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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty

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Speaker 2: and the Kicks block Book College Football World Standard. Oh

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Speaker 2: my goodness, he stumbled, and football the lateral.

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Speaker 1: Turn the counter of the job. Don't you believe I'm

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Speaker 1: not tap them up the field to night. It's not

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Speaker 1: the side on the dog in the fight. It's the

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Speaker 1: side of the fight in the room.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week ten college football

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Speaker 2: betting preview presented by Bett MGM. I'm stuffy, enjoy me.

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Speaker 2: As always is Colin Wilson. Got a couple massive SEC

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Speaker 2: games on the slate. We'll have massive implications for not

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Speaker 2: only the SEC, but the college football playoff picture. You

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Speaker 2: got a name for this weekend? Is it? Is it?

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Speaker 2: Moving Saturdays? What do you got?

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Speaker 1: It's SEC Championship semi final week? I mean essentially what

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Speaker 1: this is?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: You're gonna make this CC championship game. You better win

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Speaker 1: this weekend.

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Speaker 2: We will get to both of those games. In the

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Speaker 2: Marque games, we will get to some trash as always,

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Speaker 2: and uh you know we'll go through our favorite bets,

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Speaker 2: favorite underdogs, favorite favorites, you know, the drill. Get to

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Speaker 2: some situational spots and Friday Night Lights here in just

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Speaker 2: a second. But first I do want to remind all

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Speaker 2: of our listeners that the NBA recently returned. That means

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Speaker 2: lifelong NBA fanatics like myself can dive into action networks

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Speaker 2: new and improved NBA podcast Buckets every weekday this NBA season.

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Speaker 2: So if you're into betting the NBA, check out the

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Speaker 2: Buckets podcast wherever you like to listen. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: get right into Friday Night Lights. Pretty ugly slate, to

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Speaker 2: be honest, there's four games that's.

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Speaker 1: Here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Let's go.

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Speaker 2: Duke got Boston College, UMass at Yukon the ex Toilet Bowl.

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Speaker 2: It's no longer the Toilet Bowl because Yukon is pretty good.

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Speaker 2: It might be headed to a ball there ever, a

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Speaker 2: two touchdown favorite here. Need to keep in mind at

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Speaker 2: that game, very low total, two heavy heavy rush teams

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Speaker 2: U mass just I mean there can can't throw the

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Speaker 2: ball at all completely inept utep at Rice and Oregon

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Speaker 2: State at Washington. I will mention Duke at BC it

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Speaker 2: doesn't look like Phil Jerkovic is gonna go. Look, Jeff Hafley,

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Speaker 2: their head coach, said he's had enough reps in this

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Speaker 2: offense that he's healthy enough to go. He will, but

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Speaker 2: short week, didn't practice yesterday. I doubt he will go.

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Speaker 2: That means Emmett moorehead would start. He's a three star

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Speaker 2: kid out of Virginia. He's the thirtieth ranked quarterback in Virginia.

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Speaker 2: Not gonna go well for a Boston College offensive line.

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Speaker 2: There's a reason Duke's a nine points to favorite on

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Speaker 2: the road. They've had eight different offensive line commos. They

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Speaker 2: only averaged two point four yards per carry. Only Texas

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Speaker 2: State is worse. So they can't run it, they can't protect.

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Speaker 2: Now you're gonna have this like three star freshman at quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I can't light it with Duke, but I'm certainly not

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Speaker 2: playing BC. Let's start up in the northeast. You got

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Speaker 2: anything on either of those two games here? You missed

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Speaker 2: a Yukon's.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the number is just completely inflated, right, So if

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Speaker 1: Djerkovic and I've looked at other people that have said

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Speaker 1: this number would be one, two or three with filled

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Speaker 1: Jakovic in there, right, Sure, you have to ask yourself

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Speaker 1: like this is he worth this many points to this

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Speaker 1: Duke team? And I think the number is completely inflated

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Speaker 1: and you're starting to see buyback. That's why the ten

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Speaker 1: has come down to nine and a half and the

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Speaker 1: BC rush defense is graded out actually pretty well. They

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Speaker 1: didn't allow one hundred and fifty on the ground a

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Speaker 1: Yukon Wake or Clemson, and that's really all the Duke

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Speaker 1: does on offense. So Duke has no pass explosiveness. Their

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Speaker 1: strength is the rushing game. BC's defense. That's at least

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Speaker 1: the one thing that they can kind of give resistance to.

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Speaker 1: So I would say it's BC or nothing. I just

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Speaker 1: have to get comfortable with taking and taking them because

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Speaker 1: you lose to Yukon by ten points, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's tough to take that team next week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Phil Jerkvic had pro potential and this offense

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Speaker 2: is one of the worst in all Power five with

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Speaker 2: the quarterback that's competent. My problem is why I don't

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Speaker 2: think I could get to BC here while inflated. I mean,

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Speaker 2: maybe it is like a seven eight point drop off.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. The problem is if you start this backup,

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Speaker 2: who's not highly rated. He is significantly worse talent than

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Speaker 2: jerk Bitchen experience. He can't rely on the run game

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Speaker 2: like BC cannot run the ball at all two point

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Speaker 2: four yards per carry, so like there's nothing that he

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Speaker 2: can go to and all right, let's let's go out

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Speaker 2: and let's run the ball here and give the kid

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Speaker 2: a break, like they have to throw it to have

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Speaker 2: any shot of moving the ball, which makes it tough

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Speaker 2: anything in the X toilet bowl U mess Yukon.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the total is steaming down here, UMass

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Speaker 1: is dead last, and offensive finishing drives like I think

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Speaker 1: they recently just took that number away from a couple

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Speaker 1: of other teams. And listen to the Yukon offense doesn't

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Speaker 1: They don't gain a lot of first downs, but they're

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Speaker 1: really heavy and explosives and they're getting more healthy. Right

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Speaker 1: wide receiver Keelan Marion cam Ross and then running back

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Speaker 1: to Vonte Houston is supposed to be available this weekend,

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Speaker 1: so a lot of pieces coming back for Yukon, and

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Speaker 1: that's going to help out quarterback Zion Turner, who has

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Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty scramble yards on the year. That's

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Speaker 1: one of the big reasons. They've been able to get

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Speaker 1: out of passing downs, get first downs, and continue drives.

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Speaker 1: So I project this game like in the thirties, but

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Speaker 1: I have Yukon scoring thirty one points. So I took

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Speaker 1: under forty one on open. But right now I think

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Speaker 1: I would take Yukon over over twenty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Twenty seven twenty seven and a half is out there.

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Speaker 1: There's no nothing saying this UMass defense can stop Yukon

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Speaker 1: from doing what they want to do, and they're getting

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Speaker 1: healthier on offense.

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Speaker 2: Up Minor Nation catching three and a half at Rice,

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Speaker 2: Rice off of a bad loss to some not to

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Speaker 2: me against Charlotte Minor Nation, also coming off of a loss,

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Speaker 2: much to the chagrin of our producer, and Mitchell left

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Speaker 2: a wonderful voicemail on that game. Anything here, I took.

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Speaker 1: Rice on open by two and a half. I've got

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Speaker 1: projected at six, so I would still take it right here.

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Speaker 1: You know a lot of problems with UTEP, especially on

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Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball. They can't do anything

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Speaker 1: with coverage. And like I said about Yukon being an

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Speaker 1: explosive offense, that applies to Rice. Believe it or not,

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Speaker 1: they are top thirty five rush and pass explosiveness that's

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Speaker 1: expected points A little bit surprising because they don't really

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Speaker 1: move the chains. They wait on the big play, so

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Speaker 1: I like rising this up to six.

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Speaker 2: The one lean I had in this game was under

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Speaker 2: and then finally, Oregon State at Washington probably the most

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Speaker 2: intriguing game of the night. I actually look, I mean

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Speaker 2: Washington is out to a I'm interested in this game

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Speaker 2: for Washington win total perspective. If there's six and two,

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Speaker 2: I think you have it two over seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: They get Colorado at home next week or two weeks,

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Speaker 2: but they're at Oregon, which is probably a loss, and

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Speaker 2: then they have like a coin flip against Washington State

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Speaker 2: to end of the year. Getting this game will guarantee

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Speaker 2: the win total. For what it's worth, they're four and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorites here. I could only look at

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Speaker 2: Oregon State, and the reason is is Washington's defense is awful,

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Speaker 2: so it's hard to lay any number with them. Everyone

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Speaker 2: could score on them, although there's weather here, which is

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Speaker 2: worth noting. If you look at Oregon State's defense, they're

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Speaker 2: actually pretty good against the pass struggle a bit against

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Speaker 2: the run at times, but Washington doesn't really run the ball.

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Speaker 2: And if there's weather here does that? Who does that favor?

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Speaker 2: There could be rain and that's why the total has

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Speaker 2: come down as well. But I just can't I can't

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Speaker 2: ever get behind laying points with this Washington team. Offense

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Speaker 2: is great, but their defense just can't get stopped. So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: in the Oregon State is a competent offense. So what

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Speaker 2: do you see here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is an over play all the way. I

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Speaker 1: know the total is dropping. I think it opens sixty

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Speaker 1: at some book on Sunday and now it's down to

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Speaker 1: fifty four. We've crossed fifty five the key obviously, you know,

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Speaker 1: fifty two being the next number. We'll see if it

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Speaker 1: gets that far. I want the over in this game.

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Speaker 1: And I know it's fifty percent chance of light rain.

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Speaker 1: I know it's fifteen mile an hour stained wins, But

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Speaker 1: at the same time, I'm not worried about wins with

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Speaker 1: Michael Pennox's arm at all. I mean, he's got a hose.

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Speaker 1: It's just gonna rip through whatever that is. You know,

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Speaker 1: whatever the wind is going to be now. Oregon State,

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Speaker 1: on the other hand, Chance Nolan was limited practicing this

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Speaker 1: week with a concussion from week five, he might return.

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Speaker 1: That would be a big upgrade over Ben Gilbertson. I

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Speaker 1: mean he's been tepid in passing, attempts, no mobility to scramble.

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Speaker 1: That kind of changes with Chance Nolan. And you know,

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Speaker 1: Washington's off a bye week here where they had the

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Speaker 1: lowest offensive score they've had at home was twenty nine

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Speaker 1: points against Michigan State. And I don't see any reason

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Speaker 1: the penix is not adding to his you know, twenty

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Speaker 1: two to four TDed. I int his turnover worthy play

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Speaker 1: rate is one point one percent. And I know a

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Speaker 1: lot is going to be made about the weather, but

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Speaker 1: if you can avoid that, like if the wind is

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Speaker 1: not going to if the wind's going to play a

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Speaker 1: factor with kicking and the wind that usually plays effective

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks that don't have very strong arms. I don't see

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Speaker 1: that being an issue with Washington because if they because

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Speaker 1: Caleb de Borer came out and said, we will have

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Speaker 1: high percentage throws that will get the ball into our

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Speaker 1: best targets. And what that tells me is this Oregon

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Speaker 1: State defense, which has zero pass rush whatsoever, is not

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Speaker 1: going to be able to cut the way that Washingt's

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Speaker 1: going to cut. I think there canna be a lot

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Speaker 1: of offensive scores here. Slippery football does not mean under football,

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Speaker 1: you know. I mean sometimes it's an advantage of the

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Speaker 1: offense if they're the ones that have the ones that

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Speaker 1: can work in space. So I don't see how the

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Speaker 1: you know, I see the under steaming down. But I'm

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Speaker 1: going to take the over here, and at a minute,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take Washington on their team total over

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Speaker 1: because the Oregon State defense I don't think is going

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Speaker 1: to be able to stop them. And for what it's worth,

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Speaker 1: if you're a trends person, every game at home this year,

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Speaker 1: Washington's gone over. Every game Morgan State has been on

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Speaker 1: the road this year has been over.

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Speaker 2: So the over is the look All right, let's move

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Speaker 2: on to our next segment, look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 1: Hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is it time

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Speaker 1: to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: We look at some situational spots, what happened last week,

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Speaker 2: what's going to happen next week? And you know, ultimately

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Speaker 2: comes down to the number, but these things can matter,

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Speaker 2: especially when you're dealing with college kids and then coaching

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Speaker 2: staffs that they may want to take their foot off

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Speaker 2: the gas may not have gained planned as much, may

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Speaker 2: not want to show as much. So let's start with

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Speaker 2: your boys, Arkansas, who has LSU on deck. Arkansas is

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Speaker 2: really trending up here. As you said, Sammy Covers is

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Speaker 2: back playing Liberty. They're hosting Liberty there. This line is

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Speaker 2: steamed up. Total is steamed down. Arkansas's down fourteen that

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Speaker 2: point favorite under down of sixty one. Main reason is

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Speaker 2: the quarterback news in Liberty. Hugh Free said that Jonathan

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Speaker 2: Bennett has been sit as a flu. He's their third

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Speaker 2: string quarterback. He was pretty good against Beyu somehow, but

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Speaker 2: he's not very good. But he's probably not gonna play.

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Speaker 2: And because it looks like their four string quarterback has

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Speaker 2: been taking all of the reps. So that's obviously not

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Speaker 2: a good sign for the Liberty offense. And like we said,

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Speaker 2: Arkansas has been trending up, so I'm not surprised that

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Speaker 2: Arkansas took money here, especially with this news. Hugh Free

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Speaker 2: has been a monster against the spread. For what it's worth,

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Speaker 2: this might not be the spot. How are your boys

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Speaker 2: gonna play this? And do you think that they win

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Speaker 2: this comfortably?

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Speaker 1: Woo pig suy absolute dumpster fire, dumpster f I don't

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Speaker 1: know how we win a game the rest of the year,

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Speaker 1: just blowing program up. Give us a death sentence. Collins

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Speaker 1: talking razorback football. There's a very friendly feeling between the

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Speaker 1: coaching staffs here, like Hugh Freeze and Barriota their friends.

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Speaker 1: Off the field, there are two. There's an analyst and

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Speaker 1: an assistant on the offensive staff of Liberty. They used

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Speaker 1: to coach with and under Sam Pittman. So both coaching

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Speaker 1: stabs are talking in the media earlier this week about

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Speaker 1: the relationships that they have off the field with the

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Speaker 1: other team. Hugh Freeze has talked about how every time

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Speaker 1: he's gone to Arkansas with Ole Miss that he's been

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Speaker 1: blown out. That never he's never been able to figure

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Speaker 1: out how to travel there and all these other things,

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Speaker 1: and trying to prepare the kids for the wupig suity

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Speaker 1: and all that stuff. So with Liberty's quarterback situation, Arkansas

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Speaker 1: is a buy at fourteen, but it was only a

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Speaker 1: half unit money that I kind of pushed across. I

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Speaker 1: also did an Arkansas team total over, and I would

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Speaker 1: do a Liberty team total under based on this quarterback news.

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Speaker 1: I don't expect Sammy covers to blow this team out,

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Speaker 1: though I don't see a lot of I don't see

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Speaker 1: a lot of starters in in the fourth quarter if

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Speaker 1: this is a twenty one or twenty eight point game.

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Speaker 1: Just because of the relationship with the Liberty coaches, but

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Speaker 1: also Arkansas. Arkansas has got to get healthy for these

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Speaker 1: final few games, right, I mean LSU coming up. We

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Speaker 1: got some really big games coming up. And Liberty's defense

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Speaker 1: the reason why I like Arkansas to cover the fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Liberty's defense is top ten and success. Right, they have

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Speaker 1: all of these great metrics. Again on defense against the pass,

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Speaker 1: against the rush, Havoc is fourth in the nation. But

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Speaker 1: if you look at the list of offenses that they've

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Speaker 1: gone up against, Gardner, Webb, UMass Old, Dominion, Akron, that's

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Speaker 1: a strength of schedule like eighty seventh. So I think

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Speaker 1: Arkansas is the right play you stop at fourteen. I

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Speaker 1: think the Liberty team total is definitely on the play

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Speaker 1: on the under because of the quarterback situation.

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Speaker 2: Maybe also looking based on what you said, based on

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Speaker 2: what I'm thinking, a second half under, say Arkansas is

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Speaker 2: up but puts up a bunch of points. This might

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Speaker 2: be a second half underplay. All right, let's stay with

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Speaker 2: another odd non conference matchup and James Madison traveling to Louisville.

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Speaker 2: I think this is the worst situational spot of the day.

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Speaker 2: Louisville off that. Yeah, they've won three straight. Got to

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Speaker 2: turn their season around. That upset win against wake Forest

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Speaker 2: where they benefited for may turnovers. They have Clemson on deck,

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Speaker 2: and then what NC State and then Kentucky. Now they

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Speaker 2: welcome in a James Madison team that's off of a

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Speaker 2: bye after two straight losses. One of those losses pretty fluky.

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Speaker 2: The other one they didn't have their starting quarterback, Ton Sintao.

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Speaker 2: Probably the most wrong I've been about anything preseason was him.

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Speaker 2: He has been amazing. He leads the country in big

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Speaker 2: time throw rate. The offense has been humming with him

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Speaker 2: in there. I like James Madison because I'm assuming Sintaya's

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Speaker 2: gonna play after the bye week, went through pregame warm

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Speaker 2: ups two weeks ago. When you look at this from

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Speaker 2: a matchup perspective, James Madison leads the nation in rush

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Speaker 2: defense like EPA per rush rush success rate, yards per

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Speaker 2: carry aloud. That's important against Louisville rush first offense. So

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Speaker 2: this is a tough spot. If Billy Atkins is playing

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Speaker 2: quarterback for James Madison, I would not like this, But

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Speaker 2: I am under the assumption that Sintao's going to play,

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Speaker 2: and in that case, I love the seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: If you know, there's still risk that he doesn't play.

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Speaker 2: If that's the case, then so be. It might be

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Speaker 2: up against it there, But yeah, I like Jimmy. You'll

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Speaker 2: give me the Duke's here a great situational spot.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, spoiler alert for later on in the show, My

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Speaker 1: under my underdog parlay is going to involve this team,

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Speaker 1: so I will save my comments for the end of

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Speaker 1: the podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to another one here Tulane,

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Speaker 2: who has UCF on deck. Tu Lane in the running

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Speaker 2: for the American I know some of our friends out there,

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Speaker 2: and you too, I think too, Lane TEGs. I told

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Speaker 2: our one of our colleagues to buy two lane hundred

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Speaker 2: to one. Do I have a two lane hundred to one? No,

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Speaker 2: of course not so. But Tulane my seven and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorite here visiting Tulsa. This is an interesting game.

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Speaker 2: This is I think Tulsa's wind total is now locked

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Speaker 2: under I have the two lane wind total over and

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Speaker 2: the Tulsa wind total under which both looked like they

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Speaker 2: were good bets. Last year, Tulsa won this game, one

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Speaker 2: of the worst beats I had all year. You know,

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Speaker 2: I don't think two End's gonna be looking ahead because

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Speaker 2: they've when I think Tulane. Tulsa has won six straight

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Speaker 2: in this series, including twenty twenty when Zaven Collins had

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Speaker 2: a pick six in overtime and twenty twenty one when

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Speaker 2: they won an overtime because Tulane missed like a twenty

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Speaker 2: yard field goal to win the game. So I think

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Speaker 2: they'll be ready here. The interesting handicap for me is

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Speaker 2: who's gonna be quarterback for Tulsa. I don't know. Davis

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Speaker 2: Brinn left last game of an injury. It said that

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Speaker 2: if he's not ready, they're comfortable with the other kid,

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Speaker 2: who's more of a runner. But Tulane's rundy is unbelievable.

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Speaker 2: They play these you know, three defensive lineman tight front.

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Speaker 2: They really take away anything up the middle. They have

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Speaker 2: really great run fits on the outside, whose simulated pressures

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Speaker 2: on third down. It's an awesome defense. I love to

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Speaker 2: watch them. One of the best in the group of five.

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Speaker 2: You can't really run on them. The other thing, but

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Speaker 2: they don't get a lot of pressure on the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: They're like bottom tensed Zach rate, which would be good

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Speaker 2: for Brin because Brin's he's been sacked more times than

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Speaker 2: any quarterback that's not on Akron in the country. He's

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Speaker 2: also been struggling of late, but I would think that

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Speaker 2: being able to throw the ball is the way you

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Speaker 2: would have to attack this two lane defense. So interesting

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Speaker 2: dynamic here with the uncertainty a quarterback with Tulsa right

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Speaker 2: in your backyard, what do you see here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean from all indications I've seen, Davis Bryn's

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Speaker 1: going to be out for a while, just not just

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Speaker 1: his weekend. There's gonna be a couple of weeks and

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Speaker 1: Braylen Brax is going to take over, and like we

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Speaker 1: said on the new BCS, that kind of changes the

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Speaker 1: dynamic of what Tulsa football is going to be more

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Speaker 1: of a dual threat ground. There's gonna be a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a ground game more than what Davis Brynn

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Speaker 1: has been. Poor Davis Sprinn, he's the second most sacked

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Speaker 1: quarterback in all of FBS. The only person has beat

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Speaker 1: him out is DJ irons of Akron, so he's pretty

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Speaker 1: beat up, and I think having Braxton back there is

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Speaker 1: not really a bad idea of he can definitely get

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Speaker 1: some more scrambles in there. You know, the strength of

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Speaker 1: a two lane defense is in coverage, it's not rushing

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Speaker 1: the passer. So you know, each of these offenses have

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Speaker 1: a very large advantage in finishing drives over the defense.

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Speaker 1: So if any of these possessions by two lane or

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Speaker 1: Tulsa get past the forty yard line, you're going to

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Speaker 1: see more touchdowns than newer field goals. And so I

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Speaker 1: project this number at three and and at fifty seven,

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Speaker 1: which is pretty in line with where the market is

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Speaker 1: on the total. So I certainly think that there's reason

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Speaker 1: that you should buy Tulsa here just for the spot,

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Speaker 1: but I lean Tulsa with Braylen Braxton on the over

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Speaker 1: considering Tulsa's injury issues in the secondary. That's what has

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Speaker 1: plagued them the last two weeks is that teams have

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Speaker 1: been able to throw on them deep. I think two

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Speaker 1: lane's going to have success here. I think Tulsa's going

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Speaker 1: to have success on the ground, and I think this

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Speaker 1: leads to an over no reason to buy it until

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Speaker 1: we're round key numbers of fifty five and fifty nine.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's gonna be tough for the kid

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Speaker 2: if he starts for Tulsa based on this two lane defense.

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Speaker 2: It is not an easy defense to go up against.

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Speaker 2: Very complex. I love some of the stuff they're running,

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Speaker 2: but we just talked about too. Lano as UCF, after

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Speaker 2: a emotional, huge win over Cincinnati at home, travels to

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Speaker 2: Memphis three and a half point favorite. Here. What do

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Speaker 2: you see here?

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Speaker 1: This is a Memphis play all the way. You just

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Speaker 1: have to I just haven't thrown any money down yet.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind getting a four nothing, you know, not

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Speaker 1: acting on three and a half. But it looks like

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Speaker 1: the market might go the other way. The line has

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Speaker 1: dropped with John Ree's Plumbley's injury. He's in concussion protocol,

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Speaker 1: you know, and if he doesn't go, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: Mikey Keen. Memphis is a top fifteen when it comes

390
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Speaker 1: to covers. So if Mikey Keen is the starter here,

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Speaker 1: it's not. I don't think it's gonna bote very well.

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Speaker 1: He does not have good lifetime numbers that convince me

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Speaker 1: that UCF's going to be able to roll with Houston's

394
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Speaker 1: strength of schedule and East for the rest of the month.

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Speaker 1: This literally could be a knockout game for UCF. So

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Speaker 1: you know, if John reicse Plumbley ends up playing, I

397
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Speaker 1: don't know how that concussion protocol is going to go.

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Speaker 1: They can't lose this game. They will potentially be out

399
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Speaker 1: of the running for the AAC Championship game. Memphis is balanced,

400
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Speaker 1: but the strength is set in against passing. He's fifteen

401
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Speaker 1: to five td I in t but he's had plenty

402
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Speaker 1: of turnover worth he plays. He does not mind trying

403
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Speaker 1: to thread the needle through a hole, and UCF has

404
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Speaker 1: allowed opponent of passing to march the field and get

405
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Speaker 1: into scoring opportunities. Since the East Carolina SMU Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 1: they've all had over two hundred and fift yards passing,

407
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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech who had over three hundred yards passing. Even

408
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Speaker 1: Temple almost cleared the two to fifty mark in the air.

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Speaker 1: So I think there's gonna be a lot of success

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Speaker 1: here out of SETH and again in Memphis. It's a

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Speaker 1: big underdog spot and I think we may be playing

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Speaker 1: it on the money line. Round Robin on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Memphis here. Memphis their defense top forty

414
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Speaker 2: rush success rate, top thirty EPA per rush. This reminds

415
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Speaker 2: me this is almost exactly like the ECU game. ECU

416
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Speaker 2: really good against the run. That's what you need to

417
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Speaker 2: do against UCF, whether it's keen or plumbly very limited

418
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Speaker 2: passing the ball, and their passing comes off of the run.

419
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Speaker 2: ECU shut down the run. I think Memphis can do

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Speaker 2: the same here and this is just a great spot

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Speaker 2: for Memphis since the off of a big emotional win.

422
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Speaker 2: Memphis coming off of a bye, a much needed buy.

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Speaker 2: Look that I think that they're a little undervalue in

424
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Speaker 2: the market because they lost one of the most improbable

425
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Speaker 2: games of the season to Houston on side kicks, backup kickers.

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Speaker 2: They follow that game. If they were up three scores

427
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Speaker 2: at ECU, they lost in quadruple overtime. Then they go

428
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Speaker 2: to Tulane in an awful spot at their two collapses,

429
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 2: they find themselves down thirty five nothing before half. They

430
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 2: made a big rally in the second half, but just

431
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 2: deflating three week stretch. They needed this buy and as

432
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:26,359
Speaker 2: you mentioned, Seth Hennigan leads a you know an offense

433
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 2: that wants to pass it, that is more successful passing it,

434
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 2: and that's how you attack this UCF teams again, similar

435
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,520
Speaker 2: to ECU with hold Naylors, who was able to have

436
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,719
Speaker 2: success against UCF. So I think it's a good matchup

437
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 2: and a good spot. I like the Tigers. And by

438
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:42,879
Speaker 2: the way, over the past ten years, Memphis is a

439
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 2: perfect five and zero against the spread as a home

440
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 2: dog against ranked opponents. They always seem to get one

441
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 2: of these at home at the Liberty Bowl against a

442
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 2: ranked team. They beat UCLA, Houston, Ole, Miss SMU their

443
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 2: only outright loss, and all those game outright wins, they've

444
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 2: run four of those as an underdog. They're only outright

445
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:07,320
Speaker 2: lost game against UCF by one back in twenty nineteen.

446
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 2: All right, let's get two what you've all been waiting for.

447
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 2: That's our marquee games of the day. It's another fabulous

448
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:18,120
Speaker 2: weekend of college football.

449
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 1: Let's check out the marquee matchups. We'll all end up

450
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 1: bed for week ten.

451
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 2: We got four. Let's start with the biggest one, Tennessee

452
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 2: at Georgia. Here it just means more. Georgia eight point

453
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 2: favorite over under sixty six and a half This game

454
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 2: will obviously decide the division, decide who goes to the

455
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 2: SEC Championship game, potentially decide who goes to the College

456
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 2: Football Playoff. For what it's worth, in AP one verse

457
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 2: two matchups, over the past fifty years, we've only seen

458
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 2: ten with a spread of over seven. The underdog in

459
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,439
Speaker 2: those ten matchups is eight and two against the spread

460
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 2: and six and seven and three straight up, stunningly. So

461
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 2: you know, when I look at this game, I think

462
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,120
Speaker 2: everyone knows that I'm gonna say I love Tennessee. I've

463
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 2: been higher than them in the market all year. I

464
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 2: have a fourteen to one to win the division. I'm

465
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 2: not hedging it. When I look at Georgia's defense, all

466
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 2: their metrics obviously look good, but who have they played.

467
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 2: They haven't. They haven't faced a competent passing offense since

468
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 2: Week one against Oregon, which was bow Knicks who moved

469
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 2: the ball. By the way, we talked about that after

470
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 2: that game. Good success rate bo Nicks season then full effect.

471
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 2: It was their first game together, new offense, all these

472
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,239
Speaker 2: new pieces, like I don't really take that much from

473
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,920
Speaker 2: that game. I've seen cracks in the Georgia defense. Kent

474
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:59,119
Speaker 2: State moved the ball. Even Missouri at success moving the

475
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 2: ball just threw for three hundred completely incompetent passing offense.

476
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,120
Speaker 2: Now they're dealing with some injuries. Noel Smith, who wasn't

477
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 2: having a great year. He's out Carter. They're great defensive lineman.

478
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 2: Not only is he on a limited stapcut. I don't

479
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:14,440
Speaker 2: know if we'll be able to get in the game.

480
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 2: Georgia likes to rotate a lot of these defensive line

481
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 2: and we will do that against Tennessee. Very intriguing matchup

482
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: Georgia defense versus Tennessee offense. But I don't think this

483
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 2: Georgia defenses is ready for what's about to hit them.

484
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 2: It is the number one EPA per play offense on

485
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 2: first downs versus the number one defense. But like I said,

486
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 2: Georgia hasn't faced the competent offense all year since that

487
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:42,160
Speaker 2: opening game. Meanwhile, Tennessee has shredded four top twenty defenses.

488
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 2: Shredded and now you add one of the best receivers

489
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 2: in college football is a full go and Cedric Tillman,

490
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 2: who is a big time receiver in a big game receiver,

491
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 2: had ten catches for two hundred yards against the elite

492
00:24:58,000 --> 00:24:59,640
Speaker 2: historic Georgia defense last year.

493
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 1: I love.

494
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 2: I don't think the market is still caught up Dallas

495
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 2: to Tennessee. I think it's gonna happen again. Could be wrong,

496
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: but this is too many points for me. I will

497
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 2: be on the balls Rocky Top and uh yeah to

498
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 2: the moon we go with Tennessee. Wish that was Rocky

499
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 2: Top down in Tennessee. I ain't no smug, I ain't no.

500
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 1: I'm backing Georgia. I disagree completely. As a matter of fact,

501
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 1: I am going to be I'm going to be large

502
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 1: on Georgia. It's just a matter of listen.

503
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 2: It says last week you were done.

504
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 1: I know, and the number was supposed to be ten,

505
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 1: all right, and it's taken a lot of hits and

506
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,159
Speaker 1: it's seven. Is I'm targeting seven as a buye. The

507
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 1: problem is is all these books are getting down to

508
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: seven and a half and it's getting gobbled up. And

509
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,920
Speaker 1: I expect major, major money on Tennessee. I mean, this

510
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: is the cats me ow. Everybody wants a piece of

511
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: the volunteers right now. And I would venture out to

512
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 1: say that if you think that they're going to win

513
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 1: this game in Georgia's House. As an underdog, you should

514
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,120
Speaker 1: go out and buy the national championship futures because if

515
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: they do beat this team at this margin on the road,

516
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: they're going to win the national title. Period. I mean,

517
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 1: you've proven enough so you know. And by the way,

518
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 1: they have advantages over Alabama in the potential SEC championship game.

519
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:25,640
Speaker 1: So if you think they win this game, I would

520
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,159
Speaker 1: take them to win the national title. Now I'm not

521
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 1: and I need you know. I'll spend an extra minute

522
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 1: here talking about how I broke down how I got

523
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 1: to this conclusion. Because it is the biggest game of

524
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 1: the weekend, by far, biggest game of the year. Solving

525
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 1: the Tennessee offense is not easy. Everybody's having problems with it.

526
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 1: The offense is based on stretching the field as wide

527
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,880
Speaker 1: as possible and then running a veer and shoot between

528
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 1: the tackles. So having a quarterback to you know, scramble

529
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 1: for first downs also helps. But how do you defend that?

530
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 1: And so I did a lot of research, Like I

531
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 1: went and listened to Pat n Ardozy talk about how

532
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 1: to defend Tennessee's defense because he's seen it a couple times.

533
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 1: With Josh Heipel, He's seated at UCF and he spoke

534
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,480
Speaker 1: very technical about how to do this. Now, if you

535
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: go before I get to what Nordoozy said, Alabama tried

536
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 1: to think called man free, and this is where you're

537
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 1: essentially trying to clog the crossing routes and you're gonna

538
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 1: let the corners go one on one. Alabama got burned

539
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 1: over and over on the outside. Jalen Hyatt is still running.

540
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: Georgia has the three best corner accommodation as possible in

541
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 1: the country. Javon Bullard, Tyke Smith and Keey Ringo have combined.

542
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 1: Those three corners have combined for only allowed eighteen yards

543
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 1: after catch when targeted twenty two times in man coverage,

544
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,080
Speaker 1: and man coverage is what you're gonna get here, and

545
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,160
Speaker 1: they're gonna be expected to go one on one.

546
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 2: Two.

547
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 1: These corners are gonna go one on one on the

548
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 1: outside while you're gonna get Bullard, who has allowed us

549
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: one catch this season in man coverage in the slot corner.

550
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 1: Who lines up in the slot corner? Jalen Hyatt. So,

551
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 1: Jalen Hidight's gonna line up on the slot and he's

552
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: drawing the best slot coverage defender one of the best

553
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: in the nation. So if they can play one on

554
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 1: one against Jalen Hyatt, if they can play one on

555
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 1: one against Tillman and Ramel Keaton on the outside, then

556
00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 1: that means that they can load the box and spy

557
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 1: on Hooker for those attempts where he's running, you know whatever,

558
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 1: if he's running the veer, the rpo or if he's

559
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 1: going to scramble. And because Smith and Ringo are able

560
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: to limit Cedri, Tillman and Keaton, and Bullet's able to

561
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,199
Speaker 1: limit Hyatt, that extra man in the box is going

562
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: to stop those extra first downs that Hendon Hooker is

563
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: going to get. And so I go back to what

564
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 1: Nardoozy said. Nardoozy said the only way to beat Tennessee

565
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 1: because by the way Pitt held them to their lowest

566
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 1: regulation amount all season twenty seven points. That's it. And

567
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 1: what he said was is you have to run quarters.

568
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: And what quarters is is it's a man defense. But

569
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: it's from ten to twenty yards out. It's not press,

570
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 1: it's not press coverage. It's back and it's man. And

571
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: you say, well, why is that important? Because Jalen Hyatt generally,

572
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: here's the snap he gets off the ball, and then

573
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: he's got one or two routes. It's an option for

574
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 1: him too. The RPO is not just for running backs

575
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: and for him and hooker. It's for Jalen Hyatt to

576
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 1: pick his route. And the problem with quarters is when

577
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 1: Jalen Hyatt comes off the line of scrimmage, he can't

578
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 1: recognize what the defense is ten to fifteen yards down

579
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 1: the field because they're playing man in quarters, which is downfield,

580
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 1: so huge advantages there that Georgia actually adopts. Georgia is

581
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 1: the same aggressive defensive Pitt is. Georgia runs a lot

582
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 1: of the same tendencies that they do. I expect they're

583
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 1: gonna run quarters to confuse the wide receivers after the

584
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: stat Now on the other side of the ball and

585
00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 1: so stuck. Do I think Tennessee's gonna score? Yes? Do

586
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna score a lot? Yes? Do I

587
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 1: think they're gonna get held to maybe twenty seven like

588
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 1: Pitt did? Yeah?

589
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 2: I do.

590
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 1: And with these three corners, people are not looking at

591
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 1: how they have absolutely shut people down in man coverage,

592
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 1: which is what Georgia is gonna run all right now

593
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 1: on the other side, Yeah, but they've shut down they've played,

594
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 1: they've played, they didn't play.

595
00:29:54,400 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 2: They've played Samford, South Carolina, Kent State, Missouri, Auburn, Vanderbilt,

596
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: and Florida after the opener, not one above average passing

597
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 2: offense yet alone the best passing offense in the country

598
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 2: that now adds one of the best receivers in the country.

599
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 2: So of course their stats are going to be off

600
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 2: the charts. But this Georgia defense, to me, is just

601
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 2: like Kent State putting up twenty two and moving the

602
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 2: ball on you all day. I mean, look at Kent

603
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 2: State in the MAC. They can't even win a game

604
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 2: in the MAC. Just there's cracks here. And they haven't

605
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 2: played any competent passing offenses since the opener this and look,

606
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 2: they don't get any pressure this year, and now Noel

607
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 2: Smith's gone, they're one hundred and twenty seventh and adjusted

608
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 2: Zach Ray can't get any pressure.

609
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 1: But they don't try. That's the whole thing. People are like,

610
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 1: they don't have any they don't have any pass rush.

611
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 1: They only send three and they use the spy in

612
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 1: a delayed blitz scenario and they're still.

613
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:53,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, but they're not getting They're not getting anything like

614
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 2: Hooker's going to be untouched this entire game, and this

615
00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:00,840
Speaker 2: secondary and this defense, which lost you know, fifteen pros,

616
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 2: has not come close to facing They've basically played little

617
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: sisters of the poor offenses for the past seven weeks

618
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 2: and now all of a sudden, you're going up against

619
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 2: a juggernaut. Whereas Tennessee has played four top twenty defenses

620
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 2: have put up fifty every time the one the one

621
00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 2: they didn't, which is a good point. But schematically with

622
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 2: Pitt and Pitt's defense has been dreadful since. But adding

623
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 2: I think adding Tilman is a game changer for this offense.

624
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 2: The other side of the ball, I do think that

625
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 2: George is gonna move it, but you have to throw

626
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 2: on Tennessee. Yeah, but like and I think the tight

627
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 2: ends are gonna have a big day, the tight ends.

628
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 2: You know, when they played a couple of the you know,

629
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 2: Latsu and bar follow me, the premiere tight ends have

630
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 2: big days. Yeah, the tight ends are gonna have big

631
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 2: days for Georgia. But the receivers aren't great. They're banged up.

632
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 2: They have also have red zone issues on offense. That's

633
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 2: big because Tennessee plays like a bend, don't break like

634
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 2: you can throw short pass. I'm sure Georgia was short

635
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 2: passed in the death all day. But Tennessee holds in

636
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 2: the field. That's all they need to do.

637
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: So okay, but see if you agree with me on

638
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 1: this side of the ball, it sounds like you do right.

639
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 1: So on the other side of the ball, nobody on

640
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee is stopping brock Bowers at all. And you know what,

641
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 1: if you double coverage them, which I'm not sure is

642
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 1: going to happen, or if they can even do that

643
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 1: because of how much brock Bowers moves around, he's just

644
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 1: impossible to defend. You're right, They've got another tight end

645
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: that's as big of a house who's doing pin blocking

646
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: and just being a one man wrecking crew. Tennessee does

647
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 1: not have a single defensive player ranked in the top

648
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: two hundred in individual coverage. They don't have a single

649
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: player in the top two hundred in slot coverage. And

650
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: where does brock Bauer's line up one hundred and forty

651
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 1: one times from the slot? Sixty eight snaps at the

652
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: line and twenty one is white out. And that doesn't

653
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 1: mention the fact that Georgia goes heavy motion and when

654
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: I heard Georgia goes heavy motion. That really triggered something

655
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 1: with me. The key to stressing the Tennessee defense was

656
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 1: laid out by Florida. They used heavy motion and counter.

657
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,479
Speaker 1: That's all they did with Anthony Richardson trying to get

658
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 1: a read pre snap and then counter a post snap.

659
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 1: And if Anthony Richardson can read this defense and get

660
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 1: the cover and have like this monster comeback in, you

661
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 1: know on Tennessee's home turf, George is going to be

662
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 1: able to do the same. Tennessee doesn't have one single

663
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 1: defender that can stop brock Bauers, no matter if he's

664
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,440
Speaker 1: an H backer, running back a tight it doesn't matter

665
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: where he lines up, They're not going to be able

666
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: to stop them. And of course, if they have drives

667
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,959
Speaker 1: to get past the forty. Like I said, Georgia right

668
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:28,160
Speaker 1: now ninety seven point eight percent in red zone. They've

669
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 1: scored forty six to forty seven trips. So to me,

670
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,560
Speaker 1: this is Georgia all the way. The biggest handicap you

671
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 1: can hear will ty Kee Smith and Keeley Ringo have

672
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 1: success on the outside playing corners and man Deaman one

673
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,480
Speaker 1: on one coverage, while Javon Buller tries to shut down

674
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 1: Jalen Height on the inside. It's the handicap on the game,

675
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 1: and I think Georgia will be highly successful on defense

676
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: and confusing Hndon Hooker and on the other side, I

677
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: don't see Georgia getting stopped. So from a market perspective,

678
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: you agree with me that do you think this number

679
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 1: is going to seven? Like, would you buy Tennessee at

680
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 1: eight because you're Georgia, You're waiting to get seven. I

681
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 1: think every person in the world that has been waiting

682
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 1: on Georgia is waiting for a seven and your Tennessee

683
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 1: would you suggest that people buy it now?

684
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's not gonna get a ten, and

685
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:15,759
Speaker 2: I make it five. I've been on Tennessee the entire year,

686
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:18,839
Speaker 2: every game and they just cover every game. So I'm

687
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,879
Speaker 2: eventually you're gonna be right fading them. But the I'm

688
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 2: way ahead on the market and eventual, yeah, they're not

689
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 2: going to cover. But yeah, I make it five, and

690
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:30,320
Speaker 2: I might still be too low in Tennessee's offense with

691
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 2: Tilman back, and yeah, I don't think from watching this

692
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 2: Georgia defense, there's just cracks and you can't really get

693
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 2: there's not a lot of data against any competent offense.

694
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 2: It's I got to look at Colin Schlee throwing the

695
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,719
Speaker 2: ball on them and moving the ball up and down

696
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 2: the field. So yeah, there's cracks here. Obviously, there's secondary

697
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 2: grades out elite. They're playing like Auburn's passing offense in

698
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 2: Missouri's passing offense. But and you know, and I know

699
00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: that Tennessee's been tested. They've played ranked teams like five

700
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 2: weeks in a row, and they cover by you know,

701
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 2: ten points every game. The one game that didn't covers

702
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:10,800
Speaker 2: when you were on them against Florida. So yeah, I

703
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 2: love Tennessee here. I also have questions about the Georgia offense.

704
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 2: And they're they're not going to run the ball here.

705
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to throw their tight ends a lot,

706
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,280
Speaker 2: and I think they're gonna score. It's not the handicap

707
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 2: here for me. It's just like this is just like

708
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 2: the Alabama game and the other they'll be sharp money.

709
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 2: People that haven't adjusted their numbers enough yet, just like

710
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 2: there was against Alabama might be late money gets to nine.

711
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 2: It's the same exact scenario as the Alabama game. Ninety

712
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 2: percent of every person you know ninety percent of the

713
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 2: betting public is on Tennessee. I don't care. I'm with them,

714
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 2: just like the Alabama game, and I think it goes

715
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 2: down to the wire. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. But

716
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,560
Speaker 2: hopefully they went out right for the division future should

717
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 2: be a good one. We'll also talk about it more

718
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 2: on Big Bets on Campus Live ten thirty eight Eastern Saturday,

719
00:35:56,600 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 2: presented by betam jam will tweet out the link with

720
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 2: myself and Bret McMurphy. Let's move on to the next

721
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 2: marquee game, Texas at Kansas State. Kansas State two and

722
00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:09,839
Speaker 2: a half point underdog here at home. Adrian Martinez might play,

723
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 2: they says practicing. If he's healthy, he'll go. I don't care.

724
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 2: This is all Texas for me. Great spot off of

725
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 2: a bye Kansas State, off of the biggest shutout win

726
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:27,319
Speaker 2: over a Top ten AP opponent in the past fifty years.

727
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 2: But I think that said more about the fraudulent Oklahoma

728
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 2: State team that was also dealing with a ton of injuries.

729
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,239
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State can't defend the run, can't run the ball.

730
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 2: Texas can do both. That's huge against Kansas State. Texas

731
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 2: has also been extremely unlucky. This is the team that

732
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,920
Speaker 2: really a couple bounces. They're undefeated, and you're talking about

733
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 2: them as a potential college football participant. Excuse me a second,

734
00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,800
Speaker 2: a potential college football playoff participant. I mean, if you

735
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,640
Speaker 2: look at their losses, they blow a big lead to

736
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State when you know, bad turnover luck. They are

737
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 2: fourteen to nothing in penalties. They blow a big lead

738
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 2: to Texas Tech with a fumble by b Jean Robinson,

739
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,160
Speaker 2: bad turnover lock there, they lose in overtime, and then

740
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 2: you know, they lose in a last second field go

741
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 2: to Alabama after both of their quarterbacks got hurt in

742
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 2: the game. So, yeah, this Texas team is undervalued. I

743
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 2: think they're potentially a top five team in the country.

744
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,839
Speaker 2: They just can't buy a break in all these high

745
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 2: variant stats, the turnovers, and so I think they're due

746
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 2: after a bye to get some breaks there. It's a

747
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 2: great spot and I think it's a good matchup. Give

748
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 2: me hook them on the road. Anything three or better

749
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 2: for me.

750
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have an opinion on the side because

751
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: it's really all about Will Howard versus Adrian Martinez. Whenever

752
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 1: that news is going to come out, which maybe we

753
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 1: might not know until the first and n half of

754
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,360
Speaker 1: the game. And Texas is sixth and success rate against

755
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: the run, their top twenty five in line yards on defense,

756
00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 1: and without Martinez, this becomes a defense that can just

757
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 1: key off of Deuce Vaughn and Dare Will to beat him.

758
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to have my money in that scenario whatsoever.

759
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:05,800
Speaker 1: Now I make Kansas State minus too, but that is

760
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,839
Speaker 1: with Adrian Martinez, and it's just not where the number

761
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: is right now. And if he plays, then maybe a

762
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 1: Kansas State money line comes in. But I really got

763
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 1: to have confirmation for Adrian Martinez.

764
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:16,360
Speaker 2: Now I think I.

765
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 1: Believe I'm going to be playing the under. This is

766
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,719
Speaker 1: just a I mean, for me, it's tough to back

767
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 1: Texas as a road favorite. They've had some issues on

768
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,880
Speaker 1: the road the Texas Tech game. I mean, they just

769
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,359
Speaker 1: have not done well. Second half of games have killed them.

770
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 1: Lokohoma State and the Horns have won just once in

771
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 1: the last six tries on the road, you know, And

772
00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 1: I think they've won once in the last fifteen years

773
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 1: of Manhattan. Now, not in any of those games have

774
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 1: anything to do with this game. But it's just been

775
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 1: a struggle bus. I do like the under in this

776
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: game fifteen mile an hour cross wins. I don't expect

777
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 1: any passing coming out of Kansas State whatsoever. Texas State

778
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 1: has a good rush defense. If Texas stumbles on offense

779
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:53,759
Speaker 1: like they have been on the road, to me, it's

780
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:55,920
Speaker 1: an underplay. Fifty five the biggest key number to get.

781
00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Texas better running the ball, eight worse at defending

782
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 2: the run, Texas better at defending the run. Can't just

783
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,799
Speaker 2: their offense vs. Around the run with the wins too

784
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 2: and the spot I think this is Texas, Texas, Texas.

785
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 2: All right. Let's go back to the SEC. Another big

786
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:19,320
Speaker 2: game here, Alabama at LSU. LSU was a thirteen and

787
00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 2: a half point home dog over under fifty six and

788
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:28,120
Speaker 2: a half. This game also has massive SEC Division implications.

789
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:32,320
Speaker 2: Else he actually controls its own destiny in the division.

790
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 2: I think you love Alabama here, so I'll let you

791
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 2: make your case. I do, I do.

792
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 1: I did a full write up for action, so you

793
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:41,799
Speaker 1: guys can go read it there. But the biggest factor

794
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: in this game is the return of Eli Rix. Mississippi

795
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 1: State targeted him nine times last week. Rix was first

796
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 1: start of the season fully healthy. Missippi State targeted him

797
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 1: nine times, went right after him and he and all

798
00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 1: those were in man coverage one catch. Rix allowed one

799
00:39:56,560 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 1: catch and recorded four pass breakups. He was put in

800
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 1: Mississippi State receivers on an island and so now Eli

801
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: Rix at corner gets to go up against the team

802
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 1: he transferred from an LSU and he gets a one

803
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: on one matchup with Kashawn Booty. And if Booty is

804
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,840
Speaker 1: put on Rix, you know, Rix Island, which is what

805
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 1: I've been calling it, then this allows the Bama defense

806
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,919
Speaker 1: to load the box and stop the zone re dual

807
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 1: threat runs of Jade and Daniels, which he's been on

808
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 1: fire the last two games. Like I took LSU against

809
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 1: Tennessee because I thought that what we're seeing out of

810
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 1: Jad and Dan's last two games would have been there.

811
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:30,799
Speaker 1: Then Brian Kelly is finally getting the consistency that he wants.

812
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 1: But if Alabama is able to lock Booty down in

813
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: one on one covers with Eli Rix, then they're gonna

814
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: be able to have an extra man in the box

815
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 1: and that's going to be huge against Jayden and Daniels.

816
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:42,640
Speaker 1: So I know that Alabama, you know, went up against

817
00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:44,919
Speaker 1: kJ Jefferson it's a different animal, is a dual threat.

818
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 1: But Alabama limited kJ to just just two yards per rush,

819
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 1: and if you take out a twenty yard scramble by

820
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 1: Hindon Hooker, he averages three yards per rush against Alabama. Also,

821
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 1: so when you go to the other side of the ball,

822
00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 1: LSU has an excellent pass rush. Pass rush, but are

823
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 1: you going to get a finger on Bryce Young? The

824
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 1: numbers for him in pressure to sack ratio were crazy

825
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,279
Speaker 1: last year. Fifteen percent pressure to sack ratio right so

826
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 1: if you get a hundred pressures ended up in fifteen

827
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:12,880
Speaker 1: sacks right now, that is plummeted down to ten percent,

828
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 1: so a five percent drop. And when you watch Bryce

829
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 1: Young move, no one can touch him, no one can

830
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:19,759
Speaker 1: get a hand on him. It's like he knows. He

831
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:23,399
Speaker 1: just has some ability to know where exactly where every

832
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,200
Speaker 1: defender is on the field. And I think you know

833
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:29,719
Speaker 1: a lot of people say, well, where's the explosiveness on

834
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 1: the wide receivers. The secondary for LSU is not good.

835
00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 1: They're ninety first in coverage. It's a real weakness. I

836
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:38,319
Speaker 1: think Bryce Young is going to exploit that, But who's

837
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,360
Speaker 1: going to do it? We do have you know ja

838
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:42,680
Speaker 1: Cory Brooks, Kobe Prnis. They're both over two yards per

839
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 1: route run. But the return of Tyler Harrow last week

840
00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:48,040
Speaker 1: he had a catch for twelve yards. This is the

841
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 1: explosive piece that Alabama needs to separate themselves from the

842
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,799
Speaker 1: sixth team in the College Ball Playoff ranking back up

843
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:56,879
Speaker 1: to national title contender. Because this is a transfer Tyler

844
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 1: Harral that came in from Louisville and he was two

845
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,840
Speaker 1: point nine yards per n He would easily be the

846
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 1: most explosive target that Alabama has and you can play

847
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,480
Speaker 1: anywhere near what he played like in Louisville last year.

848
00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 1: So that is the plan. His name was dropped and

849
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:13,760
Speaker 1: the presser this week saying he's got to get some targets.

850
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,400
Speaker 1: So if he's fully healthy and he can perform like

851
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 1: he did at Louisville, LSU's secondary is in trouble. So

852
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 1: I love Alabama on both sides of the ball. I

853
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 1: would lay it at thirteen thirteen and a half. I'd

854
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:24,280
Speaker 1: stop at fourteen.

855
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 2: I disagree. We might disagree in every game today, but

856
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 2: maybe that's probably a good thing for you. I'm on

857
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:31,800
Speaker 2: a sixty seven and twenty seven run, so I'm to

858
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 2: lose about twenty eight games in a row. I you know,

859
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,560
Speaker 2: I might not play LSU. But what you're you're saying

860
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 2: are the ifs, which I agree with. If they come

861
00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 2: to fruition, Like I've watched Bama this year and their

862
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,839
Speaker 2: defense has holes. You know, they're not getting as much

863
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:53,799
Speaker 2: pressure as you know, I would have thought. Their secondary

864
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 2: also has been exploited at times. You know, obviously Tennessee

865
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,800
Speaker 2: shredded them, but Tennessee shreds everybody. But like Texas A

866
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 2: and M backup quarterback moving the ball on them. I

867
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: just haven't been that impressed with the defense that it's

868
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 2: mainly the corners. He lose two corners to the NFL,

869
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 2: and there's been holes there. Now if Eli Rix, who

870
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:15,760
Speaker 2: was you know, potential first round dur Epic in the future,

871
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,840
Speaker 2: who played really well Missippi State, his emergence and his

872
00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:21,040
Speaker 2: you know now he sees starting he was dealing with

873
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 2: an injury and Saban, you know, wasn't he said he

874
00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 2: wasn't caught up on the defense yet saved Obviously he

875
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 2: was comfortable enough to put him in. If he's now

876
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,840
Speaker 2: all the way back and understands the d that's a

877
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:35,400
Speaker 2: huge upgrade for Alabama. I don't know, but I just

878
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 2: I'm kind of hesitant to just say, all right, Rix

879
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:42,080
Speaker 2: is back and he's going to be elite because every

880
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 2: cornerback who's ever played for Alabama shuts down the Leach

881
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:48,920
Speaker 2: offense like they just score zero points every single year,

882
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:51,399
Speaker 2: which is my only hesitation there. And then the other side,

883
00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 2: you mentioned how yes they that's the missing piece they

884
00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 2: because they're receivers, they're just missing explosive weapons on the outside. Now,

885
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:02,640
Speaker 2: Young's elusiveness and mobility will be a huge factor here

886
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 2: and that's basically what's keeping the offense humming when they're

887
00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:09,279
Speaker 2: playing defenses that can get pressure. Because the offensive line

888
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 2: has also been a bit disappointing. So yeah, if he is,

889
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 2: you know that missing piece for the explosiveness factor which

890
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 2: is missing. Those are the two things that like Alabama

891
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 2: has been missing. Right, their offensive line can get can

892
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:25,760
Speaker 2: build a more and more community. But it's like Rex

893
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:29,320
Speaker 2: as a shutdown corner and then the explosive receiver, like

894
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 2: your potentially like adding them as like trade or free

895
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:35,440
Speaker 2: agent acquisitions. So if they you could see both of

896
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 2: them come to fruition this week, and then this is

897
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 2: Alabama all the way. I just can't get to this

898
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:45,480
Speaker 2: number yet because I do have some hesitations with Alabama.

899
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 2: But LSU, you know, their offenses looked a lot better

900
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 2: of late, but who have they done it against, right,

901
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 2: That's what gives me pause. With Jayden Daniels and his

902
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:57,360
Speaker 2: passing attack, it's like, you know, kumbaya, everything's great with

903
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 2: the receivers, but you played Florida, whose defense bad? And

904
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,719
Speaker 2: then you played Old Miss you know, whose defense is bad.

905
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,279
Speaker 2: This is a big step up in class just from

906
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 2: a talent perspective. For what it's worth, I don't know

907
00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 2: what this is with Alabama. Maybe it's the penalties, which

908
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 2: are definitely a concern. Maybe they cleaned some of that

909
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,280
Speaker 2: off the buy and all. The other thing I should

910
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 2: mention is that we did anticipate als you improving as

911
00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:24,439
Speaker 2: the year goes on under Brian Kelly. For what it's worth,

912
00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly is just thrived in this spot. If you're

913
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 2: in the trends, he's thirty seven fourteen and two against

914
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,799
Speaker 2: the spread. That's over that's seventy three percent as an

915
00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 2: underdog or favorite of less than a field goal. He's

916
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: the most profitable coach over the past thirty years, over

917
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 2: five hundred coaches in that scenario. But what's more concerning

918
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:48,520
Speaker 2: than me is just Alabama on the road the past

919
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:52,760
Speaker 2: two seasons, true road games. You know, they go to Tennessee,

920
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 2: they lose outright as nine point favorites. They did cover

921
00:45:56,160 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 2: against Arkansas, pulled away late. They one by one is

922
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:05,719
Speaker 2: twenty point favorites at Texas Earlier this year, they one

923
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 2: by two as twenty point favorites against Auburn. Last year

924
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 2: they obviously crushed Mississippi State. They lost as twenty point

925
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 2: underdogs as outright at Texas A and M. And then

926
00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 2: they went by two as fourteen point favorites at Florida.

927
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 2: I mean five of those seven games and they're double

928
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: digit favorites in all of them, they either lost out

929
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 2: or they were just had to buy fewer than three points.

930
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 2: It's a small sample size, but is it the they've

931
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 2: had like penalty issues and on the road, those are

932
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:36,799
Speaker 2: that's what you've got au look at that Tennessee game,

933
00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 2: what do they have thirteen penalties for one hundred yards.

934
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 2: So we'll see if they can clean some of that up.

935
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:42,879
Speaker 2: But they've all of them has just played a lot

936
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 2: of really close true road games of late, especially if

937
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 2: if you throw out the Mississippi STAI and they're all

938
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:50,799
Speaker 2: like in Jeopardy towards the end, and they always did

939
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 2: Mississippi State. So we'll see who cleaned up more over

940
00:46:57,320 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 2: the bye week, as both teams are coming off off

941
00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 2: of a But you know, it's if you had to

942
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,839
Speaker 2: pick one coach to side with the after buy, even

943
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:06,760
Speaker 2: though Kelly's been successful in the spot, you would obviously

944
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 2: choose save them. So I'll see a very fascinating game

945
00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:11,920
Speaker 2: for a lot of reasons. But let's move on to

946
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:15,399
Speaker 2: our final marquee game of the day, Clemson at Notre Dame.

947
00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 2: Notre Dame, this nine's been floating between like three and

948
00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:21,520
Speaker 2: a half and four and a half all week. Over

949
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 2: under is rashing. I don't know if it's still crashing.

950
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 2: Was crashing because there's weather wind, I don't know if

951
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:33,480
Speaker 2: there's rain also, but this total's come down because of weather.

952
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:35,960
Speaker 2: I'll let you go first. Here. What do you got?

953
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:38,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it looks like a real minimal, like less than

954
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,279
Speaker 1: ten percent chance of precipitation. There's going to be twenty

955
00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 1: mile an hour sustained wins at Notre Dame. Stadium. It's

956
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 1: kind of a diagonal pattern from the corner of one

957
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,720
Speaker 1: end zone to the other, so not really a true

958
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:52,760
Speaker 1: like sideline to sideline cross orientation. Both of these teams

959
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,200
Speaker 1: last played Syracuse, so it's easy to kind of pivot

960
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: to those box scores and try to make a deduction

961
00:47:57,200 --> 00:47:59,840
Speaker 1: on who's going to win this game. Notre Dame outgains

962
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,080
Speaker 1: Eyracuse on the ground by two yards per play, but

963
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 1: you know, Sean Tucker was limited, Garrett Schrader was kept

964
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 1: out of the second half with injury, and then Notre

965
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 1: Dame's running back Audric Estimates really kind of separate himself

966
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:11,759
Speaker 1: from the other two running backs twenty carries for one

967
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty three yards and two tds, but there

968
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 1: was zero passing game there for Drew Pine and a

969
00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 1: healthy Schrader torched the Clemson defense on the ground. Clemson

970
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 1: ran wild on the Syracuse defense. Also, will Shipley win

971
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:27,160
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy two yards and two tds and

972
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,759
Speaker 1: dju Youngalley was passed by Cad Klubnick in the game.

973
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 1: But we're expecting dj to start here, so how does

974
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:34,879
Speaker 1: that line up for how I look at this, both

975
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:37,600
Speaker 1: of these teams have a very heavy rush rate, which

976
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:40,160
Speaker 1: kind of takes that win the total like crashing down.

977
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 1: Does that really matter, like with the wind and everything,

978
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,520
Speaker 1: because it's two teams that prefer to run like fifty

979
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:49,319
Speaker 1: six to so by far Clemson has the advantages when

980
00:48:49,360 --> 00:48:51,920
Speaker 1: it comes to stopping the rush. So for that I

981
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,840
Speaker 1: would lean to the Clemson inside. Even though I make

982
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 1: this Clemson minus three, I'm having a hard time being

983
00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 1: sold on Notre Dame stopping the ground attack or being

984
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 1: you know, are stopping an explosive pass the number. I

985
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:07,280
Speaker 1: think the numbers correct. I'd rather much hit a depressed

986
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 1: over with sustained twenty mile an hour wins when this

987
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:12,920
Speaker 1: is just a ground game anyways. I mean that formula

988
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 1: wasn't gonna change no matter what the weather was. Give

989
00:49:15,040 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 1: me some pre sip that probably might help with some

990
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:20,200
Speaker 1: angles and some people slipping and stuff. But I have

991
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:22,319
Speaker 1: no worries about DJ's ball and flight. He's got one

992
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 1: of the strongest arms in all the college football. So

993
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:28,080
Speaker 1: I will let the you know, the market continue to

994
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,440
Speaker 1: bash on this total because they think the weather is

995
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:31,800
Speaker 1: going to be terrible when it was going to be

996
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 1: a ground game. The whole way anyways, with throws to

997
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 1: the tight end, so and then I'm going to fire

998
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 1: on the over.

999
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:40,920
Speaker 2: I've bet at a Dame here for four and a half.

1000
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:42,799
Speaker 2: I'd still bet at three half. I make this sign two.

1001
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:46,880
Speaker 2: Somehow I was shocked at it, but not really because

1002
00:49:46,880 --> 00:49:50,759
Speaker 2: I think Clemson is a fraud. I tug into Clemson's

1003
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:54,200
Speaker 2: numbers and like, by the way, Notre Dame's defense. Yeah,

1004
00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:57,480
Speaker 2: they've been gashed at times on the run. I really

1005
00:49:57,600 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 2: liked what they did. Finally last week they started blitzing,

1006
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:01,719
Speaker 2: which they haven't been doing this year. I think they're

1007
00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:03,319
Speaker 2: just They're going to load the box, bring a ton

1008
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 2: of pressure, and say beat us by throwing the ball.

1009
00:50:07,120 --> 00:50:10,640
Speaker 2: In these cross wins. The Clemson offense has been lucky

1010
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:13,600
Speaker 2: on late downs and I don't trust Dju as much

1011
00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 2: as everyone has fallen in love with him. And the

1012
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:21,040
Speaker 2: Clemson defense is what is a mystery to me. They

1013
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 2: aren't elite up front, like they don't grate out elite.

1014
00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:28,320
Speaker 2: What are their lineyards are like sixtieth and all of

1015
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 2: their rush defense numbers. I don't know if they just

1016
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 2: haven't been able to build continuity because of injuries. But

1017
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:38,759
Speaker 2: this isn't a dominant unit, and so it's it's very

1018
00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:42,040
Speaker 2: puzzling because all of the talent is there. So yeah,

1019
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 2: I think Clemson is right, and I think notre the

1020
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:49,000
Speaker 2: name is gonna win this game out right. And I

1021
00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:51,759
Speaker 2: don't disagree with your take on like, okay, how these

1022
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:54,279
Speaker 2: teams want to move the ball and the weather might

1023
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:58,560
Speaker 2: not impact it that much, but yeah, line value alone,

1024
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:01,400
Speaker 2: and this Clemson team has been kind of just you know,

1025
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 2: like you go back to that Florida State game. They

1026
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:06,400
Speaker 2: were Florida State was moving up and down the field.

1027
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 2: Wake Forest should have won that game. They were moving

1028
00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 2: up and down the field. It's yeah, I think Clemson's

1029
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 2: right for the picking year, and the college football gods

1030
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 2: are gonna knock them out of a college football playoff.

1031
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 2: Let's go irish, all right, let's move on to Yeah,

1032
00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 2: you can't quit Tennessee fase, I can't quit Clemson face.

1033
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 2: Hopefully I can get to the window this week. All right,

1034
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 2: let's get to the rundown. Let's go through five other

1035
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 2: games quickly. I think we're gonna disagree again here because

1036
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:42,120
Speaker 2: the Air Force at Army in Arlington, eleven thirty am

1037
00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 2: eastern Saturday morning, I think I saw you talking in

1038
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:47,560
Speaker 2: slack about this. You're gonna tell us about the over

1039
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:49,160
Speaker 2: in the Service Academy game. Again.

1040
00:51:49,600 --> 00:51:50,680
Speaker 1: Listen, Mike Ianello.

1041
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:52,319
Speaker 2: Over on the one of these one of these years,

1042
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 2: you're gonna be right about fading Tennessee and what it

1043
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:59,040
Speaker 2: happens on the same weekend and a service Academy over

1044
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 2: which are like forty unders are like forty four and

1045
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:04,080
Speaker 2: sixteen over the last twenty years.

1046
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:10,800
Speaker 1: But ahead, listen, all of you, for all of you

1047
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 1: out there listening, put that trend. Go out in your

1048
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:16,279
Speaker 1: backyard and bury dig a hole up and throw the

1049
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:18,960
Speaker 1: trend in the hole and then bury it all right,

1050
00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:22,160
Speaker 1: because that trend started capturing when totals were like in

1051
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 1: the fifties and then in the high forties. We're at

1052
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 1: forty and a half. That's a sneeze, and you're over that.

1053
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:30,879
Speaker 1: Iowa goes over that number. San Diego State goes over

1054
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 1: that number. I understand that they play at a completely

1055
00:52:34,120 --> 00:52:36,839
Speaker 1: slow pace, and I understand that you want to kick

1056
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 1: out the stuff rate numbers and all that stuff, But

1057
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 1: you know, armies dead last and stuff, right, they cannot

1058
00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:46,040
Speaker 1: fill the A, B and sea gap. They cannot keep contained.

1059
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 1: This is a really bad defense. Uh to go up

1060
00:52:49,120 --> 00:52:51,680
Speaker 1: against what air Force wants to do. I love the over.

1061
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:53,200
Speaker 1: I'm going to take the over because I think both

1062
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 1: offenses are going to have are just going to roll.

1063
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,799
Speaker 1: I know we we kick out the projections like I said,

1064
00:52:58,520 --> 00:52:59,879
Speaker 1: but I would play it at forty and a half.

1065
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 1: Armies dead last stuff.

1066
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:01,640
Speaker 2: Right.

1067
00:53:01,640 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 1: They're one hundred and thirtyeth in defensive rushing success rate.

1068
00:53:04,440 --> 00:53:07,000
Speaker 1: Air Force and Army both over thirty seconds per play,

1069
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,000
Speaker 1: but Armies one hundred and thirtyeth in standard down success right.

1070
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:12,279
Speaker 1: That means air Force is gonna have first downs all day.

1071
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 1: These teams are ninety fourth and one hundred and tenth

1072
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 1: and defensive finishing drives. Any driver gets past the forty

1073
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:21,640
Speaker 1: is a touchdown, more touchdowns and field goals. And Jameel

1074
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,439
Speaker 1: Jones a new quarterback for Army, like he had five

1075
00:53:24,520 --> 00:53:27,760
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns in his last two starts for injured Tier Tyler.

1076
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:31,120
Speaker 1: Jones created six miss tackles by himself as a quarterback

1077
00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:34,400
Speaker 1: against the ULM defense, which is impressive because he's starting

1078
00:53:34,440 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 1: always with full back handoff right with full back dive.

1079
00:53:37,960 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 1: You're creating six miss tackles after you're trying to fake

1080
00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,759
Speaker 1: a full back dive. So you know, bring it on,

1081
00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:45,480
Speaker 1: Mike Ianello and the G five podcast. This is the

1082
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,439
Speaker 1: thing's going over. I take the forty and a half,

1083
00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:48,720
Speaker 1: go over easy.

1084
00:53:49,040 --> 00:53:49,560
Speaker 2: This is easy.

1085
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 1: These overs in the service academies, there's a big trend.

1086
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:53,400
Speaker 1: It's gonna be like twenty three in a row.

1087
00:53:54,480 --> 00:53:56,960
Speaker 2: I also disagree. I make them all. I make them

1088
00:53:56,960 --> 00:53:57,839
Speaker 2: all like thirty three.

1089
00:53:58,239 --> 00:53:59,680
Speaker 1: Make a case for defense.

1090
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:02,359
Speaker 2: I mean, here's the thing, you like. Every time these

1091
00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,960
Speaker 2: teams you can't. But they they play other they don't

1092
00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:10,680
Speaker 2: play other triple options, like so they have issues, but

1093
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:14,160
Speaker 2: they get the practice against the triple option every day.

1094
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 2: The triple option has advantages when you run it because

1095
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:19,520
Speaker 2: teams aren't used to it. But when you're going up

1096
00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:23,480
Speaker 2: against another triple option team, they get to they know,

1097
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:26,360
Speaker 2: you know, they have the discipline, they understand the reads.

1098
00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:29,360
Speaker 2: They you know they So that's why a lot of

1099
00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:32,840
Speaker 2: times these teams can't move it. I would lean. I

1100
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 2: think Armies run defense is a lot worse. I would

1101
00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:38,160
Speaker 2: lean Air Force, but I don't like Lean laying points

1102
00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:39,400
Speaker 2: in these games.

1103
00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:43,000
Speaker 1: So defense is garbage the front set.

1104
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:45,880
Speaker 2: But they will be better against a service scam. And

1105
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,080
Speaker 2: I'm just telling you we'll see all right, move on

1106
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 2: our next game again. I'm probably gonna disagree on this one.

1107
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:53,560
Speaker 2: Texas Tech at TC to TCU eight and a half

1108
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 2: point favorite over under sixty nine and a half. I

1109
00:54:58,120 --> 00:55:01,560
Speaker 2: already played Tech Tech. I was waiting for ten. It

1110
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:04,839
Speaker 2: got hit, So that's I don't think that's coming. Uh

1111
00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:10,800
Speaker 2: you get this is basically West Virginia again, same handicap,

1112
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:15,040
Speaker 2: except Texas Tech has a more competent defense. I don't

1113
00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:16,960
Speaker 2: think TC is gonna get stops. I think the defense

1114
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:21,800
Speaker 2: is awful, and it's also overrated in the fact that

1115
00:55:21,880 --> 00:55:24,600
Speaker 2: their metrics, you know, include a bunch of backup quarterbacks

1116
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:26,919
Speaker 2: like and I saw people arguing on Twitter, like, yeah,

1117
00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 2: but they were up twenty five to ten against Oklahoma already. Yeah,

1118
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 2: they probably would have won that game, but they got

1119
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:37,880
Speaker 2: three quarters of defensive metrics playing against Davis Beble and

1120
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 2: like the Wildcat because you can't complete a pass, numbers

1121
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,319
Speaker 2: too high, big backdoor rist to texat Teckle score here,

1122
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:49,160
Speaker 2: TC is still on a he's a bad spot too.

1123
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,120
Speaker 2: Like the one thing that scares me, I mean they're

1124
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 2: just just like they're six straight huge game. The one

1125
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 2: thing that scares me is like they got disrespected in

1126
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:01,800
Speaker 2: the college football playoff rankings. But maybe they want to

1127
00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:02,960
Speaker 2: run it up, but I don't thin they'll be able to.

1128
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:05,880
Speaker 2: They can't get stops. It's guns up. Maybe Red Raiders.

1129
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,320
Speaker 1: For me, I did a full previewed Action Network. I

1130
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:09,719
Speaker 1: would have suggest their way to go to read that.

1131
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:11,839
Speaker 1: But sixty nine is your key number. I took an

1132
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:14,680
Speaker 1: under here. All the reasons why in the article, but

1133
00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:18,279
Speaker 1: it seems like totals on TCU or sixty nine every

1134
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:20,000
Speaker 1: single week and it comes down to the wire. But

1135
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 1: you know, go and read the article. TCU is struggling.

1136
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 1: They're having periods in games where they're not be able

1137
00:56:25,640 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 1: to get any points up on the board. They look

1138
00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:29,440
Speaker 1: a little bit lost, and then bam, there's thirty five

1139
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,680
Speaker 1: points in your face. So I expect a little bit

1140
00:56:31,719 --> 00:56:34,160
Speaker 1: more of that pace. Does scare me a little bit

1141
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:37,080
Speaker 1: with this total, But at the same time, what these

1142
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:39,360
Speaker 1: teams are doing in the red zone and offensive finishing

1143
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:42,440
Speaker 1: drives is not always painting out in the touchdowns. And

1144
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:44,800
Speaker 1: you know, really it's all about explosive plays and what

1145
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:46,200
Speaker 1: you could do with it. So go read it over

1146
00:56:46,200 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 1: at Action Network. I like the under at sixty nine.

1147
00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:52,880
Speaker 2: We will see what Texas Tech does at quarterback. Might

1148
00:56:53,200 --> 00:56:54,600
Speaker 2: you know they said all three are going to play

1149
00:56:54,600 --> 00:56:59,840
Speaker 2: again with Shuck Smith Morton. So that's an interesting you.

1150
00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:03,160
Speaker 1: Know why they say that, like mcguires, Like McGuire's out

1151
00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:05,640
Speaker 1: there like, well he's he's the most talent. Keilly has

1152
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:07,440
Speaker 1: said he's the most talented. He has the highest ceiling

1153
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:09,319
Speaker 1: of all of them. But last week he was terror

1154
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,720
Speaker 1: He played like a freshman right, five turnover worthy plays.

1155
00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:14,480
Speaker 1: So what that means is what Texas next telling you

1156
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 1: is that we're going to play Baron Morton if he sucks.

1157
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:21,360
Speaker 1: We had Donovan Smith and Tyler shown right, So they're

1158
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,640
Speaker 1: like a fallback plan for the freshmen where the freshman

1159
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: has problems.

1160
00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you'll probably get a couple of Smith packages

1161
00:57:27,560 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 2: of running all right before we continue. As a reminder,

1162
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 2: the Big Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by

1163
00:57:33,400 --> 00:57:36,840
Speaker 2: bet MGM. So kick off the new Pro football season

1164
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:39,680
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1168
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:57,000
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1169
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1171
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1172
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1174
00:58:10,600 --> 00:58:13,200
Speaker 2: Michigan disassociated persons. Please gamble responsibly.

1175
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:16,440
Speaker 3: Gambling problem call one hundred next Step in Arizona one

1176
00:58:16,480 --> 00:58:21,200
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1177
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Speaker 3: ort Virginia one one hundred two seven zero seven to

1178
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1179
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1180
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:31,440
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1181
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1182
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1183
00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:39,520
Speaker 3: In New York, call or text the Tennessee Redline at

1184
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:41,800
Speaker 3: eight hundred eight nine ninety seven eight nine or one

1185
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:44,000
Speaker 3: eight eight eight seven seven seven nine six nine six

1186
00:58:44,000 --> 00:58:46,080
Speaker 3: in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns

1187
00:58:46,080 --> 00:58:48,440
Speaker 3: about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact

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1190
00:58:53,840 --> 00:58:56,240
Speaker 3: of charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, Ohio,

1191
00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:59,080
Speaker 3: in Utah, and other states where prohibited. Promotional offers not

1192
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:03,560
Speaker 3: available in Nevada and New York. Speaking of quarterback questions,

1193
00:59:04,160 --> 00:59:07,920
Speaker 3: UAB hosts UTSA big revenge game from last year in

1194
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:10,640
Speaker 3: a game that decided the division. UTSA won on like

1195
00:59:10,680 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 3: a tip touchdown. Again, they probably should have lost. This

1196
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:16,120
Speaker 3: is a pick over under fifty two. It's games at

1197
00:59:16,120 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 3: three thirty on stadium. Oh, I like, I'm breaking this

1198
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:22,280
Speaker 3: game up. I played U A B. I like you

1199
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:22,720
Speaker 3: AB here.

1200
00:59:22,760 --> 00:59:26,360
Speaker 2: I'm assuming that Hopkins is gonna play. From everything that

1201
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:30,400
Speaker 2: I've read, I need him to play here. The handicap

1202
00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:33,080
Speaker 2: for me is this UAB team, by the way, has

1203
00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:36,680
Speaker 2: been very unlucky to if and on the flip side UTSA.

1204
00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:38,480
Speaker 2: I think there are four to zero conference three of

1205
00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:41,400
Speaker 2: the games of three other victories have come by one possession.

1206
00:59:42,640 --> 00:59:46,280
Speaker 2: UAB can exploit this UTSA defense. You need Hopkins to

1207
00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 2: do it efficiently through the air and UTSA wants to

1208
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:54,160
Speaker 2: beat you through the air, and UAB has an excellent

1209
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 2: elite secondary. Do we finally agree here, Blazers.

1210
00:59:56,880 --> 00:59:59,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, we agree. The Dylan Hopkins first time of

1211
00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:03,040
Speaker 1: the podcast, he made he made the trip last week,

1212
01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:06,440
Speaker 1: just didn't play. Brian Vincent came out and said on

1213
01:00:06,480 --> 01:00:08,400
Speaker 1: Monday he's day to day. No clear answer when he's

1214
01:00:08,440 --> 01:00:14,200
Speaker 1: coming back on Saturday versus UTSA still dealing with concussion protocol.

1215
01:00:14,200 --> 01:00:15,520
Speaker 1: You think he would be out of that by now.

1216
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,720
Speaker 2: Uh and fund especially since he traveled last week. That's

1217
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:20,320
Speaker 2: a that's one of the signs that I think he's

1218
01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:24,080
Speaker 2: gonna fly because he traveled last week. Another full week. Yeah,

1219
01:00:24,320 --> 01:00:24,800
Speaker 2: he gets to go.

1220
01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:27,880
Speaker 1: And and then another fun fact is Jacob Zeno is

1221
01:00:27,880 --> 01:00:30,440
Speaker 1: actually from San Antonio, so it's, uh, it's a pretty

1222
01:00:30,440 --> 01:00:32,800
Speaker 1: big deal to him. And then you know, I think

1223
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 1: we've bagged on this UTSA defense. They're almost dead last

1224
01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:40,240
Speaker 1: and tackling, they're outside the top one hundred and coverage.

1225
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:42,640
Speaker 1: If Dylan Howkins is back, he's going to be able

1226
01:00:42,680 --> 01:00:46,400
Speaker 1: to just light fire on this defense. This UTSA defense,

1227
01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:48,920
Speaker 1: and then I don't see how UTSA is stopping what

1228
01:00:49,080 --> 01:00:51,720
Speaker 1: UAB can do on the ground. So a lot of

1229
01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:55,960
Speaker 1: factors FU AB now. From a market perspective, with Dylan Hopkins,

1230
01:00:56,040 --> 01:00:58,800
Speaker 1: this number should be U A B minus four. So

1231
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 1: sitting at pick right now, at opened up at two,

1232
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:01,880
Speaker 1: I took it a too. I would take it now

1233
01:01:01,960 --> 01:01:03,280
Speaker 1: ad pick and then if we get the news, then

1234
01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:04,960
Speaker 1: it's gonna steam and you got a great number. If not,

1235
01:01:05,160 --> 01:01:07,120
Speaker 1: I don't expect it to go the other way. And

1236
01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:08,480
Speaker 1: this is the kind of game where you're gonna be

1237
01:01:08,480 --> 01:01:09,800
Speaker 1: able to get a piece of both sides. So I

1238
01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 1: would bet you AB now and wait for the Hopkins.

1239
01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:18,200
Speaker 2: There's yeah, I agree. I think some variants UTSA positive.

1240
01:01:18,240 --> 01:01:21,000
Speaker 2: Variants you ay be negative with injuries and close games

1241
01:01:21,040 --> 01:01:25,000
Speaker 2: and turnovers have graded line value. Here, good spot here

1242
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:28,840
Speaker 2: to back the Blazers, who, by the way, over the

1243
01:01:29,240 --> 01:01:32,480
Speaker 2: past five seasons, they're eleven and oh against the spread

1244
01:01:32,480 --> 01:01:35,200
Speaker 2: at home following a loss, including two and oh this year.

1245
01:01:36,800 --> 01:01:40,720
Speaker 2: That's the best in the country. Let's go to let's

1246
01:01:40,720 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 2: talk some frauds. Oklahoma State travels to Kansas. I love

1247
01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:50,720
Speaker 2: Kansas here probably my favorite bet I won't so maybe

1248
01:01:50,760 --> 01:01:54,080
Speaker 2: I'll save some of it. But I mean, Oklahoma State

1249
01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:58,160
Speaker 2: could be without Spencer Sanders, which means Gundy's kid is

1250
01:01:58,240 --> 01:02:03,000
Speaker 2: starting a quarterback shaking, literally shaking before snaps. Last week

1251
01:02:03,360 --> 01:02:05,680
Speaker 2: they were showing pictures in his hands before he was

1252
01:02:05,760 --> 01:02:09,480
Speaker 2: taking the snap. They could be without their top two backs,

1253
01:02:09,640 --> 01:02:14,320
Speaker 2: top two of their top three receivers, three starters in

1254
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 2: the secondary, starting defensive tackle, their punter. This team is

1255
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,560
Speaker 2: beat up on a brutal stretch after playing five high

1256
01:02:21,600 --> 01:02:24,240
Speaker 2: profile Big Twelve games all in the month of October.

1257
01:02:24,800 --> 01:02:28,440
Speaker 2: Now you're going to Kansas off of a bye. Get healthier.

1258
01:02:28,560 --> 01:02:30,480
Speaker 2: Daniels might be back, but the offense has been fine

1259
01:02:30,520 --> 01:02:33,200
Speaker 2: with Bean, It's one of the most brilliant offensive staffs

1260
01:02:33,280 --> 01:02:37,000
Speaker 2: in college football. They don't give up negative plays so

1261
01:02:37,160 --> 01:02:42,080
Speaker 2: much misdirection. It is fun to watch. And I'm sure

1262
01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:44,120
Speaker 2: that they're gonna have quite a few new wrinkles here

1263
01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:48,080
Speaker 2: that can exploit this Oklahoma State defense that is just bad.

1264
01:02:48,160 --> 01:02:50,240
Speaker 2: There should be wide open guys all over the field

1265
01:02:50,280 --> 01:02:53,640
Speaker 2: for Kansas They're also looking to avenge a embarrassing fifty

1266
01:02:53,720 --> 01:02:56,840
Speaker 2: five three loss from last year, and more importantly, a

1267
01:02:56,920 --> 01:03:00,160
Speaker 2: win will give them boiligibility for the first time two

1268
01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:03,080
Speaker 2: thousand and eight. You're gonna get a good crowd here

1269
01:03:03,120 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 2: in a good spot against the beat up Oklahoma State team.

1270
01:03:06,760 --> 01:03:10,680
Speaker 2: Give me Kansas Rock Chalk Jayawk Baby.

1271
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:14,760
Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't know if I have the authority to

1272
01:03:14,840 --> 01:03:16,760
Speaker 1: talk on this one. I took Oklahoma State minus three

1273
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,800
Speaker 1: and a half on open because it's a game I

1274
01:03:18,840 --> 01:03:24,440
Speaker 1: projected at Oklahoma State minus seven with full strength. I

1275
01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:26,840
Speaker 1: watched the whole game of Oklahoma State getting taken out

1276
01:03:26,840 --> 01:03:28,920
Speaker 1: to the woodshed. I didn't think Spencer Sanders was beat

1277
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:32,040
Speaker 1: up enough that he would miss this week, you know.

1278
01:03:32,200 --> 01:03:34,520
Speaker 1: And I don't know why all these players were out

1279
01:03:34,520 --> 01:03:36,480
Speaker 1: there in a blowout. All these starters with my Gundy

1280
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:38,280
Speaker 1: had out there and a blowout that no reason for

1281
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:40,760
Speaker 1: them to be playing in the second half whatsoever. I

1282
01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:43,120
Speaker 1: am glad the under came through, but I thought there

1283
01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:45,720
Speaker 1: would be full health this week for Oklahoma State. Thought

1284
01:03:45,760 --> 01:03:47,520
Speaker 1: I could get ahead of the news with Spencer Sanders

1285
01:03:48,040 --> 01:03:50,400
Speaker 1: because I've got the game power rated at seven. Sp

1286
01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:53,240
Speaker 1: plus has got a power rated at seven, So you know,

1287
01:03:53,360 --> 01:03:55,240
Speaker 1: stuck with a bad ticket. Now, if you're in this scenario,

1288
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:57,320
Speaker 1: like if you're holding Oklahoma State two or three or

1289
01:03:57,360 --> 01:03:59,440
Speaker 1: three and a half, there's just nothing we can do

1290
01:03:59,600 --> 01:04:02,480
Speaker 1: that other than hope that Spencer Sanders is playing. If

1291
01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:04,200
Speaker 1: he's not playing, then you've got to play this live,

1292
01:04:05,440 --> 01:04:06,640
Speaker 1: you know, to try to get out of it. But

1293
01:04:06,760 --> 01:04:08,760
Speaker 1: that's the scenario in and that's you know, there's not

1294
01:04:08,840 --> 01:04:10,640
Speaker 1: a lot of examples where I'm hitting the lines on

1295
01:04:10,720 --> 01:04:13,200
Speaker 1: Sunday and on Thursday, I'm like, I took a bad number.

1296
01:04:13,240 --> 01:04:15,160
Speaker 1: It just doesn't. I mean, we track our COLV in

1297
01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:17,760
Speaker 1: the app, and I don't care about CLV, but I'm

1298
01:04:17,800 --> 01:04:19,960
Speaker 1: generally never wrong on which side the line's gonna go.

1299
01:04:20,120 --> 01:04:23,400
Speaker 1: In this case because of injuries, I am so I

1300
01:04:23,560 --> 01:04:25,920
Speaker 1: will look to get out of this live. If Spencer

1301
01:04:25,960 --> 01:04:27,800
Speaker 1: Sanders is playing, I might let it ride, but I

1302
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:29,760
Speaker 1: will look to play this live. If you've got a

1303
01:04:29,800 --> 01:04:30,960
Speaker 1: bad number on Oklahoma State.

1304
01:04:32,520 --> 01:04:37,280
Speaker 2: I little Verdie has told me that there's a really

1305
01:04:37,280 --> 01:04:40,040
Speaker 2: good chance that Spencer Sanders doesn't play. And in addition

1306
01:04:40,160 --> 01:04:41,320
Speaker 2: to eight starters.

1307
01:04:41,040 --> 01:04:42,880
Speaker 1: So there's a rumor he might not play the rest

1308
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:43,240
Speaker 1: of the year.

1309
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:48,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd play Kansas up to minus two and a

1310
01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:53,000
Speaker 2: half for what it's worth. I think they win comfortably.

1311
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 2: All right, let's what more your Florida at A and

1312
01:04:59,080 --> 01:05:03,080
Speaker 2: m Florida plus three plus three and a half. I'm

1313
01:05:03,120 --> 01:05:05,760
Speaker 2: on the Gators here three or better. I think Adam's cooked.

1314
01:05:06,080 --> 01:05:07,920
Speaker 2: I don't know where this team is at mentally. Not

1315
01:05:08,040 --> 01:05:10,520
Speaker 2: being able to win that game last last week in

1316
01:05:10,640 --> 01:05:13,080
Speaker 2: a perfect spot told me all I needed to hear.

1317
01:05:13,440 --> 01:05:17,160
Speaker 2: And they've had multiple incidents of guys getting suspended. You

1318
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:19,920
Speaker 2: have you know you've lost a bunch of offensive linemen

1319
01:05:19,960 --> 01:05:22,120
Speaker 2: for the year to injury. He's lost your best, most

1320
01:05:22,200 --> 01:05:26,280
Speaker 2: explosive player, your quarterback. The freshman did look good last week.

1321
01:05:26,320 --> 01:05:28,960
Speaker 2: We'll see if he can repeat that this week. There's

1322
01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:32,280
Speaker 2: some film on him now. And I know Florida dismissed

1323
01:05:32,320 --> 01:05:35,280
Speaker 2: their most talented defensive player, Brenton Cox, and has the

1324
01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 2: most precious He's been a disappointment. He can't cover, he's

1325
01:05:38,560 --> 01:05:40,800
Speaker 2: missed so many tackles. He's in bad and rundy and

1326
01:05:41,120 --> 01:05:43,440
Speaker 2: the team hates him. That's why he got dismissed. I

1327
01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:45,160
Speaker 2: think it might actually be good for the locker room

1328
01:05:45,800 --> 01:05:48,760
Speaker 2: and what can Florida do Farida can run the ball.

1329
01:05:49,400 --> 01:05:53,200
Speaker 2: Florida averages six point one yards per carry, which leads

1330
01:05:53,240 --> 01:05:55,959
Speaker 2: the country. What can't Texas a and them just stop

1331
01:05:56,040 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 2: the run? They have not stopped anybody. What a ole

1332
01:05:59,160 --> 01:06:03,000
Speaker 2: miss run for four one hundred last week? What is

1333
01:06:03,080 --> 01:06:04,600
Speaker 2: the most telling to me? And by the way, the

1334
01:06:04,640 --> 01:06:06,840
Speaker 2: only two FBS wins this Texas n M team has

1335
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:08,919
Speaker 2: which some people said was gonna win the national title

1336
01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:10,880
Speaker 2: Arkansas and again they should have lost. They had a

1337
01:06:10,920 --> 01:06:13,640
Speaker 2: hundred yard fumber return and then ARCSLL missed a field

1338
01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:17,080
Speaker 2: goal and Miami and that would look so much worse.

1339
01:06:17,200 --> 01:06:19,280
Speaker 2: Miami put up four hundred yards, not gating him four

1340
01:06:19,360 --> 01:06:22,120
Speaker 2: hundred to two sixty four. I think the most telling

1341
01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:26,480
Speaker 2: thing is Miami averaged five yards to carry against all

1342
01:06:26,520 --> 01:06:30,080
Speaker 2: other FBS teams, Miami averages two point nine yards per carry.

1343
01:06:30,200 --> 01:06:33,200
Speaker 2: Miami rat all over textatum. Miami can't run on anybody.

1344
01:06:34,040 --> 01:06:36,160
Speaker 2: They just get They're gonna get gashed. I mean they're

1345
01:06:36,200 --> 01:06:38,919
Speaker 2: they're ninetieth and success right, ninetieth and epa per rush.

1346
01:06:39,560 --> 01:06:42,040
Speaker 2: This young defensive front can't stop their run. Fits are

1347
01:06:42,120 --> 01:06:45,640
Speaker 2: so bad, So good luck trying to cover uh this

1348
01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:49,080
Speaker 2: Florida rush unit who I think is still gonna try

1349
01:06:49,240 --> 01:06:51,680
Speaker 2: like they didn't. You know, their season is not going anywhere.

1350
01:06:51,680 --> 01:06:54,720
Speaker 2: They didn't have like huge high expectations. They fared well

1351
01:06:54,760 --> 01:06:58,000
Speaker 2: on the road. You know, they fought against Georgia, they

1352
01:06:58,080 --> 01:07:01,480
Speaker 2: fought against Tennessee. Rabbis see way better than this Texas

1353
01:07:01,520 --> 01:07:05,400
Speaker 2: A and M team. Yeah, I'll give me Florida here

1354
01:07:05,520 --> 01:07:07,200
Speaker 2: field goal or better. I think this tax A M

1355
01:07:07,280 --> 01:07:10,120
Speaker 2: keep is cooked that not winning that game last week

1356
01:07:10,280 --> 01:07:12,040
Speaker 2: is like so bad. I mean, lost four in a row. Now,

1357
01:07:12,160 --> 01:07:14,600
Speaker 2: where are they going like that? It's gonna be hard

1358
01:07:14,600 --> 01:07:16,120
Speaker 2: to get up for this game. It's also a noon kick,

1359
01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:18,120
Speaker 2: like this is Florida for me.

1360
01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:21,320
Speaker 1: I think it's interesting to see if the market's going

1361
01:07:21,400 --> 01:07:22,640
Speaker 1: to have support for Texas A and M.

1362
01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:23,080
Speaker 2: At three.

1363
01:07:23,240 --> 01:07:25,439
Speaker 1: It's a game that you know, I power rate at four.

1364
01:07:25,600 --> 01:07:27,920
Speaker 1: That was the open we're sitting on three. Some three

1365
01:07:27,920 --> 01:07:31,040
Speaker 1: and a half's popped back up. I think in positive

1366
01:07:31,080 --> 01:07:33,120
Speaker 1: news for Texas A and M. Connor Weagman's the best

1367
01:07:33,200 --> 01:07:35,280
Speaker 1: quarterback that they've had the entire year. Now it's taking

1368
01:07:35,320 --> 01:07:37,000
Speaker 1: him forever to get on the field. At least he

1369
01:07:37,080 --> 01:07:40,360
Speaker 1: doesn't have like you know, Haines King type turnover worthy

1370
01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:42,920
Speaker 1: plays where every chance that every time the ball snapped

1371
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:46,120
Speaker 1: could be six the other way. There's two things that

1372
01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:50,000
Speaker 1: back your case. Stucky and I'm gonna be I like

1373
01:07:50,120 --> 01:07:51,800
Speaker 1: him too. I mean it's I like Florida too.

1374
01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:53,120
Speaker 2: You're gonna be on your buoy.

1375
01:07:53,880 --> 01:07:55,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm going against I mean, I'm getting

1376
01:07:55,520 --> 01:07:57,880
Speaker 1: off this train. And and the Gators are number one

1377
01:07:57,920 --> 01:08:01,000
Speaker 1: in the nation in rush explosivenessnumber one in rush EPA,

1378
01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:04,280
Speaker 1: their eleventh and pass EPA, and they're number one in

1379
01:08:04,320 --> 01:08:08,040
Speaker 1: the nation and standard downs explosiveness. That just tells you

1380
01:08:08,080 --> 01:08:10,240
Speaker 1: everything you need to know about Anthony Richardson lining up

1381
01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:13,080
Speaker 1: against this Texas a and in defense that frankly has

1382
01:08:13,160 --> 01:08:17,120
Speaker 1: problems stopping the run. They have some pretty bad numbers

1383
01:08:17,160 --> 01:08:20,040
Speaker 1: and success rate against the run second level, even they're

1384
01:08:20,080 --> 01:08:22,040
Speaker 1: tackling as seventy first. I don't know what's happened to

1385
01:08:22,080 --> 01:08:23,960
Speaker 1: this defense other than losing Mike Elco and bringing in

1386
01:08:24,080 --> 01:08:28,320
Speaker 1: DJ Durkin. That defense folded against Old Miss taking a

1387
01:08:28,400 --> 01:08:31,120
Speaker 1: lead into the third quarter last week. It really was

1388
01:08:32,160 --> 01:08:33,679
Speaker 1: kind of burned after losing that time.

1389
01:08:33,720 --> 01:08:37,560
Speaker 2: He's playing nine straight games. Just hands it off. It

1390
01:08:37,680 --> 01:08:40,080
Speaker 2: just runs for four hundred yards in your house. Yeah,

1391
01:08:40,080 --> 01:08:41,080
Speaker 2: he's lost three straight.

1392
01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:46,840
Speaker 1: Florida's sign Florida is the number one explosive team in

1393
01:08:46,920 --> 01:08:50,280
Speaker 1: the nation in standardowns. I love that aspect of this game.

1394
01:08:51,080 --> 01:08:53,400
Speaker 1: I don't like that Florida is one hundred and one

1395
01:08:53,479 --> 01:08:56,160
Speaker 1: hundred and thirtieth and third down defense. So if a

1396
01:08:56,320 --> 01:08:57,640
Speaker 1: m is ever going to convert a third and get

1397
01:08:57,680 --> 01:09:01,240
Speaker 1: a sustained drive, this might finally be. It may lead

1398
01:09:01,320 --> 01:09:02,960
Speaker 1: me to an over, But I'm with you, stuck. The

1399
01:09:03,000 --> 01:09:04,439
Speaker 1: Florida's gonna be the way that I'm gonna fire.

1400
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:08,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would lean over. And yeah, Florida's defense is bad,

1401
01:09:08,720 --> 01:09:11,840
Speaker 2: but like Texas, Sandem's offense is one that their talent

1402
01:09:11,920 --> 01:09:14,400
Speaker 2: can like compete with. So yeah, I mean tex Sam's

1403
01:09:14,400 --> 01:09:16,240
Speaker 2: gonna score here, but I think Florida will as well.

1404
01:09:16,760 --> 01:09:20,120
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I like the Gators. All right, let's uh,

1405
01:09:20,439 --> 01:09:23,000
Speaker 2: before we get to some trash, do you want to

1406
01:09:23,000 --> 01:09:24,640
Speaker 2: plug our group of five guys and do a great job?

1407
01:09:24,680 --> 01:09:27,120
Speaker 2: Episode is already out. Make sure you check that out.

1408
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:28,960
Speaker 2: Maybe I don't listen to the episode yet. I gotta

1409
01:09:28,960 --> 01:09:30,160
Speaker 2: listen to it tonight. I don't know if they made

1410
01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:31,960
Speaker 2: fun of you. I don't know when the slack exchange

1411
01:09:32,080 --> 01:09:35,719
Speaker 2: was for the Service Academy total but really digestile episode.

1412
01:09:35,720 --> 01:09:37,880
Speaker 2: Every week it's like under forty minutes and they do

1413
01:09:38,000 --> 01:09:41,559
Speaker 2: a great job. Make sure you check them out. Let's

1414
01:09:42,200 --> 01:09:45,759
Speaker 2: get to some trash. What's that smell?

1415
01:09:46,320 --> 01:09:51,040
Speaker 1: It's Diggs. I mean this trash, the sweet sweet trash.

1416
01:09:52,000 --> 01:09:55,680
Speaker 2: The trash is a gold mine, old mine. Trash has

1417
01:09:55,720 --> 01:09:59,040
Speaker 2: been rolling, and this week it can't go really bad

1418
01:09:59,080 --> 01:10:01,400
Speaker 2: because I only have two tracks. People are gonna be upset.

1419
01:10:01,400 --> 01:10:04,200
Speaker 2: I only have two. I only have two here we're

1420
01:10:04,240 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 2: going to Club Lit. Obviously we're going back to Charlotte plus.

1421
01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:10,559
Speaker 2: Anything over two touchdowns, I think it's it's fifteen sixteen now,

1422
01:10:10,720 --> 01:10:12,519
Speaker 2: I was waiting on seventeen. I don't think it's happening.

1423
01:10:13,680 --> 01:10:16,120
Speaker 2: Did Charlotte you know, rolled last week? Their offense is

1424
01:10:16,160 --> 01:10:18,400
Speaker 2: obviously really good. And look, they've played four games without

1425
01:10:18,479 --> 01:10:20,519
Speaker 2: Chris Reynolds finishing and they've gotten blown out in all

1426
01:10:20,520 --> 01:10:23,000
Speaker 2: of them. The results outside of the FIU game have

1427
01:10:23,080 --> 01:10:26,160
Speaker 2: been fine. They've covered two of them. Went out Right,

1428
01:10:26,200 --> 01:10:28,240
Speaker 2: the only team in the country there's one Outright as

1429
01:10:28,280 --> 01:10:33,360
Speaker 2: a fifteen plus point underdog twice and last week new

1430
01:10:33,479 --> 01:10:36,880
Speaker 2: coaching staff, they got that bump rejuvenated. Their defense actually

1431
01:10:37,320 --> 01:10:42,000
Speaker 2: looked alive. They made tackles and they made some personnel changes.

1432
01:10:42,040 --> 01:10:43,719
Speaker 2: They put this kid, a new kid in at safety

1433
01:10:44,560 --> 01:10:46,519
Speaker 2: who played out of his mind. It was their best

1434
01:10:46,560 --> 01:10:49,040
Speaker 2: defensive back performance of the year. They made some changes

1435
01:10:49,080 --> 01:10:51,800
Speaker 2: up front. They also were aggressive, and you know they

1436
01:10:51,840 --> 01:10:53,559
Speaker 2: had an on side kick of reverse and the kick

1437
01:10:53,640 --> 01:10:57,519
Speaker 2: return they called a couple of trick plays. I love it.

1438
01:10:57,560 --> 01:11:00,160
Speaker 2: They're just playing loose club lit is back. I think

1439
01:11:00,200 --> 01:11:02,719
Speaker 2: they carried the momentum over here against the Western Kentucky

1440
01:11:02,800 --> 01:11:05,680
Speaker 2: team that I think is overrated. If you look back

1441
01:11:05,720 --> 01:11:07,479
Speaker 2: early in the season, they started off three and one.

1442
01:11:08,360 --> 01:11:10,760
Speaker 2: FIU was in disarray. They beat him seventy seven to nothing.

1443
01:11:10,880 --> 01:11:14,960
Speaker 2: Hawaii another rebuilding team in disarray. They also beat Austin

1444
01:11:15,080 --> 01:11:19,040
Speaker 2: p in a close game. Their stats from two blowouts

1445
01:11:19,080 --> 01:11:22,240
Speaker 2: over Hawaii and fi have improved since are skewing what

1446
01:11:22,400 --> 01:11:26,000
Speaker 2: this defensive profile looks like. They really missed D'Angelo Malone.

1447
01:11:26,880 --> 01:11:29,040
Speaker 2: Charlotte should be able to move the ball here. Western

1448
01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:32,320
Speaker 2: Kentucky will get its points for sure with their air raid,

1449
01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:35,719
Speaker 2: but yeah, it's also a bat spot for wes Kentucky.

1450
01:11:35,760 --> 01:11:39,000
Speaker 2: They get blown out by North Texas last week pretty

1451
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:42,880
Speaker 2: much ended their chances of getting to the conference championship game.

1452
01:11:42,920 --> 01:11:45,120
Speaker 2: Now you got to go on the road for a

1453
01:11:45,200 --> 01:11:48,960
Speaker 2: noon kick against Club let No, we're back to the

1454
01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:50,879
Speaker 2: forty nine ers. Agree to disagree?

1455
01:11:51,080 --> 01:11:55,280
Speaker 1: I agree. I mean it was a fluke win against

1456
01:11:55,400 --> 01:11:57,519
Speaker 1: UAB a couple weeks ago for Western Kentucky for all

1457
01:11:57,520 --> 01:11:59,519
Speaker 1: of us that were watching with Dylan Hawkins going out

1458
01:11:59,560 --> 01:12:02,599
Speaker 1: and then this, you know, turnovers. My numbers last week

1459
01:12:02,680 --> 01:12:05,519
Speaker 1: said that Northern North Texas should have been like a

1460
01:12:05,560 --> 01:12:08,240
Speaker 1: one point underdog to Western Kentucky, and I completely ignored it,

1461
01:12:08,360 --> 01:12:11,000
Speaker 1: and they blew them out. Now, Charlotte, on the other hand,

1462
01:12:11,040 --> 01:12:12,559
Speaker 1: when you go and look at the box score about

1463
01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:16,639
Speaker 1: what they did against Rice, I mean it was highly impressive.

1464
01:12:16,680 --> 01:12:19,040
Speaker 1: Five point six yards per rush on forty three carries.

1465
01:12:19,240 --> 01:12:22,240
Speaker 1: They only threw twenty times, but they completed seventeen of

1466
01:12:22,320 --> 01:12:24,920
Speaker 1: twenty for thirteen point eight. And of course, you know

1467
01:12:25,080 --> 01:12:27,920
Speaker 1: Chris Reynolds was amazing with five touchdowns. So when you

1468
01:12:28,000 --> 01:12:30,200
Speaker 1: go and look at what Western Kentucky can defend and

1469
01:12:30,240 --> 01:12:32,760
Speaker 1: cannot defend, they're not very good at defending the rush.

1470
01:12:32,800 --> 01:12:35,479
Speaker 1: They're outside the top one hundred line yards and you

1471
01:12:35,520 --> 01:12:38,880
Speaker 1: know their strength to schedule defense is one hundred, you know,

1472
01:12:39,000 --> 01:12:40,479
Speaker 1: so there's a lot of holes on this defense here

1473
01:12:40,520 --> 01:12:42,360
Speaker 1: that Charlotte's going to be able. Charlotte, don't look at

1474
01:12:42,360 --> 01:12:45,519
Speaker 1: their numbers because this is a rejuvenated offense. It finally

1475
01:12:45,560 --> 01:12:47,120
Speaker 1: got to win. They've had to deal with injuries, as

1476
01:12:47,160 --> 01:12:49,400
Speaker 1: Stucky said Stucky back in so many weeks, and they

1477
01:12:49,439 --> 01:12:52,000
Speaker 1: don't They're not going to a bowl, right They're two

1478
01:12:52,040 --> 01:12:53,920
Speaker 1: and seven. They can't make a bowl. So every game

1479
01:12:53,920 --> 01:12:55,800
Speaker 1: from here on out is a chance to get into

1480
01:12:55,840 --> 01:12:58,160
Speaker 1: Club Lake because you're not getting a postseason. So I

1481
01:12:58,280 --> 01:13:01,519
Speaker 1: completely agree with you. I've got this Western Kentucky fraud

1482
01:13:01,600 --> 01:13:03,600
Speaker 1: taste in my mouth. I didn't execute on it with

1483
01:13:03,640 --> 01:13:05,680
Speaker 1: North Texas. Didn't pay attention to my power ratings. My

1484
01:13:05,760 --> 01:13:08,080
Speaker 1: power ratings here say Charlotte plus twelve. That means I'm

1485
01:13:08,080 --> 01:13:08,880
Speaker 1: firing at fourteen.

1486
01:13:11,120 --> 01:13:14,880
Speaker 2: All right, good to know. For my last piece of trash.

1487
01:13:14,920 --> 01:13:18,000
Speaker 2: We're going with Virginia, who's a bad football team right now.

1488
01:13:18,040 --> 01:13:21,080
Speaker 2: Plus seven plus seven and a half at home against

1489
01:13:21,080 --> 01:13:24,560
Speaker 2: North Carolina. Pretty bad spot in North Carolina. They're you know,

1490
01:13:24,680 --> 01:13:27,160
Speaker 2: they won another big game last week. They have wake

1491
01:13:27,240 --> 01:13:30,519
Speaker 2: on deck. Now you're going to Charlottesville potentially sleepy spot,

1492
01:13:30,600 --> 01:13:34,880
Speaker 2: but more importantly, Virginia, whose offense stinks. Bren Armstrong has

1493
01:13:34,880 --> 01:13:37,439
Speaker 2: regressed hard, mainly because he is no offensive line. He

1494
01:13:37,479 --> 01:13:41,439
Speaker 2: has no time to throw whatsoever. But he'll have that

1495
01:13:41,600 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 2: here against a UNC defense that is horrendous. They get

1496
01:13:45,479 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 2: no pressure, they can't stop anything. UNC is goo and look,

1497
01:13:49,479 --> 01:13:51,719
Speaker 2: Virginia's defense one of the most underrated units in the country.

1498
01:13:51,720 --> 01:13:54,839
Speaker 2: I'm surprised how well they've been playing. But their secondary

1499
01:13:54,920 --> 01:13:56,960
Speaker 2: is good. They don't give up a lot of explosive plays.

1500
01:13:58,640 --> 01:14:00,320
Speaker 2: Their defense cut them in a lot of game. I mean,

1501
01:14:00,360 --> 01:14:02,400
Speaker 2: they lost by two to Miami, they lost by two

1502
01:14:02,560 --> 01:14:08,400
Speaker 2: to Syracuse. They'll fight. But I love Drake May. I

1503
01:14:08,439 --> 01:14:11,320
Speaker 2: think he's the best future pro playing college football right

1504
01:14:11,360 --> 01:14:14,720
Speaker 2: now at the quarterback position. He's going to score on

1505
01:14:14,920 --> 01:14:20,400
Speaker 2: this uav excuse me, this UVA defense. But I think

1506
01:14:20,520 --> 01:14:24,200
Speaker 2: UVa's offense is going to look competent for once because

1507
01:14:24,240 --> 01:14:27,760
Speaker 2: the UNC defense is that bad. What is UNC done

1508
01:14:27,800 --> 01:14:29,280
Speaker 2: on the road. This is why there I mean a

1509
01:14:29,400 --> 01:14:33,040
Speaker 2: justicper opponent. They're the bottom twenty defense still, that's why

1510
01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:34,760
Speaker 2: they can't pull away on the road. Even though Drake

1511
01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:38,920
Speaker 2: May is tredding everybody UVA on the road. Excuse me,

1512
01:14:39,000 --> 01:14:40,960
Speaker 2: why do I keep saying UNC on the road? This

1513
01:14:41,080 --> 01:14:44,679
Speaker 2: year sixty three sixty one, they won at app State,

1514
01:14:45,040 --> 01:14:48,120
Speaker 2: they gave up six hundred and fifty yards. They won

1515
01:14:48,240 --> 01:14:50,680
Speaker 2: thirty five, twenty eight, at Georgia State, gave up four

1516
01:14:50,800 --> 01:14:53,880
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty yards. They won twenty seven to twenty four.

1517
01:14:53,920 --> 01:14:57,479
Speaker 2: At Miami, gave up five hundred and forty yards to Miami.

1518
01:14:58,280 --> 01:15:01,280
Speaker 2: How do you do that? And then they won thirty

1519
01:15:01,280 --> 01:15:06,360
Speaker 2: eight to thirty five at Duke. Duke had five hundred

1520
01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:09,360
Speaker 2: and fifty yards. It doesn't matter what offense they play,

1521
01:15:10,000 --> 01:15:11,880
Speaker 2: especially on the road, they're gonna move the ball, so

1522
01:15:12,000 --> 01:15:14,920
Speaker 2: Brendan Armstrong, these receivers will actually have time to throw.

1523
01:15:15,040 --> 01:15:16,320
Speaker 2: Don't even be able to move it on the ground

1524
01:15:16,320 --> 01:15:21,040
Speaker 2: a little bit. Yeah, this is seven seven and a half.

1525
01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:23,240
Speaker 2: This UNC team just can't a margin because they can't

1526
01:15:23,240 --> 01:15:25,280
Speaker 2: get stops. It's also a bad spot. Give you the hoos.

1527
01:15:26,240 --> 01:15:28,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, And as far as the total goes, I project

1528
01:15:28,240 --> 01:15:30,320
Speaker 1: this at fifty nine. You've seen a kind of a

1529
01:15:31,920 --> 01:15:33,920
Speaker 1: decrease in the number down to sixty and a half

1530
01:15:33,960 --> 01:15:35,400
Speaker 1: as we are here recording this. We'll see if it

1531
01:15:35,479 --> 01:15:38,439
Speaker 1: keeps going down. Virginia's gone over the total just once

1532
01:15:38,560 --> 01:15:40,200
Speaker 1: this season, and I mean a lot of that comes

1533
01:15:40,280 --> 01:15:42,639
Speaker 1: back to their one hundred and twenty eighth in offensive

1534
01:15:42,640 --> 01:15:45,680
Speaker 1: finishing drives. They can't sustain drives. They have like three

1535
01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:49,160
Speaker 1: scoring opportunities a game can't stop with the havoc allowed,

1536
01:15:49,200 --> 01:15:52,360
Speaker 1: the turnovers, tackles were laws, everything's going wrong with this offense.

1537
01:15:53,320 --> 01:15:55,519
Speaker 1: So I can see a case being made that there

1538
01:15:55,560 --> 01:15:57,840
Speaker 1: could be an under here. But come on, it's a

1539
01:15:57,920 --> 01:16:02,799
Speaker 1: North Carolina game. Third in the nation and offensive finishing drives.

1540
01:16:02,840 --> 01:16:04,360
Speaker 1: I mean, they're just gonna get a huge lead in

1541
01:16:04,400 --> 01:16:06,519
Speaker 1: Virginia's gonna have to open it up, which is going

1542
01:16:06,560 --> 01:16:09,560
Speaker 1: to lead a defensive turnovers, a quick scores. But you

1543
01:16:09,600 --> 01:16:10,840
Speaker 1: know the pace is going to be there. This is

1544
01:16:10,840 --> 01:16:14,479
Speaker 1: twenty three seconds twenty five seconds per play. So I

1545
01:16:14,640 --> 01:16:16,599
Speaker 1: very much like the over here. But I'm just gonna

1546
01:16:16,600 --> 01:16:17,240
Speaker 1: wait for fifty nine.

1547
01:16:18,560 --> 01:16:21,120
Speaker 2: Don't be surprised with Gina Win's this game. Northcound's gonna

1548
01:16:21,120 --> 01:16:23,559
Speaker 2: lose one of these road games because they can't get stops. Eventually,

1549
01:16:25,960 --> 01:16:28,200
Speaker 2: this might be it a bad spot, all right, before

1550
01:16:28,240 --> 01:16:31,040
Speaker 2: we go three and out San Diego State column, You're

1551
01:16:31,080 --> 01:16:32,960
Speaker 2: total I think it's sitting in a forty seven. There

1552
01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:35,439
Speaker 2: are home against UNLV. Big news here. You know he

1553
01:16:35,479 --> 01:16:38,559
Speaker 2: should get Doug Brunkfield back at quarterback. They've been bad

1554
01:16:38,600 --> 01:16:40,920
Speaker 2: without him. We always talk about which we love him.

1555
01:16:40,920 --> 01:16:44,280
Speaker 2: He's practicing, should be starting. They're starting running backs questionable.

1556
01:16:45,320 --> 01:16:48,240
Speaker 2: Starting receiver Williams is also questionable. So we'll see how

1557
01:16:48,280 --> 01:16:51,960
Speaker 2: that goes. You have one minute. That's San Diego State

1558
01:16:52,040 --> 01:16:53,040
Speaker 2: total over under.

1559
01:16:53,120 --> 01:16:55,240
Speaker 1: Listen, you gotta take the over all right with blow

1560
01:16:55,560 --> 01:16:58,559
Speaker 1: with Broomfield, Doug Brumfield coming back, that's a huge plus

1561
01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:01,240
Speaker 1: for UNLV. But I don't I think people have accurately

1562
01:17:01,320 --> 01:17:06,120
Speaker 1: handicapped Jalen Madden for San Diego State. He is just

1563
01:17:06,320 --> 01:17:08,160
Speaker 1: a running like I mean, he is a He looks

1564
01:17:08,200 --> 01:17:10,479
Speaker 1: like a linebacker run. He has a lot of fun

1565
01:17:10,560 --> 01:17:13,120
Speaker 1: to watch. It's made the San Diego State offense the

1566
01:17:13,240 --> 01:17:15,920
Speaker 1: image of what Jeff Hecklinsky asked four years ago, which

1567
01:17:16,000 --> 01:17:19,280
Speaker 1: was electric and myrtle vertical. There's nothing here on the

1568
01:17:19,320 --> 01:17:22,000
Speaker 1: defensive side. UNLV's one hundred and twenty seventh against the rush,

1569
01:17:22,240 --> 01:17:25,360
Speaker 1: they're gonna get eaten up lineyards bottom ten and then

1570
01:17:25,360 --> 01:17:27,120
Speaker 1: when you go to the you know the UNLV side

1571
01:17:27,160 --> 01:17:29,679
Speaker 1: on offense. It's about challenging the San Diego State defense.

1572
01:17:30,200 --> 01:17:32,080
Speaker 1: They're eighty fourth in the line yards, So I like

1573
01:17:32,200 --> 01:17:35,519
Speaker 1: the over here. You know, I'm gonna it's been paying off.

1574
01:17:35,680 --> 01:17:37,200
Speaker 1: It's been paying off. It's great to see San Diego

1575
01:17:37,240 --> 01:17:38,200
Speaker 1: State scoring some points.

1576
01:17:39,600 --> 01:17:41,360
Speaker 2: We will see if you can stay hot after a

1577
01:17:41,479 --> 01:17:44,200
Speaker 2: cold start to the year. All right, before we get

1578
01:17:44,200 --> 01:17:45,519
Speaker 2: out of here, let's go three and out.

1579
01:17:47,720 --> 01:17:50,400
Speaker 1: Great, let's make it a quick three and out.

1580
01:17:51,800 --> 01:17:53,799
Speaker 2: All right, let's start with first down. It's our favorite

1581
01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:56,439
Speaker 2: bet of the weekend. I'm gonna start with Auburn. I

1582
01:17:56,479 --> 01:17:58,240
Speaker 2: think this line has come down a little bit. I

1583
01:17:58,720 --> 01:18:00,720
Speaker 2: twelve and a half. I think it is now. I'd

1584
01:18:00,760 --> 01:18:04,800
Speaker 2: still like it there. Twelve is fine. This Mississippi State team,

1585
01:18:05,479 --> 01:18:07,280
Speaker 2: we talk about all the time off of a bye

1586
01:18:07,840 --> 01:18:10,479
Speaker 2: is not good for their offense. Over the past two

1587
01:18:10,560 --> 01:18:15,280
Speaker 2: years off of a bye, they've scored zero zero, nine

1588
01:18:15,439 --> 01:18:19,439
Speaker 2: to seven total points. They get out a rhythm and

1589
01:18:19,720 --> 01:18:22,680
Speaker 2: the timing gets thrown off. And this is also, by

1590
01:18:22,760 --> 01:18:26,559
Speaker 2: the way, your latest team with a new coach. Don't

1591
01:18:26,600 --> 01:18:29,839
Speaker 2: be shocked if we get another upset here. Cadillac Williams

1592
01:18:29,880 --> 01:18:32,200
Speaker 2: takes over for Auburn. I think it'll be a rejuvenated

1593
01:18:32,240 --> 01:18:34,920
Speaker 2: locker room. And this is a great matchup for Auburn.

1594
01:18:35,320 --> 01:18:38,000
Speaker 2: What can Auburn do They can run the ball. What

1595
01:18:38,320 --> 01:18:41,040
Speaker 2: can they not do? They can't throw the ball. Mississippi

1596
01:18:41,040 --> 01:18:44,280
Speaker 2: State's run defense has been struggling all season, so I

1597
01:18:44,320 --> 01:18:46,160
Speaker 2: think Auburn will have success there. On the other side

1598
01:18:46,160 --> 01:18:50,160
Speaker 2: of the ball, what can Auburn do defend the pass?

1599
01:18:50,320 --> 01:18:52,760
Speaker 2: What can Auburn not do defend the run? Well, guess

1600
01:18:52,760 --> 01:18:55,760
Speaker 2: who never runs the ball, Mississippi State. I think there's

1601
01:18:55,760 --> 01:18:57,640
Speaker 2: a good matchup on both sides the ball. You get

1602
01:18:57,680 --> 01:19:00,559
Speaker 2: their head coaching bump, you get Mississippi State off a bye.

1603
01:19:01,040 --> 01:19:04,160
Speaker 2: By the way, Mike Leach least profitable coach with ten

1604
01:19:04,200 --> 01:19:08,200
Speaker 2: plus days between games over the past thirty years. The

1605
01:19:08,320 --> 01:19:13,000
Speaker 2: second is like Dana Holgerson, these all these air raid offenses. Yeah,

1606
01:19:13,080 --> 01:19:14,639
Speaker 2: give you Auburn here catching double digits.

1607
01:19:15,720 --> 01:19:17,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go with NC State right now. At four.

1608
01:19:18,360 --> 01:19:21,400
Speaker 1: You got to get welcome and get into the MJ.

1609
01:19:21,560 --> 01:19:24,880
Speaker 1: Morris era. Three tds against Virginia Tech. They just were

1610
01:19:25,000 --> 01:19:28,479
Speaker 1: not in a no passing game whatsoever with Chambers in there. Now,

1611
01:19:28,640 --> 01:19:30,559
Speaker 1: Morris you know is young. He did have true two

1612
01:19:30,640 --> 01:19:32,680
Speaker 1: turnover worthy plays and that aspect is going to be

1613
01:19:32,720 --> 01:19:34,360
Speaker 1: there throughout the end of the year, and there were

1614
01:19:34,439 --> 01:19:37,080
Speaker 1: four drops from his targets last week. I expect those

1615
01:19:37,160 --> 01:19:39,800
Speaker 1: numbers to improve with more reps that he gets with

1616
01:19:39,880 --> 01:19:42,920
Speaker 1: this offense. But the dimension that NC State has passing

1617
01:19:42,960 --> 01:19:44,800
Speaker 1: the ball is something they've been without since injury to

1618
01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:48,280
Speaker 1: Devin Leary. Wake has improved on the defensive side under

1619
01:19:48,320 --> 01:19:51,400
Speaker 1: Brad Lambert, especially from a havoc and pass rush perspective,

1620
01:19:51,800 --> 01:19:53,840
Speaker 1: but the offensive line for NC State is top thirty

1621
01:19:53,840 --> 01:19:55,600
Speaker 1: in protection. I don't think they're gonna be able to

1622
01:19:55,640 --> 01:19:58,160
Speaker 1: get to MJ. Morris and rattle him. And you know,

1623
01:19:58,280 --> 01:20:02,000
Speaker 1: Wake's issue is giving up explosive plays, especially in passing downs.

1624
01:20:02,000 --> 01:20:03,519
Speaker 1: There one hundred and twenty second in the Nation of

1625
01:20:03,640 --> 01:20:08,240
Speaker 1: just letting things happen when opponents get long yard long

1626
01:20:08,320 --> 01:20:11,400
Speaker 1: distance to move the chains. And NC State's offense is

1627
01:20:11,439 --> 01:20:13,640
Speaker 1: top forty in passing downs explosiveness. But I mean, like

1628
01:20:13,680 --> 01:20:15,519
Speaker 1: I said, we've got MJ. Morris here, we got extra

1629
01:20:15,560 --> 01:20:18,280
Speaker 1: dimensions that numbers should only increase, and the key is

1630
01:20:18,320 --> 01:20:21,599
Speaker 1: evading the Wake pass rush. Nine pressures and three sacks

1631
01:20:21,920 --> 01:20:24,000
Speaker 1: for Morris so far. Again, that's a freshman thing. I

1632
01:20:24,040 --> 01:20:26,640
Speaker 1: expect that to get better, and generally NC State has

1633
01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:30,080
Speaker 1: struggled with Wake and Hartman running that mesh rpo. But

1634
01:20:30,200 --> 01:20:32,040
Speaker 1: you know, the wolf back team is filling gaps. They're

1635
01:20:32,080 --> 01:20:34,160
Speaker 1: second and stuff rate in the nation. There should be

1636
01:20:34,280 --> 01:20:36,439
Speaker 1: enough for the defensive line to allow seven to drop

1637
01:20:36,479 --> 01:20:40,479
Speaker 1: into coverage and go against that mesh rpo and read Hartman.

1638
01:20:40,600 --> 01:20:42,880
Speaker 1: So I think the NC State defense finally steps up

1639
01:20:43,080 --> 01:20:46,320
Speaker 1: against Wake forests. But the you know MJ. Morris are

1640
01:20:46,400 --> 01:20:48,760
Speaker 1: with him at quarterback gives them a throwing dimension that

1641
01:20:48,800 --> 01:20:51,640
Speaker 1: they haven't had so of NC State to not just

1642
01:20:51,720 --> 01:20:52,680
Speaker 1: cover to win out right.

1643
01:20:54,080 --> 01:20:57,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I dug into this game a lot more this afternoon,

1644
01:20:57,439 --> 01:20:59,720
Speaker 2: and I agree. I think there's value on the wolf

1645
01:20:59,760 --> 01:21:02,160
Speaker 2: Pack because of the upgrade at quarterback. This kid is

1646
01:21:02,200 --> 01:21:05,200
Speaker 2: a four star, like highly recruited their future at quarterback.

1647
01:21:06,360 --> 01:21:09,880
Speaker 2: Their previous quarterback was you know, a Charleston Southern Option

1648
01:21:10,120 --> 01:21:13,320
Speaker 2: quarterback transfer. It was just a stop gap. I assume

1649
01:21:13,360 --> 01:21:16,800
Speaker 2: they also didn't want to burn Morris's red shirt, but

1650
01:21:16,880 --> 01:21:19,840
Speaker 2: he was He looked great. He gives them an added

1651
01:21:19,880 --> 01:21:22,800
Speaker 2: dimension to this. It was a lifeless offense after Leary

1652
01:21:22,880 --> 01:21:25,479
Speaker 2: got hurt. So yeah, I don't think the market is

1653
01:21:25,560 --> 01:21:30,160
Speaker 2: properly accounting for the upgrade at quarterback there. I agree.

1654
01:21:30,160 --> 01:21:32,080
Speaker 2: I think there's value on NC State as a home dog.

1655
01:21:32,320 --> 01:21:36,240
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our favorite overdog. All right,

1656
01:21:36,280 --> 01:21:37,800
Speaker 2: I think we got to get you hot on these

1657
01:21:37,840 --> 01:21:39,280
Speaker 2: I think of it four in a row and you've

1658
01:21:39,320 --> 01:21:41,400
Speaker 2: lost four in a row. This is like me and

1659
01:21:41,479 --> 01:21:44,439
Speaker 2: the money line underdogs, which you got me hot. Now

1660
01:21:44,880 --> 01:21:48,080
Speaker 2: we're both hot there. I think we got to start

1661
01:21:48,120 --> 01:21:49,960
Speaker 2: with you again this week. What do you got?

1662
01:21:50,360 --> 01:21:52,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Alabama. Like I stated earlier,

1663
01:21:52,720 --> 01:21:55,080
Speaker 1: there's certainly a theme in the SEC games this weekend,

1664
01:21:55,120 --> 01:21:56,840
Speaker 1: and it's about what can you do at the corner

1665
01:21:56,880 --> 01:21:59,600
Speaker 1: in safety positions and playing one on one coverage and

1666
01:21:59,720 --> 01:22:02,800
Speaker 1: Eli Ricks. You know his return against Mississippi State. He

1667
01:22:02,880 --> 01:22:05,040
Speaker 1: was targeted nine times, he only allowed one catch, He

1668
01:22:05,080 --> 01:22:07,560
Speaker 1: had four pass breakups. That's going to allow him to

1669
01:22:07,600 --> 01:22:09,840
Speaker 1: go one on one against Kaishaan Boody. And if he's

1670
01:22:10,040 --> 01:22:12,479
Speaker 1: allowed to go one on one and shut down the

1671
01:22:12,560 --> 01:22:15,200
Speaker 1: most explosive option for the LSU offense, that means they're

1672
01:22:15,240 --> 01:22:16,840
Speaker 1: gonna be able to load the box against the Jayden

1673
01:22:16,880 --> 01:22:19,280
Speaker 1: Daniels zonery. That's been hot over the past two weeks.

1674
01:22:19,720 --> 01:22:22,360
Speaker 1: Alabama's defense is top twenty and stuff right, so they

1675
01:22:23,040 --> 01:22:25,400
Speaker 1: should absolutely be able to stop Daniels and they've been

1676
01:22:25,439 --> 01:22:28,200
Speaker 1: dominating in passing downs too, So LSU does not want

1677
01:22:28,200 --> 01:22:30,000
Speaker 1: to get off schedule here. It's one of the things

1678
01:22:30,000 --> 01:22:32,599
Speaker 1: that the Alabama defense does best, go to the other

1679
01:22:32,680 --> 01:22:34,920
Speaker 1: side of the ball. LSU is ninety first in coverage.

1680
01:22:34,960 --> 01:22:37,360
Speaker 1: That's great for Bryce Young. He's going to look to

1681
01:22:37,400 --> 01:22:41,400
Speaker 1: throw deep, hopefully have an explosive wide receiver and Tyler

1682
01:22:41,439 --> 01:22:43,680
Speaker 1: Harrell back there to kind of do what he did

1683
01:22:43,720 --> 01:22:47,439
Speaker 1: in Louisville last year. And you know, LSU is prime

1684
01:22:47,520 --> 01:22:49,720
Speaker 1: on defense for getting beat deep. They're one hundred and

1685
01:22:49,720 --> 01:22:53,320
Speaker 1: twentieth on defense against the explosive against the explosive pass,

1686
01:22:53,360 --> 01:22:56,120
Speaker 1: and their ninety seventh and defensive passing down success rate.

1687
01:22:56,479 --> 01:22:58,920
Speaker 1: So what that means is if Alabama is behind the

1688
01:22:59,040 --> 01:23:01,840
Speaker 1: chains on you know, long downs and distances and second

1689
01:23:01,880 --> 01:23:04,840
Speaker 1: third down. Bryce Young, his pressure to sack ratio has

1690
01:23:05,000 --> 01:23:07,880
Speaker 1: dropped tremendously from his Heisman run last year. He can

1691
01:23:07,920 --> 01:23:10,519
Speaker 1: evade any pass rush that LSU is able to generate.

1692
01:23:10,920 --> 01:23:13,960
Speaker 1: And then finally, there is a big gap in special

1693
01:23:14,040 --> 01:23:17,040
Speaker 1: teams in tackling between these two teams, Alabama second the

1694
01:23:17,120 --> 01:23:19,519
Speaker 1: nation in tackling and LSU is sixty seventh. That helps

1695
01:23:19,560 --> 01:23:23,920
Speaker 1: against explosive plays and special teams SP plus Alabama's top

1696
01:23:24,000 --> 01:23:26,920
Speaker 1: fifty and LSU is ninety seven. So there are intangibles

1697
01:23:26,960 --> 01:23:30,280
Speaker 1: outside of just offense and defense that say that Alabama

1698
01:23:30,439 --> 01:23:31,560
Speaker 1: is going to have a lot of success here. So

1699
01:23:31,640 --> 01:23:32,759
Speaker 1: give me the tide as an overdog.

1700
01:23:34,320 --> 01:23:37,519
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Texas. Talked about this game earlier

1701
01:23:38,000 --> 01:23:40,559
Speaker 2: in the show. Basically what this boils down to. Great

1702
01:23:40,600 --> 01:23:43,880
Speaker 2: spot texts off the bay Kansas State off of that

1703
01:23:44,320 --> 01:23:47,280
Speaker 2: game where they humiliated Oklahoma State, which I think just

1704
01:23:47,320 --> 01:23:50,800
Speaker 2: said more about Oklahoma State's injuries and their fraudulent nature.

1705
01:23:51,479 --> 01:23:54,559
Speaker 2: Texas can run the ball, Kansas State can't defend the run.

1706
01:23:54,920 --> 01:23:58,840
Speaker 2: Texas is very good against the run. That's what Kansas

1707
01:23:58,880 --> 01:24:03,400
Speaker 2: State's offense is. Depends upon throwing some wins here. Situational spot,

1708
01:24:03,520 --> 01:24:07,639
Speaker 2: I think you're getting value on Texas long worn't seen

1709
01:24:07,680 --> 01:24:10,599
Speaker 2: that easily could be undefeated if a couple of bounces

1710
01:24:10,640 --> 01:24:12,640
Speaker 2: went their way. I think that happens this week and

1711
01:24:12,720 --> 01:24:16,200
Speaker 2: they pick up a big road wind to stay in

1712
01:24:17,200 --> 01:24:21,720
Speaker 2: the Big twelve race. All right, one final down, that's

1713
01:24:21,800 --> 01:24:29,120
Speaker 2: third down, and that's our underdog money line turning good

1714
01:24:29,200 --> 01:24:34,080
Speaker 2: weekends into great weekends. It's time for the money line

1715
01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:39,200
Speaker 2: parlay our favorite underdog money line. I I'll kick things off.

1716
01:24:39,240 --> 01:24:41,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Kansas. I already talked about this

1717
01:24:41,479 --> 01:24:44,920
Speaker 2: game earlier. Oklahoma State's a fraud. Don't be me the

1718
01:24:45,000 --> 01:24:47,760
Speaker 2: air say it again. Maybe by the time you hear this,

1719
01:24:47,880 --> 01:24:51,200
Speaker 2: they're a favorite. It's so fine anything under a field

1720
01:24:51,240 --> 01:24:54,679
Speaker 2: goal for me. Have a sneaky suspicion that Spencer Sanders

1721
01:24:54,720 --> 01:24:57,639
Speaker 2: is gonna play. They're gonna be out offensive lineman, running backs,

1722
01:24:57,640 --> 01:25:01,559
Speaker 2: wide receivers, many defensive starters, maybe a punter as well.

1723
01:25:01,920 --> 01:25:05,080
Speaker 2: They're beat up. Oklahoma State is off of a brutal stretch,

1724
01:25:05,160 --> 01:25:08,680
Speaker 2: played five Marquee Big Twelve games all in the month

1725
01:25:08,720 --> 01:25:11,120
Speaker 2: of October. Now you're going to a Kansas team off

1726
01:25:11,200 --> 01:25:14,920
Speaker 2: a bye, but get their starting cornerback back, their starting

1727
01:25:15,040 --> 01:25:19,599
Speaker 2: quarterback back. This is a brilliant offensive scheme that's gonna

1728
01:25:19,600 --> 01:25:22,960
Speaker 2: cook up a lot of new wrinkles during the bye

1729
01:25:23,040 --> 01:25:24,960
Speaker 2: because not only are they trying to avenge a fifty

1730
01:25:25,000 --> 01:25:27,439
Speaker 2: five to three loss from last year, Kansas can get

1731
01:25:27,439 --> 01:25:29,439
Speaker 2: the Bowl eligibility at home, but the first time is

1732
01:25:29,600 --> 01:25:31,559
Speaker 2: two thousand and eight. This crowd is going to be great.

1733
01:25:31,920 --> 01:25:35,160
Speaker 2: Kansas is gonna be up for this. I think Kansas

1734
01:25:35,920 --> 01:25:41,200
Speaker 2: wins comfortably. Rock Chalk start that again.

1735
01:25:41,560 --> 01:25:43,360
Speaker 1: Oh I've got Oh I'm sorry, go ahead, you're doing

1736
01:25:43,439 --> 01:25:43,840
Speaker 1: money line?

1737
01:25:43,880 --> 01:25:45,680
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you gotta go. And then, of course I'm

1738
01:25:45,680 --> 01:25:47,639
Speaker 2: about to wrap us all up. I got so excited

1739
01:25:47,640 --> 01:25:52,400
Speaker 2: about fading Oklahoma State again. Colin your favorite money on

1740
01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:52,960
Speaker 2: an underdog.

1741
01:25:53,160 --> 01:25:55,720
Speaker 1: Well, while you're waving the wheak, I'm gonna do a

1742
01:25:55,880 --> 01:25:58,120
Speaker 1: James Madison plus two thirty five and listen at all

1743
01:25:58,200 --> 01:26:01,400
Speaker 1: rides on Totson to you his dual threat quarterback. His

1744
01:26:01,600 --> 01:26:04,720
Speaker 1: numbers are unbelievable. Go check them out what he's been

1745
01:26:04,760 --> 01:26:07,240
Speaker 1: able to do on the ground and through the air.

1746
01:26:07,720 --> 01:26:10,800
Speaker 1: Cintino's injury wasn't a bleak. He suffered a during Week seven.

1747
01:26:10,880 --> 01:26:13,479
Speaker 1: He was in pregame warmups against Marshall two weeks ago.

1748
01:26:13,880 --> 01:26:15,960
Speaker 1: He didn't play, and then he's had a bye week.

1749
01:26:16,520 --> 01:26:19,240
Speaker 1: And something that James Madison never does is close off

1750
01:26:19,280 --> 01:26:22,120
Speaker 1: their practices. They closed off their practices every day this week,

1751
01:26:22,200 --> 01:26:24,240
Speaker 1: not allowing anyone to know what's going to happen with Cintio,

1752
01:26:24,720 --> 01:26:26,639
Speaker 1: and you know, their head coach came out I think

1753
01:26:26,760 --> 01:26:29,519
Speaker 1: you know afterwards and said, why would I let you

1754
01:26:29,560 --> 01:26:31,240
Speaker 1: guys know what we're doing at the quarterback position. That

1755
01:26:31,280 --> 01:26:33,320
Speaker 1: doesn't help anybody, That doesn't help us. But it's like

1756
01:26:34,240 --> 01:26:36,639
Speaker 1: when you kind of overprotect what's going on with your practice,

1757
01:26:36,640 --> 01:26:38,320
Speaker 1: you're kind of giving away the fact of you know

1758
01:26:38,439 --> 01:26:42,519
Speaker 1: that absolutely what happened with President and j Canter last week,

1759
01:26:42,600 --> 01:26:45,639
Speaker 1: so huge sandwich spot for Louisville here on their schedule

1760
01:26:45,720 --> 01:26:48,719
Speaker 1: away from acc play and everything that we said before,

1761
01:26:48,760 --> 01:26:52,120
Speaker 1: I'll play here. The biggest difference in tackling with these

1762
01:26:52,200 --> 01:26:54,560
Speaker 1: two teams, because you have two dual threat quarterbacks, you

1763
01:26:54,680 --> 01:26:56,799
Speaker 1: have to be able to tackle one on one in space.

1764
01:26:57,280 --> 01:27:01,519
Speaker 1: James Madison's seventeenth in tackling Louis Well a disastrous one

1765
01:27:01,600 --> 01:27:04,280
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty third. One of these teams is discipline.

1766
01:27:04,320 --> 01:27:07,800
Speaker 1: One of these teams isn't James Madison straight out win.

1767
01:27:08,200 --> 01:27:11,439
Speaker 1: Let's just hope Todd Centino's the oblique injury is not

1768
01:27:11,520 --> 01:27:12,880
Speaker 1: going to keep him from me an under center.

1769
01:27:13,960 --> 01:27:15,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think all signs point to him playing, and

1770
01:27:15,680 --> 01:27:18,479
Speaker 2: I would agree Jamie's run defense has been elite this year,

1771
01:27:18,520 --> 01:27:22,320
Speaker 2: which is important against Louisville, which is how they make

1772
01:27:22,960 --> 01:27:25,840
Speaker 2: their living on the offensive end. All right, that'll do

1773
01:27:25,960 --> 01:27:30,040
Speaker 2: it for us. Thanks to Colin for joining me as always,

1774
01:27:30,160 --> 01:27:33,280
Speaker 2: thanks to our audio and video teams on the back end,

1775
01:27:33,520 --> 01:27:37,280
Speaker 2: and of course thanks to all of you for listening.

1776
01:27:38,840 --> 01:27:40,879
Speaker 2: That takes our sponsor bet MGM. Make sure you subscribe

1777
01:27:40,880 --> 01:27:43,040
Speaker 2: on subscribe, subscribe to a friend, telling enemy, leave a

1778
01:27:43,120 --> 01:27:45,280
Speaker 2: review five star review. We will do a bunch of

1779
01:27:45,320 --> 01:27:51,679
Speaker 2: giveaways next week. Make fun of Coln for fading Tennessee again.

1780
01:27:52,439 --> 01:27:57,800
Speaker 2: Let's go Valls. Yeah, we'll catch you ten thirty am

1781
01:27:57,840 --> 01:28:00,200
Speaker 2: Eastern Saturday morning, Big bets O Campus Live. We'll do

1782
01:28:00,200 --> 01:28:03,080
Speaker 2: a recap episode nine five. Beat for the voicemail. Thanks

1783
01:28:03,120 --> 01:28:06,640
Speaker 2: for listening as always, Let's keep it rolling through the

1784
01:28:06,760 --> 01:28:08,760
Speaker 2: end of the year. We'll catch you all later.

1785
01:28:09,280 --> 01:28:10,479
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace out,