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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Spreading the corn.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds remaining, Just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket. It's the cruit for the wind God.

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Speaker 2: They go amarracle.

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Speaker 3: I just chuck the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: Shuck it all in Codge basketball.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome

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Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I am your host,

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Speaker 2: Kai McEwan. Back with the rest of the three man

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Speaker 2: Weave crew, Jim Root and Matt Cox, coming to you

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Speaker 2: live every single Wednesday on your podcast feed. Fellas, let's

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Speaker 2: not belabor it. Let's jump right into the show as usual.

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Speaker 2: We have our normal Cannonball's right, that's Jim Root. He's

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Speaker 2: doing well. We're gonna get into our show, starting with

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Speaker 2: our Live Dogs the Week. That's Matt. Hey, guys, let's

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Speaker 2: all interrupt Ki while he's doing the intro. How about that.

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Speaker 2: We're going to do our live Dogs a week. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna do Blowout City. We're gonna get into our Power

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Speaker 2: Games the Week, our mid major games the Week, trash

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Speaker 2: Man Pick of the Week, which is a game you

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Speaker 2: should not watch, but you can bet on it because,

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Speaker 2: like us, you might be a degenerate. And finally, a

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Speaker 2: spotlight section. Today's section will be a little bit fun.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna spoil it for you today, though, We're

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Speaker 2: gonna wait until the end of the show. Let's start

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Speaker 2: it off live Dogs of the Week, and of course,

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Speaker 2: as usual, we do our recap last week. Guys not bad.

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Speaker 2: Jim hit Manhattan, a winner at Fairfield, didn't get Washington State,

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Speaker 2: but hey, it was a good pick. Jim still kai, yes, me,

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Speaker 2: I had a good week. Saint John's they beat Xavior

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Speaker 2: Southeast Louisiana. They beat Texas A and m Corpus Christy

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Speaker 2: And guess what, Matt Cox got a winner as well,

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Speaker 2: win throw winning at Gardner Webb Fellas all around, congratulations

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Speaker 2: Matt's raising the roof. Jim got a stuffed dog. Any words, Jim.

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Speaker 1: Dog of the week, got to bring in a got

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Speaker 1: to bring in a stuffed pup to keep the karma going.

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Speaker 1: We basically went four out of five because the only

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Speaker 1: misses we had was Matt and I sharing the same

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Speaker 1: miss So hey, four and five on outright pups. That's

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Speaker 1: that's pretty good, pretty dang good. Indeed, Matthew. Let's get

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Speaker 1: into this week.

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Speaker 3: Where's Mine?

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Speaker 1: O Dog?

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Speaker 3: Where's Mine?

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Speaker 2: Starting with Wednesday. You got a couple options here on

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Speaker 2: the board. Guys, pick and choose who you like. I

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Speaker 2: like this first one the Citadel. They are plus seven

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Speaker 2: per kem Pom at Mercer. This week Mercer beat them

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Speaker 2: at their place, possible revenge angle for Citadel and Jim.

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Speaker 2: Mercer's had some injury issues last couple of games really

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Speaker 2: the entire.

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Speaker 1: Year, Yeah, particularly at point guard and if Talie Alvarez

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Speaker 1: came back really briefly from his I think it was

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Speaker 1: a broken foot of a fracture his foot, but he's

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Speaker 1: been back out, and then Kamar robertson their backup point guard,

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Speaker 1: also missed last game, so they've been in kind of

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Speaker 1: third string going there, maybe even playing some walk on minutes.

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Speaker 1: Citadel has been fairly sharp lately. We're impressive last night

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Speaker 1: Kai on the road at Sanford. So yeah, I like

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Speaker 1: that one quite a bit too. I think you and

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Speaker 1: I are both going to end up locking in the Bulldogs.

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Speaker 3: Mah your thoughts, Citadel, Yeah or nay, I'm gonna be

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Speaker 3: on the fence. Slash on the sidelines and not join you.

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Speaker 3: I'm sorry to be lame here. Here's why, Jens.

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit concerned about this defense.

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Speaker 4: Yeh.

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Speaker 3: Jim's trying to seduce me with flashing the k pup

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Speaker 3: stuff animal, which is smiling so lovingly in my face.

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Speaker 3: Dugger talked about how he's like super concerned about his defense.

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Speaker 3: He's deciding to maybe trial and air some zone at

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Speaker 3: this point in the year, like late February, because his

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Speaker 3: guys just can't guard anything. They were just demolished by

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Speaker 3: East Tennessee State last weekend. Sanmford hunk the seventy six onto.

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Speaker 3: I know it was a seventy possession games, so it

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Speaker 3: was like it was a complete disaster on defense. I

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Speaker 3: just don't like the way this team, the way this

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Speaker 3: team is trending. So I know they just covered, but

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Speaker 3: I'm sorry staying away. I think mercer pops up inside.

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Speaker 1: They don't like you either. To be honest, I.

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Speaker 2: Hate not backing our boys in uniform, Jim.

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Speaker 3: But I guess that makes me at a Quaker or

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Speaker 3: whatever if I'm not pro whatever pacifist, mat pacifist, yeah,

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Speaker 3: anti war.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure they're pacifist. The Citadel's the Citadel's defense the concern.

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Speaker 2: But they can shoot, they can get high, they can

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Speaker 2: arguably the best player in the conference. So a fun

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Speaker 2: team to bet on in the money line. Special guys

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Speaker 2: other options here will run down the list real quick.

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Speaker 2: Bradley heading to Missouri State Bradley, of course, a tough

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Speaker 2: Missouri Valley squad. Rutgers, a team that's on fire, gets

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Speaker 2: to go at Michigan, who will be missing Dwan Howard,

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Speaker 2: their coach who did a little bitch slap of a

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin assistant recently. TCU is heading to Texas and Tulane

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Speaker 2: hosting Houston. Our honorary Bade Houston pick for some reason

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Speaker 2: makes into this section. Jim, any of those catcher Ie

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Speaker 2: in particular, on Wednesday, I will be.

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Speaker 1: On Rutgers kai Er. They are rolling. They basically like

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Speaker 1: landed on the number at Purdue. I think it vacillated

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Speaker 1: between eleven and a half and twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: and it landed twelve. That's their only like not great

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Speaker 1: performance lately. They won at Wisconsin, so they've proven that

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Speaker 1: they can win away from the rack against a good team,

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Speaker 1: a full strength team that was the Badgers had everybody

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Speaker 1: Michigan will not know diabate for that one. I think

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Speaker 1: Rutgers gets it done. Harper didn't look too worse for

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Speaker 1: the wear. Matt He had a weird tape on his finger.

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Speaker 1: I think his index and middle finger of his non

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Speaker 1: shooting hand were taped together. But he's able to play

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Speaker 1: and play effectively at Perdue. So give the give me

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Speaker 1: the Scarlet Knights on the road at Rutger or at Michigan.

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Speaker 1: Although you know, Phil Martelli taking over is no downgrade

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Speaker 1: from Jordan Howard, but I still like Scarlet Knights.

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Speaker 2: That's kind of my angles. I actually I'm going to

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Speaker 2: bet in Michigan.

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Speaker 3: I think the next few games, maybe not this spot,

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Speaker 3: but I'm like looking to maybe back then if there's

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Speaker 3: like a market overreaction to no Howard. I'm not like

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Speaker 3: saying Howard's a bad coach, but I just think Martelli

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Speaker 3: is such a big part of why they've been so

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Speaker 3: good and why he's He's really booed Howard. I think

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Speaker 3: behind the scenes with some of the x NO stuff.

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Speaker 2: Kai, I'm looking hard at Bradley. I like that you

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Speaker 2: put this one on the outline.

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Speaker 3: Missouri State is to Chackl and Hyde and when they're

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Speaker 3: in the right spot and they're motivated, they can be

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Speaker 3: really awesome. But man, when you're looking at again, we

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Speaker 3: reiterate the high variance type of teams. There is no

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Speaker 3: better examplar than Missouri State. And we know how good

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Speaker 3: Bradley has been. They can beat you inside and out,

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Speaker 3: and the way they're playing on both ends is really impressive.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I do like the Braves especially even you'll

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Speaker 3: probably get pretty good value if the line opens, you know,

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Speaker 3: close to plus six zero. It's pretty good home court advantage,

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Speaker 3: but their analytic rankings are a little bit inflated given

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Speaker 3: some of their mega efforts and big spots.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Missouri State home court scares me. And totally they're

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Speaker 2: pretty strong there in Springfield day because j QH yep Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: I actually I do like I'm not gonna take it officially,

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Speaker 2: but that's a good lean no diabata and that kind

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Speaker 2: of helps the no coaching angle when he's back, when

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Speaker 2: the players are back, I kind of agree with you

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Speaker 2: that Artelly's had a huge downgrade there. TCU scares me

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Speaker 2: because Eddie Lambkin might be still out for them. He'd

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Speaker 2: be a big loss against a big Texas team. And

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Speaker 2: then I don't want to fade to Houston, so ignoring

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Speaker 2: that one.

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Speaker 4: But I thought about too, Lane thought, yeah, Houston just

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Speaker 4: lost in ot or just want to state Yeah, they're

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Speaker 4: not a juggernaut.

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Speaker 2: They're really they're beatable.

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Speaker 1: A team that's with trapping guards maybe could wear down

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Speaker 1: Houston with no depth in the back court. And then

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Speaker 1: last quick point, Matt Missouri State is like three hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty. There's so maybe maybe three hundred and thirtieth

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Speaker 1: and has a metrics consistency ratings. Let's you know why

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Speaker 1: that the team is really erratic. So okay, yeah, Kyle,

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Speaker 1: letch you move on to Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple options for Thursday, guys, Well, San Francisco

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Speaker 2: is hosting Gonzaga. If you're brave enough to take the

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Speaker 2: Dons and give Gonzaga their first conference loss, by all

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Speaker 2: means you're gonna get value there. Belmont is going to

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Speaker 2: Murray State. I like this one. I think this is

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Speaker 2: where Murray State trips up after they barely survived Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Martin Temple is going to Memphis. And then there's a

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Speaker 2: couple other ones. Wilmington at Drexel, Montana, Southern Newts and

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Speaker 2: if you're really feeling froggy, any want ahead or any

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Speaker 2: c future like like the Boys might be. Barley Dickinson

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Speaker 2: is a fourteen point dog to Wagner most likely Fellas.

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Speaker 2: Any of these jump off the page to you. Maybe

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Speaker 2: start with them on if you like that one, or

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Speaker 2: go wherever your heart desires. Matt, you can start us off.

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Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna take Temple, so yeah, I am. I

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Speaker 3: think they're gonna get good value, Matt love Memphis. I

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Speaker 3: think I've been saying, like how this is a great

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Speaker 3: time to buy low. I think they're a good national

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Speaker 3: title future take, although some of that always been sucked out.

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Speaker 3: Just think it's a weird spot and you're gonna get

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Speaker 3: a good value if the Owl's open. Double digit dogs

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Speaker 3: as we expect them too. Ken Palm, as you mentioned,

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Speaker 3: is plus ten, and you're right, they've been feisty. I

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Speaker 3: think they've found something with this young freshman sophomore nucleus.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: Their front line is vastly underrated, and they have those

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Speaker 3: guards that can get hot and have big games. The

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Speaker 3: Temple backcourt gives me UCF backcourt vibes, where they can

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Speaker 3: certainly have you know, thirty point explosions, and that's certainly

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Speaker 3: what you need to knock off a Memphis team in

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Speaker 3: FedEx form, Jim.

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Speaker 1: Do you need Jerreman Williams back? He's still been out.

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Speaker 1: How much does that matter to you?

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Speaker 2: But they still have I always forget the other dude's names.

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Speaker 1: They haven't done.

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Speaker 3: They have Strickland done Stricklands on you and why, especially

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Speaker 3: with the way those those their forwards are planning. I

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Speaker 3: think it's enough for me, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, fair enough? Yeah, Memphis. Also the spot you mentioned,

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Speaker 1: it's weird, like this is a team that was surging,

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Speaker 1: kind of had some cockiness going to it. They were

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Speaker 1: kind of feeling themselves and then they got smacked by SMU.

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Speaker 1: So I think either they rally and crush Temple or

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Speaker 1: they're like, uh, maybe our at large hopes are in

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Speaker 1: trouble and we don't have the life of the crowd,

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Speaker 1: Like I don't think this is going to be a

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Speaker 1: massive FedEx Forum crowd, like the Alabama game was way

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Speaker 1: back in the beginning of the year, so I could

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Speaker 1: see that being kind of a lifeless effort from them.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to take it though that I'm not

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Speaker 1: brave enough to join you on that one. Kyle, you

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Speaker 1: mentioned you like Belmont. The one that I really like

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Speaker 1: is Montana heading on the road to Southern Utah. We've

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Speaker 1: seen them get a little bit of revenge on Southern

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Speaker 1: Utah for last year they knocked off the thumb in Montana.

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Speaker 1: I think they've complete the season sweep for last year

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Speaker 1: is just craziness at the start of the year when

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Speaker 1: Southern Utah had two miracle comebacks in like the final

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Speaker 1: minute minute or two against this Grizzlies team. They're more experienced.

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Speaker 1: I think they can go on the road and get

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Speaker 1: the victory, getting about seven or so there, So go grizz.

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Speaker 2: Go grizz indeed and circling backwook to Belmont. Guys, I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of searching back to the archives here. I don't

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Speaker 2: know the last time Belmont hasn't beaten Murray State in

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Speaker 2: a year, So for Murray to sweep Belmont would be

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Speaker 2: a bit surprising to me, a bit a bit unprecedent.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure it's happened before. But this Murray State team

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Speaker 2: is really good. They are recent efforts. Maybe they're just bored,

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Speaker 2: you know, barely beating more head State. Tennessee State wasn't

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Speaker 2: comfortable and that Tennessee Martin game was scary. But who knows.

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Speaker 2: Home against Belmont, they're super motivated. Maybe it won't matter.

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Speaker 3: I think am kind of re reinvigorated them, you know.

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Speaker 3: I think they were due for like one real like

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Speaker 3: stinker and a dead dead dead spotting. It's a very vulnerable,

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Speaker 3: beatable team and that was it. They got that out

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Speaker 3: of their system before this game.

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Speaker 2: Heading on to our next section, it's blowout City. Actually,

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Speaker 2: before we do that, Jim, I know what you're gonna say.

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Speaker 2: Let's recap for the fellas. Come on out, there are

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Speaker 2: our best.

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Speaker 1: We we need to recap the pups.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if they were snoozing during the first section, here

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Speaker 2: they are. I like the Citadel and Belmont for my

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Speaker 2: live dogs. Jim likes the Citadel as well as well

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Speaker 2: as Rutgers in Montana. Matthew likes Bradley Temple in a

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Speaker 2: long shot bet and Montana as well. So a couple

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Speaker 2: overlapping plays for the boys. Now we can go on

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Speaker 2: to blow Out City, starting with a good one here, Jim,

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Speaker 2: that you wrote down for us in the Handania outline.

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Speaker 2: Hawaii is hosting cal Poly on Thursday. Now it's only

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Speaker 2: a thirteen point spread, but I do agree with you

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Speaker 2: this smells like a blowout because cal Poly one isn't

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Speaker 2: very good into this travel spot is a nightmare.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's titious. They're hosting Bakersfield on Tuesday night, the

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Speaker 1: night we were recording this. Forty eight hours later. They

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Speaker 1: gotta have been the Island taking on an awesome Hawaii team.

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Speaker 1: I'd imagine this line is going to be a hair

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Speaker 1: higher than thirteen because of that travel spot. But man,

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Speaker 1: this just felt like a blot to me as I

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Speaker 1: went through the slate. And even if it's not the

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Speaker 1: biggest spread on the board, we're just looking for bloss guys,

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Speaker 1: that's all we're hunting for. And I think this is

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Speaker 1: a good spot for one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Hawaii never led in game one. They're up by

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Speaker 2: sixteen or excuse me, cow Paul, I never led the

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Speaker 2: first game. Hawaii was up by sixteen in the first one. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's a bad matchup, bad spot. I'm with Jim. Although

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Speaker 2: I think Hawaii smokes them.

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Speaker 3: It's like not a great favorite because their offense isn't

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Speaker 3: they don't play that fast. They sometimes have trouble scoring,

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Speaker 3: but they should dominate the glass, dominate the pain against

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Speaker 3: the Mustangs that had a little bit of a strange

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Speaker 3: one because it's a power sixth league and a team

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Speaker 3: not traditionally known for getting blown out. Ole Miss is

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Speaker 3: going to Auburn.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen points spread for Ken Pum seems high, but Auburn

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Speaker 2: is off that loss. Yeah, I'm just I'm shocked that

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Speaker 2: almost will know Sarty mean that I shouldn't be shocked.

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Speaker 2: But Almost dominated Georgia, which I guess everyone should dominate Georgia,

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Speaker 2: but they had like no players, I mean, joiners out.

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Speaker 2: They're basically on like their B team finn Ben, And

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Speaker 2: it's certainly a team that you it looks on the

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Speaker 2: surface that it's about to crack. But I think Kermit

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Speaker 2: Davis continues to defy the odds with the myriad of

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Speaker 2: roster land mines that have popped up this season. So

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Speaker 2: I don't love this one as much.

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Speaker 1: Kai.

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Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna keep it simple as a one

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Speaker 2: and done in the section. Just stick with the wife

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Speaker 2: for me.

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Speaker 1: Auburn's twelve to one against spread at home and they're

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Speaker 1: awful loss. They're going to murder illness. I'm all in

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Speaker 1: on this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, strong, strong counterpoint. Finally, a huge spread in the

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Speaker 2: Valley Loyola Chicago minus twenty one for kim POM against Evansville,

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Speaker 2: a team that really hung in there on the road

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Speaker 2: Againstvalpo recently, and a team that's been missing Juwan Newton

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Speaker 2: for several games now arguably their best player, who knows

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Speaker 2: what's going on with him. Finding information is difficult on

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Speaker 2: the per pleases, Jim, do you think Loyola covers this

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Speaker 2: massive spread. I'm not sure they've won by this much

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Speaker 2: in conference play. I have to look back.

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Speaker 1: They beat Northern Iowa by twenty seven. Weird. There you go,

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Speaker 1: so they've actually been capable of this. It's tough because

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Speaker 1: I think Loyola style points matter for them where they're

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Speaker 1: at on the bubble, like they need to start putting

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Speaker 1: the other performances. They're really reliant on their quality metrics

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Speaker 1: right now, and they're they're you know, ticking down. They're

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Speaker 1: not blowing teams out the same way they did last

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Speaker 1: year when they were top ten in KEMPOM. Don't have

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Speaker 1: the elite quality wins to really make a convincing case

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Speaker 1: to the committee. I think they're going to try to

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Speaker 1: blow out Evansville. But I like what Evansville's done with

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Speaker 1: the lineup. They just put Blake Sisily in the starting lineup,

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Speaker 1: So I actually think the Purple Aces are able to

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Speaker 1: keep this inside a very big number.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and Lil just has them in that good as

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Speaker 3: a large favorite. I know they have that motivational edge.

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Speaker 3: They have that you know, we need to improve that

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Speaker 3: we need to look like in and so a tournament team,

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Speaker 3: especially against down trot and competition. But they just don't

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Speaker 3: have the jewe to do it this year like they

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Speaker 3: did last season. They can't suffocate teams on defense, and

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Speaker 3: I just don't trust the offense as much a little

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Speaker 3: bit too or radic with the guys that can contribute

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Speaker 3: on nine to night basis. And I thinkink miss Mark

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Speaker 3: Keith Kennedy more than people think.

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Speaker 2: I think he's a big piece. He's been out for

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Speaker 2: them too.

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Speaker 1: They beat Evansville by twenty nine on the road, so

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Speaker 1: maybe there's a little complacency to that. And there's the

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Speaker 1: look ahead to Northern Iowa for basically the conference title. Yep,

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Speaker 1: it's a big one.

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Speaker 2: Good choices, guys, way to procure that selection power. Game

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Speaker 2: of the Week is where we're going next. We got

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Speaker 2: a two for on Wednesday and a two for on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: In the Big East, Xavier is heading to Providence. Get

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Speaker 2: Palm has his minus two Providence. I would be surprised

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Speaker 2: if they weren't at least a three point favorite by

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Speaker 2: odds makers here. This is big for Providence because this

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Speaker 2: could give them the Big East title. We don't know

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Speaker 2: what Villanova is going to do today on the day

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Speaker 2: of recording our podcast, but absolute huge game for them, Jim.

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Speaker 2: Also a pretty big game for Xavier, a team that

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Speaker 2: hasn't been looking great lately and they're slipping in the

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Speaker 2: seed lines in the instead Ofly Tournament.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Xavier's wearing cement shoes right now. They are just

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Speaker 1: sinking like a stone. Really need to find a good

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Speaker 1: performance at some point. Maybe they can get it done

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Speaker 1: against Providence the Almighty Magicians in the end of games. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: especially if al Durham is still out. He missed over

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Speaker 1: the weekend against Butler. Still somehow came back from nineteen

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Speaker 1: down on the road. That wow, impressive that they came back.

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Speaker 1: But you're down by nineteen at Butler, Like there's some

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Speaker 1: they I don't know, I know, problems stands will focus

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Speaker 1: on the comeback, but as handicappers, you got to focus

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Speaker 1: on the fact they got down twenty as well. That's concerning.

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Speaker 1: But Friar's every game is close. They win basically every

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Speaker 1: close game. I'm staying away from that one with thighs.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and Xavier could be without Nate Johnson for a

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Speaker 3: third straight game, who I didn't think meant a ton honestly,

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Speaker 3: But then you look at their last couple of games

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Speaker 3: and Travis still talks about their lack of depth. Actually

365
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Speaker 3: tried to press you kind of I think late in

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Speaker 3: that game, and that was fairly effective. They didn't have

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Speaker 3: the horses to continue to uphold that for deep in

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Speaker 3: that game at a high lilew success, So I think

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Speaker 3: that catches it up to them. Even if Durham's out,

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Speaker 3: I think Province gets is done.

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Speaker 2: Jimmy right though I watched that.

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Speaker 3: Some of the highlights from that Butler comeback, like three

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Speaker 3: different shots hit four diferent parts of the rim, you know,

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Speaker 3: backboard drop. It just a continuation of this mirror magic

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Speaker 3: carpet right type.

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Speaker 1: They gave up a wide open button naked three for

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Speaker 1: Butler to win in overtime, and they bricked it like

378
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Speaker 1: that's just kind of been story of the season their season.

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Speaker 2: Yep, yeah, Justin does matter the best shooter. First game,

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Speaker 2: Xavier was up too with under a minute to play Providence,

381
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Speaker 2: as they do, they came back without a j Reeves

382
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Speaker 2: won that game by three at Xavior. I'm hope if

383
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Speaker 2: just is in, I'm winning towards Muskies. If he's out,

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Speaker 2: probably stay away. I will too. I'll ride with you

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Speaker 2: k on that one if you thanks. Other game on

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Speaker 2: Wednesday is an sec bout. Lsu is going to Kentucky.

387
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Speaker 2: Kim Palm implies to spread will be nine here Matt

388
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Speaker 2: Lsu has him be ground the road, but Kentucky might

389
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Speaker 2: be without its guards. Wheeler in Washington once again, what

390
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Speaker 2: say you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Actually, you could argue this as a decent money

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Speaker 3: line dog candidate, especially if they're without severe Wheeler in

393
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Speaker 3: ty Ty Washington. Now, I think it's kind of getting

394
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Speaker 3: too cute because Kentucky is just awesome and I cannot

395
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Speaker 3: believe they dominated Alabama so tharly in the second half

396
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Speaker 3: without those dudes. Now, they relied on a superhero after

397
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Speaker 3: I'm Kellen Grady, But that's not like Flukey. I mean

398
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Speaker 3: Grady has that type of shooting prowess in him.

399
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Speaker 2: It's why they're so good.

400
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Speaker 3: They have multiple guys that can beach on any given night,

401
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Speaker 3: even without ty Tan Severe However, Jim, I think LSU

402
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Speaker 3: now healthier than they were having they happen the last

403
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Speaker 3: month looking more like the seeing we saw them, the

404
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Speaker 3: non con a scary dog coming to rup here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and a part of the fact that they were

406
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Speaker 1: able to dominate Alabama or beat them without Wheeler. In

407
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Speaker 1: Washington's they could bludgeon Alabama inside. She way had twenty

408
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Speaker 1: one and fourteen. He's, you know, kind of inevitable. He's

409
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Speaker 1: going to get his double double. But LSU is a

410
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Speaker 1: lot more difficult of a team to hammer inside. They've

411
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Speaker 1: got size, physicality, athleticism with Reed and Days and Wilkinson

412
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Speaker 1: and O'Neill, all those guys. I think it's gonna be

413
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Speaker 1: a lot tougher to task if they don't have either

414
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Speaker 1: point guard. It sounds like Wheeler's closer to returning than

415
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Speaker 1: Washington is. I think Washington's more important, to be honest,

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Speaker 1: I like LSU if this number is nine or ten,

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Speaker 1: which maybe it won't be because of the point guard injuries,

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Speaker 1: but lean towards LSU there.

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Speaker 2: At Game one, Wheeler barely played LC one after being

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Speaker 2: down by nine in the second half. Come back there.

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Speaker 2: Maybe some motivation never Kentucky and the revenge fact they.

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Speaker 1: Both both got hurt. Washington got hurt in that game too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so might be out again. Thursday, Big Ten Ohio

424
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Speaker 2: State is at Illinois. Hey, and guess what Kai is

425
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Speaker 2: going to be in the in attendance in Champagne snow

426
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Speaker 2: pending for this game. I'm excited to see Ohio State live.

427
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:17,720
Speaker 2: I have not seen them live all season. I have

428
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Speaker 2: seen Illinois. They're of course impressive, and Jim Illinois they

429
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Speaker 2: still have a shot to win the Big Ten and

430
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Speaker 2: get that one seed in the Big Ten tournament. Certainly

431
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,399
Speaker 2: huge and of course would love to throw another banner

432
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 2: up in the rafters. Who do you like in this game?

433
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:31,520
Speaker 4: Man?

434
00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,520
Speaker 1: I think I like Neil and I Ohio State not

435
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,879
Speaker 1: the impressive lately. They just probably should have lost to

436
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:38,639
Speaker 1: in a row at home, but they were able to

437
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,120
Speaker 1: escape with the overtime victory against Indiana after the Hoosiers

438
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 1: sort of blew it down the stretch. Sorry Matt, but

439
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 1: I would put that a little more on Indiana than

440
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:49,399
Speaker 1: it went on Ohio State and then they lost to

441
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,879
Speaker 1: Iowa or to Iowa at home previously. Illinois, meanwhile, I

442
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,239
Speaker 1: think they're a different team at home they played through

443
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 1: kofey Coburn inside. Who's going to have a massive advantage

444
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 1: against the Ohio State front court. I like Illinois here.

445
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,200
Speaker 1: I just think they are about do for a better

446
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,800
Speaker 1: performance than they have some mashup edges against Ohio State.

447
00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:12,399
Speaker 3: So yeah, very curious to see how both coaches play

448
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 3: the kofee versus j ledl chess match. They played three

449
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 3: times last year. Ohio State took two of three, took

450
00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 3: the latter two, including the championship. I'm sorry, sorry, I

451
00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:24,880
Speaker 3: Hoiu State beat Illinois in overtime in the Big Ten

452
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 3: title again, I believe right.

453
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 2: It was a high scoring fun.

454
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, those can guard each other.

455
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,119
Speaker 3: They shouldn't, right, but so you got to get the

456
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,879
Speaker 3: questions who's going to guard kofee, how yanna guard kofee,

457
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 3: and then vice versa. The other than the Florida I

458
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 3: think it's actually a fairly high scoring game. I think

459
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 3: both teams can score at a pretty efficient clip against

460
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 3: each other. Ohio State's off has been very good just

461
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 3: like last year, it's like how they how will they

462
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 3: be fishing this year? It's like, we're all gonna be awesome.

463
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 3: Oh okay.

464
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,200
Speaker 1: Graham has been freshman guard like he's kind of made

465
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 1: all memories of Dwayne Washington fade into existence or the ether.

466
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 1: He's been awesome.

467
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,359
Speaker 2: They need a guard to step up, and he has delivered.

468
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 2: Last game on Thursday, will touch It's a big one.

469
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 2: And yeah, we're including it in the Power Game of

470
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 2: the Week because these two teams have been playing like

471
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 2: power teams. Gonzagaman doing it a lot longer than San Francisco,

472
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 2: but it is San Francisco host Gonzaga. We threw it

473
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 2: up there for conversation the money Line special, but none

474
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,679
Speaker 2: of us bit Matt does the Dons do. The Dons

475
00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 2: have a chance to give Gonzaga their first WCC loss,

476
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,880
Speaker 2: and what feels like an eternity, the.

477
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 3: Dons do the dance up on the what do they

478
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:28,959
Speaker 3: call it, the hill up on the hilltop there at

479
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: War Memorial. I do not think they do San Francisco.

480
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:36,360
Speaker 3: I just don't think it's gonna be enough. I'm sure

481
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:38,720
Speaker 3: they keep them close that they always do with Todd

482
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:40,320
Speaker 3: Golden but at the end of the day, just Gonzaga

483
00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:42,479
Speaker 3: has too many horses. I think the Zagas get it

484
00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 3: done and San Francisco's but hole clenches a little bit

485
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 3: tighter Jim as the bubble grows early close to selection Sunday,

486
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,359
Speaker 3: with very minimal opportunities left to prove themselves an install

487
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 3: a turnip team.

488
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think they win, but I do think

489
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 1: it is important that they equip themselves somewhat well here

490
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 1: they get blasted by twenty five. I think people are

491
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: going to start the narrative that San Francisco blows out Pepperdine,

492
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,880
Speaker 1: Pacific and bad teams and hasn't been able to pick

493
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 1: up the good wins. They blew the big lead against

494
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, they blew the big lead at home against BYU.

495
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 1: That narrative is going to pick up steam, and that

496
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 1: is not good for them. They hung around for a

497
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 1: half with Gonzaga in Spokane, which was mega impressive, ended

498
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 1: up losing by sixteen on a sixteen and a half

499
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,399
Speaker 1: point spread, so right around the number, and just it

500
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:29,560
Speaker 1: feels so strange to anticipate a team staying in single

501
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 1: digits with Gonzaga for a full forty minutes. You know,

502
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 1: Golden has pretty good plans against Gonzaga usually, but I

503
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: just think that the talent gap is a little too

504
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 1: wide here. Holmgren makes a difference with his shot blocking inside,

505
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 1: taking away the Don's big big man combination. So I

506
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,439
Speaker 1: kind of think Gonzaga wins by twelve or fifteen.

507
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 2: Gonzaga has not played a single digit game all conference

508
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 2: this season. They are fifty eight to one in conference

509
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 2: play last four years. Pretty good for old Gonzaga. Yeah,

510
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 2: they are three and one against the spread on the

511
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 2: road this year too. They've only played four road games.

512
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 2: By the way, the.

513
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 1: Road games, it's wild, wild while all.

514
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: In conference play, yep. And I think some of the

515
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 2: people say, oh, they're not tested on the road. It's

516
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 2: like no.

517
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,360
Speaker 3: I think they view road games as like a it's

518
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 3: sort of like a reinvigorating type of like, oh, we'll

519
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:17,439
Speaker 3: go into a hostle mirol, we get to kind of

520
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 3: prove how dominant we are and shut people up.

521
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 2: So I think Zags on the road are kind of

522
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 2: a good bett conference they Rock's moving on to the

523
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 2: mid major game of the week. We got three they're

524
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 2: all on Thursday, starting with a doozy and we talked

525
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 2: about it quickly in the money line section. Won't blavor

526
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 2: it here, but Belmont Murray State is our marquee game here.

527
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 2: It's not out of the realm of possibility. We get

528
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,840
Speaker 2: two OVC bits this tournament this season, probably not, but

529
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 2: if Belmont wins the conference tournament, Murray State has an

530
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 2: at large resume. Jim, you kind of tipped your hand earlier,

531
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: but Belmont Murray State. Any final thoughts in this game.

532
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,479
Speaker 1: I just think Belmont struggles with high level athleticism. That

533
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,439
Speaker 1: has been the case against Murray the one time. In

534
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: both times against Morehead State this year, they have the

535
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,399
Speaker 1: outside shot in and at large. I don't really like

536
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,080
Speaker 1: their resume though. I don't think one win against Murray

537
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 1: State and then losing in the conference finals is going

538
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 1: to be enough for the Bruins. Yeah. I don't have

539
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 1: a lot of take on the spread. Kai just I

540
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: feel fairly comfortable that the Racers get it done.

541
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, I'm just pretty sold in this team. The

542
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:22,120
Speaker 3: talent is just too good.

543
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 2: It really is. This next game, Rocks Wyoming is playing

544
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: Colorado State. Kim Palm implies a spread if minus four

545
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 2: in favor of the Rams. This first game was great

546
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 2: and overtime win for Wyoming at home, very very crazy

547
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 2: ending in both regulation overtime, a bunch of guys filed

548
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: out became a total ref show, but still an awesome watch.

549
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 2: Matt Hunter Maldonado was fantastic down the stretch, posting up

550
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 2: Colorado State's smaller guards. Do you think Colorado State wins

551
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,199
Speaker 2: this game gets it back? More importantly, do you think

552
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 2: they cover the four point spread?

553
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 3: I will not at this game. If you have to

554
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 3: put it out of my head. I will probably lean

555
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 3: Colorado State just because they're at home.

556
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 2: But I mean, I don't know. I don't feel like a.

557
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 3: Wyoming team who already plays atude it's gonna be bothered

558
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 3: by that they've been there a million times. It's just

559
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:12,159
Speaker 3: fascinating that, Jim, I think we look at like the

560
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 3: Mountain West and WCC and see a lot of fun,

561
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 3: bubble isshues type teams that we want to get in

562
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,919
Speaker 3: the tournament. So I guess selfish she inverting for Wyoming

563
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 3: to win this game, because I guess College State's probably

564
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 3: more safely in the field currently, So this would put

565
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 3: Wyoming probably a notch above or a closer notch on

566
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 3: the right side of the bubble. So I guess that's

567
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 3: my angle go post.

568
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, both these teams should get in given what they've

569
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,679
Speaker 1: done so far. I just watched Colorado State get absolutely

570
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,399
Speaker 1: blasted by un LV this weekend. They never had a

571
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 1: chance in that game. Really disappointing, couldn't produce easy buckets

572
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 1: at all. Might have that same struggle against Wyoming with

573
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: ek protecting the rim inside. If this was two and

574
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 1: a half, I'd probably lay it with Colorado State a

575
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,639
Speaker 1: little bit of revenge angle and be okay with a

576
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: three point win. But if it's four where Ken Palm

577
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 1: indicates it, that's right in the correct line spot kai

578
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: where I'm not on either side.

579
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm kind of leaning towards Cairo State. I don't

580
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 2: know this. These games gonna be fun to watch. That's

581
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 2: that's all I'm gonna worry about is watching this game.

582
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 2: Finally on Thursday, South Dakota State heading to Oral Roberts.

583
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 2: South Dakota State Folks is one of the very few

584
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 2: undefeated teams in its conference remaining. They have been dominating

585
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 2: the summit this year. Jim South Dakota State leads the

586
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 2: country in three point percentage and it's not even close.

587
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 1: It's laughably, it's ridiculous. They're shooting forty four point three percent.

588
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,880
Speaker 1: That is four percent higher than the second place team.

589
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: It's the same gap as the second place team to

590
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: the fifty sixth best team. They are head and shoulders

591
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 1: above anybody else. Was watching the broadcast real briefly against

592
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 1: Sint Thomas this weekend, and the announcer said, entering that game,

593
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 1: South Coast State could have gone oh for sixty from

594
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 1: the three point line, oh for six to zero and

595
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: stayed in first in the entire country.

596
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 2: Wow.

597
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 1: And in the Summit Oral Roberts would have had to

598
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,160
Speaker 1: make one hundred straight threes to tie them in three

599
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 1: point percentage. That's how far ahead of the Pact they are.

600
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 1: Just insane numbers for that offense. Kenum has this total

601
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:08,400
Speaker 1: at one hundred and sixty nine points, which is, you know, insane.

602
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,640
Speaker 1: We could see a total in the one seventies here,

603
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 1: but it's probably warranted. Matt, I don't know. I think

604
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 1: South Dakota State continues their dominant to this league, stays undefeated,

605
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: gets the one seed. As much as it's going to

606
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 1: be highly motivated Earl Roberts to finally pull the upset.

607
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,679
Speaker 1: I think if we see SDSU upset, it's going to

608
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:26,719
Speaker 1: be in the conference tournament.

609
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 3: I agree, Yeah, I think they get the win here

610
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 3: as well. As much as I love what this Earl

611
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 3: Roberts team is doing. And Jim kind of to your point,

612
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 3: you're leading into my maybe hot take that I haven't

613
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 3: officially put the stamp of approval on, but it's perkling

614
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 3: in my gut right now. I think Earl Roberts does

615
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 3: the same thing we saw last year. They run to

616
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 3: the summit tournaments and South Dakota State is left empty

617
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 3: handed again despite a stellar, stellar regular season. Just what

618
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 3: I'm seeing from Isa McBride, the former KU transfer bandy

619
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:59,479
Speaker 3: transfer form tote hundred recruit Elijah Lufiel inside or how

620
00:27:59,480 --> 00:27:59,959
Speaker 3: do you say his name?

621
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 2: Jim Canadian file Canadian? That's right, and then.

622
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 3: MaTx saysts I mean absolute start with the spr hero

623
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 3: cape on. That's my long term angle in this match. Okay,

624
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 3: I think the Jack Bwannes get done.

625
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:11,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. I hope Berry Henderson gets to the tournament. He

626
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 2: deserves it after that COVID year took it away from him. Uh,

627
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 2: this is South Dakota State's best team for kin Pum

628
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 2: ranking wise since Nate Walter's twenty twelve team, a team

629
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 2: that Baylor a run for their money in the first round,

630
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: they still be a tournament. That's shocking. This team is better

631
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 2: ranking wise than all the Mike down teams. Surprising.

632
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 1: Yeah. The one other thing too, is that they have

633
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 1: at least clinched in an IT bid, Like they get

634
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 1: the auto bid with the winning the regular season. That

635
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: didn't happen last year because of the we are scheduling

636
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: that they had to do with bubbling the IT and

637
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 1: not being able to invite the auto bids. So at

638
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 1: least in that case, man, if they get upset by Roberts,

639
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 1: we'll still see the jack Rabbits play more basketball.

640
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 2: Moving on, a trash Man pick of the week, The

641
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: trash Man pick of the week. On the trash man,

642
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,720
Speaker 2: just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

643
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependable, that's what you've been told off. How

644
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 2: do you like that? Good, Jim, It's a good one.

645
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 2: I'll commend you here. Southern miss going to North Texas,

646
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 2: My god, guys, North Texas, start paying attention folks out there,

647
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,959
Speaker 2: if you haven't already up to fortieth and kempom they

648
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: might have an at large resume if they fail to

649
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 2: win the Conference USA Conference Tournament and Southern Miss has

650
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 2: been so bad, Jim, do you think North Texas blows

651
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 2: them out by twenty three? And what the total might be?

652
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 2: What one p fifteen in this game?

653
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't really understand how Southern Miss scores in

654
00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: this one in North Texas, even when it's a bit

655
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,480
Speaker 1: of a letdown spot after two big road wins one

656
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 1: at the Buzzer at UAB. Maybe there's some sleepiness to them,

657
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 1: but it's not a team that I perceive of as sleepy.

658
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,719
Speaker 1: They just defend so well. They're very disciplined. Under McCasland,

659
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 1: it's just going to be ugly. I put my predicted

660
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 1: score in here. Kaya's fifty eight to forty one. I

661
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: think Southern Miss doesn't hit fifty, so I'm definitely leaning

662
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: under unless North Texas hits a bunch of threes.

663
00:29:58,360 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, Southern MISSI shud a four game roads.

664
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 3: They lost West Kentucky at home, then they lose in

665
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 3: overtime by nineteen points to UTSA, and it was at

666
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 3: home by fourteen to Utah, and they lose at home

667
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 3: by fourteen to Marshall, who has been an absolute disaster

668
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 3: this season. So just put yourself in the psyche of

669
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 3: the Southern mescal And Eagles, who are hearing plenty of

670
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 3: hubbub around their head coach beyond the hot seat, Jay Ladner,

671
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 3: a guy who thought very highly of by the way

672
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:23,719
Speaker 3: before he was hired. Uh, in this stead, I just

673
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 3: would be looking to fade does the Eagles the rest

674
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 3: of the way. I just think this is a wave

675
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 3: of the white flag type of situation. Losing by nineteen

676
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 3: and overtime is a feat is in itself insane? Is

677
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,239
Speaker 3: so incoresting even makes sense to UTSA. It's like it's

678
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 3: UAB or no Texas or a good team in this

679
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: league's so UTSA.

680
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 2: H I love citing Kim pom Her. Kim pom side

681
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 2: started in twosy and two, so about twenty years. Southern

682
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 2: Miss is the worst Conference USA team ever in that

683
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 2: time span. This season three hundred and forty fifth in

684
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 2: the country. Not great, Jay Ladner, head coach of the

685
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 2: Southern Miss Eagles. All right, last section for our podcast Spotlight,

686
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 2: and I teased it earlier and now I reveal it

687
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: road Warriors looking at the insane cover splits right now

688
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 2: for road dogs. And we're not early in the season,

689
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 2: We're late in February. The trends have been strong for

690
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 2: the away pups. Jim, howstrong away dogs kai this year?

691
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 2: In about three thousand games, I mean almost closer to

692
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 2: four thousand.

693
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 1: Fifty two and a half percent. Wow, that's a crazy number,

694
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: Like you actually be almost beating the juice by auto

695
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 1: betting away dogs this year. And that's you know, that's

696
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: not common. It's wild to see it that stark, Matt,

697
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 1: Why do we think that is? Why are road dogs

698
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 1: having so much more success this year? Is it line

699
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: inflation or is it something to do with home court

700
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 1: advantage itself? What do you think?

701
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's just a it's a continuation of

702
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:48,520
Speaker 3: the demise of home court.

703
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,320
Speaker 2: And you can look both.

704
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 3: Within the college basketball historical precedents of what we saw,

705
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 3: what we've seen in the last eight years. You can

706
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 3: perhaps draw a line from twenty ten, twenty twelve, twenty

707
00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 3: fourteen up through last season, which you know, home court

708
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 3: really took a a step back last year with the

709
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 3: COVID no fans, some of that has lingered into this

710
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 3: year for sure, But I wonder if you're right, Jim,

711
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 3: there has been some line inflation with the odds makers

712
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 3: now that there have been fans back this season, but

713
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 3: really just the continuation the devise of home courts actually

714
00:32:19,600 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 3: offset that.

715
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 2: And then so I don't know.

716
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 3: I have a ton of theories here, Kai, I think

717
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 3: it's all spray geographical dependent. Just for context, Like looking

718
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 3: at the last two Saturdays, road teams one hundred and

719
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 3: seventy nine and one hundred and fourteen against the number

720
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 3: covering by an average of two points a game, I

721
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 3: was actually looking at some other like road second filter slices,

722
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 3: like road dogs, road favorites. Then you can't need to

723
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 3: be careful because just look at road teams in an

724
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 3: UHL and not covering by two points a game is

725
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 3: like the odds makers on over three hundred games have

726
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 3: been short two points and their appraisal of home court value.

727
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 3: So it is a moment of reckoning in the college

728
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 3: basketball betting markets, and we need to be aware of it.

729
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 2: We you be aware of it. And I'm always kind

730
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 2: of skeptical on trends and I signed them often, but

731
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 2: to me, you know it is it a the lasting thing.

732
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,480
Speaker 2: You wouldn't think a team playing in Loyola affects a

733
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 2: team playing in Washington. It's more of a macro thing.

734
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 2: And if you can explain it away, maybe you have

735
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 2: an edge going forward, or you give more credit to

736
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,680
Speaker 2: a team on the road and you're handicapping. Maybe it

737
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 2: is home court in general, with the way people are

738
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 2: traveling better these days, I don't know. Caution when looking

739
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 2: at trends, but also being aware of them is very important.

740
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 1: Ye auto that that's that's right. But if you had yeah,

741
00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 1: if you had your be basically breaking even. I mean,

742
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 1: I think there are one hundred and thirty six games

743
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: over five hundred, but the juice would knock you down

744
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: to like negative five units, negative ten units or something.

745
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 1: Over three thousand games. That's not bad. That's a that's

746
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 1: a fun three thousand games betting experience. But yeah, it's

747
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: just look for the right ones, look for the best ones.

748
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 1: That that's what would mean.

749
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 2: To complete my thought from earlier. Sorry, Kay, it's at

750
00:33:59,080 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 2: other sports.

751
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 3: Sorry, not just within college basketball the demies, but other

752
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 3: sports NFL, NBA, So those aren't always the best proxies.

753
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 3: But when you see it consistently happening across multiple other sports.

754
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 2: I think you have to put some stock in that

755
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 2: as well. Anomaly or here to stay, we don't know.

756
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 2: We'll let you hang with that though, and say goodbye

757
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 2: on our podcast. Guys, thanks for joining a reminder to

758
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 2: please rate and review our show on Apple Podcasts, listen

759
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 2: to us on Spotify, and we'll see you next time

760
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 2: on the Big Bets on Campus podcast