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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome on into the Betting Pros Podcast.

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Speaker 1: It is time for football season. I'm your host, Thomas Viola,

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Speaker 1: and today we have a great show for you. Joining

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Speaker 1: me to ride along for the entire NFL season. Here

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Speaker 1: with us, he is the Sultan of Soaps, the Crown

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Speaker 1: Prince of Player Projections. The podcast power listener none other

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Speaker 1: than Matt f the Oracle himself, Matthew Friedman. Matt, I

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Speaker 1: had to turn the tables back on you now, didn't I?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was good, although it's sad to say all

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Speaker 2: that about me when you don't even get my correct title.

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Speaker 3: I'm the director of Content Punk.

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Speaker 2: Plus, you know Raymond who we have on the show,

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Speaker 2: Chris Raymond from the Action Network. He is one of

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Speaker 2: the real kings of player Projections, so it's wrong even

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Speaker 2: to say that about me when he's in our presence.

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Speaker 1: Well that's why I said Crown Prince and not can

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Speaker 1: did and to elevate you there. Also, the alliteration just

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Speaker 1: worked better as I workshopped this over the past seven

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Speaker 1: two hours or so.

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Speaker 4: But you are right.

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Speaker 1: Joining us today is none other than Actions Chris Raybond. Chris,

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Speaker 1: welcome on into the show.

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Speaker 4: How are you doing today. I'm doing good.

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Speaker 5: You guys are talking about projections, Matt, I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 5: I kind of miss looking in our spreadsheet and seeing

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Speaker 5: like some of your crazy projections like Dak Prescott four

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Speaker 5: hundred yards. So you're gonna have to You're gonna have

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Speaker 5: to give me something crazy, give me your give me

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Speaker 5: your give me your craziest projection.

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Speaker 2: Right now, I'm flattered that you think I still do

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Speaker 2: player projections. That's not something that the director of content

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Speaker 2: would do. I will say, like I sort of like

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Speaker 2: ad hoc do projections here or there, and uh like

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Speaker 2: I was always ridiculously high on Juju, so we'll say,

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Speaker 2: like Juju two thousand yards?

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Speaker 6: Is that? No?

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Speaker 3: I mean that's there's no there's no chance, no chance

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Speaker 3: that happens. No chance with.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahost, someone's got to pick up that slack in

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Speaker 1: that offense, and they've been throwing it deep to them.

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Speaker 4: A lot in practice.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, based on the practice reports and the

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Speaker 2: you know, Twitter highighlights, you're just going to go off

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Speaker 2: this year. So I'm just going to project him for

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Speaker 2: like sixteen hundred yards and be like, ah right, I'm

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Speaker 2: just being aggressive.

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Speaker 1: Well pretty good. This quarterbacks pretty good, guys, he is

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Speaker 1: pretty good. But we are not here today to talk

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Speaker 1: about player projections. We are here to talk about the

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Speaker 1: second most degenerate thing in sports gambling. I'm not talking

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Speaker 1: about grocery store slot machines, which yes, are a thing

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, guys, but today we are talking about

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Speaker 1: betting on preseason football. It is the most exciting time

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Speaker 1: of the year. Football is officially back. We had the

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Speaker 1: Hall of Fame game last week, and we've got four weeks,

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Speaker 1: well three weeks now of preseason ball to get to.

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Speaker 1: And guys, we know we want to get it out

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Speaker 1: of the way first and foremost. The number one rule

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Speaker 1: of betting on preseason football bet on the Baltimore Ravens.

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Speaker 1: It's a known fact that for some time now head

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Speaker 1: coach John Harbaugh plays to win in these games, even preseason,

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Speaker 1: throughout his tenure. The Ravens are forty and twelve on

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Speaker 1: the money line four five percent ROI per bet Labs.

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Speaker 1: Shout out by the way two Matt's article in which

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Speaker 1: he plugged that stat thirty six fifteen and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread. And guys, even though everybody knows now that

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Speaker 1: the Ravens try to win these games. You're still taking

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Speaker 1: them even with the number bake in, right.

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Speaker 3: Matt, Yeah, I mean I'm a full Dejon.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to be betting on the preseason and you

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Speaker 2: can't do that without backing the Ravens. As you mentioned

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Speaker 2: the statistics there. Yeah, Harbaugh and his team have just

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Speaker 2: been totally dominant. I like them this season going against

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Speaker 2: the Titans, the Cardinals, the Commanders, and I think they

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Speaker 2: have a couple of edges. They've got Justin Tucker, who's

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Speaker 2: like the best kicker of all time and recently extended

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Speaker 2: and so he's going to be better kicking phild goals

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Speaker 2: and whatever, you know, like backup kickers a lot of

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Speaker 2: other teams are rolling out there. And then they've also

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Speaker 2: got pretty good quarterbacks and Tyler Huntley and Brett Huntley.

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Speaker 2: I think those players are above average given where they

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Speaker 2: are on the depth chart. So you know, whether it's

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Speaker 2: money line spread, yeah, I'm betting on the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: Rest in peace, Trace McSorley. Chris, how about you? Are

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Speaker 1: you still on the Ravens bandwagon.

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Speaker 5: I bet the Ravens like two weeks ago on the

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Speaker 5: money line. You know, I you know what's funny is

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Speaker 5: I was checking the Action Network gap today and apparently

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Speaker 5: the Sharps are on the Titans. So I don't know

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Speaker 5: what's going on, but you know, I'm with Friedman. I

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Speaker 5: mean this, this, this has been a best bet in

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Speaker 5: sports for what six years now? So I mean this

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Speaker 5: Baltimore TeV. You mentioned it, Tyler Huntley, Brett Huntley. I

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Speaker 5: like the quarterbacks. I mean I think, you know, compared

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Speaker 5: to what Malik willis, I think that those guys are

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Speaker 5: going to have an edge. So yeah, give me some

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Speaker 5: ravens in The line is coming down again.

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Speaker 6: It was at four and a half. Now it's three

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Speaker 6: and a half.

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Speaker 5: So maybe we maybe we even get to three before

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Speaker 5: it's all said and done.

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Speaker 4: See that's the thing about the Sharps.

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Speaker 1: First off, they are going to bring that number down

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Speaker 1: because as the action comes in on that side, the

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Speaker 1: books are going to address based on that opinion, obviously.

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Speaker 1: But the other thing is they love to be contrari

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Speaker 1: and the to go against the public, and the public

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Speaker 1: loves this, and so they're saying, we can get a

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Speaker 1: team getting four and a half points in a preseason game,

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Speaker 1: we'll take that action there. But you're right last twenty

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Speaker 1: to OZH straighten up seventeen to two and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Like you said, when it comes to preseason betting,

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Speaker 1: they are the team that the public loves to roll

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Speaker 1: with and we are going to love to roll with

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Speaker 1: as well. But when it comes to preseason betting, another

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Speaker 1: thing for betters to keep in mind here is that,

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Speaker 1: well defense wins championships, it also wins preseason games. And

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Speaker 1: Matt you talked about in an article this week, you

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Speaker 1: love betting unders in the preseason because of those defenses.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm a wet blanket, right, So that's

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Speaker 2: why I like betting unders. But it's also been profitable,

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Speaker 2: you know, over the past six years are going actually

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Speaker 2: no more than that. Going back to twenty fourteen, and

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Speaker 2: I don't know why twenty fourteen in particular, but it

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Speaker 2: was like a switch in preseason games, unders started hitting

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Speaker 2: out a fifty seven percent clip.

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Speaker 6: You know.

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Speaker 2: I have some theories on that in terms of why

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Speaker 2: we see that. You know, I think defensive units they're

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Speaker 2: doing fairly basic things and so it's hard for backup

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Speaker 2: defenders really to screw up by not knowing the system right,

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Speaker 2: because they're just doing really basic things, whereas offenses, they're

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Speaker 2: driven by the quarterback primarily, and so you have second

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Speaker 2: and third string quarterbacks out there who really can't execute

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Speaker 2: in the way that they're supposed to. And you know,

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Speaker 2: you have offensive coordinators who aren't going to be doing

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Speaker 2: all that much that's inventive because they have second and

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Speaker 2: third string offenses out there. So you put all that together,

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Speaker 2: and I think it plays towards the under.

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Speaker 1: And Chris, you love fading the public with some of

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Speaker 1: these contrarian unders when other people are going over.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that's one of the things in the

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Speaker 5: preseason you have to kind of remember, we don't really

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Speaker 5: know a lot, you know, even you know, people like

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Speaker 5: Freeman and myself. You know, like there's so many players

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Speaker 5: on these rosters that we probably never heard of. And

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Speaker 5: so when you see, uh, you know, unders getting thirty

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Speaker 5: eight percent or less of bets you know, one twelve

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Speaker 5: excuse me, one forty four, one to twelve and four

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Speaker 5: fifty six percent since two thousand and four. And when

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Speaker 5: you look at preseason unders getting less than thirty five

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Speaker 5: percent of the money forty three and twenty three sixty

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Speaker 5: five percent. And there's a couple of games that actually

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Speaker 5: fit that description. The Washington Carolina game, the totals up

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Speaker 5: to thirty seven on that it's been bet up, so

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Speaker 5: maybe you want to come back, you know, with the

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Speaker 5: under on that one. Seventy nine percent of the money

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Speaker 5: is on the over there, and that Jets Philly game.

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Speaker 5: In the Pittsburgh Seattle game, Uh, the money's also hovering

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Speaker 5: in the low thirties as well.

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Speaker 6: So there's quite a few options here. But I do

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Speaker 6: think you want to kind of go contrarian in certain

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Speaker 6: spots in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: And I think the thing with unders in preseason football.

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Speaker 1: It reminds me remember when the AAF came out and

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Speaker 1: the first week the totals were all in the forties

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Speaker 1: and everybody's saying, oh, it's going to be a points league,

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Speaker 1: that rules are set up for scoring, it's gonna be points, points, points.

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Speaker 1: And by the time that league met its untimely demise,

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Speaker 1: totals were in the low twenties because teams couldn't put

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Speaker 1: up ten points in a game. It comes down to,

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Speaker 1: like you guys both said, the quarterback play and the

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Speaker 1: fact that when you don't have a great quarterback running

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Speaker 1: that offense, offenses stall and get stuck in the mud

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Speaker 1: even against subpar or basic defenses.

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Speaker 4: And that's the thing that people want to watch out

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Speaker 4: here for.

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Speaker 1: And the other thing is that coaches aren't game planning,

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Speaker 1: like you said, They're running very simple offenses, partially because

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Speaker 1: the players on the field might not be able to

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Speaker 1: handle a more complex offense yet and partly because they

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Speaker 1: don't want to give anything away for the actual season.

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Speaker 1: But I think the biggest thing to me is that

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Speaker 1: in a normal sporting event, both teams are playing to score,

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Speaker 1: and preseason football isn't a normal sporting event. You're not

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Speaker 1: necessarily game planning to actually go out unless you're John

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Speaker 1: Harbaugh and win the game or even put up points.

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Speaker 1: It's about seeing what your offense can do in certain situations.

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Speaker 1: It's about kind of trying to run through your paces

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Speaker 1: and see mess around with some things. And I think

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Speaker 1: that that's a big factor that teams aren't necessarily looking

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Speaker 1: to put the ball in the end zone every time. Guys,

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Speaker 1: real quick, remember when you're looking for free picks and

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Speaker 1: sports betting advice, bettingpros dot com has you covered with

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Speaker 1: tips from over one hundred and fifty experts to make

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Speaker 1: it easy for you to cash out. Download the app

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Speaker 1: to get sports betting alerts. You'll get notified of favorable

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Speaker 1: bets based online movements, consensus picks from the most accurate

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Speaker 1: experts and vetted systems. In play Betting Pros monitors all

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Speaker 1: of the major sportsbooks, most accurate experts, and top systems

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Speaker 1: to identify the best betting opportunities. So download today in

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Speaker 1: the Apple or Google Play stores.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: There another thing we should mention is that, you know,

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Speaker 5: we've talked about it. In the actual National Football League,

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Speaker 5: you know, the regular season offensive line play has kind

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Speaker 5: of been going downhill, I think over the last you know,

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Speaker 5: five ten years. So maybe that's one of the reasons

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Speaker 5: as well, because because you're not game planning, you're not scheming,

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Speaker 5: it's really hard for a backup quarterback to get anything

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Speaker 5: done when they're just essentially trying to see who can block,

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Speaker 5: and if one guy misses a block on any given play,

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Speaker 5: that whole play is blown up, especially when you're dealing

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Speaker 5: with subpar, you know, second and third string offensive talent.

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Speaker 5: So that's another big reason I think, you know, talking

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Speaker 5: about the Ravens, I don't think it's just that they're

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Speaker 5: going out and you know, just trying to crush everybody

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Speaker 5: in the preseason and game planning. I also think it's

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Speaker 5: that they generally have deep rosters, right like they generally

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Speaker 5: have quality drafts. They tend to hit, they tend to

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Speaker 5: find good free agents, Their defense tends to be deep,

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Speaker 5: their offensive line tends to be deep most years and so,

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Speaker 5: and their backup quarterbacks have been pretty solid. So I

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Speaker 5: think it's more so that than necessarily they're going in

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Speaker 5: and saying we want to win these meetingless games. I

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Speaker 5: just think there as an organization, it's kind of just

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Speaker 5: a testament to what they've been able to do and

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Speaker 5: why they've been so consistent over these years in the

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Speaker 5: regular season as.

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Speaker 2: Well, And to follow up on what Raven said there,

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Speaker 2: it's I mean every he just said. Also like continuity

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Speaker 2: within the coaching staff, and so you have players throughout

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Speaker 2: the organization who know the scheme and so even though

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Speaker 2: they're in training camp, they're much further along than a

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Speaker 2: lot of other teams are at this point of the

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Speaker 2: calendar year. And then also like continuity within the players,

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Speaker 2: Like yeah, they let players go, but you know, like

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Speaker 2: kind of year in and year out, they have like

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Speaker 2: quite a bit of continuity within the roster itself, so

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Speaker 2: you'll have second and third teamers who actually do know

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Speaker 2: the system and they're used to playing with each other.

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Speaker 2: Think about what Raybond said with the offensive line play.

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Speaker 2: A lot of offensive line plays is built around like

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Speaker 2: continuity and communication with the guy next to you. And

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Speaker 2: the teams that have like consistent coaching staffs year over year, consistent,

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Speaker 2: you know, like roster composition, they're going to have more

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Speaker 2: continuity just in terms of how they play as a unit.

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Speaker 2: And I think that's something that feeds into why the

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Speaker 2: Ravens have had so much success.

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Speaker 1: I forget it was, but there was someone in the

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Speaker 1: NFL twitter verse who had a really great point a

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Speaker 1: couple of years back about the changes in the college

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Speaker 1: offenses and how it's illy preparing offensive lineman for the

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Speaker 1: National Football League in the way pro offenses are run.

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Speaker 1: But we could do an entire show on that. The

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Speaker 1: point that we should be getting into here is the

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Speaker 1: depth of rosters and how teams with greater continuity, greater

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Speaker 1: draft ability, and just better back ends of their rosters

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Speaker 1: are going to be teams that you're going to be

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Speaker 1: wanting to look to bet on. Here in the preseason,

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Speaker 1: because those back end players are gonna be the ones

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Speaker 1: getting a lot of the time here. Now, do you

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Speaker 1: think that there are some teams on the flip side,

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Speaker 1: let's turn that on its head. What teams are you

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Speaker 1: guys looking to fabe as you see the back half

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Speaker 1: of these rosters as relatively weak, or they're dealing with

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Speaker 1: new coaching schemes and installs.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the Falcons catch my eye.

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Speaker 2: I'm like, I'm of two minds about this, and part

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Speaker 2: of it is just, you know, like rip the Dan

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Speaker 2: Quinn era when he was just like the auto coach

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Speaker 2: that you would bet against in the preseason. The Falcons

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Speaker 2: are my lowest power rated team. They are so thin

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Speaker 2: all over the roster. They were zero to three against

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Speaker 2: the spread last year in the preseason. They underperformed the

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Speaker 2: spread by an average of thirteen points last year. That

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Speaker 2: I mean, they're just so incredibly bad. Whereas like they

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Speaker 2: couldn't help but escort opposing players to the end zone.

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Speaker 2: But they're likely to have more urgency on offense this

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Speaker 2: year because they have Mariota. They have Rider or two

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Speaker 2: new quarterbacks who are in like something of a quarterback battle,

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Speaker 2: like not like a full on quarterback battle. But I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to give both of those guys extended

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Speaker 2: opportunity to get playing time in the preseason. And because

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Speaker 2: of that, I'm probably not as desirous to fade them

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Speaker 2: as I normally would be. But that's the team that

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Speaker 2: kind of catches my eye. Like if I were to

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Speaker 2: enter the preseason just thinking, oh, I'm automatically fading this team,

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Speaker 2: it would probably be the Falcons.

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Speaker 5: I think the Falcons are really interesting because and a

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Speaker 5: key for preseason that we should probably talk about is

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Speaker 5: you have to kind of stay up on what teams

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Speaker 5: are doing in practice. You got to stay up on

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Speaker 5: what's going on in camp. You know, beat writers usually

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Speaker 5: writing or report every day. And I actually read a

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Speaker 5: report on the Falcons a couple of days ago. I

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Speaker 5: believe it was in the Athletic and Arthur Smith was

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Speaker 5: in last year, the team wasn't really deep, they had

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Speaker 5: a lot of guys hurt, and so they decided to

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Speaker 5: kind of play, you know, play it close to the

301
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Speaker 5: vest in preseason.

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Speaker 6: They didn't really push anybody.

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Speaker 5: And this year, he says, they're a lot healthier and

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Speaker 5: they have more depth, and so starters are actually going

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Speaker 5: to play and they're going to play with you know,

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Speaker 5: as you said, for even more urgency because they felt

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Speaker 5: that what happened last preseason actually carried over into the

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Speaker 5: regular season. So you have to kind of be up

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Speaker 5: on this because yes, the Falcons, you know, at first glance,

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Speaker 5: seemed like a team like, oh yeah, they were terrible

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Speaker 5: last season, the arrested other guys. They actually want to

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Speaker 5: do the exact opposite this year, so you have to

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Speaker 5: kind of you know, be aware of stuff like that.

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Speaker 5: And uh, they are going up against the Detroit Lions,

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Speaker 5: who both teams they're going to play their starters, you know,

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Speaker 5: in that game. But it's just been really profitable to

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Speaker 5: fade these teams on hard knocks, you know, and we've

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Speaker 5: seen a big line move in that game. You know,

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Speaker 5: the Lions opened as three point favorites and then now

320
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Speaker 5: the Falcons are minus one and a half at some books.

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Speaker 5: And in the preseason, when a line moves four or

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Speaker 5: more points, uh, that that actually following it and not

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Speaker 5: fading it has worked. It's been sixty percent thirty eight,

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Speaker 5: twenty five and five going back to two thousand and four.

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Speaker 5: So I actually might like the Falcons in this spot

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Speaker 5: this weekend.

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Speaker 1: And that's a really interesting point that I wanted to

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Speaker 1: touch on here because I know we talked about it

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Speaker 1: a little bit before we came on air. These line

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Speaker 1: points are these line movements are a really big source

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Speaker 1: of first off, potential closing line value, but also a

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Speaker 1: chance to mind some information here and maybe take advantage

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Speaker 1: of a better number, you like, actually following some of

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Speaker 1: these movements here.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, there's certain times when you want to

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Speaker 5: be contrarian, and again, no one really knows anything, So

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Speaker 5: I think there's always value of being contrarian preseason, regular

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Speaker 5: season whatever. People always underestimate varians things like that. But

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Speaker 5: interestingly enough, in the preseason there are also a couple

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Speaker 5: of scenarios where kind of following the money has actually

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Speaker 5: been profitable, you know, in terms of tailing a line move.

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Speaker 6: So one of them is what I just mentioned.

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Speaker 5: You know, when the spread moves four or more points,

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Speaker 5: that's pretty drastic. Usually the you know, that team has

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Speaker 5: ended up covering at a sixty percent clip. Again that's

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Speaker 5: the Falcons. And then also when we've seen totals drop

347
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Speaker 5: by two or more points, those are hitting out a

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Speaker 5: fifty seven percent clip. So there are there are some

349
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Speaker 5: spots where you know, when again it's preseason, a lot

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Speaker 5: of these lines are going to kind of be very

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Speaker 5: cookie cutter.

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Speaker 6: They're all within that, you know.

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Speaker 5: Kind of thirty to thirty seven point range. The spreads

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Speaker 5: are usually around a field goal. So anytime you see

355
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Speaker 5: a line moving two, three, four points, that is massive,

356
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Speaker 5: like even more massive than it would be in the

357
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Speaker 5: regular season because you're coming from a baseline of a

358
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Speaker 5: lower scoring game. You know, like four divided into thirty

359
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,679
Speaker 5: five is more than four divided into the average total

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Speaker 5: of a regular season game, which is more like forty six.

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Speaker 1: You completely make a good point there about the totals

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Speaker 1: and how much these point movements mean in a game

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Speaker 1: with a lower total like this, where you're expecting such

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Speaker 1: shorter scoring, and again the fact that the game is

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Speaker 1: also going to be shorter, most likely because teams aren't

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Speaker 1: really concerned about clock management here. We know Andy Reid

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Speaker 1: for many years carried that over into the regular season,

368
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Speaker 1: but it is a very big factor. The game is

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Speaker 1: mostly going to run shorter, You're gonna have fewer plays,

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Speaker 1: and that goes back to what Matt said earlier. Guys,

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Speaker 1: we've teamed up with run your pool to bring you

372
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:06,760
Speaker 1: listeners an awesome contest for this season. Matt, It's time

373
00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:10,520
Speaker 1: to get hyped, get excited. Are you ready for some football?

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00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:12,960
Speaker 3: I'm embarrassed that you even asked that question.

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00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,080
Speaker 1: I know you are, And if guys want to get

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381
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,879
Speaker 1: for week one because all season long here on the

382
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Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast, we are going to be doing a

383
00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:39,200
Speaker 1: pick them contest. It's going to be very simple. We're

384
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Speaker 1: going to keep track of the leaders each week. All

385
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,520
Speaker 1: you have to do is pick three games against the spread.

386
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:46,520
Speaker 1: Matt and I are going to be in it.

387
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:47,000
Speaker 4: You guys.

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00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:50,240
Speaker 1: You're not just competing for bragging rights against us. The

389
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Speaker 1: Week one at play dot run your Pool dot Com

394
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:09,360
Speaker 1: slash betting pros and best of luck this season. And Matt,

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Speaker 1: how about you, what are some of the things that

396
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Speaker 1: you're looking into betting on with this preseason that you're

397
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Speaker 1: looking forward to.

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

399
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Speaker 2: I like everything Chris just said there, especially because I

400
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:22,119
Speaker 2: couldn't hear it because of, you know, obvious issues with

401
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Speaker 2: my camera. But we're just gonna power through it. The

402
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Speaker 2: things that I am looking for, I'm looking to bet

403
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:30,360
Speaker 2: the Rams under Sean McVay is never playing his starters,

404
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,240
Speaker 2: his offensive players in this game. I think he is

405
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Speaker 2: like ten four and one to the under as a

406
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Speaker 2: head coach. I'm looking to play the Bills, they're ten

407
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Speaker 2: to four and one and against the spread. And preseason

408
00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:49,359
Speaker 2: under Sean McDermott, looking to play Pete Carroll. That dude

409
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Speaker 2: just likes to try to win meaningless games. And I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at teams that have quarterback battles because I think

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Speaker 2: their offenses, their play callers will take those games more seriously.

412
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Speaker 2: And finally, teams that are eligible for the Wong Teaser.

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Speaker 2: So teams that can go through three and through seven

414
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Speaker 2: with lower spreads, sorry, with lower totals, those games tend

415
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Speaker 2: to be more valuable and the preseason that is like

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Speaker 2: a total low total environment, so a perfect time to

417
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Speaker 2: go for Wong teasers. And we have a lot of

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Speaker 2: games that are in that area because it's the preseason,

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Speaker 2: so a lot of you know, plus two's plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half. So I think it's a good environment

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Speaker 2: for looking to exploit that that opportunity.

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Speaker 1: Now, Chris, you have one more trend that you wanted

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Speaker 1: to give us here.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, I think a lot of times when

425
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,359
Speaker 5: people think about the preseason, they look at the you know,

426
00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 5: they try to handicap the game and they say, okay,

427
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:50,880
Speaker 5: how long in the start is going to play? And

428
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 5: you know a lot of times what that does is

429
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 5: that tends to create value on you know, not just

430
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 5: the full game totals that we talked about, but also

431
00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 5: the first half unders. You know, when when you see

432
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:07,360
Speaker 5: a first half under, and specifically at outdoors, which makes

433
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,399
Speaker 5: sense because you know, in domes things are just a

434
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 5: little easier for offenses, but outdoor first half unders when

435
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 5: the home team is the underdog ninety eight fifty nine

436
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:21,040
Speaker 5: and three sixty two percent uh since two thousand and four,

437
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,960
Speaker 5: and if you filter by non conference it gets even better.

438
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 5: Eighty five forty five and three to the first half

439
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 5: under and you have three of the games that match

440
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:32,959
Speaker 5: those trends, the Giants at the Patriots, the Jets at

441
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 5: the Eagles, and the Bucks at the Miami Dolphins.

442
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: Chris, thank you so much for joining us here today.

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00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,920
Speaker 1: We really appreciate the time. Before you go, One big

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00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,119
Speaker 1: question for you here. We're gonna ask it to every

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00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,959
Speaker 1: guest on the show throughout the season. What is your

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00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 1: favorite fast food French fry?

447
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:56,920
Speaker 5: Favorite fast food french fry? That would have to be McDonald's.

448
00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 4: All right, an oldie, but a goodie.

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00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: It's the classic. You can't really beat that. Where can

450
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 1: people find you and all the great work you're doing.

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00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 5: You can find me on Twitter at Chris Raybon riy

452
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 5: bo n, check me out on the Fantasy Flex podcast

453
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 5: and the Action Network.

454
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 6: Podcast, and you can follow my bets.

455
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,679
Speaker 5: In the Free Action Network app at Chris Raybond is

456
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:18,160
Speaker 5: my handle here as well.

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00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 1: Chris, thank you so much for joining us here today.

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00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: Once again, it has been a pleasure.

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00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 4: Matt.

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00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: It's been great riding with you here, even through the issues.

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00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,399
Speaker 1: We are going to be together for all the football season.

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00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:32,360
Speaker 1: You're stuck with me. I'm looking forward to it. If

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00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 1: you guys want to follow along for more, of course,

464
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: don't forget to follow at Betting Pros, join our discord

465
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com, slash Chat, you can find me

466
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,119
Speaker 1: on Twitter, at TV at work, and Matt of course

467
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 1: at Matt fde Oracle. That's going to do it for

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00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: us here one more time, Chris Raybond, thank you so

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00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 1: much for your time today. Guys, let's cash those preseason

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00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 1: tickets

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00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 3: Fires