WEBVTT - NFC West breakdown with Scott Fish

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,

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<v Speaker 1>and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show.

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<v Speaker 1>Now here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly.

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<v Speaker 1>I am Paul charchy In. My co host this week

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<v Speaker 1>is not Brian Johnson. It is Scott Fish. I'm back.

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<v Speaker 1>You're back. It's only been five months or whatever we've

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<v Speaker 1>missed you. It does feel that long. It's been way

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<v Speaker 1>too long, way too long. It's gonna be back, though.

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<v Speaker 1>It is good to have you back. I blame I

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<v Speaker 1>blame the pandemic. It's a convenient excuse for many things.

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<v Speaker 1>And we'll but it's great to have you back. I

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<v Speaker 1>blame Johnson. You'll be a regular back on the show

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<v Speaker 1>beginning in August, which would be fantastic. And we're in

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<v Speaker 1>the middle of f S s f B eleven, which

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<v Speaker 1>is very exciting. I think I've I think I'm in

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<v Speaker 1>my drafts in round eleven right now. I think something

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<v Speaker 1>like that. Half way done, yeah, half way done. Lots

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<v Speaker 1>of quarterbacks going early. That's the tight ends going early.

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<v Speaker 1>It's yeah, and just so scott Fish Bowl and going great,

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<v Speaker 1>eleven hundred ish teams, just one one thousand, nine hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty teams, thousand, nine hundred, twelve hundred teams. No,

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<v Speaker 1>one thousand, nine hundred and twenties, so nearly two thousand teams,

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand teams, and then another doing satellites. Jeez, that's amazing, amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you're out there and you commission one Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>league and and have trouble with that, just multiply that

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<v Speaker 1>by about three hundred something. Jeez. Uh, you have no

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<v Speaker 1>tolerance for goofiness when you're when you're commissioning that many leagues,

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<v Speaker 1>it's hurting cats. Your American's commissioner. Now we're not for

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that John the Commissioner has commission like that.

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<v Speaker 1>There's John the Commissioner haber Meyer, and he's forever locked

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<v Speaker 1>up the commissioner Moniker. But what about America's commissioner. If

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<v Speaker 1>you google America's commissioner, you might be the first there

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<v Speaker 1>might not. Nobody's taken it yet, what do you think

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<v Speaker 1>I might as well take it. I hereby sanctify and

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<v Speaker 1>officially name you America's Commissioner Scott fish see as the

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<v Speaker 1>godfather fantas football. I feel you have that right. I

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<v Speaker 1>feel you're you're laying the sword down on that. Absolutely.

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<v Speaker 1>We have an exciting announcement. We are opening an uh

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<v Speaker 1>an official Scott fish Bowl. It's not I guess, a satellite,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a side projects event, a guillotine league

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<v Speaker 1>for Scott fish Bowl. All the proceeds go to Scott

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<v Speaker 1>fish Bowl. In Fantasy Cares, UH it is fifty dollars

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<v Speaker 1>to join. It's the super chop format. Most of our

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<v Speaker 1>listeners are know about guillotine leagues. The super chop format

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<v Speaker 1>is a little bit different in that twelve twelve team leagues.

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<v Speaker 1>You will join one twelve team league. If you are

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<v Speaker 1>the winner of your twelve team league, you then go

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<v Speaker 1>to the playoffs with the other eleven winners for a

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<v Speaker 1>chance to get to the to be the champion. Now

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<v Speaker 1>for the fifty bucks, and if we fill this, Scott,

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<v Speaker 1>when we fill it, that's seven thousand dollars to Fantasy Cares.

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<v Speaker 1>That which is fantastic. Um. Your fifty dollars gets you

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<v Speaker 1>a pretty good deal on this. Rhodor Wire is kicking

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<v Speaker 1>in a free NFL subscription with your entry fee, So

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<v Speaker 1>that's a thirty dollar value and you get that as

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<v Speaker 1>soon as the league fails, so you get that. Then

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<v Speaker 1>if you are one of the twelve league winners in

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<v Speaker 1>our super Chop format for the Scott's Full Love and

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<v Speaker 1>Guillotine Leagues, you get two things. You get an automatic

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<v Speaker 1>entry well you go, sure, you get an automatic entry

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<v Speaker 1>in SFB twelve next year to play with your favorite

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<v Speaker 1>analysts and celebrities and former professional athletes and movie stars

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<v Speaker 1>and TV actors and stuff, all the people you you

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<v Speaker 1>want to play with in SFP twelve. And you also

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<v Speaker 1>get a custom ring from Trophy Smack. Yes, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>beautiful and it's got specific artwork just for this Guillotine

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<v Speaker 1>League style scott Fish Bowl. It's a fish in a

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<v Speaker 1>bowl with the guillotine it is. It's it's awesome. I

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<v Speaker 1>love that. I love that. It's very nice. Matt Wallace

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<v Speaker 1>did a great job on that. And then if you

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<v Speaker 1>win the whole thing, you get a Trophy Smack trophy

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<v Speaker 1>um that you'll be the only one in the world

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<v Speaker 1>with this, the Guillotine League version of the Trophy Smack Trophy.

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<v Speaker 1>They make the best, most unique trophies. That's the fantastic stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>um and we're grateful for them. The focus and by

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<v Speaker 1>the way, if you're interested in joining this Scott Fish

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<v Speaker 1>Bowl Guillotine League, follow Scott Fish on Twitter Scott Fish

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four. Uh, follow me at Paul Charchian and Guillotine

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<v Speaker 1>Leagues dot com. You'll have information uh coming if now,

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<v Speaker 1>probably by the time you hear this. When as as

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<v Speaker 1>we're taping this, it's not yet live, but it's I

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<v Speaker 1>think it will be live when people hear this Guillotine

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<v Speaker 1>Leagues dot com. The focus of the rest of this show,

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<v Speaker 1>Scott is the NFC West. Yes, we've been breaking down

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<v Speaker 1>all of the teams forward looking not We're not repeating

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<v Speaker 1>what you already know what happened last year. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you think is going to happen for the four teams

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<v Speaker 1>in the NFC West this season? And at the end

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<v Speaker 1>of each team will identify the riskiest player at current

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<v Speaker 1>ADP and the play with the most upside based on

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<v Speaker 1>current a DP. Yep, it's exciting. I'm gonna let you

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<v Speaker 1>go first a team. I'm very excited about a team

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<v Speaker 1>that I think will challenge the Bucks to be the

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<v Speaker 1>in the Super Bowl for the NFC one of the

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<v Speaker 1>two favorites that is the Los Angeles Rams. I think

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<v Speaker 1>Vegas agrees with you on that one. It's they're right

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<v Speaker 1>up there at top five betting they should be the Rams. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So we'll start with the passing game. Matthew Stafford currently

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<v Speaker 1>going off the board is QB twelve, eighth or ninth round,

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<v Speaker 1>usually around the eighth round. Usually for me, quarterbacks going

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<v Speaker 1>in the single digits is a little too high for me.

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<v Speaker 1>But I love everything about Stafford this year. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that QB twelve is his floor. Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>feels that way, doesn't it, given the talent surrounding again, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>consistently with the Lions, he's had four thousand plus yard years,

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<v Speaker 1>thirty touchdown years, and now he goes to an offense

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<v Speaker 1>where Sean they made Jared Goff a forty hundred yard

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<v Speaker 1>and thirty two touchdown quarterback, and you could argue the

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<v Speaker 1>weapons now are might even be a little bit better

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<v Speaker 1>than they were because maybe the same similar But they

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<v Speaker 1>have a great defense. They had a great defense during

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<v Speaker 1>that great golf year, so I'm not concerned about that

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<v Speaker 1>being slowing down. McVeigh. McVeigh has been proven to let

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<v Speaker 1>his offense, you know, go, even with the defense being good,

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<v Speaker 1>they don't slow down the game. I think though, that

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<v Speaker 1>forty shred yards touchdowns is pretty much a floor for

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<v Speaker 1>Stafford this year. It is, doesn't it feel? It feels

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<v Speaker 1>like he was a he was a top twelve quarterback

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<v Speaker 1>with the Lions and all the things that were wrong there,

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<v Speaker 1>And now Stafford gets by far the best coaching he's

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<v Speaker 1>ever had, and the best every best running game he's

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<v Speaker 1>ever had, uh and the best wide receivers receiving options

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<v Speaker 1>he's ever had. And we'll go there with Cooper Cup

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<v Speaker 1>and Robert Woods, and I'm gonna lump them together a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit here because they're both going in the fifth round.

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<v Speaker 1>You're probably not gonna get both on your team when

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<v Speaker 1>you're drafting. That's maybe a corner maybe if you reach

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<v Speaker 1>to a reach around on one of them. Maybe. But

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<v Speaker 1>one thing I found very interesting with Cooper Cup when

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<v Speaker 1>I was doing the research is that he's had ninety

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<v Speaker 1>catches in back to back years, even through injuries. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's not targets, that's catches. That's a lot of catches

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<v Speaker 1>that is, and that's you know, that's where those of

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<v Speaker 1>us that are drafting for safety, I like Cooper Cup

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<v Speaker 1>more than Woods. If you're drafting for upside, then I

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<v Speaker 1>think I like Woods more than Cup. Yeah, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's fair and early reports from the OTAs and whatnot,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's a strong connection with Stafford. Uh. Woods is

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<v Speaker 1>the guy who was super consistent, like just sixty seventy

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<v Speaker 1>yards every game for a couple of years in a row.

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<v Speaker 1>Last year when the offense came down, he was he

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<v Speaker 1>was He was no longer that consistent guy. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think it comes back with with Stafford and he becomes

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<v Speaker 1>a consistent option again. He's he's got great deep ball potential,

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<v Speaker 1>which is something that's been Stafford's strong suit for a

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<v Speaker 1>long time and something they never had with golf. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so that field's gonna get stretched before it's It's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>golf golf did have a lot of twenty plus yard

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<v Speaker 1>passes UM, but he won't have the completion rate or

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<v Speaker 1>or the style of offense that the Stafford's gonna happen

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<v Speaker 1>with that UM. The other two receivers wide receivers at

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<v Speaker 1>least Jefferson and Van Jefferson into Shan Jackson. Van Jefferson

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<v Speaker 1>obviously a rookie last year, got in a very very

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<v Speaker 1>tiny amount. But if they've hyped him up a lot,

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<v Speaker 1>if they loves him, but they did bring into Sean Jackson,

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like as long as Deshan Jackson stays healthy,

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<v Speaker 1>they're gonna hurt each other. For fantasy, they're just gonna

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<v Speaker 1>they may have three wide receivers sets a lot, but

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<v Speaker 1>they might cancelate each other out just enough to not

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<v Speaker 1>be relevant for us from a fantasy standpoint. We need

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<v Speaker 1>Van Jefferson or de Sean Jackson to get hurt, and

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<v Speaker 1>it'll probably be de Sean Jackson. Yeah, yeah, if history

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<v Speaker 1>tells the same thing exactly. Yeah, that is the concern

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<v Speaker 1>with Jackson's that deep threat that when they had Cooks

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<v Speaker 1>is the third receiver they loved having that deep threat.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, I'm staying away from both of them. What

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<v Speaker 1>do you think about drafting Jackson got the last pick

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<v Speaker 1>of your draft, and you could just we don't drop

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<v Speaker 1>him if he doesn't, drop him if it doesn't work out,

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<v Speaker 1>or just start him in the first like three games

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<v Speaker 1>when you know that he's healthy and you could start

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<v Speaker 1>him there maybe, But I don't know. I think wait

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<v Speaker 1>and see you and I are far more excited, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>by the tight end position are for Los Angeles. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>And it's it's really a lot about value. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>Tyler Higbie. Gerald Everett is out of the out of

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<v Speaker 1>town now. Um, we have like pretty much a five

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<v Speaker 1>game sample size of Higbie with Everett, you know, mostly

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<v Speaker 1>out of the games and them running one tight end sets,

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<v Speaker 1>which is what we expect them to do this year.

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<v Speaker 1>And in that five game set at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen season, Higbee average nine catches for a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and five yards on eleven targets. That's not it's per

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<v Speaker 1>game numbers. That's really a hundred Even if you have that,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's like a four or five for fifty five

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<v Speaker 1>tight end. That's the top twelve tight end nowadays. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you if you took last year's numbers, where both

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<v Speaker 1>Gerald Everett and Tyler Higbee were neither were very startable, reliable,

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<v Speaker 1>But if you put their numbers together last year, you

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<v Speaker 1>had tight end five. Yeah. So if you think that Everett,

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<v Speaker 1>if you think Higby is gonna get most of Everett's work,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got tight end five and Higbee and he's going

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<v Speaker 1>off the boards. Tight end what's seventeen sev He's so

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<v Speaker 1>misdrafted right now. A lot analysts have him in their

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<v Speaker 1>top ten in rankings. It's it's just it's just a

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<v Speaker 1>it's a discrepancy, is what it is. It's it's just

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<v Speaker 1>too far off. You watch just changes between now and

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<v Speaker 1>week one. Yeah, you Higby is gonna start incrementally going

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<v Speaker 1>up draft forwards and once again, once again we think

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<v Speaker 1>this offense is going to be much better than that.

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<v Speaker 1>You mentioned Higgby plus Everett last year. Now, imagine with

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<v Speaker 1>a much better offense, better quarterback, right Yeah, yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>so way undervalued right now. For for Higbie, it's yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>onto the running game. Acres is currently going RB ten.

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<v Speaker 1>I I've mentioned I feel this is this is pretty fair.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like he ended this season with that twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two twenty six touches per game, and people are hoping

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<v Speaker 1>for that again. I think it's gonna be a little

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<v Speaker 1>below that, but I still think he's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a bell cow anytime you get a running back with

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<v Speaker 1>that much that many touches um going on. I do

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<v Speaker 1>think this is a year with seventeen games and reliance

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<v Speaker 1>on second running backs all over the NFL that Henderson

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<v Speaker 1>as RB fifty four round, I expect four touches for

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<v Speaker 1>running backs in this offense. I expect Henderson to be

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<v Speaker 1>on the field twenty five percent at the time. Percent

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<v Speaker 1>of time. I think he's going to be a back

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<v Speaker 1>that will see nearing ten touches a game. And if

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<v Speaker 1>Acres for some reason goes down he went down last year,

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<v Speaker 1>he could be huge. I'm trying to steal him in

0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:33.360
<v Speaker 1>those middle double digit rounds, but I feel like Acres

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 1>as a first round pick makes sense. Yeah, late first round,

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:38.599
<v Speaker 1>early second right. I love Acres. He's in my I

0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:41.760
<v Speaker 1>think he's my running back five right now. And um,

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:43.599
<v Speaker 1>the reason I love him is the usage. At the

0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:45.599
<v Speaker 1>end of the year, he was, as you mentioned, he

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:47.920
<v Speaker 1>was getting whatever twenty I think it was twenty five

0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:51.559
<v Speaker 1>total touches per game because his targets could come up. Honestly,

0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:54.680
<v Speaker 1>they could, they really need to. Going into the playoffs,

0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:56.839
<v Speaker 1>it was I think twenty five per game over the

0:12:56.960 --> 0:12:58.800
<v Speaker 1>last like four or five games of the year. And

0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:03.200
<v Speaker 1>then I go back to I know Sean McVeigh has

0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:05.800
<v Speaker 1>run a committee the last couple of years. Before that,

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:11.360
<v Speaker 1>Todd Gurley was a freaking beast who he ran into

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:13.240
<v Speaker 1>the ground and want to be part of that. An

0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 1>absolute workhorse. So Todd mcveigh's got him, got it in

0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:18.679
<v Speaker 1>him to have a workhorse back. I just think he

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 1>hasn't had a good enough back. You know, Malcolm Brown

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:23.199
<v Speaker 1>was never good enough to be a work horse back.

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Maybe he's gonna maybe he saw that

0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:28.600
<v Speaker 1>he ran Gurley down and he's gonna be like all

0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 1>running Gurley down was get me to a super Bowl?

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Want why? Right? So? I think, um, I think Acres

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 1>has got eighteen to twenty two is touches a game

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>built into him and that that is going to be

0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 1>enough to make him a rock solid RB one And

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 1>I like Acres. Yes, all right, have we missed anybody?

0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:55.160
<v Speaker 1>I think we've covered No, We've covered all the key

0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:58.040
<v Speaker 1>points here. We've covered him. Uh. You mentioned at the

0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:01.439
<v Speaker 1>top that you wanted me to give one who's super undervalued,

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 1>give me the riskiest player at ADP and the play

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 1>with the most upside based on ADP. Alright, So I

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 1>think the player with the most upside based on ADP

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 1>is pretty clearly Higbie correct. I think at tight end seventeen, like,

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.960
<v Speaker 1>I think it's this well, I said Stafford being drafted

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 1>at his floor. I think Higby's being drafted well belowest

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 1>floor for some for some reason. Uh so Higby's the

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 1>that one. All right? How about the risk is riskies?

0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:31.600
<v Speaker 1>This is really tough. I don't think any of them

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:34.360
<v Speaker 1>are that risky where they're going. I actually like the

0:14:34.480 --> 0:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>value on all of these players. But if I had

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 1>to pick one, it's just got to be Acres because

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 1>he's a first rounder. But yeah, where's he going? Where

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 1>he's going? Yeah, and you know running backs, we saw

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 1>McCaffrey and Barkley last year, like and Acres got hurt

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 1>last year. That's where where Acres. Where Acres is going from,

0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm putting out might do the opposite hat right now.

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:01.600
<v Speaker 1>Where he is going is where all so many of

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:04.200
<v Speaker 1>the running back failures come is the end of the

0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:06.400
<v Speaker 1>first round beginning in the second round, when you're paying

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 1>this heavy price on a guy who isn't Derrick Henry

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.280
<v Speaker 1>Dalvin Cook. Right. You know, these these proven workhorse backs,

0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 1>These are guys you're projecting to be great, but a

0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of the time it doesn't work out. Yeah, that

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's the range where they've shown the potential

0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:26.720
<v Speaker 1>and they've done it in Spans, but you don't know

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:29.480
<v Speaker 1>that they can do it for a full season. Correct. Uh,

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>let's move well, actually, let's do this. Let's take a

0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:33.880
<v Speaker 1>quick break, come back. I want to talk about the

0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco forty nine, another team that could be a

0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:40.280
<v Speaker 1>fringe super Bowl team if things break the right way

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:42.480
<v Speaker 1>in an offense that's gonna get a lot better. Let's

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:44.240
<v Speaker 1>talk nine ers when we come back in just a moment.

0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul charch

0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>In and Scott Fish with you. We already broke down

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>the Rams. Let's pivot from one brilliant offensive mind, Sean

0:15:56.880 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 1>McVeigh to the best offensive end of the game, and

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that is Kyle Shanahan. For some reason, the way you

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>said that like brilliant, like brilliant offensive mind, like I

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:14.240
<v Speaker 1>was thinking, like George Carlin. Yes, I don't know. Uh,

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 1>you know what the funny thing is if you go

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 1>back now and listen to his stuff by today's standard,

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:22.640
<v Speaker 1>so it's it's lukewarm. It's like, you know, it's like,

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, you could like a kid show. It's

0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>nothing by today's standards. Carlin was great in his day. Um,

0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the stuff does not hold up all

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 1>that well, like the trippy hippie Weatherman stuff. It's just

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 1>it just isn't. It just doesn't. It just doesn't work today.

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>But a lot of comedy is that way unfortunately. UM.

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Kyle Shannon has the best offensive mind of the game,

0:16:46.160 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>and the Niners are primed for an offensive breakout after

0:16:50.200 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 1>last year ranking fourteenth in yards and twenty one points

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 1>using mostly Nick Mullins and c. J. Beth at quarterback.

0:16:57.160 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 1>I think this team gets way way better on offense,

0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 1>and part of my optimism is around the offensive line.

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.240
<v Speaker 1>The Niners get two huge boosts in the off season

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:10.720
<v Speaker 1>the resigning of left tackle Trent Williams. Williams was Pro

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:14.120
<v Speaker 1>Football Focus is number one ranked left tackle last year.

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Why Washington ever got to a point where they let

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 1>him go? It was crazy. And then they also signed

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>center Alex math Mac, a longtime veteran. Sixteenth ranks center

0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>doesn't sound like great, but when last year center ranked

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 1>like thirty, it's way it's a sizable improvement for them.

0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 1>And they still have Mike McGlinchey, a former first rounder,

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 1>on the right side, and he's very good, especially in

0:17:34.840 --> 0:17:37.159
<v Speaker 1>the run. So I like the offensive line, and that

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:39.560
<v Speaker 1>really brings us to what's going to be one of

0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:43.560
<v Speaker 1>the best developments to watch in the preseason, Scott, and

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 1>that is Trey Lance. How ready is Trey Lance to

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>make an impact and how soon? And watching him in

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:55.119
<v Speaker 1>the preseason will be fascinating. He could be every bit

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 1>as raw as an eleven start college player can be.

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 1>But if he looks good Man, the runway on Jimmy

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Garoppolo could be very short. Yeah, I feel like it

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:09.440
<v Speaker 1>would be. I have a couple of different thoughts on

0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:13.920
<v Speaker 1>this that A Shanahan should probably see the tactical advantage

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.159
<v Speaker 1>of having a guy with that kind of mobility in

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:19.400
<v Speaker 1>an offense he already likes to run. Uh. The other

0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 1>one is this is, you know, Jimmy Garoppolo. We have

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>a quarterback that was benched not for injury, but legitimately

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:31.240
<v Speaker 1>benched for poor play by four C. J. Beathard and

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Nick Mullin's over the last two years. So I think

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:39.399
<v Speaker 1>guided them to a Super Bowl two years ago. So

0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean there is that. I mean Garoppolo has there

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 1>has been functional Yes, Yeah, it's it. He knows the offense,

0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:50.400
<v Speaker 1>he knows all the nuances. You know, there's I think

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:53.159
<v Speaker 1>he's got real competition behind him now, so yeah, and

0:18:53.240 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe he'll be better for it. Maybe um Lands is

0:18:57.359 --> 0:19:00.680
<v Speaker 1>the player fantasy owners want in the game. It's just

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 1>a matter of when. And it makes it a tricky

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 1>to draft Trey Lance knowing you may get literally no

0:19:07.160 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 1>starts from him. Look look at Patrick Mahomes. They didn't

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>start him his entire rookie year, well weeks, you know,

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 1>in a meaningless week seventeen game. That's it. So um

0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>the snazzy, the snazzy draft angle, Scott is this. You

0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:29.320
<v Speaker 1>draft both Garoppolo and Tray Lance at their ADP. For

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Garoppolo it's picked two hundred sixty two, it's free, and

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:38.480
<v Speaker 1>then Tray Tray Lance is going after board his quarterback.

0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>So you take Lance in like that was that's roughly

0:19:43.080 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>round twelve, round thirteen. So you take Lance there at

0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 1>twelve and thirteen. That's cheap considering how good Tray Lance

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 1>can be. You back them up with Jimmy Garoppolo as

0:19:52.359 --> 0:19:54.440
<v Speaker 1>the last pick of your draft, and you've got Kyle

0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 1>Shanahan starting quarterback, And why do you want Kyle Shanahan's

0:19:57.680 --> 0:20:00.640
<v Speaker 1>starting quarterback? Even if it's Jimmy Garoppolo. The last three

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 1>years Shanahan's quarterbacks as a team, San Francisco has finished

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>and nineteen in touchdown passes, most of them thrown by

0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Nick Mullins and c. J. Beathard. Yeah, that's that's pretty good.

0:20:14.080 --> 0:20:18.240
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty good. And you've only invested a thirteen rounder

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>and a twentieth rounder to get that quarterback hook up. Yeah,

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:24.119
<v Speaker 1>if I remember correctly, Matt Ryan had some good stats

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 1>with Shanahan too. Matt Ryan did, Okay, Okay, let's talk

0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 1>to wide receivers. Brandon iok is fascinating to me. I

0:20:34.600 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 1>think he just had one of the better rookie seasons

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:42.719
<v Speaker 1>that nobody's talking about last year in his final six games,

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>by the way, in the middle of which he had COVID.

0:20:45.440 --> 0:20:49.159
<v Speaker 1>In his final six full games, despite catching one hoppers

0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:53.359
<v Speaker 1>from Bethard to Mullins, his average line was twelve targets,

0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:58.320
<v Speaker 1>eight receptions, eighty three yards and almost a touchdown per game.

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:04.879
<v Speaker 1>That's almost Higby without everyting exactly exactly. Now, in fairness,

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:07.879
<v Speaker 1>Kittle was gone for half of those games. Samuel has

0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:11.040
<v Speaker 1>gone for half of those games. But it also demonstrates

0:21:11.200 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 1>that I you can carry a passing offense. That's that's

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>the way I see it is that I showed that

0:21:16.560 --> 0:21:19.760
<v Speaker 1>he's a true Alpha, even even with nobody else to

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 1>throw too. He's got I think he has wide receiver.

0:21:23.480 --> 0:21:27.200
<v Speaker 1>I think he has like wide receiver ten twelve upside

0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:32.080
<v Speaker 1>Brandon Ayuk absolutely completely. Then there's Deebo Samuel who lost

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:34.160
<v Speaker 1>much of last year. First he had the preseason foot

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:36.399
<v Speaker 1>injury that cost him three or four games at the

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 1>start of the season. Then he got COVID, Then he

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:43.040
<v Speaker 1>had a hamstring injury. But Deebo Samuel still played in

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:46.360
<v Speaker 1>seven games and he led the NFL in yards after

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 1>catch at twelve yards. Just unreal, which is unreal. Yeah,

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:51.639
<v Speaker 1>he basically had a negat I'm pretty sure he did

0:21:51.720 --> 0:21:54.040
<v Speaker 1>have a negative a dot average stuff that I think

0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:57.119
<v Speaker 1>it was negative point two yards was a dot. So

0:21:57.400 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 1>they're throwing bubble screens to him, and he was turning

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 1>a typical bubble screen into a game of twelve yards,

0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>which is pretty impressive. It makes sense they used this

0:22:07.560 --> 0:22:10.040
<v Speaker 1>as an extension of the run game, and run games

0:22:10.080 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>are amazing. They are amazing. Um, if if they can

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 1>stretch him a little bit more downfield and tray Lance

0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 1>would be the way to do that. Deebo Samuel gets

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 1>even more interesting, but he is a remarkably powerful so

0:22:24.240 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 1>he bullies people, he doesn't he I think he's the

0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:29.720
<v Speaker 1>closest thing to Percy Harvin when Percy Harvan went Rookie

0:22:29.760 --> 0:22:31.200
<v Speaker 1>of the Year and he was so good in those

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:33.840
<v Speaker 1>first couple of years. I think I think Deebo Samuel's

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:36.920
<v Speaker 1>right on that trajectory, which I love. Um perfect for

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Trey Lance too, who reads the field low to high. Yeah,

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 1>so he'll be looking at Samuel first and then working

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 1>his way downfield. And tray Lance has a great de

0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 1>ball deep ball to us. But but yeah, that's yeah.

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Matt Waldman has talked about how that's how he reads

0:22:52.680 --> 0:22:56.640
<v Speaker 1>the field, and with Deebo downshort, that's perfect. Richie James

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:59.399
<v Speaker 1>is your other probable starter. Jalen Hurt's coming off his

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:02.159
<v Speaker 1>a CLF from last year, and I think Mohamedson, who

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:06.520
<v Speaker 1>honestly could get cut. I'm not drafting him. Let's go

0:23:06.600 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>to the type quarterback it could be, could be. Uh,

0:23:10.640 --> 0:23:12.120
<v Speaker 1>let's go to the tight end. You already know everything

0:23:12.119 --> 0:23:14.240
<v Speaker 1>about George Kittle and you know he's awesome. I guess

0:23:14.280 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>the thing. I want to want you to know two things.

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.680
<v Speaker 1>One is fully recovered from the injuries last year. You

0:23:19.720 --> 0:23:21.840
<v Speaker 1>may have forgotten he actually played in week sixteen weeks

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 1>seventeen last year. So fully healthy right now for George

0:23:25.040 --> 0:23:29.119
<v Speaker 1>Kittle and Scott you're getting him at a full round

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:32.040
<v Speaker 1>later in a DPS third round this year. He was

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:35.560
<v Speaker 1>second round last year for George Kittle. And his quarterbacking

0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:37.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to be better this year. One way or another.

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:41.280
<v Speaker 1>The quarterbacking will be better. Yep. He he does have,

0:23:41.560 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 1>He does have more to compete with now. I mean,

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>I can Samuel are going to take take some targets

0:23:46.680 --> 0:23:48.400
<v Speaker 1>that he would have had the last couple of years.

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:52.920
<v Speaker 1>But once again, more potent offense rise and tide raises

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:55.640
<v Speaker 1>all boats. So that's the passing game, and we love

0:23:55.720 --> 0:23:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the passing game. The running games all frustration for fan

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:02.200
<v Speaker 1>for fan at the owners. So you know, you know

0:24:02.280 --> 0:24:04.359
<v Speaker 1>what Cal Shanahan works. You're gonna get a lot of running,

0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:06.600
<v Speaker 1>but it's gonna be spread out over guys and in

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:09.160
<v Speaker 1>different situations in ways that are gonna frustrate fantasy owners

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:13.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot. I want to start with rookie Troy Sermon

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>because there's so much interested in him. They took Tray

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>Sermon in the third round, and I think that's a reach,

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think he's a special player. Pro Football

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>Focus had Sermon graded in the sixth round. Obviously, the

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Niners saw things they liked. But and there are things

0:24:30.840 --> 0:24:34.720
<v Speaker 1>that I like. He's he's got good balance, good start stoppability,

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 1>He's got decent vision. But there's a lot of things

0:24:37.720 --> 0:24:40.919
<v Speaker 1>I don't like about Tray Sermon. He's not that fast.

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:43.520
<v Speaker 1>He's a bit tall for the position, which gives defenders

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 1>a big target to hit. He ran behind these big

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 1>offensive lines when he was at Oklahoma and Ohio State.

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:51.359
<v Speaker 1>That opened up massive holes for him. Um, he's I

0:24:51.400 --> 0:24:53.639
<v Speaker 1>think he's just an average athlete and they rarely use

0:24:53.720 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>him in the passing game. I just I don't think

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:58.640
<v Speaker 1>he's a special guy. But I think you're a little

0:24:58.680 --> 0:25:00.560
<v Speaker 1>I think you're a little warmer on a sermon that

0:25:00.640 --> 0:25:03.920
<v Speaker 1>I am, yeah, a little bit. Um. I I just

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>think that they're going to run a ton and it's

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 1>all about your opportunity in what's going to be a

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:13.960
<v Speaker 1>good offense. I think he's gonna get touches. I I

0:25:14.119 --> 0:25:16.480
<v Speaker 1>think that they both might, and I think that the

0:25:16.520 --> 0:25:19.000
<v Speaker 1>rest of the running backs tend to have some injury history,

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:22.359
<v Speaker 1>especially Mostart, so I love most when he plays, and

0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Wilson's going to miss the first month of the

0:25:24.280 --> 0:25:27.000
<v Speaker 1>season or so. I just think there's opportunity there. And

0:25:27.440 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 1>on the passing game thing, I do find it interesting

0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:34.399
<v Speaker 1>how Shanahan has taken like traditional like DeVonta Freeman in

0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Atlanta did not catch passes in college like he caught

0:25:37.240 --> 0:25:40.399
<v Speaker 1>maybe fIF and he was catching in the pros. So

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:47.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's a chance development shoulders. People can't see

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 1>your shoulders, but that's why I said it. Um, So

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about Mostart for a minute. When healthy is

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 1>a good back till last year, I think he appeared

0:25:57.600 --> 0:26:00.040
<v Speaker 1>in seven games up the top of my head. But

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:01.840
<v Speaker 1>what I can tell you for certain is five and

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:04.640
<v Speaker 1>a half yards per carry for Mostard in a bad year,

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and he's always had high yards percaring, high yards per reception.

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 1>That's been a Moster thing. And he can catch. Um.

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:14.840
<v Speaker 1>He averaged points seven yards over expectation, which was tenth

0:26:15.040 --> 0:26:18.440
<v Speaker 1>best in the league last year. Most are too good back.

0:26:19.400 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 1>His average draft position makes it tricky to go to

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:25.920
<v Speaker 1>war with him, he's running back twenty six and round five,

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:29.200
<v Speaker 1>so you're you're kind of in that area. It's like

0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Mike Davis or he Mostart. Yeah, that's that's where you

0:26:35.160 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 1>get out of the clear cut starters and into the

0:26:37.119 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 1>backfields that you hope, you hope one of them can

0:26:39.840 --> 0:26:42.440
<v Speaker 1>take it over. Mike Davis is he's got all the

0:26:42.560 --> 0:26:44.719
<v Speaker 1>chances in the world to know. It's all the opportunity,

0:26:44.920 --> 0:26:49.000
<v Speaker 1>but so to Todd rule and he was brutal, so

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 1>opportunity doesn't always end up. And honestly, Mike Davis last

0:26:52.160 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 1>year when he did other like, he started out hot,

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:57.439
<v Speaker 1>but he really tailed off quick. So yeah, right right,

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:01.080
<v Speaker 1>he didn't look like he was a season long, full

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:03.280
<v Speaker 1>time starter, which he had never been before last year.

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Wayne Gallman is also now in San Francisco, and he

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:09.160
<v Speaker 1>muddies the water. Is even further, who's actually pretty capable

0:27:09.359 --> 0:27:14.080
<v Speaker 1>last year with the Giants um and he likely him

0:27:14.280 --> 0:27:16.560
<v Speaker 1>Wilson later when he comes back. Are just gonna They're

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna frustrate fantasy owners to some degree. Mostly, I'm just

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:24.680
<v Speaker 1>staying away from this whole situation. Do you wonder so

0:27:24.880 --> 0:27:30.200
<v Speaker 1>most is it's the last year of his contract. Does

0:27:30.280 --> 0:27:32.440
<v Speaker 1>that change anything for you? Do they run him into

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>the ground a little more knowing they're not gonna keep

0:27:34.400 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 1>him potentially, Like, does that way at all? You know?

0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>I just think Shannon is who he is, I think,

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:41.639
<v Speaker 1>and you know, I don't. I don't think it does.

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:45.399
<v Speaker 1>We'll just he'll just he'll just play his games with

0:27:45.480 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 1>that running back by committee and sometimes sometimes we play,

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:50.639
<v Speaker 1>sometimes we play that factor. I just didn't know that.

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:53.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it does here. But that's just me

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:56.680
<v Speaker 1>a different coach. I would give you a different answer exactly. Yeah,

0:27:56.760 --> 0:27:59.920
<v Speaker 1>different coach, just different answer. The risk is player to

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:02.119
<v Speaker 1>adp to me as Tray Sermon running back forty and

0:28:02.200 --> 0:28:04.120
<v Speaker 1>round nine. I realized that you're not paying a lot

0:28:04.200 --> 0:28:06.879
<v Speaker 1>at that point. But I feel like he's not the

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:11.200
<v Speaker 1>I I can't tell you when he'll start a game,

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 1>and maybe not this year, even if most are goes out,

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:16.160
<v Speaker 1>it might be Wayne Golman starting or Jeff Wilson starting.

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:18.600
<v Speaker 1>So to me, there's more risk there the player at

0:28:18.600 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the most upside compared to a DP. And there's a

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:23.560
<v Speaker 1>bunch of niners that fall into this category. But Brandon,

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.399
<v Speaker 1>a wide receiver twenty seven in the fifth round is

0:28:26.800 --> 0:28:29.520
<v Speaker 1>my guy showing some special traits that can make him

0:28:29.560 --> 0:28:32.640
<v Speaker 1>one of the league's better receivers. I think both Ayu

0:28:32.760 --> 0:28:38.080
<v Speaker 1>and Samuel fall for I think they're both ways I

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:40.480
<v Speaker 1>would take. I would too, yeah, but not by a lot.

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:44.720
<v Speaker 1>I think I might cheat you. They're separated by the

0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 1>should be. Really they should be like the cup and

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:50.960
<v Speaker 1>woods of it is similar to that. Um there's a

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 1>bit of a one to punch in Seattle, but not

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:57.680
<v Speaker 1>really in the same way. Seattle's got Dk Metcalfoy. I

0:28:57.720 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>think in the the in fantasy owners minds, DK metcalf

0:29:01.280 --> 0:29:04.040
<v Speaker 1>is the focal point of that offense just because of

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the you know, the highlights in the body and everything else,

0:29:06.280 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the special trades that he's got. Let's let's break down

0:29:09.080 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 1>the Seattle Seahawks for this season. Sure, sure, I was

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:14.040
<v Speaker 1>wondering if we're gonna take a break there or not

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 1>break coming up after the Seahawks. Alright, let's let's do that.

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:20.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, Uh Seattle Seahawks. Let's start with the passing game,

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 1>which we seems to have each time. Uh, Russell Wilson

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:26.720
<v Speaker 1>not a requirement. You want to start with Chris Carson.

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>It's fine by me because I love Chris car All right,

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>let's start with Chris Carson, because alright, I think we're

0:29:32.320 --> 0:29:33.959
<v Speaker 1>two of the guys in the industry that love Chris

0:29:34.040 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 1>Carson a little more with nobody else. Everybody else was like,

0:29:38.320 --> 0:29:41.040
<v Speaker 1>I gotta take Chris Carson. I'm the guy like, yeah,

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Chris Carson. I got him in the third, late third,

0:29:45.440 --> 0:29:48.240
<v Speaker 1>early fourth. Whatever is my RB two. I love this

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 1>because he can put up RB one numbers, which we

0:29:51.080 --> 0:29:54.920
<v Speaker 1>both believe he's going RB nineteen late third, early fourth, uh,

0:29:56.000 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>well below where we think. He's had nine touchdowns in

0:29:58.960 --> 0:30:03.240
<v Speaker 1>three straight years. He's had plus total yards each of

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the you know, twenty nineteen, twenty nineteen. Last year he

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:08.920
<v Speaker 1>missed like five games or so, so he did not

0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:13.200
<v Speaker 1>hit that total. But this year, uh, Pete Carroll has

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 1>already talked about running the ball more, being more committed

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:18.440
<v Speaker 1>to the run um. I think the offense is gonna

0:30:18.440 --> 0:30:21.239
<v Speaker 1>be a little better, a little more efficient, and uh

0:30:21.360 --> 0:30:24.680
<v Speaker 1>it's always efficient, really, that offense is always efficient. But

0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:27.480
<v Speaker 1>if he stays healthy, I think he's got another thirteen

0:30:27.520 --> 0:30:30.760
<v Speaker 1>hundred plus yard nine touchdowns in him and going where

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 1>he's going RB nineteen as well. But he's not going

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:35.680
<v Speaker 1>is he's going as the last of the Bell cowbacks

0:30:35.680 --> 0:30:38.840
<v Speaker 1>and I think that's I think that's a flaw. Yeah, agreed, Agreed,

0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:41.960
<v Speaker 1>it is. You know, Carson is a good back. He's

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:44.600
<v Speaker 1>good and there's just nobody to take carries away from him.

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 1>And I don't think any kind of threat. It's getting worse.

0:30:47.800 --> 0:30:52.160
<v Speaker 1>Penny just went in this month for a re like

0:30:52.360 --> 0:30:55.520
<v Speaker 1>another surgery on his knee, clean up on his on

0:30:55.680 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 1>his knee from last year, and he Penny's going our

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 1>B fifty three twelve round. I actually liked that and

0:31:02.840 --> 0:31:06.640
<v Speaker 1>tell this recent news because I want all the backup

0:31:06.720 --> 0:31:09.480
<v Speaker 1>running backs this year. I feel like with this seventeen

0:31:09.520 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 1>game season, those backup running backs, as I mentioned with

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Henderson earlier, those backup running backs are going to get

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 1>on the field of the time whatever it is. But

0:31:18.880 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 1>with this one, Alex Collins has gaining all the work

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:23.320
<v Speaker 1>right now with Carson and Penny not at O T

0:31:23.480 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>A S and uh Penny with the injury. Man, I

0:31:27.840 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 1>I just think it's going to be a lot of

0:31:29.400 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 1>Carson this year. So Carson could get two hundred eight

0:31:33.600 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 1>two three hundred total touches. Could be one of those

0:31:37.960 --> 0:31:41.560
<v Speaker 1>years and it's another one of those that we're gonna

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 1>talk about this now. Everybody's gonna draft him in the

0:31:43.840 --> 0:31:47.000
<v Speaker 1>fourth is RB nineteen, and at the end of the year,

0:31:47.040 --> 0:31:49.120
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be like, why didn't we see this? Guess

0:31:49.200 --> 0:31:51.200
<v Speaker 1>what if you listen to Fancy Football Weekly, you were

0:31:51.360 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 1>seen this coming. We're pretty confident about Chris carson Um.

0:31:56.040 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, let's go to the passing game. Russell

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.360
<v Speaker 1>Wilson was great in the first half last year and

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.760
<v Speaker 1>then the second half disaster. All these people that have

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:07.320
<v Speaker 1>been writing Russell Wilson in that passing game really got

0:32:07.400 --> 0:32:10.360
<v Speaker 1>stuck in the second half when the whole Seattle offense

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:15.240
<v Speaker 1>really struggled. Russell Wilson is currently going as QB six.

0:32:16.040 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 1>He's going in the late fifth and that's my problem.

0:32:20.080 --> 0:32:22.240
<v Speaker 1>That's my problem with Wilson. You mentioned how he tailed

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:24.000
<v Speaker 1>off at the end of the year. There's been a

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:26.200
<v Speaker 1>lot of years in his career where he started slower

0:32:26.280 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>and then he was just super hot at the end

0:32:27.960 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 1>of the year, which is maybe he's a half season

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:33.600
<v Speaker 1>quarterback and is finally end as season numbers always look good.

0:32:34.800 --> 0:32:37.960
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, that's my problem with Wilson. I know he's

0:32:38.120 --> 0:32:40.080
<v Speaker 1>he's probably fair in his end of the season numbers

0:32:40.120 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 1>are going to be in that QB four or five, six,

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:46.360
<v Speaker 1>seven eight range, Like he's gonna be a top twelve quarterback.

0:32:46.600 --> 0:32:48.760
<v Speaker 1>My problem is he goes in the fifth round. That's

0:32:48.840 --> 0:32:52.680
<v Speaker 1>that's even even in the sixth or seven, even the sixth,

0:32:52.720 --> 0:32:55.640
<v Speaker 1>it's too bad, Like I just can't do it. His

0:32:55.760 --> 0:32:57.920
<v Speaker 1>receiving game, though, there isn't a lot to talk about

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:02.120
<v Speaker 1>about DK Metcalf. He is he yards eight to ten,

0:33:02.200 --> 0:33:05.200
<v Speaker 1>twelve touchdown guy. He's going as wide receiver for he's

0:33:05.200 --> 0:33:07.920
<v Speaker 1>going at that value. I don't see I don't see

0:33:07.960 --> 0:33:10.720
<v Speaker 1>a path to outside of injury. I don't see a

0:33:10.760 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>path for him not to be that thousand plus eight

0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:17.160
<v Speaker 1>to twelve years, eight to twelve touchdown receiver. It feels

0:33:17.240 --> 0:33:20.560
<v Speaker 1>like it feels like a lock for him. Yeah, you know, yeah,

0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, like Russell Wilson, he did have some games

0:33:22.800 --> 0:33:26.680
<v Speaker 1>where he just disappeared last year, but just just but

0:33:28.120 --> 0:33:29.920
<v Speaker 1>he's built for He's built to be in the end

0:33:30.040 --> 0:33:31.640
<v Speaker 1>zone and found in the end zone. And it's his

0:33:31.760 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 1>third year and there have been lots of lots of

0:33:34.120 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 1>players that have mentioned this that and fantasy players have

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:38.800
<v Speaker 1>known for year third or year wide out is is

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:42.400
<v Speaker 1>a big deal. But uh yeah, like Chado Chosen has

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:45.520
<v Speaker 1>talked about this, where the third year, it's less about

0:33:45.680 --> 0:33:47.960
<v Speaker 1>less about you know, the stats going up, it's about

0:33:47.960 --> 0:33:51.280
<v Speaker 1>the receiver finally understanding the game and understanding how to

0:33:51.360 --> 0:33:55.960
<v Speaker 1>do certain things. And also, oh yeah, but that goes

0:33:56.000 --> 0:34:00.320
<v Speaker 1>in line with it, you know, Like so Metcalf's on that, Like,

0:34:00.560 --> 0:34:03.680
<v Speaker 1>I just don't Every receiver has down games. Most receivers

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:06.080
<v Speaker 1>have down games from time to time. It's gonna happen,

0:34:06.160 --> 0:34:08.839
<v Speaker 1>but he's going at the right place. What I don't

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:11.919
<v Speaker 1>like is Tyler Lockett a wide receiver twenty two. It's

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 1>just way too high for me. The end of the

0:34:14.120 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>fifth round. Um, I feel they're going to run more,

0:34:18.280 --> 0:34:21.360
<v Speaker 1>as Carol has stated, But even if they don't, Tyler

0:34:21.440 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Lockett has been so inconsistent over the last two years.

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:26.960
<v Speaker 1>I know, he has twenty eight touchdowns in the last

0:34:27.000 --> 0:34:31.160
<v Speaker 1>three years, which is amazing. That's awesome. That sounds season

0:34:31.280 --> 0:34:34.160
<v Speaker 1>is a solid number. It's like ten, ten and eight

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:37.400
<v Speaker 1>or whatever. But like three years ago, he was getting

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:39.680
<v Speaker 1>a touchdown like every other game like he was and

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:43.440
<v Speaker 1>he was super super consistent. The last two years though, however,

0:34:45.280 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 1>he had fifty. Nearly of his fantasy points came in

0:34:50.120 --> 0:34:54.120
<v Speaker 1>four games. That that is killer. That means the rest

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:57.640
<v Speaker 1>of the games are really bad. Yeah. Yeah. And last

0:34:57.719 --> 0:35:00.239
<v Speaker 1>year he had four games over seventy yards. Eight of

0:35:00.280 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 1>his ten touchdowns came in three games. Like that kills

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:07.440
<v Speaker 1>you the rest of the time in Guilloteen leagues, He's

0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:10.040
<v Speaker 1>a total disaster. This is the exact opposite of what

0:35:10.160 --> 0:35:14.839
<v Speaker 1>you want. Um. Yet Locket is being drafted. I think

0:35:14.880 --> 0:35:17.440
<v Speaker 1>people are drafting and based on remembering the highlights and

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:19.839
<v Speaker 1>remembering the big games, and he wasn't on your team

0:35:19.920 --> 0:35:23.759
<v Speaker 1>the yard game, right, three touchdown games. I think he

0:35:23.840 --> 0:35:26.919
<v Speaker 1>had two of those last year, two three touchdown games. Yeah,

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:29.759
<v Speaker 1>that's what they're remembering, and they don't see that you're

0:35:29.760 --> 0:35:32.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna lose a lot of weeks because you want him

0:35:32.719 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>in there for those those weeks that he doesn't uh.

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:38.200
<v Speaker 1>The problem with his draft position is I'm gonna list

0:35:38.320 --> 0:35:40.799
<v Speaker 1>players going within ten picks on either side of him,

0:35:41.600 --> 0:35:45.960
<v Speaker 1>Cooper Cup, Kenny Golladay, Jamaar Chase, Ceedee Lamb, Robert Woods,

0:35:46.040 --> 0:35:49.560
<v Speaker 1>d J Moore, Brendan Ayouk, Tee Haggins. I'd rather have

0:35:49.680 --> 0:35:55.480
<v Speaker 1>all of those them, you know, he's not. He's not

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:58.479
<v Speaker 1>on my draft board where where based on where people

0:35:58.480 --> 0:36:00.600
<v Speaker 1>are taking him right now? Now you on me, he's

0:36:00.800 --> 0:36:02.680
<v Speaker 1>an eighth or nine thrown pick him like, no, man,

0:36:02.800 --> 0:36:07.120
<v Speaker 1>he's my wide receiver three or flex. Yeah, but at

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 1>this point, the only way he's your wide receiver three

0:36:10.640 --> 0:36:14.399
<v Speaker 1>is if you're really weak at other positions. Yeah, where

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:16.839
<v Speaker 1>you're drafting him now? Um, And that's why I title

0:36:16.880 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 1>lock him not beyond any of my fantasy because I'm

0:36:19.239 --> 0:36:23.240
<v Speaker 1>not doing that now. Eskridge is a rookie. They drafted

0:36:23.320 --> 0:36:27.000
<v Speaker 1>a muscular, strong, not not super tall, but like a

0:36:27.080 --> 0:36:29.960
<v Speaker 1>muscular strong, you know, bully out there on the field.

0:36:30.520 --> 0:36:34.840
<v Speaker 1>Good receiver that we'll see how much play he gets

0:36:35.000 --> 0:36:37.319
<v Speaker 1>the third receiver, and there has been relevant from time

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:40.440
<v Speaker 1>to time. You could pick David Moore spots every now

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:42.600
<v Speaker 1>and again, and I think we take calmed him, take

0:36:42.640 --> 0:36:44.920
<v Speaker 1>a chance to we we take calm to him a

0:36:44.960 --> 0:36:47.720
<v Speaker 1>couple of times during the year. He's Chris Conley West,

0:36:50.480 --> 0:36:53.800
<v Speaker 1>so it's Conley in Houston. I think he's in Houston.

0:36:54.000 --> 0:36:55.719
<v Speaker 1>I think I think he is too. Yeah, yeah, he

0:36:55.840 --> 0:36:59.640
<v Speaker 1>was when we kept when we kept take comming him.

0:36:59.680 --> 0:37:02.840
<v Speaker 1>So that's why I went with the West. Yeah, you

0:37:03.640 --> 0:37:10.879
<v Speaker 1>you know you hit it. You your mother would call

0:37:10.960 --> 0:37:13.960
<v Speaker 1>you up the day before. He's gonna have a game

0:37:14.080 --> 0:37:18.480
<v Speaker 1>this week, call me up or just turn her head.

0:37:18.920 --> 0:37:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh boy, oh boy. Uh No, but I like Ascar.

0:37:22.960 --> 0:37:24.799
<v Speaker 1>It's just when are you gonna get him? And when

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:26.200
<v Speaker 1>are you going to know when to start him? He

0:37:26.200 --> 0:37:28.799
<v Speaker 1>should be on the field a decent amount though if

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:30.960
<v Speaker 1>he if he wins that role, he should be on

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:32.719
<v Speaker 1>on the outside there. He should be in the field

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:35.960
<v Speaker 1>a decent amount. Um, let's go to the tight ends though,

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 1>it's really just Everett is the only draftable one. Disley

0:37:39.239 --> 0:37:41.640
<v Speaker 1>and Parkinson are being drafted. I know there's hype about

0:37:41.960 --> 0:37:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Parkinson being, you know, the six foot seven, big potential

0:37:45.400 --> 0:37:47.960
<v Speaker 1>red zone target and Pete Carroll's talked about him, but

0:37:48.880 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 1>I need to see him be a factor before I'm

0:37:51.239 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 1>doing anything with him in fantasy. Gerald Everett is the

0:37:54.120 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 1>interesting one. I have long called him tight end Cordel

0:37:57.480 --> 0:38:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Patterson because he doesn't look a lot like Carol Patterson. No,

0:38:02.120 --> 0:38:04.880
<v Speaker 1>but he's super He's this big dude, He's super athletic,

0:38:05.320 --> 0:38:07.680
<v Speaker 1>He's great in space with the ball. Sometimes he can

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:11.160
<v Speaker 1>take runs and like John who style, but he's scored

0:38:11.239 --> 0:38:15.600
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns running the ball. Uh. But mostly it's because he

0:38:15.719 --> 0:38:19.400
<v Speaker 1>has these big flash games or flash plays and then

0:38:19.480 --> 0:38:22.160
<v Speaker 1>he's gone, like he'll be gone for weeks or gone

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:24.360
<v Speaker 1>for like he'll have a forty yard play and then

0:38:24.360 --> 0:38:25.600
<v Speaker 1>he's gone for the rest of the game. And he

0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:28.239
<v Speaker 1>looks great on the play exactly. You under see that

0:38:28.280 --> 0:38:30.399
<v Speaker 1>playing go Oh my god, he's you know, he's such

0:38:30.440 --> 0:38:32.920
<v Speaker 1>a talent. They'll have to find ways to get him

0:38:32.960 --> 0:38:35.120
<v Speaker 1>the ball and then the rams wouldn't exactly. But the

0:38:35.200 --> 0:38:37.840
<v Speaker 1>hope here is dis Lee has been great when in

0:38:37.920 --> 0:38:41.160
<v Speaker 1>the game, and then he gets injured and they've had

0:38:41.200 --> 0:38:44.160
<v Speaker 1>tight ends have good games there. I think that's the

0:38:44.280 --> 0:38:48.560
<v Speaker 1>hope is that Everett is healthy all year and he's there,

0:38:48.840 --> 0:38:51.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, one man tight end show, which could end

0:38:51.520 --> 0:38:53.880
<v Speaker 1>up being he's going tight end twenty. He's going behind Higbee,

0:38:53.880 --> 0:38:56.799
<v Speaker 1>which I think is actually fair because I think he's

0:38:57.920 --> 0:39:00.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot safer. But Everett has some really high upside.

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:03.200
<v Speaker 1>If Smith's going before them, and Smith shouldn't go before them,

0:39:03.320 --> 0:39:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Conklin is going to be a problem. Conklin is going

0:39:05.120 --> 0:39:08.759
<v Speaker 1>to be People don't realize here's they're most coaches. When

0:39:08.840 --> 0:39:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the most coaches talk you should assume they're lying. Mike

0:39:12.280 --> 0:39:16.319
<v Speaker 1>Zimmer is generally honest to a fault, and when Mike

0:39:16.400 --> 0:39:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Zimmer tells you that if Smith's not going to break out,

0:39:19.640 --> 0:39:22.440
<v Speaker 1>you should listen to him. Coaches never saying our guy

0:39:22.560 --> 0:39:24.799
<v Speaker 1>is not gonna break it off, but so he does.

0:39:24.960 --> 0:39:27.239
<v Speaker 1>I would pay attention to the Vikings played two tight

0:39:27.320 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 1>end sets, like second most in the league or something.

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.560
<v Speaker 1>They play three tight end sets the most in the league,

0:39:31.600 --> 0:39:35.000
<v Speaker 1>which is unreal. Tells you how bad their offensive Yeah,

0:39:35.040 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 1>that tells the yea offensive line and wide receiver three,

0:39:38.640 --> 0:39:42.400
<v Speaker 1>which they don't have right exactly. Um, okay, so give

0:39:42.440 --> 0:39:45.680
<v Speaker 1>me the riskiest player at current ADP for the Seahawks.

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:48.520
<v Speaker 1>It's Tyler Lockett. I think I think I was pretty

0:39:48.560 --> 0:39:51.240
<v Speaker 1>clear on that one player at the most upside compared

0:39:51.239 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 1>to ADP. Do we both think it's Chris Carson. It's

0:39:53.800 --> 0:39:55.839
<v Speaker 1>it's Chris Carson. I mean, you could make a case

0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:58.759
<v Speaker 1>forever just because tight end twenty is really low for

0:39:58.840 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 1>a guy that could be a start tight end every

0:40:01.280 --> 0:40:03.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of weeks. But yeah, it's Chris Carson, who

0:40:03.600 --> 0:40:06.160
<v Speaker 1>could be an RB one and he's going to RB nine.

0:40:06.200 --> 0:40:08.359
<v Speaker 1>Are you know a top twelve running back, but he's

0:40:08.400 --> 0:40:13.320
<v Speaker 1>going to RB nineteen when we come back the Arizona Cardinals.

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Kyler Murray coming off a huge season, will tell you

0:40:16.239 --> 0:40:18.680
<v Speaker 1>if we like that to repeat, can he get better

0:40:18.840 --> 0:40:21.640
<v Speaker 1>in year three? There are some key changes to this

0:40:21.719 --> 0:40:24.239
<v Speaker 1>team we're going to talk about and we will help

0:40:24.280 --> 0:40:28.520
<v Speaker 1>identify the riskiest and upside players from the Arizona Cardinals

0:40:28.560 --> 0:40:32.319
<v Speaker 1>when we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul

0:40:32.360 --> 0:40:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Charchi and Scott Fish with you. Arizona brings back the

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:41.279
<v Speaker 1>highest scoring quarterback in many fantasy leagues, Kyler Murray last

0:40:41.360 --> 0:40:44.279
<v Speaker 1>year and Scott the way he turned into it was

0:40:44.719 --> 0:40:47.640
<v Speaker 1>the huge vault in the running output that he had

0:40:47.840 --> 0:40:50.680
<v Speaker 1>from his rookie year to his sophomore year, roughly double

0:40:50.760 --> 0:40:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the yards and he went all the way to eleven

0:40:53.239 --> 0:40:55.759
<v Speaker 1>rushing touchdowns last year. I will say a little bit

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:58.480
<v Speaker 1>was expected. I mean, when he injured his shoulder in

0:40:58.520 --> 0:41:01.160
<v Speaker 1>his rookie season, he stopped running the ball, so he

0:41:01.239 --> 0:41:03.279
<v Speaker 1>knew the right numbers would be come up, would come up,

0:41:03.680 --> 0:41:06.399
<v Speaker 1>but not that much, not that I don't think anyone

0:41:06.480 --> 0:41:09.240
<v Speaker 1>expected that now A little bit troubling. The passing numbers

0:41:09.719 --> 0:41:13.759
<v Speaker 1>remained pretty modest passing yards is not a lot of

0:41:13.840 --> 0:41:22.000
<v Speaker 1>today's NFL. Yeah, a lot. Like I'm pretty sure Steve

0:41:22.120 --> 0:41:25.040
<v Speaker 1>Young and ninety two lead the NFL with three touchdown

0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:28.040
<v Speaker 1>passes and like under three thousand, you're probably right. Um,

0:41:28.400 --> 0:41:32.880
<v Speaker 1>his twenty six touchdowns are you know, sessions were okay,

0:41:33.120 --> 0:41:36.600
<v Speaker 1>but really thirty yards twenty six touchdowns means he was

0:41:36.680 --> 0:41:40.359
<v Speaker 1>passing as well as Philip Rivers, Baker Mayfield. I mean,

0:41:40.480 --> 0:41:43.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, those are not high output passers from a

0:41:43.920 --> 0:41:47.320
<v Speaker 1>fantasy standpoint, and that's where Kyler Murray was. So the

0:41:47.480 --> 0:41:50.839
<v Speaker 1>hope here is the passing in his third year gets

0:41:50.880 --> 0:41:52.920
<v Speaker 1>a little bit better for Kyler Murray. So even if

0:41:52.920 --> 0:41:56.200
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't get the eleven rushing touchdowns and running even

0:41:56.440 --> 0:41:59.799
<v Speaker 1>the most mobile quarterbacks almost never back to back, even

0:41:59.840 --> 0:42:04.239
<v Speaker 1>the kind of like Lamar Jackson, who obviously rushing numbers

0:42:04.280 --> 0:42:07.000
<v Speaker 1>fell off a cliff after last two years ago. Um,

0:42:07.520 --> 0:42:09.840
<v Speaker 1>you know you don't even if that, Even if that

0:42:09.920 --> 0:42:12.200
<v Speaker 1>falls off, the hope is that the improvements in his

0:42:12.280 --> 0:42:15.680
<v Speaker 1>passing will offset it a little bit. Um. Where it's

0:42:15.719 --> 0:42:18.200
<v Speaker 1>really interesting is what if the running numbers do hold

0:42:18.280 --> 0:42:20.880
<v Speaker 1>up and he's a better passer. That's that's in the

0:42:21.000 --> 0:42:24.759
<v Speaker 1>range of outcomes. It's possibly, it is possible. Let's talk

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:27.600
<v Speaker 1>about his his his offensive line and his past protection.

0:42:28.120 --> 0:42:32.200
<v Speaker 1>It is a medium to good past protection line. And

0:42:32.239 --> 0:42:35.719
<v Speaker 1>they added center Rodney Houston Hudson excuse me, who was

0:42:36.160 --> 0:42:39.279
<v Speaker 1>awesome as a pass blocker for most of his career.

0:42:39.360 --> 0:42:41.680
<v Speaker 1>He's in his twelfth year, but he still has got

0:42:41.760 --> 0:42:44.279
<v Speaker 1>tread on the tire. And the Raiders just you know,

0:42:44.400 --> 0:42:47.160
<v Speaker 1>blew up their whole offensive line and started over. And

0:42:47.760 --> 0:42:50.560
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals bring him in here, he will help um

0:42:51.920 --> 0:42:54.560
<v Speaker 1>and then he's uh, they added in or they add

0:42:54.680 --> 0:42:56.839
<v Speaker 1>They've got left tackle d J. Humphries, who was very

0:42:56.840 --> 0:42:59.920
<v Speaker 1>good last year. Pro Football Focus tracked Humphries with the

0:43:00.080 --> 0:43:03.680
<v Speaker 1>highest percentage of positive run blocks in the league. So

0:43:03.760 --> 0:43:07.439
<v Speaker 1>there's some talent on the offensive line guards and yeah,

0:43:08.200 --> 0:43:10.759
<v Speaker 1>just okay, but won't be running for his life and

0:43:10.840 --> 0:43:12.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe he won't be and that's you know, that could

0:43:12.520 --> 0:43:14.719
<v Speaker 1>be that could be our i too. So let's go

0:43:14.840 --> 0:43:16.560
<v Speaker 1>to Let's go to the focal point of of the

0:43:16.680 --> 0:43:21.200
<v Speaker 1>receiving group, and that's obviously DeAndre Hopkins. A mild disappointment

0:43:21.360 --> 0:43:24.760
<v Speaker 1>last year, finishing ninth and fantasy points, but mostly because

0:43:25.480 --> 0:43:28.720
<v Speaker 1>he only had six touchdowns. His lowest in five years.

0:43:29.640 --> 0:43:32.920
<v Speaker 1>But DeAndre Hopkins is as consistent as they come, and

0:43:33.000 --> 0:43:36.320
<v Speaker 1>you figure the touchdowns will regress positively back to the

0:43:36.440 --> 0:43:41.719
<v Speaker 1>nine or so that he typically gets. And I think

0:43:41.760 --> 0:43:43.640
<v Speaker 1>he's right now. It's going off the board at wide

0:43:43.680 --> 0:43:46.640
<v Speaker 1>receiver four in the early second round. I think that

0:43:46.760 --> 0:43:49.480
<v Speaker 1>sounds just just right for him. No issue with that

0:43:49.600 --> 0:43:53.399
<v Speaker 1>at all. After Hopkins, the whole rest of anybody else

0:43:53.480 --> 0:43:55.440
<v Speaker 1>who can catch a pass is all up in the

0:43:55.480 --> 0:43:59.719
<v Speaker 1>air here, and everything's very muddy. A J. Green, Christian Kirk,

0:44:00.120 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Dull Moore, all battling for playing time. UM. They do

0:44:02.680 --> 0:44:04.319
<v Speaker 1>use a lot of four receiver sets, so all four

0:44:04.360 --> 0:44:07.480
<v Speaker 1>will be on the on the field sometimes. UM. And

0:44:07.920 --> 0:44:09.799
<v Speaker 1>where it's kind of fascinating is if you think Kyler

0:44:09.840 --> 0:44:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Murray's gonna throw the same twenty six touchdowns he had

0:44:11.960 --> 0:44:14.680
<v Speaker 1>last year, and if we think like ten are gonna

0:44:14.760 --> 0:44:19.560
<v Speaker 1>go to DeAndre Hopkins, that leaves sixteen touchdowns. So there's

0:44:19.640 --> 0:44:22.320
<v Speaker 1>room for somebody to do well. So let's start with

0:44:22.400 --> 0:44:27.920
<v Speaker 1>A J. Green, who was straight garbage last year. Him.

0:44:29.600 --> 0:44:32.319
<v Speaker 1>He people forget he played all sixteen games last year,

0:44:32.600 --> 0:44:36.080
<v Speaker 1>all sixteen. It was either two or three touchdowns on

0:44:36.160 --> 0:44:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the season. That's it. He was wide receiver seventy four

0:44:40.040 --> 0:44:43.879
<v Speaker 1>in Fantasy double digit target Day where he caught one ball.

0:44:44.000 --> 0:44:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I think he did. I think that did happen, which

0:44:46.239 --> 0:44:49.440
<v Speaker 1>is embarrassing. Um. This contract is a one year deal

0:44:49.520 --> 0:44:51.560
<v Speaker 1>for six million guaranteed, which is kind of a lot

0:44:51.680 --> 0:44:54.160
<v Speaker 1>six million dollar guarantee for a guy coming up that season.

0:44:54.520 --> 0:44:55.800
<v Speaker 1>So I think he has some kind of role on

0:44:55.880 --> 0:44:57.920
<v Speaker 1>this team, and maybe the new environment ends up helping him.

0:44:57.960 --> 0:45:00.520
<v Speaker 1>But can you say at this stage that A. J.

0:45:00.680 --> 0:45:03.600
<v Speaker 1>Green is better than Christian Kirk. Nope, I can't either,

0:45:04.239 --> 0:45:06.359
<v Speaker 1>So I don't know that Green is how much he's

0:45:06.360 --> 0:45:08.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna be on the field. I think Kirk's on the

0:45:08.120 --> 0:45:10.880
<v Speaker 1>field more than Green is, and I think i'd prefer

0:45:11.120 --> 0:45:13.359
<v Speaker 1>to have Christian Kirk if I had to pick one

0:45:13.400 --> 0:45:16.480
<v Speaker 1>of the two. He's in his fourth season, but Christie

0:45:16.600 --> 0:45:19.399
<v Speaker 1>Kirk is only twenty four years old. He's still very young.

0:45:19.520 --> 0:45:21.640
<v Speaker 1>He's still got room to improve, which we would take.

0:45:22.160 --> 0:45:24.480
<v Speaker 1>And last year, a little more than a bye week

0:45:24.520 --> 0:45:28.640
<v Speaker 1>filling his non touchdown games were a total disaster for Kirk,

0:45:28.680 --> 0:45:31.920
<v Speaker 1>where he averaged three receptions for thirty yards. Yeah, and

0:45:32.000 --> 0:45:35.160
<v Speaker 1>he ended up finishing his wide receiver fifty eight last year. Yeah,

0:45:35.160 --> 0:45:36.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think I'm touching either of those guys. No,

0:45:37.120 --> 0:45:40.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't think I want either one. Maybe more interesting

0:45:41.440 --> 0:45:45.200
<v Speaker 1>is second round rookie Ron Delmore. Do you like Rond Delmore?

0:45:45.360 --> 0:45:49.160
<v Speaker 1>I do? I do. I have been quoted as saying

0:45:49.239 --> 0:45:52.040
<v Speaker 1>that when I watched film on him, he reminded me

0:45:52.120 --> 0:45:55.000
<v Speaker 1>of a squirrel in traffic, how quickly he changed direction.

0:45:55.560 --> 0:45:58.359
<v Speaker 1>He is a water bug and a squirrels, a little

0:45:58.400 --> 0:46:03.160
<v Speaker 1>bit of both, and he's five ft seven. He's tiny,

0:46:03.560 --> 0:46:05.960
<v Speaker 1>but he is fast, and his whole deal has change

0:46:05.960 --> 0:46:10.839
<v Speaker 1>the direction right. He will, he will. He will make

0:46:11.200 --> 0:46:17.160
<v Speaker 1>opposing players look ridiculous, look silly. And um, he'll get

0:46:17.200 --> 0:46:18.680
<v Speaker 1>slot work. He will be the star. I think he

0:46:18.760 --> 0:46:21.200
<v Speaker 1>weak one. He's your starting slot receiver on this team.

0:46:21.800 --> 0:46:25.319
<v Speaker 1>To um, he'll get bubble screens, gadget plays. Uh. They'll

0:46:25.360 --> 0:46:27.400
<v Speaker 1>even run him periodically if they use him at all,

0:46:27.440 --> 0:46:29.480
<v Speaker 1>like he got used in college. And he needs to

0:46:29.480 --> 0:46:31.799
<v Speaker 1>stay healthy. That it was a problem in college. Now

0:46:31.920 --> 0:46:33.920
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna have even bigger and faster guys hitting his

0:46:33.960 --> 0:46:36.120
<v Speaker 1>five ft seven frame. And I think that's the worry

0:46:36.160 --> 0:46:39.000
<v Speaker 1>on Ron Delmore. Squirrels get hit sometimes. Squirrels get hit.

0:46:39.280 --> 0:46:41.120
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about a if if he's gonna

0:46:41.160 --> 0:46:44.759
<v Speaker 1>get hit in traffic, do we call him road kill

0:46:45.360 --> 0:46:48.719
<v Speaker 1>More instead of Ron Delmore? Can this be our first

0:46:48.800 --> 0:46:55.960
<v Speaker 1>official nickname of the season. It is a little mean.

0:46:56.000 --> 0:46:57.239
<v Speaker 1>He's not hurt yet. Do you have to wait for

0:46:57.360 --> 0:46:59.520
<v Speaker 1>to get her? I think for him to take some hits,

0:46:59.560 --> 0:47:01.480
<v Speaker 1>all right, when he gets hurt. So it's gonna be

0:47:01.520 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 1>like week four, and I'm gonna have forgotten about this

0:47:03.719 --> 0:47:06.640
<v Speaker 1>when it's week four and it's early October. Remind me

0:47:08.560 --> 0:47:11.560
<v Speaker 1>road kill More for four months? All right? Thank you

0:47:11.719 --> 0:47:13.960
<v Speaker 1>very much? On Twitter? Will hut me out there? Uh?

0:47:14.520 --> 0:47:17.239
<v Speaker 1>Of this group? No, we'll come back and talk a

0:47:17.280 --> 0:47:19.759
<v Speaker 1>little more about him later. Tight Ends nothing to even

0:47:19.760 --> 0:47:23.840
<v Speaker 1>talk about here. There is no tight end worth and

0:47:23.920 --> 0:47:26.279
<v Speaker 1>that's all that matters. Let's go to the running backs

0:47:26.320 --> 0:47:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and where I am also really hesitant with the running

0:47:29.760 --> 0:47:32.680
<v Speaker 1>backs here. Some people are high on Chase Edmonds. I'm not.

0:47:32.920 --> 0:47:35.560
<v Speaker 1>I can't muster any enthusiasm for him. He's not a

0:47:35.640 --> 0:47:40.520
<v Speaker 1>goal line back. He's only been allowed to run one

0:47:40.719 --> 0:47:43.600
<v Speaker 1>time from inside the five yard line. At least he

0:47:43.680 --> 0:47:48.520
<v Speaker 1>scored on that, right, No, he did not minus one

0:47:48.680 --> 0:47:51.600
<v Speaker 1>yards on his one ride. From inside the five yard line.

0:47:52.000 --> 0:47:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I thought you were tricking me for a second there.

0:47:54.239 --> 0:47:57.399
<v Speaker 1>So you know, the whole the hope is Kenyan Drake

0:47:57.440 --> 0:48:00.200
<v Speaker 1>has gone and that you know, Chase Edmonds is gonna

0:48:00.200 --> 0:48:01.399
<v Speaker 1>pick up a lot of that role. But I don't

0:48:01.440 --> 0:48:03.120
<v Speaker 1>think you. I don't think you will, and I think

0:48:03.200 --> 0:48:06.440
<v Speaker 1>he is nothing more than a fifty fifty player with

0:48:06.480 --> 0:48:08.080
<v Speaker 1>James Conner, who we're going to talk about in a minute.

0:48:08.080 --> 0:48:09.600
<v Speaker 1>I think Connor is gonna get the goal line work.

0:48:10.000 --> 0:48:13.680
<v Speaker 1>And even when Kenyan Drake would miss some time, Edmonds

0:48:13.719 --> 0:48:16.120
<v Speaker 1>didn't always make an impact. Look at Week nine last year,

0:48:16.200 --> 0:48:20.480
<v Speaker 1>he got twenty five touches with Kenyan Drake out turned

0:48:20.520 --> 0:48:24.920
<v Speaker 1>into eight scoreless yard that's it. That's not good. No,

0:48:25.200 --> 0:48:27.359
<v Speaker 1>that's not good. Three yards barely three yards of touch.

0:48:28.320 --> 0:48:30.520
<v Speaker 1>His best attributes for Chase Edmonds or his hands, he's

0:48:30.520 --> 0:48:35.839
<v Speaker 1>gonna catch probably fifty sixty balls PPR safety net um

0:48:36.200 --> 0:48:40.200
<v Speaker 1>flex guy. If you just want to get your four receptions,

0:48:40.360 --> 0:48:43.800
<v Speaker 1>your forty yards and you're you know, like forty rushing yards.

0:48:43.920 --> 0:48:47.560
<v Speaker 1>So basically he should be being drafted maybe around ahead

0:48:47.560 --> 0:48:51.759
<v Speaker 1>of the j C. Jake mckissic's, uh, maybe a couple

0:48:51.840 --> 0:48:54.040
<v Speaker 1>rounds ahead of the Cohens and Hines and stuff. But

0:48:54.200 --> 0:48:55.840
<v Speaker 1>that's not where he's going. No. In fact, well we

0:48:55.840 --> 0:48:58.640
<v Speaker 1>can talk about exactly that in just a second. For

0:48:58.800 --> 0:49:01.120
<v Speaker 1>James Conner, I thought he looked totally spent last year.

0:49:01.239 --> 0:49:05.640
<v Speaker 1>I think the career is all but over. But Jay

0:49:05.680 --> 0:49:08.040
<v Speaker 1>Semans isn't a full time back, and so I think

0:49:08.080 --> 0:49:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Connor is gonna get some run here, probably in the

0:49:10.480 --> 0:49:14.000
<v Speaker 1>neighborhood of a hundred twenty touches something like that. It'll

0:49:14.000 --> 0:49:18.400
<v Speaker 1>be eight touches a game, and Connor probably gets the

0:49:18.440 --> 0:49:20.480
<v Speaker 1>goal line work. And I just I don't want any

0:49:20.560 --> 0:49:22.279
<v Speaker 1>part of either one of these guys. I don't think

0:49:22.320 --> 0:49:26.040
<v Speaker 1>they're very good. And I could mention that James Conner

0:49:26.480 --> 0:49:28.560
<v Speaker 1>has through his career has been like a top five

0:49:28.640 --> 0:49:32.480
<v Speaker 1>guy in goal line work work, uh you know, first

0:49:32.520 --> 0:49:37.040
<v Speaker 1>down plunges, stuff like that. But um yeah, he'll he'll

0:49:37.040 --> 0:49:39.200
<v Speaker 1>probably continue that role, but he may not be that

0:49:39.239 --> 0:49:42.680
<v Speaker 1>guy anymore. He he he just he looks so bad

0:49:43.040 --> 0:49:46.480
<v Speaker 1>last year. And I know the Steelers offensive line was horrendous,

0:49:47.040 --> 0:49:49.760
<v Speaker 1>but at some point, like Dalvin Cook has been running

0:49:49.760 --> 0:49:53.040
<v Speaker 1>behind a horrendous offensive line, Christian McCaffrey has been running

0:49:53.040 --> 0:49:56.400
<v Speaker 1>behind a horrendous offensive line, and they still are productive.

0:49:57.480 --> 0:50:00.439
<v Speaker 1>James Connor couldn't do that. Um and and you also

0:50:00.480 --> 0:50:03.320
<v Speaker 1>add in the further frustration that's gonna come from Kyler Murray,

0:50:03.400 --> 0:50:06.440
<v Speaker 1>who does run from inside the five. They've given him

0:50:06.480 --> 0:50:10.360
<v Speaker 1>eleven carries inside the five in his two years, and

0:50:10.520 --> 0:50:13.280
<v Speaker 1>that's going to add to the frustration for Chase Edmonds

0:50:13.400 --> 0:50:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and James Connor owners. I don't think that's stopping. He

0:50:16.680 --> 0:50:19.920
<v Speaker 1>might be Josh Allen with for that. He even in

0:50:20.000 --> 0:50:22.200
<v Speaker 1>his size, he's even in his size, he's more of

0:50:22.239 --> 0:50:24.680
<v Speaker 1>their goal and back. He might be the riskiest player

0:50:24.719 --> 0:50:26.640
<v Speaker 1>at their ADP is Chase Edmunds going off the board

0:50:26.680 --> 0:50:28.399
<v Speaker 1>and round six running back twenty nine. I think it's

0:50:28.400 --> 0:50:31.000
<v Speaker 1>totally unwarranted for reasons. We just mentioned the player with

0:50:31.040 --> 0:50:34.720
<v Speaker 1>the most upside compared to ADP, rondel Moore wide receivers

0:50:34.800 --> 0:50:39.640
<v Speaker 1>seventy four, round six. We'll take that. That's that's solid.

0:50:40.000 --> 0:50:42.960
<v Speaker 1>That's solid value right there, big playability. I don't know

0:50:42.960 --> 0:50:47.440
<v Speaker 1>how long he'll be upright, but I like it. Yes,

0:50:47.640 --> 0:50:50.120
<v Speaker 1>I agree, well before he goes to road kill. Yes,

0:50:50.440 --> 0:50:54.440
<v Speaker 1>all right, we've had fun. We did me A Stranger

0:50:54.920 --> 0:50:57.400
<v Speaker 1>is a long podcast. I feel that's partly because we

0:50:57.480 --> 0:51:00.520
<v Speaker 1>haven't talked in such a wide at it's been. It

0:51:00.640 --> 0:51:01.920
<v Speaker 1>has been a long time, and we had all the

0:51:01.920 --> 0:51:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Scott fish Bowl stuff to talk about it. I believe

0:51:06.760 --> 0:51:09.240
<v Speaker 1>Brian Johnson back next week. We'll also have an episode

0:51:09.280 --> 0:51:11.719
<v Speaker 1>of the Chop Podcast next week. We're getting into We're

0:51:11.760 --> 0:51:16.920
<v Speaker 1>getting into almost weekly scheduling. It is Chop seasons coming up,

0:51:17.200 --> 0:51:18.960
<v Speaker 1>and as a reminder of the Chop season can start

0:51:19.040 --> 0:51:21.560
<v Speaker 1>out for you with the Scott fish Bowl eleven Guillotine League.

0:51:21.800 --> 0:51:23.920
<v Speaker 1>Go to Guillotine leagues dot com. Follow Scott and I

0:51:24.120 --> 0:51:26.719
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter for more information about that, and we'll talk

0:51:26.760 --> 0:51:30.560
<v Speaker 1>to you next week. Everybody, Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly

0:51:30.760 --> 0:51:33.360
<v Speaker 1>is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts

0:51:33.400 --> 0:51:35.719
<v Speaker 1>from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app,

0:51:35.760 --> 0:51:38.880
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