WEBVTT - Microsoft, Nvidia to Invest Up to $15 Billion in Anthropic 

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<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of commitments going on out there in

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<v Speaker 2>the technology world, Scarlett Nvidia is committed to investing up

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<v Speaker 2>to ten billion dollars in Entropic. Microsoft is also committed

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<v Speaker 2>to invest up to five billion dollars in Entropic and

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<v Speaker 2>Anthropic for its silent, It's committed to buy thirty billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars of Azure compute capacity.

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<v Speaker 3>So we just talking about these tens of billions of

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<v Speaker 3>dollars like it's nothing, right.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't get it. It's just the circular stuff we see.

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<v Speaker 2>But people tell me not to worry. Coming up right here,

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<v Speaker 2>the best dressed man on Wall Street, his turbine matches

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<v Speaker 2>is tie every day, no accident. I mean, nice job.

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<v Speaker 2>MANYEP saying he's a senior tech dude. It Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 2>and I have a lot of big companies making some

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<v Speaker 2>big commitments in Anthropic. What is nthropic again?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, Nthropic is one of the five frontier lms that

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<v Speaker 4>are remaining I mean, and they are leading the charge

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<v Speaker 4>when it comes to generative AI. So it's one of

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<v Speaker 4>the five. The other one are Google, Open Ai, Meta

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<v Speaker 4>and Xai. And so look, when it comes to these commitments,

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<v Speaker 4>it's pretty obvious that OpenAI has raised the bar by

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<v Speaker 4>announcing they're going to spend one point four trillion. So

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<v Speaker 4>the question is what are the other LLM companies going

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<v Speaker 4>to do? And Entropic is also a pure play LLM,

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<v Speaker 4>and in their case, they don't have the funding, I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>they don't have the balance sheet like Google or Meta have,

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<v Speaker 4>so they have to raise the money either in the

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<v Speaker 4>private markets or from someone like Nvidia, or get into

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<v Speaker 4>an agreement with Microsoft, which also has an agreement with

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<v Speaker 4>open Ai. So that's where you know LM's need compute.

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<v Speaker 4>That's how you serve billion plus users, and that's where

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<v Speaker 4>you know the numbers get bigger and bigger when it

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<v Speaker 4>comes to the tie up with cloud provider.

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<v Speaker 3>This is like the popular click in high school where

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<v Speaker 3>everyone knows each other and everyone's messing around with each other.

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<v Speaker 3>Just give us a little bit of background here on

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<v Speaker 3>Anthropic because My understanding is that it was founded by

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<v Speaker 3>folks who used to work at open ai and some

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<v Speaker 3>of the early investors like big stakeholders include Alphabet and

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<v Speaker 3>include Amazon, and now you've got Microsoft in there. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>is there anyone who's not part of Anthropic and not

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<v Speaker 3>committed to investing in this company?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you could say Meta, they're doing things, We're doing

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<v Speaker 4>their own thing. They are doing their own thing in

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<v Speaker 4>terms of you know, using the computer internally, and they

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<v Speaker 4>don't have a cloud business.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that a problem for them that metas out there

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<v Speaker 3>on its own. I know, it doesn't have its own

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<v Speaker 3>cloud business, but it's not buying stakes or committed to

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<v Speaker 3>invest up to five billion or ten billion in any

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<v Speaker 3>of these AI companies.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, so far, just to go to Meta, it

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<v Speaker 4>feels like, you know, investors were okay with them using

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<v Speaker 4>the GPU compute for their own family of apps. But

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<v Speaker 4>the fact that they're talking about one hundred billion plus

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<v Speaker 4>in capex for next year without having a substantial ROI.

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<v Speaker 4>And what I mean by rois in the case of Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 4>yes they are raising their capex two hundred and twenty billion,

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<v Speaker 4>but they're winning deals like the one with Nthropic thirty

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<v Speaker 4>billion dollar in commitment from Entropic, so somebody is paying

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<v Speaker 4>for that compute. In the case of Microsoft, you don't

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<v Speaker 4>have that with a meta How are you generating ROI

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<v Speaker 4>outside of your family of apps? And over there you

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<v Speaker 4>have to show a really substantial increase in engagement to

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<v Speaker 4>convince investors it's worth hundred billion plus in capex.

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<v Speaker 2>Any of these open ais anthropics are they going to

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<v Speaker 2>ever come public? Do you think?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, in the case of Entropic, look, I know

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<v Speaker 4>the numbers are getting big, but their gross margins at

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<v Speaker 4>this point are probably better than open ai, which is

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<v Speaker 4>doing too many things. I mean, the biggest risk I

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<v Speaker 4>see for open aiy is they feel they can get

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<v Speaker 4>into any business, whether it's chip business, whether it's you know,

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<v Speaker 4>obviously l M is their turf, any type of applications,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's where there's a possibility of a misstep. You

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<v Speaker 4>can end up wasting time because you just don't have,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, the capability. Yeah, the focus there Entropic is

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<v Speaker 4>more focused.

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<v Speaker 2>Dumb question of the day. Yeah, these US companies, Entropic

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<v Speaker 2>opening are they base? Where are they? Good question? Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm going to go out there visit my son

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<v Speaker 2>at Santa Clara. They're in the backyard right there. I

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<v Speaker 2>can go knock on the door of Chatch.

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<v Speaker 3>They're not incorporated in Dublin or you know, some some islands.

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<v Speaker 4>Look, it's a nonprofit looking to have a profitable and

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<v Speaker 4>so all that could happen.

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<v Speaker 5>But look at the end of.

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<v Speaker 4>The day, these llms are showing constant improvement, which is

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<v Speaker 4>what's driving you know, companies like Microsoft to partner with Entropic.

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<v Speaker 4>They have that exclusive partnership with Opening Eye, but now

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<v Speaker 4>they are diversifying.

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<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live

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<v Speaker 1>home depot.

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<v Speaker 2>They cut their forecast on week remodeling demands off the

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<v Speaker 2>check in with John Tucker to see if that is

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<v Speaker 2>in fact the case, because he is like the do

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<v Speaker 2>it yourself kind of guy.

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<v Speaker 3>Really, what has he done in his house?

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<v Speaker 2>It does everything, and like big jobs that take a

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<v Speaker 2>long time, Like he doesn't ream out in the bathroom

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<v Speaker 2>and he does plumbing, he does all this stuff. Oh,

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<v Speaker 2>hes about lumber that he can't get quality the lumbers

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<v Speaker 2>He's got to go to. He's got a guy.

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<v Speaker 3>Then he's like their model customer.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, exactly right, he's the guy. So let's check in

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<v Speaker 2>with that Drew reading. He covers all the homebuilders, he

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<v Speaker 2>covers all the stores that cater to the homebowners, like

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<v Speaker 2>home depot. Drew, thanks so much for joining us here.

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<v Speaker 2>What did the home depots say about their customers?

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<v Speaker 6>So they came in with the same store sales growth

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<v Speaker 6>of about zero point two percent, which misconsensus this quarter.

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<v Speaker 6>That was largely due to whether last year they had

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<v Speaker 6>pretty significant gains from storms. This year that wasn't replicated,

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<v Speaker 6>so that had about an eighty basis point impact on

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<v Speaker 6>the comp And that's important because if you back that out,

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<v Speaker 6>the underlying business has been relatively stable with about a

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<v Speaker 6>one percent comp you know, so underlying trends still pretty stable.

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<v Speaker 6>I think the bigger problem is that last quarter they

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<v Speaker 6>said that they had expected to see an acceleration in

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<v Speaker 6>demand in the second half, and that hasn't materialized. We

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<v Speaker 6>have gotten the pullback in rates, but that hasn't translated

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<v Speaker 6>into housing activity.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and the problem there is that customers are deferring

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<v Speaker 3>their large purchases. Demand has remained steady, but it's definitely

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<v Speaker 3>not picking up at the same time. So when people

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<v Speaker 3>are undertaking some kind of home renovation projects, they're just

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<v Speaker 3>doing it at a smaller scale. Does home depot still

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<v Speaker 3>benefit from those customers.

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<v Speaker 6>Sure, and that's what's driving a lot of the demand

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<v Speaker 6>for the home improvement retailers. It's smaller ticket projects, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>maintenance oriented type stuff, which is a huge part of

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<v Speaker 6>their business. But to your point, to really see I

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<v Speaker 6>guess the turn and growth, what you want to see

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<v Speaker 6>as a resurgence in those big ticket categories. Now, big

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<v Speaker 6>ticket spending was up two point three percent in the quarter,

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<v Speaker 6>but that's morally more reflective of single item purchases to

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<v Speaker 6>think about things like appliances, power tools, gypsum. They also

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<v Speaker 6>are taking share in the larger pro market, which is

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<v Speaker 6>aiding the mix a little bit, but it really doesn't

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<v Speaker 6>reflect an increase as you mentioned, in big ticket projects

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<v Speaker 6>such as kitchen and bath three models or flooring projects.

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<v Speaker 6>And that's really what we want to see turn and

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<v Speaker 6>will likely drive the next leg of growth next year.

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<v Speaker 3>So I ask about that big ticket items versus smaller

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<v Speaker 3>projects because I wonder what this means for competitor Lows.

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<v Speaker 3>Low's shares are down today, but only by about one

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<v Speaker 3>point three percent versus Home Depots four percent, and I

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<v Speaker 3>wonder how much you can extrapolate from Home Depot to Lows,

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<v Speaker 3>which will be reporting on the nineteenth before the market open,

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<v Speaker 3>so that is tomorrow morning.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so for loaws, we're expecting to hear pretty similar

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<v Speaker 6>commentary that we heard from Home Depot today. They're operating

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<v Speaker 6>in the same environment with a weak housing backdrop, more

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<v Speaker 6>cautious consumers. The main difference between the two businesses would

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<v Speaker 6>be Home depots greater exposure to the professional contractor, which

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<v Speaker 6>is fifty percent or more of sales compared to Lows

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<v Speaker 6>at about thirty percent. So we have seen on a

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<v Speaker 6>relative basis more weakness among the DIY category with particular

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<v Speaker 6>strength and pros. Really that would be the only difference.

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<v Speaker 6>But I think by and large, the sentiment is going

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<v Speaker 6>to be that consumers are taking on more caution because

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<v Speaker 6>they're increasingly worried about the outlook for the economy, the

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<v Speaker 6>outlook for their job, and that's causing them to defer

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<v Speaker 6>spending on discretionary categories.

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<v Speaker 2>How about tariffs. What are the companies saying about tariffs

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<v Speaker 2>at Low's and Home Depot like tariffs on wood hammers.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess I don't know.

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<v Speaker 6>Sure, so not a whole lot of discussion this quarter.

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<v Speaker 6>I think, you know, given home Depot and low scale,

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<v Speaker 6>I think they're relatively well positioned to kind of navigate

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<v Speaker 6>this environment with their suppliers. That being said, they're certainly

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<v Speaker 6>not entirely immune. They kind of shifted their stance on

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<v Speaker 6>their pricing strategy. Earlier in the year, they said that

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<v Speaker 6>they wouldn't be raising prices, but as a situation in

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<v Speaker 6>the landscape continue to evolve, they said they would be

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<v Speaker 6>raising prices selectively. We did see that, I think a

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<v Speaker 6>little bit in the average ticket this quarter, the growth

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<v Speaker 6>in that, but we don't really know at this point

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<v Speaker 6>what the demand impact has been. There was a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of noise in the quarter, as I mentioned, with the weather,

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<v Speaker 6>so arish will certainly be something to watch, particularly since

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<v Speaker 6>we just heard some new terraffs being introduced on lumber

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<v Speaker 6>imports and as well as kitchen and bath cabinets, which

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<v Speaker 6>increase significantly as we get into next year, so not

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<v Speaker 6>a huge impact to this point, but certainly something to

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<v Speaker 6>keep an eye on.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, definitely, I'm curious how much does Home Depot and

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<v Speaker 3>Low's mirror what's happening in the housing market, because when

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<v Speaker 3>it comes to housing, of course, the affordability crisis is

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<v Speaker 3>you know, the big thing that's keeping it frozen. Mortgage

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<v Speaker 3>rates have come down, but they're still really elevated compared

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<v Speaker 3>to where they were during the pandemic. Inflation is capping

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<v Speaker 3>spending on big projects, and overall home prices remain really

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<v Speaker 3>really high, so people just can't move and they're stuck

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<v Speaker 3>in place, and they don't necessarily want to spend more

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<v Speaker 3>than they can afford.

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<v Speaker 6>No, it's a great point, and housing is extremely important

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<v Speaker 6>to Home depot and Lows as you would expect, you know, housing,

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<v Speaker 6>the housing market has been stagnant. We're running about a

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<v Speaker 6>four million annuallyzed sales pace that's about twenty five percent

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<v Speaker 6>below normalized levels. We know that when people list a

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<v Speaker 6>home for sale or when they purchase new home, there

0:11:12.760 --> 0:11:15.679
<v Speaker 6>tends to be increased spending. Movers tend to spend a

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<v Speaker 6>lot more than people who are already in their house,

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<v Speaker 6>so they're certainly losing that piece of the business. I

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<v Speaker 6>think one of the interesting things to keep an eye

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<v Speaker 6>on looking forward is home prices. Home deep on Lows

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<v Speaker 6>have historically told us that that's probably the most important

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<v Speaker 6>aspect of the housing market to them, and you know,

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<v Speaker 6>as we well know, since twenty twenty, home prices are

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<v Speaker 6>up fifty percent or more depending on the market, so

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<v Speaker 6>owners have up a lot of equity. But what we're

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<v Speaker 6>starting to see now is prices rise at a much

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<v Speaker 6>slower pace, and in a lot of key housing markets

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<v Speaker 6>across the country, we're actually seeing year over year declines

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<v Speaker 6>in home prices. So when you start to get declining

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<v Speaker 6>home prices, that hits at that confidence aspect. If you

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<v Speaker 6>think the value of your property is falling, you're less

0:11:56.200 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 6>inclined to invest. So it's something they called out. It's

0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:02.800
<v Speaker 6>not necessarily something we've seen at the national level, but

0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:04.880
<v Speaker 6>if you look at particular markets around the country, it's

0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:05.959
<v Speaker 6>something that's starting to happen.

0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.880
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto

0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:24.040
<v Speaker 1>with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you

0:12:24.080 --> 0:12:27.080
<v Speaker 1>get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:30.280
<v Speaker 2>Way way back in the day at the Chase Manhattan

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:35.320
<v Speaker 2>Bank credit training program exhausted program. At the end of it,

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:37.640
<v Speaker 2>you had to do like a big project, pick a company,

0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:39.800
<v Speaker 2>and do like a detailed credit report on it. My

0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:42.360
<v Speaker 2>company was Medtronic.

0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:44.559
<v Speaker 3>The device maker, the medical device maker, exactly right.

0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:47.320
<v Speaker 2>So I knocked him dead. By the way, it was

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:47.920
<v Speaker 2>just a killer.

0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:49.520
<v Speaker 5>AnyWho.

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.040
<v Speaker 2>It stocks up four percent today, some good numbs, fifty

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.240
<v Speaker 2>two week high. It's good to be in the medical

0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:58.160
<v Speaker 2>device business. I guess. I don't know, so we'll check

0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 2>it out. Matt Hendrickson Hendrickson joints us here, senior medtech analyst.

0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:06.120
<v Speaker 2>He's based in Jersey. But you're in the big town today. Yeah,

0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.440
<v Speaker 2>commute in every day, you come in every day.

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:08.960
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:13:09.080 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 2>Nice, Good for you.

0:13:09.960 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 5>That's what I'm driving too. What Oh yeah, you drive

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.280
<v Speaker 5>to where? Uh walking a lot right out.

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:17.560
<v Speaker 7>There, dude, and you do the congestion pricing. I have

0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 7>to Yeah, where do you drive from? Well, Ridgewood so

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:23.920
<v Speaker 7>we have trains, dude, I know. But the Secaucus junction

0:13:24.160 --> 0:13:25.240
<v Speaker 7>it's always a mess.

0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:28.600
<v Speaker 2>Oh my God, what a knuckle ahead. All right, Matt,

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:31.680
<v Speaker 2>thanks for joining us here. I as serious problems with

0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:34.679
<v Speaker 2>your committing strategy. Talk to us about Metron. What's going

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:35.120
<v Speaker 2>on there?

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.880
<v Speaker 5>Well, you know, let's take a step back.

0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:40.959
<v Speaker 8>Twelve months ago, they had a lot of promising products

0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:44.160
<v Speaker 8>in the pipeline. The question was execution, and what we're

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 8>seeing the last few quarters is you're starting to see

0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 8>some of that execution. So when they raise their organic

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:53.559
<v Speaker 8>revenue growth guidance by a fifty basis points today to

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:56.080
<v Speaker 8>five and a half percent, that was driven a lot

0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:59.720
<v Speaker 8>by what they call is their cardiac ablation segment. This

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:03.079
<v Speaker 8>is new technology that's being used to treat atrial fibrillation.

0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:06.360
<v Speaker 8>That segment alone grew seventy one percent year over year.

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:10.240
<v Speaker 8>So having that as off a billion dollar revenue run

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 8>rate is what's driving that kind of growth, and is

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 8>what is expecting to accelerate that growth going into fiscal

0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 8>twenty twenty.

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 3>Seventy one percent is going to get bigger.

0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:22.000
<v Speaker 8>Yes, they actually said that, and we actually in our

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:26.040
<v Speaker 8>follow up questions with them, we asked just to confirm,

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:28.440
<v Speaker 8>are you going to accelerate that seventy one percent growth

0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:31.000
<v Speaker 8>in their fiscal third quarter, which is the one coming up,

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 8>And they said yes, and it's basically the adoption of

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:37.720
<v Speaker 8>without game two technical. It's called pulse field ablation and

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:41.320
<v Speaker 8>it's a new way of ablating the heart to treat

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:42.239
<v Speaker 8>atrial fibrillation.

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 3>Does it have a main competitor in this space?

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so it's kind of turned into a duopoly right

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:52.960
<v Speaker 8>now between Metronic and Boston Scientific, the tickers BSX. And

0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:56.640
<v Speaker 8>what you saw this quarter is Boston Scientific was in

0:14:56.720 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 8>first and their growth in the quarter sixty percent. So

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 8>Metronic is highlighting that it was actually growing faster in

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.160
<v Speaker 8>the quarter than Boston its main competitor.

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:12.960
<v Speaker 2>Was how's in these medical device companies like Metronic and

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 2>how are they dealing with this administration in I don't know,

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 2>terriffs regulations. What's the backdrop for this for the sector

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 2>of the healthcare space.

0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so if you look at broadly, it should be

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 8>more insulated than some of the other kind of import

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 8>export type of businesses. Procedure volumes remain steady. Devices that

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 8>are used in the US are mostly built in the US.

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 8>There's some caveats here and there, so it's overall relative

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:45.360
<v Speaker 8>to the broader market minimal. Metronic highlighted that you know,

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 8>the worst quarter is going to be coming up this

0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:50.920
<v Speaker 8>their fiscal third quarter, which ends in January, a little

0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:53.200
<v Speaker 8>bit worse in the fourth quarter that ends in April,

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 8>and then you know, they haven't gotten too much into

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 8>fiscal twenty twenty seven, but they said it should be

0:15:57.560 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 8>incremental overall.

0:15:59.320 --> 0:16:00.720
<v Speaker 5>It should be about.

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.040
<v Speaker 8>One hundred and eighty million to the overall net income

0:16:03.680 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 8>that you so, but that's talking about a company that's

0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 8>making thirty billion plus in revenue per year.

0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 3>What I noticed as well is that Medtronic has as

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 3>one of its biggest investors Elliott Investment Management, the activist investors,

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 3>And yeah, they've become one of the biggest shareholders earlier

0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 3>this year, and they've made some changes, adding some folks

0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:27.560
<v Speaker 3>to its board as independent directors, presumably ones that Elliott

0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 3>finds favorable. What does this mean for that relationship? Is

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 3>this an antagonistic relationship or is it something that's a

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:35.160
<v Speaker 3>little bit friendlier.

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 8>I would to say more it's a friendlier type of relationship.

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 8>And I think it goes back to what I was

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 8>talking about twelve months ago, when we were looking at

0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:46.440
<v Speaker 8>a company that had all these massine developments in the

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 8>pipeline and they just couldn't get that revenue growth from

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:51.600
<v Speaker 8>the four to five percent up to that five to

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:55.040
<v Speaker 8>six percent where we're seeing now. Now, the question is

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 8>how much of that is behind the scenes Elliott is

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.240
<v Speaker 8>making a push or just the fact that the management

0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:03.080
<v Speaker 8>team just needed that extra time to get that initial

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 8>acceleration of the growth just internally. But yeah, they came

0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:10.600
<v Speaker 8>in I mean honestly at the right time with kind

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:13.360
<v Speaker 8>of at the when it was down, you know, more

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 8>than twenty percent.

0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 3>To seeing a potentially friendly relationship between Elliott and the

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:19.880
<v Speaker 3>target companies at Targets.

0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly good point. But maybe it's working this bit

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:24.439
<v Speaker 2>to the case. Matt thinks so much for joining us.

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.879
<v Speaker 2>Appreciated Matt Hendrickson. He's a senior medtech analyst Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:31.199
<v Speaker 2>He of the questionable commuting strategy. We'll discuss that at

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:31.600
<v Speaker 2>a little bit.

0:17:31.640 --> 0:17:32.840
<v Speaker 3>What would you do if you were him?

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:34.959
<v Speaker 2>Oh, train, dude, I mean that's what I mean. Live

0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:36.240
<v Speaker 2>in New Jersey for that reason.

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:38.360
<v Speaker 3>Is that New Jersey Transit or is that another one?

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:41.159
<v Speaker 2>But he lives in Ridgid, which is beat for no

0:17:41.320 --> 0:17:43.240
<v Speaker 2>rail service, cause you got to you gotta go to.

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:45.399
<v Speaker 5>You're kind of only supporting my thesis there.

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but you don't come into the city.

0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 3>I mean that there's a real proba is with the

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 3>driving into midtown.

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.200
<v Speaker 2>Yes, you go to Secaucus, you hop on a train,

0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 2>you're in, and then you're done.

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:56.560
<v Speaker 3>Drive to se Caucus.

0:17:56.960 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 5>No, or I do my five point thirty commute too.

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.399
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:18:11.119 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 2>Amer Sports. That's Solomon. They got the Solomon best binding company, right,

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 2>best bindings in the world, I think I've had I've

0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:31.159
<v Speaker 2>been skied on Solomon Bindings for like forty years. But

0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:32.919
<v Speaker 2>they had lots of other stuff, Wilson's Sports and all

0:18:32.920 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 2>that kind of stuff. They's some pretty good numbers today.

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:37.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you know, raising their guidance for the third

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 2>time this year. So I don't know the consumers seam.

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 3>I think in the shaped economy they serve the upper leg,

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 3>upper part.

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 4>Of the king.

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:45.920
<v Speaker 2>All right, that's the place to be. Abigail good Martin

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:48.439
<v Speaker 2>joins us here. She is a footwear and at leisure analyst.

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what ath leisure is for Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:18:51.240 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 2>She is a proud spider University of Richmond spider.

0:18:54.520 --> 0:18:57.000
<v Speaker 3>Oh that's how I didn't know that that was the mass.

0:18:57.040 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 6>It is.

0:18:57.320 --> 0:18:58.800
<v Speaker 2>It's very unique, isn't it.

0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:01.959
<v Speaker 3>I ken't like most Sure looks like it's a big spider.

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we'll get you the Yeah, get We'll get one

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.159
<v Speaker 2>for you. I got my fortieth anniversary, you know, rich

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:09.399
<v Speaker 2>Richmond coming up this year. This are you going to go?

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Damn right? I am going. I might actually joined forced

0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 2>me to kind of go on the committee. I'm in charge.

0:19:15.600 --> 0:19:17.720
<v Speaker 2>I'll be dialing for dollars getting people to come. And

0:19:17.760 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 2>Abba goes she's a spial So talk to us about

0:19:20.240 --> 0:19:21.879
<v Speaker 2>a M E. R. Sports here. I don't think a

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:22.919
<v Speaker 2>lot of people know them too.

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 9>Yeah no, because the brands underneath that. It is Arctics,

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 9>which is their outdoor performance brand, as well as Solomon

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 9>and Wilson are their three biggest so I think today

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.560
<v Speaker 9>was a big day for them. They did really well,

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 9>you know, sales up thirty percent. Broad Based strength across regions,

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:42.200
<v Speaker 9>across channels, and across brands. I think the key thing

0:19:42.200 --> 0:19:46.400
<v Speaker 9>people are looking for was China. Arcterics recently had some

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:50.360
<v Speaker 9>controversy in China with fireworks display in the Himalayas.

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:53.360
<v Speaker 3>That what fireworks display?

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 2>He displayed fireworks in the Himalayans.

0:19:55.520 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 9>Arctics for set off fireworks exactly. It was definitely missed

0:20:02.359 --> 0:20:05.159
<v Speaker 9>up for an outdoor brand that's really focused on sustainability,

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:07.600
<v Speaker 9>and there was definitely some concern that there would be

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:10.359
<v Speaker 9>a little backlash in China. There's definitely a lot of

0:20:10.400 --> 0:20:13.280
<v Speaker 9>people upset about it, and they were fined by the

0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:15.639
<v Speaker 9>Chinese government and working.

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:17.480
<v Speaker 3>To restore the ecology there.

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:20.879
<v Speaker 9>But Greater China was up forty seven percent, momentum is

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:23.360
<v Speaker 9>continuing into four Q so I think that was really

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 9>a big takeaway, just quelling investors' concerns about potential backlash

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.640
<v Speaker 9>in China, especially because they're the number one outdoor sports

0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:32.400
<v Speaker 9>brand in China.

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.120
<v Speaker 3>Arctereric So I had no idea that they have such

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:38.360
<v Speaker 3>strong brands. I mean, a mare Sports on its own,

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:41.360
<v Speaker 3>it's kind of it doesn't it's not memorable the name,

0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:43.440
<v Speaker 3>the parent company name, right, but the brands of course,

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:46.920
<v Speaker 3>are Solomon Arctic. So Wilson, as you mentioned, what does

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:49.160
<v Speaker 3>the tariff picture look like for this company?

0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think it's very similar to most of the

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:56.040
<v Speaker 9>other companies. I think for them, what benefits them as

0:20:56.080 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 9>their premium positioning. They're able to raise prices and they're

0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:03.120
<v Speaker 9>not seen any backlash from consumers or pullback. They're still

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:06.720
<v Speaker 9>seeing very strong full price sell through, so they're able

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:09.560
<v Speaker 9>to offset some of those tariff costs with that, which

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 9>I think is really helping. And we're seeing that with

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 9>a lot of more of the premium brands are able

0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 9>to kind of navigate through the tariffs since their consumers

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:19.200
<v Speaker 9>are willing to pay upper K, upper.

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 3>K of the K shaped economy.

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:22.680
<v Speaker 2>I guess I know that's I guess where you want

0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:25.600
<v Speaker 2>to be there. Talk to us about the footwear market here.

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:29.680
<v Speaker 2>I think you know, Nike, Adidas, all that kind of stuff.

0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 2>What's going on there?

0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:33.480
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think you know, we're in store for a

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 9>very interesting holiday season. I think that we're going to

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 9>continue to see the premium brands continue to do well

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 9>on holdings recently just reported and did phenomenal and they

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:46.680
<v Speaker 9>also said they're not seeing any backlash on raised prices

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 9>and they'll continue to do you know, limited discounting through

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:52.919
<v Speaker 9>the holidays. So we may see some differences between the

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 9>two companies, but we just had our recent BI survey

0:21:56.960 --> 0:21:59.960
<v Speaker 9>and Nike continues to lete. I think there's been concerned

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:02.679
<v Speaker 9>over Nike, but they still are the major shareholder and

0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 9>still a favorite brand of millennials. Gen Z's everyone for

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:08.400
<v Speaker 9>the holidays, so they should continue to do well too.

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 3>What is the Mayorsports distribution strategy? Do they have a

0:22:11.680 --> 0:22:15.600
<v Speaker 3>DTC offering or are they going through third party retailers.

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:17.679
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, that's a great question, so it's a little different

0:22:17.680 --> 0:22:21.600
<v Speaker 9>for each brand. For Arctics, they're leaning a lot more

0:22:21.600 --> 0:22:25.520
<v Speaker 9>into DTC. They've changed their distribution strategy from basically nine

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:29.040
<v Speaker 9>eighty percent wholesale to eighty percent DTC over the last

0:22:29.080 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 9>three years, and they're really focusing on growing their store

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:34.919
<v Speaker 9>base because I think not a lot of people know

0:22:34.920 --> 0:22:37.560
<v Speaker 9>about Arctics. It's really going to help the brand awareness.

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:40.199
<v Speaker 9>So even in the US, they're looking to double their

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:44.160
<v Speaker 9>store a count by twenty thirty. So that's that Solomon

0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 9>continues to be wholesale, especially for footwear. We're seeing this

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:52.560
<v Speaker 9>holiday season consumers strap for cash they're wanting to go

0:22:52.680 --> 0:22:55.320
<v Speaker 9>into the stores and try on their shoes and make

0:22:55.359 --> 0:22:57.480
<v Speaker 9>sure it's the right fit and buy them versus you know,

0:22:57.560 --> 0:22:58.959
<v Speaker 9>buy five pairs and return them.

0:22:59.040 --> 0:22:59.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 9>So the wholesale distribution for Solomon and is really key,

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 9>and they're in a lot of key premium partners, I

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:09.440
<v Speaker 9>would say, and you know the running specialty stores as well.

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:11.919
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I'm looking at your report here, research your

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:14.639
<v Speaker 2>reportal on the sneaker business. I didn't know there were

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:17.919
<v Speaker 2>so many shoe manufacturers. I mean, Nike's the dominant one,

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:20.520
<v Speaker 2>as you said, but there's like fourteen in your survey here.

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:21.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, those are.

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 2>A competitive marketplace.

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 9>Definitely, it's getting even more competitive as consumers with AI technology,

0:23:29.119 --> 0:23:32.400
<v Speaker 9>you know, there's just such more of a breath of discovery.

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:35.960
<v Speaker 9>So that's where product is really coming into play this

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:39.679
<v Speaker 9>holiday season. I think, you know, the innovation, product and style.

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:43.119
<v Speaker 3>If there's one thing to be worried about when it

0:23:43.160 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 3>comes to a mare sports, what would it be? I mean,

0:23:45.080 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 3>what's an area that they're not executing on?

0:23:49.040 --> 0:23:52.360
<v Speaker 9>So I think the China thing was the one uncertainty

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:54.879
<v Speaker 9>for this quarter that we were Definitely it could have

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.480
<v Speaker 9>gone either way, So that would be the biggest thing.

0:23:57.520 --> 0:24:00.280
<v Speaker 9>But honestly, they're executing on most of their things. Their

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:04.439
<v Speaker 9>biggest drivers are DTC, Women's and China, and all of

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:07.640
<v Speaker 9>those were up double digits and more. And they're really

0:24:07.680 --> 0:24:09.760
<v Speaker 9>gaining share in women's which I think is a big

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 9>new opportunity for them as more women joined the outdoor market.

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:16.520
<v Speaker 2>All right, which have you purchased in the last twelve months?

0:24:16.560 --> 0:24:21.280
<v Speaker 2>Sneaker brands for baby boomers? Sketchers?

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:21.680
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:25.160
<v Speaker 3>What what Sketches continues to win?

0:24:25.240 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 9>It's honestly, they're so comfortable, they're like the price point,

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:33.040
<v Speaker 9>the quality, I know, I know, I know, I.

0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:36.040
<v Speaker 3>Know, but that is not something that they market out there,

0:24:36.080 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 3>that they put out there.

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:41.720
<v Speaker 9>No, and they're the third largest footwear brand totally. Really yeah,

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:43.119
<v Speaker 9>I think right behind Adidas.

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:44.679
<v Speaker 3>Next you're going to tell me that, you know, the

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 3>boomers are using the shoes with the little wheel in

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:47.679
<v Speaker 3>the back of.

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 2>Them, the wheelers, the wheels.

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, no, they're doing the step ins. You don't even

0:24:51.600 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 3>have to bend down your shoe.

0:24:53.160 --> 0:24:53.680
<v Speaker 5>Is that's it?

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:54.879
<v Speaker 2>That's what I think it is.

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 6>Ye.

0:24:55.400 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 2>I think you're right, all right, I mean, yeah, there

0:24:56.880 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 2>you go. I mean the kids, the gen Z the millennials,

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:02.920
<v Speaker 2>they're still in that Nike brand Yeah brand still.

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:07.800
<v Speaker 9>Or hokahs yeah, hokah, hokah and on are gaining, but

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:10.320
<v Speaker 9>they're you know, they're still small, and I think people

0:25:10.359 --> 0:25:12.479
<v Speaker 9>don't realize that just because there's been such a big boom.

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:13.680
<v Speaker 3>They're still very like.

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 9>West Coast East Coast oriented, you know, they still have

0:25:17.040 --> 0:25:19.400
<v Speaker 9>a lot more room to grow brand awareness in the US,

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 9>especially in the middle of America. So yeah, Nike continue

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:25.800
<v Speaker 9>and their higher price points right if not everyone can

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:27.400
<v Speaker 9>afford them.

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:32.320
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