amazing executive for sure, just like.

0:39:06.200 --> 0:39:08.520
<v Speaker 2>How you kind of you know, capitalize.

0:39:08.000 --> 0:39:08.520
<v Speaker 9>It all of that.

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:11.359
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, well, well they are a whole host of things,

0:39:11.360 --> 0:39:14.360
<v Speaker 11>you know. I I'm I'm following a founder, Sir Nick Varney,

0:39:14.400 --> 0:39:17.360
<v Speaker 11>he's ND And I thought to myself, could that be

0:39:17.440 --> 0:39:18.319
<v Speaker 11>me someday?

0:39:18.560 --> 0:39:19.120
<v Speaker 3>So like when you.

0:39:21.520 --> 0:39:23.080
<v Speaker 2>Yes, I'm taking the job.

0:39:22.960 --> 0:39:27.080
<v Speaker 11>But it's sir, don't I somehow don't think that's gonna happen.

0:39:27.320 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 4>Maybe she'll have to stay at school and take a

0:39:29.600 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 4>test when during the ceremony that could happen. Let's not

0:39:33.080 --> 0:39:33.719
<v Speaker 4>get ahead of her.

0:39:34.920 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 11>So, so following a founder is there's so many wonderful things.

0:39:38.000 --> 0:39:39.920
<v Speaker 11>And I come from a family of founders, and my

0:39:39.960 --> 0:39:42.160
<v Speaker 11>brothers and sisters of all family companies and will only

0:39:42.200 --> 0:39:44.759
<v Speaker 11>sell out and out of the five of us, and

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:49.080
<v Speaker 11>and and the the magic, the stuff. You can't see

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:51.840
<v Speaker 11>this on the radio. But the feel of the business

0:39:51.880 --> 0:39:52.439
<v Speaker 11>that you have as.

0:39:52.320 --> 0:39:54.400
<v Speaker 3>A founder thirty your family on YouTube.

0:39:54.680 --> 0:40:00.160
<v Speaker 11>Damn so so there's so many wonderful things and they

0:40:00.160 --> 0:40:01.520
<v Speaker 11>feel the business so well, and a lot of this

0:40:01.520 --> 0:40:04.400
<v Speaker 11>stuff becomes intuitive and that's hard. And they have like

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:07.160
<v Speaker 11>this father or motherly like figure, you know, like a

0:40:07.239 --> 0:40:09.440
<v Speaker 11>larger than life figure, and sort of come in after

0:40:09.480 --> 0:40:11.800
<v Speaker 11>that their whole host of challenges culturally, et cetera.

0:40:12.000 --> 0:40:14.120
<v Speaker 6>With leadership, but there's.

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:17.840
<v Speaker 11>Also usually these gaping holes of opportunity. And because the

0:40:17.880 --> 0:40:22.480
<v Speaker 11>founders have such rhythm and intuitiveness in the business, you

0:40:22.560 --> 0:40:25.240
<v Speaker 11>have things that I think can really underpin future success,

0:40:25.400 --> 0:40:30.600
<v Speaker 11>like digitizing the business, like driving data, like dynamic pricing,

0:40:30.680 --> 0:40:33.040
<v Speaker 11>like the stuff that I've my whole life have made

0:40:33.160 --> 0:40:35.759
<v Speaker 11>made a business of. Come into a new business and

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:37.960
<v Speaker 11>you think, you know, my eyes are as big as saucers,

0:40:37.960 --> 0:40:40.320
<v Speaker 11>and I'm thinking, Okay, there's enough opportunity.

0:40:39.920 --> 0:40:41.640
<v Speaker 4>When you think about the different types of products that

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:44.800
<v Speaker 4>you offer, the different attractions that you have, what's growing

0:40:45.080 --> 0:40:48.040
<v Speaker 4>and what's struggling right now, Like where's the opportunity for growth?

0:40:48.440 --> 0:40:51.720
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, Well, in Legoland, that's about forty percent of our business.

0:40:51.800 --> 0:40:53.640
<v Speaker 11>Lego Land resorts. There are ten of them, three in

0:40:53.680 --> 0:41:02.480
<v Speaker 11>the US, Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Dubai, Germany, Denmark, London, et cetera.

0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:05.719
<v Speaker 11>We're building a one in Shanghai in China as well.

0:41:06.239 --> 0:41:09.640
<v Speaker 11>It's a really good business and we have to invest

0:41:09.680 --> 0:41:11.080
<v Speaker 11>in making me a premium.

0:41:11.120 --> 0:41:13.720
<v Speaker 2>It's like, oh, sorry, but god, that brand is wonderful

0:41:14.040 --> 0:41:15.120
<v Speaker 2>well recognition, you.

0:41:15.160 --> 0:41:17.759
<v Speaker 11>Know, and you know Neil's who's the CEO. They're just

0:41:17.920 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 11>understands the brand and how to grow it, and their

0:41:20.600 --> 0:41:23.239
<v Speaker 11>partnerships are smart and they're wonderful people, and they know

0:41:23.280 --> 0:41:26.000
<v Speaker 11>how to do deals and drive deals, and they're one

0:41:26.000 --> 0:41:30.280
<v Speaker 11>of our largest investors and so so that's an unbelievable opportunity.

0:41:30.320 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 11>But we have to continue to invest, invest, invest, how

0:41:33.520 --> 0:41:36.120
<v Speaker 11>do you make that more premium. That's what we're finding

0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:38.840
<v Speaker 11>is like there is a flight to quality. Premium is

0:41:38.840 --> 0:41:41.319
<v Speaker 11>going to matter. Our resort theme parks business a lot

0:41:41.360 --> 0:41:43.080
<v Speaker 11>more complicated. It's kind of like if you can imagine

0:41:43.120 --> 0:41:44.799
<v Speaker 11>a six flags dropped in Europe, that's what we have

0:41:44.880 --> 0:41:48.720
<v Speaker 11>in Europe. And I'm of the school of bigger is better.

0:41:48.880 --> 0:41:51.920
<v Speaker 11>So mega resorts will matter and regional ones will really struggle.

0:41:52.040 --> 0:41:54.000
<v Speaker 11>And so we're on the effort of that, and then

0:41:54.000 --> 0:41:56.560
<v Speaker 11>where I think there's the max growth from us. We

0:41:56.600 --> 0:41:58.600
<v Speaker 11>had over twenty percent growth in this segment. We call

0:41:58.640 --> 0:42:02.319
<v Speaker 11>it gateway and London is the best example. We have

0:42:02.680 --> 0:42:04.880
<v Speaker 11>two what we call must see, must do We call

0:42:04.960 --> 0:42:08.319
<v Speaker 11>them anchor attractions, the London Eye by the Way, and

0:42:08.360 --> 0:42:10.640
<v Speaker 11>Man two Sad's the original, and then we have three

0:42:10.680 --> 0:42:14.760
<v Speaker 11>other attractions. One out of every four tourists into London

0:42:15.280 --> 0:42:17.960
<v Speaker 11>come to one of our attractions, and forty percent of

0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:21.000
<v Speaker 11>them come to at least two. So that's what I

0:42:21.040 --> 0:42:24.799
<v Speaker 11>call like cluster penetration and building those in the ten

0:42:24.880 --> 0:42:26.960
<v Speaker 11>most important tourist cities in the world is where I

0:42:26.960 --> 0:42:27.520
<v Speaker 11>think our growth is.

0:42:27.480 --> 0:42:28.640
<v Speaker 3>Going to come from.

0:42:29.080 --> 0:42:30.640
<v Speaker 2>Just got a minute left, man, I wish we had

0:42:30.680 --> 0:42:31.160
<v Speaker 2>ten more money.

0:42:31.200 --> 0:42:31.480
<v Speaker 6>Me too.

0:42:32.640 --> 0:42:34.440
<v Speaker 2>I got to ask you, though, with your sports background,

0:42:34.440 --> 0:42:37.719
<v Speaker 2>do you miss it being actively involved in like running it,

0:42:37.760 --> 0:42:39.200
<v Speaker 2>you know, a team and so and so forth.

0:42:39.280 --> 0:42:41.560
<v Speaker 11>There are elements I love and miss. It's mostly about

0:42:41.560 --> 0:42:43.640
<v Speaker 11>the people. Yeah, you know, in terms of when you

0:42:43.680 --> 0:42:46.640
<v Speaker 11>when you hit a certain level at those jobs, it

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:49.880
<v Speaker 11>becomes a different type of job. And if you compare

0:42:49.920 --> 0:42:51.840
<v Speaker 11>that type of job to this one, it's not even close.

0:42:51.880 --> 0:42:54.520
<v Speaker 11>I mean I've got people purpose and scale, which is

0:42:54.520 --> 0:42:57.120
<v Speaker 11>what I'm looking for. I'm like learning every day. I

0:42:57.160 --> 0:42:59.239
<v Speaker 11>was in that business for so long. I knew it

0:42:59.560 --> 0:43:01.040
<v Speaker 11>and I want I want to stretch a bit.

0:43:01.680 --> 0:43:03.520
<v Speaker 2>Thirty seconds left. Are you going to add to go

0:43:03.600 --> 0:43:06.120
<v Speaker 2>back to your current job? Is there stuff to add

0:43:06.120 --> 0:43:06.720
<v Speaker 2>to the portfolio?

0:43:06.800 --> 0:43:06.880
<v Speaker 8>Oh?

0:43:06.960 --> 0:43:09.320
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so acquisitions will be coming.

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:09.760
<v Speaker 6>Yes.

0:43:09.840 --> 0:43:13.359
<v Speaker 11>We just bought the Orlando Eye Yeah, in icon Park.

0:43:13.440 --> 0:43:15.680
<v Speaker 11>So if you're down in Orlando swing by, it's a

0:43:15.719 --> 0:43:19.680
<v Speaker 11>great respite from uh, the difficulty sometimes of grinding through

0:43:19.920 --> 0:43:21.839
<v Speaker 11>a resort. We have a Legoland resort down there as well.

0:43:22.520 --> 0:43:24.239
<v Speaker 11>But yes, more to come, and that's going to be

0:43:24.280 --> 0:43:26.520
<v Speaker 11>an anchor for Orlando Cluster.

0:43:26.920 --> 0:43:28.719
<v Speaker 3>Good to know, Good to know, Come back soon.

0:43:28.719 --> 0:43:31.719
<v Speaker 11>Come see me at my resorts. Action that daughter I

0:43:31.800 --> 0:43:34.200
<v Speaker 11>will three, she will actually love it, but it might

0:43:34.239 --> 0:43:34.959
<v Speaker 11>be a longer show.

0:43:35.400 --> 0:43:37.080
<v Speaker 3>Thanks guys, Scott O'Neil, thank you so much.

0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:40.200
<v Speaker 2>Chief executive officer of Merlin Entertainment's joining us right here

0:43:40.200 --> 0:43:46.400
<v Speaker 2>in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers STUDIOMUC.

0:43:46.280 --> 0:43:46.760
<v Speaker 6>Journal.

0:43:47.760 --> 0:43:48.759
<v Speaker 1>Now about you let me drive?

0:43:49.040 --> 0:43:56.280
<v Speaker 10>Oh no, no, no, no, honey, please, I'll gravelse.

0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:59.400
<v Speaker 11>Ma, I want to drive. It's a good question.

0:44:00.200 --> 0:44:07.680
<v Speaker 1>Try this is the drive to the globe. Well, young

0:44:07.840 --> 0:44:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Don on Bloomberg Radio.

0:44:10.200 --> 0:44:13.440
<v Speaker 2>All right, everybody, just under eighteen minutes left in today's

0:44:13.440 --> 0:44:16.439
<v Speaker 2>trading session, the Monday trade on this March twenty fifth,

0:44:16.440 --> 0:44:19.520
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty four. Carol Messer along with Tim Stenoviek here

0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:22.719
<v Speaker 2>in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio, John just broke down

0:44:22.719 --> 0:44:24.000
<v Speaker 2>the numbers, kind of bouncing around.

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:26.080
<v Speaker 3>We're off. I don't know.

0:44:26.200 --> 0:44:28.720
<v Speaker 2>It's just a little change, a little bit lower here overall.

0:44:28.760 --> 0:44:32.000
<v Speaker 4>Tim, Yeah, jot down four tenths of a percent, the

0:44:32.080 --> 0:44:34.640
<v Speaker 4>S and P five hundred down close to two tenths

0:44:34.640 --> 0:44:36.400
<v Speaker 4>of one percent. I want to see what Sarah Ponsik

0:44:36.480 --> 0:44:38.640
<v Speaker 4>has to say about all this. She's financial advisor with

0:44:38.840 --> 0:44:41.440
<v Speaker 4>Ubs Private Wealth Management. She joins us on Zoom from

0:44:41.880 --> 0:44:44.440
<v Speaker 4>book A, Ratona, Florida. Sarah, how are you.

0:44:45.640 --> 0:44:47.399
<v Speaker 5>I'm great, great to be with you too.

0:44:47.840 --> 0:44:48.600
<v Speaker 6>Full disclosure.

0:44:48.719 --> 0:44:52.080
<v Speaker 4>Sarah formerly our colleague here at Bloomberg before she decided

0:44:52.120 --> 0:44:55.439
<v Speaker 4>to move to a sunnier place that's warm.

0:44:55.680 --> 0:45:01.040
<v Speaker 8>Year round, talking about buying a snow shovel. Yeah, and

0:45:02.200 --> 0:45:03.920
<v Speaker 8>I was not jealous at all.

0:45:04.080 --> 0:45:07.719
<v Speaker 4>I can't no snowshovels. No snowshovels, just snow.

0:45:07.480 --> 0:45:09.520
<v Speaker 8>Shovels for me right now. Although we did have we

0:45:09.560 --> 0:45:11.200
<v Speaker 8>did have plenty of rain over the weekend. If it

0:45:11.200 --> 0:45:12.160
<v Speaker 8>makes you feel a little better, it.

0:45:12.160 --> 0:45:13.840
<v Speaker 4>Does make me feel better, but so did we. So

0:45:14.040 --> 0:45:17.839
<v Speaker 4>you know, no comparing notes here, Sarah, what's up when

0:45:17.880 --> 0:45:19.840
<v Speaker 4>you look around right now? Did you see an S

0:45:19.840 --> 0:45:22.719
<v Speaker 4>and P five hundred that's uplisted ten percent on the year.

0:45:23.480 --> 0:45:27.040
<v Speaker 4>What are you telling folks about diversification, about where opportunities are,

0:45:27.040 --> 0:45:28.279
<v Speaker 4>about how they should play this out?

0:45:29.320 --> 0:45:34.480
<v Speaker 8>So it's pretty amazing coming into twenty twenty four, think

0:45:34.520 --> 0:45:36.880
<v Speaker 8>the majority of us were saying, all right, the outlook

0:45:36.880 --> 0:45:40.040
<v Speaker 8>looks pretty good here. Still, the Federal Reserve is expected

0:45:40.080 --> 0:45:42.960
<v Speaker 8>to cut interest rate, but the economy still looks strong,

0:45:43.360 --> 0:45:47.640
<v Speaker 8>inflation's moderating, corporate profits are holding up. But with that said,

0:45:47.920 --> 0:45:50.879
<v Speaker 8>we're probably not going to see stock market games at

0:45:50.880 --> 0:45:53.120
<v Speaker 8>the same pace at which we saw them in twenty

0:45:53.160 --> 0:45:56.160
<v Speaker 8>twenty three. And here we are three months into the

0:45:56.200 --> 0:45:58.320
<v Speaker 8>new year, and we've seen twenty new record his for

0:45:58.360 --> 0:46:00.759
<v Speaker 8>the S and P five hundred. As you mentioned, we've

0:46:00.760 --> 0:46:04.080
<v Speaker 8>already seen double digit returns and it just continues. So

0:46:04.400 --> 0:46:07.680
<v Speaker 8>to your question of how investors should play this out.

0:46:07.680 --> 0:46:11.120
<v Speaker 8>What we're telling clients about diversification. It's a bit of

0:46:11.160 --> 0:46:15.280
<v Speaker 8>a two way street because on the one hand, tech

0:46:15.520 --> 0:46:16.200
<v Speaker 8>led much.

0:46:16.000 --> 0:46:16.520
<v Speaker 3>Of the rally.

0:46:16.560 --> 0:46:19.160
<v Speaker 8>As you know last year and the beginning of this

0:46:19.280 --> 0:46:22.239
<v Speaker 8>year we have seen a broadening out. But tech is

0:46:22.320 --> 0:46:26.880
<v Speaker 8>still so important in clients' portfolios, and we believe that

0:46:26.920 --> 0:46:30.239
<v Speaker 8>it's a huge risk for clients to be under invested

0:46:30.280 --> 0:46:33.440
<v Speaker 8>and under exposed to tech. But with that said, that

0:46:33.480 --> 0:46:36.040
<v Speaker 8>doesn't mean tex your entire portfolio, and you do need

0:46:36.040 --> 0:46:37.120
<v Speaker 8>to be diversified.

0:46:37.400 --> 0:46:38.440
<v Speaker 1>So it goes both ways.

0:46:38.480 --> 0:46:39.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, let's talk to it.

0:46:39.640 --> 0:46:42.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, what is the And I understand every investor

0:46:43.080 --> 0:46:45.759
<v Speaker 2>has a specific situation right in terms of what their

0:46:46.239 --> 0:46:50.359
<v Speaker 2>investor or investment objectives are Sarah. But having said that,

0:46:50.760 --> 0:46:53.840
<v Speaker 2>what's a good allocation and how you think about it?

0:46:53.880 --> 0:46:56.760
<v Speaker 2>And then let's also say not all tech has created equals.

0:46:56.800 --> 0:46:58.879
<v Speaker 2>So when you say tech, what do you mean by

0:46:58.920 --> 0:46:59.719
<v Speaker 2>it specifically?

0:47:00.640 --> 0:47:03.600
<v Speaker 8>Absolutely so, when I was just speaking about tech and

0:47:03.640 --> 0:47:06.960
<v Speaker 8>not being under exposed to tech, that's just large cat

0:47:07.120 --> 0:47:11.040
<v Speaker 8>US tech broadly. You don't want to be under exposed

0:47:11.160 --> 0:47:13.080
<v Speaker 8>to US tech. And when I say under exposed, I

0:47:13.160 --> 0:47:16.160
<v Speaker 8>mean tech has come to be such a large portion

0:47:16.239 --> 0:47:20.120
<v Speaker 8>of the indexes, so you don't want to have less

0:47:20.200 --> 0:47:24.160
<v Speaker 8>than the indexes representation in tech in your portfolio. Now,

0:47:24.160 --> 0:47:27.560
<v Speaker 8>there's another subtector of tech, and that would be small

0:47:27.640 --> 0:47:30.799
<v Speaker 8>or mid cap tech or also other areas of the

0:47:30.840 --> 0:47:36.520
<v Speaker 8>technology ecosystem that would be or would see a major

0:47:36.600 --> 0:47:39.479
<v Speaker 8>tailwind from AI revenue. I mean, we've been talking about

0:47:39.520 --> 0:47:42.920
<v Speaker 8>generative AI now for over a year. It's not a

0:47:42.920 --> 0:47:46.280
<v Speaker 8>buzzard anymore. It's just become part of the daily lingo,

0:47:46.520 --> 0:47:49.160
<v Speaker 8>it seems like. But there's reason for it. I mean,

0:47:49.239 --> 0:47:52.759
<v Speaker 8>our Chief Investment Office estimates that AI revenues are going

0:47:52.800 --> 0:47:57.719
<v Speaker 8>to expand by seventy percent per year until twenty twenty seven.

0:47:57.920 --> 0:48:00.239
<v Speaker 8>And it's not just the Magnificent seven stocks that are

0:48:00.280 --> 0:48:02.919
<v Speaker 8>going to benefit from that. There's other areas as well.

0:48:02.960 --> 0:48:05.560
<v Speaker 8>So you need to make sure that you're looking to

0:48:05.960 --> 0:48:09.680
<v Speaker 8>other companies, other areas of the tech ecosystem that could

0:48:09.760 --> 0:48:12.280
<v Speaker 8>be the next big thing, but that are also seeing

0:48:12.600 --> 0:48:15.600
<v Speaker 8>revenues to prove it. Now, in addition to that, no.

0:48:15.600 --> 0:48:17.319
<v Speaker 2>Go ahead, Carroll, go yeah, no, no finish out.

0:48:17.320 --> 0:48:19.560
<v Speaker 8>I was going to say, it's not all tech. If

0:48:19.560 --> 0:48:22.480
<v Speaker 8>we're looking at diversification within the stock market. Look, you

0:48:22.520 --> 0:48:24.960
<v Speaker 8>want to have exposure to other sectors too. If we

0:48:25.080 --> 0:48:27.680
<v Speaker 8>highlight two as of right now, two areas that we

0:48:27.719 --> 0:48:31.080
<v Speaker 8>do like are healthcare. It has you know, defensive components,

0:48:31.120 --> 0:48:34.480
<v Speaker 8>but we've also seen a lot of a major boost

0:48:34.560 --> 0:48:38.040
<v Speaker 8>from everything going on with weight loss drugs and therefore

0:48:38.760 --> 0:48:41.720
<v Speaker 8>and also industrials. You know, we like sickle players the market,

0:48:41.719 --> 0:48:44.560
<v Speaker 8>as we do expect this rally is going abroad now

0:48:44.719 --> 0:48:46.600
<v Speaker 8>as we have seen so far in twenty twenty four.

0:48:46.719 --> 0:48:48.399
<v Speaker 2>I had to jump on when you use the term

0:48:48.520 --> 0:48:51.080
<v Speaker 2>magnificent seven because we had a great conversation with our

0:48:51.160 --> 0:48:54.000
<v Speaker 2>Eric Wiener, who's our Equities in America's team leader here

0:48:54.000 --> 0:48:57.799
<v Speaker 2>at Bloomberg News, and he and Jarin Wittenstein and Mark

0:48:57.800 --> 0:48:59.440
<v Speaker 2>Gerrman have a story out in the new issue of

0:48:59.440 --> 0:49:02.799
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Busines this week and they say this year the

0:49:02.800 --> 0:49:05.279
<v Speaker 2>Magnificent seven has looked more like the Magnificent two, the

0:49:05.320 --> 0:49:08.280
<v Speaker 2>Middling two, and the med three. And he talks about

0:49:08.840 --> 0:49:11.920
<v Speaker 2>the importance of AI and Vidian Meta, which have all

0:49:11.960 --> 0:49:14.319
<v Speaker 2>surged ahead. Then you've got Microsoft and Amazon that have

0:49:14.400 --> 0:49:16.920
<v Speaker 2>done reasonably well, and then the other three have trailed.

0:49:16.960 --> 0:49:18.440
<v Speaker 3>The S and P five hundred index.

0:49:18.520 --> 0:49:21.319
<v Speaker 2>So you know you're super smart, and I think about

0:49:21.320 --> 0:49:22.800
<v Speaker 2>when you were here at Bloomberg, like we could just

0:49:22.840 --> 0:49:25.279
<v Speaker 2>get into the weeds of things, like, it's important that

0:49:25.360 --> 0:49:27.799
<v Speaker 2>we be careful, right Like if we say magnificent seven,

0:49:27.800 --> 0:49:30.880
<v Speaker 2>they're all really magnificent this year. And this is why

0:49:31.000 --> 0:49:32.759
<v Speaker 2>when I say, like, when we talk about tech, we've

0:49:32.760 --> 0:49:35.600
<v Speaker 2>got to kind of drill down and understand the particulars

0:49:35.600 --> 0:49:36.200
<v Speaker 2>of each name.

0:49:37.120 --> 0:49:39.799
<v Speaker 8>You're absolutely right, Carol, And look they were all bagni

0:49:40.000 --> 0:49:42.280
<v Speaker 8>in twenty twenty three, but that's not going to continue forever.

0:49:42.560 --> 0:49:45.520
<v Speaker 8>And something we always love to remind clients of is

0:49:46.440 --> 0:49:49.520
<v Speaker 8>well we're experiencing right now too when you see you're

0:49:49.600 --> 0:49:51.880
<v Speaker 8>like twenty twenty three and which you have. You know,

0:49:51.960 --> 0:49:55.800
<v Speaker 8>companies which many people know very well just from everyday life,

0:49:56.040 --> 0:49:58.200
<v Speaker 8>but then they're hearing the about them every day on

0:49:58.239 --> 0:50:00.400
<v Speaker 8>the news, or they're reading about them and the financial media,

0:50:00.480 --> 0:50:03.120
<v Speaker 8>or they're seeing their stock prices excel every day. Now

0:50:03.320 --> 0:50:05.839
<v Speaker 8>clients say, I want more of that. I want more

0:50:05.840 --> 0:50:09.319
<v Speaker 8>of that. And it's important to remind clients that, you know, say,

0:50:09.400 --> 0:50:13.200
<v Speaker 8>went back to two thousand. If you look at the

0:50:13.440 --> 0:50:18.560
<v Speaker 8>five largest companies from back in two thousand, how many

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:21.279
<v Speaker 8>of them are still you know, some of the top

0:50:21.320 --> 0:50:25.719
<v Speaker 8>companies today. The answer is only one actually, So.

0:50:27.160 --> 0:50:28.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you know, these.

0:50:28.239 --> 0:50:31.280
<v Speaker 8>Companies are amazing, and if you look at the revenues

0:50:31.280 --> 0:50:33.080
<v Speaker 8>that they're putting up, they're amazing. But that doesn't mean

0:50:33.080 --> 0:50:33.960
<v Speaker 8>that they're going to be at the top of the

0:50:34.000 --> 0:50:37.080
<v Speaker 8>leaderboard every single day, every single year.

0:50:37.320 --> 0:50:39.600
<v Speaker 4>Right, and then it kind of makes finding the next

0:50:39.600 --> 0:50:42.359
<v Speaker 4>ones Sarah that five years from now will be at

0:50:42.360 --> 0:50:44.160
<v Speaker 4>the top of the leader board even more.

0:50:44.040 --> 0:50:48.319
<v Speaker 8>Difficult, right, And that's why, you know, we like looking

0:50:48.400 --> 0:50:51.879
<v Speaker 8>at different, you know, thematic type of investments that give

0:50:51.960 --> 0:50:55.280
<v Speaker 8>clients exposure to small and midcaps within the technology space

0:50:55.280 --> 0:50:58.960
<v Speaker 8>as well, so you're not only concentrating your portfolio in

0:50:59.040 --> 0:51:01.279
<v Speaker 8>whether you want to call it the Tig seven or

0:51:01.400 --> 0:51:03.120
<v Speaker 8>you know the mag two this year.

0:51:03.080 --> 0:51:04.760
<v Speaker 2>The middling five smug.

0:51:05.000 --> 0:51:07.680
<v Speaker 8>But that way you're not just looking at you know,

0:51:07.880 --> 0:51:09.160
<v Speaker 8>three five seventh.

0:51:09.520 --> 0:51:11.440
<v Speaker 4>The meth three three, middling two.

0:51:13.280 --> 0:51:15.600
<v Speaker 2>Sarah Ponzek always good to hear your voice and check

0:51:15.600 --> 0:51:18.440
<v Speaker 2>in with you financial advisor over at UBS Private Wealth Management.

0:51:18.520 --> 0:51:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Joining us there from Booker Raton, Florida.

0:51:21.000 --> 0:51:24.800
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast of a Little Apple,

0:51:25.080 --> 0:51:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Spotify and anywhere else.

0:51:26.640 --> 0:51:27.799
<v Speaker 6>You get your podcast.

0:51:28.280 --> 0:51:31.640
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0:51:31.800 --> 0:51:35.200
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0:51:35.239 --> 0:51:38.000
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0:51:38.080 --> 0:51:41.720
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