1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here, 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,720 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 2: it just means the absolute world to have your support. 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:24,959 Speaker 2: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Hello, 9 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 2: everybody live from Chicago. We are here. We've got Emily Jishinski, 10 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 2: We've got Ryan Graham, producer Mac. Everybody. Please bear with us. 11 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 2: So we've had several technical difficulties, missed flights, people are gone. 12 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 2: It's been a crazy experience, some of which I will 13 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 2: get into and does reflect, I think a little bit 14 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 2: on DNC leadership. But before we get to that, thank 15 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 2: you to our friends at Barstool Sports, specifically Eddie and 16 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 2: the entire crew at the dog Walk, which is presented 17 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 2: by Barstool, allowing us to use their beautiful studio. So 18 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: thank you so much to them. If you like Chicago 19 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 2: Sports or any of that, go subscribe. I got to 20 00:00:57,920 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 2: give them a shout out. They've been they've been so 21 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 2: so kind to us. 22 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 3: Funny thing. Funny thing about the Barsool studio. I went 23 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 3: looking for water. I found High Noons, right, energy drinks, right, vodka. Right. 24 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 3: I had to ask eventually, like I think we do 25 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 3: have water. 26 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 2: Like this stuff. You don't need any of that. Yeah, 27 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: So we've got these what are they ghosts? These things 28 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: are pretty good. This is by the way, this is 29 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 2: We're not being paid for any of this. This stuffed it's 30 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 2: really good. Let's be honest. 31 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 4: I'm concerned, We're. 32 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 3: Hop got, we're happy. 33 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 4: We're also joined by Mike Ditka and the rest of this. 34 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 2: There's also a live nude sign over there, which is 35 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 2: very very unbrand for them, not for us. 36 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 4: Let's take it down. 37 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: That's right, all right. So before we get to any 38 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 2: of that, we want to go ahead and again, as 39 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 2: I said, thank you to them and please forgive us. 40 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 2: On the timeline, we're doing our best to get the 41 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 2: content out today and tomorrow, so just everybody stay tuned tomorrow. 42 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 2: We hope to be able to go live to everyone 43 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 2: from here in the studio on Wednesday as well, and 44 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 2: then we'll have clips and other things that will drop throughout. 45 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 2: So Premium subscribers. Everybody, please again bear with us, but 46 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 2: we are doing our absolute best and we've been working 47 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 2: for hours just to make sure that we can even 48 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 2: get something out for today. Before we get to that, 49 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 2: thank you to all of our premium subscribers, as we said, 50 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 2: and those who may consider wanting to be premium subscribers. 51 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 2: So we have a promo code right now for anybody 52 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 2: who wants to do a one month free trial of 53 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 2: Breaking Points. DNC free is the promo code that you 54 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 2: can use all caps at Breakingpoints dot com. Go ahead 55 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: and take advantage of that and tomorrow and also when 56 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 2: we're on our live streams, we will give you guys 57 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 2: the ability to ask us questions. You can support our work, 58 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 2: and we have a lot of exclusive stuff that we're 59 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 2: going to be having here throughout the week. But let's 60 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 2: go ahead and begin, I think with the state of 61 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 2: the race as things are right now. Obviously things are 62 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,240 Speaker 2: very fast moving, but what we wanted to start with 63 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 2: is what we're all here for, which is the DNC. 64 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:47,839 Speaker 2: So let's go ahead and put this up there on 65 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 2: the screen, the DNC lineup, who's speaking and what to expect, 66 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 2: So the general view of where they want things, Ryan 67 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 2: is Monday. Today is quote for the people. So the 68 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 2: people who are going to be up on the screen today, 69 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:05,959 Speaker 2: We've got Biden and doctor Jill will be Doctor Jill 70 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 2: will be speaking along with the former Secretary of State 71 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: Hillary and they welcome from Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson. 72 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 3: I believe we have a couple of Union folks also. 73 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 2: AOC will be speaking tonight as well. My joke is 74 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 2: that all the least popular people in the Democratic Party 75 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 2: you are speaking. 76 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 3: Tonight, your entire political careers speaking Thursday. Yeah, that's right, Monday, that's. 77 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 2: Right, not Monday. 78 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 3: So Monday, Monday is a place to start. 79 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:34,080 Speaker 2: Biden gets to speak, Doc Doc Jill, if true villain 80 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 2: gets to speak as well. Yeah, those two will be 81 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 2: speaking tonight. 82 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 3: Uh. 83 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 2: The key is that they obviously just want everyone to 84 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 2: have amnesia and forget about Monday by tomorrow. So as 85 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 2: we can see in front of us, we've got Obama, 86 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 2: who will be speaking or President of former President Obama tomorrow, 87 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 2: then the second Gentleman, Doug m Off JB. Pritzker. Then Wednesday, 88 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: that's when you've got Tim Walls. Then you've got Bill Clinton, 89 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 2: Nancy Pelosi, Buddhaj edge Thursday. That's when Harris will actually speak. 90 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 2: So I believe it's literally in order of like ascending popular. 91 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 2: It's frankly kind of smart. You want you want people 92 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: to you want people to be thankful for Biden. That's 93 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: what they're going to try and do. But they are 94 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: going to try and forget about him as soon as possible. 95 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 5: So he's literally going to Santa Barbara after Yes he 96 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 5: might be going him on a star or whatever, but 97 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 5: he's going to a vacation. 98 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 4: Wow. Yeah, they're Santa Barbara right after that. 99 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 2: They're truly putting him out the past or that. 100 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 3: If any of. 101 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 2: The poles or anything, just give us your reaction. The 102 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 2: general setup of everything Union. Many Union guys are going 103 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: to be speaking tonight. Sean Fane will be speaking tonight, 104 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 2: I believe, with a few others. Interestingly enough, Sean O'Brien 105 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 2: from the Teamsters. I'm not invited to speak here at 106 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 2: the DNC. I think a little bit of ruffel feathers 107 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: efter he spoke at the RNC. But Ryan, our resident 108 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 2: Democratic expert, what do you think if. 109 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 3: You're Biden, you can't stick around like it's Also he 110 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: wasn't planning on sticking around to begin with. The president 111 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 3: is in and out like they treat it like, you know, 112 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 3: and this has been for centuries that the nominees would 113 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 3: wouldn't It was like ghosh for them to actually come 114 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 3: and be seen. 115 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 2: Yeah that was in the old days. Ye yeah, Sometimes 116 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: it wouldn't even come. They'd be like, oh, I accept 117 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 2: the nomination, they would say from the white right. 118 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,479 Speaker 3: And so the thing that that evolved into is the 119 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 3: nominee kind of showing up at the end or just 120 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 3: peaking their head out and saying, all of my people 121 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 3: are doing the things that I want to, I'm going 122 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 3: to go back behind the scenes. But yeah, if you're Biden, 123 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 3: the humiliation is so steep that you've just got to 124 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 3: do your bit Monday and just and just roll on out. 125 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 3: What what is so clear about the response to Biden's 126 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 3: departure is that he never had any base and that 127 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 3: was we kind of knew that about him. But Obama 128 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 3: has people who follow him, AOC has people who like her, 129 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 3: Bernie Sanders has people that like him. Elizabeth Warren has 130 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: the Warren eyes. You know, she's got that. It's not 131 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 3: obviously it wasn't enough to get any of them the nomination. 132 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 4: She's got Mad Stoller, she yeah, Mad Solar. 133 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 3: But she's got people. 134 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 2: Yeah. 135 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 3: Biden does not like and he never has. He's just 136 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 3: been the guy that you know, put his finger in 137 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 3: the wind and and very successfully stuck himself dead center 138 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 3: of the party, whether it was a seventies, eight seventies, 139 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 3: can you believe the seventies, eighties, nineties, two thousands or 140 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 3: up until today. But what that also means is that 141 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 3: when you no longer have any power, nobody cares. 142 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true. You truly are put out. I mean 143 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 2: it's over. Yeah, I have here. You're exactly right. He's 144 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 2: going straight to California and that's it, and then they're 145 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:38,279 Speaker 2: going on vacation. It's kind of truly remarkable, Emily. We do, however, 146 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 2: before we even get to our if you want to 147 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 2: talk about some of the DNC, we've got some polling 148 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 2: as well. Do you want to weigh on the lineup first, 149 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:45,359 Speaker 2: and then we'll talk about the polling. 150 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 5: Well, it's similar to what the RNC did. You're just 151 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:50,039 Speaker 5: building excitement. And at the RNC, of course, Trump had 152 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 5: just been shot literally in the head, and so there 153 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 5: was all of this, There was this air of almost mystery, 154 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 5: about suspense about what he would say here. 155 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 4: There's less of that. 156 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 5: It's more just I think our suspense now is seeing 157 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 5: the presentation of Kamala Harris exactly how almost Obama esque 158 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 5: it is. Because the Washington Post ran a story this 159 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 5: morning saying it's not nineteen sixty eight, it feels more 160 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 5: like two thousand and eight. We're starting to see artists 161 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 5: already paint portraits of Kamala Harris that. 162 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 3: Make same guy, same guy, same guy. 163 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 5: There's other there have been other renditions of it as well, 164 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 5: making like literally casting Kamala Harris in this Obama esque role. 165 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,679 Speaker 5: And I think as we go throughout the week, it'll 166 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 5: be That's one of the big things I'm looking for, 167 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 5: is how dramatically they're presenting there. 168 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, and the problem is that that second time is farce. 169 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 3: Problem like Obama had months and months, almost a year 170 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 3: actually kind of to organically build this like real energy 171 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 3: behind his truly kind of historic campaign. 172 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 5: He was like a two year slot, is what Tommy 173 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 5: Veeder said today. 174 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, and now they're trying to like slap it together 175 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 3: in a couple of weeks and they go out and 176 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 3: get what's his name the guy they did the Hope 177 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 3: and Change poster and he just kind of redoes it 178 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 3: and it sort of feels like top down kind of 179 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 3: applied to people rather than people kind of pushing it 180 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 3: up from the bottom. Maybe that's enough, though. Yeah, a 181 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 3: vote is a vote, whether it's like for cringe or 182 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 3: whether it's for like genuine. 183 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 2: Let's stick with that because that's important thing. Because we've 184 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 2: only got what seventy nine days now, I think until 185 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 2: the election as of when we're recording. Let's go ahead 186 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 2: and put the New York Times Siena poll. So this 187 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 2: poll came out over the weekend and it dramatically just 188 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 2: shows you how Kamala Harris has a significant polling advantage 189 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 2: to where Biden was. So here from the New York 190 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 2: Times Sienna, they pulled battleground states as well as the Sunbelt. 191 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 2: So what do we see Arizona Kamala Harris fifty percent, 192 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 2: trumpet forty five. That's huge, I mean Arizona with a 193 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 2: five point spread. North Carolina they actually have Kamala leading 194 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:00,200 Speaker 2: Trump by two points. Now, Nevada is where things are interesting. 195 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: Trump is there at forty eight, Harris at forty seven. 196 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 2: Georgia Trump is at fifty, Harris is at forty six. 197 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 2: What this tells us is that Kamala significantly changes the 198 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 2: map for two seventy that Biden ever had. I mean, 199 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 2: I frankly think his map was dead, you know, the 200 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 2: day of the debate. But let's say as dead, possibly 201 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 2: as him. But whenever he was let's say previously, whenever 202 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 2: he had not done the debate, and we think about 203 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 2: what his theoretical map was, he really was reliant on 204 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,199 Speaker 2: the so called Blue Wall, and that was like Arizona 205 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 2: was gone, North Carolina was gone, Nevada even very likely 206 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:39,599 Speaker 2: not there. Georgia. He needed to win Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. 207 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 2: Where these North Carolina numbers, the Arizona numbers and others, 208 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 2: they open up a different possibility for Kamala to get 209 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: to two seventy. It also reflects, frankly, the changing nature 210 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 2: of the country. I don't think it's an accident. Arizona 211 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 2: and North Carolina are two of the law I think 212 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 2: they have the most dynamic economies in the United States 213 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: just in the last two years, and both have had 214 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 2: massive in rome in in flight of population from California 215 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 2: from other Blue states. So they've got a bluer population 216 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 2: this time around, people who are much more likely to 217 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 2: vote on abortion. 218 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 3: And all of that. Yes, and I think we'll have 219 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 3: Anderson Clayton, who's a North Carolina county chair. You guys 220 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 3: might have followed that story. She's like twenty five. Yeah, 221 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 3: she's very young and want this like one, this like 222 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 3: grassroots campaign where she overthrew all these old dudes and 223 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 3: is taking a completely different approach to trying to win 224 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 3: North Carolina. Obama won it, if I'm not mistaken, in 225 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 3: two thousand and eight, right, and so because he did, 226 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 3: Democrats have been just pining for it every time since then. 227 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 4: Well, and they've had Democratic governor since then. 228 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 3: I have one right now, one right now, So it's 229 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 3: it's not out of reach. Arizona seems to be going 230 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 3: increasingly blue, like the like in the same way that 231 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 3: Iowa went from a swing state to like just deep red. 232 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 3: At this point, it feels like Arizona could could potentially 233 00:10:56,679 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 3: go that way for all the reasons you're talking about. 234 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 3: A lot of Democrats come from both the Northeast to 235 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 3: retire in California. Yeah, to retire and also to escape California, 236 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 3: and they bring their voting patterns with them, and so 237 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 3: you know, Biden was the only reason that it was 238 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 3: even in play. You know, they have two Democratic senators. 239 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 2: Yes, and don't forget this, they have abortion on. 240 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 3: That a democratic governor Democrat Arizona. 241 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 2: They had that whole what is it, eighteen sixties law 242 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 2: and they had to change it. But there's actually still 243 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 2: going to be a ballot referendum in Arizona, which the 244 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 2: abortion activists fought very hard to put on. I would 245 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 2: not underestimate that emily for turnout wise. So it's interesting 246 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 2: because we're seeing that reflected at the DNC here. I 247 00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 2: have noticed that you're seeing party chairs obviously flying from 248 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 2: Arizona others, but they're getting not only key slots. And 249 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 2: I was talking with some others when I was in 250 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 2: the airport because many of the activists and other things 251 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 2: were there, and they were like, oh, yeah, there's a 252 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 2: lot of energy around Arizona, around North Carolina. So it's 253 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 2: clear that the Kamala campaign and the DNC is doing 254 00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,040 Speaker 2: their best while we're here in Chicago to elevate the 255 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 2: battleground states that are newly in play as a result 256 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 2: of Kamala coming to the ticket. 257 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 4: That's a really good point. 258 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 5: And the other thing in North Carolina is obviously Mark 259 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 5: Robinson is considered to be a weak candidate. He's obviously 260 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 5: a polarizing and controversial candidate. So what that can do 261 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 5: for Democratic turnout in North Carolina. It's an important to 262 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 5: note now in that New York Times Siena poll, the 263 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 5: margin is in most states it's between plus or minus four. 264 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 4: Basically, it's roughly plus or minus. 265 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 2: So it's kind of a tie. 266 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 5: So yeah, it's basically a dead heat, which is like 267 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,520 Speaker 5: incredible given where Biden was not that long ago. And 268 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 5: to the point we started talking about this poll on 269 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 5: there is something that I think and Ryan, I'm curious 270 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 5: what you think. It's not just top down with Kamala Harris. 271 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 5: It's also people projecting there. And I'm going to use 272 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 5: a controversial word, the controversial word da jure Joy, and 273 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 5: I really mean it that people are overjoyed that they 274 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,440 Speaker 5: do not have to vote for Joe Biden, and so 275 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 5: you project onto Kamala Harris that relief and so some 276 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 5: of it I do think, you know, there's a group 277 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 5: of people in states like North Carolina or Arizona that 278 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:08,080 Speaker 5: are genuinely like excited to rediscover Kamala Harris because they're 279 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 5: so desperate to have a good option instead of arguably 280 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:12,960 Speaker 5: one of the worst possible options. 281 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 4: I don't know. 282 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, And what I've heard from Democrats is that what 283 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 3: their internal polling is showing is that basically what you 284 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 3: described has brought back the Democratic coalition in the fold, 285 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 3: Like Biden's erosion was not because people were switching over 286 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 3: to Trump necessarily, they were dropping into kind of undecided 287 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 3: or over to RFK. With Kamala back, they've all come back. 288 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:41,920 Speaker 3: So she's brought back that coalition. But that's not enough 289 00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 3: on its own, like they're what they're saying is that 290 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 3: in general, the polls are still showing her up about 291 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:51,319 Speaker 3: a point or two. At this time, Biden and Hillary 292 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 3: were both up by six to seven point. Yes, and 293 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 3: Democrats need to be up substantially in the national vote 294 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,000 Speaker 3: in order to win the elect total College unless they 295 00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:05,080 Speaker 3: figure out some new path which Arizona, Georgia could in 296 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 3: North Carolina could actually present to them. 297 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 5: I just wanted to add something on that. Harry Enton 298 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 5: made a very good point on CNN last week where 299 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,840 Speaker 5: he analyzed where the polls are versus where they were 300 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 5: in twenty sixteen and twenty twenty, and said, actually, Trump, 301 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 5: where the polls are now? If you account for the 302 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 5: polling errors and say that they haven't been corrected significantly, 303 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 5: which they weren't from twenty sixteen to twenty twenty. They 304 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 5: were corrected a little bit but not significantly, then this 305 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 5: could still the polling as it stands right now, could 306 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 5: still be showing a Trump victory. 307 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I want everyone to That's my last corollary here, 308 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 2: which is, let's also just all remember haven't been burned 309 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 2: multiple times twenty twenty and also twenty twenty two, where 310 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 2: we can't put full stock in all of this. And 311 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 2: I would also say I have Nate Silver's election forecast 312 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 2: in front of me. Kamala fifty three point five percent 313 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 2: per chance of winning the electoral College, Donald Trump at 314 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 2: forty five. If we look at polymarket and the betting markets, 315 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 2: Kamala currently has fifty one percent and Trump forty seven. 316 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 2: But I'm actually reading Nate's book right now. I highly 317 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 2: recommend it. Something he just tries to drum into people. 318 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 2: Forty seven is very high. Yeah, imagine putting like if 319 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,239 Speaker 2: you had a forty seven percent chance of losing everything. 320 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 2: You should be pretty freight like, you should be afraid. 321 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 3: He had Trump. He had Trump in twenty sixteen at 322 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 3: about thirty thirty five, and that was right, which was like, 323 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 3: that's a really big change. 324 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's one in three three, one in three. 325 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 3: Think about that exactly. You put a gun to your 326 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 3: head and yeah, you have a one bullet chance of 327 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 3: like to think about two bullets in a six shooter. 328 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 2: But that's part of what I want. I want everyone 329 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 2: to internalize how the things are still very very much 330 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 2: in a toss up right now. The key that the 331 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 2: Democrats are going to be going for is the traditional 332 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 2: bump that you get after the convention, and that's I mean, 333 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 2: part of the reason we're all here is we expected 334 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 2: some chaos. You know, we had planned this whole thing. 335 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 2: We're like, oh, there's gonna be all this chaos for 336 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 2: the DNC. But I mean, to be honest, there has 337 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 2: been protests and we're going to cover that a little 338 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 2: bit later in the show. And they're pretty unified right now, 339 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 2: so that what they're trying to do is present a 340 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 2: full picture of we're in this, we're ready to beat Trump. 341 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 2: I'm very I've been very interested in Kamala kind of 342 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 2: rolling her eyes at Trump attacks. She's like, huh, classic, 343 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 2: But we're going to beat him in November. I'm seeing, 344 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 2: you know, in terms of the Democrats, and there's been 345 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 2: some policy stuff. We're about to talk about that as well. 346 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 2: But the overall political picture is it's clear that Trump 347 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 2: is a little bit flat footed now ever since so 348 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 2: the last time we all spoke, I know you guys 349 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 2: have covered some of this. Trump is he's basically back 350 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 2: on the campaign trail. He'll be having I think two 351 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 2: maybe three events that are just this week, trying to 352 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 2: do some DNC counter program He's actually literally doing a 353 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 2: rally as we speak. 354 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 5: There was a press conference with Rick Scott and Ron Jackson, 355 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 5: so was quite boring. 356 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 2: Two real genius politicians that we definitely want. 357 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 3: Oh, they were going after Walls for his China connections. 358 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 4: Yeah. 359 00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 5: They then they dipped into Chicago to have a little 360 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 5: counter programming and didn't work. 361 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 2: All right, Well, I see, yeah, sir Trump is doing 362 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 2: a press conference right now. It looks like he's I 363 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 2: think he's in Milwaukee anyway, just trying to check in 364 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 2: on what they're trying to do, because what they want 365 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 2: is counterprogramming. The DNC is happening. It's going to take 366 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: over the media tonight. We've got the Biden speech. Obviously, 367 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 2: it's so much there's so much at stake, honestly, even 368 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: for Biden, because if he melts again on the stage, 369 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,879 Speaker 2: that's going to increase not just question about whether the 370 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 2: should drop out. It's like, dude, can you even be 371 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 2: president right now? 372 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,439 Speaker 5: How are we not even talking about that's hold the 373 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:22,479 Speaker 5: top line tonight. 374 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 2: I mean, every single time I read the news about 375 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 2: ceasefires or Ukraine and stuff, I'm like, I can't believe 376 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 2: this melted man is literally in charge of the country. 377 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 2: Like it's insane. It's an insane thing. Now he will 378 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,880 Speaker 2: be on the stage night. I'm very curious to see 379 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 2: how he does. I mean, can you imagine if he 380 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 2: has a similar debate level meltdown. And one of the 381 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 2: things we're about to get to with the policy is 382 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 2: the tyme of kam law to Trump, I mean, sorry, 383 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 2: Kamla to Biden. If he does a bad job tonight, 384 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,360 Speaker 2: that will actually be a bit of a problem. Part 385 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 2: of the reason again, why I think they scheduled him 386 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 2: today just to make sure that if he screws it up. 387 00:17:57,480 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 2: They can, they can deprogram the way out of it. 388 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 3: But I do think he'll get through his speech. I 389 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 3: think he'll slur his words. I think he'll mess some 390 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 3: stuff up. Yeah, but he can still read off a 391 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 3: teleprompter to some degree, and as long as they don't 392 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 3: put in things like pause for applause. 393 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, but he can do. 394 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 5: But he's done that however many times already. Really, I mean, 395 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 5: he lost the ticket, but he's still the president. 396 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 3: So there could not be a lower bar for him 397 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 3: to have to clear. 398 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 2: Good point. 399 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 5: Well, yeah, so on that point, Sager, I think we 400 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,560 Speaker 5: can put this next element up on the screen. This 401 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 5: is a three. 402 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 4: This is the cringe celebrity lineup. 403 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 5: So this is the weakness to the extent. There is 404 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 5: one when Democrats have all of this momentum, and they 405 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:44,479 Speaker 5: have momentum and polling, they have massive momentum with the press. 406 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 5: Kamala Harris's favorability is going from the most unpopular vice 407 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,399 Speaker 5: president in modern history to somebody with pretty high favorability 408 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 5: and great treatment in the press. They have all of 409 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 5: this going for them, and then they put a cast 410 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,360 Speaker 5: of celebrities. They did something similar twenty twenty but they 411 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:03,200 Speaker 5: put this cast of celebrities in charge of like m 412 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 5: seeing the Knights, and one of them is on a 413 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 5: Navarro Saga's I think probably. 414 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,360 Speaker 2: Your favorite course, my favorite view cast, one of. 415 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 4: Your yeah you're failed. 416 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, although there's stiff competition, but on a Navarro, Carrie Washington, 417 00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 5: Tony Goldwyn, Mandy Kaling. We don't know how front and 418 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:21,919 Speaker 5: center that they will be, but I expect this to 419 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:25,920 Speaker 5: become a pretty big part of the Republican counterprogramming. And 420 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:30,120 Speaker 5: my expectation though, is that with Democrats having all this momentum, 421 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 5: Kamala Harris is on her honeymoon, this extends that honeymoon 422 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 5: just a little bit longer. I don't know that it 423 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,439 Speaker 5: sticks around until after Labor Day. But I also just 424 00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 5: think this is going to be Democrats week. There isn't 425 00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 5: going to be a lot Republicans can do as in 426 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 5: the last month to draw attention away from it and 427 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 5: to draw favorability away. It's just going to it's going 428 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 5: to be a love fest. 429 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, last thing on this Then, as I kept hearing 430 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,880 Speaker 2: from the Republicans are like, no, we're going to unload 431 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 2: on her after Labor Day, and I was like, you know, 432 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,640 Speaker 2: I just think we're wasting a lot of time here. 433 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,239 Speaker 2: You know, there's a lot of time time that was 434 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 2: wasted in the last couple of weeks where Kama is 435 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 2: basically allowed to coast. I mean, how many interviews is 436 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 2: this lady to zero? 437 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 5: Lablish her zero interviews and has totally re established her 438 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,159 Speaker 5: image with the American public. 439 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 2: Re established her image with the American public. The media 440 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 2: is literally like coronating this woman, like live on television. 441 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 2: In terms of interviews, zero quote, hope to have one 442 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,359 Speaker 2: scheduled by Labor day. Still nothing scheduled. I was literally 443 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 2: out sick for an entire week and she still is 444 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 2: non scheduled an interview. That's crazy is August nineteenth, so 445 00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 2: she doesn't have to do an interview this entire week, 446 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,399 Speaker 2: right Ryan, That gives us the Labor day. She's been 447 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 2: a candidate for almost a month. Nothing I see that 448 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 2: she answers question in a sheets gas station for less 449 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 2: than two minutes, you know, gives one answer. Cool, it's 450 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:48,920 Speaker 2: like fake those things doing a fake video about Dorito's 451 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 2: I mean, this is all we're getting from this woman. 452 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:53,479 Speaker 2: It's astounding to me. It's crazy. 453 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 3: Her one non scripted moment well, she said two nonscripted moments. 454 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,400 Speaker 3: The second one was scripted. It was when she got 455 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 3: protested at the one rally. 456 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:06,880 Speaker 2: Well, no, she said that they're helping Electron. 457 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,399 Speaker 3: They're helping Electron. But and then the second time she 458 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,239 Speaker 3: got protested, she was on script. She was like, I 459 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 3: hear you, I feel you like we're going to sort 460 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 3: this all out. Yes, but yes, like there's there's been 461 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 3: there's been zero. I do think it's worth talking about 462 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 3: this complete gap in understanding of the race between the 463 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 3: right and the left. Right now, tell me if I'm 464 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 3: tell me how prevalent this view is on the right. 465 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 3: But from my like kind of social media feed, it 466 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 3: seems like there's a substantial portion of conservatives who think 467 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 3: that Tim Walls has been a complete catastrophe for Democrats 468 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 3: they might dump him, and that Kamala Harris might actually 469 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 3: get dumped, and she's that Democrats are not behind her 470 00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:49,919 Speaker 3: and it's a complete cat. 471 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:57,160 Speaker 5: That is just some more like whatever, Well, I will 472 00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 5: just I do think there's some serious underestimate, misunderestimating going 473 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 5: on to quote Ryan's favorite president too, going on on 474 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,760 Speaker 5: the right, because well, I know we're going to get 475 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 5: into the attacks that Trump has developed on that they 476 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 5: have developed on Kamala Harris. And I know they're scrambling 477 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 5: right now. Like Trump did that press conference with food 478 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 5: stuffs yea to try and talk about watch the same thing. 479 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:20,719 Speaker 2: I did not think it went well for Trump. I 480 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:21,359 Speaker 2: really didn't. 481 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,320 Speaker 5: Yeah, and so it just they don't have anything that's 482 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,959 Speaker 5: sticking right now. But there is a sub section of 483 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 5: the right that to your point, there are people that 484 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 5: are very online that have some influence in the campaign, 485 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 5: and I think they don't understand that there is some 486 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 5: genuine organic support for Kamala Harris among the public in 487 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 5: a way that when you're competing for fractions, which is 488 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 5: what's happening in this election, it's what's happened in every 489 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 5: last election since twenty sixteen, that is incredibly meaningful, and 490 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:48,600 Speaker 5: you have to deal with those voters. You have to 491 00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:50,959 Speaker 5: persuade those voters. I think it's crazy that people flipped 492 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 5: on Kamala Harris and went from being like this woman 493 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 5: seems a little weird to inspiration. 494 00:22:55,880 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 2: You love her. Yeah you're weird. Yeah, I'm like, oh, okay. 495 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,240 Speaker 5: But that there is that happening with you know, five 496 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 5: to ten percent of the voting day, So it's significant. 497 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,959 Speaker 2: Let's talk about policy now. This is important and this 498 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,480 Speaker 2: is something we've been dying to get to on the show. 499 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 2: Wish Crystal was here, but we should be able to 500 00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 2: at the very least, she'll be out of the show 501 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 2: on Wednesday, one hundred percent tomorrow. We're still working that out. 502 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 2: But let's go ahead and begin with the DNC policy platform, 503 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:27,560 Speaker 2: and it's great, big rollout. It appears that in the 504 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 2: total shit show that we've already experienced right now at 505 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,479 Speaker 2: the DNC, getting our damn press credentials took several hours, 506 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 2: much longer than it should have. Consequently, you know, leading 507 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 2: to a lot of the problems that we have right now. 508 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,639 Speaker 2: But what we could see in front of us is 509 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 2: that they forgot to actually release the term put take 510 00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:51,920 Speaker 2: the term quote Biden's second term five separate times, Ryan 511 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,760 Speaker 2: out of the DNC platform. So, I mean, great price 512 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:58,199 Speaker 2: has circled all of them here in front of us 513 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 2: during President Biden's second term. They even refer to like 514 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,520 Speaker 2: President Biden and Vice presid Kamala Harris want to continue 515 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 2: their legacy. I think this was actually, I know, this 516 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 2: is stupid, Like it was obviously like a mistake of 517 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 2: an intern. I think it's a colossal mistake in that 518 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 2: we should not be talking about Biden at all. Biden 519 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 2: who we need to get him on a jet and 520 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,479 Speaker 2: go to California. We're not talking about him right now. 521 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 3: What this shows you is the insanity of party functionality. Like, 522 00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 3: in order to approve the platform, you have to get 523 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 3: everybody together. You've got the sub platform, the sub committee 524 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 3: that committees. And because they were rushing this so that 525 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 3: they could not get Biden off, they approved this long ago. 526 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 3: Like this was approved a while ago. It was approved 527 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 3: while Biden was still running for president. Yeah, and so 528 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,919 Speaker 3: in order to get his name out of there, you 529 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 3: would have had to reconvene the entire platform committee and 530 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 3: somebody would have to make a motion to strike his 531 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 3: name from there. And I think basically nobody wanted to 532 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,639 Speaker 3: do that. Yeah, They're just like they're like, do I 533 00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:02,640 Speaker 3: want to be the guy that. 534 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,640 Speaker 2: So you think this was intentional, that's even worse. 535 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 3: It's intention it's intentional in the sense that they knew 536 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,919 Speaker 3: that this was the document that they had, and they 537 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 3: were like, we can either reconvene the entire platform committee, 538 00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 3: make that a news story. Strike his name and replace, 539 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 3: you know, control a shoal r with Harris, or we 540 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,720 Speaker 3: can just take our lumps on Monday when this rolls. 541 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:29,639 Speaker 4: Out, because then you have to vote on it again bureaucracy. 542 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 3: And then once and then as soon as you are 543 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,359 Speaker 3: voting on it again, then you've got uncommitted delegates who 544 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 3: are like, wait a minute, we're still We're still in here, 545 00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 3: like with this terrible Hamas and uh An Israel provisions, 546 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,879 Speaker 3: let's let's revisit this. And so I think they were 547 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 3: just like, you know what' screw it does just. 548 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 2: Roll it out, saying because that makes it not an oversight, 549 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 2: that actually makes it up not intentional. 550 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 3: Because because no inn could is nobody's allowed to go 551 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 3: in and change a comma. 552 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 2: But again, I mean this is this is reflective of 553 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 2: a your problem that they have is that if all 554 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 2: the polling that we look at, the more that Kamala 555 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,440 Speaker 2: is the change candidate and away from Biden, the better 556 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,040 Speaker 2: off she's doing, the more that she's tied to Joe 557 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 2: Biden and all of his policies, than the worst off 558 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 2: that she's doing, and that actually gets us ryan to 559 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: these economic proposals, has been causing quite a stir online 560 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 2: has been it'll be fun to talk about here. Kamala 561 00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 2: gave a economic speech what was it yesterday? On Thursday 562 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,120 Speaker 2: in North Carolina. Jeff Stein front of the show has 563 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 2: a few highlights here. I'm going to read off of quote, 564 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,640 Speaker 2: six thousand dollars for a newborn tax credit. That's three 565 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 2: thousand dollars for most children. Six thousand dollars fully available 566 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:40,479 Speaker 2: to the poorest families, twenty five thousand dollars down payment 567 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,960 Speaker 2: subsidy for first time home buyers, a two thousand dollars 568 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 2: annual cap on out of pocket prescription drug costs, housing 569 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 2: supply expansion credits, a ban on price gouging for food 570 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,199 Speaker 2: and groceries. That's probably the most controversial element. We have 571 00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:59,080 Speaker 2: eliminate medical debt and EITC expansion, as well as ACA 572 00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 2: subsidy extension. So go ahead, Ryan, give us the leftist take, 573 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 2: and then Emily and I will give us the counter. 574 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:10,080 Speaker 3: This is incredible stuff, and the virtue of it is 575 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,239 Speaker 3: that it does separate from Biden the sense that some 576 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 3: of this is new, like the twenty five thousand dollars 577 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:18,960 Speaker 3: down payment, going after price gouging. It makes you talk 578 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 3: about Kamala Harris distinct from Joe Biden on a policy term, 579 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 3: we can go through them, like the six thousand dollars 580 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 3: newborn credit, like that's new that I have not seen 581 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 3: that from them. That's it's a derivative. It's a derivative 582 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 3: of the child tax credit that was extremely popular during 583 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 3: the you know, the first year or so Bid administration, 584 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:44,639 Speaker 3: which cut child poverty in half, and then they just 585 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,359 Speaker 3: doubled child poverty by letting it, letting it lapse. People 586 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 3: like that. What they I think what they learned from 587 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 3: the twenty twenty Georgia Senate elections is that offering people 588 00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:57,160 Speaker 3: money is a cool way to get them to vote 589 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,480 Speaker 3: for you. If you remember they they did that. 590 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 2: Do you think that still works in inflation politics? Before 591 00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 2: we get to that, I think it's that's where I 592 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 2: think the counter might be, Yeah, get in the inflation conversation. 593 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 2: By the way, I'm not saying it cons inflation. I'm 594 00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 2: just saying, given that we haven't. 595 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 3: That's the downside. But but we'll see the I think 596 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:22,399 Speaker 3: the price gouging one is is great terrain to be 597 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:22,879 Speaker 3: fighting on. 598 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:25,919 Speaker 2: Interesting because it puts. 599 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 3: The kind of right wing national national populism on the spot, 600 00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:34,120 Speaker 3: it's like forces you support. It calls the question you're 601 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 3: okay with price gouging? 602 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 2: Well, okay, so I'm gonna go ahead give us the 603 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 2: counter because that's actually been that's the one that I've 604 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 2: seen the most like argument online from right. So obviously 605 00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 2: it's been well, this is okay, So let's talk about 606 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 2: what actually price gouging, what that means. So I had 607 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 2: to do a decent amount of reading here in the 608 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 2: last couple of weeks. Matt Stoler, as always, actually is 609 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 2: a very good explainer on the difference between price controls, 610 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: what price gouging is, and what separate proposals are. Now, 611 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 2: Kamalo was not specific about what a ban on price 612 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,160 Speaker 2: gouging actually would see. 613 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 4: People like the Post read into it the project. 614 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 2: I was gonna say, I actually think it was a 615 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,040 Speaker 2: huge I honestly think it was a mistake for her 616 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 2: because she allowed price gouging. And by the way, elements 617 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 2: to some people in the GOP like who's the center 618 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 2: from ioways super old grass grass Yeah, people even like 619 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 2: grassly others are calling for breaking up meat package, right, 620 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,840 Speaker 2: I mean, technically that is going after price gouging. And 621 00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,479 Speaker 2: because what you're trying to do is you're trying to 622 00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 2: break up the producer monopolies and biomanopolies which have been 623 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 2: then sold to the grocery store. There's been a lot 624 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 2: of confusion about that too, because people are like, well, 625 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 2: how could groceries becount grocery stores with price gouging because 626 00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 2: they only have a two to three percent margin. What 627 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,000 Speaker 2: I believe that they're talking about are the actual suppliers 628 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 2: to the grocery stores themselves. It's not the grocery store. 629 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 2: It's like the craft food whatever, whatever that company is. 630 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 2: I forget yep that owns it anyway, So emily give 631 00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 2: us what you have seen, because I have not seen 632 00:29:56,280 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 2: the right this animated about a counter policy issue in 633 00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 2: quite a long time. The Price Control Bank really took 634 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:06,880 Speaker 2: off from what I could see, and I think it 635 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 2: actually is going to set up for this will be 636 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 2: a real debate on the stage now at this point, 637 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,320 Speaker 2: because we saw Trump talk about this at the press 638 00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 2: conference as. 639 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 5: Well, well, And that brings Ryan's point, That brings up 640 00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 5: Brian's really important point, which is that it actually forces 641 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 5: the new right to confront this question of corporate power, 642 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 5: and on the other hand, it's going to force the 643 00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 5: establishment left that is now helmed by Kamala Harris, who 644 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 5: is suggesting, you know, anti price gouging members sort of measures, 645 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 5: sort of vaguely, we don't know exactly what they would 646 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 5: look like. The Washington Post jumped in with their editorial 647 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 5: board and caught a lot of flak for going in 648 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,520 Speaker 5: hot not a lot of flak from everyone. There were 649 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 5: some people who were really glad to see the Washington posting, 650 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 5: some people in the tech community and the corporate community 651 00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 5: who celebrated the Washington Post editorial. 652 00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 4: So did the right. And this is the where the. 653 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 5: Politics and the ideology, if we separate them from ament 654 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,840 Speaker 5: for a moment, the politics and the substance for a moment. Politically, 655 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 5: it was absolutely one hundred percent a gift to the 656 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 5: right because because they know and Ryan know this too, 657 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 5: like you can really fear monger with socialism. You can 658 00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 5: do the same with capitalism too when you're polling. But 659 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 5: the right feels like when they can tie socialism to 660 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 5: democrats in the suburbs in places like Pennsylvania, in places 661 00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 5: like Michigan, that is. 662 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 4: A huge, huge help for them. 663 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 5: That gets some of those skeptical Trump people back over 664 00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 5: on their side. They thought that in twenty eighteen it 665 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:34,160 Speaker 5: was like their godsend. 666 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:35,080 Speaker 4: That's what they felt. 667 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 5: Now you can, you know, make it and in twenty 668 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 5: twenty two you can make a judgment on whether it worked. 669 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 5: But they love that. They think it's a huge boost 670 00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:46,040 Speaker 5: right into their veins when they can tie people to socialism. 671 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 5: It can be really cringe when you're doing it, like 672 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 5: it may be really really cringe when you're doing it. 673 00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 4: At the same time, it is. 674 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 5: Something that voters can look at and say it. 675 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 4: It sort of is easier to. 676 00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,200 Speaker 5: Build a narrative about someone being far left when you 677 00:31:59,240 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 5: can talk about that. 678 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 2: So I have some pulling in front of me that 679 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 2: Matt Stoler had. So it says using antitrust to enforce 680 00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 2: laws against price gouging and price fixing has a net 681 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 2: forty two percent approval rating around decreasing inflation and others. 682 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 4: I do, but it depends on how you're talking about 683 00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 4: I no. 684 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:17,560 Speaker 2: Know, by the way, That's what I was about to say. Yeah, 685 00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,520 Speaker 2: that's why I do wonder whether it was a mistake. 686 00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:23,440 Speaker 2: I'm actually curious Ryan, will you think about this whole 687 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 2: price control discourse, because there is one way, Like there's 688 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 2: one way of talking about it, like breaking up meat 689 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 2: pack I mean, people in the Midwest support that, agricultural support, 690 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,080 Speaker 2: rural people support that. Do you think that the common 691 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 2: people made a mistake by making it seem like they 692 00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 2: were going to enforce full bone price control because she 693 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 2: hasn't even disavowed that, you know, at this point politically, 694 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,160 Speaker 2: I'm actually honestly not quite sure. I'm pretty sure Crystal 695 00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 2: Wild support price control. I'm thinking I've been thinking about it. 696 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 2: I just feel like you're guys atistic. Well, okay, but 697 00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:55,960 Speaker 2: that's what I was gonna say to me. It's a 698 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,680 Speaker 2: very drastic measure, and like, are we really at price 699 00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:00,960 Speaker 2: control right now? You know what I mean? Like when 700 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 2: we have the ability to break if we break up 701 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:07,200 Speaker 2: meat packing, if we look at some of the share 702 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 2: buy back and other things that some of these companies 703 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 2: have done. So there are multiple states, including Arkansas, like 704 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 2: red states, that have price gouging legislation on the books, 705 00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 2: which basically, after a ten percent threshold increase of price 706 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 2: requires the company to file a disclosure with the state 707 00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 2: as to why a price in a critical industry is 708 00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:28,640 Speaker 2: going up. And then people I think there's some input 709 00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 2: process around like that. So I mean, we do have 710 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 2: red states that are all the books that have these 711 00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 2: measures in place. When you put it that way, I'm like, yeah, 712 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 2: this seems kind of reasonable. Like even if you have 713 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,920 Speaker 2: a critical industry or like food meat or an eggs, 714 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 2: which we all have that big egg inflation recently, if 715 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 2: the company has to do it, at least they don't 716 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,720 Speaker 2: have to do anything. They just have to justify and explain. 717 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:51,200 Speaker 2: Here is why. 718 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 4: I mean. 719 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:54,000 Speaker 2: The other thing is, when you consider it, we give 720 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 2: these companies and these food producers in particular, these people 721 00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: get a shitload of benefits from the US government, right 722 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 2: the Farm Bill is packed full. By the way, eggs 723 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 2: are not supposed to be the same price today that 724 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,280 Speaker 2: they weren't in the nineteen seventies. It's because they get 725 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,720 Speaker 2: all these subsidies. There's been a yes, economy and scale, 726 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,440 Speaker 2: et cetera. But these are some of the most subsidized 727 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:14,760 Speaker 2: people on the planet, also huge beneficiaries of government policy. 728 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,800 Speaker 2: So when people are like, oh, government should get involved 729 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:17,799 Speaker 2: in prices, I'm like, the. 730 00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:19,680 Speaker 4: Only already do. That's what I was going to say. 731 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 2: The problem to me is like, but we already massively 732 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,120 Speaker 2: subsidize these companies, so you know, it's almost like the airlines, like, well, 733 00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:27,880 Speaker 2: should we really allow them to gouge us when we 734 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 2: bail them out like fifteen times since nine to eleven. 735 00:34:30,520 --> 00:34:32,759 Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean at a certain point that 736 00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,839 Speaker 2: we can either have lase fair or not. And you know, 737 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 2: I'm not sure why some are allowed or not. In 738 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 2: terms of the politics, I think Emily might be right. 739 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,799 Speaker 2: There could be a suburban backlash. This is also a 740 00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,760 Speaker 2: decent test though, of the does policy even matter theory? 741 00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,719 Speaker 2: Like will this resonate? Right now? It's elites who are 742 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 2: arguing about it online, silic on value venture capitalists out 743 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,759 Speaker 2: price capital about price controls capitalism and all that. Does 744 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,279 Speaker 2: that penetrate? Like, I honestly have no idea. 745 00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:03,440 Speaker 5: And I just want to say that quickly. I think 746 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,719 Speaker 5: it was a mistake to not be specific. I agree 747 00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 5: at it's a really vague thing that allows the right 748 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,799 Speaker 5: to say this is our new boogeyman of socialism, right. 749 00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,400 Speaker 5: But if she were specific, I think that would instigate 750 00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,719 Speaker 5: a much more interesting on the price gouging, a more 751 00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:16,960 Speaker 5: interesting policy conversation. 752 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,160 Speaker 3: I don't know. I think if you can bait the 753 00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:23,719 Speaker 3: Republicans into defending corporate price gouging, then you're on no. 754 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:27,279 Speaker 2: Which they are. Some people have somebody. Some people are like, no, 755 00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,080 Speaker 2: it's you know, we always have to let the market 756 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:30,240 Speaker 2: decide or whatever. 757 00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:32,879 Speaker 3: And yeah, I think that they lose that argument because 758 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:36,920 Speaker 3: I think that people are in general, like when prices 759 00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:40,240 Speaker 3: get too high, they want something, somebody to do something 760 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 3: about it. And if somebody's saying, you know, it's because 761 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:46,799 Speaker 3: of concentrated corporate power and we're going to police them, 762 00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,520 Speaker 3: and that's going to drive down prices like good I mean, 763 00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 3: and I mean again, if we're not talking about pricing tooler, 764 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,360 Speaker 3: we're talking about just breaking up like food monopolies. 765 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, that should be happening. I mean there is a 766 00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 2: I think, what does it? Cheese its and eggoes just 767 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 2: got bought by I forget by like thirty three billion 768 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,239 Speaker 2: dollars by another major food punglomerate y. And what is 769 00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:10,360 Speaker 2: everybody bitch about shrinkflation? Inflation? Oh, the price of my 770 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,520 Speaker 2: groceries is going up. I'm like, well, yeah, why do 771 00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:14,279 Speaker 2: you think do you think they're spending thirty three billion 772 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,080 Speaker 2: dollars or the goodness of their heart? No, it's because 773 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,200 Speaker 2: they want to roll it up into a larger company. Yeah, 774 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:21,239 Speaker 2: and then you know, increase the price and monopolize the 775 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,279 Speaker 2: profit and have economy of scale. The question is as 776 00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 2: a country, considering again how much subsidy that we give 777 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,759 Speaker 2: to all these food producers and others, especially whenever it 778 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:31,200 Speaker 2: comes to meat. I mean, these are some of the 779 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:35,359 Speaker 2: most paved industries in the entire United States. They get 780 00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:38,600 Speaker 2: so many carve outs to cutouts, tax benefits and other 781 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,680 Speaker 2: things from the government. Then why shouldn't we be able 782 00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:42,160 Speaker 2: to say no, you're not allowed to merge to each 783 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 2: other and poke the consumer. That is different though, from 784 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,120 Speaker 2: a price control, right, and I think that is where 785 00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 2: the conversation has to go. 786 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,800 Speaker 3: The overlap comes in when you when the companies start 787 00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:56,400 Speaker 3: to understand, okay, my price is a signal now to 788 00:36:56,520 --> 00:37:01,479 Speaker 3: Lena Khan that I'm a monopoly, because you know, there's 789 00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:03,840 Speaker 3: a couple of different ways you can raise prices, and 790 00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 3: one of the ways is by being a monopoly, yeah, 791 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:10,920 Speaker 3: not having any outside competition to jack up prices. And 792 00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:13,600 Speaker 3: if a company knows, okay, if I do that, I'm 793 00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:17,400 Speaker 3: going to start getting some antitrust scrutiny. Then that factors 794 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:19,400 Speaker 3: into their boardroom decisions when they're like, what should the 795 00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,919 Speaker 3: price of this be? Right? And when the one guy 796 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,960 Speaker 3: arguing let's let's do a twelve percent bump, it's like, okay, 797 00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,319 Speaker 3: what do the lawyers think, Like can we actually get 798 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 3: away with that? And probably not, let's do seven percent? 799 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, any last thoughts on prices before we should talk 800 00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,839 Speaker 2: about this the CTC stuff? Yeah, because that actually, that's 801 00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:39,080 Speaker 2: probably the interesting, most interesting part where you had jd 802 00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 2: Vance propose a five thousand dollars tile tax credit actually 803 00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,080 Speaker 2: pissed some people on the rite off with that, and 804 00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:47,520 Speaker 2: Kamala was like, wait why yeah, and I was like, whoa, 805 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:51,240 Speaker 2: that's kind of interesting. I mean, and then Kamala's copying 806 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,919 Speaker 2: the tax on tips thing. But I mean, we could 807 00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:57,719 Speaker 2: view that at least as a net positive for some 808 00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 2: change between the two parties. Traumas explicitly endorsed the five 809 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 2: thousand dollars tax credit, I believe. I think he said 810 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,320 Speaker 2: he would consider it or whatever. So but at the 811 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,200 Speaker 2: very least the running mate is said it. He endorsed it, 812 00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,919 Speaker 2: five thousand dollars tax credit. She has embraced the tax 813 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 2: on tips thing, so is Trump. So there is now 814 00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 2: I mean a pretty big change from let's say twenty 815 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:21,359 Speaker 2: twelve politics, where both of these would not have been 816 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 2: proposed by I think a major party. 817 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 5: Emily, Yeah, I mean, I think you'd have to be 818 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:27,000 Speaker 5: a partisan hack to see this as anything but an 819 00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:30,439 Speaker 5: improvement in the political discourse, and hopefully it translates into 820 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 5: policy wins for people who have populist inclinations on these issues. 821 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,600 Speaker 5: But to say that's not a good thing where they're 822 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 5: trying to outdo each other on policies that are positive 823 00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 5: for working people, Like, that's great. 824 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:45,759 Speaker 2: What do you think of that? 825 00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:46,080 Speaker 4: Ryan? 826 00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:46,560 Speaker 2: Yeah? 827 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:50,359 Speaker 3: Agree, like love love that it's coming back. It got 828 00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:53,799 Speaker 3: cut out of the IRA at the end when Joe 829 00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,279 Speaker 3: Manchin was like, I'm not doing three point five, I'll 830 00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:58,959 Speaker 3: do one point seven. Figure out what you're going to cut. 831 00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:04,680 Speaker 3: Housing and and basically the care economy stuff are what 832 00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:08,320 Speaker 3: got cut. And it plunged millions of people back into poverty, 833 00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 3: which is insane. 834 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,719 Speaker 2: On the housing front, by the way, I think the 835 00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 2: housing part is very smart from the Kamala people is 836 00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,960 Speaker 2: the first major proposal. But if we zoom out a 837 00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 2: little bit, here, isn't the best attack from the GOP. Hey, 838 00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:21,799 Speaker 2: why didn't you do any of this, like while you 839 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,239 Speaker 2: were the president or while you were in the administration. 840 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:26,719 Speaker 2: I feel like they don't even have to respond necessarily. 841 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,560 Speaker 2: They can just say, you have been the vice president, 842 00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,760 Speaker 2: you have not proposed any of this. If you wanted 843 00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:34,560 Speaker 2: some of this, did you push forward? 844 00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:37,400 Speaker 3: And what is it they had? They had hundreds of 845 00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 3: billions of dollars in the IRA, and zero Republicans voted 846 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,879 Speaker 3: for it. That's fair, say, that's why fair point? 847 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,440 Speaker 2: What about Care Act, Cares Act? Is that was that? 848 00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,799 Speaker 2: Which one was the first Biden the American Rescue. 849 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,920 Speaker 3: Plan American that was like a two trillion dollar I 850 00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:54,120 Speaker 3: think there was some in there, but it was the 851 00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:58,840 Speaker 3: IRA that had the comprehensive affordable care affordable housing legislation. 852 00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,520 Speaker 2: I think, by the way, that's fair and accurate attack, 853 00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:02,800 Speaker 2: you know, and retort go ahead of it. 854 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:04,960 Speaker 5: Well, all the Republicans would say it was loaded up 855 00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,879 Speaker 5: with all kinds of like green energy, green energy. Yeah, 856 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,600 Speaker 5: they would say economy killing like green energy, blah blah blah. 857 00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:13,759 Speaker 5: Inflationary policies is what they would say, just on a 858 00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 5: political level. But this is pretty I don't know. I 859 00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 5: think this is like the central attack that Republicans have 860 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:25,400 Speaker 5: on Kamala Harris is you know, not just chameleon Kamala. 861 00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,719 Speaker 5: It's really like you were the vice president. You're telling 862 00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:29,400 Speaker 5: people you're going to do X, Y and Z. And 863 00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:31,719 Speaker 5: I don't know how powerful of an attack that is. 864 00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 5: When Democrats are doing everything in their power except for 865 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 5: on the platform, as we just discussed, to distance themselves 866 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,040 Speaker 5: from Joe Biden to the point where he's not even 867 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 5: presiding over the DNC. 868 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:42,120 Speaker 4: After the first night. 869 00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:45,239 Speaker 5: I mean, it's not really that powerful when she's saying 870 00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 5: I'm going to step in and be my own person. 871 00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:50,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think on the politic, well, actually it was 872 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,839 Speaker 2: interesting too on the housing front. The attack I saw 873 00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:54,640 Speaker 2: which I thought was interesting from JD. I want to 874 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:56,960 Speaker 2: get your response to this is he was like, so 875 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,839 Speaker 2: what did he say he wents Kamala? She said twenty 876 00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:02,360 Speaker 2: five one thousand dollars down payment for first time home buyers. 877 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 2: And the question that he immediately threw out is he's like, oh, 878 00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:08,879 Speaker 2: Kamala wants to build more houses for illegal immigrants. Now 879 00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:11,800 Speaker 2: you can say whether that's good or if. 880 00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:13,120 Speaker 3: You want, they'll be doing the build them. 881 00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:16,560 Speaker 2: Okay, Well, but what I thought was smart is I 882 00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,640 Speaker 2: was like, wait a second, doesn't that just then force 883 00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:20,880 Speaker 2: the question because she never said this is going to 884 00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:24,239 Speaker 2: go to people on citizenship or not, right, but it 885 00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 2: would at least force the question of like, hey, wait, 886 00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:29,839 Speaker 2: does your plan apply to more illegal immigrants? And then 887 00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:31,640 Speaker 2: you put her in a position where, I mean, if 888 00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:33,920 Speaker 2: she says yes, you know that would be bad, and 889 00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:37,160 Speaker 2: she said no, then that would also perhaps sparkle back 890 00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 2: Loft on the left. So I immediately was like, that's 891 00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,759 Speaker 2: kind of a genius attack because she didn't specify. So 892 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,120 Speaker 2: now you actually have to ask the question around that 893 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,279 Speaker 2: and pivot to the immigration line, which is of course 894 00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:50,520 Speaker 2: the best issue right now for the GOP. 895 00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:51,520 Speaker 4: Genius in that sense. 896 00:41:51,560 --> 00:41:54,799 Speaker 5: Sure, but I'm also like the gyp's going to want 897 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,839 Speaker 5: to have a response to that, because that's that goes 898 00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:00,520 Speaker 5: beyond immigration on the substance of how to get where people. 899 00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:03,080 Speaker 2: I first agree with you, that is an issue that 900 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:04,839 Speaker 2: literally all of our viewers care about. 901 00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:04,880 Speaker 5: It. 902 00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:06,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean housing is the number one issue for 903 00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,279 Speaker 2: I think for our viewers, but. 904 00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:11,200 Speaker 5: Not just rental, like this question of being able to 905 00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:15,080 Speaker 5: access the American dream by owning property and land and 906 00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:16,920 Speaker 5: a home and then being able to you see this 907 00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,560 Speaker 5: show up and polling of young people all the time 908 00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:22,800 Speaker 5: is like being able to get married and start a family. 909 00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 5: So many people see that contingent on owning a home, 910 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:29,319 Speaker 5: and that's like, there's so many different things downstream of 911 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:31,520 Speaker 5: the housing question that people on the right, our friends 912 00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 5: have been talking about for a really long time. 913 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 4: How do we get more people to own homes? A 914 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:37,719 Speaker 4: lot of people say, you just got to build, build. 915 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:42,120 Speaker 5: Build, So it's the answer has to there has to 916 00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:45,840 Speaker 5: be a substantive answer as opposed to a rebuttal. The rebuttal, 917 00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,120 Speaker 5: I think you're right, there's a really smart way to 918 00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,680 Speaker 5: go about it. But you can't just distract. You have 919 00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:52,320 Speaker 5: to also offer a solution. 920 00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:54,920 Speaker 2: Right now, The only retort I've had is well, if 921 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,880 Speaker 2: you deport all the illegals, then the price, the amount 922 00:42:57,880 --> 00:42:59,040 Speaker 2: of housing supply will go up. 923 00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:01,400 Speaker 4: And I was like, well, you know, right, except but 924 00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:02,440 Speaker 4: then I mean, can a build it? 925 00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:02,640 Speaker 3: Though? 926 00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:04,279 Speaker 2: What American could build it? 927 00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:04,360 Speaker 5: What? 928 00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,640 Speaker 2: Really? They don't take any money, they don't like money. 929 00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,440 Speaker 2: I mean, you're proposing to you're proposing to a housing subsidy. 930 00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:11,799 Speaker 2: Why why can't I go to them? I don't see 931 00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 2: the issue. 932 00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:15,840 Speaker 3: Well, first of all, Democrats have sold out on this issue. 933 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:20,160 Speaker 3: There's no chance that they're giving this subsidy to undocumented him. Okay, 934 00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:21,000 Speaker 3: that's just not happening. 935 00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:24,040 Speaker 2: You can rep the undocumented here on the show. 936 00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,840 Speaker 3: Absolutely not absolutely not happened because you need the documents 937 00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 3: to file your taxes to get the subsidies. So it's 938 00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 3: not happening. But also, yes, like more housing is good. 939 00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,720 Speaker 2: No, I agree. I actually thought it was the everyone 940 00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:42,160 Speaker 2: was focusing on the pricing thing. Everyone's also focusing on 941 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:44,320 Speaker 2: the CTC. The housing one is the one that popped 942 00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,760 Speaker 2: me your because I know from when we do segments 943 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,960 Speaker 2: here on the show, it's the number one issue that 944 00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:53,319 Speaker 2: we cover, which is totally uncovered by mainstream. Always does 945 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,480 Speaker 2: incredibly well because people are like, yeah, you know what, 946 00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:57,680 Speaker 2: it's bullshit. Me and my husband, we just got married. 947 00:43:57,920 --> 00:43:59,919 Speaker 2: We had enough for a down payment. Now the interest 948 00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:02,560 Speaker 2: rates are up and the prices are still high. We 949 00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:05,120 Speaker 2: can't afford it, you know, and the mortgage payment is 950 00:44:05,160 --> 00:44:07,640 Speaker 2: like triple or whatever what we had a budgeted in 951 00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:10,319 Speaker 2: our take home pay. It's impossible. The more you start 952 00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:12,800 Speaker 2: to look at that, I'm like, you know that to me, 953 00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:15,880 Speaker 2: if they could get some money behind an ad campaign 954 00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:17,919 Speaker 2: or anything like that even just talk I think about 955 00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:21,399 Speaker 2: the issue very very intelligent, and to me, I think 956 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:23,800 Speaker 2: was actually it might be one of the more popular 957 00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:26,279 Speaker 2: elements of what she proposed, and I had not. The 958 00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,480 Speaker 2: only GOP response I'd seen was on immigration. 959 00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,200 Speaker 5: And you know, we're going to talk about the protests 960 00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,360 Speaker 5: in just a bit. But when you're struggling, potentially you 961 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:34,960 Speaker 5: have this potential challenge in front of you with young voters. 962 00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:37,840 Speaker 5: These are people that are our age, right, it's squarely 963 00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,280 Speaker 5: in our demographic. This is their number one issue. Basically, 964 00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,360 Speaker 5: it's student loan debt, and it's housing. And when you 965 00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,640 Speaker 5: can come with a twenty five thousand dollars credit for 966 00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,879 Speaker 5: first time home buyers, I think it's really brilliant. And 967 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,879 Speaker 5: it's forcing Republicans to explain what they're going to do, 968 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,440 Speaker 5: which is likely. I mean, it's like healthcare, right, It's 969 00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:57,120 Speaker 5: like saying I'm for Medicare for all and then having 970 00:44:57,120 --> 00:45:01,959 Speaker 5: Republicans be like, well, I'm for this patch of deregulation. 971 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:03,880 Speaker 4: You can't explain it in a way. 972 00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:08,520 Speaker 5: That is politically viable or politically superior to the average voter, 973 00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:12,680 Speaker 5: because it just it's a it's a pretty big solution 974 00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:14,040 Speaker 5: for a lot of people's problems. 975 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:16,520 Speaker 3: What you hear as a counter is that, oh, well, 976 00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:19,120 Speaker 3: this is useless because it will just raise the price 977 00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:21,960 Speaker 3: of housing by twenty five thousand dollars. But you have 978 00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:24,560 Speaker 3: to remember that not every buyer is a first time 979 00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:28,560 Speaker 3: home buyer. Yes, so it economically speaking, the math should 980 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,319 Speaker 3: work out that it actually does. For houses that are 981 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:34,600 Speaker 3: in the first time home buyer range, it should increase 982 00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:38,640 Speaker 3: the price by something, but not twenty five so some 983 00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:40,439 Speaker 3: of it will some of the substy will be eaten 984 00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:41,920 Speaker 3: up by price increase. 985 00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 2: Sefty is also work in different ways. If it's not 986 00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:46,040 Speaker 2: a tax lot like it could they could apply it 987 00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:48,080 Speaker 2: to moreage interest or there's a lot of different ways 988 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:48,959 Speaker 2: to implement well. 989 00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,520 Speaker 4: And what does that do to supply? And it's just hard. 990 00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:55,399 Speaker 2: They say, the increases supply what they had a home 991 00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:57,839 Speaker 2: builder credit that was in there as well, So they're saying, look, 992 00:45:57,880 --> 00:45:59,600 Speaker 2: I mean we'll see again. I think any of this 993 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:02,680 Speaker 2: stuff will will actually happened, probably not quickly. 994 00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:06,560 Speaker 3: On Obamacare they're talking about so during the beginning of 995 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,400 Speaker 3: the pandemic, you had that, you know, basically the ACA 996 00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:13,760 Speaker 3: was completely subsidized. It took what was a really crappy 997 00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:17,120 Speaker 3: insurance program to a really great insurance program that also 998 00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:20,759 Speaker 3: expired when they didn't include it in the IRA there 999 00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:24,120 Speaker 3: and he's and now she's talking about bringing that subsidy back. 1000 00:46:24,760 --> 00:46:27,399 Speaker 3: And it's happening at the same time that Trump has 1001 00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:29,799 Speaker 3: been saying on the stumps, on his stump speech that 1002 00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:33,839 Speaker 3: he's not going to repeal the ACA that unless he's said, 1003 00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:35,279 Speaker 3: you know, you've sard you've seen the line he says, 1004 00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:38,080 Speaker 3: unless we come up with something better, and by better, 1005 00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:39,840 Speaker 3: I mean better for you, not for the government, so 1006 00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:43,319 Speaker 3: cheaper and better insurance, by which he means we're not 1007 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:46,360 Speaker 3: coming up with anything better. So at minimum, you're going 1008 00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:49,560 Speaker 3: to get the ACA staying in place, and you may 1009 00:46:49,560 --> 00:46:50,560 Speaker 3: even get subsidies. 1010 00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,720 Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and put this one up on the screen. 1011 00:46:56,080 --> 00:47:01,440 Speaker 2: This is from Trump's Twitter account himself. It features a 1012 00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:04,279 Speaker 2: photos don't yeah, he's truly back. 1013 00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:05,600 Speaker 3: Don't threaten me with a good time. 1014 00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:06,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, I was gonna say. 1015 00:47:06,680 --> 00:47:09,600 Speaker 2: Right, the red the what is it? The sickle and 1016 00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:15,520 Speaker 2: the hammer of communism, says Chicago. Basically, this aligns very 1017 00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:19,360 Speaker 2: much emily with the socialists and the communist attack that 1018 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,960 Speaker 2: we've seen increasingly come from the GOP so I'm curious 1019 00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:26,920 Speaker 2: what you think of there, what do you think of 1020 00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,759 Speaker 2: the decision to go all in with this, because this 1021 00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:33,920 Speaker 2: actually came before price control debate, that's before that. That 1022 00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:36,600 Speaker 2: tweet actually went up before that. It was then followed 1023 00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,160 Speaker 2: up with and some of these press conferences and elsewhere. 1024 00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,440 Speaker 5: So I'm of two minds about this because on the 1025 00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:44,000 Speaker 5: one hand, obviously it depends on how you talk it. Like, 1026 00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 5: you can do a lot of polling on things like 1027 00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:49,520 Speaker 5: Medicare for all and you can find massive public support 1028 00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:51,920 Speaker 5: for it. You phrase it a little differently, you can 1029 00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:56,080 Speaker 5: find massive, massive public support against it. So this socialism 1030 00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,800 Speaker 5: as a political football or communism as a political football, 1031 00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:01,719 Speaker 5: it always depends on the framing because it's not just 1032 00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,200 Speaker 5: cut and dry. You know, you call someone a socialist 1033 00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 5: and it's all over. But Republicans do feel like with 1034 00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:11,080 Speaker 5: suburban women in particular, in past elections, recent election cycles, 1035 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,319 Speaker 5: they've felt that it is really powerful to be able 1036 00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:19,160 Speaker 5: to tie Democrats to socialism. And Trump is going full communism, 1037 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:22,680 Speaker 5: threatening Ryan with a good time over here. But seriously, 1038 00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:25,400 Speaker 5: I think there's as cringe and boomeery as that looked. 1039 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 5: I actually do think that if they frame it better 1040 00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:33,080 Speaker 5: throughout the next several months, and they're running those ads 1041 00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:38,120 Speaker 5: tying Kamala Harris to communism, socialism in suburban Philadelphia or 1042 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:42,960 Speaker 5: you know, suburban Detroit, whatever, We're they're competing over fractions here. 1043 00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,480 Speaker 5: This is an election of fractions, just like sixteen and twenty, 1044 00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:48,680 Speaker 5: and it's an electoral college election. And so if you're 1045 00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:51,960 Speaker 5: playing tug of war over socialism and Republicans are doing 1046 00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,680 Speaker 5: a job that frames it. 1047 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:54,239 Speaker 4: Again, we're just. 1048 00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:56,480 Speaker 5: Talking about politics, we're not talking about the substance. But 1049 00:48:56,560 --> 00:49:00,800 Speaker 5: if you're framing it in a way that successfully fearmongers, 1050 00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:01,800 Speaker 5: it can really work. 1051 00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:03,960 Speaker 4: I think those attacks work. I don't know. 1052 00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:06,440 Speaker 5: I'm curious what Ryan thinks about that, because you get 1053 00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,920 Speaker 5: people on the left to say, you know, we pull 1054 00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:12,680 Speaker 5: Medicare for all, it's super popular. We pull forgiving college 1055 00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:16,200 Speaker 5: debt super popular. And then sometimes when those policies trickle 1056 00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:19,440 Speaker 5: into the real world, Republicans have make successful attacks, and 1057 00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:21,200 Speaker 5: student loan debt is a really good example of that. 1058 00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,279 Speaker 3: I think the only thing that sticks to Democrats is 1059 00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:26,680 Speaker 3: we're going to raise They're going to raise your taxes. 1060 00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 3: I don't think that. I don't think anything on the 1061 00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,160 Speaker 3: other side hurts them. I don't think that anything, even 1062 00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:36,200 Speaker 3: even if you call it price controls, these subsidies, all that, 1063 00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:39,080 Speaker 3: to the extent that it can hurt them, it's only 1064 00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:41,520 Speaker 3: because it makes people think, oh wait, somebody's going to 1065 00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:45,240 Speaker 3: have to get taxed to pay for that. And Trump 1066 00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:48,120 Speaker 3: he cut my taxes. Democrats I think they like to 1067 00:49:48,200 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 3: raise taxes. But overall, I don't think the communism thing 1068 00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,720 Speaker 3: is going to land at all. I mean we also, 1069 00:49:57,080 --> 00:50:01,120 Speaker 3: like we mentioned Roe v. Wade earlier, that's still an 1070 00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:02,399 Speaker 3: overriding issue. 1071 00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:02,879 Speaker 5: Yeah. 1072 00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's be clear, we're debating things on the merits 1073 00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 2: where they stand. Let's like immigration and abortion are the 1074 00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:12,800 Speaker 2: two most important issues of where we're actually very divided. 1075 00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:16,320 Speaker 2: Economy is like number three that's within that framework is 1076 00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:17,520 Speaker 2: kind of where I'm thinking. 1077 00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:17,719 Speaker 3: Now. 1078 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,479 Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's number three for vota priorities. It's 1079 00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:22,879 Speaker 2: just that it's more of a mixed bag. So I 1080 00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:25,680 Speaker 2: was explaining this today actually here the dog Walk podcast 1081 00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:28,040 Speaker 2: presented by Barsol Sports, where people should go subscribe to, 1082 00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:29,920 Speaker 2: and they're like, well, what do you think about this election? 1083 00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:31,880 Speaker 2: They're like, do you think this could become a class 1084 00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:33,920 Speaker 2: based election? And I was like, no, and I was like, 1085 00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,520 Speaker 2: and I wish it weren't that way, But why are 1086 00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:42,040 Speaker 2: we the absolute most divided? Immigration and abortion? Those are genuinely, 1087 00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:45,080 Speaker 2: in my opinion, like irreconcilable question. It's like somebody has 1088 00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:46,600 Speaker 2: to win. We're either going to have a ton of 1089 00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,880 Speaker 2: illegal immigrants who continue to come in every year or 1090 00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,160 Speaker 2: we're not. We're either going to kick them out or 1091 00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:55,279 Speaker 2: we're not. That is an irreconcilable question of which we 1092 00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:57,640 Speaker 2: have to decide. Are we gonna have a border wall 1093 00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:00,480 Speaker 2: or not? Abortion? Are we going to be pro choice 1094 00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:02,120 Speaker 2: or are we not going to be pro choice? Like 1095 00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:04,400 Speaker 2: are we gonna allow Alabama and all these other states 1096 00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:07,120 Speaker 2: to have this? Or are we gonna allow Trump to 1097 00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:09,280 Speaker 2: come in? And what is it? Are you for it? Whatever? 1098 00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:13,279 Speaker 2: That the myth press restone like is that legal or 1099 00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:16,640 Speaker 2: is it not legal? That is an irreconcilable political question. 1100 00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:20,000 Speaker 2: On the economic ones, it's a little bit less right. 1101 00:51:20,040 --> 00:51:22,239 Speaker 2: So now we have candidates talking about both kind of 1102 00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,399 Speaker 2: endorse the CTC, Yes, the tax rate and all of that. 1103 00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:28,240 Speaker 2: But a lesson I really internalized Ryan from twenty twenty 1104 00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,600 Speaker 2: two is that you know, the economy can be bad, 1105 00:51:30,680 --> 00:51:33,040 Speaker 2: and look, it was way worse than than it is now, 1106 00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:35,920 Speaker 2: and people will still just be like, I don't care. 1107 00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:39,040 Speaker 2: I care way more about abortion and whether the tail 1108 00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:41,880 Speaker 2: end of that can continue through today. I actually have 1109 00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:44,200 Speaker 2: no idea what that is, but I still think that 1110 00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:47,000 Speaker 2: those two cultural issues, the reason that they'll be more 1111 00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:49,279 Speaker 2: determinative is they're just so much more likely to get 1112 00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:51,720 Speaker 2: somebody to come out to vote. Like, if you're a Republican, 1113 00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:54,279 Speaker 2: you hate the immigrant the border situation, you got to 1114 00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:56,800 Speaker 2: you gotta crawl over broken glass. If you're a Democrat, 1115 00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:59,000 Speaker 2: you know, and you are just pissed off, or especially 1116 00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:02,080 Speaker 2: if you're an Arizona, Texas somewhere like that, you better 1117 00:52:02,120 --> 00:52:04,040 Speaker 2: come out to vote. You be an idiot, frankly not 1118 00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:05,919 Speaker 2: to go out to vote, because if that's your number 1119 00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:08,560 Speaker 2: one issue, Like, yeah, there's a one party that's actually 1120 00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:10,319 Speaker 2: the one thing that they actually kind of want to do, 1121 00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:12,880 Speaker 2: it could do if they got into power. So it 1122 00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,040 Speaker 2: just seems so determinative. 1123 00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,759 Speaker 3: Of you people, And I think that's because people have 1124 00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,440 Speaker 3: lost faith, for the most part, in our political system 1125 00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:22,440 Speaker 3: to solve economic problems. 1126 00:52:22,680 --> 00:52:23,239 Speaker 2: That's very true. 1127 00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 3: People on the margins believe it, but in general, the 1128 00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:30,719 Speaker 3: typical voters like eh, so therefore, what can a politician do. 1129 00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:36,160 Speaker 3: And a politician can, as they've shown, can ban abortion, 1130 00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,920 Speaker 3: or they can legalize abortion. They can build a wall. 1131 00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,600 Speaker 3: They cannot build a wall. Democrats are trying to completely 1132 00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:44,759 Speaker 3: capitulate on immigration to take to take that away from 1133 00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:47,440 Speaker 3: Republicans as much as they can. The other thing they 1134 00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:49,640 Speaker 3: can do is they can they can mess with taxes 1135 00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,839 Speaker 3: and so if that and so if you're super rich, 1136 00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:56,439 Speaker 3: we're pretty rich, and you don't care about or are 1137 00:52:56,640 --> 00:53:01,560 Speaker 3: against abortion rights, then the Republican Party is still that's 1138 00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:04,759 Speaker 3: still your party, right, But for the kind of upper 1139 00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:10,080 Speaker 3: middle class and middle class Democrats who are like I 1140 00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:12,560 Speaker 3: don't like paying a whole lot of taxes, but I 1141 00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,560 Speaker 3: don't like to admit that among my liberal friends, and 1142 00:53:15,640 --> 00:53:17,600 Speaker 3: I support abortion right, some voting for the Democrats. 1143 00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,120 Speaker 2: But the Dems also bottom off. What are the they 1144 00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:23,080 Speaker 2: did is they're like, well, everyone down four hundred two fifty. 1145 00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:26,400 Speaker 2: Now that was four hundred that's a lot of money, Okay, 1146 00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:29,000 Speaker 2: four hundred thousand dollars, I mean, what is that the top? 1147 00:53:29,040 --> 00:53:31,200 Speaker 2: That means all the time you're losing like five percent 1148 00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:33,960 Speaker 2: or two I mean, that's crazy, Like ninety eight percent 1149 00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:35,360 Speaker 2: of the country doesn't make for it. And so the 1150 00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:38,399 Speaker 2: question is has that trickled down culturally to people who 1151 00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:41,400 Speaker 2: are like, Okay, Democrats actually aren't going to raise taxes 1152 00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:42,120 Speaker 2: on me, And. 1153 00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,480 Speaker 3: It may have trickled down by now, well I'm not sure. 1154 00:53:44,520 --> 00:53:45,960 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it's been years now. Of the four 1155 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:47,360 Speaker 2: hundred thousand members ahead. 1156 00:53:47,160 --> 00:53:50,440 Speaker 5: That Trump post looks like a boomer email obviously like 1157 00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:52,920 Speaker 5: that basically what it looks like. But I don't know 1158 00:53:53,080 --> 00:53:55,240 Speaker 5: producer Mac if it's possible to get a one backup 1159 00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:57,799 Speaker 5: on the screen. They the Democrats, Republicans did this as well. 1160 00:53:57,800 --> 00:54:01,200 Speaker 5: It's like a typical convention thing, but put one of 1161 00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:04,040 Speaker 5: their nights is listed for fighting for our freedoms. That's 1162 00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:06,400 Speaker 5: the the Yeah Wednesday a fight for our freedom. So 1163 00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:11,040 Speaker 5: you have Tim Waltz speaking, Bill Clinton, Nancy Pelosi, and 1164 00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:13,880 Speaker 5: Pete Budah Judge. So that is certainly going to be 1165 00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:17,560 Speaker 5: a night where there's a lot of conversation about abortion. 1166 00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:21,040 Speaker 5: And that's clearly I think it's very clearly a winning 1167 00:54:21,080 --> 00:54:24,280 Speaker 5: issue for Democrats in places there Michigan where you're fighting 1168 00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:27,600 Speaker 5: for especially suburban women. But that's also the same demographic 1169 00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:31,080 Speaker 5: that Republicans think they can win over. With this tug 1170 00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:35,279 Speaker 5: of war over socialism, and so communism might not even 1171 00:54:35,280 --> 00:54:38,600 Speaker 5: be as potent as socialism because it feels less believable 1172 00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:42,240 Speaker 5: with Kamala Harris for a lot of people, because Kamala 1173 00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,200 Speaker 5: Harris has come out now capitulated on immigration. She has 1174 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:48,520 Speaker 5: come out and said, you know, she's going to do. 1175 00:54:49,040 --> 00:54:52,399 Speaker 5: What's another good example, there's immigration shit fracking. Yeah, that's 1176 00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:54,760 Speaker 5: a great example. Another fantastic examples. 1177 00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:55,160 Speaker 4: See. 1178 00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:57,640 Speaker 2: The thing is with those two is again is that 1179 00:54:57,680 --> 00:55:01,080 Speaker 2: if you look at the word clouds we commissioned at 1180 00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:04,040 Speaker 2: breaking point incompetent is number one. I don't think that 1181 00:55:04,080 --> 00:55:06,799 Speaker 2: the socialism communism stuff. I don't think it hits. They 1182 00:55:06,840 --> 00:55:10,120 Speaker 2: call everybody socialist, they call everybody communist, just like liberals 1183 00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:13,120 Speaker 2: always call Republicans fascist. It's like, why should I believe 1184 00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:15,320 Speaker 2: you, you know if if Romney is just as much of 1185 00:55:15,320 --> 00:55:17,120 Speaker 2: a fascist as Trump, like, you're an idiot. 1186 00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:19,600 Speaker 3: I think you're talking of skepticism. And government plays into 1187 00:55:19,600 --> 00:55:21,080 Speaker 3: that too because they might think, we, you know what, 1188 00:55:21,120 --> 00:55:24,360 Speaker 3: maybe she is actually personally a socialist, her dad was Marxist. 1189 00:55:24,880 --> 00:55:27,040 Speaker 3: Anything but a bunch of liars. 1190 00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:29,000 Speaker 5: Well remember and that didn't it didn't work. It did 1191 00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:31,200 Speaker 5: not work on Obama. And so I think if someone 1192 00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:35,680 Speaker 5: is an outspoken democratic socialist and Alexandria Costio Cortez or 1193 00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:39,520 Speaker 5: in ilhan Omar, then Republicans will try to tie Democrats 1194 00:55:39,520 --> 00:55:42,120 Speaker 5: to this person who is openly says that they espouse 1195 00:55:42,200 --> 00:55:45,960 Speaker 5: democratic socialism, and that I do think Worksmala Harris Jarney. 1196 00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:47,160 Speaker 3: Was like neck and neck and head to heads with 1197 00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:48,960 Speaker 3: Trump calling himself a socialist. 1198 00:55:49,160 --> 00:55:50,200 Speaker 4: But it's still a fractional. 1199 00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:53,600 Speaker 5: You can still get those votes to turn the election 1200 00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:56,040 Speaker 5: just a tiny little bit in the electoral call. 1201 00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:59,160 Speaker 2: Art of my frustration here is incompetence is sitting there 1202 00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:02,480 Speaker 2: waiting a flip flop. That is all I'm talking about. 1203 00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:06,120 Speaker 2: You like the lady who you know, how many clips 1204 00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:08,720 Speaker 2: did we play on what was it our Monday show 1205 00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,600 Speaker 2: Mac where we're talking about immigration, right, and we had 1206 00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:14,800 Speaker 2: clips that juxtaposed her new border ad as opposed to 1207 00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:17,200 Speaker 2: how she used to talk. I'm like, get out of here, lady. 1208 00:56:17,239 --> 00:56:19,720 Speaker 2: I don't believe a single word that you say here. Yeah, 1209 00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:21,839 Speaker 2: on the border. And actually, if we look and we 1210 00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:24,800 Speaker 2: think about some of those attacks that score the highest 1211 00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:27,600 Speaker 2: against Kamala, the borders are attack is number one, and 1212 00:56:27,640 --> 00:56:29,520 Speaker 2: I think it should be, because I'm like, lady, you 1213 00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:32,879 Speaker 2: recalled the borders are under your administration, there were eight 1214 00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,839 Speaker 2: to ten million illegal immigrants who entered this country. Do 1215 00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:38,239 Speaker 2: you stand by that or not? Is that something you 1216 00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,520 Speaker 2: would change? Yes or no? Now she says yes, now 1217 00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:44,480 Speaker 2: when she's the presidential candidate. I'm like, Okay, I don't 1218 00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:46,719 Speaker 2: think that makes a lot of sense here. So the 1219 00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,919 Speaker 2: incompetent and the flip flop line just seems so much 1220 00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:52,920 Speaker 2: more potent to me because that is something that both 1221 00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:56,839 Speaker 2: leftists and people on the right and even like independence 1222 00:56:57,120 --> 00:56:59,960 Speaker 2: that can all agree with that was incompetent? Was it 1223 00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:01,560 Speaker 2: big one even amongst Democrats? 1224 00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:03,080 Speaker 4: I think it's a more powerful one. 1225 00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:06,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, it is powerful. But her opponent is Donald Trump. 1226 00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:07,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, but nobody cares. 1227 00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:12,960 Speaker 3: He has been. He has been and he's been president, 1228 00:57:13,080 --> 00:57:16,560 Speaker 3: and competence would not be the big buzz word that 1229 00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:17,760 Speaker 3: you associate with that four. 1230 00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:20,520 Speaker 5: Year But the Trump, the Trump sort of nostalgia. What 1231 00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:23,920 Speaker 5: are democrats referring it to Trump nostalgia? Actually a lot 1232 00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:27,040 Speaker 5: of people would probably read into him foreign policy wise 1233 00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:30,640 Speaker 5: and economic wise, more competence because whether it's rose colored 1234 00:57:30,720 --> 00:57:32,600 Speaker 5: lenses or what, there are a lot of voters who 1235 00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:35,360 Speaker 5: felt like they were better off economically and in terms 1236 00:57:35,400 --> 00:57:38,400 Speaker 5: of national security under Donald Trump. I don't know how 1237 00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:40,120 Speaker 5: popular or how powerful that is. 1238 00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:42,760 Speaker 2: Well, I did see that too, I saw I would 1239 00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:44,280 Speaker 2: think it was a Fox News interview. I was just 1240 00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:46,200 Speaker 2: looking for it now where they asked JD about the 1241 00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:48,680 Speaker 2: plan to whatever get prices in control, and he's like, 1242 00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:51,400 Speaker 2: President Trump was already president. It's like, he's already you know, 1243 00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:53,720 Speaker 2: he got prices under control, that he'll return everything back 1244 00:57:53,760 --> 00:57:55,520 Speaker 2: to to that. And I was like, well, you know, 1245 00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:57,720 Speaker 2: even if it's not true or not, that's actually quite smart. 1246 00:57:57,760 --> 00:57:58,400 Speaker 4: It's a real thing. 1247 00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:00,520 Speaker 2: That's a real thing. Yeah, it's the real thing that 1248 00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:02,720 Speaker 2: people feel they're like when Trump was president, gas was 1249 00:58:02,720 --> 00:58:05,800 Speaker 2: ex groceries, Werek, Why now Biden is president and it's 1250 00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:08,120 Speaker 2: not I feel like he didn't do anything about that. 1251 00:58:08,200 --> 00:58:11,040 Speaker 2: Now Kamala who is literally his vice president, says she 1252 00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:13,760 Speaker 2: wants to do something four years later, Like do I 1253 00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:16,520 Speaker 2: really credibly think that. I'm not so sure. I mean, 1254 00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:18,920 Speaker 2: at the same time, you know, this is where the 1255 00:58:18,960 --> 00:58:22,440 Speaker 2: Trump nostalgia on foreign policy, on an economic policy, that's 1256 00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:26,440 Speaker 2: probably where he's the biggest beneficiary of. And I mean 1257 00:58:26,480 --> 00:58:29,360 Speaker 2: if I'm thinking to the Trump attacks, like the attacks 1258 00:58:29,400 --> 00:58:32,040 Speaker 2: that Kamala and them have used on Trump more recently, 1259 00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:35,080 Speaker 2: it is very much like a roll your eyes and 1260 00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:37,400 Speaker 2: avoid the chaos. And I think that again, to give 1261 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,760 Speaker 2: them credit, I think that's smart instead of buying into 1262 00:58:41,200 --> 00:58:44,640 Speaker 2: the concern trolling of like our children are watching and. 1263 00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:46,960 Speaker 4: Can you believe what he said this time. 1264 00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:50,320 Speaker 2: It's very much like, okay, whatever, we've seen this movie before. 1265 00:58:50,560 --> 00:58:52,920 Speaker 2: Let's beat him at the ballot box in November and 1266 00:58:53,000 --> 00:58:55,080 Speaker 2: to make it like a bigger thing again. I think 1267 00:58:55,120 --> 00:58:57,120 Speaker 2: that is smart coming from the Democrats right now. 1268 00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:00,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's right. And the weird kind of 1269 00:59:00,880 --> 00:59:04,840 Speaker 3: counter fits into that in that because when you're calling 1270 00:59:04,880 --> 00:59:10,040 Speaker 3: somebody weird, you're not condemning them, you're not even you're 1271 00:59:10,040 --> 00:59:13,360 Speaker 3: not passing kind of moral judgment necessarily, you're just saying 1272 00:59:14,520 --> 00:59:17,640 Speaker 3: kind of weird, like just not my That's that's not 1273 00:59:17,720 --> 00:59:20,720 Speaker 3: how I would do it. You know, Trump, you do you, 1274 00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:23,560 Speaker 3: jd Vance, you do you. But strikes me as a 1275 00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:27,520 Speaker 3: bit weird, and it doesn't come off as preachy in 1276 00:59:27,560 --> 00:59:30,760 Speaker 3: the way that set the such a terrible tone for 1277 00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:31,640 Speaker 3: the Hillary campaign. 1278 00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:34,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true. The preachiness from the Hillary people was 1279 00:59:34,200 --> 00:59:35,440 Speaker 2: I think the single biggest. 1280 00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:38,800 Speaker 5: But I do think Democrats, though, are feeling so confident 1281 00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,720 Speaker 5: with Kamala Harris that they have slipped into that a 1282 00:59:41,720 --> 00:59:43,800 Speaker 5: couple of times. And it's too early to say whether 1283 00:59:43,840 --> 00:59:47,560 Speaker 5: it becomes a dominant tone of the campaign. But Ryan 1284 00:59:47,560 --> 00:59:49,960 Speaker 5: has an example right here. Ryan's new hat. 1285 00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:52,560 Speaker 3: Rocking my new hat from Emily's list. But I thought 1286 00:59:52,560 --> 00:59:58,520 Speaker 3: you embroidered that because if you can't read it says unburdened, right. 1287 00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:01,040 Speaker 4: Yes, and that he's got it on. 1288 01:00:01,160 --> 01:00:01,320 Speaker 2: Now. 1289 01:00:02,040 --> 01:00:05,080 Speaker 5: There are times where I do think because of that 1290 01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:07,760 Speaker 5: level of confidence in the honeymoon, which I also think 1291 01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:10,280 Speaker 5: this will extend it. I think you'll see cracks in 1292 01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:13,240 Speaker 5: the honeymoon start to show up after Labor Day because 1293 01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:14,360 Speaker 5: the sugar high can. 1294 01:00:14,240 --> 01:00:17,360 Speaker 4: Only last so long. When Kamala Harris is the nominee. 1295 01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:19,440 Speaker 5: It's not to say she's not still a much much, 1296 01:00:19,520 --> 01:00:21,440 Speaker 5: much better candidate than Joe Biden, and the media is 1297 01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:25,440 Speaker 5: still going to bat for her hard, but it's just natural. 1298 01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:27,680 Speaker 5: It's the up and down of politics, and so when 1299 01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:31,000 Speaker 5: that happens, we will see how Democrats react. Do they 1300 01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:34,439 Speaker 5: react by doubling down in a twenty sixteen esque way 1301 01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:37,560 Speaker 5: that goes into those commercials with the children watching Donald 1302 01:00:37,560 --> 01:00:40,840 Speaker 5: Trump swhere who knows, which is just not effective. 1303 01:00:40,880 --> 01:00:44,040 Speaker 2: Well, don't forget about this. The next presidential debate, the 1304 01:00:44,040 --> 01:00:46,880 Speaker 2: first debate is actually going to take place on September tenth, 1305 01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,120 Speaker 2: so it's only twenty days or so away. So we're 1306 01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:51,120 Speaker 2: going to go through this week of the DNC. You 1307 01:00:51,160 --> 01:00:53,240 Speaker 2: get the sugar high, then you get about a week 1308 01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:55,640 Speaker 2: where they're both going to define each other, and then 1309 01:00:55,640 --> 01:00:57,480 Speaker 2: they're both on a stage and you know, we're now 1310 01:00:57,680 --> 01:01:00,680 Speaker 2: actually that's real game on, Like that's game time, And 1311 01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:05,040 Speaker 2: the real question is can she withstand the Trump performance? 1312 01:01:05,080 --> 01:01:07,320 Speaker 2: Like what does it look like with Donald Trump on 1313 01:01:07,400 --> 01:01:10,920 Speaker 2: the stage with Kamala? Genuinely nobody knows this because this Kamala, 1314 01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:11,800 Speaker 2: who are you? 1315 01:01:11,880 --> 01:01:11,960 Speaker 3: Like? 1316 01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:14,600 Speaker 2: What do you believe? Are you more confident? I think 1317 01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:16,880 Speaker 2: she has been. Actually she's a lot more confident because 1318 01:01:16,920 --> 01:01:18,320 Speaker 2: she didn't actually have to win the nomination. 1319 01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:18,600 Speaker 4: Yees. 1320 01:01:18,920 --> 01:01:21,080 Speaker 2: I mean I think honestly, if I were I'd be 1321 01:01:21,080 --> 01:01:24,360 Speaker 2: pretty confident too. Right if somebody was like, hey, you 1322 01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:26,280 Speaker 2: went from like you were, you know, a number two, 1323 01:01:26,400 --> 01:01:28,160 Speaker 2: you're loyal, now you're number one. You don't even have 1324 01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:30,440 Speaker 2: to fight for it? Ye, we got you. Here's your campaign. 1325 01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:33,440 Speaker 2: Here's a couple hundred fasts. I mean like I want 1326 01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:34,600 Speaker 2: to have to do this for one hundred days. I 1327 01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:37,040 Speaker 2: don't have to leave my house for two years and 1328 01:01:37,080 --> 01:01:38,560 Speaker 2: all of this I could be president. I mean that 1329 01:01:38,560 --> 01:01:40,479 Speaker 2: sounds pretty cool, right, I would be flying high. 1330 01:01:40,520 --> 01:01:43,479 Speaker 3: And there's the salor. The Sarah Palin playbook of debate 1331 01:01:43,600 --> 01:01:46,800 Speaker 3: performance was you know, they said, okay, they did the math. 1332 01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:49,880 Speaker 3: They were like, we need twenty two minutes. Yes, that's right, 1333 01:01:50,160 --> 01:01:53,400 Speaker 3: of sound bites that are going to get clipped because 1334 01:01:54,080 --> 01:01:59,360 Speaker 3: it turns out that people don't actually like an incredible rejoinder. 1335 01:02:00,320 --> 01:02:02,560 Speaker 3: You know, you've got your viral moment right there. But 1336 01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,480 Speaker 3: doesn't need to be that. It can just be saying 1337 01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:08,000 Speaker 3: something mean about the other person in a clever way, ye, 1338 01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:11,840 Speaker 3: completely unprompted and not even answering the question. So all 1339 01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:14,400 Speaker 3: she has to do is have, like, let's say, forty 1340 01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:18,760 Speaker 3: five minutes if it's a long debate of canned proscatorial 1341 01:02:18,920 --> 01:02:21,640 Speaker 3: arguments that she's going to dish it at Trump, and 1342 01:02:21,640 --> 01:02:23,960 Speaker 3: then she has to deliver them. And we know that 1343 01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:26,520 Speaker 3: she can do that. In short form. She did that 1344 01:02:26,640 --> 01:02:30,360 Speaker 3: little bust thing to Joe Biden. Remember that one was 1345 01:02:30,440 --> 01:02:33,840 Speaker 3: that I was that little girl. Yeah, yeah, didn't actually 1346 01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:38,080 Speaker 3: make a whole lot of sense because it wasn't didn't 1347 01:02:38,120 --> 01:02:41,440 Speaker 3: fit the busting policy. Whatever, it doesn't doesn't matter. It 1348 01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:44,360 Speaker 3: sounded like a good quip and it landed and it 1349 01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:46,400 Speaker 3: worked for her in that in that moment too. 1350 01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:48,640 Speaker 2: And this is the biggest problem is that Biden, you know, 1351 01:02:48,720 --> 01:02:51,360 Speaker 2: gave a once in a century performance. We actually melted down, 1352 01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:54,240 Speaker 2: like immediately in the first ten minutes. But most people 1353 01:02:54,440 --> 01:02:57,360 Speaker 2: the reason that debates traditionally don't matter is if you 1354 01:02:57,400 --> 01:03:01,360 Speaker 2: were a politician of any reasonable talent surviving for forty 1355 01:03:01,360 --> 01:03:05,280 Speaker 2: five minutes actually less with commercial breaks, you can do it. 1356 01:03:05,320 --> 01:03:07,800 Speaker 2: Just platitude your way through whatever and then let the 1357 01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:08,240 Speaker 2: k hie. 1358 01:03:08,560 --> 01:03:09,560 Speaker 4: He did it in twenty twenty. 1359 01:03:09,760 --> 01:03:11,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, Trump did that in twenty twenty. It was fine. 1360 01:03:11,680 --> 01:03:13,560 Speaker 2: Biden did that in twenty twenty. It was fine. I 1361 01:03:13,600 --> 01:03:16,600 Speaker 2: mean Hillary, like she gave what is the pundits all said, 1362 01:03:16,640 --> 01:03:19,440 Speaker 2: Hillary won all three Guess what? Trump still won the election. Okay, 1363 01:03:19,520 --> 01:03:21,880 Speaker 2: because it's not that hard. It's not that difficult actually 1364 01:03:21,960 --> 01:03:22,320 Speaker 2: to get through. 1365 01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:24,240 Speaker 4: I mean he went off to be clear. 1366 01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:29,000 Speaker 2: My favorite YEA moment is yeah, you'd be in jail. 1367 01:03:29,040 --> 01:03:31,240 Speaker 3: That's that's all. 1368 01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:33,000 Speaker 2: Time, top tier, you would be in jail. That's as 1369 01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:35,840 Speaker 2: good as it gets. But yeah, in general, I think 1370 01:03:35,840 --> 01:03:38,040 Speaker 2: what we can just say is the Trump campaigns having 1371 01:03:38,080 --> 01:03:42,240 Speaker 2: difficulty defining Kamala Harris going into this. Uh, they are 1372 01:03:42,240 --> 01:03:44,960 Speaker 2: trying to do counter programming. It's not really working. They're 1373 01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:47,680 Speaker 2: going to be all over you know, press, but everybody's here, 1374 01:03:47,680 --> 01:03:50,240 Speaker 2: you know, people are rightfully I think, covering Biden, covering 1375 01:03:50,240 --> 01:03:52,919 Speaker 2: the DNC, what's going to happen, and then how they 1376 01:03:53,040 --> 01:03:56,600 Speaker 2: define her in that one to two week period afterwards 1377 01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:59,320 Speaker 2: and then leading into the debate. That's the key stretch. 1378 01:03:59,400 --> 01:04:02,680 Speaker 2: So I really think, guys that the election begins this 1379 01:04:02,960 --> 01:04:05,960 Speaker 2: after this week. That's like the real general election. Yea, 1380 01:04:06,120 --> 01:04:08,720 Speaker 2: let's see where the like she's gonna get her sugar high. 1381 01:04:08,840 --> 01:04:11,240 Speaker 2: They've got two weeks there right before that debate, and 1382 01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:14,480 Speaker 2: then the debate is like, fully, that's the sprint all. 1383 01:04:14,360 --> 01:04:14,960 Speaker 3: The way to a life. 1384 01:04:15,120 --> 01:04:15,600 Speaker 4: I agree with that. 1385 01:04:15,880 --> 01:04:19,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, and start starting basically head to head or maybe 1386 01:04:19,200 --> 01:04:22,760 Speaker 3: with Harris behind where she needs to be like because 1387 01:04:22,760 --> 01:04:23,400 Speaker 3: she needs to be. 1388 01:04:23,440 --> 01:04:26,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's Trump. I mean, yeah, like we said forty 1389 01:04:26,760 --> 01:04:29,280 Speaker 2: seven percent chance I mean that's high. Honestly, I would 1390 01:04:29,280 --> 01:04:31,800 Speaker 2: take that bed for Trump, like I think that's underestimating Trump. 1391 01:04:31,840 --> 01:04:36,080 Speaker 2: And I still think he's got fifty. Like fifty, it's 1392 01:04:36,080 --> 01:04:37,400 Speaker 2: coin toss, but if you put a gun to my head, 1393 01:04:37,400 --> 01:04:42,600 Speaker 2: I still think you would win. We have some video 1394 01:04:43,080 --> 01:04:46,400 Speaker 2: from Chicago. This actually happened last night as all of 1395 01:04:46,480 --> 01:04:48,880 Speaker 2: us were getting in. So our producer Mac is going 1396 01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:50,960 Speaker 2: to go ahead and queue that up. But there was 1397 01:04:51,000 --> 01:04:53,120 Speaker 2: an event. I think it was a Grant Park, is 1398 01:04:53,160 --> 01:04:57,520 Speaker 2: that right? There's an event here here in Chicago, and 1399 01:04:57,720 --> 01:05:01,200 Speaker 2: the event was like a DNC type thing, and there 1400 01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:04,960 Speaker 2: was a stage where protesters actually were able to get 1401 01:05:05,040 --> 01:05:09,280 Speaker 2: up on the stage and actually grab the microphone and 1402 01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:12,040 Speaker 2: began shouting to the crowd. So Matt, can we queue 1403 01:05:12,040 --> 01:05:14,840 Speaker 2: that up please, and we'll play it for everybody. Let's 1404 01:05:14,840 --> 01:05:39,120 Speaker 2: take a listen you okay? Yeah, so you can see 1405 01:05:39,120 --> 01:05:41,080 Speaker 2: they're taking the stage there. And then our very own 1406 01:05:41,120 --> 01:05:45,400 Speaker 2: Emily actually here on the ground, had an interview with 1407 01:05:45,640 --> 01:05:48,600 Speaker 2: a protester. Matt, can we go and queue that up 1408 01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:51,240 Speaker 2: and I will toss to it. But Emily, before we 1409 01:05:51,280 --> 01:05:52,640 Speaker 2: get to that, just tell us about what it was 1410 01:05:52,680 --> 01:05:54,800 Speaker 2: like to walk with some of those protesters. Things are 1411 01:05:54,880 --> 01:05:57,280 Speaker 2: kicking off a little bit right now too. What did 1412 01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:58,200 Speaker 2: you see when you were there? 1413 01:05:58,240 --> 01:06:01,000 Speaker 4: Well, obviously we're at the d NC. You guys made 1414 01:06:01,080 --> 01:06:02,080 Speaker 4: me go talk. 1415 01:06:02,000 --> 01:06:05,600 Speaker 3: To the press like a. 1416 01:06:05,640 --> 01:06:07,760 Speaker 4: Leftist, and I was like, this is how I always 1417 01:06:07,840 --> 01:06:10,160 Speaker 4: dressed down there? 1418 01:06:10,920 --> 01:06:11,600 Speaker 2: Would they would love? 1419 01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:14,440 Speaker 4: There were there were people. Yeah, I met a couple 1420 01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:16,600 Speaker 4: of breakers in the wild and shout out. 1421 01:06:17,040 --> 01:06:19,200 Speaker 5: But you know, I talked to a handful of people 1422 01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:21,400 Speaker 5: who were there at the protest. It was big, but 1423 01:06:21,880 --> 01:06:26,000 Speaker 5: scattered so on a couple of baseball fields in Union 1424 01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:28,520 Speaker 5: Park here in Chicago. And one of the questions that 1425 01:06:28,560 --> 01:06:31,160 Speaker 5: I wanted to put to protesters is are you with 1426 01:06:31,280 --> 01:06:35,400 Speaker 5: Kamala Harris or are you uncommitted? And talk to one 1427 01:06:36,240 --> 01:06:38,560 Speaker 5: woman who said she was voting for Kamala but she 1428 01:06:38,600 --> 01:06:40,480 Speaker 5: was kind of nervous to say that to be honest, 1429 01:06:40,520 --> 01:06:45,320 Speaker 5: and was like intentionally on the outskirts of the protests. Yeah, yeah, right, 1430 01:06:46,320 --> 01:06:48,880 Speaker 5: And I did though this was a big takeaway from me. 1431 01:06:48,920 --> 01:06:51,000 Speaker 5: I talked to a few people who said they would 1432 01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:56,560 Speaker 5: genuinely support voting for Kamala Harris if a ceasefire negotiation 1433 01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:59,680 Speaker 5: is reached. If there's a ceasefire agreement, that is reached 1434 01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:03,920 Speaker 5: by the Biden Harris administration that that would legitimately perhaps 1435 01:07:04,120 --> 01:07:06,280 Speaker 5: send them out to vote for Kamala Harris. Now, to 1436 01:07:06,360 --> 01:07:08,560 Speaker 5: be fair, this is a crowd of people who are 1437 01:07:08,680 --> 01:07:11,960 Speaker 5: are pretty hard left. You know, there's some Antifa type 1438 01:07:12,000 --> 01:07:13,920 Speaker 5: elements in the crowd mixing in with the crowd. 1439 01:07:14,440 --> 01:07:15,320 Speaker 4: There's people from. 1440 01:07:15,160 --> 01:07:19,560 Speaker 5: The usual Democratic protest groups that go to all of 1441 01:07:19,560 --> 01:07:25,000 Speaker 5: these types of events. But even so, when a potential 1442 01:07:25,040 --> 01:07:28,360 Speaker 5: ceasefire is what brings in this fractional election where there's 1443 01:07:28,440 --> 01:07:31,920 Speaker 5: tug of war over all of these different fractional groups 1444 01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:35,440 Speaker 5: of voters in states like Michigan, there are people from 1445 01:07:35,480 --> 01:07:39,439 Speaker 5: outside of Chicago here, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. When that's what you're 1446 01:07:39,520 --> 01:07:42,200 Speaker 5: doing in this tug of war young voters in particular, 1447 01:07:42,440 --> 01:07:46,120 Speaker 5: that's it's possible that uh and we were just about 1448 01:07:46,120 --> 01:07:46,680 Speaker 5: to talk about that. 1449 01:07:47,680 --> 01:07:49,840 Speaker 2: Let's take let's take a listen then to this video 1450 01:07:50,000 --> 01:07:51,600 Speaker 2: that Emily shot with a protester. 1451 01:07:52,040 --> 01:07:53,720 Speaker 5: How are you gonna support Kamala Harris? 1452 01:07:53,800 --> 01:07:54,520 Speaker 4: You, I'm committed. 1453 01:07:54,800 --> 01:07:57,320 Speaker 1: She's not getting my vote unless she can permanently cease 1454 01:07:57,360 --> 01:08:01,680 Speaker 1: fire and GUS and stop sending UH weapons to kill 1455 01:08:01,720 --> 01:08:05,040 Speaker 1: innocent children and babies. 1456 01:08:05,400 --> 01:08:07,120 Speaker 5: So and I talked to a few people who had 1457 01:08:07,160 --> 01:08:10,480 Speaker 5: the exact same perspective, said, you know, I'm I will 1458 01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:14,200 Speaker 5: legitimately consider voting for the Biden Hairs ticket or I 1459 01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:17,200 Speaker 5: sound like the dumb platform, which also we should note 1460 01:08:17,280 --> 01:08:18,520 Speaker 5: began with the land acknowledgment. 1461 01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:19,960 Speaker 2: Oh did it really important? 1462 01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:20,120 Speaker 4: Wow? 1463 01:08:20,520 --> 01:08:20,720 Speaker 3: Yes. 1464 01:08:21,479 --> 01:08:23,960 Speaker 5: So but there were there were a handful of people 1465 01:08:23,960 --> 01:08:26,320 Speaker 5: who said, you know, even in this hard this crowd 1466 01:08:26,320 --> 01:08:28,439 Speaker 5: of like genuine leftists who said they would vote for 1467 01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:30,439 Speaker 5: the Harris ticket if there's a ceasefire agreement. 1468 01:08:31,040 --> 01:08:32,280 Speaker 2: Interesting, Ryan, what do you think? 1469 01:08:32,760 --> 01:08:36,960 Speaker 3: Right? So the question then becomes and also but think yeah, 1470 01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:39,839 Speaker 3: to your point this is these are the committed folks 1471 01:08:40,040 --> 01:08:45,280 Speaker 3: right who there will be a bigger rally tomorrow. But thousand, 1472 01:08:45,320 --> 01:08:47,639 Speaker 3: two thousand people out there, you think yeah, And it's 1473 01:08:47,640 --> 01:08:50,640 Speaker 3: building to the organizers trying to say fifteen thousands. 1474 01:08:50,720 --> 01:08:53,719 Speaker 2: Didn't see that, but there definitely was not fifty. 1475 01:08:54,320 --> 01:08:56,559 Speaker 3: But these these are the hardcore folks. So if even 1476 01:08:56,600 --> 01:08:59,280 Speaker 3: those folks are like, you know, I'm open to voting 1477 01:08:59,640 --> 01:09:02,360 Speaker 3: for that suggest that there's a real opening there. And 1478 01:09:02,360 --> 01:09:05,200 Speaker 3: the news out of out of Doha in these negotiations 1479 01:09:05,240 --> 01:09:08,240 Speaker 3: is that so that Netyah, who had been demanding two 1480 01:09:08,280 --> 01:09:11,439 Speaker 3: key things, IDF control of the Philadelphia Corridor, which is 1481 01:09:11,439 --> 01:09:16,200 Speaker 3: the area in Rafa, the border between Egypt and Gaza. 1482 01:09:16,320 --> 01:09:19,840 Speaker 3: And then another checkpoint, IDF control of Netserene Corridor, which 1483 01:09:19,840 --> 01:09:23,439 Speaker 3: would divide North Gaza from South Gaza, which is just 1484 01:09:23,520 --> 01:09:26,720 Speaker 3: utterly insane, like they're not agreeing to like turning it 1485 01:09:26,760 --> 01:09:32,760 Speaker 3: into another into that, And so he has since net Ya, 1486 01:09:32,840 --> 01:09:38,240 Speaker 3: who was backed away from the Netzerene Corridor in exchange 1487 01:09:38,240 --> 01:09:41,760 Speaker 3: for a small but somewhat regulated IDF presence in the 1488 01:09:41,800 --> 01:09:47,639 Speaker 3: Philadelphia Corridor in that border, so it's possible that Hamas 1489 01:09:47,680 --> 01:09:53,200 Speaker 3: could agree to that, and since Netya who's already presented it, 1490 01:09:53,200 --> 01:09:55,000 Speaker 3: it's difficult for him to them back out if they say, 1491 01:09:55,040 --> 01:09:58,240 Speaker 3: you know what, we'll take that. We'll see. Like optimism 1492 01:09:58,240 --> 01:10:02,200 Speaker 3: towards the ceasefire is for suckers, like it's it's been 1493 01:10:02,600 --> 01:10:05,520 Speaker 3: a fool's game the entire time, But it does seem 1494 01:10:05,880 --> 01:10:08,840 Speaker 3: like everyone has an incentive to reach a deal at 1495 01:10:08,840 --> 01:10:12,680 Speaker 3: this point, especially with the Ron saying we won't retaliate. 1496 01:10:14,040 --> 01:10:16,360 Speaker 2: Can you can you just expand a bit though on 1497 01:10:16,400 --> 01:10:18,320 Speaker 2: a tweet that you put out today, he said, the 1498 01:10:18,360 --> 01:10:20,800 Speaker 2: whole Israel portion is a huge slap in the face, 1499 01:10:20,800 --> 01:10:22,519 Speaker 2: too uncommitted talk to us about them. 1500 01:10:22,560 --> 01:10:24,960 Speaker 5: By the way, we should just we should have a 1501 01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:28,519 Speaker 5: section in every show dedicated to making Ryan holding him 1502 01:10:28,520 --> 01:10:29,639 Speaker 5: accountable for his. 1503 01:10:29,560 --> 01:10:31,479 Speaker 2: Own tweets as long as you don't hold me accountable. 1504 01:10:31,880 --> 01:10:36,360 Speaker 3: Yeah. So the so the the platform was released today 1505 01:10:37,200 --> 01:10:39,559 Speaker 3: and you can find it on my twitter feed. I 1506 01:10:39,600 --> 01:10:42,840 Speaker 3: have a link to it there. Starts on pay The 1507 01:10:42,880 --> 01:10:46,720 Speaker 3: Israel Palestine part starts on page eighty three and it 1508 01:10:46,800 --> 01:10:49,759 Speaker 3: reads as if a pac wrote it. Really yeah, interesting 1509 01:10:50,120 --> 01:10:54,120 Speaker 3: this part that jumped out at me. Here They basically 1510 01:10:54,120 --> 01:10:57,759 Speaker 3: they have a one sided condemnation of conflict related sexual 1511 01:10:57,880 --> 01:11:02,720 Speaker 3: violence aimed only at Hamas, which is taking now this 1512 01:11:03,200 --> 01:11:06,040 Speaker 3: like he's done a couple of weeks ago, but still 1513 01:11:06,280 --> 01:11:09,520 Speaker 3: it's now being published in the context of the Kanesset 1514 01:11:09,840 --> 01:11:14,200 Speaker 3: having an open debate about whether the acknowledged rape of 1515 01:11:14,560 --> 01:11:18,840 Speaker 3: Palestinian detainees is legally okay or not right, not a 1516 01:11:18,920 --> 01:11:22,160 Speaker 3: question whether it happened, but whether it actually is okay 1517 01:11:22,200 --> 01:11:25,880 Speaker 3: and good that it was done in that context. To 1518 01:11:26,720 --> 01:11:31,960 Speaker 3: only call out Hamas is a huge lap in the face. 1519 01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:36,519 Speaker 3: But separate from that, it just goes on and says 1520 01:11:36,560 --> 01:11:38,519 Speaker 3: that you know, the Palestinians are the ones who don't 1521 01:11:38,520 --> 01:11:43,200 Speaker 3: care about a two state solution. In the context of 1522 01:11:43,240 --> 01:11:48,120 Speaker 3: the Israeli government explicitly, legally, officially repeatedly saying they do 1523 01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:51,800 Speaker 3: not support a two state solution, the DNC platform says 1524 01:11:51,840 --> 01:11:54,800 Speaker 3: it's the Palestinians that are the obstacle to a two 1525 01:11:54,840 --> 01:11:58,320 Speaker 3: state solution, and it just bashes Iran for like two pages. 1526 01:11:58,560 --> 01:12:00,599 Speaker 2: But then what's up with the protesters, right, because, like 1527 01:12:00,600 --> 01:12:03,040 Speaker 2: you just said, Dave Weigel, who we may be able 1528 01:12:03,080 --> 01:12:05,360 Speaker 2: to get on the show at some point this week, 1529 01:12:05,560 --> 01:12:08,080 Speaker 2: said that, you know, the protest organizers were like, oh, 1530 01:12:08,120 --> 01:12:10,599 Speaker 2: we're gonna have thirty forty thousand people. There's nothing close 1531 01:12:10,600 --> 01:12:11,200 Speaker 2: to I've seen it. 1532 01:12:11,240 --> 01:12:13,519 Speaker 5: Close to one hundred reports saying I'm expecting close to 1533 01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:14,439 Speaker 5: one hundred thousand people. 1534 01:12:15,120 --> 01:12:17,120 Speaker 2: We're all here in Chicago. None of us have seen 1535 01:12:17,160 --> 01:12:17,519 Speaker 2: any of that. 1536 01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:19,040 Speaker 3: We'll see what we'll do. 1537 01:12:19,800 --> 01:12:20,879 Speaker 2: Let's see what happens tomorrow. 1538 01:12:20,880 --> 01:12:23,080 Speaker 4: Cops everywhere, well, there are cops literally everywhere. 1539 01:12:23,120 --> 01:12:24,360 Speaker 5: This is actually one of the things that I want 1540 01:12:24,400 --> 01:12:26,160 Speaker 5: to bring up. I think you know, when you go 1541 01:12:26,240 --> 01:12:27,920 Speaker 5: to these types of events, as we all have in 1542 01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:30,120 Speaker 5: the past, and you cover them, you can feel if 1543 01:12:30,120 --> 01:12:32,400 Speaker 5: there's an air of tension. Yeah, and that's definitely not 1544 01:12:32,439 --> 01:12:35,280 Speaker 5: what I felt today, the kids in strollers, t shirts 1545 01:12:35,320 --> 01:12:38,040 Speaker 5: being sold, all of that. I will say, though, to 1546 01:12:38,040 --> 01:12:40,800 Speaker 5: the point Ryan's making about the platform, this is going 1547 01:12:40,840 --> 01:12:43,400 Speaker 5: to be something that speakers, you know, have to confront 1548 01:12:43,479 --> 01:12:45,360 Speaker 5: or one in one way or the other. It's going 1549 01:12:45,400 --> 01:12:47,800 Speaker 5: to be a question that they're confronted with by delegates 1550 01:12:47,800 --> 01:12:49,639 Speaker 5: in the hallways. And those videos are going to go viral. 1551 01:12:49,680 --> 01:12:51,360 Speaker 5: It's going to be happening in all week. And I 1552 01:12:51,400 --> 01:12:54,960 Speaker 5: do wonder if building up to Kamala Harris's speech, the 1553 01:12:55,040 --> 01:12:56,080 Speaker 5: tension starts. 1554 01:12:55,760 --> 01:12:56,559 Speaker 4: To build as well. 1555 01:12:56,640 --> 01:12:58,880 Speaker 5: Point as more and more people are coming for different 1556 01:12:58,920 --> 01:13:01,320 Speaker 5: days of protests. And maybe Brian, you even have some 1557 01:13:01,720 --> 01:13:04,680 Speaker 5: knowledge of what these organizers are doing and planning for. 1558 01:13:04,840 --> 01:13:07,960 Speaker 5: But I get the sense it's possible that you know 1559 01:13:08,160 --> 01:13:11,080 Speaker 5: right now there's not a lot of tension. Tension could 1560 01:13:11,120 --> 01:13:13,519 Speaker 5: build as people interact with cops throughout the week. This 1561 01:13:13,640 --> 01:13:16,240 Speaker 5: city is blanketed with law enforcement. You guys have all 1562 01:13:16,280 --> 01:13:18,680 Speaker 5: probably noticed that blanketed with law enforcement. 1563 01:13:19,400 --> 01:13:21,720 Speaker 2: If every street corner, it's like New York in the 1564 01:13:21,760 --> 01:13:25,240 Speaker 2: old days, like it's literally five gods. 1565 01:13:25,280 --> 01:13:30,280 Speaker 5: So frustration builds tension can build, and everyone knows the 1566 01:13:30,320 --> 01:13:33,360 Speaker 5: main address this week is happening on Thursday, so it's 1567 01:13:33,479 --> 01:13:36,679 Speaker 5: possible to me that some of this accumulates throughout the week. 1568 01:13:36,800 --> 01:13:38,880 Speaker 3: What do you think, Brian, Yeah, and the handful of 1569 01:13:38,920 --> 01:13:41,400 Speaker 3: people are I know are trying to organize a floor 1570 01:13:41,439 --> 01:13:43,200 Speaker 3: protest with. 1571 01:13:43,400 --> 01:13:45,240 Speaker 2: That will be interesting. We'll be down on the floor 1572 01:13:45,280 --> 01:13:47,200 Speaker 2: for that. So everyone stated that. One thing, just for 1573 01:13:47,400 --> 01:13:51,120 Speaker 2: programming wise, we're doing these before the main events, and 1574 01:13:51,160 --> 01:13:54,479 Speaker 2: then every day after we will summarize previous give our 1575 01:13:54,520 --> 01:13:57,080 Speaker 2: reaction and also preview a little bit of what's coming. 1576 01:13:57,120 --> 01:13:58,559 Speaker 2: The reason we're doing it that way is so that 1577 01:13:58,560 --> 01:14:00,639 Speaker 2: we can actually we have our passes to be on 1578 01:14:00,680 --> 01:14:03,760 Speaker 2: the floor, so that we can be there, which is 1579 01:14:03,800 --> 01:14:04,479 Speaker 2: when it's going down. 1580 01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:05,320 Speaker 4: That's when stuff happened. 1581 01:14:05,360 --> 01:14:07,799 Speaker 2: That's when stuff is happening, like not only the speeches, 1582 01:14:07,800 --> 01:14:09,599 Speaker 2: but like what you just said. I mean, if we 1583 01:14:09,640 --> 01:14:12,880 Speaker 2: see some floor protests, uncommitted protests and all that, we'll 1584 01:14:12,920 --> 01:14:14,800 Speaker 2: be able to report what that was like, you know, 1585 01:14:14,840 --> 01:14:17,320 Speaker 2: to be there and that'll be really interesting actually. 1586 01:14:17,040 --> 01:14:19,320 Speaker 3: But we'll see. I think if they pull it off, 1587 01:14:19,320 --> 01:14:21,880 Speaker 3: I think I'd be really small and you know, the 1588 01:14:21,960 --> 01:14:26,439 Speaker 3: uncommitted leadership has You know a lot of operatives who 1589 01:14:26,439 --> 01:14:29,920 Speaker 3: are also Democrats, like they are. I'm not saying they're 1590 01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:32,760 Speaker 3: not deeply committed to the cause, but they're also Democrats 1591 01:14:32,760 --> 01:14:36,360 Speaker 3: and they don't want to see Trump elected. So they're 1592 01:14:36,439 --> 01:14:41,920 Speaker 3: caught between their own personal politics and also you know, 1593 01:14:41,960 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 3: the demands of a lot of them to say, don't 1594 01:14:44,000 --> 01:14:45,160 Speaker 3: support the Democrats at all. 1595 01:14:45,439 --> 01:14:47,400 Speaker 5: Is it possible we think that, I mean, this is 1596 01:14:47,600 --> 01:14:52,680 Speaker 5: appropriately cynical that the Biden administration is leaking reports of 1597 01:14:52,840 --> 01:14:56,000 Speaker 5: proximity to a cease fire this week that are way 1598 01:14:56,040 --> 01:15:01,200 Speaker 5: more favorable than reality in order to sort of stanch some. 1599 01:15:01,200 --> 01:15:05,360 Speaker 3: Of the They couldn't get Yahoo do well, actually they could. 1600 01:15:05,520 --> 01:15:08,439 Speaker 3: They can absolutely get to do anything they want. They 1601 01:15:08,520 --> 01:15:11,680 Speaker 3: just have refused up until this point. So it is 1602 01:15:11,800 --> 01:15:17,599 Speaker 3: also possible that the uncommitted pressure is driving the Biden 1603 01:15:17,760 --> 01:15:20,080 Speaker 3: Harris administration to pressure net Yahoo in a way that 1604 01:15:20,080 --> 01:15:21,200 Speaker 3: they've completely refused to. 1605 01:15:21,320 --> 01:15:23,120 Speaker 5: But but what about even in the bottle of public 1606 01:15:23,160 --> 01:15:25,679 Speaker 5: relations where we saw that Barack ravied scoop last week? 1607 01:15:26,080 --> 01:15:29,320 Speaker 5: You know what is it are they trying to frame 1608 01:15:29,479 --> 01:15:31,519 Speaker 5: this as being way closer? Because when I'm out there 1609 01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:34,200 Speaker 5: talking to these protesters, that's really on their mind is 1610 01:15:34,280 --> 01:15:36,519 Speaker 5: if there's a ceasefire that changes their mind about the 1611 01:15:36,520 --> 01:15:37,360 Speaker 5: ticket itself. 1612 01:15:37,600 --> 01:15:38,200 Speaker 4: Is interesting. 1613 01:15:38,200 --> 01:15:40,479 Speaker 2: I mean that's like some LVJ Vietnam stuff. 1614 01:15:40,560 --> 01:15:40,720 Speaker 5: Yeah. 1615 01:15:40,720 --> 01:15:44,240 Speaker 2: If Humphrey nineteen sixty would have done would he almost 1616 01:15:44,240 --> 01:15:44,920 Speaker 2: certainly would have won. 1617 01:15:45,000 --> 01:15:47,800 Speaker 3: If Nixon and Kiss there hasn't trees in this league 1618 01:15:47,800 --> 01:15:48,240 Speaker 3: gone to the. 1619 01:15:48,320 --> 01:15:54,200 Speaker 2: V That's true, big news. 1620 01:15:53,040 --> 01:15:55,680 Speaker 4: We're gonna have to do. Nineteen people looked into it. 1621 01:15:55,760 --> 01:15:59,559 Speaker 2: I'm just saying, I think, do we have anything. 1622 01:15:59,360 --> 01:16:02,280 Speaker 3: Else showed up? You know, by the way, Oh, that's right, 1623 01:16:02,360 --> 01:16:03,439 Speaker 3: we're supposed to put that up there. 1624 01:16:03,479 --> 01:16:05,639 Speaker 4: He made it, which you know, what can I just say? Yeah, 1625 01:16:05,640 --> 01:16:08,720 Speaker 4: so this is the picture bandon Harris, Wow, I like it. 1626 01:16:08,840 --> 01:16:10,880 Speaker 5: So this is really interesting to me because we could 1627 01:16:10,920 --> 01:16:14,479 Speaker 5: have had a be having a very different discussion about 1628 01:16:14,520 --> 01:16:18,840 Speaker 5: this entire convention and election at this point August twenty 1629 01:16:18,880 --> 01:16:21,600 Speaker 5: twenty four, if one of these third party candidates, be 1630 01:16:21,640 --> 01:16:24,479 Speaker 5: it Cornell West or I think RFK Junior are the 1631 01:16:24,479 --> 01:16:29,160 Speaker 5: two most likely to have launched a campaign into you know, 1632 01:16:29,439 --> 01:16:32,000 Speaker 5: above ten percent support, which what we're looking at now 1633 01:16:32,000 --> 01:16:35,040 Speaker 5: with RFK Junior post Biden dropping from the ticket, it's 1634 01:16:35,080 --> 01:16:37,000 Speaker 5: going down. I think in five thirty eight he's around like. 1635 01:16:36,960 --> 01:16:38,000 Speaker 4: Five point five. 1636 01:16:38,600 --> 01:16:41,120 Speaker 5: So it just this could have been a dramatically different 1637 01:16:41,160 --> 01:16:44,040 Speaker 5: convention along those sort of nineteen sixty eight lines, had 1638 01:16:44,080 --> 01:16:47,760 Speaker 5: someone like Cornell West really really got a campaign off 1639 01:16:47,840 --> 01:16:48,200 Speaker 5: the ground. 1640 01:16:48,280 --> 01:16:51,200 Speaker 2: This is barely Honestly, I'm disappointed for us because the 1641 01:16:51,240 --> 01:16:54,000 Speaker 2: whole reason that we decided, you know, budget wise, We're like, oh, 1642 01:16:54,000 --> 01:16:55,439 Speaker 2: we can only pick one, which one do we go? 1643 01:16:55,520 --> 01:16:57,360 Speaker 2: Do we go to the DNC because Biden is old, 1644 01:16:57,400 --> 01:16:59,720 Speaker 2: he's fading. You know, we're gonna have crazy protests for 1645 01:17:00,160 --> 01:17:03,040 Speaker 2: me to go. Yeah, well you get yeah, you decide. 1646 01:17:02,800 --> 01:17:03,240 Speaker 3: On your own. 1647 01:17:04,000 --> 01:17:06,200 Speaker 2: My marriage also got in the way because of uh. 1648 01:17:06,320 --> 01:17:08,160 Speaker 2: I was literally getting married the week of the RNC, 1649 01:17:08,280 --> 01:17:10,280 Speaker 2: so it made it a little bit easier. But I 1650 01:17:10,320 --> 01:17:12,720 Speaker 2: mean a lot of the chaos, it hasn't materialized yet. 1651 01:17:12,720 --> 01:17:14,320 Speaker 2: And I could be totally wrong. Like you said, things 1652 01:17:14,320 --> 01:17:17,680 Speaker 2: could build, things could happen, but the stage is not 1653 01:17:17,720 --> 01:17:20,559 Speaker 2: currently set at least I think for nineteen sixty eight. 1654 01:17:20,560 --> 01:17:22,400 Speaker 2: Now watch tomorrow will be the craziest day ever. 1655 01:17:22,439 --> 01:17:24,639 Speaker 3: We're like Trump, We're like Trump, we want to refund. 1656 01:17:24,760 --> 01:17:25,599 Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to refund. 1657 01:17:25,600 --> 01:17:26,360 Speaker 3: I want to talk to the manager. 1658 01:17:26,439 --> 01:17:31,800 Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, yeah, I was comrade, I was promised complete insanity, 1659 01:17:31,920 --> 01:17:33,680 Speaker 2: and I have not run into it yet, even though 1660 01:17:33,720 --> 01:17:36,479 Speaker 2: we've had the worst logistics of all time. I don't know. 1661 01:17:36,520 --> 01:17:37,920 Speaker 2: I'm gonna keep calling them out for that because I'm 1662 01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:38,360 Speaker 2: still pissed. 1663 01:17:38,360 --> 01:17:39,080 Speaker 4: Whe's my refund. 1664 01:17:39,400 --> 01:17:41,720 Speaker 5: But you know the the RNC, remember they closed the 1665 01:17:41,720 --> 01:17:43,599 Speaker 5: credentials at like six thirty pm. 1666 01:17:43,760 --> 01:17:45,280 Speaker 4: Anyway, it's it's it's always. 1667 01:17:45,360 --> 01:17:47,960 Speaker 2: I guess it's always like baked. Okay, anybody, thank you 1668 01:17:48,000 --> 01:17:51,240 Speaker 2: so much for bearing with us. Reminder, we've got that 1669 01:17:51,320 --> 01:17:54,960 Speaker 2: premium subscriber promo right now, one month free trial. What 1670 01:17:55,080 --> 01:17:58,400 Speaker 2: is it, d NC free all caps Breaking Points dot com. 1671 01:17:58,400 --> 01:18:00,320 Speaker 2: You get a one month free trial support our work, 1672 01:18:00,360 --> 01:18:03,240 Speaker 2: and you will also be able to participate tomorrow during 1673 01:18:03,280 --> 01:18:05,679 Speaker 2: our live stream. You'll be able to ask us questions 1674 01:18:05,680 --> 01:18:08,720 Speaker 2: and all that. Chris will be here in Chicago on Wednesday. 1675 01:18:08,960 --> 01:18:11,880 Speaker 2: We're going to give some exclusive benefits of being able 1676 01:18:11,920 --> 01:18:14,360 Speaker 2: to ask questions getting this stuff early as well, so 1677 01:18:14,400 --> 01:18:17,479 Speaker 2: don't worry about that. Otherwise, we've got to head over 1678 01:18:17,560 --> 01:18:20,920 Speaker 2: to the United Center to go to the actual convention floor, 1679 01:18:21,040 --> 01:18:23,639 Speaker 2: so we'll see you all tomorrow. Will recap President Biden's 1680 01:18:23,640 --> 01:18:25,720 Speaker 2: speech and give you all of our reaction as well 1681 01:18:25,760 --> 01:18:28,720 Speaker 2: as preview what Obama, Clinton and Kama. I'll have to say. 1682 01:18:29,520 --> 01:18:32,439 Speaker 3: We will be unburdened by what has been and. 1683 01:18:32,920 --> 01:18:34,599 Speaker 4: I can't tell you do a little bit. 1684 01:18:34,960 --> 01:18:36,920 Speaker 2: Yes, that's true. Okay, we'll see you guys later