WEBVTT - Coal Stocks Trading at Cheap Valuations in Distressed Universe, Schultze Says

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Right now,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to dig a little bit into the distressed

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<v Speaker 1>debt market. George Schultz is chief executive officer of Schultz

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<v Speaker 1>Asset Management, which oversees about two million dollars and is

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<v Speaker 1>based in Purchase, New York. And George, you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>I talked to distressed debt investors, a lot of them

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<v Speaker 1>are tearing their hair out because the size of the

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<v Speaker 1>distressed debt market is shrunk to about the smallest since

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<v Speaker 1>right before the financial crisis, and it seems like there

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<v Speaker 1>just isn't enough to stress to go around. Are you trying?

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<v Speaker 1>Are you tear in your hair out? What's left of

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<v Speaker 1>it that I've already corned most of it out? But alright, then,

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<v Speaker 1>are there any opportunities right now? There are? There are,

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<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of opportunities, especially in the energy market.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of companies in the oil and gas space

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<v Speaker 1>and in the coal industry have defaulted in the past

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen months, and many of them have emerged now. So

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<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of post reor equities trading as

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<v Speaker 1>we call them, companies that have restructured, gone through a

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<v Speaker 1>reorganization event and now trade as post reord equities, but

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<v Speaker 1>many of them aren't that well known. UM. Interestingly, many

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<v Speaker 1>of them are very cheap, but they're not in the

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<v Speaker 1>form of debt anymore. They're they're mostly trading as equities now.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure one is Energy twenty one, a company that's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>UH and much cheaper. There's another one, Sampson Resources that

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<v Speaker 1>that was formerly one of the largest natural gas leverage

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<v Speaker 1>bios ever restructured, came out of bankruptcy last year. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of smaller ones, a lot of them aren't

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<v Speaker 1>that well known. And then there are some companies in

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<v Speaker 1>other industries that trade as UH post distress equities as well,

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<v Speaker 1>like for example, came out of restructuring several years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's an interesting news with that today with a

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<v Speaker 1>potential Chinese investor looking to buy the company. Another one,

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<v Speaker 1>Hawaiian Telcom, which is a telecommunications company that restructured several

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<v Speaker 1>years ago and was recently sold to Cincinnati Bell at

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<v Speaker 1>a nice premium. And a third one also in a

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<v Speaker 1>different industry, Tropicana, which is a casino company that's been

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<v Speaker 1>that was restructured several years ago. UM had been trading

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<v Speaker 1>as post distress equity and most recently benefited from a

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<v Speaker 1>huge stock buy back. So there's plenty going on, it's

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<v Speaker 1>just not in the form of distress debt UM. It's

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<v Speaker 1>more post distress equities these days, although I would imagine

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<v Speaker 1>it you have a lot of competition because it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like investors are fighting for any scrap of an opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>they can find, just because of the incredibly high valuations

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<v Speaker 1>and public liquid markets right now. Have you found that

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<v Speaker 1>there is a lot of competition here or are these

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<v Speaker 1>opportunities too small and too speculative to really attract the

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<v Speaker 1>big money. I think they're too small for the big money.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of the competition recently has been people pumping

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<v Speaker 1>money into big name ets and index funds UM and,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's also been a lot of chasing of returns

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<v Speaker 1>in the sixth income market. Now we're clearly in a

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<v Speaker 1>market where UH there's monetary tightening that's starting. UM interest

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<v Speaker 1>rates are still at very low levels, but we expect

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<v Speaker 1>them to rise. And now coming into the fall, it

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<v Speaker 1>looks like the SAID will be starting to reverse. It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's quantitative using program, and with that we expect six

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<v Speaker 1>income securities to trade off. So we think the best

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<v Speaker 1>opportunity right now is in equities, but but not in

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<v Speaker 1>blindly throwing money at et s and the largest companies

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<v Speaker 1>like Google and Facebook and Microsoft. Rather, I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to pay more to work as an active manager

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<v Speaker 1>and look for specific opportunities. And yes, sometimes they're smaller companies,

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<v Speaker 1>but the but the valuation there makes it worthwhile to

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<v Speaker 1>to focus there. How have you changed your mix of

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<v Speaker 1>investments to more heavily weight equities versus debt? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you're you completely out of your debt investments in preparation

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<v Speaker 1>for some kind of market disruption in the wake of

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<v Speaker 1>the end of QI or the beginning of the unwine.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to make it sound so dramatic, since

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<v Speaker 1>they want to put us to sleep with this unwined. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we we have a decent amount of cash on the

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<v Speaker 1>sidelines ourselves right now. UM typically over a cycle, we

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<v Speaker 1>will our portfolios will evolve from being more heavily weighted

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<v Speaker 1>to distress debt when the default rate is high and

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<v Speaker 1>when the opportunities are plentiful too, when the default rate

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<v Speaker 1>drops and is expected to climb again, to focus more

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<v Speaker 1>on the equity side. So right now we're much more

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<v Speaker 1>focused on the equity side. I expect that going forward

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<v Speaker 1>as the faults start to rise again with with higher

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<v Speaker 1>interest rates, that's where we'll be shorting more equities and

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<v Speaker 1>eventually growing our fixed income book again. But right now

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<v Speaker 1>we're much more focused on equities and and and they

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<v Speaker 1>tend to be event driven because usually when equities traded

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<v Speaker 1>very cheap levels, good things happened to those companies over time,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what we've seen recently with a few names

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<v Speaker 1>I mentioned earlier. Energy twenty one and Samson Resources caught

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<v Speaker 1>my attention in particular because I remember back in two thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>fourteen and two fifteen, these were just decimated. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it was sort of watching a sort of train wreck

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<v Speaker 1>in front of your eyes when you looked at the

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<v Speaker 1>debt prices of these particular companies during that time. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sure they did go into bankruptcy, how much is your

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<v Speaker 1>wager on their out of bankruptcy equity? How much does

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<v Speaker 1>it depend on oil prices staying where they are or

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<v Speaker 1>going higher. Well, these are commodity companies and they definitely

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<v Speaker 1>are dependent on a good stable price of either natural

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<v Speaker 1>gas or oil depending on the company. But interestingly, for

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<v Speaker 1>those two companies, they benefit from having left behind massive

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<v Speaker 1>amount of debt when they're restructured. For Sampson, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it left behind about six billion of of of debt

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<v Speaker 1>in its restructuring and now there there's there's post re

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<v Speaker 1>or equity, but it is private. It doesn't trade uh

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<v Speaker 1>in too liquid of a fashion. Energy twenty one is

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<v Speaker 1>also a little bit less liquid. That company I believe

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<v Speaker 1>left behind about three billion in debt and other liabilities.

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<v Speaker 1>So the good news with commodity companies when their restructure

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<v Speaker 1>is yes, you're still dependent on a healthy commodity market,

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<v Speaker 1>but fortunately the balance sheet can be much cleaner, and

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<v Speaker 1>you basically get a fresh a fresh star at a

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<v Speaker 1>new lease on life. That you think about it um

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<v Speaker 1>and if you have a little luck over the longer

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<v Speaker 1>term with commodities, you should do well. Another interesting sector

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<v Speaker 1>is the coal space. In the coal industry, there have

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<v Speaker 1>been just practically every major coal company in the US

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<v Speaker 1>filed for bankruptcy in the past twenty four months and

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<v Speaker 1>then came out. So companies like arch Coal and Peabody Energy,

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<v Speaker 1>we're trading at extremely cheap prices. And the the interesting

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<v Speaker 1>thing in the coal market is that there are several

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<v Speaker 1>types of coal, not just steam coal, which gets burned

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<v Speaker 1>to generate electricity, but also metallurgical coal, which is used

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<v Speaker 1>in making steal um, and that market has recovered quite nicely.

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<v Speaker 1>So a number of the coal companies are trading at

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<v Speaker 1>very cheap valuations through their equities as well, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>another area of focus for US lately. George, just in

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds when you were talking about your preference for

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<v Speaker 1>equities to bonds, it sounds like you think, I think

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<v Speaker 1>that equities can keep rallying even if benchmark rates sell off.

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<v Speaker 1>Thirty seconds. Why, yeah, Again, it's it's not at a

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<v Speaker 1>high level. It's not you know, the biggest of the

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<v Speaker 1>big names. It's not the SMP in general. It's more

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<v Speaker 1>individual companies that are trading at extremely cheap prices. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, good things tend to happen the cheap companies

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<v Speaker 1>over time when they're so cheap because their their distress

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<v Speaker 1>and nobody wants to have anything to do with them.

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<v Speaker 1>That's usually when you find some bargains. George Schultz, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for joining us. Truly, uh fascinating to

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<v Speaker 1>dig into some of these specific names that hold probably

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<v Speaker 1>more promised than broad indices at these incredibly high valuations.

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<v Speaker 1>George Schultz is chief executive officer of Schultz Asset Management,

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<v Speaker 1>which oversees about two hundred million dollars and is based

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<v Speaker 1>in Purchase, New York. Herbal life it is the story

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<v Speaker 1>that just keeps on giving. Met Townsends is here in

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg eleven three our studios. Met Townsend is a

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<v Speaker 1>global business reporter for Bloomberg News. And I know that.

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<v Speaker 1>And all of a sudden, you saw the shares surging

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<v Speaker 1>this morning. You just got this excitement in you in

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<v Speaker 1>pre market, you know, you're shaking your head back. It's back.

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<v Speaker 1>You get to talk about it to get what's going on.

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<v Speaker 1>So so this has to do with Carl I can.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, herbal life was brought into our consciousness when

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<v Speaker 1>there was a spat between Bill Ackman and Carl Icon

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<v Speaker 1>over at Acman very in a high profile manner departed

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<v Speaker 1>from the company. Now we have carl Icon remaining. Why

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<v Speaker 1>are the shares surging so much this morning? So the

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<v Speaker 1>company came out and said that they are going to

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<v Speaker 1>do a tender offer to buy back roughly six million

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<v Speaker 1>dollars worth of shares um at sixty eight bucks. So

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<v Speaker 1>the stock basically has been trading up towards sixty eight dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>And they also said that they were in buyout talks

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<v Speaker 1>or preliminary biot talks with someone which they didn't name,

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<v Speaker 1>which we're trying to figure out that to think the

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<v Speaker 1>company public. And they had been in talks roughly since November,

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<v Speaker 1>and these talks ended roughly last week. And so the

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<v Speaker 1>company take the company private. Yes, take the company private,

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<v Speaker 1>and which is something that Icon was rumored to be

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<v Speaker 1>looking at as well. Um, So that news kind of

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<v Speaker 1>creates this idea that, oh, maybe this will happen eventually,

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<v Speaker 1>a company will like a private equity firm, will take

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<v Speaker 1>a private another reason for the shares to go up, okay.

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<v Speaker 1>And then there also was this agreement that carl Icon, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I agreed to back off, right, so I kind of

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<v Speaker 1>agreed not to buy any shares for two years and

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<v Speaker 1>sort of let this this process play out of their

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<v Speaker 1>sort of strategy and how they're going forward. Um again, Icon,

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<v Speaker 1>biggest shareholder of Verbal Life, has five representatives on the

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<v Speaker 1>Third Team member board, so he's heavily invested in this

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<v Speaker 1>company doing well. Um and you know this is a

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<v Speaker 1>fight that goes back. Actman first short of the stock

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<v Speaker 1>or publicly announced his his short in uh the end

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<v Speaker 1>of two thousand and twelve, so we're four plus years

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<v Speaker 1>now into this. Shortly after Acman disclosed his short, Icon

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<v Speaker 1>came out as a bull on the stock, bought a

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<v Speaker 1>big steak, and they've had this public They've had a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of public sparring matches going back and forth over

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<v Speaker 1>the years. Obviously, Wall Streets loved all this drama. And

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<v Speaker 1>here we are. So so Herbal Life is a company

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<v Speaker 1>that is under this FTC order. This is kind of

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<v Speaker 1>this convoluted story. So into down sixty and the FTC

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<v Speaker 1>came out after an investigation and said, Herbal Life, we

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<v Speaker 1>don't like some parts of your business in the US.

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<v Speaker 1>You need to change there. In the process of doing that,

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<v Speaker 1>Actmin is still n in their belief that this will

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<v Speaker 1>eventually hurt the company and in the stockwell decline. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>right now, I'm looking at Herbal Life shares that are

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<v Speaker 1>up more than fort so far this year. So uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Acman got out probably rightly so at least based on

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<v Speaker 1>this year's performance when it came to betting against this company.

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<v Speaker 1>Met Towns, and thank you so much for joining us,

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<v Speaker 1>Matt town saying, global business reporter for Bloomberg News. And

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<v Speaker 1>speaking of Carl Icon, he resigned from his special regulatory

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<v Speaker 1>advisory role to President Trump. Tendered his letter of resignation

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<v Speaker 1>on Friday. Sort of odd letter. I want to bring

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<v Speaker 1>in Mario Parker. He's agricultural reporter for Bloomberg News in

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<v Speaker 1>our Chicago bureau. And uh, Mario, can you just tell

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<v Speaker 1>us a little bit about why Carl Icon, a billionaire investor,

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<v Speaker 1>resigned from this position and what this position was? Sure? Absolutely, Lisa,

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<v Speaker 1>so Uh. Carl Icon was named special advisor on regulations

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<v Speaker 1>to President Trump. Um uh a little over a month

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<v Speaker 1>um or so after Trump's victory in November. He was

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<v Speaker 1>an early endorser of President Trump's campaign. Um. Someone that's

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<v Speaker 1>President Trump name checked quite a bit on the stop um,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly about his business acumen, etcetera. And so what was

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<v Speaker 1>happening during the same time was that Icon is a

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<v Speaker 1>major owner of an independent oil refiner, CVR Energy, and

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<v Speaker 1>CVR Energy, among with a select few of other refiners,

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<v Speaker 1>had been pushing for changes to UH the US ethanol

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<v Speaker 1>mandate UM, saying that the cost to comply with the

0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:20.640
<v Speaker 1>program were too onerous, and so Icon had become kind

0:13:20.640 --> 0:13:23.720
<v Speaker 1>of the public face of this campaign as well, UH

0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 1>really kind of pushing the Environmental Protection Agency to UM

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>to make these changes UM. After President Trump assumed office

0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and after again UM Mr Icon's UM designation or appointment

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:44.160
<v Speaker 1>as a special regulatory Advisor, there was increased scrutiny about

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:46.880
<v Speaker 1>whether or not he would be using that position to

0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of influence UM that change that he had been

0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:53.600
<v Speaker 1>advocating for H for the better part of the the

0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:58.640
<v Speaker 1>last year. And UH was there any evidence that this

0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 1>increased rutiny and potential legal jeopardy. As a New Yorker

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 1>article kind of put it right after UH Carl Icon

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 1>resigned from the board, that this was the reason for

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:15.959
<v Speaker 1>his resignation. Well, the letter that Mr Icon sent UM

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:20.600
<v Speaker 1>sent to President Trump on Friday, you know, referring to

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:25.120
<v Speaker 1>this departure, he specifically mentioned that he only spoke about

0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>broad matters of policy affecting the refining industry. UM and

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 1>that UM, you know, he shared, you know, his limited

0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 1>knowledge about certain insights with uncertain subjects. But what we

0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:44.040
<v Speaker 1>know and what are reporting has shown. Uh, both myself

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 1>and our colleague Jen de Louis and Washington was that UM.

0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:51.280
<v Speaker 1>Earlier this year, Mr Icon was trying to broke her

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:56.320
<v Speaker 1>a deal between the administration and the biofuels lobby. What

0:14:56.480 --> 0:15:00.800
<v Speaker 1>happened once that that news broke UM, it had an

0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 1>impact on different markets ranging from corn to crude oil

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>to gasoline UM out of concern or speculation that Mr

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Icon would prevail in this rule he was trying to

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>get changed. Essentially, the rule he was trying to get

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 1>changed would move the owners from refiners like the one

0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 1>that he owns closer to the customer UM that that

0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:26.120
<v Speaker 1>delivers the gas, the gas and ethanol to two gasoline stations. Yeah.

0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.680
<v Speaker 1>And you guys did some great reporting on how much

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:32.080
<v Speaker 1>money he made off of just market speculation that the

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 1>rule would be changed. Uh. And his letter is fascinating

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 1>and very odd, and I recommend everybody read it. UH.

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Sort of him resigning from a non job where he

0:15:40.680 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 1>did nothing, but it's not illegal and he's resigning. Well.

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 1>For a number of years we heard quite a bit

0:15:57.120 --> 0:15:59.880
<v Speaker 1>about pure to pure lending. It was going to completely

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:04.760
<v Speaker 1>disrupt the big financial firms in the industry. Then there

0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>was some skepticism. Now we're kind of getting to this

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>new equilibrium where big banks are trying to incorporate more

0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>peer to peer type technology into their day to day routines.

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Here to join us is Jared Hecked. He's CEO and

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 1>co founder of Fundera, which is based in New York

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 1>and is an online lender specifically trying to hook up

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 1>businesses with people that have money, whether it's banks, or

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 1>whether it's hedge funds, or whether it's you name it. Jared,

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 1>can you give me a sense of how many transactions

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 1>your platform has been facilitating of late? Uh, it's about

0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:48.760
<v Speaker 1>three years old, right, Yeah, so we're first off, thanks

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.640
<v Speaker 1>for having me, Lisa. Um. So we're around three years old.

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 1>To date, we've done close to half a billion dollars

0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:57.680
<v Speaker 1>in volume through our platform, servicing around eight thousand different

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>small business owners. Uh, and currently around twenty five million

0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>dollars a month is facilitated through our platform. So what's

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:08.119
<v Speaker 1>the model. Here, a business wants to get a loan,

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:10.800
<v Speaker 1>how do you come into the picture here. Yeah, So,

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>generally speaking, a small business owner has a problem or

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity, and they think that some form of credit

0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.159
<v Speaker 1>can be a viable solution for that. UM they'll do

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:21.720
<v Speaker 1>a search for something like small business loans or line

0:17:21.720 --> 0:17:24.840
<v Speaker 1>of credit in in search of actually educating themselves on

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 1>what they're eligible for, and they'll they'll stumble on fundera UM.

0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:31.120
<v Speaker 1>We then provide business owners an immense amount of education

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.359
<v Speaker 1>and literature about the different types of products that are

0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:36.159
<v Speaker 1>accessible to business owners and the different types of lenders

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:39.119
<v Speaker 1>that actually service them. We also provide them what we

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>call a common application, so it's a very easy way

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 1>for a business owner to enter in a bit of information,

0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:48.159
<v Speaker 1>provide a little bit of documentation. We then verify some

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 1>of that information and determine which lenders and products in

0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:54.440
<v Speaker 1>our network they're actually eligible for. Those products spanned from

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:56.960
<v Speaker 1>things like business credit cards that would be provided by

0:17:57.119 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the American Expresses, Capital, wand and Chases of the world

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:02.800
<v Speaker 1>old to online loans and lines of credit that are

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 1>provided by companies like Lending Club, on Deck, Cabbage, and

0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Swift Capital. So This is something more than just peer

0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 1>to peer lending or even pure lending. This is more

0:18:13.280 --> 0:18:18.480
<v Speaker 1>like being an online business advisor, some kind of combination

0:18:18.640 --> 0:18:23.040
<v Speaker 1>between a robo advisor and UH an online platform to

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 1>hook you up with lending. That's exactly right, with the

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:28.359
<v Speaker 1>core focus on, you know, advisory services and education and

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:32.200
<v Speaker 1>then the matchmaking and taking a lot of the cumbersome

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:34.720
<v Speaker 1>issues and applying for a loan and uncertainty out of

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.280
<v Speaker 1>that process. How do you make money? We make money.

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Every time alone is offered and accepted on our platform,

0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:42.800
<v Speaker 1>a lender or an issuer will pay us what is

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:46.240
<v Speaker 1>essentially the equivalent of a referral fate. And that's largely

0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:48.399
<v Speaker 1>done because we're stripping out a lot of marketing costs

0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 1>and operational costs from their system because we really take

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 1>care of all the search for the business owner and

0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:57.479
<v Speaker 1>the packaging process as well. It sounds like kind of

0:18:57.480 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the business model for some of the middle get lenders,

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:02.879
<v Speaker 1>of which there are many, and I imagine that the

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:07.640
<v Speaker 1>competition is pretty fierce. Is that right? Yeah? I think

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:10.640
<v Speaker 1>the business model is similar to some of the companies

0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 1>on the consumer end, like credit Karma or potentially nerd

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 1>wallet UM where We're really focused on orienting a potential

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 1>borrower around what's actually out there for them. UM. But

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:23.840
<v Speaker 1>the competition, to your point, is fierce, right, there's a

0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:25.640
<v Speaker 1>lot of people that are trying to get in front

0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 1>of small business owners. We just take I think, a

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>very deliberate and focused approach that's not about selling a

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 1>business owner, but more of oriented around educating a business owner.

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:37.000
<v Speaker 1>So what types of businesses have used your platform? Who

0:19:37.080 --> 0:19:39.880
<v Speaker 1>runs the gamut? I'd say the most popular industries are

0:19:40.040 --> 0:19:44.400
<v Speaker 1>somewhat conventional mainstream businesses, whether those are retail shops or restaurants.

0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:46.520
<v Speaker 1>We do a lot of work with independent consultants and

0:19:46.560 --> 0:19:50.160
<v Speaker 1>contractors as well. They might be veterinarians or doctor's offices.

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 1>I think the thing that we've learned is that no

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 1>too small business owners are alike, so we really try

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:58.000
<v Speaker 1>and provide a comprehensive solution to all the business owners

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.320
<v Speaker 1>that are out there. Interesting, and you said that you

0:20:00.359 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>did raise a twenty million dollars equity financing UM, And

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:07.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering whether you put any of your own money

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 1>up or is it purely in operations that you have

0:20:10.480 --> 0:20:14.680
<v Speaker 1>to continue as far as having the educational resources and

0:20:15.160 --> 0:20:18.639
<v Speaker 1>arranging all of the connecting lenders to the platform. So

0:20:18.720 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 1>did I put any of my own personal money? Now?

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, like on an ongoing basis, is there the

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 1>company's money capital up in the platform. We don't lend

0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:31.159
<v Speaker 1>a single dollar. We think that that's really important because

0:20:31.200 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 1>it enables us to maintain a high degree of objectivity.

0:20:34.640 --> 0:20:37.399
<v Speaker 1>Um the second we start lending capital, all of our

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 1>lender partners would generally believe that we're trying to actually

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:43.480
<v Speaker 1>be the primary lender of record. And I also think

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 1>it biases us in a way that's unfavorable to the

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>business owner because then our intentions may not be quite clear.

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 1>We're really there to help find them the best product

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 1>and lender for their needs. You know, one thing that

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:56.919
<v Speaker 1>a lot of big banks have complained about is that

0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:01.360
<v Speaker 1>the demand for loans, specifically among size and smaller businesses

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:05.359
<v Speaker 1>just isn't there. That people aren't investing in UH, in

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:10.040
<v Speaker 1>their infrastructure or their businesses. Do you find the same thing, Well,

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:12.880
<v Speaker 1>we're not really talking about mid market loans here at Fondera,

0:21:12.960 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, generally speaking, or the average sized loan that

0:21:15.359 --> 0:21:18.400
<v Speaker 1>a customer wants to our platform is around sixty dollars.

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:22.399
<v Speaker 1>We don't see any slowdown demand or appetite for business

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 1>owners who are looking for working capital to invest in

0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>their growth. And what about due diligence? What kind of

0:21:27.480 --> 0:21:30.400
<v Speaker 1>due diligence is there on the system on the platform

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>UM SO, I think it's two fold. We do due

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 1>diligence on every single small business owner that comes to

0:21:34.800 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 1>FUNDERA and starts to submit an application. We work with

0:21:37.880 --> 0:21:40.120
<v Speaker 1>third party credit bureaus and a bunch of third party

0:21:40.200 --> 0:21:42.359
<v Speaker 1>data providers to make sure that the business is real

0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 1>UM and that's really done so that we're making sure

0:21:45.520 --> 0:21:47.040
<v Speaker 1>that the business owner has to do as little work

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 1>as possible, and it's a high quality service for our

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:52.680
<v Speaker 1>lender partners so they know that the information that they're

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:55.880
<v Speaker 1>getting is real inbedded. And then we also do due

0:21:55.880 --> 0:21:58.119
<v Speaker 1>diligence in regards to the types of lenders that we

0:21:58.160 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 1>work with. Since we're providing us service to a business owner,

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:02.920
<v Speaker 1>we want to make sure that the lenders that are

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:07.679
<v Speaker 1>on our platform are high integrity, you know, technology enabled

0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:10.600
<v Speaker 1>lenders that are going to provide a great service with

0:22:10.680 --> 0:22:13.480
<v Speaker 1>competitive and compelling rates out there. Where do you think

0:22:13.520 --> 0:22:16.200
<v Speaker 1>the peer to peer industry is heading right now? UM

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.840
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question. I think that in the peer

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:22.560
<v Speaker 1>to peer industry or just online lending, non bank lending,

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:25.199
<v Speaker 1>I think what we're seeing is the bigger lenders are

0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:29.120
<v Speaker 1>becoming more stable and increasingly big overtime, and I think

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 1>that we're seeing a hyper competitive market for the smaller

0:22:32.280 --> 0:22:34.639
<v Speaker 1>players where it makes them very difficult for them to

0:22:34.680 --> 0:22:38.479
<v Speaker 1>actually get traction and prove that they're sustainable, viable businesses. So,

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 1>like most markets, as they mature, the bigger players are

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 1>getting bigger and becoming increasingly viable and stronger in the market.

0:22:44.880 --> 0:22:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Jared hec thank you so much for joining me. Thank you.

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 1>It's a fascinating time for online lending and uh, frankly

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:55.200
<v Speaker 1>online advising and kind of margically two is really interesting.

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>Jared Hect is chief executive officer and co founder of Fondero,

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 1>which is based in New York and has been around

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 1>since two thousand fourteen. Well, starting at the beginning of

0:23:17.720 --> 0:23:20.560
<v Speaker 1>next year, a new regime of regulations will go into

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:25.720
<v Speaker 1>effect in Europe that potentially could vastly change the way

0:23:25.880 --> 0:23:30.360
<v Speaker 1>that European investment managers consume research. But the changes may

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:32.679
<v Speaker 1>be more profound than that. Here to talk about that

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:36.440
<v Speaker 1>is Sarah Jones, UK finance reporter for Bloomberg News, coming

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:39.880
<v Speaker 1>to us from our London bureau. Sarah, can you give

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:43.160
<v Speaker 1>us just a sense, a very quick brief overview of

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 1>what these MITED regulations are and what some of the

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:50.280
<v Speaker 1>big concerns are about its implementation at this point? Hid

0:23:50.280 --> 0:23:53.600
<v Speaker 1>there sure? The I mean I can see outsets regulators.

0:23:53.600 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>What regulators are trying to do is make the system

0:23:56.560 --> 0:24:01.119
<v Speaker 1>more transparent and make individual industry players, whether it be

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 1>asset managers or the sales side, more accountable us to

0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:07.080
<v Speaker 1>how money has been invested in how you know client

0:24:07.160 --> 0:24:10.080
<v Speaker 1>what clients are actually paying for. So it's starting off

0:24:10.080 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 1>to make more transparent, make it safer. But of course

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:15.440
<v Speaker 1>see consequence of that as is you start to enforce

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:18.320
<v Speaker 1>some of this regulation and starts become more prescriptive. Is

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:22.120
<v Speaker 1>you start to get these other unintended effects. Um So,

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:24.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, an obvious one is job losses within the

0:24:24.680 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 1>research part. But it's not just research. That's I mean,

0:24:28.080 --> 0:24:31.679
<v Speaker 1>research is more controversial part of the of the new rules,

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:34.480
<v Speaker 1>but it's it's it's it's going to affect everything from

0:24:34.600 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 1>creating volumes to um to you know, how how many

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:41.440
<v Speaker 1>funds were sold by a distributor on the continent. It's

0:24:41.520 --> 0:24:44.200
<v Speaker 1>very far reaching, and then those consequences aren't yet known yet.

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:49.080
<v Speaker 1>Talking about the implementation of this rule, my understanding is

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:51.760
<v Speaker 1>that a lot of investment firms are quite behind under

0:24:51.800 --> 0:24:55.119
<v Speaker 1>the implementation. Is there any chance that, I don't know,

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 1>people might get a bit of a extra cushion of

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:02.160
<v Speaker 1>time to implement this or do you expect a rush

0:25:02.240 --> 0:25:04.600
<v Speaker 1>of changes to happen in the next few months. Well,

0:25:04.640 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>I think all firms, whether it's self side to buy side,

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:11.119
<v Speaker 1>aiming to be compliant. But I think given the vast

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:13.359
<v Speaker 1>impact it's going to have, I think regulators are going

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>to give a sort of a buffer period. I mean,

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.520
<v Speaker 1>certainly in research for example. UM I think the UK

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>regulator at least has said, well, you don't have to

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.240
<v Speaker 1>determine prices for the next you know, you've got three

0:25:23.240 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 1>months before you figure out exactly how you're going to

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:28.719
<v Speaker 1>price for research, which has it's been a good because

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:30.639
<v Speaker 1>at this stage and I'll be really, I mean everybody

0:25:30.720 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 1>is still keeping their cards quite close to their chest.

0:25:32.840 --> 0:25:35.240
<v Speaker 1>So that's one example. I mean, as for others, UM,

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:37.880
<v Speaker 1>I think it's it's it's going to be a work

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:43.760
<v Speaker 1>in progress. Sarah, you were talking about potential slowdowns in trade.

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:45.919
<v Speaker 1>Can you talk about can you sort of walk us

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:50.160
<v Speaker 1>through how that would transpire and what in the regulations

0:25:50.359 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>would lead to that outcome. So this particular reporting was

0:25:54.520 --> 0:25:58.800
<v Speaker 1>done by our London based regulator reporter Celebrush. So, I mean,

0:25:58.840 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 1>I didn't do the number crunchy on this, but the

0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 1>gist of what his report was about was very conflicting

0:26:06.080 --> 0:26:09.600
<v Speaker 1>rules between let's say the US and the UK, and

0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:12.159
<v Speaker 1>it sees rules and around how you trade that that

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 1>could potentially um have an impact. Now how long that

0:26:16.040 --> 0:26:17.719
<v Speaker 1>impact will last? I mean, I'm sure you know it's

0:26:17.720 --> 0:26:19.359
<v Speaker 1>the dust settle, it all go back to normal, but

0:26:19.400 --> 0:26:22.480
<v Speaker 1>it could be quite disruptive um and so much so

0:26:22.680 --> 0:26:24.879
<v Speaker 1>that some of the lobby groups are coming out and

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:28.879
<v Speaker 1>begging that, you know, they could delay these regulations as

0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 1>it pertains to say derivatives trading until after the regime

0:26:32.800 --> 0:26:36.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of sorry, the regulators between individual companies that of

0:26:36.280 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 1>reconcile because at the moment they're rather conflicting and and

0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:42.760
<v Speaker 1>so and hence the confusion. I mean, these are question

0:26:42.800 --> 0:26:45.159
<v Speaker 1>marks and whether that you know, it might be it

0:26:45.240 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 1>might be just it might be settled before January. But

0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:49.359
<v Speaker 1>it's only five months out, so you have to wonder

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:53.600
<v Speaker 1>how how how quickly they're going to resolve this problem,

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:56.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, sir, I have to wonder, we've already seen

0:26:56.880 --> 0:27:01.040
<v Speaker 1>thousands of cuts from research departments across street over the

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:04.720
<v Speaker 1>past number of years. Have all of the sort of

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>job productions been baked in because these regulations are no secret? Yeah? Quite,

0:27:11.119 --> 0:27:13.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't think so. Um as this. I think every

0:27:13.680 --> 0:27:16.199
<v Speaker 1>analyst still has a job as it stands now. I

0:27:16.200 --> 0:27:18.359
<v Speaker 1>haven't heard of any you know, job cuts and analysts,

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:21.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, certainly this year. Um. I mean, I'm sure

0:27:21.080 --> 0:27:23.159
<v Speaker 1>there have been. Maybe people are starting to sort of

0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:24.680
<v Speaker 1>read the you know, the writings on the wall and

0:27:24.920 --> 0:27:28.840
<v Speaker 1>do other things. McKinsey put McKinsey put out a decent report.

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:31.840
<v Speaker 1>So it's quite interesting that since the crisis, you know,

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:34.480
<v Speaker 1>in sales and and and sales trading, you know, you've

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:37.119
<v Speaker 1>seen the head counts drop by something like what is

0:27:37.119 --> 0:27:40.399
<v Speaker 1>it forty in sales and trading, and for research it's

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of a cash equity research we're talking about. This

0:27:42.520 --> 0:27:45.040
<v Speaker 1>is not even including credit research. It's fallen by just

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 1>twelve percent since twenty eleven, So, you know, and next

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:52.120
<v Speaker 1>coupled with the with the the data that they expect,

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:56.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, investment spending in research for investment banks to

0:27:56.080 --> 0:27:59.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of dropped by thirty So I mean, I mean,

0:27:59.240 --> 0:28:01.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't there's any hard numbers about how

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.159
<v Speaker 1>many how many job losses there will be, but I

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 1>think less demand for research surely that's going to mean

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:07.920
<v Speaker 1>less demand for analysts. Yeah. Well, one thing that I've

0:28:07.920 --> 0:28:09.639
<v Speaker 1>heard when I've talked to people about this is that

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:14.199
<v Speaker 1>they're expecting the top banks to continue with their staff.

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:16.240
<v Speaker 1>In other words, the Bank of America is the GP

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:19.120
<v Speaker 1>Morgans of the world. Uh, it's the sort of mid

0:28:19.119 --> 0:28:21.679
<v Speaker 1>tier banks that are probably going to suffer the biggest

0:28:21.760 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 1>job losses because you're going to have sort of nothing

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:27.800
<v Speaker 1>between the top tier research shops and the sort of

0:28:27.960 --> 0:28:31.719
<v Speaker 1>niche specialists that could potentially charge less because they've got

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:34.680
<v Speaker 1>lower overhead. And then the middle is what's going to

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:39.200
<v Speaker 1>get really crunched. Um. And so I've seen that yet exactly.

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:42.000
<v Speaker 1>So it's the sort of barbel between you know, the

0:28:42.040 --> 0:28:46.200
<v Speaker 1>bold brackets and sort of the bespoke specialist housing houses

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:48.720
<v Speaker 1>rather and so what happens in the middle, I guess

0:28:48.800 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the conversations that I was having in Again, this is

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 1>all anecdotal as yet because its actually happen. There's no

0:28:52.960 --> 0:28:56.160
<v Speaker 1>hearten of us data yet. Um, if you're not ranked

0:28:56.280 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 1>in the top I mean as the managers are going

0:28:58.240 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 1>through a moment of okay, well how do how do

0:28:59.760 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>we've your research? And we have to be more discerning.

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:03.800
<v Speaker 1>So if you're not ranked in the top three or

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>four and you it happened to fall out of it

0:29:06.160 --> 0:29:08.040
<v Speaker 1>in five seven, you know, why would you keep paying

0:29:08.080 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 1>for that research? It's expensive? So and that's yeah, Thank

0:29:11.640 --> 0:29:13.600
<v Speaker 1>you so much and I'm sure that we will continue

0:29:13.640 --> 0:29:17.120
<v Speaker 1>to follow this. Sarah Jones, UK finance reporter with Bloomberg News,

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:22.040
<v Speaker 1>coming to us from London. Thank you so much. Thanks

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:24.720
<v Speaker 1>for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You

0:29:24.760 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 1>can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:32.120
<v Speaker 1>or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm

0:29:32.160 --> 0:29:36.160
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo.

0:29:36.280 --> 0:29:38.880
<v Speaker 1>It's one before the podcast. You can always catch us

0:29:38.920 --> 0:29:40.480
<v Speaker 1>worldwide on Bloomberg Radio.