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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five.

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Speaker 2: We are part of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: Today is our week.

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Speaker 1: One Thursday NFL Best Bets episode. I know I did

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Speaker 1: a lot of this housekeeping on Tuesday for our first

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Speaker 1: Tuesday episode of the season, but I do want to

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Speaker 1: We have a lot of new listeners who don't know

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Speaker 1: sort of how we work during the season, so I

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Speaker 1: want to be clear every week for years. My co

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Speaker 1: host Simon Hunter, who I will bring on in a

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Speaker 1: second professional better we have been picking five games against

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Speaker 1: the spread for a big money season long pick Them contest.

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Speaker 1: On Tuesday's episode, we do an early look at all

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Speaker 1: of the games and we start narrowing down the field.

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Speaker 1: Will talk about our Simon says, bet we did that

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Speaker 1: this week. That was the Texans plus ten. We talk

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Speaker 1: about our exec decision bet that was the Steelers plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half.

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Speaker 2: On Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Today's episode, we take the seven, eight, nine games that

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Speaker 1: we loved. We get closer to narrowing it down to

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Speaker 1: our five favorite bets that we will likely put into

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Speaker 1: the contest. Our five official picks are locked around Sunday

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Speaker 1: at noon. You can go check the Action Network app

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Speaker 1: for that. Follow the faves five in the Action Network

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Speaker 1: app if you want to see what those official five

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Speaker 1: picks are. A couple of massive, massive changes this year. One,

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Speaker 1: we're adding a Sunday Night recap episode, probably on the

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Speaker 1: air by seven thirty after the afternoon games, before the

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Speaker 1: Sunday night football game. We are spending way too much

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Speaker 1: time on Tuesday rehashing Sunday's pain. We're going to get

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Speaker 1: that out of the way. We can all share the

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Speaker 1: emotion together. Plus there might be some early lines that

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Speaker 1: we like. That means three shows a week live one

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Speaker 1: five on Tuesdays, eleven am on Thursday seven thirty ish

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Speaker 1: Sunday nights, always ending before Sunday Night football. You can

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Speaker 1: watch these shows live on the Action Network page on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: Or in.

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Speaker 1: Or in the Action Network app. You can also get

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Speaker 1: in an AMP. Most important, I mentioned a contest. For years,

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Speaker 1: Simon and I have had to sign up for another

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Speaker 1: contest and you guys got to follow along.

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Speaker 2: This year you.

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Speaker 1: Get to compete against us for real for massive, massive money.

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Speaker 1: The Favorites podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick

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Speaker 1: Them contests with our partner at bet three six five.

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Speaker 1: We're given away one hundred and twenty thousand in prizes

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Speaker 1: for season long and weekly pick them contests. Compete against

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Speaker 1: me and Simon all season, every single week as well.

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Speaker 1: The top ten winners in the contest get paid out.

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Speaker 1: For season long, first prize gets forty grand, second place

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Speaker 1: gets ten grand. Thousands of dollars in prizes to weekly winners,

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Speaker 1: with the first place every week getting fifteen hundred dollars.

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Speaker 1: We're even tossing out your two lowest scores after Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: to low scores before Thanksgiving. You have nothing to lose.

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Speaker 1: So if you haven't signed up and you're listening to

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Speaker 1: this podcast, I don't understand why go to favorites dot

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Speaker 1: actionetwork dot com, favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Sign up

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Speaker 1: for free favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Matt Mitchell wants

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Speaker 1: ten thousand participants. I'm telling you right now, we have

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Speaker 1: tens of thousands of listeners, so ten thousand should be

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Speaker 1: more than attainable. Wilessen to this pod. If you aren't

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Speaker 1: going to sign up for a free contest, sign in

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Speaker 1: am I right, Simon Hunter, my bff, my companion, Mike

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Speaker 1: and Padre professional better my coh, Simon Hunter, Am I right?

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Speaker 2: Soymon uh Chad?

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Speaker 3: What would I do without you doing all that reading?

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Speaker 3: Thank you, my friend, You're the best.

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Speaker 2: Listen.

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Speaker 1: I want people to get involved. I want us to grow.

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Speaker 1: We have amazing listeners. Like I was telling people, please,

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Speaker 1: if you're watching us on YouTube, subscribe to the YouTube

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Speaker 1: page like this video. Our YouTube numbers were massive this

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Speaker 1: past week, a lot of people subscribing. We really appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Listen a huge request we had before the Tuesday episode,

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Speaker 1: which we thought was a little pack, so we want

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Speaker 1: to do it today. People wanted our season long predictions.

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Speaker 1: Even though we spent a freaking month previewing all of

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Speaker 1: our favorite bets division by division, we did not give

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Speaker 1: our final seven playoff teams, our conference championship game predictions,

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Speaker 1: and our Super Bowl predictions. So simon, give us your

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Speaker 1: seven playoff teams, your conference champ predictions, in your Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl winner.

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Speaker 3: Here we go, all right, we'll start in the weaker conference,

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Speaker 3: the NFC. If people are new to this and you

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Speaker 3: think it's the repeat of every season, basic Historically two

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Speaker 3: to three teams fall out every year of the playoffs. Right,

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Speaker 3: We've just seen it time and time again. They get

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Speaker 3: a different scheduled upcoming season. It's harder than it was

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Speaker 3: the previous year. They got injury luck the previous year.

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Speaker 3: So just take that into account here when we're going

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Speaker 3: to go through here. I'm not I don't mean to

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Speaker 3: leave your favorite team off. I literally just have a model.

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Speaker 3: I plug it in. Last year gave us the Eagles

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Speaker 3: and the Chiefs to both be one seeds. Nailed it,

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Speaker 3: So hopefully this year have the same type of luck

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Speaker 3: for the NFC. We'll start at number seven, the Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 3: They sneak on in. Get that seven seed, and this

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Speaker 3: is where people are going to start getting mad. The

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Speaker 3: sixth seed. We got the forty nine ers, so they

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Speaker 3: don't miss the playoffs. Like people said, I was being

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Speaker 3: the ultimate hater, I'm just giving you with the other side. Right,

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Speaker 3: It's just not as easy as everyone's making out to be.

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Speaker 3: Everyone's got them pencil in their division. Everyone's got the

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Speaker 3: pencil end to be the super Bowl. It just it

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Speaker 3: never goes as everyone's played. So got them as a

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Speaker 3: sixth seed got the Cowboys, the five seed got the Bears,

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Speaker 3: Chad as the four seed. Wow. Yeah, Seattle in the

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Speaker 3: three seed, the Saints in the two seed, and the

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Speaker 3: best team still in the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles. They're

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Speaker 3: just I know, they you can say they lost their

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Speaker 3: coordinators and they got you know, rookie or second year

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Speaker 3: player as a linebacker. I still think offensively, yeah, they're

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Speaker 3: they're the most talent of the team the NFC. The defensively,

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Speaker 3: their D line I still think will be above every

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Speaker 3: other team they play in this conference. So still still

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Speaker 3: got the Eagles up the one seed for back to

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Speaker 3: back seasons.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god.

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Speaker 1: We are pretty close actually, except for the fact I

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Speaker 1: have the Cowboys as.

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Speaker 2: The one seed.

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Speaker 1: I have the Bears as the two seed. I have

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Speaker 1: the Saints as the three seed, Niners as the four seed,

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Speaker 1: Lions five seed, Eagles, six seed Falcons seventh seed. I

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Speaker 1: had a really hard.

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Speaker 2: Time with the seventh seed in.

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Speaker 1: The NFC because of what you said, like teams fall

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Speaker 1: out all the time, and I just like the Giants

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Speaker 1: being a team that repeats.

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Speaker 2: Like the NFC East is pretty strong, So.

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Speaker 3: It was just hard to get the Giants or the

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Speaker 3: Vikings back.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, exact exactly. And so you know, I'm higher on

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Speaker 1: the Niners than you are. You like Seattle, I understand it.

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Speaker 1: I think there's going to be regression for that team,

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Speaker 1: even though their defense is much better. And I know

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Speaker 1: you love their wide receiver trio. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: Gino can do perform the same way. And I'm a

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Speaker 1: huge Arthur Smith backer and I love Beijon and I

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Speaker 1: think that that offense can do pretty well. But interesting,

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Speaker 1: all right, who's your NFC Title game?

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Speaker 3: NFC Title game? I went with a bunch of op sets,

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Speaker 3: so I had the forty nine Ers upset, and I

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Speaker 3: had the Cowboys upset, and then you know, again, I

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Speaker 3: love the Bears, love Seattle, but I think Chad just

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Speaker 3: talked about it where it's just like these are very

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Speaker 3: unproven teams, especially once they get to the playoffs. So

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Speaker 3: as much shoulds I like to give Brock Purdy. He

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Speaker 3: was good in the playoffs last year, right, he really

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Speaker 3: did not lose them those games he played, he played

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Speaker 3: you know, pretty patient, really wouldn't attack downfield, but he

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Speaker 3: never really put his team in position to lose. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: pretty boring. My final two is Eagles versus the forty

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Speaker 3: nine Ers. Again, I just I have it going back

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Speaker 3: to that, and I got the Eagles making the super Bowl.

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Speaker 3: And we'll do the AFC first, and I'll give you

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Speaker 3: who I got win in the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I got the Cowboys in the Niners. So it's interesting

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Speaker 1: because you have the Eagles at the top seed and

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Speaker 1: I have the Cowboys, and neither of us have the

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Speaker 1: Niners as the two seed, but we both have them

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Speaker 1: in the championship game. And then I had the Niners

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Speaker 1: going to the Super Bowl. Let's go to the AFC.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we're both the same page, where you

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Speaker 3: just once you get to the playoffs and it's the coaching,

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Speaker 3: the coaching mismatches. It's like it's so hard to go

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Speaker 3: against Shanahan and in the playoffs he's just every year

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Speaker 3: he's got his team ready come January. So AFC start

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Speaker 3: down at the seven seed again. So again I had

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Speaker 3: to leave two teams out of the playoffs from last year.

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Speaker 3: I went with Miami. You know, they're a team that

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Speaker 3: has a lot hype coming to Chain and I want

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Speaker 3: the Ravens actually, So those are the two teams I

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Speaker 3: left out from last year's playoffs. So the seventh seed

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Speaker 3: I got Denver. Sixth seed I got Bengals. Five seed

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Speaker 3: I got the Chiefs, four seed I got the Titans,

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Speaker 3: three seed I got the Bills, two seed I have

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Speaker 3: Pittsburgh and the one seed I got the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: This is so interesting, all right. In the seventh seed,

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Speaker 1: I have the Ravens. Six, I have the Chargers. Five

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Speaker 1: I have the Chiefs. Four I have the Broncos.

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Speaker 3: Wow.

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Speaker 2: Three I have the.

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Speaker 1: Jags, I have the Browns, wow.

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Speaker 2: And one I have the Bills.

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Speaker 1: Basically, you and I, you and I feel the same

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Speaker 1: way about the Steelers and the Browns. And to be honest,

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Speaker 1: like I was on the fence with both of those teams,

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Speaker 1: and I just decided I like the Browns offensive line

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Speaker 1: and defensive line, and that's better better than I like

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Speaker 1: the Steelers in that combination. And you know we're bett

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Speaker 1: we you and I are betting the upside on the Browns,

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Speaker 1: Like the Browns are one of my bigger division winner bets.

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Speaker 2: And so that's, oh my god, it's so fun when

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Speaker 2: we're so close.

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Speaker 1: Uh, who do you have in the AFC title game?

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Speaker 3: All right? So this this one again is so tough,

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Speaker 3: just because the a FC is so good. But I

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Speaker 3: haven't ended up being a Chargers Chiefs in the a

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Speaker 3: FC Championship game with the Chargers moving on so well,

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Speaker 3: people already know if they follow this podcast. I'm all

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Speaker 3: in on the Chargers versus Eagles super Bowl, which you

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Speaker 3: can get right now at bet three six five at

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Speaker 3: fifty to one, So that's a bet. I do love

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Speaker 3: the Chargers versus Eagles super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, Simon, our thinking is exactly the same,

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Speaker 1: even though our teams are different. I have the Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Chargers, so I had the Bills is the

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Speaker 1: number one seed? You had the Chargers at the number

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Speaker 1: one seed? Yeah, and I had the Bills moving on

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Speaker 1: to play the Niners, which you can get at bet

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Speaker 1: three six five at like thirty five to one or

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Speaker 1: thirty to one.

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Speaker 2: And oh my god, this is insane. That's so fun.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're both all in the Chargers. This is going

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Speaker 3: to end well for us one way or the other.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to have to get in on some of

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Speaker 1: that Chargers Eagles action now that.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, throw a penny on it, because both these teams

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Speaker 3: don't need to be the one seed. But obviously we've

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Speaker 3: seen over history that home advantage is just it's such

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Speaker 3: a cheat code. Come playoffs.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to it. Let's get to Thursday.

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Speaker 1: We have so much to talk about. As a reminder,

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Speaker 1: we've mentioned Bet three six five. The Pavorites Podcast is

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Speaker 1: As a reminder, producer Tito is in my ear every

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Speaker 1: day to remind me to tell you. You can catch

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Speaker 1: every episode of The Favorites live and on vod on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: So for those enjoying, don't forget to give us a like.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. Also on YouTube

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Speaker 1: and in the Action Network app. Starting today Thursday, three

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern and every day watch our daily betting show

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Speaker 1: Green Dot Daily with Maria Marine. I know It's amazing

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Speaker 1: in the app, on Action's YouTube page three pm, setting

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Speaker 1: the betting agenda for the day. Finally, last CTA it's

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Speaker 1: a call to action. Call to Action Sunday, the best

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Speaker 1: pregame show in the history of NFL pregame shows all

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Speaker 1: the stuff out of the fluff. Me and Simon joined

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Speaker 1: by Chris Raybund, Sean Kerner, cast of thousands. Our pregame

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Speaker 1: show convinced me eleven am Eastern in the app on

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Speaker 1: YouTube watch it. We got to get to our Foxhole bet.

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Speaker 1: We got to get to our.

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Speaker 2: Big Balls bet of the week.

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Speaker 1: We're going to get to our Survivor bet, which I

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Speaker 1: forgot to mention on Tuesday. But a reminder, we got

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Speaker 1: a lot of professional betters who listen to this podcast

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Speaker 1: and watch us on YouTube. After our show on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: we always get calls from the pros. Simon for the

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Speaker 1: first time all season, let's do sharp calls.

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Speaker 3: Hello, I'm talking Rain, Rain.

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Speaker 2: Down the phone range.

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Speaker 3: Somebody saying baby who lead? Yeah, I would definitely say

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Speaker 3: week one and two, it's it's rare. I'll get calls

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Speaker 3: to try to help me and Chad. It'll be more

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Speaker 3: calls of just people talking shit. Everyone's just sowing their

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Speaker 3: opinions at this point, guys are betting these numbers for

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Speaker 3: three months. I might had two guys calling up saying

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Speaker 3: they loved our picks, and the rest are just calling

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Speaker 3: up just saying, how do you leave these guys? How

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Speaker 3: are you not taking these guys? The biggest one is

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Speaker 3: one I just know me and Chad won't take. But

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Speaker 3: if you want to bet it, I would say seventy

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Speaker 3: percent of the guys I heard from in the last

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Speaker 3: forty eight hours, we're all just loving this game, loving

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Speaker 3: this matchup, and that's the bucks. They love the bucks.

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Speaker 3: So my argument to them is, in our contest, me

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Speaker 3: and Chat are doing it's five and a half the

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Speaker 3: numbers five and a half. If we got the six

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Speaker 3: or six and a half, yeah, me and Chad would

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Speaker 3: probably have a better feeling towards putting this one in

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Speaker 3: the contest. The fact that we're not getting that six,

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Speaker 3: which we talked all last season. Six is such a

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Speaker 3: key number now with how random kicking is nowadays and

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Speaker 3: how coach is going for two is six has become

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Speaker 3: such a key number just as important as seven is.

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Speaker 3: So people want to know who the pros love. The

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Speaker 3: pros love the bucks. I can't get there. There's too

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Speaker 3: many other games I love on the board that me

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Speaker 3: and Chat talked about.

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Speaker 2: Stucky and Raybond.

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybon and Stucky, who do the Thursday episode of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast, which is amazing. They'll do their

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Speaker 1: Sunday six pack, which is their six best bets.

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Speaker 4: They love the Bucks. Stucky loves the Bucks. Fair yep,

296
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Speaker 4: the one they loved. We got to put in now,

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Speaker 4: and I don't. I didn't want to put it in

298
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Speaker 4: just because I hate waiting. Me and Chad both hate waiting.

299
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Speaker 4: We have to put the Jets.

300
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Speaker 3: In, Chad, and that's a game we're gonna break down,

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Speaker 3: all right. Every pro just loves the Jets. They're just saying,

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Speaker 3: we got to do it. And you know, I want

303
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Speaker 3: the three. I went to three and a half in

304
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Speaker 3: the contest. It's it's just gonna be two and a half.

305
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Speaker 3: I don't I don't see it get into three three

306
00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,720
Speaker 3: and a half in our contest. So we'll talk about

307
00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:52,680
Speaker 3: and take it two and a half. But yeah, that

308
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,440
Speaker 3: was a big one. And you know the last one

309
00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:58,480
Speaker 3: is Arizona. What are we gonna do with this game? Chad?

310
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Speaker 3: Everyone I talked to just they're just yelling us. We

311
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Speaker 3: can't do it. We bet ugly. This is I feel

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00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 3: like this is the ugliest game on the board, So

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Speaker 3: that's another game we have to break down. But a

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Speaker 3: lot of guys say we got to take Arizona. I

315
00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:11,920
Speaker 3: think it's fair. Of all the bets I made, I

316
00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:14,280
Speaker 3: hate it the most, which is usually a really good sign.

317
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Speaker 3: Like when I hate betting an ugly dog. It's never fun.

318
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Speaker 3: It's never fun. Me and Chat are gonna be sweating

319
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Speaker 3: it to the last play, but it usually comes through

320
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Speaker 3: for us. So yeah, right now, ones, I feel like

321
00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,320
Speaker 3: we have to put in and will probably be Arizona.

322
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Speaker 3: Hopefully we get six and a half or seven and

323
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,040
Speaker 3: a half, and then we'll take the Jets two and

324
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Speaker 3: a half, which I hate waiting. I hate waiting till Monday,

325
00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:34,560
Speaker 3: but it's just such a good number.

326
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Speaker 2: Don't worry.

327
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Speaker 1: We already bet Arizona personally because we bet it back

328
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Speaker 1: in May. It was one of the games we loved

329
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Speaker 1: at plus six, so we'll have a taste of it

330
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Speaker 1: either way. Why don't we start with games that we're

331
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Speaker 1: not really debating still and make sure we're still on this.

332
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Speaker 3: I'm debating them on my issue right now, Chat is

333
00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:55,480
Speaker 3: I have like seven or eight. I really like we're

334
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,280
Speaker 3: most people are gonna come here in a normal week,

335
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Speaker 3: I'll tell you, Like a normal week, three bets is

336
00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 3: good for me. That's all I need, two totals or

337
00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,359
Speaker 3: two straight bets on a side. It's rare I have

338
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 3: this many, but that's how usually it goes. In Week

339
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:09,760
Speaker 3: one and two, there's just a ton of value because

340
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,520
Speaker 3: people are still betting off of what happened last year,

341
00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:14,919
Speaker 3: where again it's irrelevant to what's happening this season.

342
00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:17,040
Speaker 2: I think we can agree we love the Browns.

343
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Speaker 1: Yeah, Like to me, the Browns are automatically getting into

344
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Speaker 1: this contest. I think now is the best time because

345
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:25,679
Speaker 1: I think they're undervalued, because I do think they're going

346
00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:28,439
Speaker 1: to win this game out right. I know we're betting

347
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:32,159
Speaker 1: against a ton of Browns week one trends, but bottom

348
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:33,400
Speaker 1: line is that we.

349
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:34,560
Speaker 2: Don't know if Joe Burrow's right.

350
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,679
Speaker 1: We know that this is a dominant defensive line, we

351
00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,679
Speaker 1: know this is a great offensive line, we know that

352
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 1: they have great talent. It's a great opportunity for the

353
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Speaker 1: Browns in a week in which the Bengals are going

354
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,800
Speaker 1: to be as overvalued as they are at any point

355
00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:51,159
Speaker 1: in the season until they lose the first five games,

356
00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:52,680
Speaker 1: and then we realize.

357
00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:53,679
Speaker 2: It's time to start betting the Bengals.

358
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Browns are in that's fair. We have a

359
00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,480
Speaker 3: home divisional dog that should be a pity, But we're

360
00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:03,120
Speaker 3: catching two and a half three points because the Bengals

361
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,760
Speaker 3: were so good last year. We'll take this number every

362
00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,119
Speaker 3: time again. Won't be shocked come Sunday if this is

363
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,320
Speaker 3: one of the biggest public sides. It's just that they

364
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,400
Speaker 3: love the fact they're getting Joe burrow nder a field goal.

365
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:14,639
Speaker 3: He is Joe cool. So I totally get where the

366
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:16,440
Speaker 3: public's coming from. They just I feel like they don't

367
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 3: see they' getting a bad number here. You'd be shocked.

368
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,399
Speaker 3: Chat about how many how many pros I know staying

369
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,919
Speaker 3: away from this just because they're scared of Joe. It's

370
00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:24,359
Speaker 3: the same thing. I mean, we didn't talk about it,

371
00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:27,520
Speaker 3: but that's that Chiefs Lions game. Like I know a

372
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:30,160
Speaker 3: lot of pros are like, I'm just going to take

373
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 3: the Chief's money line, Like, why would I not take it?

374
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:34,679
Speaker 3: It's dropped in price and that's where the value is.

375
00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:37,680
Speaker 1: There's a couple of games on here that are big

376
00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:39,760
Speaker 1: balls foxholes that we're going to want to put in,

377
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,040
Speaker 1: but not this next one because I think we can

378
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 1: both agree fucking love the New England Patriots as home

379
00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:51,399
Speaker 1: dogs against the Philadelphia Eagles at plus three and a half.

380
00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:55,160
Speaker 1: And there's there's not much to me that we disagree

381
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,320
Speaker 1: on for this and it's going to be one that

382
00:18:57,359 --> 00:18:59,320
Speaker 1: we want to put under the contest.

383
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:03,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, easy, or just an untested young defensive starters on

384
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 3: this Eagles team, how they're going to deal with this

385
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 3: really strong rushing attack that the Patriots have. So the Eagles,

386
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,080
Speaker 3: they do have one weakness on that team is the

387
00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,880
Speaker 3: lineback and Core Belichick knows that Bill O'Brien knows that

388
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 3: that's what they're going to keep on attacking. It just

389
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,719
Speaker 3: breaks right for what the Patriots want to do too

390
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 3: defensively against this Eagles offense. I mean, we joke all

391
00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 3: the time, but that was a lot of what can

392
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,959
Speaker 3: stop the Eagles is good scheme and we saw last year,

393
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 3: especially when they played the team like the Colts. Remember

394
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,680
Speaker 3: that Colts game where the Eagles had to come crawling

395
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:37,160
Speaker 3: all the way back. I think they won by one.

396
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:37,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

397
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,480
Speaker 3: The Patriots kind of run the same style where they

398
00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 3: kind of bring down a safety and they again, if

399
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,399
Speaker 3: the Eagles can beat them over top. Yes, the Eagles

400
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 3: should really take control of this game. I just don't

401
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,120
Speaker 3: think they will. I think Bill had a whole summer

402
00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:52,560
Speaker 3: prepare for this game. So we already talked about the

403
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 3: fact you can get four now four and a half

404
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 3: if you're lucky. It's just because the right tackle is

405
00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 3: out for this Patriots team most likely. So that is

406
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 3: a big deal that they're putting a backup in. If

407
00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:03,760
Speaker 3: you look how that kid, that kid grated out, it's

408
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 3: not going to be that much of a step down

409
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,119
Speaker 3: to this other kid they're moving in there. So to me,

410
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 3: three and a half, if that's what it is in

411
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 3: our contest, I still feel comfortable taking this. If the

412
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 3: Eagles win this game, then winning by two or three,

413
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 3: that sounds right right in like a really close hard

414
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,920
Speaker 3: fall game to me that that's a good number. Uh,

415
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 3: the fact that it's still above three and a half, four,

416
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,560
Speaker 3: come on, cheh, got it, gotta do it. So I'm

417
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 3: with you on that when this this feels like another

418
00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:30,400
Speaker 3: game we just have to put in.

419
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:32,160
Speaker 1: Got to put it in all right now, it starts

420
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 1: to get a little bit trickier because we got games

421
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,159
Speaker 1: that I know we love, but it takes a little

422
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Speaker 1: bit more courage to pull the trigger.

423
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:43,640
Speaker 2: Let's talk.

424
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Speaker 3: It's just hard making it one of our fives. That's

425
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 3: what's that's what's gonna happen a lot with a lot

426
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 3: of these games.

427
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:50,679
Speaker 2: Wait say that again, with a.

428
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Speaker 3: Lot of these games, just gonna be hard making on

429
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 3: one of our five.

430
00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 2: Yeah.

431
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,200
Speaker 1: Well, we got a list of like six or seven

432
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 1: games here that you know, we know we like two.

433
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: We got to choose three from probably this list is

434
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: six or seven, knowing that comes Sunday there might be

435
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,399
Speaker 1: something that sneaks in. You always like, convince me with something,

436
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,679
Speaker 1: and then it'll be eleven point fifty and you'll be like, well,

437
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:11,359
Speaker 1: we're getting the best of the number here. And then

438
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 1: I'll have to say, how often does the best in

439
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,360
Speaker 1: the number matter in the contest? And do we want

440
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 1: to walk away from all the conversations we've had and

441
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 1: you know, we have to find some soul searching in

442
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 1: our confidence. But let's talk about the Falcons minus three

443
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:28,119
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm falling more in love with this

444
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: Falcons team every day. I know we're an Atlanta Falcons podcast,

445
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 1: but I'm having a hard time not wanting to bet

446
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: the Falcons at minus three and a half. It even

447
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 1: though I know it's like a divisional game, eighty three

448
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 1: percent of the money right now in the Falcons, so

449
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 1: I know people are leaned in my way. I don't

450
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 1: think it's a foxhole. I don't think it's a big

451
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,640
Speaker 1: balls but I like it.

452
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know if Evan wants to chime in here.

453
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 3: He's got some really great stats about rookie quarterbacks, especially

454
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 3: the first overall pick making their first start.

455
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 2: Well, is Evan on? Can Evin come in?

456
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 5: I can tell you that it is number one picks

457
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:16,719
Speaker 5: are thirteen and one straight up in their first starts

458
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,440
Speaker 5: since two thousand and three.

459
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 3: They're one in thirteen ats since then too. It's bad

460
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 3: across the board for the number one pick making their

461
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 3: first start. I hate taking such a public, easy chalk pick,

462
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 3: but every now and then you get a little gift,

463
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 3: and this seems like that's a little gift where we're

464
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 3: getting a rookie making his first start on the road

465
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 3: against an Atlanta team that everything they do matches up

466
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,760
Speaker 3: really well against Carolina. Another big thing, too, is Brian Burns,

467
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,400
Speaker 3: arguably the best defender on Carolina is holding out right

468
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,479
Speaker 3: now that's a big deal. I probably got it right

469
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 3: where it's at three and a half. Four Like, no

470
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,200
Speaker 3: crazy value here, but the value is in the pick

471
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 3: itself where all the trends love this bet with Atlanta.

472
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,720
Speaker 3: So we always got to force one favorite in mean, Chad,

473
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 3: we have to always try to force one favorite in

474
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 3: this This will most likely be the favorite we end

475
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 3: up forcing in as one of our five.

476
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 2: I put some questions. I put three question marks next

477
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 2: to it for now, all.

478
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 3: Right, I mean it could it could. That actually could

479
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 3: be our big balls bet, just because we both hate

480
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 3: taking chalk favorites that much and it's taking us a

481
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 3: little bit of balls to make it.

482
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: Are you hating chalk favorites over a field goal in

483
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 1: the division It's like I've never hated anything.

484
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 2: More than that.

485
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, just even talking about it, I'm just God, this

486
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 3: is this is disgusting.

487
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 1: I hate it more than sugar. I hate it more

488
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 1: than processed foods. I hate it more than flower Like

489
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 1: I hate taking a favorite of three and a half

490
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:47,880
Speaker 1: in a divisional game.

491
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 3: You'll love that said, Who is the one quarterback Chad

492
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 3: that covered that one time since two thousand and three?

493
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:55,640
Speaker 2: Well, you know, you know, the answer.

494
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:57,199
Speaker 1: And you know what I'm going to say, because you

495
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: mock me for it every single time I mentioned his name.

496
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 2: But it's David Carr, the correct car, where to go,

497
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:05,040
Speaker 2: It's David Carr.

498
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: And you will also remind me that whenever I talk

499
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 1: about David Carr, I will remind everybody that I spent

500
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,200
Speaker 1: a week with the Texans for ESPN the magazine during

501
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,359
Speaker 1: their inaugural season for their first game, which they won,

502
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 1: and me and David Carr talked a lot about all

503
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 1: the kids he was having, And you make fun of

504
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 1: me for that every single time his name is mentioned.

505
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 3: Relive in those glory days when you ran.

506
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 1: Also, by the way, fucking rich that you're making fun

507
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 1: of me for getting names wrong.

508
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,719
Speaker 3: I don't say the names though. That's my key to success.

509
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 3: I just say that guy. I don't say the actual name.

510
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the key to your success. This guy, that guy.

511
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: All right, I want to throw one out there. I

512
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: think that I think we're going to have to put

513
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: in that is going to be a little bit of

514
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: a big balls Houston Texans plus ten Ah.

515
00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 3: We can't go with two of them. If you want

516
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: to go to Houston, then we're not going Cardinals like

517
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 3: we got to. We can't go both of these guys,

518
00:24:59,119 --> 00:24:59,720
Speaker 3: but I would.

519
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 1: Much I would much rather go Houston than Cardinals.

520
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 3: That's why you should take Cardinals then. But yeah, I agree,

521
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 3: I feel better taking that. It's gonna be nine and

522
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 3: a half most likely in most contests, just because ten

523
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 3: and a half is such a key number. Most books

524
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 3: aren't gonna give that to you, let alone got contest line.

525
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 3: So yeah, if you're fine playing with the nine and

526
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 3: a half, Chad, I could take it at nine and

527
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 3: a half. It's just it's tough. It's like me and

528
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 3: you are gonna be sitting there in the second quarter

529
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 3: and Lamar's having a career day in this new offensive

530
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 3: scheme he's running. It's twenty four to nothing, and it's

531
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 3: just like, damn it. This is what it's like ben

532
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 3: ugly rookies on the road with a rookie head coach.

533
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 3: But Chad already talked about it. You're playing the numbers here,

534
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 3: double digit dogs week one. I believe it's a fifty

535
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,679
Speaker 3: eight percent rate. I mean I could tell us in

536
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 3: the comments. I know it's something high like that. So

537
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 3: Week one, double digit dogs again, you will listen to

538
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 3: the show until you die. Me and Chad every year

539
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 3: will be here a week one taking the double digit dog.

540
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 3: It's just it's you're always gonna find value week one,

541
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 3: especially on a double digit dog.

542
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say it, big balls better a week.

543
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,920
Speaker 1: Houston Texans plus ten against the Baltimore Ravens.

544
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 3: Love it.

545
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:21,080
Speaker 2: She let's do it. That is the one. Big balls,

546
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 2: all right?

547
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 3: So we got a lot going on Houston. Now we

548
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 3: got them as a big balls am I Simon says, check,

549
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 3: we're in.

550
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 2: I'm okay with that. I'm totally okay with that.

551
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:30,919
Speaker 3: Oh God, let's talk about the.

552
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: Steelers, because I love the Steelers. They were the exac decision.

553
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: You complimented me in a backhanded way and said, but it.

554
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 2: Was very much a public dog.

555
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 1: The Niners traveling Kyle Shanahan is not great as a

556
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:48,199
Speaker 1: road favorite. The public is moving the value of the

557
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 1: Niners outside the range of where I think it should be.

558
00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,960
Speaker 1: Nick Bosa resigned. We talked about it on Tuesday. I

559
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:59,199
Speaker 1: imagine he'll play, oh yeah, But that doesn't worry me

560
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 1: because when TJ. Watt is playing, he's such a difference

561
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 1: maker for the not for the Steelers that I think

562
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 1: you just got it.

563
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:08,199
Speaker 2: We got to play him.

564
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 3: Yeah. I hate it though, because Nick is he's the

565
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:14,679
Speaker 3: defensive player of the year. He's so damn good, and

566
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 3: even if he only plays ten snaps, he's gonna rehab

567
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 3: it on all ten of those snaps. He's just so dominant.

568
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, I did love this number just because he

569
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 3: was out like that was a huge deal to me.

570
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 3: I didn't think the book makers were making enough of

571
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 3: an adjustment to this line. The fact that he's coming back.

572
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 3: If you're a four nine Ers fan, you gotta be

573
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 3: a static But nothing changed that. Nothing changed for me.

574
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 3: Chad still think they should be closer to a pick.

575
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 3: We're still getting two and a half. Most books still

576
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,560
Speaker 3: have it at two. We'll take that value. It's just

577
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 3: I think we already talked enough about it. Where it's

578
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 3: Brock on the road coming back from a major injury

579
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 3: in his first start. He's going to get hit in

580
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 3: this game. There is no one on that line where

581
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 3: wherever TJ Is going to line up, he's going to

582
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 3: attack the weakest point of their line. So you know

583
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 3: you can have an all pro one year tackles. They'll

584
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:04,959
Speaker 3: just move it to the other side, and that's just

585
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,919
Speaker 3: what they're gonna do Pittsburgh. So Kyle will adjust for that.

586
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 3: He'll have some game scripts that will, you know, try

587
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 3: to get Watt off of his spot and get him uncomfortable.

588
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 3: And you know, this is one of these games where

589
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 3: the only way the forty Niniters win this game is

590
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 3: they have to go up to a big lead. They

591
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 3: have to go up to a big lead where they're

592
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,119
Speaker 3: never warning out Rock dropping back having it passed the

593
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,919
Speaker 3: ball right. They have to keep the Steelers defense off rhythm,

594
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 3: and I just don't see how it's gonna happen. I

595
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:30,879
Speaker 3: think Kenny's gonna keep Pittsburgh in this game the whole time,

596
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 3: especially with all the weapons they have on offense. So

597
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 3: just just a bad matchup for forty nine Ers start

598
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 3: the season off. What was it last year? I think

599
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 3: was a Week one they went to the Bears and

600
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 3: they played in them on soon and the Bears end

601
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 3: up beating them. It kind of feels like the same

602
00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 3: thing here where we don't even need the weather. It's

603
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 3: just a bad spot. And that's what it felt like

604
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 3: last year the forty nine they were just putting Trey

605
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 3: Lance in his first start on the road in bad

606
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,800
Speaker 3: weather against that Bears team. I think me and Shat

607
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 3: were catching like seven or eight on that Bears team.

608
00:28:58,440 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 2: Yep.

609
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 3: Unfortunately, people know that Pittsburgh is nowhere near as bad

610
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 3: as that Bear's team was last year. So you know,

611
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 3: we took this at three months ago. It was looked

612
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 3: like it was gonna get to one one and a

613
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 3: half once Bosa wasn't gonna sign, and then once he signed,

614
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 3: you've seen it go up to two two and a half.

615
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 3: So contest lines two and a half. This is one

616
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 3: of these games where I'm not gonna force it in yet, JAD,

617
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 3: but I would say it's definitely a finalist in our

618
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 3: last five, like our last spot for the five spot,

619
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 3: it's this like this or the Jets, is what I

620
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 3: feel like we're really going to arguing about, like do

621
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 3: we want to wait or we just want to pull

622
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 3: the band aid and just go with Pittsburgh in the spot,

623
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 3: because we again, we love Pittsburgh just as much we

624
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 3: love the Jets Andanny.

625
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 1: Baller Kenny Baller, all right, so we love the Browns

626
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 1: so far, We're all in on the Patriots. We're gonna

627
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 1: go with the Texans at plus ten. So we're basically

628
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 1: talking about the Steelers as one team that could fill

629
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 1: the final two spots. Another team that could fill the

630
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: final two spots, New York Football Giants plus three and

631
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 1: a half.

632
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I do really like it. I just don't know

633
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 3: if it's one of my favorite. Historically, the Cowboys have

634
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 3: owned the Giants and that's the big fear here where

635
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 3: they just divisionally, they match up very well against them.

636
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 3: We're playing the number. That's a big number in a

637
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 3: visional game to start off the season, So got no

638
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 3: issue putting that in. But I wouldn't put that on

639
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 3: the same level as I have Pittsburgh or the Jets.

640
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 3: Right now, it's like, I love that bet. I'm happy

641
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 3: to make it. I just don't know if it's one

642
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 3: of my five favorite bets.

643
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 2: All Right, here's what I'm gonna do.

644
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 1: I'm going to say we're taking Arizona out of this, okay,

645
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,719
Speaker 1: And so I think our final two spots are going

646
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 1: to come down to the Steelers, the Jets, the Falcons,

647
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: and there's one other team that we got to discuss,

648
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 1: and we'll talk about the Jets too. I'm not forgetting that,

649
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: but we know it's going to be in the debate

650
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:44,400
Speaker 1: the Colts plus five and a half.

651
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 2: We gotta love the Colts.

652
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 3: That's the foxhole, brother.

653
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, that to me is that to me is the foxhole.

654
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's climb down into the foxhole.

655
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 3: I might have heard from one other guy, it's like

656
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 3: me that's bent pretty heavy on this Colts team. So

657
00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 3: no one's on this. I get it. Richardson is one

658
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 3: of the biggest question marks heading of the season, just

659
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 3: because we all know his athletic talent and his ability,

660
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 3: but can he complete the throws? And a lot of

661
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 3: guys don't think he can. I'm looking this at advantage

662
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 3: of I think he's going to run for one hundred

663
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 3: yards on this Jags defense. I don't see any one

664
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 3: of this team's linebacking anything, Like, I don't know who

665
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 3: they have to stop him, Like you can be like, well,

666
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 3: they drafted a bunch of young dns. I don't think

667
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 3: they can keep up with them. I don't know if

668
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 3: they have the guys really to slow down the Jags.

669
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 3: I mean this Colts offense, so you know, a lot

670
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 3: of turnover obviously for this Colts team. Five and a

671
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 3: half five four and a half way too much respect

672
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,719
Speaker 3: for a Jaguars team way too much. So as an

673
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 3: no brainer, and I see our guy Evan just put

674
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 3: in the chat. Colts have the lowest percentage of bets

675
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 3: right now of any home team this week.

676
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 2: We have to take the Colts.

677
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, Now, it's a no brainer.

678
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 1: Every season in the in the opposite direction, we have

679
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 1: said when the Jaguars are visiting the Colts, we're taking

680
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: the Jaguars.

681
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 2: We know it's terrible, but.

682
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 3: Look, yeah, we were getting three and a half usually.

683
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 2: And now we're getting five.

684
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 3: Yeah.

685
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 1: Right for a Colts team that has a decent defense.

686
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 1: A lot of questions obviously, but the Jags offensive line,

687
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,719
Speaker 1: and I am very high in the Jags, and remember

688
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 1: I got Trevor Lawrence thirty to one lead the league

689
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 1: in touchdown passes. Their offensive line is terrible. Yeah, their

690
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 1: offensive line was terrible with Cam Robinson and now he's

691
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 1: out for the first four games. This is inflated because

692
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 1: of everything that's been going on with the Colts.

693
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 2: We got to take the Colts.

694
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I'm hoping our contest is five and a half,

695
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 3: but I don't Our contesting is pretty tough, so I'm

696
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 3: assuming it's gonna be four and a half, just because

697
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 3: it's usually a tough number. So if you can still

698
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 3: get the five and a half out there, it's a

699
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 3: no brainer. It's just such an inflated number. And we

700
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,320
Speaker 3: talk about time though. Fives are pretty dead numbers, So

701
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 3: as long as you're getting the four and a half,

702
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:02,520
Speaker 3: you should be happy with this number in this game.

703
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm waiting to bet this until I want to

704
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 1: see how close we can get, because the five is

705
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 1: the dead numbers. If I get the four and a half,

706
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 1: it's fine.

707
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you're lucky, we'll get the six.

708
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: And if we're lucky, it'll go up on Sunday, like

709
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: all the trends are, this number should go higher. Also,

710
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 1: you can just set a line alert in the Action

711
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 1: Network app so you don't have to keep checking and

712
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:27,080
Speaker 1: updating and refreshing. Well, let's talk about b E T

713
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: I n G the j E T S Jets, Jets, Jets.

714
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 1: This number is at two and a half on Tuesday's episode.

715
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 1: Your comments, this is too easy, and then you're begging

716
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 1: bookmakers to give you the three because you know they're

717
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 1: going to go there. Now we're getting people saying just

718
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 1: take the two and a half. How do we feel

719
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 1: do we want to ask Matt Mitchell right now? For

720
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 1: those who don't know, Matt Mitchell eats his buffalo chicken

721
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 1: wings wearing Latex gloves because he doesn't like to get

722
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 1: the sauce on his fingers.

723
00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, give us your read on this, Matt.

724
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:05,400
Speaker 5: Come Monday night. I'll have my late text gloves pressed

725
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 5: against my face and agony as I get queasy on

726
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 5: the last wing and the Bills failed to win. This

727
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,799
Speaker 5: game feels like the trappiest thing. Playing the NFL's new

728
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:20,160
Speaker 5: IT team and Aaron Rodgers in New York on nine

729
00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:23,280
Speaker 5: to eleven. I don't feel good about it at all,

730
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 5: and I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised. Also from our

731
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 5: friend Evan Abrams. Aaron Rodgers has won nine straight Monday

732
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 5: night football games straight up with Green Bay. His last

733
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 5: loss was in twenty thirteen to Chicago.

734
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 2: Let's talk about the Jets. Let's break it down. Why

735
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 2: do we love this?

736
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's an insane stat chet, That's that's crazy. There's

737
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,319
Speaker 3: a lot of reasons love the Jets. The biggest one

738
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 3: we talked about on Tuesday is it's just a total

739
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 3: mismatch for this Bills team, they got their biggest achilles

740
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:59,279
Speaker 3: heel is that offensive line, and nine percent of the

741
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 3: time it doesn't because anyone that can catch Josh. No

742
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,200
Speaker 3: one can really catch Josh Allen, Right, that's really his strength.

743
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:07,720
Speaker 3: He's so hard to bring down. Usually time their pressures,

744
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,760
Speaker 3: even there he's already dished out the Digs or Gabe Davis.

745
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,839
Speaker 3: This ain't gonna work against this front of this Jets team.

746
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 3: They got guys who are going just as fast as

747
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,760
Speaker 3: Josh Allen. So when you're just looking up the matchup,

748
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 3: the teams we're gonna want to attack the Jets with

749
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 3: are teams that can get after Rogers. And that's another

750
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 3: thing that Bills don't have defensively. They just don't have

751
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,960
Speaker 3: anyone can really put the pressure on Rogers. So what

752
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 3: we assume here is this is a nice spot for

753
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 3: this Jets team and a bad spot for the Bills team.

754
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 3: We talk next week, we will flip it. We'll be

755
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 3: going against the Jets. We'll be all over the Bills

756
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 3: next week. But this week, the Jets are going to

757
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 3: have their weekend paradise. Like, what better way to start

758
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:48,279
Speaker 3: off primetime game? You have the big upset and you

759
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 3: can just talk about how amazing you guys are for

760
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 3: the whole week. So yeah, if you hate New York

761
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 3: media and you hate the Jets, who it is going

762
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 3: to be a long week. If they win this game,

763
00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 3: if they blow them out, Oh my god, I can't

764
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 3: even imagine what it's gonna be like in talk radio.

765
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:05,399
Speaker 3: But to me, this is gonna be a close, tight

766
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,360
Speaker 3: tights game. If this was plus three of the Bills,

767
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 3: I'd be trying to convince you to come on the

768
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 3: other side and take the Bills. But the fact we're

769
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 3: catching points in a game that should really be a

770
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,879
Speaker 3: pick them. Like the bookmakers, they're giving us a lot

771
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 3: of free points here, and the public has taking it.

772
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:20,800
Speaker 3: It's the same thing as it feels like with Burrow,

773
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 3: where it's like we have one of the best quarterbacks

774
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 3: in the league, we have them under our field goal,

775
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 3: we're gonna take them here on the road in week

776
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 3: win a divisional game, and it's just that's just not

777
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 3: smart betting, where in Week ten and eleven it'd be

778
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 3: totally different scenario. But in week one, this is the

779
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 3: bet you make. You take the Jets here, you take

780
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 3: the points. This this is one of these I really

781
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:41,400
Speaker 3: can't pass on this number.

782
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 2: I will look signon.

783
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 1: Like the big challenge here is that we've got to

784
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:53,919
Speaker 1: narrow this down a little bit because right now we're

785
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 1: talking Browns, we're talking Steelers, we're talking Colts, we're talking Texans,

786
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 1: we're talking Patriots, we're talking Jets.

787
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: That's six.

788
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 1: We don't have the Falcons in there as a favorite.

789
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:09,840
Speaker 1: We're committing to the Cults, as are Foxhill. We're committing

790
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: to the Texans.

791
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:11,320
Speaker 2: Is our big bet.

792
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 1: Like we're gonna have to make a call on Sunday.

793
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 1: We don't have to do it yet because we've got

794
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 1: a lot more stuff to get to.

795
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 5: Yah.

796
00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 3: I love the Jets, but I'm telling people that it's

797
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,759
Speaker 3: like a ninety nine chance me and Chad drop it

798
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,759
Speaker 3: because I just I can't imagine being four and oh

799
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 3: and having to wait a whole nother day or we're

800
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:32,680
Speaker 3: ohing four and now I have to wait twenty four

801
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 3: hours for our lives to stay one and four. Because again,

802
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 3: me and Chad, we've never gone oh and five. So yeah,

803
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 3: I don't know if I can wait that whole time

804
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 3: for the next day for that game, Chad. But do

805
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,360
Speaker 3: love the Jets, but that they simply might get cut

806
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,399
Speaker 3: just because we both can't stand waiting twenty four hours

807
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 3: until that game.

808
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 2: Like I said, we've narrowed it down.

809
00:37:54,360 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 1: We love the Browns, we love the Steelers, we love

810
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,239
Speaker 1: the Texans, love the Patriots.

811
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:05,439
Speaker 2: The Jets are going to be a question mark.

812
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 1: They really really are. It's going to be exciting. I

813
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 1: can't wait. We got some more stuff to get to.

814
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: But first, sigmon. The fastest growing ticketing app in the

815
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:18,239
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816
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,720
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817
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:24,479
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818
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:26,799
Speaker 1: minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including pro and

819
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 1: college football games. I'm opening the game Time app right

820
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 1: now from my house here in Connecticut. I could go

821
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 1: to the US Open, I could go to the Jets

822
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 1: Monday night football game. I can still get into the

823
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,760
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824
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,040
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825
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,120
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826
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827
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828
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829
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830
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 2: All right, signing. Should we talk about a Survivor Yes,

831
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 2: let's do it. The Survivor pool pick of the week.

832
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 3: There's only one play.

833
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 2: Tell me what you think it is.

834
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 3: It's as easy as you can get. When else would

835
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 3: we take the Commanders? When else are we able to

836
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 3: bet against a team with out their started quterback and

837
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 3: Kyler Murray. So this is one of these where I'm

838
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:31,919
Speaker 3: happy to attack Arizona early here until Kyler's back. And

839
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,920
Speaker 3: you know, you go through you and try to make

840
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:36,920
Speaker 3: a list of the worst teams in football. You know,

841
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 3: could be this Cardinals team. You could throw Tampa in there,

842
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,400
Speaker 3: you could throw Carolina in there, you could throw the

843
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:45,600
Speaker 3: Rams in there. Like, there's a couple of teams that

844
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 3: you know, you put them on your list and you

845
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 3: look up where there's different matchups. Washington doesn't really have

846
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 3: that many easy games, and this, to me is one

847
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,400
Speaker 3: of these where we take them. If we get knocked

848
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,359
Speaker 3: out Week one on Washington, great, it's over. We don't

849
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:00,359
Speaker 3: have to worry about the rest of the year. If

850
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,840
Speaker 3: we win even better. We've used Washington. Now we have

851
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,319
Speaker 3: to use Washington the rest of the season. So I

852
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 3: think last year, yeah, it was the Colts. I literally

853
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:10,399
Speaker 3: I want to say, like eighty percent of my league.

854
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:12,239
Speaker 3: I knocked out last year on the Colts in Week

855
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,879
Speaker 3: one because the tie counts as a loss. Yeah, again,

856
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 3: check the rules of your book or wherever you're doing

857
00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 3: it through. But how do we not like Washington's one

858
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 3: of those teams where it's like I'm taking their money line,

859
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 3: I'm throwing it with the Chiefs money line. Like it's

860
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,439
Speaker 3: just one of those teams where the Arizona could come

861
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:30,080
Speaker 3: back and cover that number at the end. But if

862
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 3: Sam's on a total bust at quarterback for them, they

863
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:35,399
Speaker 3: should be able to win this game pretty handily. So

864
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 3: just based on town on the field, like Washington has

865
00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 3: a ton of town offensively and defensively, they should be

866
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,360
Speaker 3: able to handle this Arizona team. So could like a

867
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 3: total idiot with my foot in my mouth come Monday

868
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,080
Speaker 3: when they they somehow lose to a backup quarterback who

869
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 3: just got picked up by the team not even a

870
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 3: week ago. But how do we not take this and

871
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:55,879
Speaker 3: just based on the commander schedule, we'd never be able

872
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,359
Speaker 3: to take them again. So it feels like Survivor pick.

873
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,440
Speaker 3: We just have to go with the public. Got a

874
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 3: ride with the Commanders, and we could take the Ravens

875
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:03,880
Speaker 3: at a different point this year. I know a lot

876
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,360
Speaker 3: of people are taking them just because again they're playing

877
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 3: a rookie on the road in his first start. But yeah,

878
00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 3: putting a lot of faith here into the Washington football team.

879
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm cutting to Tuesday. What I'm saying everybody, Boy,

880
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 1: that was a fun season of Survivor, wasn't it.

881
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 3: That's why I got tune to Sunday and night people

882
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 3: get them to live in our misery.

883
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 1: Listen, the other company that we're lucky enough to have

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Speaker 1: healthy lifestyle. Our producer, Matt Mitchell also has been a

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Speaker 1: Falcons or the Washington Commanders. As your survivor, pick Factors.

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906
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Speaker 1: One more thing to do simon money lying around Robin.

907
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:51,799
Speaker 3: My dog likes your dogs, Your dog likes mon dog.

908
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 1: Let me start layering in the teams. So this is

909
00:42:56,080 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 1: when we pick the underdogs on the money line who

910
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 1: we think would make have good chances to win and

911
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 1: would make a great round.

912
00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 2: Robin.

913
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 1: Basically, what you do is you pair each of these

914
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:16,200
Speaker 1: teams for a small amount of money and you make

915
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 1: a money line round Robin Parlay out of it.

916
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 2: So here we go. I love the Lions at plus

917
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 2: one ninety. No convinced.

918
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 1: I'm just throwing some things out there. I'm just I'm

919
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:32,120
Speaker 1: making some ideas right now. Browns plus one twenty, Yeah,

920
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:38,040
Speaker 1: definitely Steelers plus one fifteen. I'm tempted by Titans at

921
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: plus one forty seven.

922
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 3: I don't hate it. I had us, but we were

923
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:42,720
Speaker 3: gonna take Cleveland.

924
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:43,520
Speaker 2: Yep.

925
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 3: I had us taking Pittsburgh. We can't not do it

926
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 3: just because so many pros love it. We need a

927
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 3: big dog here, so for us, for the big dog,

928
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 3: I thought we would throw the Bucks in, like, okay,

929
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:55,399
Speaker 3: just a completely outside shot that they can come back

930
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,799
Speaker 3: and win that game, because we could do the Colts.

931
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 3: I just I think cult will cover that number. I

932
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 3: just can't see a scenario with them win, Like it's

933
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:05,040
Speaker 3: just so much would have to go wrong for the

934
00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 3: Jaguars for them to win. So yeah, for my big dog,

935
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 3: I feel better going the Bucks. I don't hate you.

936
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:12,640
Speaker 3: If you want to go to Tennessee, I'll put that

937
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 3: one in and then we'll finish it. Off, would you

938
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 3: rather do Giants or the Jets. I feel better about the.

939
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 1: Jets, Okay, I was going to say Jets are Patriots,

940
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: so let's go.

941
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:23,240
Speaker 2: With the Jets.

942
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's see the Jets.

943
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 2: Okay.

944
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 1: So our money line Round Robin Parlay will be the

945
00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 1: New York Jets, the Cleveland Browns, the Pittsburgh Steelers, the

946
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Bucks, and the Tennessee Titans. So basically what

947
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 1: you'll do is you'll match Jets, Browns, Jets, Steelers, Jets, Bucks, Jets, Titans,

948
00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 1: again and again and again with each team, so you

949
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 1: get a pair for your money line Round Robin Parlay. Brother,

950
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:58,400
Speaker 1: we will be back with Convince Me, You Me, Chris Raybond,

951
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 1: Sean Kerner, plus Even eight Brimson, Dann Ravel on the

952
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 1: Action Network News Desk eleven am. We will be followed

953
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 1: by the Touchdown Show headed by Jille Gallant. It will

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00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 1: be part of the Action Network Power Hour. You will

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Speaker 1: be able to watch that in the Action Network app

956
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Speaker 1: on Action Network YouTube. As a reminder, the Favorite Podcast

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Speaker 1: season long and weekly pick them con tests. Compete against

968
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,520
Speaker 1: me and Simon all season. Go to Favorites dot Actionnetwork

969
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 1: dot com. Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Sign up for

970
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971
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 1: get your podcast, rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars,

972
00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:19,800
Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift for Simon Hunter.

973
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:24,440
Speaker 1: I am Chadmilman. We'll see you Sunday night to recap

974
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,319
Speaker 1: all the misery from Sunday and preview what's happening for

975
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 1: the rest of the week seven point thirty Eastern live

976
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:35,399
Speaker 1: on YouTube in the app Download us until next time,

977
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:36,319
Speaker 1: Love you.

978
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:46,560
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