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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: Better than Most, Better than Most, Better than Most.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network podcast, presented by the FanDuel's Sportsbook.

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Speaker 1: We are happy to bring you a US Open betting preview.

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Speaker 1: Twenty twenty three US Open takes us to Los Angeles

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Speaker 1: first time in seventy five years. LA is going to

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Speaker 1: host the US Open. The Country Club hosts the event

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Speaker 1: for the first time in its existence, and it's the

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Speaker 1: first pro golf tournament since nineteen forty. Very excited to

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Speaker 1: join you all your hosts today. Brendan Glasheen joined by

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Speaker 1: the co hosts of the Better Golf Podcast. You've probably

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Speaker 1: heard these guys from time to time during the season.

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Speaker 1: Action Network contributor Spencer Agyar and Nick Brett Wish, who

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Speaker 1: also contributes over at wind Daily Sports. Chant's good to

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Speaker 1: talk to you again. It's been a bit. I think

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Speaker 1: the Masters was the last time we chatted.

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Speaker 3: So here we go.

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Speaker 1: Let's dive right into it. We will mix in best bets.

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Speaker 1: Just want to get Spencer will go to you first.

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Speaker 1: Just your It's still early in the week for us.

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Speaker 1: We're recording on a Tuesday, so I realize you guys

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Speaker 1: are still piecing together using your models and putting together

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Speaker 1: your formula for the week. But where are we at

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Speaker 1: with the US Open and how you're kind of taking

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Speaker 1: in information and getting ready for the week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, Brendan, We've done a handful of shows

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Speaker 2: together at this point, So I don't think what I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna say is necessarily going to come to a shock

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Speaker 2: is to you, because I do think outside of the

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Speaker 2: box in a lot of these situations here, Like through

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Speaker 2: these major through of these major championship events are unique

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Speaker 2: because of you're gonna get different eyes on these contests

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Speaker 2: that you would normally get on one of your standard

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Speaker 2: tour events. That's obviously a good thing for the game.

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Speaker 2: Anytime that you can get eyeballs here and grow the

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Speaker 2: pot product, that is a great thing. I think it's

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Speaker 2: a difficult board for a lot of reasons. You talked

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Speaker 2: about it a second ago, Brendan. With this course being

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Speaker 2: the first time on PGA Tour, we're gonna see it.

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Speaker 2: I'm a very analytical, statistical person. I want to have stats,

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Speaker 2: and when I don't have stats, it's a very difficult

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Speaker 2: concept to try to run through here. And I think

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Speaker 2: US Opens in general are very I guess straightforward would

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Speaker 2: be the word that I want to use. There you

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Speaker 2: kind of get these fast and firm settings. This is

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a different course here where you're

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Speaker 2: gonna have these wide open fairways, you know, seventy eighty

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Speaker 2: yards sometimes wide here. I do think from a topography sense,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be a beautiful course. It's gonna show well

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Speaker 2: on television. You're gonna obviously need to be able to scramble,

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Speaker 2: You're gonna need creativity from your golfers here. But there's

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Speaker 2: a few back end questions here that like, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: have questions that are not gonna necessarily be able to

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Speaker 2: be answered until Thursday morning. So for somebody like me, like, yes,

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Speaker 2: I run my model, I've attached the weights the way

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Speaker 2: that I've wanted them to be. But I think this

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Speaker 2: is a really good in tournament betting. And maybe that's

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Speaker 2: from a head to head perspective, like there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of golfers that I wanted to get exposure to this week.

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Speaker 4: I think books are.

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Speaker 2: Getting savvier, like we've seen this and I've kind of

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Speaker 2: been harping on this for the past year now, Like

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Speaker 2: I was hitting sixty five percent head to head winners

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Speaker 2: for like a four year span, and that number is

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Speaker 2: coming down a little bit, you know, like and it's

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Speaker 2: you're going to have regression to the means at some

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Speaker 2: point with it. But really what that shows me is

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Speaker 2: that these books are getting savvier in the way that

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Speaker 2: they're pricing things together. So I think an in tournament

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Speaker 2: way might be the best way to play a lot

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Speaker 2: of these players.

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Speaker 1: All right, very good, and we'll get to names of

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Speaker 1: guys you might be targeting when the tournament gets underway.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned the wide open approach or the wide open

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Speaker 1: look to the course that there could be a slight

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Speaker 1: advantage to players who aren't necessarily best to control of

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Speaker 1: their ballflight when they strike it. Nick, when you kind

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Speaker 1: of similar question when you take a look at it

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Speaker 1: with not that's a great point by Spencer. Not a

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Speaker 1: lot of information to work with in terms of of

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Speaker 1: course history. So where are you at in terms of

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Speaker 1: just processing how you want to go about betting the

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Speaker 1: US Opening?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, honest, anytime in golf betting, I'm looking for people

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Speaker 5: that are in good form. We don't know anything really

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Speaker 5: about this course other than you know, one hundred different

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Speaker 5: articles you are going to read on Twitter from people

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Speaker 5: inside and outside.

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Speaker 3: Of the LA area.

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Speaker 5: Overall, though, when I went through the data, it's I

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Speaker 5: just kind of found, you know, ground comps, if you will,

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Speaker 5: or agronomy comps. So very firm greens, bent grass greens,

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Speaker 5: firm fairways. They fairways do look like they're very wide,

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Speaker 5: but there are a lot of different runoffs. I think

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Speaker 5: there's certain spots in the fairway you do want to

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Speaker 5: hit to set yourself up for these second shots. Some

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Speaker 5: of the par fours are going to play over five

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Speaker 5: hundred yards, so long par four scoring. Some of the

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Speaker 5: par threes are playing over two hundred and fifty yards.

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Speaker 5: I think ones listed at three hundred, although it is

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Speaker 5: downhill and should be with the wind hopefully, But overall,

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Speaker 5: just you know, bogie avoidance and guys that can play

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Speaker 5: these long tracks hit the fairway where they need to.

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Speaker 5: I do think you could spray it a little bit,

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Speaker 5: but I don't really necessarily care about distance off the tee.

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Speaker 5: I think it matters a little bit and any golf

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Speaker 5: course there because you're going to shorten up those approach shots.

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Speaker 5: But mid to long iron play and firm bank resk

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Speaker 5: greens and firm fairways, I think we're going to have

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Speaker 5: a very fun week at golf here. Obviously, we've all

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Speaker 5: seen one hundred Twitter videos about the thick rough and

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Speaker 5: dropping the ball and you can't see it anymore. That's

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Speaker 5: just a tradition of the US Open on Twitter.

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Speaker 3: But I'm excited.

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Speaker 5: I don't think there's a whole lot of analytics that

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Speaker 5: can go into it because we've never seen the course prior.

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Speaker 5: But like Spencer said, I think it's a really good

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Speaker 5: week to you know, see the data after day one

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Speaker 5: and day two and get some live action there too.

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Speaker 4: I just want to add one thing.

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Speaker 2: To that really quickly, Brendan before we move on past

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Speaker 2: that point, because I really like what Nick said there.

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Speaker 2: That just needs to be compounded on a little bit here.

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Speaker 2: One of the savviest ways to try to build a

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Speaker 2: model when you don't necessarily have the data that you

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Speaker 2: want from a long term perspective is to try to

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Speaker 2: find these whether it's comp courses or comp situations. So

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Speaker 2: what went into my model this weekend. We don't need

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Speaker 2: to spend the whole show talking about building models here,

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Speaker 2: but you know it's the firm courses like strokes gain

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Speaker 2: total on firm courses hard courses, fast courses, these courses

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Speaker 2: with thick ruff, and that essentially ended up being like

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Speaker 2: those four answers that I just gave there, that's thirty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half percent of my weight in my model,

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Speaker 2: and that's just taking past us open iterations, like we

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Speaker 2: know major championships are difficult, we know most of these majors,

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Speaker 2: Like I would even take it a step further, like

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Speaker 2: to me, there's some Augusta National sort of corollaries here

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Speaker 2: where you have these wide open fairways where you do

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Speaker 2: need to be on the correct side though, which is

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Speaker 2: what Nick was talking about, Like you can't just blindly

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Speaker 2: hit it, which is why I don't think this is

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Speaker 2: a bombing gouge course. And you also then have these

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Speaker 2: fast bent grass screens that you're going to have to

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Speaker 2: be able to scramble on. You're gonna be able to

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Speaker 2: be creative. And there are certain golfers, which is what

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Speaker 2: you were talking about, Brendan, Like there's players like Speek

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Speaker 2: and Cameron Smith and these golfers that are erratic off

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Speaker 2: the tee, but because they are so creative and they

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Speaker 2: are savvy with their approach play, they do have a

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Speaker 2: better chance to win at this tournament than they would

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Speaker 2: maybe at your prototypical US Open.

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Speaker 4: And that's maybe really an answer for Cameron Smith.

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Speaker 2: There a golfer who has not found a ton of

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Speaker 2: success that US Opens, but it feels like a good

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Speaker 2: venue for him.

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Speaker 1: Love it and to playoff of knicks point there the

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Speaker 1: final three part fours.

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Speaker 3: Longer than formed.

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Speaker 1: They could play a five hundred yards, so that'll be

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Speaker 1: fun on hold sixteen, seventeen and eighteen. Holland Moricawa had

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Speaker 1: a quote this week, excellent ball striking from the tee

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Speaker 1: to land on the greens is going to be required.

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Speaker 1: You can't hit it too far even though the fairways

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Speaker 1: are open, but it will be It's a requirement to

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Speaker 1: hit the very good iron shots from mid range to

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Speaker 1: long iron. So that's something that and Morikaw is at

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Speaker 1: a thirty six hundred over at Fandel so okay. So

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Speaker 1: there's there's kind of your setup. Every weather's going to beautiful,

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Speaker 1: cooler mornings, not a.

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Speaker 3: Lot of wind.

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Speaker 1: That's always nice. Don't have to really worry about that

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Speaker 1: too much. With all that, and there's no water, no

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Speaker 1: water to worry about. If you're into the water shots, sorry,

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Speaker 1: that's not happening.

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Speaker 3: This week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, with all that being said, let's dive right in.

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Speaker 1: We'll start with out rights and work our way through

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Speaker 1: whatever you guys have on your cards for the US

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Speaker 1: Open in Los Angeles. We'll start with best bets. We'll

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Speaker 1: start with outright Spencer, who are you targeting in the

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Speaker 1: outright market?

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Speaker 2: I think these outrights are are one of those situations

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Speaker 2: where you have to be cognizant of your exposure for

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Speaker 2: these weeks. And I think that's one of the things

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Speaker 2: that Nick and I harp on quite often when we

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Speaker 2: do shows, Like anybody can go on and we can

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Speaker 2: all say, you know, Scotty Scheffler is going to win

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Speaker 2: this golf tournament and then pair them with a Cameron

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Speaker 2: Smith at Jordan's speed. But like there's ramifications that happen

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Speaker 2: when you overstack your card. And that's why we are

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Speaker 2: always very pronounced in our takes of You want head

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Speaker 2: to heads and placements and things of that nature to

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Speaker 2: really be where the brunt of your exposure ends up

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Speaker 2: coming for the week. I do think, going back to

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Speaker 2: the Scotti Scheffler point, he is putting together.

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Speaker 4: An historic, I mean absolutely.

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Speaker 2: Historic season from a tee to green sense, like he's

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Speaker 2: top five and almost any metric that you can look

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Speaker 2: at from a long term perspective, what he's providing. He

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Speaker 2: can't make a putt right now, it doesn't mean that

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Speaker 2: it doesn't turn around this week. I am not a person,

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Speaker 2: especially in majors, that wants to jump to the board

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Speaker 2: in this seven to seven and a half to one range.

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Speaker 2: I considered it like, if I'm being honest, this is

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Speaker 2: about as close as I've ever come to trying to

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Speaker 2: punch that ticket.

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Speaker 4: I think that there's a lot of.

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Speaker 2: Players around him, though, that are very savvy options also,

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Speaker 2: and I'm not going to go down this route. I've

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Speaker 2: done too many Action Network shows with you, Brendan, and

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Speaker 2: too many shows where I've gone this Rory McElroy route before.

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Speaker 4: I don't necessarily think he's going to win this event.

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Speaker 2: The data loves him, the sharp money is coming in

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Speaker 2: on him. Those are at least things to be noting

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Speaker 2: on this show here. It's also never won a golf

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Speaker 2: tournament at single digits under par so kind of all

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Speaker 2: those answers to me is how did I want to

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Speaker 2: structurally build this card where I thought I would have

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Speaker 2: the best upside for what I was going to do,

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Speaker 2: and I thought the best answer for this was I

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Speaker 2: jumped on Terrel Hatton at forty to one when the

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Speaker 2: week open. That number has now moved into the thirties.

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Speaker 2: There is a lot of consistent answers that I noticed

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Speaker 2: with Matthew Fitzpatrick last season and Terrell Hatton this year,

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Speaker 2: to where the tournament history might not necessarily be what

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Speaker 2: you wanted, but the statistical form, and then specifically here

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Speaker 2: the course comp fits of how I ran my model

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Speaker 2: started propelling Fitzpatrick last year up.

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Speaker 4: I didn't necessarily.

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Speaker 2: Take it for the way that it should have been

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Speaker 2: because I didn't end up betting him, but all the

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Speaker 2: answers were there, like he propelled himself into being a

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Speaker 2: top seven win equity choice on Fitzpatrick there, Hatten's getting

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Speaker 2: that same answer for me here. So I like Caton.

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Speaker 2: I like Cameron Smith for all the reasons that I

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Speaker 2: talked about. I think that if he was on the

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Speaker 2: PGA Tour, this would have probably been one of those

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Speaker 2: positions where he's in the teens here rather than inside

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Speaker 2: of you know, these thirty to one marks that you

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Speaker 2: can still find him at. We've had a situation with

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Speaker 2: Max Homer recently to where everybody bought him at fifty

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Speaker 2: to one. All I can find on Twitter right now

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Speaker 2: is how nobody wants to have a max home a

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Speaker 2: ticket anymore. But it's one of those things where it's

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Speaker 2: like the ebbs and flows of the betting market here.

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Speaker 2: I think Maxwhilm is a good wager in the thirties.

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Speaker 2: He's the number one player in my model and expected

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Speaker 2: weighted strokes gain total. We know about him in California,

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Speaker 2: we know about him on this course during his college career.

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Speaker 2: I think that when this got into the teams, we

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Speaker 2: had a problem, like he got overpriced there. But it's

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Speaker 2: kind of like that reverse psychology that's taking place now

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Speaker 2: for a lot of people. If you're looking for long shots,

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Speaker 2: which there's probably a certain cutoff point where I don't

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Speaker 2: necessarily think players can win, but think Jakey Neeman kind

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Speaker 2: of gives that similar answer to a Cameron Smith without

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Speaker 2: that high upside win that he's had. I've seen him

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Speaker 2: in the hundreds. If you shop around, Wyndham Clark is

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Speaker 2: a golfer that I also have seen at one hundred

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Speaker 2: to one. You know, there are websites out there, and

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Speaker 2: my model is kind of in agreement to where it

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Speaker 2: believes he's a legitimate top fifteen to twenty player in

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Speaker 2: the world. Right now, that's the turnaround that we've seen

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Speaker 2: with his approach play.

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Speaker 4: He has the distance here that you would want. He

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Speaker 4: has the hutting acumen. You know.

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Speaker 2: You could make an argument that maybe because he doesn't

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Speaker 2: have the pedigree in majors, that this is a better

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Speaker 2: placement wager inside the top ten or twenty. But I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with the golfer to win this event. There's

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Speaker 2: a lot of names that just talked about there. I

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Speaker 2: do think you can structurally build a card there still

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Speaker 2: keep it with less than a unit with all those

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Speaker 2: names that I mentioned. But I am going to go

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Speaker 2: to the middle of this board here, or to the

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Speaker 2: top middle of this board past the first couple guys.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say Victor Hovelin anywhere between that seventeen to

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Speaker 2: twenty to one range right now. Eighteen is the best

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Speaker 2: I can find. But there's boosts available. I wouldn't be

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Speaker 2: shocked if you couldn't boost that number up into the

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Speaker 2: twenty or twenty one total. I think Hovelin is trending

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Speaker 2: in the right direction to win this contest. So I

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Speaker 2: really like Victor Hoblin this week. I think a US

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Speaker 2: Opens a really good setup for him. Also, just because

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Speaker 2: of his ability. With Nick talking earlier, you are able

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Speaker 2: to put some of these shots around the surface because

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Speaker 2: of the runoff areas, and Hovelin's upside always increases whenever

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Speaker 2: he does have that ability to hit some pots.

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Speaker 1: Hobland with the victory a couple of weeks ago, so

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Speaker 1: he's kind of trending, as you said, in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: Another note, trendy note on the US Open. Eleven of

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Speaker 1: the past thirteen winners of the US Open had recorded

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Speaker 1: at least four top tens on the season before their

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Speaker 1: US Open victory. So if you conclude the live guys,

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Speaker 1: that trends well for a guy like Cameron Smith, who

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Speaker 1: you've discussed how he's played as of late. But a

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Speaker 1: lot to unpack there. You had some guys at the

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Speaker 1: top of the board as you talked about one long

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Speaker 1: shot and then Hoveland is the guy you land on. Nick,

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Speaker 1: who do you got for an outright take us through

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Speaker 1: your and you can go, you know, outright at the

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Speaker 1: top of the boards values and maybe a long shot play.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna Echo Spencer on Tyral Hatten. It just

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Speaker 5: checks the box thirty two to one at Fandle Nice.

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Speaker 5: I still like that price. I got a thirty five

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Speaker 5: to one yesterday. Loading up this whole season with top tens.

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Speaker 5: Like you just mentioned, that could be a trend to

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Speaker 5: look out for.

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Speaker 3: But when I.

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Speaker 5: Did my numbers here, I use a lot of weighted

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Speaker 5: averages here for Bancrest scoring scoring from relative to part

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Speaker 5: from two hundred plus yards out with your long irons

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Speaker 5: there around the green total driving long part four, so

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Speaker 5: that's four hundred and fifty plus yards. Tyrol Hadden, Tony Fenow,

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Speaker 5: Patrick Cantley, and Scottie Scheffler were the only players in

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Speaker 5: the field to check every single one of those boxes.

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Speaker 5: I absolutely love Tyrol hadd and I think it's a

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Speaker 5: really good price. I also punched a ticket on Tony Fenow.

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Speaker 5: I don't know how I feel about Tony Fenow at Majors.

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Speaker 5: I think he always lets us down, but his game

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Speaker 5: is trending in a great place. It's around the green

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Speaker 5: that is always going to weigh him down a little bit.

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Speaker 5: He is having the best season of his career in

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Speaker 5: that stat I think this is a really good setup

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Speaker 5: for him, like how Victor Hoblin. He is one of

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Speaker 5: the best ball strikers on the PGA Tour. So I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna go with Tony Fenow at forty three to one.

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Speaker 5: I think he can get forty to one. Still out

330
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Speaker 5: there as well. I looked at Justin Thomas at fifty

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Speaker 5: to one, just seem like a pricing error. I don't

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Speaker 5: know if I love that. I still think you're kind

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Speaker 5: of just and in money a little bit. But SUNJAYM

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Speaker 5: fifty to one on FanDuel checked five of those six

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Speaker 5: categories that I was looking for there. Again, like Victor Hoblin,

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Speaker 5: I think Sunday M obviously doesn't have the upside of

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Speaker 5: Victor Hoblin, but the price is at fifty to one

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Speaker 5: instead of going, you know, in the twenty to one

339
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Speaker 5: route for Victor Hoblin. I would love to get your

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Speaker 5: guys thoughts on Sunday M and then if I had

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Speaker 5: to choose someone sub twenty to one, I'm not going

342
00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:28,280
Speaker 5: to get their pre tournament I do like Rory. I

343
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:30,480
Speaker 5: do agree with the sharp money moving towards Rory. He

344
00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:32,880
Speaker 5: was so damn good on Friday and Saturday at the

345
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 5: RBC Canadian kind of just fell apart a little bit

346
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Speaker 5: there on Sunday. The pressure's off, the merger's happening. You know,

347
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:41,920
Speaker 5: I do buy into that a little bit. Fourteen to

348
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Speaker 5: one Rory, I do like, And if I had to

349
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Speaker 5: pick a long shot, I'm gonna go with Mito Pereira

350
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,960
Speaker 5: at one hundred and twenty to one on FanDuel Spencer.

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Speaker 1: You tried to warn him, and he's going down that

352
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Speaker 1: rabbit hole of Rory.

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Speaker 3: I'm doing it well. I don't know if I'm doing.

354
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Speaker 5: It, but if I had to, it's because my cards

355
00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,840
Speaker 5: is built of thirty five to that fifty to one range.

356
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Speaker 3: And you know, I don't see how Scotty Scheffler loses

357
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Speaker 3: his tournament.

358
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Speaker 5: He ranks inside the top seven for every single category

359
00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:11,960
Speaker 5: that I waited there, obviously outside of putting that was

360
00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:13,880
Speaker 5: not included in the metrics that I just gave you.

361
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Speaker 5: If his putter he did get a new Scotty Cameron again,

362
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Speaker 5: that's on Twitter. I trust that, but I'd rather like

363
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,240
Speaker 5: to see, you know, maybe Scotty start a little slow

364
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Speaker 5: out of the gate and then I can get like

365
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Speaker 5: a twelve to fifteen to one number. That's probably praying

366
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Speaker 5: for too much, but that'll take Scotty.

367
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Speaker 2: That's what makes this so difficult in general with this

368
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 2: tournament is I think you have names like Scheffler and

369
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Speaker 2: Rory in particular, where they feel like, you know, nothing's

370
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 2: automatic in this space. Anything can happen. Either one could

371
00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,320
Speaker 2: miss the cut, it's a US Open. They feel like

372
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,400
Speaker 2: top ten sort of caliber plays at the bare minimum.

373
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Speaker 2: And then it's like the answer comes down to can

374
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Speaker 2: Rory close the golf tournament if he does get himself

375
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Speaker 2: into contention, and can Scotty make a putt? If either

376
00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,720
Speaker 2: one of those two guys answered the question, yes, there,

377
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Speaker 2: they probably are the ones that win the golf tournament.

378
00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:01,960
Speaker 2: So you know, we've named a lot of names that

379
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Speaker 2: we are betting that are not Rory and Scotti Scheffler,

380
00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,840
Speaker 2: which is the dangerous part of what you're doing here.

381
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,120
Speaker 2: But sometimes if you're betting outrights, you have to try

382
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 2: to beat the top of the board in this spot, like,

383
00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:13,960
Speaker 2: I'm not going to talk anybody out of the route

384
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Speaker 2: of Scotty Scheffler is the favorite to win this golf tournament.

385
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,160
Speaker 2: I think that that's a legitimate answer that really from

386
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,960
Speaker 2: a statistical perspective, it's really hard to find an answer

387
00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 2: that's not Scotty Schffler that's going to be the favorite.

388
00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:27,280
Speaker 2: And then you want to get unique and different and

389
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,600
Speaker 2: want to say, like there's somebody from outside of Scotty there.

390
00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 4: It's probably Rory just because of.

391
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,920
Speaker 2: The upside that he possesses. But I'm not getting there

392
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:36,560
Speaker 2: on Rory on an outright. I just can't do it

393
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:37,680
Speaker 2: to myself.

394
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,200
Speaker 1: Quickly, Spencer, you want to react to what Nick asked

395
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:44,040
Speaker 1: about Sung JM is fifty five to one over at

396
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 1: Fandel and he wanted thought, So I'm just I'm giving

397
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:48,640
Speaker 1: Nick what he needs, so please help him.

398
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 2: I feel like Nick and I have this discussion all

399
00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:53,919
Speaker 2: the time about Sung JM almost every single week. Like

400
00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 2: if there's two people that are his biggest fans that

401
00:17:57,320 --> 00:17:58,919
Speaker 2: want to put wagers on him in every event, it's

402
00:17:58,920 --> 00:17:59,959
Speaker 2: probably the two of us now.

403
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,400
Speaker 4: So I'm never going to be the one to talk

404
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 4: you out of it.

405
00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:05,719
Speaker 2: I do think he has a really high ceiling if

406
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:06,639
Speaker 2: he could make it work.

407
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 4: And I like him on these fast surfaces.

408
00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:11,920
Speaker 2: Bent Grass is good for him, Like he's good when

409
00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 2: he's on Bermuda, which is different, but I like him

410
00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,520
Speaker 2: on these quicker surfaces to where he can kind of

411
00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 2: try to work his way around in more of a

412
00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:21,879
Speaker 2: methodical sense. And it's like a very similar answer that

413
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,280
Speaker 2: I always give to a guy like Khdeki Matsuyama. It's

414
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,320
Speaker 2: it's these players that have found success, and that's why

415
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,520
Speaker 2: I keep going back to this comp idea of Augusta.

416
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,160
Speaker 2: Like we've seen Sung J out Augusta be really good.

417
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 2: I think Sung J can be good here, And if

418
00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:39,120
Speaker 2: directly comparing, I would rather bet Sung J to win

419
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:43,199
Speaker 2: than a Justin Thomas at about the same price. I

420
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,240
Speaker 2: don't know if I would call it throwing money away

421
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 2: on Justin Thomas. I just don't think he's necessarily there

422
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:49,679
Speaker 2: with his game right now. But when I ran this

423
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 2: for Upside, Sung J did creep into the top ten

424
00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 2: for me in my Model.

425
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Speaker 5: Nine top tens this season, Brandon, So we are trending

426
00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 5: in that direction.

427
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 3: The stat that we're looking for very good again.

428
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 1: Eleven of the past thirteen winners of the US Open

429
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,280
Speaker 1: had recorded heading into the tournament had recorded at least

430
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,320
Speaker 1: four top tens on the season before winning the US Open.

431
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,399
Speaker 3: Is that fits the trend?

432
00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,639
Speaker 1: Okay, So in terms last bit of betting stuff, guys,

433
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:19,200
Speaker 1: if you want to go off the board folks. A

434
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 1: lot of folks bet outrights that we want to just

435
00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 1: bet the big tournament. So give me a couple. We'll

436
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 1: go to Spencer first, and Nick, if you've got a

437
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:30,400
Speaker 1: top ten, look, top twenty, top forty, et cetera, a

438
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,239
Speaker 1: match up play or a potential finishing position, you want

439
00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 1: to rattle some of those off Spencer.

440
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:35,239
Speaker 3: What do you have?

441
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think a finishing position. Market is really intriguing

442
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:39,360
Speaker 4: this week.

443
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 2: So there are a lot of golfers that I wanted

444
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 2: exposure to in some way. And I'll name all at

445
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 2: least a handful of the names here, so you know,

446
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,639
Speaker 2: people can hear that, and you can shop around, you

447
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,400
Speaker 2: can try to find different matchups or placements, like everything's

448
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 2: going to offer something different. Then that's the one difficult

449
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 2: thing with doing this any golf we put typically for

450
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,320
Speaker 2: a major that books are offering different things. And I

451
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 2: like to talk about players I like and dislike because

452
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,160
Speaker 2: that's kind of the best threaten to try to figure

453
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 2: out where you want to go. So I think some

454
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 2: players that I like this week. You know and Andrew Putnam.

455
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 2: I think he's very intriguing as a top forty bet.

456
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 2: You can get him on FanDuel at plus two twenty.

457
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 2: Russell Henley is a very intriguing name. I'm going to

458
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,439
Speaker 2: be looking for him as an in tournament head to

459
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 2: head bet. I like Denny McCarthy and Medo Pereira. I

460
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,640
Speaker 2: will get to them in a second. Wyndham Clark. There's

461
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 2: a lot of different ways to consider playing him. Beyond

462
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 2: and outright. Cameron Smith kind of fits that same mold

463
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 2: of what I was talking about.

464
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 4: But two bets that I really like this week.

465
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:38,800
Speaker 2: If you shop around and you try to find some

466
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 2: of these finishing position bets out there, I think Denny

467
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 2: McCarthy at fifty eighth or better is a super intriguing

468
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 2: price to look into. He landed seventeenth in my model

469
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 2: for safety at US Open tracks. Much of that stem

470
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: from the recent putting and historical success on these courses

471
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 2: that are going to produce that fast and firm setting.

472
00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 2: He also great a thirteenth in this field when combining

473
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 2: bow of those two factors of fast and firm that

474
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 2: made him the only golfer outside of one hundred to

475
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:06,920
Speaker 2: one on the slate to land in the top twenty

476
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:09,879
Speaker 2: of that category. I don't know if he necessarily competes

477
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,360
Speaker 2: to win this tournament, but there's a lot of those

478
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 2: answers inside the head, the head sector, the placement market

479
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 2: here where I think there's a lot of ways to

480
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 2: consider him. And then I'm gonna double down on the

481
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 2: point that Nick was talking about earlier with Meto Pereira,

482
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: like he has an outright ticket on him.

483
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 4: I think you can consider him.

484
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:31,439
Speaker 2: On FanDuel as a top twenty bet at plus two eighty.

485
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:34,959
Speaker 2: I really wanted to get there as a top forty

486
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,359
Speaker 2: bet and I didn't necessarily find the value that I wanted.

487
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,960
Speaker 2: But if you do shop around, there's a price out

488
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 2: there Meto Pereira fifty second or better inside of a

489
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 2: placement market, I just think there's a lot of safety

490
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 2: there on a golfer. And I kind of have now

491
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 2: given the same answer about three people with Nieman, cam

492
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 2: Smith and Meto. Here these guys went to live and

493
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,199
Speaker 2: they're kind of out of sight, out of mind. I

494
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,920
Speaker 2: truly believe if Meto had stayed on the PGA tour,

495
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,119
Speaker 2: you're not getting these opportunities for him to be, you know,

496
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 2: nearly three to one to be a top twenty bet

497
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 2: or you know, inside of this top fifty two like,

498
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 2: he feels much more like a guy that should be

499
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 2: placed in that high thirties low forties.

500
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 4: So I think we have.

501
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 2: About ten to fifteen spots of value here. And another

502
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 2: thing to keep in mind on any of those finishing

503
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 2: position bets out there is it's one hundred and fifty

504
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,560
Speaker 2: six players. That does mean that it's more challenging to

505
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 2: make a cut, but it's top sixty and ties that

506
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 2: are going to make it. So if you can get

507
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 2: into the weekend, that's kind of like a Denny McCarthy thing,

508
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 2: like make the cut and be a little bit better

509
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 2: than that at the end of the day. So I

510
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 2: think both of those two guys are intriguing, and it

511
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 2: goes to a lot of those guys that I mentioned earlier.

512
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 2: I'll be looking for head to head matchups in a

513
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 2: lot of those spots.

514
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 1: I love that the meeto call because if you recall

515
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: on Medo gained a ton of strokes tea degree at

516
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 1: the PGA Championship, and while we don't have the Los

517
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 1: Angeles Country Club familiarity, he has played well in the

518
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 1: state of California. If you go back and look at

519
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 1: his track record in the beautiful la in Beverly Hills.

520
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 3: We'll see if you'll flourish.

521
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,360
Speaker 1: So I like to call there, he's your Classically, there's

522
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: a ton of guys. I know you mentioned Scheffler deserving

523
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,879
Speaker 1: outright favorite, but and I know you guys do a

524
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 1: ton of DFS stuff too.

525
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 3: You look at.

526
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,679
Speaker 1: Salaries and that seven to eight ish range, there's just

527
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,880
Speaker 1: so many guys that the balance build if you want

528
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: to have the winning lineup. I mean, there's guys there.

529
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 1: And I'm not mocking you, guys. I'm just saying that

530
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: you hear that stuff all the time in DFS. But

531
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 1: point being, there's plenty of capable golfers in that range

532
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: this week. So Nick, what else you got as far

533
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 1: as going off the board here top tens, top thirty forty.

534
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,640
Speaker 1: We can talk about metos some more if you'd like matchups,

535
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 1: finishing position.

536
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:43,959
Speaker 3: What else do you have?

537
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 5: I am going to go with meto top forty at

538
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 5: plus one twenty five on Vanduel. My numbers have it

539
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 5: at plus one or even money at plus one hundred.

540
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 3: There.

541
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:54,919
Speaker 5: I usually look for thirty points of value in the

542
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 5: placement market, but I look around at all these different

543
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 5: books in the marketplace. They love Meto Pereira. He's getting

544
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 5: a lot of steam, especially in the matchups. He's a

545
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,679
Speaker 5: favorite over Adam Scott, He's a favorite over Keek and Bradley,

546
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:08,639
Speaker 5: guys that you would expect to play very well at

547
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 5: a course like this and play well at majors. So

548
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 5: I'm gonna ride Meto Pereira, like you said, great at

549
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 5: the PGA just a couple of weeks ago. Excellent driver

550
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 5: the golf ball. Besides the eighteenth hole at the twenty

551
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 5: twenty two PGA, we all remember that debacle.

552
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 3: Iron play is fantastic.

553
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 5: Again, very limited data that we have for from the

554
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 5: live tour, but he's great in California.

555
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 3: He was an excellent form before he left the PGA Tour.

556
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 5: Solid showing at the Masters, just couldn't make a putt

557
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 5: and the short game was brutal. I think that should

558
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 5: help him a little bit here. It should be a

559
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 5: little bit better surfaces for him. Excellent long airm play.

560
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 5: Everything about Meto checks my boxes here. Good form from

561
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 5: whatever that's worth. Just finishing top ten multiple times here

562
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 5: on the Live tour. Again, I don't really put a

563
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 5: whole lot of thought into that. Then I'm gonna go

564
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 5: off the board a little bit to Shamus Power, a

565
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 5: guy we haven't talked about in a long time at

566
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 5: plus two twenty in the top forty market, Spencer Brendan,

567
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 5: I wanted your guys thoughts on the top Irishman at

568
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 5: seven to one for Seamous Power that is out there

569
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,680
Speaker 5: at a couple different books. Any thoughts on Seamous Power.

570
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 5: I'm not too worried about Shane Lowry. Maybe I undervalue

571
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,919
Speaker 5: Shane lower I just think he's a guy. But if

572
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 5: I get an outright ticket on Rory, I'm kind of

573
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,679
Speaker 5: exposed there. If Rory just completely craps a bed. I

574
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,399
Speaker 5: think Seamus Power has a good chance of being the

575
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 5: top Irishman this week.

576
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:25,120
Speaker 3: It's seven to one.

577
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 5: Is there any value on that crazy prop? Just because

578
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 5: it's a major We got to get a little off

579
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 5: the board here.

580
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 4: I don't know.

581
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 2: I mean, I think Rory's gonna come top ten and

582
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 2: that's a.

583
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,920
Speaker 3: Very valuable We'll stop there. That's a yeah, that's I

584
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 3: don't know really, which is fine.

585
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do want to say one thing about Seamus though,

586
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 2: I also have a top forty bet on him at

587
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 2: plus two twenty over at fan duels, so like there

588
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 2: are a couple players like to me, it was Putnam

589
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,919
Speaker 2: and Seamus that were the two plus two hundred or

590
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,880
Speaker 2: higher type of choices that I thought you could really

591
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,360
Speaker 2: consider as top forty to where I don't know what

592
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 2: their ceiling ends up being, Like I think, Nick, you

593
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,919
Speaker 2: think his ceiling is higher than I probably think that

594
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 2: it is. And I also kind of like Shane Lowry,

595
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 2: like he kind of feels like another guy that's a

596
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 2: fringe top twenty, top thirty sort of play. So I

597
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: think Seamus is going to be safe for the price

598
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 2: that you get, Like it's hard to find plus two

599
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 2: to twenty plus two to twenty five sort of bets

600
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: that I think have the ability to make the cut

601
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 2: and then give you a top forty here, and that's

602
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 2: what Seamus gives you. I just don't know if I'm

603
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 2: necessarily trying to take Rory on in any situation here,

604
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 2: Like I'm fine just sitting back in when Rory comes

605
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 2: in fourth place at the end of the day, like

606
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 2: I'll just know that that's like all right, good.

607
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 4: I didn't get on.

608
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 2: The outright ticket, and he kind of did what I

609
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:46,120
Speaker 2: expected him to do, Nick, and he else, are you good?

610
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,199
Speaker 5: I got one more question. Just the steam in the

611
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 5: marketplace absolutely loves this guy. I I mean, if you

612
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 5: look at his top forty press, I think it's close

613
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 5: to even money on FanDuel.

614
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,679
Speaker 1: By the way, is plus one point fifteen just to

615
00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 1: give folks and updates.

616
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 3: Ah, that's shutdown.

617
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:05,200
Speaker 5: Okay, So moving my fifteen points of value on the number.

618
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 5: I think you take the Spencer route, go to top twenty.

619
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 5: I think he's going to get there.

620
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 3: Patrick Rogers, what are your thoughts on him? The market

621
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 3: absolutely loves this guy. I think he's a favorite.

622
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 5: And every single matchup with golfers that have shorter outright

623
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 5: prices than he does, so that's always interesting for me

624
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 5: to see. I'm not going to get there in any market,

625
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 5: maybe like that's a DFS player or something like that.

626
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 3: But I'm sure his ownership's gonna I don't know, it's

627
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 3: pretty low.

628
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 5: So Patrick Rodgers thoughts on him and the market absolutely

629
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,120
Speaker 5: loving him just seems strange for a guy that's never

630
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 5: won a PGA Tour event.

631
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:40,679
Speaker 2: I'm fine with Patrick Rodgers if you want to consider

632
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 2: him in different ways. The only golfer that I saw

633
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,120
Speaker 2: that was a very, very slight favorite against him, which

634
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 2: would go back to the answer that I just gave

635
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 2: Andrew Putnam is a very slight favorite at one book

636
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 2: out there, So yeah, I mean Rogers is kind of

637
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 2: trending in that direction where he is a favorite over

638
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: most of those names that are around him. I just

639
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 2: don't know what his upside actually is. I think the

640
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 2: California and the quick surface answer is always intriguing with him.

641
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:09,159
Speaker 2: That always makes me because I've told you this before,

642
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 2: Nick like.

643
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 4: And it's changed this season.

644
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 2: Wyndham Clark and Patrick Rogers I used to tell you like,

645
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: I think they're the same golfer.

646
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 4: If you like one, you like the other.

647
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 2: That's changed in twenty twenty three, with Wyndham now becoming

648
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 2: one of the more pristine iron players that there is.

649
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 2: But Rogers has that distance you want. He has that

650
00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 2: streaky putter that can get hot at times. So I

651
00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 2: think he's an intriguing play to consider. And as you said,

652
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,919
Speaker 2: maybe it's more of a DFS answer than anything. But

653
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 2: I don't have a problem with anybody that does want

654
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 2: to use him in some capacity.

655
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 1: All right, chance, good stuff. I think that's it. From

656
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 1: an action network perspective, Are we gonna hear from you

657
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: guys again this week. Yeah.

658
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 2: So after we do this, Nick and I will be

659
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 2: with Roberto over on the Links and Locks podcast. We're

660
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: gonna go over some of these bets that we talked about.

661
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:57,600
Speaker 2: I don't know if you are doing the gimme this

662
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 2: week with Jason Sobelnik.

663
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 5: I am not this week, but yeah, we'll be on

664
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 5: Links and Locks and then the best Bets article. We'll

665
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 5: dive a little deeper in the board there with Roberto.

666
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 5: That show gets a little bit off the rails and gross,

667
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 5: we'll talk about guys way lower on the board than

668
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 5: Andrew Putnam and Patrick Rogers. But it'll be a lot

669
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 5: of fun. I'm really excited for this week though. Thanks

670
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 5: for having us. Brendon love it.

671
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: Hey, sobl's doing well here.

672
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 3: So he's on fire. Yeah, I don't want to join

673
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 3: the show here. I've been ice cold.

674
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 5: I want nothing to do with joining a show with

675
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 5: him right now because he is absolutely on fire right now.

676
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 5: So for his set, I'm losing. Yeah, I'm losing bets

677
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 5: by a stroke every single week. I just need to

678
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 5: I need to sit in a bullpen until we get

679
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 5: that right.

680
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 2: I did the Gimme with him last week, and like,

681
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 2: we have one hundred dollars budget that we're playing through there.

682
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 2: I ended up taking my hundred dollars and I think

683
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: I ended up like ten dollars up, so I got

684
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: to one hundred and ten bucks on it. Sobl hits

685
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: the outright winner with Nick Taylor at sixty six to one.

686
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 2: I think he ended up winning like seven or eight

687
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,560
Speaker 2: hundred dollars off of his hundreds. So yeah, I mean,

688
00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 2: Sobel's doing great things, so be sure to check anything

689
00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:02,880
Speaker 2: he's doing. And then also just to add to it,

690
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: I've talked about a lot of in tournament bets that

691
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 2: I like to make. You can find those articles that

692
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 2: I write over here on Action Network Love it, and.

693
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 1: You can find these guys in the app as well.

694
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 1: That's very important to note because of the live betting

695
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: potential of the US Open. Spencer Agyard, Nick Brettwish thank

696
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 1: you both for joining the Action Network podcast Links and

697
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 1: Locks later this week and they are contributing to Action Network. So,

698
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 1: like I said, check those guys out in the app.

699
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 1: Brendan Glasheen signing off, thanks for tuning into our US

700
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: Open Best Bets episode coming soon to the Action Network

701
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:40,240
Speaker 1: podcast NBA Draft content is up right now. We will

702
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 1: have another episode as the draft approaches. More to come

703
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 1: next week, and we have a special episode over on

704
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 1: the Diamond covering the College World series that's coming soon.

705
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: Be on the lookout for that next week as well.

706
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Action Network Podcast presented by

707
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 1: Fandel Enjoy the US Open, and we'll talk to you

708
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: again real soon. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

709
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

710
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

711
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler