Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show.
Speaker 1: Now here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: I am Paul charchy In. My co host this week
Speaker 1: is not Brian Johnson. It is Scott Fish. I'm back.
Speaker 1: You're back. It's only been five months or whatever we've
Speaker 1: missed you. It does feel that long. It's been way
Speaker 1: too long, way too long. It's gonna be back, though.
Speaker 1: It is good to have you back. I blame I
Speaker 1: blame the pandemic. It's a convenient excuse for many things.
Speaker 1: And we'll but it's great to have you back. I
Speaker 1: blame Johnson. You'll be a regular back on the show
Speaker 1: beginning in August, which would be fantastic. And we're in
Speaker 1: the middle of f S s f B eleven, which
Speaker 1: is very exciting. I think I've I think I'm in
Speaker 1: my drafts in round eleven right now. I think something
Speaker 1: like that. Half way done, yeah, half way done. Lots
Speaker 1: of quarterbacks going early. That's the tight ends going early.
Speaker 1: It's yeah, and just so scott Fish Bowl and going great,
Speaker 1: eleven hundred ish teams, just one one thousand, nine hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty teams, thousand, nine hundred, twelve hundred teams. No,
Speaker 1: one thousand, nine hundred and twenties, so nearly two thousand teams,
Speaker 1: two thousand teams, and then another doing satellites. Jeez, that's amazing, amazing.
Speaker 1: So if you're out there and you commission one Fantasy
Speaker 1: league and and have trouble with that, just multiply that
Speaker 1: by about three hundred something. Jeez. Uh, you have no
Speaker 1: tolerance for goofiness when you're when you're commissioning that many leagues,
Speaker 1: it's hurting cats. Your American's commissioner. Now we're not for
Speaker 1: the fact that John the Commissioner has commission like that.
Speaker 1: There's John the Commissioner haber Meyer, and he's forever locked
Speaker 1: up the commissioner Moniker. But what about America's commissioner. If
Speaker 1: you google America's commissioner, you might be the first there
Speaker 1: might not. Nobody's taken it yet, what do you think
Speaker 1: I might as well take it. I hereby sanctify and
Speaker 1: officially name you America's Commissioner Scott fish see as the
Speaker 1: godfather fantas football. I feel you have that right. I
Speaker 1: feel you're you're laying the sword down on that. Absolutely.
Speaker 1: We have an exciting announcement. We are opening an uh
Speaker 1: an official Scott fish Bowl. It's not I guess, a satellite,
Speaker 1: it's a it's a side projects event, a guillotine league
Speaker 1: for Scott fish Bowl. All the proceeds go to Scott
Speaker 1: fish Bowl. In Fantasy Cares, UH it is fifty dollars
Speaker 1: to join. It's the super chop format. Most of our
Speaker 1: listeners are know about guillotine leagues. The super chop format
Speaker 1: is a little bit different in that twelve twelve team leagues.
Speaker 1: You will join one twelve team league. If you are
Speaker 1: the winner of your twelve team league, you then go
Speaker 1: to the playoffs with the other eleven winners for a
Speaker 1: chance to get to the to be the champion. Now
Speaker 1: for the fifty bucks, and if we fill this, Scott,
Speaker 1: when we fill it, that's seven thousand dollars to Fantasy Cares.
Speaker 1: That which is fantastic. Um. Your fifty dollars gets you
Speaker 1: a pretty good deal on this. Rhodor Wire is kicking
Speaker 1: in a free NFL subscription with your entry fee, So
Speaker 1: that's a thirty dollar value and you get that as
Speaker 1: soon as the league fails, so you get that. Then
Speaker 1: if you are one of the twelve league winners in
Speaker 1: our super Chop format for the Scott's Full Love and
Speaker 1: Guillotine Leagues, you get two things. You get an automatic
Speaker 1: entry well you go, sure, you get an automatic entry
Speaker 1: in SFB twelve next year to play with your favorite
Speaker 1: analysts and celebrities and former professional athletes and movie stars
Speaker 1: and TV actors and stuff, all the people you you
Speaker 1: want to play with in SFP twelve. And you also
Speaker 1: get a custom ring from Trophy Smack. Yes, and it's
Speaker 1: beautiful and it's got specific artwork just for this Guillotine
Speaker 1: League style scott Fish Bowl. It's a fish in a
Speaker 1: bowl with the guillotine it is. It's it's awesome. I
Speaker 1: love that. I love that. It's very nice. Matt Wallace
Speaker 1: did a great job on that. And then if you
Speaker 1: win the whole thing, you get a Trophy Smack trophy
Speaker 1: um that you'll be the only one in the world
Speaker 1: with this, the Guillotine League version of the Trophy Smack Trophy.
Speaker 1: They make the best, most unique trophies. That's the fantastic stuff,
Speaker 1: um and we're grateful for them. The focus and by
Speaker 1: the way, if you're interested in joining this Scott Fish
Speaker 1: Bowl Guillotine League, follow Scott Fish on Twitter Scott Fish
Speaker 1: twenty four. Uh, follow me at Paul Charchian and Guillotine
Speaker 1: Leagues dot com. You'll have information uh coming if now,
Speaker 1: probably by the time you hear this. When as as
Speaker 1: we're taping this, it's not yet live, but it's I
Speaker 1: think it will be live when people hear this Guillotine
Speaker 1: Leagues dot com. The focus of the rest of this show,
Speaker 1: Scott is the NFC West. Yes, we've been breaking down
Speaker 1: all of the teams forward looking not We're not repeating
Speaker 1: what you already know what happened last year. What do
Speaker 1: you think is going to happen for the four teams
Speaker 1: in the NFC West this season? And at the end
Speaker 1: of each team will identify the riskiest player at current
Speaker 1: ADP and the play with the most upside based on
Speaker 1: current a DP. Yep, it's exciting. I'm gonna let you
Speaker 1: go first a team. I'm very excited about a team
Speaker 1: that I think will challenge the Bucks to be the
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl for the NFC one of the
Speaker 1: two favorites that is the Los Angeles Rams. I think
Speaker 1: Vegas agrees with you on that one. It's they're right
Speaker 1: up there at top five betting they should be the Rams. Okay,
Speaker 1: So we'll start with the passing game. Matthew Stafford currently
Speaker 1: going off the board is QB twelve, eighth or ninth round,
Speaker 1: usually around the eighth round. Usually for me, quarterbacks going
Speaker 1: in the single digits is a little too high for me.
Speaker 1: But I love everything about Stafford this year. In fact,
Speaker 1: I think that QB twelve is his floor. Yeah, it
Speaker 1: feels that way, doesn't it, given the talent surrounding again, yeah,
Speaker 1: consistently with the Lions, he's had four thousand plus yard years,
Speaker 1: thirty touchdown years, and now he goes to an offense
Speaker 1: where Sean they made Jared Goff a forty hundred yard
Speaker 1: and thirty two touchdown quarterback, and you could argue the
Speaker 1: weapons now are might even be a little bit better
Speaker 1: than they were because maybe the same similar But they
Speaker 1: have a great defense. They had a great defense during
Speaker 1: that great golf year, so I'm not concerned about that
Speaker 1: being slowing down. McVeigh. McVeigh has been proven to let
Speaker 1: his offense, you know, go, even with the defense being good,
Speaker 1: they don't slow down the game. I think though, that
Speaker 1: forty shred yards touchdowns is pretty much a floor for
Speaker 1: Stafford this year. It is, doesn't it feel? It feels
Speaker 1: like he was a he was a top twelve quarterback
Speaker 1: with the Lions and all the things that were wrong there,
Speaker 1: And now Stafford gets by far the best coaching he's
Speaker 1: ever had, and the best every best running game he's
Speaker 1: ever had, uh and the best wide receivers receiving options
Speaker 1: he's ever had. And we'll go there with Cooper Cup
Speaker 1: and Robert Woods, and I'm gonna lump them together a
Speaker 1: little bit here because they're both going in the fifth round.
Speaker 1: You're probably not gonna get both on your team when
Speaker 1: you're drafting. That's maybe a corner maybe if you reach
Speaker 1: to a reach around on one of them. Maybe. But
Speaker 1: one thing I found very interesting with Cooper Cup when
Speaker 1: I was doing the research is that he's had ninety
Speaker 1: catches in back to back years, even through injuries. And
Speaker 1: that's not targets, that's catches. That's a lot of catches
Speaker 1: that is, and that's you know, that's where those of
Speaker 1: us that are drafting for safety, I like Cooper Cup
Speaker 1: more than Woods. If you're drafting for upside, then I
Speaker 1: think I like Woods more than Cup. Yeah, and I
Speaker 1: think that's fair and early reports from the OTAs and whatnot,
Speaker 1: and there's a strong connection with Stafford. Uh. Woods is
Speaker 1: the guy who was super consistent, like just sixty seventy
Speaker 1: yards every game for a couple of years in a row.
Speaker 1: Last year when the offense came down, he was he
Speaker 1: was He was no longer that consistent guy. But I
Speaker 1: think it comes back with with Stafford and he becomes
Speaker 1: a consistent option again. He's he's got great deep ball potential,
Speaker 1: which is something that's been Stafford's strong suit for a
Speaker 1: long time and something they never had with golf. Yeah,
Speaker 1: so that field's gonna get stretched before it's It's interesting
Speaker 1: golf golf did have a lot of twenty plus yard
Speaker 1: passes UM, but he won't have the completion rate or
Speaker 1: or the style of offense that the Stafford's gonna happen
Speaker 1: with that UM. The other two receivers wide receivers at
Speaker 1: least Jefferson and Van Jefferson into Shan Jackson. Van Jefferson
Speaker 1: obviously a rookie last year, got in a very very
Speaker 1: tiny amount. But if they've hyped him up a lot,
Speaker 1: if they loves him, but they did bring into Sean Jackson,
Speaker 1: I feel like as long as Deshan Jackson stays healthy,
Speaker 1: they're gonna hurt each other. For fantasy, they're just gonna
Speaker 1: they may have three wide receivers sets a lot, but
Speaker 1: they might cancelate each other out just enough to not
Speaker 1: be relevant for us from a fantasy standpoint. We need
Speaker 1: Van Jefferson or de Sean Jackson to get hurt, and
Speaker 1: it'll probably be de Sean Jackson. Yeah, yeah, if history
Speaker 1: tells the same thing exactly. Yeah, that is the concern
Speaker 1: with Jackson's that deep threat that when they had Cooks
Speaker 1: is the third receiver they loved having that deep threat.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm staying away from both of them. What
Speaker 1: do you think about drafting Jackson got the last pick
Speaker 1: of your draft, and you could just we don't drop
Speaker 1: him if he doesn't, drop him if it doesn't work out,
Speaker 1: or just start him in the first like three games
Speaker 1: when you know that he's healthy and you could start
Speaker 1: him there maybe, But I don't know. I think wait
Speaker 1: and see you and I are far more excited, yes,
Speaker 1: by the tight end position are for Los Angeles. Yeah,
Speaker 1: And it's it's really a lot about value. It's it's
Speaker 1: Tyler Higbie. Gerald Everett is out of the out of
Speaker 1: town now. Um, we have like pretty much a five
Speaker 1: game sample size of Higbie with Everett, you know, mostly
Speaker 1: out of the games and them running one tight end sets,
Speaker 1: which is what we expect them to do this year.
Speaker 1: And in that five game set at the end of
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen season, Higbee average nine catches for a hundred
Speaker 1: and five yards on eleven targets. That's not it's per
Speaker 1: game numbers. That's really a hundred Even if you have that,
Speaker 1: it's it's like a four or five for fifty five
Speaker 1: tight end. That's the top twelve tight end nowadays. And
Speaker 1: if you if you took last year's numbers, where both
Speaker 1: Gerald Everett and Tyler Higbee were neither were very startable, reliable,
Speaker 1: But if you put their numbers together last year, you
Speaker 1: had tight end five. Yeah. So if you think that Everett,
Speaker 1: if you think Higby is gonna get most of Everett's work,
Speaker 1: you've got tight end five and Higbee and he's going
Speaker 1: off the boards. Tight end what's seventeen sev He's so
Speaker 1: misdrafted right now. A lot analysts have him in their
Speaker 1: top ten in rankings. It's it's just it's just a
Speaker 1: it's a discrepancy, is what it is. It's it's just
Speaker 1: too far off. You watch just changes between now and
Speaker 1: week one. Yeah, you Higby is gonna start incrementally going
Speaker 1: up draft forwards and once again, once again we think
Speaker 1: this offense is going to be much better than that.
Speaker 1: You mentioned Higgby plus Everett last year. Now, imagine with
Speaker 1: a much better offense, better quarterback, right Yeah, yeah, so
Speaker 1: so way undervalued right now. For for Higbie, it's yeah,
Speaker 1: onto the running game. Acres is currently going RB ten.
Speaker 1: I I've mentioned I feel this is this is pretty fair.
Speaker 1: I feel like he ended this season with that twenty
Speaker 1: two twenty six touches per game, and people are hoping
Speaker 1: for that again. I think it's gonna be a little
Speaker 1: below that, but I still think he's going to be
Speaker 1: a bell cow anytime you get a running back with
Speaker 1: that much that many touches um going on. I do
Speaker 1: think this is a year with seventeen games and reliance
Speaker 1: on second running backs all over the NFL that Henderson
Speaker 1: as RB fifty four round, I expect four touches for
Speaker 1: running backs in this offense. I expect Henderson to be
Speaker 1: on the field twenty five percent at the time. Percent
Speaker 1: of time. I think he's going to be a back
Speaker 1: that will see nearing ten touches a game. And if
Speaker 1: Acres for some reason goes down he went down last year,
Speaker 1: he could be huge. I'm trying to steal him in
Speaker 1: those middle double digit rounds, but I feel like Acres
Speaker 1: as a first round pick makes sense. Yeah, late first round,
Speaker 1: early second right. I love Acres. He's in my I
Speaker 1: think he's my running back five right now. And um,
Speaker 1: the reason I love him is the usage. At the
Speaker 1: end of the year, he was, as you mentioned, he
Speaker 1: was getting whatever twenty I think it was twenty five
Speaker 1: total touches per game because his targets could come up. Honestly,
Speaker 1: they could, they really need to. Going into the playoffs,
Speaker 1: it was I think twenty five per game over the
Speaker 1: last like four or five games of the year. And
Speaker 1: then I go back to I know Sean McVeigh has
Speaker 1: run a committee the last couple of years. Before that,
Speaker 1: Todd Gurley was a freaking beast who he ran into
Speaker 1: the ground and want to be part of that. An
Speaker 1: absolute workhorse. So Todd mcveigh's got him, got it in
Speaker 1: him to have a workhorse back. I just think he
Speaker 1: hasn't had a good enough back. You know, Malcolm Brown
Speaker 1: was never good enough to be a work horse back.
Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe he's gonna maybe he saw that
Speaker 1: he ran Gurley down and he's gonna be like all
Speaker 1: running Gurley down was get me to a super Bowl?
Speaker 1: Want why? Right? So? I think, um, I think Acres
Speaker 1: has got eighteen to twenty two is touches a game
Speaker 1: built into him and that that is going to be
Speaker 1: enough to make him a rock solid RB one And
Speaker 1: I like Acres. Yes, all right, have we missed anybody?
Speaker 1: I think we've covered No, We've covered all the key
Speaker 1: points here. We've covered him. Uh. You mentioned at the
Speaker 1: top that you wanted me to give one who's super undervalued,
Speaker 1: give me the riskiest player at ADP and the play
Speaker 1: with the most upside based on ADP. Alright, So I
Speaker 1: think the player with the most upside based on ADP
Speaker 1: is pretty clearly Higbie correct. I think at tight end seventeen, like,
Speaker 1: I think it's this well, I said Stafford being drafted
Speaker 1: at his floor. I think Higby's being drafted well belowest
Speaker 1: floor for some for some reason. Uh so Higby's the
Speaker 1: that one. All right? How about the risk is riskies?
Speaker 1: This is really tough. I don't think any of them
Speaker 1: are that risky where they're going. I actually like the
Speaker 1: value on all of these players. But if I had
Speaker 1: to pick one, it's just got to be Acres because
Speaker 1: he's a first rounder. But yeah, where's he going? Where
Speaker 1: he's going? Yeah, and you know running backs, we saw
Speaker 1: McCaffrey and Barkley last year, like and Acres got hurt
Speaker 1: last year. That's where where Acres. Where Acres is going from,
Speaker 1: I'm putting out might do the opposite hat right now.
Speaker 1: Where he is going is where all so many of
Speaker 1: the running back failures come is the end of the
Speaker 1: first round beginning in the second round, when you're paying
Speaker 1: this heavy price on a guy who isn't Derrick Henry
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook. Right. You know, these these proven workhorse backs,
Speaker 1: These are guys you're projecting to be great, but a
Speaker 1: lot of the time it doesn't work out. Yeah, that
Speaker 1: it's it's it's the range where they've shown the potential
Speaker 1: and they've done it in Spans, but you don't know
Speaker 1: that they can do it for a full season. Correct. Uh,
Speaker 1: let's move well, actually, let's do this. Let's take a
Speaker 1: quick break, come back. I want to talk about the
Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine, another team that could be a
Speaker 1: fringe super Bowl team if things break the right way
Speaker 1: in an offense that's gonna get a lot better. Let's
Speaker 1: talk nine ers when we come back in just a moment.
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul charch
Speaker 1: In and Scott Fish with you. We already broke down
Speaker 1: the Rams. Let's pivot from one brilliant offensive mind, Sean
Speaker 1: McVeigh to the best offensive end of the game, and
Speaker 1: that is Kyle Shanahan. For some reason, the way you
Speaker 1: said that like brilliant, like brilliant offensive mind, like I
Speaker 1: was thinking, like George Carlin. Yes, I don't know. Uh,
Speaker 1: you know what the funny thing is if you go
Speaker 1: back now and listen to his stuff by today's standard,
Speaker 1: so it's it's lukewarm. It's like, you know, it's like,
Speaker 1: I don't know, you could like a kid show. It's
Speaker 1: nothing by today's standards. Carlin was great in his day. Um,
Speaker 1: a lot of the stuff does not hold up all
Speaker 1: that well, like the trippy hippie Weatherman stuff. It's just
Speaker 1: it just isn't. It just doesn't. It just doesn't work today.
Speaker 1: But a lot of comedy is that way unfortunately. UM.
Speaker 1: Kyle Shannon has the best offensive mind of the game,
Speaker 1: and the Niners are primed for an offensive breakout after
Speaker 1: last year ranking fourteenth in yards and twenty one points
Speaker 1: using mostly Nick Mullins and c. J. Beth at quarterback.
Speaker 1: I think this team gets way way better on offense,
Speaker 1: and part of my optimism is around the offensive line.
Speaker 1: The Niners get two huge boosts in the off season
Speaker 1: the resigning of left tackle Trent Williams. Williams was Pro
Speaker 1: Football Focus is number one ranked left tackle last year.
Speaker 1: Why Washington ever got to a point where they let
Speaker 1: him go? It was crazy. And then they also signed
Speaker 1: center Alex math Mac, a longtime veteran. Sixteenth ranks center
Speaker 1: doesn't sound like great, but when last year center ranked
Speaker 1: like thirty, it's way it's a sizable improvement for them.
Speaker 1: And they still have Mike McGlinchey, a former first rounder,
Speaker 1: on the right side, and he's very good, especially in
Speaker 1: the run. So I like the offensive line, and that
Speaker 1: really brings us to what's going to be one of
Speaker 1: the best developments to watch in the preseason, Scott, and
Speaker 1: that is Trey Lance. How ready is Trey Lance to
Speaker 1: make an impact and how soon? And watching him in
Speaker 1: the preseason will be fascinating. He could be every bit
Speaker 1: as raw as an eleven start college player can be.
Speaker 1: But if he looks good Man, the runway on Jimmy
Speaker 1: Garoppolo could be very short. Yeah, I feel like it
Speaker 1: would be. I have a couple of different thoughts on
Speaker 1: this that A Shanahan should probably see the tactical advantage
Speaker 1: of having a guy with that kind of mobility in
Speaker 1: an offense he already likes to run. Uh. The other
Speaker 1: one is this is, you know, Jimmy Garoppolo. We have
Speaker 1: a quarterback that was benched not for injury, but legitimately
Speaker 1: benched for poor play by four C. J. Beathard and
Speaker 1: Nick Mullin's over the last two years. So I think
Speaker 1: guided them to a Super Bowl two years ago. So
Speaker 1: I mean there is that. I mean Garoppolo has there
Speaker 1: has been functional Yes, Yeah, it's it. He knows the offense,
Speaker 1: he knows all the nuances. You know, there's I think
Speaker 1: he's got real competition behind him now, so yeah, and
Speaker 1: maybe he'll be better for it. Maybe um Lands is
Speaker 1: the player fantasy owners want in the game. It's just
Speaker 1: a matter of when. And it makes it a tricky
Speaker 1: to draft Trey Lance knowing you may get literally no
Speaker 1: starts from him. Look look at Patrick Mahomes. They didn't
Speaker 1: start him his entire rookie year, well weeks, you know,
Speaker 1: in a meaningless week seventeen game. That's it. So um
Speaker 1: the snazzy, the snazzy draft angle, Scott is this. You
Speaker 1: draft both Garoppolo and Tray Lance at their ADP. For
Speaker 1: Garoppolo it's picked two hundred sixty two, it's free, and
Speaker 1: then Tray Tray Lance is going after board his quarterback.
Speaker 1: So you take Lance in like that was that's roughly
Speaker 1: round twelve, round thirteen. So you take Lance there at
Speaker 1: twelve and thirteen. That's cheap considering how good Tray Lance
Speaker 1: can be. You back them up with Jimmy Garoppolo as
Speaker 1: the last pick of your draft, and you've got Kyle
Speaker 1: Shanahan starting quarterback, And why do you want Kyle Shanahan's
Speaker 1: starting quarterback? Even if it's Jimmy Garoppolo. The last three
Speaker 1: years Shanahan's quarterbacks as a team, San Francisco has finished
Speaker 1: and nineteen in touchdown passes, most of them thrown by
Speaker 1: Nick Mullins and c. J. Beathard. Yeah, that's that's pretty good.
Speaker 1: That's pretty good. And you've only invested a thirteen rounder
Speaker 1: and a twentieth rounder to get that quarterback hook up. Yeah,
Speaker 1: if I remember correctly, Matt Ryan had some good stats
Speaker 1: with Shanahan too. Matt Ryan did, Okay, Okay, let's talk
Speaker 1: to wide receivers. Brandon iok is fascinating to me. I
Speaker 1: think he just had one of the better rookie seasons
Speaker 1: that nobody's talking about last year in his final six games,
Speaker 1: by the way, in the middle of which he had COVID.
Speaker 1: In his final six full games, despite catching one hoppers
Speaker 1: from Bethard to Mullins, his average line was twelve targets,
Speaker 1: eight receptions, eighty three yards and almost a touchdown per game.
Speaker 1: That's almost Higby without everyting exactly exactly. Now, in fairness,
Speaker 1: Kittle was gone for half of those games. Samuel has
Speaker 1: gone for half of those games. But it also demonstrates
Speaker 1: that I you can carry a passing offense. That's that's
Speaker 1: the way I see it is that I showed that
Speaker 1: he's a true Alpha, even even with nobody else to
Speaker 1: throw too. He's got I think he has wide receiver.
Speaker 1: I think he has like wide receiver ten twelve upside
Speaker 1: Brandon Ayuk absolutely completely. Then there's Deebo Samuel who lost
Speaker 1: much of last year. First he had the preseason foot
Speaker 1: injury that cost him three or four games at the
Speaker 1: start of the season. Then he got COVID, Then he
Speaker 1: had a hamstring injury. But Deebo Samuel still played in
Speaker 1: seven games and he led the NFL in yards after
Speaker 1: catch at twelve yards. Just unreal, which is unreal. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he basically had a negat I'm pretty sure he did
Speaker 1: have a negative a dot average stuff that I think
Speaker 1: it was negative point two yards was a dot. So
Speaker 1: they're throwing bubble screens to him, and he was turning
Speaker 1: a typical bubble screen into a game of twelve yards,
Speaker 1: which is pretty impressive. It makes sense they used this
Speaker 1: as an extension of the run game, and run games
Speaker 1: are amazing. They are amazing. Um, if if they can
Speaker 1: stretch him a little bit more downfield and tray Lance
Speaker 1: would be the way to do that. Deebo Samuel gets
Speaker 1: even more interesting, but he is a remarkably powerful so
Speaker 1: he bullies people, he doesn't he I think he's the
Speaker 1: closest thing to Percy Harvin when Percy Harvan went Rookie
Speaker 1: of the Year and he was so good in those
Speaker 1: first couple of years. I think I think Deebo Samuel's
Speaker 1: right on that trajectory, which I love. Um perfect for
Speaker 1: Trey Lance too, who reads the field low to high. Yeah,
Speaker 1: so he'll be looking at Samuel first and then working
Speaker 1: his way downfield. And tray Lance has a great de
Speaker 1: ball deep ball to us. But but yeah, that's yeah.
Speaker 1: Matt Waldman has talked about how that's how he reads
Speaker 1: the field, and with Deebo downshort, that's perfect. Richie James
Speaker 1: is your other probable starter. Jalen Hurt's coming off his
Speaker 1: a CLF from last year, and I think Mohamedson, who
Speaker 1: honestly could get cut. I'm not drafting him. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the type quarterback it could be, could be. Uh,
Speaker 1: let's go to the tight end. You already know everything
Speaker 1: about George Kittle and you know he's awesome. I guess
Speaker 1: the thing. I want to want you to know two things.
Speaker 1: One is fully recovered from the injuries last year. You
Speaker 1: may have forgotten he actually played in week sixteen weeks
Speaker 1: seventeen last year. So fully healthy right now for George
Speaker 1: Kittle and Scott you're getting him at a full round
Speaker 1: later in a DPS third round this year. He was
Speaker 1: second round last year for George Kittle. And his quarterbacking
Speaker 1: is going to be better this year. One way or another.
Speaker 1: The quarterbacking will be better. Yep. He he does have,
Speaker 1: He does have more to compete with now. I mean,
Speaker 1: I can Samuel are going to take take some targets
Speaker 1: that he would have had the last couple of years.
Speaker 1: But once again, more potent offense rise and tide raises
Speaker 1: all boats. So that's the passing game, and we love
Speaker 1: the passing game. The running games all frustration for fan
Speaker 1: for fan at the owners. So you know, you know
Speaker 1: what Cal Shanahan works. You're gonna get a lot of running,
Speaker 1: but it's gonna be spread out over guys and in
Speaker 1: different situations in ways that are gonna frustrate fantasy owners
Speaker 1: a lot. I want to start with rookie Troy Sermon
Speaker 1: because there's so much interested in him. They took Tray
Speaker 1: Sermon in the third round, and I think that's a reach,
Speaker 1: and I don't think he's a special player. Pro Football
Speaker 1: Focus had Sermon graded in the sixth round. Obviously, the
Speaker 1: Niners saw things they liked. But and there are things
Speaker 1: that I like. He's he's got good balance, good start stoppability,
Speaker 1: He's got decent vision. But there's a lot of things
Speaker 1: I don't like about Tray Sermon. He's not that fast.
Speaker 1: He's a bit tall for the position, which gives defenders
Speaker 1: a big target to hit. He ran behind these big
Speaker 1: offensive lines when he was at Oklahoma and Ohio State.
Speaker 1: That opened up massive holes for him. Um, he's I
Speaker 1: think he's just an average athlete and they rarely use
Speaker 1: him in the passing game. I just I don't think
Speaker 1: he's a special guy. But I think you're a little
Speaker 1: I think you're a little warmer on a sermon that
Speaker 1: I am, yeah, a little bit. Um. I I just
Speaker 1: think that they're going to run a ton and it's
Speaker 1: all about your opportunity in what's going to be a
Speaker 1: good offense. I think he's gonna get touches. I I
Speaker 1: think that they both might, and I think that the
Speaker 1: rest of the running backs tend to have some injury history,
Speaker 1: especially Mostart, so I love most when he plays, and
Speaker 1: Jeff Wilson's going to miss the first month of the
Speaker 1: season or so. I just think there's opportunity there. And
Speaker 1: on the passing game thing, I do find it interesting
Speaker 1: how Shanahan has taken like traditional like DeVonta Freeman in
Speaker 1: Atlanta did not catch passes in college like he caught
Speaker 1: maybe fIF and he was catching in the pros. So
Speaker 1: I mean there's a chance development shoulders. People can't see
Speaker 1: your shoulders, but that's why I said it. Um, So
Speaker 1: let's talk about Mostart for a minute. When healthy is
Speaker 1: a good back till last year, I think he appeared
Speaker 1: in seven games up the top of my head. But
Speaker 1: what I can tell you for certain is five and
Speaker 1: a half yards per carry for Mostard in a bad year,
Speaker 1: and he's always had high yards percaring, high yards per reception.
Speaker 1: That's been a Moster thing. And he can catch. Um.
Speaker 1: He averaged points seven yards over expectation, which was tenth
Speaker 1: best in the league last year. Most are too good back.
Speaker 1: His average draft position makes it tricky to go to
Speaker 1: war with him, he's running back twenty six and round five,
Speaker 1: so you're you're kind of in that area. It's like
Speaker 1: Mike Davis or he Mostart. Yeah, that's that's where you
Speaker 1: get out of the clear cut starters and into the
Speaker 1: backfields that you hope, you hope one of them can
Speaker 1: take it over. Mike Davis is he's got all the
Speaker 1: chances in the world to know. It's all the opportunity,
Speaker 1: but so to Todd rule and he was brutal, so
Speaker 1: opportunity doesn't always end up. And honestly, Mike Davis last
Speaker 1: year when he did other like, he started out hot,
Speaker 1: but he really tailed off quick. So yeah, right right,
Speaker 1: he didn't look like he was a season long, full
Speaker 1: time starter, which he had never been before last year.
Speaker 1: Wayne Gallman is also now in San Francisco, and he
Speaker 1: muddies the water. Is even further, who's actually pretty capable
Speaker 1: last year with the Giants um and he likely him
Speaker 1: Wilson later when he comes back. Are just gonna They're
Speaker 1: gonna frustrate fantasy owners to some degree. Mostly, I'm just
Speaker 1: staying away from this whole situation. Do you wonder so
Speaker 1: most is it's the last year of his contract. Does
Speaker 1: that change anything for you? Do they run him into
Speaker 1: the ground a little more knowing they're not gonna keep
Speaker 1: him potentially, Like, does that way at all? You know?
Speaker 1: I just think Shannon is who he is, I think,
Speaker 1: and you know, I don't. I don't think it does.
Speaker 1: We'll just he'll just he'll just play his games with
Speaker 1: that running back by committee and sometimes sometimes we play,
Speaker 1: sometimes we play that factor. I just didn't know that.
Speaker 1: I don't think it does here. But that's just me
Speaker 1: a different coach. I would give you a different answer exactly. Yeah,
Speaker 1: different coach, just different answer. The risk is player to
Speaker 1: adp to me as Tray Sermon running back forty and
Speaker 1: round nine. I realized that you're not paying a lot
Speaker 1: at that point. But I feel like he's not the
Speaker 1: I I can't tell you when he'll start a game,
Speaker 1: and maybe not this year, even if most are goes out,
Speaker 1: it might be Wayne Golman starting or Jeff Wilson starting.
Speaker 1: So to me, there's more risk there the player at
Speaker 1: the most upside compared to a DP. And there's a
Speaker 1: bunch of niners that fall into this category. But Brandon,
Speaker 1: a wide receiver twenty seven in the fifth round is
Speaker 1: my guy showing some special traits that can make him
Speaker 1: one of the league's better receivers. I think both Ayu
Speaker 1: and Samuel fall for I think they're both ways I
Speaker 1: would take. I would too, yeah, but not by a lot.
Speaker 1: I think I might cheat you. They're separated by the
Speaker 1: should be. Really they should be like the cup and
Speaker 1: woods of it is similar to that. Um there's a
Speaker 1: bit of a one to punch in Seattle, but not
Speaker 1: really in the same way. Seattle's got Dk Metcalfoy. I
Speaker 1: think in the the in fantasy owners minds, DK metcalf
Speaker 1: is the focal point of that offense just because of
Speaker 1: the you know, the highlights in the body and everything else,
Speaker 1: the special trades that he's got. Let's let's break down
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks for this season. Sure, sure, I was
Speaker 1: wondering if we're gonna take a break there or not
Speaker 1: break coming up after the Seahawks. Alright, let's let's do that.
Speaker 1: All right, Uh Seattle Seahawks. Let's start with the passing game,
Speaker 1: which we seems to have each time. Uh, Russell Wilson
Speaker 1: not a requirement. You want to start with Chris Carson.
Speaker 1: It's fine by me because I love Chris car All right,
Speaker 1: let's start with Chris Carson, because alright, I think we're
Speaker 1: two of the guys in the industry that love Chris
Speaker 1: Carson a little more with nobody else. Everybody else was like,
Speaker 1: I gotta take Chris Carson. I'm the guy like, yeah,
Speaker 1: Chris Carson. I got him in the third, late third,
Speaker 1: early fourth. Whatever is my RB two. I love this
Speaker 1: because he can put up RB one numbers, which we
Speaker 1: both believe he's going RB nineteen late third, early fourth, uh,
Speaker 1: well below where we think. He's had nine touchdowns in
Speaker 1: three straight years. He's had plus total yards each of
Speaker 1: the you know, twenty nineteen, twenty nineteen. Last year he
Speaker 1: missed like five games or so, so he did not
Speaker 1: hit that total. But this year, uh, Pete Carroll has
Speaker 1: already talked about running the ball more, being more committed
Speaker 1: to the run um. I think the offense is gonna
Speaker 1: be a little better, a little more efficient, and uh
Speaker 1: it's always efficient, really, that offense is always efficient. But
Speaker 1: if he stays healthy, I think he's got another thirteen
Speaker 1: hundred plus yard nine touchdowns in him and going where
Speaker 1: he's going RB nineteen as well. But he's not going
Speaker 1: is he's going as the last of the Bell cowbacks
Speaker 1: and I think that's I think that's a flaw. Yeah, agreed, Agreed,
Speaker 1: it is. You know, Carson is a good back. He's
Speaker 1: good and there's just nobody to take carries away from him.
Speaker 1: And I don't think any kind of threat. It's getting worse.
Speaker 1: Penny just went in this month for a re like
Speaker 1: another surgery on his knee, clean up on his on
Speaker 1: his knee from last year, and he Penny's going our
Speaker 1: B fifty three twelve round. I actually liked that and
Speaker 1: tell this recent news because I want all the backup
Speaker 1: running backs this year. I feel like with this seventeen
Speaker 1: game season, those backup running backs, as I mentioned with
Speaker 1: Henderson earlier, those backup running backs are going to get
Speaker 1: on the field of the time whatever it is. But
Speaker 1: with this one, Alex Collins has gaining all the work
Speaker 1: right now with Carson and Penny not at O T
Speaker 1: A S and uh Penny with the injury. Man, I
Speaker 1: I just think it's going to be a lot of
Speaker 1: Carson this year. So Carson could get two hundred eight
Speaker 1: two three hundred total touches. Could be one of those
Speaker 1: years and it's another one of those that we're gonna
Speaker 1: talk about this now. Everybody's gonna draft him in the
Speaker 1: fourth is RB nineteen, and at the end of the year,
Speaker 1: we're gonna be like, why didn't we see this? Guess
Speaker 1: what if you listen to Fancy Football Weekly, you were
Speaker 1: seen this coming. We're pretty confident about Chris carson Um.
Speaker 1: All right, well, let's go to the passing game. Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson was great in the first half last year and
Speaker 1: then the second half disaster. All these people that have
Speaker 1: been writing Russell Wilson in that passing game really got
Speaker 1: stuck in the second half when the whole Seattle offense
Speaker 1: really struggled. Russell Wilson is currently going as QB six.
Speaker 1: He's going in the late fifth and that's my problem.
Speaker 1: That's my problem with Wilson. You mentioned how he tailed
Speaker 1: off at the end of the year. There's been a
Speaker 1: lot of years in his career where he started slower
Speaker 1: and then he was just super hot at the end
Speaker 1: of the year, which is maybe he's a half season
Speaker 1: quarterback and is finally end as season numbers always look good.
Speaker 1: But yeah, that's my problem with Wilson. I know he's
Speaker 1: he's probably fair in his end of the season numbers
Speaker 1: are going to be in that QB four or five, six,
Speaker 1: seven eight range, Like he's gonna be a top twelve quarterback.
Speaker 1: My problem is he goes in the fifth round. That's
Speaker 1: that's even even in the sixth or seven, even the sixth,
Speaker 1: it's too bad, Like I just can't do it. His
Speaker 1: receiving game, though, there isn't a lot to talk about
Speaker 1: about DK Metcalf. He is he yards eight to ten,
Speaker 1: twelve touchdown guy. He's going as wide receiver for he's
Speaker 1: going at that value. I don't see I don't see
Speaker 1: a path to outside of injury. I don't see a
Speaker 1: path for him not to be that thousand plus eight
Speaker 1: to twelve years, eight to twelve touchdown receiver. It feels
Speaker 1: like it feels like a lock for him. Yeah, you know, yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, like Russell Wilson, he did have some games
Speaker 1: where he just disappeared last year, but just just but
Speaker 1: he's built for He's built to be in the end
Speaker 1: zone and found in the end zone. And it's his
Speaker 1: third year and there have been lots of lots of
Speaker 1: players that have mentioned this that and fantasy players have
Speaker 1: known for year third or year wide out is is
Speaker 1: a big deal. But uh yeah, like Chado Chosen has
Speaker 1: talked about this, where the third year, it's less about
Speaker 1: less about you know, the stats going up, it's about
Speaker 1: the receiver finally understanding the game and understanding how to
Speaker 1: do certain things. And also, oh yeah, but that goes
Speaker 1: in line with it, you know, Like so Metcalf's on that, Like,
Speaker 1: I just don't Every receiver has down games. Most receivers
Speaker 1: have down games from time to time. It's gonna happen,
Speaker 1: but he's going at the right place. What I don't
Speaker 1: like is Tyler Lockett a wide receiver twenty two. It's
Speaker 1: just way too high for me. The end of the
Speaker 1: fifth round. Um, I feel they're going to run more,
Speaker 1: as Carol has stated, But even if they don't, Tyler
Speaker 1: Lockett has been so inconsistent over the last two years.
Speaker 1: I know, he has twenty eight touchdowns in the last
Speaker 1: three years, which is amazing. That's awesome. That sounds season
Speaker 1: is a solid number. It's like ten, ten and eight
Speaker 1: or whatever. But like three years ago, he was getting
Speaker 1: a touchdown like every other game like he was and
Speaker 1: he was super super consistent. The last two years though, however,
Speaker 1: he had fifty. Nearly of his fantasy points came in
Speaker 1: four games. That that is killer. That means the rest
Speaker 1: of the games are really bad. Yeah. Yeah. And last
Speaker 1: year he had four games over seventy yards. Eight of
Speaker 1: his ten touchdowns came in three games. Like that kills
Speaker 1: you the rest of the time in Guilloteen leagues, He's
Speaker 1: a total disaster. This is the exact opposite of what
Speaker 1: you want. Um. Yet Locket is being drafted. I think
Speaker 1: people are drafting and based on remembering the highlights and
Speaker 1: remembering the big games, and he wasn't on your team
Speaker 1: the yard game, right, three touchdown games. I think he
Speaker 1: had two of those last year, two three touchdown games. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's what they're remembering, and they don't see that you're
Speaker 1: gonna lose a lot of weeks because you want him
Speaker 1: in there for those those weeks that he doesn't uh.
Speaker 1: The problem with his draft position is I'm gonna list
Speaker 1: players going within ten picks on either side of him,
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup, Kenny Golladay, Jamaar Chase, Ceedee Lamb, Robert Woods,
Speaker 1: d J Moore, Brendan Ayouk, Tee Haggins. I'd rather have
Speaker 1: all of those them, you know, he's not. He's not
Speaker 1: on my draft board where where based on where people
Speaker 1: are taking him right now? Now you on me, he's
Speaker 1: an eighth or nine thrown pick him like, no, man,
Speaker 1: he's my wide receiver three or flex. Yeah, but at
Speaker 1: this point, the only way he's your wide receiver three
Speaker 1: is if you're really weak at other positions. Yeah, where
Speaker 1: you're drafting him now? Um, And that's why I title
Speaker 1: lock him not beyond any of my fantasy because I'm
Speaker 1: not doing that now. Eskridge is a rookie. They drafted
Speaker 1: a muscular, strong, not not super tall, but like a
Speaker 1: muscular strong, you know, bully out there on the field.
Speaker 1: Good receiver that we'll see how much play he gets
Speaker 1: the third receiver, and there has been relevant from time
Speaker 1: to time. You could pick David Moore spots every now
Speaker 1: and again, and I think we take calmed him, take
Speaker 1: a chance to we we take calm to him a
Speaker 1: couple of times during the year. He's Chris Conley West,
Speaker 1: so it's Conley in Houston. I think he's in Houston.
Speaker 1: I think I think he is too. Yeah, yeah, he
Speaker 1: was when we kept when we kept take comming him.
Speaker 1: So that's why I went with the West. Yeah, you
Speaker 1: you know you hit it. You your mother would call
Speaker 1: you up the day before. He's gonna have a game
Speaker 1: this week, call me up or just turn her head.
Speaker 1: Oh boy, oh boy. Uh No, but I like Ascar.
Speaker 1: It's just when are you gonna get him? And when
Speaker 1: are you going to know when to start him? He
Speaker 1: should be on the field a decent amount though if
Speaker 1: he if he wins that role, he should be on
Speaker 1: on the outside there. He should be in the field
Speaker 1: a decent amount. Um, let's go to the tight ends though,
Speaker 1: it's really just Everett is the only draftable one. Disley
Speaker 1: and Parkinson are being drafted. I know there's hype about
Speaker 1: Parkinson being, you know, the six foot seven, big potential
Speaker 1: red zone target and Pete Carroll's talked about him, but
Speaker 1: I need to see him be a factor before I'm
Speaker 1: doing anything with him in fantasy. Gerald Everett is the
Speaker 1: interesting one. I have long called him tight end Cordel
Speaker 1: Patterson because he doesn't look a lot like Carol Patterson. No,
Speaker 1: but he's super He's this big dude, He's super athletic,
Speaker 1: He's great in space with the ball. Sometimes he can
Speaker 1: take runs and like John who style, but he's scored
Speaker 1: touchdowns running the ball. Uh. But mostly it's because he
Speaker 1: has these big flash games or flash plays and then
Speaker 1: he's gone, like he'll be gone for weeks or gone
Speaker 1: for like he'll have a forty yard play and then
Speaker 1: he's gone for the rest of the game. And he
Speaker 1: looks great on the play exactly. You under see that
Speaker 1: playing go Oh my god, he's you know, he's such
Speaker 1: a talent. They'll have to find ways to get him
Speaker 1: the ball and then the rams wouldn't exactly. But the
Speaker 1: hope here is dis Lee has been great when in
Speaker 1: the game, and then he gets injured and they've had
Speaker 1: tight ends have good games there. I think that's the
Speaker 1: hope is that Everett is healthy all year and he's there,
Speaker 1: you know, one man tight end show, which could end
Speaker 1: up being he's going tight end twenty. He's going behind Higbee,
Speaker 1: which I think is actually fair because I think he's
Speaker 1: a lot safer. But Everett has some really high upside.
Speaker 1: If Smith's going before them, and Smith shouldn't go before them,
Speaker 1: Conklin is going to be a problem. Conklin is going
Speaker 1: to be People don't realize here's they're most coaches. When
Speaker 1: the most coaches talk you should assume they're lying. Mike
Speaker 1: Zimmer is generally honest to a fault, and when Mike
Speaker 1: Zimmer tells you that if Smith's not going to break out,
Speaker 1: you should listen to him. Coaches never saying our guy
Speaker 1: is not gonna break it off, but so he does.
Speaker 1: I would pay attention to the Vikings played two tight
Speaker 1: end sets, like second most in the league or something.
Speaker 1: They play three tight end sets the most in the league,
Speaker 1: which is unreal. Tells you how bad their offensive Yeah,
Speaker 1: that tells the yea offensive line and wide receiver three,
Speaker 1: which they don't have right exactly. Um, okay, so give
Speaker 1: me the riskiest player at current ADP for the Seahawks.
Speaker 1: It's Tyler Lockett. I think I think I was pretty
Speaker 1: clear on that one player at the most upside compared
Speaker 1: to ADP. Do we both think it's Chris Carson. It's
Speaker 1: it's Chris Carson. I mean, you could make a case
Speaker 1: forever just because tight end twenty is really low for
Speaker 1: a guy that could be a start tight end every
Speaker 1: a lot of weeks. But yeah, it's Chris Carson, who
Speaker 1: could be an RB one and he's going to RB nine.
Speaker 1: Are you know a top twelve running back, but he's
Speaker 1: going to RB nineteen when we come back the Arizona Cardinals.
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray coming off a huge season, will tell you
Speaker 1: if we like that to repeat, can he get better
Speaker 1: in year three? There are some key changes to this
Speaker 1: team we're going to talk about and we will help
Speaker 1: identify the riskiest and upside players from the Arizona Cardinals
Speaker 1: when we come back. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul
Speaker 1: Charchi and Scott Fish with you. Arizona brings back the
Speaker 1: highest scoring quarterback in many fantasy leagues, Kyler Murray last
Speaker 1: year and Scott the way he turned into it was
Speaker 1: the huge vault in the running output that he had
Speaker 1: from his rookie year to his sophomore year, roughly double
Speaker 1: the yards and he went all the way to eleven
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns last year. I will say a little bit
Speaker 1: was expected. I mean, when he injured his shoulder in
Speaker 1: his rookie season, he stopped running the ball, so he
Speaker 1: knew the right numbers would be come up, would come up,
Speaker 1: but not that much, not that I don't think anyone
Speaker 1: expected that now A little bit troubling. The passing numbers
Speaker 1: remained pretty modest passing yards is not a lot of
Speaker 1: today's NFL. Yeah, a lot. Like I'm pretty sure Steve
Speaker 1: Young and ninety two lead the NFL with three touchdown
Speaker 1: passes and like under three thousand, you're probably right. Um,
Speaker 1: his twenty six touchdowns are you know, sessions were okay,
Speaker 1: but really thirty yards twenty six touchdowns means he was
Speaker 1: passing as well as Philip Rivers, Baker Mayfield. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, those are not high output passers from a
Speaker 1: fantasy standpoint, and that's where Kyler Murray was. So the
Speaker 1: hope here is the passing in his third year gets
Speaker 1: a little bit better for Kyler Murray. So even if
Speaker 1: he doesn't get the eleven rushing touchdowns and running even
Speaker 1: the most mobile quarterbacks almost never back to back, even
Speaker 1: the kind of like Lamar Jackson, who obviously rushing numbers
Speaker 1: fell off a cliff after last two years ago. Um,
Speaker 1: you know you don't even if that, Even if that
Speaker 1: falls off, the hope is that the improvements in his
Speaker 1: passing will offset it a little bit. Um. Where it's
Speaker 1: really interesting is what if the running numbers do hold
Speaker 1: up and he's a better passer. That's that's in the
Speaker 1: range of outcomes. It's possibly, it is possible. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about his his his offensive line and his past protection.
Speaker 1: It is a medium to good past protection line. And
Speaker 1: they added center Rodney Houston Hudson excuse me, who was
Speaker 1: awesome as a pass blocker for most of his career.
Speaker 1: He's in his twelfth year, but he still has got
Speaker 1: tread on the tire. And the Raiders just you know,
Speaker 1: blew up their whole offensive line and started over. And
Speaker 1: the Cardinals bring him in here, he will help um
Speaker 1: and then he's uh, they added in or they add
Speaker 1: They've got left tackle d J. Humphries, who was very
Speaker 1: good last year. Pro Football Focus tracked Humphries with the
Speaker 1: highest percentage of positive run blocks in the league. So
Speaker 1: there's some talent on the offensive line guards and yeah,
Speaker 1: just okay, but won't be running for his life and
Speaker 1: maybe he won't be and that's you know, that could
Speaker 1: be that could be our i too. So let's go
Speaker 1: to Let's go to the focal point of of the
Speaker 1: receiving group, and that's obviously DeAndre Hopkins. A mild disappointment
Speaker 1: last year, finishing ninth and fantasy points, but mostly because
Speaker 1: he only had six touchdowns. His lowest in five years.
Speaker 1: But DeAndre Hopkins is as consistent as they come, and
Speaker 1: you figure the touchdowns will regress positively back to the
Speaker 1: nine or so that he typically gets. And I think
Speaker 1: he's right now. It's going off the board at wide
Speaker 1: receiver four in the early second round. I think that
Speaker 1: sounds just just right for him. No issue with that
Speaker 1: at all. After Hopkins, the whole rest of anybody else
Speaker 1: who can catch a pass is all up in the
Speaker 1: air here, and everything's very muddy. A J. Green, Christian Kirk,
Speaker 1: Dull Moore, all battling for playing time. UM. They do
Speaker 1: use a lot of four receiver sets, so all four
Speaker 1: will be on the on the field sometimes. UM. And
Speaker 1: where it's kind of fascinating is if you think Kyler
Speaker 1: Murray's gonna throw the same twenty six touchdowns he had
Speaker 1: last year, and if we think like ten are gonna
Speaker 1: go to DeAndre Hopkins, that leaves sixteen touchdowns. So there's
Speaker 1: room for somebody to do well. So let's start with
Speaker 1: A J. Green, who was straight garbage last year. Him.
Speaker 1: He people forget he played all sixteen games last year,
Speaker 1: all sixteen. It was either two or three touchdowns on
Speaker 1: the season. That's it. He was wide receiver seventy four
Speaker 1: in Fantasy double digit target Day where he caught one ball.
Speaker 1: I think he did. I think that did happen, which
Speaker 1: is embarrassing. Um. This contract is a one year deal
Speaker 1: for six million guaranteed, which is kind of a lot
Speaker 1: six million dollar guarantee for a guy coming up that season.
Speaker 1: So I think he has some kind of role on
Speaker 1: this team, and maybe the new environment ends up helping him.
Speaker 1: But can you say at this stage that A. J.
Speaker 1: Green is better than Christian Kirk. Nope, I can't either,
Speaker 1: So I don't know that Green is how much he's
Speaker 1: gonna be on the field. I think Kirk's on the
Speaker 1: field more than Green is, and I think i'd prefer
Speaker 1: to have Christian Kirk if I had to pick one
Speaker 1: of the two. He's in his fourth season, but Christie
Speaker 1: Kirk is only twenty four years old. He's still very young.
Speaker 1: He's still got room to improve, which we would take.
Speaker 1: And last year, a little more than a bye week
Speaker 1: filling his non touchdown games were a total disaster for Kirk,
Speaker 1: where he averaged three receptions for thirty yards. Yeah, and
Speaker 1: he ended up finishing his wide receiver fifty eight last year. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm touching either of those guys. No,
Speaker 1: I don't think I want either one. Maybe more interesting
Speaker 1: is second round rookie Ron Delmore. Do you like Rond Delmore?
Speaker 1: I do? I do. I have been quoted as saying
Speaker 1: that when I watched film on him, he reminded me
Speaker 1: of a squirrel in traffic, how quickly he changed direction.
Speaker 1: He is a water bug and a squirrels, a little
Speaker 1: bit of both, and he's five ft seven. He's tiny,
Speaker 1: but he is fast, and his whole deal has change
Speaker 1: the direction right. He will, he will. He will make
Speaker 1: opposing players look ridiculous, look silly. And um, he'll get
Speaker 1: slot work. He will be the star. I think he
Speaker 1: weak one. He's your starting slot receiver on this team.
Speaker 1: To um, he'll get bubble screens, gadget plays. Uh. They'll
Speaker 1: even run him periodically if they use him at all,
Speaker 1: like he got used in college. And he needs to
Speaker 1: stay healthy. That it was a problem in college. Now
Speaker 1: he's gonna have even bigger and faster guys hitting his
Speaker 1: five ft seven frame. And I think that's the worry
Speaker 1: on Ron Delmore. Squirrels get hit sometimes. Squirrels get hit.
Speaker 1: What do you think about a if if he's gonna
Speaker 1: get hit in traffic, do we call him road kill
Speaker 1: More instead of Ron Delmore? Can this be our first
Speaker 1: official nickname of the season. It is a little mean.
Speaker 1: He's not hurt yet. Do you have to wait for
Speaker 1: to get her? I think for him to take some hits,
Speaker 1: all right, when he gets hurt. So it's gonna be
Speaker 1: like week four, and I'm gonna have forgotten about this
Speaker 1: when it's week four and it's early October. Remind me
Speaker 1: road kill More for four months? All right? Thank you
Speaker 1: very much? On Twitter? Will hut me out there? Uh?
Speaker 1: Of this group? No, we'll come back and talk a
Speaker 1: little more about him later. Tight Ends nothing to even
Speaker 1: talk about here. There is no tight end worth and
Speaker 1: that's all that matters. Let's go to the running backs
Speaker 1: and where I am also really hesitant with the running
Speaker 1: backs here. Some people are high on Chase Edmonds. I'm not.
Speaker 1: I can't muster any enthusiasm for him. He's not a
Speaker 1: goal line back. He's only been allowed to run one
Speaker 1: time from inside the five yard line. At least he
Speaker 1: scored on that, right, No, he did not minus one
Speaker 1: yards on his one ride. From inside the five yard line.
Speaker 1: I thought you were tricking me for a second there.
Speaker 1: So you know, the whole the hope is Kenyan Drake
Speaker 1: has gone and that you know, Chase Edmonds is gonna
Speaker 1: pick up a lot of that role. But I don't
Speaker 1: think you. I don't think you will, and I think
Speaker 1: he is nothing more than a fifty fifty player with
Speaker 1: James Conner, who we're going to talk about in a minute.
Speaker 1: I think Connor is gonna get the goal line work.
Speaker 1: And even when Kenyan Drake would miss some time, Edmonds
Speaker 1: didn't always make an impact. Look at Week nine last year,
Speaker 1: he got twenty five touches with Kenyan Drake out turned
Speaker 1: into eight scoreless yard that's it. That's not good. No,
Speaker 1: that's not good. Three yards barely three yards of touch.
Speaker 1: His best attributes for Chase Edmonds or his hands, he's
Speaker 1: gonna catch probably fifty sixty balls PPR safety net um
Speaker 1: flex guy. If you just want to get your four receptions,
Speaker 1: your forty yards and you're you know, like forty rushing yards.
Speaker 1: So basically he should be being drafted maybe around ahead
Speaker 1: of the j C. Jake mckissic's, uh, maybe a couple
Speaker 1: rounds ahead of the Cohens and Hines and stuff. But
Speaker 1: that's not where he's going. No. In fact, well we
Speaker 1: can talk about exactly that in just a second. For
Speaker 1: James Conner, I thought he looked totally spent last year.
Speaker 1: I think the career is all but over. But Jay
Speaker 1: Semans isn't a full time back, and so I think
Speaker 1: Connor is gonna get some run here, probably in the
Speaker 1: neighborhood of a hundred twenty touches something like that. It'll
Speaker 1: be eight touches a game, and Connor probably gets the
Speaker 1: goal line work. And I just I don't want any
Speaker 1: part of either one of these guys. I don't think
Speaker 1: they're very good. And I could mention that James Conner
Speaker 1: has through his career has been like a top five
Speaker 1: guy in goal line work work, uh you know, first
Speaker 1: down plunges, stuff like that. But um yeah, he'll he'll
Speaker 1: probably continue that role, but he may not be that
Speaker 1: guy anymore. He he he just he looks so bad
Speaker 1: last year. And I know the Steelers offensive line was horrendous,
Speaker 1: but at some point, like Dalvin Cook has been running
Speaker 1: behind a horrendous offensive line, Christian McCaffrey has been running
Speaker 1: behind a horrendous offensive line, and they still are productive.
Speaker 1: James Connor couldn't do that. Um and and you also
Speaker 1: add in the further frustration that's gonna come from Kyler Murray,
Speaker 1: who does run from inside the five. They've given him
Speaker 1: eleven carries inside the five in his two years, and
Speaker 1: that's going to add to the frustration for Chase Edmonds
Speaker 1: and James Connor owners. I don't think that's stopping. He
Speaker 1: might be Josh Allen with for that. He even in
Speaker 1: his size, he's even in his size, he's more of
Speaker 1: their goal and back. He might be the riskiest player
Speaker 1: at their ADP is Chase Edmunds going off the board
Speaker 1: and round six running back twenty nine. I think it's
Speaker 1: totally unwarranted for reasons. We just mentioned the player with
Speaker 1: the most upside compared to ADP, rondel Moore wide receivers
Speaker 1: seventy four, round six. We'll take that. That's that's solid.
Speaker 1: That's solid value right there, big playability. I don't know
Speaker 1: how long he'll be upright, but I like it. Yes,
Speaker 1: I agree, well before he goes to road kill. Yes,
Speaker 1: all right, we've had fun. We did me A Stranger
Speaker 1: is a long podcast. I feel that's partly because we
Speaker 1: haven't talked in such a wide at it's been. It
Speaker 1: has been a long time, and we had all the
Speaker 1: Scott fish Bowl stuff to talk about it. I believe
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson back next week. We'll also have an episode
Speaker 1: of the Chop Podcast next week. We're getting into We're
Speaker 1: getting into almost weekly scheduling. It is Chop seasons coming up,
Speaker 1: and as a reminder of the Chop season can start
Speaker 1: out for you with the Scott fish Bowl eleven Guillotine League.
Speaker 1: Go to Guillotine leagues dot com. Follow Scott and I
Speaker 1: on Twitter for more information about that, and we'll talk
Speaker 1: to you next week. Everybody, Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly
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