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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast All right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: forty twenty five fifty.

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Speaker 1: And the kick as block book College Football World standard.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he's.

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Speaker 4: Stumbled and football the lateral.

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Speaker 1: Turn, the counter of the inself.

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Speaker 3: Don't you believe? Not tap them up the field tonight.

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Speaker 2: It's not the sides of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the side of the fight in the hole. What's

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Speaker 2: up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is our college

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Speaker 2: Football Bowl Season Best Bets episode. I'm Stucky. Joining me

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Speaker 2: as always is Colin Wilson. Will also talk with a

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Speaker 2: group of five guys Mike and Mike later in the show,

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Speaker 2: because we're each going to give our two favorite favorites

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Speaker 2: and two favorite underdogs that we like to win out

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Speaker 2: right to help you better prepare for your bullpools or

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Speaker 2: betting as we get into the thick of bold season.

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Speaker 2: This was a highly requested episode that we start to

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Speaker 2: do and I get it right. We have part one

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Speaker 2: that's out and we don't get to all the bulls

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Speaker 2: and people need to fill up bullpools get their bets

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Speaker 2: in early. So by the end of this episode, you

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Speaker 2: have eight favorites to consider and eight underdogs that we

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Speaker 2: like to win. Outright, I will say right off the

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Speaker 2: bat that some we're gonna give some. You know, what

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Speaker 2: do you want to do when you fill out a

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Speaker 2: bullpool like a bowl conference? But you want to give

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Speaker 2: some big favorites that you're really confident. For example, South Alabama,

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Speaker 2: I think Calbary's is going to mention them later, probably

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Speaker 2: my most confident side. But you don't want to have

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Speaker 2: all the biggest favorites as your most confident picks. It's

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Speaker 2: not how you want to pool. So I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: with a couple smaller favorites here and I will kick

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Speaker 2: things off. I'm gonna go with Georgia Southern against Ohio.

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Speaker 2: I think Georgia Southern from everything that I've read, from

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Speaker 2: the lack of opt outs, they will care team, you know,

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Speaker 2: on a four game losing streak then the season, but

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Speaker 2: historically those are teams you want to back during Bowl season.

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Speaker 2: Really chance to reset here most importantly, though, this Ohio

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Speaker 2: offense we give you without Curtis Rourke thinks worth a

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Speaker 2: touchdown their backups already heard, They're not in a third

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Speaker 2: string quarterback, They're without their top two backs, two of

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Speaker 2: their top three receivers, one of their best defenders. This

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Speaker 2: is a team that is supposed to be the MAC Championship.

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Speaker 2: They're not. They really care about this Bowl. Judging by

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Speaker 2: the opt outs, I'm not positive. Also, just how are

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Speaker 2: they gonna score? I know Georgia Southern's defense isn't great,

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Speaker 2: but this Ohio offense could look like a MAC version

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Speaker 2: of Iowa Georgia Southern's offense, very high floor. I just

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Speaker 2: don't think Ohio can match it. And give me Missouri. Uh.

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Speaker 2: I just this is a team that wants to be

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Speaker 2: here at the Cotton Bowl. All the quotes. This is

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Speaker 2: one of the most highly motivated team teams going up

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Speaker 2: against a team that I don't necessarily know really cares,

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Speaker 2: judging by all the opt outs they will have. I

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Speaker 2: know Ohio State still has a lot of talent and

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Speaker 2: their third and fourth string guys, but judging by who's

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Speaker 2: already opted out, who I think is going to opt out,

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Speaker 2: this is a big mismatch. I think Missouri gets it done.

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Speaker 2: You agree on Missouri, right and where you go?

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Speaker 4: One hundred percent of Missouri. They got one of the

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Speaker 4: highest ratings in the Bowl Confidence piece. It'll be out

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Speaker 4: on Action Network. Most of these teams have quarterbacks, running backs,

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Speaker 4: and wide receivers hitting the portal that probably can't find homes.

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Speaker 4: I'm telling you right now, Cody Schrader, Brady Cook, Luther Burden.

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Speaker 4: They would absolutely have twenty teams trying to get them

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Speaker 4: to come across immediately. Missouri is absolutely loaded, absolutely fired up.

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Speaker 4: This is a monumental Bowl game for coach Drink and

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Speaker 4: the program. I completely agree. I couldn't be more financially

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Speaker 4: invested in any other team in the bowlseason than Missouri.

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Speaker 2: Where are you going for your two favorite favorites.

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Speaker 4: Let's start off in New Mexico State. They are at

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Speaker 4: Home and Albuquerque in the New Mexico a Bowl that

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Speaker 4: they wanted to be in last year before they got

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Speaker 4: shipped up to Michigan to play in the Quick Lane Bowl.

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Speaker 4: Now they're going to be hosting a team that's on

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Speaker 4: their last legs here. Presdo's state no depth at quarterback.

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Speaker 4: Mikey Keene is there. If he stays healthy, that'll be

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Speaker 4: okay for them, but they have no answer on defense. Whatsoever.

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Speaker 4: For Diego Pavia and the power run game that New

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Speaker 4: Mexico State runs stifled a lot of teams, including Auburn

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Speaker 4: in their own building. This is the game that they

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Speaker 4: wanted to play in. Jerry kill is on a role now.

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Speaker 4: He won his first bowl game ever last year. But

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Speaker 4: more importantly, Fresno State's coaching staff. They won't have Jeff

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Speaker 4: Tedford due to medical reasons. They have an assistant in

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Speaker 4: place here. Shouldn't be any change. They have a lot

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Speaker 4: of losses to the portal. They struggled at the end

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Speaker 4: of the year, losing New Mexico and San Diego State.

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Speaker 4: It's a great situation for a bowl team in New

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Speaker 4: Mexico State that's actually playing pretty close to home. So

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Speaker 4: we'll start off with the aggies here at New Mexico State.

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Speaker 3: You're gonna call him.

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Speaker 4: Ponzi scheme or what do you now?

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Speaker 2: All out? I don't think Preslo wants to be here.

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Speaker 2: I'm in New Mexico State does a big motivational difference,

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Speaker 2: so I don't neede it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, next to go to the Barstool Bowl. They got

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Speaker 4: Wyoming and Toledo going up against each other, unless it's

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Speaker 4: Fresno state. That's a corpse. I'm trying to back Mountain

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Speaker 4: West teams here in the postseason. Wyoming playing in Craig

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Speaker 4: Bowl's last game as a coach, a retirement bowl for

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Speaker 4: Craig Bowl, a career that started in nineteen eighty one

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Speaker 4: as a graduate assistant at the University of Nebraska Wyoming.

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Speaker 4: It was on fire their last two games in the

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Speaker 4: Mountain West. They scored over forty points. Andrew Peasley everything

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Speaker 4: on the ground, through the air, this whole team. I

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Speaker 4: picked them thirteen to one to win the Mountain West.

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Speaker 4: What they showed in the last few weeks is one

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Speaker 4: of those reasons. Not sure what the ceiling is on

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Speaker 4: their offense, but they're going into a good situation against

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Speaker 4: a MAC team with Toledo that lost the conference championship

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Speaker 4: game and to Kwan Finn. The quarterback is now in

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Speaker 4: the portal. They have a little bit of experience. But

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Speaker 4: if you're asking me to go against a backup quarterback,

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Speaker 4: it's Toledo and Jason Kandell in a bowl game, I'll

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Speaker 4: take it all day. You're gonna give me added motivation

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Speaker 4: with Craig Bowl in his retirement game, I love it.

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Speaker 2: Good stuff there I couldn't agree more. So we're on

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Speaker 2: the same page so far. Let's get to our favorite too,

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Speaker 2: underdogs that we think are going to win outright for

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Speaker 2: pool purposes, there are some games they're gonna have a

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Speaker 2: ton of aarans, right, if you have just a ton

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Speaker 2: of guys out on both sides, for example, we'll talk,

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Speaker 2: we'll break this one down. There's still gonna be more

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Speaker 2: guys maybe to come Oregon State, Notre Dame. I mean,

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Speaker 2: there's like twenty starters out my Ohio, a lot of

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Speaker 2: aarants because they have a third string quarterback. I'm going

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Speaker 2: with the RedHawks. They're my darling. This year. They won

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Speaker 2: the match for me. I bet them all year. They

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Speaker 2: consistently covered because they do all the little things. They tackle,

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Speaker 2: they don't give up explosive plays. They have the best

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Speaker 2: special teams in the country. And this is a team

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Speaker 2: that is down to the herd string quarterback, which is

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Speaker 2: where that variance comes from. But I like that for

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Speaker 2: picking an underdog to win outright. I think they can

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Speaker 2: win this game just by relying on the run. I

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Speaker 2: guess a really bad app State day, punting it, making

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Speaker 2: field goals, and relying on that elite defense, which I

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Speaker 2: think could forced Joeyagaar is a bit of a gun

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Speaker 2: slinger into some mistakes and key turnovers against a very disciplined,

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Speaker 2: well schooled myo Ohio defense. So give me the RedHawks

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Speaker 2: with that excellent special teams and defense to get it

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Speaker 2: done one last time. I know Smit's out, everyone else,

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Speaker 2: every other starter is playing, and they said how excited

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Speaker 2: they are to get the twelve wins for the first

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Speaker 2: time since Ben Roethlisberger was there twenty years ago. And

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Speaker 2: then my other one, I'm going to go with NC State.

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Speaker 2: Kansas State is a shell. They have been absolutely decimated

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Speaker 2: by the portal by NFL declarations. This team is going

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Speaker 2: to be decimated on both sides. They had highest aspirations.

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Speaker 2: I'm not really sure what's going on there. There are

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Speaker 2: also their starting quarterbacks going to be out. I like

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Speaker 2: the future Brady Johnson, but he's still not there as

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Speaker 2: a passer and you can't really run on NC State.

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Speaker 2: NC State had some portal guys, but not as impactful.

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Speaker 2: One of the hottest teams in the couch that no

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Speaker 2: one talked about down the stretch, Dave Dorn did a

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Speaker 2: great job. I think look they wanted to get the

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Speaker 2: ten wins a couple years ago, didn't get a chance

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Speaker 2: to play the bowl because UCLA just second, we don't

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Speaker 2: want to play packed to though. Yeah, so darn I'll

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Speaker 2: have him fired up for this game. Give me the pack.

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Speaker 2: You agree that right?

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Speaker 4: One hundred percent? Wolf Pack, We're the pick and the

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Speaker 4: bowl confidence pool. I love the money line ticket on

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Speaker 4: that one.

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Speaker 2: And then where you're going for your two favorite underdogs.

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Speaker 4: Let's start down in the Texas Bowl. We're going to

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Speaker 4: take Oklahoma State against Texas A and M. Where's Texas

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Speaker 4: A and M right now? They're in transition between head coaches.

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Speaker 4: They're gonna have an interim Elijah Robinson, who can't start

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Speaker 4: his work at Syracuse, his defensive coordinator till he gets

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Speaker 4: this bowl game out of the way. But more importantly,

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Speaker 4: this is all about Mike Gundy. You love to bet

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Speaker 4: on Mike Gundy in bowl games eleven and six against

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Speaker 4: the spread in his career as a head coach at

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Speaker 4: Oklahoma State. He has motivation motivation in this game. Why

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Speaker 4: because he's playing a game from Texas No, because they

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Speaker 4: lost to Texas A and M in this very bowl

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Speaker 4: back in twenty nineteen. Look for Mike Gundy to have

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Speaker 4: his team completely fired up here behind the legs of

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Speaker 4: Olie Gordon. The second they run a ton of a

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Speaker 4: man run blocking schemes. That is something that Texas which

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Speaker 4: has a good run defense, but they have had troubles

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Speaker 4: defending man blocking schemes all year. I expect Oklahoma State

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Speaker 4: to run wild on them while Texas A and m

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Speaker 4: is fielding.

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Speaker 2: They've got so.

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Speaker 4: Many losses all over the roster. Jalen Henderson's the quarterback.

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Speaker 4: There's just an interim game for them, and that defense

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Speaker 4: is not gonna be able to handle Alli Gorton. So

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Speaker 4: let's back my Gundy in the first one.

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Speaker 2: I completely agree there. I think oak State is the

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Speaker 2: side in a great Gundy spot. And how about your second.

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Speaker 4: Dog, Yeah, let's go up to the pin Stripe Bowl.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this is an interesting connection. I mean, Greg

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Speaker 4: Shanno is the one who gave Mario Cristo Ball his

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Speaker 4: very first coaching position over twenty years ago. But really,

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Speaker 4: more importantly, this is about a disciplined football team in

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Speaker 4: Rutgers that doesn't hurt themselves. They're twelfth on offense and

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Speaker 4: havoc allowed. They're seventh on defense and tackling. They just

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Speaker 4: play fundamental football. They're not They're definitely not going to

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Speaker 4: create a whole bunch of highlights you're going to see

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Speaker 4: on sports or anything. But they don't beat themselves, and

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Speaker 4: that's the most important thing when you're going up against

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Speaker 4: the Miami team that consistently hurts themselves with havoc allowed.

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Speaker 4: They don't have a quarterback. Tyler as already hit the portal,

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Speaker 4: He's already on his way to Wisconsin. They are depleted

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Speaker 4: all over this roster, and Mario christ Ball is not

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Speaker 4: very good in Bowls two, four and one against the spread,

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Speaker 4: but that extends to Miami as a whole. They've won

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Speaker 4: one Bowl game in their last eleven trips, and if

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Speaker 4: you look at the cold Weather Bowl games they've been to,

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Speaker 4: they've absolutely been blown out. So give me Greg Chiano,

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Speaker 4: who's five to one and one against spreading bowl games,

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Speaker 4: taking on his old Mario christ Ball, his old friend here.

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Speaker 4: But Rutgers is going to get the win as a dog.

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Speaker 2: I agree. I think they win an ugly one. I

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Speaker 2: don't really Mimi Downder, the third string quarterback. Do you

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Speaker 2: think they really have interest a bunch of Miami kids

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Speaker 2: going up to the Yankee Stadium to play Rutgers in

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Speaker 2: late December. Not so short. Even if they do show up,

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Speaker 2: you know who can still mess it up, Mario Crystal

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Speaker 2: Ball with late game awful and in game decisions. I

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Speaker 2: completely agree with Rutgers. There all right, good stuff. That's

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Speaker 2: our four favorite favorites and four favorite underdogs. I think

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Speaker 2: we're pretty much on the same page for most of them.

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Speaker 2: But let's throw it to the group of five guys,

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Speaker 2: Mike Calvaries, Mike, I know to get their four favorite

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Speaker 2: favorites and for favorite underdogs, guys, Thanks Douck.

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Speaker 1: The g five boys here to lay out our favorite

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Speaker 1: favorites and our pesky underdogs that we think you're going

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Speaker 1: to help you win your confidence pool. Obviously, when you're

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Speaker 1: putting together your favorites with the highest confidence point total,

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Speaker 1: those forty pointers, you got to hit them. It's a

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Speaker 1: death knel to your chances when you go ahead and

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Speaker 1: stub your toe in those spots. And it's not as

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Speaker 1: simple as just picking the biggest favorites on the board

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Speaker 1: and then being a bit of a contrarian. Whether you're

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Speaker 1: putting fifteen to twenty twenty five points on an underdog

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Speaker 1: to win outright, that can be a real pivot point

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Speaker 1: and really help you, you know, springboard to a win

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Speaker 1: in a confidence pool. So we're going to give you

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Speaker 1: two each. I know that is going to get us

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Speaker 1: started with his favorite favorite.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm getting started with the biggest favorite on the board.

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Speaker 3: Sounds easy enough. Give me Organ over Liberty. Look, boon

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Speaker 3: Nick says he's playing, and to me, that's good enough.

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Speaker 3: I also think leadership. I think that increases the chance

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Speaker 3: we could see, you know, Troy Franklin, Ted Johnson, Bucky

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Speaker 3: Irving play as well. If they're in. This is an

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Speaker 3: absolute blowout. Look, Liberty played the worst strength of schedule

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Speaker 3: in the entire country, one hundred and thirty third. Their

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Speaker 3: offense is great, they rank third in the country and

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Speaker 3: success rate, but the defense just so so they give

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Speaker 3: up a ton of big plays. I expect this to

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Speaker 3: be an Oregon track meet, an Oregon second in the

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Speaker 3: country in offense is success rate. They're also top twenty

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Speaker 3: five in defense. I think the Flames are totally outclassed here.

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Speaker 3: I also like this compared to other ones because I

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Speaker 3: think the difference is big enough that even if the

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Speaker 3: top guys do opt out for Oregon. Oregon's backups are

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Speaker 3: likely better than all Liberty starters, so I think they

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Speaker 3: can win this game with Ty Thompson and whoever else

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Speaker 3: they have left. So I think Oregon should be your

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Speaker 3: highest confidence pick and all your pools, I think they

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Speaker 3: blow them out. Here.

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Speaker 1: Three things concern me with that Beck real quick. It's

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Speaker 1: a team that went from college football playoff, you know,

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Speaker 1: play in game against Washington to now being outside of

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Speaker 1: the playoff. Then you have the opt outs, which you

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Speaker 1: already talked about, and I agree though when you get

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Speaker 1: into the overall talent disparity, it's pretty significant in this game.

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Speaker 1: But the third thing is that Liberty is the biggest

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Speaker 1: underclass you know, population in the country. I believe they're

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Speaker 1: forty nine thousand. I think they're gonna send a lot

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Speaker 1: of kids out there to watch this Festa Bowl game.

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Speaker 1: So when they when this game gets turned on, I think,

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Speaker 1: like the Taco Bell student section is going to be electric.

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Speaker 1: All that being said, there's a reason this is the

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Speaker 1: biggest spread on the board, So I don't think that's

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Speaker 1: a bad place to start. I just get it like

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Speaker 1: a little bit queasy, making it my very top of

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Speaker 1: the totem pole in terms of the confidence points. All right,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with my favorite here. We're gonna stick

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Speaker 1: in G five land Utsa over Marshall. We get to

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Speaker 1: see doctor Frank Harris's farewell game his seventh year in college.

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Speaker 1: The defense also pretty serviceable for the road Runners thirty

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Speaker 1: third and success rate solid against the run. They only

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Speaker 1: gave up three point seventy five yards per carry, which

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Speaker 1: was thirty six nationally. But critically coach Trailer, he flirts,

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Speaker 1: he's talking in the coaching carousel. He's, you know, going

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Speaker 1: up and down, riding on those ponies, you know, winking

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Speaker 1: at every Power five ad in the country. He stays,

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Speaker 1: so he's back. I think that's absolutely key. Huff also

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Speaker 1: stays for Marshall. But overall, I look at UTSA. This

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Speaker 1: is a team that went seven to one in year

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Speaker 1: one in the AAC. It wasn't as strong of a

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Speaker 1: year in the AAC as it was last year, but

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Speaker 1: they were road win away for playing in the title game.

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Speaker 1: Five turnovers sunk him against Tulane. But I think overall

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Speaker 1: this is a really solid team. I know they lose

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Speaker 1: AAC Defensive Player of the Year, Trey Moore in the portal. Well,

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Speaker 1: look at Marshall, like, this is a team that the

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Speaker 1: Airs come out of the balloon. Cam Fancer, who in

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Speaker 1: the preseason I called him Francer. I think transfer wise,

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Speaker 1: he can only play in France, Like he's gonna go

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Speaker 1: play for the Sorbone or something, the fighting Croissants, because

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Speaker 1: nobody's gonna want this kid, like he could not get

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Speaker 1: it together. Cole Pennington's in. Their best offensive lineman's out,

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Speaker 1: Trent Haller. He's gonna either play guard or center. Rashee Ali,

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Speaker 1: I mean if I'm him, I'm either sitting out and

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Speaker 1: going to pro or I'm transferred to a better program

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Speaker 1: that actually has offensive linemen who can block. So when

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Speaker 1: I look at this, I look at a UTSA team

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Speaker 1: that had won seven in a row was right in

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Speaker 1: the mix. Veteran leadership continuity at the top against the

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Speaker 1: Marshall team that started four to zho nearly upsets NC

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Speaker 1: State and then the Wheels total fall off. They went

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Speaker 1: two and six down the stretch, five of those losses

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Speaker 1: by double digits. So I'm gonna go with UTSA as

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Speaker 1: my favorite. What do you think here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: For the for casual fans, you hear Cole Pennington for Marshall,

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Speaker 3: don't get too excited because he might be Chad Pennington's kid,

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Speaker 3: but he does not have the accuracy of Pops. Three

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Speaker 3: games this year, zero touchdowns, six interceptions. He is a

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Speaker 3: walking turnover. So yeah, I love UTSA.

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Speaker 2: I like them as well.

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Speaker 3: For my second pick, you argue with my first one,

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Speaker 3: I know you're not gonna argue with this one. Give

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Speaker 3: me San Jose State against Coastal Carolina. No team enters

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Speaker 3: Bowl season hotter than the Spartans, As a wise man

337
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Speaker 3: predicted weeks ago. They won six straight games to end

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Speaker 3: the year. They should have been in the Mountain West

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Speaker 3: Championship game but got screwed over by a computer. Chavon

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Speaker 3: Cordero really got going. We've had a love hair relationship

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Speaker 3: with him on this pod, but he finished the year

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Speaker 3: with thirteen touchdowns and one pick in his last six games.

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Speaker 3: Kyi Robinson stud running back. He's averaging over hundred yards

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Speaker 3: per game and as of this recording tight end Dominic

345
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Speaker 3: Mazzati is really the only kind of big name in

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Speaker 3: the portal, whereas Coast to Carolina is going to be

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Speaker 3: without Grayson McCall. Jared Gasser. Two top quarterbacks running backs CJ.

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Speaker 3: Bes is in the portal, wide receiver Jared Brown's in

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Speaker 3: the portal. San Jose State's bigest week this all year

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Speaker 3: is their run defense. And this is not Jamie Chadwell's

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Speaker 3: Coast to Carolina run offense. They were one hundred and

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Speaker 3: fourth in rushing success rate. Now they won't have their

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Speaker 3: starting running back. As I've said all year, tim backs

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Speaker 3: to clown. He doesn't know how to call on offense.

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Speaker 3: This is just not the Chadwell offense. And the Coast

356
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Speaker 3: of the defense is terrible. So San Jose State should

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Speaker 3: be able to move the ball in them all game.

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Speaker 3: They're they're on fire right now this game in Hawaii.

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Speaker 3: Cordero's from Hawaii. We've seen him have six he started

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Speaker 3: his career there. He had success when they play, he

361
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Speaker 3: torched them. They played Hawaii this year there going back

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Speaker 3: to the homeland, Vimye, San Jose State here.

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Speaker 1: The longest road trip of bol season for Coastal going

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Speaker 1: all the way from Conway to Honolulu. I agree with you,

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Speaker 1: thirty five nothing when San Jose State played against you know,

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Speaker 1: Hawaii on the island. So there's familiarity in terms of

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Speaker 1: the body clock situation, the travel, you know, the novelty

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Speaker 1: of playing in Hawaii. I really love that you're right.

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Speaker 3: And you get for a motivation. Most teams, like you know,

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Speaker 3: Boston College is like we get to go on vacation.

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Speaker 3: Like Coase, Carolina, they live on vacation. They live in

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Speaker 3: Myrtle Beach. Like going to Hawaii's not like special for them.

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Speaker 3: They basically live in eastern Hawaii, so it's not exactly like, oh,

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Speaker 3: we're going to the beach, like you guys live on

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Speaker 3: the beach.

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Speaker 1: Also jokes on BC they get to play at Fenway Park,

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Speaker 1: so they get to go on vacation. You know, the tea,

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Speaker 1: you know, down a couple of blocks. All right, my

379
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Speaker 1: last one for the favorite favorites, We're going South Alabama

380
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Speaker 1: over Eastern Michigan. Weird year for the Jags. They crush

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State on the road, They nearly upset James Madison

382
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Speaker 1: on the road, losing by eight. Then they get bodied

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Speaker 1: by Louisiana. They give Troy a pretty good game, but

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Speaker 1: then they gave up fifty two points to Texas State.

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Speaker 1: But at least in terms of what I know, whether

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Speaker 1: it's Carter Bradley or Trotter a quarterback. I like that

387
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Speaker 1: Web is declared for the draft. At running back he

388
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Speaker 1: may play, I doubt it, and then Lacy's in the portal.

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Speaker 1: But overall, this is still a team that was really

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Speaker 1: really good last year, had high expectations, had some high

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Speaker 1: highs this year against Eastern Michigan. I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: bury the lead in any further. This is the worst

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Speaker 1: ball team. Eastern Michigan ranks outside the top one hundred

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Speaker 1: and both offensive and defensive efficiency. And let's go through

395
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Speaker 1: their resume here for their six wins Howard UMass Ball State,

396
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Speaker 1: Kent State, Akron, Buffalo. Unbelievable that this is allowed to

397
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Speaker 1: stand as Bowl eligibility, where Army goes six and six

398
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Speaker 1: and they're not in just you know, crime against humanity there.

399
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Speaker 1: Udeng Wu the third is in at quarterback. He's a

400
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 1: run first guy, very inaccurate as a passer. Their offense

401
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:43,880
Speaker 1: finished one hundred and nineteenth and success right one hundred

402
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Speaker 1: and twenty fifth and explosives generated. This team is no good.

403
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Speaker 1: They are not upsetting South Alabama, one of the biggest

404
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Speaker 1: favorites on the board. For a reason, particularly in a

405
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Speaker 1: confidence situation, I don't have to lay the points. They're

406
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Speaker 1: absolutely winning this game, so I'm building my whole card

407
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Speaker 1: around them.

408
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Speaker 3: Yeah. I started laughing when you were like, listen off

409
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Speaker 3: to off Alabama players.

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Speaker 2: I was like, who cares?

411
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Speaker 3: Just your our whole argument you've been Eastern Michigan is horrific.

412
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Speaker 3: They're just they're a terrible MAC team. I don't even

413
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Speaker 3: know why they're them being a bit of mount game

414
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:10,280
Speaker 3: is outrageous. Yeah, I love that.

415
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Speaker 1: We're gonna go a little bit faster here for the upsets.

416
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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get it started here first. I like air

417
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Speaker 1: Force upset James Madison James Masson is a team that

418
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Speaker 1: we love the entire year. But to me, the season's over.

419
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Speaker 1: There was a chance at the perfect year. They lose

420
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Speaker 1: in an overtime thriller against app State. Then they're head

421
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Speaker 1: coach Tagnetti off to Indiana. He takes his oc DC

422
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Speaker 1: and quarterback coach. He got five starters and three more

423
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Speaker 1: contributors in the portal. They said they're gonna play. Are

424
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Speaker 1: they really gonna play? If another school comes in and says, okay,

425
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Speaker 1: you're on scholarship, come start practicing with us, or at

426
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,400
Speaker 1: least you know, you know move your stuff like it's

427
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Speaker 1: time to go. I think some of those kids are

428
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Speaker 1: not going to play. I understand that McLeod said that

429
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 1: he's ago. We'll see if that's gonna make a difference,

430
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: because this offensive line has simply just not been as

431
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 1: good since Tyshawn Wyatt got hurt in Week nine. They're

432
00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 1: left tackle. Meanwhile, Air Force is getting healthy, Zach Larrier

433
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:01,120
Speaker 1: is potentially back, same with Dane Kinneman and Jared Roznos

434
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:03,679
Speaker 1: on the perimeter. That's a big bump for their passing game.

435
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: Remember this team started eight to zero, so there's proof

436
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 1: that when they're healthy they can put it all together. But,

437
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:10,200
Speaker 1: like I always like to say, I'm not going to

438
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 1: bury the lead anymore. Here Service academies straight up in

439
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,399
Speaker 1: bowl games since twenty and three, twenty and thirteen, twenty

440
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 1: three to ten against the spread, and Calhoun always gets

441
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: his boys up for the bowl games. He's one of

442
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 1: the very best coaches in the postseason in all of

443
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,400
Speaker 1: college football. So I'll go with the Air Force here,

444
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 1: fly fight win.

445
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I hate it, but I also which Jamie was

446
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,679
Speaker 3: playing any other team. So for my underdog small one,

447
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 3: I'm going to Arkansas State against Northern Illinois. Look, the

448
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 3: Thumbelt was such a good conference this year, twelve of

449
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,000
Speaker 3: their fourteen teams reaching a bowl, so I'm looking to

450
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 3: target a lot of fun Belt teams this year. Arkansas

451
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 3: State was just a lot better than anybody thought this

452
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 3: year when freshman Jalen Rayner took over at quarterback after

453
00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:50,199
Speaker 3: like three games. You know, the offense wasn't super consistent,

454
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:52,920
Speaker 3: but it was really explosive. Top twentieth in the country.

455
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois has no passing attack. They're best receivers in

456
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,880
Speaker 3: the portal. Basically everyone else on their receiving course hurt.

457
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 3: So I don't know how they throw the ball at all,

458
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,679
Speaker 3: and their defense can't stop the run. Their offense is

459
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 3: super one dimensional, so I just don't think they're very

460
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 3: good and in a conference I thought was pretty bad

461
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,360
Speaker 3: this year, I think the Red Wolves are a better team,

462
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 3: so I think they get to win a little short

463
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 3: dog there. Give me Arkansas State.

464
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 1: I'm going to finish this up with Georgia Tech going

465
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,760
Speaker 1: against UCF. This is a Malasan Faye job. Playing as simple.

466
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,120
Speaker 1: He's two and five as a bowl favorite against the spread.

467
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:25,119
Speaker 2: I think he's going to.

468
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 1: Lose this one out right. He got two defensive starters

469
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,119
Speaker 1: in the portal for Georgia Tech, a starting corner in

470
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 1: the portal for UCF and Jira Wilson at safety may

471
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 1: also be out. But really, I'm just, you know, rolling

472
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 1: the dice on a high variance team. Georgia Tech is

473
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:42,360
Speaker 1: maybe the prototypical high variants team in all of college football.

474
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 1: They lose by eleven to Bowling Green, then they upset

475
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,120
Speaker 1: Miami on the road, they upset North Carolina at home,

476
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: then they lose to Clemson by twenty one. Then they

477
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,200
Speaker 1: only lose to Georgia by eight. So they're up and down.

478
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 1: They're up and down, But at least I know their core,

479
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,360
Speaker 1: their young core that's either freshman or sophomores Haines King

480
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: at quarterback, Eric Singleton junior at wide, and Jamal Haynes

481
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,640
Speaker 1: at running back. I trust this core to get it done.

482
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 1: And I just think this has kind of been a

483
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:09,119
Speaker 1: weird transitional year. They've had some quarterback injuries. For uc IF,

484
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,360
Speaker 1: they just never were able to get momentum. Whereas Georgia Tech.

485
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 1: It's weird to say, but at six and six, a

486
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 1: program that's been floundering for years, I think they have momentum,

487
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,160
Speaker 1: so I'll go with the ramblin reck from Georgia Tech.

488
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, don't hate it at all. For my last pick,

489
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 3: I'm going with Cal against Texas Tech. You know, my

490
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 3: approach to Bold season is to kind of try to

491
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:31,360
Speaker 3: target teams that outperformed the expectations against teams that underperformed,

492
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 3: and that's kind of what you have here. Cal went

493
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 3: six and six with a win total of five, where

494
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 3: Texas Tech went six and six with a win total

495
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: of seven and a half. So those six and six

496
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 3: is look different. Everyone was picking Texas Tech as They're

497
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:44,880
Speaker 3: like trendy sleeper pick. I thought they were pretty bad

498
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,199
Speaker 3: for most of the year. Their passing him is terrible.

499
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 3: Tyler Shock got hurt because of course he did. Morgan

500
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 3: had just twelve touchdowns and seven picks. He really wasn't

501
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,719
Speaker 3: that good. Now their top two receivers are in the portal,

502
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,360
Speaker 3: so they ran the ball really well with Taj Brooks,

503
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 3: but really the only thing they do well. I'm not

504
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 3: sure if he's into I think I saw something he's

505
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 3: planning to come back, so I'm sure you know they'll

506
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 3: have him at least, But Cal's run defense is better

507
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 3: than their pass defense, and like I said, the Texas

508
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 3: Deck pass offense doesn't really scare me that much. Cal

509
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 3: also wants to rely on their run game with Jayda

510
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 3: Not who's a stud freshman Fernando Mendoza. He took over

511
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,920
Speaker 3: halfway through the year and he got a lot better

512
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:24,639
Speaker 3: as the season went on, so I'm kind of riding

513
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,439
Speaker 3: that momentum with him. Cal won their final three games

514
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 3: to reach full eligibility. Like I said, Mendoza looked better,

515
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 3: So I think they just come into this game in

516
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 3: a better spot than Texas Tech does. So give me

517
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 3: the Bears to get the upset over Texas Deck.

518
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 1: I love that one. Wilcox saved his job. He's at

519
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: three and six. He was going to get cans they

520
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 1: went out. Mendoza has been a huge, you know, life

521
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 1: saver for them, coming in and giving them consistent quarterback plays.

522
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 1: So I agree for a Texas Tech team that just

523
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 1: like I was saying, you know, teams can look dysfunctional

524
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,119
Speaker 1: and fail to get momentum. They were supposed to be

525
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,360
Speaker 1: a Big twelve dark horse and they were the opposite

526
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: this year, so I think it's a big letdown for them,

527
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 1: Whereas Cal this is a game they absolutely can get

528
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: up for. All right, we're gonna kick it back to

529
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 1: Stuck and Colin, but first i'd like to say, Stucky,

530
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: our job would be impossible without your Transfer Portal opt

531
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,159
Speaker 1: out Tracker. One of the best things that's ever been

532
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 1: put together at the Action Network. So please, if you're

533
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 1: listening out there on YouTube or on the podcast, you

534
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: got to check this out. It gets updated daily. You

535
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: can check out everything that's happening before kickoff because player

536
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: availability is always up in the air. So Stuck, thank

537
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: you so much.

538
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 2: Back to you, all right, thanks as always to Mike

539
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 2: and Mike, and if you haven't checked out the group

540
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 2: of five Bowle betting Prevy, make sure you do that.

541
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,560
Speaker 2: They always do a tremendous job. By the time you're

542
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 2: listening this. If you listened to this early, we might

543
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 2: already have part one out and then Part two, three,

544
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: and four coming in. Then well have our National Championship review.

545
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: Lots more Bowl content to come, but I hope you

546
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 2: enjoyed this episode giving you eight favorites and eight underdogs

547
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 2: to consider ahead of time for betting or cool purposes.

548
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 2: Thanks Colin as always for joining me. Thanks to Mike,

549
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 2: and Mike thanks to prusting the back end. Thanks mostupportly

550
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,360
Speaker 2: to all of you. Make sure you' gribe on, subscribe, subscribe,

551
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 2: Fello friend and telling nonemy leave five star review. They

552
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 2: really helped U out. We'll do a bunch of getaways

553
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 2: during both seasons to say whatever to leave a five

554
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 2: star review. Appreciate all of your support. It's time for

555
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,120
Speaker 2: us to go diving back into the portal and try

556
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 2: to find some more Bowl winners. Make sure you also

557
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 2: download the war winning Action never cap, but thanksget for

558
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,120
Speaker 2: tuning in. Live up on all of your wages and

559
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 2: in all of your pools, and we'll catch all later. Cheers.

560
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 4: Peace Out. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

561
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

562
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,480
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