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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into BP NFL. It's the Week

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Speaker 1: ten Best Bets episode where we'll.

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Speaker 2: Give you our official locks for Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock in I'm joined by maybe

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Speaker 1: the best jawlne that the betting pro staff has to offer.

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Speaker 2: He's Andrew Erickson. How are you Andrew Erickson?

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Speaker 1: And how do you keep living so fresh despite the

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Speaker 1: busy week coming and going?

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Speaker 3: Well? It got the fresh haircut earlier this week, and

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Speaker 3: that has not got unnoticed in the comments Fantasy grows

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Speaker 3: betting pros, people commenting left and right. Someone said it

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Speaker 3: looked crazy. I don't know if that's a good thing.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if that's a bad thing. But at

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Speaker 3: least people are noticing that I have been changing up

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Speaker 3: the hair and apparently now I'm gonna be growing a

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Speaker 3: mustache soon based on the Twitch comments. So yeah, man,

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Speaker 3: living the dream here. Week ten double digits and I'm

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Speaker 3: finally up to five hundred after ten or nine grueling weeks,

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Speaker 3: or finally above five hundred in the official best Bets.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, man, Let's finish the season second half Strawn.

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Speaker 1: Twenty one to nineteen if I'm correct on that three

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Speaker 1: and two in week nine.

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Speaker 2: Is that correct?

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Speaker 4: Yes?

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Speaker 3: Positive?

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Speaker 2: Right, Yes, I got there.

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Speaker 5: But got it?

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Speaker 1: Hey man, we will take it anyway we can get it.

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Speaker 1: Today's program does look like this. We've got our top

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Speaker 1: six game picks, five of Andrews. I've got one for

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Speaker 1: you as well, and then we'll also get to the

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Speaker 1: upset special, the parlay of the week, plus are hard

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Speaker 1: rock best bets coming your way.

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Speaker 2: As always, shout to everyone who's.

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Speaker 1: Tuning in either on the Betting Pros YouTube channel or

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Speaker 1: the audio feed.

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Speaker 2: We see you, We appreciate you. Theseiest freeways support us.

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Speaker 1: Please give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy

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Speaker 1: this type of content, and if you enjoy Erickson's nice haircut,

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Speaker 1: let us note about that down below in the comments.

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Speaker 2: And if you're new, make sure he subscribes.

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Speaker 1: You don't miss a moment of NFL and college football

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Speaker 1: betting coverage this fall. Let's go ahead, Andrew, Let's go

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Speaker 1: to your first bet of the week, which comes down

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Speaker 1: there in the great City of Charlotte.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Carolina Panthers laying the points at home minus four

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Speaker 3: and a half against the New Orleans Saints, led by

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Speaker 3: our favorite rookie quarterback to always bet against Tyler Shuck.

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Speaker 3: Not a great performance for him on the road against

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Speaker 3: the Los Angeles Rams, where the Saints barely had the

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Speaker 3: ball because they just couldn't do anything offensively and the

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Speaker 3: Rams just ran it all over. Matthew Stafford was super

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Speaker 3: efficient against this defense, the Saints trading away parts no more.

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Speaker 2: Rashid Shahed I was worried.

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Speaker 3: I was worried Seth that this was a close your

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Speaker 3: eye special that I was going to be betting on

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Speaker 3: a team going up up against this unstoppable trend. But

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Speaker 3: the Saints are not catching a touchdown here, so we're

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Speaker 3: good to go here betting on the Panthers at home.

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Speaker 3: I've talked about this trend all year long, been very

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Speaker 3: profitable basically except for rookie quarterbacks playing in Denver. As

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Speaker 3: ironic as that is, that's where the rookie quarterbacks have

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Speaker 3: been covering on the road. Besides that, it's been a

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Speaker 3: clean sweep betting against these rookie quarterbacks making road starts

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Speaker 3: this season. Yeah, it was this cam Ward against the

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Speaker 3: Broncos on the road. He covered the spread. Dark did

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Speaker 3: the same thing. But other than that, all these rookie

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks on the road and This has been an historic trend.

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Speaker 3: Not this just this year, but most of the time,

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Speaker 3: you want to bet against these rookie quarterbacks, especially in

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Speaker 3: their first couple of starts. So it's be Tyler Schuck's

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Speaker 3: second start consecutive start on the road you want to

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Speaker 3: bent against that. The Saints are thirty first in red

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Speaker 3: zone scoring the season. The Panthers are sixth and red

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Speaker 3: scone scoring defense this season.

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Speaker 2: So wow.

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Speaker 3: The Panthers defense has been kind of up and down,

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Speaker 3: hit or miss. They've gotten blown out in some games

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Speaker 3: and other games they've showed out and actually played pretty well.

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Speaker 3: So I think it's a bottom dwelling Saints offense that's

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Speaker 3: lost thirteen straight games as an underdog, playing with a

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Speaker 3: banged up offensive line on the road, losing a key

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Speaker 3: offensive playmaker like Shahed I'm taking the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, dude, I'm here with you. That's actually my favorite

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Speaker 1: bet of the week as well. Panthers minus four and

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Speaker 1: a half against the Saints, and you and.

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Speaker 2: I both jumped on this early.

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Speaker 1: This has now moved up to five five and a

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Speaker 1: half at some shops as well, but I'd honestly still

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Speaker 1: continue to take it anywhere under the or at that

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Speaker 1: key number of six and a half.

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Speaker 2: I talked about it earlier this week.

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Speaker 1: Man, like the Panthers, they're running it down people's throats

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Speaker 1: right now with Rico Daddle.

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Speaker 2: It's working.

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Speaker 1: They're right now at five hundred straight up and six

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Speaker 1: and three ats this season as well. So I really

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Speaker 1: like what they did last week against the Packers in

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Speaker 1: lambeau Field and the Saints league worst two and six ats.

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Speaker 1: So whether it's Shuck, whether it's Spencer Rattler, I don't

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Speaker 1: really care. But I think with Tyler Schuck being at

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Speaker 1: the Helm here, it's probably gonna make some even easier

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Speaker 1: points for the Panthers to take advantage of some short

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Speaker 1: fields potentially as well. And the Panthers in Charlotte this

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Speaker 1: season three and one ats. Their only game they did

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Speaker 1: not cover in was that blowout against the Bills. So

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Speaker 1: keep pounding, baby, let's go, let's ride with the Panthers

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Speaker 1: and ericson.

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Speaker 2: You are going to.

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Speaker 1: The NFC West here with your next bet out there

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Speaker 1: in Seattle four or five pm Eastern time on Sunday. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I got a couple NFC West matchups I like this week.

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Speaker 3: Not for points though, as we'll get into here es,

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take the under here at forty five

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Speaker 3: and a half points and seth, I was talking about

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Speaker 3: this beforehand. This is my trend that I absolutely love,

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Speaker 3: and I didn't talk about it last week, but actually

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Speaker 3: ended up leaving to One of my better bets was

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Speaker 3: between the Denver Broncos and the Houston Texans. I bet

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Speaker 3: the under in that game, not even a sweat. There

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Speaker 3: was no points to be found in that particular matchup,

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Speaker 3: so felt great about that at teams after playing the

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Speaker 3: Dallas Cowboys in terms of the over under one to

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Speaker 3: one and six towards the over in the game following

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Speaker 3: a matchup versus the Dallas Cowboys. Really, what I'm calling

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Speaker 3: it here is the Lasso lag teams. The offenses show

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Speaker 3: out in a massive way against a terrible Dallas Cowboys defense.

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Speaker 3: They get overinflated by the market because.

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Speaker 6: Man Jacobin Prese is so good he basically is the

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Speaker 6: next Joe Flacco as the back of quarterbacks set again,

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Speaker 6: but a lot of it's because they played dead Dallas

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Speaker 6: Cowboys defense, which is absolutely atrocious.

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Speaker 3: Again, if the Bengals didn't exist, I mean, we talked

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Speaker 3: abou Dallas as the worst defense in the NFL. So

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Speaker 3: that's why I really like the under in this game,

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Speaker 3: and it even kind of goes beyond just that particular trend.

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Speaker 3: I usually like to play the unders indivisional rematches. This

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Speaker 3: is a game that's already been played this season between

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Speaker 3: the Cardinals and Seahawks. They played earlier this year and

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Speaker 3: that game was scored forty three points, and that was

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Speaker 3: played indoors in Arizona. The last six games between the

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Speaker 3: Cardinals and Seahawks played in Seattle have actually gone under

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Speaker 3: the projected point total before kickoff. Six of the seahawks

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Speaker 3: last eight home games following a win have gone under

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Speaker 3: the total points line. So yeah, four to three points

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Speaker 3: last time these teams faced off. The Cardinals defense has

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Speaker 3: faced Sam Darnold twice over the last two years. Won

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Speaker 3: this year obviously with the Cardinals, and even last year

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Speaker 3: with the Vikings. He was held to twenty three points

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Speaker 3: in both those contests. So I was impressed with what

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Speaker 3: Cardinals were able to do against Dallas Cowboys offense last week,

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Speaker 3: holding him to under twenty points overall. So I think

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Speaker 3: this game goes under, especially had a line of forty

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Speaker 3: five and a half. I think there's a good value

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Speaker 3: here taking the under.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a better defense for Arizona than I think

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Speaker 1: we give it credit for Jonathan Gannon obviously a defensive

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Speaker 1: minded head coach.

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Speaker 2: I think that helps.

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Speaker 1: And why I will, you know, never be a fan

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Speaker 1: of Drew Petzig.

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Speaker 2: Like I'm not.

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Speaker 1: I don't like what this guy does with his offense.

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Speaker 1: It's okay, right, Like it's been better under Jacoby Brissett.

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Speaker 1: I still think it's been great. My only issue with

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Speaker 1: this is, like, you gotta hope Seattle doesn't blow up here,

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Speaker 1: and based on it being that second divisional matchup, I

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Speaker 1: think there's a better chance they don't, especially you know,

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Speaker 1: first game with the Rashid Shahad in the offense seemed

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Speaker 1: like that backfield going through a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: different timeshare. Split two, we finally saw Kenth Walker get

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Speaker 1: some goal line inside the twenty touches as well, So

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Speaker 1: kind of a mixed bag there for Seattle. Sam Darnold

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Speaker 1: is the realist though, that guy is the realist. So

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Speaker 1: I like this play a lot from you, and I

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Speaker 1: also like hanging out on the betting pros Discord community.

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Speaker 1: If you're looking to up your game in sports betting.

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Speaker 1: Join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash Chat. Not only can you connect with some

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Speaker 1: expert cappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL,

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Speaker 1: college football player props, live betting, and so much more,

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Speaker 1: but now you can also participate in our weekly community picks.

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Speaker 1: Cast your vote and see how your picks stack up

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Speaker 1: against the experts like ericson and track your success. And Andrew,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and keep it moving with a team

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Speaker 1: total for you against one in the.

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Speaker 2: New York Giants.

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Speaker 3: The one leg of my parlay that did hit last

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Speaker 3: week was the Bears team total going over, which not

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Speaker 3: a sweat. That game was going over the game total

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Speaker 3: because again Cincinnati Bengals. It's too bad the Bengals and

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Speaker 3: Cowboys are both on buy this week. There's so many

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Speaker 3: points that we're not going to get to see scored

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Speaker 3: in the NFL this season. But I think that we're

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Speaker 3: not gonna have problem finding points in this Bears and

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Speaker 3: Giants game. So we know that Caleb Williams traditionally plays

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Speaker 3: much better at home than he does on He's five

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Speaker 3: and two against the spread as a favorite and specifically

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Speaker 3: on the road. The Bears have covered the spread seven

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Speaker 3: of their last eight games as favorites, and at home

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Speaker 3: he's been much much better. So I like them scoring

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Speaker 3: points in this particular matchup because that's what I feel

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Speaker 3: the most confident about. I don't think the Giants defense

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Speaker 3: is very good, but I'm also afraid to lay the

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Speaker 3: points with Tigo just because their Bears defense is also

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Speaker 3: really bad and Jackson Dart is creating some magic for

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Speaker 3: New York's offense as well. So the Bears have scored

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Speaker 3: at least twenty four points in all three of their

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Speaker 3: home games this season. They scored twenty six or more

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Speaker 3: in their last two home games, twenty seven points per

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Speaker 3: game at home just three home games for the Bears,

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Speaker 3: and the Giants when they played on the road this

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Speaker 3: season third most points per game over thirty one points

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Speaker 3: per game allowed. Each of the Giants last four games

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Speaker 3: has gone over the projected points total, and that's because

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Speaker 3: they've been giving up a ton of points defensively. So

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Speaker 3: I like the Bears going over their team total.

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Speaker 2: I would say.

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Speaker 3: As an opportunity to live bet this game if you

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Speaker 3: do like the Bears, because I do. I just don't

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Speaker 3: love it at this particular number. Look to live bet

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Speaker 3: them against the spread, because the thing that we've seen

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Speaker 3: every single week with Jackson Dart as the Giants quarterback,

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Speaker 3: They're scoring on the opening drive almost every single time,

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Speaker 3: like they know exactly what the script is. They go down,

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Speaker 3: they score, And if you bet against Giants, like man,

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Speaker 3: they already scored a touchdown. So I think that if

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Speaker 3: you are looking for a live bet opportunity Chicago Bears

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Speaker 3: against the Sprikes, you're gonna get better number if the

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Speaker 3: Giants jump out to a three to nothing or seven

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Speaker 3: to nothing lead. But pre bet, in terms of my

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Speaker 3: pre pregame action, I do like the Bears to go

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Speaker 3: over twenty five and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is actually one I've been considering all week, man,

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Speaker 1: because I just don't like this spot really for the Giants, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're still trying to find I think, your

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Speaker 1: groove in the offense without camp Skataboo. You're still missing

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Speaker 1: in leak neighbors, Like, I just don't know how much

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Speaker 1: fight they can put up on offense. And why I

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Speaker 1: like the Giants's front four, like, I mean, you gotta

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Speaker 1: mal like that that front front seven there as a

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Speaker 1: whole is one of the nastiest in the entire NFL.

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Speaker 1: But like outside the defensive line and those outside linebackers,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I feel like the secondary still has

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Speaker 1: a way to go. They're also banged up in that

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Speaker 1: secondary frequently. So with Chicago now not only having three

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Speaker 1: legit wide receivers if you you know, put in Burden

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Speaker 1: or zekeez Off that really good game as well, But

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Speaker 1: now they also have Colson Lovelin to deal with. Right

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Speaker 1: He's kind of an X factor there, so I don't

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Speaker 1: know if they'll be able to contain everything. I definitely

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Speaker 1: like this a little bit more if we see Swift

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Speaker 1: in there, because I think think Swift kind of gives

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Speaker 1: them a little bit more of a boost some big playability.

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Speaker 1: But Managa did find in his first game as well.

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Speaker 3: I think he did more than fine seth one hundred

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Speaker 3: and seventy five yards. I know he didn't I know

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Speaker 3: he didn't score like Brton Brown scored the touchdown, but

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Speaker 3: guy did pretty good for a seventh round pick out

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Speaker 3: of Ruckers.

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Speaker 1: I'm there for it, and you're also backing the hometown

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Speaker 1: team as they take a trip down to that Florida Sun.

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Speaker 2: Maybe they'll see Joey.

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Speaker 1: P down there.

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Speaker 3: They might see Joey P down there. Mister and missus

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Speaker 3: Erickson and my parents are going to this game, going

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Speaker 3: to a nice fun road game for the Pats as underdogs,

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Speaker 3: and I love them in this spot. The Patriots won

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Speaker 3: six straight games and they've covered the spread in each

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Speaker 3: of their last five road games. Mike Rabel is a

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Speaker 3: road warrior with this Patriots squad with Drake may And

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Speaker 3: we've made a lot of money on the show betting

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Speaker 3: on Baker Mayfield. But we bet on him in very

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Speaker 3: particular spots when he's on the road, when he's an underdog,

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Speaker 3: when all when everybody's injured on the Buccaneers, that's when

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Speaker 3: you want to bet on Baker Mayfield. When he just

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Speaker 3: embraces the embodyment. If you look up underdog in the dictionary,

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Speaker 3: it's a picture of Baker Mayfield no matter what. So

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Speaker 3: that's not the case here though, because they are a

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Speaker 3: home favorite. So that's why I like backing the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: They've been really good, like I said, when they've been

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Speaker 3: on the road this season and you look at Tampa Bay,

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Speaker 3: what they've done as a home favorite, eight and seven

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Speaker 3: to one as a home favorite in their last sixteen

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Speaker 3: games since twenty twenty three, they're just five and eight

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Speaker 3: against the spread as a home favorite, nine and four

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Speaker 3: straight up. So yes, there's a good chance that the

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Speaker 3: Buccaneers still end up winning this game. But if you're

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Speaker 3: giving me the field goal with the Patriots, and what

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Speaker 3: I think is more of a coin flip if the

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Speaker 3: teams were facing on a neutral field, especially with Christian

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Speaker 3: Gonzales practicing in full he matters so much for this defense,

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Speaker 3: I think that maybe he can slow down at Buka

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Speaker 3: just enough where this game is closed. The Patriots keep

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Speaker 3: it within a field goal, they cover the spread if

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Speaker 3: they don't win outright, So give me the Patriots as

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Speaker 3: underdogs playing the Bucks.

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Speaker 2: And I kind of like.

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Speaker 1: That the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they're a little banged up,

300
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Speaker 1: and even like coming off a heater of a game,

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Speaker 1: they're coming off the bye week, maybe they start slowing

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Speaker 1: this one. So I want to mind maybe like a

303
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Speaker 1: first half spread for the Patriots. And let's keep in

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Speaker 1: mind to Rickson, no Mike Evans the rest of the way,

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Speaker 1: Chris Godwin likely not gonna be out there. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if we're ever getting Bucky Irving back this year

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Speaker 1: as well, So like there's an uphill, you know, hill

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Speaker 1: to climb here. I feel like, like I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: say it. I've said it a couple of times, I'd

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Speaker 1: be looking out for Tyler Warren in the offensive Rookie

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Speaker 1: of the Year market like a Mecca. Buka's had a

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Speaker 1: couple down games six to one. Right now, I'm just saying, man,

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Speaker 1: I'm just saying I think there's a little bit of

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Speaker 1: value there because I don't know if a Buka can

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Speaker 1: keep up that the heater who was on this season,

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Speaker 1: and especially against the Patriots here where I'm sure Gonzalez

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Speaker 1: is gonna be all over him.

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Speaker 2: Right, I would hope so.

319
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Speaker 3: But I thought that he was gonna be all over

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Speaker 3: Drake London last week too, and all three of Drake

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Speaker 3: London's touchdowns, Dallas is nowhere to be found.

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Speaker 1: Well, I was about to say, I'll let's say Christian

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Speaker 1: Gazalez was on the field after getting after.

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Speaker 3: Yes, that's that is also true.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to your last bet here, pick number five

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Speaker 1: of the week, which comes in another NFC West Divisional

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Speaker 1: showdown that you're liking the under because of course you

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Speaker 1: are the undertaker.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I am the undertaker. I'm taking another NFC West

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Speaker 3: game total under forty nine Ers, Rams going under forty

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Speaker 3: nine and a half points. So this matchup to me

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Speaker 3: is so it's so interesting because when you just look

333
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Speaker 3: at who has dominated this matchup in terms of the

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Speaker 3: betting markets, it's the underdogs that always cover the spread

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Speaker 3: or even just win outright between the forty nine Ers

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Speaker 3: and Rams. So the forty nine Ers have won seven

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Speaker 3: of the last eight games as underdogs against the Rams. Wow,

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Speaker 3: I've covered eight straight. But the Rams have also covered

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Speaker 3: three straight games as an underdog versus the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 3: So basically, going into this matchup, whoever the market thinks

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Speaker 3: is the worst team doesn't usually end up winning or

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Speaker 3: even covering this most of the time. So that would suggest, oh, Eric,

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Speaker 3: you should betting on.

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Speaker 2: The forty nine ers.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you'd think that. But I think the Rams are

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Speaker 3: the best team in the NFL, so I don't want

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Speaker 3: to bet against them. So if I'm betting on maybe

348
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Speaker 3: a game that is closer than the market would suggest that,

349
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Speaker 3: it's not gonna be the Rams just totally dominating, and

350
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Speaker 3: the spread is particularly it's not a massive spread because

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Speaker 3: I think they are giving some credit to it being

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Speaker 3: a road divisional matchup for the Rams playing against San Francisco,

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Speaker 3: But I also know San Francisco tends to be kind

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Speaker 3: of overrated at home and who else is left on

355
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Speaker 3: their defense, right? I know that was the case when

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Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers were massive underdogs on that Thursday

357
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Speaker 3: night game with these teams first played earlier in the season,

358
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Speaker 3: and somehow the forty nine Ers won that game despite

359
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Speaker 3: having backup receivers and backup players.

360
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Speaker 6: All over the place.

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Speaker 3: Game just an absolute crazy game, and that's why for me,

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Speaker 3: I don't think. I think it's just going to be tighter,

363
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Speaker 3: which is why I like the under at forty nine

364
00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:22,480
Speaker 3: and a half points. You look at both of these

365
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Speaker 3: teams defensively, The Rams are number one in the NFL

366
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Speaker 3: in red zone scoring defense, forty nine Ers, despite all

367
00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:31,240
Speaker 3: their injuries, eighth and red zone scoring defense. So although

368
00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,720
Speaker 3: they're getting ripped up between the twenties and giving up

369
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Speaker 3: tons of yardage schematically, with Robert Salad calling the shots like,

370
00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:39,920
Speaker 3: they are a sound defense in the red zone and

371
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Speaker 3: they're holding teams to more field goals than touchdowns. So

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Speaker 3: nine of the rams last twelve games as favorites have

373
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Speaker 3: gone under the total points line. Each of the forty

374
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Speaker 3: nine ers last four home games against NFC West opponents

375
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Speaker 3: has gone under the total points line. So I just

376
00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:54,280
Speaker 3: think that this game is going to be a little

377
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Speaker 3: bit closer, maybe more of like a twenty to twenty

378
00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,760
Speaker 3: four type of finish, which obviously goes under the forty

379
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Speaker 3: nine and a half point total, which, again, when these

380
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,440
Speaker 3: teams faced off just a couple of weeks ago on

381
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,880
Speaker 3: that Thursday night, this game would have also gone under

382
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Speaker 3: the total had that not gone into overtime. Right again,

383
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Speaker 3: that game only total forty nine points, which is under

384
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Speaker 3: this total, and that game had extra minutes into overtime.

385
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Speaker 3: So I think that it's really a value play for me,

386
00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,160
Speaker 3: not to say that there won't be points scored, but

387
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Speaker 3: I just think forty nine and a half or even

388
00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,160
Speaker 3: fifteen and a half, where I'm seeing this line available

389
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Speaker 3: as well, just think it's too big.

390
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:27,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, it might be, especially with the nine are still

391
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,680
Speaker 1: banged up. Man, Like, I don't know if Ricky Piersoll's

392
00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 1: ever coming back either. Like I'm so so sick of

393
00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:36,280
Speaker 1: the reporting out there in San fran it's like, I mean, dude,

394
00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:39,560
Speaker 1: like it's like you're trying to extract confidential CIA information

395
00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 1: or something to get any clarity on his injury. Brought

396
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:46,440
Speaker 1: party practicing limited this week. But I think I feel

397
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Speaker 1: like you're saying right now, gone to the head, is

398
00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:49,040
Speaker 1: probably mac Jones out there?

399
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Speaker 2: Right?

400
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:52,600
Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean it wasn't by accident, didn't layer

401
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,600
Speaker 3: any of if is it mac Jones are brought party

402
00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:56,560
Speaker 3: and out because I just don't I don't know. Number one,

403
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Speaker 3: I don't think it really matters for what I'm betting

404
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:00,680
Speaker 3: in this game is just the under.

405
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I like, I don't wish injuries for anyone, but

406
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Speaker 1: Phukanakua man we talked about I think earlier this week,

407
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,119
Speaker 1: or I don't know if it was me and you

408
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,560
Speaker 1: might have been Bogs on the FP recap show.

409
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Speaker 2: Actually now I'm thinking about it.

410
00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:12,920
Speaker 1: But it feels like every week he's getting a little

411
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 1: banged up too, right, limited in practice earlier this week.

412
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,160
Speaker 1: He should be up from what we're hearing now Sean McVay.

413
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,840
Speaker 1: But he's another liar that I don't trust. So two liars,

414
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Speaker 1: liar liar pants on fire. Erickson's going with the under there.

415
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:28,000
Speaker 1: Let's go there, and let's move forward to my upset

416
00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:31,320
Speaker 1: special of the week. I'm going with a gain that

417
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,360
Speaker 1: I don't know how this is an upset. I don't

418
00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,720
Speaker 1: know how this line is a thing. I'm going with

419
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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles on the money line plus one sixteen against

420
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Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. We will go to Monday night

421
00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,560
Speaker 1: for this one, and I don't understand what change from

422
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Speaker 1: the look aheadline that flipped the Eagles from being favored

423
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Speaker 1: by one and a half points to the Packers now

424
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,479
Speaker 1: being favored by two and a half points. Makes no

425
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Speaker 1: sense to me. Maybe it was the Saquon Barkley injury.

426
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,000
Speaker 1: But based on reports and we are recording this on

427
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Speaker 1: Thursday afternoon before we've gotten the full practice report out

428
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Speaker 1: of Philly, I'm anticipating to be up for this one.

429
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Speaker 1: And either way, the Eagles are five and three ats

430
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,840
Speaker 1: three and one on the road against the spread this season,

431
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Speaker 1: and they just brought in a ton of reinforcements right

432
00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 1: outside linebacker Jalen Phillis from the Dolphins, cornerback gy R

433
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:15,399
Speaker 1: Alexander from the Ravens.

434
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Speaker 2: Is that a positive?

435
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 1: I'm not sure anymore at this point, But Michael Carter

436
00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,160
Speaker 1: also comes over from the Jets. So they got guys

437
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,679
Speaker 1: and they got bodies in spades right now. The Packers,

438
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,200
Speaker 1: on the other hand, three and five ats just got

439
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 1: beaten by the Panthers at home and in the Jordan

440
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,640
Speaker 1: Love era, the Packers are zero two against the Eagles,

441
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,199
Speaker 1: albeit one of those games was at the Link the

442
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,680
Speaker 1: other one was in Brazil last year, but they've lost

443
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:38,439
Speaker 1: by an average of eight and a half points in

444
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,119
Speaker 1: those games. I think there's gonna be some growing pains

445
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,400
Speaker 1: in this offense right now. No tuckert Craft your boy

446
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 1: right now, and I think the dirty birds get the

447
00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:47,920
Speaker 1: best of them. I think this number is a gift

448
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,800
Speaker 1: from the gambling gods. So give me a little Philadelphia

449
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:53,480
Speaker 1: Eagles on the money line plus one sixteen against the Packers.

450
00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:56,480
Speaker 2: Rickson, Go Birds, Go Birds.

451
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 1: And for my parlay of the week as well, I'm

452
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,359
Speaker 1: going to put that Philadelphia Eagles money line plus one

453
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,960
Speaker 1: sixteen against the Packers and go back to the well

454
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 1: with the Panthers. I'm grabbing at minus five and a half.

455
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:08,879
Speaker 1: I don't want to lay that alf that I had

456
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 1: earlier this week, so going to minus five and a

457
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 1: half minus one oh eight against the Saints. That's gonna

458
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,920
Speaker 1: give you parlay odds a plus three sixteen. I love

459
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:19,959
Speaker 1: getting those odds for just two legs here because as

460
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: much as I love same game parlays ericson, you know,

461
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,119
Speaker 1: you're always paying the tax of the correlation, right, and

462
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 1: here with us going with two separate games, we're not

463
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,919
Speaker 1: getting that at all. So plus one sixteen feels pretty

464
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,639
Speaker 1: freaking good to me. Not usually one to put a

465
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,320
Speaker 1: plus money play into a parlay, but hey, I feel

466
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 1: good about the Eagles.

467
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 2: I don't think they should be plus money.

468
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,399
Speaker 1: So that is my parlay of the week as the

469
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,679
Speaker 1: upset special of the week. And now we get to

470
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 1: the hard Rock Best Bets of the week. Andrew Erickson,

471
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,919
Speaker 1: where are you going for the fine people? And where's

472
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,440
Speaker 1: it coming from other than our great friends over at

473
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:52,680
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet to.

474
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 2: The Greater Northwest.

475
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 3: We're going to Seattle. We're taking the under my hard

476
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,439
Speaker 3: Rock best bet of the week, Arizona Cardinal Seattle Seahawks

477
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,359
Speaker 3: going under forty five and a half points because we're

478
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:06,200
Speaker 3: chasing the trends. The Lasso Lag teams, after facing the

479
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 3: Dallas Cowboys, won one and six tour the over in

480
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 3: the game following their matchup against Big d taking the

481
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 3: under fading the offensive production from Arizona against Dallas last week.

482
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 1: Love it and I'm gonna throw a player prop out

483
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,120
Speaker 1: there for my hard rock best bet of the week.

484
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 1: Because you and Welsh every single week, you guys have

485
00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 1: this great show on Friday.

486
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 2: I'm always so jealous of it.

487
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:27,879
Speaker 1: I get to edit at the audio, I get to

488
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 1: publish the YouTube video, but I don't get to make

489
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 1: any freaking player prop. So I'm gonna make one here. Boys,

490
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 1: I'm going Dalton Schultz over three and a half receptions.

491
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,400
Speaker 1: This is a little bit of juice you're paying here,

492
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 1: MIAs one forty five. But as they say, you only

493
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,680
Speaker 1: drink the juice if you lose, and I don't plan

494
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,320
Speaker 1: on losing this one. Baby Scholtzi. He's been super consistent

495
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: this season. He's hit his receiving yards prop in six

496
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:50,200
Speaker 1: of eight games and this line of three and a

497
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,600
Speaker 1: half over under in five of eight games. This includes

498
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 1: an average of five point three receptions per game since

499
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 1: Week three.

500
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:58,200
Speaker 2: Like, we know that the.

501
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 1: Texans they are trying to play around with, Hey, can

502
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 1: we get the rookies in Higgins and Noel involved? No

503
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 1: not really, can we get Christian Kirk involved out there healthy?

504
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 6: No?

505
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 2: Not really.

506
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 1: Dalton Schultz is the second pass catching option in this

507
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,200
Speaker 1: offense right now. I'm gonna buy into that. He saw

508
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 1: eight targets last week with big neck Davis Mills quarterbacking

509
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 1: this team for the majority of the game. He also

510
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: has a great, wonderful matchup this week as well. Over

511
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 1: the last month, the Jacks have allowed the fourth most

512
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 1: receptions and the third most receiving yards two opposing tight ends,

513
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 1: and Titands have hit their reception prop against them in

514
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 1: six of eight games this season, including Schultz himself. Back

515
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: in Week three, he went for five for thirty nine

516
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,480
Speaker 1: on six targets. So I like Schultz a lot in

517
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:38,720
Speaker 1: fantasy this week. I also like him in the player

518
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 1: prop market. Andrew Rierson, I really.

519
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 3: Hope Alon Schultz hits this because I'm gonna have to

520
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,439
Speaker 3: start him a lot places in fantasy because all my

521
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 3: all my Tucker Craft teams are hurting at Titano and

522
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 3: Dalton Chultz is just staring me in the face and

523
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,639
Speaker 3: all these waiver wires with that juicy matchup, and I

524
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 3: know that he's just gonna go four for forty and

525
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:57,119
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna have to live with that.

526
00:21:57,520 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: But hey, sure that's good enough for me.

527
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:01,399
Speaker 3: And it hits, so that's all that matters.

528
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,679
Speaker 1: Yes, sir and guys, this is the golden time of

529
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: year where it's not just pro football to bet on. No,

530
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 1: it's NBA college football, college hoops, and hockey. They're all

531
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 1: sharing the stage right now, and there's always something to

532
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 1: bet on.

533
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: If you haven't tried your.

534
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 1: First bet on hard Rock Bet yet, there's still time

535
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,480
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536
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: bonus bets if you win. Just place a five dollars bet,

537
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,160
Speaker 1: and if it hits, you not only get your winnings,

538
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,120
Speaker 1: but also one hundred and fifty dollars.

539
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 2: In extra bonus bets.

540
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: And if you're looking for an edge before you lock

541
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 1: in this week, check out the hard Rock Bet Stats Up.

542
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 1: It's loaded with trends, streaks, and stats to help guide

543
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 1: your picks. Numbers don't lie, and neither does the data

544
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,439
Speaker 1: in there. Check out the stats hub now, get an

545
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 1: edge and bet with confidence.

546
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 2: The hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.

547
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Speaker 1: Is the only legal book whenever you're in this great

548
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Speaker 1: state of Florida. Like Andrew Rickson's parents and Joey p

549
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,680
Speaker 1: this week and also if you live in Arizona, Ohio,

550
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado, or if

551
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 1: you're just visiting as well, coming soon to more states

552
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Speaker 1: soon as well.

553
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Speaker 2: Plus hard rock Bet also offers.

554
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555
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556
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557
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558
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Speaker 4: Payble and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by

559
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560
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:15,919
Speaker 4: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be

561
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:19,199
Speaker 4: twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,

562
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:21,679
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563
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Speaker 4: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight

564
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565
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566
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 4: call one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem

567
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Speaker 4: called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

568
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 1: All right, and that's going to do it for us

569
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 1: on this episode of the BP NFL Podcast still to

570
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,640
Speaker 1: come later this week and every week. Of course I'm

571
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:45,560
Speaker 1: not on there, but it's Eric sit and Welsh's player

572
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 1: of props. Also, don't forget to check out the Daily

573
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 1: Juice every single day with our friend map for all.

574
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: He's doing wonderful work over there. Plus, if you're into

575
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 1: college football, come hang out with Scott Boggen myself over

576
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 1: the BP College Football Show and let us go down

577
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 1: in the comments below your favorite week ten bets. We

578
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,719
Speaker 1: want to hear from you, and while you're here, make

579
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 1: sure you're smashing that like button. I'm subscribing to the channel.

580
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: If you're new for Andrew ericson, I'm Seth Wilcock. Take

581
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 1: care of y'all, Go birds.

582
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

583
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

584
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

585
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

586
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

587
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com. Slash betting pros