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Speaker 1: Good Sunday morning, everybody.

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Speaker 2: Welcome into the latest edition of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me and Matt Parult, your host every single morning

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Speaker 2: every Sunday. We are here as well for YouTube. We're

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Speaker 2: here double, we're live for the video here for or

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Speaker 2: on video for the Daily Juice, and then we'll be

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Speaker 2: live coming up for the live stream more and that

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Speaker 2: we just won second. This podcast always being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by BETMGM and always found on Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: and wherever you get your audio, podcasts and video With YouTube,

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Speaker 2: you guys know the offer five dollars with the promo

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Speaker 2: co Juice one hundred if you bet a money line,

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Speaker 2: a total aside, whatever you want. If a touchdown gets

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Speaker 2: scored in that game, you win one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 2: free bets thanks to bet mgm promo code Juice one

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Speaker 2: hundred to get in. Okay, So, before we do the

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Speaker 2: recap and everything else, a reminder of what's happening today

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Speaker 2: Sunday morning. It is the eight am live stream Pacific

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Speaker 2: time eleven am Eastern time. Just me, Dan Harris and

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Speaker 2: the rest of the Fancy Pros guys are headed to

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Speaker 2: the funeral for tags. So they're not going to be available.

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Speaker 2: Moral service was today, I believe, and so they're all

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Speaker 2: headed back to where they live, Dan in New Hampshire

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Speaker 2: and whatnot, so not being able to be a part

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Speaker 2: of the live stream. So just me Dan will be

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Speaker 2: back next week as the two of us. So you

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Speaker 2: just get me on the live stream at eleven am

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Speaker 2: Eastern time, breaking down. I will have the prop bets

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Speaker 2: and everything else that will jump in on here for

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Speaker 2: a busy Sunday. Okay, so let's talk about yesterday really quick.

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Speaker 2: It's a two and three day down a full plus

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Speaker 2: will like one point something units.

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Speaker 1: So not a great day. And so we get Alabama

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Speaker 1: right now.

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Speaker 2: I personally bet a half a unit on Alabama first

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Speaker 2: half in Alabama under both those best came in and cashed.

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Speaker 2: I had a money line bet on Boston College that

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Speaker 2: did not hit. So my personal plates went two and one.

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Speaker 2: Plays went through two and three officially, So it was

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Speaker 2: a losing day for the pod, losing day for me overall.

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Speaker 2: So so just not a great day on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: We get Notre Dame wrong, Wisconsin wrong, Arkansas wrong, that stunk,

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Speaker 2: We got Alabama right, Boston College right for two and

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Speaker 2: three mark and well, you know, not great, but not

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Speaker 2: horrible either. I mean could at one point I was

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Speaker 2: owing three, so I needed to get Alabama and Boston

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Speaker 2: College correct, and I did, thankfully.

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Speaker 1: Or it could have been a really bad day.

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Speaker 2: And if you played Bama first half, you played Bama

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Speaker 2: on the under. I recommended those, but I just told

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Speaker 2: you I was going to come back and do them full.

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Speaker 2: But that was just going to be a one unit wager,

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Speaker 2: so really it would have been still down the juice.

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Speaker 2: So even if I made those bets official, there would

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Speaker 2: have been half unit bets, so it still would have

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Speaker 2: been losing day. So this would have made the overall

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Speaker 2: record look better. It would have been you know, four

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Speaker 2: and three still down, but not yeah yeah, just down

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Speaker 2: probably a little bit, but probably down like point one

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Speaker 2: versus down being one point one. But it no not

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Speaker 2: a great Saturday. So hopefully we have a decent Sunday.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to come in really heavy today. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to kind of have a similar type of size

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Speaker 2: card that I had for Saturday here on a Sunday.

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Speaker 2: So you know where I am with Kansas City minus

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Speaker 2: six and a half. We already have that bet booked

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Speaker 2: put down number seven hasn't climbed all that much, which

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Speaker 2: is kind of interesting. But Casey on the road at Philadelphia,

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Speaker 2: the pros clearly you're looking at that seven and a

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Speaker 2: half number, and if Philadelphia gets to seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: you'll probably see pro money come in on the Eagles

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Speaker 2: kind of based on principle with seven and a half

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Speaker 2: for Philadelphia, So the books are kind of hanging away,

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Speaker 2: stay off, staying off of seven and a half, just

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Speaker 2: going with seven. For Kansas City, we took six and

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Speaker 2: a half, we bought the half a point and went

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Speaker 2: to six and a half. I am on Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: minus six and a half, and we are waiting, Okay,

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Speaker 2: we are waiting number seven seven and a half, and

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Speaker 2: we may need to wait till like write before kickoff. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but the second this thing goes over seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: if we get to eight, if you get time wait,

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Speaker 2: but if it goes to seven and a half, like

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Speaker 2: right for a kick take Patriots plus six and a half.

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Speaker 2: If you're doing what I'm doing, I'm gonna be on

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Speaker 2: both sides of seven and I'm gonna try to middle

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Speaker 2: this thing, Okay, I'm gonna try to have the Bucks

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Speaker 2: win by seven and we middle it.

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Speaker 1: However, however, the first.

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Speaker 2: Official play today is Patriots money line, my official play

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Speaker 2: for a quarter unit. Okay, and shop around and get

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Speaker 2: the best odds you can possibly find. Let me look

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Speaker 2: really quick and see again. I'm gonna wait until we

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Speaker 2: get right for kickoff to bet this. But shop around

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Speaker 2: and try to find Patriots money line for a quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: And just because of all of the.

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Speaker 2: Interaction in money that's being thrown down at the feet

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Speaker 2: of Tampa Bay, so it is plus two sixty one

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Speaker 2: a right, let that climb.

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Speaker 1: We should get three to one.

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Speaker 2: Okay, should get a three to one return on this

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Speaker 2: Patriots quarter unit on the Patriots just to win the game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: quarter unit, nothing serious. But here's the philosophy on the

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Speaker 2: Patriots too. In the game, Rob Gronkowski is out. The

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Speaker 2: secondary for the Tipway Bucks is horrific. If it's ever

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Speaker 2: going to be a game for the Patriots to get

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Speaker 2: their passing attack right, it's this one.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If it's ever a game for the Patriots to have

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Speaker 2: exotic defenses and to come around and smack and I

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Speaker 2: mean smack Tom Brady around, it's this one. If you

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Speaker 2: don't think Belichick's been scheming for months for this game.

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Speaker 2: Come on now, Okay, the Patriots are going to try

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Speaker 2: to do a lot of things exotically.

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Speaker 1: Can they do it? I don't know.

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Speaker 2: We'll see twenty seven to twenty four, there's the prediction. Okay,

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Speaker 2: at me, dunk on me, laugh at me. When it's

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Speaker 2: forty five to ten in the game's a complete blowout,

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Speaker 2: go ahead, laugh at me. But the books, this is

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Speaker 2: like Alabama all over again. Okay, this is the same thing.

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Speaker 2: This is like Georgia all over again.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Everyone was on Arkansas, everyone was on Ole miss Everyone's

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Speaker 2: on Tampa. It's not this easy in the NFL. Everyone

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Speaker 2: was on Cincinnati on Thursday. Okay, it's not this easy,

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Speaker 2: all right. I could be dead wrong, and that's why

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Speaker 2: I don't really have a play in the game. I'm

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Speaker 2: trying to middle it with seven. But you give me

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Speaker 2: three to one odds on Belichick at home against anybody,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna throw something on it. I'm gonna sprinkle

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Speaker 2: on it. Patriots quarter unit money line three to one return. Wait,

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Speaker 2: get the best number possible and then bet it right

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Speaker 2: for a kickoff. Patriots plus eight plus seven and a

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Speaker 2: half plus eight that will be on the other side

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Speaker 2: of the Timpa Bay Bucks minus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Okay, you don't have to do either play.

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Speaker 2: This is is just what I'm doing because I'm way

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Speaker 2: too emotionally committed and I'm gonna be a puddle of

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Speaker 2: emotion when this game kicks off.

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Speaker 1: Okay, it's not gonna be easy. My wife is.

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Speaker 2: Already counting down the hours for this game. That's how

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Speaker 2: big this game is in my house that my wife

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Speaker 2: cares about this game a ton. My daughter's gonna be

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Speaker 2: kicked out in Patriot gear like this is Patriots super

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Speaker 2: Bowl type of behavior from my family. And it's a

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Speaker 2: regular season to night game. But it's a standalone game

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Speaker 2: and the country is watching, and the Patriots might get killed.

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Speaker 2: And if they get killed, then fine, then I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: be down, you know, a quarter like zo point three

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Speaker 2: five units whatever, it's my cost of watching the football game,

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Speaker 2: that's fine, my cost of being a fan, fine faded

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Speaker 2: if you want. But Patriots money line sprinkle for a

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Speaker 2: quarter unit is the first play for the podcast. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Casey minus six and a half Patriots money line for

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Speaker 2: a quarter unit, Casey money line one unit Patriots money

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Speaker 2: line quarter unit. The next play for a full unit

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Speaker 2: is the play my favorite play of the weekend, the

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Speaker 2: Ravens on the road against Denver. It's a pick. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Ravens on a pick. This is a great teaser. Leg

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna eyeball it to be Frank, I'm gonna watch it.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna see what happens. This very well could be

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Speaker 2: part of the Wong teaser that that's not impossible. Wong

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Speaker 2: teaser will be on the live stream. We are three

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Speaker 2: to zero on the year for Wong teasers, and I

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Speaker 2: will come right back with another one on the live stream.

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Speaker 2: It's a good reason why to listen to the live stream.

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Speaker 2: And if you don't know what a Wong teaser is,

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Speaker 2: I will do my best to explain to you the

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Speaker 2: philosophy and formula that goes into a Wong teaser. But

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Speaker 2: I will be on a Wong teaser again, and the

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Speaker 2: Ravens might factor in with the Wong teaser depending upon

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Speaker 2: where the number goes and depending upon what the total

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Speaker 2: winds up being for this game. Forty nine is the

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Speaker 2: key total that the teams that the games will be

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Speaker 2: eligible for Wong teasers, and right now the total is

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Speaker 2: forty four, so this is perfect. So I'm leaving this

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Speaker 2: game alone because I think it very well might be

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Speaker 2: a long teaser leg for me. But I am taking

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Speaker 2: the Ravens pick to win this game on the road

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Speaker 2: at Denver. So the tepe of so the Denver Broncos

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Speaker 2: defense is number one in points allowed, number one in

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Speaker 2: yards per play, number one in opposing points per play,

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Speaker 2: number one in red zone defense, number one in opposing

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Speaker 2: team touchdowns. Okay, it's all fools gold, it's all phils gold.

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Speaker 2: They haven't played anybody. I mean literally, they've played nobody.

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Speaker 2: They've just it's just it's it's actually kind of embarrassing,

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Speaker 2: how poorly, how bad this schedule is in Denver being

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Speaker 2: three and oh, I think it's crazy. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: really do. The Ravens are a real team. The Broncos

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Speaker 2: are going to be an okay team in this division.

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Speaker 2: I'm not buying them as being a legitimate contender in

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Speaker 2: this division, not by a long shot. Jets, Jaguars, Giants,

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Speaker 2: are you kidding me?

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Speaker 1: Like, are you serious? No?

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Speaker 2: Just hold hardcore, No Ravens or a real team. Ravens

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Speaker 2: have played real teams. They've gone on the road. The

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Speaker 2: Ravens are two and one. They're one and one on

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Speaker 2: the road, and they got beat you know, at the

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Speaker 2: last second, or they drive by the Raiders thirty three

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Speaker 2: to twenty seven. I looked they beat the Chiefs. They

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Speaker 2: beat the Lions on that last second crazy kick. Le'Veon

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Speaker 2: Bell is making his debut here out of the practice

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Speaker 2: squad to come in and play here, Lamar Jack, and

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Speaker 2: I think is going to have a big day. I

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Speaker 2: get all the numbers right, Wait, Matt Denver is only

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Speaker 2: allowing three point six yards per rush. They're only allowing

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Speaker 2: fifty nine yards on the ground.

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Speaker 1: I don't care. Wait, it's at altitude. I don't care.

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Speaker 1: Like I just I'm sorry. There's a lot of injuries.

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Speaker 2: There's a bunch of injury concerns here with this team,

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Speaker 2: for the Denver Broncos. Just just go through the injury list

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Speaker 2: for Denver and the names that they've gone and that

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Speaker 2: they've got out on that defense, got a bunch of

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Speaker 2: really good players who aren't going to be available. You know,

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Speaker 2: Jerry Judy is not playing. The lost him, they lost

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Speaker 2: kJ Hamler. He's not playing. The two good whiteouts who

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Speaker 2: aren't going to be available in this game here that

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Speaker 2: were available earlier in the year. You've got Melvin Gordon

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Speaker 2: the third who's probable here, but they've got some decent

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Speaker 2: running backs, you know, behind Teddy covers. But look Raven's

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Speaker 2: money line. Ravens pick one unit. Baltimore wins on the road. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm laying it one unit. Play number three, Washington on

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Speaker 2: the road at the Falcons. Look, Atlanta's bad, Atlanta's bad,

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Speaker 2: Washington's bad. This is one of the games I like betting, though.

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Speaker 2: We're on this on my circa team, and this is

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Speaker 2: one of the week too. I'm actually gonna follow some

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Speaker 2: of my circa team logic because I've been kind of

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Speaker 2: hesitant to do that, and I probably should have done that.

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Speaker 2: I'm nine and six, we're nine and six in my

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Speaker 2: circuit plays, and the NFL has been pretty much like

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Speaker 2: a fifty percent hit rate so far, so it should

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Speaker 2: probably be following more of my circuit plays and more

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Speaker 2: of my circuit logic. And this is one of the

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Speaker 2: circuit plays because this is a great game to bet

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Speaker 2: because it's off the beaten path. No one really wants

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Speaker 2: to watch Washington at Atlanta. But Washington, their defense is

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Speaker 2: not twenty ninth in the NFL. Okay, it's played really poorly.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna trust Ron Rivera to face this offense for Atlanta,

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Speaker 2: which is scoring sixteen points per game, it's twenty ninth

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Speaker 2: in the league.

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Speaker 1: That's real.

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Speaker 2: Okay, that number of being twenty ninth in the league.

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Speaker 2: I buy Atlanta's offense being absolutely horrific. They lost thirty

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Speaker 2: two six to the Eagles, eight twenty five to the Buccaneers,

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Speaker 2: and those pick sixes were tough, and then seventeen fourteen

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Speaker 2: they went over the Giants.

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Speaker 1: But the Giants are winless. Giants are horrible.

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Speaker 2: Atlanta is one and two. Okay, I don't buy their offense.

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Speaker 2: They are horrific on the numbers. If you look at DVOA,

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Speaker 2: they're just absolutely horrible on that stat And I mean,

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Speaker 2: the Washington football team is not that much better offensively.

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Speaker 1: They're twentieth in DVA.

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Speaker 2: Look, I think this Washington team, it's gonna be an

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Speaker 2: ugly football game, but I trust them more. I trust

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Speaker 2: the offense more with Washington than I trust Atlanta here

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Speaker 2: even though Atlanta is at home.

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Speaker 1: Just because of that, Atlanta defense is really barely bad.

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Speaker 1: Even with the teams they've played.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Atlanta's given up thirty one point three points

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Speaker 2: per game playing the Eagles, the Tipaway Bucks, and the Giants.

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Speaker 2: Now the Bucks have a legit offense, obviously, but the

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Speaker 2: Eagles offense give up thirty two points to the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: How do you give up thirty two points to the Eagles?

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Speaker 2: So how's that even possible? Not you had five point

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Speaker 2: nine yards per play? That's twenty first in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Teams are scoring on a seventy two percent clip inside

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Speaker 2: the red zone. They're scoring touchdowns on a seventy two

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Speaker 2: percent clip. Right now, you get down there, you can

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Speaker 2: capitalize Taylor Heineke and company.

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Speaker 1: Look, I would rather have.

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Speaker 2: It be Ryan Fitzpatrick obviously, But I think this game,

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Speaker 2: this offense for Washington gets right here, and I think

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Speaker 2: they go at this Atlanta defense, and I think Atlanta

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Speaker 2: has a really tough time. I got minus two here.

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Speaker 2: Don't play this higher than two and a half, or yeah,

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Speaker 2: two and a half is the highest I would go.

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Speaker 1: Don't go to three.

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Speaker 2: Washington minus two on the road against Atlanta to win

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Speaker 2: the game outright, and hopefully they can run the football,

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Speaker 2: Hopefully they can get some big plays and turn the

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Speaker 2: football over.

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Speaker 1: I just think Atlanta's really bad.

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Speaker 2: They're just a really bad team, and they may be

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Speaker 2: in the running for one of the worst teams in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, just giving what they have looked like. We're

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Speaker 2: taking Washington minus the two for one unit, and then

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Speaker 2: I've got one teaser. I was not gonna do teasers

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Speaker 2: because I'm zero to two on my personal teasers so

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Speaker 2: far this year, but I'm gonna come back with one.

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Speaker 1: Today because I think this is too tasty.

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Speaker 2: The Vikings are dangerous as home dogs, and the Vikings

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Speaker 2: are a pick right now at home. I think if

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Speaker 2: you give the Vikings six points up against the Browns,

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Speaker 2: I even with Dalvin Cook, looks like he's probable he's

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Speaker 2: probably gonna play. I think it's a really it's important,

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Speaker 2: but they ran the bull pretty well even without him

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Speaker 2: this season. Look, I think this Browns team is good,

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Speaker 2: but they're ower to one on the road. The Vikings

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Speaker 2: are one to zero at home, and I think that

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Speaker 2: this is a game that the Vikings will be in. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it was Brown's minus two when all the way down

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Speaker 2: to a pick. A lot of Viking money has come in.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of sharp action on the Vikings to

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Speaker 2: win the game. Okay, So I'm gonna take the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna tease it up to six the second leg.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go back to fading the Steelers, all right,

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Speaker 2: I am. I was right to do it last week.

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Speaker 2: I think I'm right to do it again this week.

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Speaker 2: And I'm back on the green Bay Packers here on

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Speaker 2: the at home Steelers on the road, I can tease

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Speaker 2: green Bay down to a pick. It'll be a very

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Speaker 2: popular leg. Everyone's gonna tease this down, and green Bay

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Speaker 2: is gonna be a very popular selection. But I think

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Speaker 2: green Bay can cover the six. I think green Bay

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Speaker 2: can win the game by ten points. To be honest,

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Speaker 2: as long as that steel defense keeps that that Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: defense doesn't create turnovers and doesn't have a lot and

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Speaker 2: TJ wat'sas gonna play, as long as we're not throwing

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Speaker 2: pick sixes and stripsacks and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: I like the green Bay Packers just to win the game.

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Speaker 2: Vikings plus six at home Packers to win the game

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Speaker 2: at minus one twenty for a two leg teaser. All right,

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Speaker 2: So the full card looks like this, Kansas City minus

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Speaker 2: six and a half. We're on both sides of seven

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Speaker 2: once we get there with Tampa and in New England,

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Speaker 2: Patriots money line small, Ravens pick em money line one unit,

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Speaker 2: Washington Football Team minus two, Minnesota plus six, Green Bay

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Speaker 2: Packers at a pick em at minus one twenty. Okay,

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Speaker 2: by the way, if you want to know the picks

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Speaker 2: for the Circa Million the Circa Million play, my personal

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Speaker 2: team is Washington minus one, Bears mius three, Cowboys mius

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Speaker 2: four and a half, Cardinals plus four and a half,

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Speaker 2: and Ravens plus one. That's my personal team, the Circa

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Speaker 2: million team for the Daily Juice d n Izzy and

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Speaker 2: Cold Brewster and all the guys Cowboys mis four and

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Speaker 2: a half, Chiefs minus seven, Cardinals plus four and a half,

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Speaker 2: Ravens plus one, Packers minus six and a half. Okay

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Speaker 2: that those are the cards for the Circa Million. I

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Speaker 2: will talk to you for the live stream coming up

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Speaker 2: on the YouTube channel at eleven am Eastern Time. I'm

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Speaker 2: Att Perelt to you later on today for the live stream.

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Speaker 2: This is the Dili Juce podcast, found every single morning

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Speaker 2: on Betting pros dot com, always being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by bet MGM