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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that Action boss.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing in So I'm sitting up to cash stop.

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Speaker 3: We'll see the most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 3: they go to wind.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to pull.

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Speaker 4: And we are come the way.

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Speaker 1: What's up everyone? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Chris RAYBN and this is your NFL Week

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Speaker 1: four betting preview. Today will build our Sunday six pack

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Speaker 1: of against the spread bets with the help of my

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Speaker 1: co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: How you feeling?

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Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother? First foul down to you carried

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Speaker 2: the squad? Last week a perfect week. I lost every

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Speaker 2: bet last week. Got so sick and tired of seeing

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Speaker 2: offensive linemen go down your Eagles. Your Eagles got home

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Speaker 2: despite losing Davante Smith and they lost two offensive linemen.

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Speaker 2: It was insane, but I deserved it because I bet

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Speaker 2: on will let us again. The Titans are on Monday

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Speaker 2: night and I refuse to bet that game. That game

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Speaker 2: is is a disaster. The joy that we did have

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Speaker 2: for the podcast is are both of our totals hit

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Speaker 2: again thanks to Singletary going down with the one and

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Speaker 2: the Steelers also ending the game with the one dog. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: the Panthers that come through for me finally and the

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Speaker 2: money my dog ten to one shot hit. A bunch

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Speaker 2: of messages from people that did follow that, so I

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Speaker 2: was happy for them. Your perfect week which carried the show.

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Speaker 2: I'll take credit for it because I released the Panthers

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Speaker 2: to you.

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Speaker 1: The show the Titans.

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Speaker 2: But I will say with all those injuries last week,

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Speaker 2: which was just created a crazy week, makes this week tougher.

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Speaker 1: Yes, I agree.

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Speaker 2: So there's a lot of games that we're going to

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Speaker 2: go through that is that are very difficult to really handicap.

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Speaker 2: I mean, there are some major cluster injuries. I can't

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Speaker 2: remember a week like this early in the season where

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Speaker 2: half the teams have cluster injuries somewhere and there's a

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Speaker 2: bunch of quarterback uncertainty across the board. So definitely makes

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Speaker 2: for an interesting week and an interesting board.

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Speaker 1: Last week was last week, this week was this week,

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Speaker 1: Next week will be next week. Like you always say,

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Speaker 1: we're on to the next I gotta keep it going.

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Speaker 1: Never get too high and d You're in the NFL season.

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Speaker 1: Week two, Week three, Week four, it was still early.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be a lot of overreactions. So let's

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Speaker 1: jump right into Thursday night football.

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Speaker 4: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday night football. Do you have the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Cowboys going in the Giants? It's five and a half now,

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Speaker 1: it was four for a while. I jumped up to

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Speaker 1: five and a half. A lot of that seems like

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Speaker 1: a public money coming in on the Cowboys. The total

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Speaker 1: is forty five, so I guess, speaking of over as,

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Speaker 1: my question to you, Stug is how much better does

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Speaker 1: this one receiver elite neighbors make the Giants because he

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, didn't look like a different quarterback only when

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Speaker 1: he's thrown the Neighbors though, he just throws passes that

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Speaker 1: he will throw at anyone else. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: sustainable it is, but at the same time, clearly already

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Speaker 1: one of the best receivers in the league. That could

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Speaker 1: be worth, you know, something to the spread. So just

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Speaker 1: curious is to you know, did you change your Giants

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Speaker 1: rating at all based on neighbors or or what.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I bumped them up a little bit. I mean

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Speaker 2: that game against the Browns was I mean, Neighbors was great.

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Speaker 2: The Giants offensive line is a little bit better, but

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Speaker 2: that game was more about the Browns offense and you know,

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Speaker 2: they had a bunch of offensive linemen go down and

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Speaker 2: uh did you what did the Giants have like six

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Speaker 2: or seven sacks in the game. Yeah, yeah, it was insane.

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Speaker 2: So but yeah, I mean, Neighbors is legit and he

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Speaker 2: definitely raises the floor end ceiling of this Giants offense.

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Speaker 2: And that was really up against a really good secondary

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Speaker 2: in Cleveland. This is it's an interesting matchup because on paper,

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Speaker 2: this is when you back the Cowboys. They you know,

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Speaker 2: Dak has been really successful as a favorite in his career.

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Speaker 2: Usually that's because that's against bad defenses, and once they

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Speaker 2: get up, they're able to play their style of defense,

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Speaker 2: get after opposing quarterbacks, be aggressive. So I think a

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Speaker 2: lot of this comes down to what happens early in

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Speaker 2: the game because both quarterbacks could be pressured. Here both

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Speaker 2: offensive lines the Giants are better there, but both offensive

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Speaker 2: lines have issues they're allowing pressures, and you know, both

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Speaker 2: defenses have guys that can get after the quarterback? So

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Speaker 2: can the Giants stay in it early? Like the biggest

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Speaker 2: weakness by far is that, you know, the Giants are

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Speaker 2: on a ton of explosive runs. The Cowboys don't have that.

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Speaker 2: The Cowboys cannot stop the run to save their life,

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Speaker 2: and they're dead last in line yards. Their defensive line

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Speaker 2: just gets pushed around. You know, the Giants don't have

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Speaker 2: a really good rushing offense. Can they take advantage of

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Speaker 2: that move the ball hit Neighbors and stay in it

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Speaker 2: early because if they do, then they can continue running,

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Speaker 2: not you know, not pressing. You know, Jones back there

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Speaker 2: and known passing situations and with the Cowboys defense teeing off.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I'm at like four point eight,

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Speaker 2: so it's not a game I'm running to bet. The

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Speaker 2: Cowboys also really do miss Bland at corner and Carson

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Speaker 2: who's been really bad, he's questionable to play. I'm curious

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Speaker 2: to see does dig shadow Neighbors Diggs has the best

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Speaker 2: shot at continuing because the Cowboys don't have a second corner.

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Speaker 2: It's bleak. I mean, I think Neighbors is the most

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Speaker 2: targets of any receiver in the NFL so far this year.

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Speaker 2: It's going to come down to the offensive line. It's

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Speaker 2: going to come down to if the Giants can stay

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Speaker 2: in it early. They're not a great rushing team, but

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Speaker 2: they they'll still have some success against the Cowboys running

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Speaker 2: the ball with Singletary, even using Jones using his legs,

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Speaker 2: as long as they don't let the game get way. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: this is a game I can see going many different

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Speaker 2: ways based on the start. But I'm like four point eight,

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Speaker 2: so I'm personally staying away.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, the trends back to Cowboys DAK thirty

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Speaker 1: one and fourteen versus a sub five hundred team against

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Speaker 1: the spread sixty nine percent on the road off the

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Speaker 1: loss eleven and three seventy nine percent. But this line

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Speaker 1: is jumping because everyone's kind of expecting a Cowboys bounce back,

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Speaker 1: you know, coming off. You know, they're one and two now,

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Speaker 1: and the Giants got this what people looked at as

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Speaker 1: like an upset win because they were six and a

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Speaker 1: half point underdogs against the Browns. So I feel like

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Speaker 1: a lot of the line is getting out of hand,

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Speaker 1: just because the Cowboys tend to be a public team,

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Speaker 1: and you know, even the Sharps probably feel like, oh,

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Speaker 1: you know, it's a bounce back spot for them, but

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Speaker 1: six points is five and a half. Six is a

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Speaker 1: lot on the road, even on a short week. I

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Speaker 1: think it's Giants or nothing here now that the line

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Speaker 1: has climbed, but it's it's probably going to be a

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Speaker 1: stay away for me because it's still enough. I don't

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Speaker 1: know about these teams. And just because in the second

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Speaker 1: half Browns, you know, they started shadowing neighbors and he

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Speaker 1: didn't really do much in the second half, So I

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Speaker 1: think the Diggs question is big. And there's also just

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Speaker 1: guys who are gonna break out for either side, right

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Speaker 1: Like you say, the Giants, you know, running game isn't great.

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Speaker 1: They started giving Tyrone Tracy more run down the stretch

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Speaker 1: in the second half against the Browns. You know, maybe

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Speaker 1: he gets more carries and maybe he's a revelation for

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Speaker 1: them as well, which would hurt the Cowboys. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would lean Giants here, just because I think the

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Speaker 1: line is a little bit inflated out. I don't think

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Speaker 1: you could just play like bounce back trends blindly. You know,

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Speaker 1: it has no bounds in math, and I just think

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Speaker 1: I just think the Cowboys anything over for fourish would

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Speaker 1: be kind of foolish delay on the road in a

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Speaker 1: division game, So yeah, stay stay away from Davos still

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Speaker 1: with nineteen and eleven against the spread as a dog,

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Speaker 1: so it's a stay away for me. I can see

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Speaker 1: the case for both sides.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to our Sunday six pack, the NFL

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Speaker 1: season has just begun, but the WNBA playoffs are underway

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Speaker 1: and Major League Baseball postseason starts next week as well.

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Speaker 1: So if you're interested in cashing in on these playoffs,

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Speaker 1: be sure to check out two of Action Network's best

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Speaker 1: podcast one we Got Payoff Pitch with new MLB betting

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Speaker 1: episodes every weekday during the playoffs, and Buckets WNBA for

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Speaker 1: all things betting in the w You can find Payoff

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Speaker 1: Pitch and Buckets WNBA podcast wherever you like to listen.

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Speaker 1: All right, now it's time for our week four Sunday

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Speaker 1: six Pack Thursday for Action. Let's crack open the Sunday

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Speaker 1: six pack. For everyone new to the show, we have

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Speaker 1: a little contest where we do two points for our

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Speaker 1: first two picks, a point for our third, a point

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Speaker 1: for a total which will be in the next segment,

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Speaker 1: and if you sweep, you get the extra point, So

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Speaker 1: I'm up fourteen to six. I'll go first week. I'm

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Speaker 1: in for my first pick, for my first pick of

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Speaker 1: the week, number four Sunday six pack. I am going

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Speaker 1: with the Indianapolis Colts plus one and a half at

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Speaker 1: home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. And the Pittsburgh Steelers team

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Speaker 1: is riding hot. They're three and oh, they're feeling good.

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Speaker 1: At this point. Justin Field's probably remains the quarterback. But

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Speaker 1: I think this Steeler team is still getting a little lucky.

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Speaker 1: They are number eleven, most luckiest team in our luck rankings.

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Speaker 1: But more than that, the Colts are the second unluckiest team.

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Speaker 1: They are thirty first. And this Coats team, yes, Anthony

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Speaker 1: Richardson has been missing a lot of throws and if

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Speaker 1: you watch the games, you look at you say, oh, man,

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Speaker 1: like this guy can't throw. But now we're at the

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Speaker 1: point where everyone's realizing he's always been this way. And

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Speaker 1: this Coats team, they're going to be competitive, especially against

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Speaker 1: the Steeler team. Starting Justin Fields as a road favorite.

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Speaker 1: Banged up Najie Harris, banged up Jaywin Warren, which is

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Speaker 1: important because the Steelers want to run the football. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter who they're playing, that's what they want to do.

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Speaker 1: So the fact that they have you know, both of

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Speaker 1: their backs a bangal. I mean they were using Cordell

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Speaker 1: Patterson at running back. Then they had to switching to

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Speaker 1: wide receiver because Van Jefferson went down. So I just

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Speaker 1: think the cupboard is pretty bare for the Steelers team.

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Speaker 1: Coachs are getting healthier. You know, Josh Downs being back,

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Speaker 1: I think long term will help Richardson because he won't

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Speaker 1: have to go downfield quite as much. You know, with

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Speaker 1: Mitchell and Alet Pierce starting, I think he was looking

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Speaker 1: downfield way too much. I think I think he needs

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Speaker 1: to get more high percentage throws in there. And when

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Speaker 1: you look at the Steelers defense, they've been they're great,

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Speaker 1: we know that, but they're going on the road here

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Speaker 1: so not as easy of an environment. And you know,

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Speaker 1: high Smith went down, important player for them. He's going

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Speaker 1: to be out a couple of weeks. So I think

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Speaker 1: the Coats are getting healthier. It is still a very

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Speaker 1: good offensive line for the Colt so I do think

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Speaker 1: they'll be able to kind of run the ball on

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Speaker 1: this Steeler d and not let the game get out

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Speaker 1: of hand to whether they behind and Anthony Richardson starts

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Speaker 1: having to go downfield way too much and it's just

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Speaker 1: going to get a radic and whatnot. But at this point,

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Speaker 1: I think the market's just buying you a little too

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Speaker 1: much to Steeler team who played you know, the Chargers

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Speaker 1: with out a quarterback, the Broncos in their second rookie quarterback,

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Speaker 1: second starting the road, and then Kirk Cousins in his

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Speaker 1: first start coming off of Achilles. So I mean, Anthony

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Speaker 1: Richardson can move at least. I think the Colts are

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Speaker 1: going to come ready for this one, and you know,

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Speaker 1: gotta fade justin Fields on the running. Got to face

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Speaker 1: Tomlin in these spots, you know bre and O team

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Speaker 1: and then Tomlin road favorite against a team with a

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Speaker 1: losing record, which this this applies to Pittsburgh's just ten

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Speaker 1: and twenty three against the spread thirty percent under Tomlin

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Speaker 1: as a road favorite against the team with a losing record.

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Speaker 1: So this is the perfect spot I think to buy

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Speaker 1: on the Colts. Fade the Steelers. Give me a Colts

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Colts as a teaser piece, which

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Speaker 2: we'll I'll talk about later in the episode. I am

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Speaker 2: a bit worried about just I mean, it's still us

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Speaker 2: bride of the defense. Buckner's on, ir is quitt he

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Speaker 2: gonna play. You're already down another starting defensive lineman, Kenny Moore.

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Speaker 2: What's his status? You're also down? Juju Brent. I mean

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Speaker 2: you have some backup corners who are banged up as well.

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Speaker 2: I mean you're gonna need your guy Womack in there

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Speaker 2: who might need to step up. The good thing is,

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Speaker 2: I mean the Steelers don't have, you know, an electric

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Speaker 2: passing attack. So yeah, I don't hate this, but I

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Speaker 2: mean Richardson does concern me. He's just so inefficient. He's

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Speaker 2: completing under fifty percent of his passes with what six interceptions,

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Speaker 2: some real bad ones to that one in the end

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Speaker 2: zone was horrific. He's just not accurate, you got. I mean,

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Speaker 2: his A dot is huge. It's as big as anyone

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Speaker 2: through three weeks over the past six or seven seasons.

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Speaker 2: He's got to hit some explosives here against the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: And but I agree, I think that the Colts offensive line,

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Speaker 2: it's the strength of their team that's big here. You

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Speaker 2: got to remember last year when these two teams played,

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Speaker 2: the Colts with Gardner Minshew put up thirty. They ran

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Speaker 2: all over the Steelers. I don't even think Taylor played

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Speaker 2: in that game. I think they can have some success

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Speaker 2: on the ground, utilize Richardson's legs, and you're right, the

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Speaker 2: Steelers looked at the Falcons just they had the most

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Speaker 2: predictable game plan of all time in Week one. It

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Speaker 2: was Cousins' first game back from injury. Didn't play in

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Speaker 2: the preseason. You always see a big dip there. I

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Speaker 2: think that game had more to do with Atlanta than

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Speaker 2: it did Pittsburgh, who had six you know, short field

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Speaker 2: goal drives. Then you get bow knicks and then the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: That game was ten ten before both tackles and Justin

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Speaker 2: Herbert go out, and then yeah, you don't have a

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Speaker 2: prayer with a backup in Pittsburgh trying to contain that

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Speaker 2: pass rush without your two tackles, Like it was ten

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Speaker 2: ten and then it was twenty to ten. So heavy

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Speaker 2: for the Colts. Tease which I'll get to later with

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Speaker 2: a total that is extremely low, but Colts another team

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Speaker 2: talk about the cluster in so many teams are dealing

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Speaker 2: with them. This week. Culture won on defense, like the

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Speaker 2: defensive line to secondary. The good news is this isn't

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Speaker 2: a team that's you know, you're that worried about it

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Speaker 2: in terms of the Steelers offensive firepower. But for my

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Speaker 2: first pick and the second overall of the week four

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Speaker 2: Sunday six pack, I'm going with my Baltimore Ravens minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half at home against the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 2: It's Baltimore, gentlemen. The gods will not save you. The

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Speaker 2: love for the Bills is as high as it's ever

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Speaker 2: going to be. All I'm hearing is Bills are the

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Speaker 2: best team in the NFL Bill Super Bowl. Josh Allen, MVP,

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Speaker 2: I think we need the cooler Jets just a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Allen's been incredible. The Bills have been great, But can

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Speaker 2: we look at it. They played the Cardinals and they

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Speaker 2: didn't even cover against them. They won thirty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty eight. They played the Dolphins in disarray and the

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Speaker 2: Jags in disarray. Those three teams have one win, not

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Speaker 2: against each other. Comebine. When the Cardinals beat the Rams

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Speaker 2: mash unit in Arizona, that's it. Jags last week, for

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Speaker 2: some reason, I didn't think they would I thought they

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Speaker 2: were going to come out and change their defensive game

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Speaker 2: plan and play zone. Nope, they decided to still play

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Speaker 2: man even though they were down three corners. It was insane.

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Speaker 2: They lost the corner like the first one of their

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Speaker 2: nickels on the first play the game. They're down to

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Speaker 2: practice squad guys still trying to play man, which you

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Speaker 2: don't want to do against Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 2: Was just horrendous. I mean, one of the worst picks

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Speaker 2: I've seen a quarterback make in that game, just missing throws,

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Speaker 2: looked rushed. So yeah, I mean, the Jags just got

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Speaker 2: blown out. And does it feel uncomfortable to want to

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Speaker 2: back bade the Bills right now? But it's a sign

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Speaker 2: that they're probably at the peak of the market. So

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Speaker 2: anything under three is fine, And I like the matchup

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Speaker 2: and I like the spot for what it's worth. Teams

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Speaker 2: that are three and zero in Week four when they're

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Speaker 2: underdogs just thirty seven percent against the spread historically. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is a classic car ball spot in prime time

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Speaker 2: in Baltimore against an undefeated team, and Lamar as a

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Speaker 2: favorite of three or lesser an underdog twenty three and

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Speaker 2: seven against the spread. He's basically been just like Mahomes

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Speaker 2: in that role and the Ravens they are their net

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Speaker 2: negative sixteen penalties and negative two hundred yards on this season,

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Speaker 2: by far the unluckiest team in terms of penalties. You

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Speaker 2: saw in the game against the Chiefs, they just decided

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Speaker 2: they wanted to make a point of emphasis against the

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Speaker 2: Ravens in that game. The pass interference that flipped the

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Speaker 2: Raiders game was acidine. Against the Cowboys, some of the

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Speaker 2: penalties that let the Cowboys kind of come back in

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Speaker 2: that game were crazy. They even missed it, I think

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Speaker 2: missed a safety call. So the Reps have been just

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Speaker 2: been an out layer three weeks, so don't be surprised

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Speaker 2: if there's just some natural aggression and if they get called.

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Speaker 2: Hardball came out. He did it very professionally and how

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Speaker 2: he kind of called out the officials without brisking getting fined.

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Speaker 2: They can attack the Bills defense. People are forgetting that

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Speaker 2: the Bills middle of that defense is extremely vulnerable. You

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Speaker 2: don't have your two stud linebackers, your safeties are weak.

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Speaker 2: They have the perfect offense to attack the weak parts

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Speaker 2: of this Bill's defense. Because the Bills, what they're gonna

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Speaker 2: do is they want to try and generate pressure. They

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Speaker 2: want to take away the explosive play, you've got to

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Speaker 2: attack them the intermediary range. Lamar Jackson has been as

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Speaker 2: good as any quarterback in the NFL this year in

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Speaker 2: that intermediary range. On the other side of the ball,

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Speaker 2: Raven's defense numbers are dominated against the run. Bills want

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Speaker 2: to be a run first team. Ravens like number one

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Speaker 2: across the board in run defense metrics. I look at

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Speaker 2: Buffalo's weapons, I'm not wowed by them. And the Ravens

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Speaker 2: are going to play zone. Here what you have to

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Speaker 2: do against Josh Allen. I think they have the horses

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Speaker 2: on the outside to match up with these Bills receivers

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Speaker 2: in more zone coverage. I did opt to play money

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Speaker 2: line for what it's worth. It's minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half of the contact. Yes, and maybe Tucker misses an

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Speaker 2: extra point because I don't trust him right now. I

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Speaker 2: think he's one of seven over forty plus yards. He

348
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Speaker 2: says that they found a technique issue that they fixed,

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Speaker 2: So we'll say I like the Ravens. Anything under three.

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Speaker 1: Just pray the Ravens don't get a lead into the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter, because if Josh Allen's just thrown on them,

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Speaker 1: it's you know, fifteenth straight minutes, it's not going to

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Speaker 1: go well. But it is honestly a really tough game

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Speaker 1: for me to handicap because I don't really know where

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Speaker 1: to grade the Bills offense. And then with the Ravens,

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Speaker 1: you know, they played two really tough teams they be

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Speaker 1: in the Cowboys and the Chiefs. They be one of them,

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Speaker 1: but they also let these fourth quarter comebacks happen in

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Speaker 1: every game. So I don't know, is this like a

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Speaker 1: just a feature of the Ravens at this point that

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Speaker 1: they just can't defend in the fourth quarter. It still

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Speaker 1: has a lot of variance for me. I get why

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Speaker 1: I would prefer the money mine if I was back

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Speaker 1: in the Ravens as well, But I don't really have

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Speaker 1: a strong lead in this one because I just need

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Speaker 1: to see more of the Bills against like a normal

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Speaker 1: NFL opponent and not just weirdness that's been going on.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: For my second pick, the third overall of the week,

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Speaker 1: number four Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Minnesota

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Speaker 1: Vikings plus two and a half at the Green Bay Packers.

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Speaker 1: I see, if you can get a plus three, looks

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Speaker 1: like there's some out there. But for the contest, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter, So we'll go two and a half. And

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Speaker 1: I know that the trends you just pointed out stuck

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Speaker 1: for three and oh, teams as underdogs tend to be

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Speaker 1: bad for the underdog and good for the favorite here.

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Speaker 1: But if we really break down this line, green Bay

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Speaker 1: it does have a good home field advantage, probably better

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Speaker 1: than most. But you're still saying that green Bay with

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Speaker 1: you know, healthy green Bay is is you know, over

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Speaker 1: a point better than Minnesota on a neutral field. And

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is the better team at this point clearly.

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Speaker 1: You know their defense has taken a step up even

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Speaker 1: from last year, and Flora's kind of made magic with

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Speaker 1: you know some that weren't ideal, but their offense is

387
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Speaker 1: all has also taken a step up, and you know

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Speaker 1: now you might get it looks like you're gonna get

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Speaker 1: Ordan Addison back. I think the schemes to keep Justin

390
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 1: Jefferson open, regardless if he's getting shadowed, have been excellent.

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Speaker 1: Donold's playing fine. He looks like the knee bree bruise

392
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Speaker 1: or whatever, it is a non issue. And you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have even when you don't throw the ball, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a just motivated Aaron Jones just running wild on

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Speaker 1: this Green Bay run defense. So I just don't think

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Speaker 1: the lines match up. I'm not gonna blindly, you know,

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Speaker 1: fade a trend or back a trend just because it's

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Speaker 1: a three and oh team. I think the Vikings that

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Speaker 1: a better team here. They're number one in defensive DVOA.

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Speaker 1: They you know, held the forty nine ers. We're still

401
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Speaker 1: somewhat healthy. At parts of that game to seventeen they held,

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Speaker 1: and then I think they got a light field goal

403
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Speaker 1: even to get there. Giants basically didn't score at six

404
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Speaker 1: points and then Houston seven points. I know it was

405
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Speaker 1: in Minnesota, but that's still impressive to hold a quarterback

406
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Speaker 1: is talented as c. J. Stroud, you know, Stefon Diggs,

407
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 1: Nico'collins and that whole offense. It's also a very well

408
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Speaker 1: coached team to set just blow them completely out of

409
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Speaker 1: the water. So now I think screen bag at Jordan

410
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Speaker 1: Love back, but I think this is a really tough

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Speaker 1: matchup your first game back. But be honest, you're probably

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Speaker 1: rushing it a little to get back in time for

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Speaker 1: an important division game here. You played the Titans and

414
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Speaker 1: Coats before that, so I don't think there was truly

415
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Speaker 1: as much of a rush to get back for those games.

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Speaker 1: So I think it's just a really tough spot, even

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Speaker 1: at home for Jordan Love to come back to. And

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Speaker 1: you know, he looked a little radic even in that

419
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Speaker 1: first game before he got hurt. This Packer team, overall,

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Speaker 1: I think, you know, it's been up and down for them.

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Speaker 1: They they did kind of struggle at points against the Coats,

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Speaker 1: but you know, that was that was a weird game.

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Speaker 1: Malik Willis, You can't got to really kind of write

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Speaker 1: that off. So I'm not really doubting the Packers too much.

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Speaker 1: I'm just saying at this point Minnesota, you know, these

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Speaker 1: two teams were kind of you know, I would say

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Speaker 1: the Packers were a better team coming to the year,

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Speaker 1: but I think Minnesota has taken has gotten upgraded on

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Speaker 1: offense and defense, and like everything we've wanted to see

430
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 1: out of Minnesota, it's happened. Whereas the Packers it's a

431
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: little more shaky, especially where we don't truly know if

432
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 1: Jordan Love is even going to be one hundred percent,

433
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 1: and then to have to prepare for Flora's defense with

434
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 1: Minnesota clicking on all cylinders and Minnesota looking like they're

435
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 1: getting healthier with their skill. Guys, I think it's just

436
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 1: too many points, So I'll take the Vikings. What's doing

437
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: a half?

438
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean their Viking steam has been incredible. Flores

439
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 2: is a wizard. Is a great coaching matchup. The Vikings

440
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,399
Speaker 2: their first team since two thousand and one, Saints with

441
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 2: five plus sacks in each of their first three games

442
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 2: of the season. Yeah. I do recall last year in

443
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 2: Green Bay, Laura's put on a clinic against Love. Love

444
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,399
Speaker 2: did get some revenge later in the season, when I

445
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 2: think Nick Mollens was starting.

446
00:22:58,119 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it was Jaron Hall and he went

447
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 1: down like the first drive when he was about to

448
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: score touchdown, and then and then I think Mowens came

449
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: in or something like that.

450
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:06,239
Speaker 2: But yeah, this is the only way I could go.

451
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 2: Donald's been great and just this whole situation is better.

452
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,640
Speaker 2: It's got good tackles, it's got a good back, it's

453
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 2: got good receivers, got a great play caller. He definitely

454
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 2: improved his footwork working with Shanahan while in San Francisco.

455
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 2: Packers D I think is improved, but you can still

456
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 2: beat that. They're much more aggressive now and it's translating

457
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 2: the turnovers and I think it fits their identity much better.

458
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:32,679
Speaker 2: But you can hit them with explosives so and I

459
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 2: think Minnesota is capable of doing that here. And what

460
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 2: puts it over the top is just the uncertainty with Love.

461
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:41,399
Speaker 2: We still don't know for sure if he's going to go,

462
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 2: but if he does, I don't think he'll be one

463
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 2: hundred percent. And it's reasonable to assume that, you know,

464
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,880
Speaker 2: I'll have a dip in efficiency and production shaking off

465
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,199
Speaker 2: some of the RUSS dealing with the remnants of that

466
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 2: injury at first. So yeah, it's Vikings or nothing there

467
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:02,919
Speaker 2: for sure. But for my second pick in the fourth

468
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 2: overall of the week four Sunday six pack, I'm going

469
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 2: with the Atlanta Falcons minus two at home against the Saints,

470
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 2: another game that I just think should be three. I'm

471
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,120
Speaker 2: taking the home team and anything under a field goal.

472
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:22,360
Speaker 2: And the Saints kind of revealed their true colors last week,

473
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 2: And for full transparency, you originally wanted the Saints, So

474
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 2: I'm very curious to get your Did you ended up

475
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 2: changing a pick, so I'm curious to get your rebuttal

476
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 2: or thoughts here. I am a bit scared of the

477
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: Falcons had them against the Chiefs. They lost two offensive linemen.

478
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 2: I mean McGary's a big loss. Dolmond is even a

479
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 2: bigger loss of center, and the drop off to their

480
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,360
Speaker 2: replacements is enormous. You got to remember that the Saints

481
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 2: who were dominated by the Eagles last week. The Eagles

482
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: just kept vomiting in Saint's territory. I mean what they

483
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 2: had turn everyone downs, fumble and reception, blocked punt. I

484
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 2: mean it was getting crazy. But they they were completely

485
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 2: dominant in that game. What was the difference? Well, car

486
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 2: was under pressure. He was awful when under pressure last week,

487
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 2: which is what we've known him to be historically. And

488
00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 2: there's no McCoy at center. Now that's a problem. So

489
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 2: this offensive line that we said, hey, is this offensive

490
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 2: line maybe way better than we thought. Well, now, if

491
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 2: you look at some of the metrics, they're like towards

492
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 2: the bottom of the NFL and past block win rate.

493
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 2: What do they have to do? Last week they had

494
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,640
Speaker 2: they moved Patrick to center, who was bad and he's

495
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 2: been bad there in his career, moved Udo into guard.

496
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: He was a dismal I think PFF had him at

497
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:43,119
Speaker 2: a point seven pass blocking grade. Point seven. Now, you

498
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 2: might say Falcons haven't gotten any pressure, which is true

499
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 2: towards the bottom pressure rate in the NFL so far

500
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 2: this season. But you've got to remember that they played

501
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 2: the Week one, they played the Steelers, who were just

502
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 2: danking Duncan and running the entire game. Week two they

503
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:01,640
Speaker 2: played the Eagles, the best offensive lines in the NFL.

504
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 2: Week three they played the Chiefs, one of the best

505
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 2: interior offensive lines in the NFL. That's where this pressure

506
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,879
Speaker 2: has to come from in this interior. I think the

507
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 2: Falcons do have a better pass rush. He's been really

508
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: good preventing explosives. I think that they will be able

509
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 2: to get pressure on car Here. Yeah, I'm rolling with

510
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 2: the Falcons here minus two at home in a game

511
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: that I think should be three. But curious to get

512
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 2: your rebuttal here.

513
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,440
Speaker 1: My original thought with the Saints Falcons games. All right,

514
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 1: Falcons coming off a short.

515
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 2: Week, they played Sunday night.

516
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, well at least they were right yeah, true, true.

517
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 1: So then I'm looking at the Saints like, okay, you know,

518
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 1: both teams a line injuries, Falcons get no pressure, and

519
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,520
Speaker 1: then I'm looking at Okay, the Saints. You know, they

520
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,199
Speaker 1: played Jalen Hurts and he's a mobile quarterback and Kirk

521
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 1: Cousins can't really move around. So I wasn't really feeling

522
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 1: the Falcons offense in this spot. But the more I

523
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: looked at it on both sides, it's kind of a

524
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 1: toss up. The Saints are kind of still hard to gauge.

525
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 1: And I watched that Ego Saints game and it kind

526
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 1: of just took me off wanting to make bets on

527
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles, order Saints, or anyone involved in these games

528
00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 1: really because there was just a lot of weirdness going on.

529
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,679
Speaker 2: I mean, but the Saints rock game four sixty to

530
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 2: two nineteen.

531
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 1: In that game, this line probably is closer to three

532
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 1: at the Falcons to get a break or two in

533
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 1: that In that Chiefs game, that would have two chances

534
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: down at the goal line, two except for drives. Yeah,

535
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:21,400
Speaker 1: So I mean I.

536
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:25,120
Speaker 2: Had the that was yeah, he got tackled. I mean,

537
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 2: you never see that not called.

538
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 1: Yet to do in the Chiefs game. Yeah, any Chiefs

539
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 1: in any Chiefs game.

540
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 2: The Chiefs get the same call.

541
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 3: Like it.

542
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 2: It wasn't even as egregious. In the week before against

543
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,880
Speaker 2: the Bengals. So yeah, that was definitely frustrating. But yeah,

544
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 2: if they win that game, this is definitely a three. Yeah,

545
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 2: I think we got a cooler Jets on the Saints.

546
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:46,399
Speaker 2: I think this should be three. But where are you

547
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 2: going next?

548
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 1: All right? For my third pick, the fifth overall of

549
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 1: the week four Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

550
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:56,159
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears minus two and a half juiced up to

551
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 1: minus one twenty at home against the Los Angeles Rams.

552
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 1: If you can't get the two and a half, play

553
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 1: some money line. I think I actually prefer that, but

554
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 1: I'll go for the two and a half for the

555
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:10,919
Speaker 1: contest here. I just think it is time to buy

556
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:13,439
Speaker 1: the Bears and sell the Rams. The Rams had this

557
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: amazing comeback last week against San Francisco. There were fourteen

558
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 1: points down. Next thing you know, they're and they're kicking

559
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 1: a field goal and I don't even know really how

560
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 1: we got there, but this, Teams like this tend to

561
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 1: regress immediately. So team's coming off a fourteen plus point

562
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 1: comeback in their previous game are fifty one and sixty

563
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 1: eight straight up forty three percent, forty nine and seventy

564
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 1: against the spread, just forty one percent. That's courtesy of

565
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 1: our boy, Evan Abrams. So I just can't get behind

566
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,959
Speaker 1: this RAM team. I see no reason why or how

567
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: they're able to sustain this with no Poop and Akua,

568
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: no Cooper Cup, an offensive line that's not great, a

569
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 1: quarterback that's older, a run game that's he's not even

570
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 1: really clicking like the way it was last year either

571
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: with Kyron Williams, a defense that's also just a bunch

572
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: of mostly no names, not great. There's really just no

573
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 1: strength of the RAM team right now. Kudos to them

574
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 1: forgetting that win. You know they the forty nine ers

575
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: tend to own them, so I'm sort sure it was sweet.

576
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: But this Bears team now, I think kind of like

577
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 1: the Broncos last week, where it's they're going to get

578
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: better as the season progresses. You kind of saw Caleb

579
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 1: Williams taking it some steps forward. Some of his numbers

580
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 1: are inflated by that Hail Mary to DJ Moore at

581
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 1: the end of the first half, but overall, I think

582
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 1: he's going to continue to improve. He saw it last week.

583
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen's back at practice, so you might get that back,

584
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: which I think helps a lot as well. And this

585
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: Bear team there, they're trying to find something in the

586
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:54,360
Speaker 1: run game. So you know, they signed Stephen Carlson to

587
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 1: the active roster this week, it looks so it looks

588
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: like they're going to try a little more heavy too

589
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 1: their fullback. Remember Carrie game was out, so uh, I

590
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: just think you're gonna see, you know, improved schemes. You know,

591
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 1: they got Rashawn Johnson back there instead of Swift for

592
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 1: some of the carries last week. So I just think

593
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: a lot of what's been going on with the Bears,

594
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:14,959
Speaker 1: and they've been in. They've been in all their games,

595
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 1: even the loss to Houston. You know, they were in

596
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 1: that game in the second half of a chance to

597
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,800
Speaker 1: to cut into the lead and potentially go up against

598
00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 1: the coach, so many chances, just ridiculous things happening both ways, really,

599
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: but you know, a terrible call down by the goal

600
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: line where Swift gets like an eight yard loss, and

601
00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:35,400
Speaker 1: just things that I don't think you can necessarily project

602
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,440
Speaker 1: moving forward for the for the for the Bears, whereas

603
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 1: the Rams, I don't really there's nothing to really hang

604
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 1: a hat on at all. I think the true colors

605
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 1: of the Rams, at least this version of the Rams

606
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 1: when they're so banged up, especially offensively. Uh, is more

607
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 1: in line with that drubbing by the Cardinals, you know,

608
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 1: and uh, you know I kind of overestimated the Rams

609
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:58,719
Speaker 1: in that game. But you know, when you look at it,

610
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 1: there's nothing. There's really nothing there with this Ram team

611
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,719
Speaker 1: right now. So and the Bears, the one thing they

612
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,560
Speaker 1: do have is a good defense, and I just think

613
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 1: that's problematic when you have a Ram offense that I mean,

614
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 1: they're too too out well got over ninety yards last week.

615
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 1: You played a four man rotation of tow two out well,

616
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: Tyra Johnson, Jordan Winnington, who I do like, and and

617
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 1: DeMarcus Robinson. So in your Titans, Kobe Parkinson, who's like

618
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: the number three on the Seahawks last year. And your

619
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 1: run game is I mean Kyri Williams. He gets in

620
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 1: the end zone, he runs hard, but your line is

621
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 1: not great. So you can't really depend on that going

622
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 1: up against a strong defense and offense that we all

623
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: thought this Bears team was going to be in that

624
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 1: kind of playoff mix. They got that lucky win against

625
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 1: the Titans, they lose by one score to the the Texans,

626
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 1: and then you know the coach game. So I think

627
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 1: this Bears team is a little bit underrated. I think this.

628
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 1: I think this Ram team might be a little bit overrated.

629
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: So I'm just selling on the Rams team. I think

630
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 1: it could be. I think it could be much bigger

631
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 1: than just three. So give me Chicago at home.

632
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would like under three here. Maybe I'll play

633
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 2: some money on it. I this is the side that

634
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 2: I would look at. The Rams are so beat up

635
00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 2: teams just and look, they were dominated that they were

636
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 2: at risky and blown out. It was a miraculous win

637
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: and they were even in comeback mode late with Stafford

638
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 2: hitting hitting some deep passes. They were out gaining four

639
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 2: to twenty five to two ninety six against a banged

640
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 2: up forty nine ers team.

641
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 1: Juwan Jenny's looked like Randy Mossy.

642
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 2: Eleven catches, undred and seven five yards and three touchdowns,

643
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 2: which is just insane. Yeah, I mean this team is

644
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 2: super banged up on offense. The Bears defense is playing

645
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 2: extremely well. They're also getting pressure at a much higher

646
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 2: clip than I thought they would. The defensive lines playing

647
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,760
Speaker 2: really well across the board, which I thought might be

648
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 2: a primary weakness outside of sweat and I do agree

649
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 2: getting Keening Allen back. I don't know if we'll come

650
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 2: back this week or next week, but that will be big.

651
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 2: I think Williams having him as a safety blanket will

652
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:07,719
Speaker 2: definitely help. I do still worry about the offensive line

653
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 2: for the Bears, the Rams defensive line. Those young guys

654
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 2: are playing well. But the only thing I really worry about, though,

655
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 2: is just a coaching mismatch. This is a big.

656
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, it has to take baby steps with this Bears.

657
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: Here is like a getting close. But at least I

658
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: see them switching things up. Like it took them a

659
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 1: week to realize that cole Comet was the better tight

660
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 1: end and not Gerald Everett, and you saw that payoff.

661
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 1: Now it took them in like two and a half

662
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: games to realize that maybe Johnson should be getting carries

663
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: over Herbert and Swift, and it's like they're coming around.

664
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: I think this is just to get right spot for them.

665
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 1: So yeah, it is worse soome because you're still it's

666
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 1: Stafford and McVeigh against Williams and Eberfluth. That's not in

667
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: your favor, But everything else, in my opinion pretty much

668
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 1: is all right.

669
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 2: For my third pick in the six overall the Week

670
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 2: four Sunday six pack. I apologize in advance going with

671
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars plus seven at the Houston Texans. I'd

672
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 2: buy this up to minus one twelve doesn't really matter

673
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 2: for the contest, but I for those new pushes are

674
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 2: not wins and that's all that matters. But I would

675
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,880
Speaker 2: get the seven here. I'm not going to sit here

676
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 2: and say anything nice about the Jags, but this is

677
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 2: an auto play for me. If you've been listening to

678
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 2: this pod for the last six years, team's off of

679
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 2: thirty five plus point loss as underdogs are four or

680
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 2: more fifty nineteen and two against the spread over the

681
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: past twenty five years. That's seventy three percent. Just ask yourself,

682
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:30,879
Speaker 2: do you want to bet the Jags right now? After

683
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 2: what you saw and on a short week? Does anybody

684
00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:35,439
Speaker 2: want to bet the Jags right now? That's the reason

685
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 2: the line seven, and it got up to seven. It's

686
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 2: a bad team right now, but I can't get to

687
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 2: this number. You'll get their best effort here. Home field

688
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 2: isn't that great in a divisional game. This line is

689
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 2: went up like a field goal from the look ahead,

690
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 2: which isn't the most efficient. But that's close to where

691
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,839
Speaker 2: I had it around four four and a half, which

692
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 2: is where the Bills game closed at. So you say, Okay,

693
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 2: we got a downgrade Jacksonville for a bad performance. Do

694
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 2: we not have the downgrade Houston? Houston also got their

695
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 2: doors blown off on the road too, Like both of

696
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 2: these teams got blown out last week, and we're only

697
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 2: adjusting it one way. Trevor Lawrence has to be better.

698
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 2: But the thing is that the Houston offense right now

699
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,880
Speaker 2: isn't right. If you look at something like the advanced metrics,

700
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 2: it's right on par with where the Jags are. So

701
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 2: like Stroud is just he's kind of in a mini

702
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 2: sophomore slump. I have full faith that'll figure it out.

703
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 2: But Flora has confused them even against like the Colts

704
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:37,640
Speaker 2: that game, you know, came down to the wire the Bears.

705
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 2: It just they should have blown out the Bears in

706
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 2: that game and they just couldn't. So the Texans are

707
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 2: just off right now. So, I mean, the Jags are bad,

708
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,879
Speaker 2: They're awful. They're zero to three, but I can't get

709
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,360
Speaker 2: the seven as road division. Golong, we talked about how

710
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:58,800
Speaker 2: much the Texans are a fade. Look, when they're bigger favorites,

711
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 2: they get two conservative At times, they've been awful as

712
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 2: favorites under Stroud against the number. So yeah, I think

713
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 2: that this is the very bottom of the market on

714
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: the Jags. You got to remember against the healthy Dolphins team,

715
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 2: they should have won that game. They fumble going into

716
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 2: the end zone. So it's not like they were complete

717
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 2: disaster in that game. They actually outplayed the Browns in

718
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 2: Week two. Just if you look at some of the

719
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:27,239
Speaker 2: underlying metrics. They got to get the red zone figured out,

720
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,240
Speaker 2: but that there's so much variance in that. I assume

721
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 2: that that that's coming. There's positive regression looming. There's also

722
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 2: some potential turnover regression that's coming their way. So yeah,

723
00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 2: it's not like they were a complete disaster. I think

724
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 2: just last week that they had the worst possible matchup

725
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,600
Speaker 2: because they decided to still play man. You can get

726
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 2: away with that more this week and they were down

727
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 2: three corners against Josh Allen. The Bills were just on one.

728
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 2: So do I have my concerns about the Jags, Yes,

729
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 2: but just told your nose catch the falling knife. Here

730
00:36:57,120 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 2: take the seven after the thirty five plus points loss

731
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 2: with the Road Divisional Dog. That's it. It's that simple.

732
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 1: It's definitely Jags or nothing. You can't wait the points.

733
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 1: In my opinion, with the Texas just given a spot,

734
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 1: if we put a path to the Jags covering, would

735
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 1: you say it kind of has to be a higher

736
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 1: scoring game because I feel like like, regardless of what

737
00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 1: the metrics say, the Texas offense is going to move

738
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,399
Speaker 1: the ball. Are the Jags right? So you would figure

739
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 1: it's the Jags offense that kind of has to step

740
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: up against the Houston defense that their metrics are kind

741
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,400
Speaker 1: of probably better than they really are. Forty five. It's

742
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 1: a division game, but forty five seams low, and I

743
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 1: just feel like it's maybe because both teams offense is underperformed.

744
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind a look at the over indoors

745
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: with these two quarterbacks. Like I said, there's some red

746
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 2: zone regression for the Jags. Lawrence has to be better,

747
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 2: but they have weapons. I think they're going to get

748
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:49,080
Speaker 2: Evan Ingram back or there's a chance that's big. They

749
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,479
Speaker 2: need him, especially in the red zone. Yeah, I would

750
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 2: think that it's higher scoring, but there's many pass for

751
00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 2: Road Divisional Dog to cover seven or push. The Texans

752
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 2: aren't firing on all cylinders right now. That in mind.

753
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: They have this tendency sometimes to get cute, and you know,

754
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: I think what the Bills really did right in that game,

755
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 1: they said, even though they were one of probably the

756
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 1: run heaviest team, if I'm not mistaken in the league,

757
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,120
Speaker 1: at least one of them right there with the Charges

758
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 1: and Steelers, they they just threw from the outset. They said,

759
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: We're not gonna try to run on Jacksonville. That's the

760
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,880
Speaker 1: one thing Jacksonville can can defend. So I'm curious to

761
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 1: see if Houston you know, comes out, especially off of

762
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 1: big loss and just you know, tries to run the

763
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 1: ball and make sure they don't do anything crazy early,

764
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 1: or they you know, if they come out firing seeing

765
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 1: what the Bills did.

766
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 2: So.

767
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 1: But but Houston has had a tendency to get cute.

768
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 1: And they they're they're injured at running back. So that's

769
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 1: another that's another kind of thing that could play into

770
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 1: the jags favor. All right, let's see what we got

771
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:46,800
Speaker 1: quarterback wise this week. So you got Lamar Jackson, Kirk Cousins,

772
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:49,240
Speaker 1: and Trevor Lawrence that's actually an All Star cast.

773
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:55,239
Speaker 2: I had to take a week off of Tyler Thompson.

774
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:56,959
Speaker 2: It was rough.

775
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:01,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Anthony Richardson, Sam Bradford and Cable Billie,

776
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:02,720
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm more back quarterback.

777
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:07,280
Speaker 2: So Sam maybe he started. He started for the Dolphins

778
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 2: on Monday.

779
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for our Sunday six Fags. So

780
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:14,640
Speaker 1: Stucky has Baltimore minus two and a half, the Falcons

781
00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 1: minus two, the Jags plus six and a half. I

782
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:18,479
Speaker 1: have the coach plus one and a half, Vikings plus

783
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:20,880
Speaker 1: two and a half, Bears minus two and a half.

784
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:25,879
Speaker 1: Now it's time for our Week four coaches pepo. Every

785
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 1: time we get ready to play, I just want to

786
00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 1: throw up.

787
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:28,879
Speaker 2: I'm sick.

788
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,399
Speaker 1: I'm watching you guys play. Just how bad can it get?

789
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: For this week's coach is pep talk, We're gonna go

790
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:39,399
Speaker 1: to actor our Lee Ermey from the nineteen ninety four

791
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:43,280
Speaker 1: film On Deadly Ground, and we'll dedicate it to the

792
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:47,240
Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens going up against Josh Allen and the Bills.

793
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 1: Becuz Man, Ravens gotta do two things. You gotta get

794
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 1: get up and you gotta not play with your food

795
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 1: late in the game. We got a big problem here.

796
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,439
Speaker 2: Intel tells us we're dealing with one guy.

797
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,000
Speaker 1: We think we got a fucking fire team out there.

798
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 3: We are not dealing with the student here, we're dealing

799
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,839
Speaker 3: with the professor. He's the kind of guy that would

800
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 3: drink a gallon of gasoline so he could piss in

801
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 3: your campfire. You could drop this guy off at the

802
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:15,600
Speaker 3: Arctic Circle wearing a pair of bikini underwear without his toothbrush,

803
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 3: and tomorrow afternoon he's going to show up at your

804
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,839
Speaker 3: pool side with a million dollar smile on a fist

805
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 3: full of pesos. This guy's a professional. You got me,

806
00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 3: So let's go find him and get rid of the

807
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 3: son of a bitch.

808
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 1: So Baltimore ravens, good luck all right. Time for our

809
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: favorite total of the week. We are combined five and

810
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:40,560
Speaker 1: one on totals this year. I went first to the

811
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 1: six pack step where you're going for the total.

812
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go with the Bucks Eagles under Anything over

813
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:54,920
Speaker 2: forty four is fine, I think for this contest. I mean,

814
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 2: forty five would be ideal, but it wouldn't matter for

815
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,200
Speaker 2: the contest. But forty four and a half is fine.

816
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 2: Pretty simple handicap here the Eagles. We still don't know.

817
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:05,680
Speaker 2: This is we're gonna get into the injury uncertainty portion

818
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,359
Speaker 2: of the episode for a lot of these teams. Is

819
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:10,440
Speaker 2: Lane Johnson going to play? I don't think so with

820
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:14,440
Speaker 2: a concussion. He was like throwing up that they have

821
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:20,360
Speaker 2: two offensive line injuries. AJ Brown still out, DeVante Smith

822
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,800
Speaker 2: also a concussion, and then the Bucks defense should be

823
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 2: getting healthier. Vitavea practice today. Kancy's got a shot, Winfield's

824
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:30,360
Speaker 2: got a shot. So what are the Eagles gonna do?

825
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,000
Speaker 2: I think They're gonna go much slower, run heavy, grind

826
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 2: out long possessions, and then the Bucks they go slow.

827
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 2: And I like some of the adjustments that Fangio made

828
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 2: to the defense which needed to be made last week.

829
00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:47,400
Speaker 2: So I think this is a low scoring defensive battle

830
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 2: in a rematch of last year's playoff game where Kurtz

831
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 2: was a disaster. So you got to keep in mind

832
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 2: Bosk knows how to press those buttons to get to

833
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 2: bring the pressure, bring the blitz, and Hurts has been

834
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:03,760
Speaker 2: a little better under tell him more against the blitz

835
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:07,160
Speaker 2: this year. But the Packers are playing on ice skating rink.

836
00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 2: You know, the Falcons didn't really blitz and you know,

837
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 2: so like they haven't seen a ton of exotic stuff

838
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:19,960
Speaker 2: that bowl's going to throw him. So I think it's

839
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:21,359
Speaker 2: a low scoring game given the under there.

840
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what you know. My thoughts about just kind

841
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: of getting off the Bucks even though they're a home

842
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 1: dog here in a spot where you expect to bounce back.

843
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: It's I did think Fandro made some good adjustments. We

844
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 1: talked about it would take some time and this you know,

845
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:39,719
Speaker 1: Mike Evans, is he slowing down or is you know,

846
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:41,279
Speaker 1: I know they want to get them more involved, but

847
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 1: is it just going to be a bunch of in completions.

848
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 1: Just a lot of uncertainties still about this Bucks offense. Now,

849
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 1: you know they and I think their defense is probably

850
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:53,520
Speaker 1: a little underrated. After you know, everyone the Broncos put

851
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:54,800
Speaker 1: up a bunch of points on him.

852
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,719
Speaker 2: So ardant he should be back this week.

853
00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think he's.

854
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:03,040
Speaker 2: Number one in into your pass bock win rate. And

855
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 2: I know Lane Johnson's huge, like that offense needs him.

856
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:07,040
Speaker 2: And then you don't have your two best stops, you

857
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 2: might not have your two stud receivers. Like this will

858
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:13,359
Speaker 2: be a run heavy game plan grind. You'll get maybe

859
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:16,400
Speaker 2: a couple like seven eight minute eagles drives.

860
00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of long drives, I'm going to go to

861
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: the Falcon Saints under forty two and a half. See

862
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 1: if you get a forty three. I'm in no rush

863
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 1: to play this. We'll see where it ends up. But

864
00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 1: this is just off the fact that the Falcons lost

865
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 1: two offensive linemen mcgarriott and dalmonder center who were playing well,

866
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 1: and the Saints lost McCoy at center who's playing extremely well.

867
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: And this is the first time the Falcons aren't facing

868
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 1: a mobile quarterback that you know, you faced justin field,

869
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:50,560
Speaker 1: then you faced you know, in week two Jamen Hurts,

870
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:53,399
Speaker 1: and then you go and you face Mahomes, who he's

871
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 1: not a traditional just gonna rack up rushing yards on you,

872
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,920
Speaker 1: but he's dangerous moving around in the pocket and outside

873
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: of the pocket. So I think the Falcons defense might

874
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:05,319
Speaker 1: be a little better. And both of these teams, I

875
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 1: think do want to run the ball. You have bij

876
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:10,279
Speaker 1: on the one side, Camara on the other. A lot

877
00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:12,960
Speaker 1: of the Saints offense is predicated off playing the Panthers,

878
00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:15,239
Speaker 1: and then you know, hitting some play action shots is

879
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 1: kind of high variants tends to lead towards you know

880
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,040
Speaker 1: unders more often than not in unless you get a

881
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: complete blowout blow up. So I just think both of

882
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 1: these offensive lines not being in in top form. It's

883
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 1: just not a good spot for either offense. And I

884
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 1: think the Falcons d might be a little bit underrated

885
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 1: to your point earlier, just you know, having gone against

886
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 1: all these mobile quarterbacks. So Week four divisional unders are

887
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 1: thirty and fifteen to sixty seven percent since twenty fifteen.

888
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:46,799
Speaker 1: So Bucks, Eagles, Falcons, Saints unders. Let's go to our

889
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,400
Speaker 1: favorite teaser of the week.

890
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:53,960
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

891
00:44:55,040 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 4: Don't don't change, don't tease, Steph where you go with yours?

892
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:10,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's keep it simple. We'll go with teasing through

893
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,280
Speaker 2: three and seven in games with low totals already mentioned.

894
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,799
Speaker 2: I'm like the Colts. Let's tease the Colts up over

895
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:20,520
Speaker 2: seven total airs thirty nine and a half and another

896
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 2: game of the total thirty nine half. Let's sees the

897
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:25,800
Speaker 2: Jets down to minus one and a half. Denver, second

898
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 2: straight road game out east, still bow knicks Aaron Rodgers

899
00:45:30,840 --> 00:45:32,960
Speaker 2: and the Jets off of extended arrests, which they really

900
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:36,960
Speaker 2: needed after three games in eleven days. That Jets defensive front.

901
00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:38,799
Speaker 2: If you look at the underlying metrics like lineyards, they

902
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,399
Speaker 2: can get pushed around, but the Broncos aren't team that's

903
00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:45,880
Speaker 2: necessarily going to fully exploit that. I don't mind the

904
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:48,640
Speaker 2: under I think it'll probably be a really slow paced game.

905
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:53,279
Speaker 2: Bronco is going to try to really just shorten this game.

906
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 2: On offense, I'm just not sure they can consistently move

907
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 2: the ball. And on the other side, you know, the

908
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:05,279
Speaker 2: the Broncos are gonna blitz. They have good Briley Moss

909
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,879
Speaker 2: played really well. Last week's certain played well as well.

910
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 2: Maybe they can keep the Jets passing, attack and check.

911
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 2: But I trust Rogers to do enough here to get

912
00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:18,919
Speaker 2: it done at home against the rookie quarterback. So yeah,

913
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 2: let's go Jets down to one and a half, Colts

914
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 2: up to seven and a half.

915
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:26,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the Jets as well. I think last

916
00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:28,160
Speaker 1: week was the time to kind of get in on

917
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 1: the Broncos. You know, they you just just kind of

918
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 1: felt Tean Payton game plan and coming together. But now

919
00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:37,479
Speaker 1: now it's tougher. You know, it's just a much higher

920
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:40,479
Speaker 1: quality defense, not when it's simply I think getting lucky

921
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:42,880
Speaker 1: at times in that Bucks one. So I like the

922
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:45,319
Speaker 1: Jets as well, teasing them down, and then I'll go

923
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: to the Chiefs here. You know Chargers normally, I mean you

924
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,400
Speaker 1: still don't even with the Chargers injuries, you know, Herbert's questionable,

925
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 1: the tackles, you still don't feel comfortable.

926
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 2: About the lean Herwin James.

927
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, all that stuff. You still don't feel comfortable

928
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: waying eight lit the teeth on the road because we

929
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 1: know what they do as these big favorites, and it's

930
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 1: throwing so short these days, like everything's you know, five

931
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 1: yards past the line of scrimmage and yack, and it's

932
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,399
Speaker 1: just they're not going to blow people out. I don't

933
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 1: think so low total game much rather tease them down

934
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:17,680
Speaker 1: from eight to two as well, see all you need

935
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 1: a field goal in so yeah, teasing the Jets and

936
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 1: the Chiefs for me, Yeah.

937
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 2: Chiefs offense is a mess right now. I mean Mahomes

938
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:27,759
Speaker 2: is number. I mean, Mahomes doesn't even been not sure,

939
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 2: Kelsey's looks washed. I mean they'll probably get in shaped

940
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,760
Speaker 2: by this time there inevitably in the Super Bowl, defense

941
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 2: isn't as good. I would love to take eight here

942
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 2: if I knew who was gonna play like I need Herbert.

943
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:46,880
Speaker 2: The tackles are huge, No derwin James Hurts. The thing is, like,

944
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:49,360
Speaker 2: what's interesting to watch is all these key injuries is

945
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:52,319
Speaker 2: the charters of a bye next week. So it's like

946
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:53,799
Speaker 2: you lost, You just lost the game. This is a

947
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 2: huge divisional game. But you also have a buye So

948
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,799
Speaker 2: do you not want to risk like rushing anyone back

949
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 2: right for the whole season. So they're in an interesting spot.

950
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 2: I have no idea who's gonna play. That'll be an

951
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 2: injury report watch. But yeah, anytime you can tease the

952
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,080
Speaker 2: Chiefs down to just win, especially against a team with

953
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:14,400
Speaker 2: all these injuries that might have a backup quarterback, backup tackles,

954
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:17,759
Speaker 2: missing a couple key defenders, they don't really they already

955
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:19,799
Speaker 2: don't have good receivers, but like if they had some

956
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:23,400
Speaker 2: of those guys playing the way the Chiefs offensive.

957
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: Charges all day charges all yeah, the Charterers.

958
00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:29,399
Speaker 2: Could just go run heavy short in this game. But yeah,

959
00:48:29,520 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 2: don't hate it. So you're going Chiefs and who else?

960
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:34,160
Speaker 1: And Jets? All right, so Chiefs, Jets, coach Jets, it's

961
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:36,759
Speaker 1: time for our underdog moneyline.

962
00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:43,040
Speaker 3: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends.

963
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:47,440
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay. All right, we

964
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:51,320
Speaker 1: hear one. Last week Carolina was plus two hundred beat

965
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,840
Speaker 1: the Raiders thirty six twenty two, and then the Giants

966
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:58,279
Speaker 1: with plus two eighty in Cleveland in fifteen, so that

967
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:01,839
Speaker 1: was a plus ten to forty. Let's keep it going.

968
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 1: Where are you going this week?

969
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:06,240
Speaker 2: Let's go to the Vikings. I already talked about it earlier.

970
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 2: I just think this team's playing so well on both

971
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:12,279
Speaker 2: sides of the ball, great coaches, and you just have

972
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 2: to add a variants which you're looking for with some

973
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:19,319
Speaker 2: of these underlined dogs. Of Okay, if Love plays, maybe

974
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 2: he's not one hundred percent, and that definitely would work

975
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:25,600
Speaker 2: in the Vikings favor. So let's go with Minnesota.

976
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 1: I'll go with the team I bet against last week,

977
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 1: which is the Browns on this in this segment, I'm

978
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 1: going to go with them. They are now dogs at

979
00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 1: the Raiders and Deshaun Watson has been terrible, but the

980
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 1: Raiders also have a terrible try to terrible quarterbacks Gardner

981
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,480
Speaker 1: Minshew and Aidan O'Connell. So it really just comes down

982
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:49,360
Speaker 1: to variants, turnover variants, things like that. The Browns have

983
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,760
Speaker 1: a better defense, looks like Miles Garrett's gonna play, so

984
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:56,360
Speaker 1: I don't I would need a three probably to actually

985
00:49:56,400 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 1: back Deshaul Watson at this point. And just it's especially.

986
00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 2: Cooper's banged up in the joke, and we don't know

987
00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 2: the Browns offensive line lost Teller, we don't know the

988
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:05,800
Speaker 2: tackle situation.

989
00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:09,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's it's not a great one to just

990
00:50:09,880 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 1: back them straight up. But at the same time, the

991
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:14,760
Speaker 1: Raiders are just terrible, and I think people got gassed

992
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 1: up from them coming from behind against the Ravens. Just

993
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:18,799
Speaker 1: they just do that, like we just it's just what

994
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 1: the Ravens do. For some reason, they give up big

995
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 1: weeds in the fourth quarter. So the Raiders, I think

996
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 1: are still terrible. The Browns are probably more terrible than

997
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:29,520
Speaker 1: we even thought. But the Browns still have the best

998
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,799
Speaker 1: unit in this game, which is their defense, and that

999
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,319
Speaker 1: could be enough. So I'll take the Browns, all right.

1000
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:39,200
Speaker 1: So Vikings plus one twenty Browns plus one to eight,

1001
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:42,000
Speaker 1: parlay those you get TLUS three fifty eight. So not

1002
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 1: quite as juicy as a ten ten to one one

1003
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 1: you hit last week. But I do feel like both

1004
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 1: of these underdogs have a really good shot. Now it

1005
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:52,800
Speaker 1: is time for best of the rest of the games.

1006
00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:57,160
Speaker 1: We did not discuss in any other segment that's.

1007
00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 4: Gonna be a touchdown, but that may be meaningful to

1008
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 4: some of you, you know what I mean.

1009
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,359
Speaker 1: All Right, so we got two games. You got the

1010
00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 1: first one, Patriots at forty nine ers, Niners favored by ten,

1011
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:12,280
Speaker 1: the total thirty nine and a half. Injury uncertainty really

1012
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:14,359
Speaker 1: for the Niners because there's a lot of points if

1013
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:16,920
Speaker 1: everyone's going to be out, but and the Patriots are

1014
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: on long rest.

1015
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:21,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we've got the Patriot's offensive line there,

1016
00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 2: and I mean we saw against the Jets that couldn't

1017
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:25,759
Speaker 2: do anything with their offensive line injuries against the front

1018
00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 2: that you can run on so harder out Now for

1019
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, you can run on them a

1020
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:33,759
Speaker 2: little bit. But it looks like Party is a full

1021
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 2: participant today. We'll see who else plays for them. I

1022
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:38,720
Speaker 2: got to feel on this like a get right spot

1023
00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 2: for San Fran But there's just so much injury uncertainty.

1024
00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:44,560
Speaker 2: Maybe a big favorite finally covers I think like underdogs

1025
00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:47,600
Speaker 2: of six plus or like twelve and one against the spread.

1026
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 2: But yeah, this is an injury report watch. I'm pretty

1027
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:53,279
Speaker 2: close to market pass right now.

1028
00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:55,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know want anything to do with this one.

1029
00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:58,319
Speaker 1: If you're still alive with a survivor, maybe you try

1030
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:00,200
Speaker 1: San Francisco. But they're so banged up. I mean, what

1031
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 1: happened last week, So I got to really watch the

1032
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:07,960
Speaker 1: injury report and then interesting game Washington and Arizona. Arizona

1033
00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:09,759
Speaker 1: favored by three and a half. The total fifty and

1034
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:12,799
Speaker 1: a half, has it fifty one At some spots, I

1035
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:15,879
Speaker 1: know you were going, you're thinking about Arizona. You ended

1036
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,520
Speaker 1: up moving off them and going to the falcon. So

1037
00:52:18,719 --> 00:52:20,480
Speaker 1: curious is to your thoughts on this one?

1038
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:24,880
Speaker 2: I won three here. I want the Cardinals buying the

1039
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,279
Speaker 2: dip on them after last week. Their run defense has

1040
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 2: actually been pretty good this year. There are some injuries

1041
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:32,880
Speaker 2: I'm watching another reason I didn't want to bet them yet,

1042
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:35,240
Speaker 2: Like is Beach, I'm going to play it right tackle

1043
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 2: ever down to Like their fourth string tackle is McBride,

1044
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 2: You're gonna play he's in concussion protocol. But Daniels was

1045
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:46,400
Speaker 2: incredible last week. But the I mean the Bengals DVEs

1046
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:48,800
Speaker 2: so banged up up front, they could do whatever they wanted.

1047
00:52:49,120 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 2: Now it's a short week, you're going across time zones.

1048
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:55,120
Speaker 2: Team's historically have not had success doing that after pulling

1049
00:52:55,160 --> 00:53:00,040
Speaker 2: off an upset as an underdog. So I look, this

1050
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:02,320
Speaker 2: Washington defense is still the worst in the league. The

1051
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: Cardinals defense has been feistier than I expected, especially against

1052
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 2: the run, which is where it has to start against

1053
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:14,960
Speaker 2: this Kingsbury offense. So I don't see why the Cardinals

1054
00:53:15,040 --> 00:53:18,759
Speaker 2: just can't score at will in this game. I don't

1055
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,640
Speaker 2: know if Daniels can be that good. Again, there's probably

1056
00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:25,240
Speaker 2: some aggression coming for this Washington offense. They haven't punted

1057
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:30,439
Speaker 2: in two games. They they converting every fourth down. Yeah,

1058
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:34,040
Speaker 2: I kind of want to buy sell high on Washington

1059
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:38,040
Speaker 2: here and buy the Cardinals Kingsbury revenge game, but I

1060
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:41,239
Speaker 2: need three. I want to watch the injury report, but

1061
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:42,720
Speaker 2: I think this is a good spot for the Cardinals.

1062
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:43,399
Speaker 2: At three are better.

1063
00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:46,759
Speaker 1: You have to stay away for me. I just I'm

1064
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:48,880
Speaker 1: I'm not sure I do want to fade Jade Daniels

1065
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:50,960
Speaker 1: in that team, just because for three games into his career.

1066
00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:53,399
Speaker 1: I know you were kind of down on him coming

1067
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:56,239
Speaker 1: into the league. I was probably little higher, but he's

1068
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: gotten my attention now. And at the same time, I

1069
00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: don't really want to back Washington with the state of

1070
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:03,640
Speaker 1: their past defense. I also don't want to play a

1071
00:54:03,640 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 1: total over fifty one. I think the unders on those

1072
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:09,279
Speaker 1: totals anything over forty nine is like fourteen to two

1073
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 1: over the last two years plus or something like that.

1074
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:14,319
Speaker 1: So I just I'm just gonna kind of watch this one,

1075
00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:17,440
Speaker 1: take notes, and enjoy what hopefully it will be a

1076
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:19,680
Speaker 1: high scored game. I said two games, you actually have

1077
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,080
Speaker 1: a third. Oh how can I forget? How could I

1078
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:28,400
Speaker 1: forget about the Carolina Panthers coming off a resounding victory

1079
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:32,279
Speaker 1: against the Raiders now hosting the Bengals. The line is

1080
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,479
Speaker 1: four and a half at some spots to totals forty eight.

1081
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:40,880
Speaker 1: I mean, isn't another tough one because it typically a

1082
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:42,640
Speaker 1: team that's played as bad as the Bengals and just

1083
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:46,319
Speaker 1: kind of look very mid you know, getting laying four

1084
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,760
Speaker 1: on the road, coming out on a short week against

1085
00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:52,400
Speaker 1: an offense that put up thirty six points, and you

1086
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 1: know whatever. Now, I mean, you take the home dog here,

1087
00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 1: but now you also have an zero to three Bengals

1088
00:54:58,120 --> 00:55:00,400
Speaker 1: team that's gonna be desperate for a win, and you

1089
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 1: just don't know how much to kind of adjust the

1090
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:06,919
Speaker 1: Panthers after just one game against the Raiders. So where

1091
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:07,960
Speaker 1: are you on this one?

1092
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:12,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's probably a pass. If anything, I would lean Bengals. Actually,

1093
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 2: I don't know how the Panthers get any stops, Like,

1094
00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:19,080
Speaker 2: I just don't. They can't get pressure, they can't stop

1095
00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:22,080
Speaker 2: the pass. They're basically just trying to prevent explosives. They

1096
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:25,920
Speaker 2: just lost fuller two who went to ir so they're

1097
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:28,759
Speaker 2: trying to just prevent explosives. Well, the Bengals, outside of

1098
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 2: some bombs to Chase, have not been explosive. It's just

1099
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:33,880
Speaker 2: efficiently moving the ball, which they should be able to

1100
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:35,160
Speaker 2: do in the ground. They should be able to do

1101
00:55:35,200 --> 00:55:37,560
Speaker 2: with Barrow. He's not going to be under any pressure.

1102
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:39,799
Speaker 2: Their offensive line's been really good. Like, how are the

1103
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 2: Panthers getting any stops? Maybe you look at the Bengals

1104
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:45,600
Speaker 2: team total over, I just don't see it. The Bengals

1105
00:55:45,640 --> 00:55:47,280
Speaker 2: are really beat up on the defensive line. They cannot

1106
00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:48,879
Speaker 2: stop the run. I mean, it is the worst run

1107
00:55:48,920 --> 00:55:51,160
Speaker 2: defense in the NFL right now. We'll see if they

1108
00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:53,919
Speaker 2: get any of those guys back. But the Panthers aren't

1109
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:57,279
Speaker 2: really a threat to run it. They are much better.

1110
00:55:57,280 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 2: The offensive line is played really well. Last year, thirty

1111
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:05,880
Speaker 2: first an interior run blocking. This year they're first wide. Well,

1112
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 2: they went out and signed Hunt Lewis. They moved Corbett

1113
00:56:08,040 --> 00:56:10,440
Speaker 2: to center. They've gotten much better, but Lewis had an

1114
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 2: injury potential injury. You don't want Zavala in there.

1115
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:13,719
Speaker 1: Oh my god.

1116
00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 2: No, that could get ugly. But the Panthers aren't like

1117
00:56:19,040 --> 00:56:23,239
Speaker 2: Dalton's not mobile, so they're not like Washington, who can

1118
00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:28,319
Speaker 2: take advantage of that. Feeling also went to IR So

1119
00:56:28,360 --> 00:56:30,799
Speaker 2: this Bengals defense is bad right now, but I think

1120
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:32,560
Speaker 2: that they'll be able to get more stops than the Pants.

1121
00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:34,440
Speaker 2: I just don't see a rap for the Panthers to

1122
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:40,439
Speaker 2: get any stops, so maybe the look is Bengals team

1123
00:56:40,480 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 2: total over. I think they should get the thirty plus here.

1124
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:45,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the one thing is if if Burrow

1125
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:48,120
Speaker 1: forces it to chase, because Panthers have been really good

1126
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 1: with the flowing down number ones. That's why I think

1127
00:56:50,480 --> 00:56:52,560
Speaker 1: t Higgins being back is actually big for this game.

1128
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, I just don't feel comfortable weighing points on

1129
00:56:57,080 --> 00:57:00,200
Speaker 1: the Bengals right now. They just they don't. It's one

1130
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:01,920
Speaker 1: thing is when you're kind of buying low on a

1131
00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:06,480
Speaker 1: on a dog. But this Bengals team road short week. Uh,

1132
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:09,920
Speaker 1: it just every game they played never goes quite how

1133
00:57:09,960 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 1: I think it is gonna go. Luckily, I was on

1134
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:14,439
Speaker 1: them against the Chiefs and they do end up getting

1135
00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:16,800
Speaker 1: the cover there. But I just Bengals are too much

1136
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:19,480
Speaker 1: variance for me right now. But and this Panther team

1137
00:57:19,560 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 1: is like it almost feels like it's a new coach team,

1138
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 1: not not just a quarterback.

1139
00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:26,040
Speaker 2: Yeah because defense.

1140
00:57:26,640 --> 00:57:28,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, because because I think Canw's came here and he

1141
00:57:28,720 --> 00:57:30,360
Speaker 1: probably you know, it was like, all right, this is

1142
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:33,080
Speaker 1: our guy, Bryce Young, his job to make it work,

1143
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:35,440
Speaker 1: and he kind of probably instilled confidence that he could,

1144
00:57:35,680 --> 00:57:37,960
Speaker 1: realized he couldn't, and you know, he kind of switched

1145
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:39,920
Speaker 1: it up. So yeah, this is another one. This is

1146
00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:42,120
Speaker 1: a past for me. I get it if people were

1147
00:57:42,200 --> 00:57:44,200
Speaker 1: kind of betting on the Bengals to not drop to

1148
00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:45,840
Speaker 1: zero and four, but this fine and number. It's not

1149
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:48,240
Speaker 1: just money lines. You're talking about laying four points here,

1150
00:57:48,280 --> 00:57:50,360
Speaker 1: which could get a little dicey.

1151
00:57:50,480 --> 00:57:58,840
Speaker 2: So the defense is not playing well on football.

1152
00:58:00,200 --> 00:58:03,600
Speaker 4: Run the ball when you want to stop the run,

1153
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:06,680
Speaker 4: throw it over their heads, keep.

1154
00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:09,640
Speaker 1: It from doing that's gonna be wrap. Thank you for

1155
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:12,840
Speaker 1: listening to the Action at Network podcast. You can hear

1156
00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 1: more of me every week with my guy Sean Kerner

1157
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:18,440
Speaker 1: talking fantasy DFS, player projections, all that good stuff on

1158
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:21,919
Speaker 1: our Fantasy Flex podcasts. You can also hear Stuck talking

1159
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:26,520
Speaker 1: college football over on Big That's on Campus podcast, Stuck

1160
00:58:26,600 --> 00:58:29,200
Speaker 1: is on X at Stuckey too, and I'm actress Raybond

1161
00:58:29,240 --> 00:58:31,600
Speaker 1: Rat those same handles on the free award winning Action

1162
00:58:31,880 --> 00:58:35,760
Speaker 1: Network app. Until next time, let's get thish money Go Rivage.

1163
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:48,440
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1164
00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:51,840
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1165
00:58:52,000 --> 00:58:54,640
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1166
00:58:54,680 --> 00:58:55,480
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