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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolf. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back

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Speaker 1: after a four and oh Sunday swept the board, winning

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Speaker 1: Sunday winning week thanks to it, as well as we

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Speaker 1: take down both NBA player props. I'll explain more on

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Speaker 1: those here. In just one second. Indiana wins the game outright,

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Speaker 1: Rutgers blows out USC in the second half to easily

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Speaker 1: cover the three and a half four Now day up

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Speaker 1: three units. That's for the guy in the comment section

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Speaker 1: who said to me, why don't you ever sweep your

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Speaker 1: place like it's simple to do that. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Why don't you post your plays and you see the place.

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Speaker 1: It's not easy to do that. But I'll take a

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Speaker 1: four and oh day though. I'll take that. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the three up three units as well. Now, hopefully you

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Speaker 1: guys got a chance to watch yesterday's podcast. If you didn't,

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Speaker 1: go back and watch it, because you'll have a chance

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Speaker 1: to see how I got to the two NBA player props.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that today, although I did

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Speaker 1: use the same process to get to the two NBA

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Speaker 1: player props I'm going to give you guys here today, right,

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Speaker 1: you guys like them. They're profitable. I've done fairly well

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Speaker 1: with NBA player props, I've done fairly well with NFL

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Speaker 1: player props. So we'll continue to bet that and continue

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Speaker 1: to use the Betting Pros premium. And there could be

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Speaker 1: some news on an offer for Daily Juice listeners coming

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Speaker 1: down the pike in the very near future, so stay

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Speaker 1: tuned on that. But the process in which I use

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Speaker 1: to get to these bets, I think you could do it,

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Speaker 1: or anyone can do it for that matter, because it's

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Speaker 1: simply about being able to take information, diagnose information, make

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Speaker 1: a decision, and then a bet off that information that

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Speaker 1: you have at your disposal. So it's different than I'm

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Speaker 1: really really anti selling picks. If you've been if you've

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Speaker 1: listened to this podcast for any period of time, you

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Speaker 1: know how I feel about paying people for their picks.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't work in the long run. It's a race

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Speaker 1: to the bottom, and far often you're adding on. You know,

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Speaker 1: if you're buying a bet from the sports book at

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Speaker 1: one hundred and ten dollars for one hundred. You know,

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Speaker 1: to win one hundred dollars, now you're playing minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty aus one thirty am ius one forty based on

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Speaker 1: how much money you are paying for that pick. So

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Speaker 1: it's already difficult enough to win. So that's why I

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Speaker 1: am very much anti buying picks, and thus I'm anti

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Speaker 1: putting anything that I do behind a paywall because I

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Speaker 1: don't believe personally, I don't believe anyone should buy my

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Speaker 1: picks or anyone's picks. So I understand the idea that

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Speaker 1: someone's time is valuable. And if you sell picks and

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Speaker 1: you're honest about it and you're upfront about your process

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Speaker 1: and who you are, that your time is valuable. So

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Speaker 1: to put the time in you want people to compensate

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Speaker 1: you for that. But for what for fifty five percent?

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Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent? I mean, the best gamblers in the

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Speaker 1: world are going fifty eight percent Like that's I mean,

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Speaker 1: you've got to play everything all the time, and they're

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Speaker 1: still going to lose forty two percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: I think about that best of the best, the most expensive,

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Speaker 1: are still going to lose forty two percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: So that's my personal belief and that's just the way

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Speaker 1: that I have done content. But this is different because

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Speaker 1: I think when you're subscribing to Betting Grows Premium, you

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Speaker 1: guys are doing the work, not really me. You're going

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Speaker 1: to look at the data, You're going to look at

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Speaker 1: the trends, you're going to look at what the projections are,

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Speaker 1: and you're going to make your own opinions. That I

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Speaker 1: think is fascinating because I can do. And this will

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Speaker 1: be a free podcast and you can take the bets

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Speaker 1: I play, listen and move on to Matt. I don't

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Speaker 1: have time for I got three kids, you know, I

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Speaker 1: got a full time job, I got a marriage. I

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Speaker 1: can't worry about this stuff. I don't have time. Plenty

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Speaker 1: of you guys are out there like that. There's nothing

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Speaker 1: wrong with that. I'll keep on giving you the plays.

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Speaker 1: I'll do the work, and you guys can just listen, fade,

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Speaker 1: follow whatever you want with my plays. Just be part

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice community. I'm thankful for your time,

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Speaker 1: just for the ten to fifteen minutes I've got you,

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Speaker 1: on the way to the office, on the way to

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Speaker 1: drop off for school, wherever you're listening or watching. But

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Speaker 1: for others, for some of you who have extra time,

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Speaker 1: who are really interested in becoming better at gambling, who

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Speaker 1: want the information, that's where the Betting Pros premium subscription

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Speaker 1: comes in. And you can find all that data that

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Speaker 1: I showed you last night on the podcast. Yesterday on

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Speaker 1: the podcast, it led to a two and zero mark

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Speaker 1: for the Props, and you also can go and find

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Speaker 1: different systems and trends and we will do they like

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Speaker 1: the Sunday session idea. The Betting Pros folks liked the

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Speaker 1: Sunday session idea, so that's probably going to be a thing.

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Speaker 1: Next Sunday, we'll tackle systems and I'll show you some

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Speaker 1: of the systems that I use and some of the

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Speaker 1: systems that have been historically very profitable using the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app that you then can go find for college

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Speaker 1: basketball and find a player two that works that works

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Speaker 1: for you. So it's all about personal taste. And you

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Speaker 1: can build your own systems too. I mean, first I'll

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Speaker 1: show you the systems. Next after that I'll teach you

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Speaker 1: how to build a system and you can have your

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Speaker 1: own system. So we'll do a Sunday Session series here

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Speaker 1: in the month of February, March and April getting ready

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Speaker 1: for football next year, so you guys can work on

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Speaker 1: it over the summer. We could do stuff for baseball

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Speaker 1: and have it be ready to go. So four and

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Speaker 1: hour is four and our we'll take it every single time.

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Speaker 1: Winning week for us here last week, as we start

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Speaker 1: a new week here today. Before I gave you the

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Speaker 1: picks today, let's tell you about our friends at bet

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Speaker 1: three six'. Five their offer is still available right now

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Speaker 1: For Daily juice. Listeners if you guys want to take

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Speaker 1: advantage of What bet three sixty five has got available for,

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Speaker 1: you it's pretty. Simple you're going to log on To

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash three six. Five now you're going to,

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Speaker 1: go and you're going to go and deposit five dollars

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Speaker 1: ten dollars turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars sorry of bonus bets when you join bet three six.'

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Speaker 1: five so Go To betting pros dot com slash three,

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Speaker 1: six five deposit at least. Ten dollars when you place

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Speaker 1: a bet of at least, five dollars you'll earn one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars in. Bonus bets that's Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash three six five twenty one plus only must

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Speaker 1: be President, In, Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky Louisiana, North Carolina,

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Speaker 1: New jersey Ohio. Or virginia gambling problem called one a

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Speaker 1: hard gambler or one eight hundred. Bets off if you Live,

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Speaker 1: in iowa terms, and conditions do ply sorry. ABOUT fat

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Speaker 1: i was looking for the READ and i couldn't find.

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Speaker 1: The read it had gone somewhere off. The screen let's

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Speaker 1: talk ABOUT two nba. PLAYER props i NORMALLY do nba

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Speaker 1: player props On the betting. PROS app i will go

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Speaker 1: back to, doing that but for last, night tonight, you

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Speaker 1: Know For, Sunday monday i'm gonna give you the prop

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Speaker 1: bets ahead. Of time we'll go back putting ON the

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Speaker 1: nba prop bets later On the betting pros app later in,

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Speaker 1: this week but. For tonight let's talk First About. Lonzo

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Speaker 1: ball points assists. In rebounds nineteen and a half is

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Speaker 1: the current Number For lonzo Ball against philadelphia With The.

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Speaker 1: Chicago bulls nineteen and a, half points assists and rebounds

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Speaker 1: didn't come close to hitting it in the last Game.

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Speaker 1: Against phoenix he did, hit it got twenty two Against

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Speaker 1: the knicks on the road in the last, road game

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Speaker 1: but that snapped a game a stretch of four straight

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Speaker 1: games in which he was way under nineteen and a, half, twelve,

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Speaker 1: nineteen thirteen and sixteen, for, points rebounds. And assists, in

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Speaker 1: fact twelve of the last fifteen Games For lonzo ball With,

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Speaker 1: the bulls he has been under nineteen and a, half

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Speaker 1: points assists and rebounds When the bulls have played Up,

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Speaker 1: against sorry When the bulls have Played the sixers two

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Speaker 1: times this year fifteen, and seventeen both Unders For. Lonzo

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Speaker 1: ball we're going to play under nineteen and a, half,

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Speaker 1: points assists in Rebounds For. LONZO ball i told. You

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Speaker 1: yesterday it's not just like yesterday was just two, points bets.

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Speaker 1: You Know drew holliday got over seven and a half

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Speaker 1: or eight and a half points in the first. Seven

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Speaker 1: minutes he took, four shots he hit. All four that was.

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Speaker 1: The easiest walk to, the, park walked walked to, the

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Speaker 1: park walked to. The Window, bet ever from a prop,

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Speaker 1: Beat perspective holiday. Was simple this is we're betting two. Unders.

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Speaker 1: Today okay we had to sweat it out until the

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Speaker 1: End With jimmy butler under twenty and a. Half points

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Speaker 1: that number closed at twenty one and a half Points

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Speaker 1: For jimmy butler. Scored eighteen the, blowout, helped obviously but

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Speaker 1: it went. Under this, you know you're always winning a

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Speaker 1: bet until you lose. A bet when it comes to.

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Speaker 1: An under when you're, playing over you're always losing the

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Speaker 1: bet until you. Get over it's why it hurts more

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Speaker 1: when it, under misses because you're winning for a long

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Speaker 1: period of time and then at the end of the game.

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Speaker 1: You lose. It stinks you're always losing an over bet

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Speaker 1: until the end and then it. Goes over so when

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Speaker 1: it goes over very fast in the, first quarter in

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Speaker 1: the first, seven minutes it. Feels awesome, no, sweat, easy.

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Speaker 1: Easy peasy this is. An Under lonzo ball under nineteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points assists in rebounds For the bulls

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Speaker 1: tonight Against. The sixers the next play is going to

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Speaker 1: be interesting because thirteen and a half Rebounds For walker

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Speaker 1: kessler Of The utah jazz is an. Interesting number fifty

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Speaker 1: percent of, the time eight of fifteen this has gone

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Speaker 1: under thirteen and, a half but the number hasn't been

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Speaker 1: this high for pretty much the. Whole season why because

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Speaker 1: this guy is thirty and fourteen to the over on his.

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Speaker 1: Rebounding props he's a center For The utah jazz at

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Speaker 1: home Against The. Portland trailblazers portland is a middle of

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Speaker 1: the pack. Rebounding, team utah Thanks, to kessler is one

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Speaker 1: of the best rebounding teams IN. The nba the projection

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Speaker 1: here for the rebounds is under Twelve For walker kessler

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Speaker 1: thirteen and. A half most time the number has been

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half or Lower For. Walker kessler he

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Speaker 1: went Over, against houston OVER, against okc went under both

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Speaker 1: games Against, the lakers went Over, against phoenix Over Against,

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Speaker 1: golden state Under against indianapolis in both games. This, season

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Speaker 1: yeah in both games this Season, against portland both on,

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Speaker 1: the road the number was that was eleven and. A

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Speaker 1: half he went over both those games on the Road,

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Speaker 1: Against portland so one hundred percent of the time this

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Speaker 1: year this number is Hit For. Walker kessler but the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet likes. This under the projection is

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Speaker 1: under twelve for this and the value for this it's

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Speaker 1: a five star play with a very Good ev it's

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Speaker 1: the second highest expected value prop on the. Board tonight

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Speaker 1: Why Because walker kesler normally isn't thirteen and. A half that's.

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Speaker 1: The difference thirteen and a half is, a lot that's a.

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Speaker 1: High number but he's, had, seventeen, nineteen, eight twelve, twenty

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Speaker 1: two eighteen in his last, five games so you, Can

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Speaker 1: go matt hold on, a second my last, six, games

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Speaker 1: sorry and over the last, six games so he's four

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Speaker 1: and two to. The over and when he's gone over

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Speaker 1: thirteen and, a half he's flown, over, seventeen nineteen twenty two.

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Speaker 1: And eighteen so we're gonna know pretty Fast If walker

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Speaker 1: kestler is going to hit this. Or not if he

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Speaker 1: has like eight rebounds nine rebounds in the, first half, we're.

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Speaker 1: Dead okay so we're hoping for either a blowout or

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Speaker 1: he gets into, foul trouble or just trusting what the

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Speaker 1: numbers and the projection. Will be sometimes you do analysis

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Speaker 1: and you just got to go, all right let's see

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Speaker 1: if the math, Is right let's see if the algorithm.

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Speaker 1: Is right it's not, always right, but again it's the

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Speaker 1: second best bet on the board according to the propbet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet on bettingpros, Dot Com so i'm gonna trust

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Speaker 1: it here. Why not we won two. Bets yesterday trusting

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Speaker 1: it even in the numbers look to, be like are

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Speaker 1: you sure you want to bet under yep under thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half Rebounds For walker kestler for one point.

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Speaker 1: One units, all right let's talk. College basketball TWO games

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Speaker 1: i want to talk. About tonight Michigan. At nebraska this number.

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Speaker 1: Is one this number is either a pick. Or one

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Speaker 1: it's not a it's offshore at a pick. On shore.

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Speaker 1: It's one totals one fifty and. A half nebraska is

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Speaker 1: six and seven ats at home. This year michigan is

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Speaker 1: six and seven on the road. This year michigan's five

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Speaker 1: AND ten ats In The. Big ten nebraska is eight.

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Speaker 1: And eight nebraska's got a pretty, good Resume and nebraska

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Speaker 1: feels like they're going to BE an ntublea. Tournament team

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Speaker 1: but there's no Guarantee that nebraska is going to BE

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Speaker 1: an ntuba. Tournament team this is a one point win according,

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Speaker 1: to kempom so we're. Right there we're at a. Coin

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Speaker 1: Flip but nebraska at home this year has. Been decent

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Speaker 1: they're coming off of a home Loss to maryland eighty three,

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Speaker 1: seventy five but They Beat ohio state, at home They

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Speaker 1: beat illinois, at home THEY beat ucla. At home now

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Speaker 1: they Lost to rutgers, at home and they LOST to usc.

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Speaker 1: At home we Just watch rutgers beat UP on usc both.

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Speaker 1: THOSE teams, I look rutgers wants to get in. THE

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Speaker 1: tournament i don't they're going to be able to. OR

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Speaker 1: not usc won't be in. THE tournament us is probably

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Speaker 1: not Make The big. Ten tournament let them ONLY the.

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Speaker 1: Nsaa tournament but these Home games Michigan and minnesota seven And,

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Speaker 1: nine nebraska these are must. Win games these are backs

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Speaker 1: against the wall. Type games these are Games the huskers

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Speaker 1: simply have. To have and it's a short number for

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Speaker 1: a team at home that has been somewhat decent against.

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Speaker 1: The number they're coming off of a seventeen point loss

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Speaker 1: on the Road At. Penn state this is kind of

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Speaker 1: fits my. Model here you're on, the road, you lose

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Speaker 1: you come back home short favorite or a dog at

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Speaker 1: home in a must, win situation teams tend to. Really

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Speaker 1: rally michigan's coming off of a really poor performance in

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Speaker 1: the second Half Against michigan state. At home now they're

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Speaker 1: going to go on. The, road here it's snapped a

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Speaker 1: six game winning Streak For dusty. MAY'S team i think

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Speaker 1: they're going to be up against, it here and their

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Speaker 1: schedule is. Not easy they play on the Road, against

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Speaker 1: nebraska They play rutgers, At home illinois, At home maryland,

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Speaker 1: at home And The michigan state on. The road. Not

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Speaker 1: great they're twelve, and three trying to keep pace In

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Speaker 1: The big ten for their regular. Season Championship michigan state's

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Speaker 1: got the lead obviously in this after the head to.

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Speaker 1: HEAD win i Just think nebraska's got an opportunity here

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Speaker 1: to use that home Crowd At pinnacle arena and really

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Speaker 1: put some defensive Pressure. On michigan nebraska's forty fourth. In

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Speaker 1: efficiency they're only one hundred and fifty second in effective field,

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Speaker 1: goal percent which has been a big question mark, for

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Speaker 1: them but they've played better. At times they don't shoot

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Speaker 1: the three all, that well but they do get after

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Speaker 1: it on the two point their seventieth and two. Point

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Speaker 1: shooting they shoot free throws, well enough, not great but.

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Speaker 1: Well enough this is just a team at home in

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Speaker 1: a must. Win situation i'll lay the one Point with

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Speaker 1: nebraska minus one for one point. ONE units i know

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Speaker 1: if you know me for a, long Time like Matt's. Betting,

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Speaker 1: Nebraska yeah I'm betting nebraska just one of. Those days

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Speaker 1: and then finally We're Going north Carolina In. Florida, STATE

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Speaker 1: guys i can't tell you HOW down i Am On

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Speaker 1: north CAROLINA and i can't believe they're favored on. THE road,

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Speaker 1: i mean they're coming off of two wins against two.

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Speaker 1: Bad teams carolina won by twenty FOUR Against nc state

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Speaker 1: and they won by Fifteen. Against virginia they covered in

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Speaker 1: both of. Those games that snapped a streak, of, one, two, three,

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Speaker 1: four five six seven eight straight games in Which The

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Speaker 1: tar hills did not cover on. The Road, Against Louisville

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Speaker 1: florida state lost by eight as thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: Point dogs they won, by eight laying eight and a

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Speaker 1: Half against miami at home in their last. Home game

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Speaker 1: they got Killed against clemson by twenty six points in

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Speaker 1: the home game, before That But notre dame at home

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Speaker 1: they were. Laying three they won the game outright by seven.

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Speaker 1: At home, this year they're nine and five. At Home.

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Speaker 1: Florida state in this Place, In tallahassee i've. Been there

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Speaker 1: this is it's a house of Horrors. For Duke In,

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Speaker 1: north carolina they hate Playing. In tallahassee they hate playing in.

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Speaker 1: This building it's not easy. To play, it's cold, it's

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Speaker 1: dingy and the crowd gets. After You and carolina is

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Speaker 1: three eleven and one on the road. THIS, year ats

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Speaker 1: they're four eleven in one in. Acc play they've covered

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Speaker 1: two games in. A row i'm gonna take the home.

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Speaker 1: Dog here Give Me florida state plus two and a

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Speaker 1: half for one point. One units, all right so plays

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Speaker 1: four TODAY. For us we Are Going lonzo ball under

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Speaker 1: nineteen and a, half points rebounds and assists at minus.

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Speaker 1: One twenty we bet that to win a half. Of

312
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Speaker 1: Unit walker kessler under thirteen and a half rebounds For

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Speaker 1: The utah jazz at minus one, Point fifteen nebraska minus

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Speaker 1: one at Home against michigan for one point, one Units

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Speaker 1: And florida state plus two and a half at Home

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Speaker 1: Against north carolina again for one point. One units we're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet the same thing We've on sunday because we swept.

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Speaker 1: It yesterday let's see if we can do it again On.

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Speaker 1: A Monday Fin's. Matt parol you guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all my Socials At Sports talk matt every. Single

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Speaker 1: morning wherever, you guys get. Your podcasts it Is The

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Speaker 1: daily juice