WEBVTT - The Future of Pfizer: Analyzing the Pharmaceutical Industry Wars

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<v Speaker 1>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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<v Speaker 1>in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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<v Speaker 1>accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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<v Speaker 1>filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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<v Speaker 1>some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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<v Speaker 1>Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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<v Speaker 1>crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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<v Speaker 1>are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly

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<v Speaker 1>one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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<v Speaker 1>never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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<v Speaker 1>app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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<v Speaker 1>Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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<v Speaker 1>border and families will be protected.

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<v Speaker 2>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security. All right,

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<v Speaker 2>so let's get into it, all right. Pfiser, Pfiser.

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<v Speaker 3>Are we witnessing the death of Pfizer as a pharmaceutical

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<v Speaker 3>industry wars heat up? Or do you think that they

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<v Speaker 3>will have to recover in twenty twenty five. You've been

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<v Speaker 3>very big on Pfizer, So is it over?

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<v Speaker 4>That's that is such a like a finality. Right, We're

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<v Speaker 4>not there, are we there?

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<v Speaker 5>We're not there yet. But they've grossly mismanaged the company

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<v Speaker 5>too much debt. And also they're blockbuster drugs they no

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<v Speaker 5>longer have the exclusive on, and we've seen Eli Lilly

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<v Speaker 5>race to the forefront. Pfizer didn't rush to the weight

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<v Speaker 5>loss drug epidemic, mismanaged a few things over the last

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<v Speaker 5>couple of years, and then they're saying guidance is down.

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<v Speaker 5>For those of your stock club, I told you it

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<v Speaker 5>was coming down to these prices five months ago.

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<v Speaker 2>So for those of you who are listening.

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<v Speaker 5>Who are like starting to load the boat, now, great job.

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<v Speaker 5>But I don't think Pfiser is over. But I would

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<v Speaker 5>say that they're junior varsity in that pharmaceutical space.

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<v Speaker 2>Now. Eli Lily is clearly the leader there. Novo is great.

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<v Speaker 5>You have a couple other players that I like a

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<v Speaker 5>lot in the pharmaceutical space a lot more, but Pireser

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<v Speaker 5>kind of took their foot off the gas and got comfortable. Also,

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<v Speaker 5>when Covid panned out to be what it was.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow, you know that had an effect on the bottom

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<v Speaker 2>and top line.

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<v Speaker 5>So I've been big on Farmer, but I told everyone

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<v Speaker 5>in stock club six months ago, this is who happened.

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<v Speaker 5>Here we are and this is why publicly I've always

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<v Speaker 5>loved Eli Lily because the.

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<v Speaker 2>Management is a hell of a lot better.

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<v Speaker 5>They're drugs that they have lined up for the next

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<v Speaker 5>ten to fifteen years, immaculate, and they manage a lot better,

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<v Speaker 5>so that Eli Lilly is like the apple of the

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<v Speaker 5>pharmaceutical space.

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<v Speaker 2>I do like Pfizer if it.

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<v Speaker 5>Drops another twenty bucks for like a long term position

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<v Speaker 5>to hold into twenty twenty six, but anything before there

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<v Speaker 5>is Trioche.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. You know what, It's interesting.

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<v Speaker 4>I thought you're going to lead with the coronavirus part

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<v Speaker 4>because we always talk about stocks that had tremendous benefits

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<v Speaker 4>from being obviously in the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 2>Prizer was one of them. Yep, we've obviously seen it

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<v Speaker 2>pulled back.

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<v Speaker 4>But you know, when a company reduces this guidance for

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<v Speaker 4>the future, that's never a good sign. That's never a

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<v Speaker 4>good sign, right, And so that was one of the reasons.

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<v Speaker 4>It's like, all right, here comes a down tick.

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<v Speaker 2>In it.

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<v Speaker 4>But when you think about innovation, where are they at.

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<v Speaker 4>Everybody in the pharmaceutical sector is talking about their weight

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<v Speaker 4>loss drug, their weight ELI already has one. Pfiser is

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<v Speaker 4>behind on that, right they haven't quite had one that's

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<v Speaker 4>to market that's been as successful. In addition, this year

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<v Speaker 4>is kicking in one of their When we always talk

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<v Speaker 4>about mergers and acquisitions, one of their acquisitions is Seigon.

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<v Speaker 4>They paid forty three billion dollars for that. That kicks

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<v Speaker 4>in at the top of twenty twenty four. YEA looking

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<v Speaker 4>at declining sales right from post pandemic, you're looking at

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<v Speaker 4>the future guidance being lowered, you're looking at innovation, and

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<v Speaker 4>now you're looking at debt that's being added to the

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<v Speaker 4>bottom line. All these signs are negative signs when we're

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<v Speaker 4>talking about the evaluation of company. Now, this is a

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<v Speaker 4>strong company, it's ben atheous, but when you look at

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<v Speaker 4>the trend, the trend is not in his favor. I

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<v Speaker 4>don't know if we're going to I'm putting death on

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<v Speaker 4>this yet, not yet or maybe not ever, but the

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<v Speaker 4>declining trend is definitely clear.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, we'll walk in pneumonia loss one hundred and

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<v Speaker 2>forty billion a.

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<v Speaker 5>Market cap this year, and Fires has had always had

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<v Speaker 5>these tough declines. In two thousand they were at forty

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<v Speaker 5>five bucks. They did down to about sixteen. They got

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<v Speaker 5>too high of what four point fifty three? They're at

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<v Speaker 5>twenty seven now. I mean Fires, it gets to fourteen

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<v Speaker 5>hour load the boat. I would like it at that price.

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<v Speaker 5>I know they are expecting CGM to be like a

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<v Speaker 5>blockbuster cancer drug, but after what happened during the Corona era,

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know if people will trust earners.

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<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank.

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<v Speaker 1>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with a child in Massachusetts.

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<v Speaker 1>An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador accused of

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<v Speaker 1>murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with filming and

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<v Speaker 1>selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just some of

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<v Speaker 1>the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President Donald J.

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States Secretary of

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<v Speaker 1>Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border crossings are

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<v Speaker 1>at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you are here illegally,

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<v Speaker 1>your next you will be fined nearly one thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will never return. But

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<v Speaker 1>if you register using our CBP home app and leave now,

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<v Speaker 1>you could be allowed to return legally. Do what's right.

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<v Speaker 1>Leave now. Under President Trump America's laws, border and families

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<v Speaker 1>will be protected.

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<v Speaker 5>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security them

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<v Speaker 5>for a cancer treatment drug.

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<v Speaker 2>The one thing that Eli Lily does have in their favor.

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<v Speaker 5>And when twenty twenty four is going to be the

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<v Speaker 5>year of things getting exposed and revealed, I don't think

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<v Speaker 5>five thousand enough trust and the one thing that Eli

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<v Speaker 5>Lily does have from the people is trust and great management.

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<v Speaker 5>They expect to do eight billion in revenue from its

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<v Speaker 5>COVID vaccine. I don't see it. How you think COVID

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<v Speaker 5>is going to wrap up going into an election. It's

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<v Speaker 5>not gonna happen. So but the thing that I do

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<v Speaker 5>love when I talk about like a decade like pullback

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<v Speaker 5>swing or loath the vote opportunity, we may have one.

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<v Speaker 5>If it cracks fourteen, definitely, if it gets under fourteen,

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<v Speaker 5>gets anywhere back to those twelve areas from like the

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<v Speaker 5>nineteen ninety six area era, I would love it.

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<v Speaker 2>But always study how much a stock draws down.

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<v Speaker 5>They have a history doing it. This happened in two thousands,

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<v Speaker 5>happened in two thousand and four. Of course, two thousand

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<v Speaker 5>and eight recession was tough. They're just going through the

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<v Speaker 5>same cycle again. Set your alerts at fourteen bucks. If

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<v Speaker 5>it gets their hold it for a five year period,

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<v Speaker 5>you'd be great.

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<v Speaker 2>They said.

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<v Speaker 4>One of the things on the horizon for them is

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<v Speaker 4>that they're going to start licensing their pharmaceutical assets, which

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<v Speaker 4>could be a revenue generator. Like we always talk about,

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<v Speaker 4>especially when we talk about retail, we talked about people

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<v Speaker 4>licensing content, licensing retail.

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<v Speaker 5>That's what Adam did with Lina, right, say it again,

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<v Speaker 5>That's why Adam did with Lina.

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<v Speaker 2>He likensed the content out. He licensed one of his assets,

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<v Speaker 2>snapper of it, Like, why did you licensed out an asset?

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<v Speaker 4>So this man, So this is actually, this is actually

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<v Speaker 4>in their report one of so that they're projecting to

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<v Speaker 4>have an additional thirty to forty five billion in revenue

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<v Speaker 4>by twenty thirty and this is one of the top

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<v Speaker 4>line things that they're saying that could add it.

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<v Speaker 2>So I just wanted to put that in there.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, it's kind of like when they were saying a

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<v Speaker 5>certain only fan star was making thirty million dollars a

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<v Speaker 5>month and it was like we saw and it's like,

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know, if you got a swift in your house,

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<v Speaker 5>Like it sounds good. Rashall you ever called me and

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<v Speaker 5>say the Steve Harvey episode, We're gonna get the license

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<v Speaker 5>in the material.

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<v Speaker 4>But not always a bad thing, Right, We've seen Disney

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<v Speaker 4>that's worked for them, Right, We've we've seen them work. No,

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<v Speaker 4>it has worked for them. It might not currently be

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<v Speaker 4>working for them. But even some studios have a license

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<v Speaker 4>out the content and now they're getting it back, and

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<v Speaker 4>now you're kind of seeing like, oh, now that you know,

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<v Speaker 4>Netflix would be a prime example, right, Yeah, studios license

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<v Speaker 4>out material to them, and yeah it was great on

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<v Speaker 4>the books for that point in time, but then streaming

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<v Speaker 4>becomes prominent and now you want your content back, but

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<v Speaker 4>you don't have the platform to actually put it out,

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<v Speaker 4>and so now you're seeing mergers between these streaming platforms.

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<v Speaker 4>So at one point in time, it worked just not

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<v Speaker 4>as well as it used to.

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<v Speaker 5>And the words of Gezi, if it's taking too long

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<v Speaker 5>a lock up, bring it back, She was.

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<v Speaker 2>Shorting me, what's to bring a stack?

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<v Speaker 5>Hey, Pizer, listen, we was in a room this past weekend.

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<v Speaker 5>So I'm learning not to say too much about too

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<v Speaker 5>many businesses. Thank you, thank you, but you guys need

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<v Speaker 5>to get your affairs in order. Like we're seeing a

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<v Speaker 5>change of a guard. Like we're almost twenty five years

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<v Speaker 5>into the century. At one point IBM, an AMD with

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<v Speaker 5>the hottest thing in the chip space and video came

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<v Speaker 5>and took that crown, kind of like when Lebron came

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<v Speaker 5>into the league.

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<v Speaker 2>We're seeing the change in of the guard.

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<v Speaker 5>Fires are a great company, but Eli Lilly clearly is

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<v Speaker 5>the king now and video is clearly the king. Get

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<v Speaker 5>a chip space. This is not a good sign, but

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<v Speaker 5>I do like it at that fourteen dollars level. I

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<v Speaker 5>love it at that level, and I will probably exit

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<v Speaker 5>at thirty five bucks through four years later.

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<v Speaker 2>And you can also put some options on the two.

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<v Speaker 2>But not a good sign. Not a good sign when.

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<v Speaker 5>You come out and ladies, this is the equivalent of

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<v Speaker 5>your man coming to you December twenty third and say, baby,

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<v Speaker 5>I'm broke. I got it. You ain't got none coming

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<v Speaker 5>next year, the baby, it's over with tough. You can

0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:56.880
<v Speaker 5>sider it out. You may have to do that new

0:11:56.920 --> 0:11:59.360
<v Speaker 5>relationship and sit through a tough year or two, but

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<v Speaker 5>in a stock I don't want to do that.

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<v Speaker 2>Sit this holiday season out.

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<v Speaker 1>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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<v Speaker 1>in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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<v Speaker 1>accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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<v Speaker 1>filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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<v Speaker 1>some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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<v Speaker 1>Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman the United States

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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<v Speaker 1>crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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<v Speaker 1>are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly

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<v Speaker 1>one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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<v Speaker 1>never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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<v Speaker 1>app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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<v Speaker 1>Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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<v Speaker 1>border and families

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<v Speaker 2>Will be protect Sponsored by the United States Department of

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<v Speaker 2>Homeland Security,