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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perolt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk. Matt and I do apologize for the bit

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Speaker 2: of the delay here for this morning. I was having

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a tough time finding what plays

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Speaker 2: I wanted to make for today, but we do have

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Speaker 2: a hard rock bet of the day. By my count,

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Speaker 2: we're either four and one or five in one on

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Speaker 2: the hard rock bet of the day, So we're going

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Speaker 2: to include another one of those here for us coming

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Speaker 2: at you today, so stay tuned for that. We are

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Speaker 2: going to begin the podcast talking a bit about college basketball,

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Speaker 2: and hey, the ranked versus unranked run is unbelievable in

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Speaker 2: college basketball. We are now at one four team and two.

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Speaker 2: There's been one hundred and sixteen games in college basketball

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Speaker 2: where a ranked team has played an unranked team, and

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Speaker 2: we have two wins so far in the one hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixteen games for an unranked team against a ranked team.

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Speaker 2: This is kind of nuts, but I thought it might

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Speaker 2: be fun on a day in which we will have

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Speaker 2: a ton of sports and a day in which you

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Speaker 2: can just kind of kick back and have some fun.

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Speaker 2: I haven't hit a parlay in forever on this podcast.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why it's hysterical because I'm telling you, guys,

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Speaker 2: I've told you guys for five years, don't bet parlays.

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Speaker 2: Once in a while, it's for fun. Once in a while.

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Speaker 2: It's a cool thing to do. You know. It's like

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Speaker 2: a cheat meal on a diet. But okay, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: go ahead and have a cheap meal. And we haven't

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Speaker 2: been able to make it work for us. So I

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Speaker 2: thought one more time for a little bit here. You know,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to say it's not the last time

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Speaker 2: I'm going to do it, but I thought, why not

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Speaker 2: have a little fun with this. It's a four legger

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Speaker 2: that's plus one to ten. That's embarrassing. Okay, it should

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Speaker 2: be on a four leg parlay.

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Speaker 1: You're kidding me.

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Speaker 2: We're almost paying juice on a four leg money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: But there are four plays that I want to get

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Speaker 2: into from a college basketball standpoint that I think is

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Speaker 2: worthwhile to jump in in terms of top twenty five competition.

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Speaker 2: And I know that this is not great for you

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Speaker 2: guys who fade if you fade the podcast and oh

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Speaker 2: Matt can't better get anything right, blah blah blah, because

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Speaker 2: you know last night we wind up going one and two.

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Speaker 2: The player prop comes in play the day was Tyres

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Speaker 2: MAXI that came in easily. Houston, Tennessee flew over. The

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Speaker 2: Jays got annihilated by Iowa State. They got killed. So

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Speaker 2: you know, my college basketball start to the year is

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Speaker 2: still cold. But you know fine, but on a when

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Speaker 2: you look at the you know, parlay as, you can't

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Speaker 2: fade the parlays. So I'm looking to fade my college

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Speaker 2: basketball that you can't do that. But Vanderbilt plays Western

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Speaker 2: Kentucky today down in the Bahamas. Vandy is favored by

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Speaker 2: eighteen and a half points. Iowa State plays Syracuse today.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is favored by nine and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Houston plays Notre Dame today. Houston's favored by ten and

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Speaker 2: a half points. And the tricky game, the late game,

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Speaker 2: the game where everything can run into the parlay is

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Speaker 2: Tennessee against Kansas. Now Here is the hook. Here's the

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Speaker 2: way to play this, okay, so you don't lose money.

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Speaker 2: This is how how you play this, Okay. Your parlay

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Speaker 2: is Vandy, Iowa State, Houston, Tennessee four leg moneyline parlay

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Speaker 2: at plus one ten. But it all rolls to the

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Speaker 2: night game. It all rolls into the night game. So

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Speaker 2: once you get to the night game, if by any chance,

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Speaker 2: Kansas is you know, beating Tennessee or Tennessee is up

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Speaker 2: by five ten points on now you can play with

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Speaker 2: this because you have a plus one ten. I would

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Speaker 2: be very surprised if the first three legs do not

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Speaker 2: come in. It's the last leg that I think is

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Speaker 2: the one you got to pay attention to. So if

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Speaker 2: you're going to bet this, you should try to watch.

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Speaker 2: If you don't watch the previous three, you should try

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Speaker 2: to watch the late game, the Tennessee Kansas game, because

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Speaker 2: Kansas is good, okay, and Tennessee just had a huge win. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they just beat Houston. That's a huge win for Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: So now do they have a letdown against KU. It's possible,

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Speaker 2: or maybe they go and kill Kansas. It's possible. KU

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Speaker 2: has not been very good. They got two losses already,

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Speaker 2: so they're young. They got a star freshman. But maybe,

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Speaker 2: you know, Tennessee stumbles against KU. At some point, you

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Speaker 2: probably have an in game number and at plus one

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Speaker 2: ten you can play off of it. Okay, I would

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Speaker 2: take if you take Tennessee plus points, if you take

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Speaker 2: Kansas plus points, you take Kansas money line.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If it all rolls into it, you could come back

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Speaker 2: and take KU money line and guarantee yourself profit.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Now it's not a huge profit. You know, are betting

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Speaker 2: one hundred bucks, you're gonna win ten bucks. Not gonna

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Speaker 2: be gigantic. But if you are looking at a potential

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Speaker 2: hedge spot, that's a good head spot to watch that

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Speaker 2: KU game and then play off of it and maybe

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Speaker 2: get plus on both sides. Do a little magic. Okay,

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Speaker 2: play with that late game if you have the opportunity.

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Speaker 2: I know there's family and distractions and things going on,

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Speaker 2: but if you can do it, that's how we're going

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Speaker 2: to do it. So officially, four leg money line Parla

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Speaker 2: Vanderbilt big favorites. We're gonna jump in with Houston big favorites.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna jump in with Iowa state big favorites, and

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Speaker 2: then Tennessee is a four and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: up against Kansas. We're gonna have that as be kind

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Speaker 2: of the hinge spot here. For our four leg money

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Speaker 2: line parlay at plus one ten. Now we go to

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Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet for our NBA play of

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Speaker 2: the day to look at Andrew Nemhart of the Pacers

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Speaker 2: on the road against the Toronto Raptors now points and rebounds.

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Speaker 2: This is a seventy three percent cover probability on the

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet. It is a plus forty expected

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Speaker 2: value play that is the best you will get on

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Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet plus forty EV and it's

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Speaker 2: a five star play. This has hit in three of

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Speaker 2: the last four games for Andrew Nemhart. The last time

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Speaker 2: he played Toronto, this did go over, though he did

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Speaker 2: score twenty two points against Toronto, the number was twenty

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Speaker 2: and a half for his points in rebounds and he

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Speaker 2: had only two points and four rebounds. But recently he's

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Speaker 2: only scored twelve, sixteen and fifteen and grabbed one, one,

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Speaker 2: two and one rebounds. Now sandwiched in between that is

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Speaker 2: a Cleveland game in which he scored thirty two points.

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Speaker 2: So hopefully that's not what's going to happen here, and

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Speaker 2: we run with the trend and we don't run with

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Speaker 2: the one anomaly at Cleveland A one twenty to one

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Speaker 2: oh nine loss for the Pacers. And the Pacers are

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Speaker 2: not a good basketball team because of all the injuries

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Speaker 2: they have suffered. But Andrew Nemhart as a point guard

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Speaker 2: looking to pass the basketball a lot more than rebounding

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Speaker 2: and scoring. He had six assists, eight seven and four

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Speaker 2: assists in his last four basketball games.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the under.

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Speaker 2: On excuse me on this under eighteen and a half

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Speaker 2: points in rebounds for Andrew Nemhart of the Pacers up

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Speaker 2: against the Toronto Raptors.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: This is a big prop bet cheat sheet play, but

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Speaker 2: we're going to take it with Andrew Nemhart points and

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Speaker 2: rebounds under eighteen and a half points and rebounds for

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Speaker 2: him here for today at minus one ten for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. Third play for us here today, Let's

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Speaker 2: go to the NHL and the Vegas Golden Knights. The

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Speaker 2: Vegas Golden Knights two of the last four games have

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Speaker 2: gone over in the first period, but because of the

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Speaker 2: fact that there are only six and four over their

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Speaker 2: last ten games, we're getting a really good price on

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Speaker 2: a over in the first period between Vegas and Ottawa.

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Speaker 2: Ottawa has gone over in the first period sixty two

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Speaker 2: percent of the time this year, they are six and four, sorry,

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Speaker 2: seven and three over their last ten games seventy percent

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Speaker 2: of the time. Vegas fourteen of their twenty one games

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Speaker 2: have gone over this season in the first period six

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Speaker 2: and four for the Vegas Golden Knights sixty percent of

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Speaker 2: the time. I'm a little surprised at the price for

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Speaker 2: this because I thought this would be more expensive for

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Speaker 2: a first period over, and I've been looking at this

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Speaker 2: going like what am I missing. Vegas has lost back

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Speaker 2: to back games, and in both those losses coming on

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Speaker 2: the road four to three to the Ducks, there were

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Speaker 2: five goals scored in the first period of that game.

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Speaker 2: Against the Mammoth, Utah scored two goals in that game.

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Speaker 2: So now Vegas comes home to play the Senators. In

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Speaker 2: their last home game against the New York Rangers, it

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Speaker 2: was one nothing Vegas, So you say, maybe at home,

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Speaker 2: Vegas is not that great of a team in terms

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Speaker 2: of first period overs. But now Ottawa is eleven seven

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Speaker 2: and four in the year. They're not bad on the road.

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Speaker 2: They're coming off a two to one loss to the

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Speaker 2: Kings in which that game went woefully under in the

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Speaker 2: first period, and then against the Sharks, it was one

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Speaker 2: to one after one, so that went over in that

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Speaker 2: game and against the Ducks a three to two win

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Speaker 2: for them in the first game of the road trip.

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Speaker 2: It was so we're one in two to a first

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Speaker 2: period over here for Ottawa. Vegas up tempo, giving up goals,

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Speaker 2: scoring goals. I think we just play the numbers here

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Speaker 2: and let's take a decent price and take a shot.

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Speaker 2: You know, when you got a good price, sometimes you

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Speaker 2: just gotta go ahead and take a shot at it

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Speaker 2: that we're going to get a fast start to this

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Speaker 2: game between Vegas and Ottawa. Let's go over one and

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Speaker 2: a half goals in the first period for Vegas and

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Speaker 2: Ottawa at minus one fifteen. So first three plays for

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Speaker 2: Wednesday Vandy, Iowa State, Houston, Tennessee money line Parlay College

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Speaker 2: Basketball plus one ten Andrew Nemhart under eighteen and a

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Speaker 2: half points and rebounds and minus won ten and over

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Speaker 2: one and a half goals in the first period for

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Speaker 2: Vegas and Ottawa. Now let's go to the hard rock

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Speaker 2: bet of the day. Four and one. I think that's

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Speaker 2: the record for four and one on the I think

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Speaker 2: it might be five and one, though I can't remember exactly.

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Speaker 2: You might be five and one on this we only

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Speaker 2: got one wrong so far. For the hard ruck bet

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Speaker 2: of the day, let's go here where I am Boston

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Speaker 2: and Detroit. But first let me tell you about our

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Speaker 2: friends at hard Rock Bet. If you guys haven't gone

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Speaker 2: and used hard Rock Bet yet, you absolutely should go

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Speaker 2: and take a look at this here for their option

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Speaker 2: this holiday week family food and football. I'm talking about

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Speaker 2: it all week. You guys can go and use the

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Speaker 2: opportunity five dollars bet if it hits, get your winnings,

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Speaker 2: plus they're going to give you one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 2: dollars in extra bonus bets that you guys can play

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Speaker 2: with here during the holiday week. Hard Rock Bets got

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Speaker 2: the stat Hub as well with trends, streaks, and stats

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Speaker 2: to help you guide your picks this week, and they're

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Speaker 2: giving you bonuses for this holiday week, three of them

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Speaker 2: your same game parlay or your SGP max so your

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Speaker 2: so download the hard Rock Bet and make your first

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Speaker 2: deposit today. So what will be the hard rock bet

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Speaker 2: of the day. The Detroit Pistons have won thirteen straight games.

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Speaker 2: They have tied their franchise record. The Boston Celtics have

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Speaker 2: been hot of late. They just beat Orlando. Boston has

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Speaker 2: actually impressed me. I know people have been kind of

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Speaker 2: down on the Celtics, but given all the injuries that

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Speaker 2: Boston has suffered, Boston has been pretty good here. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this comes down to three point shooting for me. If

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Speaker 2: Boston hits their threes, Boston wins this game.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I really do think so.

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Speaker 2: But we've been I faded the streak a couple of

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Speaker 2: days ago, and I don't normally do that, so I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna do it again. Okay, we haven't really been

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Speaker 2: on this Piston streak. It's only two and a half

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Speaker 2: is the number. This is an NBA Cup game, so

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Speaker 2: I think you're going to see some extra motivation for

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Speaker 2: this young Pistons team. For the Celtics, the NBA Cup

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Speaker 2: doesn't mean anything. Okay, it doesn't mean I mean, Jalen

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Speaker 2: Brown's not giving you extra effort because it's the NBA Cup.

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Speaker 2: But I think some of the younger Piston players, Kate

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Speaker 2: Cunningham and company very well might. And I think this

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Speaker 2: means something. The extra money means something. I think there's

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Speaker 2: a different level of intensity here between Boston and Detroit

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Speaker 2: for this game, and I think it's worth backing.

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Speaker 1: I think we can physically. I think we can back

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Speaker 1: this and go. You know what.

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Speaker 2: The Pistons, who have won thirteen games in a row,

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Speaker 2: they're going for their franchise record today. The Celtics are

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Speaker 2: at home, and the Celtics have owned the Pistons in Boston.

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Speaker 2: They've won seven straight games when these two teams have

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Speaker 2: met in Boston. The Pistons have lost eleven of twelve

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Speaker 2: night games against the Celtics. I mean, they just haven't

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Speaker 2: played well here in Boston. But this is betting on

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Speaker 2: the streak here for the Pistons and the fact that

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Speaker 2: the Celtics haven't been great up against the Eastern Conference

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Speaker 2: this season. They've been decent at home, but I think

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Speaker 2: there's a different level five and four for Boston at home,

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Speaker 2: nine and eight on the year. Pistons are seven and

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Speaker 2: one on the road. They're fifteen and two on the year.

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Speaker 2: They won the first matchup one nineteen one thirteen. That

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Speaker 2: game was in Detroit. But I don't think much has

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Speaker 2: changed here between these two teams and they beat the

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Speaker 2: Pistons beat Milwaukee on the road one twenty nine, one sixteen.

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Speaker 2: They beat Indiana on the road one twenty two, one seventeen.

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Speaker 2: That was a letdown spot for them. Boston beat Orlando

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Speaker 2: in their last home game one thirty eight to one

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Speaker 2: twenty nine, which was a lot a lot of points

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Speaker 2: to score on Orlando. Boston shot really well, but they

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Speaker 2: lost to Brooklyn one thirteen, one oh five. It's a

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Speaker 2: game you can't lose. But you know, Sellies have played

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Speaker 2: four the last five games at home and they've won

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Speaker 2: four of those last five games here sorry, three of

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Speaker 2: those four rather at home Orlando, the Clippers, and the

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Speaker 2: and Memphis Grizzlies have been won.

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Speaker 1: They lost home to Brooklyn.

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Speaker 2: They beat Brooklyn one thirteen to ninety nine in the

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Speaker 2: game previous on the eighteenth. Look, Boston's going to be

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Speaker 2: in the game. This is going to be a tight game.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take the hotter basketball team. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take the NBA Cup group play meaning more for the Pistons,

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Speaker 2: they meaning more for the Celtics here and fade my

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Speaker 2: own team. We're gonna go with the hard rock bet

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Speaker 2: of the day the Detroit Pistons minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half on the road to win their fourteenth straight game

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Speaker 2: to set the franchise record. Today to win and cover

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Speaker 2: against the Celtics at minus won ten for one point

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Speaker 2: one units. Look the Pistons in their previous two times

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Speaker 2: winning thirteen games in a row.

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Speaker 1: They won the NBA.

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Speaker 2: Championship in nineteen ninety and in two thousand and two.

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Speaker 2: Do I think this team wins the NBA Championship. No,

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Speaker 2: but we have to acknowledge that this team is hot

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Speaker 2: and we're going to hot. We're gonna bet on the

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Speaker 2: streak versus betting against the streak here and I think

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Speaker 2: at home NBA Cup tight win. But Pistons will find

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Speaker 2: a way to get it done tonight to win their

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Speaker 2: fourteenth straight game against the Celtics. That's also the consensus play.

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Speaker 2: I asked everybody here at the house. I went through

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Speaker 2: all the Celtics fans here in the house and said, hey,

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Speaker 2: who wins Pistons? Who wins Pistons. Celtics fans are are

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Speaker 2: realistic fans, right, They're all back in the Pistons.

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Speaker 1: I'm back the Pistons.

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Speaker 2: Boston wins, Oh well, Pistons minus two so hard rock

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Speaker 2: Bet of the Day Pistons minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice plays extra or on top of that, Vandy

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Speaker 2: Iowa State Houston, Tennessee money line Andrew Nemhart under eighteen

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Speaker 2: and a half points and rebounds in over one and

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Speaker 2: a half goals between Vegas and Ottawa minus Matt Paroff.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice