1 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. 2 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 2: The crown is yours. 3 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:18,240 Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my faves Kendra and Stucky 4 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: for a fun filled, picks filled Thursday show. On today's episode, 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: we'll submit our official plays for week six in the NFL. 6 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: We've got our stat of the week, our two Kings, 7 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay, some public darlings that you need 8 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: to be aware of, like and subscribe wherever it is 9 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: that you are tuned in. Guys, I feel calm and 10 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: confident about my picks this week. All the teams that 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: I'm betting on, all the bets have already been placed. 12 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: We are pencils down here at the Kravitz household, likely troubling. Kendra, 13 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: how do you feel as we enter week six? 14 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 3: I don't feel good. I don't feel good. 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 4: This has to be one of the weirdest seasons in 16 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 4: my recent memory. From like a gamble perspective, the spreads 17 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 4: for like weeks four. 18 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 3: Through six have been so massive for so so many teams. 19 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 4: It's got to be like I would say probably two 20 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 4: thirds of the league feel like some of these spreads 21 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 4: are getting to be like college numbers. And I have 22 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 4: to say I think the Seahawks are gonna beat my 23 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 4: dag Wars this week. 24 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:19,199 Speaker 3: I've been saying that though it's. 25 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: One game, I've not made a bit on Stucky. How 26 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: do you feel heading into Week six? Confident, unsure, dis maade. 27 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 5: Same as always. I mean, just do the work. We've 28 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 5: doing this for being in the NFL for twenty years. 29 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 5: Do work and then Sunday comes, enjoy it and hope 30 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 5: you get the bounces. Like a lot of times, it's 31 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 5: just gonna come down to turnover margin, some fourth downs. 32 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 5: It's a gameplay with the oblong ball. You know, you 33 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 5: hope the injuries in game break right for you. So yeah, 34 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 5: just do the work, complete the grind, enjoy Sundays, and 35 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 5: hope the bounces, late game variants, field goals, all that's 36 00:01:57,960 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 5: all that stuff. The reason why we love sweat foot 37 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 5: goes your way. 38 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: So that you sound like a sports betting monk. 39 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 5: Yeah, I will say. I mean, I will say, like, 40 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,519 Speaker 5: the one thing that I'm not confident about this week 41 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 5: is there are just a ton of injuries. I Mean, 42 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 5: this happens every year, but there's just a lot of 43 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 5: cluster injuries across the board, which which opens up uncertainty 44 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 5: and chances to potentially capitalize if you're able to price them. 45 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 5: But it's not easy. But you know, you look at 46 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 5: things like the Chargers offensive line, the Ravens defense, the 47 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 5: Lion's secondary. There are just countless examples across the board 48 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 5: of major injuries. And it's not just one guy, it's 49 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 5: multiple guys, and that's definitely makes it a bit tougher. 50 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 5: But it's a labor of love. So trying to crack 51 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,360 Speaker 5: the code, which you'll never master, is why I love this. 52 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 5: So yeah, not too high or too low, just trying 53 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 5: to grind through the week. 54 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: We've definitely picked the most difficult sport to bet, but 55 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 1: here we are taking it head on. 56 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 2: We've got a lot of meat. 57 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 3: One's pretty tough. 58 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 2: I've never bet F one, so. 59 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 5: I place one once. 60 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: What makes F one so hard? 61 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:22,399 Speaker 1: I thought the same, I thought Max verst Stappen wins 62 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: every weekk have you not. 63 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 3: Been watching in like sixteen months? 64 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 4: I would say the hardest thing about F one is 65 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 4: that it's not about you. Like if you get a 66 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 4: bad start off the jump and somebody hits you like 67 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 4: a lot of it's not in your control. It's in 68 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 4: other people's control of Like sometimes who hits you? How 69 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 4: many people get in an accident your pit crew being 70 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 4: able to get like a bolt off of a car 71 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 4: can cost you like two or three seconds. Like F 72 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 4: one is the hardest bet that I make every single week, 73 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 4: but it's there. 74 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 3: NFL definitely close. 75 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 4: But F one not even a question, just because there's 76 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 4: so many people that are hands on with the sport 77 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 4: that it's not just my best guys against your best guys. 78 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 4: It's like, is my mechanic? Is my machinery working? When 79 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 4: you put machinery in something, it gets a lot trick here. 80 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: That's true. The cars do add a variable. Uh stat 81 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 1: That's what. 82 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 5: I've never gotten into. Like I tried to watch one. 83 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 3: That's the best watch Drive to Survive. 84 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 5: Yeah. I feel like the best part about F one 85 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 5: is everything surrounding the sport, Like you have you know, 86 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 5: like all the celebrities go to all the the back 87 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 5: and forth on like trying to get drivers, building out 88 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 5: of the cars, the drama, the celebrity of the drivers, 89 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 5: the you know, the the manufacturers, Like what goes into 90 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 5: giving getting an advantage on that end, Like I found 91 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 5: the ship, the shows and the content around it more 92 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 5: interesting than actually watching a race, but I will say 93 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 5: I don't fully. I don't spend time trying to understand it. 94 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 5: So I'm sure if you, yeah, understood all that stuff, 95 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 5: it would make it more interesting. But it's just I don't. 96 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 4: Yeah. I like it because there's only twenty people, so 97 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 4: you only have to keep up with twenty p people. 98 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 4: That's you know less than like us, the starters for 99 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 4: an NFL team, and you get to know them so 100 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 4: deeply that you learn to care about them a lot. 101 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 2: I don't. I think this is above my pay grade. 102 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 1: But Kendra, I would love to see some sort of 103 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: social video where you asked our audience what is the 104 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 1: toughest sport to bet on? Because I feel like most 105 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: would say the NFL. But I guess there's dissenting opinions 106 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 1: out there. 107 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 3: We found my video for today. Okay, great ook at Gifford. 108 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: Before we move on from this completely stat hoound Evan Abrams, 109 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: where do you land on betting F one? 110 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 6: Nobody passes anyone. 111 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 7: I'd like to talk to somebody who bets on NASCAR, 112 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 7: like Nick Giffin. 113 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 6: I feel like it's much harder. I've done both. 114 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 7: I feel like f one's easier because the odds are 115 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 7: more predictable and things change with practices. 116 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 6: All say with that. 117 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I'll say I think the hardest. I 118 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 5: think a lot of people might say NFL is probably 119 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 5: the most difficult as far as from an efficiency standpoint. 120 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 5: Just the amount of money that gets bet into the 121 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 5: NFL is massive. 122 00:05:58,400 --> 00:05:59,839 Speaker 3: Is your tenfoil hat on right now? 123 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 5: So but no, I'm saying, but like people are a 124 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 5: lot of people. Most people are betting NFL casually, and 125 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 5: it's like once a couple of days, times a week. 126 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 5: People that try to do that casually and try to 127 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 5: bet like baseball, the grind of baseball, that might be 128 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 5: the most difficult, like dealing with the swings and the 129 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 5: bad beats and trying to do that every day. You know, 130 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 5: you can say a thing about NHL and but yeah, 131 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 5: that it depends on how you frame. 132 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: It, Stucky, This is where I passed things off to 133 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: you on a Thursday episode. 134 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 2: What do you want to hit us with today? 135 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question. 136 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,239 Speaker 6: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question. 137 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: Is that is question? 138 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 7: All right? 139 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 5: My questions for today? You have to answer right away 140 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 5: because like it'll it gets to the essence of the question. 141 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 5: Kendra'll start with you and Brandon. I'm gonna trust that 142 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 5: you are going to give me your answer. You thought 143 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 5: of right away. You unfortunately went into a coma for 144 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 5: ten years and you woke up and everything was okay. 145 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 5: You had your memory, all of your thoughts, your health. 146 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 5: What is the first sports related thing that you google? 147 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 3: Did the Jaguars win a Super Bowl? 148 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 1: Oh? 149 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 5: You already you know the answer to that is no, 150 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 5: So that would be I thought about. For me, Yeah, 151 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 5: I thought about like the Ravens of the Super Bowl? 152 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 5: But I think that I would go the most interesting 153 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 5: thing that I would be most interested in two things, 154 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 5: like college wise, One is like what does the NCAA 155 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 5: tournament look like? Now? But I think I would look 156 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 5: at I would just google the current college football season 157 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 5: or depending on like the timing, to see like what 158 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 5: do the conferences look like? What does the what does 159 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 5: the college football Playoff look like? Who are the best teams? 160 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 6: Like? 161 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 5: Who knows where college football is going to be in 162 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 5: ten years? So like that's probably what I would look up. Brandon, 163 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 5: what was the first thing that you thought of? Did 164 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 5: the Dolphins? The Dolphins finally want a playoff game. 165 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know, you know if, And that's one 166 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: of those things that if I had time to come 167 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: up with the best possible answer, I would probably get there. 168 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: But you said you wanted. The first thing that's snapped 169 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,679 Speaker 1: into my brain, and it was checking my fantasy lineup 170 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: just to see if if my if my lineup is 171 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: still relevant, or if i've auto drafted, you know, when 172 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: we've missed ten years at this point, I'd want to 173 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 1: see how I stacked up before, especially in my keeper league, 174 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: to see how long my team was still successful before 175 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 1: eventually these guys aged out. 176 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 2: So I think that fantasy app would be the first 177 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 2: thing I would check later. 178 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 5: That's that's a terrible answer. 179 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's well. 180 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I assume that the team wouldn't still be good, 181 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: but I would hope, let. 182 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 5: Me see what my fantasy team looks like now from 183 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,319 Speaker 5: ten to guys from ten years ago those but. 184 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: I would be auto drafting, you know, I would hope 185 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: that my league made you. 186 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 5: Want is what the auto drafted? 187 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to know. 188 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 5: The doctors want to know, Evan, what what did what? 189 00:08:58,720 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 5: Would did you have any thoughts? 190 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 7: My only comment is I've been in a fantasy league 191 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 7: for fourteen years and ten years ago, I kept a 192 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 7: guy named Jordan Cameron, so I'm assuming my fantasy team 193 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 7: would be pretty terrible. My answer was simple. I actually 194 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 7: the first thing that popped into my head was is 195 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 7: Lebron still playing? So I guess that's what's in my brand. 196 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 7: So that was the first thing I thought of. 197 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 2: Let's talk seafood. 198 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: There are shrimply unbelievable stat of the week courtesy of 199 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:26,560 Speaker 1: Action Network Director of Research Evan Abrams. 200 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: With some help from the Rainbow Shrimp. 201 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: The Jaguars off of a short week after facing the 202 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The last decade, teams that 203 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: were home underdogs on Monday Night Football have struggled the 204 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,439 Speaker 1: following week putting together a good effort. They are twenty 205 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: six and forty two straight up, thirty and thirty eight 206 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 1: against the spread in those games. That's forty four percent 207 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 1: winning as an underdog on Monday Night Football and then 208 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:54,680 Speaker 1: that quick turnaround. But we have some competing stats here. 209 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 1: The Jaguars are also nine and four against the spread. 210 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:00,040 Speaker 1: With Trevor Lawrence in a game where he wins, this 211 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 1: is an outright underdog the game prior so we have 212 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 1: some conflicting stats here. 213 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 2: This is one that we were really. 214 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: Stuck on on the Tuesday episode. I have not placed 215 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: a bet on this game. For me, it would be Seahawks, 216 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: but I also think I might not be buying into 217 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,439 Speaker 1: the Jaguars quite enough, so I think I'm gonna sit 218 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: this one out. 219 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 2: I got a lot of bets that I do like 220 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: this week, Stucky. 221 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:27,679 Speaker 1: Where are you at on Jags Seahawks and the numbers 222 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 1: that we just spat out? 223 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 5: Yeah, I bet the Seahawks. This is a Jags podcast. 224 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 5: I'm all in on the Jags this year. I bet 225 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 5: that nothing but the Jags so far. But I think 226 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 5: this is a good spot for the Seahawks, who have 227 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 5: been really good on the road under Mike McDonald. You 228 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 5: have short week for Jacksonville with some key injuries, like 229 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 5: the offensive line is an healthy Bremans Strange, I think 230 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 5: is a big loss, especially in the red zone. 231 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 3: Huge security blanket probably. 232 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 5: Sits another week if he didn't play this week or 233 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 5: last week. I should say they weren't able to get 234 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 5: any pressure because it's so much easier to just focus 235 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 5: your attention on Josh Hanz Allen and and you saw 236 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:02,599 Speaker 5: that against Mahomes he had all day. And it's not 237 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 5: a great Kansas City offensive line at the tackle positions. 238 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 5: And what does Jacksonville do in the back end. They 239 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 5: play zone, so like not being able to get pressure 240 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,199 Speaker 5: playing zone. Sam Donald is playing at an unbelievable level. 241 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 5: I mean, he's number one in the league in success 242 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:20,319 Speaker 5: ray A VPA for play EPA plus completion percentage of expectation. 243 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 5: Lawrence has been around the middle of the pack like that. 244 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 5: Jacksonville offense is starting to get there, it's not at 245 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 5: the level that Seattle has been. Donald's playing incredible, and 246 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 5: he's been number one in the NFL against zone defense, 247 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 5: which is what Jacksonville is going to play a lot 248 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 5: of this The one thing that gives me a little 249 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 5: bit of pause is Seattle's defense. Another one of these 250 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 5: injury situations on the back end. We'll see if DeMarcus 251 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:45,439 Speaker 5: Lawrence can go. But they were without three starters in 252 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 5: the secondary last week against the Bucks. I think that 253 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:52,079 Speaker 5: they will probably get two of at least two of 254 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 5: the four guys back, which will be enough for me. 255 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 5: So I did play Seattle. I think it's a pretty 256 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 5: good matchup in spot but I do respect the Jags, 257 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 5: but there's there's also some potential turnover regression coming for Jacksonville. 258 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 5: They can't They're eventually got to have a game where 259 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 5: they're not going to get a pick six or three 260 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 5: or four turnovers. So as Kenzer had that feeling as 261 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 5: a Jags fan, they're gonna if they beat the Chiefs. 262 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,280 Speaker 4: And I'm going to this game, so of course that's 263 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 4: just gonna happen. 264 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 5: Well, you got that, you have the dear Joy in 265 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 5: San Francisco, but I don't think I think it'll be close. 266 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 5: But I like the matchup for Seattle on this spot, 267 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 5: So yeah, I did play the Seahawks. 268 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: The turnover differential of these two teams plus nine in 269 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 1: favor of the Jacksonville Jaguars. You mentioned the regression, I 270 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 1: mean that is that is strong. And the luck rankings 271 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: also from Nick Giffen, which we will reference throughout the 272 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: course of the podcast today favor the Seahawks. The Seahawks 273 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: are ranked twenty fourth, the Jags are up to fifth. 274 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 1: No surprise, leballer on the road, and the yeah, I mean, 275 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 1: I mean you could just I test the Jags in 276 00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 1: terms of a luck ranking. Their quarterback literally fell down 277 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 1: and then baby Diraft into the end zone. There at 278 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 1: the end of the game, still become our two Kings 279 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 1: and a Queen Parlay will nominate our weekly picks. But 280 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:14,960 Speaker 1: first a word from yours truly as we chat about 281 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: our friends at DraftKings. The Favorites are sponsored by DraftKings 282 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: and in partnership with DraftKings, we'd like to tell you 283 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 1: the next great touchdown is coming and you can bet 284 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 1: on it right now. New customers, bet five dollars and 285 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars in bonus bets. That's right, New customers, 286 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 1: turn five bucks into two hundred if your bet wins 287 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: paid instantly in bonus bets. To get started, use the 288 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,679 Speaker 1: promo code Favorites when signing up once more. That's Code 289 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: Favorites at DraftKings when signing up to get on board. 290 00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 2: The crown is yours. 291 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:50,439 Speaker 1: A segment that I always relish. Kendra, what game has 292 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 1: you in a pickle? 293 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 3: We're in a pickle? 294 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 1: Now, I'm really in a pickle? 295 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 7: Now? 296 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 5: All right, look we're in a pickle again. 297 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 3: It's the Chiefs Lions game. 298 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 4: For obvious reasons, the Lions are so injured, a lot 299 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 4: of people questionable on the defense for them. Offense too, 300 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 4: more so concerned about the defense for me. But the Chiefs, 301 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:16,200 Speaker 4: they just lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Their entire fan 302 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 4: base is having a freaking melt down. It's a short 303 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 4: week for them, but they're relatively healthy in comparison. You 304 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 4: could talk about some of their you know, ir issues 305 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 4: or whatever. But they have to turn this around at 306 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 4: some point, right like the Chiefs have the chief we 307 00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 4: have to expect Patrick Mahomes and them getting healthier, of 308 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 4: them getting players back from you know, suspension coming soon, whatever. 309 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 4: They have to turn this around. I just this doesn't 310 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 4: feel like a great spot for the Lions. It feels 311 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 4: like a good spot for the Chiefs. But how how 312 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 4: with the Lions how they've been playing. Am I supposed 313 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 4: to put any stock in that? They're obviously injured this 314 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 4: game for playoff reasons for both sides NFCAFC. Sure they're different, 315 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 4: not the biggest game in the world, not divisional, nothing 316 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 4: like that. But I feel like it's a spot for 317 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 4: can the Lions keep this rolling or can the chief 318 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 4: maybe turn their season around. I just don't know which 319 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 4: side to be on here, because the Lions have been 320 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 4: absolute world beaters, But the Chiefs still are the Chiefs. 321 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 3: You know, when the Jags went. 322 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 4: Up the other night, I was like, there's still time 323 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 4: on the clock. It doesn't matter if Patrick Mahomes has 324 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 4: two minutes or two seconds. It's always scary when he's 325 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 4: playing this game. I do not know where to be. 326 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are gonna look at 327 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: it in that same sort of way, because this line, 328 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 1: for a lot of people is gonna look mysterious. The 329 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: Lions plus two and a half against anybody looks like 330 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 1: a gift from the gods. 331 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: But I think I saw it in the docks. 332 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 1: I'm sort of cheating ahead, but Stucky, I think you 333 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: and I are going to be on the same of 334 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 1: the same mindset here that this is the honey trap 335 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 1: of all honey traps. That you get the Lions of 336 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 1: plus two and a half, all the cluster injuries they're 337 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 1: dealing with in the secondary, and the Chiefs offense has 338 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 1: been pretty good twenty nine points per game over the 339 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 1: last three And we'll talk about some public darlings in 340 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 1: a moment. The Lions are one of them. The bets 341 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: on the Detroit Lions. That is a heavy, heavy public 342 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: side stuck you where you out on this. 343 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, I played the Chiefs. I like the Chiefs here. 344 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 5: I'm a believer in that offense. Now, after what I 345 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 5: saw last week with worthy back Thornton, I think is 346 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 5: the real deal. They had a sixty four percent success rate, 347 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 5: which is that's the highest of any game this year 348 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 5: by any team against Jacksonville last week, and Detroit has 349 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 5: they had no corners left, their safeties are banged up, 350 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 5: and you have to keep in mind at this Detroit team. Yes, 351 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 5: they've looked good over the past four weeks, but for 352 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 5: somemadded context. Remember they got blown out at Green Bay 353 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 5: to start the year and everyone wrote them off. Now 354 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 5: everyone is penciling in the Super Bowl. They beat the 355 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 5: Bears at home without their entire secondary. They beat the 356 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 5: Ravens and their current state of their defense, which is 357 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 5: a disaster and probably the worst defense in the league. 358 00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 5: Then they beat the Browns with Joe Flacco, who was 359 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 5: so bad that he got traded to the Bank. Oh 360 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 5: and guess what, They beat the Bengals with Jake Browning 361 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 5: and who was so bad that the Bengals traded for 362 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 5: Joe Flacco, who was so bad in Cleveland that he 363 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 5: got benched for Dylan Gabriel. That's who they played the 364 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 5: last four weeks. They're in the tank. Ravens, the Bears 365 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 5: were two of the most injured defenses in the league. 366 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 5: Then the Browns and Bengals, who have swapped backup quarterbacks 367 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 5: in the two weeks since. So like, let's let's pause 368 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 5: for a moment here, and you just throw all those 369 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 5: injuries in, like the offense might not even be fully 370 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 5: healthy as well. And because of all the cluster injuries 371 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 5: on the back end for Detroit, what are they going 372 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 5: to do? 373 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:40,159 Speaker 6: They? 374 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 5: I mean, they blitz a lot. You don't want to 375 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 5: blitz Mahomes. They usually play man. Mahomes has struggled against 376 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,119 Speaker 5: more man this year. But they can't play man with 377 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,160 Speaker 5: their corners that they have against all that chief speed 378 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 5: with all their backup corners. So what they do last 379 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,359 Speaker 5: week they played more zone. I expect them to do 380 00:17:55,400 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 5: that this week playing zone against Mahomes with backup corner. 381 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 5: I don't know what Detroit can really do here. So yeah, 382 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 5: the troutll has success running the ball, but this is 383 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:11,639 Speaker 5: a great get right, you know, save your season spot 384 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 5: for Kansas City against what I think is an overvalue 385 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 5: to Troy team that's benefited so much from who their 386 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 5: opponents were, who the quarterbacks, they face, the injuries that 387 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,399 Speaker 5: they've benefited from. Now they're the team that's dealing with 388 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 5: all the injuries and they're going up against one of 389 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,639 Speaker 5: the better quarterbacks in the NFL. So yeah, I like 390 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 5: Kansas City here anything under a field goal? 391 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 2: Do anything for you, Kendra? Do we sway you? 392 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 7: Yeah? 393 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 4: That kind of a little bit, honestly, Yeah, a little bit, 394 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 4: because I do agree. It feels like this has to 395 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 4: be like the Chiefs save our season moment. Like I said, 396 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 4: I know that it's an NFC opponent and not a 397 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 4: divisional or AFC or anything like that, but even just 398 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 4: from like a raw rob we're back situation. 399 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 3: Are they on the buy next week? 400 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:53,640 Speaker 2: They play the Raiders next week? 401 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:55,920 Speaker 4: Because the Lions have a look ahead, and you can 402 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 4: call it a look at you can't look ahead past 403 00:18:57,760 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 4: the Chiefs. But going from the Chiefs to the box 404 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,720 Speaker 4: their Monday night next week, that's still like a little 405 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 4: bit of a distraction factor to me. But I didn't 406 00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 4: know who the Chiefs played, so and they'll they'll have 407 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 4: the Chiefs. The Chiefs will be completely back next week. 408 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 4: So it is it's a get right, get right spot 409 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:16,360 Speaker 4: of all get right spots for them. 410 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:18,880 Speaker 1: Listen, if we're gonna look a week ahead, the Raiders 411 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 1: consistently cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs. 412 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:22,920 Speaker 2: If the Chiefs beat the. 413 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 1: Lions, then all of a sudden, everybody loves the Chiefs again. 414 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: Then they play the Raiders, and the Raiders have been terrible, 415 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:31,880 Speaker 1: So let's keep an eye on that. 416 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 5: For they have a pulse this week. 417 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 2: Against the Titans. 418 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 5: Yeah, against the Titans, and I mean cold Miller's loss 419 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,240 Speaker 5: is huge for them at left tackle. We'll see in 420 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 5: the status of Rock Bowers. 421 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,120 Speaker 3: I don't think he should play, Yeah, but. 422 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 5: If he's definitely not at one hundred percent, but we'll 423 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 5: see if they If he plays this week, he would 424 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,200 Speaker 5: have a massive, massive matchup advantages for Tennessee. But yeah, 425 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:58,239 Speaker 5: he doesn't look like the old Rock Bowers. But if 426 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 5: he does play, we'll see what he looks like because 427 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 5: obviously the Raiders would need him against Kansas City. But yeah, 428 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 5: the Raiders have been a mass think about this is 429 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 5: how quick things can change in the NFL, and like, 430 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 5: just stay the course, don't overreact. For the most part, 431 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 5: week one, We're all this uncertainty about the Patriots and 432 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 5: everyone was like, Ooh, the Raiders are going to be sneaky. 433 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 5: The Raiders go into New England across the country beat 434 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 5: them pretty soundly. Everyone says, ah, Patriots, they stink the Raiders. 435 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 5: Is this a playoff team? Fast forward a month later, 436 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 5: the Patriots win in Buffalo, are now significant favorites to 437 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 5: make the playoffs, and the Raiders are getting bet against, 438 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:48,159 Speaker 5: Like people know the final score at home against the 439 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 5: Titans and they look like the most dysfunctional team in 440 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:58,160 Speaker 5: the NFL. Crazy how those teams have kind of reversed 441 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 5: roles since Week one when the Raiders won in Foxborough. 442 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 1: This will surprise nobody that of the Sunday games, Action 443 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: Network is tracking that the Titans Raiders is the least 444 00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: bet on Sunday game in the NFL. I don't think 445 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: anybody wants to touch that. Also, according to Action Network 446 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: betting data, teams with sixty percent of the tickets continue 447 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: to fail the public out there this season thirteen and 448 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 1: thirty against the spread through five weeks. Teams with seventy 449 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 1: percent of the tickets the Lions qualify for that. By 450 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 1: the way, are three to thirteen ats, including zero and 451 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 1: seven against the spread. If that team with more than 452 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: seventy percent of the tickets is playing at home, buyer 453 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 1: beware on the following teams. Eagles tonight against the Giants, 454 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,879 Speaker 1: Cowboys sixty three percent of the bets. 455 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 2: The Seahawks, which I was. 456 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,800 Speaker 1: Surprised to see because the Jags just beat the Chiefs 457 00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football, They're sitting at seventy three percent, 458 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: the Steelers at sixty four percent. We already talked about 459 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: the Lions, the Bills at sixty nine against the Atlanta Falcons, 460 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 1: and the Patriots, who everybody loves again at sixty one percent. 461 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,360 Speaker 1: Also shout out to the Luck Rankings presented by Nick 462 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:11,640 Speaker 1: Giffen week to week. 463 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 2: You guys have to check this out. 464 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 1: Giants Eagles is the biggest luck rankings game that's out there. 465 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: The Eagles rank second in the Luck Rankings. The Giants 466 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 1: are at thirtieth. That's a twenty eight spot difference. So 467 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:23,159 Speaker 1: we don't want to spend too much time on this 468 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 1: because I think most that are consuming this podcast are 469 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,920 Speaker 1: probably listening to it around the time that this game 470 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:30,959 Speaker 1: is either starting or is already wrapped up. But does 471 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,760 Speaker 1: anybody have anything on the Thursday Night football game? 472 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 5: Thursday Night Football. 473 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 4: I don't know where to be with this game. I 474 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 4: feel like the number has just gotten too big. Giants 475 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:42,720 Speaker 4: got embarrassed last week. 476 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 3: Eagles. 477 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 4: I've said this before. It feels like the Eagles are 478 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 4: the Chiefs of last year. Just everything seems to fall 479 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 4: in their favor. I just too much divisional game. Those 480 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,159 Speaker 4: are different to me. Probably would be on the Giants 481 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 4: to cover the seven and a half. There's still some 482 00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 4: of those out there, just because it's divisional. But I 483 00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 4: can't get there the Giants. It helps that their defensive 484 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,000 Speaker 4: line is good against the run, and that's what you're 485 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:08,479 Speaker 4: gonna expect the Eagles to do. 486 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:10,600 Speaker 3: But I just can't get there. 487 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 5: Yeah, I played. I played the Giants tonight. It's very small. 488 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:15,920 Speaker 5: I hate there's a night football. There's a lot of 489 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 5: injury uncertainty of a rookie quarterback on a short week 490 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:23,119 Speaker 5: against the Bangio defense. But you mentioned the similarities to 491 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:24,919 Speaker 5: the Chiefs. I mean as a whole, the Giants run 492 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 5: defense is bad, but the Eagles haven't been able to 493 00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,680 Speaker 5: run the ball this year, like Saquan is a non 494 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 5: factor because the offensive line is way worse, and now 495 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:36,360 Speaker 5: there's no Landon Dickerson. I think that the Giants defensive 496 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 5: line can get after hurts. But you mentioned the similarities 497 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,119 Speaker 5: to the Chiefs. Yeah, I mean they feel like the 498 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 5: new Chiefs, which means that they're incapable of building margin 499 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,240 Speaker 5: against teams. And like the Chiefs for years, you just 500 00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 5: always bet against them when they were a favorite of 501 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 5: definitely have seven plus, but it felt like whenever they 502 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,199 Speaker 5: were a favored of over a field goal. And this 503 00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 5: is going to be a low scoring game. These are 504 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 5: two slow paced teams. I mean that the Eagles are 505 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 5: snapping the ball with less than five seconds on the 506 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 5: play clock over seventy five percent of the time, like 507 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,679 Speaker 5: the highest rate we've seen by a wide margin over 508 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 5: the last five years. Like, how are the Giants gonna 509 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,679 Speaker 5: move the ball? They don't have any receivers left, but 510 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 5: they probably weren't gona be able to throw it against 511 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 5: the Eagles secondary. Anyway, you can run them the Eagles 512 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 5: a bit this year. You're gonna they're gonna throw their 513 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 5: tight ends, use the QB run game. It's not gonna 514 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 5: be pretty for the Giants offense. But divisional home dog 515 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 5: catching over a touchdown. I make this under a touchdown, 516 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 5: So yeah, I took the seven and a half. I 517 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 5: agree with them the move on the under with that 518 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,639 Speaker 5: coming down so which I think it's gonna be low scoring, 519 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,440 Speaker 5: which makes the seven and a half even more valuable. 520 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 5: And like this Eagles team, they have one half every 521 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 5: every week, they have one half where they just can't 522 00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,880 Speaker 5: do anything. So until I see more from this offense, 523 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,159 Speaker 5: I did not trust this team to lay seven and 524 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 5: a half on the road divisional game, So yeah, I took. 525 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 5: I took the seven and a half with the Giants 526 00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,520 Speaker 5: would lean under. And when when the Eagles get a 527 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 5: lead against like an overmatch up point, they just sit 528 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:04,879 Speaker 5: on the ball for like the entire thing they could have. 529 00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 5: They could be up like they could be up ten. 530 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 5: In the fourth quarter, the Giants kick a field goal 531 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 5: to go down seven, and then the Eagles have like 532 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 5: a nine minute drive and end it with like knees 533 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 5: like that. They're just not a they don't profile is 534 00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 5: a great favorite, similar to like what some of those 535 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 5: Chiefs teams used to do. So I high play the Giants. 536 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 4: Small random question, I know, just because this is what's 537 00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 4: on my mind right now. 538 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 3: We talked about this last week. Who do you guys. 539 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 4: Think is the best team in the NFL right now? 540 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 4: Just because they're everyone is all over the place. The 541 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 4: Lions haven't looked good at times, the Eagles haven't looked 542 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:39,800 Speaker 4: good at times. 543 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 3: The Bills just lost to the Patriots. Those were the Ravens. Suck. 544 00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 4: Those were supposed to be the Juggernauts heading into this season. 545 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 3: If the Super Bowl was tomorrow. 546 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,760 Speaker 4: I'm sitting here like, I don't really even know who 547 00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:51,400 Speaker 4: the best team in this league is right now. There 548 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:55,679 Speaker 4: isn't one, which makes it entertaining, but what's going on. 549 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: I think Detroit, fully healthy, is the best team in 550 00:25:59,080 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: the NFL right now. 551 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 5: I would agree I think green Bay is better than Detroit. 552 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 5: So we can argue about that. When green Bay is 553 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 5: fully healthy and Detroit's healthy, I'd take green Bay over them. 554 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 5: I would take yeah. I mean, I mean, I can 555 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,120 Speaker 5: look at my numbers, just. 556 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:15,480 Speaker 4: A random We don't need to spend a ton of 557 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 4: time on it. Just the fact that there's so many injuries. 558 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, the Ravens to me are the best team in 559 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 5: the NFL at full strike, which they're not the best 560 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:29,600 Speaker 5: team in the NFL. Whoever, plays the Ravens. I mean, if 561 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 5: you look the best two weeks, the Texas looked like 562 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,200 Speaker 5: the best team, The Lions look like the best team, 563 00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:37,119 Speaker 5: The Chiefs look like the best team soever plays. The 564 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 5: Ravens looks like the best team in the NFL. To me, 565 00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:45,120 Speaker 5: the Bills. So I had Ravens won two Ravens Bills 566 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 5: Packers coming into the year, But the Bills have not 567 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 5: looked great and their defenses issues and injuries. So it's 568 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,120 Speaker 5: a great question. It is a like we're not talking. 569 00:26:56,119 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 5: There's no huge separation. There's no team that is a 570 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 5: step above. I mean, if you look at the market 571 00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 5: right now, they probably have just looking at where teams 572 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,880 Speaker 5: are rank based on where their teams are power rated 573 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:16,879 Speaker 5: based on lines, like they probably have Green Bay, Philly, Chiefs, Lions, 574 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 5: Bills around a plus five, like I mean, five points 575 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 5: better than average team. And they're all within like a 576 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 5: point of each other. So and then there's a big 577 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,400 Speaker 5: drop off because the Ravens are a shell of themselves 578 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 5: and hurt, but there's a drop off to them, Like 579 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 5: your second tier is probably. 580 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 3: Doctor Seattle, Tampa Bay. 581 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:43,600 Speaker 2: San Francisco. 582 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 1: I think they have to be thrown into the mix 583 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,360 Speaker 1: as beat up as they are and what they've still 584 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 1: been able to do. If we're giving teams credit for 585 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 1: fully healthy San Francisco even though they're not getting Bosa bad, Yeah. 586 00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 5: If San Francisco fully healthy, isn't that second tier. 587 00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 4: I think when you throw the Chargers there too, when 588 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 4: they're fully healthy, ardis in fully healthy. 589 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 5: Broncos are up there near the. 590 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 3: Chargers, nobody's health. 591 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:05,400 Speaker 4: I don't want to talk about health versus not health, 592 00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 4: because that's not an that's. 593 00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 2: Not you're saying. So you're saying, right everything considered. 594 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 5: Rams are They're close to that first here too. Right now, 595 00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 5: at this moment, I'm taking the Packers. 596 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, they haven't looked right the last two weeks, but. 597 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:22,440 Speaker 5: I mean they haven't play. 598 00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 4: I'm still going to go Lions, despite the fact that 599 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,120 Speaker 4: Dan Campbell's kind of a dummy sometimes. 600 00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:30,879 Speaker 5: Like I think, Packers now are basically fully healthy, I believe, 601 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 5: and I love them. They're my only Super Bowl future, 602 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 5: so I love them. Coming into the year, I'll go 603 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 5: Green Bay. 604 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: It's a it's a loaded question. It is a good one. 605 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 1: It's time for the reason y'all came here today are 606 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 1: newly named to King. 607 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 5: And who who would you say, Yeah, it's still the Packers. 608 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 7: I wish the Rams had a better secondary, and I 609 00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,360 Speaker 7: wish the Bucks were healthier. I would make a case 610 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 7: for both of them, but I still think Green May 611 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 7: is the best. 612 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 5: I mean, the Tampa's the best if they're down with 613 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 5: one minute to go, But I don't trust that offense. 614 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,000 Speaker 7: Yeah, that offense all healthy, though, would scare the living 615 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,600 Speaker 7: crap out of me from many teams. So I think 616 00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 7: it's just hard to and I love Van like I 617 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 7: love things about Tampa Bay. 618 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 6: If they're all healthy. 619 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 7: I'm just saying, though, the Rams would be one for 620 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 7: me if they literally added like one or two players 621 00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 7: in the secondary. 622 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,840 Speaker 6: I just feel like they can get beat all the time. 623 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 5: But yeah, I thought they were gonna get Ramsey in 624 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 5: the off season, which I think would have done a 625 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 5: lot elevated their secondary. And I shouldn't say that the 626 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 5: Packers were fully outy. I assume we'll see Their offensive 627 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 5: line has some still questions, but they're coming off the buy. Yeah, 628 00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 5: but I think Green Bay is probably the most well 629 00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 5: rounded right now. And Mike adding Michael Parsons, who's now 630 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 5: probably gonna be like a full snapshare did a lot 631 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 5: to elevate that defense to make them there. But all right, 632 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:47,320 Speaker 5: where are we going. 633 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 2: Next, Kendrew? This is your fault that this happened. This Uh, 634 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:53,920 Speaker 2: no time to nominate our two plays? 635 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 5: Hold on, Kendrick, I'm sorry. I'm gonna let you go eventually, Brandon, 636 00:29:57,800 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 5: I'm really happy for you. I'm gonna let you finish. 637 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 5: But Beyonce had one of your best videos of all time. 638 00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 5: That could be part of your your video today because 639 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 5: it's an interesting already. 640 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 3: Forgot what my original video was? 641 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:10,480 Speaker 2: That was gonna be the toughest sport to bet on 642 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 2: who's the best in the NFL. 643 00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 5: You can always ask that later, like I feel like 644 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:16,960 Speaker 5: right now what you do? 645 00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:17,280 Speaker 6: Both? 646 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,320 Speaker 5: But that is a fascinate question. You'll get a ton 647 00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 5: of different answers. I think. 648 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 3: Okay, those will be my two videos for the week. 649 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:24,440 Speaker 2: Yep, can I go now? 650 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 3: Yes? Sorry, I'm so sorry. 651 00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 2: Two Kings and a Queen. 652 00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 3: Sorry? 653 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 4: Sorry, sorry said kidding. 654 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:33,240 Speaker 3: I'm kidding. I'm kidding. 655 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 2: Kendrew. We'll start with you. Who do you want to nominate? 656 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 4: Okay, so you guys are gonna hate me. I know 657 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 4: that we are on two different sides, me and you 658 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 4: the Pats or once again, I am addicted to betting 659 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 4: on the Chargers. 660 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,480 Speaker 3: The Saints are so injured. I don't know how. I 661 00:30:58,520 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 3: don't want to blow up your spot. I know that 662 00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 3: you that's something that you want to talk about in 663 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 3: a second. But they're so injured. 664 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,520 Speaker 4: Patriots are rolling a little bit, and then the Chargers. 665 00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,280 Speaker 4: The Dolphins are just so bad. They've given up on 666 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,640 Speaker 4: this season. The Chargers need some wins. I get that 667 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,720 Speaker 4: their offensive line. I even like the under in this game, 668 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:14,600 Speaker 4: whatever it is, I don't care if it moves. The 669 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 4: under on this game has got to look pretty for 670 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 4: everybody huge lean from me. 671 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 3: You might get to the window on it. 672 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 4: But I just believe in the Chargers, the coaching, the quarterback, 673 00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 4: everything so much more that this number. Even though it's 674 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 4: over a field goal at this point, I got it 675 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 4: at a better price earlier this week. 676 00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 3: I don't really care. The Chargers have to beat bad teams, 677 00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 3: and they have to beat up on bad teams. This 678 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,000 Speaker 3: Charger then, did not like either of these options. I 679 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,280 Speaker 3: saw him just kind of like the. 680 00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 2: Chargers offensive line is a problem. 681 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 1: And I know that Stucky has been had this on 682 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 1: his mind throughout the course of the week. The Dolphins 683 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:49,640 Speaker 1: defensive line is not exactly the one that can take 684 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: advantage of that. Herbert has been really good out East 685 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:55,959 Speaker 1: thirteen and six against the spreading games on the East coast. 686 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 4: But guys, believe me, every single week and here I 687 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:01,560 Speaker 4: am still like flipping the bird to you. 688 00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 5: Guys, I will say, I don't like the past minus 689 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 5: three and a half. That's like we're you're buying high 690 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,160 Speaker 5: on the Pats after their big win going down the 691 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 5: ones who hasn't been bad. 692 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 6: I haven't bet. 693 00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 3: They're just so hurt, dude, They're so hurt. 694 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 5: Their offense those the necessary weapons. You also got Taysom Hill. 695 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,120 Speaker 3: Back for Tis Hill. 696 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,720 Speaker 5: Mrado is playing well. He's playing like at an average level. 697 00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 5: So I played the Saint So I can't authorize the 698 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 5: Pats if I have to charge the charges of three 699 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,080 Speaker 5: and a half. There's here's some money line them again. 700 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 2: They lost play seventeen when we did that, like. 701 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,160 Speaker 3: The price, Yeah, but I'm not. 702 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 5: I already bet the Pats. Yeah, we can money line 703 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 5: them because it's the Chargers. You can charges money. Yeah, 704 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,920 Speaker 5: we can put that in as a moneyline piece because. 705 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 3: Oh, you guys, that's so much low. 706 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:54,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, but we're parlaying three and this is going to 707 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 5: be a lower scoring game. I agree with that, so 708 00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 5: points are going to be at a premium. I don't 709 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,080 Speaker 5: know if they can win by margin with their offensive 710 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 5: line injuryes. Maybe they get all back, maybe back to 711 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 5: like there's some question on the offense line. It could 712 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 5: just create their offense. But Miami, you. 713 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 3: Guys want to switch to the under. 714 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 1: I just want to say that if this doesn't hit Kendro, 715 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 1: the Chargers are in bet jail for you. 716 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, no, let's say we got to make you 717 00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 5: have the Chargers to win, because I mean, first of all, 718 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 5: I will say, here are the things I like about it. 719 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 5: The Chargers are going to play a ton of zone 720 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 5: coverage on the back end Miami. With Miami's offense, I mean, Sabine, 721 00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 5: their left guard, is the worst start in the league. 722 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 5: It's like a zero pass block rate. He's basically like 723 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 5: a traffic cone. But they're gonna play a ton of 724 00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 5: zone coverage Miami's off I don't know what Miami's offense 725 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 5: can do, but two against Man has been the best 726 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:39,920 Speaker 5: quarterback in the league EPA for play against zone, he's 727 00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 5: been bottom three. That's always how you stop the Dolphins 728 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,880 Speaker 5: offense under Mike McDonald, and that's all the Chargers are 729 00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 5: gonna do. Play a ton of zone in the back 730 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,920 Speaker 5: end and then on the other side. Yes, the Dolphins 731 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 5: can't get pressure at all. Their bottom five and pressure right. 732 00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 5: They're top five in blitzerrate, which is crazy. They're blitzing 733 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 5: constantly because they don't trust their secondary. They can't get 734 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,680 Speaker 5: pressure on the tone and they're still not getting home. 735 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:04,720 Speaker 5: Maybe the Chargers offensive line is that bad, but you 736 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 5: generally don't want to blitz Herbert, who's really good against 737 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,240 Speaker 5: the blitz, one of the best quarterbacks in the league. 738 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 5: So there's a lot of things I like. Who knows 739 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 5: Remiami is a mentally I think Harball will have the 740 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 5: Chargers much. I think they'll they'll be much more focused 741 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,040 Speaker 5: this week. They were so sloppy last week. So I'm 742 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 5: gonna go Chargers money line because. 743 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 4: I know that we throw a lot of McConkey in 744 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:31,320 Speaker 4: there too, or am I no kidding? 745 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 3: I'm kidding a lot. McConkie is still in bet Yell 746 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 3: for me, I'm still not at him in my. 747 00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 5: Seniority car were he's in Chargers money line because well, 748 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:42,920 Speaker 5: I know Brandon can't. He's not going to choose the 749 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,719 Speaker 5: Patriots because he has the Saints in his But I 750 00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:49,719 Speaker 5: will well for the voice of God. Would you go? 751 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,600 Speaker 5: Would you go? Chargers or Pats? 752 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 7: Heavan, I would not touch pat Saints with a ten 753 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,960 Speaker 7: football Spencer Raler coming off his first career win Patriots 754 00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,320 Speaker 7: off of the most emotional or emotionals like, I could 755 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 7: not care about that game one way or the other. 756 00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,360 Speaker 7: Chargers money line sounds beautiful. 757 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,239 Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, I mean I took the three and a half. 758 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:11,360 Speaker 5: I think it should be three. 759 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 7: Sure, so it's Saints are nothing in that game, and 760 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:18,360 Speaker 7: I couldn't even consider the Saints, I think, So. 761 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 5: I'm gonna go. My two are the Chiefs. 762 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 2: Yes, so the Chiefs and my vote. 763 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:28,120 Speaker 5: We will go with the forty nine Ers. Can't do 764 00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 5: money nine. You gotta take plus three because Baker will 765 00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 5: win in the last minute by one or two or three. 766 00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:35,520 Speaker 5: The Bucks, by the way of four Wednesday, I have 767 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:39,120 Speaker 5: yet to win by more than a field goal. I 768 00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 5: just think there's not much difference between those two teams. 769 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:42,920 Speaker 5: The forty nine Ers I think should get some weapons 770 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,040 Speaker 5: back this week. The Bucks are just as hurt as 771 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:45,879 Speaker 5: the forty nine ers. 772 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 3: Is it brought party? 773 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,279 Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be Mac Jones, but I don't 774 00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:51,120 Speaker 5: really carry the way. 775 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 2: Who do we want it to be? By the way 776 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:53,880 Speaker 2: I've been thinking about it? 777 00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:54,960 Speaker 3: Better with Mac Jones. 778 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:58,560 Speaker 4: I don't care what people say about brock Perty's contract. 779 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 4: The Jacksonville Jaguars got rid of that Nick Foles contract, 780 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,279 Speaker 4: so they can get rid of it if they want to. 781 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:06,080 Speaker 4: It's Mac Jones team at this point. Sure they're paying him, 782 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,919 Speaker 4: Sure he probably is the better quarterback, but you're winning 783 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:09,520 Speaker 4: with Mac Jones. 784 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,160 Speaker 3: It's got to be Mac forty nine. 785 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,879 Speaker 5: Ers extra time too. They played Thursday, so better chance 786 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,240 Speaker 5: that they might get some guys back than Tampa Tampa 787 00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,880 Speaker 5: coming back across the country. They've been one of the luckiest. 788 00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 5: I think they're number one in our luck rankings for 789 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:22,880 Speaker 5: a reason. 790 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:28,520 Speaker 3: Mac Jones with the bananas, I can't Channing. 791 00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,879 Speaker 5: Is scheming up some He's he's in. He is as 792 00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 5: good as I've seen him from a scheme perspective, and 793 00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 5: this Bucks defense is not good at all. So it's 794 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:42,560 Speaker 5: either going to be San fran San Francisco plus three 795 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 5: minus one oh five. About Chiefs Kansas City Money Online 796 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:48,719 Speaker 5: minus one thirty five. 797 00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 3: I about Chiefs. 798 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:52,440 Speaker 1: I like both of these. I like the Chiefs a 799 00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:55,280 Speaker 1: little bit more. I've actually played that one, so let's 800 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 1: add to the pot. 801 00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:56,879 Speaker 6: Heaven. 802 00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 5: Do you have any opinion on either? 803 00:36:58,440 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 6: Those are really difficult. 804 00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:01,960 Speaker 7: I hate the forty nine ers, so I would probably 805 00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:03,840 Speaker 7: go with the Chiefs in that situation. 806 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 6: I just I have no interest in San Francisco. 807 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:10,880 Speaker 7: And the comment of Mac being better than I don't know, 808 00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:12,239 Speaker 7: I don't better is not the right word. 809 00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:13,239 Speaker 3: I didn't say better. 810 00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:16,480 Speaker 6: Yeah, better's not the right word. But party is so efficient. 811 00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 7: If it's Mac, which I think it's probably going to be, 812 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:21,359 Speaker 7: I want nothing to do with that game. 813 00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, but they're winning with him. That's the thing. You 814 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:25,120 Speaker 3: gotta win, Maxy. 815 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,560 Speaker 6: They both those quarterbacks have moxie and I have. 816 00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 2: Perty hasn't been healthy when he's tried to play. 817 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:32,879 Speaker 6: Yeah, that's the problem to an. 818 00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 5: Max, isn't. He's getting rid of the ball quick and 819 00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 5: just going to his first read. 820 00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:38,000 Speaker 3: And it's the bananas. 821 00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,120 Speaker 5: He's basically Kyle Shannon's like puppet so and he's doing 822 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 5: a good job of feeling it. Soon Kyle Shannon wanted 823 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,120 Speaker 5: to as his quarterback and there's a good chance to 824 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:49,000 Speaker 5: get Pearsall and Door Jennings back this week. And both 825 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:50,840 Speaker 5: teams are just so beat up so and they're going 826 00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:52,719 Speaker 5: to play a lot of zone take away the explosives 827 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 5: for Tampa who can't keep getting away with this? So 828 00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:58,920 Speaker 5: all right, we got Chargers chiefs, my Brandon, what are 829 00:37:58,920 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 5: your too? 830 00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:04,879 Speaker 1: I am opposed to Kendra on this on the Patriots pick, 831 00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 1: I like this Saints plus three and a half and 832 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the wood with the Packers minus fourteen. 833 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,600 Speaker 1: I know we don't like these double digit favorites, but 834 00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,879 Speaker 1: you mentioned it, Stucky. The Packers might be the best 835 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,040 Speaker 1: team in the NFL. The Bengals have the worst point 836 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,919 Speaker 1: differential in the league. They can't run the ball three 837 00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:26,720 Speaker 1: point one yards per carry. That's dead last in the NFL. 838 00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 1: So the Packers could just pin their ears back at home. 839 00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,640 Speaker 1: Tee off on Flacco. Who people are gonna say this week. 840 00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 1: They're gonna say this, Flacco's already beaten the Packers. Flacco 841 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: didn't beat the Packers. Flacco had a fifty five passer. 842 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:40,800 Speaker 2: Rating in that game. 843 00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:44,560 Speaker 1: The Browns won despite the fact that Flacco is their quarterback. 844 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:46,640 Speaker 3: You're crazy the Packers should. 845 00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,280 Speaker 1: Get their O line healthy and back, and if that happens, 846 00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,200 Speaker 1: it's just this is going to be a slaughter. 847 00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,520 Speaker 3: You're crazy. 848 00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:57,760 Speaker 4: Flacco is a vets that he's getting vetterable, he's getting 849 00:38:57,760 --> 00:38:58,680 Speaker 4: better receivers. 850 00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:01,240 Speaker 5: But that's the thing that these played with these guys, 851 00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:04,400 Speaker 5: that's the biggest problem. 852 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,360 Speaker 4: It gives them juice though, like this is the reason 853 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:08,400 Speaker 4: for that team to get up. 854 00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 1: Now, I can get with you on that, like two 855 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 1: weeks down the road. But he just he had traded 856 00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,000 Speaker 1: after Sunday. He just got there. 857 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 5: The problem is he has no offensive line against that 858 00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 5: pass rush. So that's the Yeah, he's. 859 00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:21,400 Speaker 3: Gonna get murdered. 860 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,839 Speaker 5: But I can't believe I can't lay fourteen. I mean 861 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 5: it's laying fourteen. The NFL is just I just can't. 862 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:29,520 Speaker 5: It's so dumb because there's no I shouldn't say it's 863 00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:31,600 Speaker 5: so dumb, but a lot of times it's just a 864 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,040 Speaker 5: fool's thereon like it you're because there's no it's not 865 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:37,040 Speaker 5: like college football. There's no incentive for these NFL teams 866 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,719 Speaker 5: to win by a lot. So you're up by seventeen, 867 00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,840 Speaker 5: you're up by twenty one, which is a complete blowout 868 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,640 Speaker 5: in the NFL, and then you're not You're just gonna 869 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 5: make all right, let's not turn it over. You run, run, run, 870 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,440 Speaker 5: you punt, and then you like you saw at the 871 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 5: Bengals last week, they have really talented receivers. They could 872 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 5: hit some easy scores at the end. It's easily getting 873 00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,520 Speaker 5: his back door. So I can't authorize that I did 874 00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:04,239 Speaker 5: play this Saints, So I'm gonna vote then plus three 875 00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,240 Speaker 5: and a half your in, kenjer. 876 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,040 Speaker 1: Let me just say this, there will be a live 877 00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,320 Speaker 1: line during Packers Bengals that is north of twenty points. 878 00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,759 Speaker 1: Maybe if you felt uncomfortable with it, come back in 879 00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:16,680 Speaker 1: on the Bengals. 880 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:20,319 Speaker 5: Maybe Saints plus. All right, So Saints, Evan, do you 881 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:22,280 Speaker 5: have any any thoughts there? 882 00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 7: Give me the three and a half with the Saints 883 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,120 Speaker 7: in the game. I told you I wouldn't bet on 884 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:26,919 Speaker 7: five minutes ago. 885 00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 5: All right. 886 00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:32,279 Speaker 3: The NFL just looks to me every fucking week. 887 00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 5: All Right, We're going it's Saints plus three and a half, 888 00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:39,520 Speaker 5: Chargers money line, Chiefs money line plus three seventy. 889 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,360 Speaker 3: I can't wait to whip it out. I'm so serious. 890 00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:48,719 Speaker 5: Bat draftings, you can say that I can't. Uh So, Yeah, 891 00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:50,960 Speaker 5: plus three seven. Let's hit our second one in three weeks. 892 00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:52,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do it. 893 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:55,440 Speaker 1: Chargers, money Line, Chiefs, money Line, Saints plus three. 894 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:55,720 Speaker 2: And a half. 895 00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 3: That I have a heart attack. 896 00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:01,240 Speaker 1: Special thanks Star producers Gifford Gold, David pay, Evan Abrams 897 00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,920 Speaker 1: on Stats and also on the Saints. 898 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,800 Speaker 5: Ironically enough, there is, by the way, you the one, 899 00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 5: the one thing that's good about the if you want 900 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:11,920 Speaker 5: if I kind of convince you in the forty nine 901 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,000 Speaker 5: Ers we're still doing this, or you convince people on 902 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 5: the Bengals. The four o'clock slate is so super reliant 903 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:21,719 Speaker 5: on the Bank on the forty nine Ers, Bucks, it's Raiders. 904 00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:26,840 Speaker 5: There's only three games Raiders, Titans, Packers, Bengals, and then 905 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:29,920 Speaker 5: Bucks forty nine Ers. I'm worried about that four o'clock 906 00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,040 Speaker 5: slate like that. We need that gain to be good. 907 00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 5: It's the NFL. One of the other games we will 908 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:36,640 Speaker 5: end up being weirdly good. But anyway, thanks for tuning in. 909 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:38,640 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented 910 00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:49,839 Speaker 1: by DraftKings, Let's Go cash these tickets. 911 00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:55,440 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or 912 00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:58,239 Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is 913 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,320 Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler