1 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus mobile last, and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett. The SMP five hundred index is trading higher, 5 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: poised for a fifth record in six sessions. Stocks are advancing, 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: with the SMP up six now to one sixty eight, 7 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: a gain of three tenths of one percent. Cow Industrial 8 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: is up twenty three points to eighteen thousand, five hundred forty, 9 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: a gain of one tenth of one percent, as stack 10 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 1: up thirty one points to five thousand sixty one, a 11 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: gain of six tenths of one percent. Ten Yere down 12 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: eleven thirty seconds, zeal there one point five eight percent, 13 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 1: Gold up to fifty ounce to thirteen thirty a gain 14 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: of two tenths of one percent. And crude oil towns 15 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 1: seventy cents of arrol forty five twenty six right now 16 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: on West Texas ITEMDIA crude at as a drop of 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: one and a half percent. I'm Charlie Pellett. That's a 18 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Flash. Thank you very much, Charlie Pellett. It's 19 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: time now, for the e t F report. It is 20 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: brought to you by National Realty Providers of Satisfaction Guaranteed 21 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: New York City Realty Investments. See them at n r 22 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: I A dot net. Let's go to Katherine Cowdery and 23 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: get the e t F report. Investors flocked to riskier 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,839 Speaker 1: assets last week, reflected in the e t F industry. 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 1: We saw tons of money fly into the most popular 26 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: e t F s used by the trading crowd UM 27 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: s p Y, the queues IWM, and emerging markets. Bloomberg 28 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: Intelligence analist Eric Baltuna says emerging market equity e t 29 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: s We're on fire. They took in four billion dollars. 30 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 1: He has that institutional investors are diving into e M, 31 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: the I Shares MSCI Emerging Market e t F, which 32 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: attracted two billion dollars in new assets during the week. 33 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 1: The reason we know it's institutions is because e M 34 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: Traditionally it trades a ton like three billion dollars a day, 35 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: but it's very expensive. Most advisers in retail have switched 36 00:01:57,320 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: to using I e MG, which is the I Shares 37 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,559 Speaker 1: newer model, which is sixteen basis points in terms of fee, 38 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: whereas e M sixty nine. But it trades so liquid 39 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 1: that institutions just, you know, that's what they need. This 40 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: what they want. I E MG as e I Shares, Core, 41 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: MSCI Emerging Market CTF IT two gained assets last week 42 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: one billion dollars worth. That's your Bloomberg ETF report. I'm 43 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:24,959 Speaker 1: Catherine Cowdery. You're listening to Taking Stock with Kathleen Hays 44 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: and Pim Box on Bloomberg Radio. Gold behold gold and 45 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: it's year to date increase? What will push gold prices higher? Well, 46 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 1: for that and other questions, we have Charles Davout. He 47 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: is the chief investment officer for International Value Advisers, helping 48 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: to manage more than eighteen billion dollars in customer assets. 49 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: Charles joins us in the studio today. Charles, thanks for 50 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: coming and appreciate it. Let's begin by just understanding exactly 51 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: why it is that you own what about six and 52 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 1: a half percent of the portfolio and gold right now. Well, Pain, 53 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: that's because we run long only mutual funds. Yet our 54 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: goals are to try to deliver, if possible, every calendar 55 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 1: year positive absolutely returns. Yet we do not short, we 56 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: do not use leverage and so to have as a 57 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: tool gold, which more often than not, not always, but 58 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: more often than not, can go up when stocks or 59 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,919 Speaker 1: bonds go down, and vice versa, is a wonderful is 60 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: a wonderful tool. It often acts as a hedge, all right, 61 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: It acts as a hedge, a hedge against the clients 62 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: in equities and the clients in bonds you describe. Yes, 63 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: you know, short term, but in the longer term. It 64 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: also has been a great hedge against the debasement of currencies. 65 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: Over time, things there's been inflation, and over time gold 66 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: has held its purchasing power, so it's been a wonderful 67 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: hedge against inflation. Also, let's not forget that gold has 68 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: can be a wonderful hedge is deflation During the thirtiest 69 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: banks when bankrupt and so you your money at the 70 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 1: bank was not safe with gold, there is no counterparty risk. 71 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 1: Gold is not an IOU. So it's also a wonderful 72 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 1: tool to have when there's too much debt in the 73 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: world and and there's a risk of deflation. So can 74 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: we link this to a wider strategy or a wider 75 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 1: perspective that you have on global investment landscape. Yes, basically, 76 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: today you know, thanks to quantitative easing, ultralow interest rates, 77 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: manipulated rates, interest rates which either in nominal terms or 78 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 1: adjusted for inflation, are negative. It's wonderful to have gold 79 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: in your portfolio, which uh doesn't cost you anything. If 80 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: you a third of all government bonds outstanding have negative 81 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: yields to maturities gold with gold, you don't have a 82 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: negative yield to maturity. There's something to be said for that. Now. 83 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: You also, in addition to your gold position, you have 84 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 1: of your assets in cash well and a little less 85 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: than that. You know, thanks to Brexit, we've been able 86 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: to put some of the cash to work. So I 87 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: believe now it's closer to thirty six six or which 88 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: is still sizeable to say the least. And the reason 89 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 1: is that we'd rather hold cash than force ourselves to 90 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 1: buy or hold overvalued securities. And yet around the world 91 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 1: we feel that most stocks and bonds are price for perfection, 92 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: to say elegantly. To say it less elegantly, I would 93 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: say that they often are at nose bleed valuation level. 94 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: And so to hold cash which cannot go down when 95 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 1: the stocks and bonds can go down is is a 96 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 1: great thing. Also, more importantly, Let's not forget that cash 97 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: has huge optionality value. Now, when people say you're supposed 98 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,839 Speaker 1: to pounce when this blood in the street, supposed to 99 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: buy low so that you can then sell high, you 100 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:02,040 Speaker 1: actually need cash to buy law. So the cash on 101 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 1: which we are making no money today, in fact we're 102 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: losing money after inflation, hopefully will help us by great 103 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 1: bargains in the future. Now, in addition to having the 104 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: cash that may be available, you also have to have 105 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: the discipline to hold cash, particularly when you may have 106 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 1: investors who say, well, I can hold cash, I don't 107 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:22,600 Speaker 1: need to pay you, or I don't need to have 108 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: a fund that holds cash. Comment on that absolutely, which 109 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 1: is why it's very important to have the right client base. 110 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: The overwhelmed majority of our clients, many of which come 111 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 1: to us through financial advisors, and we do have a 112 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: few institutional investors, what they expect from us is protection 113 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: of of of the wealth. Ultimately, capal preservation is more 114 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: important for them two become very rich. This is saying 115 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 1: you only need to be rich ones. So in many 116 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: ways things are asymmetrical. Likewise, some of our clients are 117 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: are not so rich, and you if you're not so rich, 118 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 1: you cannot ord to lose the little you have, so 119 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 1: which doesn't mean that you should not, um you know, 120 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: own risky assets in your portfolio. It means that the 121 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: risk reward has to be stacked in your favor for 122 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: you to own risk assets. Which is why we value investors. 123 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: We like to buy securities whenever they trade at what 124 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: we believe is a is a big discount, a big 125 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: margin of safety. To use Benjamin Graham's words Benjamin Graham, 126 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: the father of investing, we like to buy things at 127 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: a discount so as to make sure that the risk 128 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: reward is stacked in our and our clients favor. Is 129 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 1: that consistent with the idea that you know you make it? 130 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: For example, when you buy a home, you make your 131 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: money really when you purchase the house, not when you 132 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: sell the house, but when you purchase it. Yeah, of course, 133 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: and the irony play is that you you don't know 134 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: it at the time, but absolutely the the altar, the 135 00:07:55,560 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: most important variable determinant of the investment outcome is the 136 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 1: price and and and the v I v A stands 137 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 1: will value. And it's not because interest rates are low 138 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 1: that we will uh, we will change at our weare 139 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 1: of investing. We're speaking with Charles Davohe is the chief 140 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: investment officer for International Value Advisors. Just to note that 141 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: the i v A Worldwide Fund is up about three 142 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: and a half percent so far this year. The i 143 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: v A International Fund, I believe is up more than 144 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: two and that is with this gold holding and with 145 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: your cash position. Speak if you can about those bargains 146 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: or potential bargains that you may have seen in the 147 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: United Kingdom because of the Brexit vote on June. Well, 148 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 1: we've added to a stock which trades in the UK 149 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: called Millennium and Copthorn. Now they are a subsidiary of 150 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: a Singapore Group City Development. They do own a few 151 00:08:57,520 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 1: hotels in the UK, but overwhelmingly they're hotels are in 152 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: Asia and a few in the US and on. If 153 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: you look at the value of all the hotels they own, 154 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: compare it to the share price, you'll notice that the 155 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 1: stock is significantly undervalued. Tell me about Bank of America. 156 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: They just released their results and it seemed as though 157 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 1: the market is responding favorably. The shares are up about 158 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: three and three quarters of our percent today. Yes, we 159 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 1: like the fact that Bank of America is very US centric, 160 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 1: very little exposure to the UK or Europe or Asia 161 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: for that matter, and we believe that they were trading 162 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: way too cheaply relative to JP Morgan and Wells Fogo, 163 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 1: which are perceived to be much better managed banks. And 164 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: we believe that there's been tremendous cost cutting going on 165 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 1: the Bank of America. There's a lot more to go. 166 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: The balance sheet is strong enough, and in the fullness 167 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: of time, whenever that is, when interest rates finally go 168 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 1: back up in the US, Bank of America will be 169 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: a beneficiary of that. A Stella's Pharmaceuticals. Now, this is 170 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: a Japanese based company, but it is really a global business. Absolutely. 171 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: They it's a thirty five billion market cap company. It's 172 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: a big company, although the name is not well known. 173 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: And one of their leading products is Prograph, which is 174 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 1: an immuno supresident used to prevent organ rejects. And the 175 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:26,319 Speaker 1: company is has one very strong balance sheet, has net 176 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: cash great, has a great pipeline of of products to 177 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: come existing products, and they have a remarkably un Japanese 178 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 1: capital education policy, meaning in a good sense, in the 179 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 1: sense that they are willing to pay dividends and when 180 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: the stock price is low enough, they're willing to massively 181 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: buy back their own shares, so we and the stock. 182 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 1: Even though the stock is has tripled over the past 183 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: six seven years, it's still a great bargain. Thanks very 184 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 1: much for giving us some great ideas. Charles Devo is 185 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 1: the Chief Investment Officer for International Value Advisors, helping to 186 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: manage more than eighteen billion dollars of customer assets. This 187 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg. Yeah,