1 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of 3 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,639 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me and Matt Perrault. You 4 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at 5 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: Sports Talk. Matt and we are back after a winning night, 6 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: not a huge night, not a huge win, but we'll 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 2: take a win obviously. We'll go with a two and 8 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: one night, and we get the Oar Show Play of 9 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 2: the Day comes in. We've done well with those over 10 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 2: the last week. We get the over in the one 11 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: and a half first period goals for Toronto and Columbus. 12 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: That was two nothing Columbus after one, so we got 13 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 2: that right. And then Randall went off again the prop 14 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 2: Betchi Chi for the NBA. I'm gonna hold off just 15 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 2: for a little bit longer with the NBA, just because 16 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 2: the prop bet Chi Chi it does well. Obviously, with 17 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 2: the more data that it has available to it, it'll 18 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: be more accurate. That's why base ball has done very 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 2: well for US football. You know, we're already here into 20 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:06,479 Speaker 2: week number nine of the NFL, so we'll hold off 21 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 2: here with the NBA for today. Maybe we'll get back 22 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 2: into it over the weekend. But we got a lot 23 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 2: of football, obviously, with tonight with the Ravens at the Dolphins, 24 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 2: and then we get into Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and then 25 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: we're back to Monday and maybe Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. We 26 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 2: start getting back into the NBA player prop stuff, so 27 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 2: we'll pause that a little bit. 28 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: We'll keep going with the. 29 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: Baseball prop so it has been pretty profitable for us 30 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 2: here during the World Series, so we've done well. We've 31 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 2: had a very good baseball season. So let's just continue 32 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 2: with baseball with the prop bet cheat sheet. And remember 33 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 2: there is a different prop bet cheat sheet for every sport, 34 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,040 Speaker 2: right There's an NFL prop bet cheat sheet, NBA and 35 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, even the NHL there's one as well, 36 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 2: So we'll stay away from those things at the moment. 37 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 2: We'll get back in some more exotic stuff coming up 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 2: in a little bit. We only have one game that 39 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 2: I'm really focusing in on. That's the THURSDA night football 40 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 2: game with the Ravens at the Dolphins. But before we 41 00:01:56,760 --> 00:02:00,080 Speaker 2: get into it, it's at hard Rock Stadium, So everything 42 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 2: is all hard Rock today. The Daily Juice podcast is 43 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 2: being brought to you by hard Rock Bet. And see 44 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,959 Speaker 2: why hard rock Bet. The sportsbook app is top rated 45 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: if you've tried other sportsbook apps. When you open up 46 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:13,799 Speaker 2: hard rock Bet, you'll see the app is clean, simple 47 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 2: and packed with promos. Week nine kicks off with Baltimore 48 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 2: at Miami. So many insights and crazy streaks on hard 49 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: rock Bet, listen to a couple of them. Derek Henry 50 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 2: has scored a touchdown in twelve straight games against AFC 51 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 2: East opponents. Miami has dropped twelve in a row as 52 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: underdogs against the AFC. DeAndre Hopkins is on a nine 53 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: game streak of recording at least fifty to one and 54 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 2: a half receiving yards in Thursday night games. His prop 55 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 2: is just fifteen and a half yards. Devon a chain 56 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 2: has reached the end zone and eight straight home games 57 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 2: and the Dolphins of fil to cover the spread and 58 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 2: seven consecutive games as an underdog following a win, and 59 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: they did win last week at Atlanta. Still having placed 60 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 2: your first bet on hard rock Bet, it's not too late. 61 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: Place your first five dollars bet and if it wins, 62 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 2: you'll score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets 63 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 2: on top of your payout plus on hard rock bet. 64 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 2: You can get a Thursday Night parlay boost for the game. 65 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: There's new promos every day. Boost your same game parlay 66 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 2: or same game max tonight so your bet pays extra. 67 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 2: Download the hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit. 68 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 3: Payble and bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by 69 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,519 Speaker 3: the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by a 70 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 3: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. Must be 71 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 72 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,679 Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 73 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 3: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 74 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 3: eight eight admit it. In Indiana. If you are something 75 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 3: you know as a gambling problem and wants help, call 76 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 3: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 77 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 3: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 78 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 1: Okay, this game tonight. A couple things you can do. 79 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: You can same game tease this and you could take 80 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: Baltimore from seven and a half down to one and 81 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 2: a half. And you can take the total from fifty 82 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: one or fifty and a half, depending on what book 83 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 2: you're looking at, and pull it down. Okay, six points, 84 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 2: so fifteen and a half, down to forty four and 85 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 2: a half and go over. I have a hard time 86 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 2: seeing this game staying under. 87 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: Okay, if you. 88 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 2: Look at the numbers, Baltimore is six and one to 89 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 2: the over on the year. Miami is six one and 90 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 2: one to the over on the year. Baltimore is five 91 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 2: and one to the over against Sorry, Baltimore's four and 92 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: oh to the over against the AFC. Miami is five 93 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 2: and one to the over against the AFC over the 94 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: last you know last for two home games this year, sorry, 95 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: three home games this year for Miami, they're three and oh. 96 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 2: Baltimore is two and oh on the road this year 97 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 2: to the over. Their game against Chicago squeaked over last 98 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 2: week it was thirty to sixteen. The Atlanta game pushed 99 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,599 Speaker 2: for Miami, it was forty four. They won thirty four 100 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 2: to ten, But that snapped a streak of six consecutive 101 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 2: games to go over. Cleveland, the Chargers, the Panthers, the Jets, 102 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 2: the Bills, and the Patriots all went over, some of 103 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: them just squeaking over. The road game against Buffalo fifty 104 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 2: and a half. The game went over thirty one to 105 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 2: twenty one. They give up thirty one points. And look, 106 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 2: there's a lot of different ways to play this. You 107 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 2: can play the Ravens team total over. You can play 108 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 2: Miami's team total over. I just I think you see 109 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 2: points and rather than getting involved with the same game parlay, 110 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 2: which I will play personally, but if you want to 111 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 2: do it for the game, you can. 112 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 1: But I don't. 113 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 2: I'm a little bit hesitant just because I think Miami's 114 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 2: playing pretty hard and I don't know if I buy Baltimore. 115 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 2: I don't want buy Baltimore's defense. I can tell you 116 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 2: that right now. And in the Lamar Jackson situation, everything 117 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 2: that has been going on with whether or not he 118 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 2: was going to play last week, like it's there's a 119 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 2: lot of things swirling around this football team. 120 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: But the Ravens need to win this game. I mean, 121 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 1: they have five losses. 122 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: They have absolutely no margin at all the rest of 123 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 2: the way, and if they lose this game here tonight, 124 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,159 Speaker 2: in a lot of ways, their season could be effectively over. 125 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,720 Speaker 2: I mean they're playing forever. You know, they got to 126 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 2: go on a run here, how many losses can they 127 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: afford to have I mean probably the whole year seven probably, 128 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 2: I mean ten and seven. You look at the way 129 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 2: the AFC is shaping up. Baltimore cannot lose this game. 130 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 2: So that's why I think you can do the same 131 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 2: game teaser. I'm not looking to lay seven and a 132 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:12,320 Speaker 2: half points on the road, okay, but we have talked 133 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:17,280 Speaker 2: about this. Big favorites have been ridiculous from money line standpoint, Okay, 134 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 2: Favorites of eight points or more are twenty seven and 135 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 2: one straight up, okay, over the last twenty eight games. 136 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: If you go and make it six and a half, 137 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 2: it's sixty eight ten and one. 138 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: Okay. 139 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 2: Favorites of six points or more straight up are sixty 140 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 2: eight ten and one. So that factors into Okay, we 141 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 2: could lose the same game teaser at seven and a half. 142 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 2: If they win by one point, we would lose that 143 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 2: minus one. 144 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 1: Okay. 145 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 2: So if you think Baltimore wins by a point, then 146 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 2: maybe stay away from the same game teaser. Think Baltimore 147 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 2: wins by three, seven, ten, whatever it might be. The 148 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 2: same game teaser may factorre inning come in to play here. 149 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 2: So again, fifty and a half and you pull it 150 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:56,839 Speaker 2: down to forty four and a half. I have a 151 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 2: really hard time seeing this being an extremely low scoring game, 152 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 2: given the defenses, and given the fact we got both 153 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 2: to and we have Lamar here running these offenses, and 154 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 2: they should pick up some pretty big yard age. 155 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: So first play is the over. 156 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 2: Maybe it's square, maybe it's basic, Maybe it's too easy. 157 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 2: It could be dumb, it could be a stupid bet, okay, 158 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 2: but I just think these are defenses. Miami has been 159 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 2: on a streak of nine consecutive home games have gone 160 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 2: over for Miami. Every game this year at home has 161 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 2: gone over. It's a short week, so defenses sometimes are 162 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 2: sloppy and not really great, and the defenses aren't good anyway, 163 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 2: I'm playing the over, square, whatever you want to call it. 164 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 2: Baltimore Miami over fifty and a half for one point 165 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 2: one units. Let's just cheer for points and don't have 166 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 2: to worry about who wins the game. I do think 167 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 2: Baltimore wins. I do think the same game tease it 168 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 2: has said I am doing that, but officially we're playing 169 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 2: the over fifty and a half and is betting the 170 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 2: streaks and betting the trends to continue here between these 171 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: two teams. Now to prop bets off the prop pitch 172 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: cheat sheet, Let's go to Devon ah Chan and what 173 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 2: he's looking like rushing and receiving combined over ninety four 174 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 2: and a half yards. This is a seventy two percent 175 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 2: cover probability on the prop at cheat sheet is a 176 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 2: five star play with an expected value of plus thirty 177 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 2: seven percent. The most is plus forty percent on this. 178 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 2: He's gone over. 179 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 1: This in two of the last three games. 180 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 2: He just missed this last week against Atlanta, he wound 181 00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 2: up with ninety one. His number at ninety three and 182 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 2: a half did not go over, but he got close 183 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 2: to it. Ninety four and a half is tonight's number here. 184 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 2: He had ninety eight rushing and receiving combined with a 185 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 2: line of eighty nine and a half against Cleveland. 186 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: In the last home game up against. 187 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 2: The Chargers, he had one hundred and fifty where the 188 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 2: line was ninety two and a half and he flew over. 189 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 2: He almost doubled the darn thing up against the Chargers. 190 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:57,199 Speaker 2: There is some discrepancy in the market here. I mean 191 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 2: hard rock bets at ninety seven and a half bet 192 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: MGM's ninety seven and a half. But you can find FanDuel, 193 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 2: you can find Sugarhouse and other books ESPN BET ninety 194 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 2: four and a half here for this, So I think 195 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 2: you need to shop for the best price. Don't go 196 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 2: higher than ninety seven and a half. I think that's 197 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 2: the ceiling here because of what happened against Cleveland where 198 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 2: he had ninety eight against the Chargers where he had 199 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty with rushing receiving. So like, just 200 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 2: be a little bit careful with that with this number here, 201 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 2: because I don't know if he goes for. 202 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: One hundred, Okay, I would keep it. 203 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 2: As low as possible, but you can find ninety fours 204 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 2: and a half's in the marketplace. I think he has 205 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 2: a big game today with Tua, with his pass rush 206 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 2: for the Ravens and the fact that they may be 207 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 2: looking to blitz to it quite a bit. He has 208 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: struggled under pressure this season, so some swing passes to 209 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 2: eight Chane, some draw passes to eight Chane could wind 210 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 2: up getting him some big yards and big chunk plays. 211 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 2: He's four and four overall to this season to this prop, 212 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 2: but two out of the last three, three out of 213 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: the last five him to go over let's go over 214 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 2: ninety four and a half rushing and receiving yards for 215 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 2: the running back for the Dolphins, and a chain and 216 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 2: then kind of similar similarly, like if we're expecting a 217 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:13,959 Speaker 2: running back to have a big game carrying the football, 218 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:18,439 Speaker 2: let's look at passing attempts for Tua here and again 219 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 2: dropping him back to pass may not be that great 220 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 2: of an idea, and Tua has been pretty well under 221 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 2: on this. On his number, he is seven and one 222 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 2: to the under for his season prop for passing attempts. 223 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: The numbers thirty two and a half at DraftKings. Last 224 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 2: three games have not gone over this number. He had 225 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 2: twenty six against Atlanta and that was a win, mind you. 226 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 2: He had twenty three against Cleveland. He had thirty two, 227 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 2: which is just under this number up against the Chargers. 228 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:49,439 Speaker 2: He did go over against Carolina on the road they 229 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 2: got and that was not a good performance for Miami. 230 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 2: He threw the ball thirty six times. Against the Jets, 231 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 2: he threw the ball twenty five times. So for the 232 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 2: last five games and seven and one overall in the year, 233 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 2: Tua has gone under his prop. This is a sixty 234 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: six percent cover probability according to the prop bit cheat 235 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 2: sheet twenty four percent expected value is not as good 236 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 2: as the A chain prop is still pretty good plus 237 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 2: value and a five star play, which is what we 238 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 2: look for a lot coming up on here, so it's 239 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 2: pretty much a staple. Thirty two and a half is 240 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: pretty much the number across the market. A couple of 241 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 2: books have dropped to thirty one and a half, but 242 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,319 Speaker 2: the vast majority are at thirty two and a half, 243 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:26,319 Speaker 2: so you should be able to find this two a 244 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 2: takabalola to go under his passing attempts prop at thirty 245 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 2: two and a half. Okay, so three bets all riding 246 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,200 Speaker 2: on this game, two of which using the prop bet 247 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 2: cheat sheet. For us, we're going Baltimore and Miami over 248 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:43,240 Speaker 2: fifty and a half at minus one ten Devon eh 249 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 2: Chan over ninety four and a half rushing and receiving 250 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 2: yards tonight at minus one fifteen, and two under his 251 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 2: passing attempts at thirty two and a half at minus 252 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 2: one fifteen. 253 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,680 Speaker 1: We'll focus just on football here for tonight. 254 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 2: We'll get back into hockey and basketball probably tomorrow before 255 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 2: we wrap. If you guys are looking for some extra breakdown, 256 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 2: extra opportunities to play in this game and other things 257 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 2: including the World Series and recap of what happens happened 258 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: last night One went away for the Toronto Blue Jays 259 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 2: after they win yesterday against the LA Dodgers. You guys 260 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 2: can tune into the Bostonian Versus the Book. We're going 261 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 2: to begin at one pm Eastern time ten am Pacific 262 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 2: time on the YouTube channel for Bostonian Versus the Book 263 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:28,440 Speaker 2: at Boston Versus the Book on YouTube and on x 264 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 2: same handle at Boston Versus the Book. The audio podcast 265 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 2: will drop as soon as we are done live, so 266 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 2: you can check it out wherever you get your audio podcasts. 267 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 2: Just go and search the Bostonian Versus the Book. We'll 268 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 2: get into everything happening tonight for Thursday Night football with 269 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 2: Baltimore at Miami in a look at what's happening in 270 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 2: the betting markets quite a bit as well coming up 271 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 2: before tonight with Miami and Baltimore, as well as college 272 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 2: football coming up on a Friday min as Matt Paroltz. 273 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at 274 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 2: sports doc Map every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. 275 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice