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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Podas all Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen Cuddy forty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as Block Look college Football World

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Speaker 1: Standard good bye, Oh my goodness, please stumbled and football

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Speaker 1: the lateral.

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Speaker 2: Turn a counter on the job, get you the lad

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Speaker 2: table off the fail to night. It's not the side

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Speaker 2: of the dog in the fighting, it's the side of

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Speaker 2: the fight in the doll.

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Speaker 1: What's up, Degenerate Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 1: Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. I'm Stucky in joining

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Speaker 1: me as always Colin Wilson. This is the Week two

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Speaker 1: college football betting preview. Colin, it's not the greatest slate

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Speaker 1: in the world, especially after last week, but what do

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Speaker 1: we know about college football? Just when you expect nothing,

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Speaker 1: expect the most. So you're excited to do talk some football.

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Speaker 2: I'm one hundred percent excited. I mean there's a game

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Speaker 2: going on right now while you and I are talking. No,

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Speaker 2: I'm not talking about the NFL opener. I'm talking about

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Speaker 2: Missouri State. Bobby Patrino up a touchdown as we speak

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Speaker 2: on Tennessee. Martin, why do I keep bringing this up.

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Speaker 2: Bobby Patrino. They're playing Arkansas after this week, so it's like,

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Speaker 2: it's like my suit game.

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Speaker 1: Are you game planning right now? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I just cannot believe Bobby Patrino is gonna be back

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Speaker 2: in Fable. But anyways, that's next week. I'm I'm actually

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Speaker 2: really excited about this card because we're gonna learn so

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Speaker 2: much more about all these teams. We have one data point,

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Speaker 2: and this podcast, I'm gonna have to preface myself saying

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Speaker 2: we have one data point. It's Maine or it's Colgate. Like,

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Speaker 2: it's tough to cap when you got one data point.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. It's always the trickiest thing with Week two in

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Speaker 1: college football is we talked about this earlier in the week.

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Speaker 1: You want to adjust your numbers because you're gonna make

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Speaker 1: the biggest adjustments early in the season, but you also

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Speaker 1: don't want to overreact to one data point. So it's

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Speaker 1: a very very fine line. We're gonna talk about a

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Speaker 1: couple games here that I bet throughout the show where

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Speaker 1: I made a big adjustment and could be wrong, could

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Speaker 1: be right. Maybe in other aspects I didn't adjust enough,

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Speaker 1: So we shall see. We'll touch on all of that

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Speaker 1: throughout the show. All right, let's start things off here

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Speaker 1: with some Friday night lights.

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Speaker 2: Let's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts, Let's go.

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Speaker 1: Play some football. Besides, Bobby Patrino, college football was smart

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Speaker 1: enough to not go head to head with the NFL

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Speaker 1: this week, but we do have some college football on

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Speaker 1: Friday Night. Earlier this week, you mentioned, and I hope

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Speaker 1: someone was able to get it, because I did not.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned that the line was too high on Louisville

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Speaker 1: catching seven down to five and a half at UCF

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Speaker 1: Friday night, seven thirty Eastern on the ESPN two total

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Speaker 1: sitting steady at sixty one and a half, still playable

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Speaker 1: at five and a half. Would you pass? Now? Wait

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Speaker 1: for live? How concerning was that Louisville's performance, because, as

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Speaker 1: we talked about, it's one data point, you can't overreact totally.

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Speaker 1: But they were thoroughly outplayed at Syracuse.

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Speaker 2: So thoughts there, Yeah, they were thoroughly outplayed. Sadderfield said it.

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Speaker 2: He gave all kinds of reasons, blowing third and long,

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Speaker 2: poor tackling, We didn't have any energy. We hit Garrett

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Speaker 2: Schrader in the backfield from Syracuse and we just bounced

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Speaker 2: off of him and Sadderfield's preaching that his physicalness and

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Speaker 2: the energy of the team is going to be needed

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Speaker 2: to bring down Isaiah Bowser. Louisville could not have played

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Speaker 2: worse five offensive trips past the forty one point four

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Speaker 2: points five times. The defense was allowed Syracuse within the

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Speaker 2: forty and they allowed they allowed them a four point

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Speaker 2: eight poort trip. And now UCF just man handled South

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Speaker 2: Carolina State, which you know won the Celebration Bowl last year,

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Speaker 2: So that kind of got a lot of attention. I power,

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Speaker 2: I don't know where the power ratings are all over

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Speaker 2: the place, like I have peaked at a couple others

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Speaker 2: that are respected. I make this game a pick. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna stick with it because Sadderfield's argument, stuck is energy

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Speaker 2: is effort. So how do you handicap that out of

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Speaker 2: a spreadsheet? You just have to think that Saderdfield's going

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Speaker 2: to get his team to play this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I get it. I just thought that there's nothing

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Speaker 1: more a play here because why would you how could

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Speaker 1: you not be up for a conference opener in week one?

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Speaker 2: I get it.

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Speaker 1: If it's like a Week one sleepy spot at a

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Speaker 1: you know, a non conference game, but man, they just

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Speaker 1: looked really poor. Seven is a great grab, obviously a

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Speaker 1: key number. I think I'm gonna wait to see if

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Speaker 1: I see anything live. It should be a back and

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Speaker 1: forth game. If you recall last year, it was a

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Speaker 1: pretty old one. So I'm gonna wait later. On Friday night,

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Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern CBS Sports Network, Boise State will make

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Speaker 1: the trip to New Mexico. Boys is a sixteen and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite over Unders coming down here. It's

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Speaker 1: down below forty five, down to forty four. It's a

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Speaker 1: pretty big spread for a road team to lay. At

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Speaker 1: a total of forty four. It's not a great spot

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Speaker 1: for Boise State. Either they go up to Corvallis and

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Speaker 1: for lack of a better or they got their asses

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Speaker 1: kicked on late Saturday night and now you're coming down

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Speaker 1: to Albuquerque for a Friday night game on the road,

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Speaker 1: the second straight road game. We've talked about New Mexico.

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Speaker 1: They're running if they're running another offense, it's an option

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Speaker 1: based offense. I don't know if you we can need

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Speaker 1: to call it all offense, but it is an offense.

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Speaker 1: Their defense is pretty good. The coaches can all coach defense.

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Speaker 1: Their defense should be solid, and they're going up against

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Speaker 1: a Boise team which breaking news has a quarterback traversity.

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Speaker 1: Is it Hank Bachmeer, Is it the new kid that

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Speaker 1: came in dual threat Sears is no longer around. But

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Speaker 1: backmar looked awful last week. The offensive line didn't look great.

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Speaker 1: This is just a Boise program. People got used to it.

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Speaker 1: The recruiting has gone down. They're just it's not the

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Speaker 1: it's not your older brother's Boise State team. Thoughts on

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Speaker 1: this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, offensive coordinator Tim Plow is having some serious issues

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Speaker 2: after a little ton of offensive struggles last year and

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Speaker 2: his first year as coordinator. That is carried over no

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Speaker 2: points in the first half against Oregon State. Hank Bachmeyer

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Speaker 2: had three turnovers in his first six drives. Boise States

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Speaker 2: seventeen points in the second half. I mean, go and

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Speaker 2: look at the play by play data. They were spotted

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Speaker 2: field position at the Beavers twenty five. They got a

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Speaker 2: field goal two plays in an explosive run. They had

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Speaker 2: a TD. I mean, that is the extent of what

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Speaker 2: their offense was last week. So Tayling Green takes over

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Speaker 2: after Hank Bachmeyer, and you know he ends up with

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Speaker 2: one hundred and two rushing yards two tds on the ground.

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Speaker 2: He also threw an I in t boys. He score

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Speaker 2: seventeen to cover this spread is the first question. And

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Speaker 2: can New Mexico stop tailing green because it's gonna come

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Speaker 2: down to him and they ain't gonna be a more

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Speaker 2: Hank Bachmeyer Lobos gave up just twenty two rushing yards

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Speaker 2: the main I know it's main, but it's twenty two

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Speaker 2: rushing yards. They dominated them in scoring opportunities, and the

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Speaker 2: offense put up forty one points two hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: That was on the ground, So you have to ask yourself,

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Speaker 2: can Boise handle that on the ground. They were absolutely

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Speaker 2: destroyed by Oregon State. Now, Oregon State is a sneaky

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Speaker 2: good ground gate ground team. They always have been, so

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Speaker 2: you know, Andy Avolo says, this is an open competition.

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Speaker 2: Tim plows have problems finding points. As coordinator, I'm taking

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Speaker 2: the seventeen here. I mean, I think it's a little low.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, with this total, it's not

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Speaker 2: just seventeen, it's actually higher on the value because of the

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Speaker 2: total being at forty four. How does Boise score enough

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Speaker 2: and cover this? Take my money? If you if you guys,

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Speaker 2: can score enough on New Mexico.

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Speaker 1: All right, that's enough in New Mexico offense talk. Time

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Speaker 1: to move on to our marquee games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fat this weekend of college football.

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Speaker 2: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 1: We'll all end up betting for week two. All right,

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Speaker 1: We're obviously gonna start with Alabama at Texas New Eastern

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Speaker 1: on Fox. Alabama twenty point favorite over is taking money

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Speaker 1: here up to sixty five. Look, I'm gonna let you

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Speaker 1: make the case for Texas. I'm still on the fence.

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Speaker 1: From a pure numbers perspective. I look at my projection,

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Speaker 1: I think that there's value on Texas, but I'm a

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Speaker 1: little bit I'm still a little bit concerned about the

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Speaker 1: Texas defense. Right, we didn't learn anything last week based

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Speaker 1: on their opponent. And while they do have one of

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Speaker 1: the most talented quarterbacks in the country, again, we didn't

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Speaker 1: learn anything last week. And he's just a kid. Is

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Speaker 1: the speed of Alabama that defense is going to be

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Speaker 1: too much for him? Does this get out of control early?

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Speaker 1: I keep going back and forth on this. I say,

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Speaker 1: all right, I want to bet maybe Texas first half

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Speaker 1: because of the number the script portion will kind of

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Speaker 1: calm yours down. But then I say to myself, maybe

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Speaker 1: I'll wait, if he's nervous early, make some mistakes, and

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Speaker 1: maybe I'll wait to get a better number live. So

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Speaker 1: I'm all over the place here, But from a numbers perspective,

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Speaker 1: I do think that there's value in Texas. Make the

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Speaker 1: case for you, your boy Sark and Juxas.

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Speaker 2: Love coach Sark. I'm a fan of Steve Sarkisian, but

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Speaker 2: I'm going to make a case here for why you

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Speaker 2: should take Texas. Now, I will say that I grabbed

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Speaker 2: twenty one earlier in the week. I am patiently waiting.

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Speaker 2: I think the steam the parlay cards, once those come

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Speaker 2: in on Saturday, it's going to push this thing up

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Speaker 2: to twenty one. If it's twenty one and a half, great,

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Speaker 2: I'll put in another I'll shove in another unit on

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Speaker 2: it and enjoy myself. But if you want to make

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Speaker 2: an actual case when it comes to the gridiron, what

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Speaker 2: happens on the field. The offensive line play from Alabama

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Speaker 2: was not stellar against Utah State. Bryce Young had four

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Speaker 2: scrambles in the game for one hundred and seven yards.

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Speaker 2: That's not what you want your Heisman Trophy winner quarterback

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Speaker 2: doing more importantly, He's out there taking shots in the

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Speaker 2: middle of the field. And the game one against Utah

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Speaker 2: State quinn Ewers looks great on film, the side arms,

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Speaker 2: sling at all distances, the ability to float and evade pressure,

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Speaker 2: stepping up in the pocket to make throws. And despite that,

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Speaker 2: it looks like he fell out of a White Snake video.

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Speaker 2: And he had his Porsche toad like two things that

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Speaker 2: I just hate. It's a Porsch, It's a Porsche, and

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Speaker 2: then out of a Porsche, I got towed and looks

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Speaker 2: like something out of White Snake, White Snake, White Sneak.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: But no, he the only mistake that he made is

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Speaker 2: he was running to the right and he tried to

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Speaker 2: throw it and he tried to thread it between a

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Speaker 2: couple of defenders. I don't think he'll make that mistake

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Speaker 2: again against Alabama. But you know, this game stuck. I

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Speaker 2: go back as we talk about this in the summer,

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Speaker 2: tell me if I'm wrong here. This game feels like

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Speaker 2: when Alabama has been in the College football Playoffs, civically

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Speaker 2: in the semi finals when they played Notre Dame in Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: Saban would put it into fifth gear. He would get

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Speaker 2: a three possession lead, and then he'd sit on the ball. Right.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame covered that semi final playoff game, because what

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Speaker 2: was the goal? Get the victory, get out of town,

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Speaker 2: be healthy for the national championship. What's the point in

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Speaker 2: blowing out Texas here, putting up a fifty five to nothing.

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Speaker 2: Could it happened? Sure they could just line up and

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Speaker 2: be that much better. I don't think they are, especially

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Speaker 2: from Texas's offensive side. But in Alabama's defense is amazing,

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Speaker 2: right that what they did to Utah State to allow

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Speaker 2: them to only throw for like one hundred and ten yards,

219
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Speaker 2: that secondary what Alabama did is Utah State is amazing.

220
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Speaker 2: But Bejon Robinson is not playing for Utah State, so

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Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be a lot of misdirection, a

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Speaker 2: lot of other things happening. But Saban has no desire

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Speaker 2: to run the score up here.

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Speaker 1: Incidentally, don't ask me. I told you everything I know.

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Speaker 1: I don't have anything else to say about it.

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Speaker 2: To me, this is semi final playoff territory. Get the wins,

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Speaker 2: stay healthy, get out Rice Youngs, take and licks and scrambles, No,

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Speaker 2: take a knee, get on the you know, get your

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Speaker 2: ass on the turf. Let's get out of your healthy

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Speaker 2: and start our sec schedule. So, like I said, I'll

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Speaker 2: buy twenty one, I'll buy twenty one half. I'll buy

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Speaker 2: anything over twenty one because it's backdoor territory, but anything

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Speaker 2: under that I'm not gonna touch. But this is completely

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Speaker 2: all about Alabama just needs to win and get out.

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Speaker 2: Sark covers this game, then Texas is on the right path.

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Speaker 2: And that's exactly what you're gonna hear after the game.

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Speaker 1: There's the Sark I mentioned there's no media dimensions. I

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Speaker 1: only cast one of my two bets for your breakdown there.

239
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Speaker 1: But from what you said, it sounds like I should

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Speaker 1: slam on the brakes of my Porsche and wait along,

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Speaker 1: wait for potentially a better number live rather than go

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Speaker 1: first half Texas, which I think is sitting at around twelve.

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Speaker 1: Because look, I agree with everything you said. Look, the

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Speaker 1: Texas defensive line looked great. Quin Yours was obviously extremely talented.

245
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Speaker 1: Quarterback looked great. But after every sentence you could always say,

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Speaker 1: but it was you. But I agree the value is

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Speaker 1: on Texas, and especially if you can get twenty one

248
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Speaker 1: or better, I might wait live there, all right, let's

249
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Speaker 1: stay in the sec breakdown Kentucky at Florida. Florida is

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Speaker 1: a said we grow on a six line movement, moving

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Speaker 1: on a little bit six point home favorite over under,

252
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Speaker 1: sitting at around fifty one. I've expressed all of my

253
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Speaker 1: concerns for Kentucky, primarily the offensive line, which looked fairly

254
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Speaker 1: shaky last week against a Mac team with a rebuilding defense.

255
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Speaker 1: I don't know if we can still consider the Kentucky

256
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Speaker 1: offensive line the big blue wall, so I have to

257
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Speaker 1: have some current concerns there, especially going up against Florida's

258
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Speaker 1: defensive line. But I really like the under here. I

259
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Speaker 1: made the case earlier in the week. I said, let's

260
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Speaker 1: wait on a see if we can get fifty two

261
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Speaker 1: key number, and it looks like it was starting to

262
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Speaker 1: come down, so I grabbed some fifty two early tonight.

263
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Speaker 1: I saw you did the same, and my handycat there is. Look.

264
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Speaker 1: I think the Kentucky offense really misses Wandell Robinson I

265
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Speaker 1: think will earlier in the season. The offensive line, there

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Speaker 1: are issues, the backfield not fully healthy. On the other side, Florida,

267
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Speaker 1: Kentucky does a really good job of preventing explosive plays always,

268
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Speaker 1: and that is what you need to do against the

269
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Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson because on a down to down basis, he's

270
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Speaker 1: not going to really beat you with accuracy and throws

271
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Speaker 1: up and down the field, but he will absolutely kill

272
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Speaker 1: you with explosive plays. And Kentucky does an outstanding job

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Speaker 1: at prevetting those. So I think this total, which I

274
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Speaker 1: think opened around soft openers, was like forty eight, and

275
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Speaker 1: it took a lot of over I think that was

276
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Speaker 1: much closer to the correct number. So obviously fifty one

277
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Speaker 1: to fifty two being key numbers. I think the under

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Speaker 1: here you agree, and I assume you're going to make

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Speaker 1: a case for your beloved Wildcats as well.

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Speaker 2: My beloved Wildcats. I do agree on the under you

281
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Speaker 2: mentioned the offensive line. There's no juice in Cavasier Smoke's

282
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Speaker 2: running game whatsoever. There's no explosive. None of those running

283
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Speaker 2: backs that got touches had any explosive. They purposely kept

284
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Speaker 2: will Levis's running game off film, you know. I mean,

285
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Speaker 2: Florida knows it's coming, we all know it's coming. But

286
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Speaker 2: he didn't have any runs against Miami of Ohio. And

287
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Speaker 2: I think there's a way to attack Florida. Specifically, the

288
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Speaker 2: Utah attacked Mary Bernie at linebacker. He was targeted eight

289
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Speaker 2: times by Utah and they had plenty of success. So

290
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Speaker 2: I think there's a path for the Kentucky offense to

291
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Speaker 2: have a little bit of life. But Jordan Wright being

292
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Speaker 2: cleared to play, to me, adds a ton of stability.

293
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Speaker 2: He's been there for I don't know, is this a

294
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Speaker 2: six year and you already said it. What we do

295
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Speaker 2: know about the Kentucky defense is that they're well coached.

296
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Speaker 2: They lead nationally in tackle grading and defending the explosive play.

297
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Speaker 2: That's what you have to have when it comes to

298
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Speaker 2: guarding Anthony Richardson. I mean, he created just one single

299
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Speaker 2: mistackle against Kentucky last year. Granted he sat out the

300
00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,360
Speaker 2: previous two games for injuries, so we don't know how

301
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Speaker 2: healthy he was when he came into that game. But listen,

302
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Speaker 2: the market hates Kentucky. I think this game should be

303
00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,160
Speaker 2: closer of Florida minus two. Last week, that point spread

304
00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 2: what moved six points away from Kentucky. That shows you

305
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Speaker 2: how much the market hates Kentucky, even though that they covered.

306
00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,080
Speaker 2: And now here we go again. The number that I

307
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,120
Speaker 2: think should be Florida minus two is up around six,

308
00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,560
Speaker 2: and even with the announcement, Jordan Wright is playing, you know,

309
00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,240
Speaker 2: no movement to the line and don't expect Chris rodrig

310
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:22,880
Speaker 2: Is to come back. That's probably gonna be a four

311
00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:26,040
Speaker 2: game suspension. So I think it's bread is too high.

312
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,600
Speaker 2: I think Kentucky kept Levis is running off film. I

313
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 2: think that's going to be a big factor here. And

314
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Speaker 2: the fact that they can contain explosiveness. I think that

315
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:33,680
Speaker 2: gives the wildcat's legs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Kentucky doesn't like to play fast, and for whatever

317
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Speaker 1: reason they're up here, they'll sit on it. They'll sit

318
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Speaker 1: on the ball and just run this clock down.

319
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Speaker 2: Yeah.

320
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Speaker 1: I mean, I think those line has gotten two out

321
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Speaker 1: of control. And I'm pretty low on Kentucky, so I

322
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Speaker 1: won't be joining you on the side, but I do

323
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Speaker 1: agree on the under. All right, let's move on and hit.

324
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Speaker 1: Let's move on to Syhawk, a game that I'm sure

325
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Speaker 1: you're itching to talk about Iowa State traveling to Iowa.

326
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Speaker 1: Iowa's a three and a half point favorite over under forty.

327
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Speaker 1: Iowa has dominated this series while Matt Campbell has been

328
00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:11,399
Speaker 1: in ames at Iowa State. I think I saw online

329
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Speaker 1: earlier today. Look, I know it's tough to lay points

330
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Speaker 1: with Iowa. Iowa mint a story a half, but two

331
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:20,360
Speaker 1: safeties do indeed cover three and a half. So four

332
00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,399
Speaker 1: to nothing final here, Iowa does indeed get you to

333
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:27,800
Speaker 1: the window. Look, Iowa State, they obviously lost our guy

334
00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 1: October Deckers their backup. He has some experience filling in.

335
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,040
Speaker 1: He looked pretty good. He has a rocket arm last week,

336
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,359
Speaker 1: but playing an FCS school big step up in competition.

337
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,600
Speaker 1: Anytime these teams play, and this is kind of the

338
00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:44,000
Speaker 1: case with whoever Iowa plays, it's i was going to

339
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,919
Speaker 1: dominate the special teams. I was going to have seven turnovers.

340
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,880
Speaker 1: Iowa State's going to outgame them. I alway State's gonna

341
00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,679
Speaker 1: win the box score from an offensive standpoint, but Iowa's

342
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,639
Speaker 1: gonna win. Are we getting Iowa cheap here at home?

343
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,320
Speaker 1: After everyone saw them just win seven to three and

344
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 1: that's seven included zero touchdowns last week against an FCS score,

345
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,320
Speaker 1: we're getting them cheap at home? What are your thoughts here?

346
00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,719
Speaker 2: Well, I keep hearing like Iowa and offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz,

347
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 2: you know, kept a lot of the playbook off the

348
00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:16,639
Speaker 2: game against South Dakota State because they didn't want to

349
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:18,840
Speaker 2: have anything out there for Iowa State. I think that's bogus.

350
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,040
Speaker 2: I mean, they scored thirty eight against Miami, Ohio back

351
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 2: in twenty nineteen. The offense is just flat out heading

352
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:27,120
Speaker 2: in the wrong direction. Spencer Peaters is being boot off

353
00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:31,359
Speaker 2: the field. I mean, Iowa is so far past dumpster

354
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,840
Speaker 2: fire status on offense. I mean, when we're scoring safeties

355
00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 2: and field goals here, we really got to handicap other areas.

356
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,879
Speaker 2: So not to spend too much time on this, but

357
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:43,359
Speaker 2: both defensive lines are going to dominate the other offense

358
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 2: the opposing offensive line, which means under city, right. I

359
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,200
Speaker 2: do think that this is an undergame all the way.

360
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,080
Speaker 2: But you know, you don't know just how good hundred

361
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:55,000
Speaker 2: Deckers is after he just tore up Southeast Missouri State

362
00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:57,760
Speaker 2: from rawa. He had a three to one ratio and

363
00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 2: big time throws was a turnover worthy plays. Like we said,

364
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:04,400
Speaker 2: one data point. So I agree that you know there's

365
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,840
Speaker 2: a reason why this number is sinking so much. Iowa

366
00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:11,439
Speaker 2: was offensively inept. Defensive lines should absolutely dominate here. But

367
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:13,720
Speaker 2: my question you stuck and we'll talk about this with

368
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 2: Army Navy and all these other games at falling some

369
00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 2: Wisconsin games this year? What number are we buying the

370
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,920
Speaker 2: over at? Because the next keys are thirty eight and

371
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 2: thirty seven, the next numbers are thirty Are you buying

372
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:25,000
Speaker 2: a thirty eight or thirty seven on the over? That's

373
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 2: what I got to ask, thirty six and a half? Okay,

374
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 2: all right? So for me, I'm not going to play.

375
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,639
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play Iowa i Dolphins.

376
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: But you bet the San Diego State under last week

377
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 1: and now you cannot wait to redeem yourself with an

378
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:41,560
Speaker 1: Iowa over.

379
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:43,880
Speaker 2: I would love to play the over here just for fun.

380
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 1: Fun. Yeah, watching front punt on fourth and one from

381
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,080
Speaker 1: the twenty eight for like a net of twenty seven

382
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 1: yards and then hoping for a safety to get two points.

383
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 1: That's your definition of fun.

384
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 2: It's gonna be one pm local time in Vegas. What

385
00:19:57,760 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 2: else am I going to do? I mean, I bet

386
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 2: in the over and Iowa Iowa State. It sounds like

387
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,399
Speaker 2: a lot of fun to me, but no, so I

388
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 2: think really, you know, I've seen there's a lot of

389
00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 2: professional money coming in at Iowa minus three. That may

390
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,280
Speaker 2: be too many points if it does dip down again,

391
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,000
Speaker 2: I think you should consider getting it. That's the side

392
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:14,879
Speaker 2: that you probably want.

393
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 1: To I agree there. I agree A three is I

394
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 1: was a play yep at half point? Is that important

395
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,280
Speaker 1: especially in most football games, but especially in this game

396
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:25,240
Speaker 1: where you're rooting for safeties to cover? Yep?

397
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 2: I agree?

398
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:28,480
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe three is not a key number in Iowa games.

399
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: It's two now, yeah, in the road, can we get

400
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 2: the Canadian football lea rogue?

401
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,520
Speaker 1: It's only two by the way, before we go on

402
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 1: to the next game. I have an email here wanted

403
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: to ask you a question, says Hi, my name is

404
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 1: Shunky from Lexington. San Diego State plays Idaho State on

405
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 1: Saturday night. I need a winner there. Looking to bet

406
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: the over under? Can you get Collins thoughts? So, Colin,

407
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 1: your thoughts on the San Diego State total on Saturday night?

408
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 2: Oh, considering Jacob cowing toward this defense up, which I

409
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,720
Speaker 2: didn't think anybody could do, and considering San Diego State

410
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 2: had some offense themselves, we're now on the overtrain all

411
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 2: the time.

412
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:11,399
Speaker 1: With San Diego.

413
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:13,880
Speaker 2: It was a Bengal What is it? Idaho State Bengals?

414
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 1: Is? Oh? Yeah, man?

415
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 2: Overs all the way you.

416
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 1: Heard it here first San Diego State under on Saturday

417
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 1: night against Idaho State.

418
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,119
Speaker 3: Hey, jumping in here real quick about the Idaho State

419
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 3: Bengals program. It's in Pocatello, Idaho, and they play in

420
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 3: Holt Arena, which was the very first indoor football stadium

421
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 3: ever built on a college campus, and with the closure

422
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,719
Speaker 3: of the Astrodome in two thousand and six, it is

423
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:43,640
Speaker 3: now the oldest enclosed stadium in America still in use.

424
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:47,520
Speaker 3: It is undergoing a dramatic renovation at the moment. So

425
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:49,959
Speaker 3: if you'd like to buy a stadium seat from Halt Arena,

426
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 3: they're available on their website for fifty dollars. Go Bengals.

427
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's let's move on to our next marquee

428
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 1: game of the day. I'd argue that this is I'm

429
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: looking forward to this game more so than any on

430
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,680
Speaker 1: the card. Ten fifteen Eason got a late late night

431
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 1: kick two Baylor at BYU. BYU is a three point

432
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 1: favorite over Unders ticked up a bit to fifty three

433
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't know if I have the

434
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: authority to talk about any BYU games the rest of

435
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 1: the year. After I recommended people bet South Florida last week,

436
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,920
Speaker 1: but again South Florida wins easily without the lightning Dela

437
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:31,439
Speaker 1: am I right, utep guy so BYU three point favorite

438
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 1: here more favorable news. It looks like on the receiver front,

439
00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: like Nikua Sataki said he could have went back in

440
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 1: the game. He scored the first two touchdowns, but obviously

441
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 1: by was up by four touchdowns before South Fardy even

442
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 1: blank Gunner Romney has a better chance to play this week.

443
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 1: BYU will be seeking revenge for a loss last year

444
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 1: in which Jerry Bohinen was the quarterback. They got the

445
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 1: revenge or behind it last week? Do they get their

446
00:22:56,240 --> 00:23:01,159
Speaker 1: revenge over Baylor this week at home? Should be a

447
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,719
Speaker 1: raucous environment. Thoughts on Baylor at BUYU.

448
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, Nakua and Romney are uber important to this handicap.

449
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 2: It's a game time decision for them. And why are

450
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 2: they so important? Because the trenches were dominated by Baylor

451
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,280
Speaker 2: last year and they're gonna dominate them again. I mean,

452
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 2: I know BYU plays tough in the trench, but it

453
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 2: I mean, Baylor is elite on the offensive line. Baylor

454
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 2: has a couple players on the defensive line Sika that

455
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 2: just cannot be dealt with. So you need these explosive

456
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 2: players out there. You know, for Jaron Hall to be

457
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 2: able to have quick throws too, you've got to have

458
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 2: them lined up wide, slot, whatever. And if you don't

459
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 2: have those weapons out there, you're not gonna be able

460
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,959
Speaker 2: to create explosive play. So that's why those two were

461
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 2: so important. And I bet BYU already. I bet the

462
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: money line early in the week because there was a

463
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,439
Speaker 2: cheap minus one forty. I would bet minus three if

464
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 2: I knew that Romney and Naku are in there, so

465
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 2: I would definitely win. Is this kickoff here? Let me look,

466
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 2: it's late, it's nine to fifteen Central. I would definitely look.

467
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 2: Ninety minutes before time. You're gonna know who's out on

468
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,080
Speaker 2: the field practicing. You see Romney and out there, that's

469
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 2: a BYU play. They're not out there. I'd probably lay off.

470
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 2: But you know, interestingly enough, Albany targeted Al Wolcott of

471
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 2: Baylor twice as many as any other defender. You know,

472
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,479
Speaker 2: I'm not really tipping my cap to Baylor. Albany won

473
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 2: just two games last year. You know, A Randa lost

474
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: fifty percent of his PBUs from last season, and that

475
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 2: wasn't tested against Albany so you know, that's why Buka

476
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: and Gunner are so important to the handicap here because

477
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 2: Baylor's going to dominate the trench once again. So BYU

478
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 2: minus three, maybe three and a half if they get

479
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,919
Speaker 2: their wide receivers, or maybe a minus one forty if

480
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 2: the money line pops down. I see some one fifties

481
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 2: out there as we're recording this.

482
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm obviously not the authority on BYU. I would

483
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: like BYU under three at three three and a half.

484
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 1: It's a little iff you're for me, So nothing there

485
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: as of now, but I don't hate your breakdown at all.

486
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's close up with our final marquee game

487
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 1: of the weekend, and we're going to stay in prime

488
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 1: time and talk a little Pack twelve football.

489
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,360
Speaker 2: Oh no, we suck again.

490
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: Seven thirty Eastern ABC USC at Stanford. Stanford has taken

491
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: some money. I remember in the preseason God he said, hey,

492
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:17,679
Speaker 1: let's take the look at a lot of Stanford plus eleven.

493
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 1: I regret not falling along on that decision. It's a

494
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:26,159
Speaker 1: good call there, total sixty seven and a half. I

495
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 1: know you love you some tree, ye make the case.

496
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 2: A few months ago I hit this game of the

497
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 2: Year at eleven. You know, it's one of the few

498
00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 2: game of years that I hit and it's happy to

499
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 2: know that it opens up and it falls even farther.

500
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 2: I think this thing will be down around seven to

501
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,400
Speaker 2: seven and a half by the time we kick off.

502
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 2: And the theory from the summer was the teams with

503
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 2: explosive offenses will be able to battle USC in coin

504
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 2: flip situations, and Tanner McKee is going to light up

505
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 2: USC's defense like they're like a Christmas tree. He lit

506
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,960
Speaker 2: up Colgate again one data point FCS and I know

507
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:00,919
Speaker 2: that's not a very good defen but he had a

508
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 2: two to one TD to I in t ratio. But

509
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 2: he had four big time throws and you know.

510
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's a pro prospect, and I'd argue he might

511
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 1: be the most pro ready quarterback right now.

512
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and so I think, you know, yards per route

513
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: run is a stat that we're going to start talking

514
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 2: about that the PFF is put together and it just

515
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 2: shows how many times a target is actually getting a

516
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 2: ball thrown his way and what did he do with

517
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,160
Speaker 2: that target when once he got it. Anything over two

518
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 2: yards per route run is considered explosive. Stanford had five

519
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:34,719
Speaker 2: targets over that mark last week again one data point fcs,

520
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 2: I get it. But besides one drop by Michael Wilson,

521
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 2: it was a flawless box score and a flawless defensive performance.

522
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 2: So USC bombed Rice. You know, the final score was

523
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 2: sixty six to fourteen. But you know what sticks in

524
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 2: my mind, stuck, Look at Rice's first drive of the game,

525
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 2: right this, I mean before the three pick six is

526
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 2: before like five I in t's and six drives before

527
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 2: all that happened. Look at the Owls first drive, sixteen plays,

528
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 2: drained eight minutes off the clock, finished it off with

529
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 2: a touchdown. Then Rice started being Rice and all hell

530
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 2: broke loose. But that first drive, sixteen plays, eight minutes

531
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,160
Speaker 2: off the clock, and USC couldn't do anything about it.

532
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 2: That's who they really are. These instant offenses in the

533
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 2: Pac twelve are going to have a field day with

534
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 2: these USC defenses. So you know, if you see USC

535
00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 2: wins this game, maybe it's because Tanner mcketh throws three

536
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 2: pick sixes. I don't know, and maybe USC is a

537
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 2: team with the horseshoe up their asses. Year what I'm

538
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:35,520
Speaker 2: telling you, Stanford has the goods to win this game outright.

539
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 1: You've kidd it'd me. I completely agree. Look last year,

540
00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: if you recall Stanford, which finished with three wins one

541
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 1: at USC. But you know what, this game reminds me

542
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:54,679
Speaker 1: of their home game against Oregon, who is right third

543
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: in the country at the time later in the year.

544
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,640
Speaker 1: It was actually the last game that stay. I think

545
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 1: it was in early October. I remember having them in

546
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: around Robin, we'll be doing the same here. Do you

547
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:11,360
Speaker 1: know what that spread was last year? Oregon Stafford eight half,

548
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 1: eight and a half. That's where it is today. Yeah,

549
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I think there's still major problems

550
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 1: with that USC defense, and I think all the shiny

551
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,840
Speaker 1: pieces inflated. This opener still a little bit of value

552
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 1: on Stanford Stafford will be included in the round. Robin,

553
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 1: I know you do a video for Action Network Big

554
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:35,199
Speaker 1: that's on Campus Live Saturday morning, ten thirty am Eastern

555
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: with myself, Brett McMurphy and Colin, presented by BETMGM. We

556
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 1: will go through Colin, I will go through around Robin

557
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: on that show. You better believe Tree will be included.

558
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 1: Let's hope to avoid some of the pick sixes. All right,

559
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 1: let's move on to the rundown. We'll go through four

560
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 1: or five games here that we have some takes on.

561
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: All right, let's start with Duke at Northwestern. We're seeing

562
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 1: north Northwestern. Here's a ten point favorite over under sitting

563
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: right at fifty six. This is a rematch from last

564
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 1: year in which Duke jumped out to an early lead

565
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: and then held on for the win. We're seeing Northwestern

566
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 1: for the first time since its win over Nebraska in Ireland,

567
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 1: and Duke looked really impressive in its opening season win

568
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: over Temple. When I look at this game, I like

569
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,440
Speaker 1: the under. Now it made me sick. I bet the

570
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 1: under at fifty six. A group hit at midweek, like

571
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 1: four hours after I bet it hit the over, and

572
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 1: it went to fifty eight and a half. So I

573
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 1: hope some of you woke up and we're able to

574
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 1: get under fifty eight and a half because I have

575
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: bet under fifty six because now it's destined to land

576
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: on fifty seven. But I can see why some people

577
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 1: did like the over. But I adjusted Duke's defense way

578
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 1: up after week one. Now that could be wrong because

579
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: they played Temple and Temple has a completely incompetent offense.

580
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 1: But one I love what I saw. Number two. It

581
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 1: was completely dominant, like Duke didn't dominate anyone like that.

582
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 1: Number three, it's Mike Golko, a defensive genius who came

583
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 1: in there. And I was expecting Duke's defense to improve,

584
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,440
Speaker 1: So once I saw it, I made a major adjustment. Now,

585
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: Duke was slow last year, but Duke wants to play

586
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 1: fast now under the new offense. Quardator comes over from Memphis,

587
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: so and you know their quarterback right then, it looked

588
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: really good. I think he started the game sixteen is sixteen,

589
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: so I can see that. You know, someone market out

590
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,600
Speaker 1: there says, I look, Duke wants to play really fast.

591
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:31,239
Speaker 1: Northwestern's offense looked a lot better with Helenski, but that

592
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 1: game again, you know, I tend to disagree with that.

593
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: I think Duke's defense is really improved. I think Northwestern's

594
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: defense second year of a new coordinator will be improved.

595
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 1: I also don't think Northwestern's offense will look that good

596
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: the rest of the season. They were kind of in

597
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 1: a shootout with Nebraska who couldn't tackle, and I mean

598
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 1: a lot of that was just like throw us to

599
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 1: the flat. So I think this will be a lower

600
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 1: scoring game. If you recall last year, this total when

601
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 1: these two teams played was forty nine and a half.

602
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 1: Now you're it's a touchdown more. And by the way,

603
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: last year Duke went on to be a historically bad defense,

604
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 1: Northwestern was one of the worst defenses in the country

605
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 1: after losing its long come coordinator. I think both defenses

606
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 1: will be improved. Yes, Duke's gonna play a little faster,

607
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 1: but I think under under here, I think this is

608
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: much lower scoring than the market implies. And happy for

609
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: anyone that game that got fifty eight, because I have

610
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 1: fifty six and it makes me sick whenever I don't

611
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: get the best line. But sometimes it happens.

612
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 2: I actually had the overdown in this game, so I

613
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 2: guess to play Devil's advocate. Northwestern ran twenty four seconds

614
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 2: per play, faster than they've ever ran before. And we

615
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 2: mentioned the Duke wants to go up tempo, you know,

616
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,240
Speaker 2: so we expect the track to be a little bit

617
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 2: faster than what we've seen in the past. I could

618
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 2: not get over Duke's three touchdown drives against Temple because

619
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 2: the total plays in the drive were four, five and seven.

620
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: These two teams had two really poor performances from a

621
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 2: special team standpoint in their first games field position, missed assignments.

622
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:01,520
Speaker 2: There could be some easy scores from there too. So

623
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 2: Ryan Helensky and Evan Hole look like they're chugging along

624
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 2: and against Nebraska's defense, they're running at twenty four seconds

625
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,160
Speaker 2: per play. Duke is now, all of a sudden, an

626
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 2: explosive offense. I get it with the defensive look. I

627
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 2: love Mike Elco too, But considering the pace that these

628
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 2: two want to play faster than last year when they

629
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: scored I think fifty three points, I leaned to the

630
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 2: over here.

631
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 1: I can see both sides a man. This is a

632
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 1: perfect example of a Week two game where you could

633
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: have two completely legitimate but opposing points of view on

634
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 1: a game. Now, there could be not much improven on

635
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: the Duke's defense at all. It was just a Temple's offense.

636
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 1: Is that incompetent once again? All right, let's take a

637
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: look at app state at Texas A and M. Texas

638
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 1: A and M opening on a seventeen point favorite is

639
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 1: taking some money up to around minus nineteen over under

640
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 1: holding steadied around fifty four. Texas A and M with

641
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 1: a typical Texas A and M win kind of snoozer

642
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: after weather delay last week against a really good FCS

643
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 1: school in sam Houston State. I think the final score

644
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,959
Speaker 1: was thirty one nothing. App State played in the complete

645
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: opposite type of game in an absolute wild shootout that

646
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 1: they ended up losing by two in the game where

647
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: it felt like in the fourth quarter there was one

648
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 1: hundred points. So when now travel to Texas and I

649
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: like the under here, it's scaring away because of what

650
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 1: app States defense looked like last week. And they lost

651
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: a lot in that secondar. They lost both safeties, they

652
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: lost a cornerback to the NFL, they lost a linebacker

653
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,479
Speaker 1: and conference defensive player of the year to the NFL,

654
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 1: and the defense got torched by UNC and their offense

655
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 1: kept right up. But they're gonna go up against an

656
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 1: elite defense now, not UNC's Swiss Cheese defense, and they're

657
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 1: gonna go up against the worse offense I think right

658
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:51,800
Speaker 1: now under Fisher. By the way, Fisher, if you look

659
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 1: back historically against group of five teams, he holds them

660
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 1: almost always to fourteen or under. Only one team has

661
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:03,160
Speaker 1: gotten to twenty from non power five. The tex saanams

662
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 1: played under Fisher that was in twenty eighteen. UAB got

663
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 1: the twenty. They scored two garbage time touchdowns. That's it.

664
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: One of them was out there fumble at the five.

665
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 1: It is a five yard drive. So I don't think.

666
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:14,919
Speaker 1: I think Gapstate it's going to struggle to get past

667
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 1: fourteen here. But IF and this NAP State team, they

668
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 1: looked aweso last week, but they were replacing four super

669
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 1: senior wide receivers from last year, the excellent backfield. But

670
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 1: I think Texas A and M can dominate the line

671
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:26,919
Speaker 1: of scrimmage year. Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball,

672
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 1: tex AM's offense, we know it's conservative. Jimo Fisher has

673
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 1: come out and said, we need to figure out the

674
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 1: run game. The run game was not working. That's what

675
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 1: he wants to do. They couldn't run the ball against

676
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 1: Sam Houston State. Reason being, you know, they did lose Spiller,

677
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 1: their running back to the NFL, but they brought back

678
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,439
Speaker 1: a good backup and he couldn't do anything. He average

679
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:45,839
Speaker 1: on the seven yards per car last year. I think

680
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,399
Speaker 1: he was under three last week. Offensive line injuries, they

681
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 1: had injuries at left guard, they had injuries at center,

682
00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,720
Speaker 1: Their center was zilled in plays questionable this week, moving

683
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: a lot of guys around, so Texanum always wants to

684
00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:01,560
Speaker 1: be conservative. Fisher was hammering the point home in his presser.

685
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,399
Speaker 1: I think I'm the first one to bring up coach

686
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 1: speak here on this podcast that God to be an underdog,

687
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 1: that he wants to We need to figure out the

688
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 1: run game. We need to work on the run game,

689
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 1: we need to figure it out there. I go, I

690
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:13,800
Speaker 1: don't claim to be No. Thirty six ac T to

691
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:15,879
Speaker 1: coaches say stuff like that, but I believe it because

692
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 1: that's what Texa A and M does. That's what they're

693
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:20,879
Speaker 1: gonna to rely on here, and you have to hope

694
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,840
Speaker 1: that means King doesn't make mistakes. He's play started in

695
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,080
Speaker 1: two games now and the competition has been that great,

696
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 1: and he started multiple picks in both. So I think

697
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 1: you're going to see Texas A and M it should

698
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 1: you know, size wise should on the line of scrimmage

699
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: so they'll be able to move the ball. They're going

700
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:35,560
Speaker 1: to play slower. I think they're going to build a

701
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 1: big lead, work on that run blocking, and I actually

702
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,840
Speaker 1: think this stays under If app State's defense is just

703
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,719
Speaker 1: Torrendo US, it'll get scary. But I think Texas A

704
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 1: and M's defense will do its part here. What are

705
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 1: your thoughts?

706
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 2: I agree with you that it is probably going to

707
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 2: be low scoring. The first thing that came to my

708
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,720
Speaker 2: mind with this is that it's a perfect situational spot

709
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 2: for a Texas A and M first half. And when

710
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,359
Speaker 2: you look at a state they just got done playing. Yeah,

711
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 2: they just got done playing an in state rival with

712
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 2: North Carolina and the game was just epic. It had

713
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:08,840
Speaker 2: three parts of it. If it was a book, it

714
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 2: had three parts. App State led twenty one to seven.

715
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 2: App States down by twenty, caught up to the forty

716
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 2: nine to forty nine, and then finally they lost by

717
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:21,359
Speaker 2: two after scoring forty points in the fourth quarter. I

718
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 2: literally thought this had to be like three overtime. How

719
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 2: did you score forty points in the fourth quarter. So

720
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 2: you're telling me that you lost by two to an

721
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,240
Speaker 2: in state rival, to a power five school with Michael

722
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 2: Jordan on their shoes, and now you're gonna fly to

723
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,239
Speaker 2: College Station and you're gonna have that same kind of

724
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 2: energy and one to win in the first half of

725
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 2: this game against a team that is far superior from

726
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 2: a physical standpoint, and the trench on both sides of

727
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:49,080
Speaker 2: the ball. This is a huge mismatch when it comes

728
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 2: to recruiting talent. And then when you look at Texas,

729
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 2: anemy said, well, why didn't you play the full game

730
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 2: or why didn't you play nineteen or seventeen on open

731
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 2: They played Miami next week. I'm not sure Jimbo wants

732
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,520
Speaker 2: to be flashed at anything or have it. He'll be

733
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 2: more than happy to roll his second string out there

734
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 2: in the second half if he's got a three score lead,

735
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 2: so I don't want to mess with that. They do

736
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 2: play Miami the next week. I think the first half

737
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 2: Jimbo's going to try to figure things out, get some

738
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,279
Speaker 2: points up on the board, call it a day, and

739
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:14,439
Speaker 2: I don't think app State shows up at all after

740
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 2: last week.

741
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 1: All right, time to scratch Collins itch and talk some

742
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:26,840
Speaker 1: Arkansas football. South Carolina heads to Fayetteville to take on Arkansas.

743
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:29,920
Speaker 1: Arkansas eight and a half point favorite here has held

744
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 1: pretty steady this week over under fifty three. Curious just

745
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: to get your take care if you have any updates

746
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 1: on some of the Arkansas injuries and what are your thoughts.

747
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 2: Whoo pig Sue Collins talking razorback football well, Miles Slusher

748
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 2: and Jalen Catalan are still hurt, and Pittman said earlier today,

749
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:52,839
Speaker 2: this was Thursday. We're recording. As Pittman said earlier today,

750
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 2: we're still trying to find a plan for how those

751
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 2: two get back on the field. There's a lot of

752
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 2: problems on this defense, just the injuries that are happening,

753
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 2: and now the back seven, not the back eight. Besides

754
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 2: those injuries that are happening, where players are starting to

755
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 2: rotate around. This defensive line got no pressure whatsoever on Cincinnati.

756
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 2: As a matter of fact, Cincinnati screwed themselves out of

757
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 2: that game last week. They should have covered that game,

758
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,320
Speaker 2: probably should have gone overtime. They should have had a

759
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,600
Speaker 2: chance to win. I believe they got down to the goal.

760
00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 2: I think they you know, and they penaltied themselves all

761
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,399
Speaker 2: the way back to the forty just a really run

762
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 2: and couldn't make a kick, couldn't make a kick which

763
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 2: would have made the cover, and everybody wouldn't get paid

764
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:31,680
Speaker 2: except for Brett McMurphy, who took Arkansas on the show.

765
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,400
Speaker 2: There are problems with Arkansas's defense from an injury standpoint

766
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,480
Speaker 2: in the back, from the fact that it's just ineffective

767
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:39,959
Speaker 2: on the front. That three man front they've been running

768
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 2: all these years, gone four man front. Isaiah Nichols, the

769
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 2: guy that was picked to be the nose tackle, he

770
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:46,839
Speaker 2: may be hurting not playing either. So when you turn

771
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 2: to the other side of the ball, you know you

772
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 2: got kJ Jefferson limping around at the end of the

773
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:53,880
Speaker 2: Cincinnati game. You know you've got Dominie Johnson not cleared

774
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 2: yet at running back to come back in. It's really

775
00:38:56,840 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 2: this elite offensive line and the Raheem Rockets Sam running

776
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,960
Speaker 2: show that is going to dominate South Carolina. Why this

777
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 2: may be the worst trench on both sides of the

778
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 2: ball in the SEC. That offensive line can't protect Spencer

779
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 2: Rattler at all.

780
00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 1: Vandy would like a word.

781
00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:14,319
Speaker 2: I watch out for them this weekend, by the way,

782
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 2: with a wake and everything. But the offensive line can't

783
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 2: protect Spencer Ratler, the defensive line can't get any pressure,

784
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,359
Speaker 2: and they can't handle the run blocking of Arkansas. As

785
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,719
Speaker 2: we're sitting this, I would go under fifty three. I

786
00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 2: think it's Arkansas lining up and running the ball over

787
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,399
Speaker 2: and over and over. AJ Green is getting a ton

788
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 2: of touches in practice. Pittman has said he is the

789
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 2: speediest back that Arkansas has. I would be a little

790
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:41,000
Speaker 2: nervous about laying eight or nine with an Arkansas team

791
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 2: that is probably going to have a fourteen point lead

792
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:44,839
Speaker 2: and then South Carolina is going to get it to seven,

793
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 2: fourteen point lead, get it back to seven. I think

794
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 2: you're flipping coins at that point. Under is the best

795
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,839
Speaker 2: bet for me because I don't see anything flashy out

796
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 2: of Arkansas this week. Is just line up, run them

797
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 2: over and try to get healthy because from a defensive standpoint,

798
00:39:59,120 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 2: they're hurt.

799
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 1: And that would be the only thing that scared me

800
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 1: because as soon as those injuries happened, you saw the

801
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:08,160
Speaker 1: sincy offense. Just that guy's wide open communication issues. That

802
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:09,399
Speaker 1: would be my concern there.

803
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 2: Georgia State outgain South Carolina. Yeah, benzer Rattler only hit

804
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,839
Speaker 2: half his passes. Georgia State should have won that game.

805
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 2: Like I know.

806
00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,840
Speaker 1: South Carolina had two fifty plus yard field goals, so

807
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:21,520
Speaker 1: that's something to watch. Their special teams and they also

808
00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 1: scored two touchdowns off block punts. Twenty of their points

809
00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:29,399
Speaker 1: came on block punts or fifty plus yard field goals. Yeah,

810
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 1: pretty wild. And Georgia State opened that game by turning

811
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: it over on downs inside the South Carolina ten. Yeah,

812
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 1: I don't hate the under all right final game of

813
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 1: the rundown here, Tennessee at Pitts the top twenty five matchup,

814
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:46,360
Speaker 1: Tennessee's six point favorite over under sixty five. I actually

815
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:49,359
Speaker 1: love Tennessee this year. Lowem Pitt wanted a better number here,

816
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,840
Speaker 1: not And I know you're not the same with Pitt,

817
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 1: but I'm not laying six my hope here. And I

818
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 1: know you're probably gonna make a case for your boy

819
00:40:57,080 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 1: Nordoozi as a six point home dog here. Pitt is

820
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 1: one of my favorite under teams this year, but I

821
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 1: try to give it myself not to bet Tennessee under.

822
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 1: I want to go a million miles per hour at

823
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: all times, so probably stay away from the total. But

824
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,880
Speaker 1: handicapp here for me is pretty simple. I wanted Tennessee

825
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:20,239
Speaker 1: in the spot. Number is not right for me. I

826
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 1: want Pitt should be total sixty five, should be some

827
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,879
Speaker 1: live opportunities here. I want, hopefully Tennessee to get down

828
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: early and can grab them live, ideally just to win

829
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,479
Speaker 1: the game. I think Hooker can make some plays here

830
00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: against Pitt's defense, which you need to do with explosive

831
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:41,759
Speaker 1: passing plays. They play really aggressive man press on the

832
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 1: outside and quarters defense a lot, and you have to

833
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 1: have a quarterback and receivers that can hit explosive plays.

834
00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 1: I think Tennessee has that, so if they get down,

835
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 1: they can come right back into this game at any time.

836
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,920
Speaker 1: So I'll be looking for Tennessee live. I assume you're

837
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 1: gonna make a case for Nardoozi.

838
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: I heard somebody handicapping this week. This said that Pitt

839
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:01,880
Speaker 2: didn't a lot of time prepping for Tennessee because they

840
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 2: were so worried about the backyard brawl. Get out of here.

841
00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 2: They saw Tennessee last year. They've seen Hindon Hooker a

842
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:11,800
Speaker 2: billion times. Even Ardoozy said we've seen him twelve times.

843
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 2: Right because of his days at Virginia Tech. Pitt knows

844
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 2: Tennessee like the back of their hand, and same for

845
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,840
Speaker 2: Josh Hipel. These two coaches know each other from a

846
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:24,960
Speaker 2: long time ago. Don't forget Pitt played UCF multiple times.

847
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:28,759
Speaker 2: These two coaching stabs are very familiar with each other.

848
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,440
Speaker 2: So it's a really bad handicap to say stuff like that.

849
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 2: But I think this game's going to overtime. That said,

850
00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 2: I think this is an overtime game. Now, I took pitt.

851
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:38,520
Speaker 2: I bought it at seven. I'd buy it at six

852
00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 2: and a half. I'd buy it at six. I did

853
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,759
Speaker 2: a full write up on Action Network. There is you know,

854
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 2: extreme details in there about where Kadn Slovas is gonna throw. Specifically,

855
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 2: you know Tennessee was getting targeted at by ball State

856
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 2: in between the hashes between ten to zero and behind

857
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage. Where did Slovis throw all against

858
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 2: West Virginia that zone? And that's just where they are

859
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 2: with their running backs with Hammond with Autoconda. So I

860
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 2: think this is a very even matchup. I power rate

861
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 2: it as a pick. I think it's going to go

862
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 2: to overtime. I think the points with ped are good.

863
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:16,800
Speaker 1: An overtime call, Yeah, an overtime call bold bold bowld Bold.

864
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 1: I'll be looking for Tennessee live there all right before

865
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: we continue. As a reminder, the Big Bets on Campus

866
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:27,279
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867
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:30,040
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868
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871
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886
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887
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889
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890
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,440
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891
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893
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894
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:51,759
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895
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,400
Speaker 1: Nevada and New York. All right, thanks again to our

896
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:57,879
Speaker 1: sponsors betam GM. Before we get out of here, Ugly Slate,

897
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,360
Speaker 1: It's gonna be one of our shorter episodes, but we

898
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,480
Speaker 1: still have to go three and ol two.

899
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,759
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

900
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:11,560
Speaker 1: First down our favorite vets. I'll kick things off with

901
00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:14,919
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan catching eleven and a half. Anything above ten

902
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 1: I think is fine at Louisiana. This game is on

903
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 1: NFL Network, and I think just too many points for

904
00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 1: a Chris Creighton team that always plays teams close. Colin

905
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:27,560
Speaker 1: ready to tribute. Question, the only team that has lost

906
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:32,560
Speaker 1: more one possession games since twenty eighteen than Eastern Michigan.

907
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 2: I thought it was Eastern Michigan.

908
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 1: One team has lost more Nebraska, obviously Nebraska, but Eastern

909
00:45:40,040 --> 00:45:42,480
Speaker 1: Michigan has been very good as a double Division underdog

910
00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:45,680
Speaker 1: under Creighton. They don't beat themselves, always highly ranked, the

911
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 1: turnovers in penalties, and I just have a lot of

912
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 1: questions about this Louisiana team. This Louisiana team that is

913
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 1: in rebuild mode, and many parts of their roster, they

914
00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:59,319
Speaker 1: still don't have the quarterback situation figured out. They're still

915
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:03,440
Speaker 1: using two quarterbacks who head coached Michael Desormo. He said

916
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:06,000
Speaker 1: that's still the plan this week. You know, Fields gets

917
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:10,320
Speaker 1: the start and then you have the Wooldridge, the presdent

918
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,480
Speaker 1: of State transfer come in for maybe three or four drives.

919
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 1: I'd never like that for an offense that can't get

920
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 1: in to rhythm, but they they're replacing a lot of

921
00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 1: pieces in that offense looked bad last week. I think

922
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 1: that they're going to struggle early on. They're going to

923
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,759
Speaker 1: struggle to cover a number like this. I think there's

924
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 1: a lot of value on em You a team that

925
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:29,560
Speaker 1: I'm higher on the most, So give me the Eagles

926
00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:33,040
Speaker 1: and Creighton to keep this as a one possession game.

927
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:34,520
Speaker 1: How about your favorite bet.

928
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 2: I'm going to flip over and do the Oklahoma Kent

929
00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 2: State over in the first half. Right now, there's some

930
00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:42,920
Speaker 2: thirty seven and a halves out there. I've seen some

931
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 2: forties out there. I think all those numbers are good. Oklahoma,

932
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,439
Speaker 2: welcome to the new age of uptemple offense under Jeff

933
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 2: Levy last week twenty one seconds per play, faster than

934
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:56,000
Speaker 2: their opponent Kent State at twenty three seconds per play

935
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:59,360
Speaker 2: this past Yeah, this is going to be an absolute

936
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 2: lightning show, rocketing up and down the field. King State's

937
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,480
Speaker 2: defense one of the worst in the nation. Washington scored

938
00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 2: at will when kin State came to town last week.

939
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:10,719
Speaker 2: Oklahoma with Dylan Gabriel des Dylan Gabriel is in a

940
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,720
Speaker 2: Heisman campaign and he's gonna continue to put up these numbers.

941
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:16,359
Speaker 2: If I'd be shocked if Oklahoma doesn't have thirty five

942
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 2: points at the end of this first half. It just

943
00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 2: makes sense that, oh, you did not pull their starters

944
00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:25,000
Speaker 2: last week until the end of the third quarter. So

945
00:47:25,320 --> 00:47:27,360
Speaker 2: you know, there's reasons why you probably don't want to

946
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,839
Speaker 2: take a full game over. Although you put these two

947
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:33,760
Speaker 2: tempos together, you're gonna get some explosive fireworks and explosive plays,

948
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:36,360
Speaker 2: lots of touchdowns. He's been building numbers for Dylan Gabriel

949
00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 2: and kin State is just here to get paid and

950
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:41,640
Speaker 2: try to cover the spread. And that's exactly what they're

951
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:43,400
Speaker 2: gonna do every week they try to do in Washington.

952
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 2: I just think that I know mathematically they got this

953
00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:49,080
Speaker 2: number by dividing from what the full total is.

954
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:49,960
Speaker 1: But you know.

955
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:53,479
Speaker 2: Oklahoma and kids State, there's'll be a lot of points here.

956
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:54,600
Speaker 2: So first half over.

957
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:57,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, and especially if ken State struggles on the kickoff

958
00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:01,920
Speaker 1: game continue, is that they have score than Oklahoma was

959
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,040
Speaker 1: starting at like midfield A lot of these teams do,

960
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:07,800
Speaker 1: and then they're gonna score within seconds. This game should

961
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:11,560
Speaker 1: be played at a lightning pace. Yeah. I can stay

962
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:13,879
Speaker 1: probably towards the end. Just let's stay healthy. You saw

963
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 1: that with Minae of Ohio. That's the problem. These back

964
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 1: teams have to be really worried about this non conference play.

965
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 1: When they go play Power five teams, they get the

966
00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,640
Speaker 1: payday and it really helps the program, but early in

967
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:25,400
Speaker 1: the season, you don't want to get a lot of injuries.

968
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 1: Mine of Ohio lost their starting quarterback, Gabbert for a while.

969
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:34,759
Speaker 1: They're starting left tackle, they're starting tight end. That could

970
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 1: end up costing them.

971
00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,759
Speaker 2: You you called that on me back in July, like

972
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:40,239
Speaker 2: what happens if they get hurt? And I'm like, what

973
00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 2: do you mean?

974
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 1: And whatever?

975
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're hurt already.

976
00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, one week Gabbert Gabbert is. That's a tough loss.

977
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:48,839
Speaker 1: And I'm not. They haven't said how long will be out,

978
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 1: so he might be back by conference, but certainly something

979
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:53,759
Speaker 1: to monitor. All right, let's move on to second down.

980
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:57,880
Speaker 1: We'll talk our favorite overdog, aka, our favorite favorite.

981
00:48:58,160 --> 00:48:59,760
Speaker 2: It's called the overdogs parlay.

982
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,080
Speaker 1: Believe it or not. I'm going to bet Holton Ailers

983
00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:05,800
Speaker 1: for a second straight week. Look, it's in his fiftieth

984
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:07,959
Speaker 1: and final season. I got I gotta get as many

985
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: bets as I can out on Holt. Nriser did come

986
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:12,920
Speaker 1: through for me last week against NC State in the

987
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:15,560
Speaker 1: game that they actually outplayed them in a lot of

988
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 1: statistical categories. Liked how the offense looked. I thought the

989
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 1: defense was very competitive as well. They were going up

990
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:25,839
Speaker 1: against an excellent NC State defense. Get a big breather now,

991
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:28,640
Speaker 1: I'm a bit worried about the situational spot losing in

992
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 1: heartbreaking fashion against NC State, But you know ODU by

993
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 1: being a worse spot after upsetting Virginia Tech. By the way,

994
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,720
Speaker 1: Power five teams went forty six and one last week

995
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:42,879
Speaker 1: against non Power five teams. The only loss was Virginia Tech.

996
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 1: But if you look at that old Dominion game last week, look,

997
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 1: we were on them Monday line dog. Pretty fortunate win.

998
00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 1: They had five turnovers. VA Tech locked in the elevators.

999
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 1: Just complete incompetence from the Hokies. ODU scored is on

1000
00:49:57,480 --> 00:49:59,360
Speaker 1: a bomb that gets into the goal line late. They

1001
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:02,120
Speaker 1: also scored a snap that went over the head of

1002
00:50:02,160 --> 00:50:04,799
Speaker 1: the Virginia Tech kicker down the half that's going to

1003
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:08,880
Speaker 1: touchdown there. Was not impressed with the ODU offense, especially

1004
00:50:09,120 --> 00:50:12,759
Speaker 1: the offensive line. Their center Welcome is getting blown up

1005
00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:15,880
Speaker 1: almost every play. I think he's see you will be

1006
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,960
Speaker 1: able to move the ball much more efficiently, and I

1007
00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:22,640
Speaker 1: think they cover this big number. Holt Nailers laying twelve

1008
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 1: twelve and a half. What could go wrong? Give it?

1009
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:29,080
Speaker 1: You see you? Oh he swapped last week. Let's keep

1010
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 1: it going. Where are you going for your favorite favorite?

1011
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 2: I'm going to turn to Wisconsin now. Listen, we started off.

1012
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 1: The shohow Man Graham Mertz. Yeah, we're laying points of

1013
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 1: Graham Mertz already. Yeah, we are. Listen.

1014
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 2: We saw on our show saying one data point. So

1015
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:44,840
Speaker 2: the one data point we have on Graham Mertz, he

1016
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:49,320
Speaker 2: went fourteen of sixteen passing against Illinois State, no turnover

1017
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 2: worthy plays. Hey, you know, I mean that's bankable right there.

1018
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 2: Mertz is back, baby, he's in the Heisman running, you know,

1019
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 2: dismissed it by a couple of years. So you're bringing

1020
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 2: in a Washington state that needed an interception at their

1021
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:05,400
Speaker 2: own twenty eight with twelve seconds left to survive Idaho.

1022
00:51:05,719 --> 00:51:09,279
Speaker 2: To survive Idaho, that incarnate word offense we thought was

1023
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:11,920
Speaker 2: going to show up didn't show up. Cavanni McCoy for

1024
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 2: for Ido, hit eight different targets through the air, multiple

1025
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:18,720
Speaker 2: explosive plays. I mean, listen, I'm not expecting many passing

1026
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:20,880
Speaker 2: downs for Graham Mertz to be throwing in because Braylen

1027
00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:23,319
Speaker 2: Allen is rushing the ball. But if Mertz does light

1028
00:51:23,320 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 2: it up in the passing game again, This could get

1029
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:29,480
Speaker 2: very ugly, very fast. If Washington State is struggling with Idaho.

1030
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,799
Speaker 2: Wisconsin does not have overlook on deck to any Big

1031
00:51:32,800 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 2: ten team. They got New Mexico State the following week.

1032
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:37,839
Speaker 2: This is a Braylen Allen show, and when Graham Mertz

1033
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 2: is asked to pass, he's going to get a defense

1034
00:51:39,680 --> 00:51:42,480
Speaker 2: that could not get out of a building fast enough

1035
00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:43,920
Speaker 2: with a win against Idaho.

1036
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:50,279
Speaker 1: Our overdog segment is favorites of Graham Mertz. Grahm Mertz

1037
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,960
Speaker 1: is a favorite and Holt now Is is a favorite. What

1038
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:57,799
Speaker 1: could possibly go wrong? All right? Before we get out

1039
00:51:57,800 --> 00:52:00,400
Speaker 1: of here, One final order business third down. That is

1040
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:09,400
Speaker 1: our moneyline underdog segment. Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1041
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay. It's our favorite

1042
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 1: win an underdog Wall seven article out detailing both bets

1043
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 1: on Actionnetwork dot Com and the Action Network cap. We'll

1044
00:52:22,360 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 1: go up to our night. I'll kick things off. I'm

1045
00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:28,680
Speaker 1: gonna go with Georgia State against North Carolina. Georgia State

1046
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,239
Speaker 1: is a seven point home favorite here like them on

1047
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:33,319
Speaker 1: the spread as well, but this is a team that

1048
00:52:33,520 --> 00:52:36,440
Speaker 1: has shown that they can beat Power five teams. Probably

1049
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:39,000
Speaker 1: should have beat Auburn. Last year, they did go into

1050
00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:41,400
Speaker 1: Tennessee and beat them. If you recall a couple of

1051
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:43,920
Speaker 1: years ago and last week, as we just talked about,

1052
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:46,160
Speaker 1: they outgained South Carolina. This is one of the most

1053
00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:48,799
Speaker 1: experienced teams in the country. They came into the season,

1054
00:52:48,800 --> 00:52:50,160
Speaker 1: a lot of them met them. Finished the year seven

1055
00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 1: and one last year, once they made the quarterback switch

1056
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 1: to Granger rushing. It's a run heavy team. They want

1057
00:52:57,200 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 1: to lean on you, and they should be able to

1058
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:02,640
Speaker 1: do that against the same old North Carolina defense. I

1059
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:05,600
Speaker 1: thought maybe it could be fixed. Jeans Chiswick is not

1060
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:09,280
Speaker 1: the savior. They gave up nearly seven yards per carry

1061
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,440
Speaker 1: against app State and nap State receivers a brand new

1062
00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:14,680
Speaker 1: receiver running wide open all down on the field. So

1063
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 1: I think George State will be able to pass it

1064
00:53:16,600 --> 00:53:18,600
Speaker 1: much more successful than the last week against South and

1065
00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:19,800
Speaker 1: then we able to run it. We ab to control

1066
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 1: the clock, control time possession here. And while UNC Drake

1067
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:27,319
Speaker 1: May has looked fantastic at quarterback, finally starting to get

1068
00:53:27,360 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 1: some film on him, some of his tendencies that I

1069
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 1: think Georgia State can adjust to. I don't think that

1070
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 1: downs will play, you know, he's questionable. Josh Down's the

1071
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 1: star uncvers here I missed last week. They have a

1072
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:43,719
Speaker 1: buy on deck then Notre Dame. So it's also a

1073
00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:46,359
Speaker 1: tough situational spot here. Sure you get Georgia State's best

1074
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 1: effort and we're kind of going on the road for

1075
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:51,120
Speaker 1: their second straight sunbulb opponent. Very odd, but I think

1076
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 1: Georgia State is a good shot to pull off this upset.

1077
00:53:53,719 --> 00:53:56,640
Speaker 1: I have to really just a litany of special team's

1078
00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:59,560
Speaker 1: mistakes cost them the game at South Carolina last week.

1079
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:02,080
Speaker 1: Really like this Georgia State team. How about you? What

1080
00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:02,440
Speaker 1: say you?

1081
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:04,879
Speaker 2: I agree with you. I'm gonna go with Stanford. We're

1082
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 2: gonna take the trees. I know we said one data point,

1083
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 2: but hey, that data point happened to be against Colgate

1084
00:54:10,360 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 2: and it was a near flawless box score for Stanford

1085
00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:16,000
Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. Tanner McKee absolutely lit

1086
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,160
Speaker 2: it up. Twenty two of twenty seven passing had an

1087
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 2: average depth of target at ten point one. There's a

1088
00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 2: lot of explosive players, and that's what we're looking for

1089
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,360
Speaker 2: in Pac twelve play is somebody that can match USC's

1090
00:54:26,400 --> 00:54:30,400
Speaker 2: offensive explosiveness, and Stanford can absolutely put up points in

1091
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 2: a flash on USC. I think this game is a

1092
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:36,600
Speaker 2: complete coin flip. Stanford's gonna pull this win off these people,

1093
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:38,799
Speaker 2: the AP voters and all of the rankings and everything

1094
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 2: they got USC creep it up in the top five.

1095
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:42,919
Speaker 2: It's time to do a temperature check on Monday after

1096
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:46,240
Speaker 2: this game gets played. Stanford all the way outright, ad.

1097
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:50,600
Speaker 1: In, UFC and UNC love it all right. That'll do

1098
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:54,600
Speaker 1: it for us. Thanks as always to Colin for joining me.

1099
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 1: Thanks to all of you for listening. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribed, subscribe,

1100
00:55:00,040 --> 00:55:02,359
Speaker 1: leave a review, five star review. They really help us out.

1101
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:05,759
Speaker 1: We'll do giveaways. Producer extraordinary Matt Mitchell if there's any

1102
00:55:05,840 --> 00:55:07,359
Speaker 1: to give away, list them off now.

1103
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 3: Absolutely get a winner right here. Stuck it is JMM

1104
00:55:11,800 --> 00:55:15,600
Speaker 3: two three two nine. These guys are awesome. First time reviewer,

1105
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:17,120
Speaker 3: longtime listener.

1106
00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:17,839
Speaker 2: Jaym them.

1107
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 3: Email me at podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim

1108
00:55:22,680 --> 00:55:26,399
Speaker 3: your prize and good luck everybody with this dog shit sleeve.

1109
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:29,359
Speaker 1: We've already left the review. Grab a friends. I saw

1110
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:31,320
Speaker 1: someone tweeting, I mean, I couldn't leave a review I

1111
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:33,360
Speaker 1: already did last year, but here's my review on Twitter.

1112
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 1: Appreciate if that doesn't help us, leave the review on

1113
00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:39,160
Speaker 1: the app really helps us out. You guys have been

1114
00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 1: extremely loyal. We want to return their favorite once you

1115
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:42,959
Speaker 1: do that as well, But this is the time those

1116
00:55:43,120 --> 00:55:45,359
Speaker 1: really help us out. As I mentioned before, make sure

1117
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,200
Speaker 1: you download the word winning action of our gap and

1118
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:50,480
Speaker 1: tune in ten thirty am Eastern Saturday morning for Big

1119
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: Bets on Campus Live where myself, Colin Wilson, and Bret

1120
00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 1: McMurphy will go over the card. Also, one final reminder,

1121
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 1: make sure you check out the Group of Five podcast

1122
00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:03,400
Speaker 1: by Mike and Mike that's already out thanks to our

1123
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:06,960
Speaker 1: sponsor bet MGM. And we'll be back early next week

1124
00:56:07,080 --> 00:56:09,240
Speaker 1: for a recap of the weekend and I'll look ahead

1125
00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 1: to week three. The cards only get better from here.

1126
00:56:13,080 --> 00:56:15,880
Speaker 1: Let's find some winners on week two, build some momentum

1127
00:56:15,920 --> 00:56:17,680
Speaker 1: and keep it moving. We'll catch all out of the cheers,

1128
00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:18,440
Speaker 1: peace out,