1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news third. 2 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 2: Quarter adjusted earnings per share coming in above estimates at 3 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: eighty one cents. Estimate was for seventy four cents. Third 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 2: quarter at revenue coming in at thirty five point one 5 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 2: billion dollars. Estimates were for thirty three point twenty five 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,319 Speaker 2: billion dollars third quarter data center revenue. This is what 7 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 2: everybody wants to see that coming in above estimates thirty 8 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 2: point eight billion dollars. The estimate was for twenty nine 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 2: point one four billion dollars. Carrol Nvidiac's fourth quarter revenue 10 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 2: at thirty seven point five billion plus or minus two percent. 11 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 2: The estimate was for thirty seven point one billion dollars. 12 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 3: Gotta say, initial reaction, folks, not an upbeat one. Kunjan 13 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,839 Speaker 3: Zabani of our Bloomberg Intelligence Senior semi conductor team, he's 14 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 3: an analyst. And then we're going to want to bring 15 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 3: in another guest to kind of give us some more 16 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 3: thoughts about what we got from video today. 17 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, Caroline Hyde, who hosts Bloomberg Technology on Bloomberg TV, 18 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: is joining us now. She's got our eyes closely watching 19 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 2: everything happening over ed in video that forecasts failing to 20 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 2: meet the loftiest estimates for the company cheers in the 21 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 2: after hours right now down about four percent, so they're 22 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 2: off of those lows, Caroline, But is this just about 23 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 2: high expectations, very high expectations and in Nvidia coming out 24 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: and saying Okay, we're almost going to meet them, but 25 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 2: not quite. 26 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 4: And a very high market valuation that is the most 27 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 4: valuable in the world, that has seen a run up 28 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 4: of almost two hundred percent so far in the years. 29 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 4: So maybe some profit taking when you are seeing, Yes, 30 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 4: Luke Capital, if you dig into the analysts expectations for 31 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 4: the fiscal fourth quarter or twenty twenty five, Luke Capital 32 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 4: had it at about forty four billion dollars as the 33 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 4: highest realm. 34 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 5: Then you had few one and securities at about forty one. 35 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 4: Billion, and then you get into the thirty seven billion 36 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 4: dollar range with the likes of Craig Hullum and Da 37 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 4: Davidson was a little bit above that. So compared to 38 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 4: perhaps some of the highest levels out there, they're coming 39 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 4: in below and there's a plus or minus two percent 40 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 4: there to be built in as well. So I think 41 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 4: there is some digesting that this isn't beaten raised and 42 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 4: blown out of every single analysts expectations. 43 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 5: Still, these are incredibly strong numbers. 44 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 4: This is a guide to the fact that we're getting 45 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 4: Blackwell on stream. That supply side will be ironed out, 46 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:08,359 Speaker 4: and I think we'll have far more from Gensen hung 47 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 4: on that particular perspective, and that demand is still incredible. 48 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 4: So I think there's just a little bit of profit 49 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 4: taking coming on. When we've seen that the rapid rise 50 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 4: has been two hundred percent over the year, maybe four 51 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 4: or five percent sell down isn't the most remarkable. 52 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 3: Shift, Caroline Great point, right, it's not Reay yet. Well, 53 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 3: you know, listen, this is her world that she's talking 54 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 3: to these you know, tech companies, following them inside and outside, 55 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 3: and this idea that there's still supply, that there's demand, 56 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 3: it's just the supply constraints. It's not like people are 57 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 3: running away from the products. Having said that, I want 58 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 3: to tap into your knowledge of this industry and that 59 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 3: you do have companies that come out and it's gangbusters, 60 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,119 Speaker 3: and then maybe they have some issues with supply constraints 61 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 3: and so on and so forth. This is kind of 62 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 3: part of the process. Is that fair? 63 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 4: I think that's fair when it comes to in Video 64 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 4: as well, and the rapid rate of innovation. I mean, 65 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 4: they've almost become an Apple in every single year they're 66 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 4: bringing out their latest neww chip set and design, and 67 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 4: we go from Hopper swiftly on to Blackwell, and people 68 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 4: have got to keep up with that innovation. 69 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 5: Just the way in which you store your. 70 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 4: Chips and the infrastructure within your data centers means that 71 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 4: if they're vertically stored, well, that's going to lead to 72 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 4: more heating issues. Then if you're doing it more broadly 73 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 4: on a horizontal perspective. There is a lot of innovation 74 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 4: that has to come along with in Video's own GPU 75 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 4: CPUs and overall chipsets. So I think that they have 76 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 4: said and guided to the market that yes, you're getting 77 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 4: this reporting of overheating, Yes you're getting these reports of 78 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 4: snags and design. This is entirely normal, and we're working 79 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 4: very closely with our hyperscale sub clients to fix this, 80 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 4: to innovate with them and ensure that we can get 81 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 4: them out there as swiftly as possible. I think there 82 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 4: has been also just trying to spreading out of AI demand. 83 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 4: What's been interesting hearing from Jensen Wong of late has 84 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 4: been the scaling laws. Basically, the theory goes is that 85 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 4: the more data you fire, the more compute power you bring, 86 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:56,839 Speaker 4: the faster and more sophisticated. 87 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 5: These large language models become. 88 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 4: But actually we started to hear from the anthrop from 89 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 4: the great reporting coming out of San Francisco with the 90 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 4: Bloomberg team that Rachel Mets is saying maybe open aiyes 91 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 4: had to slow down a little bit in terms of 92 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 4: the developments of their own large language models because they're 93 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 4: not getting as sophisticated as it happen in the Leaps 94 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 4: and Bounds. Jensen still saying, Look, in the next decade, 95 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 4: you're going to see a million times increase in compute. 96 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 4: But we've just got to get there in terms of 97 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 4: actually making it happen. 98 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, hard to even imagine, hard to even 99 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 2: imagine that kind of increase in compute at this point, 100 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: Kun john'subney, I want to bring you back in here 101 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 2: over a senior intell senior analysts over at Bloomberg Intelligence. 102 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 2: We're seeing shares down about two percent in the after hours. 103 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: A couple headlines the company sees fourth quarter revenue coming 104 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,280 Speaker 2: in at thirty seven point five billion dollars plus or 105 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 2: minus two percent. That's pretty much in line with estimates 106 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 2: at thirty seven point one billion dollars. Third quarter Data 107 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,799 Speaker 2: center revenue blowing past expectations at thirty point eight billion 108 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 2: dollars estimates report twenty nine point one billion dollars Coon, John, 109 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 2: what's the question you'd ask, Jensen Wong? 110 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 6: I mean, my questions really would focus on trying to 111 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 6: figure out the physical twenty six calendar twenty twenty five 112 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 6: black Well revenue ramp magnitudes and around gross margins. I mean, look, 113 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 6: we have seen in the past when vidias come out 114 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,679 Speaker 6: and beat way more than what they did right now, 115 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 6: and the stock has still plummeted double digits. You also 116 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 6: have to keep in mind this end of the year. 117 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 6: The stock has tripled this year, right, so there is 118 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 6: some incentive for profit locking and taking the gains away 119 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 6: from the table as well. 120 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 3: You know, I also do think about how do you feel, Kunjon, 121 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 3: that they are giving numbers for fiscal year twenty twenty 122 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 3: six good sign? Do you trust that visibility? Like, how 123 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 3: do you think about their ability to put out a 124 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 3: number and maybe that number might change based on if 125 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 3: they figure out the supply issues. 126 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 6: I mean, I see that as a very strong sign 127 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 6: I mean, look at this earning season across the semi 128 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 6: sector right nobody is giving out numbers that far out. 129 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 6: Even in Vida's competitors who are trying to address the 130 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 6: same opportunity and are sing the same strong demand signals, 131 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 6: are not giving out numbers, strong confident numbers that in 132 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 6: year out. So that really speaks to the strength and 133 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 6: the confidence that they have that they'll be able to 134 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,360 Speaker 6: support this demand and the demand is there, and you guys, it'd. 135 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 3: Be tech talk to him a lot, like I'm just 136 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 3: curious with the top of mind, if you were sitting 137 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,239 Speaker 3: down with him right now, like top two. 138 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 4: Questions, and if Ed Ludlow was but he's out in 139 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 4: fraternity leaves and congratulations. 140 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 5: To on Ed Ludler becoming a father. 141 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 4: But I think first and foremost we'd be asking exactly 142 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 4: as Kuan Jhn has been saying, as you all have 143 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,919 Speaker 4: been saying, it's got to be about supply coming on 144 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 4: tap and just talking a little bit more around Blackwell 145 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 4: and the incredible demand, What exactly does that really mean? 146 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 5: Who are the key clients? 147 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 4: How are we seeing that diversify out of the main 148 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 4: hyper scalers, if. 149 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 5: At all, and then I think sort of trying. 150 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 4: To articulate that, look, yes, maybe we haven't blown past 151 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 4: the highest analyst expectations, but thirty seven and a half 152 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 4: billion dollar guide that's still seventy percent ramp up in revenue. 153 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 4: That's following a ninety percent ramp up in revenue of 154 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 4: the fiscal quarter just reported their fiscal third quarter. I 155 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:06,239 Speaker 4: think he's just going to have to sort of remind 156 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 4: the market how far they've come, how far they've still 157 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 4: to go, and maybe just take a bit of a 158 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 4: reality check here that you know, at the moment, the 159 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 4: numbers will go up, but maybe not at the two 160 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 4: hundred percent that we were hoping to see well, that 161 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 4: we did see in the first quarter of twenty twenty 162 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 4: five for their fiscal year reporting. 163 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:26,680 Speaker 2: Hey coon, John ian King on the live blog bringing 164 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: up a really interesting point, and it kind of gets 165 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 2: at the question that I was asking with regard to 166 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 2: super micro computer. Ian notes that cloud computing providers are 167 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 2: the biggest companies in technology, and they still dominate in 168 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 2: videous sources of revenue, making up fifty percent of sales 169 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 2: for its data center unit. So that's just a handful 170 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 2: of companies that are making up the majority of the 171 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 2: revenue for the data center in video watchers want that 172 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 2: number to go down. Three months ago that number was 173 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 2: forty five percent. Is that a concern to you. 174 00:07:57,480 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 6: I mean, I don't want to look at it from 175 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 6: quarter to because remember these large customers are lumpy in nature, right, 176 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 6: they have to also manage their capex and deployments. We 177 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 6: did see over the last two to three quarters, if 178 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 6: I'm not wrong, the number come down. It was about 179 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 6: close to fifty or even about fifty and it has 180 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 6: been coming down steadily. So that was a good sign 181 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 6: for us. I still have to go and digest the 182 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 6: numbers later on, but the fifty percent in the short 183 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 6: term might not be that great of a sign. But 184 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 6: I would not jump to conclusions just looking at one quarter. 185 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 6: It could be very well timing of you know, them 186 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 6: picking up a lot more Hopper supply supply right now 187 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 6: when they cannot get their hands on blackwell. 188 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 3: You know, I'm looking at the supply chain analysis on 189 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg function. When it comes to Nvidia, Microsoft, about 190 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,559 Speaker 3: nineteen percent of the revenue for Invidio, Meta, about ten percent, 191 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 3: super Micro nearly eight percent Alphabet about six percent, Amazon 192 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 3: more than five percent, Dell more than three percent. So 193 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 3: we talk about a handful of companies, these cluster of 194 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 3: companies that are so involved. You know, Caroline, I want 195 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 3: to bring you back in here. You know, Nvidia. This 196 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 3: has been such a focal point right the end of 197 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 3: the earning season, just thinking about it so much. You know, 198 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 3: how do you think about you know, Bloomberg Technology, you know, 199 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 3: into the Thursday edition, you guys when you're on air 200 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 3: and like, what's the tomorrow's story? 201 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 5: The tomorrow story. 202 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 4: I think we'll be trying to articulate where the growth 203 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 4: trajectory goes from here. I think we're gonna hear from 204 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 4: Jensen the next decade. You're gonna hear him talking about 205 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 4: humanoid robots. You're gonna hear him talking about drug discovery, 206 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 4: the capabilities of generative AI, the return on AI investment. 207 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 4: So I think we're gonna want to be talking to 208 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 4: the investors that back that vision. We're going to be 209 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 4: wanting to hear from the analysts out there that are 210 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 4: trying to square these numbers with where their own viewpoint 211 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 4: have been on the here and now at the fiscal 212 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:47,920 Speaker 4: fourth quarter. But I think we're also going to we 213 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 4: want to think about who else is in the space 214 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 4: at the moment. It's answering some of the development issues, 215 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 4: some of the heating issues, some of the concerns around AI, 216 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 4: generative AI chip development and manufacturing. Who are the startups 217 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 4: in the space, wh the rivals in the space? What 218 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 4: are we seeing in terms of the hyper scalers building 219 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 4: their own chips. So I think there's so many directions 220 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 4: that we could go for, But for me, it's going 221 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,359 Speaker 4: to be really interesting talking about where does AI infrastructure 222 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 4: go from here? 223 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 5: And where does in video's view on selver in AI? 224 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 5: Where does in video's view on China? Where does in videos. 225 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 4: View on the next repurposing of their chips not just 226 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,439 Speaker 4: to keep hammering large language models, but the development of 227 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 4: generative AI in the real world. 228 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 2: So what are some of the names, Caroline, that our 229 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 2: investing audience has to have their eyes on. Is it 230 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:29,439 Speaker 2: the sam Altman's of the world who are trying to 231 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 2: raise lots and lots of money to go after Invidia? 232 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 2: Is it the hyperscalers who are going to be doing 233 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 2: this in house? Who who holds a candle to them 234 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:39,439 Speaker 2: or who could hold a candle. 235 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 4: To them in terms of siphoning off future demand or 236 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 4: in terms of just wanting to know who the name 237 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:46,199 Speaker 4: key players are. 238 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 2: Off future demand because you know, Intel, Intel, Intel's in 239 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 2: a tough position right now, as you guys have reported 240 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 2: on a lot over the last year. Am D maybe, 241 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 2: but what about those upstarts. 242 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 4: Hmmm, I mean, and that's going to be interesting as 243 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 4: to whether or not we just get a future type 244 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,320 Speaker 4: of chip development. You know, we've got the grocks for example, 245 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 4: that are backed by venture backing who have been looking 246 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 4: to ways in which we expand and have faster and 247 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 4: more efficient chips. You've also got you know, different players 248 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 4: out there thinking about not just the data that you 249 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 4: have to train, but then the inferencing that you do, 250 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:25,319 Speaker 4: and that does that become a different type of conversation 251 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 4: around the technology and ultimately whether you need to have 252 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 4: more efficient chips within an energy source and an energy suck. 253 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 4: So I think so many people AMPI has been doing 254 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 4: things around that particular innovation of different types of chips. Eventually, 255 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 4: will people start to go to Galdhi and what Intel 256 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 4: has been providing. How much can AMD chip away in 257 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 4: terms of market share, in terms of the AI part 258 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 4: of the business as well. So there are so many 259 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 4: people and analysts and investors that are looking at distributing. 260 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 5: Some of their bets. 261 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 4: I'm sure, but for now in video has been the 262 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 4: only game in town and certainly the easiest one to 263 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 4: back in terms of up into the right Coon. 264 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 3: Jent, I want to bring you back in here looking 265 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:06,680 Speaker 3: at our live blog. Ian King, who follows the semiconductor 266 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 3: space and video as well. He says, one question analyst 267 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 3: will have when the conference call begins, what's happening in 268 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:15,959 Speaker 3: networking sales? And that business slid sequentially dropping by that 269 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 3: five hundred million dollars and videos acquired. Networking tech has 270 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 3: faced opposition from many rivals, some of which argue for 271 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 3: an industry standard approach rather than a reliance on and 272 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 3: vidious proprietary technology. Weigh in on that, yeah, I. 273 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 6: Mean, look, we have identified since last year that networking 274 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 6: in AI servers is going to be sort of the 275 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 6: next wave of growth, especially in terms of where the 276 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 6: dollars spend. The dollars go beyond just accelerators. So I mean, 277 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 6: until now in media, if you look at the market 278 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 6: for the first Hopper series, right, they had this advantage 279 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,719 Speaker 6: of shipping their own proprietary networking gear, which customers had 280 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:54,679 Speaker 6: no other option but to just buy that. So two things, right, 281 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 6: They got all the dollars, but they also got great 282 00:12:56,920 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 6: profit margins because they could really charge whatever they wanted. Now, 283 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:05,359 Speaker 6: the competition there is increasing. Customers want to move to Ethernet, 284 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 6: which again Nvidia has started offering and starting from the 285 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 6: black Bell series. So we are going to see that 286 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 6: Ethernet revenue also increase for Nvidia, But when you compare 287 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 6: it from perchip dollar perspective, it's still less. We still 288 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 6: think positive for Nvidia's networking revenue share going forward, but 289 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:26,520 Speaker 6: there will be a lot more competition there. It won't 290 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 6: be just one company taking everything in your area. 291 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 3: That's a really good point, right, And I do think about, 292 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:32,840 Speaker 3: you know, and Videa's really had this world to its 293 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 3: own for a while, and you think about increasingly kind 294 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,119 Speaker 3: of what's going on in the future as there's more competition. 295 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: YouTube Dynamic Duo, thank you so much. Your insight really 296 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 3: so important to breaking down these results from Nvidia. Bloomberg 297 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,200 Speaker 3: Technology co host Caroline Hidketcher at eleven am Wall Street 298 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 3: Time on Bloomberg Television for Bloomberg Tech and of course 299 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 3: our thanks to ku Joan Sabani of our Bloomberg Intelligence team. 300 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 3: He's a senior semiconductor analyst. So again, some great insight 301 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 3: we'll watch for some of you research. Let's continue our conversations. 302 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News Equities reporter at Ryan Lostelico with us. He 303 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 3: has been writing about it and kind of you know, 304 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 3: talking about markets bracing for what we might get from Nvidia. 305 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,679 Speaker 3: He joins us from Chicago. Also with us is our 306 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 3: own Red Brown, who follows the earning season and sets 307 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 3: us up. Bloomberg News Earnings reporter. He's back in New 308 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 3: York City. Ryan, come on in on this your report. 309 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 3: Ahead of the release in Nvidia, traders bracing for a 310 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 3: potential three hundred billion dollar earnings move. It was down 311 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 3: more than four percent though initially. 312 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, I don't think it would be all that 313 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: surprising to see the stock really take some swings from 314 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: where it's trading right now. I mean, this is not 315 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 1: a huge move, especially not for our company as viollatile 316 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 1: as Nvidia is. Just to put it in context. Palo 317 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: Alto also reported that stock is at about five percent 318 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: and after hours trading in video is obviously much bigger, 319 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: but you know, not a huge move by their standard. 320 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 2: I like that Ryan's out here talking about Pallelt the networks. 321 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 2: It's a good well there is Look, there are other 322 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 2: companies out. 323 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 3: There, no question, but listen, we're gonna get you in 324 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 3: just a moment. But Ryan, I mean, it's been so 325 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 3: important in terms of market momentum, right, Like, give us 326 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 3: some of that context. We talk about it all. We've 327 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 3: talked about the mag seven, but when it comes to 328 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 3: momentum that aid this is a big one. 329 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 7: Yeah. 330 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: Oh absolutely. The stock is almost tripled this year. It's 331 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: added more than two trillion in market capitalization. Like you mentioned, 332 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,760 Speaker 1: it's the biggest stock in the world. You know, We've 333 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: had plenty of analysts come out and say this is 334 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: more important than the FED, this is more important than 335 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: inflation data. This is the key report for Wall Street 336 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 1: this week, if not this month. So it's obviously very significant. 337 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 1: I do think, you know, we just got the numbers. 338 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 1: People are still digesting the report. We are still waiting 339 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: on the conference call. It's likely we're going to get 340 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: a bigger move maybe, you know, once we get you know, 341 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 1: full details, once we hear from you know, the management 342 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: team once people get a little bit more context for this. 343 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 1: But this is certainly not, you know, a sky is 344 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: falling type report. It's falling short of some of the 345 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 1: most optimistic expectations. But you know, people just got very 346 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: used to forecasts that are just, you know, billions dollars 347 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: above the consensus. 348 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 3: Carmen Ryanick here, stocks reporter on our live blog, digging 349 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 3: into the plus or minus two percent on the revenue 350 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 3: outlook that we got from Video a little math, doing 351 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 3: some quick math, it means and Video expects fourth quarter 352 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 3: revenue between thirty six points seventy five billion and thirty 353 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 3: eight point twenty five billion. The average analyst estimate was 354 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 3: thirty seven point one billion. So if it's on the 355 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 3: minus two percent, it would fall short of expectations. And 356 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 3: I think that's why you are seeing investors, at least 357 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 3: in the aftermarket, wanting a little bit more color or 358 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 3: commentary around this. 359 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 2: Okay, so Red Brown, come on in here, because you've 360 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 2: got your eye on what's going on after hours and 361 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 2: Video shares down about two percent? Is that what it is? 362 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 2: Is that concern around that plus or minus two percent? 363 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think it kind of has to be the 364 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 7: main focus for everybody right now, you know sound it 365 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 7: felt like analysts maybe weren't as kind of euphoric heading 366 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 7: into this report. Things definitely war more tempered, So I 367 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 7: guess it isn't that much of a surprise to see, 368 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 7: you know, stock kind of trading a little bit less 369 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,560 Speaker 7: volatile than it has in recent quarters. I was also 370 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:56,160 Speaker 7: just looking at some of the customers because we don't 371 00:16:56,160 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 7: read Ryan's point just how important this is for the 372 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 7: wider market. And you know, Microsoft and Meta, two of 373 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 7: their biggest customers, both not really reacting as well. 374 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 3: So so what are you read watching out for? Listen, 375 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 3: you are with us throughout the whole earning season. It's 376 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,199 Speaker 3: been it feels like a long one, you know. But 377 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 3: here we are with Nvidia, which is such a huge 378 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 3: one in terms of the reporting season, and you know 379 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 3: what we get from Nvideo. But you know, how are 380 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 3: you thinking about it as we were kind of reporting 381 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 3: into it and now we are on the other side, 382 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 3: and there's still some questions to be had that will 383 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,479 Speaker 3: hopefully play it on the analyst call, but you know, 384 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,840 Speaker 3: walk us through it in an earning season, you know 385 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 3: how this kind of fits in, especially against some of 386 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 3: those MAGS seven, those very important big tech names. 387 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 7: I think one thing that I'm looking at for and 388 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 7: Vidia specifically and kind of how it fits into the 389 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,199 Speaker 7: wider landscape is actually the R and D spending. So 390 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 7: if we look and actually grow forty eight percent, if 391 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 7: you compare that to their peers, super Micro forty five 392 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 7: percent up this quarter, Broadcom jump seventy five percent. So 393 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 7: when we kind of start to dig in beyond on 394 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 7: just the top line numbers, I think a kind of 395 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,639 Speaker 7: an interesting dynamic is playing out there in video is 396 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,920 Speaker 7: kind of really expending hand over fist to keep up 397 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 7: or to kind of continue to have their their lead 398 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 7: in this race, And I think it really helps when 399 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 7: you can, you know, double your revenue every quarter as well. 400 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 7: That there's that spending three billion dollars on R and 401 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,919 Speaker 7: D is a little bit easier than it is for 402 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 7: a company like Broadcom, which is actually you know, the 403 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:28,159 Speaker 7: percentage wise, the margin that they're spending is actually much higher, 404 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 7: so that race they are kind of still a distant 405 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 7: second compared to in videos, so trying to can maintain 406 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 7: that lead that they have in the air space. 407 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 2: Hey, Ryan, what about when it comes to blackwell and 408 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 2: demand around Blackwell. To what extent is that? The question 409 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:49,400 Speaker 2: on the call later it went from insane to incredible. 410 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 2: As Caroline Hyde pointed out to us, how are you 411 00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 2: thinking about it? 412 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 7: Yeah? 413 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: Is that a deceleration to go from insane to incredible? 414 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 1: I mean I think, you know, in general demand, I 415 00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:58,199 Speaker 1: think it is. 416 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:00,959 Speaker 3: You tell me, I think it is insane to incredible. 417 00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's a declation. 418 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, we say incredible a lot. We throw that word around. 419 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 3: When you say insane, that's like a whole other level. 420 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough. Obviously, you know, people continue to focus 421 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: on supply. There have been some you know, production hiccups here. 422 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 1: Like I said before, people are focused very much on 423 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,639 Speaker 1: you know, pricing and margins for Blackwell. So all these 424 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 1: things together, you know, this remains like a point of 425 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 1: real focus for investors, even kind of beyond just sort 426 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 1: of the headline numbers of the forecast and so forth. 427 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 3: Guys, thank you so much. Busy afternoon, of course. Bloomberg 428 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 3: News Earnings reporter Red Brown out there in New York City. 429 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,919 Speaker 3: Ryan Lostelica in Chicago. He's Bloomberg News Equities reporter