1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve Camray. 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: It's ready. Are you get in touch with technology? With 3 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: tech Stuff from how stuff works dot com. Hello everyone, 4 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: welcome to tech stuff. My name is Chris Poulette, and 5 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: I am an editor at how stuff works dot com. 6 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:24,920 Speaker 1: Sitting across from me, someone who is not an editor, 7 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: but he is a senior writer, is Jonathan Strickland. When 8 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 1: the earth was still flat, and clouds made of fire, 9 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: and mountains stretched up to the sky sometimes higher. I 10 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: think I've actually used that quote before. You might have, 11 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: but anyway, Hey, we're talking about stuff we already said before. Anyway, 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 1: that's true. Today we are recording our follow up on 13 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: our predictions for twenty eleven. And before we get into 14 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: what we predicted for the year eleven and how we 15 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: did how our predictions did, we should mention that we're 16 00:00:55,920 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: recording this in early early early December in order for 17 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: us to have enough episodes to get through the end 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: of the year. So, uh, some of these predictions that 19 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 1: have not come true may still come true. Your mileage 20 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 1: may vary. I'm covering our bases. Okay, that's good. Did 21 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: you fix the broken scoreboard? Problem that we had. Yes, yes, 22 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: we no longer the whole checks and uh and exes 23 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: have been fixed. I've moved on to a totally different 24 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: score keeping systems. Yeah, so we're comfortable with that. Yeah, 25 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: we don't have to worry. I know that there was 26 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: some there was some controversy or controversy, uh from a 27 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 1: previous scorecard where apparently all of my predictions got checks 28 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: and all of Chris's predictions got xs no matter what 29 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: the content. I am happy to say that will not 30 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: be the case this year. Alright then, alright, so, uh 31 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: so let's you want to start with them one of 32 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: yours here, I've got, I've got I've got them all 33 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: laid out into mine and yours. Is that how you 34 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 1: have it as well? Yes, that is so how I 35 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: have it set up. And I have to have to 36 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: own up to picking some I felt were pretty easy 37 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 1: because that whole checks and excess thing through me, and 38 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 1: I figured I wanted at least one or two that 39 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: I figured I could actually, like you just nail it. Yeah. So, 40 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: speaking of which, I said that the iPad two would 41 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: get a would get a camera, forward facing camera and 42 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: a faster processor. And I got the faster processor thing, right, 43 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: and I got well, I sort of got the camera thing. 44 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: It's got a couple of cameras right right. You you 45 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: originally said it was just gonna be the one camera 46 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: and it'd be forward facing. So that was based on 47 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: the fact that you know, I have an iPad one 48 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: and it's got this little if you have if you 49 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:39,959 Speaker 1: see an iPad one, you could see on the opposite 50 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 1: end of the front of it from one of the 51 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: home button is there's sort of a little Yeah, if 52 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: you hold it the right light, you could see the 53 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: sort of a little cut out where the camera might 54 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 1: have been had they chosen to throw it in there. Right. Well, 55 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: maybe they didn't have the miniaturization just right where they 56 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: could fit all the components in, or maybe it's just 57 00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: you know, problems or whatever. Yeah, but anyway, yeah, so, 58 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 1: but but you've got that more right than wrong. So 59 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: you get uh, let me check my score sheet here, Okay, 60 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:13,239 Speaker 1: page seventy three. You get one one and a half 61 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: tablets for that that prediction tablets. That's that's what says here. Okay, yeah, okay, 62 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: So I said that the iPhone would move to Verizon, 63 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: but not until twelve and you said it was going 64 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: to come out in twenty eleven, and you got that right, 65 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: And what it did in fact moved to right. In fact, 66 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: it moved to Sprint as well. In UM, I said 67 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: that they were going to announce that the iPhone was 68 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: moving to Verizon, but I did not think it was 69 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: going to move to twelve And at the time, I 70 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: believe that that was because of the rumored agreement between 71 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: Apple and a T and tight that it was going 72 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: to be a five year agreement, which means that it 73 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: wouldn't have expired until But whatever the cases, it actually 74 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: did move to Verizon. So whereas I got the announced 75 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: part right, I got the date totally wrong. You got it. 76 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: Let me check here, Um I have to cross reference. Oh, 77 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: according to this, I get a smart foe, but not 78 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: be any because um I didn't get it, all right, 79 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,280 Speaker 1: So I it's so we got one half tablets to 80 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: a smart foe, all right, Okay, then let's move back 81 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: to one of yours. All right. I predicted that the 82 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:30,480 Speaker 1: Google Chrome OS would get an underwhelming response, and yeah, 83 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:34,239 Speaker 1: that's I mean it was. People were excited when Google 84 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: Chrome officially debuted back in the summer, and a lot 85 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: of people did try and sign up to get a 86 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: Chrome book, but ultimately I think, I mean, I haven't 87 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: heard anything about chromebooks since the Io event. Really. Yeah, 88 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 1: it's just not one of those things that's been in 89 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: the news. I mean, we know they're out there and 90 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: people are developing for them, but it's just not it's 91 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: not taking any like, it's not hitting the news cycle 92 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: at all. Wish I had predicted Wave would would would go, 93 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 1: would recede, would go out to low time, but but 94 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: I didn't. Well, you get sort of similar because they 95 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: got a lot of hype right out of the gate 96 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:14,239 Speaker 1: and then they just sort of you know, yeah, yeah, 97 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: well according to this, because of that prediction, in the 98 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: fact that you got it right, you get three shiny 99 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: hubcaps caps. Yeah, so three shiny hubcaps for that prediction. 100 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: Moving back to one of mine, I said that a 101 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 1: cloud competing would move to the next level with more 102 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 1: web based services. We saw a lot of web based 103 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: services premier this year. So let's let's just a lot 104 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: of them are our media related, like I Cloud, Google Music, 105 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 1: Amazon Cloud Player. We also had some players that already 106 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 1: existed in the out there on the web kind of 107 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 1: make their way finally over to the United States, Spotify 108 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 1: being a big example. Um, and of course there's they're 109 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 1: the other ones that were here already, mog and r 110 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: d O yep. So I think I think it's a 111 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 1: to say that that's that's true. And now we probably 112 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 1: didn't see as many moves in the enterprise space as 113 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: could have been. Right, We didn't see that many companies 114 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 1: moved to all cloud based services, although I know there 115 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: are a few out there that have adopted the Google 116 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: ecosystem as their corporate ecosystem, so that they use Google 117 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: Docs and Gmail and everything as their corporate email. So 118 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 1: there have been some. It's just not been huge, but 119 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,119 Speaker 1: we've seen it a lot in the consumer space. So 120 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: for that prediction, I get rain drops keep falling on 121 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,479 Speaker 1: my head, which is gonna make the rest of this 122 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: episode a little damp. You know, I'm I'm not sure 123 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: I understand exactly how you came up with a scoring system. 124 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: The problem is really going to be totaling it at 125 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: the end. But let's just keep going, shall we. All Right, 126 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 1: all right, well, I uh I believe that. Uh well, 127 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 1: let's actually go uh in in you know, uh continuum. Here, 128 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 1: I'm going to skip ahead on your list that you 129 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 1: put together, and and point out that I did say 130 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: that Spotify would show up here, yes, and uh, and 131 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 1: I didn't think so. I didn't think so I said 132 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: it would not. Well I at the time when you 133 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: made the prediction, and I think it was an off 134 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 1: the cuff prediction, if I recall correctly. Yeah, that was. 135 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: That was That felt like going out on a lamb. 136 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: I remember, Yeah, And I I just said, you know, 137 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: I said, well, let's make this interesting. I'll say it 138 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: won't and that way, no matter what, one of us 139 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: will be right. And in that respect, I was right. 140 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: But you you got that, you got that correct. Spotify did, 141 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 1: in fact debut in the United States. I was a 142 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: little I was a little skeptical because there had been 143 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 1: at the time when we made the podcast of the Predictions, 144 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: there had been a lot of news about how Spotify 145 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: had been having some problems making agreements with or reaching 146 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: agreements with major labels. Yeah, and that was the thing 147 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 1: that was holding it back. They had wanted to debut 148 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: a lot earlier than they had the opportunity to say, 149 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: and I just saw that that resistance holding out even 150 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: more than uh, than it actually did. So yeah, you 151 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: got that right. And let's say, according to this you 152 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 1: get the black spot from Treasure Island. So it seems 153 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: kind of bad, you know. I'm sorry, it's just it's 154 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 1: some of these awards are a little less prestigious and 155 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: and glamorous than others. But that's the Spotify Award, right there, 156 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: Spotify Award. Okay, alright, So I said that there was 157 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: gonna be a dramatic increase in cyber warfare in twenty eleven, 158 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: and I think it's safe to say that there was 159 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:34,839 Speaker 1: a greater focus on cyber warfare um, and we saw 160 00:08:35,520 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: several stories pop up about cyber warfare. Uh. And there 161 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: was the recent news that came out where, uh, we 162 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: had accusations that state sponsored hacking had been taking place 163 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: over in Europe. Yeah. Uh, Plus there was the news 164 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: about trying to hack into various systems in uh Iran. 165 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: There was a allegations that Chinese systems were trying to 166 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: hack into various security systems around the world. And then 167 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: there was stuckx net, which was um a piece of 168 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: malware that people said was specifically aimed at taking out 169 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 1: Iran's nuclear infrastructure because of what it would do is 170 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: it would change the the RPMs at which a various 171 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:28,199 Speaker 1: equipment would rotate, and it would cause like a centrifuge, 172 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: and it would cause potentially it would cause a massive meltdown. 173 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: Well maybe not a meltdown, but it would cause a 174 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: massive accident failure. But in in the case of stux Net, 175 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: it looks like all of those were detected early enough 176 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: to to um head off a major malfunction. One of 177 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 1: the things we've talked about when we talk about cyber attacks, 178 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,239 Speaker 1: though of any kind, really is that it's difficult sometimes 179 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: to pinpoint, especially from people who know what they're doing, 180 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: difficult to pinpoint exactly who's behind an attack. So it 181 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: could be uh, state sponsored, it could not be, and 182 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: we might never know without you know, having something to 183 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: back it up, having a proof behind it. And so 184 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: it's kind of difficult to say whether some of these 185 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: were state sponsored or not because of the way they 186 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: appear to have happened. There are plenty of stories about 187 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: it's anonymous and lull SEC attacking various targets. So I 188 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 1: think I got this, uh fairly, I think this. I 189 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 1: think it's fair to give me this one. So apparently, 190 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: according to this, I get in return for that correct 191 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,680 Speaker 1: prediction about an increase in cyber war, I get high 192 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: anxiety on DVD. Okay, all right, So, uh let's see 193 00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 1: the year the tablet. Um that was one of yours 194 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: and uh I said that, um, the Android OS would 195 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: launch a new era of tablets. Um. I feel like 196 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: in one respect, the I mean, the tablet market really 197 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: did take off. Um, but still the Android. I thought 198 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 1: the release of Android would do for tablets what it 199 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 1: did for smart smartphones, where it outnumbers the sales of 200 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:16,439 Speaker 1: iOS based devices that's Apple's operating system for its own devices, 201 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: and not so much out selling iOS. The iPad is 202 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 1: still a dominant player in the market. Although there there 203 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: are some quite good Android based tablets, there are also 204 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 1: some quite terrible. Yeah, and and we also saw the 205 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: debut of things like the Amazon Kindle Fire, which is 206 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 1: is burning up the charts right now as we record 207 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 1: this Fire, I see what you did. Also, Barnes and 208 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,559 Speaker 1: Noble came out with its own Nook tablet that did 209 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: quite well. A lot of enthusiasts really enjoy that. Again, 210 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: it's early December, so it's kind of hard to tell. 211 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 1: Those are fairly new. The BlackBerry playbook didn't do as well, 212 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: but um but it's also out there. And then there's 213 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: the second place compcause second place to the iPad, which 214 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 1: had its own We even devoted our own episode to 215 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: this uh HPS lovely uh webOS based device, which you know, 216 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: the webo s of course said bye bye to everybody, 217 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 1: although you never know. I mean that whole situation is 218 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: so I'm going to talk about that in our we 219 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 1: haven't recorded our predictions, I'm going to talk about that one. 220 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 1: But yeah, as a matter of fact, as a Palm 221 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 1: decided to discontinue it, they put it on massive discount 222 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 1: and now holds the second place behind the eye because 223 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: if you don't remember, the touch pad went on sale 224 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 1: for like wasn't it, Yeah, and people just gobbled them 225 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: up because everyone's like, a hundred dollar tablet, that's exactly 226 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 1: what I want. I don't care what uperating system it 227 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: has or what it can or can't do. Uh yeah, 228 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 1: that's probably gonna be some buyer's remorse in the future 229 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: from some of those folks. But it sort of depends 230 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 1: on what HP does with the whether or not whether 231 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 1: or not it truly is continued to be supported in 232 00:12:56,679 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 1: some fashion or not, it could all be a huge ploy. Yeah. Anyhow, 233 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 1: so yeah, I think I don't know. I get some 234 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 1: credit there. I didn't. I didn't get the android part 235 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:10,559 Speaker 1: quite right. Right, According to to my notes here, this 236 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: means that you get a red herring. So um, it's 237 00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: I think. I guess I'll have to see how this 238 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: all totally. It's in a tank in the back, so 239 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: I'll bring it out after the show, unless, of course, 240 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 1: it disappeared, in which case will have herring loss. That's true, Yeah, 241 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 1: it would be a dramatic loss and herring. Speaking of tablets, 242 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,199 Speaker 1: your next prediction was sort of tablet related. Yeah, I 243 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 1: said that laptop sales would depth but they wouldn't totally 244 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 1: crash due to uh, tablets, And that's pretty much true. 245 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: I mean there was laptop sales took a pretty big hit, 246 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: but desktop sales have taken a hit due to laptops. Yeah, 247 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: laptops still haven't been completely replaced yet, and I don't 248 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: think they ever will be totally replaced, just like I 249 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: don't think desktops will ever be totally replaced. I think 250 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: I think maybe our our focus will be will show 251 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 1: to mobile devices effect it already has but it will 252 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 1: continue to move in that direction, and that laptops and 253 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: desktops will be used more for very specific but limited functions. Um, 254 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:13,840 Speaker 1: I think that will continue, but I don't. I don't 255 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 1: see them disappearing entirely. So yeah, I get, Um, you 256 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: know what I got for this one? What's that? I 257 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 1: got the tildy key from my old computer. That's what 258 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: I got for that one. Then yeah, um, how long 259 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: has that been missing? Anyway? About two and a half years, 260 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, got a hole in it. Yeah, but 261 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: you know how that happened? We uh, you know, we 262 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 1: talked about on our podcast Google Plus this year, which 263 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: of course none of us predicted, and uh in Facebook, 264 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: but you know what get we what we didn't talk 265 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: about so much? What's my Space? I wonder why that happened? Well, 266 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: you know, I made a prediction that Fox was gonna unload. Yeah, 267 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 1: technically I should say, and this is my fault because 268 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 1: I wrote down the notes this way, but technically we 269 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 1: should say news Corps, the parent company. Yeah, so I'm 270 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: just reading it. So but yeah, news Corp. No, No, 271 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: I was the one who wrote it. So it's you know, 272 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: and I don't blame you at all that news Corps sold. 273 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 1: You said that news Core would sell my Space for 274 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: a dollar fifty and some coupon books. You were so 275 00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: close thirty five million dollars. Yeah, and they spent what 276 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 1: five eight million when they bought it something like that. 277 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: It's that's crazy, you know. Every time I right after 278 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 1: that happened, every time I passed by those billboards advertising 279 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: how many millions you could win if you if you 280 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: won the lottery, I thought, that's funny. I could have 281 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: bought my my Space if I won the lottery after 282 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: taxes even Yeah, I mean that that I would have 283 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: done that. You nailed it, though, I mean, and that 284 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: was one of those those predictions that it sounds like 285 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: it's really kind of like, if you weren't if you're 286 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 1: not really thinking about too hard, if you're not putting 287 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 1: yourself back in the mind frame we were in twenty 288 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 1: you might think, well, that's an easy prediction to make, 289 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 1: except for the fact that news Corp had held onto 290 00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 1: my Space. I mean, my Space was hadn't been relevant 291 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: for a couple of years. I was actually thinking there 292 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 1: was more of a possibility in terms of that. I 293 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: was thinking that was possible that Newscore might just bury 294 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: my space right and right next to man. Yeah, pretty much. Yeah, 295 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: I eat it. But no, they and you said they'd 296 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 1: sell it. They did, so you get, oh, oh, it 297 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: looks like it's our most valuable prize. Yet you get 298 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: Rupert Murdock's big toenail. You know, if you believe in 299 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: like sympathetic magic, you can work some mean mojo. Now, 300 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 1: so hey, you just hold on to that. So alright, So, 301 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 1: speaking of sales, Yeah, I said that eBay would sell 302 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: off Skype. Now the eagle eared listeners out there, we're 303 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: all eager to point out that, um hey, you know what, 304 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 1: he may technically sold Skype in two thousand nine, So 305 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 1: making that a two thousand prediction for two thousand eleven, 306 00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: my it seem a little ridiculous, except that eBay had 307 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:08,119 Speaker 1: retained thirty five of Skype. They were they weren't the 308 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 1: majority owner in Skype anymore, but they still owned thirty 309 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:13,840 Speaker 1: And that's kind of what I was going for when 310 00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: I made the prediction, although I didn't make that clear 311 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: in the prediction, so it just sounded ridiculous. But in fact, 312 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 1: in two thousand eleven, Microsoft bought Skype. Now I think 313 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 1: I wish I had predicted that Microsoft was going to 314 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:27,680 Speaker 1: be the company to do this, because then it would 315 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 1: be a really phenomenal prediction, right, but it but I didn't. 316 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: I didn't foresee it being Microsoft. I just figured someone 317 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 1: would buy it. And Microsoft bought it for eight point 318 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 1: five billion dollars. That's a pretty big number. And because 319 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 1: I got this one pretty much, right, I get a 320 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:49,400 Speaker 1: chordless phone. Wow, that's that's pretty nice. Yeah, but there's 321 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 1: no base station. It's just the chordless phone. All right, 322 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:57,919 Speaker 1: So you know you have more than than I do 323 00:17:57,960 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: because I was chicken last year, So why don't we 324 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 1: do another one of Okay? So I also said that 325 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: inleven we would have a true test of the four 326 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: G technologies that would roll out and things like y 327 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 1: max and lt E. And I know before you guys 328 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: right in, I know that y max is not truly 329 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:18,639 Speaker 1: four G. Uh. In fact, the definition of four G 330 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 1: now is almost meaningless. We need to do an episode 331 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: specifically about what is two G, three G, four G 332 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,160 Speaker 1: and and why are they designated that way? And why 333 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,160 Speaker 1: is it so complicated? Yeah, I mean the big thing 334 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 1: is a speed issue, because I mean even T mobile marketing, 335 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: it's upgraded three G h s P A plus technology. 336 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,399 Speaker 1: They can depending on the market and the technology, like 337 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,439 Speaker 1: in the specific hardware you're using, H s P A 338 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 1: plus can outpace LTE, so probably won't by the time 339 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 1: lt matures. Right, So that the T mobile's argument was 340 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: that it was a four G speed, so you might 341 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,120 Speaker 1: as well call it four a G because if it's 342 00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 1: if if, if we're using the g's as shorthand, then 343 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 1: we're just saying that this this device is works faster 344 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 1: than that device, in which case, you know, there's an 345 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: G three G network and the l T E is 346 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 1: sort of a one G four G networks. It really, 347 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 1: it just got more confusing. I don't think that we 348 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 1: really saw a battle there. So but LTE one, you're 349 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 1: right about that. I did say the l T E 350 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,399 Speaker 1: would win, and that is true. Lt is is by 351 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: far the dominant UH four G technology that's out there 352 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 1: right now. In fact, I think that within another year 353 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,680 Speaker 1: this is going into a prediction almost but within another 354 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 1: year it'll probably even more evident, although we may be seeing, 355 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:40,239 Speaker 1: you know, rumors of the next emerging technology come out. 356 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 1: By the time we finally settle on this emerging technology, 357 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,719 Speaker 1: of course, that's the way the way tech works. So um, 358 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 1: I get the letter G. Okay, yeah, at least until 359 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:56,399 Speaker 1: it comes along because he eats everything except for Z 360 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,119 Speaker 1: and uh you know, I actually I had predicted that 361 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 1: a T and T would roll out it's for G 362 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,200 Speaker 1: network by the end of the year, and it it 363 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: actually has, which is an LTE network. I think we 364 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 1: piggyback those in the predictions episode. So do I get 365 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: a G two for for that one? Actually you said 366 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 1: it was a T and T and uh, strangely enough, 367 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: I think this might have been a typo. But you 368 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 1: get an ad at you know. They they're terrible as 369 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: far as gas mileage goes. Yeah, and let me tell 370 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,639 Speaker 1: you when I was bringing that sucker into the office 371 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: this morning, Uh, traffic on four hundred was a nightmare. Yeah. 372 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:34,560 Speaker 1: But the nice thing is you can you know you're 373 00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 1: already there, and that that you don't really have to 374 00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 1: go very far to get up to the floor that 375 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 1: we're on. No, that's true. I just kind of popped 376 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 1: open the cockpit and and then just made a quick 377 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 1: jump over to our our patio and that was fine. 378 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,159 Speaker 1: There you go, all right, So let's see, let me 379 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,160 Speaker 1: do another one. Of mine. I said that, Um oh, 380 00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 1: here's one that was very excited about. Yes, I predicted 381 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:58,439 Speaker 1: that a new version of the Nintendo WE would debut 382 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 1: at E three and you was right right. I can't 383 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,960 Speaker 1: believe it. Uh yeah, that WE You was you? Was? 384 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,680 Speaker 1: You was exactly right? Yes We you Ui Ui? Um 385 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,360 Speaker 1: it sounds like a European ambulance. Yeah. I had said 386 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 1: that it would probably be the HD version of the WE, 387 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 1: but it's a little bit more than that. Because this 388 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:20,920 Speaker 1: is the WE. You also has a new kind of 389 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: controller that has its own touch screen interface embedded in 390 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: the controller itself. So it's kind of like combining the ELT, 391 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 1: the the Nintendo DS sort of technology with the WE 392 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,960 Speaker 1: console system and putting it all together so that you have, uh, 393 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 1: you know, a game going on on the screen and 394 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,439 Speaker 1: then occasionally might have many games pop up on your controller, 395 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: which we've seen in previous console systems, and we've talked 396 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 1: about that before in the past, but this will be 397 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 1: the most kind of mature version of that technology that 398 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 1: we've seen so far. So yeah, I got that right. 399 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,879 Speaker 1: I was really amazed, And unfortunately it looks like I 400 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:04,400 Speaker 1: won some WE. So let's just move on, all right, Hey, 401 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 1: actually that that was a c S. That was actually 402 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,919 Speaker 1: that was at E three, right, Yeah, but you didn't 403 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 1: go to C E S. And I think you're going 404 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:13,959 Speaker 1: again next year. Oh yes, I've already got it all 405 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: planned out. So why don't you tell us about your 406 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: C E S predictions? Okay, So because that we found 407 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:24,600 Speaker 1: that out pretty quickly. It's in January. So I predicted yeah, 408 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 1: because when we recorded this last year, it was right 409 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,639 Speaker 1: around the same time as early December, and I was 410 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:33,159 Speaker 1: predicting what would happen in early January, and so surprise, 411 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 1: surprise was right for most of it. I said that 412 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: there would be a lot of three D tech around, 413 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 1: and there were was quite a bit, and there has 414 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,160 Speaker 1: been for a few years. Actually, three D tech probably 415 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 1: didn't get quite the same amount of attention that it 416 00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,640 Speaker 1: did the year before, but it was still pretty much everywhere, 417 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 1: and you even had companies, especially like Sony, and I 418 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: think even Panasonic might have also had one. I know 419 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 1: a couple of different companies had the glasses free three 420 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 1: D televisions on this playing, which we've talked about before 421 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,680 Speaker 1: and about how you know, there are problems with glasses 422 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 1: free three D tech, mostly stemming from the fact that 423 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 1: if you are not in a the right position in 424 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,040 Speaker 1: front of the television, you're going to get a very blurry, 425 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:17,320 Speaker 1: disorienting experience. It's not very pleasant, but you know, there's 426 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: still advances being made with that technology. So I also 427 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 1: said there'll probably be more wireless data streaming between devices, 428 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,200 Speaker 1: and they're kind of was, but it wasn't in the 429 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 1: way that I had predicted. I thought it was going 430 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 1: to be more like high data transfers, so things like 431 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,399 Speaker 1: a Blu Ray player and a television set having a 432 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 1: wireless like a wide gig connection between the two where 433 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 1: you could watch content directly on your TV from your 434 00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,239 Speaker 1: Blu Ray without having to have a cable to connect them. 435 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,800 Speaker 1: But really, what the wireless data streaming stuff, the way 436 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 1: it played out at CS this is more about ecosystems. 437 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 1: It was more about having a device or a collection 438 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 1: of devices and being able to port and experience from 439 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 1: one device to the next in a very seamless way. 440 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: So in the ultimate example, you might be watching a 441 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 1: video on your on your smartphone as you're walking in 442 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 1: the door, and then you transfer that video seamlessly to 443 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 1: your television so you can watch the rest of it 444 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:16,760 Speaker 1: on TV and it picks up right where you left 445 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 1: off on the smartphone. That kind of idea, and we 446 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 1: haven't really reached that point yet, but there were a 447 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 1: lot of the like kind of the foundation for that 448 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 1: technology was on display quite a bit at CES. Yeah, 449 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,360 Speaker 1: the cloud, the cloud seems to have acquired that more 450 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 1: than your your home. So you know, if you're using 451 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 1: a service, a streaming movie service that you subscribe to 452 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 1: over the internet, you can pose it in one thing 453 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 1: and you have your account in the other room and 454 00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 1: seen it advertise more in that capacity than I have 455 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,320 Speaker 1: in the You buy this thing and stick in your 456 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: house and it makes this happen. Yeah, essentially in order 457 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,800 Speaker 1: for the second the version that I saw at CS, 458 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,159 Speaker 1: for order for that version to really play out, you 459 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:56,400 Speaker 1: would pretty much have to buy all of your electronics 460 00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 1: from a single source, like a single manufacturer for that 461 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: to work, because they all have their own proprietary ways 462 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 1: of developing this this uh system. Yeah, I wonder why 463 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,959 Speaker 1: that is. Whereas the version you're talking about is much 464 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 1: more consumer friendly, and that it is if it's cloud based, 465 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 1: as long as whatever it is you're buying has the 466 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: capacity to tap into that that cloud system then you're fine. 467 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 1: So you could have devices from multiple manufacturers and have 468 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: them seamlessly interact, because what they're doing is they're pulling 469 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,359 Speaker 1: stuff from the cloud, and that's where the coordination is 470 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 1: coming from, not through the devices themselves. But that's not 471 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,720 Speaker 1: the way it was presented at c E s UM. 472 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: I also said that there'd be a lot more green tech, 473 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: and there was UM and uh so yeah for this one, 474 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:52,359 Speaker 1: I get UM too. Hurt feet apparently. Yeah, I think 475 00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,360 Speaker 1: you cashed in on that one a long time ago. Yeah, 476 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 1: I'll be doing it again soon. Yea. Yeah, speaking of 477 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: green tech, Yeah, you kind of seem to think that 478 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: green green would sort of go away. I I what 479 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: I thought was that the big flashy green tech UM developments, 480 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:16,399 Speaker 1: things like like these these crazy power plants or whatever. Uh, 481 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: big flashy technologies would sort of fade away in comparison 482 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: to more modest but but achievable green technologies. So in 483 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 1: other words, you know, you wouldn't see something that was 484 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:35,639 Speaker 1: going to supposedly eliminate our dependence upon fossil fuels. UM 485 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 1: like these these big long reach projects that cost a 486 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:40,879 Speaker 1: lot of money and take will take a lot of 487 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: time to develop. What we would see a lot more 488 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 1: investment in things like this power chord will automatically shut 489 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 1: off and not allow your devices to draw vampire power. 490 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,399 Speaker 1: That kind of stuff. It's not not terribly exciting or sexy, 491 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: but it does make a difference, and that, in fact, 492 00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: is pretty much how played out. Um. In fact, I 493 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,439 Speaker 1: would argue that in some ways, green technology is kind 494 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,600 Speaker 1: of the buzz has kind of died a little bit. 495 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,160 Speaker 1: You don't. You don't hear about it as much as 496 00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:12,919 Speaker 1: you did, unless, of course, it relates to Celindra. There 497 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:17,719 Speaker 1: are some exceptions. That's more about the controversy of funding 498 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,440 Speaker 1: a company that that was not doing so hot with 499 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: government money. Or you might hear about it about a 500 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 1: car that gets in a collision in three days later 501 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 1: bursts into flames because the battery, the electric battery inside 502 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,680 Speaker 1: of it was damaged, but it takes a while for 503 00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:36,840 Speaker 1: the damage to actually result in a catastrophic failure. There's 504 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: that news too. Yep. So uh for this, I get 505 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 1: a piece of green felt that was from the same 506 00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,200 Speaker 1: bolt of cloth where they made kermit. Hey, it's not easy, 507 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 1: that's it. That's a pretty cool prize. Yeah, yeah, I 508 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 1: bungled this next one of mine, but Jonathan got it right. 509 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,359 Speaker 1: Um I said that to what we had been talking about, 510 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:08,239 Speaker 1: that giant speaking of power, energy sucking stuff. Apple had 511 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 1: been building this giant data center in North Carolina, and 512 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,639 Speaker 1: we had been speculating, or many of the media had 513 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 1: been about what they were actually going to do with 514 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:20,040 Speaker 1: that thing. Um well, it's actually still kind of unclear. 515 00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 1: But um I thought that Apple was going to launch 516 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 1: its own streaming media music service. And no, no, I didn't. No, 517 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,399 Speaker 1: I Cloud as many things, but it's not really a 518 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: streaming music service. Yeah, and I think that's what what's 519 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,400 Speaker 1: in that center is iCloud. It's supporting i Cloud, but 520 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 1: it's not yeah eye Cloud. Now, well, it sort of 521 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: depends on how you look at it, but I don't 522 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 1: think of it as a streaming music service like uh, 523 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 1: you know last Fm or Pandora and the radio side. 524 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 1: I think of it like a Lotify. It's more like 525 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 1: a more like a locker sty style. However, they do 526 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 1: have for the paying subscribers the music match service, which 527 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 1: identify eyes the stuff that you got on your your 528 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,440 Speaker 1: computer and you don't have to upload your music. You 529 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 1: you can say okay, well you got it there don't 530 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:11,000 Speaker 1: worry about it. As long as iTunes has that song 531 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: in its database, you have a copy of it, you 532 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:18,640 Speaker 1: can listen to it reasonably nice bit rate too. Yeah yeah, Actually, 533 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,719 Speaker 1: in some cases it will be a better bit rate 534 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 1: than the song you might have on your system, depending 535 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,480 Speaker 1: on Let's say, if you had a c D and 536 00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:27,840 Speaker 1: you ripped music from that CD and you were, you know, 537 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 1: trying to conserve space, so you ripped it at a 538 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: low bit rate. The bit rate if if iTunes can 539 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: match the song, and you are an iTunes match customer, 540 00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: then you will the one that will appear in your 541 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 1: iTunes account, your iCloud account will actually be at a 542 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 1: higher bit rate, possibly than the one the one that 543 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: was on your machine. Yeah, so that's kind of nice. Yeah, 544 00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 1: but you got this one right. It's not technically a 545 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: streaming music service, so according to this you even get 546 00:29:55,600 --> 00:30:00,160 Speaker 1: prizes when things aren't right. So, uh, this one is 547 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: a uh it's a little fried apple pie from McDonald's 548 00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: in a bag that was left in this studio at 549 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: our twenty ten Predictions episode, which is not good because 550 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 1: they've been baked for twenty years now, so you're kind 551 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:21,200 Speaker 1: of gonna need to um, probably dispose of that in 552 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: the most secure vessel that we have in this office, 553 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 1: which I believe is Josh Clark. Well, speaking of apples anything, Yeah, 554 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: you know, it's kind of late, since we've been talking 555 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 1: for about thirty minutes now, but it's kind of late. 556 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 1: But I'm starting to get a little skeptical of this 557 00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: scoring system. Um, but yeah, speaking of apples, the next 558 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 1: prediction came true sort of. Oh, the accepted it didn't 559 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 1: where I said light peak would debut, we did, but 560 00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 1: it it wasn't light peak, well it was. It was 561 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: light Peak. It was just called Thunderbolt, and it didn't 562 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 1: use light it used copper. How else and every other way, 563 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,440 Speaker 1: that prediction was completely right. Um, yeah, I said that 564 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,120 Speaker 1: light peak would debut inven and and all right. To 565 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: be fair, the very first generation of light Peak, even 566 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 1: back when it was just called light Peak, was still 567 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 1: going to be copper based. It was not going to 568 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: be until it moved a little bit beyond that where 569 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,320 Speaker 1: it was going to go to the actual fiber optic 570 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:18,160 Speaker 1: lines where it was going to use light. And this, 571 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,560 Speaker 1: in case you don't know, it's the technology that allows 572 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,640 Speaker 1: very fast data transfer speed between devices and it can 573 00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: be any sort of device that that you know can 574 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,120 Speaker 1: have the sort of port on. It's very similar to 575 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,880 Speaker 1: USB technology, or at least that's the purpose of it 576 00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,760 Speaker 1: is very much the same as USB technology, except that, uh, 577 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,360 Speaker 1: light peak, when it's just going to be fiber optics, 578 00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,320 Speaker 1: if there's no copper wire and there will not be 579 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 1: able to power a device as well as transferred data. 580 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 1: USB s can. USB s can provide power. Right. So 581 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 1: in fact, my my phone right now is plugged in 582 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 1: via USB cord to my computer, which means that the 583 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,880 Speaker 1: batteries not being drained because it's it's pulling power from 584 00:31:56,960 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 1: the computer itself. Light Peak would not work that way 585 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,719 Speaker 1: because if it were just the fiber optics, now, if 586 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 1: they paired it with copper wire, then yes, you could 587 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 1: carry electricity across the copper wire while the the fiber 588 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,720 Speaker 1: optics carried the data. Well, the very first generation of 589 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 1: light peak was just copper wire. They weren't including the 590 00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: fiber optics, and that did appear in products. In twenty eleven, 591 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 1: it appeared exclusively in Apple products and it was renamed Thunderbolt. 592 00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: But it was the same technology. It's the same thing. 593 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:30,160 Speaker 1: So because I got this right, more right than not right, 594 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 1: even though there were a lot of kind of cheating 595 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 1: around the fact of what light Peak was and how 596 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,880 Speaker 1: it debuted. I think what you meant and what they 597 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 1: meant were two different things. I think you should get 598 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 1: credit for. Yeah, so I get my award. Is I 599 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 1: get a light but it's over at the Frankenstein Place, 600 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,240 Speaker 1: so you have to pick it up after the show. Yeah, 601 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:53,200 Speaker 1: you did say that we would be using discs less 602 00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: I did. I said that we that digital distribution would 603 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 1: become a much bigger thing in an eleven that it 604 00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,040 Speaker 1: had in previous years. And we've seen that. We've seen 605 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: mac os ten Lion goes ten Lion, We've seen uh 606 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 1: beta builds of Windows eight. We've seen and I think 607 00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 1: when Microsoft is going to go to primarily digital distribution, 608 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 1: when when Windows eight comes out? Yeah, and you can 609 00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 1: you can buy games on the various game consoles through 610 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: their online stores and download directly to the console, as 611 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 1: opposed to going out and buying a disc, Steam, Steam 612 00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: and other huge games for the PC. So yeah, I 613 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: um I for this. I get a whole bunch of 614 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,800 Speaker 1: zeros and ones. That's what I got for those YEA 615 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 1: and a little bit in the back. Um. Yeah, this 616 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 1: next one is a little hard to quantify that I 617 00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:48,000 Speaker 1: that I'm predicted. Uh. I said that we're going to 618 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:53,400 Speaker 1: be more investments into, uh the alternatives to rare earth metals, 619 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: which are hard. They're they're plentiful, but they're hard to 620 00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: find in large amounts in one place. Um and you know, 621 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: therefore they are somewhat expensive. China sort of has the 622 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: market cornered right at the moment, and they're starting to 623 00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 1: use more for their own devices. So I figured that 624 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 1: more people would would be looking for alternatives to those. 625 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,359 Speaker 1: I haven't really read a whole lot about that. Um, 626 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,399 Speaker 1: so I'm thinking that I I think I'm pretty sure 627 00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 1: that I'm thinking that I think that I think that 628 00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:29,799 Speaker 1: maybe I was wrong. See, Yeah, this one's uh uh yeah, 629 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 1: this was hard to hear. A lot of this was 630 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,960 Speaker 1: a hard one to research, right because I mean it's yeah, 631 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,720 Speaker 1: it's unless you're hard to find info on you unless 632 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 1: you're reading very detailed reports. Um. Yeah, we didn't hear 633 00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 1: much about this, and as far as the rare earth 634 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 1: metal crisis is still going on, so uh So, unfortunately 635 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:49,799 Speaker 1: because of this, I have to you were talking about 636 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 1: alternatives too. Rare metals. Uh so I've got and um 637 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:59,120 Speaker 1: the best of Limp Biscuit album for you Alternative metal. 638 00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 1: There you shouldn't have, I know, really well you shouldn't have. 639 00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:07,239 Speaker 1: You can put that next year, apple Pie. Uh so 640 00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 1: you know we've got a new PlayStation portable coming out. 641 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:14,040 Speaker 1: Yeah I said that. I said I that in eleven 642 00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:17,360 Speaker 1: we'd see the PlayStation phone launch and the experien Play launched. 643 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 1: That was the PlayStation phone. It was it was, It wasn't. 644 00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:26,640 Speaker 1: It wasn't branded that. It wasn't branded as a PlayStation 645 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: Well it kind of was. Well, I mean it had 646 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 1: a slide out section, which is what I said it 647 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,719 Speaker 1: would have, with a little game pad on it, which 648 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,440 Speaker 1: is what That's exactly what I said. Uh, and it's 649 00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,320 Speaker 1: it was called the Experience Play. It even went on 650 00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:42,040 Speaker 1: sale for a hundred bucks. So, um, I got that one. 651 00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:44,800 Speaker 1: I got that one totally right, I got a hedgehog. 652 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:49,200 Speaker 1: I'm squinting what that's right. There wasn't PlayStation phone. It's 653 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:54,239 Speaker 1: the Experience Play. Look it up. Okay, it's uh, let's see, 654 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,800 Speaker 1: but it wasn't called it anyway. Do you want me 655 00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:58,360 Speaker 1: to do one more? Since that way it'll kind of 656 00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 1: even this out. Uh, well, I think I think your 657 00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,200 Speaker 1: last one should be the last one we talk about here. No, no, 658 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,160 Speaker 1: I think your last one should be the last one 659 00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:10,359 Speaker 1: we talk about. That's true, so I'll do another one. Uh. 660 00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:13,280 Speaker 1: So I had also said that color ink e readers 661 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 1: would launch in uh and that didn't happen. Instead of 662 00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 1: color e Inc. We saw the e reader companies go 663 00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 1: towards a more tablet design. Wha, They're using lc D displays, 664 00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 1: not e ink displays for that, So that was wrong. 665 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 1: I did not get that right. I mean, uh, the 666 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: I don't know if there was like a hold up 667 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,120 Speaker 1: on the technology or if it was just they figured 668 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 1: that the tablet, the tablet experience would be a superior 669 00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 1: experience to ink, or if the people who wanted color 670 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 1: really didn't care so much about things like battery life 671 00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,279 Speaker 1: that kind of thing. Yeah, I think that's that's a 672 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:52,040 Speaker 1: big part of it. Color et Inc. Does exist. Actually, 673 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:54,800 Speaker 1: it's been out well, I mean it it's existed for 674 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:57,040 Speaker 1: some time now, not in a long long time, but 675 00:36:57,480 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 1: you know, it was in existence when we had that 676 00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,920 Speaker 1: conversation Asian. The problem is it doesn't show nearly as 677 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,399 Speaker 1: many colors, and they're not nearly as bright as um 678 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 1: you know, an l an L E D display or 679 00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:12,520 Speaker 1: an l C D display. So the thing is you're 680 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,719 Speaker 1: you're getting more vibrant colors, but at the cost of 681 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,759 Speaker 1: battery life on these tablet type displays. And I think 682 00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 1: people sort of expect, especially for the things that they're 683 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,600 Speaker 1: saying for the new generation of tablets where they're going 684 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:28,520 Speaker 1: to have even more high definition displays. I think that 685 00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 1: may uh you know, relegate color eat inc. To a 686 00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 1: very small set of devices in the future. So but 687 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 1: I thought they were coming out to Yeah, yeah, So 688 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,759 Speaker 1: that one was a miss. Let me do one more 689 00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 1: on mine in that way, when we alternate, it should 690 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,440 Speaker 1: turn out so that your last ones are the last one. 691 00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,520 Speaker 1: Well yeah, yeah, and then this one you were right on. Yeah. 692 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,480 Speaker 1: I said that there we would start seeing near fields 693 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 1: communication systems show up in smartphones and ding. Yeah, it 694 00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:56,080 Speaker 1: started popping up, not not at the level that I 695 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 1: was hoping for, but it's it has started to emerge. 696 00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 1: And that's the technology that allows you to make payment 697 00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 1: transfers just by swiping your phone near uh a station 698 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:12,879 Speaker 1: like a payment station. And Google Wallet debut. Google Wallet 699 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,920 Speaker 1: debut and added a lot of that functionality into uh, 700 00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:20,080 Speaker 1: managing that kind of system. So on your end, so 701 00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:21,680 Speaker 1: you would you what you would do is you would 702 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,840 Speaker 1: have to have a particular kind of credit card for 703 00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:29,800 Speaker 1: Google Wallet to tie into this system, and then Google 704 00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:32,440 Speaker 1: Wallet would manage your account and would also let you 705 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:37,120 Speaker 1: subscribe to things like coupon deals and and rewards deals 706 00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,840 Speaker 1: and would apply those every time you went to purchase stuff. 707 00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,319 Speaker 1: So that way, if you had a coupon for something, 708 00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:46,359 Speaker 1: it would automatically get applied when you bought that thing. 709 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,520 Speaker 1: You wouldn't have to remember it. It would be in 710 00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:51,960 Speaker 1: there in your phone already, which was great. Uh. And 711 00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:56,759 Speaker 1: for that I get an electromagnetic field around me at 712 00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:00,120 Speaker 1: all times, so, um, my computer is no longer are 713 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 1: really displaying things properly? But other than that, it's pretty awesome. 714 00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,480 Speaker 1: Where your fair to day cage? Um? So uh, I 715 00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 1: predicted that hd TV prices would stagnate. You said there 716 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't be any more dramatic drops in price that they 717 00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,320 Speaker 1: had pretty much. You know, they might creep lower, but 718 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:21,160 Speaker 1: they wouldn't be You wouldn't see a huge like it's crazy. 719 00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:26,359 Speaker 1: You can get this hd TV screen for two hundred bucks. Um, 720 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 1: I don't know I think, based on my own personal 721 00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 1: research since I bought an HDTV that uh that that's 722 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 1: pretty accurate. Um, you know, I I think that, Uh, 723 00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,040 Speaker 1: I think there is probably a greater diversity. You see 724 00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:44,279 Speaker 1: a lot more manufacturers with you know, sort of a 725 00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:48,200 Speaker 1: cheap model and a nicer model. Um, but the nicer 726 00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,359 Speaker 1: ones have stayed about the same price that I saw 727 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:55,800 Speaker 1: them in. Yeah. And because you got that right, I 728 00:39:56,000 --> 00:40:00,600 Speaker 1: decided that would necessitate a reward that was high definition 729 00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,919 Speaker 1: but low in price. So I got you this HD 730 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: DVD player. Oh, thanks, You're welcome. That was one of 731 00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:11,840 Speaker 1: our very first podcasts. Uh. Next, um, we had I 732 00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:15,920 Speaker 1: had the prediction that Duke Knewcombe Forever would launch INN 733 00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 1: and Chris, you agreed, and I agreed with you, and 734 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:22,560 Speaker 1: we were right, and so many people are so sorry 735 00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 1: that we were right. Yeah. Yeah. It was one of 736 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,840 Speaker 1: those games where again, like for those who don't know, 737 00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 1: it was what thirteen years in the making, um, and 738 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:34,120 Speaker 1: it had been delayed numerous times, mostly due to things 739 00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: like the the lead project manager in charge of the 740 00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,880 Speaker 1: game would look at the game and decide that the 741 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,000 Speaker 1: the physics engine or the graphics engine was too out 742 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 1: of date and that they needed to redesign the game 743 00:40:46,440 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 1: for a new engine, and then every yeah, and they 744 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:52,160 Speaker 1: would scrap everything and start over, and then by the 745 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,440 Speaker 1: time that would be ready to debut, they'd see another 746 00:40:55,600 --> 00:41:00,560 Speaker 1: new system that was even better, which would necessitate ripping 747 00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:02,840 Speaker 1: it all apart and starting over again. And part of 748 00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:06,200 Speaker 1: this is because when Duke Newcome three D first came out, 749 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,000 Speaker 1: it was it came out right at the right time. 750 00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:12,320 Speaker 1: You know, it was taking advantage of technology and and 751 00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:16,160 Speaker 1: using it at its best for that time, right like, 752 00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,279 Speaker 1: it was the perfect timing for that game to come 753 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,839 Speaker 1: out on the on the systems that it did, because um, 754 00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:25,520 Speaker 1: it looked very sophisticated compared to other games. It was 755 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:28,040 Speaker 1: state of the art, and they wanted to try and 756 00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 1: recapture that. But the problem with that is that a 757 00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,480 Speaker 1: lot of that ends up just being luck. It's not 758 00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:35,200 Speaker 1: just you know, and you can't really plan for it 759 00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:37,920 Speaker 1: because designing a game and building a game and releasing 760 00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:42,080 Speaker 1: it takes time, and sometimes within that time frame, technology 761 00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:45,200 Speaker 1: has moved along while you've been developing, and especially since 762 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:50,440 Speaker 1: technology is developing faster and faster, it's just future proofing 763 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 1: a project like that is really tough to do. It's 764 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,160 Speaker 1: sort of like writing a vampire book for the market 765 00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:58,320 Speaker 1: now now that everyone is tired of the vampire genre 766 00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:01,000 Speaker 1: sort of. You know, you'd have to know what's going 767 00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:03,400 Speaker 1: to be big next, and happened to hit it right 768 00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:07,400 Speaker 1: at the right time, Zombies. So uh it did launch. 769 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 1: The reviews were almost universally negative or at the very 770 00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:16,040 Speaker 1: at the very best most the some of the best 771 00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,279 Speaker 1: reviews I read, like the most positive reviews just called 772 00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 1: it mediocre. So I didn't see anyone say that it 773 00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:25,520 Speaker 1: was a good game. Hasn't really burned up the charts either. Yeah, 774 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:29,400 Speaker 1: and I didn't purchase it because I mean, I had 775 00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:31,400 Speaker 1: heard enough things where I thought that maybe I just 776 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,960 Speaker 1: I would prefer to remember Duke from back in the 777 00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 1: days when I, uh I played the game the first game, 778 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,200 Speaker 1: the Duke NUKEMB three D, not the first Duke Nukem 779 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:42,359 Speaker 1: game because those were side scrollers, but the first first 780 00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:45,440 Speaker 1: person shooter Duke Nukem game. But yeah, so I got 781 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,680 Speaker 1: that one right. So because of that, I get an 782 00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:52,920 Speaker 1: enormous set of weights which I can't move unless I 783 00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 1: have them in the ad at and unfortunately that's yours, 784 00:42:55,640 --> 00:43:00,320 Speaker 1: not mine. I was going to suggest that actually, and finally, 785 00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:03,759 Speaker 1: one of my predictions that I'm so happy about because 786 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:07,160 Speaker 1: I got it wrong last time, Jonathan would get a 787 00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,359 Speaker 1: new computer, new work computer by the end of the year. 788 00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 1: So this is actually I sort of got it right. Yeah, 789 00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:16,239 Speaker 1: he sort of got it right because it's new to me, 790 00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:19,799 Speaker 1: but it wasn't new out of the box. Not new 791 00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:24,240 Speaker 1: out of the box. It is a gently used gentle 792 00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:28,000 Speaker 1: it was you didn't gently gently use the last one, 793 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 1: which is why it had Problemly, Hey, that was just 794 00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:34,360 Speaker 1: just because the keys wouldn't work. That wasn't because I 795 00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:37,120 Speaker 1: was pounding on it or anything. That again would be 796 00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:42,680 Speaker 1: Josh Clark. Yeah, it's our resident loud type of right. Yeah, no, he'sack. 797 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:46,120 Speaker 1: So the yeah, you got it kind of right, because 798 00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,520 Speaker 1: I did get a new computer. It wasn't you. It 799 00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:50,960 Speaker 1: wasn't brand new, but it was new to me. So 800 00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 1: because you got that one right, you get my old computer. 801 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:57,560 Speaker 1: Oh goody, I have a door that needs propping open it. 802 00:43:58,120 --> 00:43:59,719 Speaker 1: You know, if you want, I'll even lend you the 803 00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,239 Speaker 1: till leaky since you're lending me the ad at Hey, okay, 804 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 1: that's a wait. So so what is the score? You've 805 00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 1: got this complex scoring system, right, so I have I 806 00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,799 Speaker 1: have totaled our our predictions. It's a little weird because 807 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,800 Speaker 1: I made I made more predictions than you did, so 808 00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:20,280 Speaker 1: that kind of throws things off. But according to my calculations, 809 00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:23,920 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, your predictions scored a 810 00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:31,200 Speaker 1: Sega dreamcast, My predictions scored. It looks like it's, um well, 811 00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,160 Speaker 1: it looks like it's a World Pool Bath. I'm not 812 00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:41,520 Speaker 1: sure how these compare directly. Uh, but um, I'm sure 813 00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:42,840 Speaker 1: I'll figure it out by the time we do this 814 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,719 Speaker 1: next year. All right, Okay, so yeah, I think that 815 00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:48,919 Speaker 1: went really well. Um, I hope that. Uh, I feel 816 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:53,920 Speaker 1: like I won. Yeah, I guess maybe. I mean, we 817 00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,239 Speaker 1: don't actually get the Sega Dreamcast of the World Pool 818 00:44:56,320 --> 00:45:00,239 Speaker 1: Pool Bath. That's just our score, right, I see, you know, 819 00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:04,360 Speaker 1: it's like, you know, I honestly don't know where to 820 00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:06,560 Speaker 1: go from there. In fact, now it seems like this 821 00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:08,440 Speaker 1: whole set of rules that I came up with it 822 00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:10,640 Speaker 1: was just a colossal waste of time. And I just 823 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:13,319 Speaker 1: found out I got a ticket for an improperly parked 824 00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,279 Speaker 1: at at Yeah. Sorry, not much it costs to pay 825 00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,680 Speaker 1: off a ticket. I couldn't fit it into the parking deck. No, 826 00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:22,800 Speaker 1: and now the parking deck is collapsed. Well, that's also 827 00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:28,000 Speaker 1: not good. So let's just wrap this up that I think, actually, 828 00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 1: all being said, a lot of our predictions did come true. 829 00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:33,480 Speaker 1: We didn't have as many huge misses this year as 830 00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:36,960 Speaker 1: we have then years passed, which just means we're gonna harder. Yeah, 831 00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 1: we're gonna try harder for twelve predictions. But also there 832 00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:44,319 Speaker 1: were a lot of big news stories that we did 833 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,239 Speaker 1: not predict at all and uh, and we're going to 834 00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:51,759 Speaker 1: do an entire episode about the year in review, like 835 00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:56,200 Speaker 1: what happened in eleven and uh and that will cover 836 00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:58,319 Speaker 1: some of the stories we've talked about here, but also 837 00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:00,480 Speaker 1: a lot of stories that that we just did not 838 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:04,400 Speaker 1: foresee at all. And I hope you guys will enjoy that. 839 00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:09,360 Speaker 1: This is going to be the last few episodes for eleven. 840 00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:12,680 Speaker 1: So thank you guys for listening to us for yet 841 00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,160 Speaker 1: another year, and we're looking forward to talking to you 842 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,520 Speaker 1: more in the future. And if you guys have any 843 00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,839 Speaker 1: suggestions for podcast topics that you think we should cover, 844 00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,040 Speaker 1: you can email us our email addresses tech Stuff at 845 00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:26,440 Speaker 1: how stuff works dot com, or you can let us 846 00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:28,520 Speaker 1: know on Facebook or Twitter or handled there is tech 847 00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,799 Speaker 1: stuff H. S W and Chris and I will talk 848 00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:35,719 Speaker 1: to you again, I predict really soon. Be sure to 849 00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,560 Speaker 1: check out our new video podcast, Stuff from the Future. 850 00:46:38,920 --> 00:46:41,719 Speaker 1: Join how Stuffwork staff as we explore the most promising 851 00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:46,440 Speaker 1: and perplexing possibilities of tomorrow. The How Stuff Works iPhone 852 00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 1: app has arrived down at it Today on iTunes, brought 853 00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:57,320 Speaker 1: to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve camera. It's ready, 854 00:46:57,560 --> 00:46:57,840 Speaker 1: are you