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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I think it's fair to say this is the fastest growing,

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Speaker 1: most popular sports betting podcast in the country right now.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad milman On, the Chief Content Officer of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. For those who are new to our

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Speaker 1: rapidly growing podcast audience, Action Network is a sports media

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Speaker 1: company that is focused entirely on serving the sports betting

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Speaker 1: audience everything you need to know from an analyst point

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Speaker 1: of view, whether that be the folks who go heavy

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Speaker 1: on research, heavy on data heavy and analytics, or they

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Speaker 1: are professional betters like my co host Simon Hunter. That's

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Speaker 1: where you can get from the Action Network. Check it

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Speaker 1: out Action network dot com. Follow us on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Action Network HQ. Listen to our other podcasts, Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus for colleges, the Action Network podcast for NFL.

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Speaker 1: Download the free Action Network at You will get it all.

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Speaker 1: And it's beautiful, especially this past week because Simon, Simon Hunter,

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Speaker 1: my bff, my compatrick, my companion, dude. We had we

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Speaker 1: had the good, we had the bad, we had the ugly.

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Speaker 1: We went three and two in the five picks that

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Speaker 1: we feel best about, which is a win huge r O.

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Speaker 1: I how are you? How are you feeling? I feel

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Speaker 1: pretty optimistic as an Egos fan chat, I can't lie

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Speaker 1: to you. You wake up this morning. I can't listen

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Speaker 1: to radio. Usually that's my routine, especially after a bad loss,

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Speaker 1: like to throw on the local radio. And just here

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Speaker 1: all these South Billy guys just cursing out this team.

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Speaker 1: I can't do it. Just embarrassed. Man, It's like shame,

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Speaker 1: especially because we had in our contest. I just feel shame.

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Speaker 1: Like my initial read was so spot on. I got

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Speaker 1: duped by week one. I'm embarrassed. But you know, living

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Speaker 1: you learn it's my heart was too close to it.

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Speaker 1: That's that that was the problem. Shane Shane Shane. I

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Speaker 1: love the Chicago Bears. We all know this. I was

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Speaker 1: all over the Cleveland Browns on Sunday and me and

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Speaker 1: you and Sean Crooner and Chris Raybon our show convinced

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Speaker 1: me that we do Sunday mornings eleven am at Action

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Speaker 1: Network HQ. When we go over all the bets, you

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Speaker 1: guys give me your favorite bets. You try to convince

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Speaker 1: me what I should take. Pregame, we were talking about

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Speaker 1: the Browns and the Bears, and I said to you, guys,

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Speaker 1: I said, look, the Bears gonna get blown out of here.

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Speaker 1: Rookie quarterback who holds the ball against a pass rush

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Speaker 1: that will pin its Ears back, and a coach who

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Speaker 1: is a coward, who does not know how to game plan,

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Speaker 1: who refuses to acknowledge that this guy is more talent

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Speaker 1: than anybody else, and is losing the locker room because

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Speaker 1: everyone knows justin Fields gives him the best chance to win,

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Speaker 1: and he is not willing to do anything about it.

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Speaker 1: And I thought, like Dan Orlovski on Get Up Yesterday,

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Speaker 1: this is Tuesday afternoon on Get Up Yesterday, had this

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Speaker 1: rant about it was complete and total advocation of abdication

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Speaker 1: of responsibility by Matt Nagy of the Chicago Bears. I agreed,

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Speaker 1: I like I thought she should be fired after that game.

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Speaker 1: He was terrible. That was a terrible, terrible display. Every

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Speaker 1: ex player that's talking about that game is just ripping

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Speaker 1: him apart. And that's all you need to know. I

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Speaker 1: mean that he has to have lost that out locker room.

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Speaker 1: If all these ex players feel it that way, all

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Speaker 1: the players must all feel the exacting way inside the

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Speaker 1: locker room. Obviously, you probably didn't watch that game again.

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Speaker 1: I watched again because I enjoyed that game. I got

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Speaker 1: the under that was that was a good game for me.

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Speaker 1: I think that was your under playing convinced Yes, that

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Speaker 1: was my biggest total bet of the day. And we

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Speaker 1: talked about why I like the under. Everything happened. We said,

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Speaker 1: we just didn't trust the rookie on the road and

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Speaker 1: all the inexperience. I thought it was just gonna be

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Speaker 1: a heavy running game for both teams. The Bears couldn't

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Speaker 1: do that. Um naggy though, Like again, I know you're

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Speaker 1: probably never gonna watch that game ever again. He literally

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Speaker 1: kept the same exact style of offense and Andy Dalton ran.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you couldn't find two more different players than

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Speaker 1: Fields and Andy Dalton. So yeah, as much as I

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Speaker 1: feel pity for me as an Eagles fan, I don't

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Speaker 1: compare to Bears fans. The Bears things just seems like

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Speaker 1: a whole train wreck. Well it's also it's a very

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Speaker 1: interesting thing about the NFL right now, and I want

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Speaker 1: to remind people we're gonna get to um the Simon

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Speaker 1: says bet where you say just better right away. This

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Speaker 1: past week it was the Cincinnati Bengals. UM and we

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Speaker 1: may get to a hornet's nest and then on Thursday

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Speaker 1: we'll do our big balls better the week. Um, but uh,

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Speaker 1: betting the NFL is really challenging right now. We saw

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Speaker 1: on Sunday night we had the Niners minus three, three

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Speaker 1: huge pass interference calls that really set up the Packers

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Speaker 1: for success. And you are seeing holding penalties. You know,

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Speaker 1: unconvinced me. Sean Kerner had mentioned that holding penalties have

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Speaker 1: increased to more than two a game. You're seeing it

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Speaker 1: on so many plays, but more than anything I said

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Speaker 1: this last week, the NFL is less and less about

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Speaker 1: cover your ass decision making. And it feels like the

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Speaker 1: only coach who's still doing cover your ass decision making

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Speaker 1: is Matt Nagy, who's living off a rep that he

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Speaker 1: got to coach for Andy Reid and be considered an

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Speaker 1: offensive genius, and it turns out he's afraid to make

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Speaker 1: any decision that isn't by the book, whereas every other

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Speaker 1: coach that the Browns game was perfect. Kevin Stefanski has

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Speaker 1: two different times on fourth downs in not advantageous field position,

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Speaker 1: well he decides to go for it. Mattnegie has the

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Speaker 1: same option twice and makes bad decisions about what the

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Speaker 1: Bears should do. Should they punt, should they go for it,

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Speaker 1: should they kick a field goal? Should they go for it?

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Speaker 1: Makes the wrong decision every time. This is not a

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Speaker 1: cover yours decision making league anymore. And I think basically

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Speaker 1: we're talking about simple math here. Stevanski he went for

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Speaker 1: both times on fourth down right in in the Bears

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Speaker 1: red zone. So he just kicks field goals. That's six points.

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Speaker 1: Instead he goes one for two, he gets a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: so you got one extra point. So again, simple math.

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Speaker 1: People like that's why these coaches, it's like all these

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Speaker 1: analytic guys without do they know It's like, okay, it's

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Speaker 1: just basic math. You don't have to be some guy

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Speaker 1: that went to Harvard to figure out why these decisions

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Speaker 1: are different. But now you touch on the holding penalty stuff. Chat.

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Speaker 1: I think I went four and one on the unders

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Speaker 1: I gave out. It was I think unders eleven and

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Speaker 1: five um last week. It's just the penalties, like the holding,

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Speaker 1: it just kills drives. And we saw it all last week.

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Speaker 1: I think there was one over in the one PM

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Speaker 1: games and that was the Bills Washington games. So every

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Speaker 1: other game went under for the one PM slate, So

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Speaker 1: it's you can say what you want about the players

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Speaker 1: being sloppy. I think it has a lot to do

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Speaker 1: with these refs. They're kind of overcoming things, kind of

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Speaker 1: make a correction from last year where I mean last

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Speaker 1: year at this point, the overs were hitting out of

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Speaker 1: six clip so we've seen major regression in that position.

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Speaker 1: But um, yeah, we'll talk about this upcoming week. It's

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Speaker 1: the public had their day. Um, the public pretty much

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Speaker 1: dodged a bullet on the Ravens. Every guy I knew,

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Speaker 1: every asshole in the world had them that the taking

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Speaker 1: the six off on a teaser and had the Ravens

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Uh, they all had Denver

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Speaker 1: in their teasers. I mean every everything hit. The only

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Speaker 1: one that really tripped people up was the Chiefs. But

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Speaker 1: no one was betting the Chiefs really heavy to be

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Speaker 1: the Chargers. You know. That wasn't like a really big

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Speaker 1: money line parlay place. So I think we have major

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Speaker 1: regression coming up this weekend where we're due. We're so

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Speaker 1: overdue for a big upset like last year. We talked

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Speaker 1: about Chad the Jaguars Week one upset the Colts that

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Speaker 1: knocked out half of all the people our survivor contest.

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Speaker 1: We haven't had that yet this year, and I mean

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Speaker 1: this is week four. We still haven't had a major upset.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna dive into the slate here. There are

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Speaker 1: a lot of red flags this week, so I'm excited

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Speaker 1: to break it all down. Yeah. On Thursday, we will

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Speaker 1: narrow down the field. We will talk about the games that,

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Speaker 1: uh we liked the most from Tuesday, how lines have moved,

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Speaker 1: how injuries have changed our perspective, how news has changed

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Speaker 1: our perspective. We'll talk about Survivor picks, We'll talk about

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Speaker 1: money line parlays. Today is the day we go through

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Speaker 1: the entire slate um our good, bad, and ugly from

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Speaker 1: this past week. We were on the sharpest from the beginning,

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Speaker 1: nailed it. Uh. The ugly we has to be Miami,

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Speaker 1: which we escaped with a win on that one. The

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Speaker 1: bad the Eagles were just trash and we made a bad,

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Speaker 1: bad call on the Eagles at plus three and a half,

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Speaker 1: plus four against the Cowboys. We're ready to move on.

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Speaker 1: We're on to Cincinnati. Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: The resurgent, amazing, Bengals the Cincinnati Bengals game roaring back

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Speaker 1: look aheadline, the line that was posted, you know, in

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Speaker 1: advance of games last week. The Bengals were two and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. The Bengals two and one win

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Speaker 1: over Minnesota win over Pittsburgh minus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Whoa Nana, damn it, chat, damn it? Why do we

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Speaker 1: have to keep betting the Jaguars? What? What is? This

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Speaker 1: is such a blessing and a curse in life. It's

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Speaker 1: the truest thing I ever read with this. Um, I

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Speaker 1: hate it. I hate that we have to make this

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Speaker 1: bet because just look at the board. I love this

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Speaker 1: for our survivor pick. I mean again, we'll talk about

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Speaker 1: on Thursday. But Cincinnati, in what world do they lose

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Speaker 1: to this Jaguars team outscored probably fifty points to about

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Speaker 1: ten in the second half this year. Um, God, the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars are awful. I hate that you have to keep

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Speaker 1: betting on them. But you just talked about this line.

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Speaker 1: The look at was minus two and a half. Now

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Speaker 1: they're up the minus seven and a half. Um, yikes.

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Speaker 1: Let me frame it this way though, So let's say

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Speaker 1: we're gonna bet on the Jaguars, and we did. Last

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Speaker 1: weekend we had the Jaguars plus seven and a half

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Speaker 1: at home against the Cardinals. I thought, if there's ever

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Speaker 1: gonna be a game the Jaguars win, this is going

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Speaker 1: to be it. Um, we're just cover Like that felt

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Speaker 1: like a guarantee cover kind of game. So the question

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Speaker 1: is this team has Owen seventeen written all over it.

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Speaker 1: The coach stinks, the quarterback is young making bad decisions.

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Speaker 1: That was a horrible pick six that really cost the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars the game and cost them the cover. Uh So

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Speaker 1: why do we have to bet the Jaguars. We don't

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Speaker 1: have to bet the game, by the way, like there's

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Speaker 1: it's a point where there is diminishing returns on this precedent.

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Speaker 1: We decided where the Jaguars at the right side because

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Speaker 1: it's overvalued on the number moving so high. I don't

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Speaker 1: feel like I have to bet the Jaguars plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. You don't, That's that's why you get

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Speaker 1: to live a good life chat. But as a professional

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Speaker 1: I do, And I had this have four and a half.

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Speaker 1: I just did after the game with the Jaguars. No

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Speaker 1: way to I move this seven a half. So if

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Speaker 1: I think I'm getting three points of value. I bet

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Speaker 1: this number. Um, the Jaguars are terrible. Everything you said

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Speaker 1: it is so true, but since now is not as

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Speaker 1: good as people think they are. Um, they're actually our

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Speaker 1: best team right now for our competition. We're three and

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Speaker 1: oh and games involved in cincin that we picked them

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Speaker 1: twice and they won outright both ties for us, and

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Speaker 1: we faded them with the Bears and they lost. So

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Speaker 1: I I do have a pulse on this team. It

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Speaker 1: feels like with Cincinnati. And again I talked to my

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Speaker 1: Thursday nights, I usually go chalk. I usually do take

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Speaker 1: the favorite, especially home favorites. I'm not as scared of

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Speaker 1: it when it's a big number like this, but I

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Speaker 1: have to This is just it's inflated number, and this

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Speaker 1: is just a backdoor game. The Bengals defense is not

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Speaker 1: good enough to be favored by this many points. And

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Speaker 1: Lawrence he's bad right now. I mean, we haven't talked

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Speaker 1: about it yet. I believe rookies are one in ten

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Speaker 1: against the spread this season, and the only cover was

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Speaker 1: a rookie playing a rookie, and Mac Jones beaten. Um

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Speaker 1: it was Zach Wilson. So I don't know, Chad. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna make people do it, but this is my life.

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Speaker 1: That's like, these are the games I have to bet

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Speaker 1: because I mean, I do it enough. This is a

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Speaker 1: six kind of situation where you're just taking a team

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Speaker 1: that their own three, their own three against the spread.

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Speaker 1: We saw last year too, We talked about this, the

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Speaker 1: Jets and the Cowboys. They didn't cover for five six

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Speaker 1: weeks to start the year. So I'm not making people

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Speaker 1: better this. We're not putting this in our contest either,

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Speaker 1: Like I'm so out, but we're gonna be talking Thursday.

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Speaker 1: This might end up when our survivor picks, because I

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Speaker 1: just don't see a world where the Bengals don't win

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Speaker 1: this game at home on a short week against the awful,

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Speaker 1: awful coach at Irban. My So, when you think about

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Speaker 1: this game and I want to move on to the

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Speaker 1: next game, but uh, it's a game that's disgusting. It's

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Speaker 1: a game that you can't find any tangible reason for

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Speaker 1: the way the teams are playing to really have confidence

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Speaker 1: in the Jaguars, but you feel like you have to

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Speaker 1: bet it. You're a professional better You've got to take

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Speaker 1: every opportunity to make as much money as you can

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Speaker 1: in these five or six months. So you're betting sides,

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Speaker 1: you're betting totals, you're betting money lines, etcetera, etcetera. The

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Speaker 1: jack Sings isn't balancing their way though. That's the thing.

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Speaker 1: Like no, but here's my question. Here's my question. How

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Speaker 1: much do you end up betting on this game, like

250
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Speaker 1: as a percentage of bank roll in like the the

251
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Speaker 1: If you're normally betting, say two to three units on

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Speaker 1: a game, is this a one unit bet? How do

253
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Speaker 1: you determine what that is if you feel like you

254
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Speaker 1: have to bet it because the opportunities to make money

255
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Speaker 1: on the right plays is limited. It's all situational to

256
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Speaker 1: all I told you last week, like we do that

257
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Speaker 1: convinced me meeting on Friday. My two biggest bets on

258
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Speaker 1: Friday were the Chargers one out right and the Jaguars

259
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Speaker 1: who got smoked. So it is UM all about situation

260
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Speaker 1: and where alm angling at. But again that's the hardest

261
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Speaker 1: part where it's like I had a good day because

262
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Speaker 1: a lot of those unders hit and I hit big

263
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Speaker 1: on the Rams and I hit big on the Vikings,

264
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Speaker 1: two teams. I really liked UM that day, but I

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Speaker 1: gave a lot of it back one day night because

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Speaker 1: we talked about I took the Eagles plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. I took the Eagles plus four. I took

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Speaker 1: him at three and a half. So that's the hardest

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Speaker 1: thing where this Jaguars because they've been so bad. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm not. I mean say I had up close to

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Speaker 1: like ten K last week on them on the spread

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Speaker 1: and then probably another like two or three km their

273
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Speaker 1: money line, like involved in bets like that. At most,

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Speaker 1: I'll put five K on this spread. I'm just it's

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Speaker 1: one of those as a professional about this because there's

276
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Speaker 1: value on this line, but I'm not betting it big

277
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Speaker 1: again because I, like we just talked about, I thinks

278
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Speaker 1: something just wrong. They're like they're literally driving at the

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Speaker 1: end of the game to get this this back door

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Speaker 1: and Robinson fumbles it in the red zone, and it

281
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Speaker 1: just felt like every little thing that could have gone

282
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Speaker 1: wrong with the Jaguars kind of did, even though they

283
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Speaker 1: had that kick return at the end of the half.

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Speaker 1: It's it's bad there. I honestly like I wasn't giving

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Speaker 1: you much credit for how you were saying you think

286
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Speaker 1: Urban was gonna leave for usc. Every game that goes by,

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Speaker 1: you see wearing on this guy. I mean, if they

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Speaker 1: do start oh and seven, I think he leaves still. Yeah.

289
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Speaker 1: New York Giants at New Orleans Saints. The Giants the

290
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Speaker 1: New York Football Giants. UH lost at home to the

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Speaker 1: Falcons as favorites. UH. The one time we decided not

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Speaker 1: to bet on the Falcons because we've had enough, Even

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Speaker 1: though we knew it was the right side, we walk

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Speaker 1: away because we don't have courage of our convictions. They

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Speaker 1: are visiting the Saints. The Saints or seven and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites. Ah, this feels wildly inflated to me,

297
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Speaker 1: wildly inflated. There's no reason to be making Jameis Winston

298
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Speaker 1: a more than touchdown favorite. I can't. I can't buy

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Speaker 1: into this team with him as the quarterback. I just

300
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Speaker 1: can't do it. We really wish it was still plus

301
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Speaker 1: nine and a half. That was a beautiful number one.

302
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Speaker 1: I opened at that, so I'm not shocked all it's

303
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Speaker 1: been bent down to seven a half. This is like

304
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Speaker 1: you just talked about, it's way too big of a

305
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,880
Speaker 1: number for Winston that at any moment that guy drops back,

306
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Speaker 1: you're expecting to pick six. So I love Daniel Jones

307
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Speaker 1: on the road. I would have to go on bet

308
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Speaker 1: labs and look it up. I believe he's like ten

309
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Speaker 1: and five against the spread on the road in his career.

310
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Speaker 1: So we we take Danny Dimes on the road, we

311
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Speaker 1: fad him at home, and it's been working out for

312
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Speaker 1: US ten and four on the road against the spread.

313
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Speaker 1: Uh five four Leadin at home against the spread. I

314
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Speaker 1: mean there there it is people who follow those trends.

315
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Speaker 1: But there's something about the Saints that at it. I wasn't.

316
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Speaker 1: I just wasn't that impressed with them against the Patriots.

317
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Speaker 1: I thought the Patriots were who we expected them to be, right,

318
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Speaker 1: they were a team that struggled against a not as

319
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Speaker 1: good a team as we thought they would be in Miami,

320
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Speaker 1: dominated team that is every bit as bad as we

321
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Speaker 1: thought they would be in Miami. Yeah, played a team

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Speaker 1: in the Saints that is good in the trenches and

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Speaker 1: as a quarterback who still makes really, really really incredibly

324
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Speaker 1: bad decisions, and that's never gonna change. Jamis is as

325
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Speaker 1: Jamis does. I do worry about the Giants injuries. Their

326
00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,479
Speaker 1: defense is a little bit tattered right now. Yeah, Uh,

327
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Speaker 1: that's that's true, but we we talked about last week

328
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Speaker 1: that was such a look ahead for New England, the

329
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Speaker 1: same reason we really were off the Bucks. It was

330
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Speaker 1: just both teams are looking ahead to to this Sunday

331
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Speaker 1: when they're playing each other. So the Saints, I really

332
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,159
Speaker 1: can't get a read on them. I don't know what

333
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:39,800
Speaker 1: they are because they were so like thoroughly dominated by Carolina.

334
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:43,879
Speaker 1: Maybe is that legit? You said that the Giants they

335
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:45,919
Speaker 1: do have major injuries on their defense. But at the

336
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Speaker 1: same time, I mean I I believe in the Giants

337
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Speaker 1: team in the sense that they kind of always and

338
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Speaker 1: keep these ugly games close. We've we've seen it with

339
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Speaker 1: them to start the year. I mean, the Denver one

340
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,960
Speaker 1: was was brutal, but that was weak one. They've they've

341
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Speaker 1: fought off in their last few games. So I'm not

342
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Speaker 1: gonna make you put it in, Chad, but that's it's

343
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,280
Speaker 1: probably gonna be on our list, Buddy. Seven and a half.

344
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Speaker 1: That's that's too many points for Winston to be favorite

345
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Speaker 1: in a game. Oh Jesus Christ, I was thinking we'd

346
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: immediately not be having a conversation about the Giants being

347
00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 1: on a list. Uh, And now I have to square

348
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Speaker 1: it because you think it will be. I'd be shocked

349
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Speaker 1: if we come to a consensus that the Giants are

350
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Speaker 1: on our Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles the last

351
00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 1: place Kansas City Chiefs are going on the road two

352
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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Fly Eagles Fly. They're visiting the Eagles off of

353
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Speaker 1: a horrible primetime loss in which I really feel like

354
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Speaker 1: they gave back all the good will that you and

355
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 1: I gave them the first week of the season. Uh,

356
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,719
Speaker 1: seven and a half point dogs at home is a

357
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Speaker 1: huge number for a Chiefs team that has really not

358
00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:05,160
Speaker 1: heard in its last I think they're one and ten

359
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 1: against the spread in the last eleven games each Dad

360
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 1: down by the way open eight and a half and

361
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,520
Speaker 1: now it's seven and a half, and you know you

362
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 1: have to bet the Egos. This is typical um embarrassing

363
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:27,200
Speaker 1: on our primetime game. I think they're horrible, their old

364
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,679
Speaker 1: lines all banged up. There is no logical reason to

365
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 1: take the egostra other than the fact that they're not

366
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 1: as bad as they looked against Dallas um Man. The

367
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 1: Chiefs though, this this is like the game everyone's gonna

368
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 1: having teasers, Like, in what world do you see that?

369
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Speaker 1: Patrick mahomessing three straight games. I don't think it's ANFL career.

370
00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:52,400
Speaker 1: He's ever lost three straight games. Um man, scary, scary,

371
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:58,760
Speaker 1: scary game. This one, Uh pretty much feels like, yeah,

372
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: what did this? This? I think original was six. Now,

373
00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:02,360
Speaker 1: like you said, I went to eight and a half.

374
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 1: Down down seven a half. This is gonna be like

375
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:06,760
Speaker 1: a week. We're gonna talk about a bunch of these games.

376
00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: It's one of the biggest descriptions of pros versus shows

377
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 1: a lot of these games, and this is a classic

378
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 1: example of every professional I know. It doesn't matter what

379
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 1: your opinion is on the EGNS. You bet this. You

380
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 1: bet this game seven and a a half at home against

381
00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,679
Speaker 1: the team that is got major issues right now, I

382
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: know the US had major shoes too. Something's wrong with

383
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They just don't look right like my homes

384
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,200
Speaker 1: looks human. He doesn't look super human like he did

385
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: the last couple of years. So you said it, Chad,

386
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 1: we we have to take this number. This is just

387
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:36,960
Speaker 1: what we do. What do you have it rated at?

388
00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: I thought it was good when it opened at six.

389
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 1: I thought that was like I had that as a number.

390
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna moved to half a point. Um,

391
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 1: with the injuries, the egos have hal now to the

392
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,560
Speaker 1: old line, so I had to I think I'm up

393
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 1: to six and a half now. But seven a half

394
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,399
Speaker 1: is perfectly understandable, just because the sports books need to

395
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 1: protect against teasers, and that's what this number is. This

396
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 1: is a kind of a protection against teasers. So it's

397
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: it's scary times right now in Philadelphia. Chat, I'm not

398
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 1: gonna lie to this. This guy's here around. It might

399
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 1: be a complete disaster. Why do you say that? What

400
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 1: did you see that makes you say that he's just dumb? Um? Honestly,

401
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:16,360
Speaker 1: we Miles Sanders has two carries and I both carriers

402
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 1: go for like I think one carry was fifteen yards,

403
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 1: like carriers for seven yards. Those are only two carries

404
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 1: the entire game. Uh, that game was one of again

405
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 1: he does little things where you just like, this guy

406
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: doesn't get it. And you talked about with um the

407
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 1: fancy going for fourth down. It was fourth and five

408
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 1: in midfield, Eagles for down twenty to seven at halftime,

409
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 1: he punted, Um, Okay, this guy doesn't get it. If

410
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 1: you can get points there, so you can even get

411
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:47,440
Speaker 1: three points, it would literally be twenty seven to ten.

412
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 1: Then we got the Eagles will get the ball start

413
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,399
Speaker 1: the second half. He didn't do that. We punted. It

414
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,159
Speaker 1: was twenty seven to start the second half, and he

415
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 1: throws a pick six first drive and that's the ball game.

416
00:21:57,119 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: So I just think he's dumb, he's aired, he's overthinking things,

417
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,639
Speaker 1: and he's not gonna be a head coach for more

418
00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 1: than a year for this Eagles team. Everything I've seen

419
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 1: for this guy, he's a good rally, rally guy, he's

420
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 1: an assistant. This guy is not a head coach. So

421
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 1: that's that's why I'm so out on this Eagles team.

422
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,560
Speaker 1: But at this number, I gotta bite the bullet. I

423
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 1: gotta take this just because this is so inflated. And

424
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: we talked that, uh, how many times have we faded

425
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:21,680
Speaker 1: the Chiefs and it's worked out for us. It feels

426
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: like every time. So we have to keep it going

427
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 1: until they until they win to cover a couple of

428
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 1: games in a row. We'll just keep going against the

429
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,959
Speaker 1: Chiefs and making money. I don't think anybody listening can

430
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:35,080
Speaker 1: sens any bias against the coaches that are leading our

431
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 1: hometown teams in the Bears and the Eagles. There's nothing

432
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: yeah victriolic about any of these language. Houston Texans at

433
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,959
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. The Texans are on the road, sixteen and

434
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 1: a half point underdogs to Matt Mitchell's looking amazing, turning

435
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 1: the tide, clearly getting over their issues from week one.

436
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:05,400
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. The Bills make men. You can something, throw

437
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 1: your hand on something, throw your hand back, and come

438
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,360
Speaker 1: on now the Bills. I'm thinking it happen now. This

439
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: moved so I opened a fourteen. It's up to sixteen

440
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 1: and a half. Interestingly, the betting tickets are fifty one

441
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:29,120
Speaker 1: forty nine in favor of the Texans right now. Yeah,

442
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: easy opinion. These either stay away, you take the Bills.

443
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: Uh cannot take David Mills on the road. This this

444
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 1: kid cannot put the drives together. If it's third and five,

445
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: it might as well be third and twenty for this kid.

446
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 1: It's just Houston is a train wreck. The only reason

447
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: we were in on them was because Tarad is just

448
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 1: a solid quarterback and affect these out. I cannot trust

449
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: a rookie making his first start on the road. Uh,

450
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 1: let alone this one. So yeah, I'm either gonna be

451
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 1: on the Bills or I'm just gonna be passing this game.

452
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,400
Speaker 1: I don't even want to talk about it that much.

453
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:04,159
Speaker 1: It's going to be the corner TV game right Like,

454
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 1: there's a lot of Bills fans, I get it, but

455
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 1: there's not enough Texas fans that the books are going

456
00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 1: to think, Oh, this is a game that is attracting

457
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 1: people's attention. Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys. My favorite team,

458
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:22,119
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers four and a half point underdogs on

459
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 1: the road against the Dallas Cowboys. This to me is

460
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:30,359
Speaker 1: a must bet Panthers and must play. We have to

461
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 1: put this one in. Cowboys have looked good and actually

462
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 1: a little side play. I've already bet the under in

463
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 1: this game as well. Dallas has played well. Doc has

464
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 1: played incredibly smart since he's been back, not taking too

465
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: bigger hits, making the right reads, throwing the right passes.

466
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 1: Carolina's defense looks for real. I know that McCaffrey injury

467
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 1: is gonna be a big deal, and you know we're

468
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 1: all waiting for the shooter drop on Sam Donald. This

469
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 1: just doesn't seem like a situation where it's gonna fall

470
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: apart for them. They have everything rolling they've had the

471
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 1: extent of time because they played there is a last

472
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,120
Speaker 1: week Cowboys are feeling themselves. This line will be inflated

473
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 1: because of all the Cowboy loyalists bet in this lineup. Yeah,

474
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: we're taking this number, and it's interesting. These are both um,

475
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 1: I think they're the last two teams that are undefeated

476
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:18,080
Speaker 1: against the spread or no denvers as well. So yeah,

477
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 1: this is where might be playing on fire here. But

478
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep Ryan with a hot hand in riding

479
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 1: Carolina because I just can't see their defense really again

480
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 1: blown out. And this is just a really good situation

481
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 1: where the Cowboys just had a huge, huge win and

482
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: the visional arrival. Now there's a big letdown game the

483
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 1: following week, so we we like this number a lot.

484
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 1: I've definitely I'm not doing it right now, but um,

485
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a decent amount invested on the money

486
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:44,639
Speaker 1: line of Carolina. So if you want to make this

487
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 1: my sigmon says played chat out, I don't hate it.

488
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 1: Signon says sign do go. But the Panthers plus four

489
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 1: and a half this felt like an obvious one for

490
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 1: all the reason. As you just said, I do worry

491
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,199
Speaker 1: a little bit. I do worry a little bit that

492
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 1: we have consistently undervalued the Cowboys. They looked much much

493
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: better in the opening night game than we thought they would.

494
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 1: They looked much much better last night. Their defense seems

495
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,400
Speaker 1: to have more speed, They fly around the ball. Mike

496
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: McCarthy is still a horrible decision maker, and in a

497
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: game like this, this might be the difference between the

498
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 1: Cowboys winning and losing. Um So, I do have a

499
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 1: lot of confidence. I think Matt Rules an incredible coach.

500
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,760
Speaker 1: We started seeing this last year. We've also talked about

501
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 1: how the opportunity to find value on a team like

502
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:42,439
Speaker 1: the Panthers waynes much more quickly because there's more people betting,

503
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 1: more people seeing how well they're doing. So it's changing

504
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: their power wading for bookmakers. But this is a spot

505
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:49,840
Speaker 1: where I do think you're getting a little bit of value.

506
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 1: Um So, Cowboys. Sorry, if you boys your minds three,

507
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 1: I'd probably be on them. That's what I had this

508
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: game at. It's just the fact that you can get five,

509
00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 1: four and a half a different books right now. That's

510
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 1: it's just an inflated line. So that's why it's not

511
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: that I hate the Cowboys. It's just the line just

512
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 1: isn't favored their way. I neglected to ask you two

513
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 1: things you just mentioned. You already got the under on

514
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 1: this game. The total on the Panthers Cowboys is fifty

515
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:18,200
Speaker 1: and a half. UM. We have gone through Jack's Bengals.

516
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 1: The total on that is uh forty five and a

517
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:27,679
Speaker 1: half UM. Any immediate thoughts there? Yeah, I did the

518
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 1: over for the Bengals again. I think the Bengals defensive suspect,

519
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 1: I think the Jaguars defensive suspect Saints Giants was forty three.

520
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:41,400
Speaker 1: Have you done that? Nah? Eagles Chiefs was fifty four

521
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,640
Speaker 1: and a half. Have you done that? About the under?

522
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,719
Speaker 1: But it's just it's literally a fade against Hurts. It's like, okay,

523
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,000
Speaker 1: this this offense might be broken for this Eagles team

524
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: they had, I know they had a flukey touchdown or

525
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 1: two at the end of there, but their offenses, like again,

526
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 1: they scored eleven against the forty niners and they would

527
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 1: have scored seven against the Cowboys in a full game.

528
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 1: It was that last flukey touchdown. So I like the

529
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 1: under in that one. Texans Bills, did you do that yet?

530
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: That's actually took again? Took the under. People hate it,

531
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 1: but I'm an under guy. Um took the under again

532
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:18,840
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539
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540
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:44,440
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541
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 1: Just look for SGP icons on any matchup and you'll

542
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,640
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566
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show. How quickly lines come

567
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 1: out Sunday night, last come out Monday morning? How many

568
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 1: bets do you think you make in the first twenty

569
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: four hours of lens are open every take? But again

570
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: it's all small, like a couple couple hundred dollars here,

571
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 1: maybe two hundred here, and maybe a couple of fifty here,

572
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: and then one or two couple of thousand dollar bets

573
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: just because the books limit, like they Lemon told about

574
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,959
Speaker 1: Wednesday Thursday, how much you can get down? All right,

575
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings. It looks like I'm seeing

576
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 1: a couple of different things, anywhere from one and a

577
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 1: half to two and a half. The Browns are favored,

578
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 1: the Vikings at home getting points. You should have listened

579
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 1: to me last week. We love the Vikings and dogs

580
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 1: at homes chat hop on the train. Baby, why didn't

581
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 1: we do it? I don't remember what happened. I said,

582
00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 1: I said, what we have to do one neither the

583
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: rams or them. We end up going to rams, which

584
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 1: didn't matter. Um, yeah, we we love. We talked about

585
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 1: it last week. Zermers. A dog at home has just

586
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: been so profitable to us over the years. This is

587
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 1: a typical game where we see this being a shootout

588
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: because Cleveland's defense again, they're improved, but Houston was running

589
00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,280
Speaker 1: all over them. They're passing all over them the same

590
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: way as the Chiefs it was more about the Bears

591
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 1: just having a let down game. So I like the

592
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: Vikings and I like the over. In this game, the

593
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 1: over has moved six points. Oh my god, never mind. Then, Yeah,

594
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 1: I hit that. I hit that Sunday night. That's shocking.

595
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: It's moved that much. I mean it moved from forty

596
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 1: seven and a half to the fifty three and a half. Yeah,

597
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 1: so I got a fourty and a half. Wow. Wow,

598
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: that's that's so the pros have hit that. Um, stay away, people,

599
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 1: that's scared. That's scary. That's a lot of money to

600
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:56,640
Speaker 1: move at that many points. Big, that's officer bigly, That's

601
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 1: that's crazy. Look, I think you're a hundred percent right

602
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: about the ounds. I think there's vikings defense can get

603
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 1: after it. I think that um that the Browns benefited

604
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 1: from looking so good against a terrible, terrible, terrible Bears team,

605
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: And now you can look at the Vikings and say, Okay,

606
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 1: they lost to a Bengals team that might be better

607
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 1: than we think. Yeah, they lost to a Cardinals team

608
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 1: on a flute play that might be better than we think.

609
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: So all of a sudden, the Vikings being one and

610
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 1: two and being sort of a a underdog at home

611
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 1: that's undervalue makes a lot more sense. I'm gonna teaser

612
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 1: again too, if you're scared to take the stummach of people,

613
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 1: haven't having the vikings last week plus eight and a

614
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: half at home was never, never in doubt. So that's

615
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 1: how I feel again this week you have them over

616
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 1: a touchdown in a teaser, because that plus two right now? Fame?

617
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 1: Do I believe you take that in a teaser? But

618
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 1: for us, straight up, I have no problem taking this

619
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: love a lot and this is uh, this is like

620
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 1: you just said, there's too much faith being put into

621
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: this Browns team that shut down a rookie quarterback making

622
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 1: us first start on the road. I mean that game

623
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: got a lot of attention. Oh yeah, I mean people

624
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 1: are gonna talk about that all week. I mean, the

625
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 1: Naggy drama. It's just that's content king for all these channels.

626
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 1: But the way, here's my sid um and bubble head

627
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 1: Dog still the greatest quarterback in Chicago Bears history. But

628
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 1: I believe in Justin Fields not saying I don't. I

629
00:33:27,320 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: don't believe Matt Aggie. I am saying that right now.

630
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 1: We're already talking about like in the Giants plus seven

631
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 1: and a half, even though that's never gonna last into Thursday.

632
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: We like the Vikings plus two and a half. Um

633
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 1: and we like the Eagles plus seven and a half.

634
00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: This is grow it's only about the worst chat you

635
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 1: don't want to know to be my biggest beats this

636
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: week so far, they're coming up. Oh god, well we

637
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 1: we also, by the way, we already decided that the

638
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 1: Panthers plus four and a half, as our signing says

639
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 1: better the week, So go bet it. Take a little

640
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: of the money line to a little bit to a

641
00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 1: half the unit of the money line. Detroit Lions at

642
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. The game opened it Lions plus five and

643
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:16,959
Speaker 1: a half down to Lions really plus two and a half.

644
00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 1: Of course, we take the Bears, your Chad, the same

645
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 1: reason we took the Bears against Cincinnati at home. The

646
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: Bears always play better at home. You're never gonna have

647
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 1: a time in the season where the Lions won't be

648
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,680
Speaker 1: more overvalued. Uh, they should have won last week. The

649
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,280
Speaker 1: bookmakers are kind of counting as a win. The bettors

650
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: are counting as a win. They've coming heavy on the

651
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:37,880
Speaker 1: Lions and they've completely tossed out the Bears. I'm not

652
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,759
Speaker 1: making anyone bet this. There's no chances between our contests.

653
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 1: This is a pros versus show's game. The only logic

654
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 1: I can give you for taking the Bears. They're not

655
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 1: as bad as they look against Cleveland. It's like we

656
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 1: talked about, it felt like sabotage by Naggie. I know

657
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:54,280
Speaker 1: it's not. I know, like that's just crazy conspiracy theorists

658
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 1: as a fan, but man like you literally watched the game.

659
00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:00,680
Speaker 1: He didn't change a single thing from Andy dlt offense

660
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 1: to Justin fields even though they're completely different styles. Terrifying, terrifying, terrifying.

661
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 1: So I will betting the Bears. By if someone came

662
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:11,319
Speaker 1: to me and said, hey, I've I've taken the lines,

663
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 1: I've put them in a teaser as well, good good bet.

664
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 1: Because this is I I have zero confidences betting this.

665
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: I'm just betting simply the number that this should be

666
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 1: minus three and a half. It's minus three minus two

667
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 1: and a half. I take the Bears. I will say

668
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:28,840
Speaker 1: one thing. I think that the Lions are tougher and

669
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 1: better than anyone who's giving them credit for. And we

670
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 1: all made fun of Dan Campbell. We all made fun

671
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 1: of the biting the kneecaps thing um. But this team, Look,

672
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 1: they came back strong against the Niners in Week one,

673
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 1: never stopped. We're the only ones that bet down on

674
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 1: that game. Better mid eight and a half, they played

675
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 1: the Packers really, really well until Jared Goff realized the

676
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,440
Speaker 1: ball was wet. They went toe to toe, punching the

677
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 1: Ravens in the mouth. You know, I love these underdog

678
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,479
Speaker 1: like parlays. I had the lines in there that would

679
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 1: have been a great hit for me, But as soon

680
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: as Tucker came out. I don't know about you, but

681
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: I was just like, there's no way that he misses this.

682
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 1: It's just that guy is one of a kind. God,

683
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:14,400
Speaker 1: I hate kickers chat. They affect so much money in

684
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:16,840
Speaker 1: my life. The total in this game for the Bears

685
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 1: lines is forty two and a half. Again another one.

686
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 1: I'll be eire on the under. I won't bet it.

687
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans at New York Jets right now, this game

688
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,880
Speaker 1: move from the Titans three and a half the Titans

689
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 1: seven and a half. This is this is where you

690
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:38,239
Speaker 1: have to reach deep down into your soul, pull up

691
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 1: your courage to bet the New York Jets. And if

692
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 1: you tell me this is you're gonna be your biggest bet.

693
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: If you tell me right now, your biggest bet is

694
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,319
Speaker 1: on the New York Jets. I may have to turn

695
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 1: off the zoom. It's not but it's pretty close. Take

696
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 1: the points, take the money line. This is like one

697
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,120
Speaker 1: of my favorite upsets of the day. Jets are winning

698
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:01,919
Speaker 1: this game. I don't know how. Nothing makes sense. Love

699
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 1: love love love, love, love love love. The Jets in

700
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 1: this position are in the foxhill. I'm calling it right now,

701
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 1: Right now, let's climb down into the foxhole. You and

702
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,960
Speaker 1: I are in the foxhill together on the New York

703
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 1: Football Jets. That's terrible. It is You're you're looking for logic, people,

704
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 1: There is no logic behind this bet. The Jets are horrible,

705
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:36,800
Speaker 1: their old lines banged up. Their quarterback is bad, bad,

706
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 1: bad bad. Uh. This number is huge. This is a

707
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 1: way too big of a number for a Tennessee team.

708
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 1: That okay, huge upset win over the Seahawks. Then they

709
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,840
Speaker 1: come home, they get a big win against division arrival

710
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 1: on the Colts, which the coult have owned that the

711
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:54,720
Speaker 1: last couple of years. So that is a huge, huge

712
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,879
Speaker 1: win for Tennessee Titans. Now they're going on the way

713
00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 1: to play a Jets team that I don't think they

714
00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:04,720
Speaker 1: scored single point against Denver Um. Yeah, Chad, this is gross.

715
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 1: This is right up my alley. This is this is

716
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 1: what I love to do, suffer and pain. These rookies

717
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: cannot keep not covering the like eventually tide has to turn.

718
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 1: This is insane. Vegas has given us a lot of

719
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:18,239
Speaker 1: a lot of points here. They're given us a lot

720
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 1: of value to say, please, someone save us and bet

721
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: us with the Jets. And I'm that guy. Um, I

722
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:26,760
Speaker 1: promise you right now, I won't put this on convinced

723
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 1: me because I feel so terrible with the Jags, But

724
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 1: this is this is one of my favorite bets of

725
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: the week, the Jets plus seven a half. Jesus Christ,

726
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,239
Speaker 1: something's gotta knock on these people and survivor contest like,

727
00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: there's gonna be some crazy upsets this This has to

728
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 1: be one on on the board. I mean, Zack Wilson.

729
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:49,440
Speaker 1: You jumped off that Zack Wilson bandwagon pretty quickly, because

730
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 1: three or four weeks ago you're talking about how you

731
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: think he's the best of the rookie class. Still do um.

732
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: He's just not putting position to concede. I mean my

733
00:38:57,320 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: early reads were spot on. Mac Jones. Ain't that good.

734
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence not in a good position right now. The

735
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 1: head coaching is terrible. Uh, we'll see the justin fields thing,

736
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 1: you know. I feel about that. Ohio State doesn't produce quarterbacks.

737
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 1: The Bears can't draft quarterbacks. Uh. Tray Lance right now,

738
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:15,920
Speaker 1: I think he's like third for Rookie of the Year

739
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 1: because he's not playing. That's that's all you have to

740
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: say about this rookie class right now. That's how bad

741
00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 1: the rookie classes. Trey Lance has been in for like

742
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 1: three plays adowns, all touchdowns, and he's third in the

743
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,720
Speaker 1: year in Rookie of the Year balloting. Yeah, in Rookie

744
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 1: of the Year odds. Oh my god, that's so true.

745
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 1: Indianapolis Cults at Miami Dolphins. Dolphins are very short home

746
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 1: favorites here. These are not very good teams. These are

747
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 1: teams that that are not living up to any of

748
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 1: the expectations that we had before the season began. The

749
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 1: total in this game is forty three and a half

750
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,919
Speaker 1: right now, which dropped three and a half points from

751
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,400
Speaker 1: I don't know about this one. Simon bet Miami, I

752
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:58,680
Speaker 1: bet the over. Bet to pass for me. Uh, probably

753
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 1: won't have more than two to three in this game.

754
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 1: Do not want to watch it, don't care about it,

755
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 1: Not gonna learn anything from it. Path Washington football team

756
00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 1: at Atlanta Falcons. The Atlanta Falcons who we have loved, loved, loved,

757
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,279
Speaker 1: and then the one week we know we love them

758
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: but are too scared of that, then they cover a

759
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 1: short favorite. I don't think this Washington football team is

760
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,560
Speaker 1: good enough to be a road favorite, but I don't

761
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,319
Speaker 1: think this Atlanta Falcons team is good enough to be

762
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,680
Speaker 1: a winner in the NFL. Yeah, that's what that. We're

763
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 1: simply taking Washington just because we don't believe Atlantic can

764
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:35,280
Speaker 1: went back to back game. Washington is a more complete team.

765
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 1: They have a defense that can. Again, the defenses look horrible,

766
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:39,759
Speaker 1: but I still have faith in that defense being like,

767
00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:42,319
Speaker 1: get stops when they need to. It's gonna be a

768
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:45,520
Speaker 1: big difference going from Josh Allen, a guy who's playing

769
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 1: m VP level to Matt Ryan, who, man, did he

770
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:50,880
Speaker 1: look bad against the Giants in that game. It's crazy

771
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,920
Speaker 1: they end up winning and covering that game. I like Washington.

772
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:58,799
Speaker 1: I like to get heineyke. It's it's not the very

773
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:00,880
Speaker 1: pro of me to not take the home dog. But

774
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 1: they're certain situations where I just don't do it, and

775
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,000
Speaker 1: this is one of them where I just like you

776
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 1: just said, I can't back to Stlanta team. I don't

777
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 1: trust that coaching. I don't trust the offensive scheme. I

778
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:14,800
Speaker 1: like Washington to bounce back here. It's not pro of

779
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:20,280
Speaker 1: you at all to take the short road favorite against

780
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 1: and especially with the defense isn't just not very good,

781
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 1: Like their secondary is terrible. And we thought this front

782
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 1: four for Washington would get some kind of pressure. They're

783
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 1: not getting any Uh. They look mediocre to bad. Um.

784
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 1: I think I thought they had a chance to get

785
00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:44,280
Speaker 1: the bills. You didn't. You correctly predicted, Matt Mitchell correctly

786
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 1: predicted this would be a blowout. Josh Allen, MVP game.

787
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 1: Congrats who you guys are right? Um, I'm more curious

788
00:41:55,920 --> 00:42:00,839
Speaker 1: about how bad the Falcons offenses were. If Matt Ryan,

789
00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:05,080
Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley, and Arthur Smith, they're terrible. And do you

790
00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 1: want to touch on that Washington defense real quick? They

791
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 1: look pretty good against Herbert week one. I think that

792
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 1: they only end up with what points uh the Chargers

793
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:18,440
Speaker 1: Week one Daniel Jones. Obviously that was kind of anomaly.

794
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 1: It was a Thursday night short week. He ran the

795
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 1: ball over them and then they played Josh Allen. I

796
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 1: guy we're talking about for m v P. So I

797
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 1: am with people. I get all the hate Washington's defense

798
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 1: is getting right now, but I'm just not ready to

799
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 1: be like, Okay, these guys aren't that good and they're

800
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 1: pretty terrible. Um, this is just a really nice bounce

801
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: back spot. So that's why I just like Washington. I've

802
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 1: been I've seen this movie before. That's what it feels

803
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,600
Speaker 1: like where you know, I'm starting to feel a Lanta again.

804
00:42:41,640 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 1: I feel good after they got to win from me

805
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 1: outright and a cover. No, I'm not getting sucked back in.

806
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Washington. You just got the crack

807
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 1: pictoubtible by the way, literally as I'm talking, because we've

808
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:55,280
Speaker 1: talked about this, I've got all the odds, I've got

809
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,960
Speaker 1: everything in front of me looking at the Action Network.

810
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 1: UM page that just came in on the Washington football

811
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:09,239
Speaker 1: team decent size bet No, oh my god, that would

812
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 1: have been insane. No I did send that out the

813
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: clients though, Oh my god, that's so crazy. Which was

814
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 1: it for I don't even I can't tell you how

815
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 1: much it was. I don't have I don't see it.

816
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:23,840
Speaker 1: I just know that the number moved. Okay, that is wild.

817
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 1: I love that line. Church, Uh, Seahawks. Let's see here.

818
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,239
Speaker 1: We are now going to the four Cloud Games, Seattle

819
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 1: Seahawks at San Francisco. Forty Niners. Oh gosh, oh gosh,

820
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:41,719
Speaker 1: this line has moved to a key number. It was

821
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 1: nine ers three and a half. It is now Niners

822
00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,840
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. For the love of God,

823
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 1: for the love of all that is holy, I want

824
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 1: to take the Niners so badly here, but I'm very

825
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 1: concerned about that secondary and Russell Wilson, if he does anything,

826
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:02,760
Speaker 1: drops bombs and the number of past interference penalties against

827
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 1: the Niners and the rookie DBS gives me payings, and

828
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: now it's impacting how I think about betting. Yep, we're

829
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:14,359
Speaker 1: going chalk the Mahomes. Just like Russell Wilson. This would

830
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:16,640
Speaker 1: be his third straight loss. If he loses this game.

831
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 1: We do not live in a world Russell Wilson will

832
00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: lose three straight games. We will be taking the chalks

833
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 1: the plus two and a half. We will take the

834
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,000
Speaker 1: Seahawks here, but you're saying we'll take the chalk, and

835
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: then you're saying we'll take Seattle. Seattle's plus two and

836
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, it's chalk though they're the public dog.

837
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:33,120
Speaker 1: They're one of the public dogs of the week. I

838
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 1: bet you all the money's coming on the Seahawks. People

839
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:37,319
Speaker 1: are thinking just like us. That's why the lines moved

840
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,560
Speaker 1: so much. That's the Chalky play taking Seahawks. But I'm

841
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:42,759
Speaker 1: cool that I like them in this position. Like Chad

842
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,319
Speaker 1: just talked about the secondary and Jimmy Jimmy g Man,

843
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 1: he just makes some decisions where it's like, why don't

844
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:49,440
Speaker 1: why not just put Trey Lanson and just get this

845
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:51,520
Speaker 1: party started. We know we're not winning Super ol. Jimmy

846
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 1: j Well, there are plenty of times the other day

847
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 1: where it looked like this team isn't as an athletic,

848
00:44:56,760 --> 00:45:01,880
Speaker 1: isn't athletic enough to miss opera oportunities, And Jimmy g

849
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 1: just couldn't do certain things that trade Lance could, especially

850
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 1: in short down situations. We're aligned. I was confused because

851
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 1: I've never heard the term chalk used for an underdog.

852
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,600
Speaker 1: I've always only heard it used for favorites, but the

853
00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: way you used it was really for whoever is getting

854
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: the most bets this week, and so that makes sense.

855
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 1: I can live with that. Yeah. And it's like the

856
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:24,479
Speaker 1: guy you go to the gas station, you know, he said,

857
00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 1: who do you like this week? Fort or Seahawks. It

858
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 1: was like Seahawks by two touchdowns. So that's why I

859
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 1: just feel like the Chalky play. It's like people are

860
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:36,239
Speaker 1: just out on the fourty niners, you know, the old

861
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 1: gas station test. It's my favorite one. I get it.

862
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:46,280
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams. The other NFC West matchup,

863
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:49,000
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals on the road. You're getting this at about

864
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:55,400
Speaker 1: Rams minus four and a half. Tough game, Uh, scary

865
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:58,879
Speaker 1: backdoor game. But I'll be on the Rams, but don't

866
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:00,719
Speaker 1: feel confident enough to make it's one of our best

867
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:04,280
Speaker 1: five and it'sxactly one of my bigger bets either. Um

868
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 1: Murray is playing at a really high level right now.

869
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 1: The Cardinals they have major issues on that defense, but

870
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,279
Speaker 1: with this offense, they're always gonna be in it. They

871
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 1: just have so many weapons. So I do like the

872
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 1: Rams because I just like their defense be able to

873
00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:20,879
Speaker 1: get stops, but I can't be confident enough to make

874
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 1: this one of our best five. A little bit of

875
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 1: approse Joe split here. The bets are on the Rams,

876
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 1: the money on the Cardinals. It's because he opened at

877
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:36,879
Speaker 1: six like that was a good number, taking the Cards

878
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,719
Speaker 1: at that number, So now it's dropped way down to

879
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 1: four and a half. So I bet you by the

880
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 1: time the game gets closer, the money is definitely gonna

881
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:48,600
Speaker 1: be shifted towards the Rams. Yeah, everything about me says

882
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:51,840
Speaker 1: everything about this game screams take the Rams. It really

883
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:55,160
Speaker 1: does this to me. This is this is a we

884
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 1: don't know who these Cardinals are yet, right, and um,

885
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 1: the way they beat Titans, the way they beat the Jags,

886
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 1: the way they beat the Vikings different ways kind of

887
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:10,760
Speaker 1: dominated the Titans in a way nobody expected. Got lucky

888
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 1: against the Vikings, a team that may be better than

889
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:16,480
Speaker 1: we think, and they held them off. So credit to them.

890
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,520
Speaker 1: Won an ugly game as a big road favorite that

891
00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:23,440
Speaker 1: they should get credit for, which had flukey plays um

892
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 1: that normally leads to not just losing against the spread,

893
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: but losing the game out right. They did all the

894
00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 1: right things. They did the things the winning team does,

895
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:36,400
Speaker 1: and we know Cliff Kingsbury can win in September and October.

896
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 1: That's how I want to stay away. Like, like you

897
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 1: just said, everything points to their rams. But everything you

898
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:42,719
Speaker 1: just said is why it's like, but the Cardinals are

899
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 1: in this they're a good team. So just for me,

900
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 1: it's it's too tight to really bet a lot of

901
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:49,279
Speaker 1: money on this one. Have we gotten to the game

902
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:52,839
Speaker 1: that is your biggest bet of the weekend? At Pittsburgh

903
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:58,920
Speaker 1: Steelers at Green Bay Packers. The Steelers are seven point underdogs.

904
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 1: Pro games add pro game. You take the good defense

905
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh to bounce back. Roethlisberger is a moving corpse.

906
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:08,760
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers is playing like an m v P. Again.

907
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,759
Speaker 1: I can't tell you people, Uh, do your thing, go

908
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 1: do your teasers, do whatever you want. With Green Bay,

909
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:17,200
Speaker 1: it's gonna be me and three other guys be in Pittsburgh.

910
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:19,279
Speaker 1: This is like the same thing with Miami last week.

911
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,280
Speaker 1: Doesn't make any sense. The number doesn't make any sense.

912
00:48:23,040 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: But we bet the number and we take the value,

913
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:28,240
Speaker 1: and you know, we hope that on fourth and nineteen

914
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,239
Speaker 1: Roethlisberger somehow converts it and gets us a backdoor cover

915
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 1: because he he looks like he should retire. He he

916
00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 1: doesn't not look like a quarterback that you still still

917
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:40,480
Speaker 1: be playing. So it's a terrifying game. I just had

918
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:42,040
Speaker 1: to tell people, like I had this rate up four

919
00:48:42,040 --> 00:48:44,040
Speaker 1: and a half, it's alway up to seven six and

920
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: a half. Now, that's why I take Pittsburgh here. But

921
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 1: it's it's disgusting. I hate that I have to bet

922
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 1: this game, but I have to. There's no way we're

923
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 1: putting in this game in our contests. No, there's I look,

924
00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:57,280
Speaker 1: there's a bunch of games I like way more. Well,

925
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:59,160
Speaker 1: we're getting down to it, like there's not that many

926
00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:02,440
Speaker 1: games left and right now we're looking at Giants plus

927
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:04,440
Speaker 1: seven and a half, Eagles seven and a half, Panthers

928
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:06,560
Speaker 1: four and a half, Bikes two and a half. I

929
00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 1: don't think we're putting the Bears minus two and a

930
00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 1: half in the Jets plus eight in there. So like

931
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:14,000
Speaker 1: we're not giving ourselves a ton of options on the menu.

932
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 1: Do you know what I'm saying, Don't don't be so quick.

933
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 1: You're those Jets though, all right, well we'll think about it. Yeah,

934
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,040
Speaker 1: if you want to take Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

935
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:25,360
Speaker 1: I'm here for you. Jet. Look, Mike Tomlin is a

936
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 1: Rob Rock coach. There in a raw rock spot. They

937
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:33,360
Speaker 1: need to win. What ra ra Mike Tomlin spot. We

938
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 1: win the game with the pool bodies right here today,

939
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 1: bring all the game to day. They're going into enemy

940
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,760
Speaker 1: territory in a big game against the best quarterback in football.

941
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 1: This is exactly the spot where you take the Steelers.

942
00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 1: It's Rob Rob, Mike, Rob Rob Mike. Let's hear it

943
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,200
Speaker 1: from you, Mike. Let the greatest of all time. Look

944
00:49:54,239 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 1: at your work, all right. Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos

945
00:49:59,239 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 1: Broncos light slight home favorites. Oh goodness, this is this

946
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:07,520
Speaker 1: is it the biggest bet of the day by far.

947
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 1: Love the Broncos. I got on the train last week

948
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:13,120
Speaker 1: with Lamar and he burned me. This is not a

949
00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: team below five hundred has an incredibly legit defense, and

950
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 1: then they've had a lot of injuries at the wide

951
00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:21,120
Speaker 1: receiver position, which is scary with Teddy Bridgewater like his

952
00:50:21,239 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 1: only guy left to Sutton. Lets still have no offense

953
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 1: and they still have a two headed horse in that's

954
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 1: running game. And we've seen Baltimore is not can't overcome

955
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:31,120
Speaker 1: all these injuries. So you're telling me we're getting a

956
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 1: team that's getting barely ad the money any of the

957
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:37,839
Speaker 1: tickets in Denver at home Milahai. I love it, Chad,

958
00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:39,680
Speaker 1: love it, love it, love it. This is guaranteed to

959
00:50:39,680 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 1: be locked in one of our five this game. The

960
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: way the tickets are trending right now, I would not

961
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: be surprised what the Ravens are if this flips like

962
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 1: the like the Bucks and the Rams last week, Like

963
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 1: ultimately on Sunday, we're gonna be betting on the Broncos

964
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 1: is under ducks because I've already like I've already seen

965
00:50:57,680 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: it where this is a This is one of the

966
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:01,560
Speaker 1: bigger bets earlier the week on teasers. People are really

967
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 1: laying into the Baltimore Ravens. They're getting them up to

968
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:06,200
Speaker 1: six and seven and a half seven right now, So

969
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,520
Speaker 1: be careful of people. This feels like a good trap

970
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:11,200
Speaker 1: here with the Ravens, the Broncos with Teddy Covers. You

971
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:12,799
Speaker 1: know how I feel about him, and I feel like

972
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 1: we've made mistakes and not bagging him more. He's three

973
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:18,680
Speaker 1: and notes this year, Like what the hell were you

974
00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:21,520
Speaker 1: doing show. Honestly, sometimes what you see in front of

975
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 1: you is what it is. You don't have to fool yourself.

976
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:26,879
Speaker 1: Sometimes we do that. We fools like we wrote them.

977
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:29,920
Speaker 1: I mean, I learned forget last year we took him.

978
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,720
Speaker 1: I believe it's eight and a half underdog at Kansas City.

979
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 1: We might have been the only US and four other

980
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:37,440
Speaker 1: people about that game, and like the last seconds, Teddy

981
00:51:37,440 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 1: got us that cover and that's just where it's like,

982
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 1: I love this guy. All he does is cover. So

983
00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:43,680
Speaker 1: I hated that we haven't we haven't used them this year.

984
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:50,840
Speaker 1: The biggest game in the history of the NFL is

985
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:55,919
Speaker 1: happening on Sunday night on NBC Tampa Bay Buccaneers at

986
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 1: New England Patriots. The New England Patriots are six and

987
00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:03,960
Speaker 1: a half point underdogs at home in this game. The

988
00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:07,560
Speaker 1: line opened to three. Oh my god. It goes against

989
00:52:07,560 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 1: everything I believe in. But I truly believe that the

990
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 1: reason why the Patriots were the team that broke every

991
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 1: rule for betters in the past twenty years, it's clearly

992
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:20,400
Speaker 1: because of Tom Brady. So I'm betting on Tom Brady

993
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 1: to break the rules again. Is a big favorite on

994
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 1: the road, well, do it as a coward. That's what

995
00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 1: I'm doing. I've already teased this game. I tease them

996
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:29,399
Speaker 1: with the Chiefs. I did a couple of teasers with

997
00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 1: this game, Simon Hunter, professional coward. In no world does

998
00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 1: Tom Brady lose this game. But as a pro, this

999
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 1: game is gonna get up the seven seven and a half.

1000
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:41,480
Speaker 1: That's when I take the Patriots. I'm gonna keep waiting.

1001
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:43,920
Speaker 1: I haven't put a dime invested into the Patriots yet,

1002
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:45,960
Speaker 1: But even though I know I'm going to bet the Patriots,

1003
00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 1: keep waiting. This is gonna keep growing. Everyone's gonna hitting

1004
00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:51,799
Speaker 1: this on money lines. Everyone's gonna hitting the teaser. People

1005
00:52:51,800 --> 00:52:55,440
Speaker 1: are gonna betting the straight Tom Brady in a landslide.

1006
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 1: Of course, little back door hope, that's all I'm hoping for.

1007
00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:01,360
Speaker 1: I guess this bad secondary of the Buccaneers. I'm just

1008
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 1: hoping that gets me in the back door when this

1009
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,239
Speaker 1: gets up to seven and seven a half. So if

1010
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 1: you're with me and you want to take the Patriots

1011
00:53:07,200 --> 00:53:09,319
Speaker 1: and you've already missed teasing them down to a pick

1012
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,880
Speaker 1: with the Buccaneers, just wait. This is gonna keep going up.

1013
00:53:12,920 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 1: So I feel confident that I'm midle on the middle

1014
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:18,080
Speaker 1: of this game here and take the Bucks outright while

1015
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 1: getting the seven and a half of the Patriots. I mean,

1016
00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:25,320
Speaker 1: here's the problem is, Matt Jones can't throw the ball

1017
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: to the back door. He doesn't. He can't see it

1018
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:31,440
Speaker 1: from where he stands. It's not in his root tree

1019
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:34,640
Speaker 1: to throw the ball through the back door because he

1020
00:53:34,719 --> 00:53:38,600
Speaker 1: doesn't throw it down field. He doesn't. He's a dinging dunker.

1021
00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:40,920
Speaker 1: I mean, we talked about it. That's why I never

1022
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,239
Speaker 1: got the hype for him at three. He is what

1023
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:45,840
Speaker 1: he is there. There is no upside like there is

1024
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 1: with Trey Lance or Justin Fields, and these other quarterbacks

1025
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:51,320
Speaker 1: are drifted the head of him. Um mac is a

1026
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:55,839
Speaker 1: game manager, but he's actually surprisingly good shot at doing

1027
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:58,239
Speaker 1: these quick throws and intermedial thinks. He's just not a

1028
00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:00,360
Speaker 1: long ball player. Like they're not gonna be flose to

1029
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 1: big play team, the Patriots, but for them to grind

1030
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:05,840
Speaker 1: it out. I honestly like them here in this position

1031
00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 1: because they are kind of a grinded out team. So

1032
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:10,440
Speaker 1: it's it's more about how the Buccaneers are just so

1033
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,200
Speaker 1: banged up in the secondary that there are going to

1034
00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:16,880
Speaker 1: the opportunities for Mac Jones a capitalize on that last

1035
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 1: game on the slate, Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers,

1036
00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:31,600
Speaker 1: the first game of the season without the Manning cast,

1037
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 1: which is crushing because I've loved it. The Las Vegas

1038
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:40,800
Speaker 1: Raiders three and oh upset wins, sneaking one out against

1039
00:54:40,840 --> 00:54:44,439
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins. The Chargers are three and a half

1040
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 1: point home favorites. I love the Chargers here. I need to,

1041
00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:51,600
Speaker 1: and it makes me scary. I talked to a couple

1042
00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:54,160
Speaker 1: of the pros they bet this early at three, because

1043
00:54:54,200 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 1: I was just trying to give a get a read

1044
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,200
Speaker 1: about how that people are feeling in Vegas, because again,

1045
00:54:58,200 --> 00:54:59,799
Speaker 1: they're all a little bit of Homers. They're all going

1046
00:54:59,840 --> 00:55:01,920
Speaker 1: to the these Vegas games. Now they're all becoming die

1047
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:05,920
Speaker 1: hard Las Vegas Raiders fans, and even they're like, you

1048
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:08,120
Speaker 1: know what, Chargers are the better team, They're in the

1049
00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:12,239
Speaker 1: better spot. Take the Chargers here. Um, it's scaring me

1050
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,520
Speaker 1: a little bit, so I might flip flop on this one.

1051
00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna really give out a pick yet. Um

1052
00:55:18,160 --> 00:55:19,920
Speaker 1: I had the line of three. Now it's three and

1053
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:23,760
Speaker 1: a half, so I should be taking um. Las Vegas Raiders.

1054
00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:26,759
Speaker 1: I just don't want to do it. It's just like God,

1055
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:28,560
Speaker 1: this has when grooding and really like lays an egg

1056
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:32,399
Speaker 1: but scary, scary. But people keep hitting this up chat

1057
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 1: they bet are Derek Carr passing yards leader? If this

1058
00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:38,360
Speaker 1: guy keeps playing overtime, we're gonna kill that bet. I

1059
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 1: mean he's already played two overtime games. I think he's

1060
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,480
Speaker 1: up two hundred yards now, the closest guy in second.

1061
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,759
Speaker 1: So Derek Carr Man, we love them. It'll be an

1062
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:48,480
Speaker 1: interesting race. So I don't know who's in the second,

1063
00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:55,839
Speaker 1: but watching last night, so they the Buccaneers cannot run

1064
00:55:55,920 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 1: the ball. It's it's kind of like the same thing

1065
00:55:57,760 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 1: in Oakland, Oklan cannot run the ball, so they just

1066
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:04,000
Speaker 1: passed the time. Alright, So here's what we got right now.

1067
00:56:04,680 --> 00:56:08,560
Speaker 1: Our assignment says is the Carolina Panthers plus four and

1068
00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:11,239
Speaker 1: a half plus a taste on the money line. Our

1069
00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 1: Hornets nest is the Jets plus eight plus a taste

1070
00:56:14,040 --> 00:56:15,800
Speaker 1: on the money line. Feels like you might want to

1071
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:18,320
Speaker 1: parlay to a little money line parlor to the Panthers

1072
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:23,319
Speaker 1: and the Jets. Yeah, at least round robbing it. Who

1073
00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:24,960
Speaker 1: would we round round. Well, let's talk about the Ron

1074
00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:28,800
Speaker 1: robin on Thursday. Um, the teams that we're thinking about

1075
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:32,240
Speaker 1: that were narrowing down the field on for Thursday, Giants

1076
00:56:32,280 --> 00:56:35,120
Speaker 1: plus seven and a half, Eagles plus seven and a half,

1077
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:38,719
Speaker 1: Panthers plus four and a half, Vikes plus two and

1078
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:40,880
Speaker 1: a half. I'm putting the Bears in there at minus

1079
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:46,319
Speaker 1: two and a half, Jets plus eight, Broncos minus one

1080
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 1: right now, but probably an underdog by the time we

1081
00:56:48,719 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 1: get to it seven games. We gotta narrow it down

1082
00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:56,359
Speaker 1: to five and have some some substantive conversation about we will. Look,

1083
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:58,200
Speaker 1: there's already wanted two of those games. I could see

1084
00:56:58,239 --> 00:57:00,399
Speaker 1: us dropping, and we have a game where I could

1085
00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 1: see us switching in because again, a lot of the

1086
00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:04,359
Speaker 1: stuff on waynar and now it is just injury news,

1087
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:06,000
Speaker 1: because there's just a lot of stuff that happen on

1088
00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:08,399
Speaker 1: Sunday that we don't have enough info on Tuesday really

1089
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:11,760
Speaker 1: give out. So I love those seven of our early picks.

1090
00:57:12,400 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 1: That's why we do it again on Thursday. Do it

1091
00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, look at the whole slate, do it on Thursday.

1092
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:20,760
Speaker 1: Narrow it down based on market moves, news and information,

1093
00:57:21,240 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 1: more research than we've been able to do. Tuesday is

1094
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 1: about getting the best of the number on our early leans. Thursday,

1095
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:30,919
Speaker 1: we will narrow it down. We will give our big

1096
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 1: ball better the week. I know Matt Mitchell, our producer

1097
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:40,240
Speaker 1: has given us some reviews, so let me share because

1098
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 1: we love to get the reviews in. Oh, this is interesting. Okay,

1099
00:57:44,320 --> 00:57:47,920
Speaker 1: So this is a review from b Nash six five stars,

1100
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 1: and this is all we care about. Say whatever you

1101
00:57:50,080 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 1: want in the review doesn't matter as long as you

1102
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,400
Speaker 1: give you the five stars. Awesome Pod, Easy Listen, Great

1103
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:56,440
Speaker 1: Content would pay whatever it costs for them to re

1104
00:57:56,560 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 1: record the voiceover chick who calls out the matchups. Her

1105
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 1: voice is so annoying and I have to turn down

1106
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:03,480
Speaker 1: my radio. Also, the Simon says drop is another one

1107
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:05,520
Speaker 1: of those moments when I'm driving home and I hear

1108
00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:09,240
Speaker 1: and I consider flipping my truck over the guard rail. Man.

1109
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:13,400
Speaker 1: Most hate comments I get is about the Simon says drop.

1110
00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:15,840
Speaker 1: I have other people I love it, So I'm sorry

1111
00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:19,960
Speaker 1: for people's love or you hate it. Matt Mitchell, Well,

1112
00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 1: I'll say this. A wise man, an expert manager, and

1113
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:29,080
Speaker 1: Chad Moment told me that feedback is a gift it's

1114
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:31,640
Speaker 1: never more of a gift than when it is critical.

1115
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 1: And our friend B Nash six fifteen, who I assume

1116
00:58:35,240 --> 00:58:37,880
Speaker 1: is a man of Nashville, I appreciate this feedback. It

1117
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,919
Speaker 1: will be taken under consideration. Hopefully you will not flip

1118
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,320
Speaker 1: this truck this week or in the weeks ahead. When

1119
00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:47,040
Speaker 1: he hears these drops, I will lower their volume considerably,

1120
00:58:47,360 --> 00:58:49,360
Speaker 1: try to meet you halfway there. We're not gonna swap

1121
00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 1: out Tina or voice and related to use a national treasure.

1122
00:58:52,400 --> 00:58:56,080
Speaker 1: And the simon says, irritating song, it's part of it's

1123
00:58:56,080 --> 00:58:59,439
Speaker 1: a lure. It will help you remember irritating pecks such

1124
00:58:59,480 --> 00:59:02,760
Speaker 1: as take Carolina against America's team this week. So it's

1125
00:59:02,800 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 1: all part of the mystique. But I do appreciate five

1126
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:09,240
Speaker 1: star reviews, even when they lambasted our show and it's

1127
00:59:09,560 --> 00:59:12,880
Speaker 1: elements and I will be happy to send you some swag.

1128
00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:17,080
Speaker 1: Just email the show at podcasts Plural Podcasts at Action

1129
00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:21,240
Speaker 1: network dot com. Darren F six another five star review again,

1130
00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:23,760
Speaker 1: keep them coming. We don't mind the criticism. We love it.

1131
00:59:24,160 --> 00:59:25,680
Speaker 1: I do have a bone to pick with this one.

1132
00:59:26,200 --> 00:59:28,640
Speaker 1: I've been listening to this podcast since Chad started it

1133
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 1: with his old companion, Scooch. I want to say around

1134
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:35,640
Speaker 1: two Thou's probably close Simon, Chad's new companion, can be sharp,

1135
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:38,440
Speaker 1: but seems to live off his model, and it's constantly

1136
00:59:38,600 --> 00:59:41,680
Speaker 1: off on his opinion of teams and weekly situations. Sometimes

1137
00:59:41,760 --> 00:59:45,000
Speaker 1: I find myself talking back to the podcast as if

1138
00:59:45,040 --> 00:59:48,040
Speaker 1: I had a mic to compare it takes on miss

1139
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:50,280
Speaker 1: scooch Roulette, which is when Scooch and I went head

1140
00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: to head. I also missed Chad having a stronger opinion

1141
00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:55,640
Speaker 1: on the show. Chad seems to have gone full on

1142
00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,480
Speaker 1: do what Simon says, oh and two right now, which

1143
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:02,120
Speaker 1: is wrong, and now lives his Sundays in the foxhole

1144
01:00:02,280 --> 01:00:04,360
Speaker 1: instead of on the winning side. All in all, love

1145
01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:06,480
Speaker 1: the show, and I'm sure Simon will bounce back because

1146
01:00:06,480 --> 01:00:08,560
Speaker 1: this season goes on. I don't even know what to

1147
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 1: say about that. I go against you all the time. Yeah,

1148
01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:13,840
Speaker 1: it seems like this guy doesn't listen to the show

1149
01:00:13,880 --> 01:00:16,440
Speaker 1: clear enough. Last week I like the Ravens. Chad was

1150
01:00:16,520 --> 01:00:18,800
Speaker 1: staunch and his take and take an alliance, so we

1151
01:00:18,840 --> 01:00:21,040
Speaker 1: didn't put in the competition. But the Bills. I love

1152
01:00:21,120 --> 01:00:24,280
Speaker 1: the Washington football team with it. This guy seems like

1153
01:00:24,320 --> 01:00:26,360
Speaker 1: a hater. We went six percent last year and we

1154
01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:29,800
Speaker 1: came twenty four in the whole contest. I'm trying, man,

1155
01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:31,919
Speaker 1: I'm trying to do better than last year. It's just hard.

1156
01:00:32,040 --> 01:00:33,800
Speaker 1: This ship is really hard. I will try to get

1157
01:00:33,880 --> 01:00:35,760
Speaker 1: Chad back those old ways of the screen with me

1158
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:37,480
Speaker 1: more often. Hey, you know what I feel like. I

1159
01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 1: feel like you took that criticism harder than I did.

1160
01:00:40,400 --> 01:00:42,640
Speaker 1: I'm like Teflon man, No, I do not care. I

1161
01:00:42,720 --> 01:00:44,480
Speaker 1: did in the media game a long time. I think

1162
01:00:44,480 --> 01:00:46,800
Speaker 1: called terrible things. There's no more pain than looking at

1163
01:00:46,800 --> 01:00:49,400
Speaker 1: your bank account after losing weekends. So no this, the

1164
01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:52,800
Speaker 1: feelings are not hurt. Or you win thousands and thousands

1165
01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:54,960
Speaker 1: of dollars every weekend, and you could have won more

1166
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:58,440
Speaker 1: if not for listening to me and making bad decisions

1167
01:00:58,560 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 1: like not betting the Offalo bills. All right, keep those

1168
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:04,440
Speaker 1: five stuff reviews coming. We appreciate the criticism, Darren f

1169
01:01:04,800 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 1: Email podcasts at Action network dot com. We're gonna send

1170
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,240
Speaker 1: you some swag too. We love criticism, since feedback is

1171
01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:16,000
Speaker 1: a gift. This has been the favorite podcast from the

1172
01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:21,720
Speaker 1: volume podcast NetWorld downloaded wherever podcasts are available, Apple, Spotify,

1173
01:01:22,440 --> 01:01:25,760
Speaker 1: rate review five star, reviews, You're gonna get some swag

1174
01:01:26,520 --> 01:01:30,720
Speaker 1: until Thursday for Simon Hunter. I Am Chad Millman, I

1175
01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:31,120
Speaker 1: Love you,