1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: Why from our nation's camera la President Joe Biden's one 2 00:00:04,840 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 1: point nine trillion dollar pandemic relief package. We're not going 3 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: to hear any more about Operation Warp Speed. They're gonna 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: be calling it the COVID response. We're talking right now 5 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: about jockeying amongst Republicans. Bloomberg Sound On, the insiders, the influencers, 6 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: the inside. Biding has promised again and again it able 7 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: to unite the country. Who do you think Biden has 8 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: to watch in terms of moderate defectors. The House has 9 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: been voting for this stimulus package basically for months. This 10 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg Radio, 11 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 1: Impeachment day two. And meanwhile, Mitch McConnell signals that a 12 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: Trump conviction would be a GOP conscience vote. Vote your 13 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 1: conscience is what Leader McConnell now is telling the Republican 14 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: caucus a lot to get through. I gotta be honest, folks, 15 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: I'm a little speechless right now because a colleague of 16 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: mine and and a produced are on the program. Matthew Shirley, 17 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: who's uh as part of the sound On family here 18 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio, is in the office socially distance, of course, 19 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: but I was not expecting to see one of my 20 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: indefatigable teammates, Christine Barratto, when you're coming in and I 21 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: am a little bit speechless. So I you know, it's 22 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 1: awkward to be speechless on a radio show. But it's 23 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: great to have Matt in the office. It's it's a 24 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 1: lonely office here in these socially distant times. Enough of that. 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin CURRELLI Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 26 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Radio. We begin tonight, of course, with day 27 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: two of the impeachment trial against former President Donald Trump 28 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: uh and and the testimony on Capitol Hill from the 29 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: first of two days of Democratic House managers making their 30 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 1: case against the former president. I've got sounds on this 31 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: from Congressman Jamie Raskin, a Democrat from Michigan, who is 32 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: the lead House impeachment manager, and he kicked off the 33 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: proceedings today. Take a list of It makes no difference 34 00:01:56,400 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: what the ideological content of the mob was. And if 35 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: we license and forgive incitement to violent insurruction by militant 36 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: Trump followers this week, you can be sure there will 37 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:11,679 Speaker 1: be a whole bunch of new ideological flavors coming soon. Meanwhile, 38 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: House Impeachment Manager Joe Nagus of Colorado outlined the actions 39 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: of President Trump before and on January six, then says 40 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: that the president, the former president now didn't want to 41 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 1: stop his supporters who were engaged in the capital siege. 42 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: Here's the sound on that. If as soon as this 43 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: had started, President Trump had simply gone on to TV, 44 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:39,679 Speaker 1: just logged onto Twitter and said stop the attack. If 45 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: he had done so with even half as much force 46 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: as he said stop the steel, how many lives would 47 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,399 Speaker 1: we have saved. The Republican response has been largely critical 48 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: of the Democrats and the argument that they are making. 49 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: Senator Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina, said earlier 50 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: today on Fox News that he believed it was nothing 51 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: more than political theater, and Senator Mike Brawn, a Republican 52 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: from Indiana, noted that it would take seventeen Republican senators 53 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: who would have to side with Democrats in order to 54 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: convict Trump. Here sound on that from Senator Braun. After that, 55 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: when you had one senator and then changed a point 56 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: of view, I think that's uh says a lot so 57 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: I think that pretty well fixes in place what you 58 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: might see as the eventual outcome. He was alluding to 59 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: Senator Bill Cassidy, a Republican who last evening switched his 60 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: thoughts on whether or not the Constitution, whether or not 61 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: the trial itself that they are conducting is constitutional. A Senator, 62 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: Cassidy was one of seven Republican senators who voted that 63 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: it was in fact constitutional, joining with the Democrats, and 64 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: the trial again continues. Most folks expect that that final 65 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 1: vote again a long shot that former President Trump will 66 00:03:56,520 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: be convicted. Uh, will happen early, ear Lee. Uh. Next week, 67 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: let's bring in the all star panel Jeannie Shann Zano, 68 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: a Bloomberg Politics contributor, and George c a CEO of 69 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: Annandale Capital, Texas businessman and a former senior advisor to 70 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio's sixteen presidential campaign. He has also served at 71 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: the State's Department as well, and we're thrilled to have 72 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: him back on the program. George, I'll start with you, 73 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: because the divide right now and the focus on the 74 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: impeachment is really a reconciliation, so to speak, for the 75 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: future of the Republican Party. What are your Republican sources 76 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: telling you in Texas in the business community in particular, 77 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: about where the Republican Party goes post impeachment round two. Well, Hi, Kevin, 78 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: I think that's a good line of inquiry, and it's 79 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: it's fitting in terms of being outside of the swamp 80 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: fever lands and the highly partisan blue centers of the 81 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: country and holly pars and red centers of the country, 82 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: to be fair, but down down here in Texas were 83 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: more focused on the accou to me and getting things 84 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: started up, and getting past the pandemic and getting people 85 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: vaccinated who are most at risk, and China and Russia 86 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: and North Korea and some of these major issues that 87 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 1: really affect the country. And I would disagree with Republicans 88 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: that say this is all politics. This is really serious business. 89 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,479 Speaker 1: But what I would agree with Republicans on is that 90 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: this is going to amount to a bunch of nothing. 91 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: He's already been impeached once before. He's not going to 92 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:26,720 Speaker 1: be convicted. They're not gonna get sixty seven votes to 93 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: convict him on this, And I think it's it's really 94 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: a waste of the people's time and money. I don't 95 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: think it's gonna amount to anything substantive at all. But 96 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: it will play out as it will play out. You know. 97 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 1: Let me follow up here before Jeanie and I talk 98 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 1: about this, But do you think that the vote on 99 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: Sunday or Monday, whenever it ultimately comes down. And again, folks, 100 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: in terms of the process, Democrats are going to wrap 101 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: up their case tomorrow and then the Republicans are the 102 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: rather President Trump's defense will have eight hours and then 103 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: they'll have that final vote. But do you think that 104 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: if a Republican votes to convict that that is a 105 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: bad vote in the sense that the Republican party in 106 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: his or her state would revolt against them. I think 107 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: it depends on the state. I think somebody like Ben 108 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: sass is pretty immune to all these kind of things. 109 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: I think Mitt Romney is pretty immune to these kind 110 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 1: of things. But if if a Senator from Texas voted 111 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: to convict, or a Senator in South Dakota voted to convict, 112 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: I think there would be political ramifications. I think it's 113 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: a state by state consideration, and I think the politics 114 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: are less important than the fact that something terrible happened 115 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 1: on January six, and we all would acknowledge that. And 116 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: I think, you know, people who want to move on 117 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: with the country and think it's in the best interests 118 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: of the country to move on, would like to just 119 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: get this over with because it's not going to lead 120 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 1: to anything. Substitute, Genie genie Z, no come in here 121 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 1: in terms of the developments of today. There was some 122 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: other gripping testimony when one of the Democratic House impeachment 123 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: managers showed the video of Capitol Hill police directing Senator 124 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 1: Romney Uh that George just mentioned to move away from 125 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: the rioters who were on site inside of the Capitol 126 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: Uh and and in many ways UH prevented him from 127 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: a very close encounter with some of those individuals. Jeanie. 128 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: So another another day of reliving January six, Yes, and 129 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: and seeing things that we hadn't seen before, And I 130 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,559 Speaker 1: would agree with you. Gripping is the word that comes 131 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: to mind. The prosecutors are doing an absolutely stellar job 132 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: of presenting their case. They have been very methodical, going 133 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: through minute by minute of what occurred, and of course 134 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: they started well before January six to make the case 135 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 1: against the president. Um I I would like to jump 136 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: onto what you and George Orge is talking about, because 137 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: it's really important when George says, this is going to 138 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: amount to nothing, and and that is you know, we 139 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: can't prognosticate, can't read the future, but that is likely 140 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: the case. Very hard to imagine. You get seventeen Republicans 141 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: since the Testament yesterday was so gripping, and we only 142 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: got one to move, and so that really raises a 143 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: broader question in my mind. You can see, or I 144 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 1: can see, why Americans are really really frustrated with American 145 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: government and politics because, let's face it, we're engaging in 146 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: all of this and we know the outcome is going 147 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: to be an acquittal. What is the point? And when 148 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,679 Speaker 1: you ask members of Congress, and you ask other people, 149 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 1: particularly Democrats, who are going to vote in favor of it, 150 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: it's really hard for me to get a good answer, 151 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: which to me suggests we need another way to keep presidents, 152 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 1: you know, hold responsible if impeachment is going to be 153 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 1: sort of this empty vessel. A case like this is 154 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: a case if any of them should work, should work, 155 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,839 Speaker 1: and it's clearly not going to Well, what do you 156 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 1: say to folks who say that that voting is the 157 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 1: is the mechanism voting at the ballot box that voters 158 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,199 Speaker 1: make their uh and and and make their make their 159 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,320 Speaker 1: case heard, and that they're the ones who are holding 160 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 1: the folks accountable. They absolutely did, they changed administrations. I 161 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: would just suggest that another way to do this would 162 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: be give us a mechanism for a vote of no 163 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:12,199 Speaker 1: confidence in between election cycles, which are every four years 164 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,120 Speaker 1: for the president, you know. Means like that to hold 165 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:18,559 Speaker 1: people accountable seem in my mind, to be a better 166 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: option than these impeachment trials, which I am concerned are 167 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: going to become more and more common in our lifetime. 168 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: They already have been and absolutely amount to a hill 169 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: of beans. I mean, we've got a current president who 170 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 1: tells us that he's not even paying attention to the trial, 171 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:36,200 Speaker 1: and rightly so for political reasons. But of course it's 172 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: great political theater. But this should be more than theater, 173 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: you know. It's it's it's fascinating, I think, to live through, uh, 174 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: this moment of history that we're all going through collectively, 175 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 1: and and just to see how the political culture and 176 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 1: all that that that those two words and encompass, right 177 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: including political journalists as well as the divided and polarized 178 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: political um journalism landscape, and how that and social media 179 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,959 Speaker 1: platforms and the like. How all of that will one 180 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 1: day be remembered. It's it's it's going to be fascinating 181 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: to watch that evolution. Coming up on the program, we're 182 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:18,439 Speaker 1: going to continue this conversation with Congressman John Gara Mendi. 183 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: He is a Democrat, of course from California, and I'm 184 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:25,480 Speaker 1: also gonna ask him about some geopolitics, and we're gonna 185 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: get to, of course, the stimulus talk because earlier today 186 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 1: President Biden uh spoke to members of the Defense Department. 187 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: So there's a lot going on in the geopolitical front. 188 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:36,960 Speaker 1: So and I'm on the US China front as well. 189 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: But to wrap up our impeachment and our lead story today, 190 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: George just in the in the minute that I have 191 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 1: left for right now. Uh, is it a political risk 192 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 1: for four for any of the prospective candidates in the 193 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: Republican Party to vote to convict President Trump. I think 194 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: they're dead if they do that. It's a matter of conscience. 195 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 1: Like Mitch McConnell said that they shouldn't bothe their conscience. 196 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,719 Speaker 1: I'm fine with that. But there's so much anger out 197 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: there on the left and the right boat and a 198 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 1: lot of people see this through a purely political prison, 199 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: unlike a substant prison, because we all know we're not 200 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:16,439 Speaker 1: going to get to the substance on this matter and 201 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 1: in this point in time, and so they're gonna look 202 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: at it politically. And if you try to run in 203 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 1: a primary after you voted to convict Trump, you're you're 204 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: you're dead on arrival. It's not gonna work, you know. 205 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: And that is that is a really uh let me 206 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 1: tell you something, folks, George C knows the Republican landscape 207 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: and the players and the candidates and the prospect of candidate. 208 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: He knows them personally. So I mean to hear that 209 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 1: is that is great analysis. All right? Coming up next, 210 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:44,560 Speaker 1: we talked about the fiscal stimulus. I'm Kevin s Really 211 00:11:44,640 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 1: this is Bloomer. This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 212 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: Surrele on Bloomberg Radio. My name is Kevin Curreli. I'm 213 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: the chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and from Bloomberg 214 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: of Radio. I was talking to a source today over lunch, 215 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 1: and a Republican source, and and and essentially we were 216 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: talking about US China relations and how Republicans are going 217 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,959 Speaker 1: to be really critical of Democrats for not going far 218 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 1: enough in terms of being tough on China. But there's 219 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: this acceptance amongst Republicans and Democrats when I talked to Republicans, 220 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: especially on background, that there's a lot of agreement on 221 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: many of the issues. Um. And we're gonna talk more 222 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: geopolitics coming up, and we've got an all star panel 223 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: to do so, with Jennie sawn zenas with me as 224 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,319 Speaker 1: well as George Ciavanadelle Capital Cap. George, I'm gonna get 225 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 1: it out here. It comes the CEO of Annandale Capital. Uh, 226 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: tongue tied George. UM. On the what's no, it's or 227 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: or I've had too much coffee today, It's one or 228 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 1: the other. I think I think it's the latter. But 229 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 1: before we do that on the geo political front, let's 230 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: first discuss the stimulus because earlier today, a senior Senate 231 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: Democrat highlighted comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on 232 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,839 Speaker 1: the weak state of the job market in his push 233 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 1: for a longer period of enhanced unemployment benefits. Top House 234 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:36,679 Speaker 1: Republicans have criticized President Biden and congressional Democrats for continuing 235 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 1: to pursue a legislative strategy for the administration's one point 236 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:45,479 Speaker 1: nine trillion dollar relief plan that sets the GOP aside. 237 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 1: But five House committees have already begun acting on their 238 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: parts of the stimulus bill. So it's it's going through committee, 239 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: as we've been reporting, as we've been discussing, and it's 240 00:13:57,160 --> 00:14:01,600 Speaker 1: happening incredibly quickly because as Democrats have decided that they 241 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 1: are not going to pursue bringing in Republicans. How much 242 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:11,960 Speaker 1: is that a political miscalculation, George and why it's a 243 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: complete miscalculation. But the Democrats have sees all three areas, 244 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 1: the executive branch and both houses in the Congress, and 245 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna gram road through what they want to get through, 246 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 1: and they're gonna be held accountable one way or another 247 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: what the American people thinks of it in the elections. 248 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: And I think they're going to lose the House as 249 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: a result, and they may lose the Senate. But I 250 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: just wish they had come to a compromise and gotten 251 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 1: somewhere between the six hundred billion that the Republicans offered, 252 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 1: which is a huge amount of money, on top of 253 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: the nine hundred billion we did about a month and 254 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: a half ago and the one point nine trillion, which 255 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: is laden with Democrat wish list goodies on the top end, 256 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: and settle for a billion or somewhere in there that 257 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: would help the people most suffering and most hurting from 258 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 1: from this pandemic and this economy that's been on its 259 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: back for a while and not over like the economy. 260 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: So we get inflation and maybe stagflation after that, and 261 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 1: it seems like we're on a sugar high and and 262 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 1: too much is not enough, and eventually our debt is 263 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: gonna get so high it's gonna be really hard to 264 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: service it. And let's interest rate stay low, and that's 265 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 1: a really bad bet. So I think it's they think 266 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 1: it's good politics. I don't think so. I think it's 267 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: gonna backfire. Get this. I mean, here's here's something that 268 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 1: you know, you can hear the campaign ads being being 269 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: written and recorded virtually right now. Uh, the Senate Finance 270 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 1: Committee as well as other Senate panels in the in 271 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: the upper Chamber, they're skipping formal hearings and votes on 272 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 1: the stimulus Why because of the time taken up by 273 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 1: the impeachment trial. Jeanie Schanza, No, that is not gonna sit. Well, 274 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: you can't you hear them now that out on the 275 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: on the re election campaign trail, Democrats are more interested 276 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: in the impeachment than they were on on having a 277 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: hearing on the stimulus gene and addressing COVID relief to 278 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: your point, And you know, I think what we're seeing 279 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: here is Joe Biden, who lived through the OH nine 280 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: uh what many people has described it described as a 281 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: you know a mistake in the Obama years when many 282 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: people felt the stimulus was too small, the recovery was 283 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: too weak. But to George's point, more importantly, probably from 284 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 1: their perspective, it was a political disaster for them in 285 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: the midterms. So I think there's an effort here to 286 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: try not to repeat the mistake of OH nine that 287 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: resulted in the I can't remember if that was the 288 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 1: shellacking year, which year that was, but it all blurs together. Um, 289 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: So I think that's what we're seeing here. And I 290 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 1: think that Democrats feel strongly that if they can get 291 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: close to this to trillion, this one point nine trillion, 292 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 1: then they will avoid that. And I think that is 293 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: a big, big question yet to be answered. But I 294 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 1: would also ask, I mean, I have asked my Democratic friends, 295 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: if you're going to do that and we face inflation, 296 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: as Larry Summer says, told have told us, how are 297 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 1: you going to fulfill the mission of building back better 298 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,160 Speaker 1: all the things that need to be done from infrastructure 299 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: on down, Because you can't do both unless you raise taxes, 300 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 1: and that's unpalatable as well. So to me, that question 301 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: has yet to be answered well. And and to your 302 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:19,679 Speaker 1: point precisely, I mean former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, he 303 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: warned just the other week in that WAPO UH column 304 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,159 Speaker 1: that that there could be a one point that the 305 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:30,080 Speaker 1: one point nine trillion dollar stimulus bill could overheat the economy. 306 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: I mean when Larry Summers making that argument. So you 307 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:35,479 Speaker 1: know for a fact, a genie that that when you 308 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,199 Speaker 1: have people like the Finance Committee Chairman Ron Widen of 309 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: Oregon and Democrat UH quoting quoting UH FED Chairman j Powell, 310 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,400 Speaker 1: who says that quote, we are still very far from 311 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 1: a strong labor market whose benefits are broadly shared end quote. UH. 312 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,439 Speaker 1: You know that they were they were thankful for the 313 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 1: political cover quickly, Jue absolutely thankful for the cover. And 314 00:17:57,119 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 1: I think Biden still has to be careful about losing 315 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:02,919 Speaker 1: even one of Mansion or Cinema or one of these folks. 316 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: They go and this effort to push this through is 317 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: gonna be be stonewalled. And I still go back. I 318 00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 1: think when I talked to a mansion aid earlier this 319 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: week yesterday, and they're on board for the stimulus. It's 320 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 1: the other issues coming up and the political capital that 321 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 1: the Biden administration is expending right now. That's why, candidly, 322 00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:29,120 Speaker 1: and the shorter, longer term is that even a word, uh, 323 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 1: it matters. I'm Kevin Surleimore. Next, this is Bloomberg. You're 324 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin surrele on Bloomberg Radio. 325 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Sireley, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and 326 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,359 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg Radio. Coming up, we talked to you a 327 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 1: politics as well as an interview with Congressman John Garamendi, 328 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:59,359 Speaker 1: Democrat from Cali, California. I'm joined by none other than 329 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,880 Speaker 1: Jennie Shawn's they know, as well as George c CEO 330 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: of Antendale Capital. I want to continue our conversation about 331 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: some new remarks from FED Chairman J Powell, who discussed 332 00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: the state of the economy and whether or not there's 333 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: a need for more economic stimulus. I've got sound on 334 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 1: this from the FED chairman tickelism. Given the number of 335 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: people who have lost their jobs and the likelihood that 336 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 1: some will struggle to find work in the post pandemic economy, 337 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: achieving and sustaining maximum employment will require more than supportive 338 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 1: monetary policy. It will require a society wide commitment with 339 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:36,159 Speaker 1: contributions from across government and the private sector. That was 340 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 1: the Central Bank chairman. I mean, George, you you said 341 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: what many Republicans are saying publicly is that this is 342 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 1: a sugar high and that that we can't afford this. 343 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: I mean, when you hear FED Chairman j. Powe will 344 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,640 Speaker 1: make those remarks, what are you What are you seeing 345 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: in the economy in Texas that is different than what 346 00:19:55,640 --> 00:20:00,080 Speaker 1: FED chairman policing. Yeah. I think what the chairman and 347 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: is not recognizing is that in the Obama administration, which 348 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 1: when they took Para two thousand nine, the inflation the 349 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: unemployment rate did not fall below six point seven percent 350 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,120 Speaker 1: until six years later. We're an unemployment of six point 351 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: seven percent today. So the job market is actually much 352 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: more robust than it was after the Great Recession. It's 353 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 1: it's actually not in good shape, but it's not in 354 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 1: terrible shape either, and we we are likely to overheat. 355 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,680 Speaker 1: And I would go back to the federal debt and 356 00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 1: the interests on the federal debt. If we were to 357 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: go back to a four percent average rate on the 358 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: federal debt, which is pretty low skilled by historical standards, 359 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 1: at thirty trillion in in federal debt, which is where 360 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 1: we're headed, that would be one point two trillion in 361 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 1: interest costs alone. And that's where we've got to be 362 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 1: really careful about all this. All this fiscal stimulus, it's 363 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,359 Speaker 1: it's it's probably more than we need. I think we 364 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: do need one more round the stimulus, but very targeted 365 00:20:55,600 --> 00:21:00,439 Speaker 1: towards pandemic relief, vaccine relief, and spurring mains tread and 366 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 1: spurring jobs for for the economy. And the Democrats have 367 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 1: got an awful lot more in their package than that. 368 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:08,439 Speaker 1: And it's unnecessary, and it's wasteful spinning, and it's going 369 00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,119 Speaker 1: to move the debt up, and it's gonna put us 370 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 1: in a very precarious financial situation. So I want to 371 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:14,919 Speaker 1: I want to be clear here. You're saying that that 372 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: you and other Republicans support. They're being additional funds and 373 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:23,119 Speaker 1: stimulus to to make sure that the vaccination effort stays 374 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 1: on track, is efficient, the millions, hundreds of millions of 375 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,720 Speaker 1: vaccines that were ultimately going to need a hundred million 376 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 1: in the next couple of months. That that's well executed. 377 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: But what you don't like is that it's it's close 378 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: to two trillion dollars. Yeah, and and bailing out blue 379 00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: states that have been recklessly spending for a very very 380 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: long period of time because it's politically expedient for the 381 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 1: Democrats to do so, and being discically profligate, and and 382 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 1: doing irresponsible stuff that's gonna hurt our country in the 383 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 1: long run. I just really don't. I don't think that's 384 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 1: a Republican viewpoint. I think Larry Summers, who I'd probably 385 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 1: agree with less than half the time, very smart. I 386 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 1: would say less than that, I'd George, I know you're 387 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: pretty well, buddy. I don't think you agree with Larry Summers. 388 00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: I would say ten percent at the time, but hey, 389 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 1: who am I go ahead, But he's in our camp 390 00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,119 Speaker 1: on this deal, and he's right. I agree with it 391 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 1: a Genie come in here, because I mean, it's it's 392 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 1: fascinating to to see George. I used that when I 393 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: said yesterday that the word that has not been used 394 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,439 Speaker 1: as frequently as was utilized during two thousand and eight, 395 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,640 Speaker 1: and that's the bail out word. Yes, And one thing 396 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: I would question, because I too think that Larry Summers 397 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: makes a really important point, and I support more targeted assistance, 398 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,679 Speaker 1: if you will, or a more targeted stimulus. That said, 399 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,320 Speaker 1: something my Republican friends don't seem to be able to address, 400 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,119 Speaker 1: at least as far as I've heard, is that the 401 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: other thing Powell said, which was the unemployment rate, and 402 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 1: George is right, it's fallen from about fifteen percent a 403 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: little less than to six percent. Yet it is dramatically understated, 404 00:22:55,760 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: according to Powell, and it is amongst the biggest twelve 405 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,160 Speaker 1: months drops in the labor force participation rate since nine 406 00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 1: He also said the impact has been particularly difficult on 407 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:13,440 Speaker 1: low earners people in that bottom quartile. So those issues 408 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,439 Speaker 1: have got to be addressed. We can't always look at 409 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 1: that top line unemployment rate and say, well, we're at 410 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 1: six percent now, six point three whatever we are right now, 411 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 1: and so we're doing a lot better than expected, because 412 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,919 Speaker 1: you do have this enormous drop in participation, and you 413 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: do have a particularly difficult challenge for people who are 414 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 1: low earners, which of course is nothing new, even prior 415 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,919 Speaker 1: to the pandemic. And that is not just an economic problem, 416 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: it's a societal problem as well. So when we talk 417 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 1: about a stimulus package, to me, that is what has 418 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: to be addressed. I agree small businesses, but those people 419 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,720 Speaker 1: in those bottom segments, that has to be addressed. It's 420 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,560 Speaker 1: a really interesting point. All right, let's pivot now to geopolitics, 421 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 1: diving into my Bloomberg terminal. Great report from my colleagues 422 00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:00,720 Speaker 1: Peter Martin Salamos and and Nick Wottoms. Biden and She 423 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:05,200 Speaker 1: planned first call as soon as tonight. US President Joe 424 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 1: Biden and Chinese President Shi Jingping are preparing to speak 425 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 1: on Wednesday for the first time since the new administration 426 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 1: in Washington took office last month. According to two people 427 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,879 Speaker 1: familiar with the matter, The conversation between the leaders of 428 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: the world's two biggest economies will take place as tensions 429 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:25,000 Speaker 1: between them remains high over issues including Beijing's tightening grip 430 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 1: on Hong Kong trade, technology, and the South China Sea, 431 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 1: among other issues. It comes as Biden visited the Pentagon 432 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,640 Speaker 1: the Pentagon earlier, the UH with today, and he had 433 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 1: directed Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to establish a task force 434 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 1: to review the U S National security policy with respect 435 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 1: to China. George, what do you want to see? What 436 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: do you what do you hope to get? On the 437 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: read out between the call with Biden and she tonight, 438 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,439 Speaker 1: I'm not optimistic. I think China is not a friendly 439 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,879 Speaker 1: competitor anymore than an advert serry. And I think that 440 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,160 Speaker 1: there are a real threat to global stability and and 441 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,680 Speaker 1: freedom around the world, and all the the negative things 442 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 1: China has done the last several years, whether it's uh 443 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:16,280 Speaker 1: imprisoning and and and UH profiling their their Muslim citizens 444 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 1: and the South China see warlike effort and the the 445 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 1: cover up of the pandemic and everything else. I think 446 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,680 Speaker 1: the President's got is handsful, and I'm I'm cheering for him. 447 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,600 Speaker 1: I think it's very important that we continue to do 448 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 1: business with China, but do so in a very wary, harsh, 449 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,360 Speaker 1: tough way, because that's that's the only language they understand. 450 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: So what what specific policies on the business front, Because 451 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 1: I'm we'll continue this conversation, uh really throughout the next 452 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,359 Speaker 1: couple of weeks and months, because when I talk to 453 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,160 Speaker 1: folks in the business community, especially who have a more 454 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 1: conservative perspective, it's they understand, they recognize that we're in 455 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,960 Speaker 1: a global economy. But it's that balancing act, that balancing 456 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,879 Speaker 1: act of doing business with China that has just continued 457 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: to perplex uh United States at the sea level, c 458 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:06,080 Speaker 1: suite level, and of course in the policy making. George, 459 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 1: my friend, thank you so much for spending time with me. 460 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 1: I know, I gotta let you go. You're always so 461 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:13,440 Speaker 1: generous with your time. Genie is gonna stick around. That's George. See. 462 00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 1: He is the CEO of Annandale Capital. He's worked in 463 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 1: the kind of he's worked at the State's apartment. He's 464 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 1: a Texas businessman, and he's a former senior advisor to 465 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:27,400 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio's presidential campaign. I'm Kevin Cirelli, Congressman Garamendi. Up next, 466 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: this is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg Sound On with 467 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 1: Kevin Surley on Bloomberg Radio. My name is Kevin Cirelli. 468 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: I'm the chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for 469 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio, accompanying none other then by Jeanie Schanzano, a 470 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Politics contributor, joining us on the line. Congressman John 471 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: Garamendi returning to the Bloomberg sound on radio platform programs. 472 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 1: He represents California third Congressional District, which is the upper 473 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 1: middle of California, suburb sub suburbs of Sacramento. A k. 474 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: This is in This is in Christine Verada's show notes 475 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:16,200 Speaker 1: Wine Country. Joan Garamendi, You've got wine country in your district. 476 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,679 Speaker 1: I have great wine country in my district. I have 477 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 1: a great agricultural district. It is just stretches out across 478 00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:26,359 Speaker 1: the Sacramento Valley, beginning just east of the Bay Area, 479 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,679 Speaker 1: a hundred and ninety nine point six miles of the 480 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,359 Speaker 1: Great Sacramento River, including part of the city in the 481 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:34,880 Speaker 1: suburbs of Sacramento. You know, this is probably gonna sound 482 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,520 Speaker 1: a little a little odd, but one of my favorite 483 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 1: parts of my job is getting to talk to house members, uh, 484 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,959 Speaker 1: talk about their district because they light up, really they 485 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: do um anyway, But I want to talk to geo 486 00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: politics before we talk about the impeachment because there's been 487 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 1: some really interesting developments. And you, sir, of course, are 488 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,760 Speaker 1: a member of the House Armed Services Committee, and you 489 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: are the chairman of the Subcommittee on Readiness as and 490 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: you're a member of the Subcommittee on Stretch Agic Forces. UM. 491 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 1: President Biden tonight is expected to speak with Chinese President 492 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 1: shi Jing Ping. What do you hope comes out of 493 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 1: that conversation. I think a very honest, straightforward discussion about 494 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: the the competition that we now have and will have 495 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,879 Speaker 1: for many years to come with China. Uh and that 496 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:24,120 Speaker 1: competition can be just up and down commercial competition, which 497 00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,160 Speaker 1: would be good without one or the other of us 498 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,800 Speaker 1: taking advantage. For example, China is for a long long 499 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:35,919 Speaker 1: time taking advantage of its position as a non um 500 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,160 Speaker 1: What am I looking for here as a developing country? 501 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:44,160 Speaker 1: Hardly a developing country, but that's given an enormous advantage 502 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 1: in international trade issues. So you know, eliminate those and 503 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 1: let's go ahead to head and by the way, stop 504 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,520 Speaker 1: stealing our stuff, and you're not going to push us 505 00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 1: out of the South China Sea, and don't letting our 506 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: allies a lot of things to talk about there. Well, 507 00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: they're going to talk about terroriffs and and President Biden 508 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 1: has said just the other week to The New York 509 00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 1: Times that he's not immediately going to lift the tariffs 510 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:10,560 Speaker 1: against Beijing that the Trump administration had had put in place. 511 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 1: How much bipartisanship is there, Congressman Garamendi, between your colleagues 512 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:18,360 Speaker 1: and the Democratic Party and Republicans on how to best 513 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:24,840 Speaker 1: deal with China. A deal withing straightforward, no huffing, no puffing. Uh, 514 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,160 Speaker 1: you don't bound it. You don't have to pound your chest. 515 00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: We are very strong in America is a strong country. 516 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,479 Speaker 1: It has interest in the Pacific. China knows that. Let 517 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 1: them know that we're going to maintain those interests. We're 518 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 1: gonna build our allies, and then we're not going to 519 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: be pushed around. At the same time, we don't need 520 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: to threaten China, but we but both countries need to 521 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: understand that they're going to be in competition for years 522 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:54,600 Speaker 1: to come, but it doesn't have to be military competition, 523 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: as long as China doesn't try to push us out 524 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: of certain key um interests that we have, including Japan 525 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 1: and South Korea and the South China Sea along the way, 526 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 1: we really need to spend time and Biden administration seems 527 00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,680 Speaker 1: to want to do this to build alliances and rebuild 528 00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: the alliances throughout the world, and particularly in the specific 529 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 1: and that means trade deals. We have got to put 530 00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 1: our trade deals back together. Trump basically through him aside 531 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 1: not good. Uh, the Trance specific partnership. Trump terminated that. 532 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 1: The result of it was China stepped in and basically 533 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,840 Speaker 1: took it over. So now we've got to catch up 534 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 1: on that. Representative Garamendi, it's a genie's anto coming to 535 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: you from New York. It's such a pleasure to talk 536 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: to you. I wanted to ask you given what we've 537 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 1: been seeing yesterday and today in terms of some of 538 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 1: these really horrific videos in the impeachment trial. We've heard 539 00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: also talk that there were members of the military or 540 00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: participating in the riot. And as a member of the 541 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 1: Armed Services Committee, what is your expectation of the new 542 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 1: Defense Secretary in terms of these efforts to combat extremism 543 00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: and are you doing anything on Armed services to that end? Well, 544 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: first of all, the new secretary is on this issue. 545 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 1: He knows that this is a major problem. Being African American, 546 00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 1: he fully understands the kind of discrimination he saw throughout 547 00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 1: his career. Uh, and a lot of that is white nationalism. 548 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 1: It has to be rooted out of taken out of destroyed. 549 00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:41,000 Speaker 1: In the military. We can't simply can't have that, and 550 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: I believe you'll do it. With regard to what we've 551 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 1: been doing is to enable that. We've also taken steps 552 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: to eliminate the names of traders that dot the various 553 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:56,880 Speaker 1: military basis. These are folks that were the high command 554 00:31:56,960 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: of the Confederates in the Civil War. So that is underway, 555 00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:07,200 Speaker 1: and we are providing specific authority and responsibility to the 556 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:12,200 Speaker 1: military to deal both with systemic racism as well as 557 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 1: u uh um, I'm looking for the right word here, 558 00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:26,280 Speaker 1: but those that is underway within the military. Now beyond that, uh, 559 00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:31,640 Speaker 1: we're clearly looking at how we're going to address the 560 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:38,200 Speaker 1: issue of military people former and current that the participated 561 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:41,000 Speaker 1: in the mob will know who we now know who 562 00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 1: many of them are, will know who more of them 563 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 1: are in the day's head, and they will be appropriately disciplined, 564 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 1: some of them in civil and others in the military courts. 565 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: How do you think the Democratic House impeachment managers. Congressman 566 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 1: John Garamendi, Democrat from California how do you think your 567 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:59,560 Speaker 1: colleagues are doing and making their case to the country. 568 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 1: I think they're brilliant. I think the presentations that we've 569 00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:09,640 Speaker 1: saw yesterday, uh and again today, these are brilliant descriptions 570 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: of the problem, compelling, emotional, and thoughtful, and present a 571 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 1: clear case in which the president clearly brought to Washington 572 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 1: a mob and then incited them to not only attacked 573 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 1: the capital, which in and of itself is horrible, but 574 00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:33,080 Speaker 1: really to to overthrow the democracy, to stop the election. 575 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: That's what this was all about. That's why January six 576 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 1: was selected as the date for his counter demonstration here 577 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:46,880 Speaker 1: in Washington. It was all about stopping the election. That 578 00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 1: is the final certification of the election. So terms of 579 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:54,600 Speaker 1: humaine in power to to the to the Republicans who 580 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,120 Speaker 1: say that this is political theater and that the outcome 581 00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 1: of the trial has already known, and that this is 582 00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 1: a waste of time, responsibly, what my response is, if 583 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 1: a five year old kid is acting out in kindergarten, 584 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 1: then he needs to be held accountable. You know, go 585 00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 1: to the corner. Uh, it's time out. Whatever. This is 586 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: a president that tried to overthrow the constitutional government of 587 00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:22,200 Speaker 1: the United States, he needs to be held accountable, not 588 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: just to make it clearer to him that it was wrong, 589 00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:30,799 Speaker 1: but also in the future that this is simply not 590 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,879 Speaker 1: going to happen in America. There people have to be 591 00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 1: held accountable for the misdeeds, and this was a major misdeeds. 592 00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 1: Edition is the right word to be used here. I 593 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 1: want to pivot to geopolitics, and I only have you 594 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 1: for for ninety more seconds, so unfortunately this has to 595 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:50,000 Speaker 1: be quick. UH. President Biden has said that he is 596 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: not going to lift sanctions against Ivron in order to 597 00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 1: try to bring them back to the negotiations table for 598 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:01,040 Speaker 1: the nuclear disarmament talks now early within the Within the 599 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,840 Speaker 1: last twenty four hours, Iran's President Ruwani has said he 600 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 1: has urged world powers to rejoin the nuclear deal, most notably, UH, 601 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,360 Speaker 1: the United States. Do you agree with President Biden that 602 00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 1: tariff should be and restrictions should be left in place 603 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 1: until they start following uh, the terms of the agreement 604 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:25,560 Speaker 1: that they had agreed to. This is a very complex 605 00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:31,920 Speaker 1: puzzle that was largely scattered by the by Trump when 606 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,839 Speaker 1: he pulled the United States out of it. Putting those 607 00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:39,399 Speaker 1: pieces of the puzzle back together again is intricate and 608 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,000 Speaker 1: time consuming. We need to take the time to put 609 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 1: the pieces back together so that Iran will not have 610 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:49,279 Speaker 1: a nuclear weapon any time sooner or any time into 611 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,239 Speaker 1: the future. But there are other pieces of this that 612 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 1: need to be considered. So I would get the president 613 00:35:55,880 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 1: sufficient time to work through the intricacies. Uh. And eventually, 614 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:03,080 Speaker 1: like here said, he wants to get back into the deal. Fine, 615 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 1: let's do it in the right and the best way. 616 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,360 Speaker 1: All right, My thanks to Congressman John Garamendy, and and 617 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 1: please come back on to continue to talk about the 618 00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: pieces of that puzzle. It's a very important geopolitical issue. 619 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 1: February is Black History Month, and Bloomberg Radio is celebrating 620 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:20,040 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in the U S Black history each day. 621 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,200 Speaker 1: Here at today's installment is Bloomberg's for needing young on 622 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:27,400 Speaker 1: this day in Black History. In nine, Attorney Ron Brown 623 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:31,080 Speaker 1: becomes the first African American elected national chairman of the 624 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: Democratic Party. As Chairman, Brown played a key role in 625 00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:39,280 Speaker 1: securing the election of Bill Clinton, who was the first 626 00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,799 Speaker 1: Democrat to win the US presidency since Jimmy Carter in 627 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:49,360 Speaker 1: nineteen seventy six. So in Clinton nominated Brown as Commerce Secretary, 628 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:52,439 Speaker 1: and when the Senate confirmed him, Brown became the first 629 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:56,800 Speaker 1: black person to hold that cabinet post in US history. 630 00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,800 Speaker 1: That's today in black history. I'm Gonnita Young Boomberg Radio. 631 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:04,319 Speaker 1: All right, that says it for us today. Jeanie Schonz, Now, 632 00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:05,879 Speaker 1: I mean, what are you gonna be watching? Quickly? We've 633 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 1: only got like ten seconds, so you've got to keep 634 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 1: it quick. And when I say what are you going 635 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:13,760 Speaker 1: to be watching? I mean on the geo political fronts Umm, 636 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,799 Speaker 1: I'm really focused on this impeachment right now. But the 637 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:20,280 Speaker 1: point you made earlier, I'm fascinated by that that people 638 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,800 Speaker 1: in Washington see a wave to come to an agreement, 639 00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,120 Speaker 1: but people at home don't see that. So this sort 640 00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,960 Speaker 1: of division between Washington, d C. And what's going on 641 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,839 Speaker 1: at home is really really tough to surmount, really tough 642 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:33,920 Speaker 1: to surmount. I also just want to note that February 643 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 1: is the House Game Stop hearing, so next week we'll 644 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,480 Speaker 1: get into that post Valentine's Day policy talk. I'm Kevin 645 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,280 Speaker 1: SURREALI this is Bloomberg