1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,159 Speaker 2: Bob Michael at JP Morgan, We're going to try to 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 2: get him in here. 4 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 3: You have an outlook out there, and I see an 5 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 3: outlook of price up, yield down. 6 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:17,600 Speaker 2: Is that the outlook at JP Morgan. 7 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:20,919 Speaker 1: Yes, it is. We're off to a fantastic start for 8 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: the third quarter, probably not a repeat of the second 9 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: quarter with all the volatility, but some expectation of the 10 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: Fed bringing rates down by the end of the year. 11 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 3: Is in the bond world is there fear of missing out? 12 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 3: Is there fomo among bon buyers? 13 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: We're starting to feel that now there are more and 14 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: more conversations with clients who are in cash looking for 15 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: an opportunity to get into the bond market and trying 16 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: to figure out where in the bond market to go. 17 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: There's still a ton of ton of money in market, 18 00:00:55,440 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 1: money market funds and in cash accounts, depositives, checking accounts, 19 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: savings accounts. The last time we looked at was over 20 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: twenty one trillion dollars, which was a new high. 21 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: Bob. 22 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 4: We saw earlier in the Europe a move of capital 23 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,759 Speaker 4: out of the US into other markets, notably the European 24 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 4: equity markets. And they're outperforming the US equity markets. Have 25 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:20,040 Speaker 4: we seen that in a fixed income world. 26 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 1: As well, We actually haven't. There's been a lot of 27 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 1: discussion about it, a lot of conversation. There was a 28 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: bit of a pause in the end of April start 29 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: of May where foreign investors who would typically put money 30 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: to work in the US bond market just stopped. And 31 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: then it started up again, and we've seen no selling 32 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 1: of US fixed income assets and reallocation overseas. What we 33 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: have seen is rethinking whether they want the dollar exposure 34 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: to go along with that. Most now are taking some 35 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: dollar exposure, but hedging some back to their base currency. 36 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 4: Bloomberg Dollar Index you bring it up, the Bloomberg dollar 37 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 4: inexus down almost ten percent this year. We don't see 38 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 4: that very often, do we. 39 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 2: What do you make of it? 40 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 1: For us? It's a reflection of an overcrowded Overbaugh trade, Okay, 41 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: where coming into this year everyone wondered, how is the 42 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: dollar up there so high? What's keeping it up there? 43 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: And it kept going and then there was a catalyst 44 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: and reason to diversify out of dollars. We think actually 45 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:33,399 Speaker 1: there's another five percent move in the Dollar index lower. 46 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: I modeled it today. 47 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 3: I did not use Fibonacci's which I really don't believe in, 48 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 3: and I came with a further decline of bbdxy of 49 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 3: six point three percent total fourteen to fifteen percent down, 50 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 3: and that takes it back to that range that we're at. 51 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,920 Speaker 3: You're in meetings with lots of foreigners using JP Morgan 52 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 3: for wisdom on American full faith and credit? Do you 53 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 3: see any tendency that they want to walk away at 54 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 3: the margin of a belief to own and at the 55 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 3: margin by acquire our bills, notes and bonds? 56 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: None whatsoever. There is no concern about the full faith 57 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: and credit of the US Treasury. There was a bit 58 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: of a pause on the amount of supply. Would it 59 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: be too much? But there was a lot of conversation 60 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: about looking for an alternate. Do we have to have 61 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: everything in dollar assets? Isn't there something else that could 62 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 1: act as a calm in the storm to treasuries and dollars. 63 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: I think that's why you've seen gold, and we should 64 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: see continued support of gold. We should also pay attention 65 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 1: to what's going on in CenTra Portugal this week, where 66 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: the ECB has some pressure. 67 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 2: Not there exactly, I mean do. 68 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: You know what I wish I was there. I wouldn't 69 00:03:56,200 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: be surprised if Breese is there, But it's an opportunity 70 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: unity for them to try to establish more of a 71 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: leadership role here. 72 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: When you were studying Greek and Latin at Penn, I'm 73 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,839 Speaker 3: sure you looked at the X axis, probably in all 74 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 3: three languages. But the answer is, Okay, they want to 75 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:18,919 Speaker 3: buy us, but they adjusted their maturity perspective because of 76 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 3: all the fun and games we're going through. 77 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: By and large, the investors we deal with where we've 78 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 1: seen a lot of clothes from wealth management channels and 79 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: total return investors has always been the intermediate part of 80 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: the curve. The long end of the curve is really 81 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: owned by pension funds and insurance companies, and they're far 82 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 1: more strategic and where and how they invest, and they 83 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 1: have certain trigger levels depending on their estimate of liabilities. 84 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: I would say they've been pretty steady investors. In the 85 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: current environment, it feels like there's no sponsorship for the 86 00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: long end of the curve. Usually get that when you 87 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: have the FED bringing down rates. Let's not forget when 88 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: we get to the point in the cycle, hopefully years 89 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: from now, when the FED is hiking rates, then curve 90 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: flatteners will be in vogue again, and then there will 91 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: be buying at the long end. 92 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: Paul, can I help this morning? Please? Price up, yield down, 93 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 2: pretium octum, preventu's diminutum. Oh my goodness, Latin. Okay, that's 94 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 2: what Michael. He goes out on the floor when the 95 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 2: world's blown up. 96 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 4: JP Morgan, I'm a big fan of Vatican two, which 97 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 4: get away with Len's that Google translator. 98 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 2: I'm sure exactly, Bob. 99 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 4: How much credit risk do we take here? I think 100 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 4: I'm not hearing anybody talk about recession, so shouldn't I 101 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 4: be taking some credit risk here? 102 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: Absolutely, you get concerned about credit risk when you think 103 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 1: you're headed into recession. It makes sense. Recession by definition 104 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 1: is lower corporate at profitability. The most levered companies have 105 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: to go some sort of restructuring. Defaults go up, you 106 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: get widespread de risking because everyone's concerned where the defaults 107 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: could occur. We've been trained every other time there's a 108 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: backup in credit spreads, you buy it if there's no recession. 109 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 1: And we saw that earlier when credit spreads got to 110 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: about four point fifty on high yield, and then suddenly 111 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: there was a break in tariffs and probabilities of recession 112 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: went down, and suddenly here we are through three hundred 113 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:34,119 Speaker 1: basis points on high yield. 114 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 4: All right, you're CIO and head of Global Fixed Income, 115 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 4: Currency and Commodities Group, to t ask you about commodities, 116 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 4: gold hiring. 117 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 2: What are we doing with gold here? 118 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 4: Why are we all not owning gold? 119 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 1: Well, actually, we think you should. We think of all 120 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: the options for an alternate safe haven, a counterbalance to risk. 121 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: Treasuries are out there, our high quality bonds are out there, 122 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:06,559 Speaker 1: Investors are adding those. Gold is another one of those 123 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: generally accepted vehicles we expect to see more buying. 124 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 4: I mean, it's just amazing. What's going on? Is that 125 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 4: just Chinese banks and Chinese consumers buying it? Is there 126 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 4: something else going on with gold? 127 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: No, it's developed market. Central banks have been adding to 128 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: their gold reserves, Its wealth management platforms have been talking 129 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: to clients about holding some gold. It's not only a 130 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 1: safe haven, it's also a reasonably good hedge against inflation. 131 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: And just in case we get into next year and 132 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: suddenly all the liquidity in the system gets ignited and 133 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: inflation rears it's ugly head again and stays, then gold 134 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: will be a pretty good hedge. 135 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 3: Bob, I'm doing it. I mean, this is the way 136 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 3: we roll with the Michael and JP marketing. Good morning 137 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 3: in your commute across the nation. Good morning ninety two 138 00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 3: nine FM in Boston. 139 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 2: We did a lot of. 140 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 3: Linear regression of the Bloomberg Corporate Total Return Index get 141 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 3: a little more yield, and I went back thirty years 142 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 3: and it's stunning, the recovery off the gloom of a 143 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 3: couple of years ago in price. It's appening. You guys, Neil, 144 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 3: do you envision in your head that with price and 145 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 3: you know, making the coupon, we will get back on 146 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 3: trend of a wonderful linear trend from about two thousand 147 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 3: and three straight up. That will get price up, back 148 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 3: on trend that we knew before the tobacco. 149 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: It feels like it. It feels like we're first of all, 150 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 1: in an interest rate environment that will have yield to it. 151 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 1: We're not going back to zero percent interest rates. I 152 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: don't know if the Fed brings rates down to three percent, 153 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: maybe three and a half, but somewhere in the threes 154 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: puts treasur right close to four and puts credit close 155 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 1: to five percent, which is kind of where we are. 156 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: That's a pretty good level to be a holder of 157 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: high quality corporate. 158 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 3: There's job in Manhattan internship with bout Michael and JP work. 159 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 2: It's like, you know you're working six days a week. 160 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 2: Doesn't you just throw a fobosi at him? Because none 161 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 2: of these kids remember like a normal yield market. 162 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 1: So we now call them analysts. We don't call them interns. 163 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 1: Their summer analysts and prove that. And then they come. 164 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: They come prepared far more than I ever remember. They 165 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 1: they come with a level of knowledge of markets and 166 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: how the financial system works that probably took me five 167 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: years to get there. 168 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 3: The great L Hunt used to lecture at your Pennsylvania 169 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 3: and Al told me once, he said, Tom, you're in 170 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 3: the classroom in every single person there, it's smarter. 171 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 2: Than all was thirty or thirty five. 172 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know what, there's a lot of truth 173 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 1: to that. They know it. 174 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:08,839 Speaker 2: Exactly. Not in terns. They're called analysts now here, summer analysts. Noted. 175 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 4: Thanks, Okay, what is our fetter reserve thinking these days? 176 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: Bob? 177 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:14,839 Speaker 4: I mean they could probably just give themselves a nice 178 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 4: pat on the back and say we've engineered a nice 179 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 4: soft landing. We've weathered some of the uncertainty from tariff's. 180 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 4: Inflation seems okay, the economy okay, it's slowing, but it's 181 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 4: still there. They do anything. 182 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: They're thinking, how fast can I get out of here 183 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,079 Speaker 1: and go to the beach? I'll I promise I'll come 184 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 1: back after Labor Day. That gives me a couple of 185 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 1: weeks to look at the data, see how the US 186 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: economy survived. 187 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 2: This summer. 188 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: We'll have more clarity on the one big beautiful bill, 189 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 1: We'll have clarity on tariffs. Hopefully we'll start to gauge 190 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: the impact to the labor market and two prices. Then 191 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: we can make a decision whether we can and should 192 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 1: bring rates down in September or whether we stay in 193 00:10:58,520 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: track for December. 194 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 2: Let's go back to your outlook. What is the anside? 195 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 3: I think of Jamie's great annual letter, which I really 196 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 3: advocate folks as a long read, and there's four or 197 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 3: five sixteens. 198 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 2: What's a theme secondary within your mid year outlook? It 199 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 2: deserves note well. 200 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 1: I think within that is a view that we're heading 201 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: into an environment that's more normal that existed pre great 202 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 1: financial crisis when there is a demand for capital because 203 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 1: there's a productive use for capital, and there will be 204 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: a cost for that capital and it won't be zero. 205 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:41,040 Speaker 1: Does that mean the FED funds rate belongs about where 206 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 1: that first dot was that the FED put out in 207 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: twenty twelve, four and a quarter percent Maybe could be 208 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:52,559 Speaker 1: Get ready for that. Get ready for markets where you 209 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: could see a surge in inflation that Fed may have 210 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,079 Speaker 1: to go to six percent, and they may have to, 211 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: you know, apply a little stim us and go down 212 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 1: to three percent. I think that's the market we're headed for, 213 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 1: and I think that's an exciting market. 214 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 4: Do we ever have to worry about deficits and national debt? 215 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 4: I'm looking at the negotiations going on down to Washington 216 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 4: right now. We're all seeing, you know, talking about two 217 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 4: three four trillion dollars of depthitts coming out of this 218 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 4: budget plan. We ver have to worry about that? I mean, 219 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:23,439 Speaker 4: you're the front lines of the fixed andcome markets. Set, 220 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:24,559 Speaker 4: how do you think about that? 221 00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 2: We should? 222 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,480 Speaker 1: And I think we all have a sense of righteous 223 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 1: indignation because every month we go home and rebalance our 224 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: checkbook and pay bills, and it seems like our government 225 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:43,959 Speaker 1: doesn't have to. But the reality is we're watching deficits 226 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: go up globally. We're now seeing Europe starting to borrow 227 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 1: and spend and it seems to be the generally accepted 228 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: principle that government should be allowed to borrow and spend, 229 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 1: and you appoint central bankers which will help underwrite that. 230 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 1: Bob Minake is spending. 231 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 2: Generous time with you. Thank you so much. Mister Michael 232 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 2: is with JP Morgan. Get their outlook from the analyst 233 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 2: at JP Morgan.