1 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? 2 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My 3 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:20,800 Speaker 2: name is Matt Paroltic, gets can following me across all 4 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 2: socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being brought to 5 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 2: you by your friends at Olmah Steaks dot com. The 6 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 2: customers U r L is Omaha Steaks dot com slash Juice. 7 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 2: You go there, get a subscription free burgers for life 8 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 2: in ten percent off here first order at Omaha Steaks 9 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 2: dot com. Slash Juice with that money back guarantee at 10 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 2: olmah Steaks dot. 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: Com slash Juice. All Right, So a flat Saturday. 12 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: Kind of a bummer, because well, I just picked the 13 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 2: wrong games to give you officially, so I took the 14 00:00:55,440 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: under in Nova Creighton. That hit Nova did cover on 15 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: the last second shot. The Jays win. Now, obviously I'm 16 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 2: a Creighton guy, so I'm happy about that. Great shot 17 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: by Trey Alexander, huge momentum builder heading into March. Great 18 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 2: for the Creighton thirty to one ticket We've got on 19 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: them to win it all. But bummer lost there. The 20 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 2: underhit over the side did not. Kentucky won the game outright. 21 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: The plus eight came in I actually took plus eight 22 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 2: and a half on Tennessee. 23 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: I hit both sides. I middled that game, which was beautiful. 24 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 2: I was on sports Grid talking through that game and 25 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 2: it was plus eight and a half on Tennessee and 26 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: I took it. So I was on plus eight and 27 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: a half Tennessee, plus eight and a half Kentucky and 28 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 2: the over pushed and landed at one sixty six. 29 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: That was annoying, So that pushed. 30 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:47,639 Speaker 2: We get the UFC fight right with Gamroth's easy victory, 31 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 2: well I guess not easy. He got knocked out in 32 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: the first round and a little bit of a scary 33 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 2: thing there, but he wins by decision. And then the 34 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 2: hockey bet again Dallas Star's over one and a half 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 2: goals in the second period, just it keeps on coming in, 36 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: so that that hit for us. 37 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: So it was a one one in one day. So 38 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: that's down point one. 39 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 2: And then Christophe Perzingis didn't play, so he got scratched, 40 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 2: so he went one in two on the NBA player props, 41 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 2: so essentially down point three five on the night. So 42 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 2: nothing really so kind of a bummer there, but I 43 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: need to sweep the board here. I need a three 44 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 2: and Oh, Sunday A three and oh Sunday. By my math, 45 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 2: I'm pretty confident it'll give us a winning week, but 46 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:31,200 Speaker 2: tough to go three and oh. Last time I said that, 47 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 2: Last time I needed that, I think it was last Sunday. 48 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: We got there. 49 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 2: By the way, speaking of Sunday, the last two NBA Sundays, 50 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 2: the under has hit twenty consecutive times in the NBA 51 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 2: twenty and oh to the under over the last two 52 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: Sundays since the All Star Break, they've been two Sundays 53 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 2: twenty and oh. Now you can do one of two things. 54 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:00,639 Speaker 2: You can eat, or one of three things. You can 55 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: bet every game under and see if the trend continues. 56 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 2: You can fade it and bet every game over and 57 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: see if there's a massive overcorrection by the sports books 58 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 2: because there could be. Or do what I'm gonna do, 59 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 2: which is nothing, sit back and wait and see what's 60 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 2: going to happen. So that car just wrapped up in 61 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: Miami in the UFC. By the way, do you guys 62 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: like this shirt? These guys the Nomad Surf Shop in 63 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 2: Boyton Beach, Florida, right by right a little bit you know, 64 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: down there in South Florida, down on the coast sent 65 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 2: me this to where so I always love it when 66 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 2: you guys are watching the show and listening to the 67 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 2: show and being a part of the juice audience and 68 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 2: the juice in our in our ecosystem as they call it, 69 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: sending stuff. So shout out to those guys if you're 70 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 2: down there, go check out the Nomad Surf Shop in 71 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 2: Boyton Beach, Florida, if you're in Florida. But I mean, 72 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 2: my goodness, what a card. And the UFC has it 73 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 2: coming again with the UFC three hundred next month. I'm 74 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 2: going to it on April the thirteenth. I cannot wait 75 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 2: to watch. I have my birthday coming up on April fourth. 76 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 2: I'm going to Chicago for my birthday, and then the 77 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 2: following weekend we have UFC three hundred. So good start 78 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 2: to April for me. Final four weekend in April and 79 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 2: then Master's Weekend and everything else. It's just sort of 80 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 2: like one of those really fun spring months coming up. 81 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 2: But unbelievable performance by the Sugar Show by O'Malley. That 82 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: was awesome to watch him five rounds. Just how in 83 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 2: the world did cho Vera eat that knee? You've probably 84 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,799 Speaker 2: seen the replay by Now, that was unbelievable to watch 85 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: him take that and just walk through it like it 86 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: was nothing and just okay, let's keep fighting for four 87 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 2: more rounds or three more rounds. Unreal but really good 88 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 2: defense by O'Malley. Here comes the superstar talk for him. 89 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 2: He's a star, But here comes a superstar potential for 90 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 2: O'Malley if he gets to fight for two belts, if 91 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: it was up a weight class, we'll see. But just overall, 92 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 2: a really fun night at the fight is why didn't 93 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 2: bet much Because there were so many coin flip fights, 94 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 2: so many fights that could have. 95 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: Gone one way. 96 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 2: And I mean, that's what you want, right If you're 97 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 2: a book maker, that's what you want. 98 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: If you're Dana White, that's what you want. 99 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 2: You want interest to want people watching and talking about 100 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 2: your fights and just being, you know, the next day 101 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 2: going oh my gosh, Dustin Poier, huh as somebody who 102 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: likes to dabble in the boxing world and likes to 103 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 2: dabble in boxing myself. 104 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to work on that. 105 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 2: So he's a right handed power striker and he fights 106 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 2: South Paul in order to be able to hit you 107 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 2: with a right hook that was on the money. I mean, 108 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 2: my goodness, what a punch by Dustin Poier and just 109 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 2: a class act all the way around. Couldn't be happier 110 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 2: for him. Unbelievable performance, So really really fun night in 111 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 2: Miami had just I'm glad I watched all those fights tonight. 112 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 2: So looking forward to three hundred coming up here in 113 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 2: Vegas on April the thirteenth. Okay, let's get to today. 114 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 2: I love Championship Sundays. In one week. There'll be multiple 115 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: Championship Sundays, one week away from Selection Sunday, which is crazy. 116 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 2: I got two bets in college basketball, one bet in 117 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 2: the NBA. If I add anything, I'll do it on 118 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 2: the Discord channel like always bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat. 119 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 2: I don't know about golf, guys, I've been looking. I 120 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 2: don't know, Like I'm just going to stay away most 121 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,839 Speaker 2: likely and most likely staying away from NASCAR at Phoenix, 122 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 2: so like, you know, we'll figure out. 123 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:25,920 Speaker 1: I think that runs today, maybe last night. I don't know. 124 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: I know they're in Phoenix, but I'm pretty confident I'm 125 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 2: staying away from NASCAR and from golf. We will get 126 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 2: into it soon. I promise we'll have some extra stuff 127 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 2: in here. But right now, let's talk college basketball. So 128 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 2: one of you told me that the future market price 129 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,920 Speaker 2: on Tennessee following their loss to Kentucky was eighteen to one. 130 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 2: That must have been there for like a millisecond because 131 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 2: everyone's back down to eleven to one or ten to one. Now, 132 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,719 Speaker 2: remember I want fifteen to one. So right after the game, 133 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 2: somebody sent me a DM on the Discord channel and said, Hey, Fandel, 134 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,720 Speaker 2: has it at fourteen to one? Should I buy it? 135 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 2: I said, yes, buy it. Somebody then said it was 136 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 2: eighteen to one, which I didn't see. I'm not saying 137 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 2: it wasn't there, but that was like a flash for 138 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 2: a friend, Like that's one of those inside jobs deals, 139 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 2: like if that number ever went to eighteen to one, 140 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 2: if you have an eighteen to one ticket bought yesterday, 141 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 2: I mean yesterday. So on the what it today is 142 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 2: today is the tenth on the ninth of March. 143 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: I want to see the ticket. 144 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: Show me, DM me in the Discord channel, bettingpros dot 145 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:33,239 Speaker 2: com slast chat show me it because I can't believe 146 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 2: it was eighteen to one yesterday. Now earlier in the year, sure, 147 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 2: I mean, yesterday, did any book have it at eighteen 148 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 2: to one? But if you do, if you have it, awesome, 149 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 2: I want to see it some congratulations. 150 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: That's tremendous. So I'm not buying it. 151 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 2: I want fifteen to one on Tennessee. I'm gonna keep shopping, okay, 152 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 2: and maybe we'll get it. Maybe they'll get bounced early 153 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 2: in the SEC tournament, you know, maybe some other markets 154 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 2: will adjust, but that's what if I'm gonna buy in 155 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: here this late on Tennessee, I want fifteen to one, 156 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 2: fourteen to one, minimum, fifteen to one to what I want. 157 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 2: I'll probably take fourteen to one, but everyone's at ten 158 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 2: to one or eleven to one, and it's just not 159 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 2: enough value for me to work off of it given 160 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 2: our other future wagers that we've got. Right, so we 161 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 2: have four units in play with four other bets. We 162 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 2: add five. Now we're starting to really cut into any 163 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 2: potential profit that we might have from the futures market. 164 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 2: So I want fifteen to one. That's number I'm looking 165 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 2: for for Tennessee. If you got fourteen to one or 166 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 2: eighteen to one, congrats, because what time I went to 167 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 2: go by it tonight and it wasn't there, So that 168 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 2: kind of stunk. All right, Let's start with an early game. 169 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 2: And you guys are gonna hate me for this, but 170 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 2: I don't really care. Monmouth in College of Charleston. This 171 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 2: is the CAA championship game the Coastal Athletic Association. Monmouth 172 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 2: is one hundred and eightieth in KEMPOM. Charleston is one 173 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 2: hundred and fourth in KEMPOM. KEMPOM has this as a 174 00:08:55,840 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 2: six point win for College of Charleston. Interesting numbers between 175 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 2: these two. The number is eight and a half for 176 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 2: this game, eight and a half for College of Charleston. 177 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: This is a noon Eastern time start. By the way, 178 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 2: this is going to be done at the Entertainment and 179 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 2: Sports Arena at Washington DC. So defensively, Monmouth has a 180 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 2: little bit of an advantage, not tremendous, but a little 181 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 2: bit of an advantage. I think in terms of tempo 182 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 2: Mama it plays. I mean, it's one hundred and forty 183 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 2: third in tempo. Justin tempo. They don't really want to 184 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 2: play fast if they don't have to. But they've been 185 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 2: playing really well on both sides of the ball recently. 186 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 2: So Mommouth got to the championship game by beating Campbell 187 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 2: ninety to sixty seven on a neutral court. In their 188 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 2: last game of the regular season on the road, they 189 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 2: beat Elon eighty five to seventy fifteen point win there, 190 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 2: and then you know, over a twenty point win, a 191 00:09:56,679 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 2: twenty three point win against Campbell, Charles has gotten here. 192 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 2: And look, they've been the best team in the Colonial, 193 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 2: in the coastal all year. The twenty four and seven 194 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 2: when fifteen and three. Only losses were to UC Wilmington 195 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 2: both them home and away, and Townsend. They played Florida 196 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 2: Atlantic on the road they lost ninety to seventy four, 197 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 2: and that one they lost to Vermont. They lost to Wyoming, 198 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 2: they lost the du Cane in a pre conference tournament. 199 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 2: But after that they just ran through everybody. Now we're 200 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 2: going right here into an opportunity for them to win 201 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 2: as the one seed. Eighty two seventy six is the 202 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 2: projected number here. 203 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 1: On this one. 204 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:40,719 Speaker 2: Look, I'm really gonna be curious to see how Monmouth 205 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 2: comes out and how Monmouth plays, because to me, this 206 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 2: is a team. 207 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: It's early. 208 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 2: It's a noon tip Eastern time, nine am Pacific time. Here, 209 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 2: it's the quarter five I said championship. It's a quarterfinal. Sorry, 210 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 2: I'm at the quarters, not the champiship. Mamath already played 211 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 2: one game in this tournament, though, ten and eight Momoth 212 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 2: fifteen and three Charleston Cougar's I'm gonna take the dog here. 213 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 2: I like the way Mama is playing. Ken Pom has 214 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 2: it as a six point win eight and a half. 215 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 2: I like two and a half points of value here, 216 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 2: and I like tournament games with big spreads and a 217 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 2: chance to you know, stretch out games and potentially hang tough. 218 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 2: These teams when they played each other during the during 219 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 2: the regular season, it was a ninety four to eighty 220 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 2: three win for College of Charleston. Now you might go, Matt, 221 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 2: that's you know, they're gonna kill him here. But eight 222 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 2: and a half is a lot of points. 223 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: Okay. 224 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 2: They won by eleven in the first meeting back on 225 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 2: January the thirteenth, And you know, yes, I think College 226 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 2: COC will call him College Charleston. 227 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 1: I think they win. 228 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take Ken Palm here, and I'm gonna 229 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:48,079 Speaker 2: take the points to two and a half points of 230 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 2: value at eight and a half. I'm gonna take Mama 231 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 2: plus eight and a half. Here their ten and eight record, 232 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 2: playing for a chance to keep their season alive. This 233 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 2: could be it for Mamath. Here, play solid defense, keep 234 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 2: the game close. Charleston wins. Mamuth covers plus eight and 235 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 2: a half, one point one units down for College of Charleston. Okay, 236 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 2: bet number two. You know we're betting the Valley Tournament. Okay, 237 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 2: you know we're betting Indiana State and Drake. If you 238 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 2: bet that parlay, congratulations, I told you. I thought it 239 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 2: was gonna be Drake in Indiana State. Money line, money line, 240 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 2: it happened. Okay, So here we are. This is gonna 241 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 2: be awesome. Best player on the court's gonna be Tucker Devrees, 242 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 2: best team on the four is gonna be Indiana State. Now, 243 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 2: this is a one point win a corn to kempom 244 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 2: is a one point win for Indiana State. 245 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 1: Indiana State has. 246 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:37,000 Speaker 2: To win this game or win or lose on like 247 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 2: a last second shot or something, because this is most 248 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 2: likely a one big league. Maybe if Drake wins and 249 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 2: it's a close game like a one point win, maybe 250 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 2: we see two teams get in from the Valley, but 251 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 2: most likely not. So this is a chance to play 252 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 2: in ninst DOUAA tournaments. Look, I am very much in 253 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,199 Speaker 2: the camp that did. I would love it for Darren 254 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 2: Devrees d Rock as he's known, former Creighton assistant coach, 255 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 2: long time under Dana Allman, has been awesome at Drake. 256 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 2: His son, Tucker Devrees, is a junior best player in 257 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 2: the Valley. I just think Indiana State here is going 258 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 2: to have fresher legs than Drake. Drake has had two 259 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 2: very tough games. Indiana State has basically housed both teams 260 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 2: that they've played, and that's not I mean, that's why 261 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 2: you want to be the one seed. Frankly, Okay, you 262 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,439 Speaker 2: want the easier draw, you want the chance to play 263 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 2: teams aren't that good, and if you take care of business, 264 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: you can wind up getting a good rotation going and 265 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 2: you can have just more legs available. Normally, I bet 266 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 2: the under in this game. Okay, Normally it's hard fought, 267 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 2: tough battles. You know the trends I've told you about 268 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 2: with the Valley Tournament. First game of the entire tournament 269 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:53,199 Speaker 2: bet under that came in easily. Second bet is first 270 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 2: game on day two with the team that played in 271 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 2: the first game, they play the one Seed take them 272 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,199 Speaker 2: plus the point it's Missouri State was that team that 273 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 2: came in. Is you want to keep you want to 274 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 2: bet the other trend. You can make it go three 275 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 2: to zero. Potentially it would be under one fifty five 276 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 2: for this game. Why tired legs. Tired legs, I mean 277 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 2: just frankly tired legs. I mean you've played three games 278 00:14:16,520 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 2: in three days. The difference is they beat Missouri State 279 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 2: seventy five to fifty nine. They beat Northern Iowa ninety 280 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 2: four to seventy two relatively stress free games. They were 281 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,360 Speaker 2: leading by I think four or five at the break 282 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 2: in the first game against Missouri State. They destroyed Northern Iowa. 283 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 2: They easily covered the number. And now here we are 284 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 2: with Drake. In the first meeting up against Drake, India 285 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 2: State lost on the road eighty nine to seventy eight. 286 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 2: At home, they got revenge seventy five to sixty seven. Yes, 287 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 2: this is a one point win and the number is 288 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: one for Indiana State. Okay, so it's right on to 289 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 2: ken Pum number. Ken Pum has this as a one 290 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 2: to fifty nine total. So if you want to bet 291 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 2: the over, you can, but be careful there because trust me. 292 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 2: This is if you've see enough of these, these kids 293 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,640 Speaker 2: can get tired. I think the difference is the fact 294 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 2: that Indiana State has had less stress to get here. 295 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 2: This is an offense for Indiana State that's just tremendous. 296 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 2: They are the number one most effective field goal shooting 297 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 2: percentage team offensively in the country. They are number ten 298 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 2: and three point percentage. They are number two and two 299 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 2: point percentage. They're number four in free throw percentage. They're 300 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 2: twenty third and adjusted offensive efficiency. Ken Palm loves them. 301 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 2: They're forty first. Now Ken Pom loves Drake too. 302 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: I mean Drake. 303 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 2: Their numbers aren't horrible. Thirty ninth in offensive efficiency, thirty 304 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 2: first and effective field goal percentage, seventy second in three 305 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 2: point percentage, twenty fourth and two point percentage, and a 306 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 2: lot of it is conducutive rees. Look, Indiana State, here's 307 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 2: the one. Here's here's a point to take Drake. Okay, 308 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 2: you want to want points. 309 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 1: To take Drake. 310 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 2: Indiana State gets thirty nine point three percent of their 311 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 2: points from behind the three point line three games in 312 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 2: three days. 313 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: What goes your legs? 314 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 2: When your leg go and your legs go, what happens 315 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 2: your jump shot goes if they aren't hitting threes. Uh 316 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 2: oh for Indiana State. Okay, that's a good sign for Drake. 317 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 2: The problem is Indiana State's so efficient. They can do 318 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 2: other things really well, like get to the free throw 319 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 2: line and they'll make you pay from the free throw line. 320 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 2: So I mean Robbie Avila as they call him, cream 321 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 2: Abdul Jabbar, I mean, this kid is just unbelievable, six 322 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 2: foot ten with the glasses. Everyone's in love with that kid. 323 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 2: I want Indiana State in the dance. I want Drake 324 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 2: in the dance. I would love to be wrong here, Okay, 325 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 2: I would love to be wrong. I'm gonna take Indiana State. 326 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the one, hard fought game down to 327 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 2: the wire. I'll lean towards the under, but I'll take 328 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 2: Indiana State minus one for one point one. All right. 329 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 2: College basketball players were taking Monmouth at plus eight and 330 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 2: a half in the CAA in the Coastal Athletic Association 331 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 2: quarter final. Sorry, I said final quarter final. And I'm 332 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 2: taking Indiana State in the Missouri Valley Conference Final minus 333 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,880 Speaker 2: one up against Drake. Now the NBA play, Let's talk 334 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,760 Speaker 2: about the Pacers and the Magic. Now the Pacers just 335 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,400 Speaker 2: got some really bad news that one of their best 336 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 2: players is now going to be done for the year. 337 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 2: Mathorin is done with the shoulder injury. He's having surgery 338 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 2: to repair the laborroom. Now the Pacers have dropped four 339 00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 2: of six, and I just I said this on sports 340 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 2: Grid yesterday, and I think I'm going to kind of 341 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 2: listen to myself here. A labrim injury can be repaired whenever. 342 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 2: But I wonder if the Pacers know, like they know, 343 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 2: they're not going anywhere. They know that they're not playing 344 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 2: for a playoff berth. They may play in the playoffs, 345 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 2: but they're not going to beat anybody in the playoffs. 346 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:04,080 Speaker 2: They're young, they're inexperienced, and they're about the future. So 347 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: why not get that shoulder taken care of. Why not 348 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 2: get him surgery, get his reab going for next year, 349 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 2: get him healthy for training camp and be able to 350 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 2: go after it. And for that reason, the number being 351 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 2: minus one and a half is interesting given how well 352 00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:23,960 Speaker 2: Orlando has been playing. It's a surprising number and I 353 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 2: kind of was I don't want to say I was 354 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 2: stunned by it, but I think it's it's too short. 355 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 2: I mean, Orlando at home is twenty and eight ats. 356 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 2: They're seven and three over their last ten, or four 357 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 2: and one ats over their last five. Indiana is not horrible. 358 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 2: They're sixteen fifteen and one on the road, but recently, 359 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 2: you know, they're two and three ats and they're four 360 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 2: and six ats over their last ten. I just think 361 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 2: Indiana is a team that's going to start playing for 362 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,760 Speaker 2: next year, and I don't think they're going to really 363 00:18:57,880 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 2: you know, I don't think they really care. 364 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 1: Too much right now. I think that's a huge message. 365 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 2: They played Orlando at home back on in November, they 366 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 2: lost by twelve. They played them at home and lost 367 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:11,400 Speaker 2: by seven. They're oh to two on the year against Orlando. 368 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,440 Speaker 2: This season, I think they dropped to oh to three 369 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,639 Speaker 2: on the year. And I mean, if you're looking for 370 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 2: trends or are looking for numbers to jump into, I mean, 371 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 2: Orlando hasn't scored a ton, But if you want to 372 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:25,880 Speaker 2: jump in on the over on this game, I don't 373 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,160 Speaker 2: think it's a horrible idea to jump in on the over. 374 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 2: I lean towards the over if you want something extra 375 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,280 Speaker 2: on the game. But I think it's easier just to 376 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 2: lay the one and a half with the Magic and 377 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 2: jump in on the Magic. You know, the Magic just 378 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,120 Speaker 2: had their five game win streak being snapped. 379 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 1: They do not score much. I'll give you that. 380 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:45,840 Speaker 2: But the Pacers play, and as I said before, I've 381 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 2: never bet an under involving a Pacer game. 382 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 1: Again, I'm not starting here with this. 383 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:51,440 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna take the Magic minus one and a 384 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,640 Speaker 2: half for one point one units. 385 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:56,400 Speaker 1: All right, three bets for us on a Sunday. Need 386 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 1: to sweep if I sweep of a winning week. 387 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 2: If I don't, it'll be a slightly down losing week, 388 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:01,680 Speaker 2: but nothing too serious. 389 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: But let's see if we can bounce back after yesterday. 390 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 2: If I do, like anything else, I will add it 391 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,360 Speaker 2: in the Discord channel, Betting Pros dot Com slash Chat 392 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,360 Speaker 2: again mom myth plus eight and a half Indiana State 393 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 2: minus one, Magic minus one and a half for our 394 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 2: three bets on a Sunday minus Matt Paroltz fhow me 395 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning the 396 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 2: l Juice Podcast. 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