WEBVTT - Nick Wright Mailbag: Dan Orlovsky's INSANE QB rankings, Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen 0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:05.760 All right, welcome in What's Driving the Great Episode four 0:00:06.000 --> 0:00:08.400 ninety one. This episode of What's Right and the Great 0:00:08.480 --> 0:00:11.840 is presented to you by boost Mobilers, our Friday bonus 0:00:11.880 --> 0:00:15.520 episode where we do mailbag stuff where you know, some 0:00:15.720 --> 0:00:19.080 topics that we didn't get to in the week. Sometimes 0:00:19.120 --> 0:00:22.040 we stray a little more from sports these in this episode. 0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:24.439 And so here's what we're gonna do today. It'll be 0:00:24.480 --> 0:00:28.840 a relatively quick episode. Uh, but Dan Orlofsky did his 0:00:28.920 --> 0:00:32.240 quarterback rankings and it's just too good not to discuss. 0:00:32.560 --> 0:00:34.839 So we have that. Then there's three or four emails 0:00:34.840 --> 0:00:37.240 that I want to get to, and then maybe one 0:00:37.640 --> 0:00:41.000 sports media note on the back end of the show. 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:45.519 Reminder everybody like rate, subscribe, and review. Also reminder to 0:00:45.560 --> 0:00:48.280 everyone next week, ty Butler and Damon Bruce will be 0:00:48.280 --> 0:00:50.720 filling in for me and de Monday the next couple weeks. 0:00:50.920 --> 0:00:53.840 Then i'll be back August thirty first, back in the 0:00:53.880 --> 0:00:58.120 States September first, right back here in your guys feeds again. 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:00.640 Damon and Tyle will be filling in. But I'll be 0:01:00.720 --> 0:01:04.280 back in your feeds on YouTube September first, and we'll 0:01:04.319 --> 0:01:10.679 be rolling for football season. But Dan Orlovsky. Credit to Dan, 0:01:11.240 --> 0:01:16.360 who again I know a tiny tiny bit. Everyone who 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:18.640 does know him speaks about what a great guy he is. 0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:22.800 He is. Some of his opinions have been the subject 0:01:22.840 --> 0:01:25.880 of my scorn over the years, but it's never been 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:28.240 a personal thing with Dan. I think, I hope I 0:01:28.280 --> 0:01:35.200 would assume he knows that. So he discusses in Credit 0:01:35.240 --> 0:01:38.800 to him for having an opinion people care about. To 0:01:38.880 --> 0:01:43.920 where I'm discussing it. Here he ranked. I'm gonna read 0:01:44.000 --> 0:01:48.160 his words exactly. I ranked the top ten quarterbacks by 0:01:48.360 --> 0:01:54.080 seven different traits arm strength, ball placement, mechanics, decision making, 0:01:54.160 --> 0:01:58.720 pocket presence, second reaction, second reaction, creativity, pardon me, and 0:01:58.840 --> 0:02:02.440 rushing ability. These lists are based on current performance and 0:02:02.600 --> 0:02:06.320 expectations for the twenty twenty sixth season. It's how I 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:09.600 would rank the QB group at this exact moment. I 0:02:09.639 --> 0:02:12.920 only included starters and leaned on what I see on 0:02:12.960 --> 0:02:18.480 tape to form the rankings. Okay, great sounds fun. I'm 0:02:18.480 --> 0:02:23.639 going to jump right to the reason we're discussing this, 0:02:24.240 --> 0:02:26.400 and then we're going to do a bigger picture chat 0:02:26.440 --> 0:02:34.640 on it. Briefly, the category decision making with the football 0:02:36.840 --> 0:02:41.359 and he then describes it as here are the league's 0:02:41.400 --> 0:02:47.320 top problem solvers. Being a good decision maker means making 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:50.640 the right choice when things are going to plan, but 0:02:50.760 --> 0:02:54.480 it also means making the only choice when things are 0:02:54.520 --> 0:02:59.720 falling apart. Find the correct outlet, but avoid mistakes, turnovers, 0:02:59.760 --> 0:03:11.440 and negative plays. Okay, the number one decision making with 0:03:11.600 --> 0:03:17.080 the football quarterback in the Year of Our Lord twenty 0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:32.720 twenty six, according to Dan Orlovsky, is Josh Allen. And 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:41.240 this is where so much of my Josh Allen frustration 0:03:41.400 --> 0:03:46.000 comes from. I think he's the same you guys at 0:03:46.040 --> 0:03:47.960 this point I'm in reruns. I think he's the second 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:53.040 best quarterback in the league. Of all the quarterbacks in 0:03:53.080 --> 0:03:56.920 the league who don't have a Super Bowl ring, the 0:03:57.000 --> 0:04:01.520 one that I am, I think has the best chance 0:04:01.600 --> 0:04:04.360 of getting one over the next I don't want to 0:04:04.400 --> 0:04:06.560 say ever, because the younger guys have an edge there. 0:04:06.760 --> 0:04:11.040 But over the next five years is Josh Allen. Josh 0:04:11.120 --> 0:04:15.800 Allen at his best is the only quarterback in the 0:04:15.880 --> 0:04:21.560 league that, if both guys play their best, can go 0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:24.120 toe to toe with Patrick. That is Josh. I have 0:04:24.279 --> 0:04:30.039 given him, I think a ton of credit for those things, 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:36.040 but the frustration that you guys hear in my voice 0:04:36.080 --> 0:04:40.600 when discussing. Discussing Josh Allen so often comes from the 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:46.240 way he is covered in the media, and I've already 0:04:46.240 --> 0:04:48.760 had to hear that from Greene. No one's ever played 0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:52.159 the position better. I've had to hear from folks for 0:04:52.440 --> 0:04:57.200 years that he's the best quarterback in football. And now 0:05:00.120 --> 0:05:06.039 what I consider to be one of his only weaknesses 0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:15.720 decision making, not panicking, avoiding awful mistakes, one of the 0:05:15.720 --> 0:05:22.719 only actual verifiable weaknesses the player has. I'm Toldi's the 0:05:22.720 --> 0:05:27.800 best in the league at it, the best, number one. 0:05:28.000 --> 0:05:29.800 The last game we saw him play, he had one 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:34.479 of the worst turnovers in playoff history, and it wasn't 0:05:34.520 --> 0:05:36.240 the pick that lost him the game. 0:05:39.400 --> 0:05:47.680 The the last playoff game he played against the Chiefs 0:05:48.120 --> 0:05:53.960 AFC Championship game two years ago, tried to throw picks 0:05:53.960 --> 0:05:57.320 on the two of the first three passes of the game, 0:05:58.160 --> 0:06:03.120 and the year before that, bumble the ball three times. 0:06:03.160 --> 0:06:06.200 Since he's come into the league, no player in the 0:06:06.240 --> 0:06:13.839 league has turned the ball over more. And he's number 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:20.680 one at decision making like that's it's just crazy. It's 0:06:20.800 --> 0:06:25.760 just and again, I think he's such a great player, 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:32.200 but This is damn near the sports version of gaslighting, 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:37.800 where we're taking one of the player's only fair weaknesses 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:41.000 or critiques and saying, not only is it not a weakness, 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:44.720 he's the best in the world at it. Like I 0:06:44.800 --> 0:06:49.320 don't even think Josh Allen thinks Josh Allen is the 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:55.599 best decision maker in football. It's just baffling to me. 0:06:57.760 --> 0:07:06.279 And then we can and then we get to the 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:11.400 the other piece of this Orlovsky list that is a 0:07:11.480 --> 0:07:18.000 little frustrating, which is again, according to this to Orlovsky's rankings, 0:07:19.360 --> 0:07:25.680 there is not a single quarterback trait, not one of 0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:31.560 the seven, not one, that Patrick Mahomes is better than 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:39.960 Josh Allen at not one. Arm strength Mahomes five, Allen one, fine, 0:07:40.040 --> 0:07:46.240 so be it arguable, but fine, ball placement Alan seven, 0:07:47.080 --> 0:07:54.080 Patrick Mahomes on ball placement not top ten in the league. Okay, 0:07:55.760 --> 0:07:59.960 mechanics this one, I actually probably agree with Allen number nine, 0:08:00.240 --> 0:08:08.840 Mahomes not ranked in the top ten decision making a 0:08:08.920 --> 0:08:14.040 guy who again I'm not gonna read Mahomes resume decision 0:08:14.120 --> 0:08:21.080 making Allen number one, Patrick number nine, Patrick a worst 0:08:21.120 --> 0:08:25.840 decision maker. They end Burrow and Lamar and Dak and 0:08:25.960 --> 0:08:29.800 Jaden and Drake May and Jordan Love and Matthew Stafford 0:08:29.880 --> 0:08:36.880 and of course Josh Allen. Pocket presence, pocket presence Josh 0:08:36.960 --> 0:08:41.440 not ranked. Mahomes not ranked number one pocket presence. Somehow 0:08:41.520 --> 0:08:45.280 is Drake May, who we just watched get sacked a 0:08:45.520 --> 0:08:49.319 thousand times in the playoffs and they were not all 0:08:49.679 --> 0:08:55.400 snapsacks number one Pocket presence Drake May, Mahomes not ranked. 0:08:56.000 --> 0:09:00.000 Second reactionability Mahomes number three. Oh finally, something is better 0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:05.200 than Allen. That Nope, Allen number one. Rushing ability fine, 0:09:05.280 --> 0:09:12.800 Mahomes number seven, Allen number two. I this is what 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:24.280 again writes about second reactionability. I'm looking for creativity here 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:27.280 as well as the ability to throw from weird arm 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:32.719 angles and platforms. Mahome's not the listen. Mahome's pretty good 0:09:32.720 --> 0:09:36.400 at that creativity and weird arm angles and platforms. But 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:41.720 he's no Josh Allen. I mean, what are we doing? Like? 0:09:41.840 --> 0:09:48.680 I just I I am verklempt. No, that's the wrong word. 0:09:48.800 --> 0:09:54.000 I think verklempt means hold on. Uh oh no, that's okay. 0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:58.800 He usually is positive, not always with this, and again 0:09:59.000 --> 0:10:02.800 credit to Orlowsky. He got me going. But there's not 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:05.400 a single thing on the football field. Patrick Malmes is 0:10:05.440 --> 0:10:09.760 better than Josh Allen, and Josh Allen's got the best 0:10:10.800 --> 0:10:16.120 decision making of anyone in the league. Come on, I 0:10:16.160 --> 0:10:21.160 mean really, listener emails and then a little sports media 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:24.520 budsman thought before we wrap the show. 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All Right to the mailbag 0:11:01.920 --> 0:11:07.960 a wild headline from Owen or subject line did Magic 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:13.400 and Kareem underachieve? He writes, If you have Magic fourth 0:11:13.440 --> 0:11:18.360 best all time and Kareem's second best all time and 0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:21.240 a full group of Hall of Fame teammates around them. 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:28.079 Isn't five titles in nine tries almost underachieving. That's gonna 0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:33.880 be a note for me, dog Like. First of all, 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:37.480 let's give a little context on the Kareem piece of it. 0:11:38.960 --> 0:11:49.320 Kareem was an MVP caliber player for the first five years. 0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:55.280 There was only really five years, six years, no, yeah, 0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:59.040 five or six years that Magic and Kareem were both 0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:02.360 MVP caliber. Magic was an MVP caliber guy basically the 0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:06.640 moment he walked into the league, and Kareem was ten 0:12:06.720 --> 0:12:09.720 years into his career when Magic walked into the league, 0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:12.400 and Kareem had prior to Lebron as long as a 0:12:12.440 --> 0:12:16.480 prime as anyone ever. But again, they didn't get Magic's 0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:18.960 whole career with Kareem being Pete Kareem. One of the 0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.920 reasons Kaream is as high as he is on my 0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:25.280 list is for what he did in the seventies when 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:28.160 he won five MVPs. When his second year in the 0:12:28.200 --> 0:12:32.840 league he won MVPs, scoring title finals, MVP, he had, 0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:35.520 you know, the longest winning streaking history of the league. 0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.280 That was eight years before Magic walked into the league. 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:45.520 Once Magic got there, though, all they did was win 0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:51.240 the title. Then in eighty one, they lost in the 0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:54.840 first round in a best of three after a fifty 0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.600 four win season. Then in eighty two won the title. 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:03.000 Three lost in the finals to maybe the greatest team ever, 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:07.440 the eighty three six ers. Eighty four lost in the 0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:12.600 finals in seven to Bird and the Celtics. Eighty five 0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:18.080 won the title again, eighty six stunningly lost in the 0:13:18.120 --> 0:13:23.880 conference finals to Young Young Akeem and Ralph Samson, and 0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:27.480 then eighty seven won the title. Eighty eight won the title, 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:36.800 eighty nine lost in the finals to Isaiah Kareem's gone 0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:40.440 now and then Magic makes the finals again in ninety 0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:48.840 one lose to Jordan. I mean they played nine years together, 0:13:50.200 --> 0:14:00.840 they made seven finals and won. No hold on, what 0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:03.680 am I skipping here? Oh okay, yeah, my apologies. Yeah, 0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:11.800 played ten years together. Pardon me. They won five titles, 0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:17.839 lost in the finals three times. Pretty good. So no, 0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:22.000 they didn't underachieve. I don't know what more you'd want 0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:26.320 from them. You're not gonna sweep the decade they ran 0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:28.800 into the eighty three six ers, they had to deal 0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:31.600 with Birds, Celtics, they had to deal with Isaiah's pistons. 0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:35.920 They got clipped in a full series one time. I 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.800 mean the best of three magic second year is weird one. 0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:42.120 They got clipped pre finals by the Rockets. Once. That's no, 0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:46.800 That's what the Lakers did in the eighties. Now, I 0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.560 understand the West was the easier conference, but still what 0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:51.840 the Lakers did in the eighties, we're not gonna call 0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:57.960 that underachieving. Angus asks Lebron number one pick status for 0:14:58.040 --> 0:15:00.840 how many years? Hey, Nick, love the show and the pot. 0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:04.200 Thank you question, At what age in his career would 0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:07.200 Lebron James not have been the number one overall pick 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:10.200 in the NBA draft? Also, did you once say you 0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:12.480 are not the type to go to a wedding, but 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:15.560 you would send a gift, So you're cordially invited to 0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:19.880 my wedding later this year. Shout out, Angus and Jamie, 0:15:19.880 --> 0:15:22.840 thank you for so much you do. Sincerely one of 0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:28.360 the three Chargers fans out there. So let's do it 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:35.360 like this at what so if we obviously Lebron would 0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:41.000 have been the number one pick for all of the 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:50.680 two thousand aughts, it's pretty undeniable. Twenty twelve. Peek heat Lebron. 0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:56.680 He is twenty seven years old. Yeah, as good as 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.840 Anthony Davis as a prospect was it's like, hey, you 0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:04.360 draft ad or you can draft Lebron. At his current age, 0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:07.840 Lebron goes number one. So post Anthony Davis' number one 0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:11.440 picks Anthony Bennett Andrew Wiggins, Towns Listen Towns was an 0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:15.360 amazing prospect and people loved him, and Lebron at that 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:18.200 point is thirty years old. This is you know, right 0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:22.760 around you know, the famous. Thankfully this fucker he won't 0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:27.160 go along much longer. But it's also Lebron fresh off 0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:32.120 those twenty fourteen finals, showing no signs of wear and tear. 0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:38.680 He's the number one pick right there. Still even at thirty, 0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:41.760 you feel like you're gonna immediately have the ability to 0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:46.480 win the championship. Off twenty sixteen. He's the universally recognized 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:51.760 best player in the world. Seventeen to eighteen same, I 0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:57.880 think the first year, I think the first time Lebron 0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:02.520 would not have been the number one pick of the 0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:13.560 draft would have been thirty four year old Lebron the 0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:27.199 summer of two thousand nineteen, after his first year with 0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:34.359 the Los Angeles Lakers, where he got you know, Torres groin. 0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:39.320 It looked like, okay, you know, he finally suffered his 0:17:39.400 --> 0:17:43.639 first injury. Plus the number one pick of that draft 0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:50.480 was Zion Williamson. That's the first year so Lebron would 0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:52.880 have Again, we're not talking about you're getting to draft 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.600 eighteen year old Lebron. It's Lebron in that moment in 0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:59.080 time where the team would have said, we can have 0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:02.399 the number one pick or just get Lebron as of 0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:06.920 this moment, the first year where a team would have 0:18:06.960 --> 0:18:09.640 said we'd rather go with the number one pick would 0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:15.480 have been the Pelicans in twenty nineteen to take Zion, 0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:18.160 and Lebron then went on to win the championship that year. 0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:19.840 But that's the first team that would have done it. 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:23.200 The first team that would have been correct in doing 0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:27.960 it would have been the following year. Anthony Edwards is 0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:32.639 the number one pick twenty twenty Lebron when he's thirty 0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:35.240 five coming off the championship. But that's the answer to 0:18:35.280 --> 0:18:37.680 that email, And I like that email. I'd never thought 0:18:37.720 --> 0:18:43.240 about it quite like that. Anthony's got a sports betting question, Hi, 0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:45.840 huge fan of the show. Two questions one A shorter 0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:49.879 one is longer question one? What's the longest odds on 0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:52.119 a sports bet that you ever won. What's the story 0:18:52.160 --> 0:19:06.320 behind it? I hit a one Chiefs related same game parlay. 0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:10.320 We talked about it on the pot. I think once 0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:17.920 that culminated in like I needed, I don't know, eleven 0:19:18.000 --> 0:19:23.720 more yards from Kelsey and he had a twelve yard 0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.800 catch on the to seal the game. So that's probably 0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:30.600 the longest odds I ever won. Was that that one 0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:34.240 chief same game parlay? I think? But then here's the 0:19:34.320 --> 0:19:37.879 longer question. The sports betting market is a largely optimized market. 0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:41.479 Sportsbook used mountains of data and simulation, set lines, and 0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.480 those lines move slightly based on betting activity of the public. 0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:46.960 Even if public betting activity isn't as data driven a 0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:50.640 sportsbook line setting based on the wisdom of the crowd's phenomenon, 0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:53.720 the betting line eventually settles into a correct spot, or 0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:56.240 at least somewhere close to the correct spot. For you 0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:59.760 or anyone to consistently make money sports betting, you essentially 0:19:59.760 --> 0:20:02.120 need to see something that data doesn't see, or feel 0:20:02.160 --> 0:20:05.480 something that crowds don't feel. Short of having insider information, 0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:07.359 how do you go about doing this? What is the 0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:10.119 strategy for you and other sports betters to win the 0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:13.800 seemingly unwinnable game. I'm hoping for an answer more specific 0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:16.160 than vibes. What specific things do you look for? How 0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:19.080 successful have you seen different strategies? I want I'm glad 0:20:19.080 --> 0:20:21.040 you asked me this question because I want to make 0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:24.360 this very clear. And I say this as a partner 0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:27.560 of sports books, as someone that uses the prediction markets. 0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.639 It's someone that talks a lot about gambling. I never 0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:35.280 ever want people to be misconstrued on how I think 0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:40.280 they or how I view sports betting. I view it 0:20:40.720 --> 0:20:44.800 as a way to spend my entertainment dollars that I 0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:51.480 convince myself that hey, I can break even ish in this, 0:20:52.760 --> 0:21:02.199 and that's it unless you have dedicated your professional life 0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:11.720 too developing some type of you know, algorithm or real 0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:17.080 betting system that has been tested out over years your 0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:22.520 and to where you can really become a sharp better use. Absolutely, 0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:25.520 and I hope when we're advertising it, you guys don't 0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:28.360 think I am, you know, saying hey this is a 0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:32.440 great way. You know, it's like having a second job 0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:36.720 to pick to create additional income. That is not what 0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:39.919 it is. It is not a thing. Okay, Well you 0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:42.240 know this year I'm gonna make this much at work. 0:21:42.280 --> 0:21:44.719 Plus you know, I'm gonna this year, I'm gonna hit 0:21:44.720 --> 0:21:46.560 fifty five percent of my NFL bet so I'm gonna 0:21:46.560 --> 0:21:48.800 make this much. You've got to be looking at it 0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:52.159 as any money you ever make as a bonus. So 0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:55.840 that's first thing, because if you are not a true 0:21:56.040 --> 0:22:03.439 professional sports better Yeah, the uh, it's almost impossible to 0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:08.800 be lifetime profiting. Okay, So that's the that's the and 0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:11.880 I hope everybody understands that. Like again, and I love it, 0:22:12.280 --> 0:22:14.399 and I talk about it, and demand's into it all 0:22:14.480 --> 0:22:17.240 this and we try to give you our best expert opinions. 0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:21.760 But again, the vig is the viig, and it is very, 0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:26.159 very very difficult to lifetime be a winner. And I 0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:28.520 don't think anybody we've never run from that. It's why 0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:30.679 we take so much pride if at the end of 0:22:30.680 --> 0:22:34.280 the year we eke out, you know, one unit above 0:22:34.400 --> 0:22:36.840 break even, which is what we shoot for every year. 0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:44.200 As far as my strategy, I you know, I do 0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:47.320 think I might have because it's what I do for 0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:49.200 a living. As far as talking about the teams and 0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:54.960 the sports, I might have, you know, a better grasp 0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:59.280 on it than just the casual average fan, But I'm 0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:01.760 not gonna have an edge on the sharp professional betters, 0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:04.200 even if I might know more about football than them, 0:23:04.560 --> 0:23:10.679 so to speak. But I think the biggest edge and 0:23:10.760 --> 0:23:12.960 it's not even an edge, but it just removing the 0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:17.320 casino's edge that I have, And that one of the 0:23:17.320 --> 0:23:20.040 things I try to preach to you guys on is 0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:29.680 staying far more dedicated to single team straight wagers than 0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:34.280 the lottery ticket parlays. Again, if you're trying to eke 0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:39.199 out anything close to above five hundred or the fifty 0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:41.240 three percent that you've got to hit to actually be 0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:45.200 profitable with the VIC. Now, I am not at all 0:23:45.240 --> 0:23:51.440 opposed to the lottery ticket style same game parlays, player parlays, 0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:54.679 all of that, as long as people recognize you are giving. 0:23:54.960 --> 0:23:57.560 You know, you're risking little to potentially win a lot, 0:23:58.000 --> 0:24:00.400 and because the casino knows people love to do that, 0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:03.040 they can take an extra piece, like the big on 0:24:03.080 --> 0:24:06.159 those bets is very significant, and so you're just not 0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:11.000 going to be long term, you know, profitable if you're 0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:13.720 making a bunch of twenty to one, forty to one, 0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:16.959 fifty to one same game parlays. But again I'm not 0:24:17.000 --> 0:24:20.040 saying the goal should be lifetime profitability goal might just 0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:22.160 be I mean, it's more fun for me bet ten 0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:23.960 bucks on a game. I can win a couple hundred. 0:24:23.960 --> 0:24:25.399 If I lose the ten, it doesn't hurt me. If 0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:27.520 I win the two hundred feels good and I enjoy 0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:32.120 doing it. I hope that's a good answer. Vance asked 0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:36.240 about hypothetical duos. Which duo would win the most championships 0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:42.280 that they play together. He gives me Shack and Durant, 0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:50.600 Dream and Steph, Bron and Pippin, Jordan and Duncan, Kobe 0:24:50.640 --> 0:25:01.800 and Giannis. All Right, I so I am looking at this. 0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:08.760 You know what, when I first read this email, in 0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:11.600 my head, I was answering a question different than the 0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:14.359 one that I think he's actually asking. In my head, 0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:18.280 I thought he was discussing it as a two on 0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:24.160 two game, like as opposed to these guys being two 0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:36.640 pieces of your championship corps. Either way, whether it were 0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:38.879 a two on two game or two pieces of your 0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:44.879 championship corps, Vance, you really did my guy Bron wrong. 0:25:48.000 --> 0:25:51.359 Shaq and Durant a top twelve all time guy and 0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:55.119 a top twenty all time guy, Dream and Steph two 0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:59.840 top twelve all time guys, Jordan and Duncan two top 0:25:59.840 --> 0:26:04.120 seven all time guys, Kobe and Giannis a top ten 0:26:04.200 --> 0:26:07.880 all time guy, and Yanni's top twenty all time guy. 0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:13.879 And then Bron gets Pippen, who again I really you know, 0:26:14.000 --> 0:26:18.240 appreciate and things a little underrated, but does not sniff 0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:22.639 anybody's top thirty. All the other legends get either another 0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:25.840 top ten all time teammate or top fifteen ish. Bron 0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:29.600 gets Scottie Pippen and again no dispective Pippen, but also 0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:33.320 some positional redundancy there. So whether it's two on two 0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:38.680 or for a full team, you know, Bron's got the 0:26:38.720 --> 0:26:44.040 shortest end of the stick. My snap answer whether or 0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:50.159 two on two or five on five is the first 0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:55.639 two options the best options Shaq and Durant or Dream 0:26:55.720 --> 0:27:02.240 and Steph, Kobe and Giannis. Don't you know neither guy 0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:06.959 is a plus three point shooter. Say, with Jordan and Duncan, uh, 0:27:07.400 --> 0:27:10.760 Bron and Pip and I just talked about the drawbacks there, 0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:15.840 Shaq and Durant or Dream and Steph, you just have 0:27:16.080 --> 0:27:20.760 elite shooting to go along with dominant elite center play. 0:27:21.520 --> 0:27:26.320 So here's my answer. If it were a two on 0:27:26.400 --> 0:27:32.840 two competition, the Shaq Durant duo dominates these other five. 0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:40.280 If it were I can have two of these guys 0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:44.160 and just have you know, competent role players around them. 0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:49.480 Which duo would I pick? Dream and Steph? Dream the 0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:54.240 greatest defensive player post Bill Russell in the history of 0:27:54.280 --> 0:27:59.920 the league, Steph the greatest shooter. Those you would have 0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:05.200 peak spacing on offense, and the greatest again defender the 0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:08.680 league's scene in sixty years on defense. And Dream himself 0:28:09.040 --> 0:28:11.600 give you thirty if you need it so. They would 0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:16.280 be my pick for to your best two guys on 0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:20.119 a five man team of these duos, Shack and Durant 0:28:21.080 --> 0:28:22.560 would be my pick if it was a two on 0:28:22.640 --> 0:28:33.000 two competition. All right, last, but not least, a plea 0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:49.840 to my media colleagues. I find it very frustrating that 0:28:52.320 --> 0:29:00.320 and this is political adjacent. Everyone is a life out 0:29:01.840 --> 0:29:05.160 to have whatever politics they want. I think that's pretty 0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:12.960 well established. And I am of a belief that you 0:29:13.080 --> 0:29:18.280 do not have an obligation. You know, the listeners are adults. 0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.520 People are you know, it's discerning viewers. You don't have 0:29:21.560 --> 0:29:28.520 an obligation to hide your political leanings. When it's relevant 0:29:28.520 --> 0:29:32.080 to the conversation. You know, I've talked about that. I 0:29:32.120 --> 0:29:34.760 talked to this a lot last week's episode when we 0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:42.840 were talking about the Rogers thing. I find it insulting 0:29:43.880 --> 0:29:51.080 to my intelligence and the intelligence of the audience. A 0:29:51.160 --> 0:29:56.280 trend that has become more and more I think pervasive 0:29:56.320 --> 0:29:59.080 over the last few years, and I feel like we 0:29:59.200 --> 0:30:03.720 saw some of it this week, which is folks who 0:30:07.680 --> 0:30:13.080 claim to want to be viewed as a political entities 0:30:14.640 --> 0:30:18.480 and as someone who if they were political, they do 0:30:18.600 --> 0:30:22.520 the old well you know, I agree and disagree with 0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:25.200 both sides type of thing, which again I'm not saying 0:30:25.360 --> 0:30:31.000 there are people that actually feel that way, but yet 0:30:32.600 --> 0:30:38.040 in every opportunity that they are given, they make it 0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:43.320 very clear where they actually fall politically, and for some 0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:49.680 reason don't have the courage or the gumption to just 0:30:51.120 --> 0:31:00.680 own it. And I don't think it is expecting the 0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:11.800 intelligence of your audience to be claiming you're not political 0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:20.080 and don't want to be political if you are consistently 0:31:21.680 --> 0:31:29.440 hanging out with the most powerful politicians in the world, 0:31:32.280 --> 0:31:41.640 and you are certainly allowed to be, Like I have 0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:47.720 an opportunity to kick it with the President of the 0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:53.760 United States, and while maybe many of you find him polarizing, 0:31:54.160 --> 0:31:57.719 I don't I like the guy or the stuff that 0:31:57.760 --> 0:32:01.120 you guys find polarizing, I actually think is positive. Or 0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:04.840