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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. I'm your host, Matt Perraulton. We

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Speaker 2: don't know what last night did for our record. We

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Speaker 2: know we lost the first bed Duke goes to Virginia

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Speaker 2: and they win the game by eighteen. We took fourteen

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Speaker 2: and a half, so unfortunately that came up a little short.

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Speaker 2: In the game going on right now between BYU, sorry,

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Speaker 2: between Baylor and Arizona. That game is still undecided. It's

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Speaker 2: ten to twenty on the East Coast.

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Speaker 1: It's late. I'm going to bed.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to stay up for that game, So

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Speaker 2: I don't know either ohe two or one on one

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Speaker 2: for us last night. Now, a couple things to get

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Speaker 2: to first and foremost, we will have the live stream.

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Speaker 2: It's happening at five point thirty Eastern time with myself

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Speaker 2: and Terrell Furman. We missed it last week due to

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Speaker 2: the betting pro trip to Vegas. Will be here with

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Speaker 2: you guys on the YouTube channel four half an hour

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Speaker 2: or so. I'm gonna give you at least two plays

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Speaker 2: because what I'm gonna do today, I got one bet

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Speaker 2: for you guys.

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Speaker 1: It's involving BYU. I kind of tipped my hand there

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Speaker 1: a bit.

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Speaker 2: And then I got my first two college basketball futures

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Speaker 2: to give you guys. Then I've got at least two

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Speaker 2: plays coming later on on the live stream, maybe three.

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Speaker 2: I want to watch how the line moves for a

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Speaker 2: couple of games. But it's a big day of college

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Speaker 2: basketball for us, a lot of nationally ranked teams playing

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Speaker 2: each other, in particular in the SEC. So I want

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Speaker 2: to watch a little bit how that's going to play out,

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Speaker 2: how that's gonna move. And so we'll do that coming

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Speaker 2: up on the live stream at five thirty Eastern time

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Speaker 2: two thirty Pacific time with Terrell Firman and myself on

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Also, this happened last night,

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Speaker 2: but they kind of asked me to do it again

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Speaker 2: because most some of you guys may have been out.

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Speaker 2: If you are mister Josh one eight seven, you have

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Speaker 2: one these signed autographed Michael Strahan Jersey, you need to

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Speaker 2: email mail Bag at Fantasypros dot com with your proof

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Speaker 2: of subscription to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and your

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Speaker 2: mailing address, and you will be sent the signed autographed

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Speaker 2: New York Giants Michael Strahan jersey. Now for you guys

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Speaker 2: who want to win and want to get a chance

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Speaker 2: to win this autographed signed DeAndre Swift Bears jersey. This

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Speaker 2: is now our giveaway for this week. We have this

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Speaker 2: up for grabs for the next week, we will pull

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Speaker 2: a winner coming up on Friday. Easy to enter again,

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Speaker 2: You're gonna subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and

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Speaker 2: you're gonna comment on either this video or any video

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Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice and that's all you got to

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Speaker 2: do to enter in to win this autographed DeAndre Swift

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Speaker 2: Bears jersey.

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Speaker 1: That we will have the announcement for.

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Speaker 2: The winner coming up on Friday, So stay tuned for that.

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Speaker 2: Makes you have the notifications turned on so you guys

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Speaker 2: can be alerted when we're going to announce the winner

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Speaker 2: of that signed jersey by DeAndre Swift of the Chicago Okay,

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Speaker 2: so let's talk about the one game that I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: make a play and then we'll get to the future bits.

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Speaker 2: So BYU is at home against Kansas. This is a

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Speaker 2: win for Kansas according to KEMPOM. However, when you look

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Speaker 2: at BYU at home being nine to five against the number,

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Speaker 2: they're eight and six in the Big Twelve. This year,

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Speaker 2: KU's just five and nine. They've lost three games in

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Speaker 2: a row against the number. They've covered once in their

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Speaker 2: last five, and they're five and six on the road,

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Speaker 2: and they're going to Provo, which is not a usual

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Speaker 2: place for them to.

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Speaker 1: Go and play.

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Speaker 2: It is really hard to go there and win fifteen

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Speaker 2: point win for BYU against a good Kansas State team.

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Speaker 2: In their last game they were laying eight, they won

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Speaker 2: by fifteen. Before that, they lost by eleven to Arizona,

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Speaker 2: which is someone was surprised. But they beat Baylor and

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Speaker 2: they beat Cincinnati, covering in both those games. They've covered

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Speaker 2: in three of their last four home games for KU.

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Speaker 2: On the road, they lost to Utah. They were favored

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Speaker 2: by six and a half and they lost by seven. Colorado,

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Speaker 2: they laid seventeen and a half at home to the

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Speaker 2: Buffaloes and they only won by twelve. And then they

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Speaker 2: lost on the road at Kansas State, laying three and

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Speaker 2: a half, they lost by eight. I've in fading KU

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Speaker 2: all year, but the numbers two and a half are three.

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit concerned about laying that number. I

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Speaker 2: could see a two point win here for BYU coming

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Speaker 2: right down to the wire. So if you look at

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Speaker 2: the games that KU has lost, they lost by one

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Speaker 2: to West Virginia, they lost by six to Houston, they

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Speaker 2: lost by eight to Kansas State, they lost by lost

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Speaker 2: by seven to Utah. So we're probably okay.

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Speaker 1: To LA two and a half.

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Speaker 2: But because we're only going to bet one play here

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Speaker 2: on the podcast, I feel like it's okay to lay

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Speaker 2: the money line here in lay one forty and lay

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Speaker 2: one point four units down on BYU just to win

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Speaker 2: the game over KU. Forget the point spread, just BYU

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Speaker 2: to win this game against Kansas and to give KU

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Speaker 2: another loss again. I'm not a I've been a fader

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Speaker 2: of KU this year. It's been proper for us this

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Speaker 2: year doing it. I'm gonna keep on doing it all

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Speaker 2: the way into the ns DOAA Tournament. KU on the

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Speaker 2: road in Provo, give me BYU money line BYU for

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Speaker 2: minus one forty for one point four units. Okay, two

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Speaker 2: bets to give you guys for future wagers. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the longest of shots and then we'll get to

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Speaker 2: the other. There's two, so I'm gonna have plays on

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Speaker 2: Auburn and Duke. But i want to wait and watch

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Speaker 2: and see because I think we're gonna be able to

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Speaker 2: get this price pretty much. I mean's three to one

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Speaker 2: or four to one for both teams. So I want

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Speaker 2: to almost wait to see if we can get a

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Speaker 2: five to one or a six to one. It's not

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Speaker 2: really worth it, I think, But I want Auburn money.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna have Auburn money. I'm gonna have money on Duke. Okay,

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Speaker 2: those are the two teams that I think have the

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Speaker 2: best shot of winning the National Championship as of right now.

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Speaker 2: But I like building portfolios. So how I do this

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Speaker 2: is I'm trying to get teams to make the final four. Okay,

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Speaker 2: what I'm trying to do is bet to make the

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Speaker 2: final four. If we get twenty to one, ten to one,

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Speaker 2: you know, fifteen to one prices like that, and these

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Speaker 2: teams get to the final four, we've got massive ability

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Speaker 2: to fade off of it, okay, and I look to

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Speaker 2: fade off of it all the time. So you got

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Speaker 2: to have big tickets. You can't have small tickets. You

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Speaker 2: got to have pretty big tickets, like double digit or

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Speaker 2: higher in order for this strategy to work. So that's

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Speaker 2: why it doesn't really work with Auburn. It doesn't really

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Speaker 2: work with Duke unless they get an injury or they

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Speaker 2: fall apart and they all of a sudden their prices

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Speaker 2: get really high. Four to one and three to one.

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Speaker 2: It's not a value there for me to get involved. However,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is twenty to one right now. Iowa State

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Speaker 2: is eighth in adjusted defensive efficiency, they are seventeenth in

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Speaker 2: adjusted offensive efficiency.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty and five.

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Speaker 2: I've been telling you guys all year that I'm a

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Speaker 2: big fan, and they went through that swoon in January,

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Speaker 2: in early February where they lost to West Virginia, they

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Speaker 2: lost to Arizona, they lost to Kansas State, and they

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Speaker 2: lost to Kansas. But since they have not really turned

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Speaker 2: things around. But they've looked better against TCU, against Central Florida,

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Speaker 2: and then really good in their last game at home

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Speaker 2: against Cincinnati where they wont eighty one to seventy. Now

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Speaker 2: they have a big week coming up where they play

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Speaker 2: Colorado at home and then on the road at Houston.

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Speaker 2: If they win at Houston, and I'm not saying they're

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Speaker 2: going to but if they do win the game at Houston,

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Speaker 2: this price will change and people will start to come around.

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Speaker 2: So I want to get involved with Iowa State before

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Speaker 2: that game against Houston just the case that they win it. Now,

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Speaker 2: if they lose it, then you may get a better

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Speaker 2: number than this, But twenty to one is it's enough

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Speaker 2: for me to go ahead and jump in here on

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Speaker 2: Iowa State and take them to win the national championship

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Speaker 2: because of what I think they're going to do come

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Speaker 2: tournament time. Effective field goal percentage for them, they're in

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Speaker 2: the top seventy in both offensive and defensive. Three point

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Speaker 2: shooting has been somewhat of a question, but their two

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Speaker 2: point shooting is in the top fifty. Two point defense

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Speaker 2: in the top fifty. When we're talking about efficiency for teams,

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at their top twenty for both offensive and

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Speaker 2: defensive efficiency. That's my first criteria to look at that. Okay,

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Speaker 2: do you take care of the basketball? Do you force turnovers?

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Speaker 2: Do you have a defense that can travel? Because you're

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Speaker 2: not gonna shoot great every night. That's why at the

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Speaker 2: three point shooting for Iowa State doesn't worry me all

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Speaker 2: that much. They're two point shooting mix up for it.

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Speaker 2: They're good enough at the free throw line. They're not awesome,

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Speaker 2: but they're good enough top seventy five in the country,

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Speaker 2: hitting seventy five point two percent of their free throws. Again,

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Speaker 2: we don't know the draw, so we're jumping in and

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Speaker 2: taking futures before we know the draw. That's why you

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Speaker 2: need to get good prices like this and have big tickets.

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Speaker 2: First ticket for the college basketball National Championship. I've told

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Speaker 2: you guys all year, I've been a big fan of

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Speaker 2: Iowa State. I'm gonna keep rolling with Iowa State. Here

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Speaker 2: at twenty and five, twenty and five record for Iowa

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Speaker 2: State twenty to one, one unit of them to win

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Speaker 2: the national championship. Here for twenty twenty five number two.

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Speaker 2: I've been telling you about Florida all year. Ten to

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Speaker 2: one is a good ticket shop and find this. Most

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Speaker 2: books are at nine to one. You can find ten

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Speaker 2: to one in the market. I want ten to one

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Speaker 2: on the Florida Gators, just like Iowa State. When it

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Speaker 2: comes to efficiency, they are fourth in adjusted offensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: They are ninth in an adjusted defensive efficiency effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage. Defensively, they are fourth in the country. Three

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Speaker 2: point defense they are third in the country. Two point

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Speaker 2: defense they are eighteenth in the country. Florida absolutely can

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Speaker 2: win it all. And I've probably gotten in here late

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Speaker 2: and as to when I should have been on them,

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Speaker 2: because we've been talking about Florida for a while. This

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Speaker 2: team won on the road at Auburn. This team can

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Speaker 2: win against anybody in the country. Okay, Todd Golden's team

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Speaker 2: is deep. Todd Golden's team is super talented. Now, they

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Speaker 2: don't shoot the three great. They're one hundred and fifth

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Speaker 2: and three point shooting, but they are thirtieth in two

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Speaker 2: point percentage. If I'm talking about one Achilles heel for

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Speaker 2: the Gators, it could be their free throw percentage. There

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Speaker 2: are one hundred and ninety eighth in free throw shooting.

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Speaker 2: That's not great for a team trying to win the

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Speaker 2: national championship. However, seventy one point seven percent is not horrible.

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Speaker 2: It's not great, but it's not horrible. Adjusted tempo, they're

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Speaker 2: the top one hundred for that, and effective field goal

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Speaker 2: percentage on offense they're forty ninth inside the top fifty,

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Speaker 2: so they have a top ten efficiency defense and offense.

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Speaker 2: They have a top fifty and effective field percentage on

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Speaker 2: offense and on defense three point shooting. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: they're one hundred and fifth and three point shooting. But

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Speaker 2: defensively they get it done with playing great on the

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Speaker 2: perimeter of taking away three point shooting. And this team's

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Speaker 2: got some really big games left to go, in particular

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Speaker 2: game at Alabama on March the fifth. But Florida could

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Speaker 2: very well be winning the SEC championship in Florida could

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Speaker 2: very well be your national champs after the way they've

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Speaker 2: played this year. They've been absolutely tremendous this year. Ten

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Speaker 2: to one on the Gators, one unit down on Florida

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Speaker 2: to win the national championship. All right, So again we're

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Speaker 2: going to have more plays on today's schedule, today's card

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Speaker 2: during the live stream that will happen at five thirty

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Speaker 2: Eastern time, two thirty Pacific on the Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel with myself and Terrell Furman. But for today, the

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Speaker 2: plays Uyu money line mine one forty at home against

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Speaker 2: Ku one point four units down on that Florida win

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Speaker 2: the National championship at ten to one for one unit,

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Speaker 2: and I always stay to win the National Championship at.

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Speaker 1: Twenty to one for one units. My name is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 2: To talk to you guys coming up a little bit

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Speaker 2: later on today at five point thirty eastert on the

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Speaker 2: Bedding Pros YouTube channel. You guys can following me in

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Speaker 2: on my socials at sports Talk Map every morning wherever

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Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.