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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game?

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Speaker 2: Do us proud read enough? There were running a game.

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Speaker 3: So smoothe so sweet studied sixteen just glorious text procution.

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Speaker 4: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 4: thousand percent.

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Speaker 1: Of the time.

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Speaker 4: How shot with that shop of mind of buddy, And

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Speaker 4: that's why.

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Speaker 2: You see yours beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 4: Look at his movements the most dangerous amount.

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Speaker 1: Of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 3: Up. I'm trying.

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Speaker 4: The one. It's left to the wide eyed drill pibus.

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Speaker 2: How old earth big that happens?

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Speaker 3: Hello everybody, and welcome back to Wonderful, the soccer betting

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Speaker 3: podcast from the Action Network, presented to you by Bet

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Speaker 3: three sixty five, the world's favorite sports book brand. Sign

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Speaker 3: up with promo code Action to get BET three six

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Speaker 3: fives exclusive sign up offer in New Jersey and Colorado.

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Speaker 3: Bet one dollar on any game, get two hundred free.

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Speaker 3: Monday is Michael Lileeboff. I'm the host of this podcast,

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Speaker 3: and as always I'm joined by my pals and Action

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Speaker 3: Network soccer betting experts BJ Cunningham and Anthony Debundo, and

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Speaker 3: today we will be going over all sixteen Champions League

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Speaker 3: matches coming our way on Tuesday and Wednesday, that would

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Speaker 3: be October fourth and fifth, and we're gonna start with

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Speaker 3: Inter there plus three twenty home underdogs against Barcelona. Their

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Speaker 3: odds on minus one twenty. The draw here is plus

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Speaker 3: two to seventy five. Anthony, let's start with you here.

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Speaker 3: I think towards the end of last season, the beginning

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Speaker 3: of the end of last season, if you will, our

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Speaker 3: tone around Barcelona changed and we started to call it

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Speaker 3: by low Barcelona. I think this is probably a spot

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Speaker 3: where we're gonna push back on that and maybe sell

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Speaker 3: high on Barcelona.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Bilo, Barcelona did not last long. I remember there

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Speaker 4: was one match maybe against Real Madrid, where we got

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Speaker 4: to hammer them, and there was a couple matches in

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Speaker 4: Spain where they were just really or on the road.

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Speaker 4: But that time period did not last very long. The

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Speaker 4: market caught up very quickly to the Chopvi improvements, and

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Speaker 4: now they're actually overvalued.

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Speaker 2: I think it got to that point maybe the end

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Speaker 2: of last season.

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Speaker 4: They are a touch overvalued here in my numbers, and

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Speaker 4: I know BJ grees I'm gonna wait on this one. Personally,

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Speaker 4: I lean toward Inter plus a half. I think we

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Speaker 4: may get some more Barcelona money late. That's what happened

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Speaker 4: in the Bayern match a couple weeks ago. The market

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Speaker 4: doesn't seem to be loving Inter right now. They got

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Speaker 4: steamed against in the Roma match on Sunday that day

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Speaker 4: or Saturday that they lost, and you just kind of

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Speaker 4: look across the board at some of the numbers and

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Speaker 4: there is some concerning signs. They're getting further and further

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Speaker 4: away from the Antonio Conte era. They're getting more into

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Speaker 4: Simone in Zagi era. And not to say that he's

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Speaker 4: a bad manager, but I think that there's clear signs

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Speaker 4: that their attack is not producing nearly as much. In

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Speaker 4: the last four or five six matches now, they've just

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Speaker 4: looked a little bit off. And you can even go

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Speaker 4: down to their extually created you know, point aid at

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Speaker 4: home against Roma, point ad at Udinese less than one,

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Speaker 4: and home against to Reno.

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Speaker 2: They really struggled in that to create chances.

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Speaker 4: They scored late even against Pleasant, they dominate the match

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Speaker 4: in possession, but they weren't a ton of great chances

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Speaker 4: in that match. It was an island game, so I

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Speaker 4: got to watch it and I didn't think that Inter

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Speaker 4: were clicking in the way that I thought they would.

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Speaker 3: So I think there's some.

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Speaker 4: Underlying issues with Inter that that also go into Hondanovich,

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Speaker 4: who has been really bad. I talked about this on

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Speaker 4: Thursday's episode when I picked Rome as my underdog. Hondanovitch

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Speaker 4: is shot stopping has fallen off quite a bit as well,

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Speaker 4: and Barcelona looks considerably improved with Lewandowski as the focal

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Speaker 4: point to run this attack around, which is kind of

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Speaker 4: what was missing last year.

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Speaker 2: They added Obama Yang.

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Speaker 4: He was good, but Lewandowski is kind of just better

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Speaker 4: and it solves the problem because they have so many

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Speaker 4: wingers and good midfielders to get the ball into him

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Speaker 4: that it's kind of an embarrassment of riches and what

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Speaker 4: they have an attack right now. So I don't want

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Speaker 4: to say I'm out on Inter, but I'm souring a

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Speaker 4: little bit and I think it must I get like

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Speaker 4: a plus one. I'm going to probably pass here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Interior it is four zero to four wind draw

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Speaker 3: loss in Syria, plus one goal differential they expected goals

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Speaker 3: is around six, so some positive REGRESSI at least in

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Speaker 3: the league. Barcelona, meanwhile, the only team in any of

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Speaker 3: Europe's Big five to have allowed less than two goals

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Speaker 3: so far the season nineteen goals for one goal against

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Speaker 3: for Barcelona and La Liga, eighteen expected goals for four

95
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Speaker 3: and a half against, clearly the best expected goal differential

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Speaker 3: per ninety in the big five leagues. But I just

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Speaker 3: think you're getting a good enough price here to basically

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Speaker 3: just sell Hi. You know, this is the high water

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Speaker 3: mark I think for Barcelona. Byron they topped the group

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Speaker 3: right now to on O. Barcelona's one to oh to one,

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Speaker 3: so it's Inter. So this is actually pretty big match.

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Speaker 3: It's not just like a foregone conclusion that it's going

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Speaker 3: to be Byron and Barcela getting through here. If Inter

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Speaker 3: do put up a fight here, Barcelona's gonna be in

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Speaker 3: a little bit of a spot a bother as we

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Speaker 3: head towards the second you know, legs of these group

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Speaker 3: stage matches. So I think it there's worth a shot

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Speaker 3: on the money line at north of three to one BJ.

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Speaker 3: What do you have here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm on Inter plus half a goal, and you know,

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Speaker 1: all of Antie's points are very valid. Like they have

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Speaker 1: now looked good at start the season, they definitely didn't

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Speaker 1: do not look as good as they were towards the

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Speaker 1: end of last season, and a lot of what Inter

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Speaker 1: has done well is just beating up on the bottom

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Speaker 1: half of the Syria table. But with that being said,

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Speaker 1: I mean they've allowed thirteen goals off a seven point

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Speaker 1: one expected I don't think we expect Handanovich to be

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Speaker 1: that bad or maybe they'll switch to Onana who knows

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Speaker 1: to be the goalkeeper. But I have a hard time.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, Michael, this is probably the peak of

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Speaker 1: Barcelona and this is probably the bottom of Inter. And

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Speaker 1: this is Inter is pretty much their last stand if

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Speaker 1: they want to get out of the group, because if

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Speaker 1: they lose this match and then they have to have

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Speaker 1: two road matches against Bayron, Munich and Barcelona, so their

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Speaker 1: chances of actually getting through are going to be very

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Speaker 1: slim if they cannot get a result in this match.

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Speaker 1: So from a Barcelona standpoint, I mean, you can call

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Speaker 1: it whatever you want, but it was a dud against

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Speaker 1: my Orca this weekend. They won one nothing, but they

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Speaker 1: only they actually lost the XG battle point five to

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Speaker 1: point nine. They had eleven box entries despite holding eleven

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Speaker 1: percent possession, and they had a lot of injuries coming

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Speaker 1: out of the international break. I mean they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: without a roy Hill for a long time. Coon Day's injured,

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Speaker 1: Deong's Injuris, de Paie's injured, and Bellarin's injured. I understand

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Speaker 1: Barcelona is a ton of death and they have a

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Speaker 1: lot of wingers and attackers, so it may not mean

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Speaker 1: as much, but you know, your depth concerns get greater

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Speaker 1: as we jam packed the schedule. And even if we

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Speaker 1: from a cell high by low standpoint, you know, if

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Speaker 1: we take actually differential from essentially when Shabi took over

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Speaker 1: last season, Barcelona is at plus one point twenty five,

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Speaker 1: it will enters at plus one point three. I understand

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Speaker 1: Barcelona gets a big edge because the difference between Lo

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Speaker 1: League and Syria eyes, it's pretty drastic. I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: taking into plus half a goal at plus one ten,

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Speaker 1: Like you guys said, it's a it's a great sell

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Speaker 1: high bilot opportunity here.

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Speaker 3: The other Group C match is Byron.

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Speaker 2: Huh I like I like.

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Speaker 4: Buying money line. Yeah, I just want to put that

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Speaker 4: out there.

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Speaker 1: I might I recommend good parlay piece, but a max

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Speaker 1: bet on by You know, you can do the old Byron.

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Speaker 3: Georgia versus Missouri if you're into college football.

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Speaker 1: You know partly this is not Georgia Missouri. This is

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Speaker 1: this is Georgia versus an FCS.

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Speaker 3: Team Byron's minus twenty two hundred against Victoria Pleasant at

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Speaker 3: home twenty eight to one. This is a twelve forty

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Speaker 3: five pm kickoff too. By the way, the Jews fourteen

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Speaker 3: to one. These odds obviously are from Bet three six five.

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Speaker 3: None of us have play on this game. I think

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Speaker 3: we can pretty safely just move on to Group Ay.

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Speaker 3: Either one of you put your hand up if you

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Speaker 3: want to say something, but otherwise I'm just gonna move through.

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Speaker 1: I think Victoria Plus is the worst team in this competition.

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Speaker 3: Let's move perfect, all right. Group Bay Napoli sitting atop

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Speaker 3: the group two oh and oh Liverpool and I X

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Speaker 3: both one and one Rangers oh oh and two. That's

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Speaker 3: all winter all loss. Liverpool is hosting Rangers minus seven

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Speaker 3: hundred at Bet three six five, Rangers fourteen to one,

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Speaker 3: the dress eight to one. Hand on hard, I thought

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Speaker 3: Rangers are going to be better than what they showed.

176
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Speaker 3: I thought that they'd be a little like scrappier and

177
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Speaker 3: tougher to beat in this tournament, and they just haven't.

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Speaker 3: On the other hand. I mean, what can you make

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Speaker 3: of Liverpool. In our Premier League episode, I was talking

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Speaker 3: about how I like Brighton at eight to one as

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Speaker 3: a bet in the money line against Liverpool, just because

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Speaker 3: right now, in terms of current form, there wasn't really

183
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Speaker 3: that much of a difference between where Brighton and Liverpool were,

184
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Speaker 3: and I'm not saying that Rangers are even close to

185
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Speaker 3: Brighton because they're not. I don't know how anyone could

186
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Speaker 3: rush to the window to bet this Liverpool team right now.

187
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Speaker 3: They go up three two and then Brighton come back

188
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Speaker 3: to make it three to three and there were some

189
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Speaker 3: lineup stuff, but Liverpool the market just on them before kickoff.

190
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Speaker 3: I think Brighton went from eight to one when we

191
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Speaker 3: recorded on Wednesday night and closed around five to one.

192
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Speaker 3: So I'm not gonna play Rangers. I actually don't hate

193
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Speaker 3: like an under here because I just think this is

194
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Speaker 3: gonna be a weird game for Liverpool's. It's like such

195
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Speaker 3: a strange spot for them they need. It's like a

196
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Speaker 3: get right spot, but that's the need to win. Like

197
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Speaker 3: it's really hard to make to try to figure out

198
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Speaker 3: where this team's at right now. So BJ I think

199
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Speaker 3: it's pretty easy to pass. But like where, well you talk.

200
00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:30,920
Speaker 1: About the market, I mean Liverpool opened at around minus

201
00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:32,959
Speaker 1: five point fifty, they're like you said, they're up to

202
00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,880
Speaker 1: seven hundred, So I mean they obviously tried to wrest

203
00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,280
Speaker 1: some guys over the over the weekend, putting three of

204
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Speaker 1: their attackers on the bench. But yeah, I don't know

205
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Speaker 1: what to make this Rangers team. I mean, they did

206
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Speaker 1: get a red card against Napoli, so like you can

207
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Speaker 1: kind of chalk that up, but they weren't really competitive

208
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Speaker 1: up to the up until that point. Really, so it's

209
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Speaker 1: really hard with this Rangers team. I don't know if

210
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Speaker 1: I can really get it behind them right now. But

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Speaker 1: the Liverpool performance against i X was incredibly impressive. How

212
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Speaker 1: they were able to dominate the match, basically pin them

213
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Speaker 1: in not allow IX any type of transition. So if

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Speaker 1: i is not able to do that, even if we

215
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Speaker 1: believe that i actual really isn't what we thought they were,

216
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Speaker 1: if we believe what they thought they were at the

217
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Speaker 1: beginning of the Champions League, I don't see how we

218
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Speaker 1: can say that Rangers is going to be able to

219
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Speaker 1: do more than what i AX was able to do.

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Speaker 1: So this is a hard pass for me. Just sad

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Speaker 1: at this Rangers team, those four to one to get

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Speaker 1: out of the group tickets are pretty close to drawing

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Speaker 1: dead edything here, but we got like we got like

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Speaker 1: we got like one out. Maybe I think, you.

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Speaker 4: Know, Rangers have gotten exposed. But that being said, I

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Speaker 4: don't hate to look at both teams to score here.

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Speaker 4: You know, Liverpool have now conceded once again early in

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Speaker 4: games they've they've only been winning at halftime. I think

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Speaker 4: it was one of their last ten games in all

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Speaker 4: competitions or something absurd. And so there have been a

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Speaker 4: lot of issues with this team getting out of the gate,

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Speaker 4: and there continue to be defensive flaws in Liverpool. I

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Speaker 4: mean we say this every episode and it continues to

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Speaker 4: look like first of all, Virgil Vandyke has lost to

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Speaker 4: half a step Chren Alexander Arnold. We're getting to the point.

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Speaker 1: I don't understand people.

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Speaker 2: We're getting to the point. And this is a discussion

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Speaker 2: that I had with couple friends over the weekend.

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Speaker 4: We're getting to the point now where how how soon

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Speaker 4: until Klopp needs to actually adjust the system to fit

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Speaker 4: Alexander Arnold, whether it's going to a back three, or

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Speaker 4: changing defensive situations or you know, finding a Jude Bellingham

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Speaker 4: or is like a declan Rice who can cover for

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Speaker 4: Alexander Arnold.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what the answer that is.

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Speaker 4: But in terms of this match, but what Liverpool dominated,

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Speaker 4: I actually dominated Rangers. Neither those games are particularly competitive.

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Speaker 4: But that being said, I mean even if Liverpool goes

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Speaker 4: up two nail early three nail, I think there's gonna

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Speaker 4: be there's still gonna be leakness of the back where

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Speaker 4: I think Rangers might take advantage. And this is a

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Speaker 4: spot for Rangers. They have to go all in, you know,

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Speaker 4: they need to get something. So I think, you know,

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Speaker 4: both teams to score would be the look for me

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Speaker 4: if I bet it.

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Speaker 1: Liverpool held opponents under one exp like three times they've

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Speaker 1: held opponent under one expected goal this season, Bourne myth

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Speaker 1: Newcastle without all of their attackers, and then I ax

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Speaker 1: like they have not been good defensively to start the season.

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Speaker 1: So I don't hate to look at both teams to score.

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Speaker 1: It's plus money right now.

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Speaker 2: It's plus one ten.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The other thing I think, at some point, like you said, Anthony,

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Speaker 3: I think I think Klopp is going to do what

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Speaker 3: we saw Eric ten Hogg do and you know, to

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Speaker 3: a lesser extent like Lampard do is is they're just

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Speaker 3: adapt and like I could see him just setting Liverpool

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Speaker 3: up to be Hey, let's just grind this out. Let's

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Speaker 3: just put up a clean sheet and get out. But

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Speaker 3: that's much more trying to get in the heads of

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Speaker 3: a manager or whatever.

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Speaker 1: But also look ahead, spot City for Liverpool.

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Speaker 3: Yeah that's true too, i X.

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Speaker 1: They got my boys.

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Speaker 4: They have City next the following weekend too, right, it's

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Speaker 4: gonna be interesting, Yeah, exactly. So they go to Rangers

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Speaker 4: next week. That's going to be a Ranger spot. Oh no,

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Speaker 4: hopefully at least somewhat competitive in this match, and you know,

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Speaker 4: then we can make a case for them to to

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Speaker 4: bet them next week.

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Speaker 3: Teams have been competitive against this Liverpool team all season,

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Speaker 3: except for i X, who will talk about next Yeah, yes,

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Speaker 3: that's true. It was a competitive nine nil i X

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Speaker 3: plus one twenty home favorite at Bed three six five

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Speaker 3: Napolis two to one. The draw here is plus two eighty.

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Speaker 3: Napolie is still embiided in all competitions, six game winning

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Speaker 3: streak for them. They're sitting a top Syria. Ah. Their

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Speaker 3: defense has looked a little leakier of late, but BJ

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Speaker 3: you still think this is an underlook.

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Speaker 1: It's interesting because I think the Liverpool match was not

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Speaker 1: entire entirely confirmation, but it allowed us to say, Okay,

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Speaker 1: this IX team, they are who we thought they were,

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Speaker 1: like we are thought they were coming to Champions League.

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Speaker 1: In the fact that they lost too many pieces, like

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a struggle. They obviously just pounded Rangers,

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Speaker 1: and we had to ask ourselves, all, right, were we

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Speaker 1: wrong in Rangers or we're wrong on IX. I think

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Speaker 1: we're just wrong on Rangers. I mean I X took

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Speaker 1: three shots and created point three x G against Liverpool.

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Speaker 1: That was a bad performance. And then right before the

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Speaker 1: international break in the airt Visa, they lost to Al Kamar,

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Speaker 1: who's at the top of the league right now, and

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Speaker 1: they lost on x G. So that's their two toughest

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Speaker 1: tests of the season. They've been playing a bunch of

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Speaker 1: cupcakes throughout the Air to Visa and they have not

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Speaker 1: performed well. So they even drew with go ahead Eagles

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Speaker 1: over the weekend one one. So the biggest question you

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Speaker 1: know you have for IX in this type of scenario

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Speaker 1: is Napoli is a team that loves to dominate possession.

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Speaker 1: They love to play slow, intricate style going forward a

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Speaker 1: lot of ten plus pass sequences. Is IEX going to

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Speaker 1: be able to sit deep and look to counter because

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Speaker 1: they haven't really had to play that style really over

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Speaker 1: the last year and a half. Like do you think

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Speaker 1: about the last Champions League, they were at the peak,

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Speaker 1: they didn't really have to play like, you know, low block,

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Speaker 1: counter tecking style because they were in a weak group.

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Speaker 1: And then they played Benefica obviously in the round of sixteen,

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Speaker 1: where they were supposed to be the more possession dominant side.

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Speaker 1: So against Liverpool they got pinned in and it looked

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Speaker 1: like they didn't know how to play out of a

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Speaker 1: low block and try to counter teams. Well, that's what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen here, and they're not going to be

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Speaker 1: able to control a lot of the possession even though

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Speaker 1: they are at home. So you also have a situation

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Speaker 1: with Napoli where Victor Oshman is questionable at best. You know,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he's going to play or not.

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Speaker 1: So I look for Napoli to dominate possession here. Their defense, yes,

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Speaker 1: they have looked a little bit leaky, but I mean

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Speaker 1: they still only seven point two expecting goals out in

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Speaker 1: their first eight matches is still a really really good

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Speaker 1: de So I look for Napole to slow this game down,

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Speaker 1: control possession, not try to play this up and down

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Speaker 1: style with IAX. I only have two point two goals projected,

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Speaker 1: selling on three goals at minus one twelve.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I'll be on Napoli here on the

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Speaker 3: money line.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate to look a Napple either. I think

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Speaker 1: that the I X is a little bit too high.

342
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Speaker 1: I need a better number on Nappley to play it.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's this Napoli teams looked good through two matches. Yeah,

344
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Speaker 1: a team that hasn't looked good at least in our eyes.

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Speaker 1: That's that's Frankfurt. They're plus two sixty at Bet three

346
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Speaker 1: six five hosting Tottenham Hotspur plus one ten. The draw

347
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Speaker 1: here is plus two fifty Spurs off the North London

348
00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:38,160
Speaker 1: Darby loss to Arsenal. I think you could say that

349
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Speaker 1: that was a well deserved victory for the Gunners. Definitely

350
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Speaker 1: definitely some chickannery involved, but nonetheless I like Spurs here

351
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Speaker 1: plus one ten. Let's just go through the group real quick, though, sporting.

352
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Speaker 3: Their top two O and O Spurs one oh and

353
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Speaker 3: one Frankfurt one oh one, window Lass and marseilleh and two.

354
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Speaker 3: Frankfurt's four two and two in the Bundesliga sixteen goals

355
00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:00,680
Speaker 3: four thirteen against, ten and a half spectacles four and

356
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,880
Speaker 3: ten point eight expectacles against. They're coming off three straight wins,

357
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Speaker 3: including over It still sounds funny to say un Yan Berlin,

358
00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,640
Speaker 3: who lead the Bundesliga, sit the top of the Bundesliga.

359
00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:12,720
Speaker 3: In their last match, we talked about this Frankfurt team

360
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Speaker 3: being frauds, and I think Spurs are a type of

361
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Speaker 3: team when the impetus is on them to win, which

362
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:20,040
Speaker 3: it is here, like they need to make sure that

363
00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,840
Speaker 3: Frankfort don't put three points in their pocket ahead of

364
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:25,040
Speaker 3: them and set themselves up for a real scrap to

365
00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,760
Speaker 3: get out of the group. That benefits Spurs, who still

366
00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:29,960
Speaker 3: despite the loss, looked great. That was our first loss

367
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Speaker 3: of the season. Plus nine goal differential plus four expected

368
00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:35,640
Speaker 3: gole differential. But we always expect them to kind of

369
00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:39,880
Speaker 3: overperform their offensive metric with their finishing talent, So I

370
00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,960
Speaker 3: like Tottenham, I think that they should be able to

371
00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,440
Speaker 3: kind of expose this this Frankfurt defense. Any plus number

372
00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:50,720
Speaker 3: is good for me on Spurs antity. Sorry about the loss. Yeah,

373
00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:51,760
Speaker 3: you're right back in on it.

374
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Speaker 4: Yeah. Shout out to our colleague Matt Trevy hitting some

375
00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:56,760
Speaker 4: Zhaka thirteen to one at anytime, new role for mister

376
00:15:56,840 --> 00:16:01,560
Speaker 4: Jaka scoring league. But Arsenal defin we deserve winners. Congratulations

377
00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:02,800
Speaker 4: to bj on the derby win.

378
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:03,600
Speaker 1: Thank you.

379
00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,640
Speaker 4: Another tough result for Spurs. We have now not won

380
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:10,920
Speaker 4: at Arsenals in twelve years, so hopefully next time.

381
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,240
Speaker 2: But with that being said, the market moved.

382
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Speaker 4: I mean Spurs were minus money at before yesterday and

383
00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:20,040
Speaker 4: now they are plus one ten. I didn't see anything

384
00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:21,800
Speaker 4: in that game yesterday that made me think less of

385
00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:22,680
Speaker 4: Tottenham as a team.

386
00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:23,920
Speaker 2: People know here.

387
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 4: I have actually not bet on Spurs a single time

388
00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:30,240
Speaker 4: this season, I don't think, and that is about to change.

389
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 4: The first time I will be betting on Tottenham this season.

390
00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 4: It's gonna be fun, so they're gonna lose. But in

391
00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 4: reality I think this is just an overrated Frankfurt team,

392
00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:44,440
Speaker 4: mediocre in the Bundesliga and look negative expected goal difference

393
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:47,000
Speaker 4: bad last year. I would love Spurs against any team

394
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,560
Speaker 4: in the Bundesliga from a matchup point of view, just

395
00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 4: because of the way that they want to play and

396
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:52,640
Speaker 4: how that kind of plays into Tottenham's hands. They are

397
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,520
Speaker 4: not good at defending with their high line. They do

398
00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,360
Speaker 4: allow a ton of pressure. They rely on wing play

399
00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,000
Speaker 4: to create a lot of chances under Gossner, and.

400
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 2: It's concerning because Spurs.

401
00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:05,200
Speaker 4: Are usually and will have the better players on the

402
00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:06,720
Speaker 4: wings in this match. So I think this is a

403
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,840
Speaker 4: excellent get right spot for Spurs off the loss. Come

404
00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,600
Speaker 4: on you, Spurs, it's time to back them. I'm just

405
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:15,800
Speaker 4: gonna take the fifteen ten twenty cents of value because

406
00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,720
Speaker 4: I make Spurs minus one fifteen in this match and

407
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:18,720
Speaker 4: I get him at plus one ten.

408
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:22,440
Speaker 3: All right, we're in a baja after this past weekend

409
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:24,879
Speaker 3: and it's like almost like you're just kind of patting

410
00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:26,320
Speaker 3: Tottenham on the head here with your bet.

411
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:28,560
Speaker 1: This weekend could not have gone any better if you

412
00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:31,320
Speaker 1: wanted to bet Tottenham. They they lose to Arsenal and

413
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:35,600
Speaker 1: then Frankfurt beats Unyan Berlin to nothing, loses on XG.

414
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:37,159
Speaker 1: I understand they had a red card in there, but

415
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,040
Speaker 1: I mean it's hilarious from the fact because Unon Berlin

416
00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:45,399
Speaker 1: basically plays the same, like not exactly the same style,

417
00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,919
Speaker 1: but very similar to what Tottenham tries to do, right.

418
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:50,000
Speaker 1: They try to sit low and encounter a Tottenham is

419
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:53,200
Speaker 1: obviously better at putting passes together going forward than Unan

420
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,920
Speaker 1: Blin who just tries to send the ball along. Buton

421
00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,280
Speaker 1: Berlin in that match had forty three progressive passes. They

422
00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,080
Speaker 1: were averaging twenty four per match before that. Like, that's

423
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:03,840
Speaker 1: how much how easily they were able to progress the

424
00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,240
Speaker 1: ball up the field against Frankfurt. They I mean Frankfort

425
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:07,880
Speaker 1: went up to nothing, so you could say games state

426
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,080
Speaker 1: it kind of mattered there, but no team, I mean

427
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:11,760
Speaker 1: Leian Blynn hadn't been able to progress the ball and

428
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:13,520
Speaker 1: the field against anybody, and they just were able to

429
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 1: just fly the ball right up against Frankfort, able to

430
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,440
Speaker 1: create one point two expected goals. I mean Frankfurt I

431
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,200
Speaker 1: mentioned it last week, but they're sixteen goals up a

432
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:24,000
Speaker 1: ten point five expected in the Bundesliga last three matches

433
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 1: six goals up a three point four expected. I just

434
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 1: want everybody to think about this. If if home field

435
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 1: advantage the Champions League as let's say worth like what

436
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:35,160
Speaker 1: forty fifty cents on what planet would Tottenham the below

437
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 1: minus one fifty on a neutral field against a Frankfurt

438
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 1: team that has had a minus point two actually differential

439
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 1: per ninety since the start of last season. Like that

440
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 1: is crazy, Like there's no way if these two teams

441
00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 1: theoretically were playing in like the Europa League Final, that

442
00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:51,480
Speaker 1: Tottenham would only be minus one forty in the ninety

443
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:53,320
Speaker 1: minute line. That it just would not be the case.

444
00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 1: So I have taught them protected as a very significant

445
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,920
Speaker 1: favorite because the difference between the Bundesliga and the Premier

446
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 1: League has become quite drastic. So give me Tottenham. Let's

447
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:04,360
Speaker 1: go Spurs. Come on you Spurs.

448
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you love betting on Tottenham?

449
00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 3: You do? I love betting on to I mean, I.

450
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 1: Mean, I don't hates. I don't know what else to

451
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 1: say it.

452
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:21,040
Speaker 4: Then you know I've voiced by my Tottenham concerns. I think.

453
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 4: I think Saturday is an excellent example.

454
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 2: Of the problem the market must be, just like the

455
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:26,160
Speaker 2: problem when you play.

456
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 4: What Tottenham does is that sometimes Thomas Parte uh scores

457
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:32,520
Speaker 4: his first ever goal from outside the box and hits

458
00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 4: a great shot, and sometimes your goalie makes a really

459
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:36,719
Speaker 4: dumb play on a ball he should handle and does

460
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 4: hand them more often than not, but the odds of

461
00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 4: that happening, and it's way I tweet after the match.

462
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 2: The odds of that happening increase.

463
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,240
Speaker 4: When you are unable to retain the ball and you're

464
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,520
Speaker 4: unable to move the ball consistently up the pitch. If

465
00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:49,359
Speaker 4: you let the other team have the ball on the

466
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 4: final third, weird things happen, and that's what happened to Spurs.

467
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:53,639
Speaker 2: I didn't think they played badly.

468
00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 4: I thought there was a couple of flukes, but I

469
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 4: thought that, you know, Arsenal was a better team at home,

470
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,360
Speaker 4: they would deserve to win. So I don't really change

471
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 4: my outlook on them. The market seems to think they're worse.

472
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 1: I don't think.

473
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 3: So let's talk about the other Group D match. This

474
00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:08,400
Speaker 3: is the other twelve to forty five pm kickoff, along

475
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 3: with Byron and Victoria Pleasant. This is Marseille plus one

476
00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,959
Speaker 3: twenty at home posting Sporting plus two thirty at bat

477
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:19,000
Speaker 3: three six five VT jow Here's plus two forty Marseilles

478
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:22,679
Speaker 3: seven to two and oh unbeaten still in league nineteen

479
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:27,800
Speaker 3: goals four five against seventeen. Expectacles for i'd two expected

480
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 3: good team Sporting Lisbon five goals scored zero goals allowed

481
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,639
Speaker 3: so far in the Champions League. These Portuguese teams, man,

482
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 3: they're funny. I got off in here, BJ, what do

483
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 3: you have?

484
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:40,760
Speaker 1: This is the spot I had circled for a long time,

485
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 1: and then when I saw the line, I was like,

486
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 1: you gotta be kidding me, because I thought that they

487
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 1: were gonna say, all right, we're gonna price Marseille at

488
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,639
Speaker 1: minus one twenty, and I get a great price on Sporting,

489
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: and I would come in here and I'd give a

490
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 1: raw ross speech about how Marseilles sucks, how about their

491
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: overperforming defensively, how the match against Andreers was really stupid,

492
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,399
Speaker 1: how Andreres dominated if the first thirty mine and then

493
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,680
Speaker 1: Marseille scored on their first chance. And it's been what

494
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 1: they've been doing all a season. And then it comes

495
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 1: in and the market has them at plus one twenty.

496
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 1: I have marseillea plus one fifty seven, So like, I

497
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 1: could make a case for Sporting, but I'm not paying

498
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:14,440
Speaker 1: a high of a price for plus half a goal,

499
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 1: like I just I Sporting plus half a goal is

500
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 1: you know, minus one fifty year out out there. I

501
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 1: just don't have value on that, So I can't play

502
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: it right now, So I'm gonna have to pass. It's

503
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: it's unfortunate. Maybe I'll just throw Sporting in there and

504
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 1: round Robin on the money line. But yeah, unfortunately, I'm

505
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 1: gonna have to pass.

506
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 3: You're passing, Anthony, you are not. You got something for

507
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:33,119
Speaker 3: us on the total.

508
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, at the end of two and a half.

509
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,199
Speaker 4: You know, anytime I think we get two overrated teams

510
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,679
Speaker 4: going at it in the market right now, I'm always

511
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 4: generally going to look to the under and I think

512
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 4: this is a classic example. Sporting Lisbon has shown itself

513
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,639
Speaker 4: well defensively to start this tournament. I think they've been

514
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,159
Speaker 4: very impressive, and I think there is some weight to

515
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 4: that when you go back to how they performed last year.

516
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 4: There is some you can make that you could squint

517
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 4: and look through the numbers in Portugal and make the

518
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 4: case if they were a good defensive side there and

519
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:00,680
Speaker 4: that that will translate. But I think this is a

520
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 4: very clear game plan from Sporting. They are going to

521
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 4: sit deep, very deep.

522
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 2: Looked.

523
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 4: I don't even get some Marcus Edwards action there. But

524
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 4: really the reality is that I don't think Marseille is

525
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,680
Speaker 4: a good enough team to break down this defensive line.

526
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 4: I don't think they create enough consistent scoring. I don't

527
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 4: think they apply enough consistent pressure, and I think that

528
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:19,679
Speaker 4: that's going to create a situation where Sporting don't need

529
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 4: to come out necessarily and Marseille will look the attack

530
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,399
Speaker 4: is incredible. I mean I need to go look through

531
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 4: the history of all these attackers and figure out, like what,

532
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 4: what the hell we're missing, because there's no way that

533
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 4: they continue to do this because they don't even get

534
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:34,879
Speaker 4: good shots. Like with Lazio we talk about Latsi a lot.

535
00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: They are at least consistently.

536
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:40,160
Speaker 4: Getting like very close shots, like they get highest shot

537
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 4: quality slash like average shot distance in the league. Marseille

538
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 4: doesn't even get that in France. I mean they take

539
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:47,119
Speaker 4: shots from everywhere so to go in.

540
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 1: So you know, the mean don Jira's is bad goalkeeping.

541
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,959
Speaker 1: I will say that like the first two goals they had,

542
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 1: it was just they should have been saved. But that's

543
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,480
Speaker 1: that's for whatever reason that they just it just keeps

544
00:22:58,520 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 1: happening with them.

545
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I under here. I don't have a ton in

546
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 4: this other than the fact that Marseille continues to not

547
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 4: impress me in possession. I think that they don't break

548
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 4: teams down consistently well.

549
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 3: Group B situates like this right now, which is nobody

550
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 3: saw coming. Bruges at the top two O and O,

551
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 3: Leverkusen one O, one and second at Letty Anthony is

552
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 3: at Letty one O and one and third, and then

553
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:23,640
Speaker 3: Porto and two at the foot of the table. Let's

554
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 3: start with Porto and Leverkusen. Like I said, Porto is

555
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,440
Speaker 3: at the foot without a win. They need one. They're

556
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 3: plus one fifteen home favorites to get one over Bayer

557
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 3: Leverkusen plus two thirty the draw here is plus two

558
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 3: to fifty. Leverkusen right now are in seventeenth place in

559
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 3: the Bundesliga. They're one two and five a minus seven

560
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 3: goal differential that's nine four sixteen against. Their expectacle differential

561
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 3: looks a lot different twelve point two for eleven point

562
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,879
Speaker 3: eight against, so they're positive in that regard. So some

563
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 3: positive regression will come for this team eventually. Portos, that's

564
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 3: not the type of team I feel like you want

565
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 3: to run into right now when when you're trying to

566
00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 3: find your game. They're just because you know they're gonna

567
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 3: be organized. They'd be tough to beat. They're the type

568
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 3: of team that if if you're searching for something like that,

569
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 3: you're just gonna be punching yourself tired. I would lean

570
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 3: towards Leverkusen, but the number I don't think is big

571
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 3: enough to go here, especially on the road, so I'll

572
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,880
Speaker 3: be passing BJ. You have an affinity for these Portuguese

573
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 3: teams team in the Champions League. It just is growing

574
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 3: fonder and fonder by the game.

575
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, yep, and I'm taking Porto on the money line here.

576
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,120
Speaker 1: I'll be honest with you guys. During the second half

577
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 1: of the NFL games, I turned off Red Zone and

578
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: I turned on the Porto Club Bruges match because I

579
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 1: didn't watch it live, it wasn't on one of my

580
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,160
Speaker 1: three TVs, and because I looked at the box score

581
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: I think twenty times, and I just don't understand how

582
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: Bruges beat them so badly, and really what it was.

583
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 1: It was just mistakes from Porto, like things we just

584
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 1: don't yeah, just dumb mistakes from them, like things we

585
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 1: don't typically see with Portos. So you know, if you

586
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 1: look at the Athletico match, they were by far the

587
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 1: better side, like they Athletic coach did some dumb stuff

588
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 1: in the in the sty in stoppage time. But so far,

589
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,639
Speaker 1: you know, Porto in the Portuguese League does have a

590
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:07,080
Speaker 1: plus twelve expected gold differential through eight matches. They just

591
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 1: hosted a absolutely red hot Braaga side that was coming

592
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 1: in on an eight match win streak and all competitions,

593
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 1: including wins in the Europa League over Malmo and Union Berlin.

594
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 1: Porto absolutely obliterated them this past Friday for to one

595
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 1: and out created them four point five point six on

596
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 1: next year and created eight big scoring chances. Leverkusen obviously

597
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,399
Speaker 1: is coming off their four NILO lost to Bayron Munich,

598
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 1: which you know was stupid because Byron just scored on

599
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 1: a bunch of low quality chances. But I mean the

600
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: reality is is Leverkusen, like you said, Michl, they're still

601
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,399
Speaker 1: in the relegation, So no, they have a pretty much

602
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,600
Speaker 1: an even expected gold differential. Like you look at the

603
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: Athletico match, like the timing of their chances, like it

604
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 1: all came in the second half. Their three big chances

605
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 1: came after the seventieth minute where the match kind of

606
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: opened up. So in the same argument that I made

607
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: for Frankfort and Sporting in the first round. Is the

608
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,879
Speaker 1: gap between Germany and Portugal really isn't that drastic? You know?

609
00:25:57,920 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 1: I have Germany rated point four to three goals better

610
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,639
Speaker 1: than Portugal. So you factor in the fact that Porto

611
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,480
Speaker 1: since the started last season has been a plus one

612
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 1: point six extra differential per ninety and Leverkusin's been plus

613
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: point five to five. I think you're getting good value

614
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 1: on Porto on the money line. Here, it's a great,

615
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 1: great Bilo opportunity for a really good team that should

616
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: have won against Athletic Co and then just had a

617
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 1: really fluky bad game against Club Bruge.

618
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 3: Yeah they were. They are a little unlucky to be

619
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 3: sitting in last place in this group and you like

620
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 3: a Porto to advanced ticket is not a bad.

621
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 4: Lot either at or Bruges.

622
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's not too advance.

623
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 3: Let's talk about Bruges. BJ there plus two to eighty

624
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 3: home underdogs hosting at Letti there plus one oh five

625
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 3: at bet three six five. The draw here is plus

626
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 3: two forty. We love Atletico Madrid on this podcast, all

627
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,680
Speaker 3: three of us. Yep, we all drink from the Cup

628
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 3: of Diego Simeoni. We tip our cap to him. We

629
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:56,119
Speaker 3: know he's one of the best. He he is what

630
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 3: Antonio Conte wishes he could be. Let's just put it

631
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 3: that way. At Leti are four one two and laliget

632
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,959
Speaker 3: twelve goals for six goals against nine point six expectacles

633
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 3: for seven expectacles against Bruses. By the way, let's like,

634
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 3: like you said, like it was very fluky what happened.

635
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 3: You do want to give them credit for just putting

636
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 3: six points in their pocket, setting themselves up here, so

637
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 3: it shouldn't be a walkover. But I think if Bruce

638
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 3: was one oh and one or had two draws, like

639
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 3: what is this line looking like?

640
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 2: I just don't.

641
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 3: I think they're getting a lot more respect than you'd

642
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 3: expect from the market here, getting at Lettiott plus money

643
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,119
Speaker 3: in a game that they need, like they need a

644
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 3: result here that especially with Porto and Leverkusen playing in

645
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 3: opposite they could find themselves in the last place in

646
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 3: the group by the time that this ends. I believe,

647
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 3: so give me that. Letty give me Diego Simeoni. This

648
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:50,239
Speaker 3: is you know, set it and forget it. I love

649
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 3: this bet BJ. I think anything plus money on Athletico

650
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 3: Madrid is worth a.

651
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:58,200
Speaker 1: Shot, absolutely so the first two matches from Bruce, they've

652
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 1: taken eight shots and so the penalty area, not counting

653
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: the penalty against Porto, and they've scored four of them.

654
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 1: Like that's they've just they've scored. They've on a crazy

655
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 1: good finishing. Great. You know, they've created three point six

656
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 1: expected goals off of two point three expected threat. Porto

657
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 1: had a field tild of sixty one percent in that match.

658
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: They kind of dominated most of it. Athletico on average

659
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 1: last season only allowed round six shots per ninety from

660
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:27,119
Speaker 1: inside the penalty area. Only Man City, Liverpool, PSG, Bayern, Munich,

661
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,399
Speaker 1: Napoli and one other team had a better average. And

662
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you each one quick guess and you'll

663
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: never guess the answer.

664
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 3: Mind No, no, I don't know who it is as

665
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 3: you say it, Gita.

666
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's an easy one.

667
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 1: Anyway, let's move on.

668
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 4: That was dumb.

669
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 1: But I have to point out one thing with with

670
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 1: bruised as well is right before the international break they

671
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: played standardly age in the Belgian Pro League. They got

672
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 1: dismantled three nothing. And that's important because that team plays

673
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: a very similar style to Athletico, a three to five

674
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: to two, which is what die Simoni has so this

675
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: is a good matchup here for Athletico. And then also,

676
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 1: I mean Athletico just a great performance against Savilla on

677
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: Saturday just around you know, they created their highest sex

678
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:15,240
Speaker 1: sheet of the season, allowed their feast against Savilla. And

679
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:17,360
Speaker 1: you know the thing we we like to say with

680
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 1: Simoni is like, oh, he's he's too conservative, like you know,

681
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 1: he's he sits too deep or whatever. Like if you

682
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 1: look at last season, you know, Athletico had a higher

683
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: defensive line than Real Madrid, Like they had the third

684
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: best fit field tilt in La Liga. So when they

685
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 1: played better teams, yeah, they tend to play more conservative,

686
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 1: but when they played the smaller sides, they tend to

687
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 1: be more dominant on the ball and actually look to

688
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,480
Speaker 1: get forward. So I think this is a great, great

689
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 1: opportunity here for Athletico. On the money line, you know,

690
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: Bridges got two teenagers in their back line. They're very inexperienced.

691
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 1: So yes, give me too, Diego Simeone. On the money line,

692
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 1: this is this group, this group, two great opportunities here

693
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: for some some bilos and sell highs.

694
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 4: I generally, I.

695
00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 2: Look, let me just jump on. I think Michael made

696
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 2: a good point about the.

697
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 4: Price right, Leverkusen was plus one fifteen plus one twenty

698
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 4: in the opening match at Bruges. Now at Letti is

699
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:12,800
Speaker 4: essentially the same price. But last match at Letti was

700
00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 4: a road favorite at Leverkusen, which I thought was wrong.

701
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 4: But like, either way, you can't say to me at

702
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 4: Letti and Leverkusen are the same team. While also making

703
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 4: the case that at Leti was just a road favorite

704
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 4: at Leverkusen. Those prices don't align whatsoever. So from a

705
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 4: Bryce point of view, I agree, and I will probably

706
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 4: end up bening'd let you with you both. I was

707
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 4: I was inspired by that. I was inspired by the

708
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:38,760
Speaker 4: weekend performance. You know yea teams No, No, I've generally

709
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 4: speaking like I think the cell high on Bruges is

710
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 4: strong here, and you're right in the sense that they

711
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 4: got very fortunate.

712
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 2: And it doesn't even just go to the to the

713
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 2: match against.

714
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,200
Speaker 4: Porto where two of the goals to them on a

715
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 4: silver platter, but go back to the Levercuzon match where

716
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 4: you know they were Leverkusen was a couple. They defended

717
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 4: the box well in that match, but Leverkusin was like

718
00:30:57,840 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 4: a couple of toenails.

719
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 2: From you know Vary. So this Brewce team, I don't

720
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 2: think we should.

721
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 4: Change our prior on them, which was that they really

722
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 4: aren't very competitive in this group. Yeah.

723
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 1: Also two games you forgot to mention in the group, Bruce,

724
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 1: since the start of last seakon last season in the

725
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 1: Belgian Pro League only a plus point five to four

726
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 1: expected gol differential per ninety that I believe is the

727
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: worst mark of anybody outside of Europe's top five leagues

728
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 1: in this competition.

729
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 3: All three of us on out, let it go. It's

730
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 3: beautiful and that's a good way to wrap up Tuesday.

731
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 3: We'll move on to Wednesday. But first wonder Goal is

732
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 3: presented by BET three six five, the world's favorite sportsbook brand.

733
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,680
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734
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,800
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735
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 3: Bet one dollar on any game, get two hundred free.

736
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 3: All right on to Wednesday, onto Group E. Let's set

737
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 3: this one up.

738
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 2: Milan is at the top.

739
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 3: They're one one to zero win draw loss, zag Our

740
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 3: second their one oh and one, Salzburg their third, no wins,

741
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:01,400
Speaker 3: two draws, no losses, and Chelsea all one and one.

742
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: At the foot of the table, oh Man. Chelsea's minus

743
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 3: one forty three at Stanford Bridge, hosting Milan four to one.

744
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 3: The draw here is plus two eighty. The Blues coming

745
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 3: off a less than convincing win against Crystal Palace. I

746
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 3: think we could say, and you know, maybe I'm a

747
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 3: little biased because we adore that Palace side, but they

748
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 3: fell behind and we're able to scrap it back. This

749
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 3: will be Grand Potter's second Champions League game in charge.

750
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,600
Speaker 3: It's a big step up for them after they drew

751
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 3: with Salzburg. Milan's five too and one in Syria as

752
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:35,720
Speaker 3: sixteen goals for nine against fourteen point three expected goals

753
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:40,000
Speaker 3: for seven expectacles against. Their six point nine respectacles against

754
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: is the third best in Syria A. But like we

755
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 3: said a lot of times during these European shows, Syria

756
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 3: A is trending down as a league. It's already down,

757
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 3: trending down.

758
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 4: Anty.

759
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 3: I know you like Chelsea here, I can't. I can't

760
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 3: get there. I like Milan. I like you until this

761
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 3: Chelsea team puts it together, and I do think that

762
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 3: they will, like I said on the Premier League pod,

763
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 3: until they like show some kind of like resounding form.

764
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: It's a little tough. I think four to one on

765
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 3: Milan is a fine number, even on the road.

766
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I didn't originally plan on playing this,

767
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 4: but the injury crisis for Milan is really bad. Now.

768
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 4: You know Tayo Hernandez out, that provides a ton of

769
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 4: attacking width for them. He's also supplements an underwhelming attack

770
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 4: Otherwise you're looking across the board now. Mike Manion injured

771
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 4: during the international break. Excellent shots stopping goalie. A major

772
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 4: reason why Malan's defense over performed last year was Manion.

773
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 2: He's gone. Dougie Calabria another you know.

774
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 4: Right back, Alexis, Salamakers, Simon and care all injured against

775
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 4: in Sundays or Saturday's miracle win against Emply where if

776
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 4: you had the under, I'm so sorry because it was

777
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,600
Speaker 4: zero zero and then there were four goals in the

778
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 4: last fifteen minutes and three in stoppage time. Just awful.

779
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 4: But generally speaking here, I think this Milan team continues

780
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 4: to be overrated. The market is pricing these two teams

781
00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 4: much closer than I think they are, and I think

782
00:33:58,400 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 4: this is kind of similar to last year. I know

783
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 4: Chelsea is not as dominant as they were at this

784
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 4: point last year. Remember they got an overrated Juventus team

785
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,719
Speaker 4: in their group and they were minus one eighty one

786
00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 4: eighty five at home. Now they're you know, looking, you know,

787
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 4: you can look around minus one thirty one thirty five

788
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 4: out there. I like Chelsea at those numbers. I think

789
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 4: it's a little short. I think that they are. They

790
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 4: didn't look great in terms of being effective in attack

791
00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 4: against neither Salzburg nor Palace, but you can start to

792
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 4: see the building blocks of what is getting there, and

793
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:29,640
Speaker 4: I think they're going to be a good by low

794
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 4: in the coming time because if you look at like

795
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:33,759
Speaker 4: five thirty eighth SPI ratings, they actually have these two

796
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:38,280
Speaker 4: teams pretty comparable. Eighty one for Chelsea seventy nine for Milan.

797
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 4: I think the gap is bigger.

798
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 2: I just think the gap is bigger.

799
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 4: Between England and Spain or England and Italy.

800
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 2: So give me the blues at home, PJ.

801
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,879
Speaker 1: I might play Chelsea minus one, just take a bigger price,

802
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: just because I agree with him. It's the injury crisis

803
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 1: for ac Milan. I believe Graham Potter showed some stuff

804
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: after Crystal Palace went up one nothing to start to

805
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 1: start to dominate possession, especially what they did against Alsburg

806
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 1: after going down. They really dominated that match. You know

807
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 1: what I truly believe is that AC Milan just for

808
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 1: whatever reason, they just suck in the Champions League, like

809
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 1: they're only going back through the entire group stage last

810
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 1: season and even through this season. The only good match

811
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,279
Speaker 1: they put together is that home against Zagreb. Where's the

812
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 1: best three one? Yeah, it's just really not that good

813
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 1: in the Champions League. I mean they were I mean,

814
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 1: if we want to do transitive properties, you know, the

815
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 1: each team has played Salzburg, well, Chelsea beat them one

816
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: point five, two point two on XG, blon lost to

817
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 1: them on XG and did not look good against them either.

818
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 1: So yeah, I might be playing Chelsea minus one. You know,

819
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:39,399
Speaker 1: Anthony made a good point about the Juventus match. Well,

820
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 1: Chelsea obliterated Juventus in that match. I believe they won

821
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: it what three to four nothing, just absolutely dominated them.

822
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think this is another situation where the

823
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: injuries are going to add up, especially you know with

824
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 1: Hernandez and right backs being out like the way that

825
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: Graham Potter uses wing backs. I mean, I mean they're

826
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:58,879
Speaker 1: gonna field base. Rich James is gonna have a field

827
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: day in this match, so probably gonna be on Chelsea

828
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 1: monest One to be kind of monitoring the market throughout

829
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 1: the week see if there's maybe a little bit of

830
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 1: dip on Chelsea. I don't know, we'll see it, but

831
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 1: as soon as the market starts to trend up, I'm

832
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 1: gonna try to grab it before we get out of

833
00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 1: reach over.

834
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, and there's not I've thought about that too. What

835
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,759
Speaker 4: you said about the Champions League and how they've struggled now,

836
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 4: it's probably random variant. Quality of competition definitely matters. I mean,

837
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 4: you go look at how Malan played the top teams

838
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 4: in the league last year. They were like an average

839
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 4: team against those teams in Italy too. But I also

840
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,839
Speaker 4: think it's interesting there's not a lot of pressing relatively

841
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 4: in Italy compared to the other leagues, even you know,

842
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,800
Speaker 4: of course Germany and England, but even Spain.

843
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 2: So I think that's interesting.

844
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 4: On how they react to that. Their midfield maybe doesn't

845
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:41,839
Speaker 4: much time with the ball, their defenders get a little

846
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:45,320
Speaker 4: more exposed. There's just less space for their attackers to exploit,

847
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:46,839
Speaker 4: especially somebody like you know, the Islan, and they don't

848
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 4: really have a striker that's under eight to thirty five

849
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:49,760
Speaker 4: that's still effective.

850
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 1: So it at comes out by the way.

851
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 4: People cool, right, So I'm not sure what to make

852
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,439
Speaker 4: them me long they're now rated by five point thirty

853
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 4: eight is the best team in Italy? I disagree. I

854
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 4: think the fourth. I think you can make the case

855
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 4: that Roma, Enter and Napoli are all better. So otherwise,

856
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:10,000
Speaker 4: I like Chelsea at home here.

857
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 3: None of must have anything on Salzburg. They're minus one

858
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 3: fifty against Zagreb four to one on the road. To

859
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,920
Speaker 3: draw here is three to one. The only thing I

860
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 3: know what I want to make is how about Salzburg

861
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,360
Speaker 3: being minus one fifty against eddy team of the Premier

862
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:23,719
Speaker 3: the champions lea good for them?

863
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 4: I mean it's it's the return leg at home, but

864
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 4: I have no interest in playing that one. Yeah, this

865
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:31,920
Speaker 4: is yeah, this is pretty easy pass here, all right?

866
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:36,280
Speaker 3: Group f then this is interesting one. I think Leipzig

867
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 3: minus one eighty two at home against Celtic four and

868
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,359
Speaker 3: a half to one on the road the drawers plus

869
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:46,400
Speaker 3: three fifty. I want to bet Celtic here and I

870
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 3: like Leipzig. I think you know, if you listen to

871
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 3: our preview show, for the Champions League. I thought Leipzig

872
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 3: was a good shout as a long shot. They're at

873
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 3: the foot of the table oh oh and two, Celtic

874
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 3: right above them, oh one and one, Shock Stars one

875
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 3: on one and second, and Madrid is two oh to zero.

876
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:03,960
Speaker 3: The one thing that scares me here is that we

877
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 3: saw in that first match from Celtic that they just

878
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,600
Speaker 3: don't really know another way to play besides foot on

879
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 3: the gas pedal. Be brave if you want to call

880
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 3: it that, and hope for the best and hope that

881
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:19,360
Speaker 3: you kind of out skilled teams and in the Scottish

882
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:21,560
Speaker 3: Premiership like they'll do that week in and week out.

883
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 3: I guess Real Madrid. It looks like they could get

884
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 3: a result in the first fifteen minutes and then Madrid

885
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,439
Speaker 3: kind of whether it's a storm and wins three nil,

886
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 3: and I think the Scottish side would really impressive in

887
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 3: that match. I guess Leipzig though. That just sets up

888
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,160
Speaker 3: for this match to be bonkers. Like I think that

889
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 3: these two could just go back and forth. So I

890
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 3: like an all total here three and a half is

891
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 3: plus one sixty five. I think that's a fine number.

892
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,839
Speaker 3: Let's talk about Leipzig's Bundesliga four and before I flipped two, three,

893
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 3: two and three plus one goal differential, but a plus

894
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,400
Speaker 3: five expectacle differential, So they're on the up and up

895
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:56,839
Speaker 3: here they should be at some point. This is kind

896
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:58,439
Speaker 3: of what they did last season too, right, like they

897
00:38:58,480 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 3: started out of the gate slowly and then they caught

898
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 3: after manager change. So I do think that Celtic is

899
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 3: the right side from a value perspective, I hope, I

900
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 3: mean the number is big enough. Probably I'll probably be there,

901
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 3: but I like to over better anything for you here, BJ.

902
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I do like Celtic plus one here. I mean,

903
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 1: if we sit here today and we say, hey, who's

904
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 1: been more impressive in the Champions League so far, Leipzig

905
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,320
Speaker 1: or Celtic, I don't know if we really maybe know

906
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 1: the answer to that. I'm maybe would lean Celtic a

907
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 1: little bit. I mean you could say that they were

908
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: pretty much even on XG with three a Madrid and

909
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 1: tell the goal the Venetius junior goal. Then they go

910
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 1: to Poland and they just completely downaged Doctaar one point

911
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 1: six to point two on XG. And as far as

912
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 1: Leipzig is concerned, I mean I know they got Anthony's

913
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:41,879
Speaker 1: boy Rosa now, but I don't think that's a team

914
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 1: that is at the level that we've seen in years past.

915
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 1: I mean, last three years, their expected threat differential has

916
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 1: just been declining. It was point seven to one two

917
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 1: years ago. Last season it was point five to eight

918
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 1: this season. I know it's a small sample size, but

919
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:55,920
Speaker 1: point twenty five, you know, you look it through their schedule,

920
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 1: it's been essentially they've played a lot of mid table

921
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 1: Blundesliga teams and they played Dormann which they won three nothing,

922
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 1: but then they flip it around and they just get

923
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:09,080
Speaker 1: pasted by Glodbach. And this past weekend they go up

924
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 1: and they put up four point one expected goals against Bochum.

925
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:14,600
Speaker 1: Well before that match they only had a plus one

926
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 1: point one expected gold differential in the Bundesliga. So I

927
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 1: think this team is just not really at the level

928
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,479
Speaker 1: that we've come to known and seen in years past.

929
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 1: Like the teams that can, you know, essentially get to

930
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: a Champions League ground of sixteen plus, they're gonna move

931
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 1: out Closterman for a significant amount of time. And what

932
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:31,680
Speaker 1: we saw with Leipzig especially last season, is they struggled

933
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 1: in defensive transition, especially under Jesse marsh Well. This season,

934
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 1: they've already allowed three goals off of counter attacks, like,

935
00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 1: that's the most in the Bundesliga. So and Celtic is

936
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: not a team. Celtic is definitely a team that has

937
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 1: the talent to punish you on the counter attack. So

938
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 1: this is as simple as just projection edge for me.

939
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 1: So I love Celtic plus one on the road here.

940
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:56,279
Speaker 4: Must Win still loves his Scottish teams. That's all the

941
00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:57,400
Speaker 4: way through this group stage.

942
00:40:58,000 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be with it with you, and I like

943
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 3: the O maybe maybe the same game part like for

944
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:04,840
Speaker 3: your man over here. Let's talk about the annual Madrid

945
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:08,719
Speaker 3: and Shocktar showdown. Madrid minus five fifty at the Santiago

946
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 3: burnabout Shocktar eleven to one, the draw here seven to one.

947
00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 3: It was the first time for Madrid that they dropped

948
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:17,800
Speaker 3: points over the weekend. They drew one one with OSAs

949
00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 3: Soon invariants going against that team for once. Oh it

950
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 3: was of course, I wasn't there to fade them. But

951
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 3: you know, look, it's not various. They just have one

952
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,359
Speaker 3: of the best managers in the world who can help

953
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 3: them navigate through those those tricky times Everden Legend as well.

954
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 3: Nothing here for me, Anthony, nothing for Pja either. What

955
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 3: do you have for us here between the top two

956
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 3: teams a Group F.

957
00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 4: I've also yeah imagined saying that I think that if

958
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,399
Speaker 4: you want to attack this game, it's to maybe look

959
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 4: down the market and figure out, you know, who you

960
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 4: think between Leipzig and and Celtic can make a run

961
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 4: out of this group now, because Shocktar is a good story.

962
00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,800
Speaker 4: They got results in their first two matches, but it

963
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,880
Speaker 4: feels to me, given all the turnover, that they are

964
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 4: going to get absolutely destroyed at some point, and it's

965
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 4: probably going to be in one of these two matches

966
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 4: in the next two weeks against Real Madrid. And as

967
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:11,480
Speaker 4: much as I you know, we rag on Real Madrid

968
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 4: and whatnot, I know interest to find Shaktar either, So

969
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,799
Speaker 4: pass do not go buying high on the Shacktar team.

970
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 4: I think they're they're very in danger of ab.

971
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 1: They've got smoked g by Real Madrid every single time

972
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 1: they've I know, they've gotten a couple of results, but

973
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 1: they were always they were always fluky.

974
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, that wraps up Group F. That means

975
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 3: we'll move to Group H. PSG at the top with Benfica.

976
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,520
Speaker 3: They're both to o and oh juve and MacCabe hypha

977
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:42,480
Speaker 3: oh oh and two. We'll start with Benfica and PSG PJ.

978
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 3: This one sets up nicely for you. You got another

979
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 3: Portuguese team there plus three twenty US old spot. I

980
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 3: guess the team that you despise, a team that takes money.

981
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 3: I think PSG just comes to your house. They travel

982
00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,320
Speaker 3: to the middle of the country, to the beautiful cornfields

983
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 3: of Iowa. They knock on your door and Leo Messi

984
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,239
Speaker 3: just goes into your pocket, takes a bunch of money

985
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 3: out of it every week and puts it in.

986
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:04,880
Speaker 2: His keep saying that but one bets against it.

987
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 3: Three weeks now, you've never won a bet against PSG.

988
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 3: I haven't either. There's about two The draw here is

989
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 3: plus three thirty three PSG eight one and oh in

990
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 3: league oh twenty eight goals four or five goals against

991
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:21,879
Speaker 3: twenty six point two expected goals for six point seventy five.

992
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 3: I mean, you can you know what the numbers are

993
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 3: gonna look like in that league for this team, convince

994
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:29,040
Speaker 3: me to join you. I'm Benfica here.

995
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 1: I had to ask myself I had to sit down

996
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:33,880
Speaker 1: after PSG is like crazy towards start, where they were

997
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:35,839
Speaker 1: putting up like two and a half three expected goals

998
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 1: every single match in league, and I had to sit

999
00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:40,399
Speaker 1: down and say, okay, was I wrong about this team?

1000
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 1: Are they truly one of the best two or three

1001
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 1: teams in the world, And after their first two Champions

1002
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 1: League matches, the answer that is unequivically no, no, no, no,

1003
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:52,760
Speaker 1: not in a million years. Listen, against Juventus, we already

1004
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:54,880
Speaker 1: talked about it, but bop I scored two bangers. They

1005
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 1: basically sat back and allowed a very bad Juventus team

1006
00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: to control a lot of that match. And then against

1007
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 1: Haifa they go behind. They did not look good or

1008
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 1: even ready to play the match. They got incredibly cocky

1009
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,359
Speaker 1: and played a really high line. Haifa went behind them

1010
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,000
Speaker 1: two three times. They could have scored at least one

1011
00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 1: more goal on a cross and you know, eventually, you know,

1012
00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:16,840
Speaker 1: the headline is, oh my gosh, Messi and Bappe and

1013
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 1: Nemar all scoring in the Champions League for the first time.

1014
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:22,720
Speaker 1: PSG wins three one. Everything's great, right, No, they created

1015
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,640
Speaker 1: only two expected goals in that match. Haifa really into

1016
00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 1: I mean a lot of those expected gos Campian when

1017
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:29,719
Speaker 1: Hypho basically was just going all out, and then they

1018
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,759
Speaker 1: go this weekend to the post nice and they just

1019
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 1: play a sleepy match where they only create point nine

1020
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,440
Speaker 1: x G. And this match here, I would say, outside

1021
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:40,359
Speaker 1: of baby laone match is the toughest test of their

1022
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:45,799
Speaker 1: season so far. Benefica to start the Portuguese season has

1023
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:49,720
Speaker 1: a plus sixteen point four expected goal differential in eight matches.

1024
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 1: They have allowed two point five expecting goals. In those

1025
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 1: eight matches, they absolutely dismantled Juventus on the road after

1026
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 1: conceding a set set piece in the fourth minute. They

1027
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 1: won the match to one. They won on actually two

1028
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 1: point two too. Point seven touches in the tail the

1029
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:09,319
Speaker 1: area were thirty eight to sixteen, box entries were twenty

1030
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 1: to eight. Benefica drew over the weekend to Vittoria in

1031
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,400
Speaker 1: the Portuguese League. Before that, they had won thirteen straight

1032
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: matches to start the league, so they have been absolutely

1033
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 1: red hot. Even look at PSG. In those first two

1034
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 1: Champions League matches. Their expected threat against Haife was one

1035
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 1: point one to three and against Juventus it was one

1036
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 1: point zero three. That is not best front three in

1037
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 1: the world. Attack that just dominates opponents. No, no, no, no,

1038
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,640
Speaker 1: this is Benefica money line plus half a goal at

1039
00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 1: plus one twenty. This is spot circled time for me.

1040
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,960
Speaker 1: So I feel very similar to about this how I

1041
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,920
Speaker 1: felt about the Leipsig matches against PSG last year. So

1042
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:53,200
Speaker 1: Benefica catch both of those yep, exactly, So Benefica plus

1043
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 1: half a goal at plus one twenty, this line is

1044
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 1: inflated death.

1045
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 4: I agree.

1046
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:58,439
Speaker 2: I also like the under.

1047
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:00,360
Speaker 4: I'll make the case for the under, and it's similar

1048
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,320
Speaker 4: to what BJ said. I actually do think that PSG

1049
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,680
Speaker 4: is overrated in attack, and I think they're actually still

1050
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,759
Speaker 4: a bit underrated in defense. I understand that, you know

1051
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 4: it is France, but they less than unexpected goal to

1052
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 4: the own on the road is a good defensive performance

1053
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:14,680
Speaker 4: because Leon has plenty of attacking talent and has caused

1054
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 4: problems for a lot of teams in France, at least

1055
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 4: in the XG department, maybe not the finishing department, but

1056
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 4: from expected goals created only point four at home against Nice,

1057
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 4: yes they went you know, they host uvents point eight

1058
00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:28,400
Speaker 4: and then a lot of that came off off of

1059
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 4: the McKenny goal. So I think that this PSD defense

1060
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 4: has improved on gulfy year. I think that's very much true.

1061
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 4: They both up the midfield a little bit. They got

1062
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 4: a little bit younger. They're not in a system that

1063
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 4: requires them to press in ways that the talent doesn't

1064
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 4: really work, which was the case on the Pocheccino. But

1065
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:47,680
Speaker 4: I agree, I mean the attack is inflated. Anytime you

1066
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,160
Speaker 4: have those three names and some of the goals in

1067
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,239
Speaker 4: production that they can produce, you're going to get an

1068
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:52,919
Speaker 4: inflated total.

1069
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,359
Speaker 2: And I think that's what we have here at three

1070
00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 2: point twenty five.

1071
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 4: BJ mentioned it football XG has Benefica's first seven games.

1072
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:02,759
Speaker 4: They can see two spectacles. That is, look, I know

1073
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:05,960
Speaker 4: Portugal is Portugal. That is certain good and then impressive.

1074
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 4: So I think Benfica sits deep here. They defend effectively,

1075
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 4: they counter, but this is a one to one, you know,

1076
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 4: two to one max kind of game.

1077
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:14,000
Speaker 2: For me, I think this is gonna be very ugly.

1078
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:18,080
Speaker 4: PSG given their position in the group now, a point

1079
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 4: is a good result for PSG here. They just need

1080
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 4: the point, take care of business at home and they

1081
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 4: win it because Juventus has zero points. Even if you

1082
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 4: Ventus takes care of Jyfa twice it's gonna come down

1083
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 4: to Benfica and Juventus for that second spot, and I

1084
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:34,040
Speaker 4: know Juventus is now a big underdog to go through here.

1085
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:36,919
Speaker 4: We all have I know I have a big Benfica ticket,

1086
00:47:37,040 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 4: so hopefully the boys steal a result here.

1087
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 3: All right, let's talk about you've there, minus three thirty

1088
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 3: four gets Hypha eight to one on the road to trail.

1089
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 3: Here's plus four to thirty five. I wonder where if

1090
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,239
Speaker 3: this was the first game of the group stage. I

1091
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,240
Speaker 3: think that this line would read like minus five hundred

1092
00:47:51,280 --> 00:47:54,600
Speaker 3: plus twelve hundred or something. The market's never liked You've yeah,

1093
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:57,359
Speaker 3: but I mean no, but like, it's funny to see

1094
00:47:57,400 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 3: a single digit money line for hipha the road against

1095
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 3: Juventus in a game that Juventus needs to win. Ub

1096
00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 3: is two four and one in Syria, very low event

1097
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,520
Speaker 3: nine goals four or five against eight point five e

1098
00:48:09,520 --> 00:48:11,960
Speaker 3: spectacles for eight point five expectacles against. This team is

1099
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 3: not playing well, and they haven't playing play for a while.

1100
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:17,759
Speaker 3: They're not good and this is a house of pain.

1101
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,280
Speaker 3: Bet I know BJ you like it. I think Haifa

1102
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 3: is worth investing in in whatever way you want. I'll

1103
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:27,160
Speaker 3: probably just maybe like a first to score and know

1104
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 3: BJ you like them on the spread, But I think

1105
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 3: it's Haifa here or nothing. And what's there to get

1106
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:34,920
Speaker 3: up for for Ventus? I know that it's like the

1107
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 3: Champions League, their Champions League, Champions League life is on

1108
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 3: the line, But you're gonna get juiced up for maccabee

1109
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 3: Haifa coming to town. I don't know this team has

1110
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:49,359
Speaker 3: seen much greater heights, So yeah, I think it's hypher

1111
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:51,799
Speaker 3: for nothing here. This is just the numbers buried out.

1112
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 3: Juventus is pedestrian at best in this field of thirty

1113
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 3: two teams, BJ the boys from Israel.

1114
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:01,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like mac hyph a plus half A plus

1115
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 1: one and a half on the spread. Like can we

1116
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:05,759
Speaker 1: really sit here and say that they've been unequivalently bad

1117
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,000
Speaker 1: so far through two matches, Like they weren't that bad

1118
00:49:08,040 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 1: against Benefica they held them under one expected goal. Then

1119
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:13,600
Speaker 1: we already mentioned the PSG match they went ahead like

1120
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 1: they were and they had a couple other chances where

1121
00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 1: they could have scored. So I don't think they've been

1122
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:21,839
Speaker 1: really that bad. And you look at Juventus. I mean, look,

1123
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:23,680
Speaker 1: they got a three to zero win against Bologna today,

1124
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 1: Like they held them to two point four x G.

1125
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:27,200
Speaker 1: That was the first time in the last five matches

1126
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 1: they've held an opponent under one expected goal. Like they

1127
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:32,560
Speaker 1: have been bad defensively, they haven't been able to create

1128
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:34,480
Speaker 1: a lot of chances. And this is also a look

1129
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:36,759
Speaker 1: ahead spot for Juventus because they got a road trip

1130
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: to ac Milan. If you want to talk about spots,

1131
00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:41,279
Speaker 1: this is not a good one for Juventus. I don't

1132
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:43,120
Speaker 1: care if it's still a I must have win type

1133
00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:45,560
Speaker 1: situation like this Juventus team is struggling in an attack.

1134
00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:47,880
Speaker 1: They're still without Paul Pop but they're still without Chiesa,

1135
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,880
Speaker 1: So I like Haifa, I have a little bit of

1136
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:52,680
Speaker 1: value on Hypa, which is kind of crazy to say,

1137
00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:55,560
Speaker 1: but U but yeah, I think the boyis miserial, haven't

1138
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 1: been that bad and I think they can be competitive

1139
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:58,600
Speaker 1: in this match. So give me Hypha plus half a

1140
00:49:58,640 --> 00:49:59,600
Speaker 1: goal plus one and a half.

1141
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,080
Speaker 4: Youvey did finally put the pieces together today in a

1142
00:50:02,160 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 4: dominant win against Bologna. Best match they played all year

1143
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 4: based on underlying numbers. It's something to watch. No, I'm

1144
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 4: not betting this match, though, I hope you've aye to watch.

1145
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:16,360
Speaker 4: Just just something, just something to watch, because look, I

1146
00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 4: know we all don't think you vey is very good.

1147
00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 4: But do we really think they're going to finish like

1148
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:22,520
Speaker 4: tenth in Syria? Because that the XG says, I think

1149
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 4: they could start playing a little better. Defin don't think

1150
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 4: it's out of the question a leg hot seat. They

1151
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:29,399
Speaker 4: have to win this. If they do win this big,

1152
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:32,080
Speaker 4: maybe get a market over reaction. I'll on high for

1153
00:50:32,160 --> 00:50:35,000
Speaker 4: next week at home, but I'm not playing this one.

1154
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:39,319
Speaker 3: We have a second minus twenty two hundred money line

1155
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:42,959
Speaker 3: favorite this week. That's Manchester City. They're hosting Copenhagen thirty

1156
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 3: three to one on the money line.

1157
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 2: Anytime goalscorer ye.

1158
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:50,840
Speaker 1: Whatever place I mentioned that, like Bayern Munich is a

1159
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 1: parlay piece. I like the McMahon city.

1160
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 3: There you go.

1161
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 4: What is the juice on that you still laying like

1162
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:57,080
Speaker 4: minus six hundred?

1163
00:50:57,760 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 1: Probably er, I'll do it right now. So yeah, But

1164
00:51:00,800 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 1: like I like like Bayern Munich, band city parlay minus

1165
00:51:03,719 --> 00:51:04,319
Speaker 1: eight thirty three.

1166
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:07,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, Copenhagen thirty thirty three to one on the road.

1167
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 3: The draw here is fourteen to one. You get to

1168
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,680
Speaker 3: call me crazy. I'm gonna bet Copenhagen because when when

1169
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,480
Speaker 3: numbers got like this, I just do it and I

1170
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 3: have fun, but this is a lockdown spot for Manchester City.

1171
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:21,000
Speaker 3: They just dominated the Manchester derby. They're gonna win this

1172
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 3: group going away, whether they win this match or not.

1173
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:25,280
Speaker 2: Dorman gave him a good scare.

1174
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 4: I'll tell you that.

1175
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:28,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were very flat in that game, very much.

1176
00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:31,439
Speaker 4: He can be very flat against Dortmund and then they're

1177
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:33,160
Speaker 4: like almost lose and then they come back to win.

1178
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,120
Speaker 4: City can be very flat against Copenhagen and win three.

1179
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:37,799
Speaker 4: Now that's the difference, like of course.

1180
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:39,200
Speaker 3: But here's the thing.

1181
00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:42,880
Speaker 1: The spot, the spot is that Copenhagen is uh is

1182
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,520
Speaker 1: the reverse fixture because it's a look ahead for City,

1183
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 1: who's got Liverpool on deck.

1184
00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:51,000
Speaker 3: Here's the thing. We see something crazy every Champions League season.

1185
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 3: Sheriff beat Real Madrid. It's thirty three to one. It's

1186
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 3: thirty three to one.

1187
00:51:58,239 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 2: Benfica is a big favorite last year.

1188
00:51:59,760 --> 00:52:02,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, some weird things, Yeah, weird things do happen because

1189
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:07,520
Speaker 3: they just like I said, they just played Manchester United.

1190
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:12,560
Speaker 3: They dominated. We've seen City. I know aston Villa's stratus

1191
00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 3: fears better than Copenhagen, but I mean, if you can

1192
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,800
Speaker 3: just get hope, park the bus and just pray that

1193
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:22,040
Speaker 3: you get lucky and actually get lucky enough times to

1194
00:52:22,160 --> 00:52:24,799
Speaker 3: beat City. Whatever. That's all I'm gonna say. I'm thirty

1195
00:52:24,840 --> 00:52:26,640
Speaker 3: three to one. It's worth worth it for me. I

1196
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:28,680
Speaker 3: know you guys are passing, So let's move on to Sevilla.

1197
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:30,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think, I think Holland. I think it's early.

1198
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 1: Holland guy is a pretty good striker.

1199
00:52:32,680 --> 00:52:36,080
Speaker 3: Yeah he's not Bada. Sevilla and Dortmund to round out

1200
00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:39,000
Speaker 3: our show. Savilla's plus one eighty at home, Dortmun plus

1201
00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:42,080
Speaker 3: one fifty on the road, a road favorite.

1202
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:43,359
Speaker 1: This is a hilarious match.

1203
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 4: I mean, how do you trust Dormant too? I bet

1204
00:52:45,520 --> 00:52:47,920
Speaker 4: they're under against Colin and they conceded like one hundred shots. Yep,

1205
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 4: just no show from minute one. I mean I hadn't

1206
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,160
Speaker 4: pulled up the stream yet to watch the game. I

1207
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 4: looked at the shot map and it was like three

1208
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,120
Speaker 4: minutes into the game and Colin already had like four shots,

1209
00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:59,240
Speaker 4: and I was like, this under is really dead alone.

1210
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,640
Speaker 1: Has one's got the best second best expected threat differential in.

1211
00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 2: The that's red cards, the red cards.

1212
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:07,239
Speaker 1: I know, I know it's red cards, but.

1213
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 4: They they got like three red cards in their favor,

1214
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:11,279
Speaker 4: Like the first half of the supper games. But but

1215
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:12,880
Speaker 4: as far as this match goes, look, I want to

1216
00:53:12,920 --> 00:53:14,960
Speaker 4: fade Sevie as much as the next guy. I hope

1217
00:53:14,960 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 4: they score early. I will be hammering Dortmund live if

1218
00:53:17,640 --> 00:53:21,200
Speaker 4: they do. Sevia another horrible performance. The defense is a

1219
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,960
Speaker 4: train wreck, the attack doesn't. I mean, they're horrible and

1220
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 4: I didn't think the cliff would come this fast. I

1221
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:27,040
Speaker 4: think we were I think we can all agree we

1222
00:53:27,080 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 4: didn't think they'd be this bad. But they're now worse

1223
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:30,879
Speaker 4: than an average team in Spain.

1224
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,240
Speaker 1: They're just a bad They are in the relegation battle

1225
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:34,640
Speaker 1: right now.

1226
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,799
Speaker 4: Dortmund injury crisis is real. They got at Yami back,

1227
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:39,840
Speaker 4: but you know Modesta is not cutting it as their striker.

1228
00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:42,920
Speaker 4: They lose Marco Royce so that there are some injury

1229
00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:45,600
Speaker 4: concerns here for Dortmund that keep me off of this match.

1230
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:47,080
Speaker 4: But I'll be looking to play them live if they

1231
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:50,320
Speaker 4: go down for sure. Savilla, Uh, they sport early against somebody,

1232
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 4: right and then completely fell apart. It was the Viria match,

1233
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:54,719
Speaker 4: of course, and they.

1234
00:53:54,960 --> 00:53:58,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, but guys, just an alert fray. We'll talk about

1235
00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:00,719
Speaker 1: this in the weekend pod. But Sevilla's hosting our boys

1236
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,759
Speaker 1: from the Basque Country this weekend and it's a pick them.

1237
00:54:04,520 --> 00:54:05,800
Speaker 3: Who will be on by a million.

1238
00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:08,279
Speaker 2: There they're they're a pick them at home.

1239
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:08,520
Speaker 3: Yep.

1240
00:54:08,640 --> 00:54:11,440
Speaker 4: Oh my goodness. Yeah, that's caught up to how bad

1241
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:12,479
Speaker 4: they are though, that's the only problem.

1242
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 3: Yep. All right, well that will wrap it up. Nothing

1243
00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: for us on Saville and Dortmann. Maybe both teams to lose.

1244
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 3: And now we'll move on to our best bets. Beja,

1245
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:24,919
Speaker 3: we'll start with you your favorite bet for Champions League

1246
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:25,640
Speaker 3: match Week three.

1247
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:28,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Porto plus one ten on the money

1248
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:32,080
Speaker 1: line against Leverkusen. This is a fantastic bilow spot for

1249
00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:34,440
Speaker 1: a Porto team that put in a great performance against

1250
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:36,239
Speaker 1: that lady Co Madrid did not get the result they

1251
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:38,959
Speaker 1: deserved well on XTG one point seven two point seven,

1252
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:41,400
Speaker 1: then just had a bunch of fluky defensive mistakes against

1253
00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 1: Bruges and got pounded for nothing Porto. Since the start

1254
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:46,360
Speaker 1: of last season in the Portuguese League, they have a

1255
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,280
Speaker 1: plus one point six expected gold differential per ninety minutes.

1256
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:52,320
Speaker 1: They rebounded really well over the weekend. They posted a

1257
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 1: red hot rocket team beat them four to one, beat

1258
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:57,160
Speaker 1: them four point five point six on x G and

1259
00:54:57,239 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 1: As for Leverracuson, I mean, they're sitting in the relegation

1260
00:54:59,680 --> 00:55:01,960
Speaker 1: zone of the Bundesliga and maybe they should don't deserve

1261
00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:04,160
Speaker 1: to be there, but this is still a very very

1262
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:07,200
Speaker 1: average team so far, as actually suggests since it started

1263
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 1: last season, Levercuz is only a plus point five to

1264
00:55:09,239 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 1: five actually differential per ninety and the difference between Germany

1265
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:14,879
Speaker 1: and Portugal really isn't that drastic. So I'll like Porto

1266
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:16,160
Speaker 1: on the money line plus one ten.

1267
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:20,439
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with our boys, Atletico Madrid plus oneh

1268
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:24,160
Speaker 3: five or better. They're taking on Bruges Club Bruges two

1269
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:26,440
Speaker 3: oh to oh to start the Champions League season. They

1270
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 3: sit a top Group B. This is a classic cell

1271
00:55:29,080 --> 00:55:33,160
Speaker 3: high spot. As Anthony noted before Leverkusen came to Bruges

1272
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:35,840
Speaker 3: round the same price as Atletico Madrid. We know Madrid

1273
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:38,960
Speaker 3: is a much much better team than Bayer Leverkusen. Diego

1274
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 3: Simeoni will have his guys up for this. This is

1275
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:43,239
Speaker 3: a pretty big spot for at Letty to get through

1276
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:46,560
Speaker 3: the group. So I'm all in once again. I'm my

1277
00:55:46,680 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 3: boy Diego Simeoni and Atletico Madrid to get it done

1278
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:52,840
Speaker 3: against Bruges Anthony, Yeah.

1279
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:56,440
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take Benfica and Paris Saint Germain under three

1280
00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 4: point twenty five goals. I just think this total is

1281
00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:02,120
Speaker 4: a little bit inflated. Talked about the PSG attack being overrated.

1282
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:04,799
Speaker 4: I agree strongly with BJ's take on that. However, if

1283
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:06,200
Speaker 4: you look at their defense and how it's performed in

1284
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:08,560
Speaker 4: leg and even in the Champions League, it has been

1285
00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:11,279
Speaker 4: pretty good defensively, conceding less than one expected goal in

1286
00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:14,360
Speaker 4: the last four matches in France. They've beefed up the

1287
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:16,560
Speaker 4: midfield enough, and I think Benfica when you look at

1288
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 4: their defensive numbers just two expected goals conceded from their

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00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 4: first seven League of Portugal matches, and the defense is

1290
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:26,880
Speaker 4: also held up pretty well in the Champions League. On

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00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:29,080
Speaker 4: the road to Juventus at home against Haifa did not

1292
00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:30,920
Speaker 4: conceive much of anything. I think it's gonna be a

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00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:33,839
Speaker 4: grounded out, tough game for both teams to score here.

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00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 4: Could see it being a one to one kind of game,

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00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:39,960
Speaker 4: and do think Benfica or PSG, not necessarily needing to win,

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00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:42,120
Speaker 4: would take the draw here on the run.

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00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:44,960
Speaker 3: That'll do it for this episode of one or Goal,

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00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:47,560
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Speaker 3: for Anthony to Bundo. We wish you the best of

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Speaker 3: luck with all your Champions League bets this week, and

1305
00:57:01,600 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 3: we will see you again on Thursday morning to preview

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00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:04,439
Speaker 3: the Premier League