1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,560 Speaker 1: Hi, this is newt Twenty twenty is going to be 2 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: one of the most extraordinary election years of our lifetime. 3 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: I want to invite you to join my Inner Circle 4 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: as we discuss each twist and turn in the presidential race. 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: In my members only Inner Circle Club, you'll receive special 6 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: flash briefings, online events, and members only audio reports from 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: me and my team. Here is a special offer for 8 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: my podcast listeners. Join my Inner Circle today at Newtcentercircle 9 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: dot com, slash podcast, and if you sign up for 10 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: a one or two year membership, you'll get ten percent 11 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: off your membership price and a VIP fast pass to 12 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: my live events. Join My Inner Circle today at Newtcenter 13 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: Circle dot com slash podcast use the Code podcast at checkout. 14 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,840 Speaker 1: Sign up today at Newtcenter Circle dot com slash podcast 15 00:00:51,880 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: and use the Code podcast Hurry this Offtway Spires February fourteenth. 16 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: On this episode of News World, as the year of 17 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen comes to a close, I've been thinking about 18 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: and discussing with the lot of folks the year ahead, 19 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: a presidential election year, and while we're focused on the 20 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: lead up to the election, I wanted to devote an 21 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: episode to other significant issues you should keep an eye 22 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: on in twenty twenty. My top five things to watch 23 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty include the US presidential campaign in election, 24 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: Hong Kong and the evolution of China, North Korea, Brexit 25 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: and the rise of Boris Johnson has a populist conservative, 26 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: and the drug crisis on the Mexican cartels. There are 27 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: a lot of other topics that are important, but I 28 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: think these five are really strong and really powerful and 29 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 1: well worth paying attention to, and I really recommend you 30 00:01:50,560 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: keep up on these five. The truth is we won't 31 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: have any idea what two twenty is going to be like. 32 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: You couldn't have made up the rise of Boris Johnson. 33 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 1: You couldn't have made up Trump deciding randomly to walk 34 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: across the DMZ in North Korea and then at the 35 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: same time not to really see any sanctions, so Kim 36 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,359 Speaker 1: Jong un is not all that happy. You couldn't make 37 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: up the total mess that's going on in Syria right now. 38 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: So I thought about it well, picked five topics I 39 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 1: think are a good starting point. But I want to 40 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 1: just say, as a caveat, remember there will be things 41 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 1: that happened this year. None of us know about until 42 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: after they happen. I'm gonna going to cover in sort 43 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: of an order that I think makes sense. First the 44 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 1: presidential campaign and the totality of the Trump offense. Second, 45 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: the rise of Boris Johnson, the impact on Brexit and 46 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: the impact on the US and its relationship. Third, I'm 47 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: want to talk about North Korea because I think as 48 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: a wild card, if Kim Jong un decides to go 49 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: off the deep end, the North Korea could be the 50 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: center of the world in terms of danger and threat. A. Fourth, 51 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 1: I want to talk about China, and then two specific things. 52 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: I want to talk about Hong Kong, and I want 53 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: to talk about five Gi and Huawei because these are 54 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 1: two of the real breakpoints when you start thinking about China, 55 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,079 Speaker 1: but I think it's really important to deal with. And 56 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: then something which I think is maybe the most difficult 57 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: challenge we've seen in a long time. I'm going to 58 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 1: close with the drug crisis and the Mexican cartels, because 59 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: I think we are really underestimating how big a problem 60 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: this is, how hard it's going to be, how much 61 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: of it is inside American society. It's nice field just blame, 62 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: you know, bad Mexican drug dealers with truth is, if 63 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: there weren't lots of bad Americans buying all these drugs, 64 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: you wouldn't have cartels because it wouldn't have any money. 65 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: So that's a background of how I want to approach this, 66 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: and I'm going to start with the presidential campaign in election, 67 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: and as a secondary part of that, Boris Johnson's election 68 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 1: and Brexit negotiations. I'm going to start with the two 69 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:28,919 Speaker 1: sort of parallel patterns, the American presidential campaign in election 70 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: and Boris Johnson's consolidation of power in Great Britain, the 71 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: impact that will have on Brexit, and potentially the impact 72 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: that's going to have on us having a free trade 73 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: agreement with Great Britain, which would be a truly historic 74 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: shift from where we've been in the last half century 75 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,799 Speaker 1: or so. And I want to start by making this case. 76 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: Almost nobody thought in twenty fifteen that Donald Trump was 77 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 1: going to be the Republican nominee. Almost no one thought 78 00:04:57,080 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen that Donald Trump was going to defeat 79 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton. Almost no one on the left thought that 80 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: Trump would survive. And yet his operating style, his energy level, 81 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: his toughness as such that at the very moment he's 82 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: being impeached by the House, the country has largely concluded 83 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: that it's all a joke, that it's not real, and 84 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: his support, his popularity personally has gone up substantially in 85 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: the last six weeks. He had the spectacle of Trump 86 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 1: in Michigan talking to tens of thousands of people while 87 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: the Democrats in the House are voting to impeach him, 88 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: and he was perfectly cheerful and happy. It doesn't really 89 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: feel like we're being impeached steal. The country is doing 90 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: better than ever before. We did nothing wrong, we did 91 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: nothing well, and we have tremendous support in the Republican 92 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: Party like we've never had before, nobody's ever had this time, 93 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: because he's winning the fight about what does it mean, 94 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: and because the economy is great, and because people are 95 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:09,720 Speaker 1: sort of getting used to him. So the first thing 96 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 1: I want to positive about the presidential election next year 97 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: is we don't know. We didn't know in fifteen. We 98 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 1: didn't know in sixteen. We had no idea that Trump 99 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:23,160 Speaker 1: could be this cheerful at this point of an impeachment process, 100 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: So why wouldn't we think we know? Next year? I 101 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: believe that there'll be all sorts of things that unfold. 102 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 1: I suspect that in his State of the Union, Trump 103 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 1: will have a series of very big, very bold ideas. 104 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 1: I think the Democrats are trying to scramble back from 105 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: the hard left. They think they look at the British 106 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: elections in horror and realize that Corbin, who was a 107 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: hard left Labor Union leader, took the Labor Party down 108 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: to the lowest number since nineteen thirty five. And they're 109 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: thinking themselves, if we end up with an Elizabeth Warren 110 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:00,919 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders hard left position, are we going to follow 111 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 1: Corbin and become totally unacceptable. We don't fully know how 112 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 1: the Senate's going to handle the impeachment when it comes 113 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: over from the House. We don't fully understand how it 114 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,559 Speaker 1: affects the Democratic senators. I mean, the absurdity of saying, 115 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: let's have a trial and we're going to bring in 116 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: people like Sanders and Warren and others who've already said 117 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: they think Trump's guilty. If you went into a jury 118 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: and the judge said, have you already made your mind up? 119 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: They kick you off the jury. And yet you've got 120 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: every one of the Democratic senators running for president has 121 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: already committed to the idea that this is acceptable. The 122 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: whole thing is going to be a farce. But under it, 123 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: and this is what I find so difficult in dealing 124 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: with the Washington press corps. During the week that Trump 125 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: was being impeached by the Democrats in the House, Mitch 126 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: McConnell was getting fifteen more judges through the Senate. As 127 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: of today, Trump has appointed more than one out of 128 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 1: every four federal judges. That's a level of impact no 129 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: modern president's head. And because they've had a very strong 130 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: rule that you had to be under fifty to be 131 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 1: nominated to a district court, they're putting people into are 132 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: going to be there for twenty five, thirty thirty five years. 133 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 1: It is an astonishing process that's underway. You're seeing a 134 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: deregulation go on and move forward. You're seeing Trump win 135 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: on the Mexico Canada trade agreement, or you're seeing him 136 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: win on creating a space force. So under the noise 137 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: you have a guy who is slowly and steadily and 138 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: methodically developing the model that he believes will work. We 139 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: are in the middle of a genuinely historic period that 140 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 1: is remarkably different than anything we have seen. Well, this 141 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,680 Speaker 1: is not about politics as usual. This is about a 142 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: fundamental break in the American system with a group of 143 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 1: people who really do intend to change things on both sides. 144 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: The very existence of Trump has so energized the left, 145 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: and then the existence of an energized left has brought 146 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: Trump back into the game that you have just ratcheting 147 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 1: up on both sides of both ideology and resources. That's 148 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: why the very month of impeachment, the R and C 149 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: the Republican National Committees announcing the largest November fundraising in 150 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 1: their history. Because the pro Trump people are totally energized. 151 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 1: That's why thousands of them showed up in Michigan. The 152 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: anti Trump people are organized, and part of what it 153 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: does is it makes it very hard for rational Democrats 154 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: to figure out a path forward because the left wing 155 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 1: of their party, and this is exactly what happened to 156 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,839 Speaker 1: the Labor Party in Great Britain, which had been modernized 157 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: and made vastly more acceptable by Tony Blair, who is 158 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 1: the only Labor leader in a half century to actually 159 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 1: win general elections, and the left wing of their party 160 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: hated it so much that they basically drove Blair out 161 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: of the Party because they didn't want to be successful 162 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 1: if that meant being moderate, rational, prudent. They preferred defeat 163 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: with an exciting ideological fantasy to victory in a boring, 164 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: middle class kind of way. Well, the same things began 165 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: to build here, and you're seeing the rise of a 166 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: Democratic party that potentially could be one of the key 167 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: factors in the election next year. I look at the 168 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: election of a communist district attorney in San Francisco who 169 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: promises not to enforce the law. I look at the 170 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 1: commitment of the National Education Association to destroy Western civilization 171 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: as a stated public goal. I look at the kind 172 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: of proposals you get from people like Warren, who wants 173 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 1: to create a Medicare for all system that would literally 174 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:48,719 Speaker 1: eliminate all private health insurance, which is a hugely unpopular idea. 175 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: Where I look at the Howard County school Board in Maryland, 176 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: elected with George Souris's money, which is now trying to 177 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: impose forced busing, even though by something like forty six 178 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: to oneizens of the county are opposed to it. So 179 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:04,719 Speaker 1: you look at all these things building, and you can 180 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: imagine a circumstance if the economy keeps growing, and if 181 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: Trump becomes more and more acceptable, where you would end 182 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: up with a Nixon Reagan style landslet. However, I can 183 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: also tell you, having watched British politics and the degree 184 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 1: to which Theresa May was shocked because she called what 185 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,200 Speaker 1: she thought was an easy election and all blew up 186 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 1: on her, I can imagine a circumstance where Trump, in fact, 187 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: if the economy falters at all, Trump could get to 188 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 1: be in trouble. If the Democrats figure out how to 189 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,680 Speaker 1: get to nominate a modern it could be a much 190 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: closer race. And so I just want to suggest to 191 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: you we're going to be living through one of the 192 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 1: most fascinating elections in history, and one where we truly 193 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 1: today don't know what the outcome is. I think in 194 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: some ways A really useful book but thinking about this 195 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 1: is Carl Rose's book on the triumph of William McKinley 196 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 1: in eighteen ninety six. Because McKinley began the year campaigning 197 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 1: on tariffs, the Democrats had a rebellion, literally a rebellion, 198 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:11,280 Speaker 1: and the traditional Democrats who had the presidency in Grover 199 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 1: Cleveland were annihilated. They picked the youngest candidate in American 200 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:19,680 Speaker 1: history Williams, and he's Bryant. He campaigned on the idea 201 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 1: that we should have a silver back currency, which means 202 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: about sixty percent less of value than a gold back currency, 203 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 1: and his goal was to have everybody who was deeply 204 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: in debt be able to pay off their debt with 205 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 1: money which was only worth sixty percent as much as 206 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: the money they'd borrowed. He was wildly popular in areas 207 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 1: that were heavily indebted and made an amazing speech the 208 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: mankind will not be crucified in a cross of gold campaign, 209 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 1: promising to bring grass back to the cities and basically 210 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 1: end the industrial Revolution, and all of a sudden McKinley 211 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 1: had to change his entire campaign in August, shift off 212 00:12:56,920 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 1: of arguing about tariffs, shift on to arguing about the 213 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:04,079 Speaker 1: immorality of cheap money. And you could never have predicted 214 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 1: any of that. And Nann McKinley won by a big 215 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 1: margin because the country was not prepared to have grass 216 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: grow in the city and to close down all the factories. 217 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: But it was a remarkable campaign and in many ways, 218 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are the direct heirs to Williams. Jennings, 219 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: Bryan that's a streak of anti wealth, anti industrial, anti 220 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 1: bank populism, which is very deep in the Democratic Party. 221 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: So we could start out having one argument in January 222 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: and by September have a totally different argument. And my 223 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,440 Speaker 1: first piece of advice to everybody is don't assume you 224 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 1: know now what that's going to be like, or that 225 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: it's going to be done by design, because sometimes things 226 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: crop up and you can't avoid them. And I'm about 227 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: to talk about three or four things that could crop 228 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 1: up that you wouldn't be able to avoid. So I think, 229 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 1: in that sense, to me, as somebody who's both campaigned 230 00:13:56,360 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: for president, been involved in many presidential campaigns, studied it 231 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: in terms of reading the literature, this is going to 232 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 1: be potentially an amazing year. I think it will end 233 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 1: up being a much more interesting, much more complex year 234 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: than you might expect. Part of that complex is going 235 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 1: to be what happened in Great Britain. Next, why the 236 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 1: rise of Boris Johnson is a populous conservative the United 237 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 1: Kingdom matters to us. 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You know how I feel about animals. 248 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: They are pure souls who only want to give love 249 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: and get love unconditionally. What founder Leo Grillo is doing 250 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: at Delta Rescue is amazing, helping to save and care 251 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: for these innocent creatures so they can live safely and 252 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: in peace. For more information, go directly to Delta Rescue 253 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: dot org slash neut and ask for a free estate package. 254 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: And since it's the holiday season, enjoy the movie Magic 255 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: right there on the website free. It's a heartwarming story 256 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 1: of a dog that is an angel played by Christopher Lloyd. 257 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: Go to Delta Rescue dot org slashnut watch this holiday 258 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: family movie and request Newts free estate planning package. Again. 259 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 1: My package is only available on Delta Rescue dot org, 260 00:15:53,280 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: slash neut what everybody wants to do. He's put Brexit 261 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: behind us on January the thirty, fast and move on. 262 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 1: And there's a lot of goodwill, a lot of energy 263 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 1: n by building the new deep and special partnership, and 264 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do. Boris Johnson in some ways 265 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: is a British parallel to Trump. In other ways he's 266 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: really not. I mean, he went to Eaton, which is 267 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 1: their most prestigious prep school. He went to Oxford. He 268 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: is a brilliant writer. He's written books, He's been a 269 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: reporter for the Financial Times. He was mayor of London, 270 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: their biggest city, for eight years. He is a total character. 271 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 1: If you have not seen the advertisement they ran based 272 00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: on the movie Love, actually we're going to post it 273 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 1: on our web page because it's hystericals two and a 274 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 1: half minutes long, and it's Boris Johnson parodying himself. There's 275 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: a little bit of the wackiness and the outside the 276 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 1: norm and the complete disdain for the professional consultants that 277 00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: absolutely parallels Trump. And so now you have two guys 278 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: who are both energetic and aggressive. They're both outside the establishment. 279 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,200 Speaker 1: Even if in Boris's case, he has all the right 280 00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 1: education to be in the establishment, and in Trump's case, 281 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 1: he certainly has the wealth and success to be in 282 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 1: the establishment. But they're both really outside the establishment, and 283 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 1: they're both determined to make history. They both want to 284 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: achieve big things. And my prediction is that sometimes this 285 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: year they will have the outline of an amazing free 286 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 1: trade zone between the United States and Great Britain, potentially 287 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:32,639 Speaker 1: also involving Mexico and Canada, and that it will be 288 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 1: a major step towards pulling Britain back from the continent 289 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 1: of Europe, having the British economy rorian itself towards being 290 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 1: part of a world market rather than the European market, 291 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 1: and the long term effect of that in itself will 292 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: be amazing. We have no idea right now what the 293 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: European Union's going to look like in six months or 294 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 1: a year or two years, because the Eastern Europeans are 295 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: increasingly angry about Brussels, much like Brexit. The French have 296 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:01,439 Speaker 1: an economy that's weak and decaying. The President of France, 297 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:05,200 Speaker 1: A Macron, actually has much worse poll numbers than Trump does. 298 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,879 Speaker 1: The German coalition is breaking apart. Merkel's retiring and we 299 00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: have no idea who the next leader is going to 300 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: be in terms of effective ability to organize. So I 301 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 1: think you're really in a world that's going to be 302 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:20,640 Speaker 1: very different. And the relationship between Johnson and Trump may 303 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 1: be one of the biggest factors that makes the year work. 304 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,679 Speaker 1: And I simply want to suggest that don't get up 305 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 1: every morning thinking you know what's going to happen, because 306 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 1: I don't think any of us know what's going to happen. 307 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: The second thing I want to suggest you we need 308 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 1: to pay attention to the very real well is China. 309 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: I think we need to look at two different aspects 310 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 1: at CHAPA. The first is what they do in Hong 311 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 1: Kong China as am dictatorship. They have over a million 312 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 1: people in concentration caves in western China among the leaders 313 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 1: who are Muslim. They are becoming increasing in hostile to religion, 314 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:16,360 Speaker 1: taking steps that are really amazingly bold and aggressive against 315 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: religious organizations. They are building a technology for monitoring people, 316 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: keeping track of them in ways that are pretty frightening 317 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 1: and really do fit George Orwell's vision of nineteen eighty four. 318 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 1: And what a technologically advanced utilitarian state would be like. 319 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 1: So given all of that, I'm going to queue off 320 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 1: of two things as key indicators. The first is Hong Kong, 321 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 1: because so much of Hong Kong's wealth is tied up 322 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,680 Speaker 1: in the world market, because there are so many people 323 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,200 Speaker 1: in Hong Kong who are not Chinese. There's some eighty 324 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: thousand Americans who live in Hong Kong. There are a 325 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 1: huge number of people from Vietnam, a substantial number from 326 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: the Philippines, so it's not just a traditional part of China. 327 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 1: And they had an agreement with the British that the 328 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: Chinese communists signed that said that they would have freedom 329 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: within the Chinese system. That's frankly driven Beijing crazy because 330 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,479 Speaker 1: they're not used to the idea of anybody being free, 331 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 1: and they have this whole notion that if anyone is free, 332 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: that's a threat that everybody could be free and then 333 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 1: the whole system could break down. Now, in that's setting, 334 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: I think we need to watch carefully to see how 335 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: General Secretary of Jijinping tries to solve this. On the 336 00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 1: one hand, he really doesn't want to come in and 337 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: take Hong Kong by force and kill a lot of 338 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:44,639 Speaker 1: people and isolate himself in the world. On the other hand, 339 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: he can't allow mass demonstrations in Hong Kong to continue 340 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: for a long period because it sets up a very 341 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 1: real challenge to the ability of the Chinese government to 342 00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: maintain order inside China. Tension here is very, very real. 343 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:07,120 Speaker 1: I think how this particular drama works its way out 344 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,400 Speaker 1: is one of the most important questions for two thou 345 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:17,679 Speaker 1: and twenty because if Jijinping autimately decides he has to 346 00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: go in with force, he has to lock up all 347 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,359 Speaker 1: these young people, he has to kill some people to 348 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: get the crowds under control, the blowback on that from 349 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: the world is going to be enormous. On the other hand, 350 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 1: if it starts to bleed over into China and you 351 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:35,320 Speaker 1: start getting demonstrations in China itself, that's going to have 352 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: an extraordinary impact. So that's why I think this is 353 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 1: a very unusual moment in history and one you have 354 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,880 Speaker 1: to look at very very carefully. The second thing I'd 355 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 1: look at in China is the continuing rise of Hahwei 356 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:51,960 Speaker 1: and its impact on five G, which is the new 357 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 1: technology that is going to dramatically expand wireless and dramatically 358 00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 1: expand our capabilities. Huawei has been a remarkably intelligent strategy. 359 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:07,800 Speaker 1: They have made enormous schemes around the world. They are 360 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 1: really developing a capacity for China to define the Internet 361 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: for the next twenty or thirty or forty years, and 362 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: the US has been remarkably incompetent in trying to respond. 363 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:25,720 Speaker 1: Our bureaucracies have been disorganized, slow, parochial, tied to ideas 364 00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: that no longer work. Our big companies are so deeply 365 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:33,159 Speaker 1: in debt and have such an obsolete working model that 366 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,120 Speaker 1: they just can't even begin to compete with Huawei. This 367 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: is I think the first great crisis in our long 368 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: term competition with the Chinese, and whether or not we 369 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 1: can get our act together, I think is a very 370 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 1: very real challenge, and it's one of the things I'd 371 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,680 Speaker 1: urge you to pay attention to because it both will 372 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 1: tell you about China and it will tell you about 373 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 1: the United States. If we can't get ourselves organized, and 374 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,960 Speaker 1: we can't by the end of twenty twenty nuinely competitive 375 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,920 Speaker 1: around the world on five G, then you're going to 376 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 1: live in a world that's really dangerous and where the 377 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,480 Speaker 1: Chinese are gathering information on a scale that nobody will 378 00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: be able to compete with. This is the first great 379 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: potential strategic defeat in our relationship with China, and I 380 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 1: think it is one that absolutely needs to be followed 381 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 1: by every American. If we can get our act together, 382 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 1: we could end up coming back in a big way 383 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 1: and end up defining the next cycle of the Internet 384 00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:31,160 Speaker 1: and defining the companies that end up producing the equipment 385 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 1: and the impact of all that would be enormously positive. 386 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: But as of today that's unlikely. We are just simply 387 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 1: not prepared to compete with China. Let me go on 388 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,239 Speaker 1: to North Korea. Wife think North Korea is one who 389 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,440 Speaker 1: key places to keep watching. We don't know what Kim 390 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: Jong UN's going to do. Nobody can tell you what 391 00:23:57,600 --> 00:23:59,199 Speaker 1: he's going to do. He doesn't know what he's going 392 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: to do. This is a very isolated personality representing basically 393 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: a family run dictatorship, and he is out there basically 394 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: trying to figure out how does he keep his nuclear 395 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:15,120 Speaker 1: weapons while getting Trump off his back Economically, Trump has 396 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:18,879 Speaker 1: been gradually increasing the pressure with sanctions, and there is 397 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 1: all it is that they're desperately floundering around trying to 398 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:26,360 Speaker 1: find a way to break out. They've convinced the Russians 399 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,880 Speaker 1: and the Chinese to go to the UN to ask 400 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: to lift a number of the sanctions, which we can 401 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: block in the Security Council. But it tells you this 402 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,560 Speaker 1: is not just going to be a simple one off game. 403 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,439 Speaker 1: It's not just the US and North Korea. China and 404 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: Russia are relatively comfortable with the nuclear armed North Korea 405 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 1: because they figured I'll be aimed at the US and Japan, 406 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 1: not them, so they're not particularly frightened by it. And 407 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,359 Speaker 1: I think at the same time, you're going to see 408 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:56,440 Speaker 1: that the North Korean program continue to test things. They're 409 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: testing both their capacity to get into space and they 410 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 1: are are testing their capacity to build nuclear weapons. None 411 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: of that has stopped despite Trump's optimism, and I think 412 00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:12,159 Speaker 1: it makes for a very very challenging problem. Whether or 413 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: not Trump can figure out a formula that actually gets 414 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 1: Kim Jong under move is not at all clear to me, 415 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 1: partially because the North Korean elites has spent three generations 416 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:27,120 Speaker 1: building these weapons, which they see as essential to protect 417 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:31,359 Speaker 1: North Korea. So I think North Korea remains in many 418 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: ways the most volatile place on the planet, coming up 419 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 1: fighting the drug crisis and the Mexican drug cartels. Hi. 420 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 1: This is Nu Gingwich. After I served as Speaker of 421 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:54,200 Speaker 1: the House, I opened my own business, Gingwich three sixty. 422 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 1: As a business owner, If you don't know your numbers, 423 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 1: you don't know your business. That is what Nutsweet by 424 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,320 Speaker 1: Oracle is set out to solve, because most companies don't 425 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: have a clear picture of their finances, and that is 426 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: why many businesses fail. Question of any business owner out 427 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,640 Speaker 1: there is, are you confident that you get the right 428 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,880 Speaker 1: numbers of your fingertips? 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Schedule your free 436 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,640 Speaker 1: demo right now and receive their free guide seven key 437 00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:49,479 Speaker 1: strategies to grow your profits at NetSuite dot com slash 438 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,560 Speaker 1: newt set up your free demo and get your free 439 00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:56,639 Speaker 1: guide to day at netsweet dot com, slash newt that's 440 00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 1: NetSuite dot com, slashnut. Lastly, the drug crisis and Mexican cartels. 441 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,600 Speaker 1: Now I find this horrified. Every year we lose more 442 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,879 Speaker 1: people to opioid addiction deaths than were killed in the 443 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:29,879 Speaker 1: entire Vietnam War. In twenty seventeen, thus from drug overdoses 444 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:34,159 Speaker 1: rose to seventy two thousand, with forty nine thousand of 445 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 1: those involving opioids. I mean assist astonishing. The human cost 446 00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 1: is so enormous that I hesitate to even talk about 447 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 1: the economic cost. But it's estimated that it cost about 448 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: one hundred and ninety three billion dollars a year, and 449 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:53,880 Speaker 1: people being less productive in healthcare costs and in criminals 450 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 1: justice costs. There be no Mexican drug cartels if there 451 00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:01,199 Speaker 1: weren't Americans buying drugs. We don't have a strategy for 452 00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: drug addiction. We're not prepared to talk seriously about becoming 453 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,240 Speaker 1: a drug free country because that would have frankly involved 454 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,879 Speaker 1: a level of coercion the most Americans will be very 455 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: uncomfortable with. But you have to ask yourself, so how 456 00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 1: many years you think you can take seventy two thousand 457 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 1: deaths annually and not begin to have some kind of 458 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 1: a serious conversation about doing something real as opposed to posturing. 459 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: The second thing we have to recognize is that the 460 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,160 Speaker 1: drug cartels are a huge problem for us because Mexico 461 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,640 Speaker 1: is a big country. And you end up with Mexico 462 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: becoming a narco state or Mexico becoming a failed state, 463 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: you could have waves of migration, just as people try 464 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 1: to avoid the violence. And today the Mexican government doesn't 465 00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 1: want to take on the cartels. The depth of corruption 466 00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: of Mexico is extraordinary, and somebody's taking the money. Well, 467 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 1: guess what. The people who are taking the money don't 468 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 1: want to give it up, and so there's a willingness 469 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 1: to tolerate the drug cartels that's astonishing. As a result, 470 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:06,040 Speaker 1: the cartels now in many ways are dominant. The numbers 471 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:11,360 Speaker 1: are astonishing. In twenty eighteen, thirty seven mayors, former mayors 472 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: or merrill candidates were killed. Why don't you think about 473 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,640 Speaker 1: the notion of living in a country. If you run 474 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 1: for mayor, you have a real chance getting killed. Non 475 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: elected public officials more than five hundred were murdered in 476 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 1: both two seventeen and twenty eighteen, a reporter was murdered 477 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 1: about once a month, leading to Mexico being one of 478 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 1: the world's most dangerous countries in which to be a reporter. 479 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 1: So far, in twenty nineteen through early August, about ten 480 00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 1: journalists were killed in Mexico. And this sort of thing 481 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,720 Speaker 1: just tears apart the society. The cartels are prepared to 482 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: kill judges, they're prepared to kill police chiefs. They're prepared 483 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 1: to and force their will, and so we have a 484 00:29:56,040 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 1: real national security concern as well as having a real 485 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,000 Speaker 1: concern in terms of the health of our own young 486 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,920 Speaker 1: to not be exposed to all of these drugs. But 487 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: when you realize that the current estimate is that since 488 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 1: two thousand and six, it's possible that Mexico has had 489 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:17,000 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty thousand murders related to organized crime. 490 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,240 Speaker 1: And that's what we're up against, and I think that's 491 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: what we have to understand. We're now dealing with armed 492 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 1: gangs with thousands of members capable of imposing their will. 493 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 1: They're so wealthy with American money that they can buy 494 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 1: the best equipment, the best radio's, the best machine guns. 495 00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: They are truly a state inside the state, and we 496 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 1: have no strategy either for drug addiction in America or 497 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:47,239 Speaker 1: for defeating the cartels in Mexico, and that puts us, 498 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 1: I think, at real risk. And that's why I would 499 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 1: list Mexico and drug addiction together as one of the 500 00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 1: major things we should pay attention to. When you get 501 00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: to twenty twenty, I hope that this kind of sweeping 502 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 1: overview gives you some sense of how I think two 503 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 1: twenties is going to be. There are a lot of 504 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 1: very real challenges. There's a lot to worry us about 505 00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:25,680 Speaker 1: the ear ahead, and there are a lot of threats 506 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,840 Speaker 1: in the year ahead. On the other hand, we are 507 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 1: the wealthiest, most successful, and most extraordinary country and history. 508 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,280 Speaker 1: We should recognize that the world is complicated, but we 509 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: can sort out the complexities, and we should recognize that 510 00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 1: for every threat, there are five or ten opportunities to 511 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 1: create an even better future. As we've talked about this 512 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: year with some fascinating episodes, breakthroughs and science, breakthroughs in medicine, 513 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,320 Speaker 1: breakthroughs and all sorts of things that are going to 514 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:59,479 Speaker 1: make the future better. So there's a perennial challenge between 515 00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:02,080 Speaker 1: the ability to screw everything up and the ability to 516 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: invent something fabulous, and the American experience has been for 517 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: the last four hundred plus years. We enabled people, empowered 518 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 1: people to go out to invent, to develop, to grow, 519 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,200 Speaker 1: and that once again we will have helped a vast 520 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:21,120 Speaker 1: part of the human race achieve freedom, dignity, the rule 521 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,960 Speaker 1: of law, in a sense of a life worth living 522 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 1: and a country worth saving. You can read more about 523 00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:32,400 Speaker 1: the five most important things to watch in twenty twenty 524 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 1: on our show page at newtsworld dot com. Newts World 525 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,640 Speaker 1: is produced by Westwood One. Our executive producer is Debbie 526 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 1: Myers and our producer is Gornsey Slow. Our editor is 527 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:47,760 Speaker 1: Robert Borowski, and our researchers Rachel Peterson. Our guest booker 528 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: ist Hamra Coleman. The artwork for the show was created 529 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 1: by Steve Penley. The music was composed by Joey Salvia 530 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: Special thanks to the team of English three sixty and 531 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 1: Westwood One's John Wordock and Robert Mathers. Please email me 532 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: with your comments at new Newtsworld dot com. If you've 533 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,560 Speaker 1: been enjoying Newtsworld, I hope you'll go to Apple Podcast 534 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,160 Speaker 1: and go throate us with five stars and give us 535 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,720 Speaker 1: a review so others can learn what it's all about. 536 00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 1: On the next episode of The News World, we're on 537 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:23,320 Speaker 1: the cost of discovering the Fountain of youth through scientific research. 538 00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,200 Speaker 1: I'm joined by two experts in the field of deterring 539 00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 1: aging in its effects, doctor David Sinclair, author of Life Span, 540 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 1: and doctor Near parts Ali from National Institute of Health. 541 00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 1: Both experts will reveal new ideas about fighting aging. When 542 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,160 Speaker 1: I ask people how long do they want, people say, oh, 543 00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,240 Speaker 1: I don't want to live beyond a hundred, but they're 544 00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,560 Speaker 1: missing the point. The point is that someone who lives 545 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 1: over a hundred was still playing tennis when they were nineties. 546 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: The longer you live needs, the healthier you are throughout life. 547 00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: People actually who live over a hundred, when you ask 548 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,120 Speaker 1: them how often did they get sick in their lives, 549 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,680 Speaker 1: most of them say they've never been sick. They can't 550 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 1: remember getting sick. A vibrant life. I'm new Kangridge. This 551 00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:14,640 Speaker 1: is Newsworld, the Westwood One podcast network.