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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna just mop that action also. All right, here

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Speaker 2: we go.

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Speaker 3: We're throwing in song spect. I'm sitting up to cash touchtop.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win. That's incredible. Being bank, small bank, I

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Speaker 3: like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kabine.

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Speaker 2: You want to pass.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway. Welcome into the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 5: This is the NFL Roundtable for week six. Brendon Glass

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Speaker 5: she joined by two of our regular co hosts here

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Speaker 5: on the podcast, our director of Research and Media Evan Abrams,

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Speaker 5: our NFL analyst Brandon Anderson. We joined you Sunday night

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Speaker 5: Monday morning for the recap pods. So they said, put

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Speaker 5: these guys together again, give him, give them thirty six

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Speaker 5: hours to decompress, rest up, and fire out some more.

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Speaker 3: Takes from what we saw over the weekend. And also

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Speaker 3: look ahead to NFL Week six.

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Speaker 5: Now that we've had a chance Evan to gather our

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Speaker 5: thoughts and we'll get to Robert Sala in the Jets.

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Speaker 3: That is the news of the day. We'll get to

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Speaker 3: that in a bit. Biggest Week five takeaway.

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Speaker 2: For you is what I'm just talking about the Chiefs.

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Speaker 6: I don't think there's really anything else to talk about,

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Speaker 6: the way they're winning, how they're winning, how they're going

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Speaker 6: to be beaten at this point. Back to back super

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Speaker 6: Bowl start five and zero only been done one other

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Speaker 6: time in Super Bowl history. I believe it was like

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Speaker 6: the ninety two nine ers who started ten and her.

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Speaker 6: They're winning in ways I don't think we thought they would.

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Speaker 6: They haven't lost since Christmas last year. I think Spags

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Speaker 6: makes them really really dangerous because Mahomes just doesn't have

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Speaker 6: to be more than just himself. And he wasn't even

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Speaker 6: really good this year, since I think he had like

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Speaker 6: six touchdowns and five picks before last night, and then

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Speaker 6: he doesn't throw a touchdown game last night, and they

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Speaker 6: I think he's seven to three now in his career

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Speaker 6: when he doesn't throw a touchdown pass.

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Speaker 2: Uh. Just you can.

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Speaker 6: Continue to go on and on, but I think even

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Speaker 6: looking at their schedule, this just this is about Kansas City.

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Speaker 6: This is about how someone is going to end up

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Speaker 6: beating them in all the different types of styles they play.

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Speaker 6: And also probably do they add another piece?

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Speaker 2: Uh?

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Speaker 6: And how does that look considering they they're down to

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Speaker 6: almost zero weapons and they continue to win games. I

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Speaker 6: will say this after the bye at San Francisco at

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Speaker 6: Vegas and then Monday night football against Tampa at home,

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Speaker 6: So see how it continues. At San Francisco game should

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Speaker 6: be interesting, but they've got some extra rest, which what

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Speaker 6: should be nice.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I think that was their most complete win of the

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Speaker 5: year or that you sho You saw flashes of all

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Speaker 5: the things they could do, and they still turned it

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Speaker 5: over in the red zone. They made several trips to

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Speaker 5: the red zone, chunk plays. Wise Worthy is only going

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Speaker 5: to get better. Kel's while he hasn't scored yet, was

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Speaker 5: a factor in that first half. Brandon, what is it

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Speaker 5: for you take away from week five now that you've

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Speaker 5: had a chance to let some things digest.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you're right to go to the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I think you got the wrong team. I think the

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Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers might miss the playoffs. That's

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Speaker 1: my takeaway from week five. I think the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers are in serious doubt of making the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: They're two and three.

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Speaker 1: They are for me, about a coin flip right now,

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Speaker 1: make it or miss for the playoffs, and that is crazy.

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Speaker 1: We did not think that about this team coming to

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Speaker 1: the season with all those weapons they have, with all

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Speaker 1: the talent. Frankly, with the results we've seen in the field,

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Speaker 1: like forget the scoreboard, just look at the numbers, look

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Speaker 1: at the underlying metrics.

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Speaker 4: This should be a playoff team. This is a pretty

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Speaker 4: good team.

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Speaker 1: They're not quite the juggernaut they were a year ago,

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Speaker 1: but they're still top ten DVA team. The offense and

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Speaker 1: defense are still both looking pretty good. But three times

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Speaker 1: now they have given away I think a game that

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Speaker 1: they should have won. They definitely should have beat the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals this week. They should have beat the Rams up

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Speaker 1: double digit. It's in the fourth quarter. Both games all

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Speaker 1: one two in the division. That's not a great place

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Speaker 1: to be for San Francisco. Two games they should have won.

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Speaker 1: They beat the Patriots. Horay, that's the easiest game of

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Speaker 1: the schedule, Like this was the soft part of the

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Speaker 1: schedule so far. You're supposed to beat the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. Frankly, they probably should beat the Vikings. They

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Speaker 1: had a big swing play there that game. I think

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Speaker 1: they were maybe slightly the better team. I wrote today

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Speaker 1: My futures article up this week is a pulse check.

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Speaker 1: Who are the team's sub five hundred that still have

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Speaker 1: a pulse. Who's out there and who doesn't have a pulse.

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Speaker 1: That forty niners certainly have a pulse. I think they

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Speaker 1: are in much worse shape medically speaking than we are

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Speaker 1: giving credit for Right now. Here's a schedule coming up.

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Speaker 1: They go Seattle in Seattle this Thursday. That's a tough one.

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Speaker 1: We talked about that one already. Both teams badly need it.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, Evan, the Chiefs next week coming off

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Speaker 1: their bye week. Cowboys always a tough one. Not not

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Speaker 1: as much for San fran but you never know. At

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Speaker 1: Tampa again, at Green Bay, at Buffalo. These are not

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Speaker 1: easy games, like there's no easy spot on the schedule.

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Speaker 4: Even late in the season.

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Speaker 1: Still pretty tough Chicago after Caleb Williams has had some

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Speaker 1: time to settle in the Rams, after they've gotten healthy

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Speaker 1: and get their receivers back. At Miami, all right, Well

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Speaker 1: it's in Miami late in the season, and maybe two

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Speaker 1: US back by then. The Lion's still waiting. In the

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Speaker 1: week seventeen, there's not an easy game left on the

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Speaker 1: schedule for the forty nine ers. I think this looks

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Speaker 1: like maybe an eight or a nine win team right now.

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Speaker 1: I think you have to be looking at ways to

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Speaker 1: fade the Niners and possibly to miss the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: Is there anything that you can target.

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Speaker 1: Right now to put you on the spot or yeah,

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Speaker 1: so they're plus one point fifty to miss the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: I do think that there's a slight edge there on

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Speaker 1: the numbers. Again, if I think it's a coin flip,

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Speaker 1: then obviously anything north of plus one hundred is a

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Speaker 1: way to do it. I think the way you have

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Speaker 1: to consider directly is how do you feel about Thursday night?

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Speaker 1: We talked about this Thursday night in Seattle. If you

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Speaker 1: like Seattle, and you know I've been a Seattle guy

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Speaker 1: all season long. If you like them, Seattle is still

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Speaker 1: plus two for you to win the division. Seattle beat

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Speaker 1: San Francisco, the forty nine ersgozer three in the division.

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Speaker 1: Seattle is in the driver's seat from there forward if

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Speaker 1: you like them at home. If you don't like them,

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Speaker 1: I think you maybe have to wait and you wait

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Speaker 1: a week and see where it goes.

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Speaker 4: Because the direct way to fade.

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Speaker 1: San fran is not winning the division, and the best

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Speaker 1: way to bet the division is a Seattle home game

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Speaker 1: to put them in fairly like they could be two

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Speaker 1: and four facing the Chiefs after that, like you're two

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Speaker 1: and five on the Super Bowl rematch, you lose them

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Speaker 1: a homes now what? So I think that's the direct way, Evan,

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Speaker 1: What do you think.

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Speaker 2: I was gonna say?

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Speaker 6: An interesting target would be I guess their live win total,

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Speaker 6: like in season is nine and a half. But I

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Speaker 6: say to myself, why take under nine and a half

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Speaker 6: and why not just like fade them game to game

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Speaker 6: as assuming they're just going to be bigger favorites in

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Speaker 6: some of these and every time they lose, the public

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Speaker 6: will think they'll win the next week. So there's probably

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Speaker 6: more about you and that. I just found that interesting

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Speaker 6: that you did say eight or nine. It's basically sitting there,

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Speaker 6: But I feel like the week to week is more

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Speaker 6: valuable to us.

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Speaker 1: Well, and speaking of valuable to another kind of takeaway

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Speaker 1: with the Niners thing. Just to wrap this up here,

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Speaker 1: So we talked a lot about brock Party last year.

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Speaker 1: Guys know that was my I had a the fifty

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Speaker 1: to one MVP ticket. It was he was the favorite

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Speaker 1: for one sparkling week and then Christmas happened and it

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Speaker 1: all went bad. Here's the thing, Brock Party. I think

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Speaker 1: it's playing better football this year than he did last year.

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Speaker 1: I think Brock Party is more valuable to the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers this year than he was last year. Here's

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Speaker 1: the problem. When brock Purty is more valuable to forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers, rock Purty is less valuable relative to the

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Speaker 1: rest of the league. And that's why the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers are losing now. They need Brock Party to be

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Speaker 1: less valuable to them.

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Speaker 5: Okay, I see where you're going. Let that sink in

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Speaker 5: for a second, folks.

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Speaker 2: So okay, take that one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's good. It got me thinking for it for

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Speaker 3: a second.

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Speaker 5: Dogs of six plus continue their domination unobated with the

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Speaker 5: trends reversed. Well, the trends reverse themselves in Week six

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Speaker 5: Oral every game post open and close at three or

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Speaker 5: three and a half. Now the Tube six point underdogs

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Speaker 5: this week are the Patriots. They are getting seven at

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Speaker 5: home against the Texans. The command pardon me, there's a

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Speaker 5: third one. The Commanders are getting six and a half

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Speaker 5: at Baltimore, and the Falcons are part of me. The

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Speaker 5: Panthers are six and a half point home dogs against

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Speaker 5: the Atlanta Falcons.

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Speaker 6: Evan, Yeah, I had originally said Tampa Bay just in

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Speaker 6: generalized like an underdog. They are no longer dogs based

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Speaker 6: off of what happened last night with Derek Carr. They're

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Speaker 6: now road favorite. So toss that out the window. I'll

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Speaker 6: say Carolina, And that also works with the six pointer,

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Speaker 6: So not only do we get the dog, when we

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Speaker 6: get the big dog with this trend, Atlanta coming off

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Speaker 6: the emotional game, I don't care if they have additional rest.

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Speaker 6: Carolina looked terrible against Chicago. They won't look that bad again.

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Speaker 6: We know Dalton's better than Bryce. There's all sorts of

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Speaker 6: different things we've seen positive at Carolina's offense.

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Speaker 2: Six is just a little bit much at.

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Speaker 1: Home, Brandon, Yeah, I mean, I think all trends are

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Speaker 1: trends until they're not anymore, right, So I don't want

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Speaker 1: to be careful about too much into this on you know,

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Speaker 1: the six plus dogs, Like it's a small sample, it's

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Speaker 1: going to even out. That's how these things go over time.

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Speaker 1: Looking at these teams, I think the one I've got

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Speaker 1: my own right now, the Patriots seven points at home

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Speaker 1: against the Texans, I think it's just a little too much.

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Speaker 1: I know, I just bet against the Texans with the

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Speaker 1: Bills last week. It did not go well for me.

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Speaker 1: I still don't think the Texans measure up to their

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Speaker 1: four to one record right now.

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Speaker 4: I still don't.

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Speaker 1: Feel like they they're being treated at this point like

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Speaker 1: they were before the season, and they have been much

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Speaker 1: worse on paper and much worse in actuality than they

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Speaker 1: look before the season. The offense is not move the

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Speaker 1: ball that well. It's a lot of first and ten

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Speaker 1: second and ten third and ten Oh Sieges. Stroud did

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Speaker 1: the thing again, so you know, c just Stroud's pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Maybe he'll just keep doing the thing. But history says

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Speaker 1: over time you don't always do the thing. When you're

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Speaker 1: not successful moving the ball and moving the chains, that

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Speaker 1: stuff evens out. Yeah, we're going to talk about ugly

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Speaker 1: unders a little bit later on as well. I think

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Speaker 1: if you like the Patriots on that one, you probably

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Speaker 1: like the Patriots and the under. So that's maybe a

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Speaker 1: double play there, because you certainly don't want the Patriots

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Speaker 1: having to win a shootout against a pretty good Texans defense.

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Speaker 1: You've got to hope that the Texans offense doesn't show.

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Speaker 1: That's probably the one I'd be looking at. To me,

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Speaker 1: that's kind of a trap game for Houston to maybe

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Speaker 1: overlook a little bit coming off the big buffalo in CJ.

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Speaker 5: Stroud made his uh not his official debut, but he

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Speaker 5: preseason at New England last year and the Patriots sandwiched

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Speaker 5: him a couple of times.

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Speaker 3: Was not good in that game. Throw a pick, That's

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Speaker 3: what I think.

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Speaker 5: Folks were questioning if the pick would work for Houston,

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Speaker 5: and of course we found out it.

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Speaker 4: Did so very good.

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Speaker 1: No Nico Collins, That's a good point. I definitely should

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Speaker 1: have said there. Like I think Nico has been as

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Speaker 1: good as any receiver in the NFL so far this season.

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Speaker 1: Losing him is a big deal. It's no mistake that

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Speaker 1: Houston dominated the first half with Nico and then when

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Speaker 1: he was out, barely scored in the second half until

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen decided to make sure they scored at the

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Speaker 1: end of the game.

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Speaker 4: But no Nico is a big.

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Speaker 1: Loss, you know, against Patriots secondary that could be otherwise beatable.

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Speaker 1: So Stefan Digsy's and now let's see how that trade

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Speaker 1: comes through for them.

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Speaker 5: Shout out two our Action Network colleague Sean Zarillo, who

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Speaker 5: had another great year in baseball, finishing the MLB regular

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Speaker 5: season up more than twenty five units, and with Action

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Speaker 5: Pro you get instant notifications every time Zarillo or any

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Speaker 5: of our action experts make a pick in the Action app.

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00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:41,840
Speaker 5: Just visit actionnetwork dot com slash Pro and use the

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00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:46,520
Speaker 5: promo code October for fifteen percent off an Action Pro subscription.

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Speaker 5: That's fifteen percent off at actionnetwork dot com slash.

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Speaker 3: Pro with the promo code October.

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00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,880
Speaker 5: And be sure to check out Sean every week talking

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Speaker 5: MLB playoffs.

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Speaker 3: On the Payoff Pitch podcast.

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Speaker 5: Team in the NFC North has a winning record right now.

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Speaker 5: So I think folks were wondering, and we talked about

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Speaker 5: this on Sunday night, that we can't figure out the

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Speaker 5: NFC West. I mean, Brandon's talked about Seattle. Now he's

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Speaker 5: talking about maybe the Niners going under nine wins. The

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Speaker 5: Rams are banged up, Cardinals are.

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Speaker 3: Better than they think we expected.

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Speaker 5: I think Evan, you shared some love with the Cardinals

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Speaker 5: trying and both of you are like still trying to

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Speaker 5: figure this team out. But the Cardinals are still a

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Speaker 5: developing story, but they're in it. But the NFC North

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Speaker 5: Vikings of course have impressed. Bears back on track Packers

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Speaker 5: squeeze out a tough victory, and then you've get the Lions,

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Speaker 5: who ends up on.

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Speaker 3: The outside looking in or finishing with the losing record.

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Speaker 6: Evan I wanted to say nobody and just said that

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Speaker 6: this division was going to figure out somehow to all

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Speaker 6: finish above five hundred, even if just a game, just

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Speaker 6: because there really is reasons for that all over the board,

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Speaker 6: Like they're all talented, they all are better than most

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Speaker 6: of the teams in the NFC.

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Speaker 2: I can see it happening.

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Speaker 6: I have to look at the math to see, you know,

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Speaker 6: the possibility actually, since they do face each.

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Speaker 2: Other a bunch.

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Speaker 6: When you just look at live wind totals and kind

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Speaker 6: of where we are now, Chicago is at the bottom

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Speaker 6: in terms of where their win total is sitting for

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Speaker 6: the remainder of the season, I would probably say Chicago

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Speaker 6: is the answer.

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Speaker 2: They do have the toughest remaining schedule.

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Speaker 6: Second toughest remainning schedule is the Lions, and fifth is

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Speaker 6: Green Bay. So it's just the fact that their division

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Speaker 6: is that damn good. But I still think Chicago's probably

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Speaker 6: the one looking out just because I feel like there's

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Speaker 6: gonna be more ups and downs. I think Green Bay

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Speaker 6: kind of went through their downs maybe, and they won

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Speaker 6: those games. And then you look at Minnesota live win totals,

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Speaker 6: there is a twelve and a half. God, I want

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Speaker 6: to take that under, but they're already five and zero,

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Speaker 6: so it's hard to want to fade them more than

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Speaker 6: just be like, okay, let's go under twelve and a half.

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Speaker 6: They're still probably going to figure out a way to

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Speaker 6: make the playoffs, and you know, at least top two divisions.

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Speaker 2: So I would say Chicago.

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Speaker 3: Bears live win totals at seven and a half, juice

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Speaker 3: to the over at minus one sixty.

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Speaker 5: Brandon, how about you who ends up on the outside

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Speaker 5: looking in the NFC North or finishing with a losing.

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Speaker 1: Record, Yeah, it's gotta be Chicago here. I think a

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Speaker 1: key note just on this question in general. We've only

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Speaker 1: had one division game so far in the NFC North,

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Speaker 1: so that's all still coming, and we're gonna start racking

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Speaker 1: up losses in a hurry when we get there. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't give you losing records, it gives you five hundreds.

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Speaker 1: But the losses have to come with the wins.

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Speaker 3: There.

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Speaker 1: The Bears so far have beaten hould your breath here,

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Speaker 1: the Titans, the Rams and the Panthers.

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Speaker 4: Hooray for the Bears being three and two like they

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Speaker 4: shouldn't be in the Titans.

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Speaker 1: We knew that from week one. That was a complete

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Speaker 1: luck box win. They did fine against the Rams. That

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Speaker 1: game could have gone either way. They clearly won the

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young Bowl against the Panthers. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams talk this week, a lot of tweets out

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Speaker 1: there of you know, the charts of Caleb Williams stats

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Speaker 1: going up, hoop up each game week one through five. Okay,

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Speaker 1: line up the defensive metrics for the same five teams

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Speaker 1: over that span. There's a reason Williams is getting a

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Speaker 1: lot better. He is getting better, for sure. You play

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Speaker 1: the Titans to start the season, you play the Texans,

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Speaker 1: good defenses. Now you get to play the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Panthers. I hope you're better. You should be better.

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Speaker 1: You're playing the Rams and the Panthers. So Chicago goes

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Speaker 1: to London now for the Jaguars, their favorites there. I

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Speaker 1: don't know Chicago is the better team than Jacksonville, but

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Speaker 1: it's in London.

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Speaker 4: It's weird.

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Speaker 1: I never like to bet on those sort of games

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Speaker 1: they still face on their schedule. All six division games.

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Speaker 1: Jas an underdog in all six games in all likelihood,

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Speaker 1: as they should be, and they have San fran and Seattle,

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Speaker 1: and they have Washington. They're easy fourth place game. That's

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Speaker 1: not an easy fourth place game anymore. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a team you want to bet the win till

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Speaker 1: under on. If you like them against Jacksonville this week,

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Speaker 1: wait a week and then take it. I wrote about

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Speaker 1: the two and two teams last week in my oracle

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Speaker 1: and had the Bears second to last. They're three and two.

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Speaker 1: Now I want to fade the team. I just wanted

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Speaker 1: to wait out this cure on a Jacksonville stretch. But

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Speaker 1: I think the reckoning is coming. I think the seven

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Speaker 1: and a half is probably about where they end up,

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Speaker 1: but hopefully, ideally for me, I skip.

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Speaker 4: Out in the London game.

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Speaker 1: They beat Jacksonville and go to four and two, then

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Speaker 1: we play the under. That's the outcome that I prefer

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Speaker 1: here the one.

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Speaker 6: Also, the win totals eight and a half at one

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Speaker 6: book eight and a half, I kind of like under

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Speaker 6: eight and a half.

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 5: NFC northoff to a good start despite McCarthy preseason injury.

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Speaker 5: Jordan Love gets hurt, who else and then yeah, I

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Speaker 5: mean turbulence early with Caleb Williams, who is, by the way,

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Speaker 5: plus three hundred to win Offensive Rookie of the Year.

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Speaker 5: Jayden Daniels, You're deserving favorite right now. I think Daniel

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Speaker 5: should be even bigger of a favorite. I think that's

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Speaker 5: that's a sucker bet to get people to come back.

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Speaker 3: In on Williams. That's just my take.

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Speaker 5: Robert Sala was fired moments before we started this record,

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Speaker 5: about an hour or so before we started recording. Second

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Speaker 5: high name on the board for the first coach fired

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Speaker 5: behind Doug Peterson. Dennis Allen was also in the mix there.

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Speaker 5: Saints head coach who we saw last night just was

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Speaker 5: not creative at all in his game plan against Kansas City.

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Speaker 5: It'll be defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich. I hope you're pronouncing

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Speaker 5: his name right, Jeff Ulbrich as the interim head coach

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Speaker 5: in New York.

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Speaker 3: Shout out Joe Gallant.

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Speaker 5: Who we have not had on the roundtable yet, but

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Speaker 5: Joe gave us out on our Exotics pod in the preseason.

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Speaker 5: Robert Sala plus nine hundred to be the first coach fired.

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Speaker 5: Evan Abrams, your takeaway from this very new news.

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Speaker 6: I think we had two tickets on Sala in the preseason.

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Speaker 6: It's doing coach of the Year and to be fired first,

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Speaker 6: and one of them had to hit and they did

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Speaker 6: so it was fantastic just looking at I guess all right,

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Speaker 6: So there's a few ways to look at this. Initially,

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Speaker 6: off the bat, a coach gets fired is usually a

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Speaker 6: good thing for a team. It's a small percentage jump,

394
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Speaker 6: but it as a jump. The data says thirty eight

395
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Speaker 6: teams fired in season since two thousand and three, twenty

396
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Speaker 6: two and sixteen against the spread in their next game.

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Speaker 6: You'd be like, Okay, small sample there, except for the

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Speaker 6: fact they're thirty seven percent against the spread entering those

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Speaker 6: games those teams, so it is.

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Speaker 2: A decent jump.

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Speaker 6: So you'd be potentially looking at the Jets plus three

402
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Speaker 6: against Buffalo this week, which I think is a good side.

403
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Speaker 6: I would like it myself a little bit of a

404
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Speaker 6: jump there, and I'm not really big on Buffalo, even

405
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Speaker 6: though coming off a loss, I think going forward you

406
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Speaker 6: would probably look at it as a bit of a

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Speaker 6: dead cat bounce, which is the fact that you might

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Speaker 6: see a jump this week, and then you'll probably see

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Speaker 6: the Jets kind of go back to what they were.

410
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Speaker 6: Rogers doesn't look right to me. Maybe they had DeVante

411
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Speaker 6: and things look different, but he looks very old in

412
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Speaker 6: the pocket. Nothing's really going downfield very much. I don't

413
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Speaker 6: see a positive there, and he just fired a defensive

414
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Speaker 6: head coach. I don't know how that's gonna help the

415
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Speaker 6: offensive side of the ball. I will say this fifth

416
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Speaker 6: easiest schedule the rest of the way kind of nice.

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Speaker 6: But you look directly at their schedule, and I've always

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Speaker 6: thought that with teams it's a bit messy.

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Speaker 2: It's not all at one o'clock.

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Speaker 6: I think the Texans last year played like sixteen of

421
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Speaker 6: seventeen games in that one pm window. It's nice to

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Speaker 6: have that consistency. The Jets are Monday night, Sunday night,

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Speaker 6: at New England, Thursday night. You get the point, and

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Speaker 6: it's been like that the whole way of the season

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Speaker 6: because of their popularity. I just don't think it helps them.

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Speaker 6: So that's my assessment.

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Speaker 5: Win total eight and a half. Look, Brandon, look at

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Speaker 5: all those marquee games. To get Aaron Rodgers back in

429
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Speaker 5: the MVP discussion, he'll overcome the coach being fired.

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Speaker 3: Does this fix forget the MVP thing.

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Speaker 5: You're you're high on the Jets though, all toogether, and

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Speaker 5: we cautioned you that the coaching could get in the way.

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Speaker 5: Now Hacket's still there, sala is gone. Does this fix anything?

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Speaker 5: And does it fix your soul? And how you feel

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Speaker 5: about the Jets going forward?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you said the magic word, Hackett. I could not

437
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Speaker 1: have refreshed my Twitter timeline more this morning with ah

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Speaker 1: the Robert sala news and I was like, Nathaniel Hackett,

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Speaker 1: Nathaniel Hackett, is he fired?

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Speaker 4: Is he fired? Please?

441
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 2: God?

442
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,320
Speaker 1: Is he not the interim coach? Please tell me he's

443
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 1: not the interim coach. We didn't get the interim coach there,

444
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 1: but he apparently is still around. Call him plays. I

445
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: guess Cazaron Rodgers is doing everything over there for this team, so.

446
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 4: Of course, why would get rid of his buddy. Dame

447
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:21,120
Speaker 4: Hacket's the problem.

448
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,679
Speaker 1: Robert Solo is not a great coach anyways, as far

449
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 1: as the head coach responsibility is great. With the defense,

450
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,920
Speaker 1: Jeff Oulbrich will be fine. With the defense, They'll still

451
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 1: be really good. I had the words dead cat bounce

452
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 1: here in my notes as well. Definitely unlucky for Buffalo.

453
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 1: They're coming off two losses and now you get this

454
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,640
Speaker 1: kind of tough spot in New York Monday night, like that,

455
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 1: that's not a great bounce.

456
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,920
Speaker 4: For the Buffalo here. I think actually two things.

457
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 1: Number one, I like that we're all wearing black today,

458
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: like we came for the funeral, So I think this

459
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 1: is the funeral for Robert Sala. I'm not sure it's

460
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: not still the funeral for the Jets. Like, I just

461
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 1: feel like I was wrong on this team. The Rodgers

462
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: MVP was as much a narrative plus team play as anything.

463
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 1: He was never gonna have these like crazy stats. It

464
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 1: was always going to be Rogers wins in New York.

465
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:14,560
Speaker 1: That's the angle. At two and three, I want to

466
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 1: tweet out the Undertaker gift right of like we're back,

467
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 1: We're back in play. I think that our ticket that

468
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: I was ready to rip up is back. But I'm

469
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 1: not ready to go buy more Aaron Rodgers stock at

470
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:30,000
Speaker 1: this point. I do think he has played fine. I

471
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: don't think he's played great. I don't think he's been

472
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,760
Speaker 1: an MVP. I don't think Aaron Rodgers has been the

473
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,120
Speaker 1: problem the offense. The scheme has not helped to head

474
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:41,360
Speaker 1: coaching has not helped. The lack of weapons and creativity

475
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 1: there has not help. That's not an excuse for Rogers.

476
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 1: He needs to be better too, that's what they're paying

477
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 1: him to do. That's on the quarterback. I think he's

478
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:53,639
Speaker 1: still there. The limitations he has, but the throws. He

479
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,720
Speaker 1: can make any real offense with some real weapons and

480
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 1: some better scheming. Like again we talked with Sunday Minnesota.

481
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 1: If you switch the quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers WI be five

482
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 1: to zero Minnesota also, and he'd be hitting these wide

483
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 1: open receivers getting schemed up. He's not getting those. He's

484
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 1: throwing these three yard quick checkdowns sort of passes instead.

485
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 1: That just doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

486
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 1: So last thing here to me. We mentioned this briefly

487
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:25,440
Speaker 1: on Sunday, Robert Sala Jets. They're playing the Bills. If

488
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 1: the Jets win that game, New York is tied for

489
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 1: the division lead. Even after the start, Miami is two

490
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 1: and three. Miami has had a disaster start. Miami is

491
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 1: terrible in every metric. But they have a bye week. Now,

492
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 1: they have two pretty easy games against the Colts and

493
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 1: the Cardinals, and then Tua comes back. This might secretly

494
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: be Miami News like this might be a Miami undertaker

495
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 1: gift as well. I wrote them, and the polls check too.

496
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: I don't think that they are dead and buried as

497
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: much as we make them.

498
00:22:56,040 --> 00:23:00,159
Speaker 5: Right now, Miami Dolphins plus six hundred to come out

499
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 5: of the AFC East. Interesting, interesting undertaker gifts across the board.

500
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 3: But it might be the Dolphins. Okay, we do this

501
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 3: basically every week.

502
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:12,520
Speaker 5: We do this now on roundtable, which is if you're

503
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 5: new to the program, it's our group therapy session. And Evan,

504
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,440
Speaker 5: I'm glad you brought up the against the spread numbers

505
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 5: with teams after the coach gets fired. I totally forgot

506
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,199
Speaker 5: you kept that data because I didn't think it was

507
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 5: going to happen this soon in the NFL or week six,

508
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 5: it's still it's not snowing out yet and it's not

509
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 5: that cold, and yet we're talking about a coach getting

510
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 5: fired already.

511
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 6: I mean, I'm fair those owners hate losing in London.

512
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,640
Speaker 6: It seems I think it's like the third time that's

513
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 6: happened that those long flights back. Yeah, not great.

514
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 5: So this next segment we do this every week, which

515
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 5: low under do we like best? Houston New England at

516
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 5: thirty seven and a half, Pittsburgh Vegas thirty six and

517
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 5: a half, and Brandon gave this out on the Recap

518
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 5: Pod on Sunday Night, Myday Morning. Chargers Broncos is already

519
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 5: town two more points to thirty five and a half.

520
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 3: Evan, any of those that you like right now.

521
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 6: I'll say I kind of like all of them, except

522
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 6: for Pittsburgh Vegas. I somehow just believe that thirty six

523
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,239
Speaker 6: and a half will get eclipsed because one side of

524
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 6: the field, well, they both turn it over a lot,

525
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 6: no matter who's a quarterback for the Raiders, I'm not

526
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,959
Speaker 6: trusting of. And the last two or three weeks Fields

527
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 6: has had at least one oh my god play, which

528
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 6: you assume will happen against that Vegas team, So I'm

529
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 6: a little scared of that one. I would say either

530
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,159
Speaker 6: of those other totals would be good for me. Maybe

531
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 6: I like Chargers Denver better, but no Nico. The way

532
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,880
Speaker 6: New England plays, the kind of rut I would say

533
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 6: Stroud is in thirty seven and a half seems good to me,

534
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 6: and Denver unders at home, plus the buye with Harbaugh

535
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 6: and the running scheme he's going with they're just you know,

536
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 6: lack of possessions, lack of offense. Both those under's fault, right, Brandon,

537
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 6: Is there.

538
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:05,920
Speaker 5: A cutoff point on playing the Under and Chargers Broncos.

539
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 4: I mean there isn't.

540
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 1: There isn't Like, hopefully you played the hot Read and

541
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 1: got the thirty seven. That's the last key number going down.

542
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 1: So that's part of why we grab the hot Read.

543
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 1: But as we've said, when we do these ugly unders

544
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: on the Best Bets episode, once you go this low,

545
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: you can't go low enough, like the numbers can't go

546
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:23,879
Speaker 1: down low enough for the books to set it. We

547
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 1: had our mind shaft hit last week. We talked about

548
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 1: that with the Chargers Broncos under. Obviously, if we think

549
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:31,119
Speaker 1: it can go thirty and under, then we still like

550
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: it at thirty five and a below. So I don't

551
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:35,879
Speaker 1: know you need to rush and play anymore. Maybe you

552
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: wait and we get a little bit of a buyback.

553
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:38,960
Speaker 1: On the other side, you might get it back to

554
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 1: thirty six, thirty six and a half still and thirty

555
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 1: seven is gone. Texans Under we talked about that with

556
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 1: the Patriots. I think if you like that under, playing

557
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:50,159
Speaker 1: the Patriots down a touchdown there. It's touchdown's worth a

558
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: lot if it goes under thirty seven. Pittsburgh Vegas is

559
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 1: a classic Brandon Bett. Right, We've been taking the Tomlin

560
00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 1: Road unders all season. It's indoors, indoor numbers. When they're

561
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 1: this low, you've got to be careful with. And it's

562
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 1: thirty six and a half. You missed the key number there.

563
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,920
Speaker 1: I think that's a wait for me. Like, I don't

564
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,439
Speaker 1: love a lot of scoring there, but I think unless

565
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 1: we get to thirty seven, I can't be playing that

566
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 1: one just yet. You know, give me like a forty,

567
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 1: I'd be all over it. But yeah, you got to

568
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: watch the numbers on these two.

569
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's what worries me about the Patriots spot. I

570
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,479
Speaker 5: know the game is at home for them, but when

571
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:28,880
Speaker 5: they played the Jets Thursday night, that number ended up going.

572
00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 3: Did that game go over? Maybe it didn't go over

573
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 3: now that I think about it. Jets Patriots, it goes

574
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,120
Speaker 3: under Jets.

575
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 5: Patriots did go under Jets, Patriots at Jets, but everybody.

576
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 4: Forgot to score that game.

577
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:43,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think it's carding.

578
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 5: That's that's when Aaron, Rodgers and robertsall looked like a

579
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 5: great match, and Rogers MVP was a thing.

580
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:50,400
Speaker 4: We had a good night.

581
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:57,360
Speaker 3: Twenty four to three my fault, yeah, good, twenty seven points. Yeah,

582
00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 3: the Jets had a good night. Offensively, Patriots did not.

583
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 3: This one's fun. I like this topic.

584
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 5: Picked the same city MLB NFL combo. You like the

585
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:11,199
Speaker 5: best MLB postseason rolling on that National league side. We

586
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 5: did payoff Pitch this morning. Check out Payoff Pitch Action Networks,

587
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:19,400
Speaker 5: MLB Betting podcast with myself, Sean Zarello, BJ Cunningham, Tana McGrath.

588
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: You guys like any of these?

589
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 5: So for example, Yankees Jets to win the whole thing,

590
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 5: both both teams to win their respective leagues one oh

591
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 5: six to one, Yankees, Giants, Mets, Jets, Chiefs, Royals. They

592
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 5: were pumping up the Royals last night on the Monday

593
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 5: night football broadcast.

594
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 3: Lions Tigers Evan.

595
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:44,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, so's to be clear, it's Super Bowl World Series,

596
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 6: it's winning it all. I would probably pass on Brown's

597
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 6: Guardians at fourteen hundred to one, even though I decided

598
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 6: to toss that in there, probably not going to be

599
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,360
Speaker 6: the one I do. I'm going to hit Lions Tigers.

600
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:58,919
Speaker 6: Oh my, I think it's an interesting one. I think

601
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 6: it's fun. It's one hundred and fifty five to one.

602
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 6: At the moment, I think the Lions will make the playoffs.

603
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,880
Speaker 6: I think they more likely would have a home game,

604
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 6: especially if brandon San Francisco thing goes the way it

605
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 6: does and the Tigers feel like they're on a run.

606
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 6: They're in the middle of the series against the Guardians,

607
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 6: and they've got a little magic to them.

608
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 2: Especially.

609
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,360
Speaker 6: I like a team coming back. They were like ten

610
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,639
Speaker 6: games back a few weeks to go in the regular

611
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,520
Speaker 6: season and made kind of a historic run here.

612
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 2: So I will ride the train. I'll go Detroit shortest.

613
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:30,719
Speaker 5: One here Brandon is the Eagles and the Phillies at

614
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 5: eighty five to one. Well, I guess Chiefs Royals eighty

615
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 5: three to one. You don't like anything here. I have

616
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 5: never heard Brandon Anderson.

617
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 3: Talk about baseball. I'm just fascinated by this.

618
00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 1: I literally wrote in my notes, blah blah, baseball bats

619
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 1: who cares that?

620
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 4: There?

621
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: This are my actual notes. Happy birthday to my friend Kyle.

622
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:49,640
Speaker 1: By the way, He's the biggest baseball fan friend that

623
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: I have. There's no world where I'm betting at Philadelphia double.

624
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: That's just a ticket on the world to end. So

625
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 1: I can't give that ticket out because that's not going

626
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 1: to happen. I think of the options here, I think

627
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 1: Lions Tigers probably makes the most sense. I basically take

628
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 1: a baseball bet on whoever is the longest odds. I

629
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 1: think that the three and five game series are ridiculous

630
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 1: and we need like fifteen game series, get real winners.

631
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 1: That's my baseball thoughts. Here's my actual pick. I'm going

632
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 1: off the board. I have an actual pick here kind

633
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: of Vikings links seventy to one. Give me the Vikings

634
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: Links Combo Minnesota Championship, Brandon, I'm doing it to your

635
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 1: Connecticut son Game five tonight. We love a ticket that

636
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 1: can be dead before the folks listen tomorrow. Vikings Links

637
00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 1: seventy to one. That's the championship ticket you want.

638
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 2: What about Yankees Jets Liberty, let's do that, New York.

639
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 5: I did not expect to get to WNBA with you too,

640
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 5: never mind baseball from Brandon Anderson.

641
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 3: Okay, that was fun. I'm ready to move on.

642
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 5: Speaking of those Vikings, they are favored to win the

643
00:29:56,960 --> 00:30:00,080
Speaker 5: number one seed in the NFC at plus two one

644
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:02,200
Speaker 5: hundred after them.

645
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 3: You've got the Lions. Same division.

646
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 5: We discussed the over five hundred component in the NFC

647
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 5: North Eagles Commanders at eight to one, Falcons Cowboys. There

648
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 5: are the Diners at sixteen to one, Packers sixteen to one.

649
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 5: What's the bet to play right now, Evan on who

650
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 5: wins the one seaton in the end of the day.

651
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 2: This is a tough one.

652
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 6: I lol did San Francisco just because I kind of

653
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 6: knew direction Brandon was headed and I was kind of

654
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 6: interested in fading them as well. But sixteen eighteen to

655
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 6: one area is pretty crazy for that San Francisco team.

656
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 2: I don't you know.

657
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 6: I wouldn't blame you for sprinkling on that. I think

658
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 6: Detroit is probably the right answer. Just sitting at two

659
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 6: at plus four point fifty, they can get them at

660
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 6: five to one at some spots. They still have the

661
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:48,959
Speaker 6: nice indoor schedule. I think they're going to be Dallas

662
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 6: this week and that's a road game with their favorite

663
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 6: and I think you'll kind of move on with that journey.

664
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 6: So I would probably pick Detroit. I will say I

665
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 6: wish kind of I wish Philly was a little shorter

666
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 6: there eight longer. They're eight to one right now, They've

667
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 6: got the easiest remaining schedule in the NFC.

668
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 2: They're coming off the buy.

669
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 6: I think you get maybe on the right track here,

670
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,280
Speaker 6: and they still you know, they've been down their two

671
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 6: best targets. You just haven't seen like the real Philly team.

672
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 6: So assuming health kind of goes one way, I think

673
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 6: Philly was an interesting bet.

674
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 2: But that's probably the way I look at the board.

675
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 3: Brandon.

676
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 5: You you mentioned this before, how we've only had one

677
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 5: divisional game in the NFC North and the Vikings are

678
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 5: one to oh against the Packers, Falcons two and oh

679
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 5: in their division. The Cardinals are two and oh in

680
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 5: their division. They're one hundred and one to be the

681
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 5: NFC number one seed.

682
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 3: Where's your mind gome here?

683
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think if you just want to

684
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 1: play the right number, this is not a homer pick.

685
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: You guys know how I fade the Vikings typically, I

686
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:47,719
Speaker 1: think two hundred plus two hundred for Minnesota is probably

687
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: slight value here. To be honest, FTN has Minnesota forty

688
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 1: one percent to be the one seed, so that would

689
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: imply thirty three percent, So I think that there's a

690
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: little bit of value there. I don't need it, but

691
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 1: there are five and oh and there's only one other

692
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: team in the NFC with even one loss, and that's Washington,

693
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 1: who has a rookie quarterback and a brutal second half schedule.

694
00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: So effectively, you, assuming it's not Washington, your bet here

695
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: is a direct bet against the Vikings. Two games out.

696
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,719
Speaker 1: You're giving them a two game head start with you know,

697
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 1: three months to go. So I want a team that's

698
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 1: gonna play the Vikings. I want a team that can

699
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 1: beat the Vikings and have the head to head. Now

700
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 1: the Lions could do that, but they'd have to sweep

701
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 1: the Vikings. I'm going back to a team that I've

702
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 1: liked all season, even though I don't love the spot.

703
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 1: Thursday Night, Seattle thirty to one. I picked that before

704
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: the season. I like Seattle.

705
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 4: I know they have not looked the last couple of weeks.

706
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 1: They've had injuries on defense, they forgot how to tackle,

707
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,200
Speaker 1: but they're playing with all the second string guys there.

708
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna love them Thursday night. I will be

709
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,680
Speaker 1: very nervous Thursday Night. But if they can get through

710
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 1: at home in a win against the San Fran team,

711
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 1: keep giving games away. Seattle still is effectively they're tied

712
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 1: with all those teams for next best. They're eleventh in

713
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 1: odds on this sport. Seattle is a better team than

714
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 1: eleventh in the NFC. That's a ridiculous number to me.

715
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 1: And Week sixteen Seattle hosting Minnesota. If they can stay

716
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 1: the course, if Minnesota loses a few games by then

717
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: you win that game. That's a game and a half game.

718
00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: Like in soccer, we call that a six pointer right

719
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 1: where you take the game, they get the loss, and

720
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 1: you get the head to head tiebreak. I think Seattle

721
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: would have a shot to steal the ones seed. Minnesota

722
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 1: still goes green Bay at Detroit to end the season

723
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 1: after that game, So if you can start the downfall

724
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: at the end of the season, green Bay and Detroit

725
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 1: might finish it off and Seattle can kind of backdoor

726
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 1: through there with the tiebreak.

727
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 4: Thirty to one.

728
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 2: Yeattle in Minnesota game is so good.

729
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 6: That's a great, great call for that bet because it

730
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 6: just shouldn't be thirty to one with that game so

731
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 6: late in the season. Even if it's close, you get

732
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 6: a real advantage and want to look nothing else.

733
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 1: If it's close and you're on that ticket, Minnesota at Seattle.

734
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 1: Minnesota is probably a short favorite or even an underdog,

735
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 1: and you can probably get a little bit of a

736
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 1: hedge in there and get some of your money back,

737
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 1: if nothing else.

738
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 3: And just to tie in a bow, I brought up

739
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 3: the Cardinals.

740
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:14,799
Speaker 5: So the Cardinals after their bye week week eleven by,

741
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 5: they go at Seattle at Minnesota home Seattle. That's their

742
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 5: stretch there and those that's those two Seattle games are

743
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:25,320
Speaker 5: their next two division games.

744
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 3: At two and zero in the division. That's interesting.

745
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 5: One hundred to one and they're two and another two

746
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 5: and three, but they're two and oh in the division.

747
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 5: They go at Green Bay this week, Chargers, Dolphins, Bears.

748
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 3: The Jets are sliding. I don't know. I kind of

749
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 3: kind of let the Cardinals look at one hundred and one.

750
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 1: You know, I read about the Cardinals too. They're one

751
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 1: of my five teams on the Pulse check today. Here's

752
00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 1: my problem with the Cardinals. We talked about their defense,

753
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 1: and let's be fair, they just shut out the forty

754
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 1: nine ers in the entire second half. They shut out

755
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: the Lions in the second half. I believe a few

756
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 1: weeks ago. Those are as good of offenses as we

757
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:01,799
Speaker 1: know in the NFL credit where it's due upcoming. They

758
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,839
Speaker 1: play like Brandon, look at the schedule again, but don't

759
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 1: tell me the teams. Read me the quarterbacks that the

760
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 1: Seahawks play the next like five or six quarterbacks the

761
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 1: Seahawks of the Cardinal Sorry.

762
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:12,280
Speaker 4: The Cardinals.

763
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 1: Who do the Cardinals play at quarterback the next like

764
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 1: six matchups?

765
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 5: Okay, Jordan Love, Justin Herbert, we don't know about Tua.

766
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 5: Could be two a week eight, Caleb Williams, Aaron Rodgers.

767
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:25,800
Speaker 3: Then they hit the buye.

768
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 4: Yeah.

769
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 1: So to me, that's the problem is I think the

770
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 1: Cardinals offense is the right bet for one hundred to

771
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: one that they could do it. The defense is still

772
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,280
Speaker 1: the defense that's not quite good enough. And you're playing

773
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 1: Love and Rogers and these like good quarterbacks, even Caleb

774
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,239
Speaker 1: Williams by that point of the season against this defense. Look,

775
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 1: we saw Caleb Williams against Carolina and against the Rams.

776
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 1: I don't think the defense is gonna be good enough

777
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: to me. Arizona is a team that has caught my eye.

778
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 1: I like them before the season. I want to play them.

779
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 1: Like Evan said, they're a week to week play for me,

780
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 1: like they're they're the feisty underdog. I would even say

781
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,759
Speaker 1: I like the Packers. They play the Packer this week.

782
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 1: That Colonels offense can win that game in Lambeau doesn't matter.

783
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 1: They're good enough to win the game. I think you

784
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 1: play Arizona week to week, you take the long money

785
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 1: line like you maybe could have against the Niners this week.

786
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 1: I don't think they can do it every week and

787
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 1: get there to the one seed.

788
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 4: Especially. I don't even think that they're.

789
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 1: Particularly alive for the playoffs, so I think one seeds

790
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 1: a little too far. It is a feisty, fun team,

791
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 1: but I think you got to pick your matchups and

792
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: be aware that at some point the defense is still

793
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 1: going to be the defense.

794
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 3: All right, I'll just burn it up then, very good.

795
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,240
Speaker 3: I think that's all the time we have today.

796
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 5: Evan Abrams, our director of Research and Media at Action Network,

797
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 5: keep a lookout for his written work Action Network app

798
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:44,480
Speaker 5: actionnetwork dot com. Brandon Anderson also has his latest article

799
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 5: up as well at actionnetworkactionnetwork dot com that concludes the

800
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 5: week six NFL round Table. I'm Brandan glas Sheen. We

801
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 5: will join you again, Brandon, and I will join you

802
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,399
Speaker 5: Friday morning. First Thing NFL Best Bets for Week six

803
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,960
Speaker 5: Best Bets episode coming your way Friday morning. Next on

804
00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast, be sure to check out Chris

805
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,400
Speaker 5: Raybond and Stucky for their NFL Week six betting preview,

806
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 5: including the Sunday six pack that drops this Thursday morning.

807
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast. We'll talk

808
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 3: to you next time.

809
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

810
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

811
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:43,280
Speaker 5: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler