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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, It's bowl season.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: College Football Bowl Betting Preview, Part three. I'm stucky in

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Speaker 3: joining me, as always is Colin Wilson. After you watch

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Speaker 3: one of the worst bowls in college football history, to

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Speaker 3: put numbers to it, with Syracuse and South Florida, it

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Speaker 3: was the largest shutout loss and no team had ever

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Speaker 3: lost by more in a shutout in a bowl game

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Speaker 3: with Uh. Look, we've had a lot of third string quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: We even had a tight end playing quarterback in a bowl.

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Speaker 3: What's going on, Colin?

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you would have told somebody that South

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Speaker 1: Florida was going to score forty five points but the

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Speaker 1: over was not going to hit, I mean, I feel

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Speaker 1: so bad for anybody to bet the over that was

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Speaker 1: uglier than sin And we haven't even got to Eastern

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Speaker 1: Michigan yet, so we still got more to go for

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Speaker 1: what it's worth.

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Speaker 3: In today's episode, we're gonna cover twelve bowls. We're gonna

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Speaker 3: go from Wednesday, December twenty seventh, there's four bowl games

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Speaker 3: to Friday, December twenty ninth, so we'll cover Wednesday four bowls,

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Speaker 3: Thursday four bowls, Friday four bowls. Let's jump right into

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Speaker 3: it with the Military Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Ay M gets understand that.

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Speaker 3: Bullshit.

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Speaker 1: I can't hear you.

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Speaker 3: Military Bowl presented by go Bowling dot Com between Virginia

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Speaker 3: Tech and TWU Lane. Virginia Tech six and six ten

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Speaker 3: and a half point favorite are over under forty four

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Speaker 3: and a half against Tulane. Before we get started go

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Speaker 3: bowling dot com is you have to go to the spsite.

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Speaker 3: It's the worst website I've ever been in my life.

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Speaker 3: It looks like it was made by a fourth grader.

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Speaker 3: It's probably a military contractor who like charges a billion dollars.

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Speaker 3: I don't even know what the point of the website is.

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Speaker 3: It is you got to just go to it, like

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Speaker 3: to find a bowling online.

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Speaker 1: Are you.

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Speaker 3: As our producer said, this is like using the Internet

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Speaker 3: to solve a problem that existed in like the nineteen sixties.

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Speaker 3: There's like a bowling drills embedded YouTube video this website.

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Speaker 3: Just go to it and you'll laugh. But the big

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Speaker 3: news here, the reason why six and six Virginia Tech

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Speaker 3: is an eleven and a half point favorite over Tulane.

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Speaker 3: Is Tulane has I remember one? Their coach, Willie Fritz,

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Speaker 3: took the head coaching job at Houston. He's taken almost

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Speaker 3: his entire staff, but apparently they will still coach in

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Speaker 3: the bowl game. Here's who's out. Starting quarterback Michael Pratt,

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Speaker 3: Starting wide receiver Chris Brazzel. He would a hell of

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Speaker 3: a freshman year. Starting safety DJ Douglas starting edge, Devin

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Speaker 3: Neal starting edge, Keith Cooper, starting tight end Alex Bowman,

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Speaker 3: starting offensive lineman Prince Pine, starting wide receiver Toakwon Jackson.

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Speaker 3: Their other starting receiver, keys Is Hurt, Starting defensive lineman

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Speaker 3: Darius Hodges, starting a cornerback Jerius Moonurow. Their backup quarter

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Speaker 3: Hi Horton is out apparently too, even though he's been

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Speaker 3: practicing defensive back Cantral Web safety Kilan Harrison. I mean

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Speaker 3: it is a mess. Apparently justin Nebieta is going to

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Speaker 3: start a quarterback. The thing is is that with all

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Speaker 3: with Pratt out and all these receivers out Tulane, you

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Speaker 3: think it's going to come out of here. Try to

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Speaker 3: run the ball. You can't and but they can't run

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Speaker 3: the ball, and that's how you have to attack Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 3: Virginia Tech had an outstanding pass defense and it looks

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Speaker 3: like they're most of their team is going to play.

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Speaker 3: So from a motivational player availability standpoint, and now matchup perspective,

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Speaker 3: everything favors Virginia Tech. I think Tulane might be on

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Speaker 3: Syracuse watch. I think it's you know, it's an expensive

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Speaker 3: number now, but I could not get behind back in Tulane.

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Speaker 3: What do you see here in the Military Bowl which

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Speaker 3: will be played in Annapolis, Maryland, So I guess keep

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Speaker 3: an eye on maybe some wins and weather. But December

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Speaker 3: twenty seventh, two pm Eastern on est what do you

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Speaker 3: see here?

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Speaker 1: Very expensive number, A very expensive number as to what

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Speaker 1: it was if this was played during the season, it

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Speaker 1: should have been three and a half. But with Michael

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Speaker 1: Pratt and the rest of this roster out, I mean

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Speaker 1: you talk about wide receiver Chris Burzell, Tieden, Alex Bauman,

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's they're.

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Speaker 3: Missing twelve starters out so.

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Speaker 2: Much, I mean, can't we take the whole podcast to

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Speaker 2: go through it?

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Speaker 1: So, you know, I don't even know if the number

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Speaker 1: is justified, because I think the number is justified for

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Speaker 1: Pratt being out, But what about all these other weapons? Now,

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Speaker 1: kai Ky Horton, you know, being in the portal but

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Speaker 1: might play in this game tells me you just haven't founded.

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Speaker 1: No one's given you a dollar amount to commit to

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Speaker 1: another school. And Justin Ibeda does have some experience here.

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Speaker 2: He's played.

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Speaker 3: He played some last year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, four years he's been in the system.

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Speaker 1: Thirty eight passing attempts, two big time throws, two turnover

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Speaker 1: worthy plays. Nothing really you can base anything on. But

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Speaker 1: with Keys and Jackson out, the top four targets are

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Speaker 1: gone in this game. I you're right, I don't know

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Speaker 1: how anyone can make a case that tu lane is

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Speaker 1: not on. We're not going to say corpse watch anymore.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna Syracuse watch when you flip to the other side.

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's fifty seven percent rush but overall, you know,

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Speaker 1: just poor numbers on the season from a success rate standpoint.

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Speaker 1: What I find interesting about Virginia Tech's rushing numbers is

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Speaker 1: baseel Tuton is four point seven yards per carry. He

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Speaker 1: averages three point six after contact, and that just shows

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Speaker 1: you how bad the offensive line has been creating holes

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Speaker 1: for him. I mean, it's only one yard that they've

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Speaker 1: made either eighty third stuff rate. The strength of the

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Speaker 1: offense really has been pass explosives Kyron Jones fifteen to

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Speaker 1: three TD to I int the A dot is really

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Speaker 1: the most interesting. He average about eight point eight on

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Speaker 1: the season, but if you look at the last two games,

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Speaker 1: ten point six and thirteen point eight average depth of

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Speaker 1: target against NC State and Virginia. So they have become

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Speaker 1: more explosive here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, their offense, by the way, drugs didn't start all year,

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Speaker 3: definitely got better once he took over as a full

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Speaker 3: time starter, and his legs and his mobility definitely opened

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Speaker 3: up the offense and then can mask some of those

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Speaker 3: issues along the offensive line.

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Speaker 1: At two lanes, defense was ninety eight and defending past explosives.

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Speaker 1: But you know, Virginia Tech is way more explosive than

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Speaker 1: standard downs, and that's because when they pass in standard

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Speaker 1: downs with drones they go wild here.

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Speaker 2: So I agree, I.

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Speaker 1: Don't see any reason that this isn't Syracuse watch here.

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Speaker 1: I'm you know, I've never been a fan of telling

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Speaker 1: people to lay a big number when it's seven points

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Speaker 1: off what I would make it during the season, but

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is the only way player, or maybe you

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Speaker 1: set up yourself for a parlay for the rest of

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Speaker 1: the day. You have a couple of different options here.

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Speaker 3: Yep, agree, spot Tech or nothing.

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Speaker 1: I do like the under on the total, like, but

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Speaker 1: it's the same thing as what we just saw with

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Speaker 1: Syracuse in South Florida. Stalk It's like, I like the under,

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Speaker 1: but can Virginia Tech eclipse a forty five?

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Speaker 2: That's the scary part of that total.

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Speaker 3: By the way, do you bowl?

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Speaker 2: Are you a bowler?

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Speaker 3: No?

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Speaker 2: My dad rolls a two thirty average. I can't. I

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Speaker 2: can't match him, so I don't play.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm I will occasionally not any good? All right,

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Speaker 3: let's move on to the Duke's Mayo Bowl.

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Speaker 2: If you're not using dukes in your potato salad, you're

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Speaker 2: missing out on one of the main ingredients.

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Speaker 1: The word is spreading. Dukes is creamier, more like homemade.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't try another brand just because it wouldn't respect

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Speaker 2: my potatoes. Out dukes. The Secret of Great Southern Cooks.

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Speaker 3: Mayo Bowl Wednesday, December twenty seventh, between North Carolina and

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Speaker 3: West Virginia. West Virginia is a six and a half

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Speaker 3: point favorite here over under fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 3: This game we played in Charlotte, North Carolina, so a

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Speaker 3: little bit of a home field for the Tar Heels.

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Speaker 3: This is that you get a Duke's mayo mayonnaise bath.

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Speaker 3: I've never had Dukes maynaise, but I've always been I'm

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Speaker 3: a big fan of just like real you make like

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Speaker 3: organic mayonnaise. But I grew up on Helmans, so I'm

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Speaker 3: always just a Helman's guy. But some people swear by Dukes.

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Speaker 3: So do you have a mayonnaise preference.

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Speaker 1: I hope Mitchell's got a sound drop my I love that.

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Speaker 1: Bring out the Helmans and bring out the best.

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Speaker 2: That was a really good commercial. I loved it. The

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Speaker 2: craft didn't even taste like mayo.

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Speaker 1: Right, Helmet, You're right, Helmans was the bomb.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Only real mayonnaise is light and delicate enough to do

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Speaker 4: it even which into a special treatment. And real mayonnaise

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Speaker 4: is the other name for Alman's for your family.

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Speaker 3: I also need real manonnaise. You can't do like fat free.

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Speaker 3: There's certain things you can't do like fat free. Can't

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Speaker 3: do fat free mayonnaise.

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Speaker 1: We have to start watching our way. We're getting old.

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Speaker 2: We have to watch everything, right, Yeah.

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Speaker 3: No, that's true. No, but there's certain things I will

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Speaker 3: not compromise. Mayonnaise and then like ranch you can't like

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Speaker 3: fat free ranch is garbage. Sorry, I'm sorry, all right,

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Speaker 3: let's move on.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: So the Duke's may have Well Western. The reason they're

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Speaker 3: six and a half point favored here over North Carolina

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Speaker 3: primarily it's because Drake May will not play, opted out

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Speaker 3: there start quarterback for the NFL Draft. Backup Connor Harrell

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Speaker 3: will start. They also have some injuries. They're starting tight

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Speaker 3: end John Coppenhaber, they're starting wide receiver Bryce and Nesbit,

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Speaker 3: they're starting cornerback Elijah Hussey, and they're starting safety Will Hardy.

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Speaker 3: They are all hurt and won't play in the bowl game.

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Speaker 3: Their other starter, Nate McCollum, he was hurting, didn't play

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Speaker 3: in the finale. And then they also have other opt outs,

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Speaker 3: starting linebackers Cedric dre NFL starting center, Corey Gaynor, NFL,

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Speaker 3: starting wide receiver Tess Walker NFL, starting defensive lineman Miles

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Speaker 3: Murphy NFL Murphy. Though apparently among the opt outs May, Gray, Gaynor, Walker,

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Speaker 3: and Murphy, only Murphy will play in the bowl game.

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Speaker 3: Among those five, West Virginia, they had some guys hit

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Speaker 3: the transfer portal, you know, defensive lineman Mike Lohart, Mike Lockhart,

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Speaker 3: safety Hershey McLaurin, but no one really really too important. However,

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Speaker 3: their star center Zach Frazier, who go one or two

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Speaker 3: in the draft as far as centers are concerned, he

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Speaker 3: will miss the Bowl following surgery. Is an important part

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Speaker 3: of that offensive line. But it looks like from a

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Speaker 3: motivational standpoint, player personnel, wes Virginia major edge here, which

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Speaker 3: is why you know they are favored in this line

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Speaker 3: is leaked out to six and a half. He also

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Speaker 3: could see some rain for this game, but we're pretty

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Speaker 3: far out from the weather forecast. But something to keep

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Speaker 3: in mind because this will be played outdoors. But you

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Speaker 3: look at West Virginia if they want to run the ball,

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Speaker 3: and they should have lots of success doing that against

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Speaker 3: North Carolina. What do you see here in the Duke's

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Speaker 3: Male Bowl.

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Speaker 1: The depth chart came out for you and c on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: No scholarship tight ends freshman Connor Harrel's in at quarterback

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Speaker 1: and then portal entry Jefferson Boaz is going to suit

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Speaker 1: up and be an emergency quarterback in this case. But

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Speaker 1: wide receiver Kobe Payceauer is not on the depth chart.

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Speaker 1: That further thins out a list of experienced targets. There's

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Speaker 1: almost nothing there. Linebacker Cedric Gray is off to the NFL.

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Speaker 1: That means every linebacker is a freshman. Harold was a

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Speaker 1: three star. He was ranked the tenth best duel threat

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 2: So we'll see.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you go back to the Owen McCown for UTSA, right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he came in and he was able to

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Speaker 1: show somewhat of what Frank Harris, the playbook that Frank

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Speaker 1: Harris ran. Don't know if you know Harold's going to

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Speaker 1: be able to do that here. Now, the bread and

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Speaker 1: butter of the West Virginia offense is pretty much intact

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Speaker 1: and a man. As I talk about this, I just

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Speaker 1: think about going back to media day down in Cowboys Stadium,

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Speaker 1: down at and T Stadium, and when they released they

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Speaker 1: said West Virginia was picked dead lass in the Big twelve.

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Speaker 2: Well here we are. They made it all the way

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Speaker 2: to the Duke's Mayo Bowl. Really good season for them.

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Speaker 1: The handicap is can North Carolina stop the ground and

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Speaker 1: pound of quarterback Garrett Green, running back CJ. Donaldson, running

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Speaker 1: back Jaean White. The answer is no. The Mountaineers heavy

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Speaker 1: outside zone heavy. They run some counter and inside, and

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Speaker 1: I think that's why this handicap is. You need to

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Speaker 1: still be betting on West Virginia because when you talk

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Speaker 1: about losing Zach Fraser, yeah, that is a really big loss.

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Speaker 1: Brandon Yeates is his backup. He played forty snaps at center.

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Speaker 1: He's got hundreds at both guard positions, so it's.

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Speaker 2: Going to be new for him.

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Speaker 1: But keep in mind what West Virginia does almost exclusively

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Speaker 1: outside zone. They do not go over the guards, they

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Speaker 1: do not go over the center. They run directly over,

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Speaker 1: usually the left tackle. So even with full strength Vie

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Speaker 1: and see they were average success rate against outside zone.

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Speaker 1: They are one hundred and twentieth in the nation in

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Speaker 1: defensive stuff rate. I don't even think of full strength

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Speaker 1: defense from North Carolina was going to be able to

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Speaker 1: stop what the Mountaineers want to do. I would prefer

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Speaker 1: the over because West Virginia's top twenty five and explosives,

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Speaker 1: but I think the better bet is West Virginia on

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Speaker 1: the side because Fraser is a huge loss and he's

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Speaker 1: going to be a big NFL draft pick. But they

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Speaker 1: don't run over center, so they might be able to

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Speaker 1: get away with the air.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think wester anything under a touchdown is the

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Speaker 3: side here. They I just don't think, I mean North Carolina.

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Speaker 3: Their offense is decimated obviously in a massive drop off

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Speaker 3: from Drake may down to Connor Howe. Also just just

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Speaker 3: signals that they don't really care about this Bowl game.

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Speaker 3: And Ken North Carolina stopped the run. As you said,

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Speaker 3: which is the bread and butter of West Virginia's offense?

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Speaker 3: And the answer even before you consider some of the

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Speaker 3: opt outs on the defensive side of the ball. You know,

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Speaker 3: Cedric Gray their best defender, the answer is a clear no.

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Speaker 3: So anything under a touchdown I think West Virginia is

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Speaker 3: the side.

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Speaker 1: Neil Brown goes from the hot seat to the Mayo seat.

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Speaker 3: Mayo Bath or Neil Brown. All right, let's move on

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Speaker 3: to prime time Wednesday night. Let's go to the Direct

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Speaker 3: TV Holiday Bowl between Louisville and usc Happy Holidays to

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Speaker 3: Louisville's a seven and a half point favored here under

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Speaker 3: fifty seven and a half, this game will be played

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Speaker 3: in sunny San Diego, California, maybe some rain I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I doubt it, glad whether I'd be perfect as usual

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Speaker 3: in San Diego. So nothing really to consider from that standpoint.

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Speaker 3: By the way, Direct TV sponsored this call. When I

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Speaker 3: first moved into my house a couple of years ago,

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Speaker 3: I tried to get Direct TV for all of my TVs.

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Speaker 3: It was the worst experience I've ever had in my life.

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Speaker 3: They which is why I don't have DirecTV, called them.

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Speaker 3: They came out and then they said, oh, you know,

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Speaker 3: I had too many TVs for something, so I had

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Speaker 3: to get like a special something, so we had to

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Speaker 3: send somebody else out. Then they missed the next appointment.

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Speaker 2: I called.

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Speaker 3: They said, sorry, rescheduled. They missed my next appointment. I

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Speaker 3: was like, fuck this, I'm done with you Direct TV.

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Speaker 1: So it's funny I have att direct TV.

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Speaker 2: I love it.

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Speaker 3: I couldn't get it, and I swore them off. I've

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Speaker 3: never had and I'm like the nicest person to like

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Speaker 3: customer service, and I was I couldn't do it anymore.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't wait.

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Speaker 3: They missed me two appointments.

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Speaker 2: Was a disaster.

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Speaker 3: Anyway, Louisville, the reason They're seven a half point favorite here.

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Speaker 3: Primarily it's because starting quarterback Caleb Williams will opted out.

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Speaker 3: You'll get Miller Moss at quarterback, also Marshaun Lloyd, they're

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Speaker 3: starting running back. Brendan Rice are starting wide receiver also

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Speaker 3: opted out. I'd also watched for safety Kaylen Bullock. Does

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Speaker 3: it really matter though, who opted out on the USC defense?

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Speaker 3: They had a couple defensive opt outs. Don't think it

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Speaker 3: really matters. Louisville had a couple defenders, you know, safety,

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Speaker 3: edge rusher opt out, no one too important safety camera

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Speaker 3: Kelly clear for the NFL draft, but he will still

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Speaker 3: play in the Bowl. But then it came out that

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Speaker 3: you are Jordan their star running back, but they still

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Speaker 3: have a good backup in Grendel. And then their their

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Speaker 3: number one receiver, Jamari Thrash, will miss the Bowl do

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Speaker 3: to declaring for the NFL Draft. It's a tough game

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Speaker 3: to handicap. But with I mean, USC still has some

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Speaker 3: talent on the offensive end, and with Thrash and Jordan

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Speaker 3: opting out over a touchdown feels a little rich for Louisville.

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Speaker 3: What do you see here?

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Speaker 1: Absolutely agree, and it took some convincing from me. Now,

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Speaker 1: starting on the defensive side, it's like Alex Crinch got fired.

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Speaker 1: They went across town, they got Danton Lynn to come

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Speaker 1: from UCLA, and then Lincoln Riley holds some sort of

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Speaker 1: press conference and says Danton Lynn is not a part

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Speaker 1: of the bowl season, he's not gonna have any effect

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Speaker 1: on this. But then there's video of him walking into us.

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Speaker 1: He's practice every single day. So I think what that

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Speaker 1: tells me is they're not going to change schemes. They're

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Speaker 1: not going to change secondary packages. But I think there's

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Speaker 1: going to be a huge increase here in what we

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Speaker 1: see from tackling a fit, which is always a problem

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Speaker 1: with USC. I think if D'Anton lenn is out there

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Speaker 1: coaching every day, maybe he's not changing schemes, but he's

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Speaker 1: definitely going to get them to tackle better because they've

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Speaker 1: been horrific. So starting off with you know, Louisville's offense,

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Speaker 1: replacing Jordan with Isaac Garndo, I mean, he really came

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Speaker 1: on strong in the second half of the season.

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Speaker 2: Eight he runs hard.

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Speaker 1: He runs hard, eight tds four point two yards after contact.

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Speaker 1: You know, thrash is a much replacing thrash in the

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Speaker 1: passing game is going to be a lot tougher because

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Speaker 1: no other receiver on this Louisville squad had more than

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Speaker 1: forty targets or had more than two yards per route run.

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Speaker 1: There's no juice, there's no explosiveness.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he would get He would get many of their

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Speaker 3: explosive He also was the primary look on like a

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Speaker 3: you know, third and seven. He would make so many

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Speaker 3: key catches on key downs for them. It's a massive loss.

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Speaker 1: And I brought this up on the last podcast. When

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Speaker 1: you take away the key components of red zone and

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Speaker 1: third down touches, the offense is going to have.

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Speaker 2: A learning curve. News about this Louisville offense.

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Speaker 1: Thrash, Jordan, Jack Plumber, no one else had more than

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Speaker 1: ten touches or targets on third down the entire season.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be a real learning experience for

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Speaker 1: the skill positions.

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Speaker 2: On the Louisville side.

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Speaker 1: Now USC on offense. This is where I started to

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Speaker 1: say I made an initial Louisville bet because.

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Speaker 2: I knew Caleb was going to opt.

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Speaker 1: I knew a lot of players were going to opt,

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Speaker 1: and the number would steam. Now that I've kind of

365
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Speaker 1: broken it down, we're getting closer, Miller Moss is going

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Speaker 1: to get the start. He's a USC lifer. The kid

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Speaker 1: would play there even if he'd never had any playing

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Speaker 1: time even stay. Austin Jones is a very experienced running back.

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Speaker 1: I mean we've bet on him before in previous seasons

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Speaker 1: when there's been injury. Taj Washington still in the slot,

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Speaker 1: zach Uri Branch still available in the slot. I mean,

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Speaker 1: these are two of the most explosive players on the

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Speaker 1: West Coast. Moss has been in the system since twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one. He has fifty nine career passing attempts with

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Speaker 1: three tds no I INT's.

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Speaker 2: He also has provided two rushing.

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Speaker 1: Touchdowns in garbage timing against San Jose State and Nevada

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Speaker 1: this year. Louisville has been excellent coverage and passing down

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Speaker 1: success right, but they're one hundred and thirty first in allowing.

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Speaker 2: Explosives and passing downs.

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Speaker 1: I'm not comfortable with that original Louisville money that I

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Speaker 1: threw down on open I'm coming over the top. I

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Speaker 1: want to wait till the podcast here. You can strip

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Speaker 1: away a lot of the great players for USC on offense,

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Speaker 1: but they, I mean, they've been nailing the portal as

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Speaker 1: much as LSU has the last two years. They're loaded

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Speaker 1: and with recruiting, I mean, at least they recruit a

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Speaker 1: high level, they transfer portal to a high level, and

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Speaker 1: a half dozen games Jeff Brown has taking one loss.

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Speaker 1: So there is one thing. Jeff Brown's really good in bowls.

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Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley's only won one bowl game. But I don't

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Speaker 1: care about who wins this straight up. There is enough

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Speaker 1: talent on USC here that I think seven and a half

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Speaker 1: is way too much for this Louisville offense without their

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Speaker 1: best position skill position players that have been the only

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Speaker 1: options on third down and in the red zone. So

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Speaker 1: I'm coming in on USC here right after this podcast.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, agreed, USC over a touchdown is to play there.

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Speaker 3: Fight on all right, Let's move to the tax at

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Speaker 3: Texas Bowl between Texas A and M and Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 3: If you're going to.

402
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Speaker 1: Play in tech, say you gotta have a fiddle in

403
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Speaker 1: the band.

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Speaker 3: This we played Wednesday, December twenty seventh, nine pm Eastern

405
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Speaker 3: text A and M two point favorite total sitting at

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Speaker 3: fifty three and a half.

407
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Speaker 1: I mean, if you read him, Texas A and M off,

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Speaker 1: we'll be here, We'll be here.

409
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Speaker 2: Until next Christmas.

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Speaker 3: So one, tex A and m have they have no

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Speaker 3: coaches left. I mean their defensive cornator got high Abou

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Speaker 3: Syracuse will stay on, but the rest of the staff

413
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 3: is in flocks. They quarterback here's the portal, Yeah, quarterback

414
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Speaker 3: Max Johnson. Expect third string quarterback Jalen Henderson to start again.

415
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,720
Speaker 3: The starting wide receiver Evans Stort, starting right tackle. Chase

416
00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:38,119
Speaker 3: pistontis starting edge for the old Diggs, starting safety Bryce Anderson,

417
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Speaker 3: starting defensive lineman Walter Nolan, starting quarterback Fevery Chappelle, starting

418
00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:45,719
Speaker 3: quarterback Dus Harmon's safety Jayden Jordan Gilbert. He didn't really

419
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Speaker 3: play that much. Let's see who else matters. Opt outs

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Speaker 3: Ania Smith starting receiver, starting linebacker edrind Cooper, starting defensive

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Speaker 3: tackle McKinley Jackson, starting right guard Laden Robinson. I mean

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Speaker 3: they're starting quarterback Josh the very time to the end

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Speaker 3: of the season with injury at this team is gudded, gutted.

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Speaker 1: Let me let me, let me step in and tell

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Speaker 1: you what's left, right, I mean, let me let me

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Speaker 1: compound that and say go ahead and finish his staff.

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Speaker 1: Then I'll tell you what's left, because it's not good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and then the staff and then Oklahoma State Ali

429
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Speaker 3: Gordon's gonna play. I thought he might not, and then

430
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Speaker 3: it's just like you pretty much just lost a couple

431
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Speaker 3: receivers and that's it. Oklahoma State and Gundhi has been

432
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Speaker 3: really good in balls. I think Oklahoma State will care here.

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Speaker 3: I have no idea where tex A and M is

434
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Speaker 3: at mentally and all the receivers are gone. You want

435
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 3: to attack this Oklahoma State defense with you're by throwing

436
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 3: the ball. The rundy is good and look text A

437
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 3: M's run defense is awesome and it's been good all year,

438
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,840
Speaker 3: but they're all missing. So I think Gordon will have

439
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 3: a big day. I don't think Texas A and M's

440
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 3: offense has the personnel to attack. I think Oklahoma State

441
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,120
Speaker 3: will care. This is all pokes akah yeah.

442
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,080
Speaker 1: I mean Texas A and M's quarterback Jalen Henderson, and

443
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:01,919
Speaker 1: he's six to one t to I in t ratio

444
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 1: and he just had one mistake against Mississippi State and

445
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 1: the LSU defenses, but he also had a full boat

446
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,120
Speaker 1: of weapons to throw to. Who is now the leading

447
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 1: receiver on this Texas A and M team, jday Walker

448
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 1: forty four targets. He has six drops six twenty one

449
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:20,959
Speaker 1: drops by Texas A and M the entire season. Six

450
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 1: of them belong to Walker, not good stonehands. I went

451
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,920
Speaker 1: and read some Texas A and texagg's message boards. It

452
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,400
Speaker 1: wasn't good. Look at the running backs, so Mari Daniels,

453
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: Leveon Moss, Ruben Owens. No one had more than twenty

454
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:40,320
Speaker 1: two misstackles forced, no one's more than three yards after contact.

455
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 1: There's nothing here. There's absolutely nothing in this offense. And

456
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 1: the way to attack oklhom State you said is through

457
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 1: the air. Taxa A and M lost all their explosive pieces.

458
00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 1: Moose Muhammad wasn't great out of the slot at full strength.

459
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 1: I mean, scoring was an issue for Texas A and

460
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 1: M before they were seventy six in the red zone

461
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 1: TD percentage, which makes me a little bit worried about

462
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 1: Petrino coming to Arkansas. Generally that's not a problem now

463
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 1: with Oklahoma State, You're right, it's all about Oli Gordon,

464
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: especially in standard.

465
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:05,959
Speaker 2: Downs, Mike Gundy.

466
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 1: Throughout the zone read they went to man blocking schemes

467
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 1: this year.

468
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 2: It really paid off. Towards the middle.

469
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 1: They run a little bit of counter and you know

470
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 1: Texas A and M was excellent against zone read throughout

471
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 1: the season. They posted a low forty three percent success

472
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 1: rate against man run concepts. They can kill you on

473
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: inside zone, outside zone. They're terrible against man run concepts.

474
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 1: So Gordon should absolutely feast here. I mean, if he's

475
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 1: playing and he's healthy, and I believe Oklahoma State is

476
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:34,720
Speaker 1: going to be highly motivated to win a game against

477
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:38,320
Speaker 1: the SEC team. This is a revenge game for Oklahoma State.

478
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:41,159
Speaker 1: They lost this very Bowl in twenty nineteen to Texas

479
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 1: A and M by three points. Gundhy's fantastic in Bowls

480
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 1: eleven and six against the spread. I've got Oklahoma State

481
00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 1: on the money line. Numbers caved a little bit. I'm

482
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 1: not sure if it's going to float over to oak

483
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: State being a favorite.

484
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,919
Speaker 2: I'm not backing down. I love I love Cowboys. Here

485
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: go Pokes.

486
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,640
Speaker 3: Yep, agreed, go Pokes. Bett'll be happy with that breakdown.

487
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 3: H Yeah, I'm gonna play oloed mis State money on

488
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 3: here shortly. All right, let's move on to the Wasabi

489
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:07,120
Speaker 3: Fenway Bowl.

490
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 2: Not for your sushi.

491
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 1: It's a it's a I think I believe that the

492
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 1: Data is a cloud storage company.

493
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 3: Yes, this is the dumbest bole sponsor. And there's and

494
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 3: we have a bowl with go bowling dot com, which

495
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 3: might be the worst, the worst website, but at least like, look,

496
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,880
Speaker 3: I'm going I went to it. Maybe this is all

497
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,400
Speaker 3: part of their master plan. We're talking about it. I'm

498
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 3: getting all these everyone who's watched this to go to

499
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 3: it was sabi. I can't think of a dumber bowl

500
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 3: sponsor because everyone just assumes it's like the root. What

501
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 3: is wasabi is a root? Right?

502
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 1: And their logo, their logo is that. And there's I mean,

503
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: what are you what are you doing?

504
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 2: Guys? No one's gonna.

505
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 3: Are inabi sab? Yeah, sabi with savvy what what do

506
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 3: you know that most was sabi get like a sushi

507
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 3: restaurants is not real with sabi? Do you know that

508
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 3: horse radish? Yeah, it's like over ninety seven percent of

509
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 3: was sabi served in sushi restaurants does not contain any

510
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 3: real withsabi. It's made from a blend of horse radish,

511
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 3: mustard flour, cornstarch, and green food color. And I had

512
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,679
Speaker 3: real with sabi once and it was like not as

513
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 3: that was good spicy or pungent.

514
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 1: No, this just didn't clear your sinus didn't clear your sinuses.

515
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 3: Out, Yeah, like horse radish does, but most people don't

516
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 3: know that. But anyway, so yeah, this is not sponsored

517
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 3: by the Plant but with Sabi Fenway Bowl between Boston

518
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,719
Speaker 3: College and SMU. SMU is a ten point favorite over

519
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,399
Speaker 3: Under forty nine and a half. This is actually a

520
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 3: bowl where there's not too many opt outs. Although SMU

521
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 3: won't have Preston Stone at quarterback again, he's out for

522
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 3: the season. Kevin Jennings will start. He did win the

523
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 3: American Championship Game at quarterback. This Boston College scene, they

524
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 3: finished six and six. They got over their wind total

525
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 3: for me, but it wasn't the most impressive six and sixteen.

526
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 3: Here's their wins. They beat Holy Crossed by three, They

527
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:14,199
Speaker 3: beat Virginia by three, Army by three, the weird Georgia

528
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 3: Tech team by fifteen, Yukon by seven, Syracuse by seven,

529
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,360
Speaker 3: and that's it. So they have basically all like one

530
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 3: possession wins over teams that you really wouldn't get excited about.

531
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 3: Then they beat Georgia Tech by fifteen. At Georgia Tech

532
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:33,200
Speaker 3: not the best resume in the world. Offense is extremely limited.

533
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: They have to hit pretty much. Can they hit run explosives?

534
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 3: Here is the question for their offense with Castianos and company.

535
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 3: I'm not convinced this SMU team. I think that they'll care.

536
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 3: I mean, it is one thing. It is like sim

537
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 3: had a great season and then you're going up to

538
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:58,120
Speaker 3: this is an eleven am kick in Fenway and Boston.

539
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 3: So a bunch of Texas kids going up to Austin.

540
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 3: You won the American I think that they like. I

541
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 3: really think that SMU should have got the based on

542
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:10,919
Speaker 3: strength of schedule. They should have got the New Year

543
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 3: six Bowl like they should like Playing Oregon also would

544
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 3: have been a better game. I think even without Preston Stone.

545
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 3: So there's some potential disappointment here. And it's like eleven

546
00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 3: am kick, are you flat? So I can't like ten here.

547
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 3: I have a strong lean to the under. I think

548
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:28,439
Speaker 3: Boston College is going to come out and try to

549
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 3: run it. I think SMU is going to try to

550
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 3: run it this game. Yeah, that both these teams could

551
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 3: be flat early What do you see here between SMU

552
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 3: and PC.

553
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,439
Speaker 1: I played the under earlier this morning when I finished

554
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: up my ball my Bowl podcast notes. If you look

555
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,600
Speaker 1: at the stadium orientation about what's going to happen here.

556
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 1: End zone to end zone is going to go from

557
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 1: home plate to Pesky's poll. Wind is going to blow

558
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: ten mile an hour crosswinds on the field towards the

559
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 1: Green Monster. For those of you that are baseball savvy

560
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:55,440
Speaker 1: and know what.

561
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:56,199
Speaker 2: Finway looks like.

562
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,719
Speaker 1: The wind blows out, it's gonna make crosswinds. It's going

563
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: to be terrible on the kicking game. Seventy five percent

564
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 1: presip going on. Here's what's funny is we're not there yet.

565
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 1: Our next podcast, our next bowl that we're gonna talk

566
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 1: about is Penstripe. That number has already been beaten up

567
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: because of the weather. Well, we're not too far away

568
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,399
Speaker 1: here in Fenway. They're going to have the same weather

569
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: here earlier in the day. So under is definitely a

570
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 1: game that I played now, definitely a bet that I made.

571
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: So sixty percent rush attack, high frequency of power. This

572
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 1: is for Boston College. They run sixty percent of the time.

573
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 1: They run power, counter man, and some inside zone. They

574
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 1: run a little bit of everything. SMU was tenth and

575
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,640
Speaker 1: rushing success rate on defense. They obliterate inside zone their

576
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: average against power and counter but they're terrible against man concepts.

577
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,199
Speaker 1: They're forty two percent success rate against it, and they

578
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: allow explosives. Is Boston College going to run that because

579
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 1: they run just a little bit of everything, So there's

580
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 1: an avenue here for them to have a little bit

581
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 1: of success. Now, I don't expect anything from Thomas Cascanos

582
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: throwing on the SMU secondary. The second SMU secondary has

583
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 1: been really good. Go to the offensive side of the

584
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 1: ball for SMU Kevin Jennings to get the start again

585
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 1: nineteen to thirty three against Tulane the ACC Championship Game.

586
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 1: Two big time throws, two turnover worthy plays a healthy

587
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:10,879
Speaker 1: ten dot two average depth of target. SMU is second

588
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 1: nationally in pass EPA four different targets averaged more than

589
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 1: two yards per route run. BC plays a lot of

590
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: Cover one different than the Cover three that Kevin Jennings

591
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 1: saw against two lane. So with Cover one, Jennings is

592
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,119
Speaker 1: going to have to beat that man coverage with those

593
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: two BC corners, which by the way, are backups.

594
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 2: So that is a.

595
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 1: Very interesting note there that Jennings is going to face

596
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: two backup corners that are going to be playing man

597
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: in Cover one out there on the outside Sossum, you

598
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: should keep the chains moving against BC with the rush

599
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: inside outside zone. They're going to stop. But the Mustangs

600
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 1: are not explosive whatsoever. They're one hundred and twenty first

601
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: in rush EPA, Jalen Knight, L. J. Johnson each under

602
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:54,120
Speaker 1: three yards after contact, and the combined they only created

603
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 1: thirty missed tackles on the season. I thought SMU's rushing

604
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: attack was better than this. A little surprised to see

605
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 1: these numbers. I'm not going to play on the side

606
00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 1: I believe with the weather and the wind and just

607
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: how BC is going to attack this. By the way,

608
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: you know, twenty six seconds per play not extremely fast here.

609
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 1: I like the under all. The way I think you

610
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: play it at forty eight is pretty key. Like what

611
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 1: do we saying at forty and a half or better? Yeah,

612
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: try to get forty eight.

613
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 3: So yeah, I wouldn't go below forty eight. But yeah,

614
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 3: I agree, I think under is to play all right.

615
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the bad Boy Mower's Pinstripe Bowl.

616
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 1: Hey guys, it's my favorite time of year because it's

617
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 1: time for a bad boy buttude is people mowing their

618
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: law in the Bronx, Like why Is this not in

619
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: Florida anymore?

620
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:43,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, this doesn't tie up location wise, but this will

621
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 3: be played in the Bronx at Yankee Stadium. Miami versus Rutgers.

622
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 3: Miami is a goin flip here. It's a one point

623
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 3: favorite over under forty and a half. Got to pay

624
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 3: attention to weather, as we just talked about. Let's go

625
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 3: through some opt outs. Rutgers there starting tight end Johnny Lange,

626
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 3: he had season ending surgery. Their star cornerback Max Milton,

627
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 3: he opted out, and you know there's a couple other guys,

628
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 3: no one really important. Miami starting quarterback Tyler Van Dyke

629
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 3: kicked the portal. He's confirmed of Wisconsin wide receiver Colby

630
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 3: Young portal. A couple of defenders linebacker Corey Flagg, their

631
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 3: edge Jafari Harvey, and from an opt out perspective, their

632
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 3: star safety Cameron Kitchens, defensive tackle Leonard Taylor, safety James Williams.

633
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 3: You can expect ja Curry Brown to start a quarterback

634
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 3: with Emery Williams their second string. Injured Brown does have

635
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 3: he didn't get any only didn't get any experience this year,

636
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 3: but he has some experience in years past. More of

637
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 3: a runner some key defenders out on both sides that

638
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 3: still would lean to the under. Here this is but this,

639
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 3: I think this is just Rutgers all the way. There's

640
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 3: Miami care here, and there are a bunch of Miami

641
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 3: kids going up to play right in the Bronx in December.

642
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 3: They were supposed to have a much better season than this.

643
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 3: I'll also take Schiano over Crystobaul all day. It's not

644
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 3: gonna be pretty, it's going to be ugly, but I

645
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:17,840
Speaker 3: think Rutgers finds a way. I like Rutgers. Yere do

646
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 3: you agree?

647
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 2: Yeah?

648
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 1: It could be a one point win on a field

649
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:23,440
Speaker 1: goal in Yankee Stadium at the end, But yes, Rutgers

650
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 1: all the way. Shanno five to one to one against

651
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 1: spread and Bulls. He is a coach who can trust

652
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 1: to get his team ready. More importantly, Rutgers is a

653
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 1: team that does not beat themselves, and I will take

654
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 1: that against a very mistake prone Miami team that does

655
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: not know how to take a knee. Rutgers is twelfth

656
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 1: and offensive offensively and havoc allowed. They don't make mistakes.

657
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 1: There's no passing success rate here, but there will be

658
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 1: methodical drives. A big advantage in offensive finishing drives. They

659
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 1: cash in whenever they get into scoring position. Now they're

660
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 1: gonna have success in mannrun concepts with Kyle Montagai versus

661
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 1: Miami's front seven, and the Canes were good versus inside

662
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: outside zone. So you know, but Miami's defensive line could

663
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 1: miss Leonard Taylor, the third Branson Dean both could.

664
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 2: Opt out when you switch the other side.

665
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 1: With Jack Curry Brown, you have to go back to

666
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,600
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two to get his stats. It's really the

667
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 1: only great thing about it is what he does with

668
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 1: inside zone. It's heavily used by the Hurricanes offense, and

669
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 1: that's what he likes to run. He had two hundred

670
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 1: and eighty four rushing yards last year, almost all off designed.

671
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 1: More importantly, he didn't have any fumbles, and if he

672
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 1: can keep that up here, then that's a big boost

673
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: to Miami. Two offensive linemen have to be replaced here.

674
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:32,240
Speaker 1: Left guard Javan Cohen, center Matt Lee. Both are NFL

675
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: bound could sit in this game.

676
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 2: At least.

677
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 1: The reports I'm reading is that they're not going to play.

678
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 1: You're running inside zone, You're losing your center and your

679
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 1: left guard. That's not good. Miami and I think here's

680
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 1: where the handicap is. Why you're gonna bet on Rutgers.

681
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 1: Miami is one hundred and tenth and creating broken tackles

682
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 1: Rutgers is seventh, and tackle rating per PFF they are

683
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:55,239
Speaker 1: second nationally and broken tackles allowed. They meet you one

684
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 1: on either, they meet you one on one in open field.

685
00:32:58,640 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: You're not getting buying. What's so?

686
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 1: However, Miami's lost ten of their last eleven bowls. I've

687
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 1: already told you what Shiano does in bowls. Rutgers all

688
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 1: the way here, and like Fenway, Weather's a big factor.

689
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 1: So I think the number at forty one. Forty one

690
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:12,360
Speaker 1: is one of the biggest key numbers in all of

691
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 1: college football totals. So you can't talk me into forty

692
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 1: and a half. But I'm just happy playing Rutgers here.

693
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 1: Don't need anything on the total.

694
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to the Pop Tarts Bowl, Yes,

695
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,240
Speaker 3: between Kansas State and NC State. This game of play

696
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 3: in Orlando, Florida. Kansas State two and a half point

697
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 3: favorite over under forty seven and a half.

698
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 1: There's a mascot kind of like the blooming onion right

699
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 1: down in the Outback Bowl. But apparently at the end

700
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:35,720
Speaker 1: of the game, you can eat the mascot.

701
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 2: Look at that sweet frosting and filling. That's what makes

702
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:41,520
Speaker 2: pop tarts such a great snack.

703
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 1: I sure hope we get eat in soon.

704
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 2: We willa.

705
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 1: So that brings me to my question to you, stuck,

706
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 1: what is your favorite pop tart flavor?

707
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:53,960
Speaker 3: Hota? So pop tarts? HOA, there's too much crust, so

708
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 3: I always break I'm a crust breakoff guy, so I

709
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 3: will break off all the end crust. I respect people

710
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 3: that will say traditional, what is the traditional? Strawberry? Is

711
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 3: that what it is? But the best by far to me?

712
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm a I'm a chocolate guy, but the

713
00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 3: smores s'mores is my favorite pop dart.

714
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I am a frosted strawberry guy. Blueberry. I'll pivot

715
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 2: off to.

716
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:17,399
Speaker 1: But I have to say I lost forty pounds last

717
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 1: off season, and a big part of my diet was

718
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: that I save pop tart minis next to my night

719
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 1: stand every night. That was my one dessert every night

720
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 1: that I counted into my daily chart.

721
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 2: Have you had those before? The little minis?

722
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 4: Have not?

723
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: Oh my god, go find your Yeah, it's in the

724
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: snack aisle. But now it's just a little bag. It's

725
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 1: maybe got like eight little minis in there. And I

726
00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:39,200
Speaker 1: don't know what you're gonna do about peeling the crust off,

727
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:41,760
Speaker 1: because if they're so small. But that's got my vote.

728
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 1: There the frosts of minis pop tart and.

729
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 3: Do you do you?

730
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 2: Did you heat them up? That was no?

731
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 1: You know, I went, I went straight out of the bag.

732
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 1: I don't know these people like them warm, you know,

733
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:51,919
Speaker 1: get them a little bit soft?

734
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:52,680
Speaker 2: Do you do it soft?

735
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,279
Speaker 1: I don't. I just go straight at it. I can't

736
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 1: wait that long. I can't wait thirty seconds.

737
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would eat them. I just eat them regular.

738
00:34:58,040 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 1: What are they gonna do with this live mascot? They're

739
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 1: gonna throw him in a microwave.

740
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:03,919
Speaker 3: It's can't be live. You can't eat a lot. Wait,

741
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:05,799
Speaker 3: so it's probably made a pop tart and then you

742
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 3: eat the outside of him.

743
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: I guess is he's still in the suit and you're

744
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 1: eating on a live.

745
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:14,920
Speaker 3: Or is he made of pop tart one big pop tart?

746
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 3: Or does he have just like pop tarts glued to him?

747
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 3: He's like eat himself out of the outfit, crazing.

748
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,479
Speaker 2: I think we're getting into a weird area here all.

749
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,680
Speaker 3: Right, So KANDAS State here this candas State is a

750
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 3: shell unit. Opt outs. Wide receiver Philip Brooks one of

751
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 3: their best, their best tight end Benson both opted out.

752
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:38,800
Speaker 3: They're starting defensive tackle Samoa. He is injured. He's on crutches.

753
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 3: In the finale. They lost their you know, they're starting

754
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 3: linebacker Jay Clifton in week eleven. They already lost their

755
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 3: middle linebacker Daniel Green and his backup earlier in the season.

756
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:52,359
Speaker 3: Starting quarterback Will Howard portal Avery Johnson should start more

757
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 3: of a runner. Got some experience this year. Running back

758
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 3: Trey shaun Ward, starting safety Kobe Savage, starting cornerback Will Lee,

759
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 3: edge Nate Matt Lack. So they are kind of a

760
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 3: match unit. NC State had some opt outs. No one

761
00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:11,760
Speaker 3: really important. You know, the starting nose tackle CJ. Clark,

762
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:15,359
Speaker 3: he matters a bit, and you know wide receiver Porter Rooks,

763
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 3: wide receiver Tarld Timms, but no one too important. Peyton

764
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 3: Wilson one of the best linebackers in the country. He's

765
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:26,359
Speaker 3: going to the NFL. He's playing from playing. Yeah, so

766
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 3: that's a good sign for NC State. N c's I

767
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 3: love NC State. It was one of my favorite boll bets.

768
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,960
Speaker 3: This is a team that quietly even though they had

769
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 3: the quarterback drama, so MJ. Morris hit the quarter, hit

770
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 3: the portal. Brendan Armstrong came back as the starter. Here's

771
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 3: how they ended the year after all that happened. They

772
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:47,879
Speaker 3: beat Clemson and they they beat Miami by fourteen. Then

773
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 3: they beat Wake by twenty, beat back at VA Tech,

774
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 3: then they beat North Carolina by twenty. This is a

775
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 3: team that ended the season on fire. I think they

776
00:36:56,760 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 3: really care getting NC State getting ten wins for Dave

777
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 3: dor And is super important. They were supposed to get

778
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 3: there when they had a bowl in the COVID year

779
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 3: against UCLA and it got canceled. Uselay didn't want to play.

780
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,759
Speaker 3: They are highly motivated. I know some people close to

781
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 3: the program. I love NC State here. I think they

782
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 3: win this game Kansas State. Meanwhile, they're on the other

783
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 3: end of the spectrum if you look, I mean, yes,

784
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 3: they barely beat Kansas but then they they were embarrassed

785
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 3: at home by Iowa State. As the team that was

786
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 3: in the Big Twelve, they were Big Twelve champions last year,

787
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,359
Speaker 3: had bigger aspirations in this I think NC State comes

788
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,040
Speaker 3: out fired up. Kansas State also lost their offensive coordinator.

789
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,959
Speaker 3: All these opt outs signal signal to me they don't

790
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 3: really care. They're not gonna be able to run the

791
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 3: ball in NC State. I love the wolf back here.

792
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, something lit a fire under NC State's ass and

793
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:47,919
Speaker 1: Dave dor In and it possibly could have been Steve

794
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 1: Smith calling them a basketball school and that they didn't care.

795
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 1: At NC State, unfortunately, they're waiting for basketball to start.

796
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,440
Speaker 3: Tell Steve Smith in the studio, this ain't a basketball school.

797
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 2: Even kissing my ass.

798
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 1: You're right, shell unit is what we got here for

799
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 1: Kansas State. Avery Johnson's going to get the start. I

800
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 1: remember the five touchdowns that he posted against Texas Tech

801
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,200
Speaker 1: in week seven and we were ready to bet him.

802
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:13,359
Speaker 1: He hasn't had a touchdown since. Looks like the book

803
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:15,320
Speaker 1: is out on him from a running perspective and the

804
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 1: offense that they're in, he hasn't.

805
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:18,240
Speaker 2: Really done anything.

806
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 1: But now he's going to take the quarterback position here.

807
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 1: He's lost all of his weapons at Ben sent it

808
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 1: at tight end. Phil Brooks shout out to see him punk.

809
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: It's his real name, but it's not the same guy.

810
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,360
Speaker 1: Cooper Bebe would be a big loss if he's out.

811
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 1: Hadley Panzer did get one hundred and fifteen snaps at

812
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,800
Speaker 1: left guard this season, but it's a massive downgrade on

813
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,319
Speaker 1: the offensive line. Kansas State runs power man inside zone

814
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff, but NC State meets national average

815
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,760
Speaker 1: and success rate in all of those. They dominate opponents

816
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,280
Speaker 1: that run man blocking run schemes. That's what Kansas State's

817
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 1: gonna run, and ncay State's gonna get that with Peyton

818
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:51,839
Speaker 1: Wilson there, It's it's going to be tough sledding here

819
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 1: for this Kansas State offense. When you flip to the

820
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,040
Speaker 1: other side, I guess, I guess is this a farewell

821
00:38:57,080 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 1: to Brendan Armstrong? The scramble score offensity likes to run.

822
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 1: You know, it's going to be a huge rushing game

823
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:07,000
Speaker 1: against the Kansas State defensive line that's missing Armstrong. Over

824
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 1: six hundred rushing yards on the season. Half of that

825
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:13,240
Speaker 1: is split between scrambles and designed runs. Amazingly, I couldn't

826
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,239
Speaker 1: believe this. Brendon Armstrong only had two fumbles this year.

827
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 1: He had nineteen in his career coming in here. No

828
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 1: real advantages in terms of you know, season long numbers

829
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,840
Speaker 1: with zone read for Nacay State against the Kansas State defense.

830
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 1: But still, like we said, it's a shell unit, it's

831
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:29,440
Speaker 1: going to be a little bit different in success rate.

832
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: Armstrong was pretty fantastic in Cover one, but I don't

833
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 1: expect a lot of passing in this game. Big tackle

834
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 1: discrepancy here, NC State sixth Kansas State one hundred.

835
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:38,880
Speaker 2: And twenty fifth.

836
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: Big special teams advantage here for ncis State twelfth per

837
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: SP plus ninety fourth in Kansas State. There's way too

838
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 1: many advantages here for NC State wolf Pack.

839
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 2: All the way, let's go.

840
00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: Oh, by the way, optimist Klein gone, optimist client Colin

841
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 1: Klein no longer the offensive.

842
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:55,200
Speaker 2: Coordinator Kansas State.

843
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:58,359
Speaker 3: Yep, love love the wolf back here in the Pop

844
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 3: Cards Bowl. So hopefully you can watch Dave Dorn and

845
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 3: Brendan Armstrong eat the mascot at the end of the game.

846
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to the Final Bowl on Thursday night,

847
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:12,799
Speaker 3: nine to fifteen Eastern between Arizona and Oklahoma in the

848
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:17,359
Speaker 3: Valero Alamo Bile in San Antonio, Texas. Arizona three point

849
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,439
Speaker 3: favorite here over under sixty too and a half. One

850
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:22,000
Speaker 3: of my favorite balls I'm looking forward to. These are

851
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 3: two really good teams. There's not like you know for

852
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 3: good teams, there's not too many outouts there. Arizona's left

853
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 3: tackle Jordan Morgan, it was a stud he opted out.

854
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 3: You could see Jacob cowing. Jedfish said, there's one to

855
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 3: two players that might opt out. Morgan is one. Maybe

856
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,360
Speaker 3: you see another receiver. Other than that. Arizona's gonna have

857
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 3: its full roster bay care It's a huge game for

858
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 3: them to get the ten wins, big bounce back season Oklahoma. Meanwhile,

859
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:51,440
Speaker 3: they won't have their offensive coordinator. Jeff Levy took a

860
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 3: head coach job Atssissippi State. Did you see him on

861
00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 3: she was on shoulders getting paraded around or no that

862
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 3: the ada was getting paraded around for that higher Did

863
00:40:59,320 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 3: you see that?

864
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 2: Oh? Holy cow?

865
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 3: They had cow bells. He was getting off the plane

866
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,000
Speaker 3: and they were They had them on their shoulders carrying

867
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 3: them around.

868
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 1: Has anybody shown Mississippi State their scheduled next year? I

869
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 1: get every somebody off, they'll be off the shoulders.

870
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:13,959
Speaker 2: Yeah.

871
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 3: I mean, good for Levy forgetting he's getting paid. H

872
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:20,840
Speaker 3: He also added in his contract he has some incentives

873
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 3: for I think a national title. Good luck really so,

874
00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 3: uh transfer portal for Oklahoma, Dyan Gabriel to Oregon, which

875
00:41:31,440 --> 00:41:33,719
Speaker 3: means Jack's and Arnold highly prized recruit. I believe that's

876
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 3: probably why Gabriel at the portal they Okahoma was probably said, look,

877
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 3: we gotta we gotta go to the Arnold next year

878
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 3: and eventually, plus Gabriel go to Oregon, probably get a

879
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 3: fat or check a couple of running backs. In the

880
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 3: portal for Oklahoma. The most important news their star linebacker

881
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 3: Danny Stuts been, and they're starting safety Billy Bima and

882
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 3: anounced over come back for twenty twenty four, So I

883
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 3: think that they'll care. Oklahoma cares here. They do have

884
00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:00,720
Speaker 3: a bunch of offensive linemen out. They're starting tackled Tyler Geiden,

885
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 3: They're starting center Andrew Rain, a couple other you know,

886
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:09,680
Speaker 3: Caden Green their left guard. So their offensive line could

887
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 3: be compromised here, but they usually recruit well in that department.

888
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 3: I played Arizona early. I will tell you and I'll

889
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,640
Speaker 3: let you break this down. Everyone knows I'm on Arizona

890
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:24,439
Speaker 3: here similar to Miama, Ohio. I'm higher than the entire

891
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,080
Speaker 3: world on Arizona. I will say that I believe that

892
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 3: there's gonna be some sharp money coming on Oklahoma. So

893
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 3: if you haven't bet Arizona yet and you want to

894
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:35,480
Speaker 3: ride with me, it's at three. I think it probably

895
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:39,719
Speaker 3: closes like two two and a half, maybe one and

896
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 3: a half, So I would wait on Arizona. I think

897
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 3: it's at the peak of the market now, but I

898
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,839
Speaker 3: think Arizona wins. But I think Arizona wins every week.

899
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 3: So I'll let you break it down. What do you

900
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:50,319
Speaker 3: see here?

901
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:52,439
Speaker 1: Well, I'm going to be on Oklahoma and I wanted

902
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,720
Speaker 1: to wait till this podcast before I a put cash

903
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:57,280
Speaker 1: down be told you about it, see how to suffer

904
00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 1: your wrath of going against Arizona and the other thing that.

905
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 3: I'd still be coming. So get ready December twenty eighth, Thursday.

906
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:06,200
Speaker 1: And you know what I also hate is I have

907
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:08,879
Speaker 1: a direct flight to Phoenix to spend some Christmas time

908
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 1: with family during this game before I head off to

909
00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 1: the Rose Bowl.

910
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 2: So I'm really sad.

911
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,640
Speaker 3: I'm gonna miss Well you can you can when you land,

912
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,360
Speaker 3: You'll have a bunch of sweet notifications from that of

913
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 3: jet Jet Jet fish pictures.

914
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. He was asked an interview a couple of days ago,

915
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:24,799
Speaker 1: like why haven't you left for another job? And he's like,

916
00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 1: I'm committed to all these players, So we'll see if

917
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:29,320
Speaker 1: you know, he's like they committed to me, I'm committed

918
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 1: to them. Let's start off with the Arizona offense. Elite

919
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:35,760
Speaker 1: success rate in this offense from Noah Fafida, Arizona's passing

920
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 1: was highly successful, highly explosive. It doesn't matter the covers,

921
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:41,719
Speaker 1: cover three, cover one quarters, all of them. Oh you

922
00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 1: was actually pretty highly successful in all those coverages, landed

923
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: inside the top twenty five and preventing explosive pass explosives.

924
00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 1: So it's a true good on good matchup when Arizona

925
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:53,880
Speaker 1: goes up against OUs D. Danny Stutsman being back is

926
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: really big because remember the handicap on the SOU defenses.

927
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: He's not just the captain for Brent Vittibles, he's also

928
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:01,920
Speaker 1: the one that misses the least amount of tackles. Like

929
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,440
Speaker 1: everybody else on this defense is about twenty percent mistackles,

930
00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 1: Danny Stutsman's about eight. The one true OU defender that

931
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 1: they have to have on the field, he's going to

932
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 1: be there. There's no real gotcha in the splits from

933
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:15,240
Speaker 1: Fafida from a turnover worthy play with his depth of pass,

934
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: his depth of his average depth of target pressures. I

935
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 1: tried to split and know if a FETA to figure out, like,

936
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: is there a way you can pressure him? No, it's

937
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:24,839
Speaker 1: the same split. So what about his depth target twenty

938
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 1: yards nine yards? No, it's all the same. I mean,

939
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:30,840
Speaker 1: this game is truly you know the skill positions of

940
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,759
Speaker 1: McMillan Coleman. I mean, this is going to be a

941
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,360
Speaker 1: true test for the Oklahoma defense, But the fact that

942
00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 1: Stutsman there makes it a lot better for OU. When

943
00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:42,719
Speaker 1: you flip over the OU offensive side, I just don't

944
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:45,160
Speaker 1: see a downgrade to Jackson Arnold, even in a game

945
00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: where he has little experience. And Seth Latrell is in

946
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:52,000
Speaker 1: there calling Jeff Levi's old offense. There's a lot of

947
00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:55,320
Speaker 1: skill here. Gavin Sawchuk's going to play wide receiver, Drake Stoops,

948
00:44:55,719 --> 00:44:58,840
Speaker 1: Jaleil Farup, Nick Anderson. They're all available, They're all explosive

949
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,480
Speaker 1: for this OU defense. Now, left guard Caden Green is

950
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 1: in the portal, but back up Troy Ever got two

951
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:06,319
Speaker 1: hundred and forty seven snaps at left guard, so no

952
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:09,279
Speaker 1: loss there. Now, right tackle Tyler Goeyton knopped it out,

953
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 1: but Jacob Sexton at two hundred and four snaps at

954
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 1: right tackle now center Andrew raynot rom really leaves a

955
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 1: hole there because Troy Everett, who I already mentioned at

956
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: left guard, he played sixty snaps at center.

957
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:22,720
Speaker 2: So we do have one loss on the offensive line.

958
00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 2: But I just don't see this.

959
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 1: Really hurting what ou does on offense, and seth Lerchell

960
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:30,360
Speaker 1: has said, I'm not putting my flavor of this offense

961
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,520
Speaker 1: on Jeff Levey's offense until we get to the spring.

962
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: Arizona struggled to defend the rush this season, specifically a

963
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:41,919
Speaker 1: very low forty one percent success rate against inside zone,

964
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 1: which is the majority of all of Oklahoma's rushing attempts.

965
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 1: Oklahoma was seventh, and quality drives thirteenth, and offensive finishing drives.

966
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 1: I'm not faulting Arizona here whatsoever. I don't think there's

967
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:55,919
Speaker 1: a big drop off in Oklahoma here. I think Danny

968
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: Stutsman is the big difference maker on defense. Oklahoma is

969
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 1: the far better team and preventing explosives. I'll take the

970
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,520
Speaker 1: Sooners and the points.

971
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 3: All right head to head there. Let's move on to Friday.

972
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:11,320
Speaker 3: It's our final day. We'll cover the four bowls on Friday.

973
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:14,319
Speaker 3: Let's start with the tax Slayer. Man, we got a

974
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:16,760
Speaker 3: lot of tat. We have a tax Act Tax Slayer

975
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:17,439
Speaker 3: Gator Bowl.

976
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 1: Damn bit my hand, Oh my god.

977
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:25,440
Speaker 3: Gator Bowl between Clemson and Kentucky. Clemson four and a

978
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 3: half point favorite here down from where they opened a

979
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,799
Speaker 3: touchdown total forty six and a half skin will be

980
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 3: played in Jacksonville, Florida. Well, let's go through news. Clems

981
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 3: will be about four of its better defenders. Starting safety

982
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:42,320
Speaker 3: Andrew mccouba hit the portal. He's a good one. Cornerback

983
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:45,520
Speaker 3: Nate Wiggins opted out, linebacker Jeremiah Trotter opted out, and

984
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 3: their defensive lineman Rooke Oro Horro opted out. Defensive tackle

985
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,800
Speaker 3: Tyler Davis. He's also one to watch as a potential

986
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:56,399
Speaker 3: opt out. Kentucky, you lose your starting edge keeping Waite.

987
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 3: Other than that, you know Ray Davis to clever the

988
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 3: NFL draft as the cornerback filps. But they said they'll

989
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 3: both play in the bowl. That's that's good news for Kentucky.

990
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:07,080
Speaker 3: Singles that they do care. Everything that I've everyone I've

991
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:09,839
Speaker 3: talked to says that they care. Dabo has been really

992
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 3: good in bulls. The way you want to beat this

993
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 3: Kentucky defense is through the air. Boe Collins also, their

994
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 3: wide receiver also hit the portal. I don't know if

995
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:22,680
Speaker 3: Clemson's capable of doing that. Will Kentucky have success on offense?

996
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 3: I'm not sure. II Leen Kentucky in the under in

997
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:31,040
Speaker 3: this game. What do you see here between Kentucky and Clemson.

998
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 1: Got a bunch of Bowman University Chrome cards that are

999
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:35,799
Speaker 1: autographed by Cade Clubnick. I wish that he had the

1000
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 1: passing game to get this done, but I just don't

1001
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:40,840
Speaker 1: see it happening. Ray Davis playing in this game is huge.

1002
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,920
Speaker 1: It's the only piece of the Kentucky offense that was

1003
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 1: really needed because the offensive line is going to be

1004
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:49,200
Speaker 1: there for Kentucky eleventh and rush explosives. They produced three

1005
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:52,000
Speaker 1: explosives in the final game against Louisville's rush D, which

1006
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 1: really doesn't allow them. Kentucky's most explosive run package is

1007
00:47:56,120 --> 00:48:01,000
Speaker 1: counter and man concepts. Clemson was awful against man blocking

1008
00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 1: run concepts forty three percent success rate and stopping it.

1009
00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 2: They allowed it.

1010
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:07,719
Speaker 1: They allowed a positive EPA, which means that there's an

1011
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 1: explosive play just waiting. So now they have to replace

1012
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 1: thirty seven stops with linebacker Jermiah Trotter. Now, a stop

1013
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:19,960
Speaker 1: is defined by PFF as a complete failure by the offense.

1014
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:23,240
Speaker 1: Jermiah Trotter not only had thirty seven of them, nobody

1015
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,640
Speaker 1: else on the team was higher than twenty six, which

1016
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 1: was Barrett Carter, and nobody else was even close to

1017
00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:31,720
Speaker 1: Barrett Carter. So the fact that you lost Jemiah Trotter

1018
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:34,840
Speaker 1: and Bray Davis is coming at you with explosives in

1019
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 1: a run concept that you can't defend. That is the

1020
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:42,279
Speaker 1: reason that this line has moved. You're right, Clemson's only

1021
00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 1: way to attack this Kentucky defense is through the air.

1022
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:47,359
Speaker 1: Don't see it happening. Yes, film Off is there, Will

1023
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: Shipley's there. They're gonna have success running outside zone. Don't

1024
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 1: think it's enough here.

1025
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:52,799
Speaker 2: Kentucky in the points yep.

1026
00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 3: I clearly great Cats all the way. All right, let's

1027
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:03,719
Speaker 3: move on to this game is a disaster, Tony. The

1028
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 3: Tiger sun Bowl between Oregon State Notre Dame. I talked

1029
00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,279
Speaker 3: about the two thousand and eight Sun Bowl the other

1030
00:49:09,360 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 3: day that ended three to nothing. I think that was

1031
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 3: between Oregon State Mike Relly was there. I wouldn't be

1032
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 3: surprised this ended three nothing Oregon State Notre Dame. Notre

1033
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:20,000
Speaker 3: Dame is a six and a half point favorite, totals

1034
00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 3: forty one and a half. This game will be played

1035
00:49:21,920 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 3: in beautiful El Paso, out in the.

1036
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 1: West Dixon town of past.

1037
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 3: I mean Oregon State staff is shaken up, same with

1038
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:34,799
Speaker 3: Notre Dames. Oregon State out without their starting quarterback. Their

1039
00:49:34,800 --> 00:49:37,839
Speaker 3: backup quarterback Ben Goldberdson will get the start. He did

1040
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 3: start the final eight games to twenty twenty two. You

1041
00:49:41,080 --> 00:49:44,920
Speaker 3: know their stud starting linebacker, their brothers, and they're stud

1042
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:49,319
Speaker 3: starting safety, the Arnold brothers. They're out. Cornerback McCoy is out,

1043
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 3: their tight end Jack Bailing is out. They're even their

1044
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:54,880
Speaker 3: starting kicker opted out, Devan. They all hit the portal

1045
00:49:54,920 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 3: and then their their stud wide receiver Anthony Gold he

1046
00:49:57,239 --> 00:50:00,399
Speaker 3: opted out. Starting right tackle Flagga he opted it out.

1047
00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:02,959
Speaker 3: They're starting left tackle and left guard and both missed

1048
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,480
Speaker 3: the finale with injuries. Damian Martinez are starting running back.

1049
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:08,200
Speaker 3: He was gonna play in the Bowl and he was

1050
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,120
Speaker 3: not because he was arrested. Then they said he was,

1051
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,080
Speaker 3: then now they said he's not. I mean, so they're

1052
00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:14,600
Speaker 3: without a ton of I'm a ton of starters Notre

1053
00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:19,960
Speaker 3: Dame without you know, they lost their offensive coordinator. They're

1054
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:23,879
Speaker 3: without oh Man, I mean their quarterback Sam Hartman. They're

1055
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:28,560
Speaker 3: starting their stud starting linebacker, both their starting tackles, they

1056
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 3: all opted out their running back estimate Cam hart their

1057
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 3: star cornerback. I you know, they had some injuries at

1058
00:50:36,520 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 3: tight end and offensive line. They're transfer portal all their receivers. Basically,

1059
00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 3: they're starting center. I mean they're starting safety. This this

1060
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:48,320
Speaker 3: goes on and on and on. These are two mass units.

1061
00:50:49,200 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 3: I don't I don't think. I don't see how Notre

1062
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,040
Speaker 3: Dame can get to like more than twenty. I don't

1063
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,320
Speaker 3: know a work in state's really gonna score. I'm probably

1064
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 3: playing the under here. I can't capt this game. What

1065
00:50:59,200 --> 00:50:59,719
Speaker 3: do you see here?

1066
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 1: Well, you got me curious, and now I'm searching to

1067
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:06,680
Speaker 1: see if there's a no TD prop, which I would

1068
00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:10,720
Speaker 1: absolutely take here, Like I there's a exact score thirteen

1069
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,120
Speaker 1: to six, eighty to one prop. I mean, you've got

1070
00:51:13,160 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 1: me so interested. Now I want to find a no

1071
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:16,960
Speaker 1: TD prop on this game that might be the best

1072
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 1: bet here.

1073
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:19,319
Speaker 2: Because I had a hard time trying to decipher what

1074
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:22,400
Speaker 2: we're going to do. What I'm that's it.

1075
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 3: I'm heard for no points.

1076
00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I look, I don't know what to tell everybody

1077
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:35,279
Speaker 1: because we're missing so many layers of players here. You know,

1078
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 1: keifense heidens Henson is going to be the He's the

1079
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 1: old passing game coordinator for Oregon State. He's been in

1080
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:44,800
Speaker 1: the program since twenty eighteen, so as a passing game cordner,

1081
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:48,080
Speaker 1: he knows the best parts have been Gilbertson. I would

1082
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,839
Speaker 1: expect they pass more than they run, and Oregon State

1083
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:53,040
Speaker 1: is a running team, so plenty of snaps will be

1084
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 1: missing from the offensive line. You would think that they're

1085
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 1: teaching Goldbernson how to get rid of the ball quickly.

1086
00:51:58,040 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 2: Who he's getting it off to. I have no clue.

1087
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:02,720
Speaker 1: Notre Dame was fifteenth and havoc, although they are missing

1088
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 1: just about everybody. On top of all the portal and

1089
00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 1: opt out news of Notre Dame, Nicol Thomas Harper opted

1090
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:12,160
Speaker 1: out and publicly never told anybody like it was just

1091
00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 1: I just found that article like it was published like

1092
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 1: a day ago. So if Thomas Harper, who's the fifth

1093
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:22,040
Speaker 1: leading tackler on this Notre Dame team is quietly not

1094
00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 1: telling anybody that he's opting out. How many other players

1095
00:52:24,640 --> 00:52:26,279
Speaker 1: are opting out of this for Notre Dame. And by

1096
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:28,239
Speaker 1: the way, what the hell is going on at Notre Dame,

1097
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 1: I think is a bigger question. We can talk on

1098
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,920
Speaker 1: the offseason backupster playing both sides.

1099
00:52:32,680 --> 00:52:33,120
Speaker 2: Of the ball.

1100
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:35,960
Speaker 1: I would take if I had to pick a side,

1101
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 1: let's say, and you're some sort of pick a pool

1102
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:39,759
Speaker 1: and I know they're out there that you can wait

1103
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 1: till the last second take it, I would do Notre Dame.

1104
00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:47,960
Speaker 1: Just based upon program recruiting, program depth. I think if

1105
00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:50,200
Speaker 1: you had to take a side, it's going to be

1106
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. But I agree with Stuck. I there could

1107
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,120
Speaker 1: be a problem with touchdowns here. There could be a

1108
00:52:55,160 --> 00:52:56,840
Speaker 1: problems with scoring. If you just want to lay the

1109
00:52:56,920 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 1: underlay the under, that's great. But I think I'm going

1110
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 1: to go crazy in this game. A couple of crazy props,

1111
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:05,000
Speaker 1: a no TV prop, maybe like a final score of

1112
00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:08,680
Speaker 1: like nine to three, thirteen to three, Like I'm gonna

1113
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:13,040
Speaker 1: find something that is completely long shot. Try to enjoy

1114
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 1: this game somehow, because the players on the field are

1115
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 1: not going to give you the satisfaction of enjoying college

1116
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:19,200
Speaker 1: football game because it is bear.

1117
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:22,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, try to get above. I wouldn't go below forty one.

1118
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:24,439
Speaker 3: And That's what we talked about earlier. But I'm gonna

1119
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 3: play under here.

1120
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 1: All right.

1121
00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:30,840
Speaker 3: Let's move on to Friday. Later Friday afternoon, Memphis, Iowa

1122
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 3: State in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. So we played Memphis Tennessee.

1123
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 3: Noteworthy because it's on Memphis home Field Stadium and Simmons

1124
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:45,319
Speaker 3: Bank Liberty Stadium. Iowa States up to a ten point

1125
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,920
Speaker 3: favorite here over under fifty seven and a half. Memphis

1126
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,000
Speaker 3: does play at home, but it's not too far from Memes.

1127
00:53:51,040 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 3: Iowa States fans travel well, so I don't think it's

1128
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 3: gonna be like this overwhelming crowd advantage here. Memphis I

1129
00:53:58,040 --> 00:54:00,960
Speaker 3: talked about all year. They finished nine and three. They

1130
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:04,879
Speaker 3: were pretty fraudulent. I mean, they barely beat Maybe They

1131
00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:07,719
Speaker 3: beat Boise State by three at home thanks to a

1132
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:12,560
Speaker 3: block field goal return. They beat UAB, They barely beat

1133
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 3: North Texas on a last minute touchdown. They beat South

1134
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:18,799
Speaker 3: Florida fifty nine to fifty. They beat Charlotte in overtime,

1135
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 3: So you know, this is a team that skated buys

1136
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:24,440
Speaker 3: some battues. The defense is really bad. They will give

1137
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:27,840
Speaker 3: up explosives, which is what Iowa State relies on. Memphis

1138
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,040
Speaker 3: also is gonna be about a couple starting offensive linemen.

1139
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:31,240
Speaker 2: They can't tackle.

1140
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, they can't tackle Iowa State. It's just they're gonna score.

1141
00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 3: I think they'll care. But I just can't get to

1142
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:41,200
Speaker 3: this number. I can't like ten. I can't beat in Memphis.

1143
00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:44,640
Speaker 3: I think that this is one where I'll probably sit

1144
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 3: on the sidelines. Score. What do you see here?

1145
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:46,640
Speaker 2: What do you got?

1146
00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:48,840
Speaker 1: I like Iowa State, and I know it seems like

1147
00:54:48,880 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 1: a really large number. I power rate this game to

1148
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:52,799
Speaker 1: be I always say minus nine versus Memphis if it

1149
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:55,759
Speaker 1: was played during the regular season, I guess if you

1150
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 1: were to throw in home field advantage. Although I agree

1151
00:54:58,080 --> 00:55:02,520
Speaker 1: with you, people from the state of Iowa travel like

1152
00:55:02,600 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 1: no other.

1153
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:05,080
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter what the sport is. They travel.

1154
00:55:05,320 --> 00:55:07,279
Speaker 1: So seth And again is going to face a three

1155
00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:10,120
Speaker 1: three five stack defense of Iowa State. He saw the

1156
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:11,080
Speaker 1: three three five a lot.

1157
00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:12,520
Speaker 3: And by the way, I should say before you go,

1158
00:55:12,560 --> 00:55:14,560
Speaker 3: Memphis can't really run the ball, which is really how

1159
00:55:14,560 --> 00:55:16,359
Speaker 3: you kind of want to attack this Iowa State team.

1160
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:20,040
Speaker 1: So good, yep, yeah, I mean, Hennigan was average against

1161
00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:22,200
Speaker 1: the three three five He's going to go up against

1162
00:55:22,239 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 1: exclusive quarters here. He wasn't fantastic against that either.

1163
00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:27,240
Speaker 2: What he saw in conference.

1164
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,480
Speaker 1: Play, I would argue this is a way better three

1165
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:32,040
Speaker 1: three five version and quarters version anything that he.

1166
00:55:32,080 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 2: Saw in the AAC.

1167
00:55:34,080 --> 00:55:36,759
Speaker 1: The loss of TJ. Tampa is pretty big for the

1168
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 1: Iowa State secondary. One of the best defensive backs in

1169
00:55:39,920 --> 00:55:41,960
Speaker 1: all of college football. So we'll see what Iowa State

1170
00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:44,560
Speaker 1: does there. But you know, Iowa State will not be

1171
00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:46,920
Speaker 1: able to produce a pass rush that hasn't been in

1172
00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:49,239
Speaker 1: their numbers all season, but that's not really how they

1173
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 1: play on defense anyways. Zone read option of Hennigan with

1174
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:56,080
Speaker 1: Blake Watson, they were above average and success rate. Ioways

1175
00:55:56,080 --> 00:55:59,839
Speaker 1: struggled a little bit to defend inside zone explosives were

1176
00:55:59,880 --> 00:56:02,560
Speaker 1: a wash when it came to Memphis's offense versus Iowa

1177
00:56:02,640 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 1: State's defense. So I just don't see a lot happening

1178
00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:08,279
Speaker 1: here for Memphis. And when you mentioned being fraudulent their

1179
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 1: second order win total, they're gonna take one of the

1180
00:56:10,520 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 1: biggest downgrades in the offseason in my power ratings. Now

1181
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:16,200
Speaker 1: rock O Beck, quarterback for Iowa State. He was better

1182
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:17,880
Speaker 1: than expected this year. I mean, you think about the

1183
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:21,439
Speaker 1: gambling scandal that happened, and everybody pounded on the under

1184
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:22,600
Speaker 1: of a win total.

1185
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:23,040
Speaker 2: That was like five.

1186
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,359
Speaker 1: Rock O Beck is just man, just a cool, nice

1187
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:28,520
Speaker 1: fresh drink of water. There for that offense, Beck creates

1188
00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:31,040
Speaker 1: a lot of explosives. He has the best standard downs,

1189
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:35,000
Speaker 1: expected points explosives in the country. I couldn't believe it.

1190
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:37,800
Speaker 1: Memphis also runs a three three five with cover one.

1191
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:41,520
Speaker 1: Beck averaged an explosive pass. This is a crazy stat.

1192
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:45,120
Speaker 1: Beck averaged an explosive pass on twenty five percent of

1193
00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 1: attempts against cover one. One of every four pass attempts

1194
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:51,279
Speaker 1: against cover one was an explosive. That's what he's going

1195
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:55,480
Speaker 1: to see against Memphis. So slot jaaln Noel whiteout Jayden Higgins.

1196
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:58,160
Speaker 1: They leading targets on the team, the Cyclones. They both

1197
00:56:58,200 --> 00:57:01,280
Speaker 1: averaged more than two point six yards per route run.

1198
00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:05,440
Speaker 1: That is extremely explosive. Give me Iowa State. I'll swallow

1199
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:09,479
Speaker 1: the points here. Love them go Clones. All right, let's

1200
00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:13,000
Speaker 1: go to our final bowl here. That will cover It's

1201
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:16,080
Speaker 1: our twelfth and final bowl in Part three. Cover the

1202
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: rest on Part four, including the playoff that will be

1203
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:21,600
Speaker 1: out Thursday.

1204
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:24,040
Speaker 3: I'll keep you guys updated. Plenty of time to get

1205
00:57:24,080 --> 00:57:28,360
Speaker 3: prepared for the final nine bowls, but we have one

1206
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:40,720
Speaker 3: other one to get to content the cover Live the

1207
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:44,040
Speaker 3: Cotton Bowl, the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic between Missouri and

1208
00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 3: Ohio State Ohio State. This game is basically down to

1209
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:49,000
Speaker 3: quin flip total forty eight and a half. So we

1210
00:57:49,080 --> 00:57:52,560
Speaker 3: played in Arlington, Texas. Ohio State's taken some buy back.

1211
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 3: It looks like some players will play that were you know,

1212
00:57:55,920 --> 00:57:59,000
Speaker 3: some people said thought, including myself, that might not play.

1213
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:04,560
Speaker 3: Still going to have many more opt outs on Ohio

1214
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:07,880
Speaker 3: State side compared to Missouri. And you're also going to

1215
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 3: be down to Devin Brown at quarterback. I'm not a

1216
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:14,960
Speaker 3: fan of Devin Brown. I love this Missouri team. We've

1217
00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:19,200
Speaker 3: talked about this game at length already. We bet this

1218
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,920
Speaker 3: on the open at a pick. I'd still about Missouri

1219
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,840
Speaker 3: right now. I think Missouri wins this game. Any updated

1220
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:28,440
Speaker 3: thoughts on this one? Where the line is if you

1221
00:58:28,440 --> 00:58:31,520
Speaker 3: want to share any matchup edges, any news? What do

1222
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:32,120
Speaker 3: you see here?

1223
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean this is a situation where Missouri is

1224
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:36,880
Speaker 1: on a crescendo.

1225
00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:39,160
Speaker 2: They are progressing.

1226
00:58:38,760 --> 00:58:41,920
Speaker 1: Up and up, and up and don't I don't see

1227
00:58:41,920 --> 00:58:44,680
Speaker 1: that stopping in this game. You know, I'm not backing

1228
00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:47,000
Speaker 1: down from what I said earlier, which is this is

1229
00:58:47,040 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 1: the biggest financial position I have in all the ball season.

1230
00:58:49,960 --> 00:58:52,840
Speaker 2: I would take Missouri up to three. Uh there.

1231
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:55,600
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a better combination at quarterback, running

1232
00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:59,120
Speaker 1: back and wide receiver then you're gonna get from Brady

1233
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:02,120
Speaker 1: Cook and Cody Schran and wide receiver Luther Burden. We

1234
00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:04,760
Speaker 1: already podcast about Georgia State, the fact that Marcus Carroll

1235
00:59:04,880 --> 00:59:09,840
Speaker 1: is coming in. Eli Drinkwitz is making some news. They're

1236
00:59:09,840 --> 00:59:12,720
Speaker 1: making some rumbles here, So no, no updated thoughts, But

1237
00:59:12,760 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 1: I mean from a perspect.

1238
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:15,680
Speaker 3: Off, flat neck playoff next year.

1239
00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:17,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go ahead and just get that out of

1240
00:59:17,560 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 1: the way.

1241
00:59:17,880 --> 00:59:19,320
Speaker 2: I'll say this and I won't say it again.

1242
00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:20,720
Speaker 1: You're just going to see a bet come in the

1243
00:59:20,720 --> 00:59:22,960
Speaker 1: app after the national championship game. I am going to

1244
00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:25,200
Speaker 1: bet Missouri to make the twelve team playoff, and if

1245
00:59:25,200 --> 00:59:27,240
Speaker 1: that problem doesn't exist, I'll just take a long shot

1246
00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:29,720
Speaker 1: on the national title. What they are doing in the

1247
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 1: transfer portal and from a recruiting perspective, and they pulled

1248
00:59:34,480 --> 00:59:36,840
Speaker 1: the softest SEC schedule.

1249
00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:38,600
Speaker 2: By a mile next year.

1250
00:59:39,560 --> 00:59:42,680
Speaker 1: I know it sounds crazy, but Missouri is going to

1251
00:59:42,720 --> 00:59:45,680
Speaker 1: shake up all of college football next year, So Missouri

1252
00:59:45,680 --> 00:59:47,919
Speaker 1: futures for the next year. For this game, I would

1253
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:50,480
Speaker 1: take it up to three. I'll have a full ride

1254
00:59:50,560 --> 00:59:53,600
Speaker 1: up here on Action Network about this game, covering every

1255
00:59:53,680 --> 00:59:56,880
Speaker 1: angle that I possibly can. Once we get closer to

1256
00:59:56,920 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 1: the game and we know exactly who's in for Ohio State,

1257
00:59:59,680 --> 01:00:02,240
Speaker 1: whether Flemings in, Flemmings out, whether you know, we'll have

1258
01:00:02,280 --> 01:00:04,680
Speaker 1: a complete list of who's going to be there, and

1259
01:00:04,760 --> 01:00:06,400
Speaker 1: I'm going to do my best in the ride up

1260
01:00:06,440 --> 01:00:08,720
Speaker 1: to find out why you would want to bet Ohio State.

1261
01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:11,560
Speaker 1: Odds makers are going to move this number, you know,

1262
01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:14,000
Speaker 1: until they get resistance. Everybody's going to try to buy

1263
01:00:14,000 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 1: back on Missouri.

1264
01:00:15,280 --> 01:00:16,080
Speaker 2: I suspect this thing.

1265
01:00:16,080 --> 01:00:18,000
Speaker 1: We'll get up to three, and we'll have heavy Ohio

1266
01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:19,919
Speaker 1: State money come in at that point, just because people

1267
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:20,680
Speaker 1: will say.

1268
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:23,640
Speaker 2: The Buckeyes are a dog of the Missouri Tigers. Get

1269
01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:24,560
Speaker 2: used to the New world.

1270
01:00:24,640 --> 01:00:27,880
Speaker 1: Everybody the Missouri Tigers are for real, and every single

1271
01:00:27,920 --> 01:00:30,080
Speaker 1: that the fact that they lost by nine at Georgia,

1272
01:00:31,080 --> 01:00:31,880
Speaker 1: they probably should have.

1273
01:00:31,800 --> 01:00:32,360
Speaker 2: Won that game.

1274
01:00:32,920 --> 01:00:35,800
Speaker 1: So pull right up on Action Network, Missouri up to three.

1275
01:00:36,160 --> 01:00:38,160
Speaker 1: Keep your eyes peeled out for the national title. That

1276
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:39,720
Speaker 1: is the team that I want desperately.

1277
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:44,160
Speaker 3: Yep, I agree, Missouri all the way, Go Tigers. Those

1278
01:00:44,200 --> 01:00:50,000
Speaker 3: are the twelve Bowl games broken down between Wednesday, December

1279
01:00:50,040 --> 01:00:53,880
Speaker 3: twenty seventh and Friday, December twenty ninth. Let's go three

1280
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 3: and out. We'll do a quick three and out.

1281
01:00:56,920 --> 01:00:59,320
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1282
01:00:59,640 --> 01:01:04,400
Speaker 3: All right, first down, let's do favorite favorite. I don't

1283
01:01:04,400 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 3: want to give that Arizona, so I think that's gonna

1284
01:01:05,880 --> 01:01:09,720
Speaker 3: come down, So I'm gonna go. I'll go West Virginia

1285
01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:13,040
Speaker 3: anything under a touchdown. Not sure where North Carolina cares.

1286
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 3: West Virginia should be able to run the ball on

1287
01:01:14,880 --> 01:01:18,040
Speaker 3: North Carolina. That should be enough to get it done.

1288
01:01:18,480 --> 01:01:22,240
Speaker 3: Give me the ears. How about you a favorite favorite?

1289
01:01:22,560 --> 01:01:25,840
Speaker 1: It's an amazing how many dogs I like. I'm gonna

1290
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:27,600
Speaker 1: have to make a decision here between Iowa State and

1291
01:01:27,720 --> 01:01:29,600
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. I will go with Virginia Tech. I think

1292
01:01:29,640 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 1: Tulane is a complete walking Syracuse, which we used to

1293
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:36,600
Speaker 1: call a corpse. Not much going on here, coaching staff gone,

1294
01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:41,400
Speaker 1: all the player's gone. Justinibita Beta might be the quarterback here.

1295
01:01:42,160 --> 01:01:44,680
Speaker 1: We're really struggling to find replacement players on this two

1296
01:01:44,720 --> 01:01:49,480
Speaker 1: lane team that's going through major changes. Virginia Tech pass explosives,

1297
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:51,560
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech on the ground, They're gonna get it done here.

1298
01:01:51,600 --> 01:01:53,960
Speaker 1: Take the hookies in the military ball.

1299
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 3: Second down, we'll go favorite underdog. I'm gonna throw out

1300
01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:02,640
Speaker 3: you know my underdogs that I do like. I like

1301
01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:07,760
Speaker 3: USC me too. I like Oklahoma State, but my one

1302
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,920
Speaker 3: of my favorite Bowl bats like Kentucky. One of my

1303
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:16,720
Speaker 3: favorite Bowl bats is NC State and this Kansas State

1304
01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:18,560
Speaker 3: team that it's off, it's going on. It just a shell,

1305
01:02:18,600 --> 01:02:21,919
Speaker 3: you know, losing key pieces on offense and defense. Don't

1306
01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:23,240
Speaker 3: think if they able to run the ball, don't think

1307
01:02:23,240 --> 01:02:25,920
Speaker 3: they to throw the ball. N C State upward trending

1308
01:02:26,040 --> 01:02:28,480
Speaker 3: this team team, I know that cares. They want that

1309
01:02:28,600 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 3: tenth win. Motivational edge for NC State. I like the

1310
01:02:32,160 --> 01:02:33,920
Speaker 3: wolf Pack. How about you a favorite underdog?

1311
01:02:35,440 --> 01:02:37,760
Speaker 1: Well, I mean I could go Missouri, but that could

1312
01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:41,840
Speaker 1: be a favorite here soon I could go Rutgers could

1313
01:02:41,880 --> 01:02:44,240
Speaker 1: be a favorite. By kick, let's go with you as

1314
01:02:44,240 --> 01:02:48,480
Speaker 1: c to win outright. Louisville is missing their most explosive

1315
01:02:48,600 --> 01:02:51,440
Speaker 1: and most used player at running back and wide receiver.

1316
01:02:52,080 --> 01:02:53,920
Speaker 1: They have nobody to throw to. They have nobody to

1317
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 1: hand the ball off to. I'll revert to what I

1318
01:02:56,040 --> 01:02:56,959
Speaker 1: said earlier.

1319
01:02:56,600 --> 01:02:57,200
Speaker 2: In the podcast.

1320
01:02:57,960 --> 01:03:00,840
Speaker 1: Nobody on this team on offense has more than ten

1321
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:03,360
Speaker 1: targets or ten touches on third down or in the

1322
01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:06,919
Speaker 1: red zone on the entire Cardinals squad. Because of opt

1323
01:03:06,920 --> 01:03:09,200
Speaker 1: outs in the NFL, because of NFL opt outs, and

1324
01:03:09,240 --> 01:03:11,400
Speaker 1: because of the transfer portal, this is going to be

1325
01:03:11,440 --> 01:03:14,840
Speaker 1: an offensive struggle. That's not the problem that USC has.

1326
01:03:15,200 --> 01:03:17,840
Speaker 1: They are loaded with talent. No matter how many players

1327
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:20,120
Speaker 1: get into the portal or how many players opt out

1328
01:03:20,160 --> 01:03:22,440
Speaker 1: for the NFL, they are still loaded with two of

1329
01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:24,720
Speaker 1: the best players in the nation in the slot, from TODJ.

1330
01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:28,280
Speaker 1: Washington to Zachariah Branch Miller. Moss has been at quarterback

1331
01:03:28,320 --> 01:03:30,240
Speaker 1: at this He's been in the system forever. He knows

1332
01:03:30,280 --> 01:03:32,880
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley's system and can run it. Plus, you look

1333
01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:35,160
Speaker 1: on defense, I think there's going to be a massive

1334
01:03:35,160 --> 01:03:37,600
Speaker 1: improvement in tackling here. I'm not saying their schemes are good.

1335
01:03:37,600 --> 01:03:40,200
Speaker 1: I'm not saying their blitzing is good. But with Deanton

1336
01:03:40,320 --> 01:03:43,640
Speaker 1: Lynn coming over from UCLA and attending every single one

1337
01:03:43,680 --> 01:03:46,600
Speaker 1: of USC's practices. I think the fundamentals are going to

1338
01:03:46,640 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 1: be better from a tackling perspective.

1339
01:03:48,720 --> 01:03:50,479
Speaker 2: Give me a USC not just to cover the seven

1340
01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:52,480
Speaker 2: and a half. I think they can be Littleville outright.

1341
01:03:53,520 --> 01:03:56,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, wouldn't shock me either. And for third down, let's

1342
01:03:56,840 --> 01:04:00,960
Speaker 3: go favor total. I'm gonna go with the Oregon State

1343
01:04:01,000 --> 01:04:03,760
Speaker 3: and Entre Dame Sun Bowl under. I don't know how

1344
01:04:03,800 --> 01:04:06,040
Speaker 3: either team scores this game. The game is a disaster.

1345
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:08,720
Speaker 3: You need a way to bet it. It's the under total.

1346
01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go SMU Boston College Fenway.

1347
01:04:11,600 --> 01:04:14,560
Speaker 1: You know the fact that the field goes from home

1348
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:16,360
Speaker 1: play to Pesky's Pole and the wind is going to

1349
01:04:16,440 --> 01:04:18,720
Speaker 1: blow two offenses. I think you're going to be a

1350
01:04:18,760 --> 01:04:21,360
Speaker 1: little bit struggling here. We got backup quarterbacks. We've got

1351
01:04:21,360 --> 01:04:24,440
Speaker 1: a Boston College team with Thomas Caslanos can't throw the ball.

1352
01:04:24,800 --> 01:04:26,360
Speaker 1: Give me the under here in the Fenway the with

1353
01:04:26,400 --> 01:04:27,360
Speaker 1: Sabi Fenway Bowl.

1354
01:04:27,960 --> 01:04:31,919
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff. Twelve bowls that I'm sure most

1355
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:35,520
Speaker 3: of you will be betting after Christmas. We still have

1356
01:04:35,560 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 3: the most important ones to get to, which we will

1357
01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:42,200
Speaker 3: in Part four. But I hope everyone has a safe

1358
01:04:42,320 --> 01:04:46,320
Speaker 3: and happy holiday. Season cash some Bowl winners. Make sure

1359
01:04:46,360 --> 01:04:49,120
Speaker 3: you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe, Tell a friend, Tell on enemy.

1360
01:04:49,160 --> 01:04:51,040
Speaker 3: Thanks to Colm for joining me, as always, thanks to

1361
01:04:51,040 --> 01:04:53,360
Speaker 3: our producer Matt Mitchell on the back end. Thanks most

1362
01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:55,760
Speaker 3: importantly to all of you for tuning in and we

1363
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 3: will see you in a couple of days for Bole

1364
01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:02,320
Speaker 3: Betting Preview Part four and we'll finally get to the

1365
01:05:02,320 --> 01:05:04,840
Speaker 3: conturable playoff. But good luck on all of your wagers.

1366
01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:06,680
Speaker 3: Happy holidays, cheers, peace out.

1367
01:05:07,920 --> 01:05:10,640
Speaker 4: It's the most squamderful time.

1368
01:05:11,400 --> 01:05:13,880
Speaker 1: It's the most squammer.

1369
01:05:13,840 --> 01:05:34,600
Speaker 4: Time all the most squadder time of the.

1370
01:05:27,680 --> 01:05:31,120
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1371
01:05:31,520 --> 01:05:34,480
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1372
01:05:34,640 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1373
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler