WEBVTT - China Ascent Exposes Its Achilles Heel

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carole Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Clobal News. Has China reached a tipping

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<v Speaker 1>point that could endanger its growth, social stability and place

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<v Speaker 1>in the world. In his weekly callum, Bloomberg New Economy

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<v Speaker 1>nitorial director Andy Brown writes about China's achilles heel. And

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<v Speaker 1>you should also know that you can sign up for

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<v Speaker 1>the New Economy daily newsletter at Bloomberg dot com slash

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<v Speaker 1>New Economy. I've signed up for it and I'm getting

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<v Speaker 1>it every day. Andy joins us in our interactive Broger Student.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so nice to have you in studio. It's great

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<v Speaker 1>to be a Carol and thanks for signing up for

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<v Speaker 1>the newsletter. Welcome. Everybody else did. Because I always feel like,

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<v Speaker 1>and I've said this to you before, that you often

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<v Speaker 1>bring to the table, uh, something that ultimately in a

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<v Speaker 1>month from now or two months, everybody's talking about, especially

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to China. You have insight like no

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<v Speaker 1>one else, and this story plays to it. Talk to

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<v Speaker 1>us a little bit about your column. So this, this

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<v Speaker 1>really is the big one. This is the big tipping

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<v Speaker 1>point we've been talking about for years. In demographic terms,

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<v Speaker 1>We've hit peak China. The population is not growing. It's

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<v Speaker 1>all downhill from now on in. And actually we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to get the census results, the latest census results this week,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's quite possible that those data will show that

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<v Speaker 1>China's population has already started to shrink, which is staggering him. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so make the connection between the population loss there and

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<v Speaker 1>what it means for the country's future. So so so,

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<v Speaker 1>probably just just a recap. You had in China, a

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<v Speaker 1>massive population boom in the sixties and seventies. Right, This

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<v Speaker 1>was Mark Chairman Mao basically said to Chinese woman, is

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<v Speaker 1>your patriotic duty to have babies? So in the sixties,

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<v Speaker 1>Chinese woman had on average six babies. You then get

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<v Speaker 1>this doubling of the Chinese population in thirty years to

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<v Speaker 1>a billion, and they freak out. The party freaks out

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<v Speaker 1>and puts in place the most draconian family planning policy

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<v Speaker 1>in history, one child family. Right. Both of those policies

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<v Speaker 1>are now coming home to roost with disastrous consequences, so

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<v Speaker 1>that the boomers, the male boomers, are retiring all mass. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 1>the working population is shrinking rapidly. And so you project

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<v Speaker 1>forward to two thousand and fifty, whereas today you have

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<v Speaker 1>eight workers for everyone retiree, two thousand people, you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>have two workers for every retiree who is going to

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<v Speaker 1>look after the old. So it's not so much that

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<v Speaker 1>the population is shrinking, but that the age composition is

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<v Speaker 1>changing radically. Well, we talked about that where in guards

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<v Speaker 1>to Japan years ago, right, and the impact it had.

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<v Speaker 1>We talked about it on the U. S Society. I mean, so,

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<v Speaker 1>so can't Chinese official just say okay, everybody, go ahead

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<v Speaker 1>and just more babies now, Well you talk about Japan.

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<v Speaker 1>It doesn't work. I mean, once your population starts shrinking,

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<v Speaker 1>it's really all over. I mean you have a situation.

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<v Speaker 1>Now in Japan, they tried to cause it encourage part

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<v Speaker 1>the couples to have children. Doesn't work right now, something

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<v Speaker 1>like one in four Japanese women in their thirties of

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<v Speaker 1>single they're not They don't want babies at all. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't want marriage at all. They want a life outside

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<v Speaker 1>of the family. And that's true in Singapore, it's true

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<v Speaker 1>in South Korea, it's true in Hong Kong. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the the reversing a demographic trend is virtually impossible. A

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<v Speaker 1>question that you ask in the column is can't technology

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<v Speaker 1>offset population loss? Can it? Well? It can, it can

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<v Speaker 1>to an extent. Right, So people say that it's not

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<v Speaker 1>about the raw numbers. Now national power is measured more

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of technological capability. And that's true. Um, people say, well,

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<v Speaker 1>why should you worry about, you know, shrinking workforce. You

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<v Speaker 1>just deploy robots instead of people. But that kind of committigate.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it can offset population imbalances. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the problems this creates. Who who's gonna

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<v Speaker 1>you know, what about the medical system in in China

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<v Speaker 1>of course, where they with with retirees, you have associated

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<v Speaker 1>problems of you know, strokes and heart disease and dementia,

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<v Speaker 1>and the hospital system right now is struggling to cope

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<v Speaker 1>you know. So Okay, so we have been for decades,

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<v Speaker 1>you know this, The world has been fearing China and

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<v Speaker 1>its might and its economic might. And we have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of stories about the Chinese economy getting ready to

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<v Speaker 1>take over the US economy. Right, is the world's biggest economy. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>So what happens then, Andy, how does this play out potentially? Look? Hum,

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<v Speaker 1>the Chinese government is very worried about this. Number one,

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<v Speaker 1>where is the investment going to from? You know, older

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<v Speaker 1>people have a propensity to spend. Uh. Working age people

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<v Speaker 1>have a propensity to save. Right, So your national savings

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<v Speaker 1>rate go down, and so the pools of capital available

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<v Speaker 1>for investment start to dwindle. That's that's one immediate impact.

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<v Speaker 1>But then you also have an impact on entrepreneurship and innovation.

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<v Speaker 1>I think young societies are innovative, right. And then in

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<v Speaker 1>raw terms, China's vast population, they have more engineers, they

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<v Speaker 1>have more so you know, they have more scientists. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>and that population starts starts shrinking with impact on human capital, uh, Andy,

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<v Speaker 1>Just very briefly here in thirty seconds. Is this something

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<v Speaker 1>we need to worry about happening in the US. The

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<v Speaker 1>years long US baby drought worsened last year, birth dropped

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<v Speaker 1>four percent from nineteen to the lowest level since nineteen seventy. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>big difference. Immigration. If the US wanted it could open

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<v Speaker 1>the board it. China doesn't do immigration. It also sounds

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<v Speaker 1>like this, and they probably won't for very complicated ethnic reasons,

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<v Speaker 1>reasons of social cohesion. They just don't open their miniscule

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<v Speaker 1>numbers of Chinese people are immigrants or people in China immigrants.

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<v Speaker 1>And this isn't a problem that China can just throw

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<v Speaker 1>money at correct just quickly, Absolutely not at all. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>this isn't the problem they can address at all. Told

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<v Speaker 1>you so must read always is Andy Brown. Thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much, Andy Brown, editorial director at Bloomberg New Economy,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course check out as I said, the New

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<v Speaker 1>Economy daily news letter at Bloomberg dot com slash New Economy.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. As we mentioned,

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<v Speaker 1>big story from the weekend, we're still dealing with it

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<v Speaker 1>that cyber attack that crippled North America's biggest petroleum pipeline.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about the Colonial Pipeline, Doug talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>stock impact. It's a critical source of supply for the

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<v Speaker 1>New York region. The FBI tim already attributing the massive

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<v Speaker 1>breach to ransomware created by a relatively new gang. It's

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<v Speaker 1>called dark Side. Yeah, let's go right now to Andre Krelle,

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<v Speaker 1>founder and chief executive officer of Life Furs in the

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<v Speaker 1>New York City. Lab was established in collaboration with the

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<v Speaker 1>FBI DHS in secret service to examine digital evidence of

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<v Speaker 1>all forms of cybercrime. Andrea joins us right now on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City. Andre, thanks so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us on this. When you see something like

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<v Speaker 1>this happen, what is your first thought? Uh? Tim and Carroll,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you really for having me. My first thought is

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<v Speaker 1>looking to be handled three incidents like this every year,

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<v Speaker 1>cyber patients coming to my door on daily basis. I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like a cyber emergency doctor and a therapy So

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<v Speaker 1>for me, that's a normal day, right to have a

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<v Speaker 1>ten sixty victims calling and asking for help. What difference

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be right now is is the press

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<v Speaker 1>around and magnificent of the colonialm is like a forty

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<v Speaker 1>five percent I guess, or for East coast supply and

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<v Speaker 1>also give the understanding that even such a big entity

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<v Speaker 1>can be compromised. And the industrial control system, but the

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<v Speaker 1>call industrial control system the pipeline can be affected. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you think the Colonial pipeline is making a mistake by

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<v Speaker 1>not asking for cyber support support excuse me from the

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<v Speaker 1>UTH federal government. Is that a mistake or is it

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<v Speaker 1>better for Colonial to remediate on its own? Carol? I

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<v Speaker 1>do think they do. Uh, they're part of it is

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<v Speaker 1>something called Industry of Control Systems Joint Working Group established

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<v Speaker 1>at the PHS level. I do believe that they are

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<v Speaker 1>part of this working joint group. And VHS hold at

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<v Speaker 1>the John Felker era who was assistant Directive Agency, which

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<v Speaker 1>we had a personal relationship with. They hold many of

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<v Speaker 1>these exercises with the existem. You have to think of

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<v Speaker 1>this thread after like a cyber snipers. It's not like

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<v Speaker 1>someone who's making mistakes like who the mistake is that

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<v Speaker 1>some of us gets called tomorrow like should we praise

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<v Speaker 1>someone for bringing the call to society or any kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like a virus society. I don't think there's really

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<v Speaker 1>like a point of finger to say who is really guilty.

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<v Speaker 1>Looks thread afters who are making thirty forty million a year,

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<v Speaker 1>they have some level of sophistication. But for example, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a speculation the market right now that Colonial was targeted

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<v Speaker 1>because of high ability to pay through their insurance program.

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<v Speaker 1>Understanding is that you know such trade after looking forward

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<v Speaker 1>thirty to forty million, Apparently Colonial holds such money to

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<v Speaker 1>pay on some insurance program. So I'm not sure it's

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<v Speaker 1>true or not, but there's a speculation that the doctor

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<v Speaker 1>ashould picked them because they're able to pay. What needs

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<v Speaker 1>to happen to get to a point where where this

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<v Speaker 1>just doesn't happen anymore, where this can be prevented. It

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<v Speaker 1>looks like like, let's face the reality being a compromise.

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<v Speaker 1>Like for me, I still of being a cyber doctor.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just one of the life certainties right there is

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<v Speaker 1>there is no way to prevent cyber sickness per se.

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<v Speaker 1>In my opinion, like we're all gonna get something right,

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<v Speaker 1>and the question is going to be mild called to

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<v Speaker 1>pick cyber cancer, and it's just something we can't answer.

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<v Speaker 1>But what we can answer to prepare for it, like

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<v Speaker 1>take all the vitamins? Uh, you know, do lo more

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<v Speaker 1>holistic approach in cyber security? Do more holistic approach? And

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<v Speaker 1>how we tried to detect remediating spread actors? How do

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<v Speaker 1>you actually detect them? And how quickly can we really

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<v Speaker 1>deal with them? When you tot check them and isolate

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<v Speaker 1>those systems that have been compromised most of the networks,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, what happened to Colonial If these thread actor's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna come to you the network, it's just the reality. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>real question is can you isolate them very quickly? Can

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<v Speaker 1>you eradicate the threat? Can you disconnect and prevent a

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<v Speaker 1>line of movement for more damage? And he's been in

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<v Speaker 1>society and the pandemic? How he failed? Why do you

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<v Speaker 1>think the enterprise system don't fail? They felt the same

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<v Speaker 1>way as the whole society felt the pandemic. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>the nature we as um. I would say computer architects

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<v Speaker 1>never had to deal with this isolation like a zero

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<v Speaker 1>trust issue. But how do they really operate? Like, but

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<v Speaker 1>I can't trust you that you scare on team on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone, I never met you. How do you know

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<v Speaker 1>it's really you? And I don't know. It's really boomed

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<v Speaker 1>the radio. What is this? Is radio going to somewhere else?

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<v Speaker 1>Andre just got about fifty seconds left here, so I

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<v Speaker 1>am what do your you say? You get calls every day,

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<v Speaker 1>So is this just kind of part of our norm

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<v Speaker 1>going forward? Carol? For me, it's been for the last

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen years. So yeah, I can tell I've been running

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<v Speaker 1>the cyber emergency room. This is a business what they

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<v Speaker 1>do as a life first, this is the digital for

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<v Speaker 1>end against a response. We also have an offensive team

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<v Speaker 1>that's basically breaking this for clients being paid, and we

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<v Speaker 1>do this like every day. This is what we're actually

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<v Speaker 1>living in. So is it about just quickly we've only

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<v Speaker 1>got about thirty forty seconds? Is it about doing harm?

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<v Speaker 1>Or is it just about finding entities that can pay

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<v Speaker 1>the ransom money and just quickly if you could. It's

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<v Speaker 1>truly just getting paid. Criminal just want to get paid.

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<v Speaker 1>That's all what they want and it's easy. In two,

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<v Speaker 1>three days, four days only ransom get paid in the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoins disappear and thanks to momentum what happened with the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin going up, some of them acknowledge on Mr Tesla

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<v Speaker 1>and and congratulating that we're being going going up. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>good to check in with you. I'm sure you're busy,

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<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned at the top, So Andre, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>for your time again. Drake Kroll his founder and CE

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<v Speaker 1>of the cybersecurity solutions and services company Life Oars. He

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<v Speaker 1>has done a lot of contract work for the Department

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<v Speaker 1>of Justice and the special cyber operations at the US

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 1>Air Force. Joining us on the phone in New York City.

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:13.360
<v Speaker 1>But a Way of Life is the organization that has

0:12:13.400 --> 0:12:15.800
<v Speaker 1>been connected to this, pointed out in a in a

0:12:15.840 --> 0:12:18.719
<v Speaker 1>statement on the dark Web earlier. They don't want to

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:22.880
<v Speaker 1>necessarily cause harm their business people, right, it's a transaction.

0:12:23.000 --> 0:12:25.440
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to do this without causing harm. Yeah, exactly,

0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:30.280
<v Speaker 1>because this pipeline has been down. Exactly. This is Bloomberg

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:12:34.080 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. We are definitely We talked about

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:39.920
<v Speaker 1>this store actually last week. It's in the current issue

0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Business Week magazine. It was a most read

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 1>story in the Bloomberg went acrossed about. Yes, women and

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Tim are getting top jobs at fun houses, but just

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:50.240
<v Speaker 1>not the ones that managed money. Yeah, it's a little

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 1>surprising because there have been so many initiatives over the

0:12:52.320 --> 0:12:55.200
<v Speaker 1>past twenty years to try to actually increase diversity. Joe

0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Weber's at at Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us from

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.480
<v Speaker 1>the New York City Bureau. Liz McCormick is a bond

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:04.040
<v Speaker 1>and FX reporter at Bloomberg News. So, Joel, it's it's

0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:07.360
<v Speaker 1>surprising because despite years of initiatives, the statistics have not

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 1>budged what's going on. Yeah, and that's sort of what

0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:12.480
<v Speaker 1>led us to want to kind of dig into it.

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:17.679
<v Speaker 1>And so when Liz um Uh Katie her Uh co

0:13:18.120 --> 0:13:20.920
<v Speaker 1>write around this mentioned that um it was a story

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:24.680
<v Speaker 1>that they were interested in, we sort of said, see

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:26.719
<v Speaker 1>what's going on there? And what is interesting is that

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:31.599
<v Speaker 1>there are some top jobs um with some interesting developments

0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 1>and some some hires there, but the rink and file,

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 1>we're still not really seeing much action there despite a

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:41.839
<v Speaker 1>lot of put forth. So so, Liz, what what do

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>you attribute that to? Well, it's interesting, Like Joel said,

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:48.559
<v Speaker 1>it's like in the middle is where you know, we're

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.800
<v Speaker 1>hearing there's more women because to run a fund, there's

0:13:51.920 --> 0:13:55.160
<v Speaker 1>the fund managers and then there's lots of strategists and

0:13:55.200 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 1>analysts that help and what it seems to be from

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 1>our reporting and some of the data from morning Stars

0:14:01.720 --> 0:14:04.559
<v Speaker 1>that you know, there are more women coming in and

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:08.079
<v Speaker 1>taking the roles of strategists and helping the fund managers,

0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:11.199
<v Speaker 1>but there doesn't seem to be that many that are

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.439
<v Speaker 1>moving from that level to the next level. And there's

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 1>a mix of reasons we can talk about why people

0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>think that is uh, And to be honest, morning Stars

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:21.440
<v Speaker 1>said they want to kind of dig deeper in the

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 1>data to kind of see what, you know, what's coming

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 1>up the wheels. Where is it not working to get

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:28.320
<v Speaker 1>them to the next level. Yeah, it's a head scratcher

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 1>because you do see, as to mention, a lot of

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:34.640
<v Speaker 1>companies and initiatives to increase women, certainly at financial firms,

0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't look like the numbers are moving as

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 1>you reported. Tell me about the one woman that you

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:42.920
<v Speaker 1>profiled in your story. You talked to a few, but

0:14:43.680 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you start off with Linda Jang. Yeah, she was quite

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 1>compelling and interesting and it's you know, she started her

0:14:50.120 --> 0:14:52.960
<v Speaker 1>own firm. She's done at several big asset managers, started

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 1>her own firm, and you know she didn't you know,

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 1>mint her words and said, I think there's still some

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>biases in there that you know, men feel comfortable letting

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:04.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, women you know, kind of assists and give

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 1>some advice, but you know, for the firms to let

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 1>them kind of run the fund themselves. She believes there's

0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>still some bias against that um but we're seeing, like said,

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 1>with her, you know, she went on, you know, to

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 1>start her own firm, and I you know, it was

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 1>very happy to talk to Gene Hines, who's going to

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 1>be the new CEO of Wellington. And I will say

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 1>Jean is hopeful. You know, she's realistic, but she's hopeful.

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 1>And she said, you know, fifteen years ago she was

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the only woman in the room all the time, and

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>now that's changing. And she's hoping that maybe eventually, like

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:40.400
<v Speaker 1>it's just a slow moving thing, right, that maybe since

0:15:40.480 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing some all these initiatives and some more women

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 1>you know research analysts, that maybe the numbers give us

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>five years whatever, we're going to see more women fund managers.

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 1>We can hope, you know. So it's nice to have hope,

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 1>but it's it's a little distressing to see the numbers. Well,

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 1>is another person another woman profile is our investment managements.

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Kathy Would, who also started her own firm, started her

0:16:02.960 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 1>own fund right right, So it's interesting. It's like I

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 1>have two young daughters in their twenties, both working and

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.920
<v Speaker 1>I they're not each in finance, but I like to

0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 1>show them these things to say, like listen, there's a way,

0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, and some of these really sharp women, I guess,

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 1>have said, like listen, if if the system isn't going

0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 1>to move me, I'm going to create my own you know,

0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 1>create my own firm, do my own niche. And I

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 1>think that's important. You know, there's there's a way to

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:29.760
<v Speaker 1>do it. I remember I did a story a while

0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:34.160
<v Speaker 1>ago which was saying that women running fixed income funds

0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.520
<v Speaker 1>are those funds that had women on at morning Star.

0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Data showed the returns were better than just like pure

0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:43.960
<v Speaker 1>mail run funds alone, not mixed gender, and someone were saying,

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of it's crazy, you know, should just go by

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:49.240
<v Speaker 1>the number. So I think these women are saying, listen,

0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm confident myself, I was doing well, my returns

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:54.880
<v Speaker 1>are good. I'm just gonna start my own biss. So

0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's great to see. At the same time,

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's the gene Hynes story is ultimately of

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.040
<v Speaker 1>one of somebody who's persevered within a company for a

0:17:04.119 --> 0:17:07.520
<v Speaker 1>long time, and like you mentioned, she's gonna be UM

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 1>CEO on July one. So so her root, I suppose

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of the one that a lot of of

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:18.960
<v Speaker 1>companies and other executives are hoping to annulate, where you

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 1>can sort of rise through the ranks and eventually take

0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 1>over a fund and then become a CEO of a

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:27.399
<v Speaker 1>fund of funds. Right, So, so what what is she

0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:30.960
<v Speaker 1>talked about in her experience since that's a pretty high

0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:35.200
<v Speaker 1>profile position that she'll be inheriting here soon. Yeah. She

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:38.399
<v Speaker 1>she was really interesting and she was saying not to

0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 1>minimize her talents, um, but she said, listen, I rose

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:45.120
<v Speaker 1>to these ranks. And she had a lot of good

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>things to say about Wellington and what they've done, and

0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, she had a great mentor in ed Owens

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.280
<v Speaker 1>that really helped. But she said, in some ways I

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.920
<v Speaker 1>rose to these ranks, not because the system facilitated it,

0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 1>just because it worked out. I had a firm, a

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.160
<v Speaker 1>good mentor, you know, she's smart, etcetera. But it wasn't

0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:05.680
<v Speaker 1>designed that way. And she was saying, so we need

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>the systems to be designed, whether it's in a lot

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 1>of these women talk about role models, like people you

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 1>heard this about kids, what's doing different things, the same thing.

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>For any job, young women need to see women doing it,

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, like and say oh, hey, I can be that,

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>like someone like Jeane to say wow, I could be

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.280
<v Speaker 1>a CEO, or I could run a fun or you know.

0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>So I think they all feel like we still need

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>more women role models, and a lot of firms are

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:37.920
<v Speaker 1>working on that, but it's rights success. What's amazing to

0:18:38.040 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 1>me is that you would think that performance alone would

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:42.160
<v Speaker 1>just be like, well, wait a minute. If Morning Star

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.280
<v Speaker 1>has done the research and shows that women running fixed

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:49.120
<v Speaker 1>income the performances there better than there are male counterparts,

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 1>you would think that that would be a no brainer.

0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:54.640
<v Speaker 1>And it it kind of boggles the mind here, Liz, Yep, yep.

0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:56.920
<v Speaker 1>And it's funny like one thing. And I have heard

0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 1>this in other years that have kind of followed this

0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 1>topic for a while. Maybe I'm biased because I'm interested

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 1>in it, but I think it's important to shine a

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:07.800
<v Speaker 1>light on it. Um. But that you know Tracy Chen

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:11.000
<v Speaker 1>who's at Brandywe who spoke to us, she says like

0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I've heard before, like also young women who we know.

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of initiatives of one daughter who's an

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:20.280
<v Speaker 1>engineer to get more women into STEM. But she was saying,

0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:23.320
<v Speaker 1>what fun management. You don't have to be this super

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 1>quant and she thinks sometimes that keeps women away, she said,

0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:30.560
<v Speaker 1>And it's true, like knowing history and geopolitics and all

0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>that's so important in making decisions on which stocks, which bonds,

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>and so maybe we just need to give that message

0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 1>to young women that you know, you could come from

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 1>a wealth of different background as far as academic studies

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and some into this. It's a great story and in

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 1>the current issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine, Liz thanks

0:19:50.240 --> 0:19:52.560
<v Speaker 1>so much. Liz McCormick. She's Bond, an FX reporter at

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News along with Joe Weber, Editor Bloomberg Business Week.

0:19:56.240 --> 0:19:58.399
<v Speaker 1>Hey is in our New York City bureau. Lives on

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New Jersey. Is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:20:07.320 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Tim one of our top stories, certainly on this Monday,

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:11.439
<v Speaker 1>kind of his every day and that is the latest

0:20:11.520 --> 0:20:14.880
<v Speaker 1>on the virus in COVID nineteen uh and we are

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing vaccinations being given out slowing down. We've talked about

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:19.399
<v Speaker 1>that a lot here in the United States, and there

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 1>were some comments by Dr Anthony Fauci noting that COVID

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 1>caused more deaths in the United States than reported. He

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:28.120
<v Speaker 1>caught up on Meet the Press over the weekend. Check

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 1>it out. We've been saying in the CDC has been

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 1>saying all along that it is very likely that we're undercounting.

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, the model says that it's a significant amount,

0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned, correctly, nine thousand. That's a bit more

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 1>than I would have thought the undercounting was. But you know,

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:48.600
<v Speaker 1>sometimes the models are right online, sometimes they're a bit off.

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:52.159
<v Speaker 1>But I think there's no doubt, um chuck, that we

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:56.360
<v Speaker 1>are and have been undercounting alright, So undercounting. Let's see

0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 1>what our next guest has to say about that and

0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:00.679
<v Speaker 1>kind of where we are when it comes to COVID nineteen.

0:21:00.680 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 1>Bruce Farber is back with us. He is chief of

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Infectious Diseases at Northwell Health north Shore University Hospital in

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:09.400
<v Speaker 1>Long Island Jewish Medical Center. He's with us once again

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:12.240
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Inhassett, New York. Dr Farber, nice

0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 1>to have you here with Tim and me. How are

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:18.880
<v Speaker 1>you well? Thanks for having me? Well? Good to hear that. Uh.

0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:22.560
<v Speaker 1>Tell us about your thoughts when you heard Dr Anthony

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:26.480
<v Speaker 1>Fauci over the weekend. Um, what do we need to

0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:31.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of understand? Uh? And the significance of his comments? Well,

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:34.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there's any doubt that we've significantly undercounted

0:21:34.840 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>that has always been in play. You will call last

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 1>year when there was peaks, many people died at home,

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:45.159
<v Speaker 1>never made it to a hospital. They never counted as

0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 1>COVID cases. Other people didn't count as COVID cases when

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:53.439
<v Speaker 1>they were not diagnosed because we didn't have enough tests. Uh.

0:21:53.600 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>There's no doubt in India that there's a dramatic under

0:21:56.440 --> 0:21:59.880
<v Speaker 1>account of people who are not making it into hospital

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:03.600
<v Speaker 1>and being tested. Um. I think we've always known that

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 1>that's true. So does it does it change? I mean,

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:09.240
<v Speaker 1>since it's something that you've known, I mean's it's it's

0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:12.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not necessarily something that that I've followed closely, but

0:22:12.320 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 1>as a medical professional, I mean, it sounds like that's

0:22:14.320 --> 0:22:18.320
<v Speaker 1>something that has been something that's been realistic throughout this

0:22:18.640 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering to what extent you think about this

0:22:21.240 --> 0:22:26.040
<v Speaker 1>from the perspective of Okay, people putting off going to

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:29.240
<v Speaker 1>the doctor and then people getting sick from something unrelated

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 1>to COVID, But in the end it is related to

0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>COVID because they didn't actually go and visit a provider. Yeah. Absolutely,

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:38.880
<v Speaker 1>And in the beginning, even when people went, they couldn't

0:22:39.200 --> 0:22:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the diagnosis couldn't be made because we didn't have enough tests.

0:22:42.080 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's obviously not the case now, but I

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>need something unrelated to COVID, like if they if they

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:49.439
<v Speaker 1>were scared in those first few months to actually adventure. Oh,

0:22:49.680 --> 0:22:52.760
<v Speaker 1>if you count people who, if you will, died of

0:22:52.880 --> 0:22:57.360
<v Speaker 1>COVID who never had COVID's malignancies and things exactly, Yeah,

0:22:57.400 --> 0:23:00.119
<v Speaker 1>there was there was a huge group of people. Well

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:03.240
<v Speaker 1>that's much harder to count, but there's no question anecdotally

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.560
<v Speaker 1>we saw many people who had advanced malignancies that had

0:23:06.600 --> 0:23:11.600
<v Speaker 1>been put off to many months, heart attacks, pulmonary ambuli um,

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>other medical problems that just were delayed because the fear

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:18.879
<v Speaker 1>of going anywhere, no question, But is this about getting

0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 1>it right for the history book so that we understand

0:23:20.840 --> 0:23:24.840
<v Speaker 1>the significance of this pandemic going forward, and that might

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:28.680
<v Speaker 1>shape policy going forward, research going forward, the hunt for

0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the next virus that might be problematic for our society. Yeah,

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>I think it's it's all of those things plus others.

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 1>It's also relates to, you know, how we um how

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:46.160
<v Speaker 1>we consider this virus in terms of therapeutics, in terms

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:50.600
<v Speaker 1>of vaccinations, in terms of figuring rates of how vaccinations

0:23:50.640 --> 0:23:53.440
<v Speaker 1>are going to prevent people, in terms of understanding what

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 1>variance would do to a population depending upon whether our

0:23:56.800 --> 0:23:59.680
<v Speaker 1>accounts were right or wrong. So yeah, it's important to

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:03.040
<v Speaker 1>get all those things right. This data drives our policies,

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:06.360
<v Speaker 1>or at least should drive our policies. Well, speaking of data,

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:08.959
<v Speaker 1>Dr Farber, I'm looking at the latest data from New

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 1>York City. The percent positive of people who have tested positive,

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:20.880
<v Speaker 1>decreasing confirmed cases, decreasing total cases, decreasing hospitalizations, decreasing confirmed deaths, decreasing.

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>How are you guys doing it at north Well Health?

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:26.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean that all sounds great. We're doing exactly what

0:24:26.600 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>you said. Our numbers are dramatically down every week. They're

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>down deaths or down, hospitalizations are down, um new admissions

0:24:34.920 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 1>with COVID or down. There their mirror exactly what you

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 1>said and there and that rate, those rates have significantly

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:46.680
<v Speaker 1>fallen week after week, um, not just linearly, but but

0:24:46.840 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 1>even more and more. I mean, our numbers are so

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.960
<v Speaker 1>much lower. I think nor Shall Hospital has roughly forty

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 1>or fifty COVID patients in it now. It was probably

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and thirty less than two and a half

0:24:58.840 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago. What are this case is like? What are

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the demographics on it? The demographics are I mean, we

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:07.000
<v Speaker 1>used to think that we would see a younger group

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:10.680
<v Speaker 1>of people. We have predominantly seen at least particularly in

0:25:10.800 --> 0:25:14.160
<v Speaker 1>the very sick people, the same group the elderly people

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 1>with co morbidities who never got vaccinated. That's what's common

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:19.920
<v Speaker 1>to the people who are in our I c us

0:25:20.080 --> 0:25:23.240
<v Speaker 1>none of them have been vaccinated. Um. And that's, to

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:27.920
<v Speaker 1>be honest to me, the most troubling and depressing statistic

0:25:28.000 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 1>of them all. You know what, that's not something that

0:25:30.000 --> 0:25:32.640
<v Speaker 1>that's not a way that we hear this communicated, right,

0:25:33.000 --> 0:25:36.760
<v Speaker 1>We don't hear It's like it's it makes me think

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:38.600
<v Speaker 1>of the way that I was taught about smoking when

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I was a child, and and the way that the

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 1>imagery associated with that, and we don't necessarily hear public

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:47.600
<v Speaker 1>health experts talking about vaccination in the context of life

0:25:47.720 --> 0:25:51.399
<v Speaker 1>or death. Yeah, I mean, I don't think that there's

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:54.760
<v Speaker 1>any doubt that no matter what you think of these vaccines,

0:25:54.960 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 1>they are preventing hospitalizations and deaths. And although they're not perfect,

0:25:58.880 --> 0:26:02.200
<v Speaker 1>and although they're not a hundred sent effective, there's no

0:26:02.520 --> 0:26:05.639
<v Speaker 1>question that you see very few people who have been

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 1>vaccinated in the hospital. I've seen only handful, but I've

0:26:08.680 --> 0:26:10.679
<v Speaker 1>never seen any in the I see you, and I've

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:13.400
<v Speaker 1>never seen any die. I'm not saying that couldn't happen,

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:17.360
<v Speaker 1>particularly in the NUMUNO suppressed individual but from a practical

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>point of view, they're they're so good preventing that. So

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:23.000
<v Speaker 1>we've covered a lot of ground, and I think it

0:26:23.080 --> 0:26:25.160
<v Speaker 1>was significant what you had to say about the demographics

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:28.800
<v Speaker 1>of folks that are in your hospital coming down with COVID,

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:31.960
<v Speaker 1>that they are all people who didn't get vaccinated. So

0:26:32.440 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>where do we go from here? What are your expectations

0:26:35.160 --> 0:26:37.359
<v Speaker 1>about the rest of the year in terms of COVID,

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:38.760
<v Speaker 1>because I think for a lot of us who have

0:26:38.840 --> 0:26:41.520
<v Speaker 1>had the vaccine were increasingly feel like kind of the

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>world is ours again. Yes, I think most people should

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.359
<v Speaker 1>be optimistic. I think we're gonna have a very good summer.

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 1>Not only are reached down, not only are more people vaccinated,

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:54.600
<v Speaker 1>but we'll be outside. So I anticipate that our rates,

0:26:54.600 --> 0:26:57.119
<v Speaker 1>hopefully we'll go even below what they were last summer.

0:26:57.160 --> 0:27:01.399
<v Speaker 1>Remember last summer, even prior to vaccination, our rates fell dramatically.

0:27:01.480 --> 0:27:04.520
<v Speaker 1>They're actually lower than they are right now in New York.

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 1>And so I think we'll beat that and get better. Um,

0:27:08.520 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>And that's all good news. The bad news is, I mean,

0:27:10.600 --> 0:27:15.359
<v Speaker 1>we still have roughly hesitancy, and I think as a

0:27:15.480 --> 0:27:19.639
<v Speaker 1>result of that, COVID will be in the background basically, uh,

0:27:20.000 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 1>for for a long long time. But one thing that

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:26.080
<v Speaker 1>I still have trouble understanding, doctor is natural immunity versus

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>acquired immunity and versus vaccinations. So if people who were

0:27:32.119 --> 0:27:34.200
<v Speaker 1>eager to get vaccinated, and even those who weren't eager

0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:36.480
<v Speaker 1>to vaccinated, but everybody gets vaccinating wants to vaccinated, and

0:27:36.480 --> 0:27:39.600
<v Speaker 1>then so many people who have gotten COVID have immunity

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 1>from that, um, doesn't that give us an achievement of

0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:47.200
<v Speaker 1>her immunity to a certain extent, um to some extent,

0:27:47.280 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 1>But unfortunately, uh, natural born immunity is certainly not permanent.

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:56.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's certainly very secure for three, four, maybe

0:27:56.000 --> 0:27:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a little longer months, but there's no question that you

0:27:58.400 --> 0:28:01.720
<v Speaker 1>can get COVID over and over again. And regarding the vaccine,

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:03.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think we'd be naive if we thought

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:06.360
<v Speaker 1>that that vaccine is going to give you lifelong immunity.

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 1>I'd be happy if it's two years. At this point

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 1>in time, I think we should plan on the fact

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:14.200
<v Speaker 1>that we will need boosters on a regular basis. Some

0:28:14.320 --> 0:28:17.360
<v Speaker 1>people will need them more frequently than others, depending upon

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:20.399
<v Speaker 1>their age, their immune system, and their commobilities. How do

0:28:20.520 --> 0:28:22.880
<v Speaker 1>we think about that at this point where we're still

0:28:22.920 --> 0:28:25.480
<v Speaker 1>dealing with just, you know, the first round of getting

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:28.719
<v Speaker 1>everybody vaccinated, but for those who have gotten vaccinated, how

0:28:28.760 --> 0:28:32.280
<v Speaker 1>do we need to be thinking about as individuals about

0:28:32.320 --> 0:28:34.920
<v Speaker 1>the next booster shot. I guess I'm assuming we'll get

0:28:35.520 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 1>some kind of guidance from the FDA or the CDC,

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:42.959
<v Speaker 1>And are we keeping the infrastructure in place to make

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>sure that that happens. Yeah, I don't think there's any

0:28:45.840 --> 0:28:48.760
<v Speaker 1>doubt that our infrastructure, and an extended one that will

0:28:48.800 --> 0:28:53.440
<v Speaker 1>hopefully involve more community based practices and eventually physicians offices

0:28:53.520 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>and more drug stores will need to be in place forever. Um.

0:28:57.760 --> 0:28:59.480
<v Speaker 1>I think we're naive if we think that we're going

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 1>to reach HERD immunity and COVID is going to go

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:04.520
<v Speaker 1>away and not come back. That's just not realistic. I

0:29:04.560 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 1>don't think that will ever happen, for a wide variety

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:09.480
<v Speaker 1>of reasons, not the least of which is the hesitancy.

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Not the least of which is the fact that there

0:29:11.640 --> 0:29:14.480
<v Speaker 1>are variants, and you know the variants we have now,

0:29:14.680 --> 0:29:17.560
<v Speaker 1>these vaccines are currently pretty good, not quite as good

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 1>as as they are against non variant or the ancestral strains,

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:24.880
<v Speaker 1>but they're pretty good. But that could change. And natural

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 1>born immunity is not going to be long lasting, and

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 1>certainly vaccine induced immunity is most certainly not going to

0:29:31.040 --> 0:29:34.520
<v Speaker 1>be lifelong. So when will it happen? Probably the beginning

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 1>of next year. I think it will vary. We need

0:29:37.120 --> 0:29:40.240
<v Speaker 1>better vaccine correlates, meaning tests to say whether you're still

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:42.920
<v Speaker 1>immune or not, and they really haven't been worked out,

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 1>but I think those types of tests will be much

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 1>more likely to be available in the next six months.

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:50.240
<v Speaker 1>When you talk about immunity, and we've had some conversation.

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Are you talking about the longer term immunity would be

0:29:53.160 --> 0:29:56.440
<v Speaker 1>T cell immunity? Is that correct? Yeah, it's both B

0:29:56.560 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 1>cell and T cell immunity, and we have pretty good

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:01.200
<v Speaker 1>ways of measuring B cell in very poor ways of

0:30:01.280 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 1>looking at long lasting T cell immunity. But that would

0:30:03.840 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 1>be the holy grail, right, Yes, and not and not

0:30:06.880 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 1>likely anytime soon. Well, I mean things happen a lot

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:14.200
<v Speaker 1>faster than sometimes I think, so I'm hopeful that by

0:30:14.240 --> 0:30:16.560
<v Speaker 1>the end of the year we'll have good vaccine correlates

0:30:16.600 --> 0:30:19.080
<v Speaker 1>to know whether you're still immune or not. So, kind

0:30:19.120 --> 0:30:22.080
<v Speaker 1>of building on Carol's question from from earlier, what's just

0:30:22.160 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 1>a realistic way for us to think about life? I

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>always say, on the other side of this pandemic, But

0:30:26.440 --> 0:30:27.959
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't sound like we're gonna get to the other

0:30:28.040 --> 0:30:30.400
<v Speaker 1>side of this pandemic. And and and when we say

0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:32.480
<v Speaker 1>we might live with this, like the seasonal flu. You know,

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:35.720
<v Speaker 1>the seasonal flu doesn't shut us in homes, right, it

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 1>doesn't prevent us from going to work typically, right, we

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 1>we live life. That's what normal is for us. Do

0:30:41.000 --> 0:30:43.480
<v Speaker 1>we get to a point with COVID like that? Yeah?

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:46.920
<v Speaker 1>I think essentially it's going to be very similar to that. Obviously,

0:30:47.000 --> 0:30:50.520
<v Speaker 1>there's profound differences between flu and COVID. COVID is much

0:30:50.600 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>more deadly, much more serious, um and is not seasonal

0:30:55.880 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>um and so but yeah, I do think we're going

0:30:58.360 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 1>to get to normal. I think we're going to basic.

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:03.800
<v Speaker 1>We accept a background rate of morbidity and mortality with

0:31:04.040 --> 0:31:06.400
<v Speaker 1>COVID that will be much higher than it is every

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 1>year with flu. But remember, there are anywhere from twenty

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:13.000
<v Speaker 1>five to sixty five thousand people each year dying from flu.

0:31:13.160 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 1>The overwhelming majority have or elderly and have underlying medical problems,

0:31:17.280 --> 0:31:20.680
<v Speaker 1>but infants can can certainly die of flu. And I think, yeah,

0:31:20.800 --> 0:31:23.600
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be in the background, and hopefully we

0:31:23.680 --> 0:31:27.040
<v Speaker 1>can just you know, keep at at bay and and

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we're not going to go you know, the

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:30.920
<v Speaker 1>world's not gonna be on lockdown forever. I don't think

0:31:30.960 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 1>there's any doubt about that, right, But I get the

0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:36.240
<v Speaker 1>feeling that the background rate statistic will be something that

0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:39.320
<v Speaker 1>we will kind of have UM with us for a

0:31:39.400 --> 0:31:43.120
<v Speaker 1>long time. Dr Farber, thank you so much, really appreciated

0:31:43.320 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>and appreciate catching up with you once again. Dr Bruce Farber,

0:31:46.240 --> 0:31:48.760
<v Speaker 1>Chief of infectious Diseases at north While Health, north Shore

0:31:48.880 --> 0:31:51.880
<v Speaker 1>University Hospital and Long Island Jewish Medical Center on the

0:31:51.920 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 1>phone from Inhassett, New York. We learned a lot there,

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:55.800
<v Speaker 1>we did. And I look like everything in life, it's

0:31:55.800 --> 0:32:01.040
<v Speaker 1>about adjusting expectations, right, you know about vacations, being realistic

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 1>about those expectations. Listen. I feel like humans are pretty

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:05.760
<v Speaker 1>flexible and can figure it out, and we do adapt.

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:15.000
<v Speaker 1>We adapt when we resilient. Yeah, exactly, I'm groc journal. Yeah,

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:16.880
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive? Oh no, no, no, no,

0:32:18.440 --> 0:32:22.480
<v Speaker 1>home all night please, I'll do the riding gravel. Lets me.

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive, Just drive, baby, question, trying job.

0:32:38.200 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the globe. Give me thanks.

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:44.959
<v Speaker 1>We'll drying us to dawn. On Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:32:45.160 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 1>just about ten minutes left in today's trading session. We're

0:32:49.920 --> 0:32:53.120
<v Speaker 1>covering neural loads of the session. That bigger game that

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 1>we saw in the Dow Jones Industrial average running a

0:32:55.560 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 1>little bit out of steam but still holding on to

0:32:57.240 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 1>a thirty point advantage. Both the NASTAC is heard from

0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:03.000
<v Speaker 1>Doug and the S and P are down the NASDAC

0:33:03.120 --> 0:33:05.800
<v Speaker 1>really taking it on the chin down about two point

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:09.560
<v Speaker 1>three down, three points. Let's get into it with Steve Brown,

0:33:09.720 --> 0:33:13.200
<v Speaker 1>senior portfolio manager at American Century Investments two thirty billion

0:33:13.240 --> 0:33:16.040
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management, come outager on the company's Real

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Estate Fund and Global Real Estate Fund, the latter, by

0:33:18.960 --> 0:33:20.720
<v Speaker 1>the way, beating most of its peers over the past

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 1>five years, returning on average annually more than nine percent

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:26.200
<v Speaker 1>according to Bloomberg Data. Steve joins us on the phone

0:33:26.200 --> 0:33:27.920
<v Speaker 1>in New York City. Steve, good to have you here

0:33:27.960 --> 0:33:32.320
<v Speaker 1>with us. What's the market environment like for you? It's

0:33:32.480 --> 0:33:34.760
<v Speaker 1>it's been pretty good this year. Last year was a

0:33:34.800 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 1>difficult year for reads because of the lockdowns and the

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:39.600
<v Speaker 1>concerns about rent payment. But this year they're acting a

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:45.760
<v Speaker 1>lot better. They're up about on optimism about reopening the economy. Well,

0:33:47.720 --> 0:33:50.880
<v Speaker 1>it's got It's a geographic story though, right, because it's

0:33:50.880 --> 0:33:53.960
<v Speaker 1>all about where the economy is reopened and where it's

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>not well. For the US fun it's opening pretty much

0:33:59.920 --> 0:34:03.240
<v Speaker 1>across the country and having more success with the vaccines.

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.719
<v Speaker 1>And then both of the FED policy as well as

0:34:06.720 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 1>the Biden administration. Are you low interest rates, have a

0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:12.919
<v Speaker 1>lot of stimulus, that's good for the ALEC, for GDP growth,

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:16.240
<v Speaker 1>So we're seeing strength to an other property sectors throughout

0:34:16.280 --> 0:34:20.000
<v Speaker 1>their country. Certainly housing related property stocks are doing well

0:34:20.719 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 1>as well as a timber. And then some of the

0:34:22.600 --> 0:34:26.200
<v Speaker 1>bomb bout sectors like retails have bounced back very smartly

0:34:26.280 --> 0:34:28.439
<v Speaker 1>this year in two thousand one. Well, let's talk about

0:34:28.480 --> 0:34:31.480
<v Speaker 1>retail because Simon Property Group reporting after the bell today

0:34:31.640 --> 0:34:36.000
<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering what you've heard and how you felt

0:34:36.040 --> 0:34:39.359
<v Speaker 1>about the way that the company is talking about occupancy

0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:44.400
<v Speaker 1>and the bounced back after just a terrible year. Yes, So,

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:47.080
<v Speaker 1>as Simon, they're the largest owner of regional malls in

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the country and last year there were long periods of

0:34:49.920 --> 0:34:54.200
<v Speaker 1>time when they're malls were closed due to state mandate. Well,

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:56.680
<v Speaker 1>let's shift it so virtually all their balls are open

0:34:56.760 --> 0:35:00.360
<v Speaker 1>and ready for business. Also, last year's they had in

0:35:00.400 --> 0:35:02.439
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the year the rent collection was close

0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:08.600
<v Speaker 1>to six quite poor. It's approaching now or through December one,

0:35:08.760 --> 0:35:10.759
<v Speaker 1>we'll hear what happens in side of the call. We

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:14.920
<v Speaker 1>expect the further improvement in rent collection and then thirdly

0:35:15.120 --> 0:35:17.239
<v Speaker 1>a store closing in the first quarter of this year.

0:35:17.360 --> 0:35:20.200
<v Speaker 1>First que we're amongst the lowest in the last four

0:35:20.280 --> 0:35:22.520
<v Speaker 1>or five years, so very little store closing. There are

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:25.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot in two thousand twenty, but very little in

0:35:25.160 --> 0:35:28.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty one, and then leasing activity has been strong, so

0:35:28.160 --> 0:35:30.360
<v Speaker 1>we think Simon can put up some good numbers and

0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:34.440
<v Speaker 1>should have some optimism about the leasing progress for the portfolio.

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:40.080
<v Speaker 1>In two thousand one, what happened to the expectations that

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 1>real estate was just going to fall apart? Commercial real

0:35:43.400 --> 0:35:48.920
<v Speaker 1>estate in particular because of the pandemic. Why didn't it okay?

0:35:49.600 --> 0:35:53.160
<v Speaker 1>A couple of things. The concern was that working from

0:35:53.239 --> 0:35:56.120
<v Speaker 1>home was taking off, and they had a lot of

0:35:56.400 --> 0:36:00.480
<v Speaker 1>some governments allowed rent moratoriums were people don't have to

0:36:00.520 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 1>pay their rent. So there's concerned about policy having a

0:36:02.520 --> 0:36:05.680
<v Speaker 1>negative impact in real estate values. As we've moved into

0:36:05.760 --> 0:36:09.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty one. Firstly, the first piece of good news was

0:36:09.840 --> 0:36:12.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of the announcement of a vaccine. Whether it's from

0:36:13.000 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>my diner or five or November of two thousand and twenty,

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:17.759
<v Speaker 1>that's what It's turned things around in terms of the

0:36:17.840 --> 0:36:22.120
<v Speaker 1>conversation as we did here in mid May. The vaccine

0:36:22.239 --> 0:36:26.280
<v Speaker 1>rollout in the US appears to be successful. Governments are reopening.

0:36:26.360 --> 0:36:28.719
<v Speaker 1>I believe New York State, New York City is gonna

0:36:28.719 --> 0:36:31.200
<v Speaker 1>be fully reopened by July one. So that's positive and

0:36:31.239 --> 0:36:35.919
<v Speaker 1>a change in mindset getting back to living, you might say.

0:36:36.520 --> 0:36:38.759
<v Speaker 1>And that's been good for real estate in the sense

0:36:38.840 --> 0:36:40.759
<v Speaker 1>that there's more confidence than to be able to cut

0:36:40.880 --> 0:36:43.360
<v Speaker 1>rent in the Tommily manner, and there's more confidence that

0:36:43.440 --> 0:36:45.880
<v Speaker 1>things will go back to normal. Now, normal may not

0:36:46.040 --> 0:36:48.320
<v Speaker 1>really come to frow U till say the fall of

0:36:48.400 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 1>this year, when many companies, whether it's in New York

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:54.759
<v Speaker 1>or Boston or l A, etcetera, we'll begin asking the

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:57.319
<v Speaker 1>employees to show up for work a certain amount of time,

0:36:57.320 --> 0:36:59.239
<v Speaker 1>whether it's three days a week or five days a week.

0:36:59.520 --> 0:37:01.440
<v Speaker 1>But you'll get more of that back to back to

0:37:01.560 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 1>normal scenario, and that's that's certainly a positive for real

0:37:04.719 --> 0:37:09.400
<v Speaker 1>estate values and real estate activity. Sticking with retail, what

0:37:09.520 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 1>does what does long term look like for companies that

0:37:12.239 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 1>own and and operate malls as as retail shifts from

0:37:17.080 --> 0:37:18.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's a story that's been happening. It's been

0:37:18.680 --> 0:37:21.120
<v Speaker 1>going on for Look, this is a long story now, right,

0:37:21.239 --> 0:37:23.840
<v Speaker 1>the shift to e commerce from brick and mortar and

0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:26.680
<v Speaker 1>the move at least with brick and mortar to experiences.

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:31.440
<v Speaker 1>What does it look like? Sure, we're not overly optimistic

0:37:31.440 --> 0:37:34.239
<v Speaker 1>about the mall sector. Long term. We think this year

0:37:35.120 --> 0:37:37.520
<v Speaker 1>there could be a good bounce back. And Simon's the

0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:39.560
<v Speaker 1>leading owners, so they owned some of the most productive

0:37:39.600 --> 0:37:42.680
<v Speaker 1>balls in the country, so those continue to gain market share.

0:37:42.760 --> 0:37:45.280
<v Speaker 1>There will be some malls closing just because of difficult

0:37:45.280 --> 0:37:49.480
<v Speaker 1>financial activities, but I think in terms of assignment, uh,

0:37:49.960 --> 0:37:52.200
<v Speaker 1>it comes into the year training at thirteen times earning.

0:37:52.360 --> 0:37:55.800
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of upside and their earning power, so

0:37:55.920 --> 0:37:57.759
<v Speaker 1>we like it over the next twelve months or so.

0:37:58.640 --> 0:38:01.800
<v Speaker 1>Where we're more optimistic is in community shopping centers that

0:38:01.840 --> 0:38:04.719
<v Speaker 1>are grocery store anchored, because they did pretty well during

0:38:04.800 --> 0:38:08.399
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic and obviously people, you know, we're busy goings

0:38:08.480 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 1>the grocery stores are having order to pick up and

0:38:10.560 --> 0:38:12.759
<v Speaker 1>deliver from the grocery stores, so they're leasing. Activity is

0:38:12.800 --> 0:38:15.360
<v Speaker 1>good and we definitely like the long term picture of

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:19.400
<v Speaker 1>open air shopping centers. Give us one in particular that

0:38:19.520 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 1>you like. One we we like is called the Brick

0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:27.600
<v Speaker 1>Smore a New York phase read it owned shopping centers

0:38:27.600 --> 0:38:30.759
<v Speaker 1>throughout the United States. It's it's a nationwide portfolio and

0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:33.279
<v Speaker 1>they have been a beneficiary of the reopening trade, and

0:38:33.360 --> 0:38:36.320
<v Speaker 1>they've been a beneficiary of you know, very strongly. Thrownings

0:38:36.440 --> 0:38:40.319
<v Speaker 1>came out last week and they raised guidance for two one.

0:38:40.719 --> 0:38:43.040
<v Speaker 1>They had very strong leasing activity, they showed a big

0:38:43.080 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 1>improvement and rent collection, and they had a very linibal

0:38:47.040 --> 0:38:49.279
<v Speaker 1>store closing in in the first quarter of this year.

0:38:49.360 --> 0:38:52.040
<v Speaker 1>So again they were a beneficiary of those trends. And

0:38:52.160 --> 0:38:55.520
<v Speaker 1>then grocery stores in general had a good U lesson

0:38:55.640 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 1>and they're looking to expand or signed new leases, so

0:38:58.040 --> 0:39:00.040
<v Speaker 1>they should be a beneficiary of that trend. All. So

0:39:00.920 --> 0:39:06.560
<v Speaker 1>let's talk invitation homes real quick. Um, I'm curious long

0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:08.960
<v Speaker 1>term changes that you're seeing during the pandemic is more

0:39:09.000 --> 0:39:10.840
<v Speaker 1>and more people are priced out of actually owning a

0:39:10.920 --> 0:39:15.680
<v Speaker 1>home and instead they choose to rent long term. Yes,

0:39:16.560 --> 0:39:19.680
<v Speaker 1>So what happened over the last twelve to fifteen months.

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:23.000
<v Speaker 1>We had the dramatic reduction and short term interest rates

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:26.239
<v Speaker 1>by the Federal Reserve, and so mortgage rates went down

0:39:26.320 --> 0:39:29.920
<v Speaker 1>to three, you know the lowest and ten or twenty

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:33.200
<v Speaker 1>years and that did stimulate a housing boom, partly because

0:39:33.239 --> 0:39:37.000
<v Speaker 1>of work from home in lockdown in the cities. People

0:39:37.040 --> 0:39:39.280
<v Speaker 1>were concerned about quality of life as well as actors

0:39:39.360 --> 0:39:42.440
<v Speaker 1>is good public school, so people moved out to the suburbs.

0:39:42.880 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 1>About homes. Home prices. Over the last twelve months or

0:39:45.560 --> 0:39:48.359
<v Speaker 1>thirteen to fift so, home prices have gone up a lot,

0:39:48.719 --> 0:39:51.840
<v Speaker 1>although the cost of money is cheap. We're at a

0:39:51.880 --> 0:39:55.719
<v Speaker 1>point now where it's it's obviously uh a toss up

0:39:55.760 --> 0:39:59.160
<v Speaker 1>between renting versus buying in terms of the cost and

0:39:59.280 --> 0:40:02.520
<v Speaker 1>with a company invitation homes, owned homes, owns homes and

0:40:02.560 --> 0:40:06.000
<v Speaker 1>rents zones. Demands have been very strong as people as

0:40:06.040 --> 0:40:09.239
<v Speaker 1>families are probably stand of the housing market, probably because

0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:12.040
<v Speaker 1>they don't have the ten or required for down payment,

0:40:12.560 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 1>but the demand for their product type offensees are is

0:40:15.640 --> 0:40:18.480
<v Speaker 1>very high and their ability to raise brands is very strong.

0:40:18.640 --> 0:40:21.879
<v Speaker 1>So we're quite excited about things of family rentals such

0:40:21.880 --> 0:40:24.920
<v Speaker 1>as invitation homes as well as traditional apartment companies like

0:40:25.000 --> 0:40:27.439
<v Speaker 1>U D are all right, gonna leave it on that note, Hey, Steve,

0:40:27.480 --> 0:40:29.880
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Steve Brown. He's senior portfolio manager

0:40:29.880 --> 0:40:33.040
<v Speaker 1>at American Century Investments. They've got two hundred thirty billion

0:40:33.080 --> 0:40:35.719
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management. On the phone from New York City,

0:40:35.760 --> 0:40:38.120
<v Speaker 1>he mentioned invitation homes up about eighteen percent so far

0:40:38.200 --> 0:40:42.239
<v Speaker 1>this year. Little changed last year. Simon Property, which will

0:40:42.280 --> 0:40:45.759
<v Speaker 1>report after the closing bell, was up nearly fifty so

0:40:45.920 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 1>far here in one down about last year. So certainly

0:40:50.000 --> 0:40:52.239
<v Speaker 1>we've seen understandably bounce back, but we'll see what they

0:40:52.280 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 1>have to say on their earnings. Called Thanks for listening

0:40:55.719 --> 0:40:59.160
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:40:59.320 --> 0:41:01.480
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0:41:01.520 --> 0:41:04.080
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0:41:04.200 --> 0:41:06.919
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