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Speaker 1: I don't know how you sit still? How do you

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Speaker 1: sit still? Right now? Let me put it to as

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Speaker 1: playing as I can. The next time you and I talk,

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Speaker 1: we will have conference standouts in the ACC. It's here.

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Speaker 1: We don't have to talk anymore. We actually get to

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Speaker 1: watch the games get played. We are jam packed live

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Speaker 1: high top of very anxious downtown Nashville, Tennessee. And why

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Speaker 1: is that? Because we are doing Final Final Absolutely slam

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Speaker 1: the door, take it to the bank, Final Predictions tonight,

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Speaker 1: triple on the final Conference and playoff. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tell you what I feel, and whatever's in my heart

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Speaker 1: right now is whatever goes. It's a good thing we

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Speaker 1: do this show live because, to be honest with you,

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Speaker 1: it's the kind of show where if I got to

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Speaker 1: the end and we weren't live, I probably tell Colin

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Speaker 1: to just scrupt the whole thing because I hate predictions.

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Speaker 1: But we're making them tonight, by the well, by the dozen.

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Speaker 1: Actually we're making them tonight, Nick Saban and Kiffin, that

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Speaker 1: little story that popped up in John Talty and Arma

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Speaker 1: Kaitan's book that's about to be out on newsstands. You

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Speaker 1: boy got an advanced copy of it. I got my

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Speaker 1: own Nick Saban and Lane Kiffin's story, and since they

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Speaker 1: shared one, I'm going to expound on it. You guys

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Speaker 1: will like that way way way back in the day,

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Speaker 1: I shared that story, but almost none of you were

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Speaker 1: listening yet, so I know we got a much bigger

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Speaker 1: audience now than we did them. I'll tell you what

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Speaker 1: I witnessed in the bowels of the Georgia Dome back

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Speaker 1: in December of twenty sixteen. Such a simpler time. Who's

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Speaker 1: the most talented team in the country. We have some

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Speaker 1: thoughts we will discuss as we dive into the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: I am going to predict the FSU Georgia Tech Game,

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Speaker 1: by the way, and we've got well, we got a

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Speaker 1: major announcement on the show tonight. I got like still

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Speaker 1: three or four of them to come before the season starts,

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Speaker 1: so we are beyond jam packed. And therefore I can

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Speaker 1: waste no more time because the segment I'm going to

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Speaker 1: lead the show with I didn't even just tease. That's

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Speaker 1: how much we have going on. They're watching us in

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Speaker 1: San Marcos, Texas, They're watching us in Orlando, Florida, Avon, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: Big Spring, Missouri. Thank you guys so much. It has

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Speaker 1: occurred to me that several thousand of you are new.

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Speaker 1: You weren't here this time last year. And I know that,

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Speaker 1: and I know we do a lot on this show

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Speaker 1: that's not like the other shows, which I guess is

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Speaker 1: a good thing. But we say a lot of things

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Speaker 1: on here that make no sense to you. It's sort

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Speaker 1: of inside baseball. It's different nomenclature, we have different features.

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Speaker 1: What is Pate State? Why in the world does he

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Speaker 1: call it a JP pole? What does immunity mean? So

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Speaker 1: many different What is pate state to begin with? I've

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Speaker 1: never heard of that. Well, I think what we need

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Speaker 1: to do not tonight, but on either the probably the

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night show is I am going to at the

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Speaker 1: end of that show. Yeah, we'll do it Sunday night, Colin,

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Speaker 1: hold me to this. At the end of the Sunday

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Speaker 1: Night Show, I'm just going to do a welcome back,

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Speaker 1: refresher course on everything you need to know about this show,

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Speaker 1: from what the JP pole is, to where you can

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Speaker 1: find Friday Night lines, to why we even have a tour,

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Speaker 1: to what Peate state is is, to yes, what immunity means,

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Speaker 1: all in everything in between. Why in the world. Did

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Speaker 1: I just wear a white T shirt on air? Is

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Speaker 1: he poor? Is he homeless? Maybe yes, maybe no. I'll

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Speaker 1: answer it Sunday night, But in the meantime, make sure

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Speaker 1: you're following on the socials at Late Kick Josh. I've

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Speaker 1: been leaking some things slowly but surely, but we're gonna

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Speaker 1: just flat out flood you over the next week because

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Speaker 1: I can't even break all the stuff we have going

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Speaker 1: on behind the scenes on the air because that would

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Speaker 1: be the whole show. So make sure you're checking it

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Speaker 1: out at Late Kick Josh. Okay, let us dive in.

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Speaker 1: I'm angry, not like mad Dog Russo level angry. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna scream in a Jersey accent, but I am angry. Tonight.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a happy show, but I'm starting out

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Speaker 1: a little angry so paper Pop, which I'll also explain

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Speaker 1: on the Sunday Night show. Paper Pop Let's dive in.

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Speaker 1: Ross Dellinger had a really good, slash maddening article over

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Speaker 1: on Yaho's Sports Today. I didn't see any other people

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Speaker 1: talking about it. I don't know why it is the

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Speaker 1: biggest story in college football today. For my money, there

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Speaker 1: are a couple of general rules that we have on

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Speaker 1: this show. General rule number one, the wrong people have

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Speaker 1: had their hands on the wheel of college football for

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Speaker 1: quite a while. I don't think that's even debated by

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Speaker 1: most of you. I think most of you agree with that,

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Speaker 1: whether you like certain things about the sport. Holistically, no

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Speaker 1: one's really had much control. No one that has business

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Speaker 1: having control has had much control. Another general rule, none

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Speaker 1: of them really care about you. The people making decisions

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Speaker 1: really don't care about you, Which brings me to today's article.

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Speaker 1: Ross Dellinger has been pumping these out. I think he's

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Speaker 1: the best at covering the sport right now. And it

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Speaker 1: does not work here, works over at Yahoo's Sports. But

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Speaker 1: I think he's the best at covering the sport right now.

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Speaker 1: And we got some good ones too, but Ross is

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Speaker 1: doing a really good job. So before I even dive

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Speaker 1: into the particulars, if you're watching on YouTube, you see

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Speaker 1: the bottom of the screen it says does college football

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Speaker 1: have an NFL problem? And that's part of what this

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Speaker 1: is about. But really, college football has got a college

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Speaker 1: football problem too. So I want you to notice as

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Speaker 1: you guys go and read this for yourselves later. As

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Speaker 1: I've pointed out several times, whether it's Dellinger or any

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Speaker 1: of a number of other folks. It could be Marcelo,

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Speaker 1: it could be Chris Hummer, could be Matt Zenitz. Anytime

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Speaker 1: someone's breaking news on the structure of our sport, whether

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Speaker 1: it's realignment or whether it's college football playoff expansion, or

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Speaker 1: whether it's this or that. We've noticed at Pate State

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Speaker 1: at least we've noticed lately that there are two words

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Speaker 1: that you rarely see featured in these articles, and that

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Speaker 1: is the word fans, and that is the word players.

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Speaker 1: For a sport that is allegedly built around one and

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Speaker 1: for the other, fans and players are normally absolutely dead

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Speaker 1: last in decision making because I really don't think that

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Speaker 1: people making the decisions care a whole heck of a

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Speaker 1: lot about either. They just have to tolerate them. You know,

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Speaker 1: this would be a good sport if it weren't for

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Speaker 1: the fans and players, according to a lot of these guys.

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Speaker 1: So I want you to follow this logic. I'm paying

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Speaker 1: to you what Ross Dellinger was talking about today. So

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Speaker 1: Ross Dellinger, this this story is up on Yahoo Sports

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Speaker 1: right now. He was talking about how the college football

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Speaker 1: playoffs got a little problem that everyone, I mean a

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Speaker 1: blind man could have seen coming, and that is they,

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Speaker 1: because of their new structure, are going to have to

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Speaker 1: run opposed to the NFL in the second round games.

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Speaker 1: So the second round games are set for Saturday. Well

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Speaker 1: I think one of them's Friday night, but three of

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Speaker 1: them are Saturday, December twenty first. One of them is

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Speaker 1: twelve o'clock eastern, one of them's four o'clock eastern, in

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Speaker 1: one of them's eight o'clock eastern. Now, the problem is

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Speaker 1: that twelve o'clock in that four o'clock game are going

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Speaker 1: to run head to head with major NFL games, and

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Speaker 1: this is like poison to these people. So they got

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Speaker 1: a problem on their hands. But the problem didn't start here.

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Speaker 1: Just follow me for a second. I want you to

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Speaker 1: follow this logic. If you're brand new, if your cousin

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Speaker 1: recruited you to come to college football and you've become

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Speaker 1: a fan, if you just if you're fourteen years old

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Speaker 1: and you're just starting to understand the ways of college football,

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Speaker 1: follow this logic. So, once upon a time, college football

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Speaker 1: is just awesome, and it's built around the regular season

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Speaker 1: and Saturdays in the fall or what matter, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: we crown a national champion. But unlike the other sports

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Speaker 1: at the pro level, this sport is sort of built

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Speaker 1: around its regular season, and we get a champion at

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Speaker 1: the end as kind of a cherry on top. And

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Speaker 1: it existed for a pretty good while like that, and

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Speaker 1: most people were happy. Most fans were happy. That doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean everyone was satisfied at the end of the year

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Speaker 1: and agreed with the outcome, but most folks understood, hey,

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Speaker 1: this is about the regular season. The profit wasn't maximized

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Speaker 1: is the problem. Not for the fan, not for the player.

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Speaker 1: The problem for the suits is the profit wasn't maximized,

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Speaker 1: and so it created this fork in the road. It

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Speaker 1: wasn't a singular moment, but it created this fork in

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Speaker 1: the road, and they had to choose. We can either

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Speaker 1: sacrifice profit to maintain the sanctity of our sport translation,

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Speaker 1: we can leave some money on the table in exchange

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Speaker 1: for keeping this thing as pristine as we can. Or shocker,

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Speaker 1: the other route, the one they chose is we're just

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Speaker 1: going to tilt the sea saw And so, over the

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Speaker 1: course of several years, you got convinced that your sport

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Speaker 1: was broken, and you got convinced that yeah, what we

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Speaker 1: have is good, but it could be a lot better.

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Speaker 1: And you had anecdotal examples like two thousand and four Auburn,

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Speaker 1: an undefeated team doesn't get to play for a title,

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Speaker 1: and those were used by people who really could not

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Speaker 1: have cared less about Auburn to prop up the idea

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Speaker 1: that this sport needs its own playoff. Candidly, I, as

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Speaker 1: a kid in high school, believed it. I agreed with it,

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Speaker 1: I went along with it. It was a very convincing argument.

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Speaker 1: Everyone else has got it, and why wouldn't college football

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Speaker 1: have it? I mean, imagine, take all the good that

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Speaker 1: is college football and we don't change that, we just

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Speaker 1: put something better on the end of it. Yeah. So, really,

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Speaker 1: what was happening unbeknownst to little JP at the time

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Speaker 1: was they had figured out how to maximize profitability of

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Speaker 1: this sport at the expense of the regular season. And

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Speaker 1: if it didn't harm the regular season, that's great, but

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Speaker 1: they didn't care if it did, because the real money

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Speaker 1: is there to be made in a playoff. And so

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Speaker 1: they built themselves an ATM. They didn't call it an ATM,

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Speaker 1: they called it a playoff. So they just put a

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Speaker 1: sticker that little college Football Playoff logo on the side

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Speaker 1: of the ATM, and they started printing themselves money, and

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Speaker 1: for a little while it was interesting. And then a

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Speaker 1: lot of you noticed that, well, hmm, is this really

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Speaker 1: giving us anything different than we would have already gotten.

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Speaker 1: A lot of the same teams that seem to have

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Speaker 1: dominated once upon a time are dominating even more. And

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Speaker 1: that about that time you heard the drum beat, and

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Speaker 1: the drum beat is, well, we need to expand the

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Speaker 1: playoff further. We need to expand the playoff further because why, well,

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Speaker 1: you guys aren't happy with the outcome so far. Now,

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Speaker 1: in reality, the people who were agreeing with you weren't

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Speaker 1: really agreeing with you. They were preying upon your dissatisfaction

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Speaker 1: with something that was never going to be perfect. It

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Speaker 1: was not designed to be perfect. It was designed to

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Speaker 1: be a primer forgetting where they really wanted to get,

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Speaker 1: which was to twelve teams or more. And so they said,

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Speaker 1: we'll expand it again because Who's in had poisoned the

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Speaker 1: well Who's in? Remember that that was the ESPN marketing

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Speaker 1: campaign at the advent of the playoffs. See, it didn't

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Speaker 1: just come with a four team structure. It came with

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Speaker 1: a four team structure, and every ounce of oxygen in

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Speaker 1: the room is going to be dedicated to that four

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Speaker 1: game structure. And so you're watching Nevada versus Utah in

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Speaker 1: week two of the regular season, and coming in and

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Speaker 1: out of breaks, we've got playoff promotion. We've got well,

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Speaker 1: if the playoffs started today, we've got all here are

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Speaker 1: the rankings right now, here's who would be in Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's week two, man. And all of a sudden, we

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Speaker 1: had phrases like meaningless regular season game pop up, because

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Speaker 1: if you're not playing in games that feature ramifications for

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Speaker 1: the playoff, what does your game really matter? And then

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Speaker 1: we had a meaningless Bowl game that wasn't said by

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Speaker 1: kids or players, that was said by the adults in

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Speaker 1: the room. Players, listeners started to opt out, the meaning

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Speaker 1: of bulls deteriorated. And then the same people who caused

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Speaker 1: that problem were right there to tell you, I've got

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Speaker 1: a solution to the problem. Let's create more of what

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Speaker 1: caused the problem. Let's expand, let's have a bigger playoff.

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Speaker 1: And like clapping seals, enough people went along with it,

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Speaker 1: and so now we've got the twelve team playoff. The

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Speaker 1: second they hit go on the twelfth team playoff. They

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Speaker 1: knew their schedule and they knew the problem. Much like

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Speaker 1: was the case in the original format, they created the

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Speaker 1: problem on purpose so they could solve the problem. So

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Speaker 1: we arrive at the here and now we haven't even

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Speaker 1: played a twelve team playoff yet, but already we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have games run opposed to the NFL, which is gonna

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Speaker 1: be a problem. And you're gonna have a ratings disaster

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Speaker 1: on your hand, not yours. You're a fan, you shouldn't

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Speaker 1: care about it. I shouldn't care about it. But you know,

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Speaker 1: people a long way up off the street in Manhattan

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Speaker 1: are gonna care about it. And so here's what the

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Speaker 1: solution is going to be. This brings me to Ross

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Speaker 1: Bellinger's report today. It probably won't shock you to know

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Speaker 1: that these people have found a solution to the problem

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Speaker 1: that they caused. And you know what the solution is,

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Speaker 1: expand the playoff to sixteen and start the regular season

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Speaker 1: earlier than we already do. I'm gonna pause for you

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Speaker 1: to laugh because you probably don't believe this, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not joking. They're looking at week zero right now. We're

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Speaker 1: going to have a couple of games this weekend, and

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Speaker 1: they're thinking to themselves, Wait a minute, if we just

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Speaker 1: started every everybody's week one the third week in August,

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Speaker 1: then we could have ourselves a sixteen team playoff that

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Speaker 1: starts the week of Thanksgiving. Follow me here, No, you

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Speaker 1: don't have rivalry Week anymore. Under this format the week

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Speaker 1: of Thanksgiving. You've got conference championship games the week of Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 1: so that they could then start their playoff in December

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Speaker 1: and have the second week of December as their second

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Speaker 1: round playoffs that don't oppose the NFL, thus saving the

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Speaker 1: New Year's period for their semi finals. And you ask yourself,

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Speaker 1: what does that do to the regular season. Well, I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you what it does. Labor Day is no longer

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Speaker 1: your kickoff weekend, which has been the case forever. That's

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Speaker 1: kind of been a college football staple. This on that

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Speaker 1: we don't need that anymore. Thanksgiving Week coinciding with Rivalry

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Speaker 1: Week now just college football conference championship games, a few

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Speaker 1: of them, most of you won't even be playing. Your

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Speaker 1: teams won't even be playing on conference championship weekend. Your

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Speaker 1: regular season starts in the third week of August, so

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Speaker 1: you're gonna take their regular season schedule. You're gonna turn

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Speaker 1: it on its ear again, and not a care will

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Speaker 1: be given because the regular season doesn't matter to these people.

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Speaker 1: The regular season almost gets in the way for these people.

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Speaker 1: There's not a single backbone in the room when it

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Speaker 1: comes to decision making in college football. So you might

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Speaker 1: listen to that, And if I were me listening to

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Speaker 1: me say that, I'd say, well, hold on, what would

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Speaker 1: you do different? I'll tell you what I'd do different.

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Speaker 1: I'd run my race and couldn't care less about what

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Speaker 1: the NFL is doing. But Josh, that'll kill your ratings. No,

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Speaker 1: it won't kill my ratings. Less people will watch some

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Speaker 1: of the games in the short term and maybe the

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Speaker 1: long term. But I have a little different vision on

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Speaker 1: this sport than some others because these folks largely envision

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Speaker 1: themselves as professional executives, professional commissioners. They fancy themselves the

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Speaker 1: same way that they look at in the pro ranks.

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Speaker 1: They just happen to be in the college rank, so

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Speaker 1: they want to model everything after the pro ranks. And

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Speaker 1: I've never thought that way. I think this is the

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Speaker 1: best sport in the world. It's going to run second

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Speaker 1: to the NFL. It'll always run second to the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Notice I didn't say third, or fourth or fifth. It's

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Speaker 1: not behind any other sport in this country. College football

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Speaker 1: is more popular than any other sport in this country.

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Speaker 1: Sends the NFL. It'll always be that way. But I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you what the big fear is. That's only partly realized.

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Speaker 1: The big fear is, well, if we run opposed to NFL,

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Speaker 1: games will be lesser than that's true. Here's what's never realized.

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Speaker 1: The NFL hopes you stay not realizing this. It's not

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Speaker 1: realized that NFL advertising is sold against an expected figure,

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Speaker 1: and NFL advertising very complex, but in a very general sense.

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Speaker 1: When you've got Raiders Chiefs running a third week of December,

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Speaker 1: there is an expected number that game's gonna do. Just

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Speaker 1: like in the local news world, there's an expected number. Roughly,

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Speaker 1: it's a deliverable. We do it with our partners at

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Speaker 1: Academy and Quick Trip and FanDuel. We have deliverables roughly

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Speaker 1: that we tell them we're going to deliver in exchange

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Speaker 1: for the dollars that they hand over in ad partnership. Well,

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Speaker 1: here's what happens. What happens is if something cuts into

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Speaker 1: our number and we don't match our deliverable. What we

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Speaker 1: either do is lose that partner in the future or

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Speaker 1: we have to comp them. We have to return part

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Speaker 1: of the dollar figure they gave us because we didn't

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Speaker 1: meet our deliverable. In this world and in this context context,

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Speaker 1: what happens is, yeah, the college football playoff game rating

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Speaker 1: goes down a little bit, but it doesn't evaporate. What

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Speaker 1: actually happens is there's a little chunk taken out of

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Speaker 1: that NFL game as well. Not as many people watch

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Speaker 1: that NFL game as well, because I know this may

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Speaker 1: be a shock to the folks on Park Avenue, but

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Speaker 1: there are some folks out there who would watch Georgia

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Speaker 1: versus Oregon Round two over Chief Raiders regular season. A

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Speaker 1: lot more folks would watch Chief Raiders. I don't doubt that,

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Speaker 1: not as many if they know there's an alternative and

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Speaker 1: it's college football playoff game on so in the short term,

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Speaker 1: a one off that wouldn't really matter, and the NFL

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Speaker 1: would flex on you, and of course everyone in the

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Speaker 1: college football world would crater because their spines are made

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Speaker 1: of the same things the accordions made of. But if

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Speaker 1: there were someone who looked at it and said, well,

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Speaker 1: that sucks man. Our number was lesser than but we

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Speaker 1: move on. It would be the worst nightmare of the NFL.

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Speaker 1: The audacity, by the way of the NFL continues to

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Speaker 1: amaze me, continues to amaze me. And they can get

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Speaker 1: away with it. And so you know, they run their

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Speaker 1: race and they don't worry about it. But just think

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Speaker 1: about the attitude of the NFL. It's king. It is

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Speaker 1: the biggest content creating machine in the world. It is

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Speaker 1: by ten miles, the most popular sport in the world,

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Speaker 1: and it has at its disposal, free of charge, a

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Speaker 1: marketing and developmental branch called college football that it doesn't

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Speaker 1: even have to subsidize. College football is self sustaining, and

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Speaker 1: it markets their players before they even get there, to

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Speaker 1: the point where when you draft guys, When guys are

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Speaker 1: taken on the first night of the NFL Draft and

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Speaker 1: they walk across that stage thirty two out of thirty two,

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Speaker 1: you already know those players. They're not mysteries. They're not

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Speaker 1: four star players that you have to look up the

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Speaker 1: profile of. You know them. You know them because you've

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Speaker 1: watched them on Saturdays for three or four years. The

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Speaker 1: NFL didn't have to pay a dime for that, but

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Speaker 1: they benefit from it. They didn't have to pay a

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Speaker 1: dime to have the kid go to Oklahoma State or

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Speaker 1: go to Virginia Tech, or go to Georgia and get

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Speaker 1: developed for two, three four years by the best college

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Speaker 1: coaches in America. But they benefit from it. So there's

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Speaker 1: a bunch of take. There's a ton of take. There's

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Speaker 1: a ton of benefit on the NFL side from having

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Speaker 1: college football. And not only do they not give back

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Speaker 1: to college football, they openly impede on college football's ability

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Speaker 1: to carve out their own territory in December and January. Now,

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Speaker 1: this doesn't hurt my feelings a whole lot because I

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Speaker 1: couldn't care less about playoff expansion anyway. I wish we

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Speaker 1: didn't do it, But since we've done it, if I

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Speaker 1: were in charge, what I'd love to see is some

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Speaker 1: folks in the room roll up their sleeves and understand,

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Speaker 1: maybe you got to fight on your hand. Now. I

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Speaker 1: know this is like Pacifist City, the folks who run

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Speaker 1: college football right now, but maybe you got to get

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Speaker 1: bloodied a little bit. That's how fights work. But if

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Speaker 1: you're ever gonna kind of carve out your coin of

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Speaker 1: this thing, and you guys plan on expanding. You guys

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Speaker 1: actually plan on living in this expanded playoff world. You're

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Speaker 1: not gonna do it by continuing to cower to the NFL,

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Speaker 1: or else they'll turn you into Spring League before too

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Speaker 1: much longer. Because here's the other elephant in the room

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Speaker 1: that everyone knows. The NFL is also gonna expand their

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Speaker 1: regular season. They're gonna go to eighteen games, sooner or later.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna do that. That's widely believed. So what are

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Speaker 1: you gonna do? Then You're not gonna live in a

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Speaker 1: world where you don't have to oppose the NFL at

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Speaker 1: some point. So my answer is either go back to

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Speaker 1: the old way of doing things, which I love but

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Speaker 1: it's not feasible, or oppose them and just see what happens.

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Speaker 1: I think you'd be surprised. The whole New Saturday tour

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Speaker 1: is ready this time. Next week. Actually, we'll be doing

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Speaker 1: our Thursday show. Then we'll be headed down to Gainesville.

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Speaker 1: We are proud to partner with Quick Trip. Quick Trip

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Speaker 1: is proud to fuel this entire tour, and we have

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Speaker 1: given away I don't know how many gallons of free

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Speaker 1: gas already this week. But I told you, guys, maybe

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Speaker 1: some of you thought I was bluffing the moment a

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Speaker 1: week ago we announce this partnership. I told you I

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Speaker 1: have it at my discretion to just give away free gas,

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Speaker 1: not like one or two gas cards, guys. I have

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Speaker 1: thousands and thousands and thousands of dollars of discretionary giveaway

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Speaker 1: at my disposal. So we've been doing it this week.

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Speaker 1: If you've been following me at Lake Kik Josh, you've

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Speaker 1: seen we've been doing it all over social this week.

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Speaker 1: One guy had a seventy four gallon truck tank and

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Speaker 1: we filled that thing up, So that won't be a

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Speaker 1: norm probably, but we've been giving it away and that's

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Speaker 1: the benefit of having Quick Trip as our partner. We

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Speaker 1: appreciate him. You see the QR code on the screen

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Speaker 1: right now. I'd highly advise you. I had a buddy

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Speaker 1: from back home ask me, hey, how do I save

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Speaker 1: on guests? Well, go download their app firstly, because we'll

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Speaker 1: eventually have a carve out in there for our audience.

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Speaker 1: That gets you special offers that no one else gets.

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Speaker 1: But even if they don't have the carve out right

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00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: now just go download the app. It's worth it if

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Speaker 1: you just drive a car and you're anywhere near a

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Speaker 1: Quick Trip. I know they don't have one in every

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Speaker 1: major city, guys, but a lot of you do have

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Speaker 1: a quick Trip. Some of you have been traveling a

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Speaker 1: couple of miles extra just to go to Quick Trip.

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Speaker 1: I see you. I appreciate you. They do as well,

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Speaker 1: and we will be on the road all year courtesy

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Speaker 1: of Quick Trip. All right, it's that time. It's that time.

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Speaker 1: I had to split this up in the show tonight

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Speaker 1: because I didn't want to do conference and then playoff

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Speaker 1: predictions all at one time. Appreciate you guys being tuned

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Speaker 1: in alive. By the way, here here's a little smiley

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Speaker 1: face for the chat. Happy Thursday, Happy vibes all around.

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Speaker 1: And I say that because I'm about to upset some

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Speaker 1: people and then in turn you will lash out at

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Speaker 1: me in the comments. But that's okay, that's okay, because

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Speaker 1: even that I think is done out of love. Final

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Speaker 1: conference predictions. This is it. This is the one. I

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Speaker 1: want you to hold me to. Anything else I've said beforehand,

428
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 1: completely disregard it never happened. The acc is going to

429
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 1: pan out as follows, we start the season with FSU

430
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 1: having an over underwin total of nine and a half.

431
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 1: Miami's got that as well. Clemson's got an over underwent

432
00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 1: total of eight and a half. However, Clemson has slightly

433
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,479
Speaker 1: better odds at FanDuel at the moment to win the

434
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 1: conference than do the Miami Hurricanes. Okay, well that's what

435
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 1: FanDuel's odds market says. What do I say? I say

436
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 1: that I have shifted here. We made predictions a month ago.

437
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 1: Those no longer exist. I have shifted. We've gathered as

438
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,119
Speaker 1: much intel, We've gone and seen as many teams in

439
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 1: person as we can, which is tricky. You've looked at injuries,

440
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,439
Speaker 1: We've looked at everything we can possibly look at. I

441
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: am keeping my same ACC championship prediction in terms of matchup,

442
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna go with Miami over Florida State to

443
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: win the conference. My thinking here is several folds. So

444
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:47,479
Speaker 1: the first is I don't think many people doubt the players.

445
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 1: I don't think many people doubt the talent roster at Miami.

446
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 1: If I were to go as far as to put

447
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: those players in Clemson uniforms, I think Clemson would be

448
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 1: a consensus favorite to win this conference, and the reasons obvious.

449
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 1: The reasons because you've come to trust Dabo Swiney. You've

450
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 1: come to trust the profile of the program. They have

451
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 1: delivered in big moments before Dabbo has been at the

452
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 1: mountaintop a couple of times. You guys don't trust Mario Christbaul,

453
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 1: A lot of you don't. You guys don't trust that

454
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 1: coaching staff. A lot of that coaching staff's an unknown.

455
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 1: I get why you're there, I just don't. I don't

456
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:22,480
Speaker 1: think living in the rearview mirror in this particular case

457
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,959
Speaker 1: is the best way to go about forecasting this season,

458
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 1: because they got it on the line of scrimmage and

459
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 1: they're surprisingly I think deep, deceptively deep at tailback. They're

460
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 1: going to probably end up having the best quarterback in

461
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: the conference, in my opinion, in cam Ward pass rush

462
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 1: will be filthy, and I think they match up therefore

463
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 1: very well with everyone they play, because I think they

464
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 1: can win in a variety of ways. It should be

465
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,199
Speaker 1: a team that continues to get better. There should not

466
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,320
Speaker 1: be a team whose peak comes in the first few

467
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: weeks and then fades off. Very intentional about that they've

468
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,399
Speaker 1: been very intentional about everything they've done down there in

469
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 1: that vein, and so I'm gonna take Mia over FSU Clemson.

470
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,440
Speaker 1: I'm right there with them. I just still in terms

471
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 1: of consistency offensively and the overall high level depth, that's

472
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 1: what I doubt about them too much to put him

473
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 1: in the Conference championship game. Don't expect a bad year

474
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: for Clemson, but I did not find myself able to

475
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 1: take the added step with the Tigers there. Virginia Tech

476
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,880
Speaker 1: and NC State did get looks, partly because I think

477
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 1: the quality of team will be enhanced, partly because they

478
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 1: both have very workable schedules. Neither of those would shock

479
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 1: me being in the conference title game. I think I

480
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:37,240
Speaker 1: would be pretty surprised if either won the conference title game, though,

481
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 1: and I know you can say, well, that's only one

482
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: more game, but without divisions, they are guaranteed to play

483
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,640
Speaker 1: the best the ACC has to offer. I think that'll

484
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 1: be Miami. I think they'll win it. Let's move on,

485
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 1: we go in no order whatsoever. Here. The SEC is

486
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: next up. I think I had Texas versus Old miss

487
00:24:55,000 --> 00:25:00,119
Speaker 1: about a month ago. Many people disagreed, not shockingly so

488
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 1: right now, the up to the minute Fan Duel Odds

489
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 1: board looks as follows. Georgia is number one and Texas

490
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: is number two. Those are the only teams in the

491
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 1: conference with win totals in the double digits. Both of

492
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 1: them are at ten and a half. Bama, Ole Miss, LSU.

493
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 1: Those are the three with win totals at nine and

494
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: a half. Now Tennessee actually Missouri has nine and a

495
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,639
Speaker 1: half as well. Tennessee has gone from like eight and

496
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 1: a half to nine and a half back down to

497
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,640
Speaker 1: eight and a half, So there's been a lot of

498
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: fluidity with the valls. Here's where Here's where I'm going

499
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 1: to land in the SEC. I am keeping Texas as

500
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,920
Speaker 1: my conference champ. I am replacing Ole Miss with Alabama

501
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: in the conference championship game. So fitting that Colin had

502
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:45,879
Speaker 1: b roll of Sark in Bryant Denny Stadium to start this.

503
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Texas over Alabama in the SEC

504
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: championship game. The collective level of talent at Texas I trust.

505
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 1: I trust that while it may not be a shot

506
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: for shot remake of last year's team, you know, you

507
00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,199
Speaker 1: lose guys on the interior of the defensive line. What

508
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,679
Speaker 1: I look at is the aggregate of talent acquisition, and

509
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 1: at Texas they've done it plenty well enough, and they've

510
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: spread the talent all over the roster plenty well enough.

511
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 1: Then in the aggregate, this team should be good enough.

512
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: They should be good enough to be favored most every

513
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: game they play. I also think there's this thing that

514
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 1: will happen psychologically with Texas going from the Big Twelve

515
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 1: to the SEC. You know there's a thought that, well,

516
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 1: if they had close games in the Big Twelve, they

517
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 1: may get chewed up in the SEC. I actually think

518
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: it gets your attention when you look out over the

519
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:36,000
Speaker 1: horizon and you see a different caliber opponent on your schedule.

520
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: I think it'll serve them well. I think the same

521
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: thing will happen at Oklahoma. By the way, I just

522
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,959
Speaker 1: don't necessarily think it's Oklahoma's year to compete for the

523
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 1: SEC championship. But I'm taking Texas there. Pass catchers, they

524
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 1: backfilled them really well. I had some concern about that.

525
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,120
Speaker 1: I don't have concern. My concern is about their depth

526
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,320
Speaker 1: of tailback. But I think in a complimentary fashion, they

527
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,400
Speaker 1: will find a way. They'll find a way to get

528
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 1: it done. When viewers has a big year, and I

529
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 1: trust Sart calling plays as much as I trust anyone

530
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 1: on either side of the ball. Bama I think will

531
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,600
Speaker 1: gain steam as the season goes on. I think they'll

532
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: be one of the best rushing teams in the SEC

533
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:16,440
Speaker 1: as well. I am cautiously optimistic about their defense. They

534
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 1: don't have game wreckers them in Georgia. Both strike me

535
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 1: as programs that have accumulated really solid veteran depth on

536
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:28,679
Speaker 1: the defensive front. They don't match the vintage versions of themselves.

537
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 1: This is not mid twenty teens Alabama in terms of

538
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 1: a pass rush, I don't think on the interior, I

539
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 1: mean this is not Georgia a couple of years ago

540
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:40,080
Speaker 1: in that vein. They're both plenty good enough to be there.

541
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 1: I think Alabama's going to continue to scale, and Kaylin

542
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 1: de bor Man he inherited just a much better roster

543
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: situation than I think most people realize. Obama's not down

544
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 1: the notches that I think people think they are, and

545
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 1: they will develop wide receiver one, two, three and so forth.

546
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,120
Speaker 1: So I think Bama's going to be right there. Georgia

547
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 1: is right there as well. Oh, I've got em power

548
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 1: rated as slightly better than Texas and Alabama. It's just

549
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: that I don't have them significantly better, and Georgia's schedule

550
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 1: is tougher. This is a very nip and tough thing.

551
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 1: Georgia could just as easily be in there over either

552
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,679
Speaker 1: one of these teams if they all played the same schedule,

553
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: I'd have Georgia in there and have them winning it.

554
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: But I may differ with the pack in that I

555
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 1: don't think that there is any kind of gap between

556
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:25,199
Speaker 1: There's not much of a gap between Georgia and the

557
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,439
Speaker 1: next couple of teams in the SEC. I think it's

558
00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: very competitive. Georgia plays both of these teams on the road.

559
00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 1: They play Ole Miss on the road, they play Tennessee.

560
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,879
Speaker 1: I think the totality of Georgia's schedule is a little

561
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 1: bit too much. Still solidly a playoff team, but I

562
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 1: think that's what keeps them out of there. LSU is

563
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 1: a team with an over underwin total of nine and

564
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 1: a half. I have far too much doubt about the

565
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: consistency of LSU's offense. I think turnovers at the quarterback

566
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 1: position have been a bit too much of an issue

567
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,800
Speaker 1: in fall camp for me to totally feel comfortable with

568
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: I'm going to have to see that defense have quantum

569
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 1: leaps and improve. But I will say this, if they

570
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 1: get past USC and they have an emphatic statement in

571
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: week one, that can be a team that's off to

572
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 1: the races. So take the doubt I just had, Well,

573
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 1: if it's not valid, and we'll know early on if

574
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: it's not, that could be a team that's off to

575
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: the races. Remember that game against Old Miss, they got

576
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 1: a massive buy advantage there. They will be rested at

577
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 1: home Old Miss playing their seventh game in seven weeks.

578
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: So the schedule could all of a sudden after one

579
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 1: week make you look and say, oh, want to rethink

580
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 1: that LSU pick. Can't do that though, got to make

581
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 1: the pick right now, ole Miss. I think the secondary

582
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 1: games on their schedule are a little more treacherous than

583
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 1: folks from making it out to seem. Ole Miss's schedules

584
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 1: on the screen right now, and everyone's eyes go to

585
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 1: at LSU, where they are significantly disadvantaged, like we just

586
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 1: said in terms of bye week. But then it goes

587
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 1: to the Georgia game and it's like no one's paying

588
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 1: attention to the fact that they play Kentucky at home.

589
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 1: Kentucky's a top thirty team in the JP Pole and

590
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: should be. They should be. How are rated up there?

591
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 1: They go to South Carolina at South Carolina still pretty

592
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: early in the season, when South Carolina still has their legs.

593
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 1: Maybe Leonora Sellers is popping over there. They've got Oklahoma

594
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: at home. People just chalk that up as a win.

595
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 1: I'm not sure what world folks are living in where

596
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: you just kind of think you put the pencil in.

597
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: W's next to Oklahoma at Florida. Now that's later in

598
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 1: the year, and maybe Florida's done in by that point.

599
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:29,240
Speaker 1: If that game were higher, if that game were earlier

600
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 1: in the year, I'd have a lot more concern about it.

601
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 1: But the totality of that schedule is not as easy,

602
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: I think as people make it. Think oh Miss is

603
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: a playoff team, though, I just don't have them in

604
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 1: Atlanta anymore. In the Big Twelve, this is, by ten

605
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: miles the most unpredictable conference in college football this year.

606
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 1: I have called it America's college football Conference. I believe that.

607
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: I believe that, pound for pound, this is the most

608
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,160
Speaker 1: fun you could have watching this sport this year. If

609
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 1: you say that you miss the way it used to be,

610
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 1: not in nineteen sixty seven, but maybe even in two

611
00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 1: thousand and seven. Then this is the conference for you,

612
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 1: the most unpredictable that you could ever imagine. Utah has

613
00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 1: not played a single conference game in the Big Twelve.

614
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 1: They're the favorite to win the conference. They're brand new,

615
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 1: and their favorite to win the conference. Right behind them

616
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 1: as Kansas State Oklahoma State. UCF has surged. UCF now

617
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: has the fourth best odds to win this thing, better

618
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: than Kansas and Arizona. Iowa State's had some money come

619
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 1: in on them, not just mine, but mine is in

620
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 1: on them. So here's where I'm going in the Big Twelve.

621
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: I am keeping the matchup that I had. I've got

622
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: Iowa State versus Oklahoma State in the Big Twelve championship game.

623
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 1: I am taking Oklahoma State to win that because I

624
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,760
Speaker 1: think if Oklahoma State's there, then they have perfected the

625
00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 1: style of play I think they're equipped to put into

626
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: practice this year. And if they've perfected that, then there's

627
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,480
Speaker 1: good a matchup as any for Iowa State, and I

628
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 1: think the beat Iowa State if they're there. This is

629
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 1: really really tough. They're like four or five other teams.

630
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 1: I'm terrified to overlook Avery Johnson at Kansas State. I

631
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 1: am very curious about Utah. They play Oklahoma State on

632
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: the road in Week four. Two schools have thought about Utah.

633
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 1: I've got one. We'll see if it's right. Utah was

634
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: always a matchup nightmare in the Pac twelve because Utah

635
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 1: was the only school that played their style of ball

636
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 1: in the Pac twelve. In the Big Twelve, a bunch

637
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 1: of other folks play that style. This is not the

638
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: pinball conference it once was. This is a roll up

639
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: your sleeves. This is a get your lip bloodied sort

640
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 1: of conference now has been for a few years. They

641
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: play good defense. That doesn't mean they're gonna litter the

642
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 1: first round of the NFL Draft, But if you understand

643
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:45,240
Speaker 1: how fundamentally sound football looks, they play it in the

644
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: Big twelve. So Utah goes from a conference where virtually

645
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,479
Speaker 1: no one plays the way they do and they're a

646
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 1: matchup problem every week to a conference full of folks

647
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: who try and do what they do. It may be

648
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,040
Speaker 1: that Utah still does that better than anyone else, but

649
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 1: I actually think what used to be an advantage for

650
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 1: Utah is not nearly as much of an advantage anymore,

651
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: and in totality, maybe the schedule catches up to them.

652
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 1: Maybe Utah doesn't stand out, and I'm taking a chance

653
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 1: on that because they could very easily stand out and

654
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: just steamroll their way to Dallas for the Big Twelve

655
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 1: championship game. But I don't think so. I think it'll

656
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 1: be Iowa State versus Oklahoma State, and I think the

657
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 1: biggest wild card here for me's UCF. I understand why

658
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 1: they've surged the way they have, you know, wild cards

659
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 1: in the Big Twelve. It's kind of relative because Kansas

660
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: is also that West Virginia and Arizona are also that.

661
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 1: I took about ten minutes to look at Texas Tech

662
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: and TCU today. I can very easily make an argument

663
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,360
Speaker 1: for TCU, who, by the way, let me just I

664
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 1: didn't plan on doing this. Let me just tell you

665
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 1: I've got ten I did have this written down. I've

666
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: got ten Big twelve teams in the top forty of

667
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 1: the jpeople and all of them except for one except

668
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 1: it's all like twenty to forty. Like that's where the

669
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,799
Speaker 1: conference is. There's not a national championship contender here. It's

670
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: a conference that probably gets one team in the playoff.

671
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:15,720
Speaker 1: I think that'll be the case. Unbelievably entertaining product ahead

672
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:19,839
Speaker 1: Ioway State Oklahoma States my pick. That's by far the

673
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 1: lowest confidence pick I have in terms of a matchup

674
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. I think this is the highest

675
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 1: confidence I have in a matchup. I'm taking Ohio State

676
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,319
Speaker 1: in Oregon, same as I did a month ago. I'm

677
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 1: taking Ohio State to beat Oregon, same as I did

678
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 1: a month ago. They match up in Week five or six,

679
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 1: whichever is October twelfth and Eugene. I'm not going to

680
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:45,240
Speaker 1: say it doesn't matter who wins that game. It matters,

681
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,279
Speaker 1: but I don't think the outcome matters in terms of

682
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 1: what this matchup will be from the psychological standpoint, you know,

683
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: being able to preach, get back and revenge to your

684
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 1: team for the better part of a season. Yeah, that's great,

685
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:00,879
Speaker 1: and the loser will have that advantage if you want

686
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 1: to call it that. They'll also have far less margin

687
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:06,120
Speaker 1: for error. But I think they'll meet in Indy. I

688
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 1: think there is a little bit of a gap between

689
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: these two teams and the rest of this conference. Ohio

690
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 1: State has to get this done. Ohio State has to

691
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,399
Speaker 1: get this done, they have to beat Michigan. I don't

692
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 1: care if they lose to Oregon. That's not the end

693
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 1: of the world, because they get a shot at Penn

694
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: State a few weeks later, and they get Michigan at

695
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: home at the end of the year, and if they

696
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: win those two, it doesn't matter. They will be in Indianapolis.

697
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: I don't think that defense is going to let them down,

698
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 1: even if they do lose to Oregon early. I don't

699
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:36,400
Speaker 1: think Oregon's going to Indy and US watching Ohio State's

700
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,359
Speaker 1: defense let them down. I think Ohio State's gonna come through.

701
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,240
Speaker 1: I think they got to come through here now. They'll

702
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 1: be in the playoff. Unless they suffer a third law,

703
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:48,800
Speaker 1: they'll be in the playoff. But if they're not able

704
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 1: to get it done against two of these premier teams

705
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,840
Speaker 1: on this conference schedule, they're not going to win the

706
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 1: national title. In my estimation, it probably means quarterback hamstrung

707
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 1: them too much. That's probably what it means. I don't

708
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,040
Speaker 1: think that's the style this team will take on. I

709
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:05,759
Speaker 1: think there's as much a sense an urgency for a

710
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 1: team this talented as we've ever seen, and I think

711
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 1: they'll show it. I think they'll show it. Michigan and

712
00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: Penn State, I simply think are a little bit of

713
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 1: a notch below those other two. Both are playoff caliber teams.

714
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,919
Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to win this conference this year.

715
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,160
Speaker 1: So number one and number two odds teams in Ohio

716
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: State Oregon, according to FanDuel, are the teams I have

717
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 1: playing for the Big Ten championships. So we're taking Ohio

718
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 1: State over Oregon. I'm taking Oklahoma State over Iowa State.

719
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:39,800
Speaker 1: I'm taking Texas over Alabama, and I'm taking Miami over FSU.

720
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: And of course, in terms of the new playoff, which

721
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,359
Speaker 1: I'll talk about later in the show, or if you're

722
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: watching the individual video, I talk about it in another video,

723
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 1: that would be that your buys your number one through

724
00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 1: four in any order for the playoff would be Ohio State, Texas, Miami,

725
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,520
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma State. And then we got a G five

726
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 1: team in there somewhere. We let the chips fall where

727
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:07,280
Speaker 1: they may for the other what would that be six spots?

728
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:13,320
Speaker 1: I guess five or six spots. You know, Academy Sports

729
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 1: and Outdoors could hook you up no matter where you

730
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 1: wanted to tailgate. A lot of you are, unbeknownst to

731
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 1: you right now, you're gonna have home playoff games. Did

732
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 1: you know that? Did you know that? Later in this

733
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,920
Speaker 1: very show, I'm going to be talking to you guys

734
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 1: about home playoff games. Who I think is going to

735
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:31,919
Speaker 1: host a home playoff game? Excuse me? The duo points

736
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: a little low in Nashville, So we've got to apply

737
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 1: the lipbomb, which could be purchased at Academy Sports and Outdoors.

738
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 1: You know, I want you to focus on something with me.

739
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 1: I was talking to Alex over at Academy because we

740
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 1: deal with Academy directly, and he was talking about tailgating

741
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:54,879
Speaker 1: and if you grow up pretty much anywhere near where

742
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,760
Speaker 1: I grew up, but also extending well beyond just the South.

743
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 1: You know, the scene on a game day Saturday. The

744
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 1: scene on a game day Saturday is you have got

745
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 1: academy tents and academy chairs as far as the eye

746
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 1: can see. It's such a beautiful thing. It just as

747
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,280
Speaker 1: easily could be your son's little league game on a Saturday.

748
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 1: Academy tents and chairs all over the place. But here's

749
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:19,320
Speaker 1: what you may not know. Half the grills at those

750
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:23,440
Speaker 1: tailgates either came from Academy or could be purchased at Academy.

751
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:25,680
Speaker 1: A lot of the equipment that you wouldn't even think

752
00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 1: to purchase from Academy can be purchased from Academy. A

753
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 1: lot of the gear you're wearing could have been purchased

754
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 1: from Academy if it wasn't so. All I'm saying is

755
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 1: for the show that makes or for the store that

756
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: makes this show free to you, I would humbly ask

757
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,320
Speaker 1: that you give them a shot. I know you, guys,

758
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 1: I know you're buying this stuff. Anyway, check out Academy

759
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 1: and academy dot com if you cannot get there in person.

760
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 1: Good talk with Academy today, really really good talk with

761
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: Academy today. I mean, like capital are really good talk.

762
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 1: If you're watching live, welcome in. If you are listening

763
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,719
Speaker 1: or watching tomorrow, also welcome in. Hope you have a

764
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:03,880
Speaker 1: good Friday. Make sure you subscribe to the channel and

765
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast. Now we have other matters to

766
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:12,000
Speaker 1: attend to, So John Talty and arm And Katayan have

767
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:15,080
Speaker 1: teamed up to write a book called The Price, and

768
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 1: it is on news stands August twenty seventh. I've got

769
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:21,759
Speaker 1: myself an advanced copy. It is very eye opening. These

770
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,760
Speaker 1: are two of the best at what they do. And

771
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 1: there is a story from this book making the rounds,

772
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 1: and the story, you may not be surprised to learn,

773
00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 1: is about Nick Saban and his time with former offensive

774
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 1: coordinator Lane Kiffin. Now, Nick Saban is as diplomatic as

775
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 1: it comes and was when he was a coach. You

776
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,920
Speaker 1: never heard him throw his staff under the bus, but

777
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 1: that does not mean it was very harmonious at all

778
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 1: times behind the scenes. So there is a quote from

779
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:52,400
Speaker 1: a story, and there's kind of a paraphrased version of

780
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 1: the story that's making the rounds from some folks who

781
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 1: got an advanced copy of this book, and it's basically

782
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: explaining how well during Kiffin's tenure he had the same

783
00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:06,240
Speaker 1: agent as he still does as Nick Saban, Jimmy Sexton.

784
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:09,799
Speaker 1: They're both repped by CIA. CIA has a lot of

785
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 1: the big clients from the head coaching perspective in the SEC.

786
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 1: So I will explain to you what I think is

787
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: the biggest perceived gap in perception and reality. So perception

788
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 1: and reality don't always match in a lot of ways.

789
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 1: But I've intimated this before with you guys, but I'm

790
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:33,799
Speaker 1: gonna go a little deeper tonight. The perception versus the

791
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: reality of how hires are made in college football could

792
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 1: not be any more different. There is a world that

793
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: normal fans think exist when it comes to hires, and

794
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,719
Speaker 1: then there's the actual way that hires happen. And these

795
00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,399
Speaker 1: two do not touch. These two do not touch at all.

796
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 1: And frankly, I think it would disappoint a lot of

797
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,760
Speaker 1: you the way that hires actually happen in this sport.

798
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,920
Speaker 1: And it has a lot to do, I mean a

799
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 1: lot to do with who you represent by I don't

800
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 1: think that's a surprise to you, guys. I think what

801
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:06,240
Speaker 1: the surprise is when a head coach needs to backfill

802
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 1: a defensive line position. It's not that head coach, you know,

803
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: flipping through the rolodex or going to his memory bank

804
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 1: for all of the years and years and years of

805
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 1: relationships and wisdom that he has acquired, and he's not

806
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 1: going through film evaluating candidates. He is calling his agent

807
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 1: or he's answering a call from his agent who's beat

808
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 1: him to it, and he's getting a list sent to

809
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:33,400
Speaker 1: him and it's basically, here's the ones you can pick from,

810
00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:38,359
Speaker 1: and that's how it happens, even with Nick Saban, That's

811
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,959
Speaker 1: how it happened, and so it's detailed in this story

812
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 1: how Jimmy Sexton talked Nick Saban into giving Lane Kiffin

813
00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 1: a shot, and Lane Kiffen was Lane Kiffen, and so

814
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 1: that's where the story picks up, and Saban is on

815
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 1: the phone calling Jimmy Sexton every name in the book,

816
00:41:55,840 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 1: threatening to fire him forever, sending this explative, explative exploit

817
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: of expletive to my coaching staff. And that kind of

818
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:08,160
Speaker 1: went on for a while, and famously Saban fired Kiffen

819
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,719
Speaker 1: the week of the National championship game. Okay, that's how

820
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 1: bad it got. And then Lane Kiffin leaves and he

821
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:14,759
Speaker 1: goes on to do what he does, and now he's

822
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 1: the head coach at Ole Miss and they may very

823
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 1: well win the SEC this year for all we know.

824
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,120
Speaker 1: And anytime that they've publicly spoken about each other, it's

825
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:24,439
Speaker 1: always been very cordial. It wasn't all that way behind

826
00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: the scenes. So once upon a time I came here

827
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:29,880
Speaker 1: to this company, but before that, I was working in

828
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,760
Speaker 1: local news down in Columbus, Georgia. So I love college

829
00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 1: football my whole life. I finally get myself from radio

830
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,799
Speaker 1: to TV, and I'm in position where I can get

831
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: credentialed to go to games. So the first times that

832
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,719
Speaker 1: I ever got to really be around Nick Saban's Alabama

833
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 1: were the mid twenty teams. So twenty fourteen, twenty fifteen,

834
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 1: twenty sixteen comes around and they're in the SEC Championship

835
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 1: game and Lane Kiffin is the offensive coordinator there and

836
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 1: this is the last year that he was the OC

837
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:00,239
Speaker 1: there and they I think they played Florida or I

838
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:01,959
Speaker 1: can't remember who it was, but they won the game.

839
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:04,359
Speaker 1: But leading up to the game, there were all these

840
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 1: rumors about Kiffin and was he going to take this

841
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 1: job or that job. The LSU job I think was

842
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 1: coming open, and so there were a lot of rumors. Okay,

843
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 1: so no one knew what to believe. As far as

844
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 1: the external, no one knew what to believe. But Lank

845
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: Kiffin's name was a very hot commodity. So Kiffin had

846
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 1: made a promise. There was a report that there was

847
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,919
Speaker 1: a promise that he made to Saban that he wasn't

848
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:31,799
Speaker 1: going to talk to any other school until after the

849
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:35,480
Speaker 1: SEC Championship game. So the game happens, I'm on the

850
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 1: field for it, and it's one of the first SEC

851
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: Championship games I got to cover. I think I was

852
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 1: there the first couple of years, so that may have

853
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 1: been the third one. But you know, the whole world's

854
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 1: still kind of new to me from that perspective. I

855
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:51,560
Speaker 1: walk off the field after the celebration and everything. I

856
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 1: walk off the field, I'm walking down a tunnel. It's

857
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:55,880
Speaker 1: the same tunnel as Bama goes down to go to

858
00:43:55,920 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 1: their locker room. Jimmy Sexton's standing right there. He stand there,

859
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 1: and I kids you not. He has a phone in

860
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:05,840
Speaker 1: his hand. He's got the full hand over the speaker.

861
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 1: He is waiting for Lane Kiffin to come off the field.

862
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:12,799
Speaker 1: He has a phone call that his client needs to take,

863
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: and so Kiffin grabs the phone as he walks off

864
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 1: the field. I can't prove to you who he's talking to.

865
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 1: I can pretty well prove to you what that was

866
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,319
Speaker 1: in conjunction with, because Kiffin ended up taking I think

867
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:27,280
Speaker 1: the FAU job. A month or so later. I walked

868
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 1: down the tunnel and I had my eye Josh with

869
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:32,000
Speaker 1: me at the time. I snapped a picture just in

870
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:34,319
Speaker 1: case you guys didn't believe this. I just kept it

871
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 1: with me until a couple of years ago. I tweeted

872
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 1: it out and I didn't really go much further into detail.

873
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 1: This is it. If you're listening on a podcast. We

874
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 1: have Jimmy Sexton looking at his other phone, and we

875
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,480
Speaker 1: have Lane Kiffin on the phone that Sexton has just

876
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:47,879
Speaker 1: handed him talking to who knows who. But that wasn't

877
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:49,799
Speaker 1: the part that stood out to me. The part that

878
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:53,879
Speaker 1: stood out to me is Nick Saban is represented by

879
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 1: this same man, And it was the first time I

880
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 1: ever saw how this dynamic works. I see the game

881
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 1: on the field, and then I see the post game

882
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:05,360
Speaker 1: and Vernon Gary say goodbye, and that's my exposure to

883
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,839
Speaker 1: the sport, just like yours up until a few years

884
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,359
Speaker 1: before this point. But now you're seeing the sausage get

885
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: made behind the scenes. Now you're seeing the inner workings.

886
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 1: So here was what was wild to me. So me

887
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 1: knowing Saban's repped by Sexton, just like Lane Kiffin is,

888
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 1: Nick Saban walks down the tunnel, walks right past both

889
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 1: of them, and no eye contact is made, not a

890
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:32,400
Speaker 1: word is said, and me knowing full well that's his

891
00:45:32,560 --> 00:45:37,240
Speaker 1: agent too, and I'm thinking, Wow, what a massive awkward

892
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:40,760
Speaker 1: conflict of interest. This may be, except Jimmy Sexton's standing

893
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:42,800
Speaker 1: there and might as well have yawned and pulled a

894
00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:44,480
Speaker 1: toothpick out from behind his ear and put it in.

895
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: It's just like standard operating procedure for him. So then

896
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 1: Saban walks back out the locker room because he has

897
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 1: to go to the postgame press conference, and I followed

898
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,200
Speaker 1: him because I just want to see what happens here,

899
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 1: like what does this look like? He gets done, he

900
00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:00,640
Speaker 1: walks back to the locker room, there's still stand in there.

901
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:04,000
Speaker 1: He walks back by both of them again again, doesn't

902
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,919
Speaker 1: say a word to either one of them, and then

903
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 1: they're ready to go. Okay, because the way this works

904
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:11,960
Speaker 1: is in these championship games, it takes a little longer.

905
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:16,279
Speaker 1: So the coach has a trophy presentation, and then you've

906
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: got postgame obligations with a network. At that time, it

907
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,360
Speaker 1: would have been CBS, and then you've got your postgame

908
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 1: press conference, which is going to be extended because they

909
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:25,879
Speaker 1: talk to the losing coach and the winning coach. And

910
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 1: so what's happening with your players during that time is

911
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:31,839
Speaker 1: they're getting showered, they're getting dressed, they're grabbing their Chick

912
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,440
Speaker 1: fil A box and they're getting on the buses. So

913
00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 1: the buses are ready to go by the time Nick

914
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:38,399
Speaker 1: Saban gets done with this press conference. He goes in there,

915
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:40,920
Speaker 1: he may shower, he changes into his suit to travel in.

916
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 1: He's ready to go. Lane Kiffin's not ready to go

917
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:45,799
Speaker 1: nowhere close to ready to go because he's been on

918
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: the phone the entire time. I'm just standing there watching

919
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:52,799
Speaker 1: all this. It's theater. It's great. So Ellis Ponder, who

920
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 1: ended up being a long time like right hand man

921
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:56,719
Speaker 1: for Nick Saban. He's still at Alabama. He was the

922
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,719
Speaker 1: DFO Chief operating Officer for a long time. He may

923
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 1: have all already been the DFO, if not the assistant DFO.

924
00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 1: But his role is to make sure everyone gets out

925
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 1: of here, everyone gets on the bus because we got

926
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:10,800
Speaker 1: to get back over to Hartsteel and we've got to

927
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,800
Speaker 1: fly back to Tuscaloosa. And he works for essentially someone

928
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 1: who gets pissed off if there is a second wasted

929
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 1: here or there. And so it's a very very heat

930
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,680
Speaker 1: seeking position that he's had over there for a long time,

931
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 1: and it is really not synced up at all with

932
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: having to manage someone like Lane Kiffin. So I watch

933
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:30,800
Speaker 1: him tell Kiffin two or three times, you gotta get showered.

934
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 1: You've got no time, you gotta get on the bus.

935
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,400
Speaker 1: Then it turns into you don't have time to shower,

936
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 1: you got to get on the bus. And this was

937
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,280
Speaker 1: my first real peak as to how Lane Kiffin operated

938
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 1: on a little different wavelength than everyone else. Ellis finally

939
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:46,000
Speaker 1: yells at him, it's time to get on the bus.

940
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:49,720
Speaker 1: We gotta go. Everyone else is on the bus. Kiffin says, okay.

941
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: Ellis Ponder turns his back, Lane runs in the locker

942
00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 1: room and jumps in the shower. I believe he got

943
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 1: left at the building that night. I believe that's one

944
00:47:57,520 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 1: of the times they had to leave him at the stadium.

945
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,759
Speaker 1: So I watched all this happen, and it was like

946
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:09,440
Speaker 1: my first real indoctrination into how these organizations, even the

947
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 1: ones that are operating at the highest level, like Alabama.

948
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 1: Alabama's the number one program in the country. Here they're

949
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 1: coming off a national title, they're about to get within

950
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:21,520
Speaker 1: a second of another national championship. Kevin's gonna get fired

951
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 1: as the OC the week before the national title game.

952
00:48:25,680 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 1: It just goes to show you you hear all these

953
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:30,400
Speaker 1: rumors about these teams that go four and eight and

954
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 1: how their staff is a mess, and how there's all

955
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:36,239
Speaker 1: kind of discontent. It was like that at Alabama. They

956
00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:38,480
Speaker 1: just won anyway. So if you want to know how

957
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 1: great Nick Saban is, it's not all the titles he won.

958
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 1: It's he dealt with some of the same mess and

959
00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 1: actually dealt with a lot of consequences from his success

960
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,600
Speaker 1: above and beyond what his peers dealt with, and he

961
00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:55,520
Speaker 1: won anyway. It never dropped off. Alabama never dropped from

962
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 1: being the top program in the country, and that was fascinating.

963
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:01,560
Speaker 1: So the book is called The Price. It's by John

964
00:49:01,600 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 1: Talty and Armacitaan, and it will be out August twenty seventh,

965
00:49:04,960 --> 00:49:07,560
Speaker 1: which I believe is the same day that Connor Stallion's

966
00:49:07,600 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 1: documentary drops. One has nothing to do with the other.

967
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:13,920
Speaker 1: I got to tell you and I got to move

968
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:16,359
Speaker 1: on because we're about to do final playoff predictions here,

969
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,680
Speaker 1: So just get yourselves ready. I do want to say

970
00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:24,440
Speaker 1: before we dive into the season, the way we operate

971
00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:27,560
Speaker 1: here is we've got a college football show that we

972
00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:30,280
Speaker 1: do three nights per week. I am not a former

973
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:32,920
Speaker 1: coach or a former player. I don't come with the

974
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:37,120
Speaker 1: natural network of resources that a former player or a

975
00:49:37,160 --> 00:49:39,439
Speaker 1: coach in this seat would have. But we've still built

976
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,879
Speaker 1: a monster of a show and we try and make

977
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,680
Speaker 1: it the most informed college football show in the world.

978
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 1: The way we do it is over the years, we

979
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:50,600
Speaker 1: have built, and I kid you not, a massive network

980
00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 1: of contacts. A lot of them are coaches, agents, ads,

981
00:49:56,560 --> 00:49:58,680
Speaker 1: several of them. In fact, I heard from two of

982
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:02,279
Speaker 1: them today, little bits and pieces, little tidbits here and there,

983
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 1: legal types. We've got private pilots that watch the show

984
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 1: that give us information from time to time, folks in

985
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:14,360
Speaker 1: the private security world stadium ops. Not to mention recruiting

986
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 1: in player personnel, the nil space. So I just wanted

987
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:19,759
Speaker 1: to say thank you, guys, you know who you are.

988
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:22,400
Speaker 1: A lot of girls too, Thank you guys and girls,

989
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:23,960
Speaker 1: you know who you are. And for those of you

990
00:50:24,040 --> 00:50:26,440
Speaker 1: who are listening to the show, just know these are

991
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 1: names that never get mentioned on air because the trade

992
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:34,400
Speaker 1: off is they have to remain anonymous. But it's sometimes

993
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 1: they get something from it, a lot of times they

994
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 1: get nothing from it. They're feeding us information because they

995
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 1: feel an attachment to the show because it's a very

996
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 1: communal feel around here. But I appreciate it because those

997
00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:46,839
Speaker 1: folks don't have to do that, and they do it.

998
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:49,759
Speaker 1: And trust me, I appreciate it because it creates a

999
00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:53,120
Speaker 1: different show. It creates a much more viable show, and

1000
00:50:53,160 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 1: a show with the reputation that I myself could never

1001
00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:57,799
Speaker 1: give it. So I really appreciate it. And if you

1002
00:50:57,880 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 1: haven't already reached out and you want to be a

1003
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 1: part of it, and trust me, my dms are open.

1004
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:09,360
Speaker 1: Am I nervous? No? Am I scared? Also? No? Could

1005
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:13,280
Speaker 1: this go sideways? Possibly? But I'm gonna do it anyway.

1006
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:17,240
Speaker 1: Final playoff predictions. So to get you up to speed

1007
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:19,399
Speaker 1: with where things are, I did these a month ago

1008
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:22,480
Speaker 1: and then I woke up like a week ago, and

1009
00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:24,719
Speaker 1: I was not happy with the predictions I put out

1010
00:51:24,760 --> 00:51:27,719
Speaker 1: a month ago. So I want you to scrap them,

1011
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:30,800
Speaker 1: forget them, erase the etch a sketch in your memory,

1012
00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 1: clean slate. This is what I'm going to war with.

1013
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 1: I have got Ohio State winning the Big Ten, I

1014
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:42,719
Speaker 1: have got Texas winning the SEC, I have got Miami

1015
00:51:43,120 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 1: winning the ACC and I've got Oklahoma State winning the

1016
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:49,080
Speaker 1: Big twelve. The reason I mentioned those conference champcess because

1017
00:51:49,120 --> 00:51:52,759
Speaker 1: they will have the top four seeds and therefore the

1018
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:55,600
Speaker 1: first round byes. That's the order I've got them in

1019
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:59,719
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Texas, Miami, Oklahoma State. I've got those as

1020
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:03,760
Speaker 1: your one, two, three, four, And of course in this world,

1021
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 1: in this twelve team playoff, remember how the bracket is structured.

1022
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:10,880
Speaker 1: We do not recede after every round, so it is

1023
00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:14,120
Speaker 1: guaranteed that Ohio State is the one seed they'll play

1024
00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:17,799
Speaker 1: the winner of eight versus nine. Just keep that in

1025
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:19,879
Speaker 1: mind because that's gonna be a really big talking point

1026
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:22,640
Speaker 1: down the road. All Right, So here's how the full

1027
00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:25,160
Speaker 1: bracket looks. I'm gonna tell you the other teams I've

1028
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 1: got in this thing. Now. Oregon loses the Big Ten

1029
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 1: championship game, I've got him at five. Bama loses the

1030
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:36,760
Speaker 1: SEC championship game, I've got him at six. FSU loses

1031
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,560
Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game, I've got him at seven. So

1032
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,000
Speaker 1: the thinking here, and I don't know that this is

1033
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,560
Speaker 1: the way it's gonna be, but my thinking and I

1034
00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 1: think the way it's gotta be for the committee to

1035
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:50,480
Speaker 1: maintain any kind of you know, integrity, is they've got

1036
00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:53,040
Speaker 1: a reward teams that made the conference championship game. You

1037
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:55,560
Speaker 1: can't have Oregon and Alabama losing that thing and then

1038
00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 1: dropping below teams that didn't play in conference title weekend.

1039
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:00,880
Speaker 1: So even though they got another loss on the resume,

1040
00:53:01,120 --> 00:53:04,480
Speaker 1: I don't think they're dropping very far. Georgia at number

1041
00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 1: eight is not a conference title loser, but I don't

1042
00:53:08,120 --> 00:53:10,880
Speaker 1: think the big twelves conference title loser will get the

1043
00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:15,760
Speaker 1: same treatment. So I think those those big three there, Oregon, Bama, FSU,

1044
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,239
Speaker 1: that's five, six and seven. I got Georgia at number

1045
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:20,719
Speaker 1: eight because I think Georgia is gonna have a couple

1046
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:23,520
Speaker 1: of losses on their resume that keep them from Atlanta.

1047
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:26,520
Speaker 1: But those losses are probably going to be to either

1048
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:29,319
Speaker 1: the teams that were in Atlanta or one of the

1049
00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 1: two teams that was in Atlanta and like an Ole miss,

1050
00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:34,440
Speaker 1: So Georgia is gonna have a really strong resume. Number

1051
00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:39,040
Speaker 1: nine through twelve, I've got Penn State as a nine seed.

1052
00:53:39,040 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 1: Penn State has a Penn State year where they drop

1053
00:53:42,200 --> 00:53:46,200
Speaker 1: one or two games to the big opponents. I've got them,

1054
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:48,839
Speaker 1: I think losing one of them this year, but by

1055
00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:50,760
Speaker 1: and large they're a good team. I think the offense

1056
00:53:50,760 --> 00:53:52,759
Speaker 1: will be better and they'll be a solid nine seed.

1057
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,560
Speaker 1: Ole Miss I've got him in the playoff, don't have

1058
00:53:55,640 --> 00:53:57,279
Speaker 1: them in the conference title game anymore. Got him in

1059
00:53:57,320 --> 00:54:00,120
Speaker 1: the playoff at number ten, Notre Dame I have as

1060
00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 1: a two lost team. I think that'll be good enough

1061
00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:06,920
Speaker 1: to back them into the playoff as an eleven seed,

1062
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 1: and I am kicking Liberty out of this thing. I

1063
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:12,160
Speaker 1: was listening to someone taught the other day and it

1064
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 1: kind of dawned on me that not only does this

1065
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:18,600
Speaker 1: committee need to send a message with rewarding you for

1066
00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 1: playing for a conference title, they've got to send a

1067
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:24,680
Speaker 1: message about strength of schedule. And there is no way

1068
00:54:24,719 --> 00:54:26,640
Speaker 1: that you guys need to be letting that Liberty team

1069
00:54:26,680 --> 00:54:29,840
Speaker 1: in there. I know that Liberty fans, I know you

1070
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 1: guys tried to schedule some power for teams and they

1071
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:35,880
Speaker 1: said no, And you're like, that's not our fault. Well

1072
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:37,799
Speaker 1: that's true, but it's not the committee's fault either. Like,

1073
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:39,560
Speaker 1: we have to go on what we have to go on.

1074
00:54:39,960 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 1: So Memphis goes and plays FSU this year. You know,

1075
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:44,880
Speaker 1: I think there's a world where a ten and two

1076
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:49,000
Speaker 1: Memphis ends up being ranked over Liberty and should be

1077
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 1: because that's the disparity and strength of schedule. So there

1078
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:55,080
Speaker 1: you go, Penn State, Ole Miss, Notre Name, Memphis. That's nine, ten, eleven,

1079
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,839
Speaker 1: and twelve. This is what that means the bracket would

1080
00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:03,279
Speaker 1: look like. And we got some matchups here. That means

1081
00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:06,279
Speaker 1: we get Georgia versus Penn State, and it would be

1082
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:09,839
Speaker 1: Penn State at Georgia in round one. We would have

1083
00:55:10,040 --> 00:55:14,640
Speaker 1: Memphis at Oregon in a body bagging most likely. More

1084
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:17,920
Speaker 1: on that in a second. We would have Ole Miss

1085
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:21,640
Speaker 1: at FSU. So Rebel's going down to Tallahassee for round

1086
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:25,240
Speaker 1: one whether figures to not be a factor there, figures

1087
00:55:25,280 --> 00:55:27,879
Speaker 1: to be pretty comfortable, actually, And how about just going

1088
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:31,279
Speaker 1: ahead and sending Notre Dame to Tuscaloosa for round one. Now,

1089
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:33,320
Speaker 1: there are going to be people in the comment section

1090
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:38,319
Speaker 1: who say, oh, mister anti playoff expansion, you sound hypocritical.

1091
00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:41,520
Speaker 1: You sound like you're into these matchups. I am. I'm

1092
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,759
Speaker 1: very into the matchups. Like I've told you repeatedly, the

1093
00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:47,640
Speaker 1: playoff as a product is going to be amazing. What

1094
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:50,080
Speaker 1: we trade off to get there is not amazing. And

1095
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,440
Speaker 1: that's a whole nother conversation. So forget about that for now,

1096
00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 1: if we're talking about the playoff, this is pretty incredible.

1097
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 1: Memphis at Oregon, Notre Dame at Alabama, Ole Miss at

1098
00:56:00,040 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 1: Florida State, Penn State at Georgia. I'm gonna tell you

1099
00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:07,040
Speaker 1: right now who I take here. I take Oregon over Memphis.

1100
00:56:07,880 --> 00:56:10,920
Speaker 1: I would take Alabama over Notre Dame. I would take

1101
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:13,239
Speaker 1: Old Miss to go into Tallahassee and beat Florida State.

1102
00:56:13,600 --> 00:56:16,399
Speaker 1: And I would take Georgia over Penn State. So three

1103
00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 1: of four home teams win there, that means you got

1104
00:56:19,120 --> 00:56:23,440
Speaker 1: four SEC teams in the quarterfinals. And something everyone's watching

1105
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:26,880
Speaker 1: is that twelve versus five. So there's a lot of

1106
00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:30,160
Speaker 1: debate right now. And the stat crowd would tell you

1107
00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 1: one thing, and I think the gut field crowd would

1108
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,200
Speaker 1: tell you another thing. So if you listen to a

1109
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:40,120
Speaker 1: data analyst, they will absolutely tell you just unequivocally. There's

1110
00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:44,440
Speaker 1: no debate here. It always behooves you to get the

1111
00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:47,719
Speaker 1: number one seed and get a first round by than

1112
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 1: it does to have to be the five seed and

1113
00:56:50,080 --> 00:56:53,200
Speaker 1: play one more game. Then there's another person who comes

1114
00:56:53,239 --> 00:56:55,960
Speaker 1: in and Colin, could you do me a favorite throw

1115
00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:58,319
Speaker 1: up the bracket? You just threw up again because there's

1116
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:00,960
Speaker 1: another person who would come in and they's say, okay,

1117
00:57:01,400 --> 00:57:04,680
Speaker 1: I'll grant you Oregon. There is the five seed. Yeah,

1118
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 1: they have to play one more game than Ohio State.

1119
00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:11,759
Speaker 1: But look at Oregon's draw. Oregon would play the FCS team,

1120
00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:14,680
Speaker 1: or the or the G five team, Memphis in this case,

1121
00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:17,960
Speaker 1: could be someone else. They'd be solidly favored. They'd get

1122
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:21,120
Speaker 1: them at home, they'd win the game they played them.

1123
00:57:21,520 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 1: Then they'd get the lowest ranked by team, which is

1124
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:29,760
Speaker 1: probably the Big twelve team. So you ask yourself, would

1125
00:57:29,800 --> 00:57:32,400
Speaker 1: you rather be Ohio State and have to play Georgia

1126
00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: one time? Or would you rather be Oregon and play

1127
00:57:35,800 --> 00:57:38,640
Speaker 1: a G five team and then a Big twelve team.

1128
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:42,640
Speaker 1: Some years, I think it may be a wash. Some years,

1129
00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:44,880
Speaker 1: in fact, many years, maybe it makes sense to have

1130
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:47,960
Speaker 1: the buye. But if you're just telling me the totality

1131
00:57:47,960 --> 00:57:51,600
Speaker 1: of playing one more game is what disproportionately tilts it,

1132
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:54,160
Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you case by case you may

1133
00:57:54,200 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 1: be wrong on that. And I'm going to tell you

1134
00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 1: right now, if Liberty's in that spot instead of Memphis,

1135
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:03,800
Speaker 1: for example, you absolutely give me Oregon's draw. I'll absolutely

1136
00:58:03,840 --> 00:58:05,919
Speaker 1: take one more game playing it at home. I don't

1137
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 1: care what the data says, because I know why that

1138
00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:11,520
Speaker 1: data says what it says. The biggest risk to me

1139
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 1: here is added risk of injury. I'm gonna accept it,

1140
00:58:14,920 --> 00:58:16,840
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna take on Liberty or Memphis, and then

1141
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:19,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna happily take on the big twelfveh champ over

1142
00:58:19,360 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 1: having to play Georgia in round two or a team

1143
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,360
Speaker 1: that beat Georgia. So anyway, that's a side conversation, but

1144
00:58:25,440 --> 00:58:27,919
Speaker 1: it will be a main piece of the conversation come

1145
00:58:28,040 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 1: playoff time. So let's move on now. I just filled

1146
00:58:32,040 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 1: that in. Here's where I've got us going. After Georgia

1147
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:37,400
Speaker 1: beats Penn State, after Oregon beats Memphis, after Old Miss

1148
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:40,680
Speaker 1: beats FSU, after Bama beats Notre Dame, that gives us

1149
00:58:41,200 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 1: our next round, and that is Ohio State versus Georgia. Now,

1150
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:47,960
Speaker 1: keep in mind, because we can't have too many nice

1151
00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 1: things in this sport, none of the rest of these

1152
00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:53,120
Speaker 1: games are at home. They're all on neutral sites because

1153
00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 1: folks who really don't care about you much have to

1154
00:58:55,040 --> 00:59:01,800
Speaker 1: make their money. Ohio State versus Georgia is national championship game, basically,

1155
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:03,960
Speaker 1: just like it was a couple of years ago. In

1156
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:07,960
Speaker 1: the semi final game, we've got Oregon against Oklahoma State.

1157
00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:11,320
Speaker 1: I would have Texas versus Ole Miss here, I'd have

1158
00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:15,320
Speaker 1: Bama versus Miami here. I am going to take in

1159
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:20,440
Speaker 1: this order Ohio State over Georgia. I would take Oregon

1160
00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 1: over Oklahoma State. I would take Texas over Ole Miss,

1161
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:30,480
Speaker 1: and I would take Alabama over Miami. If that's real,

1162
00:59:31,080 --> 00:59:35,120
Speaker 1: those are some heavy hitter matchups. That is a heavy

1163
00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:40,800
Speaker 1: duty lineup of games there. And honestly, where's your biggest

1164
00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 1: ups at Oklahoma State if they beat Oregon, because it's

1165
00:59:43,520 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 1: the big twelve over the big ten, I think fairly sizable.

1166
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 1: If Miami were to take down Bama and watching that

1167
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,640
Speaker 1: personnel man would be fascinating. But Ohio State Georgia is

1168
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: like a main event, national title level game that's happening

1169
00:59:56,120 --> 01:00:00,720
Speaker 1: in what the quarter final. So again, down that one

1170
01:00:00,720 --> 01:00:03,640
Speaker 1: seed at your own peril. You wanna be playing someone good.

1171
01:00:03,720 --> 01:00:05,360
Speaker 1: That one seed is gonna be He's gonna be wrested,

1172
01:00:05,520 --> 01:00:07,560
Speaker 1: but he's gonna be playing someone good out the gate. Okay,

1173
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:11,439
Speaker 1: now let's go to the semi finals, your final four.

1174
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:15,480
Speaker 1: Let's just say it pans out this way. Friends, your

1175
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:19,440
Speaker 1: final four, according to my bracket, is Ohio State versus

1176
01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:24,520
Speaker 1: Oregon and Texas versus Alabama. Now, Josh, that sounds familiar.

1177
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 1: It is because that's a rematch of your Big Ten

1178
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:31,200
Speaker 1: title game, and that's a rematch of your SEC championship game.

1179
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:33,800
Speaker 1: And since I don't think there's any skill in changing

1180
01:00:33,800 --> 01:00:36,320
Speaker 1: your pick here, aside from flipping a coin, if I

1181
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:38,840
Speaker 1: took Ohio State against Oregon on a neutral field a

1182
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:42,120
Speaker 1: few weeks earlier, I'll take Ohio State again. If I

1183
01:00:42,160 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 1: took Texas over Alabama on a neutral field a few

1184
01:00:44,560 --> 01:00:48,480
Speaker 1: weeks earlier, I'll take Texas over Alabama again, which would

1185
01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:52,320
Speaker 1: mean I've got Texas versus Ohio State in the National

1186
01:00:52,360 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 1: Championship game, just like I did a month ago in

1187
01:00:56,240 --> 01:00:59,640
Speaker 1: my predictions. That hasn't changed, and just like I had

1188
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:01,520
Speaker 1: a month go, I don't think I'm going to change

1189
01:01:01,520 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 1: my pick. So I'm going to take Ohio State over

1190
01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:09,120
Speaker 1: Texas to win the National Championship. Now, as the pretend

1191
01:01:09,200 --> 01:01:13,200
Speaker 1: confetti rains down over me, a couple of questions here.

1192
01:01:14,240 --> 01:01:15,880
Speaker 1: Let's just say it were to play out like this,

1193
01:01:16,160 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 1: what does the rematch crowd say? There was a crowd

1194
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:23,200
Speaker 1: that did not like that we had rematches, like in

1195
01:01:23,240 --> 01:01:27,600
Speaker 1: twenty eleven in the BCS game, or in two thousand

1196
01:01:27,640 --> 01:01:30,440
Speaker 1: and what was it twenty one you had the SEC

1197
01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:33,440
Speaker 1: title game and then Georgia Bama right there in India

1198
01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:35,680
Speaker 1: again a month later for the national title, and we

1199
01:01:35,720 --> 01:01:38,560
Speaker 1: need to expand the playoff. Well, what would the rematch

1200
01:01:38,640 --> 01:01:42,080
Speaker 1: crowd say if an expanded playoff just led to more

1201
01:01:42,120 --> 01:01:43,840
Speaker 1: of the saying that you had seen a month earlier.

1202
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 1: Number two, and this is the more important conversation. Would

1203
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:52,560
Speaker 1: this lead anyone or here's a better question, Well, the

1204
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:56,000
Speaker 1: way the playoff plays out this year lead anyone in

1205
01:01:56,040 --> 01:01:59,240
Speaker 1: a position of power to rethink the buy structure because

1206
01:01:59,280 --> 01:02:02,760
Speaker 1: the buystructure garbage in this format. I was listening to

1207
01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:05,200
Speaker 1: our buddies over at college Football nerds talk earlier today.

1208
01:02:05,240 --> 01:02:08,400
Speaker 1: They're right, they always nail this kind of stuff. Like

1209
01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:11,240
Speaker 1: I go full add on this. I lose my attention

1210
01:02:11,320 --> 01:02:14,200
Speaker 1: span when we're talking about brackets and rules and stuff

1211
01:02:14,240 --> 01:02:16,760
Speaker 1: like that. But even I get this one. This is

1212
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:20,960
Speaker 1: messed up. And what's gonna end up happening is you're

1213
01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:25,120
Speaker 1: gonna have people like me who say there should be

1214
01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 1: no guarantee that those buys are reserved for conference champs.

1215
01:02:29,320 --> 01:02:32,200
Speaker 1: You should just take the best twelve. And I don't

1216
01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:35,520
Speaker 1: even want autobids period, But keep your G five auto

1217
01:02:35,520 --> 01:02:37,680
Speaker 1: bid if you need to, but just let the best

1218
01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 1: four have the buys. But then I know what the

1219
01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:41,760
Speaker 1: counter is. You don't have to yell at me. The

1220
01:02:41,800 --> 01:02:44,280
Speaker 1: counter is, well, if you do that, you take away

1221
01:02:44,320 --> 01:02:47,200
Speaker 1: the motivation and incentive to win the conference championship. And

1222
01:02:47,200 --> 01:02:51,320
Speaker 1: you've got to maintain the sanctity of the conference championship,

1223
01:02:53,240 --> 01:02:54,960
Speaker 1: to which I say, look at this piece of paper,

1224
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:58,240
Speaker 1: I've got two rematches of conference title games happen in

1225
01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:02,280
Speaker 1: a month later. So given this scenario, what integrity of

1226
01:03:02,360 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 1: conference titles did we maintain? If you go and play

1227
01:03:05,440 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 1: it and risk injury in doing so in Atlanta and Indianapolis,

1228
01:03:09,280 --> 01:03:10,880
Speaker 1: and then a month later you're just playing each other

1229
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,280
Speaker 1: again anyway, And by the way, you're not guaranteed to

1230
01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:16,040
Speaker 1: have the same winner in those games. So not only

1231
01:03:16,120 --> 01:03:19,080
Speaker 1: is the value of it deteriorated, the sanctity of the

1232
01:03:19,120 --> 01:03:21,960
Speaker 1: outcome may be deteriorated. Oh, by the way, one of

1233
01:03:21,960 --> 01:03:24,680
Speaker 1: these matchups features teams playing for the third time in

1234
01:03:24,720 --> 01:03:28,800
Speaker 1: a given year, So is there a debate about that

1235
01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 1: can't know because it's the first time we've been around

1236
01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:33,280
Speaker 1: this merry go round, so we can't really know what

1237
01:03:33,320 --> 01:03:35,760
Speaker 1: it's gonna sound like. But that's what I got right now.

1238
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:38,919
Speaker 1: I got Ohio State versus Texas, the Big Ten's best

1239
01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:41,880
Speaker 1: in the SEC's best. Shocker is what I think the

1240
01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:44,320
Speaker 1: matchup will be in the national title game. And I'll

1241
01:03:44,360 --> 01:03:47,080
Speaker 1: go with the Buckeyes. And let me remind you, Colin,

1242
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:49,280
Speaker 1: keep that up for just a second, immunity. Let me

1243
01:03:49,400 --> 01:03:53,040
Speaker 1: just remind you if this were to happen, Okay, I

1244
01:03:53,040 --> 01:03:55,640
Speaker 1: want you to think about the Ryan Day roller coaster here.

1245
01:03:56,000 --> 01:04:00,760
Speaker 1: If this plays out, presumably you just watched Ohio State

1246
01:04:00,800 --> 01:04:07,320
Speaker 1: beat Michigan, then beat Oregon, then beat Georgia, then beat

1247
01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:12,240
Speaker 1: Oregon again, and then beat Texas. By my count, mister

1248
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:15,600
Speaker 1: can't win big game, wins five of them in a row.

1249
01:04:16,000 --> 01:04:18,880
Speaker 1: And what are you saying about Ryan Day? Then? Because

1250
01:04:18,920 --> 01:04:20,880
Speaker 1: I know what I'm doing, I'm having Colin and Jesse

1251
01:04:20,960 --> 01:04:22,960
Speaker 1: cut up the thirty seven times that we told you

1252
01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:25,400
Speaker 1: he eventually would. So that's what I would do. Some

1253
01:04:25,440 --> 01:04:27,400
Speaker 1: of you guys need to find a hole to dig

1254
01:04:27,440 --> 01:04:29,760
Speaker 1: and crawl in if he were to do this, If

1255
01:04:29,800 --> 01:04:32,680
Speaker 1: he goes on this run. Now, if he loses to

1256
01:04:32,720 --> 01:04:35,200
Speaker 1: Michigan for a fourth consecutive year, you reserve the right

1257
01:04:35,240 --> 01:04:38,280
Speaker 1: to throw this footage back in my face, and all's

1258
01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:42,040
Speaker 1: fair in that case. So there's my national champ, the

1259
01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:45,520
Speaker 1: Ohio State. Buckey's my national champ. Nothing's going to go

1260
01:04:45,560 --> 01:04:47,520
Speaker 1: wrong here. We just nailed that entire thing. They're watching

1261
01:04:47,600 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 1: us in Griffin, Georgia. They're watching us in Vancouver, British Columbia, Pineville, Louisiana,

1262
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:55,480
Speaker 1: Costa Mesa, California. You know, it's not lost on me

1263
01:04:55,880 --> 01:04:58,800
Speaker 1: that we have games this week, and we've got one

1264
01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:03,720
Speaker 1: in particular taking place in Dublin, Georgia. No check that, Dublin, Ireland.

1265
01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:07,040
Speaker 1: I've got my own feel on why it's not the

1266
01:05:07,080 --> 01:05:10,640
Speaker 1: best of ideas to take this sport international. But don't

1267
01:05:10,720 --> 01:05:13,120
Speaker 1: let me stop you from being excited about this by

1268
01:05:13,120 --> 01:05:18,040
Speaker 1: all means, because that's a topic for like April first

1269
01:05:18,160 --> 01:05:21,600
Speaker 1: game preview of the year FSU versus Georgia Tech. Now,

1270
01:05:21,640 --> 01:05:24,440
Speaker 1: make sure you have your clock set. Dublin Island a

1271
01:05:24,480 --> 01:05:26,360
Speaker 1: little bit ahead of us, so it's gonna be a

1272
01:05:26,480 --> 01:05:28,880
Speaker 1: night game over there. But it's a twelve Eastern time

1273
01:05:28,960 --> 01:05:33,200
Speaker 1: kickoff for us right now, the odds presented by FanDuel

1274
01:05:33,240 --> 01:05:35,120
Speaker 1: on this game Florida State minus ten and a half.

1275
01:05:35,360 --> 01:05:37,240
Speaker 1: You got a total in the mid fifties fifty five

1276
01:05:37,280 --> 01:05:39,960
Speaker 1: and a half. Now, I know to many of you,

1277
01:05:40,320 --> 01:05:43,800
Speaker 1: myself included, this seems sort of like an ambush spot.

1278
01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:46,400
Speaker 1: And if you think it through and you know the

1279
01:05:46,440 --> 01:05:49,680
Speaker 1: teams at all, you're thinking Georgia Tech had a ton

1280
01:05:49,720 --> 01:05:52,840
Speaker 1: of program energy. At the end of last year. They

1281
01:05:52,880 --> 01:05:57,000
Speaker 1: had a nearly a fourteen point per game increase offensively

1282
01:05:57,200 --> 01:05:59,720
Speaker 1: from twenty twenty two to twenty three. So I mean

1283
01:05:59,800 --> 01:06:03,600
Speaker 1: that trend maybe not that steep, but it seems to

1284
01:06:03,640 --> 01:06:05,760
Speaker 1: continue this year. Offensive line is one of the strengths

1285
01:06:05,760 --> 01:06:09,160
Speaker 1: of this team. Haines King at quarterback is back. They

1286
01:06:09,840 --> 01:06:14,120
Speaker 1: led the ACC in rushing last year, one of six quarterbacks.

1287
01:06:14,120 --> 01:06:16,000
Speaker 1: By the way, King was one of six quarterbacks in

1288
01:06:16,040 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 1: the ACC. Actually check that all of college football to

1289
01:06:19,280 --> 01:06:21,960
Speaker 1: throw for twenty five and to run for ten scores.

1290
01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:24,960
Speaker 1: So there's a lot that's back for a team that

1291
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:28,760
Speaker 1: showed a lot of promise last year. Conversely, you know,

1292
01:06:28,800 --> 01:06:31,080
Speaker 1: you had a lot of departures to the draft with

1293
01:06:31,200 --> 01:06:34,120
Speaker 1: Florida State not the least among them. Jordan Travis so

1294
01:06:34,600 --> 01:06:39,880
Speaker 1: djuy Anglile not an unknown commodity, very proven, been consistent

1295
01:06:39,920 --> 01:06:42,480
Speaker 1: in as production over the last two years. We're getting

1296
01:06:42,520 --> 01:06:46,040
Speaker 1: him in there. We ask ourselves the whole truck versus

1297
01:06:46,080 --> 01:06:50,320
Speaker 1: trailer concept. Some guys can pull other guys up to

1298
01:06:50,360 --> 01:06:52,680
Speaker 1: a different level. Other guys need to be pulled up

1299
01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:54,600
Speaker 1: to another level. Well, when it comes to Florida State

1300
01:06:54,640 --> 01:07:00,320
Speaker 1: at quarterback and they're wide receivers, which ones which and so, yeah, yeah,

1301
01:07:00,320 --> 01:07:02,560
Speaker 1: I could see that being an ambush spot. Certainly, if

1302
01:07:02,560 --> 01:07:04,280
Speaker 1: you're going to catch Florida State, you want to catch

1303
01:07:04,280 --> 01:07:07,760
Speaker 1: them early this year, or do you. I'm not so

1304
01:07:07,880 --> 01:07:10,400
Speaker 1: sure I buy into that Florida State's got a shot

1305
01:07:10,440 --> 01:07:13,320
Speaker 1: to go down here. I don't know that I buy

1306
01:07:13,680 --> 01:07:16,160
Speaker 1: I just automatically want to play this team early. So

1307
01:07:16,680 --> 01:07:18,160
Speaker 1: the reason I say that it's a couple of fold

1308
01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:20,600
Speaker 1: Florida State I think has more ways to suck the

1309
01:07:20,640 --> 01:07:24,280
Speaker 1: life out of this game. Their defensive line should be

1310
01:07:24,280 --> 01:07:25,720
Speaker 1: able to match up with the strength of this team

1311
01:07:25,760 --> 01:07:29,240
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech strengths. Offensive line should be able to be

1312
01:07:29,280 --> 01:07:31,600
Speaker 1: a good match up. There love Florida State up front.

1313
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:34,360
Speaker 1: Florida State's defense in general should be able to win

1314
01:07:34,400 --> 01:07:36,200
Speaker 1: them games early this year. If they need to buy

1315
01:07:36,200 --> 01:07:38,439
Speaker 1: that offense time, I think they can do it. Their

1316
01:07:38,520 --> 01:07:41,960
Speaker 1: run game should be able to over four quarters give

1317
01:07:42,000 --> 01:07:44,640
Speaker 1: them the physical edge over Georgia Tech. They've got better

1318
01:07:44,680 --> 01:07:48,520
Speaker 1: athletes than Georgia Tech. They have recruited and portaled to

1319
01:07:48,600 --> 01:07:50,880
Speaker 1: the degree that they can lose the kind of talent

1320
01:07:50,920 --> 01:07:53,680
Speaker 1: they lost and still be a very very high level,

1321
01:07:53,720 --> 01:07:59,040
Speaker 1: formidable opponent. DJ third and five plus is probably my

1322
01:07:59,120 --> 01:08:03,280
Speaker 1: most interesting sort of stat bucket for this game. If

1323
01:08:03,320 --> 01:08:06,240
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech finds a way to just force him to

1324
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:09,400
Speaker 1: be an obvious passing downs on third down, that's where

1325
01:08:09,440 --> 01:08:12,600
Speaker 1: you take your shot. Okay, that's where you push this

1326
01:08:12,680 --> 01:08:14,960
Speaker 1: game out into the deep end a little bit, because

1327
01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,320
Speaker 1: if it's very fundamental, it's very easy to see Florida

1328
01:08:17,320 --> 01:08:19,559
Speaker 1: State's favored by double digits for a reason. But if

1329
01:08:19,640 --> 01:08:22,800
Speaker 1: you make it uncomfortable, that's a stat category that you

1330
01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:25,120
Speaker 1: could do some business in. Now, let's take a look

1331
01:08:25,160 --> 01:08:28,320
Speaker 1: at what we think, what the model thinks. We see

1332
01:08:28,360 --> 01:08:31,640
Speaker 1: what FanDuel thinks. So the model here, we actually we

1333
01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:34,760
Speaker 1: have our own model. Welcome back to college football. Here,

1334
01:08:34,840 --> 01:08:38,360
Speaker 1: we have our own model. We've got Florida State minus

1335
01:08:38,400 --> 01:08:41,040
Speaker 1: twelve and a half, So we think the opening line

1336
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:44,200
Speaker 1: was right, probably open like thirteen thirteen and a half.

1337
01:08:44,520 --> 01:08:46,320
Speaker 1: We think that was more in line with what it

1338
01:08:46,360 --> 01:08:49,080
Speaker 1: should have been. It's come down, it's been bet down.

1339
01:08:49,880 --> 01:08:51,760
Speaker 1: There's been a lot of money, I think, probably on

1340
01:08:51,800 --> 01:08:53,840
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, and that may not be done. We'll see.

1341
01:08:54,280 --> 01:08:56,320
Speaker 1: I think some late Florida State money will come in here.

1342
01:08:57,000 --> 01:09:00,000
Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna be with you. I'm not betting against mine,

1343
01:09:00,160 --> 01:09:02,840
Speaker 1: Norvell in an opener, have we not learned our lesson here?

1344
01:09:03,360 --> 01:09:07,240
Speaker 1: I also don't necessarily know how to quantify being able

1345
01:09:07,280 --> 01:09:11,040
Speaker 1: to bobble up being totally overlooked for the playoff last year,

1346
01:09:11,120 --> 01:09:13,360
Speaker 1: but I don't think it's irrelevant. There's a lot of

1347
01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:16,880
Speaker 1: pent up anger and frustration to the point where you're

1348
01:09:16,880 --> 01:09:19,320
Speaker 1: not catching that program on its heels to start the season.

1349
01:09:19,320 --> 01:09:21,040
Speaker 1: If you beat them, you're gonna have to go play

1350
01:09:21,040 --> 01:09:23,400
Speaker 1: a better football game than them. I'm not sure Georgia

1351
01:09:23,439 --> 01:09:25,519
Speaker 1: Tech will. I think Florida State will win this. It's

1352
01:09:25,520 --> 01:09:27,559
Speaker 1: a competitive game, not a blowout game. But I think

1353
01:09:27,600 --> 01:09:29,760
Speaker 1: over the span of four quarters kind of tackle on

1354
01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:32,880
Speaker 1: a late score, Florida State wins this. And I think

1355
01:09:32,880 --> 01:09:36,639
Speaker 1: Florida State covers as well. Okay, we'll be breaking down

1356
01:09:36,640 --> 01:09:40,320
Speaker 1: a ton of games next week this time. Major announcement,

1357
01:09:41,080 --> 01:09:44,439
Speaker 1: major announcement on the show tonight. Actually, let me clear

1358
01:09:44,479 --> 01:09:46,559
Speaker 1: the throat. I didn't rain any water in here. That's

1359
01:09:46,560 --> 01:09:52,479
Speaker 1: a shame. We'll still the throat is cleared. So big

1360
01:09:52,640 --> 01:09:56,320
Speaker 1: announcement on the show tonight. I am proud to announce

1361
01:09:56,720 --> 01:09:59,719
Speaker 1: that we have entered into a major partnership with FanDuel.

1362
01:10:00,040 --> 01:10:03,280
Speaker 1: Finalized it today the virtual shaking of the hands. They

1363
01:10:03,320 --> 01:10:06,840
Speaker 1: have made a huge investment, I mean a huge investment

1364
01:10:07,040 --> 01:10:10,000
Speaker 1: in our show, by far the biggest that they've made

1365
01:10:10,080 --> 01:10:12,960
Speaker 1: in the college space to date. They will be not

1366
01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:16,799
Speaker 1: only our exclusive odds provider for this entire college football season,

1367
01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:20,599
Speaker 1: they're sponsoring the Ram and Noodle Express. Friday Night Lines

1368
01:10:20,640 --> 01:10:23,920
Speaker 1: will now be proudly brought to you by FanDuel. That's

1369
01:10:23,960 --> 01:10:26,840
Speaker 1: live on Instagram every Friday night at late Kick Josh.

1370
01:10:26,960 --> 01:10:29,480
Speaker 1: Make sure you guys are there. If you've never experienced

1371
01:10:29,640 --> 01:10:33,360
Speaker 1: Friday Night Lines, experience it this year every Friday night.

1372
01:10:34,000 --> 01:10:36,320
Speaker 1: They are also going to be there every step of

1373
01:10:36,360 --> 01:10:39,280
Speaker 1: the way with us as a resource. And I'm telling

1374
01:10:39,320 --> 01:10:43,439
Speaker 1: you that's the secret value proposition of this. These folks

1375
01:10:43,560 --> 01:10:45,920
Speaker 1: know us. Okay, the folks at FanDuel, they're the ones

1376
01:10:45,960 --> 01:10:48,360
Speaker 1: I wanted to do business with because they're the ones

1377
01:10:48,360 --> 01:10:51,320
Speaker 1: who know the show. They watch the show. They're dead

1378
01:10:51,400 --> 01:10:54,080
Speaker 1: serious about responsible gaming. You see it written on this

1379
01:10:54,160 --> 01:10:57,640
Speaker 1: graphic right here. That's not something that legal made them do.

1380
01:10:57,880 --> 01:11:00,840
Speaker 1: Every time we talk with FanDuel, it's about what can

1381
01:11:00,880 --> 01:11:03,640
Speaker 1: we do to enhance the partnership, what can we do

1382
01:11:03,680 --> 01:11:06,320
Speaker 1: to add value for the viewers, But also can you

1383
01:11:06,439 --> 01:11:09,240
Speaker 1: make sure that you weave this in or that in

1384
01:11:09,320 --> 01:11:12,200
Speaker 1: about responsible gaming? If you can't afford to bet this stuff,

1385
01:11:12,439 --> 01:11:14,759
Speaker 1: straight up, don't be betting this stuff. Do not spend

1386
01:11:14,760 --> 01:11:17,120
Speaker 1: a dime that you couldn't afford to lose. But a

1387
01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:18,840
Speaker 1: lot of you love to have fun with this. I

1388
01:11:18,880 --> 01:11:21,240
Speaker 1: love to have fun with this. We are taking fun

1389
01:11:21,280 --> 01:11:24,600
Speaker 1: to the next level this year. FanDuel could not be

1390
01:11:24,640 --> 01:11:27,840
Speaker 1: prouder to announce that it's been two or three years

1391
01:11:27,840 --> 01:11:31,360
Speaker 1: in the making and this is a huge investment for

1392
01:11:31,400 --> 01:11:34,519
Speaker 1: them in the college football space. If you go sign up,

1393
01:11:34,760 --> 01:11:37,040
Speaker 1: you can either take a picture of this QR code

1394
01:11:37,080 --> 01:11:39,080
Speaker 1: here right now, or you can go to FanDuel dot

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01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:43,519
Speaker 1: com backslash CFB promotion. That's how they know we sent you.

1396
01:11:44,479 --> 01:11:47,600
Speaker 1: That's some help for us on our end. But you

1397
01:11:47,640 --> 01:11:49,920
Speaker 1: guys have already made it possible for this to even happen,

1398
01:11:50,000 --> 01:11:52,000
Speaker 1: so I appreciate it. But if you do go sign

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01:11:52,080 --> 01:11:54,920
Speaker 1: up as a result of this FanDuel dot Com backslash

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01:11:55,040 --> 01:11:57,799
Speaker 1: CFB promotion and you'll see the benefits of this woven

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Speaker 1: into the show the entire year golf clap for FanDuel

1402
01:12:02,600 --> 01:12:04,920
Speaker 1: not only being on board, they were already on board,

1403
01:12:04,920 --> 01:12:07,479
Speaker 1: They're on board in a major way. Now sign up

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Speaker 1: for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion. Must

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01:12:12,040 --> 01:12:14,840
Speaker 1: be twenty one plus and present in select states for

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Speaker 1: and present in Washington, DC. First online real money wager

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Speaker 1: only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is non

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Speaker 1: you have a gambling problem? If so, call one eight

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Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut, or

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Speaker 1: visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org. In Maryland, Hope is here.

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Speaker 1: Visit Gambling Helplinema dot org. Or call eight hundred three

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Speaker 1: two seven fifty to fifty for twenty four seven support

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope

1418
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Speaker 1: in Why or text hop e n Y in New York. Okay.

1419
01:13:07,400 --> 01:13:09,120
Speaker 1: I wanted to wrap up the show tonight with a

1420
01:13:09,160 --> 01:13:12,720
Speaker 1: really really good feature that are our good friend of

1421
01:13:12,760 --> 01:13:16,479
Speaker 1: the program Cooper Protegna put out earlier today, And actually, Colin,

1422
01:13:17,040 --> 01:13:19,280
Speaker 1: make this where you incut it, because I want to

1423
01:13:19,280 --> 01:13:21,400
Speaker 1: give our boy a shout out in the actual segment,

1424
01:13:22,520 --> 01:13:24,960
Speaker 1: Who are the most talented teams in the country this year?

1425
01:13:25,080 --> 01:13:28,599
Speaker 1: Which doesn't always guarantee anything, but as we always say here,

1426
01:13:28,600 --> 01:13:31,880
Speaker 1: as Mema always said, talent doesn't guarantee you anything, but

1427
01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:35,840
Speaker 1: not guaranteeing. But that's not what Memal said. Not only

1428
01:13:35,880 --> 01:13:38,160
Speaker 1: is that not what Mema said, Colin, don't even include

1429
01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:41,320
Speaker 1: that Who are the most Talented Teams in the country

1430
01:13:41,479 --> 01:13:45,800
Speaker 1: doesn't guarantee wins. As Mema always said, talent does not

1431
01:13:45,880 --> 01:13:50,240
Speaker 1: guarantee you anything, but not having talent does guarantee you something.

1432
01:13:50,400 --> 01:13:52,880
Speaker 1: And it's a something you will not like. Nailed that

1433
01:13:52,920 --> 01:13:56,639
Speaker 1: memal quote first time around. Nailed that memal quote. Those

1434
01:13:56,640 --> 01:13:59,360
Speaker 1: who know no so Cooper Protagnant put out a really

1435
01:13:59,400 --> 01:14:01,880
Speaker 1: good piece still up right now over on twenty four

1436
01:14:01,920 --> 01:14:03,960
Speaker 1: to seven sports dot Com, and it's looking at the

1437
01:14:03,960 --> 01:14:06,960
Speaker 1: twenty four to seven Sports team Talent Composite, which is

1438
01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:08,640
Speaker 1: just a measure of the players you have on your

1439
01:14:08,720 --> 01:14:12,360
Speaker 1: roster and how talented they are. It's not an exact science,

1440
01:14:12,400 --> 01:14:16,680
Speaker 1: but it's pretty fairly accurate to the tune that Michigan's

1441
01:14:16,720 --> 01:14:20,200
Speaker 1: the only non top teen, not top ten, from this

1442
01:14:20,280 --> 01:14:22,879
Speaker 1: group that's won a national title in the last decade.

1443
01:14:22,920 --> 01:14:25,439
Speaker 1: I think there were fourteenth last year and won a

1444
01:14:25,560 --> 01:14:29,439
Speaker 1: national title. Outside of Michigan, everybody who's won a national

1445
01:14:29,439 --> 01:14:31,320
Speaker 1: title in the last decade has been top ten on

1446
01:14:31,360 --> 01:14:34,360
Speaker 1: this list. So a couple of takeaways I had from this.

1447
01:14:34,760 --> 01:14:38,080
Speaker 1: The first thing is it's still Bama and Georgia and

1448
01:14:38,120 --> 01:14:42,040
Speaker 1: Ohio State and then everybody else. There's a misnomer floating

1449
01:14:42,080 --> 01:14:46,000
Speaker 1: around the old water cooler that Bama's down a notch.

1450
01:14:46,120 --> 01:14:48,439
Speaker 1: Bama still got the most talented roster in college football,

1451
01:14:48,920 --> 01:14:53,559
Speaker 1: Like after Caleb Downs left, after Isaiah Bond left, after

1452
01:14:53,560 --> 01:14:57,320
Speaker 1: their usual draft departures. Now there's no huge gap, but

1453
01:14:57,400 --> 01:14:59,760
Speaker 1: it's them in Georgia and Ohio State one, two, three,

1454
01:14:59,880 --> 01:15:02,519
Speaker 1: just like it's always been. And if you listen to

1455
01:15:02,560 --> 01:15:06,000
Speaker 1: folks talk, folks talk like you know Bama's sort of

1456
01:15:06,000 --> 01:15:08,679
Speaker 1: taken a back seat talent wise, I'm telling you they

1457
01:15:08,680 --> 01:15:11,639
Speaker 1: have not. They're gonna be right there. They'll be right

1458
01:15:11,640 --> 01:15:14,040
Speaker 1: there again at the end of the day. Those three

1459
01:15:14,080 --> 01:15:18,120
Speaker 1: have been there for a long time. But I think

1460
01:15:18,160 --> 01:15:21,400
Speaker 1: beyond that's where the fund really begins. It's still in

1461
01:15:21,439 --> 01:15:23,720
Speaker 1: it for Clemson. Look at this list right here, if

1462
01:15:23,720 --> 01:15:27,200
Speaker 1: you're listening to me on podcast, the top five is Bama, Georgia,

1463
01:15:27,240 --> 01:15:30,400
Speaker 1: Ohio State, and then there's Texas and then there's Clemson.

1464
01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:35,400
Speaker 1: You believe that, you think Clemson's got the fifth most

1465
01:15:35,400 --> 01:15:39,599
Speaker 1: talented roster in the country, Well, they got a lot

1466
01:15:39,640 --> 01:15:43,120
Speaker 1: of them there. They're number five. They're defensive front stacked

1467
01:15:43,360 --> 01:15:45,680
Speaker 1: like it has been in years past. They got some

1468
01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:49,080
Speaker 1: young and very promising receivers that I think you'll see

1469
01:15:49,080 --> 01:15:51,759
Speaker 1: against Georgia like I think you'll see and Pop against Georgia,

1470
01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:56,400
Speaker 1: which reminds me Georgia is nearly a two touchdown favorite

1471
01:15:56,640 --> 01:15:59,840
Speaker 1: against Clemson. So if you were to look at that

1472
01:16:00,240 --> 01:16:03,360
Speaker 1: and that list alone, that wouldn't make sense. So what

1473
01:16:03,400 --> 01:16:07,120
Speaker 1: an odds maker's telling you is either the gap between

1474
01:16:07,200 --> 01:16:10,720
Speaker 1: number two and number five is that wide, or Clemson's

1475
01:16:10,760 --> 01:16:13,879
Speaker 1: not living up to the reputation of their talent profile.

1476
01:16:15,080 --> 01:16:18,559
Speaker 1: Maybe Clemson pulls the upset, shuts everyone up. Really fun

1477
01:16:18,600 --> 01:16:22,040
Speaker 1: matchup to watch. They're in week one and here's another takeaway.

1478
01:16:22,880 --> 01:16:26,040
Speaker 1: Check out who number six was just outside the top ten?

1479
01:16:26,080 --> 01:16:29,000
Speaker 1: There you see who number six was. Oregon's not coming.

1480
01:16:29,120 --> 01:16:33,920
Speaker 1: Organ's there. They've arrived. Organ's number six here. Organ's instantly

1481
01:16:33,960 --> 01:16:36,599
Speaker 1: the number two most talented roster in the Big ten

1482
01:16:37,000 --> 01:16:40,680
Speaker 1: the moment they walk in the door. So they're not

1483
01:16:40,920 --> 01:16:44,080
Speaker 1: getting in line. You know, they're not being indoctrinated here.

1484
01:16:44,120 --> 01:16:46,880
Speaker 1: If anything, they're cutting in line and they're taking one

1485
01:16:46,880 --> 01:16:49,639
Speaker 1: of the front seats and the rest of you got

1486
01:16:49,640 --> 01:16:52,320
Speaker 1: to bump back a seat. Not only do they have

1487
01:16:52,479 --> 01:16:55,800
Speaker 1: the second most talented roster in this conference, it's very

1488
01:16:56,040 --> 01:17:00,000
Speaker 1: well proportioned. It's not like they're loaded up with res

1489
01:17:00,360 --> 01:17:03,479
Speaker 1: and tailbacks and quarterbacks. But they're really a lightweight on

1490
01:17:03,560 --> 01:17:05,639
Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage, not at all. They will take

1491
01:17:05,640 --> 01:17:07,360
Speaker 1: the fight to you on the line of scrimmage. I

1492
01:17:07,400 --> 01:17:11,280
Speaker 1: also think long term it will help that program that

1493
01:17:11,720 --> 01:17:13,560
Speaker 1: they got beat the way they got beat in the

1494
01:17:13,560 --> 01:17:16,120
Speaker 1: PAC twelfth title game last year, because there was a

1495
01:17:16,160 --> 01:17:18,880
Speaker 1: firm belief that they held the physical advantage. They were

1496
01:17:18,920 --> 01:17:21,200
Speaker 1: gonna be able to outrun or they're gonna be able

1497
01:17:21,240 --> 01:17:23,760
Speaker 1: to run the ball and outrush Washington, and they did

1498
01:17:23,800 --> 01:17:26,000
Speaker 1: not have that, and they did not do that, and

1499
01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:28,240
Speaker 1: that was a little wake up call. And I think

1500
01:17:28,280 --> 01:17:30,600
Speaker 1: you've seen the result in the attitude they've had and

1501
01:17:30,640 --> 01:17:32,599
Speaker 1: the players they went and got in the portal. They

1502
01:17:32,640 --> 01:17:35,280
Speaker 1: continue to recruit at a top five level, not just

1503
01:17:35,360 --> 01:17:39,400
Speaker 1: top ten anymore, but instant number two in the Big Ten.

1504
01:17:39,439 --> 01:17:42,000
Speaker 1: If I were to have told you a decade ago

1505
01:17:42,920 --> 01:17:45,120
Speaker 1: down the road, Oregon's gonna go to the Big Ten,

1506
01:17:45,160 --> 01:17:49,120
Speaker 1: you would have thought they're gonna get steam rolled up front. No,

1507
01:17:49,520 --> 01:17:53,240
Speaker 1: they will steamroll. They will steamroll. Now, they're not going

1508
01:17:53,320 --> 01:17:57,559
Speaker 1: to do that at Michigan. They're not gonna steamroll Ohio State.

1509
01:17:58,560 --> 01:18:02,120
Speaker 1: But they are also not going to be steamrolled by

1510
01:18:02,120 --> 01:18:06,759
Speaker 1: either one of them. Did you also look at number seven?

1511
01:18:08,880 --> 01:18:10,720
Speaker 1: Mike Elko is in one of the best positions in

1512
01:18:10,760 --> 01:18:13,639
Speaker 1: this sport. I don't think people realize it. He took

1513
01:18:13,680 --> 01:18:16,479
Speaker 1: over for Jimbo Fisher. He's got the number seven roster

1514
01:18:16,520 --> 01:18:19,519
Speaker 1: in the country just right there. There's no burn it down,

1515
01:18:20,000 --> 01:18:22,840
Speaker 1: rebuild from scratch, there's none of that. There is a

1516
01:18:22,920 --> 01:18:27,600
Speaker 1: loaded roster with very very poor organization. It was mismanaged.

1517
01:18:27,880 --> 01:18:31,000
Speaker 1: He's going to inject both of those immediately. Still gets

1518
01:18:31,040 --> 01:18:33,240
Speaker 1: the benefit of having all the good football players there,

1519
01:18:33,439 --> 01:18:36,400
Speaker 1: and they could pop immediately. I think A and M

1520
01:18:36,400 --> 01:18:39,800
Speaker 1: could be a playoff team this year this year. Their

1521
01:18:39,840 --> 01:18:46,040
Speaker 1: playoff caliber and the difference there is Unlike Kaylin de

1522
01:18:46,160 --> 01:18:51,400
Speaker 1: Boor who takes over Alabama with national championship expectations, that's

1523
01:18:51,439 --> 01:18:54,599
Speaker 1: the standard there. At Texas A and M. Elcho's taken

1524
01:18:54,640 --> 01:18:58,960
Speaker 1: over a top seven roster, but the expectations sort of

1525
01:18:59,160 --> 01:19:03,639
Speaker 1: warped in. People don't expect anything of Texas A and M.

1526
01:19:03,680 --> 01:19:06,559
Speaker 1: People don't hold them to that higher standard. And it's

1527
01:19:06,560 --> 01:19:09,519
Speaker 1: not because they're not capable of it, contrary to popular beliefs,

1528
01:19:09,520 --> 01:19:11,280
Speaker 1: just because they hadn't done it. So you got a

1529
01:19:11,320 --> 01:19:13,840
Speaker 1: place where it's all possible. You got a place where

1530
01:19:13,880 --> 01:19:16,240
Speaker 1: you can do everything the big boys do. You got

1531
01:19:16,240 --> 01:19:18,320
Speaker 1: all the resources the big boys have had but you

1532
01:19:18,400 --> 01:19:21,679
Speaker 1: hadn't performed like the big boys have. Therefore, someone gets

1533
01:19:21,680 --> 01:19:23,639
Speaker 1: to come in there and be the first to do it.

1534
01:19:23,800 --> 01:19:25,599
Speaker 1: Elko's going to be the first to do it. He'll

1535
01:19:25,600 --> 01:19:28,639
Speaker 1: be a legend there. They'll remember his name they're fifty

1536
01:19:28,720 --> 01:19:31,040
Speaker 1: years from now because of what he's about to do.

1537
01:19:31,320 --> 01:19:33,800
Speaker 1: And what he's about to do is he's about to

1538
01:19:33,800 --> 01:19:36,040
Speaker 1: prove a lot of folks wrong who claim that A

1539
01:19:36,080 --> 01:19:38,960
Speaker 1: and M's not capable of being an elite program. They

1540
01:19:39,000 --> 01:19:42,280
Speaker 1: are capable, they're just not. They are going to be

1541
01:19:42,360 --> 01:19:44,519
Speaker 1: proven wrong in thinking this is not an elite job.

1542
01:19:44,680 --> 01:19:49,240
Speaker 1: It absolutely is slammedunk elite job. Elko got it. They're

1543
01:19:49,240 --> 01:19:51,120
Speaker 1: going to be better for it. But I'm just trying

1544
01:19:51,160 --> 01:19:53,200
Speaker 1: to remind you this is not a guarantee of anything

1545
01:19:53,520 --> 01:19:56,040
Speaker 1: other than he's got some good football players. They're probably

1546
01:19:56,080 --> 01:19:59,120
Speaker 1: better than your mind tells you they are. They play

1547
01:19:59,160 --> 01:20:01,679
Speaker 1: Notre Dame week one. Notre Dame's got the tenth best

1548
01:20:01,800 --> 01:20:05,880
Speaker 1: roster according to the team Talent Composite, and they go

1549
01:20:05,920 --> 01:20:08,599
Speaker 1: play A and M on the road. So we've got

1550
01:20:08,760 --> 01:20:11,000
Speaker 1: number seven versus number ten in week one. We got

1551
01:20:11,080 --> 01:20:14,920
Speaker 1: number two versus number five in week one. Ought to

1552
01:20:14,960 --> 01:20:17,360
Speaker 1: be fun ought to be really fun. Oh lastly, if

1553
01:20:17,360 --> 01:20:20,720
Speaker 1: you'll just take a look at twelve and thirteen, I'll

1554
01:20:20,760 --> 01:20:22,639
Speaker 1: go ahead and tell you who fourteen was as well.

1555
01:20:23,040 --> 01:20:29,000
Speaker 1: So twelve is Florida, thirteen is Florida State, fourteen is Miami.

1556
01:20:29,680 --> 01:20:33,640
Speaker 1: That's the story. That's the story in college football, the

1557
01:20:33,680 --> 01:20:36,719
Speaker 1: state of Florida and the talent profiles of the big

1558
01:20:36,760 --> 01:20:41,080
Speaker 1: three in state teams. Now UCF has joined that, but

1559
01:20:41,360 --> 01:20:43,880
Speaker 1: these three historically have been the big three in the

1560
01:20:43,880 --> 01:20:48,400
Speaker 1: state of Florida. I think all three of them, if

1561
01:20:48,400 --> 01:20:51,520
Speaker 1: they have any kind of success this year, will continue

1562
01:20:51,520 --> 01:20:57,040
Speaker 1: to rise fairly substantially. Miami, no doubt, is going to

1563
01:20:57,040 --> 01:21:00,519
Speaker 1: continue to skyrocket in team talent composite. They'll be They'll

1564
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:03,240
Speaker 1: be in the top ten next year. Florida State will

1565
01:21:03,439 --> 01:21:07,080
Speaker 1: probably elevate to the top ten next year. Florida with

1566
01:21:07,160 --> 01:21:09,760
Speaker 1: a good class would probably elevate to the top ten

1567
01:21:09,800 --> 01:21:12,360
Speaker 1: next year if they all bake in one more class there.

1568
01:21:12,560 --> 01:21:15,360
Speaker 1: But the thing about it is someone's gonna take a

1569
01:21:15,560 --> 01:21:18,760
Speaker 1: big blow to the groin perceptionally in Week one when

1570
01:21:18,800 --> 01:21:22,280
Speaker 1: Miami plays Florida. I don't know how that impacts this.

1571
01:21:23,200 --> 01:21:26,400
Speaker 1: If the Florida staff suffers an early loss and they

1572
01:21:26,400 --> 01:21:29,400
Speaker 1: get wobbly, and it affects the future of that staff.

1573
01:21:29,600 --> 01:21:32,400
Speaker 1: It obviously affects their recruiting class, and you know how

1574
01:21:32,439 --> 01:21:36,320
Speaker 1: that goes. So the other two, like Florida State in Miami.

1575
01:21:36,520 --> 01:21:39,360
Speaker 1: I feel pretty good about Florida. If they have a

1576
01:21:39,360 --> 01:21:42,479
Speaker 1: good year this year and they stave off the fate

1577
01:21:42,560 --> 01:21:44,479
Speaker 1: a lot of people already think is sealed for them,

1578
01:21:45,080 --> 01:21:47,840
Speaker 1: they'll all three continue to climb. Like all three of those.

1579
01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:50,679
Speaker 1: The big question is, three years from now, has one

1580
01:21:50,720 --> 01:21:53,280
Speaker 1: of those separated itself from the other two. That'd be

1581
01:21:53,320 --> 01:21:56,800
Speaker 1: my question. Okay, good long show tonight. Again. I appreciate

1582
01:21:56,840 --> 01:21:59,560
Speaker 1: you guys so much. I know we made some announcements

1583
01:21:59,600 --> 01:22:03,200
Speaker 1: tonight up or coming. Make sure you're following at Lake

1584
01:22:03,320 --> 01:22:08,000
Speaker 1: Kick Josh, Instagram, Twitter, especially nexture you're following until Sunday

1585
01:22:08,120 --> 01:22:12,960
Speaker 1: night for director Colin for interim producer Belchi. How about

1586
01:22:12,960 --> 01:22:16,120
Speaker 1: a good hearty get well soon to producer Jesse. I'm

1587
01:22:16,200 --> 01:22:18,000
Speaker 1: Josh Bait. Take care, have a great start to your

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01:22:18,040 --> 01:22:34,240
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