1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:13,400 Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 2 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p 3 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: Joe Pi Zapia, and today we got some more Major 4 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: League Baseball for you. We're talking season long props with 5 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,639 Speaker 1: one of my favorite people. You know him from in 6 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: this league. You know him as one of the leaders, 7 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: if not the leader of the IT army, let's be honest. 8 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: And you also know him as the host of Prospect One, 9 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: the greatest prospect show you'll ever find and the coolest 10 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: shirt here with the prospects assembled that is amazing copyright 11 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 1: infringement to the side. He's the one, the only, my 12 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: good friend, the Welsh Welsh. How are you, my friend? 13 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: What's going on, Joey, what's up, buddy? 14 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 2: Don't mention copyright. It's totally okay. It's just totally fine, 15 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 2: totally shirt that you can buy. Yes, what's up, buddy? 16 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: Thank you how much for having me. Glad to be 17 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 2: back on the Pros with the Joe. 18 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: I know that's right. Pros with the Joe. That's how 19 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: we roll here. And you know it's funny because we 20 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,399 Speaker 1: talked about, you know, coming on for a show and 21 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:12,279 Speaker 1: things like that. You said, well, I don't know betting 22 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: and stuff like that. But to me, the person you 23 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: want to talk to when it comes to props is 24 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 1: a fantasy person, especially when you're going to talk about 25 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 1: some of the rookie of the year stuff today too, 26 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: because you handle all the prospects and you can kind 27 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: of tell us where to put our money. But also, 28 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: I think fantasy people have the best opportunity to give 29 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: you the best information when it comes to who's the 30 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: hit leader this year, who's the k leader, who is 31 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: progressing in that fashion, because that is a little bit deeper. 32 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: That's more about digging into the stats and digging into 33 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: the numbers and more than just the trends and the 34 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 1: recent bias and things like that. And I think it 35 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 1: takes a really good fantasy person that is you, my friend. 36 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: So I wanted to chat for you about this. How 37 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: are you enjoying the baseball season? 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: First off, Oh, that's a loaded question. 39 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: It's a loaded question. I know what it's full of. 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: And I want to ask you because there's been some 41 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 1: good and some bad so far this year. So I'm 42 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: curious what's your take on the year in twenty twenty one. 43 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: You know, I don't ironically, maybe to some people like 44 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:08,079 Speaker 2: I don't want to be like the negative guy, even 45 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 2: though I can be kind of a negative guy because 46 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,799 Speaker 2: there's so much great stuff about it. But I think 47 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: it's been a loaded year across the board. There's so 48 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 2: many things that show how much baseball is working against itself, 49 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: which really bothered me. From the littlest thing. John, I 50 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 2: was just talking about this on the Ende Fantasy Baseball podcast, 51 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 2: Like you go and look at Key Brian Hayes losing 52 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 2: a home run because of the base thing. I know 53 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 2: it's like a technicality, but it's such a silly thing 54 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: that hurts baseball. You think it's good for baseball for 55 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 2: Kee Brian Hayes to literally hit a home run over 56 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 2: the wall, and then you have this little like foot issue. 57 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 2: Bobby Witt had the exactly, it's the same day, the 58 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 2: same day Bobby Witt had it. That's not good for baseball. 59 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: The spider, you know, the all of the sticky and 60 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 2: that type of stuff, it's not good for baseball. The 61 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 2: COVID issues, there's been so much negativity in that front 62 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 2: that it's made it to enjoy baseball. Also, my team 63 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 2: Arizona Diamondbacks are the biggest garbage pile in baseball, which 64 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 2: has made it tough. But at the end of the day, 65 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: I love it and I've expanded, you know, my fantasy 66 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 2: stuff into I'm literally doing everything from points to dynasty, 67 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: to head to head to like weird Big sixteen twenty four. 68 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 2: I do all the different leagues to really kind of 69 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: expand how I'm playing. But you know, Joe, can I 70 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: ask you one question? Since the Bedding Show, I was 71 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 2: just talking to someone about this and we were talking 72 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 2: about the industry. As you're asking me how I'm enjoying 73 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: the baseball season, Like, I'm enjoying it fine with all 74 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 2: the negativities that come with it and all of the 75 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 2: adjustments that you have to do. But you know, the 76 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 2: DFS world, in the gambling world is very unique and 77 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 2: interesting to me that the one thing I was saying, 78 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 2: and I've always harped on and you agree with me, 79 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: is like baseball should be fun like you want, and 80 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: fantasy should be fun. By the way I play fantasy, 81 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: it should be fun. I feel like more than ever 82 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 2: the fun has escaped fantasy when it has come to 83 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 2: gambling and DFS it's more serious, it's than ever been 84 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 2: it's ever been because it's big money and there's stuff 85 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 2: like that. But how like, have you ever tackled how 86 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: do you bring the fun back into dfs? Not just 87 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 2: same question, you know what? 88 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: For me, honestly, I think the in game betting is 89 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: super fun where you're just watching a game and you 90 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: can kind of get involved in that and kind of 91 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 1: ride that wave. I think that's very different. That's really 92 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: evolved and kind of taking on. And for those of 93 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 1: you who don't know what I mean, when you're watching 94 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: a game, you can literally get in there and start 95 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 1: to make bets about the over unders changing or you 96 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 1: know whether or not another team's going to take the lead, 97 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: or I mean, it's crazy some of the things that 98 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 1: are available to you in the game as things are 99 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 1: going on or really kind of changing that. I think 100 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: it all depends on how you look at it. If 101 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: you are somebody that does it as you know, a 102 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: very super serious thing, or if it's more of a 103 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: fun thing. And I think that's more for the individual 104 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: to keep it fun. The TDFs to me, has been 105 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: more fun than season long baseball, to be honest with you, 106 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: because the season long baseball injury train is brutal. I 107 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 1: just want to go out there some nights and just 108 00:04:57,279 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 1: put a lineup together, I like, and not have to 109 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: worry about drops and ads and trades and who's going 110 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 1: on the IL and replacing this player and all that 111 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: stuff and all that work and all the investment going 112 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: down the drink because I got I got my three 113 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: best players in the IL. And I think that's where 114 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: the dfs and really starts to, you know, come in 115 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: and change things from a from a betting wagering perspective 116 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,239 Speaker 1: where you're playing the game differently. So I actually prefer 117 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: the hyper focus of MLB dfs and some of the 118 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: wagering than to the other stuff. Necessarily, this season long baseball, 119 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 1: especially the RODO is a bit of a grind by comparison. 120 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 1: I think it's a really good conversation. 121 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 2: It is, and I think it comes back and the 122 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 2: reason I asked it also not just because this is 123 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 2: like you know, we're talking gambling and betting and stuff 124 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 2: like that, but like you know, you asked me, like, 125 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 2: how am I enjoying the season more and more? For 126 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 2: people like us? And I think for more people in 127 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 2: general is I think when you ask that question, it's 128 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 2: not just about like, you know, the sentinity of the 129 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 2: game and blaha and baseball it's not helping itself, but 130 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: let the kids play. It's not even just necessarily about that. 131 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 2: It's also it's intertwining because I think when you ask 132 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 2: someone like, hey, are you enjoying the season, they might 133 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 2: answer that from a gambling perspective. You know, Oh, I'm 134 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 2: arguing with people and I'm not making money and this 135 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: site didn't help me get this, or I'm just on 136 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: a bad streak. Like the exterior things that we do 137 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 2: to have fun, and yes, they can be businesses and 138 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 2: they can be lifestyles and likelihood, to be honest with you, 139 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 2: but like the way people speak about their enjoyment of 140 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 2: the game can be skewed by that that can be 141 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 2: the impetus to all of those issues. And you know, 142 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 2: I just I always reiterate there can be be money 143 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 2: on the line, and I think how much money you 144 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:33,359 Speaker 2: put on the line should also be dictated by the 145 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 2: level of enjoyment in these games that we play. And 146 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 2: you know, I think when people put more money on 147 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 2: the line than they should, or they overextend themselves by 148 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 2: doing too much, you lose focus and you have less fun. 149 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,159 Speaker 2: And then that's sometimes where burnout comes in, because you 150 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 2: should want to have as much fun as possible no 151 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 2: matter what you're doing and what type of money is 152 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 2: on the line. You want to keep within your ability 153 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 2: to also enjoy the thing that you're doing. 154 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think part of that joy is also 155 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:00,919 Speaker 1: knowing when to make the wage. Like, for instance, you know, 156 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: I loved Otani coming into this year for MVP, but 157 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:05,799 Speaker 1: I wasn't getting bed at twenty to one or thirty 158 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: or one before the season. I needed to see a 159 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:10,239 Speaker 1: little bit. And then the challenge to me is watching 160 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:12,239 Speaker 1: things evolve and then getting in at the right time. 161 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: Like I love the Brewers, but I didn't wager on 162 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: them yet, and Yelich got hurt and I was happy 163 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: I didn't, and then Yelich came back, and then Flowerty 164 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: got hurt, and the Milwaukee Brewers pictures look really good, 165 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: and I started to change my tune a little bit. 166 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: But I'm still waiting. So I got in on Otani, 167 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: I haven't gotten in on the Brewers. There's some other 168 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 1: things that I'm looking at right now. We're gonna try 169 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 1: to kind of look at them as well today and 170 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: talk about some of these individuals, because I think a 171 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 1: third plus into the season, basically here we are in 172 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: that sense, and now's the time where you have a 173 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: better picture of where things are. You have a better 174 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: picture two of injuries and how they've affected things. So 175 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: let's start with most hits now on the betting pros 176 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 1: and the consensus line here, DJ Lemayhew was the best 177 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: odds at plus eight hundred, then wit Merrifield, wit Meryfield, 178 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: big fan always at ten to one, Trey Turner at 179 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: eleven to one, Mookie Bets twelve to one, and Mookie 180 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: has struggled quite a bit. Lindor Tim Anderson, these were 181 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: some other names that were kind of out there, but 182 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: obviously going in, wit Marryfield was still my pick going in. 183 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: That was the guy that I thought people should be 184 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: leaning towards if they wanted to make this wager. Is 185 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 1: it still wit Maryfield for you or do you see 186 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: somebody else kind of emerging? As you know, this guy 187 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: really has the inroads to be the hit leader of 188 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball because we've had some phenomenal performances so 189 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: far in the first two months of the season. Yeah. 190 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: I mean, I think there's there's a couple in line 191 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 2: with here if you're talking about like where we stand 192 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 2: now and if I were, you know, trying to jump 193 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 2: in and whatever that could be. You know, someone I 194 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 2: think that's making a crazy case right now and you 195 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 2: never would have bet them is actually Cedric Mullins, who 196 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 2: is a third in baseball in hits with seventy five, 197 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,319 Speaker 2: and he's just been next level. But you know, I 198 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 2: think preseason I might have gone DJ Lemayhew, you know, 199 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 2: mister you know, mister, no laun changle and just hit 200 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,160 Speaker 2: hit hit, hit hit. That would have been guy. What 201 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 2: a concept Welsh, Yeah, exactly, it could work. But trade 202 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 2: Turner would be the guy for me that I would 203 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 2: look at in this because he's currently fourth in baseball 204 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 2: or at least tied for fourth with ikf Isa Isaiah 205 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 2: kind of flavor what's up spot, and Turner is fourth 206 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 2: in that right now, and he's right on the heels 207 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 2: of the surprising leader in hits in baseball, Adam Fraser, 208 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 2: who's probably going to be one of the first people 209 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 2: traded by the trade deadlines. So I mean, I think 210 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 2: at this moment, if I'm you know, if I'm diving 211 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,599 Speaker 2: in it's trade. Turner is the guy for me that 212 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 2: I wold feel best about. But I would I probably 213 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 2: would have gone in La Mayhew. 214 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: So if you still have, i mean, with Fraser and 215 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: some of these eccentric mollins of guys you'd expect to 216 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:40,079 Speaker 1: be there, if you could still go out there and 217 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 1: make that Trey Turner wager at reasonable let's say even 218 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 1: a five to one in some spots, would that be 219 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: a wager you'd be willing to go for? Yeah? 220 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 2: With Turner, I mean, the only thing holding him back, 221 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 2: which I actually think plays really well into the bet 222 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 2: that you're talking about, like your bet here if it 223 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 2: was like plus one thousand, is Trey Turner's injury history. 224 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 2: Like that is the one thing that you would have 225 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 2: to consider when you're doing it. But yeah, I mean, 226 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 2: I think he's been otherworldly and he's making everything happen. 227 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 2: He's hitting over three hundred and the names above him, 228 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 2: by the way, are just not as trustworthy names Cedric Mullins, 229 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 2: Adam Fraser and even Nick cass Casianos isn't necessarily a 230 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 2: He's not the pillar of hits. He's not the pillar 231 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 2: of average and he's hitting three fifty seven. There's no 232 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 2: way that's gonna last. And the guys that are on 233 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 2: his heels, there's some interesting ones that are in there. 234 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 2: I mean, Vladimir Guerrero Junior is in that. But based 235 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:29,199 Speaker 2: on these guys that we're talking about, Yeah, I think 236 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,359 Speaker 2: Trey Turner would be my bet Wit would be number two. Obviously, 237 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 2: LeMay Hugh's off of this and I mean sant Lendoor 238 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 2: on this list like what a what a bye? 239 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: And this is what we're trying to do. We're trying 240 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: to take where things were in the beginning of the 241 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: season and kind of take the temperature of them now. 242 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:45,199 Speaker 1: And the same thing goes for the home runs, because 243 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: going into the season, you'd get Vladdie for plus forty 244 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: four forty four to one. Oh yea forty four hundred 245 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: unbelievable going into the season for Vla Guerrero Junior, right, 246 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: some of the favorites for Cody Bellinger, Jose Ramirez, Fernando 247 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: Tatis was it minus one twenty four, Ronald Acunya one 248 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: eighteen so Akunya Tatist obviously still up there. Otani vlad 249 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: still in this conversation too, so in your mind right now, 250 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: seeing what you've seen so far, who do you think 251 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:15,959 Speaker 1: at the end is going when the dust cell is 252 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 1: going to lead the major leagues in home runs? 253 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 2: I legit AM going to have a hard time coming 254 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 2: off of Vladimir Carrera Junior. I mean this has been 255 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:24,319 Speaker 2: a big thing of Oh. I mean, you know we've 256 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 2: been doing shows for years. Oh yeah, Like I've watched 257 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 2: Vladimir Guerrero, you know, just come up through the miners, 258 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:32,199 Speaker 2: and I got to spend a decent amount of time 259 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 2: seeing him in person when he was out here in 260 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 2: Arizona during the Arizona Fall League. I I think in 261 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 2: twenty eighteen it was and the one thing that would 262 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 2: maybe seventeen, it doesn't matter. The one thing I would 263 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 2: stand out about him is he has some of the 264 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 2: best plate presents you've ever seen. He hits the ball 265 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: incredibly hard, but he was obviously looking for his spot. 266 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 2: But the negative on him for everybody was like, oh, 267 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 2: he's just not getting the ball in the air launch angle. 268 00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 2: So he has this like mediocre year where people start going, Okay, 269 00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 2: you know, he's a really good talent, but he's overrated. 270 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 2: He doesn't hit homers, and this is me as a 271 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 2: prospect person. You know, prospects a symbol I say, I 272 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 2: tell you, I say, And this would be the same 273 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 2: thing I would I would bring up with if we 274 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:11,199 Speaker 2: were going to talk about Jared kell Nick, I would say, listen, 275 00:12:11,320 --> 00:12:14,080 Speaker 2: you've got to let the process happen and the people 276 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 2: that have focused on these minor leaguers and if you 277 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 2: believe and you kind of trust in what they say, 278 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,839 Speaker 2: like follow their path and if if I happen to 279 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 2: be one of those people, I've like been steadfast to say, 280 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 2: like Blaim mcgerre Junior is going to be a star, 281 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 2: Like I'm not worried about having a seven degree launch 282 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 2: angle or anything like that. Like he's going to hit 283 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 2: the ball hard, he's going to mash. He worked on 284 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 2: his body, and he looks like one of the best 285 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 2: players in baseball right now, and he's crushing homers. That's 286 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 2: the only thing that people were taking away from him. 287 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 2: And he's got a three thirty five average, So all 288 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 2: of that to be said. Vladimir Guerrero would be my 289 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 2: bet on this. The Otani one is super fun, though, 290 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:51,199 Speaker 2: but you know where the payout was for a lot 291 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 2: of people wouldn't have been like MVP or home run 292 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,079 Speaker 2: leader was I want to say that the Otani home 293 00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:58,079 Speaker 2: run total was set at like twenty and a half 294 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:01,000 Speaker 2: and we might get that by like the extra week. Yeah, 295 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 2: we're gonna hit that by like next week, so that's okay. 296 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 2: And I would have taken I would love to tell 297 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 2: you I would have sat here and take taken Otani's MVP. 298 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 2: I probably wouldn't have. I won one hundred percent the 299 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 2: smash that Otani over twenty because this was one of 300 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,719 Speaker 2: my big my big predictions, my bold predictions on the 301 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 2: year was Otani was gonna go twenty five plus on 302 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 2: Homer's and that seems insanely silly now, but uh, you know, 303 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 2: if you thought about the preseason with health and being 304 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 2: able to continue their billing. 305 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 1: It sure you know. And the thing I keep coming 306 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:32,360 Speaker 1: back and I got inven Otani. I put my trips 307 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: down at six to one, six and a half to one, 308 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 1: which I was very pleased because now that's a lot. 309 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,839 Speaker 1: Forget it like he's gonna be minus at some point. 310 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna ask you this question and I want 311 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 1: your take on it, and then we'll move on to 312 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 1: the next category here, because no matter what Vlad does. 313 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,000 Speaker 1: If Otani is within you know, ten percent of it 314 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: and pitching, how does Vlad compete for the MVP. Like 315 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,560 Speaker 1: that's the thing I can't wrap my mind around of 316 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 1: Lad Guerrero MVP as long as Otani keeps some kind 317 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 1: of pace with him. 318 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 2: Right because he doesn't. He doesn't, I mean he Otani 319 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 2: has been the leader of the MVP race. 320 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,440 Speaker 1: For especially with Trout going down to that really maximized 321 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:11,960 Speaker 1: it too, because you took that other guy who was 322 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:13,840 Speaker 1: on the same team, and then you start to write 323 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 1: the narrative of well, you know, no, Trout, look at 324 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: what the guy's doing, and he's did in four hundred 325 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: said we put bombs last night's crazy. 326 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 2: It's at minimum four weeks. He's been the leader at 327 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 2: the MVP, and he's so far along in this race 328 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 2: right now that you can't in my eyes, this is 329 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 2: just me. You can't talk about anybody keeping pace with Otani. 330 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 2: You have to talk about a guy going so far 331 00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 2: in above and beyond Otani to do this, because they'll 332 00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: be got Akunya lad Tatis. They're gonna have more Homers, 333 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 2: They're gonna have a couple of them, will have some 334 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 2: more stolen bases, they'll have they'll have at least ten 335 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 2: to twenty percent more offensive production at minimum. Okay, but 336 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 2: that's not enough because Atani is also doing it on 337 00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 2: the mound, and he is an elite hit right now, 338 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 2: We're not even talking about a guy that's like he's 339 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 2: utility only and he's a top ten Fantasy player right 340 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 2: now in season long. And then you put him on 341 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 2: the mound and he's putting up big strikeout games. There's 342 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 2: no one remotely close. It's a huge payoff if you 343 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 2: bet the MVP. And if I was doing it right now, 344 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 2: I'm getting any plus odds. I'm still going Otani because 345 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 2: you know, I mean, if you wanted to go on 346 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 2: another spot, I would look at like Tatis Junior. But 347 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 2: I don't think Vlad is going to do it. Even 348 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 2: if he leads a league in home runs, that doesn't 349 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 2: really matter to me. I mean maybe triple crown. I 350 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 2: suppose triple crown is the thing that keeps it in it, 351 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 2: But even then I don't think. 352 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 3: I think. 353 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 1: Pitching just changes the whole nation. 354 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 2: Legit, I would love to know what people think about this, 355 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: because I legit think Vlad could have the triple crown, 356 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 2: and I still think he doesn't win MVP over that. 357 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 1: That's fascinating. I'm gonna have to steal that for a 358 00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: conversation on tomorrow's leading off on Fantasy Pros, because that 359 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 1: is a great question. If Lad wins a triple crown, 360 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: is that enough still? I don't know if it is. 361 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 2: Assuming O Tawni like finishes like the season. 362 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 1: A dozen wins or something like that, he strikes out 363 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy guys. I mean, it's just when 364 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: you're playing two ways, I just don't know. 365 00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:09,680 Speaker 2: He would be putting out the shares. You know, he 366 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: would be putting up two seasons worth of production at 367 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,200 Speaker 2: two different positions of what people would have got. He 368 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 2: legit could have forty homers, twenty stolen bases, he could 369 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 2: have eight to ten wins with a bunch of strikeouts. 370 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,520 Speaker 2: It's what you would think about him over two years. 371 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: And by the way, it's two different positions doing this, 372 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 2: So triple Crown Vlad versus SUPERSTARO Tani, I just don't know. 373 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 2: And that's the closest I think you can get. 374 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a great conversation to have stolen bases obviously, 375 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: going into the air at Alberto Mondesa was his favorite 376 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five. But I don't know if 377 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: he's gonna have enough games to play really even to 378 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: get into this conversation, that's the problem. It's like, you know, 379 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:51,840 Speaker 1: people thought he might steal, you know, fifty sixty bases. 380 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: We're lucky if he plays fifty sixty games. At this point, 381 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: Trey Turner was at plus four point fifty, Ronald Acunia 382 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: plus six hundred, with Maryfield plus seven. Fernando tuttis junior 383 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:05,120 Speaker 1: in this conversation, as well as Boba Schett. But if 384 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,120 Speaker 1: you had to put the money down right now, who 385 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 1: do you think is going to lead the league the 386 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 1: rest of the season here and cumulatively in stolen bases? 387 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: Who would be that guy for you? And again taking 388 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 1: Trey Turner's injury history even into. 389 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 2: Account, Yeah, I mean I lean to wit Merrifield, and 390 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 2: I hate being the guy that's like picking the guy 391 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 2: at the top. But I mean, he's got four more 392 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 2: stolen bases than any other player. And even though if 393 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,159 Speaker 2: I think an argument you could say is like if 394 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 2: I think Trey Turner is going to have the most hits, 395 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 2: that gives more on base opportunities, but he's just stealing 396 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 2: at like a little bit less of a clip where 397 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 2: you know, the Royals are manufacturing as much as possible, 398 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,680 Speaker 2: and I think Witt is in that discussion, has less 399 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,679 Speaker 2: of an injury history, and you know, once the Royals 400 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:43,919 Speaker 2: get going, they run almost more than anybody, and if 401 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 2: Mondessy comes back healthy at some point, you know they're 402 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 2: going to want to continue to go. I think Witt 403 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 2: has a great chance. Tree Turner obviously has to be 404 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 2: put in that if you're going for like more wild card. 405 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 2: I don't know. I think I think a Tim Anderson 406 00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 2: could be back in that race. He's not that far off. 407 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 2: He's got ten stolen bases, and he's got a decent 408 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 2: amount at least thirty less at bats in wit Mayfield 409 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 2: that could account to a couple more. I think, so cumulative, 410 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 2: I would go with Wit, But if I were trying 411 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 2: to make some money, I don't hate the rest of 412 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:14,360 Speaker 2: season on Tim Anderson. 413 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,679 Speaker 1: All right, very good. Let's move and switch gears to 414 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: the pitchers here, and let's start with major league winners 415 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: in terms of win total. Garrett Cole plus nine hundred, 416 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 1: Jacob de grond plus twelve. Trevor Bauer plus thirteen obviously 417 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: a pretty usual suspects there, Beaver plus thirteen, Jack Flower, 418 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 1: you started off really great, was at plus fifteen walker 419 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: Bueller's at plus fifteen hundred also, But you know, the 420 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,720 Speaker 1: trouble is with this one is you need the other factors, 421 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,119 Speaker 1: the bullpen, need the run support, and you need to 422 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,639 Speaker 1: pitch well. And God knows, Jacob de Grom's pitch as 423 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 1: well as any human being possibly could and win totals 424 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:51,640 Speaker 1: always seem to be the thing that he is chasing. 425 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:55,400 Speaker 1: So in your opinion, even with all the new stuff, 426 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 1: now you're throwing in this wrinkle where with Bauer and 427 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,160 Speaker 1: Cole and all the well, who's got the sticky stuff 428 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,880 Speaker 1: from the hat and the glove and who's got all 429 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: the special spinny the spinny goo that you put all 430 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 1: over the baseballs. I guess here's the question is does 431 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: this start to kind of creep in and make you wonder, 432 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 1: all right, who really is completely legit and who is 433 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: going to possibly fall off? Or is it a little 434 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:18,639 Speaker 1: bit of overrated nonsense when at the end of the. 435 00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 2: Day, let me do my best Garrett Cole impression. 436 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 3: Uh good, Yeah, no, I think if he wasn't prepared 437 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 3: for the question, as if he didn't know that that question. 438 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,919 Speaker 1: That's the funny part, right, It's like he wasn't prepared, 439 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,320 Speaker 1: like nobody said, hey, Garrett, they might ask you about this, 440 00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: you might want to have an answer kind of in 441 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 1: the can. 442 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:41,440 Speaker 3: Right. 443 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:45,400 Speaker 2: It's one of the most we just on I Tail 444 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,920 Speaker 2: Baseball podcast, We just watch it. I had not watch 445 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,679 Speaker 2: the whole video. I watched like the first twenty seconds 446 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:51,680 Speaker 2: because it was like, it's enough. 447 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:52,400 Speaker 1: You watch the. 448 00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,159 Speaker 2: Whole thing, and it is like one of the most 449 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 2: insane lack of preparation to answer a question, and it's 450 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 2: one of those if you political candidate, someone would be like, 451 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 2: get off the stay. They would have cut his mic. 452 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 2: They would have pulled off, they'd cut to a commercial. 453 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 2: There's no way. But like Garrett Cole already showed some 454 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 2: signs and you can see some of the relative concerns 455 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 2: that are out there. You know, I think you just 456 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 2: spend rate dropped a decent amount. You saw Bowers drop 457 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,399 Speaker 2: a decent amount that I'm very actually, very very curious 458 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,080 Speaker 2: to see where Garrett Cole is going to go the 459 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,280 Speaker 2: rest of the year. If I were picking on this 460 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 2: and this is this seems wild because he's like rampant 461 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 2: with it. I'd actually go with to Grom. 462 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:28,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. 463 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:31,639 Speaker 2: And actually someone had quote tweeted a video of de 464 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,119 Speaker 2: Groam kind of walking and like touching his side or whatever, 465 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 2: and they were like, oh, you want to say de 466 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 2: Grom doesn't do this, blah blah blah. And Thomas Nido, 467 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:41,159 Speaker 2: who was with the team, he goes out and he 468 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 2: goes I can guarantee you this guy does nothing. He 469 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 2: is the most legit picture. De Grom needs nothing else. 470 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 2: I think when you if you do actually truly bring 471 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 2: down the pool of guys and you bring down two levels, 472 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 2: Jacob de Gram has an opportunity to kind of rise up, 473 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 2: the crop rises up. And also I'd say that is. 474 00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,919 Speaker 1: Can the Mets rise up with the wins and all that? 475 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,679 Speaker 2: That's the big thing. And I think Lindor has been 476 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 2: rock bottom for so long that I think signs are 477 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 2: starting to pick that. I think Lindor is going to 478 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,880 Speaker 2: start to come around. And as Lindor comes around, you're 479 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 2: gonna have that second stretch, and I think Debram is 480 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 2: going to finally pick up more wins. If I was 481 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 2: picking another one, I probably go Bouer. Uh, you know 482 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 2: Bower has been able to do this. It's the Dodgers. 483 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 2: They're going to collect wins just left and right. So 484 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm sitting at the top of the pool 485 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,359 Speaker 2: here obviously of players like Flirty is going to be 486 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 2: out until the All Star break, so he's not even 487 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 2: an option. 488 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 1: And he's a lot of good pictures too. He's still 489 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,680 Speaker 1: got you Darvish in this mix, you know, obviously, you 490 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,160 Speaker 1: know he's pitched very well this year too. Nobody thought 491 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:35,639 Speaker 1: Carls or Down would be what he is. I think 492 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 1: the guys in the White Sox always have a chance too, 493 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 1: because I look at the combination of run support and 494 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: bolepen and things like that, and we go, well, you know, 495 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,440 Speaker 1: lance Lynn Gilito, if everyone just kind of flies through 496 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 1: the last couple of months of the season, maybe those 497 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: guys gonna start. 498 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 2: You want a dark horse one. You want a dark 499 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,919 Speaker 2: horse one is Juliarius with the Dodgers. You know, you 500 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:54,320 Speaker 2: think of all the other pitchers with the. 501 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,440 Speaker 1: Dodgers, because he's been terrific this year. 502 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 2: He's tied for the most wins in baseball right now, 503 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,880 Speaker 2: and think of the Division Rockies Diamonback's worst in baseball 504 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 2: right now. Obviously you've got the Padres and the Giants 505 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 2: perform decent fire expectations. Though, Yeah, Julio Urias has been 506 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 2: one of the best pitchers in one of the more 507 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 2: big breakout stars from this past year that I think. 508 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 2: Arias where he's at, and the continuation, especially if you 509 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 2: look at the guys that are like, you know, Bieber's 510 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 2: in there, you can't discount Bieber, Aaron Savali's in there. 511 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,199 Speaker 2: A real dark horse wan would be Julio Arias. 512 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to some of the save 513 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,200 Speaker 1: leaders here. Liam Hendrix was leading the pack with plus 514 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 1: six point fifty, world As Chapman seven to fifty, Josh 515 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,919 Speaker 1: Hayter plus eight hundred. Then you have rycee Oglecias, Kenley Jansen, 516 00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: Edwin Diaz. So I know saves can be such an 517 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,199 Speaker 1: arbitrary thing, a very difficult thing to wager on. But 518 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,960 Speaker 1: right now, looking at where guys are in terms of 519 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,879 Speaker 1: totals and where you project them to be as the 520 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 1: season goes on, who do you think is going to 521 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,120 Speaker 1: lead the league in saves when all of a said 522 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: and done. 523 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 2: Well, Milanson's already got a three save lead and he's 524 00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 2: on one of the best teams in baseball. I just 525 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 2: don't know how you go against it. Now, I would 526 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 2: say the thing that is not I mean that's no, 527 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 2: but it's not. But he's But it's not like it's 528 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:12,199 Speaker 2: Milansen on the Royals or Milanson on you know, I'm 529 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 2: trying to even look at the Angels or something like that. 530 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 2: This is Mlanson on the Padres, who again, as I 531 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 2: point out, with the Dodgers, it's in a great division 532 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,719 Speaker 2: to kind of keep collecting. The thing that holds against 533 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 2: him is that there are guys in the wings that 534 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 2: I don't think they'd be afraid to go to. Like 535 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 2: I think he has a shorter leash even though you 536 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 2: stay nineteen games, not even through mid June. I feel 537 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 2: like a team is going to give this guy more 538 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,359 Speaker 2: of a leash than people want. So Milanson, I think 539 00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 2: has got to be the guy that is still the 540 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 2: big front runner. But you know, don't look now, Kenlly 541 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 2: Jansen is having insane year, but he's six saves behind. 542 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 2: But it's the Dodger. So I'm going on like win 543 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 2: teams like Hendrix is in there. I think Rays is 544 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,639 Speaker 2: gonna tap down a little bit. I think there's competition 545 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 2: with Barnes. I don't know Chicago can win enough for 546 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 2: Craig Kimberl. So I like, I like Mulanson or Jansen. 547 00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 2: If if if I were possibly insane enough to bet saves. 548 00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: Well, I was just gonna say to me, this is 549 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:05,720 Speaker 1: always the one I'd run away from because it is 550 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 1: so arbitrary. Those opportunities can be so difficult, And certainly 551 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: there's so many guys who are right there, and the 552 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: number is gonna be so close. You know, there's gonna 553 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,120 Speaker 1: be like one save two save difference between these guys 554 00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: at the end. Now, the thing you really want to 555 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:21,959 Speaker 1: talk about is pitcher strikeouts, and god knows we've got 556 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: a ton of those. I mean, between Corbyn Burns and 557 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,800 Speaker 1: Jacob de Gram and Garret Cole and Bieber and everybody 558 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,720 Speaker 1: in between. Giolito Shurez are looking like Schrzer again going 559 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: into things. Jacob deGrom plus four twenty five, plus four 560 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: to fifty for Garrett Cole, plus six fifty for Bieber, 561 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 1: Trevor Bauer plus seven to fifty. Then you have Giolito 562 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 1: plus eight and Max Scherz are at ten to one 563 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 1: at plus one thousand. So as the board looks right 564 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:50,360 Speaker 1: now taking health, taking the new cruelty in baseball, cracking 565 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: down potentially on the guys with the spitty balls and 566 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,359 Speaker 1: then the special substances. Who do you think, at the 567 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,360 Speaker 1: end of the day is the guy at the top 568 00:24:58,400 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 1: of the hill when it comes to cas. 569 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 2: Well, I just can't go against Beiab. It's impossible to 570 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,040 Speaker 2: go against Beiab right now with how he's with how 571 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:10,439 Speaker 2: he's performed. There is I mean, I still love de Grom. 572 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 2: That would be I mean, your easy bets pending where 573 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,399 Speaker 2: the money is is that play? Because de Gram also, 574 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 2: by the way, has the best k per nine in 575 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,680 Speaker 2: baseball at fourteen four because he's only pitched as. 576 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:24,200 Speaker 1: We're recording he starts right, Yeah, he's only pitched fifty 577 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: I believe, fifty eight innings. 578 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 2: He has ninety three strikeouts compared to the leader in Bieber, 579 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:30,879 Speaker 2: who is one hundred and twenty two strikeouts in eighty 580 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:33,080 Speaker 2: five innings. But let me throw a secondary name at 581 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 2: you again. If you're looking for just big payoffs for 582 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 2: the rest of the season, how about Corbyn Burns. Because 583 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 2: if you move down. 584 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: Saw Young coming into the season. 585 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 2: And you moved down the qualifications. 586 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,879 Speaker 1: My big concern is what is Corbyn Burns after one 587 00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty innings this year? That's what I worry 588 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: about a little bit. 589 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:52,880 Speaker 2: And it's a great question. But if you are talking 590 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 2: rest of the season, you're willing to go with it. 591 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:58,120 Speaker 2: Corbyn Burns is the second best k per nine behind 592 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 2: Degram at fourteen to two. He's got a time. He 593 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 2: has more strikeouts currently just you know, just a not 594 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,480 Speaker 2: She's got ninety four. He must take the grounds ninety 595 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,440 Speaker 2: three and he missed some times. So I mean, if 596 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 2: you look at the top, what is this like the 597 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,919 Speaker 2: top seven in strikeouts in baseball? They've all got seventy 598 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,280 Speaker 2: five or more innings except for Corbyn Burns. He has 599 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 2: ninety four strikeouts or six guys that have one hundred 600 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 2: strikeouts or more. The next guy is Corbyn Burns. So 601 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,199 Speaker 2: you know where are my bets pending odds. Bieber is 602 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,640 Speaker 2: clear and far away. You know, one hundred and twenty two, 603 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 2: five more than Tyler Glass now and he's already you know, 604 00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 2: thirty more. They're twenty nine more than Jacob de Grom, 605 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:41,200 Speaker 2: So you go Bieber to Grom. But if I want 606 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 2: some money play. It's Corbyn Burns. Corbin Burns is a 607 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 2: strikeout machine, and they got to press him. He looks 608 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,399 Speaker 2: better than he's ever done before. He's missed some times, 609 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,199 Speaker 2: so he's not looking like he's gonna press over two 610 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:54,159 Speaker 2: hundred innings. That would be my one. 611 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 1: Here's a here's something I want to throw up before 612 00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 1: we get to Rookie of the Year. I'm maybe a 613 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:02,520 Speaker 1: conspiracy and spirau theorist for a moment, if I may, 614 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: that they sent down casted hero again, because it's time 615 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 1: to put him in a package to get some more 616 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 1: offense before he completely bottoms out in the major leagues 617 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: where somebody looks at him and says, Okay, we're gonna 618 00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: have you know, maybe we can get this kid right. 619 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,679 Speaker 1: He's still very young. Let's get him back. Maybe just 620 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 1: a change of I don't know, scenery, a change of 621 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,920 Speaker 1: hitting coaches, whatever it might be. Do you think Milwaukee 622 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,840 Speaker 1: sees opportunity here in this central because I don't think 623 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 1: anybody really believes in the Cubs at the end of 624 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,760 Speaker 1: the day, and with Flaherty out and the rest of 625 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:35,560 Speaker 1: this pitching being what it is in Saint Louis that 626 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,399 Speaker 1: pitching in Milwaukee is so good. They just need to 627 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 1: get some more offense in the worst way, and Hero 628 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 1: wasn't getting it done. Do you think that that's part 629 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:44,439 Speaker 1: of the reason why they sent him down again for 630 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: the second time this year. 631 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:49,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and they did the Adamis trade. They're 632 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:51,320 Speaker 2: looking for offense, you know. 633 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: I'm that's another patchwork trade. Like they need a Mancini, 634 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 1: they need a Peralta, they need a no No, you know, 635 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:58,480 Speaker 1: they need somebody. 636 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,159 Speaker 2: I totally agree with you. I was gonna say, is like, 637 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:05,959 Speaker 2: I'm less conspiratorial about like those type of deals, at 638 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 2: least I used to be where it's like, oh, they're 639 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:09,680 Speaker 2: sending him down and just kind of hype up the 640 00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:11,399 Speaker 2: value and stuff like that, because I always want to 641 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,359 Speaker 2: give a benefit of the doubt that like, these people 642 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 2: that are making millions of dollars, they're not gonna be 643 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:20,199 Speaker 2: subdued by like fifty at bats in like a triple 644 00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,120 Speaker 2: A during half of the season to be like, whoa, 645 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 2: this guy's really great, But you know what it kind 646 00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 2: of is. It kind of is like fantasy. It is legit. 647 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 2: The more that I have talked to inner workings of 648 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,440 Speaker 2: people with baseball, the amount that teams will strategically push 649 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 2: prospects out there and try to influence and try to 650 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 2: create value and won't move prospects up specific levels because 651 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 2: they want to keep them hitting so they can keep 652 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 2: that value going. It actually makes a lot of sense, 653 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 2: I don't think here. Even though Craig Council came out 654 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 2: and said that never before has there been a bigger 655 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 2: gap between Triple A and the majors, which is a 656 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,520 Speaker 2: really interesting comment which I think I relate. I could 657 00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 2: see and I could agree with that they're encouraged by it. 658 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 2: It does feel like his team needs to make a 659 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 2: big trade, but I'm not so sure it can come 660 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,280 Speaker 2: from Keston here. Regardless, he could be a part of it. 661 00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,560 Speaker 2: I think he's a prime candidate. Get him out of there, 662 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 2: get him in a new spot. But I don't know. Man, 663 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 2: if they could get Devin Williams right, you want a 664 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,959 Speaker 2: great bullpen, but I imagine the package you could get 665 00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 2: for Devin Williams and Keston Hero. You can move them off. 666 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 2: So I think they I agree with everything you said totally. 667 00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 2: I think they need new stuff and I think they 668 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 2: are priming Keston Hero to just destroy at Triple A 669 00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,880 Speaker 2: and have a team that is just willing to have more. 670 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 1: That's what he did already once. That's my concern. He 671 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 1: he bret him up and it's like, yeah, it's not working, 672 00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:34,480 Speaker 1: let's send you back down. I think they're just protecting 673 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 1: the asset because they realize it's just not gonna happen, 674 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 1: and they think they have a window. All right, you 675 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: are the guy to talk to about this, So I 676 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 1: want your opinion on this. The consensus line of betting 677 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 1: pros for the National and Rookie of the Year Caulbrian 678 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 1: Hayes a plus three fifty, Ian Anderson plus six hundred, 679 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 1: Dylan Carlson at plus seven hundred. The American League side, 680 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 1: it still sit with Randy rose Arena at the top 681 00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: at plus three fifty, Wander Franco's at ten to one. 682 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 1: Jared Kellenick, who just got sent down, still attend to 683 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 1: So I guess here's my question, National League, American League, 684 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 1: where do you want to put your chips here? Is 685 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 1: it just as simple as Brian Hayes is back now, 686 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 1: it's his award to lose Anderson's pitch very well. We 687 00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 1: haven't seen Wander Franco yet. Is this the time to 688 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: bet it before comes up and this ten to one 689 00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:17,720 Speaker 1: becomes a two to one at some point. But he 690 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:19,320 Speaker 1: is on the same team as a Rose Arraya, so 691 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 1: it's complicated. Take me through your thoughts here, National League 692 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: American League Work of the Year. Where's Welch putting the chips? 693 00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 2: So from an NL perspective, I think you kind of 694 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:31,480 Speaker 2: hit it. I think it's a two dog race right now. 695 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 2: I think I actually think Ian Anderson might be your guy. 696 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 2: He's got a three and a half era. He started 697 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,520 Speaker 2: eleven games, he's been really good. If he had a 698 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 2: couple more wins under his table, like six, I don't 699 00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 2: even think it'd be remotely close. But if he can 700 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 2: get to like twelve or thirteen wins and he's gonna 701 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 2: put it decently behind him, keep that three and a 702 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 2: half the ray. I gotta be honest with you. I'm 703 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 2: just not sure what key Brian Hayes can do at 704 00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 2: that point. Like, I mean, he could obviously go off, 705 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 2: and he has shown some that I would say right now, 706 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 2: Ian Anderson is the front runner, but kee Brian Hayes 707 00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 2: is on his tail, and keep Brian Hayes has been 708 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,280 Speaker 2: just such a pleasant surprise that you know, the power 709 00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 2: numbers have gone up and he's going to have really 710 00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 2: big totals. 711 00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 1: There's nobody else national League wise, it's going to come 712 00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 1: up and compete this year. 713 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:21,600 Speaker 2: Right uh oh, that's going to like actually be called up. 714 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 1: For this award in your opinion, right, I mean these 715 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 1: are these are the guys, right. Not a horse race here. 716 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 2: Here's the tough part. 717 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,400 Speaker 1: Walks is starting to play better. I don't know if 718 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:31,560 Speaker 1: that's a dark horse where you start. 719 00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 2: I don't think he qualifies though. 720 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,160 Speaker 1: Has he has? He already passed the qualification. 721 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, he he had. Like there's a couple of guys, 722 00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,240 Speaker 2: well they're not in all now that I'm thinking about it, 723 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:41,800 Speaker 2: but there's a couple of guys that are like Fringy 724 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 2: in that range. But like to your point of guys 725 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:48,120 Speaker 2: that could come up and be impactful right now. Probably 726 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 2: not Like what I was gonna say is you always 727 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 2: have those players like look at like air Cities, a 728 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 2: Kino and stuff. You come up, you play like fifty 729 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 2: games and you hit like twenty homers. Those guys can 730 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:01,960 Speaker 2: happen and there's a there's a possibility like Helly Oramos 731 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 2: or Eli Oramos with the Giants. He could get called 732 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 2: up like any time, and he's the type of player 733 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 2: that could hit twenty plus. And I think it could 734 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: change the discussion, except that Hayes and Anderson have been 735 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:14,840 Speaker 2: there the entire time, so I just. 736 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 1: Don't think and Anderson has the you know, two months on. 737 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 1: Hayes hasn't been there for two months. 738 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I like JJ, like JJ Blede could come 739 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,440 Speaker 2: up in the discussion. If he comes up relatively soon 740 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 2: it starts hitting, he could be that. I think I 741 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,000 Speaker 2: think the bet right now is one of those two. 742 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 2: I would put it on Ian Anderson like a little 743 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 2: subtext guy. If the team were a little bit better, 744 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 2: would be Pevid Smith, to be honest with you, a 745 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 2: dinoback to ninety two five homers. He's got thirty four runs. 746 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,640 Speaker 2: He legit could close in. If the Diamondbacks can score 747 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:46,800 Speaker 2: runs on like one hundred runs on the year, maybe 748 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 2: eighty RBIs twenty homers with a two ninety average, he 749 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 2: would be in discussion. Like, I think he's a top 750 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 2: five Rookie of the Year candidate in the NL. But 751 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:56,960 Speaker 2: that's you know, that's like low dollar stuff. 752 00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:00,280 Speaker 1: If you did that the al though America so al 753 00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: is kind of like the Wild West. Is it a 754 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 1: matter of a Roserina and everybody else? Or is wander Franco, 755 00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,719 Speaker 1: Like I said, is this the window? Because it feels 756 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 1: like it might be because I don't know, I'm a 757 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: big fan. I just feel like this guy's gonna light 758 00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: everything on fire. I think the league gonna have a 759 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,400 Speaker 1: hard time adjusting to him. Actually that's my opinion on 760 00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 1: Wander Franco. But I'm worried that none of that ten 761 00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 1: to one gets cut in half very soon. If he 762 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 1: does get that call. 763 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 2: I mean, I can throw a couple of things out 764 00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 2: for you. There are two absolute wild cards in this. 765 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 2: I'm assuming because based on how I have it, they're eligible. 766 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 2: But here's what you're forgetting. You're forgetting you'remin Mercedes, and 767 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 2: you're forgetting a Doulas Garcia, even though they're twenty eight 768 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,479 Speaker 2: years old, but they qualifying right right now. 769 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 1: Adulus Garcia Garcia Barsides was a look. Mercedes came crashing 770 00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 1: back down earth. He had a great April. It was 771 00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,760 Speaker 1: a fun ride. But Garcia's home run totals I think 772 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: are definitely something to keep an eye on. If you 773 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 1: had a vote, would you vote for Garcia, or would 774 00:33:58,520 --> 00:33:59,480 Speaker 1: you vote for a Rosorina. 775 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,720 Speaker 2: So far, I would vote for Garcia. It's unreal. He 776 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 2: has sixteen homers, hitting two seventy six and forty three RBIs. 777 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:09,840 Speaker 2: Those forty three RBIs, I gotta look here because I 778 00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 2: want to say. 779 00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,479 Speaker 1: Also got a ton of strikeouts in there too, which 780 00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:14,400 Speaker 1: I can, but they're not the day they look at 781 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:15,839 Speaker 1: the totals. That's what you're looking for. 782 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 2: He's inside the top ten in RBIs. He's only behind 783 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 2: Shoheo Tani. I mean, maybe one of these surprising is 784 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 2: Hasyus Agular, who's fourth in baseball. 785 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,240 Speaker 1: You know what, because Hazy's Agular is driven on hundred runs, 786 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: you know, with the Milwaukee Brewers. He was an RBI 787 00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,480 Speaker 1: machine in the minor leagues in Cleveland. That guy knew 788 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 1: how to drive in runs. And that was the one 789 00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 1: thing I always liked about Agular, even though he didn't 790 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 1: have the same kind of power you would look for 791 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,239 Speaker 1: from us a first baseman, prototypically, he always had a 792 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 1: knack for driving in runs and he hit well with 793 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,120 Speaker 1: runners and scoring position, which is like a lost art 794 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 1: form in baseball nowadays. But you bring up a great 795 00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 1: point in Garcia, So is he actually the dark horse 796 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: that people should actually be starting to put some money 797 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:56,320 Speaker 1: on where everybody saw about the other guys. 798 00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I would be fascinated to see what does 799 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:00,080 Speaker 2: the number look like right now for Al because I. 800 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:01,640 Speaker 1: Don't have to pull that up. I don't even have 801 00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,359 Speaker 1: that number for him, because you pick up a point 802 00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 1: because he is twenty eight. 803 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:08,960 Speaker 2: I think people you forget that he technically qualifies. He 804 00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 2: did not exceed prospect eligibility. Age does not qualify prospect 805 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 2: eligibility in baseball, as much as people want to do it. 806 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 2: Like a lot of people will be like, well, I'm 807 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 2: just not going to rank you know, a twenty eight 808 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 2: year old, which I totally understand, but baseball doesn't care. 809 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 2: And Randy Rosewine is twenty six, but Yurman is twenty 810 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 2: eight adults, Garcia is twenty eight. 811 00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,440 Speaker 1: And Erman Mercedes right now actually is funny because it's 812 00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,920 Speaker 1: just actually moved recently. Your Mercedes at plus eight hundred, 813 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:37,359 Speaker 1: Kellenik is at plus ten, wonder Franco's ten, Andrew Vaughan's ten. 814 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,400 Speaker 1: I'm looking for Mercedes on consensus right now? 815 00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 2: You mean Garcia? 816 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,680 Speaker 1: I mean Garcia rather and I don't have him, So 817 00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:48,320 Speaker 1: does he indeed or were sure he actually qualifies? There? Correct, 818 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:49,880 Speaker 1: and you see Brujon in there, I see a lot 819 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,879 Speaker 1: of other guys, And I. 820 00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:55,879 Speaker 2: Know eight he came into the year with prospect eligibility 821 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 2: as far as I know, because he had a short 822 00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,360 Speaker 2: stint in He had a short stint in two thousand 823 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 2: and eighteen where he had seventeen plate appearances. Then he 824 00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 2: had only a handful more this past year and he's 825 00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,439 Speaker 2: eclips He's only only has two hundred and eleven total 826 00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:18,279 Speaker 2: plate appearances in his career and for this season he 827 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 2: has one hundred and ninety nine at bats. So yeah, 828 00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 2: he technically qualifies. But maybe they took him off due 829 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:25,600 Speaker 2: to age. I can't tell you who it is. 830 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:27,960 Speaker 1: Well, they can't take you off because of age, but 831 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:29,880 Speaker 1: I don't know because of the you know, because of 832 00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,040 Speaker 1: all the way the COVID seasons and other things and 833 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 1: how they they tabulate. 834 00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 2: Usually usually that's tied to games on roster. But I'm 835 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,799 Speaker 2: telling you, we walked into this season. The qualification for 836 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 2: rookies as you walk into this season, and again somebody 837 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:45,160 Speaker 2: that could go and correct and be like here's the 838 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,400 Speaker 2: reason why, Okay, that's fine. If that's not the case, 839 00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,440 Speaker 2: let's just assume, like right now, I would go Adules 840 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:54,279 Speaker 2: because his numbers are crazy. He's hitting underlining stuff you 841 00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,799 Speaker 2: on Baseball Savant, they keep going. He's just not going 842 00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,239 Speaker 2: to stop, and he's hitting for good average. Randy is 843 00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:02,160 Speaker 2: definitely in the disc I don't think it's out of 844 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:04,879 Speaker 2: the realm of possibility. If Wander were to come up soon, 845 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,279 Speaker 2: that he could pass Randy Rosin and Rands only hit 846 00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:10,319 Speaker 2: in about two fifty counting stats look pretty good. But 847 00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,759 Speaker 2: what would be in consideration is if Wander were to 848 00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 2: come up, let's say within the next couple of weeks, 849 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 2: he legit could finish out the year hitting three hundred 850 00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,480 Speaker 2: plus and he could have you know, a ton of runs, 851 00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,480 Speaker 2: and he could maybe not a ton of RBIs ten 852 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:26,960 Speaker 2: twelve stolen bases IV. I think if he were to 853 00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:28,960 Speaker 2: do that and come up, it would have to be 854 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,080 Speaker 2: within the next couple of weeks. I would be willing 855 00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,799 Speaker 2: to slap a little bit of it on Wander. But 856 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,799 Speaker 2: Trek Scooble would be another dark horse in here. But 857 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:40,759 Speaker 2: Randy currently owns it. But you know, don't forget about uh, 858 00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:43,840 Speaker 2: don't forget about Adulus and pay attention to wander and 859 00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 2: Trek Scooble. 860 00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:46,680 Speaker 1: There you have it all right. You can follow him 861 00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:48,720 Speaker 1: on Twitter at is it the Welsh and of course 862 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,960 Speaker 1: go check out the it l Army over on Patreon. 863 00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:54,640 Speaker 1: In this league with Scott Bogman and the Welsh. And 864 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,439 Speaker 1: you can also subscribe to Prospect one if you're somebody 865 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,439 Speaker 1: who plays in Diazi leagues or you just like great 866 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,360 Speaker 1: baseball talk. In this league, by the way, does everything 867 00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 1: all the sports Welsh. I miss talking to you on 868 00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,759 Speaker 1: a daily basis. This was nice to get together talk 869 00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,719 Speaker 1: a little baseball. Hopefully we'll do it again soon and 870 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:13,879 Speaker 1: I appreciate the time today, my friend. 871 00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 2: Thank you for having me. I always loved doing it. 872 00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 2: I always missed doing podcasts with you. Hopefully everybody had 873 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 2: a good time. And remember have some fun, have a. 874 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,480 Speaker 1: Little bit of fun. It's supposed to be fun. Let's 875 00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:26,759 Speaker 1: make it fun. That's it. Go have fun, all right. 876 00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:28,200 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the 877 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll 878 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:44,760 Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids,