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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you Welcome to the Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perraultz on Twitter at sports Talk Matt here on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com and always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. So we wrapped up Week seventeen yesterday in

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Speaker 1: the NFL with a two and two mark for the

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Speaker 1: podcast plays and a six and two mark on the

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Speaker 1: prop bets for the live streams. So overall, in eight

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Speaker 1: and four day for us yesterday, given the fact that

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Speaker 1: we only put in point twenty five units on the

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Speaker 1: prop bets, we wind up getting ourselves an eight and

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Speaker 1: four day, but just slightly up. So it's a winning day.

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Speaker 1: But eight and four is eight and four. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to cry about it and be angry about it.

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Speaker 1: And we had some really good ones. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: talked about the Darren Waller prop, we talked about the

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Speaker 1: Wolford rushing prop. We talked a lot about all the

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Speaker 1: props on the live stream. The Mike Evans won was

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Speaker 1: a bummer. He got hurt early in that game. He

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Speaker 1: probably would have gone over sixty five and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards if he had stayed healthy. We did not

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Speaker 1: get the Corey Davis over fifty six and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving. He had multiple drops in that game, man,

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Speaker 1: I mean a couple. One in particular that could have

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Speaker 1: been a touchdown that he dropped, and the Titans screwed

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Speaker 1: me royally because unfortunately we finished one and a half

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Speaker 1: points out of the money for the Westgate Super Contest.

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Speaker 1: So if to cash in the contest, so if the

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Speaker 1: Steelers and the Ravens had played on Tuesday and not Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: we would have had twenty six points. So instead we

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Speaker 1: had twenty five points. But if the Titans had won

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Speaker 1: that game and the Ravens and Steelers game had been

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Speaker 1: played on Tuesday, which we got right, not on Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: thus not being eligible for the Westgate Contest, those two

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Speaker 1: points would have given us a couple one thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: So look, everyone can do that in the contests. Everybody

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Speaker 1: can scrutinize, everybody can say what if and if only,

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Speaker 1: and you know, a loss is a loss, okay. So unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I finished just outside the money in

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Speaker 1: the DraftKings contest. Sean Lockart and I did not have

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Speaker 1: a great run in the circle. We were pretty much

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Speaker 1: middle of the pack in the circum Million, but then

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Speaker 1: we come in just outside the money for the Westgates

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Speaker 1: Super Contest, but that's the closest I've been to cashing.

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Speaker 1: So I feel like I'm getting a good handle on

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Speaker 1: these football handicapping contests, and oftentimes people say that it

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Speaker 1: takes a couple of years to really understand how to

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Speaker 1: approach these contests and the way to get your system down.

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Speaker 1: So I feel good about next year potentially getting myself

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Speaker 1: into one of these things and doing really well and

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Speaker 1: getting on a heater and going ahead and winning. So

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Speaker 1: you know, look, it was a lot of fun. I

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Speaker 1: look at it as entertainment. I look at it as

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Speaker 1: a way of paying for my entertainment upfront. And if

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Speaker 1: you've never done one of these contests, the DraftKings Contest

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Speaker 1: is awesome. The Circa is the creme de la creme

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Speaker 1: right now. The Westgate's coming along. The Westgate needs to

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Speaker 1: change some of their rules, some of their payout structures

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Speaker 1: and whatnot, and I think they're going to do that

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Speaker 1: at some point in the near future. But you know,

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Speaker 1: Circa's is really funs only one thousand dollars, so you

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Speaker 1: and your buddies. I'm telling you, get a partner. Okay.

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Speaker 1: It's hard to do that, you know, by yourself. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to do that by yourself. But if you

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Speaker 1: do it with a couple of friends, you know, aside

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Speaker 1: from breaking up the financial commitments, I mean a thousand

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Speaker 1: other entry. When you and three of your friends, Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's basically three fifty a piece or three thirty three

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Speaker 1: apiece or whatever, and you guys have seventeen weeks of fun.

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Speaker 1: That's seventeen weeks of fun. It is worth it. Get

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Speaker 1: a proxy. I can hook you up with my boy

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Speaker 1: Matty Vegas if you need one, I can do it

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Speaker 1: for you next year. So if you like gambling, I'm

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Speaker 1: guessing you like gambling. If you listen to the Deily Juice,

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Speaker 1: it is a really fun thing to do. So it's

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Speaker 1: always kind of end of the year kind of pour

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Speaker 1: one out type of thing, and it's like, man, what

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Speaker 1: a bummer, What a bummer. But it's over and so

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Speaker 1: we move on here into the postseason. And remember we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do two live streams on the weekend, Saturday for

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Speaker 1: three games and Sunday for three games. Thirty minutes at

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Speaker 1: eighty m Pacific eleven am Pacific time or Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: We'll go live on our YouTube channel for props and

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Speaker 1: plays and line movements and everything that goes into it.

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Speaker 1: Will probably go a little more than thirty minutes, but

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Speaker 1: just not the full hour that we normally do. We'll

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Speaker 1: go thirty minutes on Saturday and Sunday the following weekend

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Speaker 1: as well. So if you don't, if you have not

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Speaker 1: subscribed to the YouTube channel, please go and do that

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Speaker 1: now so you'll be notified when I go live on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: They're calling it Super wild Card Weekend. Okay, fine, Super

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Speaker 1: wild Card Weekend. Yeah yeah, okay. So here are the

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Speaker 1: and conditions. You must be twenty one years or older.

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Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred five to

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Speaker 1: two to two forty seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada, one

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Speaker 1: hard gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia or one

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Speaker 1: hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Super Bowl futures. I have not made a

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Speaker 1: bet on the Super Bowl as of yet. I am

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Speaker 1: now prepared and I have made a play on the

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Speaker 1: super Bowl tonight. Here is the team that I think

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Speaker 1: that's going to win the Super Bowl. I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a Chiefs and Packers' Super Bowl. I

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Speaker 1: think I'm going chalk here because if you look at

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Speaker 1: where we are just with the odds for everything going

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Speaker 1: in right now, if you look at the Westgate Okay,

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Speaker 1: the West Gate has the Chiefs at seven to four,

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Speaker 1: the Packers five to one, the Bill seven to one,

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Speaker 1: the Saints ten to one, Seahawks ten to one, Bucks

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Speaker 1: twelve to one. When you watch the Packers play. One

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Speaker 1: of the things that's really impressing me about the Packers,

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Speaker 1: aside from the fact that we know how good Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers is, Davante Adams is insane, MBS dropped a guaranteed

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Speaker 1: touchdown that I thought was gonna burn me. When it

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Speaker 1: came to the Westgate contest. I had the Packers mine

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Speaker 1: five and a half. It didn't. Packers won that game

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Speaker 1: easily covered. But throwing on the Packers is not that easy.

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Speaker 1: Right now, the Packers going into the game, these stats

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Speaker 1: are not updated yet from today, but the Packers going

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Speaker 1: into the game, they were in the top ten for

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Speaker 1: passing defense two hundred and nineteen point four yards per game.

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Speaker 1: Now the Rams are in there, and the Steelers are

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Speaker 1: in there, and Washington's in there, but you know, the

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Speaker 1: Packers are right there as one of the best defensive

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Speaker 1: teams against the pass, which is what you have to

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Speaker 1: do right against the Chiefs. Now, the Packers have to

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Speaker 1: get there, and I understand that it's going to be

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Speaker 1: very difficult to do that. But when you look at

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Speaker 1: where the playoffs are going to go, the weather in

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Speaker 1: green Bay is not fun in January, and I just

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Speaker 1: think that this is one of those years where having

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Speaker 1: home field, even though there are no crowds that are

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Speaker 1: going to be there. I totally get that. You're like, Matt,

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Speaker 1: there's no crowds, what do you care? I think it

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Speaker 1: does matter. I really think having home field in the

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Speaker 1: web of green Bay. We saw it with the Titans game.

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Speaker 1: If your team, like if Tampa has to go to

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Speaker 1: green Bay, forget it, it is not happening. They're not

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Speaker 1: gonna win that game. If a Dome team has to

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Speaker 1: go to green Bay, forget it, it's not happening. I

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Speaker 1: don't see anybody winning this game. So Rogers is playing

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Speaker 1: at such a crazy elite level and their defense is

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Speaker 1: playing so well. I got five to one odds on

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Speaker 1: the Packers tonight. I put a half a unit down

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Speaker 1: on it. I've been really good future wise. The Raiders

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Speaker 1: cash for me yesterday over seven wins. Thank you for

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Speaker 1: going for to John Gruden. He finally got it. Although

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Speaker 1: that was what a sixty somebodyardfield goal they were attempting

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Speaker 1: that blocked by the Raiders to win that game, but

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Speaker 1: they almost blew it again like the Dolphins game. But

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Speaker 1: they finally got to number eight. So they went eight,

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Speaker 1: and they went eight and eight of the year, and

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Speaker 1: so I cash my seven, and so we went six

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Speaker 1: and one for NFL future Baits future ragers. The only

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Speaker 1: thing I got wrong was the Rams to win the West,

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Speaker 1: and they're in the playoffs. They just didn't win the West.

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Speaker 1: So we were right there on all of our picks.

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Speaker 1: We were right there. And I just I look at

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Speaker 1: the Packers, and they've got everything you need to beat

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They've got the offense, they've got the quarterback,

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Speaker 1: they've got the defense, they've got the running game. I

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Speaker 1: know the game's gonna get played in Tampa, so that

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Speaker 1: will benefit obviously Kansas City. But I just think this

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Speaker 1: Chiefs team, they haven't been playing the same type of

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Speaker 1: football that the Packers have. I think the Packers are

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Speaker 1: the best team in football. And I know this is

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Speaker 1: a shock type of bet, and I know you're gonna say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: this is kind of like, all right, so you're not

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Speaker 1: taking the Chiefs, taking the number two option. Yeah, I'm

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Speaker 1: taking the MVP. I'm taking Rogers and frankly, Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: winning only one super Bowl in his career is a

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Speaker 1: massive letdown if that were to happen. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is the guy that should be winning multiple super Bowls.

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Speaker 1: If LA won multiple, Manning's won multiple. I guess LA

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Speaker 1: one one, he won two, right he won one? And no, no,

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Speaker 1: yeah he won to and Manning one one. Sorry with

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Speaker 1: the Broncos, I would get the confused. Denver's won three championships,

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Speaker 1: but I mean, you know you got quote, Brady's got six.

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Speaker 1: So am I comparing? You know, Rogers and Brady always

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Speaker 1: get compared to each other, but for Rogers not to

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Speaker 1: be a multiple super Bowl winner would be wild to me.

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Speaker 1: And I'm just not buying this Chief Dynasty crap. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I haven't bought it before, I'm not buying it now.

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Speaker 1: So five to one half a unit, we're going future

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Speaker 1: Packers to win the Super Bowl here as we head

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Speaker 1: into the playoffs, I'm putting my money behind green Bay

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Speaker 1: to win it all. I know, I'm not like going

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Speaker 1: out on a limb here, but green Bay to win

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Speaker 1: it all at five to one I think those are

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Speaker 1: good odds right now for half a unit on the

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers to win it all. Okay, let's talk

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Speaker 1: NBA basketball here tonight. I've got two plays, both of

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Speaker 1: them going half a unit here. Let's start with Boston

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Speaker 1: and Toronto. Toronto laying three and a half points here

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Speaker 1: at home, and they're home away from home in Tampa.

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Speaker 1: What is wrong with the Raptors. I mean, this is bizarre.

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Speaker 1: The Raptors are a weird team right now. They are

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Speaker 1: in four overall, they are one in four to the number.

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Speaker 1: They were favored against New Orleans a couple of days

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Speaker 1: ago and they wound up losing the game by four.

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Speaker 1: They were laying eight and a half to the Knicks

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Speaker 1: at home and they won by seventeen. And the three

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Speaker 1: previous games before that, they were favorites against New Orleans

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Speaker 1: and San Antonio they lost by fourteen and five. And

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Speaker 1: then they were dogs to Philadelphia up catching a point

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Speaker 1: and a half and they lost by seven. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam is a tremendous player, but I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he can carry a franchise right now or the

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Speaker 1: team just feels all out of sorts because they were

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Speaker 1: in the bubble and the Boston Solt Celtics knocked them

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Speaker 1: out of the bubble. And I don't know. I mean

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Speaker 1: just Toronto has not looked good. They looked bad early on.

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Speaker 1: So maybe Siakam rebounds here. But he had ten points

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Speaker 1: in twenty five minutes against New Orleans on Saturday. That

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Speaker 1: is not great for your superstar. Now, Boston's coming off

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Speaker 1: of a game last night where they played Detroit and

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Speaker 1: they lost the first game on Friday, they played Detroit

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Speaker 1: and Friday they lost. Last night, they took on Detroit

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Speaker 1: and they won on a last second jumper from Jason Tatum.

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Speaker 1: They won one twenty two to one twenty. They did

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Speaker 1: not cover that. They were eight point favorites and they

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Speaker 1: won by two against Detroit. On the previous game on Friday,

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Speaker 1: they were eight and a half point favorites and they

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Speaker 1: lost the game outright by three. So Boston's been three

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Speaker 1: and four to the number. They haven't been so great either,

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Speaker 1: to be quite honest, when it comes to their apt

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Speaker 1: against the spread. But this number climbed over three and

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Speaker 1: I think it may be going up. I got it

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Speaker 1: at plus three and a half in minus one point fifteen.

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Speaker 1: I think Toronto might win this game, but I don't

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Speaker 1: think you can lay point with Toronto right now. And

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Speaker 1: I think Boston's playing some pretty tight games. I mean

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Speaker 1: against Detroit it was a three point lost and a

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Speaker 1: two point win. Against Indiana, they lost by one, they

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Speaker 1: won by five. I get the travel and I get

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Speaker 1: people are saying that Boston might be tired, but Boston's

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Speaker 1: not playing very well. And I think in terms of

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Speaker 1: a team trying to like get themselves out of their funk.

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Speaker 1: You got Jason Tatum, he's young, Jalen Brown, he's young.

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Speaker 1: These guys just want to hoop here, and this is

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Speaker 1: a rivalry whenever they play Toronto. Everyone's juices are flying

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Speaker 1: around whenever you're playing against Toronto. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the three and a half. I think Toronto might win

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Speaker 1: the game, but I think over a one possession line,

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Speaker 1: I think the play is Boston here at plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half, and if you get four or four

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Speaker 1: and a half, I like it even more. But I

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Speaker 1: just think Boston's gonna keep the game close. Toronto may win,

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Speaker 1: or I mean Boston might win this game outright as well.

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Speaker 1: I mean I can easily see it, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the three and a half points here, take Boston

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half at minus one point fifteen

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit. I'm gonna take the other

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Speaker 1: half a unit, and we're gonna look at the Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: Bucks and look at the Bucks at Detroit. Excuse me,

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Speaker 1: Detroit at Milwaukee, excuse me. So here is another team

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Speaker 1: that's turning around and having a play another game. After

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Speaker 1: going Friday, Sat. Sunday. They're playing on Monday home home,

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Speaker 1: now on the road here. So Detroit has not been great.

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Speaker 1: They're three and three to the number, but Milwaukee also

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Speaker 1: is three and three to the number. However, they're starting

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Speaker 1: to play a lot better. Against Miami, they were six

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Speaker 1: point favorites, they won by forty seven. The following game,

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Speaker 1: Miami came back and they won the game by eleven.

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Speaker 1: Bucks were six and a half point favorites, and they

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Speaker 1: lost this like two game back to back thing on

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Speaker 1: the second night of a back to back. You can

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Speaker 1: look at what happened the game prior and you can

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Speaker 1: bet the other side. There's not really a game today

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Speaker 1: that I'm really in love with, but look for that

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Speaker 1: trend in the NBA right now. If game one, if

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Speaker 1: the two teams are somewhat competitive, close in talent, and

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Speaker 1: game one goes to the A team, the B team

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Speaker 1: may come back and win the next game. Just watch

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Speaker 1: for that. But against Chicago, they were laying fourteen and

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Speaker 1: a half at home a couple of days ago and

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Speaker 1: they won by thirty. So these are when they're winning games.

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Speaker 1: They're killing people. They beat Golden State by thirty nine. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think Detroit's not very good. Boston had a couple

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Speaker 1: of rough spots against them for whatever reason. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay here thirteen and a half points for the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 1: I know it's a big number, and you might go, man,

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Speaker 1: that's a big number. Math you're gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: lay I think Milwaukee's gonna kill Detroit tonight. Detroit, after

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Speaker 1: you know, playing last night, losing a tough one to Boston,

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Speaker 1: you know you're going up against the best team in

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Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference in Milwaukee. I'm gonna lay to thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points here for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee destroys the Pistons and wins the game going away.

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Speaker 1: I got it at mis one ten. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: think you could take this all the way potentially, up

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Speaker 1: to fifteen if you want. I don't think this game's

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Speaker 1: gonna be close. Milwaukee goes and wins big laying the

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half so three plays. There is one

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Speaker 1: college game I am eyeballing and I have not bet

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Speaker 1: it as of yet, and I might take the extra

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Speaker 1: half a unit. You guys know that I like to

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Speaker 1: have have some map. I might take San Jose State

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Speaker 1: at home against Colorado State. Given what happened with that

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Speaker 1: epic collapse that happened with San Diego State. I'm just

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Speaker 1: not there yet. I'm kinda wishy washy on it, and

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Speaker 1: I'm just not one hundred percent comfortable taking it as

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Speaker 1: of yet. It's San Diego State minus seven and a

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Speaker 1: half in the discord chat. If I do end up

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Speaker 1: taking it, I will tell you guys there or on

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Speaker 1: my Twitter account at sports Talk Matt bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash chat to get into the discord. We've got over

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Speaker 1: two thousand, three hundred people in there daily juice channel

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Speaker 1: on our discord chat. I haven't bet it yet. I might,

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Speaker 1: I am kind of I'm just not there yet. I

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Speaker 1: can't pull the trigger just about yet. But that's the

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Speaker 1: only game I'm really looking at in college basketball here

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Speaker 1: tonight on a Monday, but so to recap the plays,

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Speaker 1: future wager Packers five to one to win the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl at a half a unit Boston plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half tonight half a unit on the road at Toronto.

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Speaker 1: The Bucks are at home against the Pistons thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half four Milwaukee. Here for a Monday. We will

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Speaker 1: announce the winner of the Nick Chubb Helmet tomorrow, so

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Speaker 1: stay tuned for that. I will also make the announcements

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Speaker 1: for the new helmet to be given away here in January.

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Speaker 1: Very cool stuff. I'll tell you how you can enter

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Speaker 1: it and everything else. So stay tuned for the Nick

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Speaker 1: Chubb helmet. You Browns fans, you're in the postseason. Congratulations,

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Speaker 1: it's been a long time, going back to the Tim

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Speaker 1: Couch era, right neighbors for the Cleveland Browns. They're in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. You got the Steelers, but you're in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: We have a lot to come, obviously. Friday's podcast will

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Speaker 1: be heavy football. Saturday's podcast will be heavy football. Sunday's

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Speaker 1: podcast will be heavy football. You know where we're gonna be,

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Speaker 1: just gonna get through a couple of days here where

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Speaker 1: we're gonna bets in basketball. Not be too heavy, not

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Speaker 1: be too crazy, right, tiptoe through the tulips a little bit,

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Speaker 1: if you will, and then get in heavy here for

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Speaker 1: this coming weekend again. The plays Boston plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half Bucks laying thirteen and a half Packers five

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Speaker 1: to one to win the Super Bowl minus Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Maatt. Every morning

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BETMGM