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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: The first snow has fallen here in Pennsylvania, signaling we

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Speaker 1: are very much in the thick of the college football season.

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Speaker 1: That means we only have so much time left to

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Speaker 1: build our bank rull. We'll help you move in that

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Speaker 1: direction today with our Week twelve early picks and line

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Speaker 1: movement predictions for the top ten games on the slate.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I'm joined by a

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Speaker 1: man who doesn't know anything about the cold, because that's

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Speaker 1: just not SEC football. He's Scott Bogman. Boggs, how are you?

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Speaker 1: And have you seen the snow down there south of

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Speaker 1: the Red River yet?

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Speaker 2: I mean I lived in Arizona for twenty seven years. Okay,

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Speaker 2: in the Phoenix Scottsdale area where it's desert and very hot.

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Speaker 2: It snowed three days in twenty seven years.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 2: So its snowed here in Houston a couple times last year.

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Speaker 2: So definitely cold over here, but still, you know, barely

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Speaker 2: drops below freezing here. I'm not a cold weather guy.

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Speaker 2: I'm a warm weather guy for sure. I don't have

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Speaker 2: to shovel the heat out of my driveway to leave,

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna stick to the South as far as

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Speaker 2: that's concerned.

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Speaker 4: But I can tell you what's cold.

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Speaker 2: My picks this week were this is probably it's definitely

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Speaker 2: the worst week I've had this season. It might be

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Speaker 2: my worst week ever betting. It was a rough one.

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Speaker 2: But my props were fine, props were good, picks miserable.

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Speaker 2: So you know, this is this week has to be

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Speaker 2: better because honestly, there's nowhere to go but up, so

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Speaker 2: let's go.

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Speaker 1: It kind of reminds me, just one you saying the

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Speaker 1: only three days of snow in twenty seven years, and

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Speaker 1: with kind of the bad luck on the picks last week,

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Speaker 1: kind of reminds me of the movie Holes, like you're

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Speaker 1: gonna curse your entire family like Madame Zarny if you

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Speaker 1: don't go back to carry her up the hill. So

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Speaker 1: and then funny enough too. On that note, you have

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Speaker 1: one of your first bad weeks of the season. I

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Speaker 1: was three and two on the week.

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Speaker 2: So thanks for God if you passed this current? Is

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Speaker 2: that what's happening, seth?

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Speaker 4: I don't like it. I don't want this curse.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you might have to carry me up the hill

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Speaker 1: to break it bags. You might have to kill me

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Speaker 1: up the hill.

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Speaker 4: I'll do whatever I need to do. Minire me a

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Speaker 4: witch doctor. Let's go.

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Speaker 3: Of course, today's program does look like this for y'all.

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Speaker 1: Will recap the week eleven action the betting risers the

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Speaker 1: betting followers will also jump into an early handicap of

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Speaker 1: the top ten games four week twelve. As always, shout

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Speaker 1: to everyone who's still hanging out with us on the

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Speaker 1: Bank Cruise YouTube channel or the audio feed as we

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Speaker 1: make our way into mid November. This is a time

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Speaker 1: where real ballfans, real balloers like to hang out, so

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Speaker 1: we appreciate your support. Easiest freeway to help us out here.

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Speaker 1: Give this video a thumbs up. If you enjoy this

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Speaker 1: type of content and if you're new, make sure he

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Speaker 1: subscribes you don't miss a moment of college football and

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Speaker 1: NFL bening coverage. And if you want a chance to

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Speaker 1: score this signed Kyron Williams Rams helmet for free courtisy

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Speaker 1: our friends over Pristineauction dot com.

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Speaker 3: All you need to do is head to Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 3: Slash contest is complete.

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Speaker 1: The form either a go ahead and download the free

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Speaker 1: Benning Pros app b review for the Betting Pros podcast

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Speaker 1: or see Subscribe to our social media channels. We are

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros on x and TikTok and at Benning

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL on Instagram. The more actions you complete, the

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Speaker 1: more entries you're gonna receive, and we will announce a

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Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel. So make sure you

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Speaker 1: ring the bell so you can be alerted when new

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Speaker 1: shows are up and to claim your prize if you

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Speaker 1: are that lucky winner.

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Speaker 3: Now, let's look.

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Speaker 1: Back to what is maybe one of those unpredictable weeks

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Speaker 1: of the season. So no shame in taking a couple

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Speaker 1: l's he here, bogs. We had some really good teams

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Speaker 1: do it as well, starting on Tuesday, where Ohio took

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Speaker 1: control of the mac beating Miami, Ohio twenty four to twenty.

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Speaker 1: Number nineteen USC they took care of business against Northwestern

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Speaker 1: thirty eight to seventeen. On Friday, Tulane ran away from

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Speaker 1: Memphis thirty eight thirty two on Friday as well. Number

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Speaker 1: two Indiana survives a penn stay upset maybe the catch

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Speaker 1: of the year there in the back of the end

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Speaker 1: zone twenty seven to twenty four. Number three Texas a

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Speaker 1: and m They dog walk number twenty two Missouri thirty

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Speaker 1: eight seventeen, pushing the Tigers outside of the top twenty five.

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Speaker 3: Of the AP pool.

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Speaker 1: Number four Alabama they win against LSU twenty to nine.

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Speaker 1: Georgia they get pass Mississippi State forty one twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Number eight Texattech they dominate number seven b YU twenty

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Speaker 1: nine seven in Lubbock.

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Speaker 3: We also had number nine Oregon, who.

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Speaker 1: Got out of Iowa City alive, winning eighteen to sixteen.

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Speaker 3: We'll talk more about that game later.

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Speaker 1: The number ten Notre Dame Smoke's Navy by an absolute

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Speaker 1: crap town a points here. Wake Forest upsets Number fourteen

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Speaker 1: Virginia sixteen to nine. Cal upsets number fifteen Louisville twenty

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Speaker 1: nine to twenty six for another acc upset, and then

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Speaker 1: number sixteen Vanderbilt they beat Auburn forty five thirty eight

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Speaker 1: in a shootout. Wisconsin somehow upset number twenty three Washington

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Speaker 1: thirteen to ten. Kentucky beats down on Florida thirty eight

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Speaker 1: to seven, and Hawaii they upset San Diego State, making

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Speaker 1: things pretty interesting out there in the Mountain West thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to six. Bogman, who are your betting risers and

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Speaker 1: followers in week number eleven.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Penn State have an offense. Now you watch

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Speaker 2: this game, this is your team? Are we banking on

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Speaker 2: this on a week to week basis?

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Speaker 4: Sethi?

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Speaker 2: Because I was under sixteen and a half on their

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Speaker 2: team total, because they've been so miserable in Indiana, have.

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Speaker 4: Been so good. Was a home game and all of that.

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Speaker 4: Maybe just your best effort, dude.

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Speaker 2: It would have been so funny if they would have

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Speaker 2: beaten number two Indiana after they fired James Franklin. How

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Speaker 2: would have been such a great thing. But obviously I

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Speaker 2: was close. But I mean, I think Penn State has

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Speaker 2: to move up. But you're the Penn State guy, what

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Speaker 2: do you think?

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Speaker 1: I think it was one of their better performance of

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Speaker 1: the season, maybe the best performance of the season, but

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Speaker 1: they always find a way to lose, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: we weren't as aggressive as we need to be on

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Speaker 1: offense in the fourth quarter when we finally took the

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Speaker 1: lead and then we'd just let Indiana go the entire

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Speaker 1: length of the field and go up on us.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 1: Nick Singleton looked good for the first time maybe in

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Speaker 1: a month or two, so that was pretty surprising. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Penn State's back though. I think this was

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Speaker 1: a one one get up spot. Beaver Stadium was packed.

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Speaker 1: We saw a lot of people tailgaming again in Happy

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Speaker 1: Valley for this game. I don't know what brought everyone

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Speaker 1: out because it's pretty chilly up so I think it

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Speaker 1: was just kind of a one spot get up and

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Speaker 1: maybe a little course correction needed for Indian after that

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Speaker 1: closed loss or almost close loss.

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Speaker 2: I think Missouri also, like just I thought Solrs was

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Speaker 2: gonna be so much better and he was miserable. Now

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Speaker 2: A and M's sorry, they're top three team, but we've

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Speaker 2: seen that you can run on A and M. In fact,

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Speaker 2: in this game, they had two rushers over one hundred

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Speaker 2: yards but just couldn't put up points. So Zalors was

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Speaker 2: pretty pathetic. Georgia looked great against Mississippi State, not playing

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Speaker 2: with their food at all, even with the look ahead

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Speaker 2: against Texas, so I thought they were pretty impressive. What

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Speaker 2: the hell happened to Florida? Do you see any of

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Speaker 2: that game they got by Kentucky? And look, Kentucky put

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Speaker 2: up some points against Tennessee, but they should not have

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Speaker 2: been killing. That one was really one that surprised me.

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Speaker 2: And then of course Hyla Morris got hurt for UVA

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Speaker 2: because I bet on the Calves, so he went down

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Speaker 2: and Colorado did fight back, but thankfully WVU held on.

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Speaker 2: So you know the rest of it, I mean, Louisville

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Speaker 2: was clearly looking ahead.

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Speaker 4: We'll get into that and a little bit Iowa, man.

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Speaker 2: This is that's a big letdown emotionally because now if

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Speaker 2: you win that game, you're in the middle of the

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Speaker 2: playoff picture, like you're possibly heading into the Big ten

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Speaker 2: title game, right, like there's a possibility you get there.

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Speaker 2: But now losing and now you have to go all

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Speaker 2: the way across the country to USC is a tough draw.

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Speaker 2: How about Auburn's offense finally waking up with Ashton.

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Speaker 4: Daniel what.

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Speaker 3: Never failed?

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Speaker 2: Lord, I was really shocked by that. And then Washington

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Speaker 2: again going on the road and having zero on offense

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Speaker 2: was just sad to see because I bet on them

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Speaker 2: as well. So yeah, I think, you know, maybe just

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Speaker 2: gets beat pretty bad in the games that they should

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Speaker 2: get beat in. Louisville was looking ahead. Obama was fine.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, they got LSU's best look, which

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Speaker 2: is not good. Yeah, and Indiana survived like we knew

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Speaker 2: Indiana was gonna have a scare at some point and

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Speaker 2: this was it. So I think they're gonna be okay.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, and I do like they were talking to

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Speaker 2: Sig before the game, he said, no Indiana team is

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Speaker 2: won on the road in Penn State, and I don't

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Speaker 2: know if that was for a long time or maybe ever.

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Speaker 2: It was like this team has never been here. I

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Speaker 2: really liked his answer on that. And do you see

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Speaker 2: Mendoza after the game talking about how he would die

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Speaker 2: for his teammates, And you know, I heard the guys

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Speaker 2: I'll cover the three saying it was big Tim Tebow

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Speaker 2: energy and that's very true. If I want to if

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Speaker 2: I wanted to kill something this week, it would be

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Speaker 2: Washington going on the road. That was my big bet

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Speaker 2: of the week, and they lost straight out to Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: who never gave up. I never thought that Wisconsin gave up.

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Speaker 2: But they have been awful and it's only scored thirteen

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Speaker 2: points right and won this game. So yeah, just the

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Speaker 2: ugly week I'd like to set on fire and go

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Speaker 2: to the next week.

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Speaker 4: So here we go.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we can certainly do that. A few final notes

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Speaker 3: I had here.

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Speaker 1: I'm very very scared to get back invested with ACC

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Speaker 1: favorites right now, because it just feels like every single

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Speaker 1: week they're going down to lesser opponents, whether that's Wake

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Speaker 1: Forest or you know, you name it. Man, it feels like, really,

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Speaker 1: anyone can win in that conference any every single week,

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve right now. Look at some updated odds

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Speaker 1: for conference championships Texas Tech minus two ninety.

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Speaker 3: And I think I think that's right right.

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Speaker 1: I think they're obviously the best team in the conference.

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Speaker 1: I will say, like, I don't hate it on eleven

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Speaker 1: to one sprinkle maybe on Utahs, I think they can

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Speaker 1: get to that championship game potentially if BYU drops one

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Speaker 1: more and they could be in that conversation, So I

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Speaker 1: don't hate that. Also, just a quick note too that

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Speaker 1: this is the first time all season we've had two

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Speaker 1: G five teams in the AP top twenty five, JMU

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Speaker 1: at twenty four, South Florida at twenty five, So it

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Speaker 1: feels like we're starting to get a little.

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Speaker 3: More clarity there.

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Speaker 1: It's either JAMU EI the Sunbelt or South Florida North Texas.

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Speaker 1: Maybe if Tulane can get back in the conversation there

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Speaker 1: from the American As well, but I'm really excited to

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Speaker 1: see how those races kind of shake out down stretch.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we're gonna have to get one of

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Speaker 2: those teams and we're gonna have to get the ACC

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Speaker 2: champion in there, and that's gonna be the only teams

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Speaker 2: from those places. So you got to get inside the

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Speaker 2: top ten, which Texas just came back inside the top ten.

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Speaker 2: If they can beat Georgia. They got Georgia and A

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Speaker 2: and M still on the schedule, so there's a possibility

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Speaker 2: for Texas to move way up or get bounced. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to last three weeks of the regular

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Speaker 2: season here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, same here.

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Speaker 1: We'll continue to keep you guys up to date with

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Speaker 1: the futures markets everything we got going on over there

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Speaker 1: as well. But let's jump right into the picks four

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Speaker 1: week number twelve twelve already, Holy count and it's started

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Speaker 1: on Friday night in Louisville, where the nineteenth rank Cardinals

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Speaker 1: are three to three and a half point favorites against

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Speaker 1: the four and five Clemson Tigers.

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Speaker 3: The Tigers just picked up their.

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Speaker 1: First winning nearly a month with a twenty four to

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Speaker 1: ten victory over Florida State to get the three and

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Speaker 1: six ats. The offense has certainly gone better over the

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Speaker 1: past few weeks with Antonio Williams back. He's everything to

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Speaker 1: that team now that he's at full health. Dabo Sweeney squad,

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Speaker 1: though still one of the country's worst run games and

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Speaker 1: passing defense. Lowville we noted they just lost to Cal

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Speaker 1: last week in overtime. They fell to three and six ATS.

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Speaker 1: They were without running back Isaac Brown, who leads the

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Speaker 1: conference at eight point six yards per carry. He's a

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Speaker 1: big playleting to happen, and they were outgained by the

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Speaker 1: Golden Bears four hundred and twenty seven to three hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty one total yards. However, all of their units

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Speaker 1: except the passing offense rates out considerably higher than Clemson. Still,

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Speaker 1: So Boggs, is there any value out there early for

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Speaker 1: this ACC clash or you like me and just staying away.

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Speaker 2: I think there is. We're showing a little value at

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Speaker 2: BP here. This one's close, and I think it's going

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Speaker 2: to be. It's gonna definitely be closer than these teams

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Speaker 2: have played because that has been so miserable all year.

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Speaker 2: And you know, like I said, I think Louisville was

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Speaker 2: in the look ahead past Cow they were at home,

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Speaker 2: comfortable game. Calas go all the way across the country,

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Speaker 2: but they're scrappy team. The calgarithm definitely was working on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: So Clemson got beat bad in this game last season.

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Speaker 2: They will be looking for revenge. But Louisville's still alive,

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Speaker 2: albeit with the longest odds to win the ACC, they

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Speaker 2: are still technically alive. And I think, like I said that,

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Speaker 2: that was the look ahead and Clemson. They beat Florida State,

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Speaker 2: but they only put up three hundred and nineteen toll

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Speaker 2: yards and they lost the previous two games before this

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Speaker 2: as well. Clemson might be able to get up for

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Speaker 2: a game, but they need to make the ball run

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Speaker 2: here too. I just I don't think that's going to

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Speaker 2: happen against Louisville here. Louisville has been the most consistent

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Speaker 2: between these teams. The most consistent thing between these team

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Speaker 2: it's been Louisville's defense. Not against Cal last week. I

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Speaker 2: get that, but we're showing value towards Louisville here, and

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Speaker 2: it has ticked down half a point overnight from Sunday

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Speaker 2: into Monday from three and a half two three for

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Speaker 2: Louisville is what I'm seeing right now, So maybe we

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Speaker 2: get a little more of that, maybe this moves to

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Speaker 2: under a field goal.

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Speaker 4: And if it moves to under a field.

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Speaker 2: Goal for Louisville, I think I'll hammer it because I

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Speaker 2: just do not buy into Clemson at all. Yeah, they

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Speaker 2: beat Florida State. Florida State is on the struggle bus

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Speaker 2: right now. They lost the previous two games before that,

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Speaker 2: albeit close games, and I do think this will play close.

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Speaker 2: Clemson is you know, again, at any point, roster strength

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Speaker 2: can bow up.

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Speaker 4: We've seen it happen.

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Speaker 2: We saw it happen with Auburn this week agends Vandy

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Speaker 2: right roster strength camp bow up specifically if there's a

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Speaker 2: coaching change made. But yeah, I think I gotta take

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Speaker 2: Louisville based on everything, the whole work that we've seen

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Speaker 2: these two teams put together. I don't think Clemson can

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Speaker 2: win this game right now.

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Speaker 1: Seeing the money line from our friends over at hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet at minus one sixty, do you think that

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Speaker 1: gets better or worse throughout the week, including the spread

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Speaker 1: as well.

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Speaker 2: I think it stays about the same. I think maybe

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Speaker 2: you get it down to one forty. If this does

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Speaker 2: move to under a field goal maybe one thirty. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: very best. Okay, but yeah, if you want to do

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Speaker 2: money line, it's probably something you're adding into a parlay.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's go ahead and shift gears to the noonslate

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Speaker 1: and the SEC, where we've got the number three and

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Speaker 1: undefeated Texas A and m Agis who are sitting at

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half to nineteen and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorites against the three and five South Carolina game Cocks.

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Speaker 1: Shane Bemers team is four and five coming off the

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Speaker 1: buy Ats this season, following their fourth consecutive SEC loss

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Speaker 1: coming to Ole miss Shane Bemers team still ranking outside

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Speaker 1: the top one hundred and scoring offense, total offense, passing offense,

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Speaker 1: rushing offense, time, possession, sacks allowed, third down conversion rate,

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Speaker 1: penalties per game, and pace.

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Speaker 3: So the offense is rough, is what I'm trying to

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Speaker 3: tell you there, and it's.

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Speaker 1: Tough to imagine that they're gonna have much success against

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Speaker 1: a team that just won and covered against Missouri to

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Speaker 1: get to five and four ATS. Between their quarterback Marcel Reid,

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Speaker 1: wide receivers Mario Craver, Kevin conceptsi On, who leads the

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Speaker 1: conference in touchdown receptions. Now, this offense is absolutely rolling

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Speaker 1: twelfth in scoring, seventeenth in total yards, and the defense

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Speaker 1: has certainly improved as of late as well, now ranking

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Speaker 1: twenty third in total yards allowed. So that said, Bogman,

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Speaker 1: are you comfortable laying this amount of points with.

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Speaker 3: The Texas A and m Aggie's not? Really I feel

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Speaker 3: the same.

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Speaker 2: I feel like I'm wrong no matter what I pick

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Speaker 2: on the Aggies this year. Those are taking into my

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame. But South Carolina is coming off the bye

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Speaker 2: week and the defense has been good. But in what

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Speaker 2: world can they keep up scoring with anm That is

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Speaker 2: my big question here, true, and how many points can

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Speaker 2: they actually put up? We've picked on them all season,

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Speaker 2: as you mentioned, because the offense has been bad. Now

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Speaker 2: caught up to me in that Bama game, right, But

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Speaker 2: I did right back on the horse against Ole Miss

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Speaker 2: the following week and they lost that game. That was

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Speaker 2: a thirteen and a half. They lost by sixteen. So

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Speaker 2: I'll wait to see which way this line goes. Because

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Speaker 2: for all the offensive woes, the game Cocks have only

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Speaker 2: lost by more than ten against Fandy and there in

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Speaker 2: their peak thirty one to seven, and that Old Miss game, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: from that they've played these closer games. I think the

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Speaker 2: bye we could keep it close early. But I just

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Speaker 2: cannot take South Carolina. I'm gonna wait to see which

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Speaker 2: way this line goes. But it's already moved out a

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Speaker 2: point from last night. It is eighteen and a half

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Speaker 2: and we're showing eighteen point four and now it's nineteen

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Speaker 2: and a half. So we don't have great value on

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Speaker 2: A and M. And I can't trust South Carolina. So

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Speaker 2: I unless this shift's big one way or the other,

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Speaker 2: I just don't see how I can mess with it.

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Speaker 2: So maybe it gets out over twenty one points. If

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Speaker 2: it does, then maybe I take South Carolina just because

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Speaker 2: I think it'll be a lower scoring game. Right But

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Speaker 2: right now, I'm not messing with this. I'm gonna wait

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Speaker 2: to see which way the line goes.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if you'd have told me that we'd be sitting

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Speaker 1: here and what week twelve and we'd get an eight

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Speaker 1: to one money line on South Carolina over in A

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Speaker 1: and M, I would have told you you're crazy.

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Speaker 3: But that's where we are.

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Speaker 1: And I think last week was actually the time to

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Speaker 1: get invested with A and M against Mazoo.

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Speaker 3: The young quarterback and experience.

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Speaker 1: Coming in and you know it was on the road

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Speaker 1: and I was really impressed with what A and M

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Speaker 1: did there.

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Speaker 3: I think Kyle Field will be loud in this one.

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Speaker 1: Is it loud enough to cover realistically three touchdowns here?

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. I don't want to get invested

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Speaker 1: in this one, but we'll see what happens on Wednesday

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Speaker 1: when we check back in. If there is any movement here,

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Speaker 1: We've got a huge American Conference clash in Annapolis where

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Speaker 1: the number twenty fifth ranked South Florida bowls. They are

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Speaker 1: currently nine and a half two ten a half point

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00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:23,640
Speaker 1: road favorites against the seven and two Navy midshipman. South

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Speaker 1: Florida rolls into town with extra rest after a Thursday

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Speaker 1: night beatdown of UTSA to get to six two and

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Speaker 1: one ats Byron Brown. This guy's been outstanding this season

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Speaker 1: seven and five rushing yards on the season and has

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Speaker 1: this USF offense ranked fifth in scoring, seven in total yards,

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Speaker 1: thirty six in passing, and tenth in rushing. The Achilles

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Speaker 1: heel to this defense, though, is its passing defense, which

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Speaker 1: I don't think is gonna be a problem against Navys

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Speaker 1: nation Navy has the best nation wide offense, but is

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Speaker 1: in rushing, but it is actually one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: first in passing. Navy just lost its second straight game

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Speaker 1: come in South Bend. They've now failed to cover in

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Speaker 1: six straight games, and they're also taking the fourth most

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Speaker 1: sacks per game and playing at the thirteenth slowest pace

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Speaker 1: in the country.

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Speaker 3: So, Bogs, how do you feel about laying.

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Speaker 1: Close to double digits with Alex Golosh and company?

439
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we follow the trend of Navy getting

440
00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,640
Speaker 2: into the hard part of the schedule and losing their games. Right,

441
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:23,399
Speaker 2: they're just been getting beat USF isn't as good as

442
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, obviously, but they only lost late to Memphis

443
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 2: by a field goal. They play much better against the

444
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 2: run than the past. Here's the thing that concerns me

445
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:35,119
Speaker 2: and why I probably won't have money in this game,

446
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 2: is the tackling for USF has been awful this year.

447
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 3: They great.

448
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 2: We're talking one hundred and twenty eighth in the country

449
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 2: in tackle grade. Unt who beat Navy first in tackle grade.

450
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, who beat Navy twenty seventh in tackle grade. Here,

451
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 2: USF has continuously had to outscore opponents and run away.

452
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 2: I think that continues here, but mainly because Horvath is

453
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 2: not one hundred percent right, he is, like he's probably

454
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 2: gonna play. I mean, the guy's a gamer, he's been

455
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,159
Speaker 2: playing through this all year, so he's probably gonna go.

456
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 2: But the later we get in the season, the less

457
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 2: and less you know, likely he is to make the

458
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 2: next game. So I think this should be South Florida

459
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 2: beating down Navy. I just am not That's my lean.

460
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 2: But I just don't think I'm gonna have money on

461
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,119
Speaker 2: it because I just don't trust this tackling and the

462
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 2: teams have beat Navy tackle well and USF does not,

463
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,560
Speaker 2: So I probably am going to be staying away from

464
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 2: this one.

465
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 3: Bog's the total right now, sixty five and a half.

466
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,720
Speaker 1: Any interest there because I've tried to take the over

467
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 1: on service academies this year and it has not come

468
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 1: through because.

469
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,879
Speaker 4: Against Texas, no way, no chance.

470
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:49,119
Speaker 3: So would you take the any under action and a half? Okay,

471
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 3: just don't.

472
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 4: No, No, I'm I am. I'm the cooler on this game, Okay, Okay,

473
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 4: I don't.

474
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 2: I think the numbers are exactly right, Like I think

475
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: this feels like a thirty four to thirty one something

476
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 2: like that maybe or thirty five thirty I don't know,

477
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 2: so maybe I do like Navy here, but I just

478
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 2: don't want to mess with it because it's like one

479
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 2: screw up and South Florida takes it. Yeah, I'm not

480
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 2: gonna be interested in this game.

481
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:16,639
Speaker 4: Okay, very likely. It's all right.

482
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 1: You can always get invested in Air Force or Army

483
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:19,960
Speaker 1: or one of these other serfs academies.

484
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:21,639
Speaker 3: I've interested later on in the season.

485
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 4: I love America.

486
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 1: I'm money on the service cap, all right, all right,

487
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 1: no money on the midshipman for Bogs. This week, and

488
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 1: for the first time in over twenty years, college game

489
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,080
Speaker 1: Day is back in the Steel City Baby, with the

490
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 1: twenty third rank Pittsburgh Panthers catching ten and a half

491
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 1: to eleven a half points against the ninth rank Notre

492
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,360
Speaker 1: Dame Fighting Irish. Marcus Freeman's team is trying to run

493
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 1: the table right now. They've clicked off seven straight wins

494
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 1: and five out of seven covers in that span since

495
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,760
Speaker 1: losing to A and M back on September thirteenth. The

496
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 1: offense continues to be dialed in, ranking ninth and scoring

497
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 1: twenty six in both rushing and passing offense, but the

498
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 1: defense still relatively.

499
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 3: Average compared to A season ago.

500
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 1: Pitt made the switch to Mason Hintztel in Week five,

501
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 1: and they have not looked back since Pat and Nordoozy's

502
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 1: team comes in off the by. They've also had five

503
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,640
Speaker 1: straight wins and covers ahead of it. They now rank

504
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 1: six in scoring offense an eleventh in passing. They haven't

505
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 1: been able to get much going in terms of the

506
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 1: run game, but they have been without Bell cow Desmond

507
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: Reid for a large majority of the season. But there's

508
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 1: still a top three ranked team against the runs, So Foggs,

509
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 1: does that mean that maybe they have the horses to

510
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 1: slow down Jeremiah Love and the boys just enough to

511
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 1: cover in this one.

512
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 2: Maybe I'll tell you what I do like is I

513
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 2: do like that the Lion has already moved out to

514
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: eleven and a half at a bunch of books, and

515
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 2: I think that's the way it's gonna go. Even though

516
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 2: the money and tickets are coming in on Pitt. Yeah,

517
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,679
Speaker 2: this line is still going out towards Notre Dame. It's

518
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 2: still interesting a little bit, which is interesting. So I

519
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 2: think I like Pitt if it's more than double digits,

520
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 2: If it's ten and a half to eleven and a half, here,

521
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:03,120
Speaker 2: so I and they've won five straight. But the thing

522
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 2: is here, like Notre Dame needs this win bad. Remember

523
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,720
Speaker 2: there are only two losses where that you know, they

524
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 2: play in Miami, right, yeah, yeah, the first two weeks

525
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: of the season, I think USC might have been ranked,

526
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:17,199
Speaker 2: but they were like maybe twenty two, yeah, right, or

527
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 2: twenty five or something when they got beat. Same thing here,

528
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,159
Speaker 2: but at least it would be a ranked win for

529
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 2: the uh, you know, just to try to get in

530
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 2: the playoffs. So I don't love an early road start

531
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 2: here for Notre Dame, but we might get the line

532
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 2: to to you know, tick up here a little bit.

533
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 2: So I do think Notre Dame needs to win this

534
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 2: and win it, you know, pretty good to secure try

535
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:43,360
Speaker 2: to secure a playoff spot.

536
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 4: Man.

537
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm gonna wait. I think I'm gonna

538
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 2: wait and see if this gets This is up to

539
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 2: twelve and a half, thirteen and a half. This just

540
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 2: opens up a little more towards Pitt. I think you're

541
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 2: gonna take PIT. I like the early start for them.

542
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 2: I like the game days gonna be there, and you know,

543
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 2: if Pitt fans show up, which they should against Notre Dame,

544
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 2: that stadium is an NFL stadium. It's going to have

545
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,120
Speaker 2: a ton of people in. It might be just as

546
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,160
Speaker 2: many Notre Dame fans and there as there are Pit

547
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:12,119
Speaker 2: fans though, but it should be a good game regardless,

548
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: So I think it's closer than double digits though either way.

549
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 4: So I'll probably be taking pit here.

550
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:17,640
Speaker 3: That's what I was going to say.

551
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 1: I have no idea what the home environment will be

552
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 1: for the Panthers one. If you guys have ever been

553
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:26,800
Speaker 1: to pitt University University of Pittsburgh, excuse me. It is

554
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: pretty far away from Hinfield now Akashire, right, that's where

555
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 1: college game day is going to be. So I don't

556
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 1: know how many people are going to show up for

557
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 1: this one. If you watch any PIT games, bogs usually

558
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 1: the stadium not very filled there.

559
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 3: It's just something, you know.

560
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 1: I have a couple of buddies who work for pit

561
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 1: Athletics and they get free tickets all the time, and

562
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 1: they're consistently not going to the games.

563
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 4: Right, So it's hard to park there.

564
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: There's casino parking, but you got to get there early

565
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,360
Speaker 1: at the right time to kind of get in there,

566
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: so or candy. You're walking across bridges a lot of

567
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 1: times to get over there. And as you mentioned too,

568
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: like there's a lot of Catholics in Pittsburgh, there are

569
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 1: a lot of Catholics and a lot of Notre Dame fans,

570
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 1: So I could see this really being a fifty to

571
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: fifty split inside akash either.

572
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 3: So I'm really excited.

573
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:14,119
Speaker 1: I'm really happy for a pitt I got some stuff

574
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 1: happening on Saturday, or maybe I would have made my

575
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 1: way down there, but really cool atmosphere, A glad college

576
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: game day will be back. But I don't think my

577
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,920
Speaker 1: money will be invested in this one. Where it might be, though,

578
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 1: is we have the number seventeen USC Trojans. They're hoping

579
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: to keep their college football playoff hopes alive. When they're

580
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,400
Speaker 1: six and a half point home favorites against the six

581
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 1: and three Iowa Hawk guys. This is truly a game

582
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: of elite offense, USC ranking second in till yards seventh

583
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 1: in scoring versus elite defense Iowa fourth and total yards

584
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: allowed fifth in scoring defense. The Hawkeys, of course, are

585
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 1: off that devastating loss to the Ducks at home, which

586
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:50,440
Speaker 1: it took an early safety and a game winning field

587
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,679
Speaker 1: goal to beat them. Pushing Iowa to six to two

588
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 1: to one. Ats USC survived the look ahead spot, winning

589
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: and covering against Northwestern on Friday night. So, Bogs, how

590
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: do you think this one in Los Angeles?

591
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a tough one.

592
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 2: I think, ultimately having to go on the road after

593
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 2: that tough emotional loss at home to Oregon, it is

594
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 2: just I think it's too much to ask Iowa to

595
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: travel across the country and play as well. Now, Iowa,

596
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:20,360
Speaker 2: you know, they were drummed out of the playoff discussion

597
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 2: because of that field goal. But I don't expect them

598
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:26,400
Speaker 2: to lay down. But I do expect USC to beat

599
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,679
Speaker 2: up for this game. And that's really USC is moving

600
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 2: up with wins against Nebraska on the road, a three

601
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 2: touchdown win against scrappy north Northwestern here, they can't lose

602
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 2: this game. If they beat Iowa, they go on the

603
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 2: road to Oregon. If they win that, they're in the

604
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 2: top ten. You know, if they beat Iowa at home

605
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 2: and then they go to Oregon, beat in the top ten.

606
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 2: The rinks seventeen right now or whatever it is. I

607
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 2: didn't see the updated rink, but I don't I just

608
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 2: don't think Iowa as I don't think they have enough

609
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 2: to keep up with USC here.

610
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 3: They do not have the horses, no way.

611
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, are they gonna be able to hold them though,

612
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,399
Speaker 2: because they held Oregon when that was at home that

613
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 2: was the weather as well. I just don't trust them

614
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 2: going on the road here, So I think I'm gonna

615
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:16,880
Speaker 2: take USC right now.

616
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 4: It's at seven. I would like it to get closer

617
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 4: to six and a half.

618
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 3: Five, and I'm seeing a six and a half still

619
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:22,399
Speaker 3: out there right, Okay, I.

620
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 2: Might altline this too, so I wants to come down,

621
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 2: but I know the money and the tickets when I

622
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 2: just looked are on USC. So looks like it's gonna

623
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 2: go the other way. So if you want to take

624
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 2: this one, it might be the best time to take

625
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 2: you out right now.

626
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, get grab the key number at six and a half.

627
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: That might be something I'm adding to my card. I'm

628
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: gonna do a little more research after we get off

629
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 1: here and try to start putting together in my card.

630
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:48,000
Speaker 1: But USD is certainly a spot I'm trying to go

631
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: in and get invested in.

632
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 3: And it's one of those things.

633
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 1: I've realized just over the years of watching and gambling

634
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 1: on college football. Bogs is those losses like Iowa had

635
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 1: those tough losses. Man, it takes a lot out of you,

636
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 1: it really, especially now that you have to go on

637
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 1: the road to Los Angeles where you're playing into the

638
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 1: US's hand.

639
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, So.

640
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 3: Let's let's keep going here.

641
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,320
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642
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:14,000
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643
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644
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645
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646
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648
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649
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650
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654
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:46,840
Speaker 1: Also in that three point thirty slate is another top

655
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 1: twenty five matchup, with the eleventh ranked Oklahoma Sooners coming

656
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 1: into Tuscaloosa catching six and a half points against the

657
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: number four Alabama Crimson Tide. Oh U comes in off

658
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: the buy after pulling off the upset against Tennessee to

659
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 1: get to five and four ATS. It was really Jaumeteers

660
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 1: legs and the sooner seventh ranked total defense that got

661
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: them that win. But will that be enough against the

662
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: Heisman Trophy contender Ty Simpson, who leads the fourteenth rank

663
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 1: passing offense to go along with Kaitlin de Bor's eighteenth

664
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 1: ranked total defense. So Bama they've won eight straight since

665
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 1: dropping the FSU in Week one. They've covered five times

666
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: in that span. Will they do it again in this spot?

667
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 3: Boggan?

668
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 2: I think this is another one we might want to

669
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:29,239
Speaker 2: grab early here and take Oklahoma. Alabama isn't playing their

670
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 2: best football right now. They've righted the ship right after

671
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 2: the embarrassing loss of Florida State to open up. But

672
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 2: I still think they win this game. But South Carolina

673
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 2: had them and lost it. They didn't move the ball

674
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 2: well against LSU. Oklahoma beat Tennessee on the road. They

675
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 2: got to buy going into this one. Oklahoma's question is

676
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 2: do they have enough on offense to win? Yes? I

677
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 2: think that's the big question. But they put up thirty

678
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 2: three on Tennessee, still only three hundred and fifty one yards.

679
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 2: I think a big problem for Bama is that this

680
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 2: team is one dimensional on offense and throws the ball

681
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 2: at a sixty percent clip. Oh you is better against

682
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 2: the run, but if you are too heavy on one side,

683
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 2: I think that Oklahoma can find a way to be

684
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 2: That defensive line is very, very good, and they stay

685
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 2: close in some of these games. Six points to Tennessee,

686
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 2: you know, six point lost to Ole, Miss, Texas. Game

687
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 2: was closer than the score implied, right, So I think

688
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 2: Oklahoma's been staying in some of these games. I think

689
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 2: oh you is in this and the public agrees. So far,

690
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 2: the line is coming down. I think this line is

691
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:38,959
Speaker 2: gonna get down to five and a half or four

692
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 2: and a half. So if you get six and a

693
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 2: half to six right now, I think you need to

694
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 2: do it if you're gonna take Oklahoma. If you want Bama,

695
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 2: wait because this is going to come back and click

696
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 2: back down, I think. But right now the public is

697
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 2: overwhelmingly on the Oklahoma side. Now Bama's more popular Bama

698
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,040
Speaker 2: backers will even this out, but I think the line

699
00:31:58,120 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 2: still might move down.

700
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: Yeah. Actually opened up on the look ahead as well

701
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 1: at fourteen points, and it has been bet down tremendously.

702
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: So if you got on Bama early, you're not really loving.

703
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 3: You know that, take it right there. You can probably

704
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 3: toss that up and burn that.

705
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 1: Like if I could get a ten or even a

706
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 1: nine and a half or something in that ballpark with Oklahoma,

707
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 1: I think I would.

708
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 3: Do it six and a half.

709
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: I would at least need to alf that up, I

710
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,280
Speaker 1: think to get to the number of seven, I think

711
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 1: or seven and a half. So but maybe even like

712
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 1: a spring, Like, do you think there's any chance, oh,

713
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: you can win this game outright? Bogman plus two twenty

714
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 1: five on the money, I don't hate a sprinkle. Maybe

715
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 1: there they can. I would say it's like a fifteen

716
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 1: percent chance. It would have to be my teer playing

717
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: better than he's played all year, okay, and they'd have

718
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: to forur Simpson into mistakes, which he hasn't done.

719
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: So I think that's really what we're looking at for this.

720
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 2: But I do think they're in it. I like the under.

721
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:51,520
Speaker 2: The under might be the best play in this game, actually,

722
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 2: because I think I'll use defense with a extra week

723
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: of rest and prep is going to show up in

724
00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:58,080
Speaker 2: this game.

725
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, so plus two twenty five thing, it's fifteen percent chance,

726
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: they implied odds to say that is not worth it

727
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: worth the squeeze there, But yeah, maybe the Unders are

728
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 1: a good spot. I'm really interested to see what we

729
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 1: come back up with on our midweek show. Let's move

730
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 1: to Auxford, where the vibes gotta be certainly I man

731
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 1: the number six Ole Miss Rebels. They are listed as

732
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half to sixteen a half point home

733
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 1: favorites against the Florida Gators in prime time. Lane Kiffin

734
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 1: squad just beat up but failed to cover the fifty

735
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 1: three and a half point line against the Citadel.

736
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 3: I thought about getting on there. I'm glad I didn't.

737
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 3: Six and four ats right now.

738
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 1: And Trinidad Chambliss, he has been awesome, dude, after starting

739
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: the season as the backup nineteen total touchdowns, just two interceptions.

740
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 1: But arguably even more impressive is Doake Walker Award candidate

741
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,480
Speaker 1: in my mind Kawan Lacy at running back. He leads

742
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 1: the SEC in rushing attempts and the nation rushing touchdowns.

743
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 1: This guy also may be the best pass blocker in

744
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 1: the country at the RB position, So I love that.

745
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 1: And the meanwhile, meanwhile, over there for the Gators, like

746
00:33:59,080 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: the dead cap bounce.

747
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 3: It's only going to go so far for you, right.

748
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 1: They suffer a thirty eight to seven loss to Kentucky's

749
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 1: yest UK beat.

750
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 3: Done that bad there?

751
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: Now just three and six ats my season win total

752
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,280
Speaker 1: of them over six and a half long gone.

753
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 3: Sent that away.

754
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 1: Need to like that up in my fireplace this afternoon,

755
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 1: because it's no good for me. Dj lagway from what

756
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 1: we're hearing out there on the internet box. He will

757
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 1: remain at quarterback despite being benched after three picks in

758
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,760
Speaker 1: that last game UK. They ran all over this forty

759
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 1: seventh ranked rushing defense of the Gator. So will Lacy

760
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: and the ReBs be able to continue that and cover

761
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:36,280
Speaker 1: this really hefty spread.

762
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,720
Speaker 2: Here's the only thing that I would say goes against

763
00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:41,959
Speaker 2: all Miss is they haven't lost their weird one yet.

764
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:43,480
Speaker 4: Like that's it.

765
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 2: They lose a weird one, I feel like every year,

766
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,359
Speaker 2: and they haven't lost it yet. But if it's gonna

767
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,279
Speaker 2: happen this year, it would be in the egg bawl,

768
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 2: not here, right. Yeah, That's how I feel about that.

769
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 2: And how can we possibly trust Florida? How could we

770
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 2: possibly trust Florida that embarrassing performance that already lost me

771
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 2: money last week against Kentucky. They had two hundred and

772
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 2: forty seven yards against Kentucky. I don't care if it's

773
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 2: on the road. That is pathetic. They let Kentucky put

774
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 2: up four hundred and one yards against him. I think

775
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 2: Old Miss blows Florida completely out of the water. And

776
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 2: by the way, this line was fourteen yesterday, it's sixteen

777
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:25,240
Speaker 2: and a half today. Everybody else thinks that as well.

778
00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 2: The road for Florida this year ugh twenty to ten,

779
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 2: loss to LSU, twenty six to seven, lost to Miami,

780
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 2: thirty four to seventeen against the Aggies, and then finally

781
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 2: the biggest embarrassment maybe in Florida in the two thousands

782
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: is thirty eight to seven on the road to Kentucky.

783
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 4: It's just disgusting.

784
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:52,280
Speaker 2: So Florida might lose out Ole Miss shouldn't have any

785
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 2: issues here. I think Florida is gonna play better and

786
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 2: they still won't come in this number. So yeah, give

787
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:01,759
Speaker 2: me Old Miss, And yeah, I mean, I'm not going

788
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 2: to bet a ton, but I am going to take

789
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 2: Ole Miss in this game.

790
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 1: Is it a positive or a negative? With the Florida

791
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,879
Speaker 1: rumors surrounding Lane Kiffen. You think for him in this one,

792
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: is it a positive like, hey, I'm here, I'm here

793
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 1: to stay baby, or is it hey, you.

794
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 4: Know, maybe why would he leave?

795
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 6: What? Like?

796
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 3: I don't think it's that much better of a job

797
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:22,800
Speaker 3: other than maybe they can pay more money.

798
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 4: It's way more pressure, right.

799
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 3: Yeah.

800
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 2: Ole Miss fans are okay if you're just in the conversation,

801
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 2: you're winning ten to eleven games and you're you know,

802
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 2: trending towards the playoff. Yeah, you want to get expectations

803
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 2: to where they are in Florida at Old Miss. That's

804
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:40,879
Speaker 2: that's what it is. The recruiting is no different because

805
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:42,840
Speaker 2: they're coming to play for Lane. They're not coming to

806
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,959
Speaker 2: Old Miss for the surrounding area. They're coming to play

807
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 2: for Lane. And they would do that at Florida too,

808
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 2: So maybe you have a little bit better in Florida.

809
00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:53,479
Speaker 2: But yeah, I just think, why would you leave this job?

810
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 2: It's cushy. You've had issues leaving places before already, so

811
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 2: just stick with Ole Miss. They're number six, So why

812
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 2: would you leave that job? I think it would be

813
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 2: dumb for him.

814
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 1: And they let Lane be Lane, right, they let Lane

815
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 1: be Lane because I got a lot of people in

816
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: my comments and DMS when we let James Franklin go, oh,

817
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 1: please don't take Lane Kiffin from us. I'm like, Lane

818
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 1: Kiffin could not fit in up here. I think State

819
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 1: College is a very upity, you know, button type of town,

820
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 1: so it.

821
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 2: Would be a Brian Kelly to lsu fit. Yeah, doesn't

822
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,279
Speaker 2: seem like it. It's a square peg, a round hole

823
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 2: square peg just does not work.

824
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 3: So yep, agreed with you there.

825
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 1: Let's move forward to where the five and four Baylor

826
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: Bears hope to play spoiler in McLennon County once again

827
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 1: on Saturday, when they're laying eight and a half two

828
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 1: nine a half points against the fifteenth ranked at Utah Utes.

829
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: The Utes are coming off of bye and an impressive

830
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 1: win against Colorado, and then maybe even more impressive, they

831
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 1: had a ranked win over the Bearcats to get to

832
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 1: seven and two ats. Kyle Winningham's program is one of

833
00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 1: the more balanced ones in the country. I would say

834
00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: there's seventh in scoring offense, six in a total defense

835
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 1: as well. Most of their offensive production is coming through

836
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 1: the run game. Devin dan Pier leads the conference in

837
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 1: completion percentage, but also over five hundred rushing yards in

838
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 1: just eight games played as well for the transfer quarterback.

839
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:13,800
Speaker 1: Baylor in the middle of the pack of the Big Twelve,

840
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: but they also come off of bye and a dominating

841
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:19,640
Speaker 1: thirty to three win against UCF to get to two

842
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 1: and seven ats.

843
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 3: Sawyer.

844
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 1: Robertson continues to lead the conference in almost every passing

845
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 1: metrics completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns, but they struggle.

846
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 3: To control games.

847
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 1: Their ninety fourth in possession time, one hundredth and scoring

848
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,640
Speaker 1: defense as well, so Boggs. With Baylor also having the

849
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,399
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirteenth ranked rushing defense the one hundred

850
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: and twenty fourth ranked offense in terms of turnover margin.

851
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 1: I'm ready to go ahead and lay the points here

852
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: at the key number of nine and a half.

853
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 3: What about you? Are you on the utes with me?

854
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, we're showing value towards the utes as well. The

855
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 4: system is there?

856
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 3: Where do we have it?

857
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:54,000
Speaker 4: Ten point one?

858
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:54,880
Speaker 3: Okay?

859
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 2: Okay, a little bit, and there's gonna be rain and

860
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 2: win in this game. Looking like you know, obviously the

861
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,839
Speaker 2: weather in Texas. If you don't like it, now wait

862
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:03,480
Speaker 2: five minutes.

863
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 4: But you know that doesn't help Baylor.

864
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,120
Speaker 2: That's kind of the deal. But that does not help Baylor,

865
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 2: and I think I really love Utah in this game,

866
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 2: and the two losses they have are two teams that

867
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:18,400
Speaker 2: are way better than everyone else they've played, you know,

868
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 2: Texas Tech in the beat down and BYU. Baylor just

869
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 2: doesn't match up well either. As you mentioned, Seth, Baylor

870
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 2: passes that a sixty one percent rate. Utah is sixth

871
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 2: in passing defense, they're fourteenth and sacks per game, right,

872
00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: so it's just not it's not good. On the other side,

873
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,280
Speaker 2: Baylor also is rough against the run and Utah runs

874
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 2: that close to a fifty five percent clip. Add the

875
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 2: weather and the wind on top of this game, I

876
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 2: think I think Utah wins this one going away.

877
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:48,959
Speaker 4: I don't think it's.

878
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,240
Speaker 2: Very close, and Baylor will have to win a different

879
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 2: game to get their Bowl eligibility and ain't gonna be

880
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 2: against Utah.

881
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,240
Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, And I see a lot of comments sometimes

882
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,799
Speaker 1: on the early lines show saying we don't pick enough games,

883
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 1: we don't make enough plays. This is one I am

884
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 1: down on. I will be down on this by the

885
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 1: end of today. And it's one of those things two

886
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: bogs that you have your best bet show that comes

887
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 1: out later in the week where you're giving out Hey,

888
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 1: these are my ten official plays on games. You got

889
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 1: a ton of props coming out each week. Two. I

890
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: always put out my full card on social so you

891
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 1: can find it there. And we also have the Picks

892
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 1: and Predictions Show, which if we have plays in these

893
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:23,800
Speaker 1: top ten games, we will tell you there.

894
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 3: This is really just a look ahead. Let's get a

895
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 3: feel for this game.

896
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 1: Let's preview these games and see if there's any early

897
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:30,799
Speaker 1: line value out there, because you don't want to get

898
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 1: stuck with a bad line and it's to move the

899
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:32,839
Speaker 1: other way.

900
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 3: So just kind of a.

901
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: Disclaimer there those who are newer to the program this season.

902
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 1: We also have All Eyes that will be on Athens,

903
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:42,440
Speaker 1: where we have a top ten matchup with the number

904
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,719
Speaker 1: five Georgia Bulldogs. They're listed as five and a half

905
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:46,879
Speaker 1: two six and a half point favorites against the number

906
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 1: of Texas number ten Texas Longhorns. It definitely took some

907
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 1: time to get going, but Texas definitely rolling as of late.

908
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,319
Speaker 1: They've won four straight SEC matchups. Only covered in one

909
00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 1: of those games though, still two and seven ats arch

910
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 1: Manning Hast throwing twenty four touchdowns. Wide receiver Ryan Wingo

911
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 1: leads the conference in yards per reception. I keep saying

912
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 1: they need to get that guy more involved. That is

913
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:10,880
Speaker 1: good for the seventy second ranked total offense, which is

914
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,800
Speaker 1: sixtieth in scoring. But it's honestly been a pretty similar

915
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,719
Speaker 1: storyline for Georgia. Right their four and five ats after

916
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 1: a win and cover last week on the road in Starkfield.

917
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:22,879
Speaker 3: Against Mississippi State.

918
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: Their skilled players starting to kind of bubble up, starting

919
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 1: to see a little bit more continuity on offense, but

920
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 1: the defense still top twenty four in scoring and total

921
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 1: yards allowed. The big difference in this game to me,

922
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:35,560
Speaker 1: Boggs is Texas one of the best teams of getting

923
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:38,560
Speaker 1: after the quarterback, leading the country in sacks, and Georgie,

924
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 1: we've talked about it all season long, man, one hundred

925
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 1: and twenty first in sacks per game. So is that

926
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 1: enough for you to get invested with the Longhorns and

927
00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 1: maybe even tease.

928
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 3: Us up to let's say seven and a half, that

929
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 3: key number there.

930
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:51,839
Speaker 2: I don't know where I'm at in this game. I'll

931
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 2: say this, like both these teams have been miserable against

932
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 2: the spread. Right, four and five for Georgia two and

933
00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:00,839
Speaker 2: seven for Texas. Uga has been favorite in every game,

934
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 2: and this has already dropped half a point as well overnight.

935
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,799
Speaker 2: I think if you can get Texas in anything less

936
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:09,279
Speaker 2: than a field goal, that's probably where I feel pretty good.

937
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 4: Right, So that's where it stands.

938
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 2: Right, I think more than a field goal anything, Yeah, yeah,

939
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:16,760
Speaker 2: anything more than a field goal, right, Right, So plus

940
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 2: three and a half or more, I'm okay taking Texas.

941
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,360
Speaker 2: You know, Georgia starts slow except when I bet them. Obviously,

942
00:42:24,160 --> 00:42:28,000
Speaker 2: Texas has They've been up and down, so it's understandable

943
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,320
Speaker 2: not to trust them. But this isn't the upper level

944
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,880
Speaker 2: Georgia teams that we're used to. It's a very good

945
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,839
Speaker 2: Georgia team, but it's not the upper like clearly they're

946
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:40,279
Speaker 2: going to go to the natty type of a team here.

947
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 2: They're very, very good. This isn't a look ahead for

948
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 2: either team. Texas has Arkansas, Georgia gets Charlotte next week.

949
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 2: I think the VP system being on the over, we've

950
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:55,359
Speaker 2: seen both these offenses play better recently as well down

951
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 2: the stretch. I think that's my favorite bet in this

952
00:42:57,680 --> 00:42:59,799
Speaker 2: game is the over forty eight and a half, right,

953
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 2: now tickets are slightly towards the over, so maybe this

954
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,839
Speaker 2: creeps up, you might want to take it now. All

955
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 2: Lining it down to forty seven and a half also

956
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 2: probably wouldn't kill the juice on it either, so maybe

957
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 2: I go that way. But yeah, I think the over

958
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:18,120
Speaker 2: is the safest bet with both these offenses playing better recently.

959
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:21,160
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go ahead and round out the program with

960
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:24,800
Speaker 1: a nightcap matchup in Provo, Utah, with the twelfth ranked

961
00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 1: BYU Couters laying five and a half points against the

962
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 1: six and three TCU Hornfrogs Sunny Dyke Squad four to

963
00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:34,840
Speaker 1: four and one ats after failing to cover against Iowa

964
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 1: State last week. The only real positive for this team

965
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:40,919
Speaker 1: has been their quarterback Joshua Hoover, who twenty five total

966
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,120
Speaker 1: touchdowns for him eight interceptions, averaging nearly three hundred passing

967
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 1: yards per game. The Kug's, on the other hand, they

968
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:48,920
Speaker 1: have a top twenty rushing attack that was shut down

969
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:52,319
Speaker 1: against Texas Tech last week, only sixty seven yards on

970
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 1: the ground game, pushing them to six and three hts. Still,

971
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 1: they have a much better defense, their ranked sixteenth and

972
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:01,200
Speaker 1: scoring thirty second in total yard it's allowed is that

973
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 1: the difference in this.

974
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:02,880
Speaker 3: One for your box?

975
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,400
Speaker 1: And are you willing to get back invested with a

976
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 1: bear Bachmeyer and company?

977
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 4: I am.

978
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 2: I do think the BYU magic is over in that

979
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:12,880
Speaker 2: they're not gonna make the playoff. It would need a

980
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 2: lot would need to happen for them to get there.

981
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 2: They'd have to win the Big twelve tier all that. Like,

982
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 2: I just don't think that's gonna happen. But I mean,

983
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 2: this team, you know, is TCU. If they face a

984
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 2: good defense, they lose, unless it's the like SMU. They

985
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 2: beat SMU is one of the better defenses they played.

986
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:34,799
Speaker 2: They beat SMU, but.

987
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:36,640
Speaker 4: That was Week three. That was a long time ago.

988
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 2: At this point in the year, as you beat them

989
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:40,359
Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty four, held them to two hundred

990
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,440
Speaker 2: sixty nine yards. Case State let them pass, but the

991
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 2: turnovers killed them. The same thing happened to Iowa State

992
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:48,359
Speaker 2: last week was a good defense pressured them and they

993
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:50,879
Speaker 2: turned the ball over. That's kind of what Hoover has been.

994
00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 2: BYU still alive. This one is at home. This is

995
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:58,040
Speaker 2: a late late start, nine to fifteen start local time

996
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:03,480
Speaker 2: for TCU. Oh give me the Koog's. The tickets are split.

997
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 2: The tickets and cash are split on this cash on TCU,

998
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:10,240
Speaker 2: tickets on BYU, which is weird to me. I understand

999
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:12,319
Speaker 2: by you just lost, and maybe this is I think

1000
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 2: this is a lot of people doing the well, this

1001
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 2: is the BYU we thought we had, and you know

1002
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 2: they had all this magic and now that that's over

1003
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 2: and blah blah blah. But I don't care. Like the

1004
00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 2: defense is playing great. TCU loses to any team that

1005
00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 2: bows up on defense. It's on the road. BYU can

1006
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:30,600
Speaker 2: be weird, it's a late start. There's too many other

1007
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 2: mitigating factors for me to want to get invested in TCU.

1008
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,000
Speaker 2: So I'm definitely on the BYU side here.

1009
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:38,640
Speaker 1: So I'm actually now seeing this creep down to four

1010
00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:40,359
Speaker 1: and a half. Bogman, it's been five and a half

1011
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:40,799
Speaker 1: all day.

1012
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 4: Love it.

1013
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 1: So is there a chance we can get a two

1014
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 1: and a half or do you think we'd have to

1015
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:45,839
Speaker 1: alt that down?

1016
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 2: I can't imagine it gets done that far. I think

1017
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 2: three and a half would be the best number that

1018
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 2: you would get. I think it has to stay over

1019
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:56,440
Speaker 2: a field goal because BYUS at home, So that's probably

1020
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 2: where I see, unless there's some injury that we're not

1021
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 2: saying something so yeah that I don't see. But yeah,

1022
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 2: right now, I think you got to take BYU in

1023
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:06,680
Speaker 2: this game.

1024
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like BYU.

1025
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 1: That's when I am gonna sit and wait to see

1026
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:11,279
Speaker 1: if I can get a three and a half or

1027
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:13,959
Speaker 1: maybe all that down. But I think BYU is another

1028
00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 1: spot I do want to get invested with. Look at me,

1029
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: big twelve guy today, Victim twelve, Look at that better?

1030
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:21,319
Speaker 3: Let's go. The Big ten was not kind of you

1031
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 3: last week, So switching things up.

1032
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 4: A little best kind of.

1033
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:28,319
Speaker 3: Well, hopefully it's a better week here in week number twelve.

1034
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:29,759
Speaker 1: That is going to do it for us though, on

1035
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 1: this early picks episode of the Betting Pros College Football

1036
00:46:33,040 --> 00:46:35,319
Speaker 1: Show still to come later this week and every week

1037
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:38,439
Speaker 1: our official picks and prediction show pluw us Bob's Best

1038
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:40,880
Speaker 1: Bets and Players Props episode that comes out to you

1039
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 1: on Fridays.

1040
00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:43,840
Speaker 3: Let us go down with the comments below your favorite

1041
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:44,800
Speaker 3: Week twelve picks.

1042
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:45,440
Speaker 4: Why are you here?

1043
00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 1: To make sure you're smashing that like bundon subscribing to

1044
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:50,280
Speaker 1: the channel if you're new. Also, be sure to download

1045
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 1: the BP app and sink your sportsbooks today For Scott

1046
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:56,160
Speaker 1: Big time Bogman, I'm set, Willcock take care of y'all.

1047
00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:58,800
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

1048
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 6: love the show the best, the free way to support

1049
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 6: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

1050
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:07,000
Speaker 6: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

1051
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:10,840
Speaker 6: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

1052
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:14,000
Speaker 6: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.