WEBVTT - 2011 Prediction Results 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:02.960 Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve Camray. 0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:08.840 It's ready. Are you get in touch with technology? With 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:17.560 tech Stuff from how stuff works dot com. Hello everyone, 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:20.480 welcome to tech stuff. My name is Chris Poulette, and 0:00:20.480 --> 0:00:22.840 I am an editor at how stuff works dot com. 0:00:22.840 --> 0:00:24.920 Sitting across from me, someone who is not an editor, 0:00:24.960 --> 0:00:28.440 but he is a senior writer, is Jonathan Strickland. When 0:00:28.440 --> 0:00:31.160 the earth was still flat, and clouds made of fire, 0:00:31.200 --> 0:00:35.440 and mountains stretched up to the sky sometimes higher. I 0:00:35.440 --> 0:00:37.479 think I've actually used that quote before. You might have, 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:41.080 but anyway, Hey, we're talking about stuff we already said before. Anyway, 0:00:41.240 --> 0:00:45.159 that's true. Today we are recording our follow up on 0:00:45.200 --> 0:00:49.320 our predictions for twenty eleven. And before we get into 0:00:49.520 --> 0:00:52.400 what we predicted for the year eleven and how we 0:00:52.520 --> 0:00:55.880 did how our predictions did, we should mention that we're 0:00:55.920 --> 0:01:00.400 recording this in early early early December in order for 0:01:00.480 --> 0:01:02.520 us to have enough episodes to get through the end 0:01:02.520 --> 0:01:05.440 of the year. So, uh, some of these predictions that 0:01:05.480 --> 0:01:09.039 have not come true may still come true. Your mileage 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:12.760 may vary. I'm covering our bases. Okay, that's good. Did 0:01:12.760 --> 0:01:16.080 you fix the broken scoreboard? Problem that we had. Yes, yes, 0:01:16.120 --> 0:01:19.840 we no longer the whole checks and uh and exes 0:01:19.920 --> 0:01:22.959 have been fixed. I've moved on to a totally different 0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:26.640 score keeping systems. Yeah, so we're comfortable with that. Yeah, 0:01:26.640 --> 0:01:28.280 we don't have to worry. I know that there was 0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:33.160 some there was some controversy or controversy, uh from a 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:37.600 previous scorecard where apparently all of my predictions got checks 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:40.600 and all of Chris's predictions got xs no matter what 0:01:40.720 --> 0:01:42.880 the content. I am happy to say that will not 0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:45.720 be the case this year. Alright then, alright, so, uh 0:01:45.880 --> 0:01:48.480 so let's you want to start with them one of 0:01:48.520 --> 0:01:50.360 yours here, I've got, I've got I've got them all 0:01:50.440 --> 0:01:52.480 laid out into mine and yours. Is that how you 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:55.280 have it as well? Yes, that is so how I 0:01:55.280 --> 0:01:57.880 have it set up. And I have to have to 0:01:57.880 --> 0:02:01.240 own up to picking some I felt were pretty easy 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:04.600 because that whole checks and excess thing through me, and 0:02:04.640 --> 0:02:08.080 I figured I wanted at least one or two that 0:02:08.160 --> 0:02:11.080 I figured I could actually, like you just nail it. Yeah. So, 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:15.400 speaking of which, I said that the iPad two would 0:02:15.400 --> 0:02:18.480 get a would get a camera, forward facing camera and 0:02:18.520 --> 0:02:21.920 a faster processor. And I got the faster processor thing, right, 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:24.720 and I got well, I sort of got the camera thing. 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:28.080 It's got a couple of cameras right right. You you 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:30.320 originally said it was just gonna be the one camera 0:02:30.360 --> 0:02:33.120 and it'd be forward facing. So that was based on 0:02:33.160 --> 0:02:35.040 the fact that you know, I have an iPad one 0:02:35.520 --> 0:02:37.720 and it's got this little if you have if you 0:02:37.760 --> 0:02:39.959 see an iPad one, you could see on the opposite 0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:42.639 end of the front of it from one of the 0:02:43.120 --> 0:02:45.840 home button is there's sort of a little Yeah, if 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:47.080 you hold it the right light, you could see the 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.200 sort of a little cut out where the camera might 0:02:49.280 --> 0:02:52.519 have been had they chosen to throw it in there. Right. Well, 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:55.200 maybe they didn't have the miniaturization just right where they 0:02:55.200 --> 0:02:57.320 could fit all the components in, or maybe it's just 0:02:57.560 --> 0:03:00.840 you know, problems or whatever. Yeah, but anyway, yeah, so, 0:03:01.080 --> 0:03:03.440 but but you've got that more right than wrong. So 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:08.320 you get uh, let me check my score sheet here, Okay, 0:03:08.680 --> 0:03:13.239 page seventy three. You get one one and a half 0:03:13.320 --> 0:03:21.000 tablets for that that prediction tablets. That's that's what says here. Okay, yeah, okay, 0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:24.040 So I said that the iPhone would move to Verizon, 0:03:24.120 --> 0:03:27.400 but not until twelve and you said it was going 0:03:27.440 --> 0:03:29.480 to come out in twenty eleven, and you got that right, 0:03:29.520 --> 0:03:31.840 And what it did in fact moved to right. In fact, 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:35.400 it moved to Sprint as well. In UM, I said 0:03:35.400 --> 0:03:37.560 that they were going to announce that the iPhone was 0:03:37.560 --> 0:03:39.280 moving to Verizon, but I did not think it was 0:03:39.320 --> 0:03:41.280 going to move to twelve And at the time, I 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:45.120 believe that that was because of the rumored agreement between 0:03:45.160 --> 0:03:47.400 Apple and a T and tight that it was going 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:49.360 to be a five year agreement, which means that it 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:54.000 wouldn't have expired until But whatever the cases, it actually 0:03:54.040 --> 0:03:57.120 did move to Verizon. So whereas I got the announced 0:03:57.160 --> 0:03:59.760 part right, I got the date totally wrong. You got it. 0:04:00.720 --> 0:04:05.120 Let me check here, Um I have to cross reference. Oh, 0:04:05.240 --> 0:04:10.360 according to this, I get a smart foe, but not 0:04:10.400 --> 0:04:13.640 be any because um I didn't get it, all right, 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:16.280 So I it's so we got one half tablets to 0:04:16.360 --> 0:04:19.880 a smart foe, all right, Okay, then let's move back 0:04:19.880 --> 0:04:24.000 to one of yours. All right. I predicted that the 0:04:24.040 --> 0:04:30.480 Google Chrome OS would get an underwhelming response, and yeah, 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:34.239 that's I mean it was. People were excited when Google 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:38.360 Chrome officially debuted back in the summer, and a lot 0:04:38.360 --> 0:04:40.320 of people did try and sign up to get a 0:04:40.400 --> 0:04:44.840 Chrome book, but ultimately I think, I mean, I haven't 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:49.640 heard anything about chromebooks since the Io event. Really. Yeah, 0:04:49.680 --> 0:04:51.520 it's just not one of those things that's been in 0:04:51.520 --> 0:04:53.440 the news. I mean, we know they're out there and 0:04:53.520 --> 0:04:56.320 people are developing for them, but it's just not it's 0:04:56.360 --> 0:04:59.159 not taking any like, it's not hitting the news cycle 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:02.760 at all. Wish I had predicted Wave would would would go, 0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:06.200 would recede, would go out to low time, but but 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:08.440 I didn't. Well, you get sort of similar because they 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:10.320 got a lot of hype right out of the gate 0:05:10.360 --> 0:05:14.239 and then they just sort of you know, yeah, yeah, 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:17.200 well according to this, because of that prediction, in the 0:05:17.200 --> 0:05:19.040 fact that you got it right, you get three shiny 0:05:19.120 --> 0:05:24.640 hubcaps caps. Yeah, so three shiny hubcaps for that prediction. 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:27.640 Moving back to one of mine, I said that a 0:05:27.720 --> 0:05:29.719 cloud competing would move to the next level with more 0:05:29.760 --> 0:05:32.800 web based services. We saw a lot of web based 0:05:32.800 --> 0:05:36.920 services premier this year. So let's let's just a lot 0:05:36.960 --> 0:05:40.800 of them are our media related, like I Cloud, Google Music, 0:05:41.000 --> 0:05:44.839 Amazon Cloud Player. We also had some players that already 0:05:44.839 --> 0:05:48.200 existed in the out there on the web kind of 0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:50.480 make their way finally over to the United States, Spotify 0:05:50.640 --> 0:05:53.680 being a big example. Um, and of course there's they're 0:05:53.720 --> 0:05:56.920 the other ones that were here already, mog and r 0:05:56.960 --> 0:05:59.920 d O yep. So I think I think it's a 0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:02.920 to say that that's that's true. And now we probably 0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:07.159 didn't see as many moves in the enterprise space as 0:06:07.200 --> 0:06:10.120 could have been. Right, We didn't see that many companies 0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:13.680 moved to all cloud based services, although I know there 0:06:13.680 --> 0:06:16.520 are a few out there that have adopted the Google 0:06:17.200 --> 0:06:21.120 ecosystem as their corporate ecosystem, so that they use Google 0:06:21.200 --> 0:06:25.599 Docs and Gmail and everything as their corporate email. So 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.320 there have been some. It's just not been huge, but 0:06:28.480 --> 0:06:31.119 we've seen it a lot in the consumer space. So 0:06:31.440 --> 0:06:34.240 for that prediction, I get rain drops keep falling on 0:06:34.320 --> 0:06:36.479 my head, which is gonna make the rest of this 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:40.960 episode a little damp. You know, I'm I'm not sure 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:43.400 I understand exactly how you came up with a scoring system. 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:45.520 The problem is really going to be totaling it at 0:06:45.560 --> 0:06:48.400 the end. But let's just keep going, shall we. All Right, 0:06:48.440 --> 0:06:51.599 all right, well, I uh I believe that. Uh well, 0:06:51.920 --> 0:06:56.120 let's actually go uh in in you know, uh continuum. Here, 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:58.480 I'm going to skip ahead on your list that you 0:06:58.560 --> 0:07:02.160 put together, and and point out that I did say 0:07:02.200 --> 0:07:06.160 that Spotify would show up here, yes, and uh, and 0:07:06.200 --> 0:07:08.560 I didn't think so. I didn't think so I said 0:07:08.600 --> 0:07:11.080 it would not. Well I at the time when you 0:07:11.080 --> 0:07:12.800 made the prediction, and I think it was an off 0:07:12.840 --> 0:07:15.120 the cuff prediction, if I recall correctly. Yeah, that was. 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:16.880 That was That felt like going out on a lamb. 0:07:16.920 --> 0:07:19.160 I remember, Yeah, And I I just said, you know, 0:07:19.200 --> 0:07:21.520 I said, well, let's make this interesting. I'll say it 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:23.400 won't and that way, no matter what, one of us 0:07:23.400 --> 0:07:26.120 will be right. And in that respect, I was right. 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:30.760 But you you got that, you got that correct. Spotify did, 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:33.400 in fact debut in the United States. I was a 0:07:33.440 --> 0:07:36.120 little I was a little skeptical because there had been 0:07:36.200 --> 0:07:38.480 at the time when we made the podcast of the Predictions, 0:07:38.800 --> 0:07:41.800 there had been a lot of news about how Spotify 0:07:41.920 --> 0:07:45.760 had been having some problems making agreements with or reaching 0:07:45.800 --> 0:07:48.720 agreements with major labels. Yeah, and that was the thing 0:07:48.720 --> 0:07:51.000 that was holding it back. They had wanted to debut 0:07:51.160 --> 0:07:53.840 a lot earlier than they had the opportunity to say, 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:57.360 and I just saw that that resistance holding out even 0:07:57.440 --> 0:08:00.440 more than uh, than it actually did. So yeah, you 0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:02.800 got that right. And let's say, according to this you 0:08:02.840 --> 0:08:06.520 get the black spot from Treasure Island. So it seems 0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:11.200 kind of bad, you know. I'm sorry, it's just it's 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:14.240 some of these awards are a little less prestigious and 0:08:14.240 --> 0:08:18.560 and glamorous than others. But that's the Spotify Award, right there, 0:08:18.800 --> 0:08:22.600 Spotify Award. Okay, alright, So I said that there was 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:27.840 gonna be a dramatic increase in cyber warfare in twenty eleven, 0:08:27.880 --> 0:08:29.680 and I think it's safe to say that there was 0:08:31.000 --> 0:08:34.839 a greater focus on cyber warfare um, and we saw 0:08:35.520 --> 0:08:40.160 several stories pop up about cyber warfare. Uh. And there 0:08:40.200 --> 0:08:44.080 was the recent news that came out where, uh, we 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:49.240 had accusations that state sponsored hacking had been taking place 0:08:49.280 --> 0:08:54.000 over in Europe. Yeah. Uh, Plus there was the news 0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:58.600 about trying to hack into various systems in uh Iran. 0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:04.040 There was a allegations that Chinese systems were trying to 0:09:04.080 --> 0:09:07.240 hack into various security systems around the world. And then 0:09:07.240 --> 0:09:11.320 there was stuckx net, which was um a piece of 0:09:11.360 --> 0:09:15.440 malware that people said was specifically aimed at taking out 0:09:16.040 --> 0:09:20.319 Iran's nuclear infrastructure because of what it would do is 0:09:20.360 --> 0:09:25.000 it would change the the RPMs at which a various 0:09:25.000 --> 0:09:28.199 equipment would rotate, and it would cause like a centrifuge, 0:09:28.200 --> 0:09:32.800 and it would cause potentially it would cause a massive meltdown. 0:09:32.960 --> 0:09:34.920 Well maybe not a meltdown, but it would cause a 0:09:34.960 --> 0:09:39.400 massive accident failure. But in in the case of stux Net, 0:09:39.520 --> 0:09:42.040 it looks like all of those were detected early enough 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:47.559 to to um head off a major malfunction. One of 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:50.440 the things we've talked about when we talk about cyber attacks, 0:09:50.440 --> 0:09:53.239 though of any kind, really is that it's difficult sometimes 0:09:53.240 --> 0:09:56.120 to pinpoint, especially from people who know what they're doing, 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:59.520 difficult to pinpoint exactly who's behind an attack. So it 0:09:59.520 --> 0:10:03.160 could be uh, state sponsored, it could not be, and 0:10:03.360 --> 0:10:06.880 we might never know without you know, having something to 0:10:06.920 --> 0:10:09.480 back it up, having a proof behind it. And so 0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:11.800 it's kind of difficult to say whether some of these 0:10:11.800 --> 0:10:14.400 were state sponsored or not because of the way they 0:10:14.440 --> 0:10:17.640 appear to have happened. There are plenty of stories about 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:23.240 it's anonymous and lull SEC attacking various targets. So I 0:10:23.600 --> 0:10:26.160 think I got this, uh fairly, I think this. I 0:10:26.200 --> 0:10:28.760 think it's fair to give me this one. So apparently, 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:31.600 according to this, I get in return for that correct 0:10:32.360 --> 0:10:35.680 prediction about an increase in cyber war, I get high 0:10:35.800 --> 0:10:42.280 anxiety on DVD. Okay, all right, So, uh let's see 0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:46.280 the year the tablet. Um that was one of yours 0:10:47.240 --> 0:10:50.800 and uh I said that, um, the Android OS would 0:10:50.920 --> 0:10:55.240 launch a new era of tablets. Um. I feel like 0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:58.600 in one respect, the I mean, the tablet market really 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:03.200 did take off. Um, but still the Android. I thought 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:05.839 the release of Android would do for tablets what it 0:11:05.880 --> 0:11:11.880 did for smart smartphones, where it outnumbers the sales of 0:11:11.960 --> 0:11:16.439 iOS based devices that's Apple's operating system for its own devices, 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:20.920 and not so much out selling iOS. The iPad is 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:23.520 still a dominant player in the market. Although there there 0:11:23.559 --> 0:11:26.280 are some quite good Android based tablets, there are also 0:11:26.360 --> 0:11:30.680 some quite terrible. Yeah, and and we also saw the 0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:35.040 debut of things like the Amazon Kindle Fire, which is 0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:37.720 is burning up the charts right now as we record 0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:41.800 this Fire, I see what you did. Also, Barnes and 0:11:41.800 --> 0:11:44.559 Noble came out with its own Nook tablet that did 0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:47.880 quite well. A lot of enthusiasts really enjoy that. Again, 0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:49.760 it's early December, so it's kind of hard to tell. 0:11:49.800 --> 0:11:54.800 Those are fairly new. The BlackBerry playbook didn't do as well, 0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:57.880 but um but it's also out there. And then there's 0:11:57.880 --> 0:12:01.480 the second place compcause second place to the iPad, which 0:12:01.480 --> 0:12:04.040 had its own We even devoted our own episode to 0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:11.160 this uh HPS lovely uh webOS based device, which you know, 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.520 the webo s of course said bye bye to everybody, 0:12:14.600 --> 0:12:18.120 although you never know. I mean that whole situation is 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:20.160 so I'm going to talk about that in our we 0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:24.520 haven't recorded our predictions, I'm going to talk about that one. 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:27.040 But yeah, as a matter of fact, as a Palm 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:29.880 decided to discontinue it, they put it on massive discount 0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:32.880 and now holds the second place behind the eye because 0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:35.040 if you don't remember, the touch pad went on sale 0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:38.040 for like wasn't it, Yeah, and people just gobbled them 0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:40.800 up because everyone's like, a hundred dollar tablet, that's exactly 0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:42.720 what I want. I don't care what uperating system it 0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:45.440 has or what it can or can't do. Uh yeah, 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:48.880 that's probably gonna be some buyer's remorse in the future 0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:50.840 from some of those folks. But it sort of depends 0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:53.560 on what HP does with the whether or not whether 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:56.560 or not it truly is continued to be supported in 0:12:56.679 --> 0:13:01.880 some fashion or not, it could all be a huge ploy. Yeah. Anyhow, 0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:04.400 so yeah, I think I don't know. I get some 0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:06.520 credit there. I didn't. I didn't get the android part 0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:10.559 quite right. Right, According to to my notes here, this 0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:16.480 means that you get a red herring. So um, it's 0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:17.880 I think. I guess I'll have to see how this 0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:20.240 all totally. It's in a tank in the back, so 0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:23.360 I'll bring it out after the show, unless, of course, 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.760 it disappeared, in which case will have herring loss. That's true, Yeah, 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:29.520 it would be a dramatic loss and herring. Speaking of tablets, 0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:32.199 your next prediction was sort of tablet related. Yeah, I 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.200 said that laptop sales would depth but they wouldn't totally 0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:39.520 crash due to uh, tablets, And that's pretty much true. 0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:42.880 I mean there was laptop sales took a pretty big hit, 0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:47.600 but desktop sales have taken a hit due to laptops. Yeah, 0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:50.800 laptops still haven't been completely replaced yet, and I don't 0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:52.880 think they ever will be totally replaced, just like I 0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:56.520 don't think desktops will ever be totally replaced. I think 0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.960 I think maybe our our focus will be will show 0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:03.400 to mobile devices effect it already has but it will 0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.440 continue to move in that direction, and that laptops and 0:14:06.559 --> 0:14:11.880 desktops will be used more for very specific but limited functions. Um, 0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:13.840 I think that will continue, but I don't. I don't 0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:18.800 see them disappearing entirely. So yeah, I get, Um, you 0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:20.720 know what I got for this one? What's that? I 0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:25.560 got the tildy key from my old computer. That's what 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:29.480 I got for that one. Then yeah, um, how long 0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:32.720 has that been missing? Anyway? About two and a half years, 0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:37.080 I think, Yeah, got a hole in it. Yeah, but 0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.560 you know how that happened? We uh, you know, we 0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:45.080 talked about on our podcast Google Plus this year, which 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:48.280 of course none of us predicted, and uh in Facebook, 0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:50.520 but you know what get we what we didn't talk 0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:53.920 about so much? What's my Space? I wonder why that happened? Well, 0:14:53.960 --> 0:14:58.960 you know, I made a prediction that Fox was gonna unload. Yeah, 0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:00.920 technically I should say, and this is my fault because 0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:02.480 I wrote down the notes this way, but technically we 0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:07.760 should say news Corps, the parent company. Yeah, so I'm 0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:09.840 just reading it. So but yeah, news Corp. No, No, 0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:11.640 I was the one who wrote it. So it's you know, 0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:14.520 and I don't blame you at all that news Corps sold. 0:15:15.280 --> 0:15:18.120 You said that news Core would sell my Space for 0:15:18.960 --> 0:15:22.040 a dollar fifty and some coupon books. You were so 0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:26.000 close thirty five million dollars. Yeah, and they spent what 0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:29.200 five eight million when they bought it something like that. 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:33.040 It's that's crazy, you know. Every time I right after 0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.160 that happened, every time I passed by those billboards advertising 0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:38.560 how many millions you could win if you if you 0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.080 won the lottery, I thought, that's funny. I could have 0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.320 bought my my Space if I won the lottery after 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:47.200 taxes even Yeah, I mean that that I would have 0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:49.160 done that. You nailed it, though, I mean, and that 0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.000 was one of those those predictions that it sounds like 0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.200 it's really kind of like, if you weren't if you're 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:57.360 not really thinking about too hard, if you're not putting 0:15:57.400 --> 0:16:01.200 yourself back in the mind frame we were in twenty 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:04.160 you might think, well, that's an easy prediction to make, 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.640 except for the fact that news Corp had held onto 0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.160 my Space. I mean, my Space was hadn't been relevant 0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:11.840 for a couple of years. I was actually thinking there 0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:14.720 was more of a possibility in terms of that. I 0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.040 was thinking that was possible that Newscore might just bury 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:22.960 my space right and right next to man. Yeah, pretty much. Yeah, 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:25.920 I eat it. But no, they and you said they'd 0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:28.680 sell it. They did, so you get, oh, oh, it 0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.520 looks like it's our most valuable prize. Yet you get 0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:36.080 Rupert Murdock's big toenail. You know, if you believe in 0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:39.040 like sympathetic magic, you can work some mean mojo. Now, 0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:43.720 so hey, you just hold on to that. So alright, So, 0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:46.440 speaking of sales, Yeah, I said that eBay would sell 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:51.040 off Skype. Now the eagle eared listeners out there, we're 0:16:51.080 --> 0:16:53.160 all eager to point out that, um hey, you know what, 0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:57.120 he may technically sold Skype in two thousand nine, So 0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.840 making that a two thousand prediction for two thousand eleven, 0:16:59.880 --> 0:17:03.200 my it seem a little ridiculous, except that eBay had 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:08.119 retained thirty five of Skype. They were they weren't the 0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:10.920 majority owner in Skype anymore, but they still owned thirty 0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:13.840 And that's kind of what I was going for when 0:17:13.880 --> 0:17:16.040 I made the prediction, although I didn't make that clear 0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:19.840 in the prediction, so it just sounded ridiculous. But in fact, 0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:23.680 in two thousand eleven, Microsoft bought Skype. Now I think 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:26.000 I wish I had predicted that Microsoft was going to 0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:27.680 be the company to do this, because then it would 0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:33.040 be a really phenomenal prediction, right, but it but I didn't. 0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.760 I didn't foresee it being Microsoft. I just figured someone 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:38.280 would buy it. And Microsoft bought it for eight point 0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:43.840 five billion dollars. That's a pretty big number. And because 0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:45.359 I got this one pretty much, right, I get a 0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:49.400 chordless phone. Wow, that's that's pretty nice. Yeah, but there's 0:17:49.400 --> 0:17:53.280 no base station. It's just the chordless phone. All right, 0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:57.919 So you know you have more than than I do 0:17:57.960 --> 0:17:59.440 because I was chicken last year, So why don't we 0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:02.680 do another one of Okay? So I also said that 0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:06.320 inleven we would have a true test of the four 0:18:06.400 --> 0:18:09.080 G technologies that would roll out and things like y 0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:12.200 max and lt E. And I know before you guys 0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.920 right in, I know that y max is not truly 0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:18.639 four G. Uh. In fact, the definition of four G 0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:21.520 now is almost meaningless. We need to do an episode 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:24.920 specifically about what is two G, three G, four G 0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:28.160 and and why are they designated that way? And why 0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:31.160 is it so complicated? Yeah, I mean the big thing 0:18:31.240 --> 0:18:34.680 is a speed issue, because I mean even T mobile marketing, 0:18:34.720 --> 0:18:38.160 it's upgraded three G h s P A plus technology. 0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:41.399 They can depending on the market and the technology, like 0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:44.439 in the specific hardware you're using, H s P A 0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:48.440 plus can outpace LTE, so probably won't by the time 0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:52.240 lt matures. Right, So that the T mobile's argument was 0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:54.560 that it was a four G speed, so you might 0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:56.120 as well call it four a G because if it's 0:18:56.440 --> 0:19:00.760 if if, if we're using the g's as shorthand, then 0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:04.000 we're just saying that this this device is works faster 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:07.159 than that device, in which case, you know, there's an 0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.600 G three G network and the l T E is 0:19:10.640 --> 0:19:12.680 sort of a one G four G networks. It really, 0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:14.800 it just got more confusing. I don't think that we 0:19:14.920 --> 0:19:19.320 really saw a battle there. So but LTE one, you're 0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:21.000 right about that. I did say the l T E 0:19:21.119 --> 0:19:23.399 would win, and that is true. Lt is is by 0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:27.600 far the dominant UH four G technology that's out there 0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.320 right now. In fact, I think that within another year 0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.680 this is going into a prediction almost but within another 0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:36.119 year it'll probably even more evident, although we may be seeing, 0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:40.239 you know, rumors of the next emerging technology come out. 0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:43.480 By the time we finally settle on this emerging technology, 0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:46.719 of course, that's the way the way tech works. So um, 0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:52.000 I get the letter G. Okay, yeah, at least until 0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:56.399 it comes along because he eats everything except for Z 0:19:56.920 --> 0:19:59.119 and uh you know, I actually I had predicted that 0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:01.240 a T and T would roll out it's for G 0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:03.200 network by the end of the year, and it it 0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:06.280 actually has, which is an LTE network. I think we 0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:10.399 piggyback those in the predictions episode. So do I get 0:20:10.440 --> 0:20:12.320 a G two for for that one? Actually you said 0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:14.760 it was a T and T and uh, strangely enough, 0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:16.520 I think this might have been a typo. But you 0:20:16.640 --> 0:20:22.159 get an ad at you know. They they're terrible as 0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:24.760 far as gas mileage goes. Yeah, and let me tell 0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:27.639 you when I was bringing that sucker into the office 0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:33.000 this morning, Uh, traffic on four hundred was a nightmare. Yeah. 0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:34.560 But the nice thing is you can you know you're 0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:36.800 already there, and that that you don't really have to 0:20:36.880 --> 0:20:38.600 go very far to get up to the floor that 0:20:38.680 --> 0:20:40.760 we're on. No, that's true. I just kind of popped 0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:44.160 open the cockpit and and then just made a quick 0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:46.640 jump over to our our patio and that was fine. 0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:49.159 There you go, all right, So let's see, let me 0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:51.160 do another one. Of mine. I said that, Um oh, 0:20:51.560 --> 0:20:54.639 here's one that was very excited about. Yes, I predicted 0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:58.439 that a new version of the Nintendo WE would debut 0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:02.480 at E three and you was right right. I can't 0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:05.960 believe it. Uh yeah, that WE You was you? Was? 0:21:06.320 --> 0:21:10.680 You was exactly right? Yes We you Ui Ui? Um 0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:14.360 it sounds like a European ambulance. Yeah. I had said 0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:16.639 that it would probably be the HD version of the WE, 0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:18.440 but it's a little bit more than that. Because this 0:21:18.600 --> 0:21:20.920 is the WE. You also has a new kind of 0:21:21.000 --> 0:21:24.080 controller that has its own touch screen interface embedded in 0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:27.639 the controller itself. So it's kind of like combining the ELT, 0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:33.720 the the Nintendo DS sort of technology with the WE 0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:37.960 console system and putting it all together so that you have, uh, 0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:40.040 you know, a game going on on the screen and 0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.439 then occasionally might have many games pop up on your controller, 0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:45.080 which we've seen in previous console systems, and we've talked 0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:47.040 about that before in the past, but this will be 0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:51.480 the most kind of mature version of that technology that 0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:54.639 we've seen so far. So yeah, I got that right. 0:21:54.720 --> 0:21:57.879 I was really amazed, And unfortunately it looks like I 0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:04.400 won some WE. So let's just move on, all right, Hey, 0:22:04.640 --> 0:22:06.760