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Speaker 1: What's up, friends, and welcome into betting pros college football

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Speaker 1: early line look for week six. We got the look

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Speaker 1: ahead for all the early lines, adjusted lines, the movement,

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Speaker 1: all the crazy stuff, and I got the dynamic duo

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Speaker 1: of Thorn Eistrom on Twitter at thor ku and Eric

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Speaker 1: Froton at c F Froton Boys. We are here to

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Speaker 1: get through all the games, try to get ahead once again.

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Speaker 2: I think in some instances it.

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Speaker 1: Didn't quite matter where we got too far ahead, but

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Speaker 1: the advantage of getting into some picks made me some

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Speaker 1: money this week. So may I say I love you

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Speaker 1: both and just I love you guys for making me money.

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Speaker 1: We're going to do it again here, though, I do

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Speaker 1: want to do our ritual Colorado conversation at the top

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Speaker 1: that I feel like one of the biggest bets this

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Speaker 1: week was centered around thor You and I talked about

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Speaker 1: that Colorado USC that line between like twenty four and

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Speaker 1: twenty one, and it didn't matter because Colorado made it

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Speaker 1: a thing and people probably made some good cash jumping

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Speaker 1: up on Colorad. I know you had it at twenty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. It moved up to twenty one

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Speaker 1: and a half. So they are going to have an

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Speaker 1: interesting matchup this week up against ASU, which you and

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Speaker 1: I were talking about ahead of time. But anything else

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Speaker 1: of note from week five that you want to hit

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Speaker 1: on real quick.

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Speaker 2: There was a couple of games we won because we

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Speaker 2: punched the ticket in on Sunday. The Colorado one didn't

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Speaker 2: end up mattering early on in that game, it looked

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Speaker 2: like it would you know, USC race out to that

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Speaker 2: twenty one point lead, but obviously Colorado played pretty well

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Speaker 2: in the second half. But yeah, there was a couple

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Speaker 2: where because of the threshold, depending on the date of

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Speaker 2: that you bought the ticket, you won or lost. So

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Speaker 2: a decent week, but yeah, let's find some winners today.

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Speaker 1: That's right, Froton and we were talking about this off

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Speaker 1: every We don't to get into all the details about it,

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Speaker 1: but it's been a very interesting year as far as

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Speaker 1: like the player props go in college football, and the

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Speaker 1: books might be pushing a little bit further. It's got

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Speaker 1: a little bit harder to jump in on it. But

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Speaker 1: how did the player market go for you?

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Speaker 2: This weekend?

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Speaker 3: Play market was incredible, you know, went nineteen and nine

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Speaker 3: sixty nine percent giggay and four to five on the

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Speaker 3: yelt lines. With plus three hundreds or more. This is

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Speaker 3: the first week the DraftKings has allowed ault lines on

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Speaker 3: college football player props, and in addition to that, they've

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Speaker 3: changed kind of the structure of how they're allowing you

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Speaker 3: to go and bet in person at the brick and

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Speaker 3: mortars because they want to track you on the apps. Okay,

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Speaker 3: the props dropped on Wednesday, and if you had the app,

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Speaker 3: you Drakkings, you could do it through that. However, if

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Speaker 3: you tried to do it through the traditional brick and

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Speaker 3: mortar locations, which has had been pretty much a staple

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Speaker 3: up to this point, you could not place a single

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Speaker 3: college props bet until Friday afternoon. They're getting smashed on

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Speaker 3: these plays and they're trying to mitigate the damages. Do

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Speaker 3: not let them do it, but be forewarned. If you're

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Speaker 3: betting on the app and you're doing well, which if

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Speaker 3: you're listening to myself or you're going to be doing

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Speaker 3: pretty well on the props front, they're going to come

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Speaker 3: for you. So you have to have other options.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I love haltlines, I like NFL outlines. One of

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Speaker 1: my favorite things has been finding some of my favorite

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Speaker 1: twenty five plus receiving yards, parlaying them together to get

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Speaker 1: into plus money. And I would have been two straight

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Speaker 1: weeks of hitting it if it weren't for Jordan Addison

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. But that's for another discussion.

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Speaker 2: Throw.

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Speaker 1: We're not going to talk about your Addison getting no targets.

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Speaker 1: We're not gonna talk about getting no targets right now.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about college here, not the NFL, and Jordan Addison,

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Speaker 1: me and Ericson are weeping. All right, Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the games here. We're jumping into Saturay. We've got a

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Speaker 1: bunch of great games. We've got a bunch of big, big,

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Speaker 1: big record teams. We've got top twenty five across the board.

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Speaker 1: A little bit later, we're also going to be talking

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Speaker 1: to you guys about some line movement and some potential

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Speaker 1: for adjusted line standouts. So that's going to be towards

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Speaker 1: the end here. But let's just jump right in to

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Speaker 1: this top game here. Oklahoma, Texas five and oh five

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Speaker 1: and oh the lined open up, Texas at five and

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Speaker 1: a half four. We're going to start with you and

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Speaker 1: this one. Your adjusted line though, comes in about two

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Speaker 1: and a half points lower, so Texas five and a

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Speaker 1: half favorite on the books now, but you're seeing only

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Speaker 1: a three point favorite. So is that an Oklahoma bet?

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Speaker 2: I think so? Yeah, you know, you're you're baking in there.

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Speaker 2: The books are baking, enter the markets, baking in attacks

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Speaker 2: on Texas. I'm not sure if it's justified in this spot.

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Speaker 2: These teams are closer than that. I think the fair

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Speaker 2: line is three. I mean maybe three and a half

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Speaker 2: if if you want to, you know, give a little

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Speaker 2: bit of a tax. But that thing at five and

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Speaker 2: a half, that is that is too high, and you

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Speaker 2: have room to move it down, you know, like you know,

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Speaker 2: because it's not going to go over the key numbers

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Speaker 2: or whatever. So you could potentially, you know, if you're

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Speaker 2: like myself, you like Oklahoma. I'm going to wait through

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Speaker 2: today and see if in the morning that thing is

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Speaker 2: at six, because it doesn't hurt you if it's down

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Speaker 2: to five and a half. The difference between five and

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Speaker 2: a half and four and a half, I mean, very

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Speaker 2: very rarely knock on what is it going to come

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Speaker 2: back to bite you? Whereas you get from five and

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Speaker 2: a half to six could be helpful. So that that's

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Speaker 2: one where I'll just be waiting a little bit. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma is to play.

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Speaker 1: I pity you for your show you have to do

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday. If you're going to tell Bogman any of

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Speaker 1: that business, by the way, he will not.

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Speaker 2: Hear at ut.

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Speaker 1: You just tell him to zip it. This is a

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Speaker 1: big one. This is a big week for him. He's

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Speaker 1: going to be all ut. But like you said, I

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Speaker 1: mean at this point, three point favorite maybe anything Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: you can wait because even if you've got to three

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Speaker 1: and a half, not that you'd want it. If you

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Speaker 1: can play the hook, if you're going to play Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: that might be in favor there. So Forton, what do

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Speaker 1: you think about this one? What is the early line,

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Speaker 1: what have the adjustments look like? What kind of line

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Speaker 1: movement are we looking at?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know it's Caesar's had this up there at

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Speaker 3: minus seven, you know, and we've got a pretty good

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Speaker 3: arbitrage opportunity a little bit, because like you're saying, you

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Speaker 3: it's it's there's no, there's not really a consensus that's

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Speaker 3: been built yet because you have plus four and a

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Speaker 3: half at you know, a showtime on FanDuel, minus seven

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Speaker 3: at Caesars, and that five to five and a half

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Speaker 3: everywhere else. So we'll see things kind of you know,

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Speaker 3: tighten up. But like I agree with Thorp, I think

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Speaker 3: you see this kind of moving towards that three mark,

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Speaker 3: and I don't see any reason why that wouldn't be

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Speaker 3: the case. I mean, obviously, Texas is Texas. Everybody wants

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Speaker 3: to do well. But this Oklahoma team has been a

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Speaker 3: wagon as well. Handled Cincinnati very well, destroyed Iowa State.

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Speaker 3: This is their first big test though, so this is

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Speaker 3: we'll find out what we got with ou.

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Speaker 1: Can you guys, either you think there's any like total

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Speaker 1: play here or is this going to be just a

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Speaker 1: straight play Oklahoma on the front for a time. Do

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Speaker 1: you think there's going to be any total play?

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Speaker 3: I'm going to lay off the total right now, you know,

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Speaker 3: just because these are both kind of defensive. At least

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma is Brett Vannables has turned this defense around. I mean,

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Speaker 3: they were a SIV last season and we were terrible.

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Speaker 3: So the fact that both of these teams are fielding

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Speaker 3: pre solid defenses, I mean, you want to believe that

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Speaker 3: this has got shootout all written all over it, But

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Speaker 3: I am going to take a step back and kind

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Speaker 3: of wait and see to see how this moves.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, thor I'm seeing fifty eight was the Vegas line

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Speaker 1: and you've got sixty actually on this So is you

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Speaker 1: think that's going to be something to watch on the

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Speaker 1: total or just maybe stay away?

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Speaker 2: In general? I would lean over. Yeah, you know what,

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Speaker 2: what you're hoping for you you go over is that

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Speaker 2: it's a pretty competitive game, and that's what I think

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be. I think both these teams absolutely have

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Speaker 2: a shot to crack the thirty point a barrier in

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Speaker 2: a kind of game like that, So I would absolutely

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Speaker 2: lean into over. And Texas's defense it gives you a

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Speaker 2: real real problems if you can't throw, you know, if

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Speaker 2: you're you need to be led by your running foot.

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Speaker 2: But I think Oklahoma can avoid that nasty defensive line

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Speaker 2: pretty decent here with the way that they play and

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Speaker 2: trying to do the quick hitting passes whatever to the outside.

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Speaker 2: It's a better way to attack the Texas defense. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I you know, I would lean the over in this one,

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Speaker 2: all right, So there you go.

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Speaker 1: I mean not every time, by the way, when we

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Speaker 1: look at some of these early lines, are there bets

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Speaker 1: for everybody? Not every single game we talked about with

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Speaker 1: the early line is a bet. Sometimes we tell you

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Speaker 1: to wait for it. Here is one where there might

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Speaker 1: be some bets you can take advantage of. Let's move

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Speaker 1: over to another set of undefeated Maryland against Ohio State

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Speaker 1: OSU five and oh versus four. Now, this line opened

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Speaker 1: up around eighteen on OSU, so for a time, let's

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Speaker 1: start with you. Thor's line is a little bit lower.

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Speaker 1: It looks like, so what say you on any line

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Speaker 1: movement to be looking out for? What to look out

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Speaker 1: for for this game?

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Speaker 2: In your eyes?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, last weekend I was on the field for that

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Speaker 3: Ohio State Notre Dame game, and my gosh, I mean

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Speaker 3: in terms of being a close and personal that first half,

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Speaker 3: I had real concerns. But we saw out of their

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Speaker 3: starting quarterback Kyle McCord. You know, this is a first

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Speaker 3: year starter. You're dealing with an injury to Marvin Harrison

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Speaker 3: that week as well. You know we're off a bye week.

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Speaker 3: But look, he was down on the field and he

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Speaker 3: was dinged up. That gives me pause, That gives me concern.

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Speaker 3: Maryland has been, you know, a buzz saw. They've had

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Speaker 3: a nice, tidy little schedule. Obviously it's showtime now against

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. But this is more of a defense oriented

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Speaker 3: Ohio State, like their defensive line was exceptional against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 3: Like we kind of expected that. I thought we might

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Speaker 3: get a little more of a scoring fest, and that

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Speaker 3: didn't happen. Obviously, as a we sorry, we got a

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Speaker 3: rock fight. I think it's because that defense is legit.

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Speaker 3: I don't think that Maryland's gonna be able to exert

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Speaker 3: their will. I was at the Elite eleven final in

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Speaker 3: Redondo Beach this summer. How Leah Tagavyloa was there as

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Speaker 3: one of the counselors. I watched him throw in person,

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Speaker 3: and I was less than impressed in terms of how

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Speaker 3: he looked compared to Pennix and Jaden Daniels, who are

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Speaker 3: also there as part of the counselors and stuff going

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Speaker 3: through going through their progressions. And I think that with

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Speaker 3: the way Ohio State's defense is looking this year, you know,

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Speaker 3: this is year two of Knowles, and he has clearly

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Speaker 3: guide his system in place. Now, I think they're going

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Speaker 3: to be able to handle Maryland, And I feel pretty

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Speaker 3: good about laying these points.

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Speaker 1: Finally, Yeah, and there's not a big difference so far

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Speaker 1: in your adjusted line to what we're seeing on the public.

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Speaker 1: So what do you think on this game? Is this

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Speaker 1: something that in regards wardless of whatever it is we're talking,

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Speaker 1: we're hitting OSU. Is there something you want to wait for?

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Speaker 1: Is there a play in this game early on?

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Speaker 2: Well, I think the objectively fair line in this game

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Speaker 2: is Ohio State minus seventeen and a half, but going

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Speaker 2: over eighteen it's another relevant number. So you know, I

226
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Speaker 2: don't think that there's anything right now with it sitting

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Speaker 2: in that dead zone at eighteen and a half or

228
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Speaker 2: whatever that you're gonna be that's going to inspire you

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Speaker 2: to bet this thing today. You know, if it comes

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Speaker 2: back down to seventeen and a half and it looks

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Speaker 2: like a seventeen is in play, that would sort of

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Speaker 2: change things. Or if it goes the other direction around

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Speaker 2: nineteen and a half on the precipice of twenty, I

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Speaker 2: would imagine there's better odds of the former as opposed

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Speaker 2: to the ladder. But right now that's not one where

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Speaker 2: we have to bet it today.

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Speaker 1: So but what side are you going to look? I

238
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Speaker 1: know you just kind of laid out like if it

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Speaker 1: gets to nineteen, it sounds like you might hit Maryland.

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Speaker 1: If it gets to seventeen. You're interested in no issue,

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Speaker 1: but like, is there one you want to hit? Is

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Speaker 1: there one that you want to see in this show?

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Speaker 2: I would prefer the cash to flow in on Ohio

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Speaker 2: state and get a shot at potentially twenty, but I

245
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Speaker 2: don't know that it can get up a point and

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Speaker 2: a half that direction. And like I said that, the

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Speaker 2: side to me would be Marylyn if you know, if

248
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Speaker 2: we can get any you know the advantage on that

249
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Speaker 2: side of it if it gets pushed up that way.

250
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Speaker 2: But yeah, where it is right now, there's no value

251
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Speaker 2: for Sunday early Monday bat with that line there.

252
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Speaker 1: All right, we've got LSU who's three and two, battling

253
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Speaker 1: it out with Missouri who is five and oh so

254
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Speaker 1: LSU is coming in six and a half point road

255
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Speaker 1: favorite currently, but Thor will kick it off with you here,

256
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Speaker 1: your adjusted line is showing us. If the line is

257
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Speaker 1: at six and a half, there's tons of movement by

258
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Speaker 1: the time you guys listen to this. But like we're

259
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Speaker 1: seeing over or at least two points of value on

260
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Speaker 1: your system in favor of Missouri. So is Missouri going

261
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Speaker 1: to be a bet here for you? What do you

262
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Speaker 1: think on LSU Missouri.

263
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Speaker 2: Yeahs a Kansas alum. You know it's hard for me

264
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Speaker 2: to advocate you putting your money on Missouri, but this

265
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Speaker 2: is an objectively inflated line. LSU. They keep getting more

266
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Speaker 2: credit than they deserve because of their name, name brand,

267
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Speaker 2: and our expectations heading in to the season, and well,

268
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Speaker 2: the offense on LSU has absolutely met those expectations. Their

269
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Speaker 2: LSU's defense is a travesty and the lines are not

270
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Speaker 2: yet reflecting that. This would be an example of that

271
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Speaker 2: Missouri can do some stuff on offense. It's not the

272
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Speaker 2: most high powered, superpowered kind of offense, but they do

273
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Speaker 2: have a high octane NFL talent in Luther Burden. LSU

274
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Speaker 2: can't cover mediocre receivers. Luthor Burden is going to go

275
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Speaker 2: off in this game. It's going to be like a

276
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Speaker 2: ten catch for more than one hundred and fifty yards

277
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Speaker 2: and multiple touchdowns kind of game. And with laying the

278
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Speaker 2: six and a half, it's it's too many points. But

279
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Speaker 2: you know that the public is going to be on

280
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Speaker 2: LSU just because of the name brands. I'm I'm going

281
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Speaker 2: to be watching that one close for the rest of

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Speaker 2: the day because I would love to get a seven

283
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Speaker 2: ticket on Missouri. But that's that's sort of where we're

284
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Speaker 2: at right now. My line be an LSU minus four.

285
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Speaker 1: So fortun do you think we could see what type

286
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Speaker 1: of line movement do you think it's going to be

287
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Speaker 1: attached to this game? Do you think we could get

288
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Speaker 1: this to seven pipe dreams seven and a half? What

289
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Speaker 1: do you think on this game?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

291
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Speaker 3: For me, I mean what am I looking at? I'm

292
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Speaker 3: looking at that over under because if you watched LSU

293
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Speaker 3: versus Old miss this week, that game almost went over

294
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Speaker 3: in the first half. If we're talking about the sixty

295
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Speaker 3: two and a half line right now, because as stated LSU,

296
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Speaker 3: it's it's real. They're in trouble here. And with Missouri,

297
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Speaker 3: we've already seen him take out Kansas State, who was

298
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Speaker 3: a damn quality team. You know that I certainly have

299
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Speaker 3: some respect for, and especially on the coaching side of things,

300
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Speaker 3: with the way that LSU looked with their complete They

301
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Speaker 3: didn't get a single, they weren't even anywhere near Jackson

302
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Speaker 3: Dark last weekend. They didn't get a sack. They weren't

303
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Speaker 3: even harassing him. They were doing He had all the

304
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Speaker 3: time in the world do whatever he wanted. And if

305
00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,280
Speaker 3: you're going to allow that to happen. I know this

306
00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:53,240
Speaker 3: is Brady Cook, but like Thor said, you know yet,

307
00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:56,400
Speaker 3: Cody Schrader is doing just fine in terms of on

308
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Speaker 3: the ground, Like they're able to at least have a

309
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Speaker 3: pretty decent push.

310
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Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to do.

311
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Speaker 3: What they want LSU. They're not going to be stopped

312
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Speaker 3: by Missouri either, while the defense is decent, Like I

313
00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:09,320
Speaker 3: don't think they're gonna be able to stop Jade Daniels

314
00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,959
Speaker 3: is legit. You got Malik Neighbors. Brian Thomas has really

315
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,600
Speaker 3: emerged this season too as a very strong number two.

316
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Speaker 3: He's put himself in an NFL draft, you know, sort

317
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Speaker 3: of circles now with everybody looking so Logan Diggs as

318
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Speaker 3: well had a really nice game. He's been looking good

319
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Speaker 3: on the ground. Like this offense, I don't have a

320
00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,920
Speaker 3: problem with for else too. It's as we say, it's

321
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Speaker 3: the d I can't see this game not being a

322
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Speaker 3: boat race. Like I'm I'm looking over, I think it

323
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Speaker 3: ends up ticking up for sixt two and a half.

324
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Speaker 1: So thora, what do you think though, because your system

325
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 1: eight points eight point differential from what that line opened up.

326
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,520
Speaker 1: That was so interesting hearing for adun talk about that,

327
00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,600
Speaker 1: but we got a sixty two open it looks like

328
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Speaker 1: the old runner and you have got fifty four on that.

329
00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,240
Speaker 1: So is that something you can touch? Because there's an

330
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,840
Speaker 1: a bunch of value on the under, I would say

331
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Speaker 1: where you're going with this, but is that something you

332
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Speaker 1: want to touch?

333
00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:59,880
Speaker 2: You're not about any LSU unders this year. I forget it.

334
00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,320
Speaker 2: I'm going to be going into my system, pulling the

335
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:05,520
Speaker 2: wires back, getting deep in there and trying to see

336
00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:07,800
Speaker 2: why it is why I was advocating for an under

337
00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,360
Speaker 2: on LSU. LSU is a weird team, like with the

338
00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 2: handicapp thing, because every game they plan, it's going to

339
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,520
Speaker 2: facilitate a shootout. It is lfu's only path to win,

340
00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,080
Speaker 2: and talent wise, they do have more talent and most

341
00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,360
Speaker 2: of the opponents that they play, so it is going

342
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,640
Speaker 2: to force shootouts. They can't win a low scoring game,

343
00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:26,280
Speaker 2: and they're often too good for it to be a

344
00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,400
Speaker 2: low scoring game. So I mean, that's that's what you're

345
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,480
Speaker 2: going to see that my system has made a terrible mistake.

346
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Speaker 2: When I get off, I'm gonna have a talking to

347
00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,400
Speaker 2: with it. But don't bet an underun on an LFU game.

348
00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:35,800
Speaker 2: All year.

349
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 3: You know what could it could be fun?

350
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:40,880
Speaker 1: Just throat is what if if your system is going

351
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Speaker 1: to have it, you might have some other systems out there.

352
00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:44,920
Speaker 1: If could we have a chance of that line getting

353
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Speaker 1: pulled down at all? Or do you think everyone's going

354
00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,560
Speaker 1: to be like lol and just smash overs? Because I'm

355
00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:51,800
Speaker 1: just wondering if systems at all are going to play

356
00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,120
Speaker 1: to unders what if that line comes down a little

357
00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,080
Speaker 1: bit more, then I'll be talking about, Hey, this is

358
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 1: a fun over to this is a smash over. I

359
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:00,760
Speaker 1: don't know what you think about that, Proton.

360
00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:05,400
Speaker 3: I think, yeah, I mean, certainly we approach smash over potential.

361
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,600
Speaker 3: But I mean in addition to that, if we're talking

362
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:10,120
Speaker 3: over is, I can't wait to see what the the

363
00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:14,200
Speaker 3: alt lines are listed on for LSU and for uh,

364
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,440
Speaker 3: you know, Luthor Burden from Missouri, Like, where are those

365
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:17,360
Speaker 3: guys gonna be lined?

366
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 2: Because you can see high enough. This is why, this

367
00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 2: is why we have all lines.

368
00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:27,040
Speaker 3: This is why we you know you we we salivate

369
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,360
Speaker 3: at the potential of that. And the good thing about

370
00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:31,400
Speaker 3: all lines too is the books they're not going to

371
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,760
Speaker 3: mess with you, especially on the apps. If you're going

372
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,000
Speaker 3: with all lines because they perceive that to be more risk,

373
00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,480
Speaker 3: and all they want to do is isolate you to

374
00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:40,400
Speaker 3: a clean one on one bet where they're getting you

375
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 3: at minus one thirty five, not when they're getting you

376
00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:45,000
Speaker 3: with plus three hundred, because they think you're taking on

377
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,440
Speaker 3: the risk protimes game they're taking on the rusk.

378
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,480
Speaker 2: I would like to start a news fegmen here of

379
00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,840
Speaker 2: you guess the closing line on Luther Burden or you

380
00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:55,200
Speaker 2: guess Proton guests with the closing line. So just for

381
00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:58,080
Speaker 2: context for the audience, I'm gonna give you Luthor Burdens

382
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,280
Speaker 2: five receiving lines so far, and then for time is

383
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 2: gonna guess what his receiving total closes out against LFU.

384
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:06,160
Speaker 2: Five games so far for Luther Burden seven ninety six,

385
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:10,200
Speaker 2: one eight one seventeen zero, seven one fourteen to two

386
00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:14,640
Speaker 2: ten one seventy seven zero, and then this past week

387
00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:18,639
Speaker 2: against Vanderbilt eleven and two. Where does that receiving total

388
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:19,280
Speaker 2: against LSU?

389
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:24,440
Speaker 3: And I haven't seen a receiving total above I want

390
00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 3: to say a Dunza is the highest I've seen. He's

391
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,359
Speaker 3: about one oh nine and a half, so like he

392
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 3: would have to that's been the ceiling in terms of

393
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,040
Speaker 3: wide receivers. So I'm gonna I'm gonna put him at

394
00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,240
Speaker 3: like I'm gonna put him at one oh four and

395
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:42,680
Speaker 3: a half because it's LSU. And that's what the book

396
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,360
Speaker 3: see is, like you said, they see the initialism just LSU,

397
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:48,880
Speaker 3: and they're gonna probably put him there. He might even

398
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:50,760
Speaker 3: be under one hundred. You might even get him at

399
00:17:50,760 --> 00:17:53,640
Speaker 3: If you get him under hundred, I mean, it's magically.

400
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,680
Speaker 3: Let's go and let's get the alt line too, because

401
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 3: then you get a one to twenty five plus alt

402
00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,160
Speaker 3: line that's gonna be at like one seventy five plus,

403
00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,760
Speaker 3: you know, maybe plus two hundred, And that's a dream.

404
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,679
Speaker 3: I mean, that's one twenty five if you can get

405
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 3: plus money on it, plus one fifty plus one, say,

406
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:10,240
Speaker 3: how can we not?

407
00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:14,480
Speaker 2: How can we not? Let's get that four ground fourteen? Yeah,

408
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,520
Speaker 2: four straight. He's gone over one hundred four, you know,

409
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 2: one hundred and fourteen or above whatever. And he's not

410
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 2: gone under seven catches in a game too, So the

411
00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 2: reception are something to look at too. And and and

412
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,600
Speaker 2: LSU doesn't they don't dare put out receipt. Yeah, they

413
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,800
Speaker 2: can't get heat on the quarterback. And then They also

414
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,399
Speaker 2: have this bizarre strategy with their coverage where they give

415
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:33,280
Speaker 2: you all the cuttion and you always have separation, Like

416
00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:35,159
Speaker 2: the guys will just do the shallow cross and on

417
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,120
Speaker 2: the other side of the field, the field just wide

418
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,400
Speaker 2: outen you have a halo around you. They just catch

419
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:41,119
Speaker 2: it for free, you know, five yards there and the

420
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,399
Speaker 2: turn up field there's nobody there invariably. I don't know

421
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,879
Speaker 2: what's going on with that team, but yeah, smasher burdenovers

422
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 2: this week.

423
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,000
Speaker 1: All right, you guys got your bet, you got what

424
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 1: to look for. One more game in the early like

425
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:53,919
Speaker 1: this is like a noon game, I think, but right

426
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:57,320
Speaker 1: in the early ISSU slate, we've got Washington State, who's

427
00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:01,080
Speaker 1: four and oh going against UCLAA is a three point

428
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: favorite ish in the market here fro time, let's start

429
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,160
Speaker 1: with you. What type of line movement are we looking at?

430
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 1: Have we seen already? Because it looks like you've got

431
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:10,879
Speaker 1: something big for us on this one, guys.

432
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 3: This is the line drop of the week so far

433
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 3: when it comes to the game total started out at

434
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,520
Speaker 3: sixty seven and a half. We are now sitting at

435
00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 3: fifty eight and a half plus or minus. When we're

436
00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,240
Speaker 3: looking around here, depending where you're looking at it for

437
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 3: right now. Oh my gosh, I mean, you know that's

438
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,639
Speaker 3: that's as big as it gets. And we're talking about

439
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 3: Washington State. Man, what more can you say about this

440
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 3: Wazoo team. Hey, Luke Fickle, welcome the Power five Bang

441
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:42,720
Speaker 3: takes out Wisconsin. Oh, here we go. You know last

442
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 3: week or you know, their last game, they played Oregon State,

443
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:50,320
Speaker 3: who just handled Utah, gave up seven points. You know,

444
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 3: I mean no problem with Utah, Oregon State, and Wazoo

445
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:58,800
Speaker 3: handled them pretty easily to throwing heat all right, nine

446
00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 3: point six yards per pare starps, averaging a first down

447
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:06,159
Speaker 3: every single pass attempt, fifteenth in success rate, twentieth and

448
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:09,600
Speaker 3: epa per play. You know, this is a Lazoo team

449
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 3: that is fully formed and Jake Superior Dickard deserves all

450
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 3: the praise that he's getting. On the other side, UCLA

451
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,640
Speaker 3: twelfth in pace. You know they still want a rock

452
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 3: and roll here, dtr gone, Sharvining gone, Bobo gone. And

453
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 3: you can see that Dante more superstar five star prospect

454
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 3: who had the pleasure of watching at the Elite eleven

455
00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 3: last year. The kid's great. I think he's going to

456
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 3: be a star but he has to come up to

457
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 3: speed a little bit here. He's a true freshman, and

458
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 3: he's working with a whole new set of skill position

459
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 3: players that are relatively unproven when it comes to them.

460
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 3: I mean, this isn't the UCLA team of twenty twenty two,

461
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,959
Speaker 3: forty fourth EPA per play, sixty seventh success rate, sixty

462
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 3: eighth in points per drive. They only putting up twenty

463
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 3: three points a game.

464
00:20:58,720 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: They're leaning on.

465
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,159
Speaker 3: Their d I mean, when was the last time a

466
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 3: Chip Kelly team leaned on their defense?

467
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:03,239
Speaker 2: You know?

468
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 3: Fifth and EPA per play three point nine yards per play.

469
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 3: That's pretty damn good. I mean, that's second in the country.

470
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 3: So that's really what we're looking at here is that

471
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 3: the markets are expecting Wazoo to be able to suppress

472
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 3: you know, Dante Moore a little bit. Give them some

473
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 3: problems with Carlson Steele and to Mari and Harden carrying

474
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:26,719
Speaker 3: the ball. But I mean, I'll tell you, I just

475
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 3: I like Wazoo. I like what they've been doing. Cam

476
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 3: Ward looks like a different player this year now that

477
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:35,439
Speaker 3: he's got you know, you hear people saying was it

478
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 3: ben Arbuckle at Western Kentucky or was it Zach Kittley,

479
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 3: Well maybe it was Ben Rbuckle who's doing it because

480
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 3: they're rocking and rolling. I like Wazoo, and I think

481
00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 3: that this is an over correction here, and I'm gonna

482
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 3: go on the other side there with a flat fifty

483
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 3: eight and a half. I'm leaning on that over and

484
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 3: I like Wazoo. Minus three given.

485
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 1: To me, well thought, this is gonna be interesting because

486
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 1: it's three. Your system has a four and a half,

487
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 1: well four points having to be exact, So we're closing

488
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 1: in on two point differential in favor of UCLA on this.

489
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 1: And I would also throw out has got a two

490
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 1: point higher than what that drop on the total was.

491
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: So are you with the Wazoo. Your system says not

492
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,159
Speaker 1: down the UCLA play. What do you think about this one?

493
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 2: Well, this might be a first disagreement with Forroton today.

494
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 2: I'm on UCLA in this one. UCLA coming off of buye,

495
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 2: so they'll have the two weeks and then Wazoo, a

496
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: team that plays much better in Pullman. We know that

497
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 2: now they need to go on the road to this

498
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 2: team that's coming off of bye. That like Forroton's mentioning,

499
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 2: UCLA has a really good defense this year, Dante Moore,

500
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 2: you know, as the true freshman. It's the one thing

501
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,879
Speaker 2: that concerns you about this game. Ucla right now eighty

502
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 2: seventh in passing success rate, one hundred and thirteenth in

503
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 2: passing completion rate, one hundred and seventeenth in interception rate.

504
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,760
Speaker 2: That is a concern for sure. But UCLA's defense is

505
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 2: really good right now fifteenth rushing success rate number one,

506
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 2: suppressing mark explosiveness in the run game for the opponent.

507
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 2: They're also topically to this game because obviously Wazoo and

508
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 2: cam Word throw a lot forty fourth in passing success

509
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 2: rate on defense for UCLA, thirty second suppressing the explosiveness,

510
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 2: and they're top five in the nation and yards per

511
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 2: drop back allowed. I think UCLA's defense can do stuff

512
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: here to a Wazoo offense. It's now traveling on the road,

513
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 2: and we've seen in the Pac twelve this scenario where

514
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 2: it's like, you know, the team that's been hot, it

515
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 2: goes on the road and then things go the other way.

516
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 2: I got bit by a last week trying to support

517
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 2: Utah against Oregon State. Then Utah is obviously a different

518
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 2: team on the road than they are at home. You

519
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 2: could say the same thing about Wazoo. I think this

520
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: is a sneaky spot here for UCLA to you know,

521
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,360
Speaker 2: sort of affirm themselves, make their statement to the nation

522
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: in this game.

523
00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:57,600
Speaker 1: This would be a good one to track. We can

524
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,280
Speaker 1: be able to have another anything else on this fro times.

525
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 3: On the other side, you know. And Thor's not rhy.

526
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,919
Speaker 3: I mean, I totally understand his methodology. I guess my

527
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:08,920
Speaker 3: concern is that UCLA hasn't played anybody. So while those

528
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 3: numbers are incredible, I mean they're average. They're a welling

529
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 3: twelve points a game, you know, I mean that's phenomenal.

530
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 3: Col soo Carolina San Diego, a horrific San Diego State

531
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,240
Speaker 3: team when we personally assure you that as a resident

532
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:25,399
Speaker 3: UNC Central and then Utah went and throttled them, you know,

533
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 3: five percent win expectancy in that Utah game. They haven't

534
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 3: then beaten anybody any good. They couldn't do anything against Utah.

535
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 3: And now, like I think we're ascribing a little more

536
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 3: talent to them and putting a little more into those

537
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:41,360
Speaker 3: numbers that don't carry weight because of the opponents. I've

538
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 3: seen Wazoo do it against two damn good teams. So

539
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,880
Speaker 3: that's just my methodology and why I feel that way.

540
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 3: But hey, maybe we'll get another helmet bet Thor.

541
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 1: I I was about to say the Wazoo UCLA. This

542
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 1: is the Thor versus Troton. Boh, we'll come back to

543
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: that for next week. You guys want to track all

544
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,879
Speaker 1: of the bets from the pros and just some of

545
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 1: the people that are hot, go over to the Betting

546
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,439
Speaker 1: Pros app today. Download that on iOS or Android. You

547
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 1: can follow the top experts, top rated betters, betters that

548
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: are on hot streaks, and you can get instant notifications.

549
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 1: Now I am no college, big better, but I will

550
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 1: tell you you are going to see the bets that

551
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 1: I put up there if you decide to follow me

552
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: that we talk about on this show where I've talked

553
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 1: about with Proton and Thor. I follow those Texas A

554
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 1: and m Smash. I had that early in the week.

555
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 1: But you can follow Thor. So don't follow my hot

556
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:30,879
Speaker 1: streaks is really what I'm saying unless you're on the

557
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: NFL Props. I have been very good there. But Thor

558
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,439
Speaker 1: you can get locked in with all of his bets.

559
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 1: You can make yours and tons of others. You can

560
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 1: customize the notifications to the sport to ROI positive markets

561
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 1: for the betters that you follow at the end.

562
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 3: Of the day.

563
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: Take advantage of all the awesome features. Download the Betting

564
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 1: prosapp today at bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or just

565
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: go to Betting Pros in.

566
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 2: Your app store.

567
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,159
Speaker 1: Get locked in and get jamming, my friends. Let's go

568
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 1: to some afternoon games. Alabama and Texas A and M.

569
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,679
Speaker 1: The aforementioned four and one, four and one. Alabama's got

570
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: a hook three and a half favorite, but four you

571
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 1: got your system as an almost pick them slight little

572
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: favorite to Alabama, but this is under a point differential.

573
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 1: So Alabama, Texas, A and M. Is there a bet

574
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 1: for you? Are you gonna take A and M on this?

575
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 2: Especially with that hook? What do you think? Definitely? I

576
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 2: think A and M is gonna win this game?

577
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 1: Uh money line also we got a money line that then.

578
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're you know, this is when we're monitoring because

579
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 2: right now, being at three and a half, you like

580
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 2: A and M. You don't want it to toggle the three.

581
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 2: You lose a little bit of value there, but you

582
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,679
Speaker 2: gain the value gets to four. So I'm watching that

583
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,439
Speaker 2: one closely right now that the market the Sharks are

584
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 2: sort of circling it, but we are at three and

585
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 2: a half as we record this on Sunday afternoon. But

586
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:46,400
Speaker 2: either way, I'm all over A and M this week.

587
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,400
Speaker 2: I don't care the Max. I said this last week

588
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,200
Speaker 2: when we were talking about the A and m Arkansas game.

589
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 2: I do not care that Max Shawnson is starting, et cetera.

590
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 2: Connor Weegman. They're different quarterbacks, but qualitatively, I don't see

591
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 2: Max Shawnson as a drop off in there. Now he

592
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 2: has you know, now it's a game and a half

593
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 2: that he's had sort of getting his sea legs back

594
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 2: under him. Max Johnson's obviously super duper experienced as well.

595
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: I really like A and M's defense. Last year it

596
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 2: was super one sided where they just couldn't stop the run,

597
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: but they were really good against the pass last year.

598
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 2: Now they're good against both. They can also run the ball.

599
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,959
Speaker 2: They have various weapons. And Nea Smith coming off the

600
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 2: injury now it's been three straight good games for him.

601
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 2: And by the way, this is one of my prop

602
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 2: angles from last week. Max Johnson loved looking at Anya

603
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,639
Speaker 2: Smith earlier on when he know, during his tenure at

604
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,680
Speaker 2: Texas A and M when he got starts, so you know,

605
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 2: the two good games in Ia Smith had and then

606
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 2: into last week that was a smash overplay and it

607
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,919
Speaker 2: easily got there. He got there very very early. I

608
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 2: think this could be a week to go over on

609
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:48,120
Speaker 2: Max Johnson's passing yards in addition to that. But either way,

610
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 2: A and M in college station is a very real

611
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,880
Speaker 2: threat threat to Alabama, and I think they beat him.

612
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 1: I very much like watching them, and I very much

613
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,680
Speaker 1: like cashing my Texas A and M tickets last week.

614
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 1: So we might just ride it again. Throton, what do

615
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 1: you think? What type of line movement? Where is the

616
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:04,440
Speaker 1: play in your eyes in this game?

617
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 2: Oh boy?

618
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:07,680
Speaker 3: Well, in terms of the consensus where you know, as

619
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 3: we discussed this, DraftKings put this at minus three. Consensus

620
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,239
Speaker 3: was minus seven and a half for a while here.

621
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:18,479
Speaker 3: I don't know how that will transpire when it finally

622
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 3: comes down to when this drops, but it was. It's

623
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 3: kind of a you know, legitimate outlier with DraftKings, and

624
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 3: that's that's more in line with what Thor was talking about.

625
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 3: You know, we were at seven and a half and

626
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,959
Speaker 3: we're dropping and it's gonna keep dropping. And I'm right

627
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 3: there with them. Well, I guess my concerns here on

628
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 3: each team. You look at a m and you know,

629
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 3: they beat a flawed Arkansas team thirty four to twenty two.

630
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 3: They rushed for forty two yards on thirty nine carries.

631
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know what you want to do

632
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 3: on that. I mean, that's that's just terrible. Lost to

633
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 3: byu eighty six percent went expectancy. You know that Arkansas team.

634
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 3: It's just a terrible Arkansas team. So it's hard for

635
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 3: to really gauge it. You know, be held all or

636
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 3: and the two hun total yards, fifty six passing yards,

637
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 3: text stantum. This d is real, you know, like it's

638
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 3: it's been doing it second in defensive returning production too.

639
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 3: So this is a very This is a battle tested defense.

640
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 3: And going up against an Alabama team that looked averaging

641
00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 3: three hundred and fifty yards a game. Was the last

642
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 3: time Alabama did that, you know, the mceilroy era, Like

643
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 3: this is this is a throwback Alabama team. You saw

644
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 3: they were afraid to let Jalen Millro throw it through

645
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 3: twelve passes last week, you know, against Mississippi State, a

646
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 3: cream puff who's clearly in the rebuild over there in

647
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 3: the SEC West. You know, fifty fourth in yards per play,

648
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 3: fifty first and success rate sixty second in EPA per play.

649
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 3: Alabama's run they're one hundredth in team pace, Like, this

650
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 3: is a totally different Derrick Henry esque sort of a team.

651
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 3: And they don't want to put the ball in the air.

652
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 3: And that's a problem because this is one dimensional. My

653
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 3: only concern about A and M is unlike thorp Man,

654
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 3: I do have concerns about Max Johnson A Naia Smith.

655
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 3: I also was on that prop good call, absolutely, and

656
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 3: the reason why is you saw it when he got

657
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 3: in in that first contest. You know, when he came

658
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 3: in halfway through, when Connor Wegman got hurt. He was

659
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 3: focusing on the middle of the field. He doesn't feel

660
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 3: comfortable hitting those outs, and that suppressed you know, an

661
00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 3: incredible wide receiver, Evan Stewart, and it caused him to

662
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 3: kind of lock onto that A Naias Smith because he

663
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 3: needs that guy dragging. He needs to do the quick ones.

664
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 3: He needs to see right in front of himself. He

665
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 3: isn't as confident to the boundaries and when you're playing

666
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 3: against an Alabama defense which both of these teams to strike.

667
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 3: So these defenses, I mean these two rock solid d's

668
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 3: and a couple of vlawed offenses.

669
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 2: You know.

670
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 3: So I feel pretty good about the under here because

671
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 3: I think we're gonna get.

672
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 2: A rock fight.

673
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 3: That's kind of what Alabama has been breeding a little bit.

674
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 3: Look what they did against all Miss. All Miss has

675
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 3: got a legit offense. They scored, They scored on the

676
00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 3: first drive. Jackson Dart went and strolled in the end

677
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 3: zone and they got a field goal the rest of

678
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 3: the game and looked horrible. I think they're gonna be

679
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 3: able to shut it down. I think we got a

680
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 3: rock fighter our hands, all.

681
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: Right, So we got a thor Texas A and M

682
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: and a Froton under. If you guys are looking at that,

683
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 1: let's go over to Syracuse and North Carolina four and one.

684
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 1: Syracuse four and oh North Carolina. The line has a

685
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 1: nine and a half favorite on North Carolina.

686
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 2: Thoor.

687
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:28,640
Speaker 1: We're going to get to you in a second because

688
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 1: your system has got something very interesting. But fro time,

689
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: why don't you talk to us about this? Isn't one

690
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: of your Froton locked in games that we have on

691
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 1: some of these. But is there any movement, anything that

692
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 1: you want to drop into this one, anything we should

693
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: be looking out for.

694
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 3: Well, I mean when it comes to North Carolina, you know,

695
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 3: took out South Carolina. Yeah, did a pretty good job

696
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 3: with that. Had a little stumble against Appalachian State, but man,

697
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 3: they had no issues with Minnesota and Pitt I mean,

698
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 3: Drake may looks like he's back. And this is a

699
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 3: talent team. You got to remember with North Carolina, and

700
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 3: they take a lot of heat, you know for their defense,

701
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 3: which of course Lasha they certainly deserved it. But they're

702
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 3: fifteenth in terms of two forty seven sports overall talent ratings.

703
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 3: Extremely talented team, you know, and they're playing with a

704
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 3: you know, we're worried about what's going to look like

705
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 3: with Wongo going out. They're playing at a quick base

706
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 3: seventy three places per game, that's twenty second in the country.

707
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 3: They're pasty, which was horrific last season, thirty fourth in

708
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 3: overall team performance, allowing six point six yards per pass

709
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 3: that's thirty eighth in the country, twenty seventh, and epa

710
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 3: per play overall defensively, So I don't have any real

711
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 3: reservations about this offense, given that Drake May you know,

712
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:47,479
Speaker 3: has proven his medal. But you know, their defense has

713
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 3: been better. And this is a Syracuse team. Look, they

714
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,720
Speaker 3: were getting handled by Purdue and you know, thora and

715
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 3: I we can't wait to talk about Perdue Ken we

716
00:32:56,280 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 3: but they're getting killed and they through sheer force of

717
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: will with Garrett Trader just they just said no more

718
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 3: throwing the ball. We're gonna do the RPO every single

719
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 3: down and Garrett Raider for Trader's just gonna run over

720
00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 3: that entire defensive you know unit. And he did, and

721
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:17,440
Speaker 3: they for you to come back in the fourth court,

722
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 3: score three touchdowns and end up winning that game. So

723
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 3: this Syracuse team, we know what they want to do.

724
00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 3: They want to run the ball on you as much

725
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 3: as they possibly can. That's the weakness of North Carolina,

726
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 3: you know, seventy ninth. I do think this is probably

727
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 3: going to be a closer game that is expected, But uh,

728
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 3: you know, I don't have a real big play on this.

729
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 3: I'm more interested in hearing with Thor thinks your call man.

730
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, Thori, this actually this knowing you as I

731
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:49,600
Speaker 1: have over the last two years and doing shows with

732
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 1: you I can see something key here. This cross is

733
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: a very nice line between what the public line is

734
00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 1: and what your system has, and that is that touchdown hook.

735
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 1: Because the systems around nine and a half or I'm sorry,

736
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 1: the lines at the public nine to nine and a half.

737
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,239
Speaker 1: You've got this almost a four point differential down at

738
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 1: five and a half. So that cross is a full

739
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 1: touchdown marker. And that seems in my mind, if I

740
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:16,719
Speaker 1: know my thor, that's a slam on Syracuse right now.

741
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, agreed, Yeah, you know for sure. I am waiting though,

742
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 2: because the money has gone in on North Carolina. You

743
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 2: know there are a couple of those nine and a

744
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:27,239
Speaker 2: half monitoring this thing to see if I can get

745
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 2: a ten. I would love to get a ton on Syracuse.

746
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 2: So I'm holding off just right now. I like this

747
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,560
Speaker 2: North Carolina team enough, but it's flawed, right, I mean,

748
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 2: it just is. And Syracuse can run the ball. I

749
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 2: thought Syracuse are going to run a little bit better

750
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:44,799
Speaker 2: against Clemson. Then it turned out that they did, but

751
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,239
Speaker 2: then again, the game script went against them. They had

752
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 2: to start throwing the ball a little bit more. I

753
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 2: think they can get back on tracks, certainly with the

754
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 2: stampeding on the ground thing against this soft North Carolina defense,

755
00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: and I do expect North Carolina to win. I just

756
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,280
Speaker 2: think that this thing is going to be decided closer

757
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 2: a one possession kind of thing. So I'm gonna be

758
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 2: waiting to see if I can get that that ten.

759
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 2: But if not, we'll fire at seven and a half.

760
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 2: That's fine too, all right, carry too in the carter.

761
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: Let's go with that bad boy. Let's move over to

762
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 1: Kentucky and Georgia. There's not a big differential thrower in

763
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,840
Speaker 1: your system versus what's publicly. These are two five and

764
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 1: zero teams, but Georgia has a fifteen point spread as

765
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 1: we were recording this in favor currently. So is there

766
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 1: a bet that you want to jump in on since

767
00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 1: you're kind of in line with Vegas.

768
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, my my numbers right there at Georgia. Mine is

769
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 2: fourteen point eight. I would play the under though in

770
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:42,280
Speaker 2: this game we've seen you know, the concern always with Georgia.

771
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 2: It's a sleepwacking thing, right, Like, are they gonna is

772
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 2: it gonna be full effort in this game? Whatever you

773
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 2: you'd think, maybe you're gonna get a better one. After

774
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 2: they had problems with Auburn and a team that literally

775
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,399
Speaker 2: cannot throw the ball, literally kind of not throw the ball,

776
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 2: and Auburn still stayed with them until the end of

777
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 2: that game, touchdown, result, whatever. I like this Kentucky team

778
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 2: for sure, But yeah, I mean this has nothing to

779
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,800
Speaker 2: do with Kentucky. It's just is Georgia gonna be engaged

780
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:11,880
Speaker 2: in like the you know, Joaquin Phoenix and Gladiator. You know,

781
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:13,840
Speaker 2: is Kirby Smart going to walk out and give the

782
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 2: thumbs down for Kentucky and let's kill these guys that

783
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 2: we just don't know. I do like the under though.

784
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,359
Speaker 2: My system has a total on this one of forty

785
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:24,360
Speaker 2: one points, which is a little over a touchdown under

786
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,400
Speaker 2: what the market has right now. I think either what

787
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 2: Georgia gonna be looking to establish their run against Kentucky,

788
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:34,239
Speaker 2: get that thing going, and then Kentucky. I think that's

789
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,040
Speaker 2: the same. On the other side, Ray Davis has been

790
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 2: a revelation for Kentucky. Last week, I made the mistake

791
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:44,280
Speaker 2: of going under on Ray davis Sis rushing total, which

792
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 2: he taught me a lesson. In the first quarter, he

793
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,080
Speaker 2: ripped off like a seventy five yard touchdowns, Like, oh,

794
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 2: we're almost already there. He's been great for them. Obviously

795
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 2: Leary has been too, and Georgia can get explosive plays

796
00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 2: on offense. They have both the efficiency and the explosion there.

797
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: But for me, this is one where you lean under

798
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 2: and I think that's an early week beat where you

799
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:05,799
Speaker 2: can bet under.

800
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:08,439
Speaker 1: All right, Photon, what do you got here? I see

801
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 1: some line movement that you found in this game.

802
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:11,920
Speaker 2: So talk to us.

803
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 3: This is a big line move and this is a

804
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 3: classic game where some of these contests, like a Kentucky

805
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,880
Speaker 3: versus Georgia, which is a somewhat higher profile matchup, you

806
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 3: can get these lines way earlier. You know, they end

807
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,279
Speaker 3: up opening in May, sometimes in August. But you know

808
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 3: this opened on May sixth, and it opened at twenty

809
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 3: four and fifty one and a half on the total

810
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 3: that has since plummeted down to the aforementioned fifteen right

811
00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:41,560
Speaker 3: now on Georgia with a forty five and a half

812
00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:44,799
Speaker 3: depending you know, somewhere in that ballpark on the over under.

813
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 3: And the reason why is because, as Thord you know articulated,

814
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:51,880
Speaker 3: this isn't Death Star Georgia anymore. It has been turnedover

815
00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 3: on that offensive side and they're not running the ball

816
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 3: with impunity, like the Georgia teams of yr. You know,

817
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 3: they with three and a half yards per one hundred

818
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 3: and seven yards rushing last week against Auburn. I mean,

819
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 3: Auburn's got a you know, a nice stout defensive front,

820
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 3: but this is Georgia and three and a half yards

821
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 3: to carry, That's not what we're looking at. Kentucky has

822
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 3: a much better defensive line and run defense than Auburn does.

823
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 3: Feel good about that. And this Georgia, you know, twenty

824
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:19,319
Speaker 3: seven to twenty.

825
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 2: They outlasted Auburn two weeks.

826
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 3: Ago before that against South Carolina twenty four to fourteen. Like,

827
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:31,439
Speaker 3: this isn't the forty five points a game we're used

828
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 3: to here. This is sort of a reset, you know,

829
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 3: in the offensive sense they're getting from Georgia. And on

830
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 3: the other side, you know, Kentucky dominated Florida last weekend.

831
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 3: I mean that was you know, it was a pretty

832
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:44,919
Speaker 3: close game, but it was not a pretty closely ninety

833
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,279
Speaker 3: eight percent win expectancy. It was close line, but man,

834
00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 3: there was no doubt about that. They didn't even have

835
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:51,040
Speaker 3: to like you were saying, they didn't even have to

836
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 3: throw the ball. He I think Devin Leary had under

837
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 3: one hundred yards passing. They just kept handing it to

838
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 3: Ray Davis for two eighty and three. It was a

839
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 3: wild But the other four games low level competition, you know,

840
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:03,960
Speaker 3: and they played down the level of ball state. They

841
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 3: beat them at forty seven percent wins back and see

842
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:09,160
Speaker 3: in week one they're d third and pass defense overall,

843
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,320
Speaker 3: you know, thirteenth rest of ninth in EPA per play.

844
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 3: I completely agree with Thor. I don't see this. I

845
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:21,800
Speaker 3: see this being a slow, grinded out, classic defensive battle

846
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 3: that we were a customed to in the old SEC

847
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:27,360
Speaker 3: before you know, the offensive explosion. And I like the

848
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 3: under and I like, frankly Kentucky to cover. I mean,

849
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 3: if they if I feel like Kentucky is a better

850
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,480
Speaker 3: team than a brand I feel like they're a better

851
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 3: team than South Carolina. I think they can keep it

852
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 3: around because they can run all right.

853
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 1: Final game on our main slate. And then we got

854
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: just a couple extras for you guys. We've got Notre

855
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 1: Dame and Louisville. Notre Dame is five and one, Louisville

856
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:52,279
Speaker 1: is five and oher. This opened up with Notre Dame

857
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:55,160
Speaker 1: as a seven point favorite. There's a little bit of

858
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 1: a difference in Thoris's adjuster line, which we're going.

859
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 2: To talk about.

860
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:01,400
Speaker 1: But you've got some wild line changes cross the books, Froton,

861
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 1: So give us your thought on this game. If there's

862
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 1: a play, what line movements to look at? Give us

863
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 1: a lowdown.

864
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, the early markets, you know, I don't know how

865
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:09,839
Speaker 3: it'll be when we finally drop and you guys listen

866
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,839
Speaker 3: to in the morning, but a lot of instability, you know,

867
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 3: and competition is so good, and we talk about it

868
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 3: off air about how we all have our tabs open

869
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 3: in which books are which You're not getting the same

870
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:25,040
Speaker 3: lines everywhere when these open, and that opens major arbitrage

871
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:30,560
Speaker 3: betting opportunities. For instance, FanDuel was sitting at minus seven caesars.

872
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 3: Was that minus four and a half, you know, And

873
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 3: that's right at print, you know, right as we ran

874
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:40,120
Speaker 3: this two and a half points. That is that is

875
00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 3: a big line. When we're talking about a couple of

876
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 3: teams that with Notre Dame, they breed close games. I mean,

877
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 3: we talked about Ohio State saw them last week against Duke.

878
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 3: That was an extremely tight game. They were down most

879
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 3: of that game and ended up coming back frankly, and

880
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:57,879
Speaker 3: they shouldn't even covered. It was a one point game.

881
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 3: Then Riley Leonard got hurt, you know, late, late, late

882
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 3: in the end. But like that, they barely squeaked that

883
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,880
Speaker 3: one out. Their whole game plan. It seems to be

884
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 3: one hundred and tenth in pace. You know, they're not

885
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 3: out there looking to gas it up. They want to

886
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 3: win the game, you know. And Marcus Freeman is a

887
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 3: defensive coach. Anytime you get a team as a defensive

888
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:22,920
Speaker 3: head coach, they're going to want to protect their guys.

889
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 3: It's their nature, believe them. It's like the scorpion and

890
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,359
Speaker 3: the frog, right, it's my nature when these things. I'm

891
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 3: going across the river. So that is Marcus Freeman on

892
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,280
Speaker 3: the other side Louisville. I mean, it's the Brom Brothers.

893
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 3: One hundred and ninth in pace, though that's not what

894
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,320
Speaker 3: we are used to seeing out of the previous Louisville there,

895
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 3: you know, the Purdue iteration of the Brom offenses where

896
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,839
Speaker 3: they were throwing all the time, you know, but they

897
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,719
Speaker 3: still are. This is a team that is seventh in

898
00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 3: EPA margin, so they're doing you know, both offensively and defensively.

899
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:58,760
Speaker 3: They're doing the job. But now they're playing Notre Dame

900
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 3: and a half total. I am all over that under.

901
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,920
Speaker 1: For you have got a little bit of value, but

902
00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:10,800
Speaker 1: enough if we're in that seven or under that seven,

903
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 1: that we might have those key barometers. We're always kind

904
00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:15,840
Speaker 1: of paying attention to what do you think on this?

905
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 1: This is like I said, seven point favorite of Notre Dame.

906
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 1: Your system is a little bit more pushed on Notre

907
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: Dame side, which you.

908
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 2: Bet Yeah, might my line be a Notre Dame minus

909
00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,479
Speaker 2: eight point four If I can get that thing under seven,

910
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 2: That's where I'm betting at. I got a couple of

911
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 2: books opening the couple I'm seeing right now it's Notre

912
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 2: Dame minus seven. So I got I gotta open up

913
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 2: a couple more tabs and see if one of my

914
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,400
Speaker 2: books has the six and a half. This thing's going

915
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 2: to be heading up by kickoff, this thing's gonna be

916
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 2: Notre Dame minus seven and a half, eight, maybe even

917
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 2: eight and a half right by my line. I like

918
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 2: Louisville fine. I was a bit more bullish on them

919
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:52,439
Speaker 2: heading into the year. Certainly a flawed team. I don't

920
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 2: know that they have enough here against Notre Dame. I

921
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,320
Speaker 2: think Notre Dame could just grind that team into dust.

922
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 2: Louisville's a little bit soft, and I also am concerned

923
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,759
Speaker 2: about when Louisville has to throw more when this you know,

924
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,000
Speaker 2: they're down by ten in the second half. Whatever it is,

925
00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 2: And now we gotta trust Plumber. Plumber makes a little

926
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 2: bit too many wonky decisions sometimes, and I think Notre

927
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,839
Speaker 2: Dame has got an ability here to flip the field

928
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:20,319
Speaker 2: a couple of times. So I definitely like Notre Dame.

929
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:22,480
Speaker 2: You can get that thing under seven. And that's about

930
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:22,919
Speaker 2: right now.

931
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,640
Speaker 1: All right, we're going into overtime because these are our extras.

932
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,759
Speaker 1: This is extra time for you other line movement and

933
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:33,880
Speaker 1: or adjusted line standouts. So Proton will start with you

934
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 1: because you gave us You've got one big one that

935
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,439
Speaker 1: jumped out to you as far as another line movement.

936
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:42,640
Speaker 1: But I think this also was something that Thor you

937
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:46,360
Speaker 1: wanted to hit Iowa Purdue. So let's start with you, Froton.

938
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 1: What do you think about this? What made this is

939
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 1: a standout out of the big slate? And then we

940
00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:52,840
Speaker 1: can get your thoughts on that Thor, because I know

941
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 1: this was, like I said, one that popped up in

942
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 1: your system.

943
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:57,240
Speaker 3: Well, Thor is never going to be short of opinion

944
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 3: when it comes to the iowah Haawkeyes. Let me personally

945
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,760
Speaker 3: assure you of that, a graduate of the Vonnegut writing

946
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 3: school there at in Des Moines, I believe so I

947
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:12,239
Speaker 3: opened I was sorry, buddy, I got you, I got

948
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 3: you sorry. But it opened up at thirty six and

949
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 3: a half. And this quickly bumped up to forty one

950
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:21,600
Speaker 3: point total. And that is even with you know, an

951
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 3: injured Kate McNamara, who you know has been pretty much

952
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 3: like every like every Iowa quarterback of the past three

953
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 3: four years.

954
00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:32,239
Speaker 2: He is.

955
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: His performance has been spotty, but so was Deacon Hill,

956
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 3: who took over eleven of twenty seven four and zero

957
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 3: point three yards per attempt. And this is for an

958
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 3: Iowa team that ran for sixty one yards on twenty

959
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:48,719
Speaker 3: seven carries against Michigan State.

960
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 2: In fact, they.

961
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:54,719
Speaker 3: Were a dream, a rare double running back listed on

962
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:58,319
Speaker 3: the prop scene. You had both Camari Molten Lava at

963
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:01,600
Speaker 3: forty three and a half and Lashawn Williams, you know,

964
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:05,399
Speaker 3: welcome back Lashawn Williams at he was over sixty years

965
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 3: like sixteen and a half up to sixty eight is

966
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 3: where I think he opened. That was the rare double

967
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:13,720
Speaker 3: under running back. I mean, they were very very kind

968
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:16,600
Speaker 3: to us at the books listing both of them. I

969
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 3: took both of them under. I cast both of them.

970
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:22,440
Speaker 3: I will do that again and in perpetuity because I

971
00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 3: just don't have any faith in this Iowa running back

972
00:45:25,160 --> 00:45:28,600
Speaker 3: duo here. But the point is, like with Purdue, this

973
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 3: Purdue team gets marched on. You know, I watched it

974
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 3: in person against Wisconsin last weekend because I did the

975
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,640
Speaker 3: double header Friday Saturday, so I was there in West Lafayette.

976
00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 3: And somehow Purdue managed to turn Tanner Mordecai into an

977
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 3: auction quarterback. He was a running quarterback against them, because

978
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:48,760
Speaker 3: all they did was they looked at the Syracuse blueprint

979
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:52,400
Speaker 3: that Garrett Raiders we talked about laid out where there's like, okay,

980
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 3: we can't we don't seem to be throwing the ball

981
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 3: very well, Let's just go abandon the pass and bludgeon them.

982
00:45:58,520 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 3: And that's exactly what Wisconsin did. You know, Purdue eightieth

983
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 3: and rush defense eighty second and epa per play on defense.

984
00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 3: You know, offensively really flawed, like they not a lot

985
00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 3: of continuity in the ground, Ryan Walters, you know, the

986
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:17,000
Speaker 3: new head coach was able to, you know, dismantle a

987
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:22,680
Speaker 3: very a complete rebuild basically Illinois team that he coached

988
00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 3: their defense last year. He coached against that offense every

989
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:29,960
Speaker 3: day last year on his defense, that defense murdered people.

990
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 3: So they were able to handle Illinois. But like you said, Syracuse, Wisconsin,

991
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:39,040
Speaker 3: the blueprint is out, Iowa wants to do that. The

992
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 3: point is Ken, I think that means you're gonna go

993
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:46,839
Speaker 3: and bump me at forty one points Iowa Purdue, I'm

994
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,719
Speaker 3: going under, and I'm not apologizing for it. I have

995
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 3: a hard time seeing how Purdue also was going to

996
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 3: move the ball against an Iowa team where couver De

997
00:46:54,080 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 3: John won the game for them last week. I mean

998
00:46:56,880 --> 00:47:00,759
Speaker 3: this yesterday. What a superstar that guy is. What a

999
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 3: superstar takes a punt?

1000
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:04,400
Speaker 2: I mean he's.

1001
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 3: Gonna be I mean, second round, I would say, is

1002
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 3: pretty much as floor you could. You could, you could

1003
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:11,120
Speaker 3: be a first rounder, you know, and I just don't

1004
00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:13,880
Speaker 3: see them being able to penetrate that produce that Iowa

1005
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,720
Speaker 3: defense with such a limited offensive attack.

1006
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 2: I love the underheath or your system.

1007
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 1: We've almost got five points or maybe right near their

1008
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 1: five points of value. This is when we were talking

1009
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,399
Speaker 1: about before, let's do a just a quick hitter on

1010
00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:29,280
Speaker 1: this game and where the bet is because the BET's Iowa.

1011
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:32,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a bad number that this one should

1012
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 2: be closer to the touchdown. You know, you're you're alluding

1013
00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 2: to my line. I have Iowa minus eight. Uh. The

1014
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:41,560
Speaker 2: market is sick of watching Iowa's offense apparently, and you

1015
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,680
Speaker 2: know it appears that they're also baking in a penalty

1016
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 2: for Iowa going forward. You're gonna be starting Deacon Hill

1017
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:50,359
Speaker 2: as opposed to Caid Magnamara. I was talking about this

1018
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 2: before the show. There's not much discrepancy in my opinion

1019
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:58,720
Speaker 2: between Deacon Hill and sixty percent Cad Magnamara. That's probably

1020
00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 2: being generous. Magnamara shouldn't have been playing this year. He

1021
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:05,760
Speaker 2: was injured coming out of camp. He was open about

1022
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 2: that with reporters like and then when they tried to

1023
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,280
Speaker 2: push him a little bit more about like what percentage

1024
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 2: are you or like, you know whatever, he wouldn't go there.

1025
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:16,920
Speaker 2: He was clearly trying to cut it out and you

1026
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 2: could see that in the pocket right Like, I mean,

1027
00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 2: he was protecting himself against that. It was not fun

1028
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 2: to watch him get hit. Now he's out. You bring

1029
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 2: in this Deacon Hill kid, maybe not great. The early

1030
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,640
Speaker 2: returns weren't the best, but again it's not Deacon Hill

1031
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 2: against peak of his powers kid McNamara when he was

1032
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:39,280
Speaker 2: healthy earlier in his career at Michigan. Different thing. Deacon

1033
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,840
Speaker 2: Hill a big, big guy that can move around a

1034
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:43,879
Speaker 2: little bit. I think you're gonna see I would try

1035
00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 2: to manufacture some more yards out of his legs. Purdue

1036
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 2: has a very poor defense, as we're sort of mentioning,

1037
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 2: So I expect a little bit of a better performance

1038
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:55,360
Speaker 2: from from Deacon Hill and keep forcing the ball to

1039
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:59,360
Speaker 2: Eric All and keep cashing our overtickets on him. But again,

1040
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:03,040
Speaker 2: it's not like there's a five point discrepancy between where

1041
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:06,280
Speaker 2: McNamara was and Deacon Hell on this one. I expect

1042
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 2: I would have win this one by a round a

1043
00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:11,280
Speaker 2: touchdown er. So for Aton was mentioning Purdue's the defensive

1044
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 2: issues that they have and Purdue, it seems like the

1045
00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:18,400
Speaker 2: market's like, oh, look at Purdue, because they boat raised Illinois.

1046
00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:21,879
Speaker 2: That Illinois team stinks. Now it's not the same. They

1047
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:24,920
Speaker 2: are so far down, so I mean, like anyone is

1048
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 2: going to have their way with this Illinois team that

1049
00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:29,720
Speaker 2: the play is Iowa in this game in Kinnick.

1050
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:34,480
Speaker 1: Last up here, these are a couple standouts in thor system.

1051
00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:36,200
Speaker 1: We do not have to talk about all of them.

1052
00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 1: I'm really going to be most curious about if these

1053
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:40,920
Speaker 1: are all going to be bets that you want to smash,

1054
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:43,560
Speaker 1: or if there's one you might pick and poke at.

1055
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:47,560
Speaker 1: We have a three and a half point differential between

1056
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:50,799
Speaker 1: Temple and UTSA that comes in at twelve and a half.

1057
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 1: You've got it at nine. Texas Tech Baylor is actually

1058
00:49:54,680 --> 00:49:58,680
Speaker 1: a one point spread on Baylor or is it Texas Tech?

1059
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:01,680
Speaker 1: And I think you have Baylor four and then San Jose.

1060
00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:05,799
Speaker 1: There's over four points differential between San Jose and Boise State.

1061
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:07,440
Speaker 1: That's a seven and a half point line that your

1062
00:50:07,480 --> 00:50:10,759
Speaker 1: system has eleven point four. So again, the thing is here,

1063
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:12,520
Speaker 1: we don't have to break every single one down four.

1064
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:14,600
Speaker 1: But is there one or two of these that you

1065
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,320
Speaker 1: want to hit now that your system has really pushed

1066
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:19,480
Speaker 1: out as as value?

1067
00:50:19,600 --> 00:50:23,359
Speaker 2: I think you flipped the Tech and Baylor. I must have. Yeah,

1068
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:26,680
Speaker 2: that Baylor's favored by one, but I like teching that one.

1069
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 2: My line on that game is Tech minus four point three.

1070
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 2: Market given Baylor a lot of credit for finally playing

1071
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,759
Speaker 2: a competent game, you know, I mean, we'll see how

1072
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:39,040
Speaker 2: that works out for them. Certainly, Tech has been their

1073
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 2: own sort of level of disappointing this year, but they

1074
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 2: did well in the first game without Shock. If I

1075
00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 2: was text at Tech, I wouldn't have run it back

1076
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 2: with mister Shock, and now mister Shock wants to run

1077
00:50:50,680 --> 00:50:52,960
Speaker 2: it back when he comes back from his season ending

1078
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:55,440
Speaker 2: injury by sending his career into a seventh year. If

1079
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:58,840
Speaker 2: I'm Tech, I just roll it forward with Morton. You

1080
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 2: saw them run the ball a bit more last week,

1081
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 2: but that was just because Houston stinks and that that

1082
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:07,520
Speaker 2: they were pulling away from them. It seems like the

1083
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 2: market has has given Baylor this credit for the one

1084
00:51:10,600 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 2: game that they had and they did not in kine

1085
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:16,839
Speaker 2: do the same for Texas Attack. I like Texas Tech more.

1086
00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:18,640
Speaker 2: I expect Texas Tech to go in there and get

1087
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,359
Speaker 2: a w where this line is right now that this

1088
00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:22,239
Speaker 2: is about right now?

1089
00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 1: All right, so there's some extra value playing their proton.

1090
00:51:25,600 --> 00:51:27,400
Speaker 1: Did you have something to add to any of those games?

1091
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:30,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm surprised that Thor didn't mention that we actually

1092
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:34,640
Speaker 3: tried to contract Tyler Show to pull our draft order

1093
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,000
Speaker 3: for the Big twelve and the fifty team or two

1094
00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:40,440
Speaker 3: years ago, and in contacted him. A cameo was on

1095
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,360
Speaker 3: cameo and we said, hey, you know, we'll give you

1096
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:44,480
Speaker 3: a little extra. I was gonna double his feet and

1097
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 3: he said, I'll tell you what, I'll do it for

1098
00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 3: fifteen hundred dollars. He's gonna pull a draft to order

1099
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 3: fifteen hundred dollars him that.

1100
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:56,560
Speaker 2: He wanted us Tyler Show. He wanted us to what

1101
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:58,920
Speaker 2: he wanted. He was offering, like, oh, come and do

1102
00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:01,279
Speaker 2: it in person. Pay my travel fees, pay this fee,

1103
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 2: pay that fee, and then here's the flat rays. And

1104
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:06,720
Speaker 2: it's like, bro, you you were listed for fifteen dollars.

1105
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 2: We don't need you here. We just we just want

1106
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:09,920
Speaker 2: you to turn.

1107
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:11,799
Speaker 1: Your phone on and like I want thirty seconds on

1108
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:12,280
Speaker 1: your feet.

1109
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,279
Speaker 2: It's like, bro, we're only asking you to pull ten

1110
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,400
Speaker 2: names out of a hat. Like you know, it was.

1111
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 2: It was really awkward. That was probably the moment when

1112
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 2: I knew for sure it wasn't happening for Tyler Shuck. Yeah,

1113
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,439
Speaker 2: he cannot be relied upon. Unfortunately he has the health

1114
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:28,839
Speaker 2: issues that every year he suffers a season heading injury. Whatever.

1115
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,000
Speaker 2: But yeah, I didn't. I didn't get the best days

1116
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,240
Speaker 2: of my mouth from Tyler Shuck after our our cameo

1117
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:34,560
Speaker 2: experience with him.

1118
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 3: If you can't win the rooms, how you're going to

1119
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 3: read a D that's right now?

1120
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:38,440
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1121
00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:41,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I suppose so, all right, Well that is going

1122
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 1: to be everything for your early line looks for week six.

1123
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:46,840
Speaker 1: Make sure to follow these gentlemen on Twitter, Thor ku

1124
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 1: c F Froton for Froton and lots of player props

1125
00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:52,759
Speaker 1: that are coming out there. You can obviously go and

1126
00:52:52,800 --> 00:52:55,400
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app, which I highly suggest you

1127
00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 1: follow everybody. I don't know if you're on there?

1128
00:52:57,520 --> 00:52:58,000
Speaker 2: Are you on there?

1129
00:52:58,000 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 1: I should be promoting you?

1130
00:52:58,960 --> 00:52:59,319
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1131
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:01,919
Speaker 1: I think you're on there. If you're not, we're gonna

1132
00:53:01,920 --> 00:53:04,520
Speaker 1: get you on there. But make sure you're following everybody.

1133
00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 1: Get your notifications because you can get all the bets.

1134
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 1: Like I said, I have Thor's attention during this show.

1135
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 1: I can't be bugging Thor all week, So how else

1136
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:13,879
Speaker 1: do I do it? Outside of maybe shooting a little

1137
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:15,880
Speaker 1: text here or there. I'm gonna check him out on

1138
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:17,960
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. You can see all the bets

1139
00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:20,919
Speaker 1: that he's doing. You can tail them yourself. So going

1140
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 1: download it today Betting pros iOS or Android get that today.

1141
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,200
Speaker 2: That is going to do it outside of you guys.

1142
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 1: Making sure that you guys are locked into the YouTube

1143
00:53:29,160 --> 00:53:32,840
Speaker 1: channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros because we have

1144
00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:36,319
Speaker 1: got shows coming up Wednesday, It's Bogman, Feral, It's Thor.

1145
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 1: You guys are gonna be breaking down the slate midweek

1146
00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 1: and on Saturday mornings at ten am Eastern it's Feral

1147
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 1: and Thor with the Thor's Hammers and the faral fades.

1148
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:47,600
Speaker 1: Make sure you're locked in right before the games. That's

1149
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 1: your best last minute look and lock in for all

1150
00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:53,680
Speaker 1: of your bets so you know what to do. You've

1151
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:57,400
Speaker 1: got everything planned ahead. Follow us and like friends. We

1152
00:53:57,440 --> 00:53:58,920
Speaker 1: will talk to you next time. You can find me

1153
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:00,480
Speaker 1: on Twitter at is it the Well Well. Thank you

1154
00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:02,360
Speaker 1: so much for hanging out with us on the csf

1155
00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,120
Speaker 1: CFF early Line. Look, I'll talk to you next time.

1156
00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 2: Bye bye.

1157
00:54:06,520 --> 00:54:09,360
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us

1158
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:12,359
Speaker 3: on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at

1159
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 3: Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at

1160
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:18,000
Speaker 3: YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros