1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action boss. 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 3: All right, here we go. 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 1: We're throwing in so spect. 5 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 3: We're sitting up to cash to stop. 6 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 7 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: go to win. 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 4: That's incredible being bank, small bank, I like to make money. 9 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to pass. 10 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: And we are underway. Welcome in to a live edition 11 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: of the Action Network podcast. It is our NFL week 12 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: one Sunday Night recap. Brendan Glasheen in the host chair, 13 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 1: joined by mister Brandon Anderson, one of our very best 14 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: that contributes to our NFL coverage at the Action Network, 15 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: and our director of research and media just crunching numbers, 16 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: coming up with the nuggets. To Evan Abrams. This is 17 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: your crew all year, folks. There might be some changes 18 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: in tweaks because you know life and all that jazz, 19 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: but this is your trio every Sunday night. We're doing 20 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: something a little different this year. We're live on YouTube. Also, 21 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: those of you that listen on the Action Network podcast, 22 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,759 Speaker 1: you're listening probably first thing Monday morning, so we'll talk 23 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: to you as well. But here we are, gents, looking 24 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: forward to this. We should have a lot of fun. 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: We have a lot to get to, so let's not 26 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: waste any more time. To keep it simple, we'll go 27 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: game by game. Some games we'll spend more time on 28 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:40,919 Speaker 1: than others. To keep it easy. Let's discuss the Sunday 29 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: night game that just wrapped, just went to overtime, the 30 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: Detroit Lions and the La Rams, a playoff rematch from 31 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: last year's NFC Playoffs, goes to overtime. David Montgomery just 32 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 1: pounded the rock into the end zone, twenty six to 33 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: twenty Detroit. They cover. The number goes under fifty three 34 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: and a half. Evan Abrams, I'll throw the baton your 35 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: way first, your immediate reaction. 36 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 5: There, so thinking about this game as it was going on, 37 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 5: when you saw seventeen to three and then you saw 38 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 5: the Rams come back down fourteen, it actually the only 39 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 5: thing that came to mind initially for me was the 40 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 5: fact that we'd already seen three comebacks at fourteen plus 41 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 5: points and during tonight's game, So I believe it would 42 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 5: have been like tied for the longest in the wildcard 43 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 5: era for any week if it would have happened, because 44 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 5: you already had Chicago, which we'll talk about Buffalo and Miami. 45 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 5: So big comebacks throughout the day obviously doesn't happen, and 46 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 5: the Detroit. 47 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 2: Cover train just keeps rolling. 48 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 5: So if you've laid with the Lions or taken with 49 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 5: the Lions in terms of points, which hasn't happened frequently, 50 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 5: Goffin Campbell thirty six and sixteen against the spread. 51 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 2: They just they keep rolling. 52 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 5: I think the interesting thing as well was the playoff game, 53 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 5: So this is a rematch playoff game closed Detroit minus 54 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 5: three and fifty three tonight was three and a half 55 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 5: before the week and then got ballooned up to five 56 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 5: and a half total open fifty one got up to 57 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 5: fifty three and a half fifty four, So we ended 58 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 5: up kind of in the same spot, except Detroit was 59 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 5: a little inflated and kind of didn't matter all of 60 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 5: a sudden. 61 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: Power running game by the Lions on the back of Montgomery. 62 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 1: He was excellent. Cooper Cup and Matthew Stafford, their chemistry 63 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: is strong. Stafford goes for three hundred plus a crucial 64 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: turnover in the end zone with the Rams charging in 65 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 1: the second half of that game. Brandon Anderson, your takeaway 66 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 1: from the Sunday night game. We just we just watched. 67 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 6: Yeah, I felt like I felt like the Lions sort 68 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 6: of felt like they gave it away, and then they 69 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 6: got to overtime and it was just like, actually, you 70 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 6: know what, we get the best offensive line. Let's just 71 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 6: take our business here. Like we got the restart, we 72 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 6: made it and it was pretty clear, like the announcers 73 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 6: kept saying, Dave Montgomery's not coming off the field, like 74 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 6: they were just gonna run right down their throat, and 75 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 6: I kind of thought they were gonna do that the 76 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 6: rest of the game. 77 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 3: We didn't get it, but they got there. 78 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 6: You know, they covered all the numbers either and it 79 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 6: ended up credit to the credit to the Rams. I 80 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,119 Speaker 6: have been down in the Rams, Brendan, you know, they've 81 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 6: been my big, my big fade team this year that 82 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 6: they lost and they and they lost here. They didn't cover, 83 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 6: but they certainly looked better than I've given them credit for. 84 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,599 Speaker 6: The defense held up pretty stout until that last drive. 85 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 6: So yeah, the Stafford factor is ale. 86 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 3: It's good. 87 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,039 Speaker 6: Stafford was balling just like the no look pass. He's 88 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 6: got like a little jump pass going on. So it's 89 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 6: just a fun Sunday night game to start out the air. 90 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Stafford in this spot, he's just so underrated. 91 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: When we nave and list off top five quarterbacks, and 92 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: I know that the young bucks like your Strouds and 93 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 1: of course your household names like Allen and Mahomes, they 94 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 1: they steal headlines. But Matthew Stafford is so damn steady 95 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: going back to Detroit, had had a big night. But 96 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: Tan Campbell, Ben Johnson, they can coach and they schemed 97 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: it up just just well enough to uh to outlast 98 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:58,039 Speaker 1: the La Rams. Let's go next to one o'clock game 99 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,799 Speaker 1: Jacksonville and Miami. This was kind of a fun one. Well, 100 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff going on in the morning. I 101 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: was in the car going to a friend's house to 102 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: watch these games, and you know, group chats are popping off, 103 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: tickets are getting sent left and right, and this was 104 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,840 Speaker 1: a text about Tyreek Hill. We're gonna leave it at that. 105 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: He was arrested today, ends up playing, he's good to go, 106 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: he cleared to play, and well, Tyreek Hill explodes. Waddle 107 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: had to leave the game with a worried concussion protocol situation. 108 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: He returns, he's big. Miami come from behind when Brandon Anderson, 109 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: but the Jags still hold on. That was one of 110 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 1: your picks on Thursday's pot, one of your leans. The 111 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 1: Jaguars do deliver plus three and a half. They do 112 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: cover the number, and the total goes well under. 113 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 6: Yeah, we finally found a way to slow down Tyreek Hill. 114 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 6: Like is that the headline here? I guess, I don't know. Not, 115 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 6: not really a thing to joke about. The big sequence here, 116 00:05:55,400 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 6: obviously was it's seventeen to seven, Jacksonville has just about 117 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 6: to score touchdown. It seems like to put the game 118 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 6: away twenty four to seven. I mean, it's never a 119 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:07,920 Speaker 6: way against Miami. But ETN fumbles at the one a 120 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 6: punch out like they got him. They got the punch out, 121 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 6: they recover just barely in the back of the end zone. 122 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 6: So you get the touchback, and the very next play, 123 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 6: mister Tyreek himself eighty yards speed down the sideline gone, 124 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 6: even goes with the handcuffs behind the back on the celebration. 125 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 6: You know, a few hours after what had happened this morning. 126 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 3: You know what you do? 127 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 6: You so right after that, like that's a fourteen point swing, 128 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 6: So seventeen fourteen set of twenty four to seven, and 129 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 6: then I think Jacksonville panicked a little bit. They get 130 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 6: the ball back, they go for fourth and one deep 131 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 6: in their own territory. I think they're kind of like 132 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 6: pushing a little too hard there. They get stopped, etn 133 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 6: like ran all over the field, end up nowhere, ended 134 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 6: up getting the field goal. Out of that, they missed 135 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 6: the field goal, but it just kind of I fel 136 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 6: like jackson will never quite got back after that, and 137 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 6: then Sanders end up getting the walk off feld At 138 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:04,359 Speaker 6: the end, you mentioned the number. I hope that you 139 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 6: followed on the app here because there were minus threes 140 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 6: available on like Friday and Saturday over the weekend. 141 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 3: That is the bet that I got in. 142 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 6: But I know I gave out the three and a 143 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 6: half and said to wait for the three, so pay. 144 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: That's right, my bad, you gave out. You gave out Miami, 145 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: not Jacksonville. 146 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 3: My best. 147 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 6: I gave up Miami. I gave out Miami three and 148 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 6: a half. I wanted the three. We did that with 149 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 6: Detroit also, and it turned out that number was right 150 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 6: on the number in both of these. So just a 151 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 6: lesson to watch for the key number and to shop 152 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 6: around like you you never know. Like one book just 153 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 6: for a second might drop down and you got to 154 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 6: be ready to make the pick. Action app is good 155 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 6: for tracking across all the different different betting apps and 156 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,679 Speaker 6: make sure you get the right one takeaway for the game. 157 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 6: I thought the offensive lines for both teams were pretty 158 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 6: worrisome here. Jacksonville's line gave up three sacks Trevor Lawrence like, 159 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 6: that's not the norm for him. He gets the ball 160 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 6: out fast, and Miami's pass rush is all in the 161 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 6: ir so that's not great. Miami gave up three sacks, 162 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 6: two against the ball fast. Jacksonville'sass rush is really good, 163 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 6: but they were getting there, and I thought Miami's timing 164 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 6: was really thrown off. So yeah, not a great start here. 165 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 6: I was really in on Miami because they've been a 166 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 6: really strong starting team under McDaniel, but they kind of 167 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 6: looked off timing today. They never quite hit the Dolphins 168 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 6: that we know they can be. And they play quickly 169 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 6: again here they play Thursday night. This will not be 170 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 6: the last time we talked about the Dolphins here. A 171 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 6: little spoiler alert for you there, but ninety degrees Sunday afternoon, 172 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 6: no conditioning yet early in the season. Now you play Thursday. 173 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 3: I don't know. 174 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:40,839 Speaker 6: I'm a little concerned about that. We'll see where this 175 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 6: scal is for the Dolphins. 176 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, especially now in today's NFL climate where starters don't 177 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 1: play in the preseason. I mean the Brazil game on Friday, 178 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 1: with the with the altitude, the conditioning on both ends, 179 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: I mean that felt like a Turkey Day game on Thursday. 180 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: That that that Brazil game, as far as just the 181 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: up and down nature of it, I would add quickly 182 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: before we go to the next game, like kind of 183 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: a good sign though, that Miami got their crap together, like, 184 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: like you said, kind of a front running team last year, 185 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: some pizzazz, right nevit. If you have a note on this, 186 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: I'll throw it over to you. But hey, the Dolphins 187 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 1: wasn't pretty. Tua had some back and forth with Brian 188 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: Flores responding to his comments they got their crap together 189 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: and it come from behind win. That's that's that's a sign. 190 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: That's a good sign, even though it was in their building. 191 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,079 Speaker 5: I was just gonna say, Dolphins tend to do this 192 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 5: under McDaniel, fourth time, overcoming a fourteen plus point deficit 193 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 5: most of the NFL since he got the coaching job. 194 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 2: All rights in twenty twenty two, so I mean high 195 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 2: powered offense makes sense. 196 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 5: It was the second half though, last six possessions for 197 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 5: the Jaguars punt punt downs, fumble, punt punt it just 198 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,839 Speaker 5: after that ETN they completely fell apart. 199 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: So yeah, Brandon was right right there. 200 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to Dallas in Cleveland. I got a 201 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: couple thoughts here before I send it to you guys. 202 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: The final score is thirty three seventeen. It really wasn't 203 00:09:56,200 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: all that close. Dallas prevails. Micah Parsons and Miles Garrett. 204 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:06,559 Speaker 1: Those two are so fun to watch. Dallas covered the 205 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: two and a half, so Dallas was a dog in 206 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: this game. By the time it kicked, total goes under. 207 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: Tom Brady was meh, and the booth very meh. He'll 208 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: get better, I think, but very stiff. I want to 209 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 1: hear the fire like you're in the huddle, Tom, not 210 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: this corporate crap. And then he had the weird Ferrera exchange. 211 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:33,080 Speaker 1: Pound it, dude, he doesn't looking. It was awkward and wow, 212 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: I know, look, I know, I know it's one week, 213 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 1: but and I know I think Kevin Stefanski knows how 214 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: to scheme it up with the best of the best. 215 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: The quarterback's a problem. Deshaun Watson's a problem, Evan. This 216 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 1: this was bad. They gave this guy two hundred and 217 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: thirty million dollars guaranteed. I know it's his thirteenth game 218 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: since coming back from all the baggage, but I just 219 00:10:57,160 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: saw the graphic Fox showed him. Like the fourth quarter. 220 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,559 Speaker 1: The record for Watson, I think is eight and four, 221 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: now eight and five after today, while when he starts 222 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: completely this is not good. Next, the production is not 223 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 1: as good with Watson in compared to the other quarterbacks 224 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: they used, such as a Joe Flacco last year. 225 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, the numbers are terrible. 226 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 5: He sacked six times, most of any quarterback I believe 227 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 5: in Week one, one hundred and sixty nine passing yards 228 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 5: on fifty three percent completion percentage just across the board. 229 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 2: His last three hundred yard passing game. 230 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 5: I feel like I'm talking about Aaron Rodgers here, but 231 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,440 Speaker 5: it's Deshaun Watson last three hundred yrd passing game January 232 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 5: twenty twenty one with the Texans. It has been a 233 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 5: long time since we've seen this guy do anything. 234 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 2: Here's one more so. 235 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 5: Touchdown to interception ratio so last two seasons this year 236 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 5: and last year, five of seven games even or worse 237 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 5: in touchdown interception twenty twenty two four of six games 238 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 5: five hundred or worse. So we haven't seen the two touchdown, 239 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 5: one interception two zero out of him. It's just I 240 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 5: don't even know if it's there. Fourteen twenty and two 241 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:00,960 Speaker 5: against the spread is a favorite, just might be what 242 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 5: he is now. 243 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, you had thoughts and Brandon that we get some 244 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: folks chiming in on YouTube again. We're on the Action 245 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 1: Network podcast are doing a new live feature on YouTube, 246 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 1: So thanks for folks tuning in. But folks are already 247 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: looking ahead and we can spend a quick second on this. 248 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 1: Dallas is a six and a half point favorite at home. 249 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: We're going to spend some time on New Orleans Carolina 250 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: later one of our one of our quicker recaps. We 251 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: can't spend a ton of time on every game, but 252 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: on the Dallas side, Brandon your thoughts. 253 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean credit to the defense, Mike Zimmer, the 254 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 6: new defensive coordinator, Like they did work. So I don't 255 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 6: know yet how much of this is DeShawn and how 256 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 6: much is Mike Zimmer, Like DeShawn hadn't played football in 257 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 6: a while. We can only give him so much benefit 258 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 6: of the doubt. For so long it was thirty three 259 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:46,240 Speaker 6: to ten. Cleveland got garbage time in there. They got 260 00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 6: two drives there at the end, twenty two plays, one 261 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 6: hundred and twelve yards, They got a touchdown, they get 262 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 6: an interception out of it. 263 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 3: But take those two garbage. 264 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 6: Time drives away one hundred and eighteen yards for the 265 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 6: game up until that two point four yards of play, 266 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 6: So that's very bad. I will say that though credit 267 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 6: to the Dallas defense. I think Cleveland's defense was good. 268 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 6: Cleveland defense did their job in this game. And to Dallas. 269 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 6: Jake Ferguson is out. That team was real thin on 270 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:16,079 Speaker 6: weapons already, and that was really their second receiver. I'm 271 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 6: not a big Brandon Cooks believer. If he's out a while, 272 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 6: looks like he's out a while. Here's the schedule coming up. 273 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:24,079 Speaker 6: Here's the defenses they will face next, Saints, who looked 274 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 6: pretty good defensively today. Ravens, Giants for reprieve, Steelers, Lions, Niners. 275 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,679 Speaker 6: Credit Dallas, you got the win, but you're running out 276 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 6: of some options here. Offensively, I'm not sure I'm super 277 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 6: excited out of this one from that perspective for them 278 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 6: either on the other side of. 279 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 5: The ball and the Joku hurt as well high ankle sprains, 280 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 5: it might be out for that Jacksonville game. 281 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 2: So tight ends on both sides and he's. 282 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 5: A blanket there, especially if Watson can't throw long. So 283 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 5: that to me, that's a big one. 284 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 1: Did the joke who get hurt after making night catch 285 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 1: of the second half? Is that when he got hurt? 286 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 2: I think so because I think he exited the game. 287 00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: I don't know if he returned, but that was one 288 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 1: of their bigger check plays of the day. But well, 289 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: boy to Shan Watson, my god, I mean, give the 290 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: Cowboys credit. They got Dak paid. That was the big 291 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 1: news too. As far as the two names, I thought 292 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: that had the most traction leading into kick where Tyree 293 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: Kill and his off the field situation in Dak Prescott 294 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: getting an extension. So Prescott's paid, Lamb's paid. Jerry Jones caved. 295 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: That's what happened there too, Different story for a different day. 296 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 1: This was a fun one. Houston, Indianapolis twenty nine, twenty seven. 297 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 1: Houston prevails and what was an excellent excellent game as 298 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 1: far as some theater at the end, Indy got there 299 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: with the two and a half. There was a three 300 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: I think available moments before kick total goes over. Anthony 301 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 1: Richardson that backfoot throw to the end zone sixty five yards. Okay, Like, 302 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 1: I know, this guy's only played like seventeen games between 303 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 1: like since high school, but my god, impressive and Stefan Diggs, 304 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 1: they they got him going early in the game on 305 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 1: the Houston side. You got to keep that guy happy 306 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: before it implodes and he wants to go somewhere else. 307 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 1: It's kind of a joke, but it's it's kind of true. It' 308 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:10,520 Speaker 1: Steph Diggs. I mean, come on, the guy's bouncing around now. 309 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson, Andy gets there covers. 310 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 3: Yeah they did. 311 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 6: They covered for only the second time in seventeen opening 312 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 6: days for the Colts. Also, so good for them. They 313 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 6: got it by a point on this one. Yeah, fun game, 314 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 6: this really fun game, I thought, maybe the most fun 315 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 6: game of the day. 316 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 3: The Colts are a roller coaster. 317 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 6: Like every play they run is either a disaster or 318 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 6: a monster play. There's nothing in between for them. Anthony 319 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 6: Richardson had a sixteen point four average depths of target, 320 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 6: Like that's an absurd number. We had bo Nicks out 321 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 6: here putting up like a four or five on this, 322 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 6: like this big boy of football. That's one hundredth percentile 323 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 6: just chucking it downfield, but minus fourteen completion over expected. 324 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 6: You can't live like that like this. That's Will Levis 325 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 6: territory from last year of just bombing it every time. 326 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 6: So he had three bombs that they completed obviously that 327 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 6: went well. Outside of those three plays, Richardson is six 328 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 6: of sixteen for forty one yards two point six yards 329 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 6: per attempt. Now, look those count. You can't only have 330 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 6: three huge plays for the game. And they didn't run 331 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 6: the ball all that well Johnson Taylor just three yards 332 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 6: of carry, not high success rate. That's not a sustainable 333 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 6: game plan. It's really not what the Colts want to do. 334 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 6: Like the Colts want to do the opposite of that. 335 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 6: They want to just grind you down. On the flip side, 336 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 6: Houston also wants to play that way, and Houston did 337 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 6: play that way this game. I was down on Houston 338 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 6: coming this season because they run too much in early downs. 339 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 6: You got this great passing game, now, why don't you 340 00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 6: pass better? Will Bobby's SLIOK really pass better. Well, it 341 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 6: turns out maybe you don't have to if you just 342 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 6: make the run game effective. And Joe Mixon thirty carries 343 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 6: one hundred and fifty nine yards in a score against 344 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 6: what was a pretty good run defense. Last year, Texan 345 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 6: started the drive out, started a series out with a 346 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 6: run sixteen times and converted that series into first down 347 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,680 Speaker 6: all but one of those sixteen ninety four percent success 348 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 6: rate on those, So that's a pretty good way to 349 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 6: run the Bobby's to look offense. It turns out that 350 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:11,439 Speaker 6: was a good way to run the clock out at 351 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,680 Speaker 6: the end of the game. So yeah, Houston looked good 352 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 6: to go and beat a tough division rival who has 353 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 6: multiple big plays like that on the road in Week one. 354 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 6: That's a big win for Houston against who I think 355 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 6: probably is their top division rival this season. Just fun 356 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 6: game funnel, the way both teams go on a fourth 357 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 6: and the goal late, both teams get the touchdown like 358 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 6: you love Demko Ryans, you love Shane Steik and these 359 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 6: are aggressive coaches set the tone for their teams. This 360 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 6: was just a brawl, and I think if if we 361 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 6: had three more minutes and kept playing him. It would 362 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 6: just kept flipping sides after that. 363 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:50,479 Speaker 3: But Houston up the end. 364 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Nixon, what a factor he was today. 365 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: I meant watching mix and all I kept thinking about was, Wow, 366 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 1: the Bengals might really miss this, Skuy thought. I thought 367 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 1: more about the Bengals and I did about Houston, because 368 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 1: like you said, they're aerial attack with the confidence in Stroud, 369 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: and like you said, there's we're now re searching for 370 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: that next layer of Houston's really in the mix to 371 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 1: be a contender in the AFC. Take the training wheels 372 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:15,919 Speaker 1: were taken off last year. At some point I realized 373 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:20,040 Speaker 1: that because Houston impressed in the season they had last year, 374 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 1: but more development in the slowic Demico Ryans regime. Okay, 375 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 1: before we keep recapping games, Evan Abrams is going to 376 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:32,440 Speaker 1: deliver one big stat. What do you have for us? 377 00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you two, just because that's how it 378 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 2: works here. 379 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 5: So one big stat is the fact that all the underdogs, 380 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 5: at least the big underdogs covered this week. So Patriots 381 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 5: ended up being the biggest dog, But then you also 382 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 5: had the Broncos and the Cardinals forty nine and twenty 383 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,160 Speaker 5: seven underdogs of six and a half points are more 384 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 5: in Week one since two thousand and six and now 385 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 5: eighteen of those nineteen years, five hundred ats are better 386 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:58,879 Speaker 5: in each of those seasons. 387 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 2: So that's number one big dogs covering you. 388 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 5: The Rams basically should have covered, so you would have 389 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 5: had all four of the biggest underdogs cover in Week one, 390 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 5: but didn't happen there on Sunday Night football. And then 391 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:12,720 Speaker 5: the final one just mind breaking in terms of the 392 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:14,719 Speaker 5: Titans Bears game, which we'll talk about a little bit, 393 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 5: but you got to hear it now, which is Titans 394 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,160 Speaker 5: led this game seventeen nothing, lost twenty four to seventeen, 395 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,919 Speaker 5: failed to cover the spread. So dogs of four plus 396 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,360 Speaker 5: points that lead by seventeen plus at any point where 397 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,680 Speaker 5: sixty six one and one against the spread since twenty 398 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 5: nineteen only lost the Texans and Chiefs in that playoff game. 399 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:36,920 Speaker 5: It just that type of Week one pain. I didn't 400 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,960 Speaker 5: think we'd be feeling, but that stat just blew me away. 401 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 5: So put it out and this is when you had to. 402 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,879 Speaker 1: Share it in the turnaround. So you mentioned the Houston 403 00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: Kansas City playoff game. That was just because that was 404 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: like you were watching the greatness of Patrick Mahomes start 405 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: to come to fruition. It was the Bears defense that 406 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: wasn't Kleb Williams. There was the Bears defense to change 407 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 1: that whole game. We'll get to Caleb Williams in the 408 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,920 Speaker 1: in the Bears later. There's your one big stat. 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First place is 430 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 1: forty thousand dollars thousands in cash up for grabs every week. 431 00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:30,199 Speaker 1: Is there a catch, No, you have nothing to lose. 432 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:35,160 Speaker 1: Sign up at favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. All right, 433 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 1: let's keep going. Let's go back to the one o'clock window. 434 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 1: Evan teased it with some of these big underdogs that 435 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: did deliver. The Patriots defeat the Cincinnati Bengals outright, sixteen 436 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:52,440 Speaker 1: to ten. Patriots were seven and a half point dogs. 437 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,160 Speaker 1: There was a nine and a half early in the week, 438 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 1: eight and a half earlier in the week, and it 439 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 1: got down to seven and a half under forty one 440 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: and a half. Look, as a resident of New England, 441 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 1: I can't help but be pessimistic in the sense that 442 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:10,119 Speaker 1: was that more about the Bengals being discombobulated and more 443 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 1: about the Patriots, Like are the Patriots is that defense 444 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:15,719 Speaker 1: that good? Or or the Bengals just so out of sorts. 445 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 1: Chase gets ruled active. We know Higgins out hamstring, Uh, 446 00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:24,880 Speaker 1: play it on the play it on the tag. There's 447 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,439 Speaker 1: some turmoil there and we mentioned no no mixing. I 448 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:32,159 Speaker 1: think Moss is capable. But Brandon Anderson the New England Patriots, 449 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,760 Speaker 1: and they already ruined one of our exotics. They they 450 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:37,400 Speaker 1: they last win, the last winless team they win Week one. 451 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 6: Your takeaway, I mean Jamar Chase couldn't set out, so 452 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 6: I guess the rest of the team did in his honor. 453 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 6: This disastrous loss. This is the this is the easiest 454 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 6: win on your schedule. If your Cincinnati, you have a 455 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 6: tough division, you have a tough schedule, Like, straight up, 456 00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 6: this is a win. 457 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 3: This is the win you knew you were getting. 458 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 6: As the Bengals, you would downgrade their win total by 459 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:01,880 Speaker 6: like it's real point eight after this, Like that's how 460 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 6: certain of a win this was. So this affects everything. 461 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 6: Sorry to your survivor pools. Hopefully you did not take 462 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 6: the favorite everyone was taking. Definitely this we see that 463 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:16,919 Speaker 6: in Week one. Sometimes unfortunate for Bengals fans. 464 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 3: Not really a surprise. 465 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 6: Maybe they started one in three last year, they started 466 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:22,959 Speaker 6: two and three of the year before, they've started zero 467 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 6: and to both of those. And by the way up 468 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 6: next in case you're forgetting mister Patrick Mahomes and the 469 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 6: Kansas City Chiefs. We know the Bengals like to play them, 470 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:32,919 Speaker 6: but boy, it's not too I like to play. If 471 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 6: I was oh to one and like needing to get 472 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 6: a win, get my season right here? 473 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,120 Speaker 3: Uh some of the storeway for future years. 474 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 6: Week one underdogs of over a touchdown, twenty six and 475 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 6: ten against the spread seventy two percent. So I didn't 476 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,240 Speaker 6: play this one. I had in my note Patriots are pass. 477 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 6: I couldn't get there, Like you know, I'm just I 478 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,399 Speaker 6: can't do it with this team. I think this is 479 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 6: a little more about the Bengals, and I think for 480 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 6: me the question now is that though line did not 481 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 6: look good, the old line is banged up. 482 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 3: Is that it or is it Joe Burrow? Is Joe 483 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:04,640 Speaker 3: Burrow hurt? 484 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,919 Speaker 6: We had whispers about that coming off the preseason and 485 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 6: is that where we're at? 486 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 3: And is that where we're at again? 487 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,399 Speaker 6: Because we keep doing that to start the season I 488 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 6: don't know if we know yet, but that line inflated 489 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 6: a lot already. 490 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 3: Like a field go up against the Chiefs next week. 491 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 6: He's a big, almost a touchdown underdog for a team 492 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 6: that is supposed to be a possible Super Bowl contender. 493 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,760 Speaker 6: Joe Burrow has enjoyed playing the Chiefs. But we're gonna 494 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 6: have to answer that question. 495 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 3: Is he hurt? 496 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,400 Speaker 6: Is this where they're at? Where are they going here? 497 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 6: I don't know if we know the answer. From today, 498 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:33,880 Speaker 6: it didn't look good. 499 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,440 Speaker 1: The broadcast cut to a Burrow on the bench looking 500 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:41,360 Speaker 1: at that hand, and he ended up staying in the game. 501 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 1: Of course the line now Chiefs are minus five and 502 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,040 Speaker 1: a half hosting the Bengals. Yeah, but look the Patriots, 503 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,680 Speaker 1: they had no competent quarterback play last year Jacoby Prissett 504 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 1: and turned the ball over. Stevenson was a beast. They 505 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: took what was available to them, very vanilla. But it 506 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: appeared that Alex van Pelt had some rains in running 507 00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,879 Speaker 1: the offense, and Christian Gonzalez was good. He didn't have 508 00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,160 Speaker 1: a great camp, and he was good on Jamar Chase. 509 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, and the Bengals turned the ball 510 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: over and the Patriots didn't, so hats off to New England. 511 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,760 Speaker 1: They upset the Bengals as the biggest underdog and those 512 00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: of you that had the Bengals and survivor. 513 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:26,280 Speaker 2: Sorry, sorry, I'll add one note there. It was great. 514 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 5: Nick Giffin actually said this in our discord channel for 515 00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 5: Action Network that the expected score for this game was 516 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 5: twenty two point five to twenty point eight four New England. 517 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 5: So it wasn't exactly a game that the Bengals should 518 00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 5: have won either. They legitimately overall looked terrible. Burrow two 519 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 5: to seven ats in his first two games of the 520 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 5: regular season. Now, as Brandon mentioned, it just he has 521 00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 5: been starting absolutely terrible, and it does honestly overall through 522 00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 5: all of those starts early year, he's won and eight 523 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,639 Speaker 5: straight up in weeks one and two, twelve touchdowns, nine picks, like, 524 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 5: it just hasn't looked good. The fund one is Brisset 525 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,439 Speaker 5: thirty three seventeen and one against the spread in the 526 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 5: first half in his career. So I think he just, 527 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,359 Speaker 5: you know, a little bit under expectations and way too 528 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:15,400 Speaker 5: many points today obviously since Annie only putting up at. 529 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 1: What like ten, So yeah, offensive line held up and 530 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 1: uh Yeah, we'll see if that continues. Patriots get the 531 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:26,120 Speaker 1: Seahawks next. More on that later, Washington. Tampa is next 532 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:28,159 Speaker 1: on our list. This was in the four o'clock window. 533 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield justifies getting paid. He was excellent twenty four 534 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 1: to thirty, two hundred and eighty nine yards, four touchdowns, 535 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 1: no picks, quarterback rating a one forty six point four. 536 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay wins thirty seven to twenty. They cover three 537 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,200 Speaker 1: and a half, totally goes over forty two and a half. 538 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: Is Baker your lead thought here, mister Evan Abrams? 539 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,320 Speaker 5: Man, it's hard because all right, so I think Baker 540 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 5: is because the performance is actually legendary when it comes 541 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 5: to Week one, So four plus pass four plus passing touchdowns, 542 00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 5: no interceptions, eighty plus completion percent. He's the first guy 543 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 5: to do that in week one since Russ in twenty twenty. 544 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 5: And if you just look at those numbers with one 545 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,959 Speaker 5: sack or fewer, it's just him Lamar in twenty nineteen 546 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,919 Speaker 5: and Len Dawson in nineteen sixty three, only people to 547 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:16,200 Speaker 5: put up those numbers today. Was actually legendary in terms 548 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:20,160 Speaker 5: of what he did, the no picks, the whole performance overall, 549 00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:24,439 Speaker 5: so I think from Baker's side, just as impressive as 550 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 5: last year was, especially when most people thought this would 551 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 5: be his demise and he wasn't going to play as 552 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 5: well this year. Now, Washington's defense probably had a lot 553 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 5: to do with that, but that's probably for another day. 554 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:38,160 Speaker 5: The highest completion percentage right now in week one, Derek 555 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 5: Carr Baker Mayfield. I'm not sure we would have expected that, 556 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:46,960 Speaker 5: but both played pretty vanilla defenses today, so hopefully we'll change. 557 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 5: And then from the other side, Jayden Daniels, I think 558 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,240 Speaker 5: he looked great. I mean, the two rushing touchdowns was nice. 559 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 5: The sixteen carries led the team five point five per 560 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 5: Carrie was nice to see from him when you know 561 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 5: people were drafting fantasy the whole everyone expect that there 562 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 5: was going to be runs there and there was only 563 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:08,960 Speaker 5: three passes past three attempts past ten plus yards downfield. 564 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 5: So obviously in his first start. And I don't think 565 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 5: any of the rookies looked fantastic, but I think Jayden 566 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 5: probably looked the best. 567 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, trailing game script and didn't really we didn't really 568 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,719 Speaker 1: get a fairy value. Maybe Brandon disagrees and others at 569 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,560 Speaker 1: Action Network, but not a real true evaluation of Cliff 570 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 1: Kingsbury yet, right, like, no, what credit. 571 00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 6: Where it's do they've found some offense with This's not 572 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:32,720 Speaker 6: a bad start for him. 573 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 5: Okay, all right, I'll say this as well, another good 574 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:37,719 Speaker 5: just trend going forward. You might want to look at 575 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 5: the teams to score thirty plus points in Week one, Buffalo, Tampa, 576 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 5: and Philly. I guess at the moment so far only 577 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:49,000 Speaker 5: forty four week two last twenty years ats so tend 578 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:51,160 Speaker 5: to be a little inflated there, So take a look 579 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 5: there before you play some bets. 580 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,400 Speaker 1: Excellent, Okay, onto the This is about going back to 581 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 1: one o'clock. This was the get this game off my 582 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,960 Speaker 1: TV game. Now. TJ. Watt was exceptional. He's whenever he's 583 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 1: on the field. We know the numbers on Pittsburgh. The 584 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers win games and TJ. Watt plays. So if 585 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: you're into defense, that's one thing. But I thought, you know, 586 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:17,040 Speaker 1: I know the Falcons new quarterback, new coach, new offensive coordinator, Elevate. 587 00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 1: The pieces didn't quite see it with Kirk Cousins, but 588 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 1: my god, this is a stat from from fieldy eights 589 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: over at ESPN. The Falcons were in the pistol or 590 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,959 Speaker 1: shotgun on ninety six percent of their snaps today, of 591 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 1: the twenty two snaps out of shotgun, the Falcons had 592 00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 1: zero designed runs. Of the twenty six snaps out of 593 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 1: the pistol, the Falcons ran the ball on eighty one 594 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 1: percent of their place. So that's Zach Robinson's offense. Now, 595 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 1: Arthur Smith revenge game. He's now the OC in Pittsburgh 596 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,680 Speaker 1: eighteen to ten, Pittsburgh a four and a half point dog. 597 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin does it again as an underdog. The number 598 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: gets there, Brandon, this bet hit for your best bet 599 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 1: under forty two and a half. Your takeaways here. Russell 600 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 1: Wilson gets rolled out before the game, so Fields ends 601 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 1: up getting the start. Your thoughts here on Pittsburgh Atlanta 602 00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: in the one club. 603 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 6: Yeah, Russell Wilson gave us our first bed beat of 604 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 6: the season before the games even started. We had a 605 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,000 Speaker 6: lot of folks on the minus four hundred Russell Wilson 606 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 6: to get the week one start. He was announced as 607 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 6: the starter, and then he gets calf Titans the last 608 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 6: couple of My god, I didn't brutal beat on that one. Yeah, 609 00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 6: we got the under I can't victory lap too much. 610 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 6: It's like the only thing I got all day, so 611 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,719 Speaker 6: we'll take that one. It was an easy under here, Tomlin. 612 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 6: Road under is definitely something we're gonna keep playing. Six 613 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 6: field goals eighteen to ten per ESPN. This is the 614 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 6: first time since two thousand and six we had two teams, 615 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 6: Steelers and the Bears, who won in Week one without 616 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 6: an offensive touchdown. So spectacular job by the of course, 617 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 6: the Steelers and the Bears. How could it be anyone 618 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 6: but the Steelers and the Bears. The Steelers are one 619 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 6: and oh alone atop the AFC North, just like we 620 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 6: all expected. 621 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 3: TJ. A. Watt. 622 00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 6: This is a game where if you just check the stats, 623 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 6: you're like, oh, okay, there, pretty game. He had a sack 624 00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 6: TACKO for the lost twice three QB hits. He had 625 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 6: two more strip sacks taken off by penalties, so to 626 00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:10,840 Speaker 6: be fair penalties. One of them wasn't off side, so 627 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 6: you're probably like, it's aiding the strip sack. But the 628 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 6: dude is a monster. Like at this game on the 629 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,840 Speaker 6: you know the corner of the YouTube TV setup, and 630 00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 6: every time I look, TJ. A. 631 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 3: Wat is in the backfield. How they're doing a replay. 632 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 6: Nope, it's just TJ Wat again her cousins, two interceptions, bumbled, snapped, 633 00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,960 Speaker 6: two sacks and no forget two more strip sacks that 634 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 6: got taken off on penalties. He was not good in 635 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 6: this game. And yeah, I had that same note you 636 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,480 Speaker 6: did about the pistol the shotgun. Who cares? Why do 637 00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 6: we care? That's a tell. If you're the Steelers, who's 638 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 6: a really well coached defense, and you line up and 639 00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 6: are always passing out of the formation, guess who's coming. 640 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 3: TJ. 641 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 1: Watt. 642 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 6: He's gonna live in your backfield. He knows exactly what's 643 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 6: happening here. That's dangerous to me because it's not only 644 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 6: a tell, it's oh why would you do that? Well, 645 00:31:57,600 --> 00:32:00,480 Speaker 6: maybe because your quarterback toy's achilles and he can't really 646 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 6: go off his back foot quite yet. He's maybe not 647 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 6: quite all the way there. That's the thing that I'm 648 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 6: gonna be very cautious of with the Falcons early on. 649 00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 6: Definitely a team that I'll be playing cautiously, looking to fade, 650 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 6: looking to do a team total under or a game under. 651 00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,440 Speaker 6: This is definitely like, this wasn't a fun game, but 652 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 6: it was a game I learned a lot from, so 653 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 6: that's why I wanted this one a little further up 654 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 6: the list here. Even though it's not fun to talk about, 655 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:24,720 Speaker 6: it was fun to make some money off of it. 656 00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 6: Hopefully we can do it again with these two teams. 657 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: Falcons at Eagles next Monday Night totals at forty eight 658 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: and a half. Philly's a six point favorite playing there. 659 00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 6: And as my Vikings fan will tell you without looking 660 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 6: it up, Kirk Cousins on Monday Night, don't do it. 661 00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 3: You ain't gonna like your money on it. 662 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 1: And it's against Philadelphia because they played Philly last year 663 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 1: Monday Night, Vikings and Eagles early in the year, maybe 664 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,920 Speaker 1: those two years ago, but yeah, it's Kirk Cousins Monday 665 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:52,479 Speaker 1: Night football. 666 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 2: Also absurd. 667 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 5: The Steelers keep winning one score games, so you get 668 00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:57,640 Speaker 5: added to the list from last year when they finished 669 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:00,240 Speaker 5: nine to two, and they're over sixty percent. 670 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 2: Sent in two thousand and seven. O' tomlin. They just 671 00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 2: always figure out a way, absolutely unbelievable. 672 00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:09,080 Speaker 1: So spent a quick minute on Vegas and the Chargers. 673 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 1: This was the early four one of the early four 674 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,880 Speaker 1: o'clock starts twenty two to ten. Chargers it was a 675 00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,720 Speaker 1: one point game at halftime. I was curious to see 676 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 1: what it looked like with Jim Harbaugh. There's concerns with 677 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:23,440 Speaker 1: Justin Herbert and the plantar fasciitis coming in, and they look, 678 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 1: it was a balanced attack. They ran the ball twenty 679 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 1: seven times, they threw the ball twenty six times. It 680 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: was nothing snazzy. Uh But look, I think Jim Jim Harbaugh, 681 00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh can coach, and you get a soft landing 682 00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:39,680 Speaker 1: with Vegas, you get Carolina next week, the under delivers 683 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 1: and the Chargers cover the three even. 684 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, in terms of how this game rolled out, 685 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 5: the Minshew sack fumble with Khalil Mack was probably one 686 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,560 Speaker 5: of the top two plays in terms of what kind 687 00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 5: of pushed it towards the Chargers. And then the Raiders 688 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,600 Speaker 5: punt on fourth and one, which people have talked about 689 00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 5: right wrong. Even Peer said to about it in the 690 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 5: post game. So and then just to put some data 691 00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,680 Speaker 5: behind that, it's the first fourth and one punt in 692 00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:08,879 Speaker 5: plus territory when down a score in the fourth quarter 693 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,840 Speaker 5: since Rex Ryan's Bills did it against the Ravens in 694 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:15,400 Speaker 5: twenty sixteen. That's per Sport radar. It just really just 695 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,279 Speaker 5: changed the game in terms of decision overall. The fun 696 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,799 Speaker 5: thing is Jim Harba just keeps winning. Obviously winning the 697 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,520 Speaker 5: title at Michigan. Now want to know here, hasn't lost 698 00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:27,279 Speaker 5: since TCU in twenty twenty two against Max Duggan, so 699 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,880 Speaker 5: he's got a little streak going. There's been a little while. 700 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 5: In terms of the game overall. The thing that it 701 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 5: was nice to see from the Chargers was running the 702 00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,359 Speaker 5: ball twenty seven rushes, six point five per carry. It's 703 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 5: exactly kind of what we thought from the Chargers, all 704 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 5: these different running backs, all these different situations, getting rid 705 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 5: of the receivers. 706 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 2: They look pretty good. 707 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 5: Lad led the team in targets, so that was pretty 708 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:51,279 Speaker 5: expected on that one. The one thing is in terms 709 00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,160 Speaker 5: of only winning by twelve points, well, the Chargers are 710 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:57,240 Speaker 5: the plus three and turnovers, so teams plus three turnover 711 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:01,840 Speaker 5: margin ninety two percent straight up against the spread. Chargers 712 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,400 Speaker 5: were just gonna win the game with those types of 713 00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 5: stats in there. And then the one great one which 714 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,880 Speaker 5: obviously just keeps happening in terms of what Minshew can 715 00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:13,240 Speaker 5: put up on offense, but now one in fifteen straight 716 00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 5: up as an underdog, in his last sixteen starts as 717 00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 5: a dog dating back to twenty twenty. So just not 718 00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:19,880 Speaker 5: getting his teams over the hump. 719 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:27,400 Speaker 1: There, Tennessee Chicago Evan tease this earlier? What was it again? 720 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,799 Speaker 1: Was the stats sixties? So now is the second ever 721 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,839 Speaker 1: loss when an underdog of go ahead? What was it again? 722 00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:34,120 Speaker 2: Since twenty nineteen? 723 00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 5: So Titans led seventeen to nothing, lost twenty four to seventeen. 724 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 5: Dogs of four plus to lead at seventeen plus at 725 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,000 Speaker 5: any point in the game were sixty six one and 726 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:45,800 Speaker 5: one ats since twenty nineteen. 727 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:50,280 Speaker 1: Oh my god, wow, So twenty four unanswered by the Bears. 728 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:51,879 Speaker 1: They get there and cover the four and a half. 729 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:53,359 Speaker 1: There were some three and a half's out there as 730 00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:57,359 Speaker 1: well before kickoff under forty two and a half just 731 00:35:57,400 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 1: gets there, so the Titans melt away plus four and 732 00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,759 Speaker 1: a half. The Bears defense was exceptional. Brandon Anderson, What 733 00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 1: about Caleb Williams in his debut? 734 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 6: I mean, isn't it just a Bears quarterback to just 735 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,080 Speaker 6: come in and get the win because the special teams 736 00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:14,040 Speaker 6: and defense touchdowns? He's got fit right in here in Chicago. Yeah, 737 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 6: special teams were disaster on both ways. This one the 738 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:19,960 Speaker 6: Titans got touchdown, and then the Bears muffed the new kickoff, 739 00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:22,480 Speaker 6: and by muffed, I mean they like punted it twenty 740 00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:25,120 Speaker 6: yards forward trying to recover it. I don't know what 741 00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 6: was happening there through up seventeen to nothing. How did 742 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,080 Speaker 6: the Bears get back in it? How about a block 743 00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:33,520 Speaker 6: punt touchdown by Simone Bile's husband, Just as Hard Knocks 744 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:37,799 Speaker 6: four told Jonathan Owens celebrating in the end zone, I 745 00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,880 Speaker 6: hope you liked special teams and defense because there was 746 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,400 Speaker 6: no offense in this game. Caleb Williams fourteen of twenty 747 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 6: nine ninety three yards. 748 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:45,799 Speaker 3: I just saw that on my notes. I had a check. 749 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:47,440 Speaker 6: Did I forget a one? There was there at least 750 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,919 Speaker 6: a one in front? No, ninety three yards three point 751 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 6: two yards per attempt. Will Levis was somehow worse. He 752 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 6: had a fumble, he had two interceptions, three sacks, horrendous 753 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:02,600 Speaker 6: horrendous picks six where he's getting sacked and he's just like, like, Buddy, 754 00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:04,239 Speaker 6: just go down. He's like trying to flip the ball 755 00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 6: out of bounds or something. I don't really know that 756 00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 6: they this they gave the game away. That this was 757 00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:12,840 Speaker 6: to me the stale waste game on the schedule for 758 00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:17,160 Speaker 6: me game Week one. Just two young teams, young quarterbacks 759 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,879 Speaker 6: are unpredictable, and that's exactly what we got. We had 760 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,480 Speaker 6: no idea what's going to happen here. 761 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:22,280 Speaker 3: Play by play. 762 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:24,960 Speaker 6: They both made some plays, they had their moments, but 763 00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 6: I think there's would be pretty difficult to predict teams 764 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,840 Speaker 6: early on. So definitely teams that we should be careful of. 765 00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 6: Caleb Williams. You're gonna get to watch him next week 766 00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 6: Sunday night in Houston. That's the big game, first road 767 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 6: game for our guy. I hope he does better than 768 00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:43,840 Speaker 6: ninety three yards and under and fifty percent of those passes. 769 00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,000 Speaker 1: Okay, very good. Yeah, Plus, you got a new you know, 770 00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,040 Speaker 1: Brian Callahan's a new head coach in Tennessee. Eber Flus 771 00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:52,440 Speaker 1: is still in Chicago, but their start. You know, Waldron's 772 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,960 Speaker 1: the new offensive coordinator who's kind of breathing down his 773 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:56,440 Speaker 1: neck for being honest. I mean, that's why they made 774 00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 1: the change of coordinator because ebra flu swelled and they 775 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,759 Speaker 1: got it done. Defensively, He's getting his side of the 776 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,680 Speaker 1: ball right, which is which is good as a defensive 777 00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:08,239 Speaker 1: head coach. All Right, a couple of quick hitters. We'll 778 00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 1: spend just a minute of each on these games, and 779 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,080 Speaker 1: then we're gonna work into Monday night and then also 780 00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:17,200 Speaker 1: some uh a hot read from Brandon looking ahead to 781 00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 1: week number two. Let's do a quick minute here on 782 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:24,840 Speaker 1: Arizona in Buffalo. This was a fun game that also 783 00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,280 Speaker 1: came down to the wire. There was a certain play 784 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:32,480 Speaker 1: Jonathan Gannon, Why why did they run the ball on 785 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,600 Speaker 1: what was it third? And is it third and ten 786 00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:37,399 Speaker 1: or third? And was I think it was third and ten? 787 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,160 Speaker 1: They ran the ball on third down and he left 788 00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:43,440 Speaker 1: two timeouts on the board. It was horrible, but Kyler 789 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 1: Murray was was fun. And oh look at the Bills, 790 00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:51,160 Speaker 1: you know, like, okay, no digs. They got Joe Brady 791 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 1: now for a full season, full offseason. Nope, got to 792 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: get that cape back out, got to put the Spidery 793 00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,360 Speaker 1: suit back on. Josh Allen, save our lives, Brandon. 794 00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,120 Speaker 6: I mean, I think they tried to do the Brady 795 00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:05,239 Speaker 6: thing early. It was seventeen to three Cardinals near halftime 796 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 6: and Allan had three passing attempts at that point. I 797 00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:09,719 Speaker 6: think they were trying to do the power run game. 798 00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 6: They did the power run game Josh Allen's Power Run game, 799 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 6: which is what they kind of came back to later on. 800 00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:16,480 Speaker 3: I think the Bills are just a little bit better. 801 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:17,520 Speaker 3: Not a ton to see here. 802 00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:19,440 Speaker 6: At the end of the day, credit to Buffalo for 803 00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,239 Speaker 6: finishing the job we saw last year in Week one, 804 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:25,320 Speaker 6: they gave one away like this. Allen sometimes goes Superman 805 00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:27,520 Speaker 6: mode and it goes bad. So they got the job 806 00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:31,080 Speaker 6: done this time. Only real note here for future trivia references. 807 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 6: DJ Dallas the first kickoff return touchdown in the dynamic 808 00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:39,080 Speaker 6: kickoff era, So store that one away. Really, that's the 809 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,440 Speaker 6: only reason Arizona I think was in this. Buffalo had 810 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 6: really taken control and ended up still winning relatively comfortably. 811 00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:48,200 Speaker 6: I thought Martin Harrison Junior only one catch four yards 812 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:50,720 Speaker 6: his first game. I was like a second round fantasy 813 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:52,680 Speaker 6: a pick. That's not what we're hoping for, I am. 814 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 6: So we'll see how that target share goes. That could 815 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:56,759 Speaker 6: be interesting under to keep an eye out on for 816 00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:57,200 Speaker 6: a while. 817 00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:01,239 Speaker 1: Greg Dortch the leading Cardinals receiv not Trey McBride, not 818 00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:05,400 Speaker 1: Marvin and Harrison Junior, not even James Connor. It was 819 00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:08,040 Speaker 1: Greg Dortch, Michael Wilson, caught a touchdown in this game 820 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:11,279 Speaker 1: as well. For the Cardinals, they do cover, They cover 821 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:12,919 Speaker 1: the six and a half thirty four to twenty eighth. 822 00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 1: The final that game did go over forty five and 823 00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:23,040 Speaker 1: a half. Denver Seattle two safeties in this game. Sean 824 00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:26,720 Speaker 1: Payton's gonna need some time with bo Nix is Brandon 825 00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:30,120 Speaker 1: teazed earlier but not great. And then it's Seattle. I 826 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:31,759 Speaker 1: know a lot of the folks that Action Network were 827 00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,760 Speaker 1: on Seattle. Evan and the Seahawks did get there against 828 00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:41,120 Speaker 1: Sean Payton's Denver Broncos twenty six to twenty. So the folks, 829 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 1: the people did get there on Seattle. 830 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,000 Speaker 2: Second most popular Survivor pick of the day. 831 00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:48,600 Speaker 5: So if you decided to stay off of Cincinnati, you 832 00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:52,680 Speaker 5: most likely ended up on Seattle. And it's probably worth noting. 833 00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:56,360 Speaker 5: So Denver loses the game but gets the cover. And 834 00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,239 Speaker 5: then we talked about Washington, who completely got blown out. 835 00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:02,040 Speaker 5: So now you've got rookie quarterbacks Week one who have 836 00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,720 Speaker 5: to play on the road eight and twenty one straight 837 00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:08,240 Speaker 5: up since the merger, and those teams losing by about 838 00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:11,719 Speaker 5: five points per game, so margin decent. But I mean, 839 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,040 Speaker 5: when you look at Bonix if it wasn't for Kleb Williams, 840 00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,160 Speaker 5: we would have said this was probably or definitely the 841 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:20,440 Speaker 5: worst performance. Three point three yards per attempt, two interceptions, 842 00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,120 Speaker 5: only one hundred and thirty eight yards, and if you've 843 00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:25,759 Speaker 5: been hearing a lot during this show, one hundred and 844 00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:27,719 Speaker 5: thirty eight, one hundred and forty four, one hundred and 845 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 5: fifty five, all these low passing totals. 846 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:31,120 Speaker 2: I believe seventeen. 847 00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:33,840 Speaker 5: Quarterbacks were under two hundred yards something close to that, 848 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,640 Speaker 5: which is the most we've seen in almost ten or 849 00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:40,080 Speaker 5: fifteen years. So the quarterbacks today, most of the performances 850 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:41,080 Speaker 5: were pretty bad. 851 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:43,200 Speaker 2: And if you just look. 852 00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:47,160 Speaker 5: At Denver overall, three point three yards per play on 853 00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:50,960 Speaker 5: sixty nine plays is very difficult to do. It was 854 00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:54,440 Speaker 5: a very bad performance overall by the team. 855 00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:56,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I really. 856 00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 5: Don't have too much more other than I thought. The 857 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:02,320 Speaker 5: thing that was too interesting was more Tyler Lockett. Just 858 00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:05,280 Speaker 5: when we thought he was gone, seven targets, six catches, 859 00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:09,000 Speaker 5: seventy seven yards. Everyone thought it was TK Metcalf time. 860 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 2: Well not this week. 861 00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:13,799 Speaker 5: And Gino Gino ends up now ten fifteen and one, 862 00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,400 Speaker 5: So he doesn't get the cover against spread as a favorite, 863 00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:18,880 Speaker 5: and he's six games above five hundred as an underdog, 864 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,759 Speaker 5: So I just always watch out when laying points in 865 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:26,879 Speaker 5: that situation. But the other thing next week, Denver Pittsburgh. 866 00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,360 Speaker 5: Right now, that total looks at about thirty seven and 867 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:31,800 Speaker 5: a half. It's down three or four points already, So 868 00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:35,880 Speaker 5: I wouldn't be surprised if Justin Fields or Russell Wilson 869 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:37,799 Speaker 5: against bo Nicks is like thirty. 870 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:42,360 Speaker 1: Six by kickoff and it's rinse September. That's like I 871 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,120 Speaker 1: would almost get it those two cities, no matter what 872 00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:48,400 Speaker 1: the game is, Denver Pittsburgh, Are we already in fing November? 873 00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:52,080 Speaker 1: For crying out loud? Like yeah, all right, but you 874 00:42:52,120 --> 00:42:54,080 Speaker 1: know that's why it's week one. A lot of time, 875 00:42:54,320 --> 00:43:01,400 Speaker 1: that's why this transitions. Well, Panthers Island, Brandon concerned. 876 00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:05,600 Speaker 6: The island has taken water and gone under it. We 877 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:09,440 Speaker 6: have bailed where we're swimming for wherever we can find 878 00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:10,120 Speaker 6: some hope. 879 00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:12,600 Speaker 3: Was ugly. It was bad. 880 00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,319 Speaker 6: Now, Look, we lost the game. A lot of us 881 00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:17,160 Speaker 6: at Action were on the game today. A lot of 882 00:43:17,200 --> 00:43:19,960 Speaker 6: the trends up against Dennis Allen and Derek Carr. I 883 00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:22,200 Speaker 6: will bet them again the next time we get a chance. 884 00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:26,279 Speaker 6: This was ugly This was terrible. All the stuff we 885 00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,480 Speaker 6: thought about, like, all right, well, Dave Canalis quarterback whisper, Hey, 886 00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,000 Speaker 6: guess what Bryce Young is still sucked today. Thirteen for 887 00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:36,560 Speaker 6: thirty Baker Mayfield career day without Dave Canalis. Might have 888 00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:39,319 Speaker 6: to re evaluate that prior a little bit. Carolina has 889 00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:41,520 Speaker 6: a team finished under two hundred yards one of ten 890 00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:46,160 Speaker 6: on third down. Three turnovers is very bad. It was 891 00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,480 Speaker 6: very bad today. The Saints defense is good. That we 892 00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,240 Speaker 6: knew they'd probably be the best uniton on the field. 893 00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:51,439 Speaker 3: They did their part. 894 00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:57,240 Speaker 1: Okay, one week, Panthers, Chargers next week, and the Saints. 895 00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:01,000 Speaker 1: As we teased earlier, they go to Dallas. Cowboys are 896 00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:03,479 Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite in that game. 897 00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:09,440 Speaker 1: Last one quick minute on the Giants and Vikings. The 898 00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:13,760 Speaker 1: Vikings win twenty eight to six. Tolera McVeigh Kevin O'Connell 899 00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,200 Speaker 1: schemes it up for Sam Donald to win as a 900 00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:20,960 Speaker 1: was it did the end up being favorites Minnesota, Yeah, 901 00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 1: they did Minnesota as a road favorite. With Sam Donald 902 00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:27,200 Speaker 1: is their starting quarterback. He did have Kyle Shanahan whispering 903 00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:29,520 Speaker 1: in his ear drum for a whole season last year. 904 00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 1: Minnesota gets the job. It was again kind of like 905 00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:34,960 Speaker 1: the Bears. Defense really was the theme here, Brandon for 906 00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:36,439 Speaker 1: Minnesota the pole away in this game. 907 00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, not often you get a guaranteed frozen pizza game 908 00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:42,080 Speaker 6: on opening Day, but that's what this game was. This 909 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:43,919 Speaker 6: was always going to be our last game of the day. 910 00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,640 Speaker 6: Only thing earlier than the Giants in this game was 911 00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:48,200 Speaker 6: their heinous throwbacking uniforms. 912 00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:49,200 Speaker 3: I don't know what you're doing with. 913 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,920 Speaker 6: That on day one out here, So I wore my 914 00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:54,799 Speaker 6: jersey vikings one to Oh. I'm not going to get 915 00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:56,520 Speaker 6: to wear it much this season. I'll take the win, 916 00:44:57,280 --> 00:44:57,719 Speaker 6: very good. 917 00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:02,160 Speaker 1: All right, Moving on, we're gonna to do Monday Night Football. 918 00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:05,680 Speaker 1: Then we'll do the hot read from Brandon, which is 919 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:09,440 Speaker 1: where he evaluates and identifies a game, a line that 920 00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:12,920 Speaker 1: he likes now for next week, next Sunday, and then 921 00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,759 Speaker 1: we'll get on out of here. So I'll turn to 922 00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:19,839 Speaker 1: Evan first, if he's got some tidbits for US Jets Niners. 923 00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:25,080 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers healthy. We think the line's down to three 924 00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:27,279 Speaker 1: and a half, not four and a half anymore. Down 925 00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:28,600 Speaker 1: to three and a half. Jets are three and a 926 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:32,879 Speaker 1: half point Dogs two. Very noisy franchises, right, a lot 927 00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:35,280 Speaker 1: of stuff going on in the offseason. Rogers of course, 928 00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:38,319 Speaker 1: and then if you get the Niners with their with 929 00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:41,960 Speaker 1: their contract situations. But Trent Williams is gonna play Brandon Ayuk, 930 00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:44,880 Speaker 1: He's all set? Are they right? We've been talking a 931 00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:49,760 Speaker 1: lot about conditioning and no preseason, So how are the Niners? 932 00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:51,399 Speaker 1: I think, where are they at? And then he brock 933 00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:54,000 Speaker 1: party also has real expectations. I think going into a 934 00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:56,759 Speaker 1: season that's a big spot. Where are we at here 935 00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:58,960 Speaker 1: on Jets forty nine ers Evan. 936 00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:03,800 Speaker 5: Well opened long time ago at six, been down I 937 00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:05,800 Speaker 5: think as low as three and a half, now sitting 938 00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:10,160 Speaker 5: about four. Market's been on the Jets pretty much since 939 00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,000 Speaker 5: his start. And then the fun stats kind of going 940 00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,360 Speaker 5: into this are Rogers won ten straight Monday. 941 00:46:15,160 --> 00:46:16,080 Speaker 2: Night football starts. 942 00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:20,160 Speaker 5: That includes playing thirty four seconds and then you know, 943 00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:22,600 Speaker 5: still beating Buffalo in that game, so he gets credit 944 00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:26,520 Speaker 5: for it. People have talked about the Super Bowl stat, 945 00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,560 Speaker 5: you know, the Super Bowl loser five and nineteen against 946 00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:33,120 Speaker 5: the spread first game in the next season. San Francisco 947 00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:36,800 Speaker 5: honestly in general, has struggled at home to cover spreads 948 00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:40,440 Speaker 5: at all over the last about year or so there 949 00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:43,480 Speaker 5: was a pretty bad streak in there. And personally in 950 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:45,440 Speaker 5: terms of what I'm gonna bet on, I'm gonna give 951 00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 5: you a fun just in any time touchdown. I like 952 00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:51,120 Speaker 5: Breese fall anything plus money touchdown three straight games and 953 00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,759 Speaker 5: the year last year, it's actually scoring in sixty three 954 00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:56,439 Speaker 5: percent of road games for the Jets. I think they'll 955 00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,319 Speaker 5: rely on him to get a weapon and you know, 956 00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:00,920 Speaker 5: a little pressure off of Rogers. I do think he 957 00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:04,240 Speaker 5: gets in. And the other note, I'll add AFC East 958 00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,640 Speaker 5: actually three and oh heading into this game. So if 959 00:47:07,640 --> 00:47:10,520 Speaker 5: the Jets could actually find a way to get this win, 960 00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:13,600 Speaker 5: they'd be the first division I believe since twenty twenty one. 961 00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:17,160 Speaker 5: AFC West and NFC West did in the same season 962 00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:18,879 Speaker 5: four and oh in week one. 963 00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:20,480 Speaker 2: So see if the Jets can get it done. 964 00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:22,359 Speaker 1: Okay, very good, and that's right. And then we got 965 00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:27,080 Speaker 1: the We've got Miami and Buffalo playing on yeah, Thursday, 966 00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:31,040 Speaker 1: on Thursday night. Okay, Brandon, we have an angle here 967 00:47:31,120 --> 00:47:33,160 Speaker 1: on this game as far as a play or just 968 00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 1: a lean. Where are we at for Jets and forty 969 00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:37,000 Speaker 1: nine ers tomorrow night? 970 00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:39,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, this was a bat we gave out on the 971 00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:41,240 Speaker 6: Friday Pods so I'm in on the Jets. 972 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,319 Speaker 3: Give me the plus four if you can get it. 973 00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:45,840 Speaker 6: If it is down to three and a half, honestly, 974 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 6: might pivot to the money line plus one seventy five. 975 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:50,279 Speaker 6: I think that might end up being the better value there. 976 00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:53,080 Speaker 6: Aaron Rodgers not a lot of times underdog in its career. 977 00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:55,480 Speaker 6: Only twenty four times is pretty wild over as long 978 00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:58,680 Speaker 6: as career, as he's had fifteen and nine against the spread, 979 00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:01,920 Speaker 6: eleven and thirteen team straight up as a three and 980 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:05,240 Speaker 6: a half point underdog, or more so twenty seven percent 981 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:09,120 Speaker 6: ROI if you're betting the money line there, I must 982 00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:12,440 Speaker 6: admit I don't love Aaron Rodgers, having not seen him 983 00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:15,640 Speaker 6: in the preseason, after what we saw Kirk Cousins today 984 00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:18,200 Speaker 6: with the whole Achilles thing. But part of my read 985 00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:21,640 Speaker 6: was that Rodgers was supposedly ready already in December. I 986 00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:23,600 Speaker 6: don't know if I believe that, but this is nine 987 00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:27,520 Speaker 6: months later. It's not on his plant foot. It was 988 00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,520 Speaker 6: an earlier injury for him opening day or smid season 989 00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:31,240 Speaker 6: for Cousins. 990 00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:32,799 Speaker 3: So I still like the Jets here. 991 00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:36,760 Speaker 6: I think they are, when healthy, the best roster in football, 992 00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:38,520 Speaker 6: and this is as healthy as they are going to 993 00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:41,800 Speaker 6: get right now. The Niners defense not healthy, They're a 994 00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,480 Speaker 6: little banged up. They've lost some guys. I think that 995 00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,959 Speaker 6: improved Jets offensive line, it's gonna be ready here. So Evan, 996 00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:49,800 Speaker 6: you gave out the Breese Hall touchdown. I think the 997 00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:51,600 Speaker 6: Jets are going to run in this game. I don't 998 00:48:51,600 --> 00:48:53,960 Speaker 6: know if Rogers needs to have a huge game and 999 00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:55,920 Speaker 6: the Jets can win this game, maybe more in the 1000 00:48:55,960 --> 00:49:00,000 Speaker 6: trenches and with their defense as well. Rogers, of course 1001 00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:01,960 Speaker 6: loves playing the Niners. They pass on him with a 1002 00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 6: number one pick back in the draft. In the regular season, 1003 00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:09,960 Speaker 6: he has twenty touchdowns, two interceptions against the Niners six 1004 00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:12,200 Speaker 6: and three record. Just go ahead and ignore the postseason 1005 00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:14,760 Speaker 6: numbers when he plays the Niners. But in the regular season, 1006 00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:18,440 Speaker 6: real good. I'm gonna play the Jets. I like it 1007 00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,400 Speaker 6: at four. If you are a little tepid because the 1008 00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,160 Speaker 6: Rogers thing, I don't blame you. I could see kind 1009 00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:27,120 Speaker 6: of shaking off the rust early on. This maybe could 1010 00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:28,799 Speaker 6: be a live spot too, if you want to wait 1011 00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:31,479 Speaker 6: and look for a better line or juicier line later 1012 00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:34,120 Speaker 6: on for the Jets. To me, it's Jets or nothing, 1013 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,320 Speaker 6: And I do like the Jets here, so they're might play. 1014 00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:39,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you hit there at the end. Just 1015 00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,840 Speaker 1: I want to see if the Jets are It's one week, 1016 00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:44,359 Speaker 1: but I want to see if you look like an 1017 00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:49,440 Speaker 1: organized operation with an actual offensive line, Like do you 1018 00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:53,839 Speaker 1: look somewhat like a real team? But I think yeah, 1019 00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,160 Speaker 1: I think you're r They're gonna run the ball a lot, 1020 00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 1: and this could be a low scoring game. Totals forty 1021 00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:01,200 Speaker 1: three and a half with Rogers and the San Francisco 1022 00:50:01,239 --> 00:50:03,759 Speaker 1: forty nine ers playing. And like we mentioned, Williams as 1023 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 1: a go got back to practice late in the week. 1024 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:08,520 Speaker 1: Same with Brandon Ayuk. With the contract being hammered out, 1025 00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:11,080 Speaker 1: I don't think we're gonna see Hassan Reddick. I don't 1026 00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:14,480 Speaker 1: think that's happening. He didn't practice this week for the Jets. 1027 00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:18,160 Speaker 1: That continues to be a contract dispute between those guys. Reddick. 1028 00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:21,200 Speaker 1: Reddick ones out of Philly, goes to the Jets, and 1029 00:50:21,239 --> 00:50:22,759 Speaker 1: he just assumes Jets are going to pay him. And 1030 00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:24,600 Speaker 1: it's like, well, the Jets probably should have figured that 1031 00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:25,759 Speaker 1: out before they went out and got him. 1032 00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:28,879 Speaker 3: But anyway, I'm not sure that's Reddick's fault. I'm gonna 1033 00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:29,319 Speaker 3: put that on the. 1034 00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:34,560 Speaker 1: Right Reddick, I get it from his standpoint. Miss a shocker, 1035 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:38,480 Speaker 1: a miscommunication. Okay, let's do the hot Read then we'll 1036 00:50:38,520 --> 00:50:41,840 Speaker 1: go h Brandon the hot Read explain if we have 1037 00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:45,919 Speaker 1: new we have folks watching on YouTube, So again, thanks 1038 00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:49,719 Speaker 1: for folks tuning in live and for our valued and 1039 00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,439 Speaker 1: consistent listenership on the podcast side. The hot Read, those 1040 00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:56,960 Speaker 1: that might be new, explain to what, explain what you're 1041 00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:59,240 Speaker 1: trying to accomplish here with the hot red Hot Wrap. 1042 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:05,080 Speaker 5: Woo seventy on ice rights, ice cream Bus to Ride 1043 00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:08,480 Speaker 5: or nineteen Salad nineteen hoy Real Soult. 1044 00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:11,879 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1045 00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:14,040 Speaker 6: Well, this is our first time doing this show live 1046 00:51:14,120 --> 00:51:16,520 Speaker 6: on Sunday night for you'all, So you're gonna get these 1047 00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:19,400 Speaker 6: picks live here first before they go up and writing. 1048 00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:22,200 Speaker 6: And it matters because these lines are moving. 1049 00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:23,080 Speaker 3: That is the point. 1050 00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:26,319 Speaker 6: So why hot Read. These are not just early week picks. 1051 00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,160 Speaker 6: You're gonna see a lot of early week picks out there. 1052 00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:30,359 Speaker 6: Even we at our Site Action Network will put out 1053 00:51:30,680 --> 00:51:32,080 Speaker 6: early week picks for. 1054 00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:32,600 Speaker 3: A lot of folks. 1055 00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 6: Early week picks is like, well, I know I'm gonna 1056 00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:36,080 Speaker 6: like this game. Let me just grab that one right now. 1057 00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:39,000 Speaker 6: How read is about the number also, and I know 1058 00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:41,560 Speaker 6: you're always planning to play the number, but you want 1059 00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,160 Speaker 6: to grab the number now. There's something specific about a 1060 00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:46,160 Speaker 6: number that I don't know is going to be there 1061 00:51:46,640 --> 00:51:48,200 Speaker 6: by the end of the week, maybe not even by 1062 00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:50,440 Speaker 6: tomorrow morning. That's why you're watching out to get this one. 1063 00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:52,839 Speaker 6: So I'm gonna try to do two hot reads a week. 1064 00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:55,440 Speaker 6: Usually my first one here is one that's gonna be 1065 00:51:55,520 --> 00:51:58,680 Speaker 6: familiar to you if you listened already last week. It 1066 00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:01,239 Speaker 6: was my look ahead play. I'm going back to the well, 1067 00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:05,000 Speaker 6: I'm doubling down. Give me the Seahawks minus three at 1068 00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:08,640 Speaker 6: the Patriots. That was the look ahead over the weekend. 1069 00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 6: That had crept up to three and a half four 1070 00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:13,360 Speaker 6: an hour, back to the key number. Because what happened. 1071 00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:16,239 Speaker 6: The Patriots got the big win against the Bengals, so 1072 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,279 Speaker 6: that line moved back down to three. Here now as 1073 00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,840 Speaker 6: I'm talking, the line's already creeping back up. It's like 1074 00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:25,040 Speaker 6: a minus one fifteen, a minus one eighteen. I'm seeing 1075 00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:28,000 Speaker 6: a three and a half already at some books. Three matters. 1076 00:52:28,360 --> 00:52:30,800 Speaker 6: I don't explain that to you. You want the key number, 1077 00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:33,760 Speaker 6: So why the pick? And the Patriots defense was solid, 1078 00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:35,920 Speaker 6: but I think that was a Cincinnati game, not a 1079 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:36,640 Speaker 6: Patriots game. 1080 00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:38,640 Speaker 3: Credit word's due, but I think that was about the 1081 00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:40,200 Speaker 3: Bengals Seattle. 1082 00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:43,120 Speaker 6: Really they had a nightmare first half, like they had 1083 00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:46,680 Speaker 6: multiple drives start at like the one, the four they 1084 00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:50,880 Speaker 6: had first down and fifteen first down and seventeen. They 1085 00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,040 Speaker 6: had ten possessions in the first half, like it was 1086 00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:55,319 Speaker 6: a disaster. They got nothing out of it. When they 1087 00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:57,960 Speaker 6: had two decent possessions, they scored. And in the second 1088 00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:00,920 Speaker 6: half they looked good. They scored, the offense got moving, 1089 00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:03,600 Speaker 6: and then they kind of screwed around late and screwed 1090 00:53:03,680 --> 00:53:05,600 Speaker 6: up all my alterut lines this time. 1091 00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:07,239 Speaker 3: But see ill look good. 1092 00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:09,920 Speaker 6: I came away and pressed with them, especially the Mike 1093 00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:13,040 Speaker 6: McDonald defense. I think early returns there look good. If 1094 00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:15,520 Speaker 6: for three turnovers they held Denver to three point three 1095 00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:19,919 Speaker 6: yards of play, thirteen first downs. New England offensive line 1096 00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:22,160 Speaker 6: is not good and the Bengals couldn't get a lot 1097 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:22,920 Speaker 6: of pass rush on. 1098 00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:24,400 Speaker 3: But McDonald's gonna bring the. 1099 00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:26,879 Speaker 6: Pressure, and I think that they're gonna have a tough 1100 00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:30,160 Speaker 6: time scoring here, even at home. So I still like 1101 00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:34,080 Speaker 6: Seattle and I definitely want this again. I added to 1102 00:53:34,200 --> 00:53:36,560 Speaker 6: my position and if you didn't play yet. There's a 1103 00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:40,200 Speaker 6: second chance to grab Seattle here, So Seattle minus three, 1104 00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 6: that's the first hot read Brendan. 1105 00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:43,880 Speaker 1: Okay, very good, and your your next one is actually 1106 00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,600 Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna look at Thursday night this week Week two. 1107 00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:49,640 Speaker 1: I couldn't believe this until I just looked myself. But 1108 00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:54,200 Speaker 1: the big number here, the total for Bills and Dolphins. 1109 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:54,360 Speaker 2: It is. 1110 00:53:54,440 --> 00:53:55,000 Speaker 3: It's too big. 1111 00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:57,959 Speaker 6: I'm gonna go under the fifty one and you're gonna 1112 00:53:57,960 --> 00:54:00,319 Speaker 6: look to DraftKings. I think if you're looking for the one, 1113 00:54:00,440 --> 00:54:03,239 Speaker 6: because fifteen and a half already at some books, and 1114 00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:04,960 Speaker 6: I think it's going to keep on dropping. So again 1115 00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:06,239 Speaker 6: that's the high wa do you want to grab the 1116 00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,560 Speaker 6: number now? So why under? Why would you want to 1117 00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:11,360 Speaker 6: go under? With these two teams Josh Allen and the 1118 00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:14,680 Speaker 6: Mike McDaniel offense. Okay, so what do we see Miami? 1119 00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:16,919 Speaker 6: We talk about this. They didn't really look like they're 1120 00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:18,680 Speaker 6: in a rhythm. The run game I thought was pretty 1121 00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:22,200 Speaker 6: rough today. The defensive line did not look good. Buffalo 1122 00:54:23,160 --> 00:54:26,160 Speaker 6: Russo had three sacks today, so that could be tough. 1123 00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:27,200 Speaker 3: On the other game. 1124 00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:30,439 Speaker 6: We talked with Buffalo leaning in to that power run game. 1125 00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:33,640 Speaker 6: Leaning into a game that's going to chew up the clock. 1126 00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,319 Speaker 6: We like chewing up the clock if we're going under. 1127 00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:40,759 Speaker 6: So some of the numbers here Thursday night unders at 1128 00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:43,120 Speaker 6: a total forty nine and a half were above in 1129 00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:48,040 Speaker 6: September October, So early season Thursday Night high total fifteen 1130 00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:50,400 Speaker 6: to four and one to the under seventy nine percent 1131 00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:53,799 Speaker 6: over five points a game. It's early on. It takes 1132 00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,520 Speaker 6: a while to you figure out that offense and get 1133 00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:59,800 Speaker 6: your rhythm going. Mike McDaniel four and two to the 1134 00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:03,200 Speaker 6: under when it's fifty one or higher, and McDermott rode 1135 00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:05,839 Speaker 6: under sixty one percent, And of course you know about 1136 00:55:05,840 --> 00:55:08,279 Speaker 6: the prime time unders as well, fifty nine percent the 1137 00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:10,319 Speaker 6: last four years. So it's a lot of trends here. 1138 00:55:10,920 --> 00:55:12,719 Speaker 6: And then I already really look at the weather too. 1139 00:55:13,080 --> 00:55:16,480 Speaker 6: Remember Miami's off a short week, playing off of a 1140 00:55:16,640 --> 00:55:21,440 Speaker 6: ninety degreed weather, tough conditioning for them early in the season. 1141 00:55:21,920 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 6: But whether in Miami Thursday night it looks like in 1142 00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:28,080 Speaker 6: the eighties better than fifty to fifty chants of rain, 1143 00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:29,720 Speaker 6: possibility of wind. 1144 00:55:30,640 --> 00:55:31,160 Speaker 3: We love that. 1145 00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:35,040 Speaker 6: We love that for under and if that weather gets worse, 1146 00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:37,920 Speaker 6: that's a spot where this fifty one drops down to 1147 00:55:38,239 --> 00:55:41,680 Speaker 6: well below fifty after then fifty one is the most 1148 00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:44,440 Speaker 6: common key number in totals over the last decade. So 1149 00:55:44,560 --> 00:55:47,479 Speaker 6: that's why this number matters so much. You know about 1150 00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:49,520 Speaker 6: the three on Seattley, you don't necessarily know about the 1151 00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:52,000 Speaker 6: fifty one key number. They're tough with totals, But I 1152 00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:54,480 Speaker 6: want to grab that fifty to one. It's at DraftKings 1153 00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:56,239 Speaker 6: take the under for Thursday night. 1154 00:55:57,719 --> 00:56:00,160 Speaker 1: Very good, Evan Abrams. Anything you want to check, I'm 1155 00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:02,280 Speaker 1: in with. As far as those looks from Brandon, anything 1156 00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:04,640 Speaker 1: data wise that we should be on the lookout for. 1157 00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:09,520 Speaker 5: I honestly just said for that Buffalo Miami game, fifty 1158 00:56:09,600 --> 00:56:11,560 Speaker 5: one if you could find it, grab it already down 1159 00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:13,600 Speaker 5: to fifty and a half across that market. And same 1160 00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:16,160 Speaker 5: with his other read on Seattle already might as one 1161 00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:18,719 Speaker 5: twenty in spot. So both those numbers are probably going 1162 00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:19,960 Speaker 5: to be gone, So get that quick. 1163 00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:20,640 Speaker 3: Okay. 1164 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:23,320 Speaker 1: More from Evan Abrams this week over at the website 1165 00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:26,960 Speaker 1: Actionnetwork dot com in the app all the key data points, 1166 00:56:27,080 --> 00:56:30,239 Speaker 1: nuggets info that you might need for your Week two 1167 00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:32,440 Speaker 1: betting card, and be on the lookout as well for 1168 00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:34,920 Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson, the hot read will be available on the 1169 00:56:35,000 --> 00:56:36,120 Speaker 1: site as well. Written for him. 1170 00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:38,880 Speaker 6: It will I will be posting the link right now 1171 00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:40,800 Speaker 6: once we finish up our show, but the folks in 1172 00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,279 Speaker 6: the video have already got their picks then hopefully very good. 1173 00:56:43,360 --> 00:56:45,279 Speaker 1: Okay, So each week, Brandon, we'll do it here on 1174 00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:47,440 Speaker 1: the pod and also written form if you need to 1175 00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:49,520 Speaker 1: go back and reference it. But as he mentioned, you 1176 00:56:49,600 --> 00:56:51,880 Speaker 1: know you want to get it sooner because that's the 1177 00:56:51,920 --> 00:56:55,759 Speaker 1: whole idea. Once the number moves price wise, and of 1178 00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:56,160 Speaker 1: course the. 1179 00:56:56,239 --> 00:56:58,799 Speaker 2: Line, here's two more for you before we leave. Kickers, yes, 1180 00:56:59,000 --> 00:56:59,520 Speaker 2: fifty plus. 1181 00:56:59,560 --> 00:57:02,399 Speaker 5: The arders were nineteen to twenty one in Week one, 1182 00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:07,480 Speaker 5: only misses from Tucker and York and kickers perfect extra points, 1183 00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:10,840 Speaker 5: so kicking was an overs were I believe it was 1184 00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:12,360 Speaker 5: seven and eight or. 1185 00:57:12,400 --> 00:57:14,040 Speaker 2: Eight and seven to overs one way or the other 1186 00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:14,600 Speaker 2: depending on the. 1187 00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:17,120 Speaker 5: Closing numbers, so didn't affect totals. But kickers were looking 1188 00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:17,560 Speaker 5: really good. 1189 00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:19,560 Speaker 2: And we just saw this tweet. 1190 00:57:19,560 --> 00:57:22,440 Speaker 5: I've got to end this one in our Action Network slack. 1191 00:57:22,880 --> 00:57:26,840 Speaker 5: But thirty three passing touchdowns for quarterbacks right now going 1192 00:57:26,840 --> 00:57:29,479 Speaker 5: to Monday Night football. Last year we had thirty seven 1193 00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:32,040 Speaker 5: at this point year before that, fifty one sixty one, 1194 00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:35,439 Speaker 5: so really really bad quarterback play in week one. 1195 00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:37,120 Speaker 2: So we'll see if a trend continues. 1196 00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:40,480 Speaker 6: Well, those kickers might have impacted the totals because week 1197 00:57:40,560 --> 00:57:42,680 Speaker 6: one is usually an under his time. So maybe the 1198 00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:44,800 Speaker 6: fact that it's near fifty to fifty is because we 1199 00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:46,360 Speaker 6: got some of those extra kicks coming through. 1200 00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:47,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, good point. 1201 00:57:47,920 --> 00:57:50,720 Speaker 1: Okay, before we wrap up, let's hear from our friend 1202 00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:55,200 Speaker 1: Patrick Everson over at Vegas Insider for a market report. 1203 00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:57,480 Speaker 1: How did Las Vegas fare today? 1204 00:57:57,720 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 4: Thanks a lot, Brendan. Good to be back if Action 1205 00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:03,760 Speaker 4: Network for these weekly reports on how things went behind 1206 00:58:03,800 --> 00:58:07,400 Speaker 4: the counter in the NFL. Week one did not disappoint. 1207 00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:08,920 Speaker 4: There was a lot of up and down, a lot 1208 00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,000 Speaker 4: of back and forth between the books and the betters. 1209 00:58:11,760 --> 00:58:13,840 Speaker 4: I think in the end here, Brendan, we're probably gonna 1210 00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:16,560 Speaker 4: have the betters coming out a little ahead, and I'll 1211 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:19,400 Speaker 4: explain that in a moment, starting with a Thursday night game. 1212 00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:21,800 Speaker 4: I think one thing that was really interesting is one 1213 00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,080 Speaker 4: of the local books here in Las Vegas was the 1214 00:58:24,120 --> 00:58:27,200 Speaker 4: one that was taking the bulk of the bigger bets. 1215 00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:30,040 Speaker 4: South Point here in Las Vegas took a two hundred 1216 00:58:30,040 --> 00:58:33,120 Speaker 4: and twenty thousand dollars play on Ravens against the spread, 1217 00:58:34,000 --> 00:58:36,600 Speaker 4: but also saw coming back on the other side one 1218 00:58:36,680 --> 00:58:38,800 Speaker 4: hundred and ten thousand dollars bet come in on the 1219 00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:41,960 Speaker 4: Chiefs spread, so that helped balance things a little bit. 1220 00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:43,800 Speaker 4: And with Chris Andrews behind the counter at south Point 1221 00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:47,000 Speaker 4: told me was as it turned out even with that 1222 00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:50,240 Speaker 4: two hundred and twenty thousand dollars bet, they still needed 1223 00:58:50,520 --> 00:58:53,960 Speaker 4: Baltimore in that game and almost got there with Baltimore 1224 00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:58,040 Speaker 4: with that late touchdown overturned and Chris boy, they were 1225 00:58:58,120 --> 00:59:00,320 Speaker 4: lining up for two, he said, as they were lining 1226 00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:01,919 Speaker 4: up for two hours like go for it. I wish 1227 00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:03,480 Speaker 4: they would have gotten two. I wish they would have 1228 00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:05,360 Speaker 4: converted the two point conversion. It would have been a 1229 00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:07,720 Speaker 4: pretty good result. Behind the counter for the South Point 1230 00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:10,640 Speaker 4: most books probably needed the Ravens as well, or indicated 1231 00:59:10,680 --> 00:59:13,880 Speaker 4: they needed the Ravens, I should say Chiefs at home 1232 00:59:14,320 --> 00:59:16,840 Speaker 4: Thursday night. The public was in on it, and certainly 1233 00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:19,320 Speaker 4: the Chiefs were kicking off a lot of money line 1234 00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:23,480 Speaker 4: parlays to start the week. Friday Night Eagles all the way. 1235 00:59:23,520 --> 00:59:26,160 Speaker 4: Every oddsmaker I spoke with said the Eagles were getting 1236 00:59:26,160 --> 00:59:28,600 Speaker 4: the bulk of tickets and money. They were definitely gonna 1237 00:59:28,640 --> 00:59:31,200 Speaker 4: need the Packers. There another situation a lot like the 1238 00:59:31,280 --> 00:59:34,480 Speaker 4: Thursday night game where they almost almost were able to 1239 00:59:34,480 --> 00:59:36,640 Speaker 4: get the Packers to the finish line, but that ended 1240 00:59:36,720 --> 00:59:38,800 Speaker 4: up being a good result for the betters, which we 1241 00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:41,520 Speaker 4: certainly don't mind one bit. We like to see the 1242 00:59:41,560 --> 00:59:44,360 Speaker 4: betters win some money. Now, as for Sunday, this was 1243 00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:46,800 Speaker 4: where kind of there's back and forth give and take. 1244 00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:51,200 Speaker 4: When you had the Patriots go to Cincinnati and win 1245 00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:54,640 Speaker 4: as the biggest underdog on the board in NFL Week one, 1246 00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:57,840 Speaker 4: that blew up tons of parlays and money line parlays 1247 00:59:58,080 --> 01:00:00,400 Speaker 4: that were running to all the key favorites throughout the 1248 01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:03,520 Speaker 4: day and the Lions on Sunday night and then the 1249 01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:05,280 Speaker 4: forty nine ers. We'll talk about that in the moment, 1250 01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:07,240 Speaker 4: but the forty nine ers on Monday Night, So a 1251 01:00:07,360 --> 01:00:10,120 Speaker 4: bunch of money line parlays got blown up. Straight bet 1252 01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:13,400 Speaker 4: parlays got blown up by the Patriots winning that game, 1253 01:00:13,440 --> 01:00:16,840 Speaker 4: pulling off the outright upset. So the books got off 1254 01:00:16,880 --> 01:00:20,439 Speaker 4: to a good start on Sunday. However, the more popular teams, 1255 01:00:20,480 --> 01:00:23,080 Speaker 4: the favorites, and the more popular teams the Buccaneers and 1256 01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:26,720 Speaker 4: especially the Cowboys winning in the later window on Sunday 1257 01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:30,840 Speaker 4: got new money line, parlays back on track, parlays back 1258 01:00:30,920 --> 01:00:33,680 Speaker 4: on track. Those ran to the Lions on Sunday night. 1259 01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,480 Speaker 4: The Lions won and covered by getting it done in 1260 01:00:36,720 --> 01:00:40,960 Speaker 4: overtime against the Rams. So what Scott Shelton, behind the 1261 01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:44,400 Speaker 4: counter at betam Gendevata told me was, look, we went 1262 01:00:44,480 --> 01:00:46,800 Speaker 4: back and forth, kind of gave everything back in the 1263 01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:49,040 Speaker 4: afternoon that we won in the morning. He said, it's 1264 01:00:49,040 --> 01:00:50,720 Speaker 4: all going to come down of the Lions game, and 1265 01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,840 Speaker 4: they and the betters again got the best of the 1266 01:00:53,920 --> 01:00:56,760 Speaker 4: books in that Lion's game. The super Book indicated likewise. 1267 01:00:56,760 --> 01:01:00,760 Speaker 4: So it's going back and forth with Chase Michaelson, who's 1268 01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:03,680 Speaker 4: a risk supervisor at the super Book, And what he 1269 01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,520 Speaker 4: said about this is anytime you have the one pm favorites, 1270 01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:09,960 Speaker 4: the four pm Eastern favorites do well, and you have 1271 01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:12,440 Speaker 4: the Cowboys as a public dog, you're gonna be rooting 1272 01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:14,560 Speaker 4: for the dog in the Sunday night game. They did 1273 01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:16,760 Speaker 4: not get there. He said, that's basically always true unless 1274 01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:18,960 Speaker 4: you have some huge house player bet on the dog 1275 01:01:19,080 --> 01:01:22,720 Speaker 4: or something. So multiple sportsbooks indicated that the Sunday night 1276 01:01:22,800 --> 01:01:25,560 Speaker 4: game kind of made or broke their day, and it 1277 01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:27,200 Speaker 4: actually made or broke the day for the betters to 1278 01:01:27,360 --> 01:01:29,600 Speaker 4: it made the better's day, and it broke a few 1279 01:01:29,680 --> 01:01:33,400 Speaker 4: of the bookstays for sure. Looking ahead to Monday night 1280 01:01:34,240 --> 01:01:37,560 Speaker 4: with how the afternoon later kicks unfolded on Sunday and 1281 01:01:37,680 --> 01:01:40,400 Speaker 4: the Sunday night kick, how that unfolded, with the Lions 1282 01:01:40,440 --> 01:01:43,080 Speaker 4: winning and covering just barely cover the five and a 1283 01:01:43,120 --> 01:01:47,320 Speaker 4: half closing number by winning by six. Almost assuredly, the 1284 01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:49,320 Speaker 4: public is going to come in pretty good on the 1285 01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:52,200 Speaker 4: forty nine ers on Monday, probably already has to a 1286 01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:56,560 Speaker 4: degree with relation to moneyline parlays and parlays, so the 1287 01:01:57,000 --> 01:01:59,960 Speaker 4: liability is going to run to the Niners in those areas, 1288 01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:02,760 Speaker 4: So almost assuredly, the books are going to be rooting 1289 01:02:02,840 --> 01:02:05,000 Speaker 4: for the Jets tomorrow night, not only to cover the number, 1290 01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:07,840 Speaker 4: but potentially to win outright and spoil any of those 1291 01:02:07,880 --> 01:02:12,120 Speaker 4: moneyline parlays that made it through Sunday or restarted on 1292 01:02:12,240 --> 01:02:15,840 Speaker 4: Sunday after the Patriots beat the Bengals and are running 1293 01:02:15,880 --> 01:02:19,000 Speaker 4: to the Niners in the Monday night game. So all 1294 01:02:19,040 --> 01:02:21,040 Speaker 4: in all, doesn't sound like a bad weekend for the 1295 01:02:21,080 --> 01:02:23,520 Speaker 4: betters at this point, books got a little the better's 1296 01:02:23,520 --> 01:02:25,520 Speaker 4: probably got a little bit more, and they'll be looking 1297 01:02:25,560 --> 01:02:28,040 Speaker 4: for the Niners on Monday Night. Thanks a lot. Brendan 1298 01:02:28,080 --> 01:02:28,960 Speaker 4: will talk next week. 1299 01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:31,120 Speaker 1: So as we said, if you jumped in while we 1300 01:02:31,520 --> 01:02:33,440 Speaker 1: once we got this off the ground, we will be 1301 01:02:33,560 --> 01:02:37,640 Speaker 1: your trio every Sunday night most weeks during the season 1302 01:02:37,760 --> 01:02:42,280 Speaker 1: to recap each Sunday slate in the National Football League. 1303 01:02:42,600 --> 01:02:45,280 Speaker 1: As we get into the thick of it, into the 1304 01:02:45,360 --> 01:02:47,640 Speaker 1: weeds of the season, we'll do some more bigger picture 1305 01:02:48,160 --> 01:02:51,520 Speaker 1: trends and maybe award market stuff. But again we realize 1306 01:02:51,520 --> 01:02:53,360 Speaker 1: that there's a lot going on today. Everyone's losing their 1307 01:02:53,400 --> 01:02:56,200 Speaker 1: minds over one day of football. But be on the 1308 01:02:56,240 --> 01:02:59,880 Speaker 1: lookout for more bigger picture stuff. How unders are doing, 1309 01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:02,760 Speaker 1: for example, or how you know quarterback play with as 1310 01:03:02,800 --> 01:03:05,680 Speaker 1: you mentioned, the kicker play, anything that stands out like 1311 01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:07,600 Speaker 1: a sore thumb. As far as trends, we will be 1312 01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:10,720 Speaker 1: on it. Evan Abrams is our director of research media 1313 01:03:10,800 --> 01:03:13,840 Speaker 1: Action Network. Brandon Anderson one of our great NFL contributors. 1314 01:03:14,280 --> 01:03:16,440 Speaker 1: My name is Brendan Glashen. Thank you all so much 1315 01:03:16,520 --> 01:03:19,600 Speaker 1: for tuning in live on YouTube the Action Network YouTube page. 1316 01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:23,080 Speaker 1: Please subscribe, turn on that little bell let me go live. 1317 01:03:23,360 --> 01:03:25,680 Speaker 1: You'll be aware of it right around that same window 1318 01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:28,320 Speaker 1: going forward like we did tonight. And those of you 1319 01:03:28,480 --> 01:03:31,680 Speaker 1: listening to the Action Network podcast, thank you. As always, 1320 01:03:31,720 --> 01:03:35,440 Speaker 1: Please leave your five star rating camera views there. That's it, 1321 01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:38,480 Speaker 1: We're done. We'll join you again next Sunday night here 1322 01:03:38,520 --> 01:03:58,680 Speaker 1: on the Action Network Podcast. Action Network reminds you please 1323 01:03:58,760 --> 01:03:59,800 Speaker 1: gambler responsibly. 1324 01:04:00,280 --> 01:04:02,200 Speaker 4: If you or some one you care about has a 1325 01:04:02,240 --> 01:04:05,840 Speaker 4: gambling problem, help is available twenty four seven at one 1326 01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:06,840 Speaker 4: eight hundred gambler