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Speaker 1: Are you ready to witness football? Fans? Welcome to the

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Speaker 1: biggest tailgate party in the nation. That'd be bro Fox

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Speaker 1: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by Matt Naked Legendary.

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Speaker 1: We're setting you up with the information you need to

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Speaker 1: watch your team win.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 1: We're here to break.

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Speaker 2: It all down.

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Speaker 1: This is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

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Speaker 1: Bett emg App. No, we're live from your tailgate. Here's

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Speaker 1: Brian Nook, former Penn State All American, Rich Hornberger, and

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Speaker 1: FSR betting analyst Jared Smith.

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Speaker 3: Oh what is going on?

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Speaker 4: Welcome in, Happy Saturday, Happy Divisional round weekend.

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Speaker 3: Huh man, I'll tell you what. Good morning, Rich, Good morning, Jared,

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Speaker 3: Good morning.

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Speaker 4: I hope that the divisional round is as crazy in

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Speaker 4: as entered ping and as close as the wild card

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Speaker 4: round was. Because man like, I won't bombard you with

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Speaker 4: punch of stats, this to me is the most important one.

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Speaker 3: There were twelve fourth quarter.

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Speaker 4: Lead changes last weekend. Well, the twelve fourth quarter lead changes.

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Speaker 4: That's the most in a single round, like in postseason history.

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Speaker 4: Like that was the most in a single round and

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Speaker 4: the most ever in a single postseason that's the best

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Speaker 4: way to say it. So like we've gone full postseasons

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Speaker 4: that didn't see twelve fourth quarter lead changes, and that's

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Speaker 4: what we had last weekend with those six games. So

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Speaker 4: more of that, police love the fourth quarter back and forth.

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Speaker 4: We had the Bills Jags game and also the Rams

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Speaker 4: Panthers game. They both featured four lead changes a piece

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Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter alone, So back and forth, crazy action.

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Speaker 4: Who saw the Rams and Panthers back and forth and

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Speaker 4: the fourth quarters? No one saw that going in. That's

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Speaker 4: what we got to see in that one. So more

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Speaker 4: of that would be great. The divisional round I would

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Speaker 4: sign up for that happily.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think it has a lot to do

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Speaker 2: with the fact that there isn't in either conference really

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Speaker 2: a truly dominant team. You know, if you think about

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Speaker 2: the fact that the Kansas City Chiefs are out of

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Speaker 2: it this year, it takes away one conference's road stop, right,

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Speaker 2: Everybody's gonna have to go through Kansas City. And don't

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Speaker 2: get me wrong, some of these you know, wild card

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Speaker 2: or divisional it's usually divisional round, but divisional round games

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Speaker 2: or even AFC Championship games with the Chiefs before they

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Speaker 2: even arrive at the Super Bowl have been cinema. They've

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Speaker 2: been absolute drag out, knockdown fights. Still not having them

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Speaker 2: there taking care of business or having the expected results like, hey,

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Speaker 2: there he is Patrick Mahomes. He got out to an

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Speaker 2: early lead, and the Chiefs are just able to sustain

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Speaker 2: because they're so good in these situations. Like how many

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Speaker 2: times have we've seen that in the postseason over and

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Speaker 2: over again they're peaking at the right time. Well, there

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Speaker 2: are no Kansas City Chiefs this year. There are no

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Speaker 2: you know, the evil Empire of the New England Patriots

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Speaker 2: has been over for a decade. Although they're back, they're

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Speaker 2: back with Drake May later on. It's really it's really fascinating.

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Speaker 2: The more parody there is in a sport when that

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Speaker 2: sport is popular, I would argue too, because that helps

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Speaker 2: a tremendous amount when you have interest and then all

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Speaker 2: of a sudden you have a year of parody in

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Speaker 2: the postseason. I mean, it just makes for the cauldron

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Speaker 2: that we're watching in the NFL postseason right now, and

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Speaker 2: it's fantastic.

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Speaker 5: I'll give you one stat to echo Brian's that I

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Speaker 5: found the most fascinating over wild Card weekend. The lead

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Speaker 5: changes is I mean, these games are absolutely bananas. Plinko

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Speaker 5: is the word I use, Like if you remember the

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Speaker 5: old the game where you know it's like the price

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Speaker 5: is right game, we dropped the puck down, it just bounces, bounces,

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Speaker 5: which you know, is it gonna go in the thousand

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Speaker 5: dollars slaughter is gonna be in the wami slot and

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Speaker 5: you get nothing like you just you don't know it's

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Speaker 5: gonna bounce. But the stat that I like, teams that

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Speaker 5: lost the turnover margin won four of the six games

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Speaker 5: over Wildcard Weekend.

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Speaker 3: And usually usually.

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Speaker 5: The most predictive thing that you could look at for

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Speaker 5: who's gonna win a football game is turnovers and explosives, right,

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Speaker 5: And it didn't really matter a whole lot in the

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Speaker 5: Wildcard round. The teams the winning teams Wildcard Weekend had

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Speaker 5: a combined turnover margin of minus four. So usually when

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Speaker 5: you win the turnover battle, you win the game. But

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Speaker 5: if you won the turnover battle last weekend, odds are

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Speaker 5: you lost the game. Does that mean it's gonna play

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Speaker 5: out again that way this week? Probably not again, that's

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Speaker 5: just how wild it was. But over I think it's

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Speaker 5: just it's just really tough to predict who's gonna win

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Speaker 5: these games, and good luck if you're laying points, guys,

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Speaker 5: good luck, right. I lad that with the Rams last week,

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Speaker 5: terrible bet. I thought it was looking great. Fourteen zip

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Speaker 5: right out of the gate. I was like, oh wow,

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Speaker 5: this is gonna be uh, this is gonna be easy cheese.

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Speaker 5: Even before halftime.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it was a crazy sequence, like the Panthers were

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Speaker 4: down by ten, and then they muffed the punt and

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Speaker 4: the Rams drove a little bit, went for it on

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Speaker 4: fourth down, didn't get it, so he turned it over

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Speaker 4: on downs and then the Panthers scored a touchdown that

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Speaker 4: was the Bryce Young scramble.

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Speaker 3: So they're down by three and the Rams.

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Speaker 4: Get it back and then Pooka dropped an easy touchdown

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Speaker 4: pass easier, Like, wow, it was a three point game.

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Speaker 4: At halftime, it looked like it was gonna be seventeen

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Speaker 4: or thirteen that the Rams were up by. It was crazy,

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Speaker 4: crazy sequence before halftime.

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Speaker 5: Yeah. I think this weekend we're gonna get a little

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Speaker 5: more normal. I think we're gonna see some you know,

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Speaker 5: the favorites continue to play well, but I mean it's plink,

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Speaker 5: oh guys, it really is well.

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Speaker 2: And and part of the I really do like both

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Speaker 2: of those stats. What I what I focused on was

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Speaker 2: the preparedness of these quarterbacks because what we were going

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Speaker 2: to see, and I don't want to say for the

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Speaker 2: first time in you know, NFL history, I don't think

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Speaker 2: I don't I don't think I can say that because

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Speaker 2: I don't have the research to prove it. But I

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Speaker 2: would say this is probably one of the most even

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Speaker 2: wild card weekends we've seen in terms of quarterback play.

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Speaker 2: Because if you stare around the league and you say, Okay,

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Speaker 2: who do we got here? You know, you got an

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Speaker 2: aging Matthew Stafford. You've got an aging uh Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 2: You've got Justin Herbert and and and Jordan Love and

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Speaker 2: Bryce Young who are kind of all in that hey,

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Speaker 2: we're we're still coming on, you know, some mixed success

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Speaker 2: in the postseason. Rock Purty I would throw in that group,

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Speaker 2: you know, And then and you have Drake May who's

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Speaker 2: in year two with Bonix, who will see for the

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Speaker 2: first time this this postseason here coming up this weekend.

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Speaker 2: You know, you have this cauldron of quarterbacks where it

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Speaker 2: kind of like if you put them all on a chart,

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Speaker 2: the line's gonna bounce from one quarterback to the next.

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Speaker 2: But there's no Tom Brady here. You know, there's there's

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Speaker 2: there's no I mean, even with Josh Allen, who I

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Speaker 2: think is exceptional, Josh Allen has had his struggles in

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Speaker 2: the postseason. So when you look around just the QBS,

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Speaker 2: you know, just focusing on that position, you say, hey,

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Speaker 2: you know which team has the lockdown? Drag him out,

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Speaker 2: like everybody's gonna want that guy to lead the team

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Speaker 2: this year. I think that's an argument. I think it's

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Speaker 2: an argument the whole whole way. I would have a

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Speaker 2: hard time if you pressed me to decide if I

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Speaker 2: could if I were any of these teams who made

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Speaker 2: the postseas, any of the fourteen teams, and said you

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Speaker 2: can didn't take any one of the fourteen quarterbacks, I'd

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Speaker 2: have to think long and hard for that answer, because

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Speaker 2: I think it's been the most even in that category,

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Speaker 2: which also makes it again a more interesting weekend, and

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Speaker 2: the Raidings proved it.

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Speaker 5: We'll just go through the oh sorry, go ahead by

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Speaker 5: go ahead? No, go ahead, I'll go I was just

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Speaker 5: gonna say, just go through each game and find the

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Speaker 5: Super Bowl winners on each team. Hard to do, hard

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Speaker 5: to do with with with with you know, the four

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Speaker 5: teams you know that are gonna be playing today, and

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Speaker 5: even harder to do with the four teams playing tomorrow

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Speaker 5: other than Stafford and McVeigh and you know, the guys

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Speaker 5: on that Rams team back from what seven it was,

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Speaker 5: what six years ago? Five years ago when when the

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Speaker 5: Rams won it. That that's it. Like, there's not a

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Speaker 5: lot of Super Bowl veteran powerhouses that are on any

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Speaker 5: of these rosters. I mean, Sean Payton's won one with Denver,

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Speaker 5: but not with the Broncos, with you know, with the Saints.

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Speaker 5: So you know, Stafford's the only quarterback that's one super

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Speaker 5: Bowl that's still playing. So it really is it really

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Speaker 5: is unique in that regard to where we have this

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Speaker 5: very fresh blood, new new, you know, new regime of

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Speaker 5: of Super Bowl up and comers.

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Speaker 4: I think this year I was just gonna say, if

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Speaker 4: you look at the eight remaining teams and obviously the

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Speaker 4: eight remaining quarterbacks, it might be a little recency bias,

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Speaker 4: but you'd probably have CJ. Stroud toward the bottom, like

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Speaker 4: based on how he played last week. He was brutal

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Speaker 4: last week, but even outside of last week, if you

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Speaker 4: just look at you'd have Josh Allen and Stafford in

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Speaker 4: the elite category. You would have the young guns up

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Speaker 4: next with Drake May and Caleb Williams most likely. Then

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Speaker 4: you'd have you know, like Purdy if somewhere in that territory.

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Speaker 4: And then you'd have the bottom feeders. You'd have Bo Nicks,

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Speaker 4: c J. Stroud, you'd have Sam Darnold down there. But

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Speaker 4: it'd be an eclectic just remaining like eight quarterbacks in

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Speaker 4: the playoffs. So being an eclectic mix with those guys,

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Speaker 4: good exercise.

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Speaker 5: How do we rank the quarterbacks left in the playoffs?

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Speaker 5: That's a good exercise, actually, it really is. I think

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Speaker 5: i'd put Nicks at the bottom.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well I wouldn't argue with with Hobo Nix's high call.

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Speaker 5: I think he would be eight to eight for me,

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Speaker 5: what do you guys think? I think he'd be eighty eight.

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Speaker 5: I think Josh that will be one at Stafford too.

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Speaker 5: I think Stafford Allen obviously one, A, one B, and

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Speaker 5: then I think my bottom two would be Nix and

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Speaker 5: I want to put Darnold down there, I really do.

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Speaker 5: But I think Nix is the bottom and that's the

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Speaker 5: clear bottom.

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Speaker 3: Maybe this is the controversial thing.

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Speaker 4: I would put Drake May and Caleb Williams over Brock Purty.

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Speaker 3: Some would disagree with that, but that would be my list.

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Speaker 4: I'd have pretty fifth, and then you know, sort out

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Speaker 4: i'd go, I'd probably go, let's see c J.

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Speaker 3: Stroud. Then I would go Donald Knicks. That would be

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Speaker 3: my top eight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, just based on just based on playoff experience, I

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Speaker 2: think I have to put Brock Purdy at three on

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Speaker 2: this list.

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Speaker 3: FO no thanks, but I just liked.

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Speaker 2: I liked the fact that we've seen lake game comebacks

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Speaker 2: from Brock Purdy on a Super Bowl run. I like

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Speaker 2: the fact that we've seen obviously, you know, he operated

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Speaker 2: like a technician in that Wildcard round. You know. I

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Speaker 2: just like his calm that has unearthed itself over his

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Speaker 2: postseason experience. In that Kansas City game. He got so

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Speaker 2: rattled in that. In that Super Bowl, I just remember

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Speaker 2: thinking like, oh, man, like they they're getting to him

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Speaker 2: and he's struggling because he's just not ready for this.

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Speaker 2: And then when you see him operate and you're like, well,

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Speaker 2: all he's learned a lot. Like against pressure, he looks

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Speaker 2: so much better than he used to. So I'm I'm

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Speaker 2: I don't know the top three is tough, but but

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Speaker 2: he might crack the top three for me now I'm

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Speaker 2: thinking of it.

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Speaker 5: So based off my preseason ratings, I have Alan one,

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Speaker 5: Staff for two, and I bumped Drake May up. Since then,

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Speaker 5: i'd May third, Stroud for Prety five, Darnald six, Caleb seven,

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Speaker 5: and then Box eight.

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Speaker 3: Well, you got to revamp those calebs. I probably do

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Speaker 3: need to know.

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Speaker 5: Well, what I probably need to do is I probably

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Speaker 5: need to bump up Caleb a little bit. I don't

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Speaker 5: think Caleb should be seventh of the eight. I think

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Speaker 5: he's played significantly better recently. I think it's a matter

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Speaker 5: of how much do I trust like? And this is

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Speaker 5: it goes out to the question later tonight and we're

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Speaker 5: already dealing with an injury for this for this gentleman,

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Speaker 5: how much do you trust Sam Doronald in a close game?

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Speaker 5: You really trust them?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we got we we have to see it. I

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Speaker 2: think we have to see it, and we may see

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Speaker 2: it tonight, who knows, but we have to see it.

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Speaker 4: We got a couple of minutes and we'll get to

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Speaker 4: all four divisional round matchups, will break them down extensively.

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Speaker 4: We've got a national championship game on Monday. We will

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Speaker 4: break that on down as well. But we've got coaching

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Speaker 4: changes as well. How quickly the wheels turn in the NFL.

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Speaker 4: Here we've got John Harbaugh getting fired from the Ravens.

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Speaker 4: Looks like he's going to have the Giants job. They're dotting,

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Speaker 4: i's crossing, t's all that stuff. And we also had

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Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin stepped down after last week's lost to the

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Speaker 4: Houston Texans.

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Speaker 3: Hadn't been hasn't even been a week. That was last.

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Speaker 4: Monday, and Tomlin's had a gymnastics meet with his daughter.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, last that was awesome.

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Speaker 4: He's checking out gymnastics now and he's no longer the

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Speaker 4: head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers. And I'll just say this,

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Speaker 4: it's just funny, man, how things can change your perspective.

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Speaker 4: Like there's this, uh, what's the is it Bush? The

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Speaker 4: you guys fans of the band Bush? Where there's that

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Speaker 4: song I.

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Speaker 2: Had a CD of theirs as a stocking stuffer when

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Speaker 2: I was a kid.

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Speaker 4: Oh really okay, y, very good song at the end

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Speaker 4: of one of the John Wick movies Bullet Holes.

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Speaker 3: Very good song. But there's one hit where it's like

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Speaker 3: breathe in, breathe out.

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Speaker 4: I know you know that song, you know, yeah, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 4: But if you do that with Mike Tomlin, if you

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Speaker 4: kind of like zoom in and then zoom out, like

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Speaker 4: the zoom in is the here and now another playoff

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Speaker 4: loss for the steel that's their seventh in a row.

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Speaker 4: Somehow they've trailed in all of those games by at

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Speaker 4: least twenty one points. That's insanity right there. And so

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Speaker 4: a lot of Steeler fans, a lot of NFL fans,

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Speaker 4: they were just zoomed in and like, another loss.

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Speaker 3: This is what they do.

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Speaker 4: They go nine to eight or ten and seven, and

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Speaker 4: they do nothing in the playoffs, and fire Tomlin, fire toime.

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Speaker 3: Then he steps down.

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Speaker 4: Then you zoom out, and all of a sudden, you're like,

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Speaker 4: holy col look at this guy's body of work, look

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Speaker 4: at his record, look at his super Bowl win. Look

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Speaker 4: he hasn't had one losing season. And it's like, it

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Speaker 4: gives you a much different viewpoint and appreciation for what

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Speaker 4: he did. And I'm not trying to be hot take guy.

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Speaker 4: Maybe this is a controversial take, it's a take that

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Speaker 4: might get some pushback here, but I truly believe this.

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Speaker 4: I think as hard as it is to win a

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Speaker 4: super Bowl, and it is very, very hard. I actually

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Speaker 4: think it's harder to go nineteen seasons without one losing record.

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Speaker 3: Not I agree, you agree with that? Like, yeah, I do.

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Speaker 5: I think longevity is the hardest thing to do in

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Speaker 5: this board.

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Speaker 3: It's crazy.

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Speaker 4: There wasn't one year where you're where QB one went

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Speaker 4: down in Week one, like Joe Burrow right this past year.

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Speaker 4: There wasn't one year where you had a murderer's row

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Speaker 4: like the Lions schedule this season. There wasn't one year

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Speaker 4: where it just went sideways and crazy things happened and

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Speaker 4: losses just started to stockpile.

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Speaker 3: Not one that's insane.

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Speaker 5: Really, the one that is the crazy one that even

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Speaker 5: though they had a lot of quarterback injuries, they still overcame.

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Speaker 4: It, right, And look at some of the qbs they've

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Speaker 4: had since they've been retired.

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Speaker 3: It's like you're winning games with Duck.

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Speaker 5: Hodges like yes, Mason Rudolph yes, and like and like

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Speaker 5: beating good teams along the way to do it.

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Speaker 2: Like those were some tough schedules too, because the Steelers

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Speaker 2: are always a playoff team or close, right, you know,

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Speaker 2: because if you have a winning record, you're in the mix.

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Speaker 2: You know. Here's what I'll say, and I completely agree

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Speaker 2: with you, Brian. I think we live in a hyper reactionary,

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Speaker 2: instant gratification time. I think our society, and this isn't

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Speaker 2: just our country, this is internationally as well, has moved

315
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,400
Speaker 2: toward a stage where it's what have you done for

316
00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,880
Speaker 2: me lately in every aspect of life, and if you're

317
00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:23,040
Speaker 2: not appeasing the masses, like to a level of expectation

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00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,760
Speaker 2: that's really quite frankly unheard of. Like think how many

319
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:31,560
Speaker 2: NFL franchises would do backflips to have a coach who

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Speaker 2: could deliver them winning season time and time and time again,

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Speaker 2: and in fact not deliver even a losing season and

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Speaker 2: focusing on that stat alone. Okay, this is like if

323
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Speaker 2: you take the most important stack for quarterback, I don't know,

324
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Speaker 2: like not throwing interceptions, what's the most important yard? I mean,

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Speaker 2: I don't know if yards, but touchdowns maybe, Like and

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Speaker 2: you said, okay, for a twenty year career or a

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Speaker 2: nineteen year career, you're gonna lead the NFL well in

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Speaker 2: that stat every single year, Like you're gonna or be

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Speaker 2: top five, like every single year. That's what you do.

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Speaker 2: You are the touchdown maker. It's it's insane. It's insane

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Speaker 2: because look, Mike Tomlin as a head coach, he's only

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Speaker 2: gonna be judged by wins and losses at the end

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Speaker 2: of the day. Nobody's gonna, you know, throw semantics in there.

334
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 2: It's like, well, you remember back in twenty fifteen he

335
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,879
Speaker 2: had three injuries at quarterback and he still found a

336
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,879
Speaker 2: way if he only has six wins, nobody cares. It

337
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,399
Speaker 2: sounds like you're defending a guy who you know, you're

338
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,719
Speaker 2: trying to make the noble argument for a loser. And

339
00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:40,440
Speaker 2: it's like, no, no, Mike Tomlin, in the most important

340
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:45,120
Speaker 2: statistical category of a head coach's career and his job

341
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,760
Speaker 2: in his life and what you are going to be

342
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:51,120
Speaker 2: solely rated on, never at a single losing season. Are

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Speaker 2: you kidding me? Yeah?

344
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Speaker 5: It's bonkers, bonkers, it really is. And it goes back, honestly,

345
00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:58,560
Speaker 5: to tie it back to gambling. Like the way that

346
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:03,120
Speaker 5: I judge my is not one week or even one season.

347
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,320
Speaker 5: I have records that date back five years, and I

348
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,560
Speaker 5: want to know, over the course of my longless long,

349
00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 5: you know, lifespan of gambling, how have I done, like

350
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,359
Speaker 5: like where the ups and downs? And then I judge

351
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,240
Speaker 5: it based off of the entire record, well over the

352
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,679
Speaker 5: last five years, I'm this instead of this week or

353
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:26,399
Speaker 5: even this season. And in football it's even harder because

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00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 5: of the attrition element to it. I think that's what

355
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:32,560
Speaker 5: makes it the most impressive statistic is when you can

356
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,240
Speaker 5: go a long period of time, think about it, like

357
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,680
Speaker 5: everyone's right New Year's resolutions, everyone's dieting right now. Can

358
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,359
Speaker 5: you figure out a way to go back and see

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00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 5: how your diet has been over the last ten years

360
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Speaker 5: instead of just the one year that you're, Oh, I'm

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Speaker 5: really focused on my diet this month, it's January. We're

362
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 5: doing dry January. Can you go back and see over

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00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,919
Speaker 5: the last ten years how you've done. That is a

364
00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:59,439
Speaker 5: much more effective way to measure results of a long

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00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,159
Speaker 5: period of time. Very hard to do, very hard to do.

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Speaker 4: I will say there's a very common saying you don't

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00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,919
Speaker 4: know what you have until you lose it, and that

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00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 4: can apply to NFL head coaches. That very well might

369
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Speaker 4: apply to Tomlin with the Steelers, And look, I get

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Speaker 4: how Steeler fans their last playoff win. Eric Fisher, the

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00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:25,040
Speaker 4: old offensive tackle for the Chiefs was whistled for holding

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Speaker 4: James Harrison.

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Speaker 3: On a two point conversion. That's how long it's been.

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00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,480
Speaker 4: Antonio Brown was doing the Facebook live video in the

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00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,679
Speaker 4: locker room and got in trouble because Tomlin was talking

376
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 4: trash about the Patriots, you know, and called them a holes.

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00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 3: That's how long it's been.

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00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 4: So for Steeler fans to be like, we need some

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00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 4: playoff wins around here.

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Speaker 3: I don't think that's unreasonable.

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00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:47,200
Speaker 4: But if it rises to the level where you're chanting

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00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 4: fire Tomlin at a Steelers game, okay, we've gotten crazy. Now,

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00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 4: nineteen straight seasons without a losing record. There are teams

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Speaker 4: that would cut off body parts for that.

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Speaker 5: As suggestion that I would take one. I would take one,

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00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,639
Speaker 5: amy one. I don't need this left pinky, you know

387
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 5: what am using it for? Anyway? Yeah, you can have that.

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00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll give you once that real fast, and we'll

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00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,160
Speaker 4: move it along to a preview of a game here.

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Speaker 3: But this blew me away.

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Speaker 4: So we've got nine head coaching openings this offseason, right,

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00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 4: We're gonna have nine new NFL head coaches.

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Speaker 3: And that's one shy of the record.

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00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 4: Back in twenty twenty two, there were ten new NFL

395
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,639
Speaker 4: head coaches you believe, Yeah, back in twenty twenty two.

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00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:31,160
Speaker 4: Only two of these guys are still employed.

397
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:32,360
Speaker 3: Isn't that crazy?

398
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:35,880
Speaker 4: We just have Todd Bowles of Tampa Bay and Kevin

399
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 4: O'Connell with the Vikings. All of the eight other guys

400
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 4: were fired already. You and listen to this list. Bears

401
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:49,719
Speaker 4: Matt Eberflus Broncos, Nathaniel Hackett, Dolphins, Mike McDaniel, Giants, Brian Dable, Jaggs,

402
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 4: Doug Peterson, Raiders, Josh McDaniels Saints, Dennis Allen Texans, Lovey

403
00:20:56,160 --> 00:21:00,600
Speaker 4: Smith like Josh McDaniels with the Raiders and Love Smith

404
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,960
Speaker 4: with the Texans. If you're like, how long ago was that,

405
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 4: I'd be like, gosh, that was like a long that

406
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 4: was four seasons ago.

407
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:09,719
Speaker 5: It's like a fever tame is what it was.

408
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 3: It's crazy.

409
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Speaker 4: So like imagine this, Imagine at the end of the

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Speaker 4: twenty twenty nine season, whoever these new nine head coaches are,

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00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,719
Speaker 4: like seven of them could easily be gone by the

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Speaker 4: end of twenty twenty nine.

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Speaker 3: That's insane.

414
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 5: Over on that, I'll take you over on six and

415
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Speaker 5: a half on a lot of.

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Speaker 3: These guys, probably the way it's gonna go. Man turnover

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Speaker 3: is a real thing in the NFL. All right, we

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Speaker 3: are often running.

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Speaker 4: We've got Rich Hornberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith

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Speaker 4: FSR betting analyst, I'm Brian.

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Speaker 2: No.

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00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 3: The playoffs are here.

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Speaker 4: Coming up next, What do Venus Williams and arguably the

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Speaker 4: top NFL quarterback have in common? We'll tell you it's

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Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radios count Down to Kickoff, presented by bet MGM.

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458
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00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 4: our technical producer extraordinary Chris Purfett, who just said in

460
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 4: my ear, this is called Machinehead, by the way, And

461
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 4: before we came back, I was like, what a stupid

462
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 4: name for a song like that is an all time

463
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 4: ridiculous name. Everyone will be like, yeah, play the breathe in,

464
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 4: breathe Out song.

465
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 3: I'm googling it.

466
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 4: I don't see anything like, oh, it's called machine Head.

467
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:54,160
Speaker 3: Who would ever think like, that's the name of the song.

468
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 3: It's crazy.

469
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 2: It's the intro.

470
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 6: I'm going to assume they wrote the lyrics thinking okay,

471
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 6: they'll go to the verse that says machinehead right at

472
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 6: a moment with that with another song, and I'm always like, oh, yeah,

473
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 6: the song by Blur, the woo Hoo song.

474
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: It's like called song two, song nine or song nine,

475
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,400
Speaker 2: song nine, I can't remember, but but this was off

476
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: of speaking of bad names for things. Bush named the

477
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 2: album Razor Blade Suitcase, and that was the album that

478
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,639
Speaker 2: was in or the CD that was it that was

479
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 2: ye yeah, And I remember looking at the I'm not

480
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 2: even kidding you because I think my my dad got

481
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 2: me a Pearl Jazz CD, a Nirvana CD, and a

482
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 2: Bush CD and stuff it in you know it was

483
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,640
Speaker 2: from Santa and stuff it in by stocking And I.

484
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 3: Remember from here's some Bush check it out.

485
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, I remember, like like wearing out the Nirvana

486
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 2: CD and I don't think I put the Bush one

487
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 2: in until like I don't know, March of the next year,

488
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 2: like that it was. But they were a good band.

489
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 2: They're good band, you know. It's so funny though names

490
00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 2: names can they can be to see, they absolutely can be.

491
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 4: That's at least supposed to be named breathe in at

492
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 4: the very least. You know machine Head by the way,

493
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 4: I love the band machine Head, but oh yeah, the

494
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 4: song title machine Head terrible, terrible decision by the band

495
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 4: Bush terrible, an all time miss right there, but good song, sketchy.

496
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:23,640
Speaker 4: You know what we'll uh will zoom in zoom out

497
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 4: again that you love when I sing, Jared, I know

498
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:28,959
Speaker 4: you want to the voice of an angel over here.

499
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 3: It's just a shame I don't break it out as

500
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 3: much as I do.

501
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 4: We got Bills and Broncos today, Broncos favored by one

502
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 4: and a half. And before we zoom in on the matchup,

503
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 4: I just want to zoom out a little bit because

504
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 4: I was thinking about Bill's quarterback Josh Allen, and I

505
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 4: remembered a SoundBite from the tennis player Venus Williams. So

506
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,719
Speaker 4: Venus last year, she made her return to a Grand

507
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 4: Slam and she lost in the first round the US Open.

508
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,520
Speaker 4: She's like forty four, forty five years old, so tremendous comeback.

509
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 4: But she said something about injuries that I thought was

510
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 4: really really interesting and you can hear, you can like

511
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,400
Speaker 4: feel her pain in this sound bite and she gets emotional.

512
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 4: But listen to what she says about injuries, and then

513
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 4: I'll spin it forward with Josh Allen.

514
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 3: Check this out.

515
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 7: I think for me, getting back on the court was

516
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:27,880
Speaker 7: about giving myself a chance to play more healthy. And

517
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 7: when you play unhealthy, it's in your mind. It's not

518
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 7: just how you feel. You get stuck in your mind too,

519
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:46,119
Speaker 7: So it was nice to be freer.

520
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 2: Man.

521
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 4: That's that's such a great sound bite because you can

522
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,400
Speaker 4: you can feel what it's like to be an athlete

523
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 4: on that stage dealing with injuries. And Rich can talk

524
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 4: about this great as a former NFL player, But this

525
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 4: this is how I would like like turn it to

526
00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 4: Josh Allen. The Bills quarterback. Look how banged up this

527
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,800
Speaker 4: freaking guy was. In the first half last week against Jacksonville.

528
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 4: Two guys land on his head like he could have

529
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 4: been concussed, could have had some neck issues going on.

530
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 4: Then the next thing you know, his left knee is

531
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 4: getting bent sideways and he's grabbing at that. Then he

532
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 4: hurts a finger on his throwing hand, and it's like,

533
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 4: I can't explain it. And I never played on the

534
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 4: pro level, but on any level, like Venus just said,

535
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 4: it gets in your head. You start thinking, Hey, if

536
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,919
Speaker 4: I cut, is my left knee gonna remain intact?

537
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 2: You know?

538
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 3: Is it gonna just disintegrate on me? My finger?

539
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:45,399
Speaker 4: Can I make every throw that I would? Should I

540
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 4: even attempt to throw it downfield? Is the ball gonna

541
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 4: fly away from me? And I can't control it? You

542
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 4: just start thinking and thinking and overthinking. And the thing

543
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 4: with Josh Allen, he plays like he has no thoughts

544
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 4: about injuries whatsoever. And it is remarkable for a guy

545
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:05,399
Speaker 4: not just to get back on the field, but to

546
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 4: be as productive.

547
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 3: As he is.

548
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 8: You look at his stat line from last week, it's insane.

549
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,120
Speaker 8: You would never know he was dealing with any injuries.

550
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 8: This freaking guy was twenty eight for thirty five for

551
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,640
Speaker 8: two seventy three. He had eleven rushes for thirty three

552
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,919
Speaker 8: yards and two touchdowns. He's a walking medicine cabinet. His

553
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 8: left tackle Dion Dawkins was like, if you guys just

554
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 8: knew what this guy was dealing with.

555
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 4: And he goes out there and it's like this mental

556
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 4: override system that he has. He doesn't play like it's

557
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 4: in his mind at all. He's not stuck in his mind.

558
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 4: He is free. It's almost like he goes to the

559
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 4: blue medical tent and they're like you're cleared, and he's like,

560
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 4: all right, what's the play?

561
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 3: What are we doing?

562
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 4: And he's just freaking locked in. It is remarkable. That

563
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 4: is a special special talent that Josh Allen has, not

564
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 4: just getting on the field but thriving in spite of

565
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,080
Speaker 4: all these injuries that he's dealing with. You would never know,

566
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 4: and uh, it's remarkable he's able to do that.

567
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 2: So I just sent a text picture picture to our

568
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 2: to our group here, Uh so you guys can see this,

569
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 2: But I just h ruptured my distal bicep tendon. I

570
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 2: I did it last I did it. I did it

571
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: last Sunday. I did it last Sunday. So I, well,

572
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 2: hang on, don't feel bad for me. I'm not asking

573
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 2: for pity, and I'm not gonna make this this, uh,

574
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 2: this segment about me. I'm gonna make it about the

575
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 2: athlete and what the athlete goes through with an injury.

576
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 2: Because I tore this bicep last Sunday lifting a bed. Right,

577
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 2: I was just so my kids needed a new bunk bed.

578
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 2: They're getting big. This thing's getting a little shaky in

579
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 2: the room. I'm like, oh, I don't trust that bunk

580
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 2: bed anymore. So my my wife kept their ears up. Yeah, exactly, Like,

581
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 2: can we get pump dad?

582
00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 5: Can we built book beds?

583
00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:01,280
Speaker 3: Yeah?

584
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 2: No power tools? So so wait, I hear power tools. No,

585
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 2: I'm just brush through my teeth. But so, so I'm

586
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 2: lifting like this giant you know, headboard or footboard. I

587
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 2: don't know. I haven't put it together yet, but uh,

588
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 2: because a friend was offering to give us their old

589
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 2: bunk ped so I'm like, great, you know this thing,

590
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 2: solid wood, it's it's been around for fifteen years, it's

591
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:29,200
Speaker 2: in good shape. So I lift up the first piece.

592
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 2: After I get the mattresses on the roof of the car.

593
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 2: We were gonna take them to the dumb form because

594
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 2: they're nice enough to give us a bunk ped So

595
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 2: I lift the headboard, I throw it up on the

596
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 2: top of I drive a fore Runner right and then

597
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 2: I'm going to lift up the footboard of this bed.

598
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 2: And all of a sudden, I hear pop pop, and

599
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 2: my bis I knew right away. I was watching my

600
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: bicep muscle roll up my arm toward shoulder like it's

601
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 2: a complete tear. And actually I'm gonna have surgery next Wednesday.

602
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 2: Shout out to uh doc Chow, who's the former charge.

603
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 3: To get out of here night?

604
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, pro pro football doc on on Twitter. Okay, so

605
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: he he's a he's a buddy. I literally texted him

606
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 2: like I'm gonna be seeing you this week. I sent

607
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 2: him a picture of my arm. He was like, come

608
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:25,240
Speaker 2: on in so anyways, So so I'm laughing about this

609
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 2: and and my life hasn't changed. I'm a radio show host. Uh.

610
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 2: You know, when I got home, by the way, I

611
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 2: was still able to get the bunk bed home because

612
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 2: I was able to one arm it with the other

613
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 2: arm up on top of the car and strap it down.

614
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 2: With a little help, you know, and he kind of

615
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: held the rope. I was tugging on it for atention

616
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 2: with what you're.

617
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 3: Saying to the family, Like dad still got it? That

618
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 3: still got it?

619
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 2: Move aside.

620
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 5: I used to be one hell of an athlete. There's

621
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:55,840
Speaker 5: a trend going around TikTok right now people do like

622
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 5: old athlete moves when they're older. I don't know if

623
00:31:58,320 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 5: you've seen that one, Rich.

624
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have, and I didn't post anything about this,

625
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 2: but so so what's crazy about this?

626
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 4: Right?

627
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 2: My life has not changed. I went home and I

628
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 2: took a circular saw to the old bunk bed and

629
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 2: I brought it to the dump. Like, you know, I

630
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 2: can still. I just don't have use of my left arm.

631
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 2: So what, I'll just use my right arm and I

632
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: can still do my job. I can. I have literally

633
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 2: zero stress about this injury. When you get injured as

634
00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: an athlete, your life spins into this head game of

635
00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 2: oh my gosh, this this this could I mean, I

636
00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 2: was a bubble guy on a lot of the rosters

637
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 2: I played on. If I tore my bicep in season,

638
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 2: I'd start questioning whether or not I'm going to play,

639
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 2: especially as you get later in your career. You're in

640
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 2: your late twenties. Am I gonna have a job next year?

641
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,720
Speaker 2: Is this it that does a bicep take take me out?

642
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 2: Do I want to try to play with this injury?

643
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 2: Do you know? Can? Can? I just? Is this something

644
00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 2: I can tape down and keep going? Because I can't

645
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 2: count my blessings and rest on my laurels. I got

646
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 2: to earn my position on this team. You get sick

647
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 2: to your stomach, you lose sleep. They say, hey, you

648
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 2: need to get sleep to recover from injury. You lose

649
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 2: sleep because mentally you're spinning out of control and you're

650
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 2: trying to present this cool presence to your coaches, your

651
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 2: teammates and act like this is just a bump in

652
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: the road. I'm going to be right back, But internally

653
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 2: it is a storm that's going on. You're unsettled. The literally,

654
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 2: the tool that you use for the job is destroyed.

655
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 2: It's like trying to roof a house with a broken hammer.

656
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 2: You're not getting anywhere, You're not doing it. You're You're

657
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 2: completely incapable. And it makes me sick to my stomach

658
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 2: to remember how that felt and how that feels for

659
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 2: Serena Williams, or how it feels for guys who are

660
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 2: fighting through injuries through the postseason because they don't know

661
00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 2: if this is their last visit they know a Super

662
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 2: I mean, for the love of God, my former teammate

663
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 2: Eric Weddle went back with the Los Angeles Rams and

664
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 2: played with a torn pectoral muscle in his chest because

665
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 2: he was this close to touching grace greatness and he

666
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 2: knew he could tough it out for one more moment,

667
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:21,879
Speaker 2: one more play, and he was just in this play.

668
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 2: I talked to him about it, play after play after

669
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,920
Speaker 2: play scenario where he's like, it hurts. I know I'm

670
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 2: doing damage, but I gotta win this Super Bowl because

671
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 2: this is my last chance. He played for the Chargers

672
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 2: for all those years. He got close to it, but

673
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 2: he couldn't sniff the sex and the success in the postseason,

674
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 2: and so he just hung tough. Man. Those moments build greatness,

675
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 2: but they also are crushing. They're crushing. I tore this

676
00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 2: bicep what I don't know what, six days ago, and

677
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 2: my life hasn't changed, It hasn't changed at all. But

678
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 2: in my former life, this would have destroyed me mentally

679
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 2: because it's it and by the way, and then you

680
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 2: have to rebuild, and then with an uncertain future, you

681
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: gotta get back on the horse, and you gotta I mean,

682
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be with the you know, the two pound weights,

683
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,520
Speaker 2: and you know, meanwhile, a week ago you're battling three

684
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty pound men in the trenches, and then

685
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 2: you're reduced to this little physical therapy room where you're

686
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 2: trying to flex your bicep with a rubber band, and

687
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 2: you're like, what on earth has happened to me? So

688
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 2: I'm telling you the mental trauma of injury in game,

689
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 2: or when it's going to be a severe injury, that

690
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:35,360
Speaker 2: is a tough hill to climb. I can't express to

691
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 2: you how impressive these athletes are who are able to

692
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 2: operate at this insanely intense, high level pressure filled especially

693
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 2: for Josh Allen or eny of these quarterbacks, because you

694
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 2: have not only the weight of the franchise, but the

695
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 2: weight of your legacy. It hinges on every moment in

696
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 2: these games, and it is such a tenuous battle that

697
00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:01,760
Speaker 2: plays out between your ear and obviously on the field,

698
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:05,280
Speaker 2: but the mental game of football, especially when it's injury

699
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 2: related it's not discussed enough. And I'm so appreciative that

700
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:11,839
Speaker 2: you brought it up, Brian, because it really is a

701
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 2: war that's happening internally and it never goes away. It's

702
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 2: a constant worry.

703
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's no doubt about that. And that's the thing,

704
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 4: Like Josh Allen, he could be in his head, like

705
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 4: you just explained Rich where it's like, is my body

706
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:28,240
Speaker 4: gonna respond?

707
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 3: Can I make a cut?

708
00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 4: Or is my left gonna it's just this buckle on me,

709
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,760
Speaker 4: Like this is my chance. There's no mahomes, there's no chiefs,

710
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 4: like this is a golden opportunity?

711
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:38,640
Speaker 3: Am I hurt?

712
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 4: He could be in his head. That guy is so

713
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 4: mentally strong man. He is a really mentally strong dude,

714
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,359
Speaker 4: and I think that's off and overlooked. Hey, we've got

715
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,279
Speaker 4: rich oroorn Berger, Penn State, All American, Jared Smith. I

716
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 4: swear Jared's on this show FSR metting Analysts. We'll let

717
00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:55,640
Speaker 4: him respond to that. We'll get back to the bills

718
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 4: in the next hour. I know he has thoughts and

719
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 4: we want to hear what he has to say. I'm Brian, No,

720
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 4: every time you make a wager at BETMGM, you earn

721
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:06,160
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723
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:12,040
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724
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Speaker 4: twenty MGM resorts, and be sure to follow BETMGM across

725
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,800
Speaker 4: all socials at BETMGM. All right, coming up next to

726
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 4: parlay platter which have one selection for you, we pull

727
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:23,320
Speaker 4: it together for a greater payout.

728
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:24,239
Speaker 3: We will compare notes.

729
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 2: Next.

730
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios count Down to Kickoff presented

731
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,440
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732
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733
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:34,719
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734
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:37,360
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736
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738
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739
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Speaker 4: bet slip and.

740
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741
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,960
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742
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743
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Speaker 3: All right, let's do this. Check this out our lad

744
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 3: latter Ah, Yes.

745
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 4: The platter which have one selection for you. We pull

746
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 4: it together for a greater payout shared. We start with you,

747
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 4: what are we doing here today, buddy.

748
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 5: Well, we're gonna do props. We're gonna give you a

749
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 5: prop pro any of the games, or we got three

750
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 5: three days of games, five games over the next three days,

751
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 5: and we'll give you a prop from you know, whichever

752
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 5: one we like, and we'll pull it together and we'll

753
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 5: see what our payout is. I'm gonna go Josh Allen

754
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 5: over thirteen and a half yards for his longest rush.

755
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:31,440
Speaker 5: I know we were just talking about how he was

756
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 5: banged up and we don't know how healthy he is.

757
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 5: But it's the playoffs.

758
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:35,399
Speaker 2: It's time to.

759
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,640
Speaker 5: Buckle up, Buttercup. But here's why I love this bet.

760
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 5: So Josh Allen has a very high scramble rate against

761
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 5: man coverage this year. It's about ten percent, one of

762
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:44,239
Speaker 5: the highest in the league. He also has a top

763
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 5: five EPA per rush against man coverage of any quarterback

764
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 5: in the NFL. Well, guess who plays the second highest

765
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,719
Speaker 5: rate of man coverage in the league this year. If

766
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 5: you guessed the Denver Broncos, you would be correct. Only

767
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,880
Speaker 5: the Browns play more man coverage. Why is a quarterback

768
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 5: running affective against man coverage. We'll think about it schematically.

769
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 5: The defenders have their back to the quarterback as they

770
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:09,160
Speaker 5: are running down the field with their receivers and running

771
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:11,240
Speaker 5: backs that they are covering, and they don't have eyes

772
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 5: on quarterback. When you're in zone coverage, eyes on quarterback.

773
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 5: When you're in man, it's your back to the quarterback.

774
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 5: Josh Allen knows this. That's why he has a high

775
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,839
Speaker 5: scrambled right against man. I think his legs, as long

776
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,760
Speaker 5: as he's healthy, are going to be a big factor.

777
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 2: In this game. Today.

778
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 5: It's a little over thirteen and a half for Allen's

779
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 5: longest rush.

780
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:28,759
Speaker 2: Okay, wow, Yeah, so both of us. We have a

781
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 2: rushing prop for a quarterback in the AFC who's going

782
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 2: to be facing a really good defense, and that is

783
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:40,480
Speaker 2: Drake May against that Houston Texans pass rush and specifically

784
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 2: the pass rush because yeah, they do play a good

785
00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:44,839
Speaker 2: amount of zone, but they'll switch to man for their

786
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:48,960
Speaker 2: blitz game. And when that happens, especially when the Texans

787
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 2: are going to get the Patriots stuck in some longer

788
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 2: yardage situations on third down, where Drake May and the

789
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 2: Patriots are going to have deeper routes downfield and facing

790
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 2: some men cover, especially in that blitz package, look for

791
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 2: Drake May to escape and get some hay and get

792
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,800
Speaker 2: some yards on the ground. He did it well at UNC.

793
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 2: His escapability is great. He's faster than a lot of

794
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 2: people give him credit for. His line is set at

795
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:16,600
Speaker 2: thirty four and a half rushing yards. I think he'll

796
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 2: sail past that. May take to the fourth quarter, but

797
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,120
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see a lot of scrambling from

798
00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 2: Drake May. With a pretty good offensive line, there's gonna

799
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,399
Speaker 2: be some run lands. So I'll take the over on

800
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 2: Drake May's rushing total thirty four and a half.

801
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go rushing as well, but with a running back,

802
00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 4: all right. I would love to complete this, you know,

803
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,840
Speaker 4: quarterback rushing trilogy here, but I'm gonna go with the

804
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 4: running back.

805
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 3: I like this the most.

806
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 4: Give me Christian McCaffrey under fifty six and a half

807
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 4: rushing yards. I love Christian McCaffrey as a running back,

808
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 4: but I don't love San Francisco's running game against Seattle.

809
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,400
Speaker 4: It was dormant last week. I think it's gonna continue.

810
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:54,640
Speaker 4: So give me the under.

811
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:57,920
Speaker 5: On that plus five thirty three at back.

812
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 4: Jim Oh, what is going on? Welcome in Hope. Your

813
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,880
Speaker 4: Saturday is off to a fantastic start. We have a

814
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 4: couple of NFL playoff games today, We've got a couple

815
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:13,360
Speaker 4: of NFL playoff games tomorrow, and we've got a National

816
00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 4: championship game between the U and IU on Monday. How

817
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 4: about Miami against Indiana. Can this runaway freight train named

818
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,759
Speaker 4: the Indiana Hoosiers be slowed down? They are favorites by

819
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 4: eight and a half points, and they're playing in Miami's

820
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:36,440
Speaker 4: own backyard, in their stadium. It's astounding what I's been

821
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 4: able to do. And if you love these these stats,

822
00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 4: and you know, like Synergy and all that stuff, how

823
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 4: about fifty years ago? We're going all the way back

824
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 4: to nineteen seventy six. Now this is in men's basketball,

825
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,840
Speaker 4: but that's when Bob Knight's Indiana Hoosiers completed the most

826
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 4: recent undefeated season in Division one men's basketball. Exactly fifty

827
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 4: years later, you got old Kurt Signetti and his Hoosier

828
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,400
Speaker 4: with a chance to complete the most recent undefeated season

829
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:08,680
Speaker 4: in FBS in the FBS college football here. So if

830
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 4: you love those type of stats, maybe if they something's

831
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 4: in the water over here. But I would say it's

832
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,799
Speaker 4: less about Bob Knight in the seventy six, you know

833
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:18,920
Speaker 4: men's basketball team, and it's more about signetti in the

834
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 4: here and now and an offense that is second in

835
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 4: scoring offense and second in scoring defense.

836
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 3: That's pretty good.

837
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:29,400
Speaker 4: Like there are a lot of teams at FBS, so

838
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 4: it'll be second in both those categories.

839
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:33,880
Speaker 3: Pretty special. I mean, we'll start with you, Rich. What

840
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 3: do you see here?

841
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 4: Do you see I you just stomping on Miami like

842
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:40,280
Speaker 4: they've stomped on everybody else in the college football playoff?

843
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,759
Speaker 3: Or do you see a little bit of a turn here?

844
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 4: We talked about this last week where you think about

845
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 4: Ohio State last season they were a hot knife through

846
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 4: butter against Tennessee and then they were a hotter knife

847
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:55,759
Speaker 4: through butter against Oregon in the Rose Bowl, and then

848
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 4: all of a sudden, it's this close one possession battle

849
00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:03,680
Speaker 4: against quinn Ewers in Texas, and then the national championship

850
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:06,560
Speaker 4: game was very tight against Notre Dame. It got a

851
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:08,879
Speaker 4: lot tighter down the stretch. So what do you see?

852
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 4: You see Miami keeping this thing closer? You see I

853
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 4: you written all over it.

854
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,400
Speaker 2: I like I do, and you know, obviously we're days away,

855
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 2: so we'll see what happens with some of these lines.

856
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 2: But I like you, and I like Kurt Signetti and

857
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,719
Speaker 2: the way he's been able to navigate these past two

858
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 2: seasons where he had a lot of non believers, he

859
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:34,400
Speaker 2: had a lot of He had a lot of folks

860
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 2: talking about the Hoosiers of yesteryear and making fair comparisons

861
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:44,800
Speaker 2: at first to the current day Hoosiers. But these aren't

862
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 2: your grandfather's Hoosiers, and they're not even your father's hoosiers.

863
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:52,440
Speaker 2: This is it's a brand new time, it really is.

864
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:55,280
Speaker 2: It's a brand new day in the world of nil

865
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 2: and the flux we have at head coaches and the

866
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 2: trust that certain teams are putting in to you know,

867
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:07,280
Speaker 2: lower division coaches being elevated based on their credentialing, because

868
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 2: if you have a good coach and a good culture builder,

869
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 2: all you need is players and then that fuse is lit.

870
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 2: And that's exactly what Indiana did, putting their trust in

871
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:21,280
Speaker 2: Kurt Signetti. And I love it. I think culturally, he's

872
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 2: built a confident team who believes they're gonna win every

873
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 2: game regardless of how they they start games or frankly,

874
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 2: what the games look like as they unfold. I mean,

875
00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 2: how I think this game's gonna go. Miami are consistent

876
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 2: slow starters, so I believe it's it's likely, if not possible,

877
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 2: for Indiana jump on them early. And I think once

878
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 2: you have a team who has this front runner spirit,

879
00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:55,800
Speaker 2: who has this ability to play unflappably well, whether they're

880
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,319
Speaker 2: trailing in a game or leading in a game, to

881
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:01,800
Speaker 2: keep the pressure on Miami. And then speaking of head coaches,

882
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:04,400
Speaker 2: you look at Mario Cristobal. How many times over the

883
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,439
Speaker 2: course of his head coaching career have we seen him

884
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 2: play a little too conservative? You know, have have a

885
00:45:11,120 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 2: plan that doesn't really seem like it's matching the moment

886
00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 2: his teams are in and he clams up a little bit.

887
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:21,919
Speaker 2: So is that tide gonna shift all at once? Because

888
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 2: we've even seen it sometimes this season with the Hurricanes.

889
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:29,800
Speaker 2: So I like Indiana, and I like it because of

890
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,320
Speaker 2: some of what Indiana does early in games, but also

891
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 2: what some of what Miami doesn't do early in games.

892
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,360
Speaker 2: And I think I think the lead is going to

893
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 2: be important and more important to Indiana than it is

894
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:47,320
Speaker 2: to Miami. If it makes sense, I believe, I believe

895
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:49,319
Speaker 2: you could see this game. I'm not scripting it, but

896
00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 2: if I were to close my eyes and imagine how

897
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:55,439
Speaker 2: I see this game going, I think Indiana is going

898
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 2: to find a way to get ahead in the first

899
00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:01,080
Speaker 2: quarter and it could potentially be a wire win. I'm

900
00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:03,279
Speaker 2: not saying it won't be a close game, but I

901
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 2: could see the control shifting to Indiana early and them

902
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 2: just continuing with this unrelenting physical threat and competence at quarterback,

903
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 2: especially offensively, really really putting a hurting on what Miami

904
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 2: is trying to do, which is imposeder will in the

905
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:26,759
Speaker 2: defensive line. I don't know if they're going to be

906
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 2: able to get home enough for this really the factor

907
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,879
Speaker 2: in this game, and if Indiana is able to stay

908
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 2: unwavering on the path that they've been on, I think

909
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:41,440
Speaker 2: this could be an unbelievable weekend or really start of

910
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 2: next week for Who's Your Nation?

911
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, so Sham has just checked in. He said he

912
00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 5: can't make it on the show today, but he did

913
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:51,640
Speaker 5: give me some splits because what rich is saying is

914
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:57,760
Speaker 5: very popular sentiment amongst betters right now. A huge Indiana

915
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:02,279
Speaker 5: is a massive massive public side. The best result for

916
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,919
Speaker 5: the book this week will be Indiana winning by eight

917
00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:08,239
Speaker 5: or less. Right, so not Miami winning the championship, because

918
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 5: then there's futures liability on Miami that would hurt at MGM.

919
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 5: Indiana is a good winner in the in the futures market.

920
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 5: But in terms of the side for this game, they

921
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:21,360
Speaker 5: are betting Indiana like they already know the final score.

922
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 5: I will give you the opposite case. I will try

923
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 5: to make the case for Miami. I will try to

924
00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 5: figure out a path for them. There's one spot, so

925
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 5: you go through Indiana's roster. I think they are the

926
00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:37,360
Speaker 5: most buttoned up roster in college football in terms of

927
00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:40,440
Speaker 5: there's very very little holes their defense. They don't have

928
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:42,800
Speaker 5: a like a dude on defense other than maybe Kamara

929
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 5: the edge rusher. But they're just very solid right like

930
00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 5: at the linebacker level. Fisher and Hardy like they played

931
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 5: a lot of football. These guys are fifth year, six

932
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 5: year players. They understand where to be, they understand run fits,

933
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,680
Speaker 5: they understand the scheme they're they're they're great at rallying

934
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:59,960
Speaker 5: to the rock. If there's one hole on Indiana's team,

935
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:04,280
Speaker 5: if there's one weak link that I see on tape

936
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 5: that can be exploited. It is the right tackle Khalil Benson,

937
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:13,160
Speaker 5: below average pass blocking grade. Indiana's allowed ten sacks this year.

938
00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:16,080
Speaker 5: He's allowed four of them, team high twenty four pressures,

939
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 5: nineteen hurries. Benson has got this big body, but he's

940
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 5: a little bit susceptible to the speed rush. Well, guess

941
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 5: who has I would say three of maybe the best

942
00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 5: speed rushers in the sport.

943
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:29,480
Speaker 3: It's Miami.

944
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 5: So if there is a path through this game for Miami,

945
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 5: both teams actually want to shorten the game.

946
00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:35,960
Speaker 2: I think.

947
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 5: I think both teams kind of like Notre Dame last year.

948
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 5: Remember the opening drive of the National Championship for last year. Yep,

949
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,760
Speaker 5: it was a ten minute drive. It was a death

950
00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 5: march literally for Leonard almost that like ten carries on

951
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 5: that drive. So now it's not gonna be Carson Beck.

952
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:58,520
Speaker 5: But to be fair, go look at Carson Beck's rushing

953
00:48:58,560 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 5: numbers over the last couple of weeks. He has been

954
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:03,799
Speaker 5: a more willing runner during this playoff run. But the

955
00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:07,360
Speaker 5: path for Miami is very I would say not simple,

956
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 5: but it's obvious. You run the heck out of the ball,

957
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 5: you go play action, you able to get Carson Beck

958
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:15,360
Speaker 5: right some of these short completions. Indiana plays a lot

959
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:16,840
Speaker 5: of quarters coverage. They're gonna give you a lot of

960
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 5: that underneath stuff. Miami's got very good yackability at the

961
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 5: receiver position. Get your guys the ball in space, let

962
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:25,880
Speaker 5: them do their thing. Then on the defensive side of

963
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 5: the ball, we know Miami can rush the passer, and

964
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 5: I'm telling you that Indiana is a little bit vulnerable

965
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:33,920
Speaker 5: at right tackle. Can you get pressure on Mendoza? Oregon

966
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 5: got some pressure on Mendoza. I think had a couple

967
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,760
Speaker 5: strip sacks in that game right on the edge on Benson.

968
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 5: Can you get Mezador and Bane and Lightfoot, these elite

969
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:48,399
Speaker 5: edge rushers outside the right tackle and get Mendoza uncomfortable.

970
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,440
Speaker 5: Can you flip the field? Can you force a turnover?

971
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:55,120
Speaker 5: Can you get this game to now all of a sudden,

972
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:59,640
Speaker 5: it's late second quarter, early third quarter, and it's ten

973
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,360
Speaker 5: sets in Indiana, Like, oh wow, there's a tight ame. We

974
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:04,800
Speaker 5: gotta be careful here. So I think that's the path

975
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:07,720
Speaker 5: for Miami and they and let's be honest, Brian, They've

976
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 5: got the pieces to do this. Their offensive line can

977
00:50:10,040 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 5: control the clock, They've got a great running back, Mark Fletcher.

978
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,960
Speaker 5: Their quarterback understands coverage, just can check the ball down,

979
00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:19,200
Speaker 5: can take the available yards. The question is, can this

980
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 5: Miami defense throw Mendoza throw a loop and off to

981
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:26,120
Speaker 5: shorten this game. That's the path for the Hurricanes.

982
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I'll kind of take it from where you're going.

983
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 4: I think there are three things. There are three boxes

984
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 4: that Miami really needs to check to have a chance

985
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 4: to keep this close and to have a chance to

986
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,120
Speaker 4: win this thing. And don't think that they have no

987
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:43,120
Speaker 4: chance to win this They absolutely do. That's how much

988
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:46,240
Speaker 4: talent they have. But I think the first thing Miami's

989
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 4: got to do. You gotta limit mistakes, especially big mistakes,

990
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,040
Speaker 4: because that is what IU has done. They have done

991
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 4: a great job of capitalizing on their opponent's mistakes and

992
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 4: they've forced a lot of mistakes themselves. But like I

993
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 4: say that India plays the way the Chiefs used to.

994
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,879
Speaker 4: You think about how Kansas City used to play. They

995
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 4: would never make these big mistakes, they would never shoot

996
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 4: themselves in the foot, and they would always take advantage

997
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 4: of when you did that right. They would take advantage

998
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 4: of your mistakes. That's what Indiana has done. I think,

999
00:51:17,120 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 4: if I'm being honest, they're getting a little too much

1000
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 4: credit as if they force every mistake.

1001
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 3: It's like, no man.

1002
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:25,760
Speaker 4: Go to the last game, Dante Moore hitting his running

1003
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:27,600
Speaker 4: back and fumbling. He did that on his own. That

1004
00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:30,879
Speaker 4: has nothing to do with Indiana. But what Indiana does.

1005
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,840
Speaker 4: They take advantage of all of those mistakes. They do

1006
00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 4: a tremendous job of that. But Miami's got to limit mistakes, Jared,

1007
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 4: you talk about this all the time. Miami defensively, havoc havoc, right,

1008
00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:47,400
Speaker 4: like pressure Mendoza, Knock them around a little bit, you know,

1009
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 4: make them unsure, speed them up, you know, slow down

1010
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 4: that running game.

1011
00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 3: Havoc, havoc, havoc. You gotta have that.

1012
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:57,960
Speaker 4: From Miami defensively, and then offensively, they have to be

1013
00:51:58,000 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 4: able to run the ball. You can do so much

1014
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:01,480
Speaker 4: many things. If you're able to do that, you're able

1015
00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 4: to shorten the game, You're able to dictate things. You're

1016
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:08,440
Speaker 4: on schedule. It's third and manageable. You're not putting everything

1017
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 4: on Carson Beck's shoulders, right, you have some balance. And

1018
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 4: then Mark Fletcher Junior, He's been huge for the Canes

1019
00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 4: in the playoff imagine if he's held in check, It's like, oh,

1020
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 4: oh gosh, all right, Beck, take us to the Promised Land.

1021
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:22,560
Speaker 3: Good luck with that.

1022
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:24,440
Speaker 4: So you got to be able to run the football,

1023
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 4: got to have havoc defensively, and you gotta limit mistakes.

1024
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 4: If Miami can check those boxes, oh they're live, it

1025
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 4: just won't be easy to do that.

1026
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:36,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, Indiana. So this is a fascinating you know, focusing

1027
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:41,279
Speaker 2: on the defenses and then the opposing offense. Indiana he

1028
00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:45,640
Speaker 2: they've allowed six point two points to Miami's four point

1029
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:50,279
Speaker 2: four point seven in the first half of play all

1030
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 2: throughout the season. And then if you want to focus

1031
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:57,400
Speaker 2: closer on Miami in the first quarter of these football

1032
00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 2: games that they've played recently, they've scored to total of

1033
00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 2: three points in the first quarter of playoff games against

1034
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 2: Ole Miss, Ohio State, and Texas A and M. So

1035
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 2: when you look at the slow start of the Miami

1036
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:14,520
Speaker 2: offense and you compare that with the stringent defense of Indiana,

1037
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 2: I think the I don't know what the first half

1038
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:20,759
Speaker 2: total is, but the under one hundred percent is in play.

1039
00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:24,239
Speaker 2: My guess is it's hovering somewhere around you know, twenty one,

1040
00:53:24,520 --> 00:53:26,240
Speaker 2: twenty two. It's it's going.

1041
00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:27,080
Speaker 3: Twenty three and a half.

1042
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:31,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, you gotta give you I'll take it one step further.

1043
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:34,400
Speaker 5: How about the first quarter under ten? I mean remember

1044
00:53:34,440 --> 00:53:37,959
Speaker 5: last year again Notre Dame Ohio State had the ball

1045
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,680
Speaker 5: in their first possession and then scored a touchdown, but

1046
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 5: it wasn't until the second quarter. Yeah, that's how long

1047
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:45,439
Speaker 5: that first drive was for Notre Dame.

1048
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 2: I and I could see the exactly like if I'm

1049
00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:52,280
Speaker 2: especially if if it's not a road game for Indiana,

1050
00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:53,279
Speaker 2: there's gonna be plenty of.

1051
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:56,359
Speaker 5: Hoo's your famous who are showing one ton?

1052
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,600
Speaker 2: I mean, think about think about what this means to

1053
00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:02,640
Speaker 2: this program. I mean, this fan base travels well, and

1054
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:06,120
Speaker 2: especially because now over the past two seasons, you know

1055
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:10,359
Speaker 2: it's like rumors out you know what I mean, Like, hey,

1056
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:12,560
Speaker 2: if we go on the road, we're gonna see some wins. Right.

1057
00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:15,640
Speaker 2: So you've seen Indiana fans show up have big ten

1058
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:18,839
Speaker 2: rival stadiums. You've seen this season Indiana fans show up

1059
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 2: in droves to these playoff games. I think that this

1060
00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:24,839
Speaker 2: is going to be you know that that easily that

1061
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,719
Speaker 2: Bowl game mix we're typically seeing in the stands of

1062
00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 2: the mixture of team colors out there, and it could

1063
00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:33,360
Speaker 2: even lean Indiana when it's all said and done and

1064
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 2: we're at kickoff and we're getting the crowd shots. So

1065
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:38,560
Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's gonna be necessarily a road game

1066
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:42,320
Speaker 2: for Indiana, but I do forecast Indiana looking to control

1067
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,960
Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage, looking to get the short pass

1068
00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:47,239
Speaker 2: game going, lean on the run game, a little bit,

1069
00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:52,320
Speaker 2: longer methodical drives, especially if they or if they lose

1070
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:54,480
Speaker 2: and defer the kickoff, or even win and decide to

1071
00:54:54,480 --> 00:54:57,160
Speaker 2: take the ball first. If they get possession first, I

1072
00:54:57,160 --> 00:55:00,920
Speaker 2: think we could see a long, methodical drive from the Hoosiers.

1073
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:03,520
Speaker 2: Maybe there'll be a shot somewhere built in there, especially

1074
00:55:03,560 --> 00:55:05,960
Speaker 2: if they're nearing that, you know, that middle part of

1075
00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:09,280
Speaker 2: the field between the forties where it's an early down situation,

1076
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:11,560
Speaker 2: and maybe you could strike down field just to get

1077
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 2: something pumped into the vertical game to scare Miami a

1078
00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:17,319
Speaker 2: little bit, or connect and have a big chunk play.

1079
00:55:17,360 --> 00:55:21,360
Speaker 2: But if I'm Kurt Signetti, I'm gonna get these players

1080
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:26,480
Speaker 2: comfortable by making sure that offensively we don't make the

1081
00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:29,360
Speaker 2: mistake either, you know. So we're gonna play this game

1082
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 2: with the cards a little closer to the vest. We're

1083
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:34,560
Speaker 2: not gonna showcase any of our specials. We don't need

1084
00:55:34,600 --> 00:55:36,600
Speaker 2: to be gimmicky. We just need to be who we

1085
00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:40,200
Speaker 2: are and wear down this Miami defense and slow down

1086
00:55:40,200 --> 00:55:42,399
Speaker 2: this Miami pass rush. The best way to do that

1087
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:45,240
Speaker 2: is to have a starting script. You know, first ten plays,

1088
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:48,440
Speaker 2: first twenty plays, as long as you're staying on time

1089
00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:53,360
Speaker 2: and on schedule, where your quarterback's hitting the third step

1090
00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:55,200
Speaker 2: in his drop or the fifth step in his drop,

1091
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:58,279
Speaker 2: and that balls getting out of Mendoz's hands immediately, now

1092
00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 2: you know what I mean, We're gonna see them peppering

1093
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:02,839
Speaker 2: the ball in the pass game close to the line

1094
00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,960
Speaker 2: of scrimmage and leaning on that run game. So I

1095
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:08,880
Speaker 2: really do feel like that first quarter or first half

1096
00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:13,000
Speaker 2: under is in play because I feel like this is

1097
00:56:13,280 --> 00:56:16,480
Speaker 2: obviously a title fight when we talk about the national championship,

1098
00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 2: but like heavyweight champions or a heavyweight contender taking on

1099
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:24,440
Speaker 2: a heavyweight champ trying to go for the belt. Early rounds,

1100
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:27,360
Speaker 2: boxers will circle each other, throw a couple of jebs,

1101
00:56:27,719 --> 00:56:31,319
Speaker 2: see how they're being defended, and make adjustments as the

1102
00:56:31,600 --> 00:56:34,360
Speaker 2: rounds progress. And I feel like that's gonna be a

1103
00:56:34,480 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 2: very similar pace of play to how this game is

1104
00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:41,240
Speaker 2: gonna go early on. I love Miami, and you pointed

1105
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:45,720
Speaker 2: it out perfectly. These guys rush like their men on fire.

1106
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:48,200
Speaker 2: They're gonna try to get to the QB. They're gonna

1107
00:56:48,239 --> 00:56:50,439
Speaker 2: try to create that havocup runt in the run game.

1108
00:56:50,440 --> 00:56:53,200
Speaker 2: They got a bunch of TFLs this season for good reason,

1109
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:57,760
Speaker 2: because they win individual battles up front, they split double teams.

1110
00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:01,480
Speaker 2: But you can't denigrate what this Inana Hoosier's offensive line

1111
00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:03,800
Speaker 2: has done throughout the course of the season. Every test

1112
00:57:03,840 --> 00:57:08,520
Speaker 2: they've had, they've passed. They have out physical so many

1113
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:11,840
Speaker 2: teams this season, and I think that was the hardest

1114
00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 2: thing for me personally, and I think a lot of

1115
00:57:13,640 --> 00:57:15,879
Speaker 2: people in the general public as well to wrap their

1116
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:19,520
Speaker 2: heads around, which is Indiana's not gonna lay down for anyone.

1117
00:57:19,800 --> 00:57:23,200
Speaker 2: This is a completely different culture. They trust themselves to

1118
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:25,919
Speaker 2: overpower you at the line of scrimmage and get done

1119
00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 2: what needs to get done and stay on schedule. So

1120
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:31,120
Speaker 2: they're facing a bunch of third and two's, and third

1121
00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:33,960
Speaker 2: and ones and third and threes, you know, and they're

1122
00:57:33,960 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 2: staying out of that third and mid range to third

1123
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 2: and long, which really it hampers your success, Like we

1124
00:57:39,640 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 2: know the as you get you know, these deeper, longer

1125
00:57:43,200 --> 00:57:46,200
Speaker 2: yardage situations on third down, it's a huge indicator that

1126
00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 2: you're going to struggle in a game, especially against an

1127
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:51,479
Speaker 2: elite pass rush group. So that that would be my plan.

1128
00:57:51,560 --> 00:57:54,840
Speaker 2: If I'm Indiana, control the line of scrimms, control the game,

1129
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:58,680
Speaker 2: run the football until they until they stop you, and

1130
00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,320
Speaker 2: and it's it's going to be a little slow going

1131
00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:03,600
Speaker 2: as the fighters circle each other at first.

1132
00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:07,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I like that first quarter under a lot at

1133
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:10,680
Speaker 5: ten because again, what are the odds that we get

1134
00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:13,600
Speaker 5: two touchdown drives in that opening quarter. We're not getting

1135
00:58:13,600 --> 00:58:15,600
Speaker 5: a pick six on the first play. That ain't happening again.

1136
00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:17,680
Speaker 3: That would be bad for the under.

1137
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:20,880
Speaker 5: That hadn't happen again the under. That would be bad

1138
00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:25,320
Speaker 5: for the under. But it feels like I get vibes

1139
00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:27,080
Speaker 5: and I think it's gonna be a lot like that

1140
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 5: Notre Dame Oha State game was last year. Like if

1141
00:58:29,000 --> 00:58:30,880
Speaker 5: I'm Miami, I want the ball first, and I want

1142
00:58:30,880 --> 00:58:32,360
Speaker 5: to take the air out of the game, and I

1143
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 5: want to run that thing for ten minutes and then

1144
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 5: I want to score touchdown with like five minutes left

1145
00:58:36,320 --> 00:58:38,520
Speaker 5: in the first quarter, and I don't want Indiana to

1146
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:40,240
Speaker 5: touch the ball at all. And then we'll see if

1147
00:58:40,240 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 5: Indiana can score touchdown in the next five minutes. But

1148
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:43,800
Speaker 5: if not, then we're going to hit that first quarter

1149
00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:46,080
Speaker 5: under at ten. Maybe we get touchdown field goal, maybe

1150
00:58:46,120 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 5: it's field goal field goal. I just don't see two

1151
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 5: long touchdown drives in that first quarter. Everyone asks me

1152
00:58:52,400 --> 00:58:54,160
Speaker 5: when I go on shows and I talk about Indiana,

1153
00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 5: why is Indiana so good? Where they come from? They

1154
00:58:56,920 --> 00:58:59,640
Speaker 5: are just so damn efficient. What does that mean? Well,

1155
00:58:59,640 --> 00:59:02,919
Speaker 5: they like to shrink the football game. They do chase explosives,

1156
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,880
Speaker 5: but they earn those explosives through their efficiency on the

1157
00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:10,800
Speaker 5: early part of possessions. They their goal as a football

1158
00:59:10,840 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 5: team is to shrink the game to a handful of

1159
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:16,400
Speaker 5: moments and then win those handful of moments because they

1160
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:19,240
Speaker 5: think their guys are more experienced, and they are and

1161
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 5: more i'll call it sharper in those tougher moments than you.

1162
00:59:24,600 --> 00:59:26,640
Speaker 5: The one thing I love about their game they do

1163
00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 5: run some very unique schemes. They run RPO about twenty

1164
00:59:31,080 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 5: five percent of the time, so on a quarter of

1165
00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:36,640
Speaker 5: all plays, you might get a pass, you might get

1166
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:40,720
Speaker 5: a run. What makes their RPO game different, I'll call

1167
00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:44,480
Speaker 5: it futuristic. What do I mean by that, Well, most

1168
00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:46,960
Speaker 5: RPO games, like go back and watch Bama in the

1169
00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:50,280
Speaker 5: TUA Prime when they were running RPOs and it was

1170
00:59:50,280 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 5: really the first time to like RPOs were a thing.

1171
00:59:53,040 --> 00:59:58,040
Speaker 5: The route combinations off of the pass option were very simple.

1172
00:59:58,360 --> 01:00:04,120
Speaker 5: Double slants FA very simple route combinations. Throw that out

1173
01:00:04,120 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 5: with Indiana. When Indiana goes RPO, they switch release everything.

1174
01:00:08,040 --> 01:00:13,360
Speaker 5: They're running complex schemes and route combinations off of the

1175
01:00:13,440 --> 01:00:18,720
Speaker 5: run pass option very very hard to defend because the

1176
01:00:18,720 --> 01:00:21,200
Speaker 5: linebackers are caught in a bind. We might get a run,

1177
01:00:21,400 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 5: but if we don't get a run, we're probably getting

1178
01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:24,960
Speaker 5: double slants over the middle, because that's most of the

1179
01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:27,240
Speaker 5: time what people run with RPOs. No not us. We're

1180
01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:30,120
Speaker 5: switch releasing, We're going all over the place. We're running

1181
01:00:30,120 --> 01:00:34,440
Speaker 5: all kinds of different combinations. It makes it very stressful

1182
01:00:34,880 --> 01:00:37,640
Speaker 5: for the defense. And then Indiana could just run it

1183
01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:41,200
Speaker 5: without any pass option and be effective because their offensive

1184
01:00:41,240 --> 01:00:44,640
Speaker 5: line is very buttoned up and they've got this h

1185
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:48,919
Speaker 5: back Riley Noah Kowski number thirty seven. If you want

1186
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 5: to know where the football is going in the run

1187
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:54,880
Speaker 5: game Watch where number thirty seven is six one, two

1188
01:00:55,080 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 5: fifty an absolute load. So they have pieces to stress

1189
01:01:00,920 --> 01:01:04,160
Speaker 5: you in different ways. Brian and Indiana, Right, Mendoz is

1190
01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:08,520
Speaker 5: not He's not this like imposing figure, but he just

1191
01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:11,280
Speaker 5: has this very efficient way of going about his business.

1192
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:14,400
Speaker 5: And then their scheme is so complex it just puts

1193
01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:15,880
Speaker 5: a lot of stress on the defense.

1194
01:01:16,280 --> 01:01:19,360
Speaker 4: That's what's so interesting to me about iu IS. I

1195
01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:22,600
Speaker 4: would call them a curveball team, you know, where there

1196
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 4: are these factors that would lead you to believe one

1197
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:29,120
Speaker 4: thing and the result is completely different. You know, you

1198
01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:33,200
Speaker 4: would think with zero five star guys that they would

1199
01:01:33,240 --> 01:01:36,520
Speaker 4: only be so good, and yet here they are undefeated,

1200
01:01:36,800 --> 01:01:39,440
Speaker 4: eight and a half point favorites in the title game.

1201
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:42,880
Speaker 4: You would think, like to your point, Jared, you would

1202
01:01:42,920 --> 01:01:45,000
Speaker 4: think they don't have a style where they're trying to

1203
01:01:45,040 --> 01:01:45,960
Speaker 4: shrink the game.

1204
01:01:46,480 --> 01:01:47,600
Speaker 3: You look at these final scores.

1205
01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:50,440
Speaker 4: They're winning thirty eight to three, fifty six to twenty

1206
01:01:50,440 --> 01:01:54,040
Speaker 4: two in playoff games, and it's like, you're right, they

1207
01:01:54,120 --> 01:01:58,160
Speaker 4: try to shrink the game down, yet they're blowing the doors.

1208
01:01:57,800 --> 01:01:58,920
Speaker 3: Off of these opponents.

1209
01:01:58,960 --> 01:02:01,680
Speaker 4: It's just it's it's crazy, man, it is the perfect

1210
01:02:01,720 --> 01:02:04,200
Speaker 4: storm and they are going to be more than a

1211
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:06,360
Speaker 4: handful for the Canes in this one.

1212
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,160
Speaker 3: But if anybody can slow.

1213
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:12,200
Speaker 4: This machine down, like Miami has the horses to do it,

1214
01:02:12,560 --> 01:02:14,440
Speaker 4: we'll just see if they bring their a game on

1215
01:02:14,560 --> 01:02:15,200
Speaker 4: Monday night.

1216
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:16,800
Speaker 3: It's really that simple, all right.

1217
01:02:16,800 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 4: We've got rich Oronberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith FSR,

1218
01:02:20,640 --> 01:02:23,480
Speaker 4: betting analyst. I'm Brian no. Be sure to subscribe to

1219
01:02:23,520 --> 01:02:26,560
Speaker 4: the Fox Sports Radio YouTube channel. Just search Fox Sports

1220
01:02:26,680 --> 01:02:29,160
Speaker 4: Radio on YouTube and you'll see our best videos from

1221
01:02:29,200 --> 01:02:31,120
Speaker 4: all of our shows. And don't stop there. Hit that

1222
01:02:31,200 --> 01:02:33,880
Speaker 4: thumbs up icon and comment away. Let us know whose

1223
01:02:33,880 --> 01:02:35,680
Speaker 4: takes you like and even whose takes you don't like.

1224
01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:39,440
Speaker 4: Just search Fox Sports Radio on YouTube and subscribe.

1225
01:02:40,040 --> 01:02:42,520
Speaker 3: All right, coming up next, this team.

1226
01:02:42,200 --> 01:02:46,200
Speaker 4: Is on a distinguished list without being distinguished themselves.

1227
01:02:46,480 --> 01:02:47,000
Speaker 3: Tell you about that.

1228
01:02:47,040 --> 01:02:50,840
Speaker 4: It's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1229
01:02:51,120 --> 01:02:55,480
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETTMGM.

1230
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 4: It's time for the postseason. Be sure to check out

1231
01:02:57,840 --> 01:03:00,400
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1232
01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:02,560
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1233
01:03:02,600 --> 01:03:05,640
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01:03:05,680 --> 01:03:08,200
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1235
01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:10,880
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01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,680
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1237
01:03:13,680 --> 01:03:16,000
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1238
01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:18,360
Speaker 4: bets with bonus code countdown if they don't win their

1239
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:22,880
Speaker 4: first bet. That's code countdown in the bet MGM app. Now,

1240
01:03:24,040 --> 01:03:27,760
Speaker 4: our guy, Seamus McGee, he's got other obligations today, you know,

1241
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:30,280
Speaker 4: so no Shamus, but we've got plenty of games to

1242
01:03:30,320 --> 01:03:33,440
Speaker 4: break down. I will say the last time we didn't

1243
01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:38,440
Speaker 4: have Shamus, I unveiled my Alabama and Ohio State takes

1244
01:03:39,160 --> 01:03:41,880
Speaker 4: and I gained two mortal enemies out of that whole.

1245
01:03:43,720 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 4: With Richard Jared, I feel like we're starting to mend

1246
01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:50,240
Speaker 4: fences over here. So hopefully, hopefully that doesn't history doesn't

1247
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 4: repeat itself with no Shamus here. But just diving into

1248
01:03:53,400 --> 01:03:56,440
Speaker 4: this Bill's Broncos game. Bronco's favored by a point and

1249
01:03:56,480 --> 01:03:59,080
Speaker 4: a half. Total is forty six and a half. And

1250
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:02,600
Speaker 4: I did mention, sorry, this is another broad view, and

1251
01:04:02,720 --> 01:04:05,560
Speaker 4: I swear we'll hone in on this game. But I

1252
01:04:05,600 --> 01:04:09,040
Speaker 4: saw the stat with Buffalo and it's really interesting to me.

1253
01:04:09,600 --> 01:04:13,040
Speaker 4: So the Bills, they are just the fourth team ever

1254
01:04:13,600 --> 01:04:17,920
Speaker 4: to win a playoff game in six consecutive seasons, and

1255
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:20,200
Speaker 4: it's like, wow, only the fourth team to do that.

1256
01:04:20,560 --> 01:04:22,640
Speaker 4: And you look at the other franchises who have done that,

1257
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:25,200
Speaker 4: the Cowboys, the Patriots, and the Chiefs.

1258
01:04:25,320 --> 01:04:26,480
Speaker 3: That's it. That's the list.

1259
01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:30,080
Speaker 4: But what's interesting is if you look at the span

1260
01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:35,720
Speaker 4: where they've won at least six consecutive playoff games each season.

1261
01:04:36,120 --> 01:04:39,480
Speaker 4: The Cowboys in their span, they won three Super Bowls.

1262
01:04:39,960 --> 01:04:42,520
Speaker 4: The Patriots in their span, they also won three Super

1263
01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:45,280
Speaker 4: Bowls and made it to two other Super Bowls. Same

1264
01:04:45,360 --> 01:04:48,400
Speaker 4: thing with the Chiefs in their span, which was seven

1265
01:04:48,480 --> 01:04:52,120
Speaker 4: straight playoff wins in each season, they won three Super

1266
01:04:52,160 --> 01:04:55,000
Speaker 4: Bowls and made it to two others. So it's great

1267
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:57,919
Speaker 4: that the Bills have won a game, a playoff game

1268
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:01,560
Speaker 4: in six straight years, but they haven't even gotten to

1269
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:04,280
Speaker 4: a Super Bowl yet. So on one hand, it's a

1270
01:05:04,360 --> 01:05:07,120
Speaker 4: distinguished list, but you got to get to the ball,

1271
01:05:07,440 --> 01:05:10,040
Speaker 4: got to win the ball to be truly distinguished, and

1272
01:05:10,080 --> 01:05:13,160
Speaker 4: that's what the other teams are at least as far

1273
01:05:13,240 --> 01:05:14,320
Speaker 4: as this list goes.

1274
01:05:15,440 --> 01:05:18,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, and kind of sticking with your conversation

1275
01:05:18,840 --> 01:05:22,760
Speaker 2: about broad strokes and looking at things from a wider aperture,

1276
01:05:23,400 --> 01:05:25,920
Speaker 2: you know, I want to focus on Sean Payton for

1277
01:05:25,960 --> 01:05:31,840
Speaker 2: a moment, you know, on the other side of this,

1278
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 2: this whole conversation. You know, in the AFC, I look

1279
01:05:37,320 --> 01:05:39,880
Speaker 2: at like a team like the Broncos, or I look

1280
01:05:39,960 --> 01:05:43,200
Speaker 2: at Tamiko Ryans and what he's done with the Texans,

1281
01:05:43,440 --> 01:05:46,120
Speaker 2: and I look at, you know, obviously, what the Bills

1282
01:05:46,120 --> 01:05:51,400
Speaker 2: have been historically and the Patriots. Like now, if you

1283
01:05:51,440 --> 01:05:56,200
Speaker 2: look at the coaching credentials across the AFC, you're impressed

1284
01:05:56,400 --> 01:06:00,240
Speaker 2: because there are some recent playoff berths, But who's got

1285
01:06:00,280 --> 01:06:03,920
Speaker 2: the most playoff you know, the most playoff consideration. And

1286
01:06:03,960 --> 01:06:05,920
Speaker 2: we'll get we'll get to the Broncos here in a

1287
01:06:05,960 --> 01:06:09,800
Speaker 2: little bit, but but it's it's painting with the Broncos,

1288
01:06:10,080 --> 01:06:13,919
Speaker 2: you know, So listen, I I don't know how it's

1289
01:06:13,960 --> 01:06:17,240
Speaker 2: going to go in the Broncos game, and I don't

1290
01:06:17,280 --> 01:06:21,240
Speaker 2: know if, if, what's gonna happen with with the the

1291
01:06:21,280 --> 01:06:25,400
Speaker 2: Bills here. But when when I think about this this AFC,

1292
01:06:25,640 --> 01:06:28,600
Speaker 2: and I think about the road for the Bills. It's

1293
01:06:28,600 --> 01:06:31,040
Speaker 2: not without treachery, you know what I mean this is,

1294
01:06:31,840 --> 01:06:35,560
Speaker 2: this is going to be a difficult path whichever way

1295
01:06:35,600 --> 01:06:39,320
Speaker 2: you slice this pie. And man, I'm I'm excited to

1296
01:06:39,360 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 2: see you know, Josh Allen play. But what what the Bills,

1297
01:06:43,320 --> 01:06:46,439
Speaker 2: or it should say what the Broncos. Maybe Achilles heel

1298
01:06:46,840 --> 01:06:50,440
Speaker 2: is is the fact that, you know, Sean Payton I

1299
01:06:50,440 --> 01:06:52,480
Speaker 2: think gets a lot of credit for Drew Brees, and

1300
01:06:52,520 --> 01:06:54,520
Speaker 2: I think that's fair. You know, he took a guy

1301
01:06:54,600 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 2: who is injured and turned him into a real star,

1302
01:06:58,120 --> 01:07:00,600
Speaker 2: you know, Drew Brees when he signed up for the

1303
01:07:00,640 --> 01:07:03,640
Speaker 2: Saint's job. I don't think he realized the you know,

1304
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:08,840
Speaker 2: really somewhat unparalleled success he was gonna have. And so

1305
01:07:09,200 --> 01:07:13,160
Speaker 2: credit where credits due. But Drew Brees, he was a

1306
01:07:13,160 --> 01:07:16,800
Speaker 2: great quarterback before that injury. He was on his way

1307
01:07:16,840 --> 01:07:21,840
Speaker 2: to being a great quarterback. Bo Nicks, He's a very

1308
01:07:21,880 --> 01:07:24,880
Speaker 2: solid NFL quarterback. But he's not Drew Brees, not yet.

1309
01:07:25,600 --> 01:07:28,720
Speaker 2: You know, there are some some quirks to his game

1310
01:07:28,800 --> 01:07:32,760
Speaker 2: that don't really align with the mythology of Sean Payton

1311
01:07:33,400 --> 01:07:36,160
Speaker 2: as a quarterback builder. You know, you look at a

1312
01:07:36,200 --> 01:07:41,120
Speaker 2: guy like like Kevin O'Connell with the Minnesota Vikings, and

1313
01:07:41,240 --> 01:07:44,520
Speaker 2: truly you can label him a QB whisperer because he's

1314
01:07:44,560 --> 01:07:48,040
Speaker 2: taken some, you know, some rough situations. And I'm not

1315
01:07:48,080 --> 01:07:51,840
Speaker 2: saying Cousins was a rough situation. I mean he was

1316
01:07:51,920 --> 01:07:55,400
Speaker 2: kind of, you know, floating along through his NFL career,

1317
01:07:55,400 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 2: and he had moments of greatness and moments obviously of

1318
01:07:58,160 --> 01:07:59,840
Speaker 2: you know, dire straits. And then you look at what

1319
01:07:59,920 --> 01:08:02,480
Speaker 2: he did with Darnold and the production he got out

1320
01:08:02,520 --> 01:08:06,280
Speaker 2: of him and the evolution now with JJ McCarthy, I

1321
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:09,240
Speaker 2: think he can be labeled as a true QB whisper.

1322
01:08:09,240 --> 01:08:11,760
Speaker 2: You look at Kyle Shanahan and I realize I'm going

1323
01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:14,360
Speaker 2: into the NFC. But I'll circle back to Sean Payton

1324
01:08:14,880 --> 01:08:17,120
Speaker 2: and the work he did with Matt Ryan in Atlanta

1325
01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:20,160
Speaker 2: and then taking on this forty nine ers job and

1326
01:08:20,280 --> 01:08:22,720
Speaker 2: the work he did with Garoppolo and what he's made

1327
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:25,479
Speaker 2: of Brock Purdy, the last pick of the NFL draft,

1328
01:08:25,600 --> 01:08:29,439
Speaker 2: Like truly a QB whisper. I don't think we can

1329
01:08:29,479 --> 01:08:32,880
Speaker 2: say the same thing about Sean Payton, not yet. And

1330
01:08:33,439 --> 01:08:36,519
Speaker 2: the reason why I'm pointing out this one relationship coach

1331
01:08:36,600 --> 01:08:40,439
Speaker 2: to quarterback it's because it's everything in the NFL. You know,

1332
01:08:40,520 --> 01:08:43,000
Speaker 2: if a coach is great and he builds a great culture,

1333
01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:44,759
Speaker 2: and I think he's done a great job. In Denver.

1334
01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:48,520
Speaker 2: They moved on from the Russell Wilson era somewhat flawlessly

1335
01:08:48,560 --> 01:08:52,040
Speaker 2: as they drafted bo Nix, and they've returned the Denver

1336
01:08:52,120 --> 01:08:56,519
Speaker 2: Broncos to. You know, this platitude they're at now, I

1337
01:08:56,520 --> 01:09:01,040
Speaker 2: think bo Nicks is, and this relationship between Peyton and

1338
01:09:01,120 --> 01:09:04,120
Speaker 2: bon Knicks, it's not it's not what I think people

1339
01:09:04,160 --> 01:09:07,280
Speaker 2: expected to see out of Knicks. I think they expect

1340
01:09:07,280 --> 01:09:10,439
Speaker 2: to see a great leap in year two with this

1341
01:09:10,560 --> 01:09:13,920
Speaker 2: QB whisperer coach who got so much out of Drew Brees.

1342
01:09:13,960 --> 01:09:16,559
Speaker 2: But again, if you rewind the clock and you talk

1343
01:09:16,560 --> 01:09:19,679
Speaker 2: about the Saints and you talk about Drew Brees, Drew

1344
01:09:19,720 --> 01:09:22,200
Speaker 2: Brees was great before he got there. He just had

1345
01:09:22,240 --> 01:09:24,360
Speaker 2: to make sure he was healthy and he protected him

1346
01:09:24,600 --> 01:09:26,280
Speaker 2: and he got a lot of production out of him

1347
01:09:26,439 --> 01:09:28,719
Speaker 2: and continue breeze on the path that he had started

1348
01:09:28,720 --> 01:09:33,960
Speaker 2: with the Chargers. So I'm not buying the hype the

1349
01:09:34,000 --> 01:09:36,320
Speaker 2: way a lot of people are buying the hype right

1350
01:09:36,360 --> 01:09:39,280
Speaker 2: now with Sean Payton and these Denver Broncos because there's

1351
01:09:39,360 --> 01:09:42,519
Speaker 2: holes in the most important part of the game, and

1352
01:09:42,560 --> 01:09:47,080
Speaker 2: it's at the QB position. So look, I just see

1353
01:09:47,120 --> 01:09:50,880
Speaker 2: some there's some cracks in this glossy veneer that we

1354
01:09:51,080 --> 01:09:54,960
Speaker 2: appear to be just painting over with a brush to say,

1355
01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:57,719
Speaker 2: Oh no, the Denver Broncos have Sean Payton and Bonnicks

1356
01:09:57,800 --> 01:09:59,679
Speaker 2: is a riser. Yeah, he's a riser. He looks good,

1357
01:09:59,720 --> 01:10:02,439
Speaker 2: but I'm not as convinced as everybody else.

1358
01:10:03,439 --> 01:10:05,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, the market's not convinced either. I mean, this is

1359
01:10:05,600 --> 01:10:09,160
Speaker 5: the number one seed in the AFC and they're basically

1360
01:10:09,240 --> 01:10:11,519
Speaker 5: a pick them at home against the Bills team that's

1361
01:10:11,520 --> 01:10:13,320
Speaker 5: on a short week with a banged up quarterback and

1362
01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:15,360
Speaker 5: a defense that hasn't played well this year. Now, to

1363
01:10:15,400 --> 01:10:18,400
Speaker 5: be fair, at Oliver was activated today. That would be

1364
01:10:18,720 --> 01:10:22,879
Speaker 5: massive if he plays and plays well for this Bill's defense.

1365
01:10:23,320 --> 01:10:25,320
Speaker 5: The one thing I noticed about Denver is everything's in

1366
01:10:25,360 --> 01:10:27,200
Speaker 5: a phone booth. And I've said this on this show before.

1367
01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:30,439
Speaker 5: I think the problem that I have with getting there

1368
01:10:30,439 --> 01:10:33,640
Speaker 5: on the Broncos as like a legit candidate is I

1369
01:10:33,720 --> 01:10:38,120
Speaker 5: don't feel like they're giving Bonnicks the keys to the castle.

1370
01:10:38,680 --> 01:10:41,920
Speaker 5: I feel like it's a very limited plan and they're

1371
01:10:41,920 --> 01:10:44,719
Speaker 5: going to try to do simple things and then if

1372
01:10:45,200 --> 01:10:47,599
Speaker 5: things get weird late, then we'll open it up if

1373
01:10:47,600 --> 01:10:50,679
Speaker 5: we have to. And here's the stat to back that up.

1374
01:10:51,479 --> 01:10:55,639
Speaker 5: Over seventy percent of Denver's passes this year are under

1375
01:10:55,720 --> 01:10:58,400
Speaker 5: ten air yards. That's the fifth highest rate in the league.

1376
01:10:58,439 --> 01:11:00,799
Speaker 5: They are not a team that is going to stretch

1377
01:11:00,840 --> 01:11:04,080
Speaker 5: the field vertically, despite the fact that they have Cortland

1378
01:11:04,120 --> 01:11:05,920
Speaker 5: Sutton and Pat Bryant, who I would argue are two

1379
01:11:05,920 --> 01:11:08,320
Speaker 5: of the better deep threat receivers in the NFL in

1380
01:11:08,400 --> 01:11:11,600
Speaker 5: terms of their efficiency on deep balls this year. But

1381
01:11:12,080 --> 01:11:15,000
Speaker 5: despite that, they still are a very dink and dunk offense.

1382
01:11:15,120 --> 01:11:17,840
Speaker 5: They're running game I don't like.

1383
01:11:17,960 --> 01:11:18,080
Speaker 8: R J.

1384
01:11:18,240 --> 01:11:20,200
Speaker 5: Harvey is not a bell cow back. They don't have

1385
01:11:20,280 --> 01:11:22,519
Speaker 5: that guy. They don't have that Derreck Henry. They don't

1386
01:11:22,520 --> 01:11:25,360
Speaker 5: have that CJ. McCaffrey who's just gonna get thirty carries,

1387
01:11:25,360 --> 01:11:29,040
Speaker 5: thirty touches a game and be the guy. So a

1388
01:11:29,080 --> 01:11:31,320
Speaker 5: lot of it does fall on the shoulders of their

1389
01:11:31,320 --> 01:11:34,040
Speaker 5: offensive line, which is very good, their defense which is

1390
01:11:34,120 --> 01:11:38,000
Speaker 5: very good, and Bonnicks, who, to Rich's point, like we

1391
01:11:38,080 --> 01:11:40,960
Speaker 5: haven't fully gotten there yet. So if you ask me

1392
01:11:41,320 --> 01:11:44,080
Speaker 5: who the better team is in this game, Brian, it's

1393
01:11:44,120 --> 01:11:48,040
Speaker 5: obviously Denver, But I think Buffalo has the better quarterback,

1394
01:11:48,040 --> 01:11:50,519
Speaker 5: which is the great equalizer in the sport. That's why

1395
01:11:50,560 --> 01:11:53,120
Speaker 5: the line is as short as it is. All of

1396
01:11:53,160 --> 01:11:55,360
Speaker 5: the respect that Josh Allen gets in the market is

1397
01:11:55,439 --> 01:11:59,720
Speaker 5: kind of swinging this thing towards Buffalo. This is it's

1398
01:11:59,720 --> 01:12:01,599
Speaker 5: a pit them for a reason, right, Like I think

1399
01:12:01,600 --> 01:12:04,160
Speaker 5: I lean Buffalo in the game because of Josh Allen.

1400
01:12:04,200 --> 01:12:06,400
Speaker 5: I think the better bet actually is to take Buffalo

1401
01:12:06,439 --> 01:12:09,320
Speaker 5: and tease it up right through both key numbers, because

1402
01:12:09,400 --> 01:12:11,240
Speaker 5: right now you're getting to the plus one and a half.

1403
01:12:11,240 --> 01:12:13,439
Speaker 5: That means you could tease it up to seven and

1404
01:12:13,439 --> 01:12:15,920
Speaker 5: a half and then pair it with another game I

1405
01:12:15,960 --> 01:12:18,640
Speaker 5: don't know, like maybe Seattle winning at home as a

1406
01:12:18,680 --> 01:12:21,800
Speaker 5: seven point favorite and then tease that one down. So

1407
01:12:22,120 --> 01:12:24,360
Speaker 5: it feels like the game itself is kind of a

1408
01:12:24,400 --> 01:12:24,840
Speaker 5: pick them.

1409
01:12:25,040 --> 01:12:26,240
Speaker 2: I lean to the under.

1410
01:12:26,720 --> 01:12:28,720
Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be a relatively lower scoring game,

1411
01:12:28,800 --> 01:12:30,640
Speaker 5: right I just told you Denver is a dink and

1412
01:12:30,720 --> 01:12:34,640
Speaker 5: dunk offense. Buffalo's offense is missing that explosive element at

1413
01:12:34,680 --> 01:12:37,719
Speaker 5: the receiver position as well. But man, when these games

1414
01:12:37,760 --> 01:12:39,639
Speaker 5: get tight. You know, anything could happen. But I would

1415
01:12:39,680 --> 01:12:41,439
Speaker 5: say the lean is the buffalo and the under in

1416
01:12:41,479 --> 01:12:43,240
Speaker 5: this game. I like the Josh Allen props. I like

1417
01:12:43,280 --> 01:12:45,080
Speaker 5: the Bownicks rushing props as well.

1418
01:12:45,720 --> 01:12:47,880
Speaker 4: I'll put a couple of things on your radar real fast.

1419
01:12:48,000 --> 01:12:50,799
Speaker 4: The first thing is, there are many times in life

1420
01:12:50,880 --> 01:12:53,360
Speaker 4: where you don't see the end coming. You know, where

1421
01:12:53,400 --> 01:12:54,760
Speaker 4: you look back and you're like, wow, I didn't know

1422
01:12:54,800 --> 01:12:56,720
Speaker 4: that was the last time I was gonna go to

1423
01:12:56,760 --> 01:13:00,160
Speaker 4: a movie with my girlfriend or whatever. Right Like, this

1424
01:13:00,200 --> 01:13:03,360
Speaker 4: could be Sean McDermott's final game as the Bill's head coach.

1425
01:13:03,439 --> 01:13:06,000
Speaker 4: Like that's a possibility here. If they crash and burn again,

1426
01:13:06,120 --> 01:13:08,320
Speaker 4: he could be gone. But hey, maybe he's got some

1427
01:13:08,439 --> 01:13:11,040
Speaker 4: Ryan Day Nick Sirianni in him. And when you think

1428
01:13:11,080 --> 01:13:13,160
Speaker 4: that he's on the chopping block, that's when you know

1429
01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:16,400
Speaker 4: they put everything together and string together a bunch of

1430
01:13:16,520 --> 01:13:17,320
Speaker 4: meaningful wins.

1431
01:13:17,320 --> 01:13:19,360
Speaker 3: So we'll see. The other thing is the running game.

1432
01:13:19,400 --> 01:13:21,519
Speaker 4: You guys have hit on this, Like the Bills have

1433
01:13:21,560 --> 01:13:24,080
Speaker 4: the number one rush offense, the Broncos have the number

1434
01:13:24,120 --> 01:13:25,240
Speaker 4: two rush defense.

1435
01:13:25,400 --> 01:13:27,160
Speaker 3: So that's strength on strength.

1436
01:13:27,280 --> 01:13:30,960
Speaker 4: And if the Broncos can keep James Cook in check.

1437
01:13:31,560 --> 01:13:34,040
Speaker 4: That is a big deal. They are in business. If

1438
01:13:34,080 --> 01:13:36,759
Speaker 4: they can't keep him in check. Oh baby, that's gonna

1439
01:13:36,760 --> 01:13:40,200
Speaker 4: be bad, bad, bad news for Denver. And the flip

1440
01:13:40,240 --> 01:13:43,439
Speaker 4: side of that is the Bill's rush defense sucks. But

1441
01:13:43,640 --> 01:13:46,519
Speaker 4: the Broncos are just average running the ball. So can

1442
01:13:46,640 --> 01:13:50,559
Speaker 4: they run the ball on the Bill's defense and not

1443
01:13:50,720 --> 01:13:53,679
Speaker 4: do what Leam Cohen did last week with the Jags

1444
01:13:53,840 --> 01:13:56,479
Speaker 4: head coach was like, Hey, our advantage is running it

1445
01:13:57,080 --> 01:14:00,000
Speaker 4: and Trevor Lawrence is struggling, Let's throw it with Trevor Laury.

1446
01:14:00,360 --> 01:14:01,879
Speaker 3: What the hell was he thinking?

1447
01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:04,920
Speaker 4: My gosh, But we'll see if Denver can take advantage

1448
01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:07,719
Speaker 4: of the weakness of that Bill's defense. And the last

1449
01:14:07,720 --> 01:14:10,519
Speaker 4: thing is, you guys have touched on this rich especially.

1450
01:14:10,840 --> 01:14:14,479
Speaker 4: I am not a bow leaver at all. And I'll

1451
01:14:14,520 --> 01:14:16,120
Speaker 4: tell you what, you can learn a lot about a

1452
01:14:16,160 --> 01:14:19,240
Speaker 4: person by the company they keep. Here's the company that

1453
01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:23,240
Speaker 4: bo Nix is keeping. How about this had the exact

1454
01:14:23,560 --> 01:14:28,320
Speaker 4: same passer rating this season as Carolina quarterback Bryce Young

1455
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:30,839
Speaker 4: to the decimal point, are we saying.

1456
01:14:30,640 --> 01:14:31,400
Speaker 2: Hey Bryce Young?

1457
01:14:31,439 --> 01:14:33,160
Speaker 3: Whoa look, No, we're not. We're not.

1458
01:14:33,840 --> 01:14:35,760
Speaker 4: We get a lot of hey bo Nicks, But yeah,

1459
01:14:35,960 --> 01:14:39,160
Speaker 4: what I'm not there. Do you realize that bow Nicks

1460
01:14:39,160 --> 01:14:43,280
Speaker 4: had a lower passer rating than Jets quarterback justin fields? Yeah, Like,

1461
01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:45,720
Speaker 4: that's that's where he's at. And yet I hear like,

1462
01:14:45,800 --> 01:14:48,439
Speaker 4: hey Bo, don't get me wrong. He does some good things.

1463
01:14:48,439 --> 01:14:51,400
Speaker 4: He can get outside the pocket, he can create some plays,

1464
01:14:51,800 --> 01:14:54,360
Speaker 4: he can run, put stress on a defense. He's made

1465
01:14:54,400 --> 01:14:56,719
Speaker 4: some big plays in the fourth quarter. I'm not telling

1466
01:14:56,720 --> 01:15:00,639
Speaker 4: you he's a hack all across the board, but there's

1467
01:15:00,720 --> 01:15:02,840
Speaker 4: a lot of like, hey Bo, bow seems to be

1468
01:15:02,880 --> 01:15:06,120
Speaker 4: turned to. Bo has this same passer rating as Bryce Young, Like,

1469
01:15:06,240 --> 01:15:08,840
Speaker 4: let's tone it down. He's got a sick defense, and

1470
01:15:08,880 --> 01:15:10,840
Speaker 4: they play a style that lends itself to winning a

1471
01:15:10,840 --> 01:15:13,760
Speaker 4: bunch of regular season games. This is the playoffs, this

1472
01:15:13,840 --> 01:15:16,519
Speaker 4: is go time, and if more is required of him,

1473
01:15:17,120 --> 01:15:19,839
Speaker 4: I don't like denvers chances, but we'll see how it unfolds.

1474
01:15:20,680 --> 01:15:24,160
Speaker 2: Yeah. I would rather coach around a defense that struggles

1475
01:15:24,160 --> 01:15:27,599
Speaker 2: against the run than coach around a quarterback who you're

1476
01:15:27,640 --> 01:15:31,639
Speaker 2: worried about in the second half. And if you're trailing

1477
01:15:31,680 --> 01:15:34,360
Speaker 2: in the second half and you have Bo Nix a quarterback,

1478
01:15:35,120 --> 01:15:39,840
Speaker 2: what would you say is your percentage of success, especially

1479
01:15:39,880 --> 01:15:42,759
Speaker 2: in the postseason. Yeah, it doesn't matter if you're hosting

1480
01:15:42,760 --> 01:15:46,240
Speaker 2: the game or not. I'm not a believer either. And

1481
01:15:46,280 --> 01:15:50,280
Speaker 2: it's by the way, this isn't to say he's not

1482
01:15:50,360 --> 01:15:52,960
Speaker 2: gonna get better. It isn't to say he won't improve

1483
01:15:53,080 --> 01:15:57,320
Speaker 2: and become one of the next elite passers or even

1484
01:15:57,520 --> 01:16:00,320
Speaker 2: game managers, which sounds like such an insult, but it

1485
01:16:00,360 --> 01:16:03,599
Speaker 2: is not, because even as a game manager, you can

1486
01:16:03,640 --> 01:16:06,920
Speaker 2: become a highly successful quarterback in the right system. We

1487
01:16:06,960 --> 01:16:09,360
Speaker 2: saw this with Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs

1488
01:16:09,360 --> 01:16:13,080
Speaker 2: when he signed with them. I mean Andy Reid, great coach,

1489
01:16:13,120 --> 01:16:17,200
Speaker 2: great culture builder. He turned Alex Smith into a consistent

1490
01:16:17,479 --> 01:16:21,760
Speaker 2: playoff contender year in year out. And then obviously the

1491
01:16:21,800 --> 01:16:24,960
Speaker 2: fuse really lit when the Chiefs drafted Mahomes and they

1492
01:16:24,960 --> 01:16:28,320
Speaker 2: were off to the races building a dynasty. But yeah,

1493
01:16:28,400 --> 01:16:31,360
Speaker 2: I'm not there yet with bo and I think he

1494
01:16:31,720 --> 01:16:34,519
Speaker 2: is going to struggle in this postseason and it could

1495
01:16:34,600 --> 01:16:37,040
Speaker 2: be as soon as his first game, his first appearance,

1496
01:16:37,080 --> 01:16:40,479
Speaker 2: which is coming up very shortly here. And man, like

1497
01:16:40,520 --> 01:16:43,400
Speaker 2: I said, I'd rather coach around a rushing defense. You

1498
01:16:43,439 --> 01:16:45,800
Speaker 2: can hide that a lot easier than you can a

1499
01:16:45,880 --> 01:16:47,759
Speaker 2: quarterback who's not ready for the limelight.

1500
01:16:48,360 --> 01:16:51,559
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's well said. That's Rich Ooornberger, Penn State All American.

1501
01:16:51,640 --> 01:16:55,040
Speaker 4: Jared Smith FSR betting analyst is with us. I'm Brian.

1502
01:16:55,120 --> 01:16:55,200
Speaker 2: No.

1503
01:16:55,320 --> 01:16:56,200
Speaker 3: The playoffs are here.

1504
01:16:56,280 --> 01:16:58,680
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1505
01:16:58,680 --> 01:17:02,320
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1509
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1510
01:17:13,040 --> 01:17:17,599
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1511
01:17:17,680 --> 01:17:20,320
Speaker 4: up next, prop it uh uh, that's right, the PROMP

1512
01:17:20,360 --> 01:17:24,439
Speaker 4: betting market. We have lots to discuss. We'll compare notes next.

1513
01:17:24,479 --> 01:17:27,960
Speaker 4: It's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1514
01:17:28,240 --> 01:17:31,760
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

1515
01:17:31,800 --> 01:17:35,720
Speaker 4: bet MGM. It's time for the postseason. Be sure to

1516
01:17:35,800 --> 01:17:38,160
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1517
01:17:38,200 --> 01:17:40,320
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1518
01:17:40,439 --> 01:17:42,559
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1519
01:17:43,240 --> 01:17:43,960
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1520
01:17:44,439 --> 01:17:46,320
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1521
01:17:46,400 --> 01:17:49,320
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1522
01:17:49,360 --> 01:17:51,360
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1523
01:17:51,400 --> 01:17:54,479
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1524
01:17:54,560 --> 01:17:57,240
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1525
01:17:57,240 --> 01:17:59,680
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1526
01:17:59,760 --> 01:18:02,639
Speaker 4: Is the bet MGM app All right, let's do this?

1527
01:18:03,120 --> 01:18:07,760
Speaker 1: Prop it up player plays?

1528
01:18:08,280 --> 01:18:10,519
Speaker 3: Ah, Yes, the prop betting market.

1529
01:18:11,160 --> 01:18:14,960
Speaker 4: It's like diving into a hot ton over here, right, Jared,

1530
01:18:15,000 --> 01:18:15,559
Speaker 4: we start with you.

1531
01:18:15,600 --> 01:18:16,320
Speaker 3: It's something you like.

1532
01:18:17,040 --> 01:18:20,280
Speaker 5: Well, we are not a boliever in maybe Denver winning

1533
01:18:20,280 --> 01:18:24,000
Speaker 5: this game, but I think Bow's legs. I would say

1534
01:18:24,000 --> 01:18:27,320
Speaker 5: I'm a believer in that his rushing attempts prop in

1535
01:18:27,360 --> 01:18:29,840
Speaker 5: this game is five and a half against the Bills

1536
01:18:29,880 --> 01:18:32,200
Speaker 5: later today. That's not what I'm betting on, but I'm

1537
01:18:32,360 --> 01:18:35,000
Speaker 5: using that as a gauge. So if we think he's

1538
01:18:35,040 --> 01:18:37,640
Speaker 5: gonna get about five or six rushing attempts in the game,

1539
01:18:37,720 --> 01:18:40,160
Speaker 5: let's see what his rushing yards typically are when he

1540
01:18:40,160 --> 01:18:43,120
Speaker 5: gets six attempts in a game. Well, I went back

1541
01:18:43,160 --> 01:18:46,479
Speaker 5: over the last two seasons and he's averaging thirty five

1542
01:18:46,640 --> 01:18:50,759
Speaker 5: rushing yards per game when he has six rushing attempts. Well,

1543
01:18:50,920 --> 01:18:53,240
Speaker 5: his prop in this game is twenty five. You can

1544
01:18:53,280 --> 01:18:55,840
Speaker 5: get Bonicks to rush for twenty five or more yards

1545
01:18:55,840 --> 01:18:57,680
Speaker 5: at minus won twenty five at bet MGM. So that

1546
01:18:57,840 --> 01:19:01,320
Speaker 5: is my official wager on this game. For this prop,

1547
01:19:01,360 --> 01:19:03,479
Speaker 5: I would say bo Nicks to rush for twenty five

1548
01:19:03,560 --> 01:19:07,240
Speaker 5: or more yards a very favorable price at bet mg.

1549
01:19:08,600 --> 01:19:12,160
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm gonna go with a Sam Donald prop in

1550
01:19:12,240 --> 01:19:14,920
Speaker 2: his game against the San Francisco forty nine Ers. I'm

1551
01:19:14,960 --> 01:19:18,280
Speaker 2: taking over on a half interception thrown. And here's why.

1552
01:19:19,040 --> 01:19:22,600
Speaker 2: Over his last four games he's thrown four picks. He

1553
01:19:22,680 --> 01:19:26,400
Speaker 2: had two in the season finale against the Rams. He's

1554
01:19:26,400 --> 01:19:28,840
Speaker 2: playing hurt and this has a lot more to do

1555
01:19:28,920 --> 01:19:32,120
Speaker 2: the San Francisco forty nine Ers playing with a positive

1556
01:19:32,160 --> 01:19:35,840
Speaker 2: game script. Especially early in this game. Kyle Shanahan is

1557
01:19:35,920 --> 01:19:39,760
Speaker 2: really good with his first twenty plays typically, so first

1558
01:19:39,840 --> 01:19:43,200
Speaker 2: quarter look to San Francisco jumping out to an early lead,

1559
01:19:43,400 --> 01:19:46,519
Speaker 2: trying to force the game on Sam donald shoulders. That's

1560
01:19:46,560 --> 01:19:48,479
Speaker 2: what I would do, and when you do that, you

1561
01:19:48,520 --> 01:19:50,880
Speaker 2: get him throwing the football. He's gonna throw it to

1562
01:19:51,280 --> 01:19:54,760
Speaker 2: a hampered defense by injury for the forty nine ers.

1563
01:19:54,760 --> 01:19:57,519
Speaker 2: But I do believe on bet MGM. Yeah, you're getting

1564
01:19:57,560 --> 01:20:01,400
Speaker 2: minus one twenty for an interception thrown by Sam Darnold

1565
01:20:01,680 --> 01:20:02,919
Speaker 2: and I'm taking the over.

1566
01:20:02,760 --> 01:20:09,080
Speaker 3: There all right? Uh, give me nix ni T I.

1567
01:20:09,000 --> 01:20:11,080
Speaker 4: Am not a bow leaver. Give me Bo Nicks to

1568
01:20:11,120 --> 01:20:14,000
Speaker 4: throw an interception. By the way, side note, can we

1569
01:20:14,120 --> 01:20:16,799
Speaker 4: change this market to instead of like zero point five

1570
01:20:17,000 --> 01:20:17,719
Speaker 4: over or under?

1571
01:20:17,760 --> 01:20:20,920
Speaker 3: Can it just be yes? No, it's way easier right, well,

1572
01:20:20,960 --> 01:20:22,120
Speaker 3: bow next door an interception?

1573
01:20:22,280 --> 01:20:25,080
Speaker 4: Yes, I want to bet on yes, not over point

1574
01:20:25,120 --> 01:20:26,000
Speaker 4: five or it's just.

1575
01:20:25,960 --> 01:20:29,000
Speaker 3: Confusing, right, But give me Bo Nicks to throw a pick.

1576
01:20:29,280 --> 01:20:33,400
Speaker 4: You know the way that the Broncos they're facing a defense,

1577
01:20:33,479 --> 01:20:36,320
Speaker 4: it's it's not advantageous towards bow Knicks. So I think

1578
01:20:36,360 --> 01:20:39,879
Speaker 4: he throws one to the other team. Coming up injury issues?

1579
01:20:40,760 --> 01:20:43,559
Speaker 4: Oh what is going on? Happy Saturday to you, Happy

1580
01:20:43,680 --> 01:20:47,160
Speaker 4: divisional round of the NFL playoffs. Two games today, two

1581
01:20:47,240 --> 01:20:50,880
Speaker 4: games tomorrow. Highly excited about all of this stuff. We've

1582
01:20:50,880 --> 01:20:54,920
Speaker 4: got the Niners and the Seahawks later tonight. Huh, a

1583
01:20:54,960 --> 01:20:58,960
Speaker 4: little nightcap and we've got Seattle favored by seven here.

1584
01:20:59,000 --> 01:21:01,800
Speaker 4: Now we know the injury shoes are going to play

1585
01:21:01,800 --> 01:21:04,479
Speaker 4: an impact here, especially with the forty nine ers their

1586
01:21:04,560 --> 01:21:07,360
Speaker 4: latest injury. Oh, they just lost George Kittle. You know,

1587
01:21:07,439 --> 01:21:12,000
Speaker 4: they already had Nick Bosa gone, Fred Warner not activated

1588
01:21:12,000 --> 01:21:12,599
Speaker 4: off of IR.

1589
01:21:12,760 --> 01:21:14,080
Speaker 3: Now they just lost George Kittle.

1590
01:21:14,200 --> 01:21:17,639
Speaker 4: You know, Like, these are monstrous losses for the forty

1591
01:21:17,720 --> 01:21:18,200
Speaker 4: nine ers.

1592
01:21:18,240 --> 01:21:21,160
Speaker 3: Man, But I mean, we'll see if it burns them today.

1593
01:21:21,320 --> 01:21:24,680
Speaker 4: They've done an outstanding job of getting as far as

1594
01:21:24,680 --> 01:21:27,439
Speaker 4: they have with all of the injuries that they've dealt with.

1595
01:21:27,960 --> 01:21:29,840
Speaker 4: I will say this not to get off track with

1596
01:21:29,880 --> 01:21:32,559
Speaker 4: the injury thing, but I was talking off air with

1597
01:21:32,720 --> 01:21:35,559
Speaker 4: Bo Benzon, our trusted producer, and Chris Burfett, our technical

1598
01:21:35,560 --> 01:21:40,360
Speaker 4: producer extraordinaire, and we were talking about how the main

1599
01:21:40,360 --> 01:21:42,800
Speaker 4: focus this season has been on the Patriots, and oh,

1600
01:21:42,840 --> 01:21:45,960
Speaker 4: what a soft schedule Patriots. They have't played anybody Patriots, Patriots.

1601
01:21:46,200 --> 01:21:50,560
Speaker 4: What's been overlooked is the forty nine ers greatly benefited

1602
01:21:50,560 --> 01:21:54,479
Speaker 4: from a very soft schedule. It was a very advent

1603
01:21:54,520 --> 01:21:56,640
Speaker 4: pageous schedule. You could go up and down, be like,

1604
01:21:56,680 --> 01:21:59,479
Speaker 4: all right, that's that's a week opponent. We component, we component,

1605
01:21:59,520 --> 01:22:03,040
Speaker 4: we component, and here they are, so twelve and five.

1606
01:22:03,520 --> 01:22:05,080
Speaker 3: I still with all.

1607
01:22:05,000 --> 01:22:08,080
Speaker 4: The injuries that they've had much more impressive than not

1608
01:22:08,360 --> 01:22:10,639
Speaker 4: that they've gotten as far as they have, but they

1609
01:22:10,760 --> 01:22:15,479
Speaker 4: have been assisted by a weaker schedule, so we'll see

1610
01:22:15,479 --> 01:22:18,559
Speaker 4: if that comes into effect today as well. Much tougher opponent,

1611
01:22:18,640 --> 01:22:22,080
Speaker 4: much tougher defense. And the question for the Seahawks getting

1612
01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:23,919
Speaker 4: back to the injuries is Sam.

1613
01:22:23,760 --> 01:22:25,880
Speaker 3: Donald popped up on the injury report.

1614
01:22:25,920 --> 01:22:29,599
Speaker 4: He's questionable to play oblique injury, a little left side,

1615
01:22:29,720 --> 01:22:30,839
Speaker 4: little left side tightness.

1616
01:22:30,960 --> 01:22:31,120
Speaker 2: Right.

1617
01:22:31,120 --> 01:22:33,280
Speaker 3: They're not good when you're a quarterback trying to rip.

1618
01:22:33,120 --> 01:22:37,479
Speaker 4: Through throws with a littleft side oblique issue here. But

1619
01:22:38,160 --> 01:22:40,599
Speaker 4: we'll see how big, how great of an impact that

1620
01:22:40,680 --> 01:22:44,760
Speaker 4: makes in today's game for Donald. They're obviously gonna want

1621
01:22:44,760 --> 01:22:46,679
Speaker 4: to run it the way they did in Week eighteen

1622
01:22:47,120 --> 01:22:49,880
Speaker 4: and sort of like hide Sam Darnald a little bit,

1623
01:22:49,920 --> 01:22:52,599
Speaker 4: and especially if he's dealing with an injury. So really

1624
01:22:52,600 --> 01:22:55,080
Speaker 4: interested to see what Seattle's offense is able to do.

1625
01:22:55,520 --> 01:22:58,240
Speaker 4: This is a mash unit defensively, and I'll tell you

1626
01:22:58,280 --> 01:23:01,040
Speaker 4: what the Niners, after SAYK one went crazy in the

1627
01:23:01,080 --> 01:23:03,479
Speaker 4: first half, the Niners actually did a pretty good job

1628
01:23:03,520 --> 01:23:05,600
Speaker 4: against the rush in the second half. They're going to

1629
01:23:05,680 --> 01:23:07,640
Speaker 4: have to do that tonight against Seattle, they got to

1630
01:23:07,680 --> 01:23:08,360
Speaker 4: defend the rush.

1631
01:23:08,400 --> 01:23:11,439
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I agree with what you said about the

1632
01:23:11,560 --> 01:23:16,280
Speaker 2: Niners schedule. I work with closely a super fan of

1633
01:23:16,320 --> 01:23:21,120
Speaker 2: the San Francisco forty nine ers, and when you're close

1634
01:23:21,200 --> 01:23:25,240
Speaker 2: to somebody who cares that much, you hear all of

1635
01:23:25,280 --> 01:23:29,320
Speaker 2: the positive, gleaming shining stats about brock Purty, especially in

1636
01:23:29,400 --> 01:23:32,679
Speaker 2: about this Niners offense. But if you think about brock Perty,

1637
01:23:32,680 --> 01:23:36,600
Speaker 2: He's thrown ten interceptions through the nine games that he

1638
01:23:36,680 --> 01:23:41,920
Speaker 2: played in. He was seven to two, highly productive and

1639
01:23:41,960 --> 01:23:44,280
Speaker 2: a winning percentage when he was there. But he was

1640
01:23:44,320 --> 01:23:47,880
Speaker 2: also there the whole time with a healthy George Kittle. Now,

1641
01:23:48,240 --> 01:23:52,559
Speaker 2: health obviously is a spectrum, and George Kittle was battling

1642
01:23:52,600 --> 01:23:55,519
Speaker 2: through a lower leg injury before the achilles finally did

1643
01:23:55,560 --> 01:23:59,519
Speaker 2: tear on him. And that is such a disappointment because

1644
01:23:59,640 --> 01:24:01,920
Speaker 2: you want to see George Kittle in the postseason. I mean,

1645
01:24:02,280 --> 01:24:05,599
Speaker 2: great players, they do great things in huge moments when

1646
01:24:05,760 --> 01:24:09,200
Speaker 2: the team's depending on him. And you'd imagine, if healthy,

1647
01:24:09,720 --> 01:24:12,599
Speaker 2: a large chunk of this script, this this game plan

1648
01:24:12,800 --> 01:24:15,680
Speaker 2: would be around his talents. But so they move on

1649
01:24:15,760 --> 01:24:19,160
Speaker 2: without him against a fier Seattle defense, And this is

1650
01:24:19,200 --> 01:24:22,479
Speaker 2: a team that has given the Niners struggles, especially this

1651
01:24:22,600 --> 01:24:25,840
Speaker 2: season being a division rival. I look at Brock Perdy

1652
01:24:26,200 --> 01:24:30,120
Speaker 2: and this Niners offense. I think too little has been

1653
01:24:30,160 --> 01:24:36,160
Speaker 2: made of this enormous, cataclysmic injury to their production. So

1654
01:24:36,320 --> 01:24:39,000
Speaker 2: much of what they do goes through George Kittle, whether

1655
01:24:39,040 --> 01:24:40,880
Speaker 2: it be at the line of scrimmage, which this is

1656
01:24:40,920 --> 01:24:44,599
Speaker 2: an underrated part of the conversation. He is like having

1657
01:24:44,640 --> 01:24:47,680
Speaker 2: an extra offensive lineman on the field. There's been no

1658
01:24:47,880 --> 01:24:52,120
Speaker 2: better run blocker pass blocker than George Kittle in the

1659
01:24:52,200 --> 01:24:55,680
Speaker 2: league since Rob Gronkowski has left the NFL, and that

1660
01:24:55,840 --> 01:24:58,120
Speaker 2: is the truth. He may be the second best run

1661
01:24:58,160 --> 01:25:01,880
Speaker 2: blocking tight end in the history the game, especially when

1662
01:25:01,880 --> 01:25:04,560
Speaker 2: you start looking at the modern era and how important

1663
01:25:04,600 --> 01:25:08,479
Speaker 2: since Tony Gonzalez, the tight end position Antonio Gates has

1664
01:25:08,520 --> 01:25:11,400
Speaker 2: become to the receiving game. So he is he is

1665
01:25:11,479 --> 01:25:15,720
Speaker 2: a Swiss army knife of this offense. I feel like

1666
01:25:16,479 --> 01:25:20,919
Speaker 2: we're talking about Donald because obviously quarterback injuries really reigned supreme,

1667
01:25:21,040 --> 01:25:24,439
Speaker 2: especially in the postseason, but we're not focusing enough on

1668
01:25:24,760 --> 01:25:28,760
Speaker 2: what's going to limit these Niners on this offense. I'm

1669
01:25:28,840 --> 01:25:32,000
Speaker 2: really interesting how they use juice check. I'm really interested

1670
01:25:32,040 --> 01:25:35,519
Speaker 2: in seeing how they heal the short passing game, and

1671
01:25:35,560 --> 01:25:39,280
Speaker 2: they get a security blanket involved for brock Purdy in

1672
01:25:39,479 --> 01:25:44,480
Speaker 2: must pass situations because again Kittle was such an insanely

1673
01:25:44,479 --> 01:25:46,799
Speaker 2: important piece to the puddle puzzle this season.

1674
01:25:47,600 --> 01:25:51,479
Speaker 5: All right, first market was the market does think Donald's

1675
01:25:51,520 --> 01:25:55,160
Speaker 5: playing right now, because we haven't really seen that push down. Like,

1676
01:25:55,439 --> 01:25:57,920
Speaker 5: for example, if I go to my quarterback ratings, and

1677
01:25:57,960 --> 01:26:01,120
Speaker 5: my quarterback ratings are not gospel, they are what they are,

1678
01:26:01,320 --> 01:26:06,719
Speaker 5: They're my ratings. But if I go to Donald to Locke,

1679
01:26:06,800 --> 01:26:10,640
Speaker 5: it's about a five point drop, so the mark And

1680
01:26:10,680 --> 01:26:12,600
Speaker 5: again maybe that's my ratings and I'm a little bit

1681
01:26:12,640 --> 01:26:15,040
Speaker 5: higher on Darnald. I don't know, but my point being,

1682
01:26:15,880 --> 01:26:18,960
Speaker 5: the number will move at least a field goal if

1683
01:26:19,400 --> 01:26:21,960
Speaker 5: Sam Donald doesn't play in this game. That hasn't happened yet.

1684
01:26:22,120 --> 01:26:26,000
Speaker 5: So right now the market thinks Donald's playing. That could change.

1685
01:26:26,120 --> 01:26:29,320
Speaker 5: The game's not for another what ten hours, it could change,

1686
01:26:29,400 --> 01:26:32,720
Speaker 5: But right now the market thinks Donald's playing. If you

1687
01:26:32,720 --> 01:26:34,519
Speaker 5: were going to ask me, let's say, Donald healthy, if

1688
01:26:34,560 --> 01:26:36,559
Speaker 5: you were going to ask me the path for this game,

1689
01:26:36,600 --> 01:26:39,759
Speaker 5: it's what just happened in week eighteen, which is Donald

1690
01:26:39,840 --> 01:26:42,880
Speaker 5: under all of his passing props, attamps, yards, all that stuff,

1691
01:26:43,400 --> 01:26:46,320
Speaker 5: and the rushing game to be a prominent factor. It's

1692
01:26:46,400 --> 01:26:50,240
Speaker 5: kind of ironic bookend matchups for these division rivals. Week

1693
01:26:50,280 --> 01:26:54,280
Speaker 5: one Niners road favorite they won. Week eighteen Seahawks road

1694
01:26:54,320 --> 01:26:57,720
Speaker 5: favorite they won Week one total forty two and a

1695
01:26:57,760 --> 01:27:02,320
Speaker 5: half game under two or Week eighteen total forty eight

1696
01:27:02,360 --> 01:27:04,000
Speaker 5: and a half game went under. So where are we

1697
01:27:04,040 --> 01:27:06,360
Speaker 5: now with the total forty five right in between the

1698
01:27:06,360 --> 01:27:08,680
Speaker 5: first two games. It's funny how that works out. The

1699
01:27:08,760 --> 01:27:10,400
Speaker 5: other props I like in this game. I think both

1700
01:27:10,439 --> 01:27:13,880
Speaker 5: quarterbacks actually are susceptible to the interception, especially brock pardy

1701
01:27:13,920 --> 01:27:18,639
Speaker 5: Perty's interception prop is priced the highest this week. Why well,

1702
01:27:19,280 --> 01:27:22,160
Speaker 5: Seahawks play a lot of zone about eighty percent of snaps.

1703
01:27:23,000 --> 01:27:25,559
Speaker 5: Rock Party's actually done pretty well success rate wise against

1704
01:27:25,640 --> 01:27:29,280
Speaker 5: zone coverage this year. However, seven of his ten interceptions

1705
01:27:29,320 --> 01:27:32,240
Speaker 5: have come against zone coverage. Forty nine ers heavy zone team,

1706
01:27:32,280 --> 01:27:34,719
Speaker 5: about seventy five percent of snaps they will be in zone.

1707
01:27:35,000 --> 01:27:38,480
Speaker 5: Sam Darnold eh fifty two percent success rate eight touchdowns,

1708
01:27:38,520 --> 01:27:42,080
Speaker 5: not bad, but ten of his fourteen interceptions this year

1709
01:27:42,400 --> 01:27:45,760
Speaker 5: have come against zone coverage. It's just harder to read

1710
01:27:45,880 --> 01:27:49,040
Speaker 5: zone coverage. Some quarterbacks struggle with it. They'll throw it

1711
01:27:49,080 --> 01:27:51,519
Speaker 5: into the windows that are probably tighter than they should

1712
01:27:51,760 --> 01:27:53,400
Speaker 5: and that's where you get a lot of those picks.

1713
01:27:53,400 --> 01:27:55,559
Speaker 5: So I'm on both. I think both quarterbacks probably throw

1714
01:27:55,560 --> 01:27:57,240
Speaker 5: a pick in this game. The other play I like,

1715
01:27:57,280 --> 01:28:00,880
Speaker 5: and it goes to the Kittle angle. The Niners run

1716
01:28:00,920 --> 01:28:03,960
Speaker 5: the highest rate of twenty one personnel in the NFL.

1717
01:28:04,000 --> 01:28:08,040
Speaker 5: What is twenty one personnel? Two one tight ends running backs,

1718
01:28:08,120 --> 01:28:10,880
Speaker 5: So that means on about forty percent of snaps they

1719
01:28:10,920 --> 01:28:13,840
Speaker 5: have two tight ends on the field. Well, we just

1720
01:28:13,840 --> 01:28:16,360
Speaker 5: told you George Kittle and playing. Who is a guy

1721
01:28:16,560 --> 01:28:19,320
Speaker 5: on the Niners who is kind of like a tight

1722
01:28:19,439 --> 01:28:22,559
Speaker 5: end who has a lot of experience that Kyle Shanahan. Trust.

1723
01:28:23,160 --> 01:28:26,760
Speaker 5: If you're thinking Kyle uscheck, you're thinking correct. So I

1724
01:28:26,760 --> 01:28:29,280
Speaker 5: would say, if there is a guy on the Niners

1725
01:28:29,280 --> 01:28:31,320
Speaker 5: that can make up for a little bit of the

1726
01:28:31,320 --> 01:28:34,439
Speaker 5: production at the line of scrimmage that maybe George Kittle

1727
01:28:34,479 --> 01:28:37,240
Speaker 5: can produce, I would say it's used Check one and

1728
01:28:37,280 --> 01:28:39,720
Speaker 5: a half on the receptions Prop thirteen and a half.

1729
01:28:39,800 --> 01:28:42,280
Speaker 5: I even saw twelve and a half for his receiving yards.

1730
01:28:42,320 --> 01:28:42,639
Speaker 2: PROP.

1731
01:28:43,200 --> 01:28:45,280
Speaker 5: This is a guy that's been around the block. He's

1732
01:28:45,280 --> 01:28:47,880
Speaker 5: played in a Super Bowl, multiple Super Bowls, and I

1733
01:28:47,920 --> 01:28:51,679
Speaker 5: do think he is reliable for Kyle Shanahan and Brock Purty.

1734
01:28:51,760 --> 01:28:54,680
Speaker 5: So if you want any semblance of hope for this

1735
01:28:55,160 --> 01:28:58,880
Speaker 5: Niners team, Sam Darnold struggling with injury, maybe they get

1736
01:28:58,920 --> 01:29:01,320
Speaker 5: a little bit of production from us check, Maybe one

1737
01:29:01,320 --> 01:29:03,680
Speaker 5: of the other receiver steps up. And Brock has to

1738
01:29:03,720 --> 01:29:06,040
Speaker 5: be great. He's got to have a sixty percent success, right,

1739
01:29:06,080 --> 01:29:08,280
Speaker 5: I think in this game against zone coverage, if San

1740
01:29:08,320 --> 01:29:09,840
Speaker 5: Francisco wants any chance to win.

1741
01:29:10,640 --> 01:29:13,439
Speaker 4: Man, you know, it's funny, I'll give you. This is

1742
01:29:13,439 --> 01:29:16,839
Speaker 4: how I always think of personnel, whether it's twelve personnel,

1743
01:29:16,880 --> 01:29:20,479
Speaker 4: twenty one personnel, whatever. I think of the alphabet, you know,

1744
01:29:20,520 --> 01:29:23,920
Speaker 4: and I think of like R comes before T q

1745
01:29:24,439 --> 01:29:27,479
Speaker 4: R as running backs than T right, Like that, That's

1746
01:29:27,479 --> 01:29:29,280
Speaker 4: how I think of it. So someone's like twelve personal

1747
01:29:29,320 --> 01:29:32,000
Speaker 4: I'm like, all right, the one is the running back,

1748
01:29:32,320 --> 01:29:34,800
Speaker 4: the two that those are the tight ends, because it's

1749
01:29:34,800 --> 01:29:36,840
Speaker 4: like a right, That's how I always think about it.

1750
01:29:37,120 --> 01:29:39,360
Speaker 4: So you keep that in mind, keep it straight that way.

1751
01:29:39,800 --> 01:29:41,720
Speaker 4: I love this stat This is great. This is maybe

1752
01:29:41,800 --> 01:29:43,960
Speaker 4: the most misleading stat in the history of the NFL.

1753
01:29:44,720 --> 01:29:47,880
Speaker 4: So Sam Donald is one of two quarterbacks in NFL

1754
01:29:48,000 --> 01:29:51,160
Speaker 4: history to win fourteen games in back to back seasons.

1755
01:29:51,600 --> 01:29:54,880
Speaker 4: The other guy is Tom Brady. That's the list. He's

1756
01:29:54,960 --> 01:29:58,240
Speaker 4: won fourteen games in back to back season, Sam Darnold has.

1757
01:29:59,000 --> 01:30:01,320
Speaker 4: I don't think anyone's like, well, he's the reason why

1758
01:30:01,360 --> 01:30:02,080
Speaker 4: they've you know.

1759
01:30:02,120 --> 01:30:03,000
Speaker 5: Right, we get it.

1760
01:30:03,040 --> 01:30:06,160
Speaker 4: But I do get I do get vibes of the

1761
01:30:06,240 --> 01:30:10,040
Speaker 4: Lions with the forty nine ers right where there's all

1762
01:30:10,080 --> 01:30:12,519
Speaker 4: this talk about, hey man, maybe Fred Warner, maybe he

1763
01:30:12,560 --> 01:30:15,439
Speaker 4: comes back. Maybe he's not gonna be activated this week.

1764
01:30:15,920 --> 01:30:17,960
Speaker 4: If they may, if they win this game, hopefully you'd

1765
01:30:18,000 --> 01:30:21,000
Speaker 4: be activated on championship Sunday. I would love to see

1766
01:30:21,000 --> 01:30:23,759
Speaker 4: Fred Warner back as soon as possible. He's a special player.

1767
01:30:24,280 --> 01:30:28,799
Speaker 4: But I get Aiden Hutchinson Lions vibes with the Niners.

1768
01:30:28,840 --> 01:30:30,080
Speaker 3: Do you guys feel the same way?

1769
01:30:30,120 --> 01:30:33,000
Speaker 4: Like last year, it was like, hey, if the Lions

1770
01:30:33,000 --> 01:30:36,720
Speaker 4: get to the championship game in the NFC, like Aiden Hutchinson,

1771
01:30:36,880 --> 01:30:38,880
Speaker 4: he could play in the Super Bowl, and it's like, yeah,

1772
01:30:38,920 --> 01:30:41,840
Speaker 4: they just lost right away, one and done. You know,

1773
01:30:42,400 --> 01:30:44,000
Speaker 4: I feel like this would be the same stage for

1774
01:30:44,040 --> 01:30:47,320
Speaker 4: the Niners as the Lions last year losing the last

1775
01:30:47,320 --> 01:30:50,200
Speaker 4: thing I'll throw your way. Trick plays. You saw that,

1776
01:30:50,920 --> 01:30:54,160
Speaker 4: like with Jwan Jennings. Love this that he was once

1777
01:30:54,200 --> 01:30:57,439
Speaker 4: a four star dual threat quarterback recruit. He was ranked

1778
01:30:57,439 --> 01:31:00,760
Speaker 4: ahead of Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson. How about that

1779
01:31:00,840 --> 01:31:03,960
Speaker 4: on your resume. Right, there's the wide receiver for the Niners.

1780
01:31:04,000 --> 01:31:07,760
Speaker 4: But great trick play. Nice pass to Christian McCaffrey ended

1781
01:31:07,760 --> 01:31:11,120
Speaker 4: in a touchdown. But I think you gotta think about

1782
01:31:11,280 --> 01:31:14,120
Speaker 4: trick plays and be on high alert if you're the

1783
01:31:14,160 --> 01:31:16,800
Speaker 4: Seahawks defense, because I don't see the Niners running it

1784
01:31:16,960 --> 01:31:21,639
Speaker 4: very well. The Seahawks defense is ferocious, and I think

1785
01:31:21,680 --> 01:31:25,479
Speaker 4: they shut down the run again. And so you've got Purdy,

1786
01:31:26,040 --> 01:31:30,240
Speaker 4: no George Kittle. Like random wide receivers. It lends itself

1787
01:31:30,280 --> 01:31:32,959
Speaker 4: to we got to pull out all the stops man

1788
01:31:33,240 --> 01:31:35,320
Speaker 4: worked last week for a touchdown. I would be on

1789
01:31:35,400 --> 01:31:38,759
Speaker 4: high alert for more trick plays from this Niners offense tonight.

1790
01:31:39,720 --> 01:31:42,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, no doubt. I think if they get into any

1791
01:31:42,479 --> 01:31:45,200
Speaker 2: sort of desperation mode, you're going to have to key

1792
01:31:45,280 --> 01:31:48,000
Speaker 2: on that and also key on the fact that Kyle

1793
01:31:48,040 --> 01:31:51,240
Speaker 2: Shanahan is too smart to go to the well too

1794
01:31:51,280 --> 01:31:53,760
Speaker 2: many times and so there's gonna be some sort of

1795
01:31:54,280 --> 01:31:59,639
Speaker 2: layered concept here. They knew they unveiled the pass from

1796
01:31:59,720 --> 01:32:02,920
Speaker 2: Joan on Jennings, you know, off the reverse look, you know,

1797
01:32:03,240 --> 01:32:06,880
Speaker 2: or a fly sweep look, Well, expect something else, like

1798
01:32:06,920 --> 01:32:10,280
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a further iteration of that play. It

1799
01:32:10,320 --> 01:32:12,720
Speaker 2: could be a double pass where Jennings gets it back

1800
01:32:12,760 --> 01:32:17,440
Speaker 2: to Brock, you know, not necessarily like a Philly special situation.

1801
01:32:17,600 --> 01:32:20,200
Speaker 2: But but but some sort of wrinkle in that. And

1802
01:32:20,280 --> 01:32:22,840
Speaker 2: so it's going to force the Seahawks, especially if the

1803
01:32:22,920 --> 01:32:25,280
Speaker 2: Niners get to something like that early in the game,

1804
01:32:25,680 --> 01:32:29,680
Speaker 2: to play extremely discipline and and and they they like

1805
01:32:29,720 --> 01:32:32,960
Speaker 2: to play in an attacking style where they're getting upfield,

1806
01:32:33,040 --> 01:32:36,360
Speaker 2: they're disrupting. And sometimes when you force a defense to

1807
01:32:36,360 --> 01:32:39,120
Speaker 2: play a little flatter and parallel to the line of scrimmage,

1808
01:32:39,160 --> 01:32:41,960
Speaker 2: it can open up a run game that is going

1809
01:32:42,000 --> 01:32:44,759
Speaker 2: to be again hampered by the loss of George Kittle.

1810
01:32:45,160 --> 01:32:48,840
Speaker 2: So in this game between the Niners and the Seahawks, yeah,

1811
01:32:49,000 --> 01:32:52,599
Speaker 2: I mean, you're you're going to see a better defense

1812
01:32:52,760 --> 01:32:58,400
Speaker 2: against a struggling Niners offense considering the injury situation, But

1813
01:32:58,479 --> 01:33:01,599
Speaker 2: then focusing back on the court for a second, if

1814
01:33:01,640 --> 01:33:04,479
Speaker 2: you're gonna try to game plan around an injured George

1815
01:33:04,560 --> 01:33:08,880
Speaker 2: Kittle or game plan around an injured Sam Donald. Which

1816
01:33:08,920 --> 01:33:12,320
Speaker 2: would I choose? I would choose game planning around and

1817
01:33:12,439 --> 01:33:17,400
Speaker 2: injured George Kittle because the quarterback position, again, it unlocks

1818
01:33:17,400 --> 01:33:19,879
Speaker 2: so much for you. If you have a competent quarterback

1819
01:33:19,920 --> 01:33:23,080
Speaker 2: who's gonna be cool under with his composure under pressure,

1820
01:33:23,439 --> 01:33:27,559
Speaker 2: and not worried about sacrificing himself for the play, well

1821
01:33:27,560 --> 01:33:30,160
Speaker 2: then you're gonna have success because you can extend plays,

1822
01:33:30,400 --> 01:33:32,880
Speaker 2: you can find ways to deliver the ball from different

1823
01:33:32,920 --> 01:33:35,519
Speaker 2: platforms on the run, things like that. When you have

1824
01:33:35,560 --> 01:33:38,519
Speaker 2: a left oblique strain like Sam Darnald is battling right now,

1825
01:33:38,560 --> 01:33:41,000
Speaker 2: think about how much torque you need to generate when

1826
01:33:41,040 --> 01:33:45,559
Speaker 2: you're in a clean pocket. Right It's enough to say, wow, though,

1827
01:33:45,640 --> 01:33:48,160
Speaker 2: Bleak's really gonna affect maybe some of the speed on

1828
01:33:48,200 --> 01:33:52,120
Speaker 2: the ball, the touch on the football. Well, then get

1829
01:33:52,200 --> 01:33:54,920
Speaker 2: him on the run, you know, flush him from the pocket,

1830
01:33:55,080 --> 01:33:58,360
Speaker 2: especially to his non throwing side, and see how effective

1831
01:33:58,400 --> 01:34:01,160
Speaker 2: he is throwing the football and he's trying to generate

1832
01:34:01,720 --> 01:34:04,519
Speaker 2: torque off of a different platform where he's trying to

1833
01:34:04,560 --> 01:34:07,880
Speaker 2: throw off of his right foot while he's ranging to

1834
01:34:08,000 --> 01:34:10,479
Speaker 2: his left. I mean, these are going to be the

1835
01:34:10,479 --> 01:34:13,400
Speaker 2: plays that Sam Darnold, m brock Purdy at different points

1836
01:34:13,400 --> 01:34:15,240
Speaker 2: in the game are going to be relied on to

1837
01:34:15,320 --> 01:34:18,160
Speaker 2: make if they want to win this football game. And

1838
01:34:18,280 --> 01:34:21,879
Speaker 2: I again, if you're going to coach around an injury,

1839
01:34:22,320 --> 01:34:24,960
Speaker 2: you would definitely not want to be coaching around a

1840
01:34:25,040 --> 01:34:29,120
Speaker 2: quarterback injury, especially an injury that has a severe impact

1841
01:34:29,240 --> 01:34:32,240
Speaker 2: on the throwing motion. And that's what the Seattle Seahawks

1842
01:34:32,280 --> 01:34:33,320
Speaker 2: are game planning around.

1843
01:34:34,400 --> 01:34:37,880
Speaker 5: The problem is for what Rix just said, which he's right,

1844
01:34:37,920 --> 01:34:40,120
Speaker 5: that's what you do. Here's the problem. The Niners defense

1845
01:34:40,160 --> 01:34:43,240
Speaker 5: thirty first in pressure right, thirty second in sack EPA. Yeah,

1846
01:34:43,680 --> 01:34:48,080
Speaker 5: so what they need to do they haven't done well

1847
01:34:48,120 --> 01:34:51,920
Speaker 5: this year. They don't have an elite pass rusher. It's

1848
01:34:51,960 --> 01:34:54,599
Speaker 5: Bryce Huff the only pass rusher on the team that's

1849
01:34:54,640 --> 01:34:57,040
Speaker 5: better than fiftieth percentiland pressure right on the air, it's

1850
01:34:57,080 --> 01:35:01,200
Speaker 5: Alfred Collins, the next closest in the thirty fifth percentile. Meanwhile,

1851
01:35:01,240 --> 01:35:03,519
Speaker 5: the Seahawks this year offensive line's been pretty solid, run

1852
01:35:03,560 --> 01:35:07,120
Speaker 5: game has been pretty solid. The Donald attempts prop right,

1853
01:35:07,160 --> 01:35:09,240
Speaker 5: if you want to gauge, Yeah, if you want to

1854
01:35:09,320 --> 01:35:13,160
Speaker 5: gauge where the market is on the quarterbacks this year.

1855
01:35:13,439 --> 01:35:16,200
Speaker 5: Sam Donald has the lowest attempts prop of any of

1856
01:35:16,200 --> 01:35:18,559
Speaker 5: the eight quarterbacks playing this week, even lower than Drake May,

1857
01:35:18,680 --> 01:35:20,759
Speaker 5: who no one thinks it's going to be a heavy

1858
01:35:20,840 --> 01:35:23,559
Speaker 5: passing game for Drake May against that Texan defense. That's

1859
01:35:23,840 --> 01:35:27,839
Speaker 5: that game has the lowest total of the week. However,

1860
01:35:27,920 --> 01:35:32,479
Speaker 5: it is Sam Darnald the lowest passing attempts prop. So

1861
01:35:32,880 --> 01:35:34,679
Speaker 5: I went under on that in twenty nine and a half.

1862
01:35:34,680 --> 01:35:36,639
Speaker 5: It's twenty eight and a half now. I still think

1863
01:35:37,000 --> 01:35:40,760
Speaker 5: it's an under because even if he's healthy, I think

1864
01:35:40,800 --> 01:35:43,760
Speaker 5: Seattle wants to hide Donald as much as possible in

1865
01:35:43,800 --> 01:35:46,160
Speaker 5: this game, and that is the path to victory. It's

1866
01:35:46,200 --> 01:35:49,639
Speaker 5: it's Sharbonay, it's Walker over the rushing props, it's Donald

1867
01:35:49,800 --> 01:35:54,200
Speaker 5: under their passing props. If that path, if that formula

1868
01:35:54,240 --> 01:35:57,479
Speaker 5: plays out, that feels like a two touchdown Seahawks win.

1869
01:35:57,600 --> 01:35:57,720
Speaker 4: Right.

1870
01:35:57,800 --> 01:36:00,639
Speaker 5: If if Walker and sharbon Ay both over the rushing

1871
01:36:00,680 --> 01:36:02,960
Speaker 5: yard props, they're both around forty five fifty to fifty five.

1872
01:36:03,000 --> 01:36:05,080
Speaker 5: I think Charbonne is a little bit lower than than Walker,

1873
01:36:05,080 --> 01:36:07,080
Speaker 5: but they're both kind of in the same vicinity. And

1874
01:36:07,120 --> 01:36:10,479
Speaker 5: if Sam Darnald says, under his passing props, that is

1875
01:36:10,520 --> 01:36:14,639
Speaker 5: the recipe for a Seahawks win and probably cover We're

1876
01:36:14,640 --> 01:36:16,960
Speaker 5: on the other side of the table. If Donald is

1877
01:36:17,000 --> 01:36:19,120
Speaker 5: forced to throw it in this game the Niners shut

1878
01:36:19,200 --> 01:36:22,800
Speaker 5: down the run, that to me smells San Francisco win.

1879
01:36:22,920 --> 01:36:24,760
Speaker 5: So it's kind of funny. Usually we think, oh, well,

1880
01:36:24,760 --> 01:36:27,160
Speaker 5: if a quarterback goes over all his props, then that

1881
01:36:27,200 --> 01:36:29,479
Speaker 5: team must be doing really well. I actually think in

1882
01:36:29,520 --> 01:36:31,800
Speaker 5: the case of the Seahawks, if Donald, if this game

1883
01:36:31,840 --> 01:36:35,040
Speaker 5: falls on his shoulder and his banged up oblique, I

1884
01:36:35,080 --> 01:36:37,840
Speaker 5: think that is an issue for this Seahawks team.

1885
01:36:38,080 --> 01:36:38,679
Speaker 3: That's the thing.

1886
01:36:38,800 --> 01:36:42,719
Speaker 4: Man, Like, somehow, some way, the formula for the Niners

1887
01:36:43,320 --> 01:36:47,040
Speaker 4: is putting Donald in those tight sphincter situations in.

1888
01:36:46,960 --> 01:36:50,479
Speaker 5: The yes, he's got it.

1889
01:36:50,920 --> 01:36:53,240
Speaker 4: I think back to Week eighteen where the ball was

1890
01:36:53,280 --> 01:36:57,360
Speaker 4: just slightly deflected and McCaffrey bobbled it and it turned

1891
01:36:57,360 --> 01:37:00,639
Speaker 4: out to be an interception. If the Niners punch it in,

1892
01:37:01,120 --> 01:37:04,360
Speaker 4: it's thirteen to ten, and all of a sudden, you're like,

1893
01:37:05,000 --> 01:37:07,320
Speaker 4: oh gosh, like where does it go from there? It's

1894
01:37:07,360 --> 01:37:10,479
Speaker 4: third and eight, and it's like, we need this conversion. Darnald,

1895
01:37:10,520 --> 01:37:12,760
Speaker 4: you know, like, that's the thing is if it got

1896
01:37:12,760 --> 01:37:15,559
Speaker 4: to that stage, who knows where it goes. And so

1897
01:37:15,600 --> 01:37:18,080
Speaker 4: that's the key for the Niners today. Can you put

1898
01:37:18,160 --> 01:37:22,120
Speaker 4: Darnald in those situations? And it's not saying he's destined

1899
01:37:22,120 --> 01:37:25,440
Speaker 4: to fail, it's just to say he's a prime candidate

1900
01:37:25,840 --> 01:37:27,840
Speaker 4: to fail, right, You've got to put him in those

1901
01:37:27,840 --> 01:37:31,200
Speaker 4: situations and see how he responds. But we're back to

1902
01:37:31,280 --> 01:37:34,520
Speaker 4: roofing with the broken hammer again. You know, with their defense,

1903
01:37:34,560 --> 01:37:36,800
Speaker 4: they just no pass rush at all. I just don't

1904
01:37:36,800 --> 01:37:40,280
Speaker 4: know if they have enough to put Darnald in that situation.

1905
01:37:40,400 --> 01:37:41,879
Speaker 4: Lla's got to have his best scheme.

1906
01:37:41,680 --> 01:37:42,080
Speaker 5: Of the year.

1907
01:37:42,720 --> 01:37:43,679
Speaker 3: He really does.

1908
01:37:44,000 --> 01:37:47,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I mean, and sometimes a bad pass rush

1909
01:37:48,040 --> 01:37:53,400
Speaker 2: can be corrected in certain situations by really good coverage

1910
01:37:53,560 --> 01:37:57,680
Speaker 2: and really confusing complex presentations pre snap where you know

1911
01:37:57,840 --> 01:38:00,360
Speaker 2: you're you it looks like you're single high, and then

1912
01:38:00,400 --> 01:38:02,360
Speaker 2: all of a sudden it's covered two. Man, it looks

1913
01:38:02,400 --> 01:38:04,680
Speaker 2: like it's single high, and all of a sudden, you know,

1914
01:38:04,840 --> 01:38:08,040
Speaker 2: it drops into cover three. You know, you can you

1915
01:38:08,040 --> 01:38:10,760
Speaker 2: can confuse quarterbacks and Sam Donald's a good quarterback. I

1916
01:38:10,760 --> 01:38:13,760
Speaker 2: don't but if you can create tight window throws no

1917
01:38:13,840 --> 01:38:16,160
Speaker 2: matter where he has to go with the football With

1918
01:38:16,280 --> 01:38:21,080
Speaker 2: a strained oblique man, sometimes you've got to really steam

1919
01:38:21,080 --> 01:38:23,080
Speaker 2: it in there. And is he going to be able

1920
01:38:23,120 --> 01:38:25,639
Speaker 2: to do that those eight yard completions that are routine

1921
01:38:25,680 --> 01:38:30,160
Speaker 2: for Sam Donald in typical situations with that strain, and

1922
01:38:30,200 --> 01:38:32,360
Speaker 2: we don't know the severity of the injury, and obviously

1923
01:38:32,400 --> 01:38:36,080
Speaker 2: there's good gamesmanship there with those situations. Is he going

1924
01:38:36,160 --> 01:38:38,240
Speaker 2: to be able to make those tight window throws? That

1925
01:38:38,400 --> 01:38:42,080
Speaker 2: is the huge question mark here as Seattle prepares to

1926
01:38:42,120 --> 01:38:45,160
Speaker 2: face the forty nine Ers defense that's injured and hasn't

1927
01:38:45,160 --> 01:38:47,680
Speaker 2: been able to generate that pass rush, but certainly can

1928
01:38:47,720 --> 01:38:51,479
Speaker 2: cover an elite level throughout the course of their season.

1929
01:38:52,120 --> 01:38:55,040
Speaker 2: So it is going to be a game of chess

1930
01:38:55,080 --> 01:38:58,479
Speaker 2: between Robert Salah and the Seattle Seahawks offense. And it's

1931
01:38:58,520 --> 01:39:01,800
Speaker 2: formidable with a healthy Sam Arnold, but we'll see.

1932
01:39:02,200 --> 01:39:05,360
Speaker 4: I'll tell you last thing I'll go fast is if

1933
01:39:05,360 --> 01:39:08,720
Speaker 4: this Niners rush defense looks like it did last week

1934
01:39:08,760 --> 01:39:11,679
Speaker 4: in the second half against Philly, they've got a shot.

1935
01:39:11,880 --> 01:39:14,599
Speaker 5: They got a shot. You cal divisional game. I think

1936
01:39:14,640 --> 01:39:16,519
Speaker 5: they got a shot, and I think he got a shot.

1937
01:39:16,520 --> 01:39:18,080
Speaker 5: It's just it has to all fall into place.

1938
01:39:18,200 --> 01:39:20,880
Speaker 4: You go back to week eighteen, Seattle rushed for one

1939
01:39:20,960 --> 01:39:24,080
Speaker 4: hundred and eighty yards. They pounded the forty nine ers,

1940
01:39:24,600 --> 01:39:26,479
Speaker 4: And if that happens again, it's not going to go

1941
01:39:26,520 --> 01:39:30,160
Speaker 4: the Niners way. But if they can slow down Kenneth Walker,

1942
01:39:30,640 --> 01:39:33,040
Speaker 4: Zach Charboney, we wi is what I say when he

1943
01:39:33,080 --> 01:39:36,080
Speaker 4: has a good we Wei Zack Sharboney. Right, if they

1944
01:39:36,080 --> 01:39:38,960
Speaker 4: can slow those guys down and force Darnold to do more,

1945
01:39:39,479 --> 01:39:40,000
Speaker 4: you're live.

1946
01:39:40,560 --> 01:39:42,680
Speaker 3: You got a shot. But we'll see if they can

1947
01:39:42,720 --> 01:39:42,840
Speaker 3: do that.

1948
01:39:42,880 --> 01:39:45,040
Speaker 4: All right, We've got Rich Hornberger, Penn State All American,

1949
01:39:45,160 --> 01:39:48,960
Speaker 4: Jared Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm priban know the playoffs

1950
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1951
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1953
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1954
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1955
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1956
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1957
01:40:08,680 --> 01:40:12,080
Speaker 3: BETMGM. Make it legendary, all right? Coming up next?

1958
01:40:12,120 --> 01:40:15,720
Speaker 4: Are you buying what this team is selling? It's Fox

1959
01:40:15,760 --> 01:40:19,360
Speaker 4: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. It is

1960
01:40:19,400 --> 01:40:23,360
Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bet MGM.

1961
01:40:23,520 --> 01:40:26,160
Speaker 4: For over forty years, Tirak has been helping customers find

1962
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Speaker 4: the right tires for how, what and where they drive.

1963
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1964
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1965
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1966
01:40:38,840 --> 01:40:40,920
Speaker 3: And it is time for the tire Rack play of

1967
01:40:40,920 --> 01:40:42,559
Speaker 3: the day under ramp Down the heart of the line,

1968
01:40:42,600 --> 01:40:43,599
Speaker 3: gonna go up to jam it.

1969
01:40:43,600 --> 01:40:46,120
Speaker 2: Down where a foul Devincenzo is.

1970
01:40:46,160 --> 01:40:49,920
Speaker 1: Late and the Rockets are on eleven three run to

1971
01:40:50,000 --> 01:40:51,080
Speaker 1: start the fourth quarter.

1972
01:40:52,560 --> 01:40:56,400
Speaker 4: There it is compliments of Sports Talk seven ninety Am,

1973
01:40:56,560 --> 01:40:58,120
Speaker 4: Rockets Radio Network.

1974
01:40:57,760 --> 01:40:59,840
Speaker 5: KD throwing down the dunk.

1975
01:41:00,240 --> 01:41:03,439
Speaker 4: And the Rockets get a win, much needed win against

1976
01:41:03,439 --> 01:41:07,000
Speaker 4: these short handed Timberwolves. No Anthony Edwards, So good win

1977
01:41:07,160 --> 01:41:08,240
Speaker 4: for the Rockets last night.

1978
01:41:08,520 --> 01:41:09,840
Speaker 5: All right, So.

1979
01:41:11,640 --> 01:41:14,400
Speaker 4: I've been I think easy to get along with today.

1980
01:41:14,920 --> 01:41:17,519
Speaker 4: I think I've been composed. I would dare say I've

1981
01:41:17,560 --> 01:41:20,439
Speaker 4: been like Christian on this show. But I'm just waiting.

1982
01:41:20,479 --> 01:41:22,760
Speaker 4: I'm waiting to freaking erupt over here. Now you ever

1983
01:41:22,840 --> 01:41:25,200
Speaker 4: put like a treat at the end of a dog's

1984
01:41:25,240 --> 01:41:27,240
Speaker 4: nose and you're just looking at it cross eyed, like

1985
01:41:27,400 --> 01:41:29,720
Speaker 4: I want this treat, right, That's how I'm looking at

1986
01:41:29,720 --> 01:41:32,840
Speaker 4: this next topic. Okay, we've got the Rams and we've

1987
01:41:32,880 --> 01:41:35,640
Speaker 4: got dub Bears. The Rams are favored by four on

1988
01:41:35,680 --> 01:41:39,960
Speaker 4: the road. The question is do you buy what the

1989
01:41:40,000 --> 01:41:44,400
Speaker 4: bears are selling? Okay, and let me think that I

1990
01:41:44,920 --> 01:41:46,920
Speaker 4: need to go to I need to go to a

1991
01:41:47,000 --> 01:41:47,519
Speaker 4: dark place.

1992
01:41:47,560 --> 01:41:49,120
Speaker 3: Guys. All right, I'm gonna be honest.

1993
01:41:48,920 --> 01:41:52,200
Speaker 4: With you, because you like when you get together, family

1994
01:41:52,240 --> 01:41:56,599
Speaker 4: get together, maybe it's Thanksgiving, and you'll say, you know what,

1995
01:41:56,720 --> 01:41:59,919
Speaker 4: we might not want to talk about religion if everybody's

1996
01:42:00,200 --> 01:42:00,840
Speaker 4: on the same page.

1997
01:42:00,920 --> 01:42:02,840
Speaker 3: Might I want to bring that up? Might not want

1998
01:42:02,840 --> 01:42:03,920
Speaker 3: to bring up politics?

1999
01:42:04,000 --> 01:42:04,880
Speaker 2: Right? All right?

2000
01:42:04,960 --> 01:42:06,160
Speaker 3: Uncle uncle?

2001
01:42:06,640 --> 01:42:10,160
Speaker 4: You know Doug, he leans right, you know he's conservative.

2002
01:42:10,160 --> 01:42:12,120
Speaker 4: And then we got a ant you know so and

2003
01:42:12,160 --> 01:42:14,160
Speaker 4: so and she she leans left. Let's not bring up

2004
01:42:14,160 --> 01:42:17,960
Speaker 4: politics on this show. We do not mention the twenty

2005
01:42:18,040 --> 01:42:21,880
Speaker 4: twenty five Alabama Crimson Tide. Okay, that is our version

2006
01:42:22,000 --> 01:42:24,000
Speaker 4: of religion and politics.

2007
01:42:24,000 --> 01:42:26,120
Speaker 3: So they don't go it's a no fly zone.

2008
01:42:26,760 --> 01:42:28,600
Speaker 4: But I have to make one statement, and I'm not

2009
01:42:28,720 --> 01:42:32,599
Speaker 4: diving into Bama football here, but the Chicago Bears are

2010
01:42:32,680 --> 01:42:37,639
Speaker 4: the Alabama of the NFL this season. They are total

2011
01:42:38,320 --> 01:42:41,800
Speaker 4: foo gayzy, meaning they're just not the real deal. The

2012
01:42:41,840 --> 01:42:44,040
Speaker 4: Bears don't have the goods to win it all and

2013
01:42:44,080 --> 01:42:48,880
Speaker 4: their formula for success is completely unsustainable. And now let

2014
01:42:48,920 --> 01:42:51,080
Speaker 4: me just say a couple of nice things before I

2015
01:42:51,120 --> 01:42:56,240
Speaker 4: hammer the Bears ands. But Caleb Williams is an absolute playmaker,

2016
01:42:56,760 --> 01:42:58,920
Speaker 4: Like you can talk about, Hey, he's got to have

2017
01:42:58,960 --> 01:43:02,040
Speaker 4: a higher completion and he's gotta be more consistent, gotta

2018
01:43:02,040 --> 01:43:03,920
Speaker 4: get rid of the ball on time. All these things

2019
01:43:03,960 --> 01:43:07,000
Speaker 4: are true, but I think he can fine tune those things.

2020
01:43:07,400 --> 01:43:11,439
Speaker 4: You can't take a quarterback who isn't a playmaker and

2021
01:43:11,520 --> 01:43:14,600
Speaker 4: just say, hey, man, just flip the switch and just

2022
01:43:14,640 --> 01:43:18,080
Speaker 4: become one. It's not gonna happen. But Caleb Williams is

2023
01:43:18,120 --> 01:43:21,200
Speaker 4: an absolute playmaker. When it was fourth and eight last

2024
01:43:21,240 --> 01:43:24,519
Speaker 4: week against the Packers and he somehow found roma dunze

2025
01:43:25,000 --> 01:43:28,840
Speaker 4: like falling to his left getting hit, that's a special

2026
01:43:29,040 --> 01:43:31,760
Speaker 4: play by Caleb Williams and that's what he can do.

2027
01:43:32,360 --> 01:43:34,880
Speaker 4: And the Bears, man, they have alligator blood. They just

2028
01:43:34,960 --> 01:43:37,679
Speaker 4: keep coming back. They are the zombies of the NFL.

2029
01:43:37,720 --> 01:43:40,559
Speaker 4: I take nothing away from what they've done leading up

2030
01:43:40,600 --> 01:43:43,960
Speaker 4: to this point, but what I will do is judge

2031
01:43:44,000 --> 01:43:48,200
Speaker 4: them in this game, you know, tomorrow night against the Rams.

2032
01:43:48,240 --> 01:43:51,200
Speaker 4: I will judge them based on their path and is

2033
01:43:51,240 --> 01:43:52,000
Speaker 4: it sustainable?

2034
01:43:52,040 --> 01:43:52,680
Speaker 3: And it is not.

2035
01:43:52,760 --> 01:43:55,800
Speaker 4: They scored twenty five points in the fourth quarter alone

2036
01:43:55,800 --> 01:43:58,679
Speaker 4: against the Packers. You know, they lucked out that Brandon

2037
01:43:58,760 --> 01:44:01,400
Speaker 4: McManus forgot how to kick the football. He missed an

2038
01:44:01,400 --> 01:44:04,080
Speaker 4: extra point in two field goals. If he makes an

2039
01:44:04,120 --> 01:44:06,360
Speaker 4: extra point, they just need a field goal to tie.

2040
01:44:06,680 --> 01:44:08,160
Speaker 4: You know, if he makes the field goal, they need

2041
01:44:08,200 --> 01:44:10,080
Speaker 4: a field goal to win at the end. But he

2042
01:44:10,160 --> 01:44:12,600
Speaker 4: just he forgot how to kick the ball. And the

2043
01:44:12,600 --> 01:44:15,600
Speaker 4: Bears have had seven come from behind wins when trailing

2044
01:44:15,920 --> 01:44:19,080
Speaker 4: in the final two minutes. That's an NFL record that

2045
01:44:19,240 --> 01:44:21,400
Speaker 4: is not sustainable. And I'll tell you the last thing

2046
01:44:21,520 --> 01:44:22,800
Speaker 4: I'll tell you and I'll shut up here and you

2047
01:44:22,840 --> 01:44:25,919
Speaker 4: guys can take it from there. I think the secret

2048
01:44:26,040 --> 01:44:30,800
Speaker 4: sauce in the Bears formula for success is that are

2049
01:44:30,920 --> 01:44:34,960
Speaker 4: their opponents. They get up and they get conservative, and

2050
01:44:35,000 --> 01:44:37,200
Speaker 4: that's exactly what the Packers did. You look at the

2051
01:44:37,200 --> 01:44:40,320
Speaker 4: first four drives in the first half, three touchdowns and

2052
01:44:40,360 --> 01:44:43,840
Speaker 4: a missed field goal attempt. The Bears could not stop

2053
01:44:43,880 --> 01:44:46,880
Speaker 4: them at all. Then in the second half, three and out,

2054
01:44:46,920 --> 01:44:49,920
Speaker 4: three and out, five and out, three and out, Like

2055
01:44:50,080 --> 01:44:51,760
Speaker 4: you think the Bears just were like, let's play like

2056
01:44:51,760 --> 01:44:52,639
Speaker 4: the eighty five Bears.

2057
01:44:52,640 --> 01:44:53,080
Speaker 2: I don't know.

2058
01:44:53,280 --> 01:44:57,040
Speaker 4: The Packers got conservative. They tried to shrink the game,

2059
01:44:57,720 --> 01:45:00,400
Speaker 4: and it shrunked their chances to win. I don't think

2060
01:45:00,439 --> 01:45:02,840
Speaker 4: that happens with the Rams. If the Rams get up,

2061
01:45:03,400 --> 01:45:05,920
Speaker 4: There is no way that Sean McVay is dumb enough

2062
01:45:06,200 --> 01:45:08,240
Speaker 4: to do what all these other teams have done, which

2063
01:45:08,280 --> 01:45:10,880
Speaker 4: is like, all right, we're ahead, we've got a nice lead,

2064
01:45:10,960 --> 01:45:13,920
Speaker 4: let's protect it. Let's try to run the ball a

2065
01:45:13,960 --> 01:45:16,720
Speaker 4: little bit when we're not having great success, and oh

2066
01:45:16,760 --> 01:45:18,640
Speaker 4: we have to punt. Oh let's do that again. Oh

2067
01:45:18,680 --> 01:45:20,960
Speaker 4: we have to punt again. The Rams aren't gonna be dumb.

2068
01:45:21,040 --> 01:45:24,519
Speaker 4: I think the Rams will stay aggressive if they get up.

2069
01:45:25,280 --> 01:45:27,479
Speaker 4: And that's been the secret sauce for the Bears in

2070
01:45:27,520 --> 01:45:31,679
Speaker 4: these crazy comebacks is their opponents try to shrink the game,

2071
01:45:31,720 --> 01:45:34,160
Speaker 4: and I just don't think Sean McVay will make that mistake.

2072
01:45:34,240 --> 01:45:36,639
Speaker 4: Now that's built on and if if they have the lead,

2073
01:45:36,960 --> 01:45:39,040
Speaker 4: I don't think he's going to become conservative. But that

2074
01:45:39,240 --> 01:45:42,439
Speaker 4: is the secret Sauce and the Bears in these comebacks, man,

2075
01:45:42,720 --> 01:45:45,840
Speaker 4: is you can't get conservative. It's like Kurt Signetti, he

2076
01:45:45,920 --> 01:45:48,439
Speaker 4: said that it's like the score zero zero, Like they're

2077
01:45:48,479 --> 01:45:51,280
Speaker 4: crushing the score zero zero. We got to execute in

2078
01:45:51,280 --> 01:45:52,880
Speaker 4: the second half. That's what you have to do against

2079
01:45:52,880 --> 01:45:54,640
Speaker 4: the Bears. And I think the Rams will do that

2080
01:45:54,720 --> 01:45:55,360
Speaker 4: tomorrow night.

2081
01:45:56,439 --> 01:45:58,640
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I think as you bring up Baman in

2082
01:45:58,720 --> 01:46:01,960
Speaker 2: the comparison to the Bear, I think it's easier for

2083
01:46:02,040 --> 01:46:05,040
Speaker 2: me to wrap my head around the original argument we

2084
01:46:05,040 --> 01:46:07,800
Speaker 2: were all having about the Crimson tide anyways, which is

2085
01:46:08,400 --> 01:46:11,960
Speaker 2: in your mind, Brian, your bar for whether a team's

2086
01:46:12,000 --> 01:46:17,160
Speaker 2: fraudulent or fugaze, as you put it, is if you

2087
01:46:17,280 --> 01:46:21,600
Speaker 2: think they're a national championship or a Super Bowl contender.

2088
01:46:22,120 --> 01:46:23,960
Speaker 2: And I get it, Like you know, I think my

2089
01:46:24,040 --> 01:46:26,559
Speaker 2: bar is set a little bit lower to, you know,

2090
01:46:26,640 --> 01:46:28,519
Speaker 2: have the discussion about a team that I want to

2091
01:46:28,520 --> 01:46:32,400
Speaker 2: call fraud or fugazi or a fake, a fake good

2092
01:46:32,400 --> 01:46:35,360
Speaker 2: team or whatever it is. But I look at the

2093
01:46:35,400 --> 01:46:38,120
Speaker 2: Bears and I see shakiness, you know, and very similar

2094
01:46:38,160 --> 01:46:40,840
Speaker 2: I saw shaking this with Alabama, and I commented on

2095
01:46:40,920 --> 01:46:43,280
Speaker 2: him many times throughout the college football season that they

2096
01:46:43,320 --> 01:46:47,439
Speaker 2: aren't They're not Alabama, not the way we normally think

2097
01:46:47,479 --> 01:46:51,280
Speaker 2: about them, because so good on defense, so good in

2098
01:46:51,360 --> 01:46:54,880
Speaker 2: the run game, and always competent a quarterback, and almost

2099
01:46:54,920 --> 01:46:56,840
Speaker 2: like all that got flipped on its head this year

2100
01:46:56,880 --> 01:46:59,920
Speaker 2: and they still had success, but it just looks so different,

2101
01:47:00,040 --> 01:47:03,800
Speaker 2: and it didn't look sustainable in the postseason. Now you

2102
01:47:03,840 --> 01:47:06,240
Speaker 2: look at the Bears, big win, come from behind win

2103
01:47:06,320 --> 01:47:09,920
Speaker 2: against a division rival in the opening round, but this

2104
01:47:10,000 --> 01:47:15,519
Speaker 2: team has been so reliant on opponents mishaps and then

2105
01:47:16,000 --> 01:47:19,840
Speaker 2: at times a defense that's feasted on turnovers, which is

2106
01:47:19,880 --> 01:47:23,240
Speaker 2: an inconsistent statistic. You know, every game you walk into

2107
01:47:23,640 --> 01:47:26,519
Speaker 2: you have just as good of odds of having a

2108
01:47:26,680 --> 01:47:29,920
Speaker 2: turnover as you have no turnovers. You know, And you

2109
01:47:29,960 --> 01:47:32,839
Speaker 2: could start throwing in advanced metris and saying, well, havoc

2110
01:47:32,920 --> 01:47:35,519
Speaker 2: up front can force quarterbacks to make bad decisions and

2111
01:47:35,560 --> 01:47:38,200
Speaker 2: things like that, and that gives you an easier vista

2112
01:47:38,240 --> 01:47:40,840
Speaker 2: into seeing whether or not a defense is more prone

2113
01:47:40,880 --> 01:47:43,320
Speaker 2: to have turnovers. But that's a flip of a coin

2114
01:47:43,400 --> 01:47:46,200
Speaker 2: basically every game, and you can't rely on that and

2115
01:47:46,240 --> 01:47:48,640
Speaker 2: the Bears really have. And then you look at the

2116
01:47:48,640 --> 01:47:51,840
Speaker 2: Bears defense and that's covered up some blemishes. You know,

2117
01:47:51,880 --> 01:47:54,960
Speaker 2: they've got injuries and it's a lot to work around,

2118
01:47:55,080 --> 01:47:57,880
Speaker 2: especially as you had fence deeper deeper into the postseason.

2119
01:47:57,920 --> 01:48:00,840
Speaker 2: And then you look at the Rams where thirteen of

2120
01:48:00,880 --> 01:48:05,559
Speaker 2: their seventeen regular season games and their wins have come

2121
01:48:05,560 --> 01:48:09,080
Speaker 2: against teams with eight wins or better. So this is

2122
01:48:09,120 --> 01:48:12,800
Speaker 2: a battle tested Rams team. Now they're not without their

2123
01:48:12,880 --> 01:48:17,040
Speaker 2: wards either, because defensively through the final five weeks of

2124
01:48:17,120 --> 01:48:21,040
Speaker 2: the season, gave up twenty nine points per game. I mean,

2125
01:48:21,080 --> 01:48:25,280
Speaker 2: that's rough. That means your offense really has to outperform

2126
01:48:25,479 --> 01:48:29,080
Speaker 2: in order to sustain success. And they have also therefore

2127
01:48:29,160 --> 01:48:33,320
Speaker 2: losses this season they've come by way of three point margins.

2128
01:48:33,520 --> 01:48:38,800
Speaker 2: So they are a good team. They're an excellent team.

2129
01:48:39,080 --> 01:48:41,760
Speaker 2: And I think what this boils down for me is

2130
01:48:42,320 --> 01:48:46,599
Speaker 2: I look at Caleb Williams almost through the same lens

2131
01:48:46,640 --> 01:48:49,320
Speaker 2: with now Ben Johnson as his head coach in his

2132
01:48:49,400 --> 01:48:52,360
Speaker 2: sophomore season, almost through the same lens as I look

2133
01:48:52,360 --> 01:48:57,000
Speaker 2: at Lamar Jackson. I don't trust Lamar in the postseason.

2134
01:48:57,080 --> 01:48:59,920
Speaker 2: I'm not all the way there with Caleb Williams yet either.

2135
01:49:00,640 --> 01:49:05,200
Speaker 2: I mean, they're look, he's young, and obviously Lamar is

2136
01:49:05,560 --> 01:49:08,240
Speaker 2: getting longer in the tooth in this league. But I

2137
01:49:08,280 --> 01:49:12,040
Speaker 2: think the comparison is apt because you rely so greatly

2138
01:49:12,280 --> 01:49:16,360
Speaker 2: on the magic from Lamar in order. That's the engine

2139
01:49:16,400 --> 01:49:20,679
Speaker 2: that really really pushes the Ravens along through the regular season.

2140
01:49:21,080 --> 01:49:23,040
Speaker 2: But that magic runs out when you get to the

2141
01:49:23,040 --> 01:49:26,320
Speaker 2: postseason and you know you're facing deficits created by a

2142
01:49:26,360 --> 01:49:28,960
Speaker 2: high powered offense or you're facing a defense that is

2143
01:49:29,240 --> 01:49:32,720
Speaker 2: an All World team this season, and that is the

2144
01:49:32,800 --> 01:49:35,920
Speaker 2: trudgery and that is the future of the Bears if

2145
01:49:35,920 --> 01:49:38,599
Speaker 2: they advance any further. I mean, they're here, They're on

2146
01:49:38,640 --> 01:49:41,960
Speaker 2: the doorstep of an enormous game against a very competent coach,

2147
01:49:42,520 --> 01:49:46,960
Speaker 2: a Hall of Fame caliber quarterback. It's a struggle for

2148
01:49:47,040 --> 01:49:50,240
Speaker 2: me to back the Bears this week because again, a

2149
01:49:50,240 --> 01:49:53,080
Speaker 2: lot of the magic of their season has been predicated

2150
01:49:53,160 --> 01:49:56,720
Speaker 2: around sneaking up on teams because they weren't that last year,

2151
01:49:57,000 --> 01:50:00,960
Speaker 2: and also really being opportunistic. They've turned a lot of

2152
01:50:00,960 --> 01:50:04,520
Speaker 2: those turnovers into points, but you cannot rely on turnovers

2153
01:50:04,560 --> 01:50:07,240
Speaker 2: as a successful game plan, you know, because it does

2154
01:50:07,280 --> 01:50:10,640
Speaker 2: sort of feel like hope is the strategy, Well, we

2155
01:50:11,120 --> 01:50:13,880
Speaker 2: hope we flip the field. Well we hope we pick

2156
01:50:13,920 --> 01:50:17,320
Speaker 2: off Stafford. Well we hope we generate pressure and flush

2157
01:50:17,360 --> 01:50:20,080
Speaker 2: him and force a bad decision with a ball or

2158
01:50:20,120 --> 01:50:22,960
Speaker 2: a sack fumble or something like that. But hope is

2159
01:50:23,000 --> 01:50:25,959
Speaker 2: not a strategy. You know, you need to play solid

2160
01:50:26,040 --> 01:50:28,320
Speaker 2: defense the whole way. And with some of those injuries

2161
01:50:28,320 --> 01:50:32,000
Speaker 2: that I was discussing earlier, and some of the misconceptions

2162
01:50:32,040 --> 01:50:36,040
Speaker 2: about maybe how dominant this defense is because of the

2163
01:50:36,080 --> 01:50:38,760
Speaker 2: amount of turnovers they've been able to generate and late

2164
01:50:38,800 --> 01:50:43,160
Speaker 2: game magic from Caleb Williams, Eventually people start going, oh,

2165
01:50:43,200 --> 01:50:45,000
Speaker 2: you know, maybe there is a card hidden up the

2166
01:50:45,040 --> 01:50:47,360
Speaker 2: sleeve or hey, you know, I saw the rabbit before

2167
01:50:47,400 --> 01:50:49,240
Speaker 2: it was in the hat. So that trick isn't as

2168
01:50:49,280 --> 01:50:52,000
Speaker 2: cool as it was earlier in this season. I think

2169
01:50:52,040 --> 01:50:54,040
Speaker 2: the Bears are going to get found out. It's a

2170
01:50:54,080 --> 01:50:57,280
Speaker 2: great building block season. It is an excellent debut for

2171
01:50:57,360 --> 01:51:00,040
Speaker 2: a head coach and Ben Johnson, who was a so

2172
01:51:00,120 --> 01:51:03,160
Speaker 2: it's a wonderful coordinator with the Lions and appears to

2173
01:51:03,240 --> 01:51:06,280
Speaker 2: have changed the culture in Chicago. This has been an

2174
01:51:06,320 --> 01:51:12,160
Speaker 2: impressive turnaround. But my goodness, I think the fun times

2175
01:51:12,400 --> 01:51:14,200
Speaker 2: end here, and this is going to be a harsh

2176
01:51:14,320 --> 01:51:18,519
Speaker 2: learning lesson against an insanely competent team and culture in

2177
01:51:18,960 --> 01:51:20,240
Speaker 2: the Los Angeles Rams.

2178
01:51:20,760 --> 01:51:24,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, the reason why the Bears are not getting any respect,

2179
01:51:24,479 --> 01:51:27,880
Speaker 5: they're the Rodney Dangerfield of the eight teams remaining is

2180
01:51:28,240 --> 01:51:30,479
Speaker 5: because of how many is because of how many points

2181
01:51:30,560 --> 01:51:35,400
Speaker 5: and positive metrics they generate from turnovers, which is just

2182
01:51:35,479 --> 01:51:38,479
Speaker 5: not sustainable. Like, if you're the team that relies on

2183
01:51:38,560 --> 01:51:42,880
Speaker 5: turnovers a lot, eventually that well runs dry, and then

2184
01:51:42,920 --> 01:51:45,680
Speaker 5: the second half comebacks. I think there's something to that, right.

2185
01:51:45,720 --> 01:51:48,320
Speaker 5: I don't want to call that total for gazy because

2186
01:51:48,320 --> 01:51:50,040
Speaker 5: I think Ben Jonson's a good coach. I think he

2187
01:51:50,080 --> 01:51:52,400
Speaker 5: makes adjustments and I think the Bears do buckle down

2188
01:51:52,439 --> 01:51:55,000
Speaker 5: in the second half. So while it's not a good

2189
01:51:55,040 --> 01:51:57,519
Speaker 5: recipe or formula to have to come from behind every game,

2190
01:51:57,800 --> 01:52:00,479
Speaker 5: I think that's a little bit more sustainable because of

2191
01:52:00,520 --> 01:52:04,280
Speaker 5: how well coached they are compared to the turnovers, which

2192
01:52:04,280 --> 01:52:07,679
Speaker 5: are just complete bounce to the ball fluke. Anything could happen. Now,

2193
01:52:07,840 --> 01:52:10,479
Speaker 5: the market doesn't really like Chicago at all. I mean

2194
01:52:10,520 --> 01:52:13,400
Speaker 5: the Rams again, Chicago's a division winner, same thing last week.

2195
01:52:13,720 --> 01:52:15,200
Speaker 5: I was on the Bears last week, and I was

2196
01:52:15,240 --> 01:52:18,120
Speaker 5: fortunate to win it, but I thought it was disrespectful.

2197
01:52:18,160 --> 01:52:21,240
Speaker 5: The Bears were a home underdog against a divisional opponent

2198
01:52:21,280 --> 01:52:23,040
Speaker 5: in a division they won. I just didn't think it

2199
01:52:23,080 --> 01:52:26,480
Speaker 5: makes sense. Now they're facing a Rams team that, obviously,

2200
01:52:27,200 --> 01:52:29,200
Speaker 5: at some point this year, at multiple points this year,

2201
01:52:29,200 --> 01:52:32,040
Speaker 5: you might even have him now the best power rated

2202
01:52:32,040 --> 01:52:35,240
Speaker 5: team in the league. It will be interesting to see

2203
01:52:35,280 --> 01:52:37,160
Speaker 5: how the weather plays a factor here, because I think

2204
01:52:37,160 --> 01:52:39,680
Speaker 5: that's the biggest factor in this game. It is going

2205
01:52:39,760 --> 01:52:42,920
Speaker 5: to be brutally cold in Chicago, and not just the cold,

2206
01:52:43,080 --> 01:52:46,240
Speaker 5: the wind chill, which will make it feel significantly worse.

2207
01:52:46,680 --> 01:52:49,360
Speaker 5: And obviously both teams have to go through that. But

2208
01:52:49,600 --> 01:52:51,640
Speaker 5: which team handles it better I think is going to

2209
01:52:51,640 --> 01:52:54,160
Speaker 5: be a huge impact in this game. I think both

2210
01:52:54,240 --> 01:52:57,120
Speaker 5: running games will be a factor. The Rams running game

2211
01:52:57,160 --> 01:52:59,679
Speaker 5: is intriguing. Right last week, I was heavy on Kyrien Williams.

2212
01:52:59,680 --> 01:53:01,760
Speaker 5: I thought he was gonna be the bell cow. I

2213
01:53:01,840 --> 01:53:04,920
Speaker 5: was wrong. Thirteen to eleven that was the carry count

2214
01:53:05,080 --> 01:53:07,080
Speaker 5: for Kyen Williams and Blake Korm. So it's obvious that

2215
01:53:07,080 --> 01:53:08,800
Speaker 5: Blake Korm is a big part of this offense. And

2216
01:53:08,840 --> 01:53:11,519
Speaker 5: when I look at this specific matchup, Brian, I actually

2217
01:53:11,560 --> 01:53:15,200
Speaker 5: think it favors Korum. Why well, the Bears give up

2218
01:53:15,240 --> 01:53:17,240
Speaker 5: a ton of outside runs. It's actually one of their

2219
01:53:17,280 --> 01:53:20,400
Speaker 5: weakest spots on their defense. They're twenty seventh in the

2220
01:53:20,439 --> 01:53:23,320
Speaker 5: league defending the outside run. The Rams don't run it

2221
01:53:23,360 --> 01:53:26,479
Speaker 5: outside a lot. They're twenty eighth in run rate outside

2222
01:53:26,479 --> 01:53:30,000
Speaker 5: the tackles, but first in EPA, So they don't do

2223
01:53:30,120 --> 01:53:32,719
Speaker 5: it a lot those outside runs, but when they do

2224
01:53:32,720 --> 01:53:35,400
Speaker 5: do it, they are highly effective. Well, if you look

2225
01:53:35,400 --> 01:53:39,320
Speaker 5: at Blake Korm, he has a significantly higher efficiency rating

2226
01:53:39,520 --> 01:53:43,120
Speaker 5: running outside the tackles than inside, and it makes sense schematically.

2227
01:53:43,200 --> 01:53:45,600
Speaker 5: Kyrien Williams is more of the bruiser in between the

2228
01:53:45,640 --> 01:53:48,720
Speaker 5: tackles type guy, and Koram is more of the outside

2229
01:53:49,080 --> 01:53:51,960
Speaker 5: get around the corner and an explosive runner. So I

2230
01:53:51,960 --> 01:53:54,519
Speaker 5: think Blake Korm right. If this is gonna be a

2231
01:53:54,600 --> 01:53:57,519
Speaker 5: running game, the cold weather will impact the passing game

2232
01:53:57,600 --> 01:54:00,719
Speaker 5: for sure. I think the running game is going to matter.

2233
01:54:01,240 --> 01:54:02,960
Speaker 5: I do like the Bears running game a lot too.

2234
01:54:03,000 --> 01:54:04,880
Speaker 5: I think Ben Johnson schemed up something nice, But the

2235
01:54:04,960 --> 01:54:08,200
Speaker 5: Rams defense is a fantastic run stop unit. Where the

2236
01:54:08,240 --> 01:54:12,000
Speaker 5: Bears defense has been susceptible to the run the outside

2237
01:54:12,040 --> 01:54:14,680
Speaker 5: run this year. I think that's where LA will have

2238
01:54:14,760 --> 01:54:17,840
Speaker 5: an edge in this game. You know I'll go fast, Well,

2239
01:54:17,880 --> 01:54:20,520
Speaker 5: I'll go fast. But we got to mention this Texans

2240
01:54:20,600 --> 01:54:23,840
Speaker 5: Patriots game with the Pats favored by three totals at

2241
01:54:23,920 --> 01:54:25,960
Speaker 5: forty and a half. And the thing that stands out

2242
01:54:26,000 --> 01:54:28,160
Speaker 5: the most to me is if you look at the

2243
01:54:28,160 --> 01:54:31,160
Speaker 5: Texans defense, they get a lot of flowers and deservedly

2244
01:54:31,240 --> 01:54:33,360
Speaker 5: so we're like, lo, look at his pass rush, look

2245
01:54:33,400 --> 01:54:35,960
Speaker 5: at all the things that they present, Will Anderson Junior,

2246
01:54:36,040 --> 01:54:39,640
Speaker 5: daneil Hunter, Derek Stingley Junior. Like they're a really good unit,

2247
01:54:40,040 --> 01:54:43,400
Speaker 5: number two scoring defense. The Patriots have the number two

2248
01:54:43,520 --> 01:54:48,560
Speaker 5: scoring offense. Do we say anything glowing about the.

2249
01:54:48,440 --> 01:54:49,400
Speaker 3: Patriots at all?

2250
01:54:49,520 --> 01:54:51,880
Speaker 4: Like it's the number two scoring offense against the number

2251
01:54:51,880 --> 01:54:53,880
Speaker 4: two scoring defense. It's gonna be a great matchup. And

2252
01:54:53,920 --> 01:54:56,360
Speaker 4: the Patriots have the ball. And also you look at

2253
01:54:56,360 --> 01:54:58,840
Speaker 4: this Patriots defense held the Chargers to two hundred and

2254
01:54:58,880 --> 01:55:03,440
Speaker 4: seven yards last week, like they gave up nothing Herbert

2255
01:55:03,440 --> 01:55:06,760
Speaker 4: and the Chargers scored three points. Herbert under siege all game,

2256
01:55:06,800 --> 01:55:10,560
Speaker 4: getting knocked around like crazy. I like the Patriots, man,

2257
01:55:10,560 --> 01:55:12,720
Speaker 4: I've got the Patriots and the Rams in the Super Bowl.

2258
01:55:13,520 --> 01:55:15,560
Speaker 4: I just I think people are asleep at the wheel

2259
01:55:15,560 --> 01:55:18,760
Speaker 4: on the Patriots, and it's all about their easy schedule,

2260
01:55:18,760 --> 01:55:21,320
Speaker 4: which it was. It was a cake schedule, But they're

2261
01:55:21,320 --> 01:55:24,240
Speaker 4: more than just the byproduct of a cake schedule. They

2262
01:55:24,320 --> 01:55:27,120
Speaker 4: have a really good quarterback, really good head coach. Their

2263
01:55:27,160 --> 01:55:29,800
Speaker 4: defense has been fine, it's been good at times. So

2264
01:55:29,920 --> 01:55:32,120
Speaker 4: I like the Patriots in this spot and I like

2265
01:55:32,240 --> 01:55:34,920
Speaker 4: them to move on here. What do you think about

2266
01:55:34,920 --> 01:55:35,879
Speaker 4: Texans Patriots?

2267
01:55:35,920 --> 01:55:36,240
Speaker 3: Quickly?

2268
01:55:36,320 --> 01:55:40,320
Speaker 2: Rich, Yeah, real quick. I agree with everything you just said.

2269
01:55:40,360 --> 01:55:42,800
Speaker 2: They did benefit from a weaker schedule, but I think

2270
01:55:42,840 --> 01:55:45,800
Speaker 2: that was more beneficial to get Drake May started and

2271
01:55:45,880 --> 01:55:49,080
Speaker 2: get things rolling for Vrabel and his new regime there

2272
01:55:49,080 --> 01:55:51,440
Speaker 2: in New England. But the way they finished the season,

2273
01:55:52,040 --> 01:55:54,600
Speaker 2: this is one of those teams that you're gonna have

2274
01:55:54,680 --> 01:55:56,960
Speaker 2: to stop them, like they're going to put you in

2275
01:55:57,000 --> 01:55:59,480
Speaker 2: a bind where you have to stop the Pats, and

2276
01:55:59,520 --> 01:56:02,040
Speaker 2: that is a great, great equation for success in the postseason.

2277
01:56:02,640 --> 01:56:06,040
Speaker 5: Agreed. I think it'll be a lower scoring game. These

2278
01:56:06,120 --> 01:56:09,600
Speaker 5: coordinators know each other very well. Josh McDaniels the OC

2279
01:56:09,800 --> 01:56:11,400
Speaker 5: for the Patriots when he was the head coach in

2280
01:56:11,440 --> 01:56:14,520
Speaker 5: New England. Nick Cayley was his assistant. He became the

2281
01:56:14,520 --> 01:56:16,080
Speaker 5: tight ends coach, and then he went to the Rams

2282
01:56:16,120 --> 01:56:17,720
Speaker 5: to be the past game coordinator before he came the

2283
01:56:17,760 --> 01:56:21,760
Speaker 5: OC of the Texans. When coordinators know each other very well,

2284
01:56:21,840 --> 01:56:24,600
Speaker 5: it leads to more lower scoring games because it's just

2285
01:56:24,760 --> 01:56:27,800
Speaker 5: harder to outfox the other opponent. Like this is a

2286
01:56:27,840 --> 01:56:31,800
Speaker 5: student teacher scenario with McDaniels and Kaylee. McDaniels has definitely

2287
01:56:31,840 --> 01:56:33,760
Speaker 5: been talking to the Patriots defense this week, telling him

2288
01:56:33,760 --> 01:56:35,800
Speaker 5: exactly the type of schemes that Kaylee likes to run.

2289
01:56:36,200 --> 01:56:40,480
Speaker 4: Great nugget, that's Jared Smith FSR betting analyst Rich Ornberger,

2290
01:56:40,520 --> 01:56:43,120
Speaker 4: Penn State All American with us, I'm Brian No. With

2291
01:56:43,200 --> 01:56:45,480
Speaker 4: the iHeartRadio app, you can stream us wherever you happen

2292
01:56:45,560 --> 01:56:47,200
Speaker 4: to be. Catch us in all of our Fox Sports

2293
01:56:47,280 --> 01:56:49,480
Speaker 4: Radio shows live twenty four to seven in the new

2294
01:56:49,520 --> 01:56:52,720
Speaker 4: and improved iHeartRadio app. Just search Fox Sports Radio in

2295
01:56:52,760 --> 01:56:54,800
Speaker 4: the app to stream us live all day, every day,

2296
01:56:55,000 --> 01:56:56,960
Speaker 4: and be sure to select Fox Sports Radio. It's one

2297
01:56:56,960 --> 01:56:59,600
Speaker 4: of your presets in the iHeart app, so it'll always

2298
01:56:59,640 --> 01:57:00,680
Speaker 4: pop up at the top.

2299
01:57:00,560 --> 01:57:03,120
Speaker 3: Of your screen. All right, coming up next, rapid Fire.

2300
01:57:03,240 --> 01:57:06,480
Speaker 4: Weach have a trio of selections for you, and we

2301
01:57:06,600 --> 01:57:09,839
Speaker 4: have been red hot collectively over the last three weeks.

2302
01:57:10,040 --> 01:57:12,040
Speaker 4: We'll try to maintain the hot streak. It is Fox

2303
01:57:12,040 --> 01:57:15,680
Speaker 4: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM. It is

2304
01:57:15,720 --> 01:57:19,560
Speaker 4: Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bet MGM.

2305
01:57:19,680 --> 01:57:22,680
Speaker 4: If you missed any of today's show, you'll want to

2306
01:57:22,680 --> 01:57:25,840
Speaker 4: catch the podcast. Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you

2307
01:57:25,840 --> 01:57:28,840
Speaker 4: get your podcasts. Right after the show, today's pod will

2308
01:57:28,840 --> 01:57:31,440
Speaker 4: be posted. Make sure to follow it, rate it five stars,

2309
01:57:31,440 --> 01:57:33,200
Speaker 4: and you can even provide a review.

2310
01:57:33,240 --> 01:57:34,880
Speaker 3: Again. Just search Fox Sports.

2311
01:57:34,640 --> 01:57:37,520
Speaker 4: Radio wherever you get your podcasts, and you'll find today's

2312
01:57:37,520 --> 01:57:40,640
Speaker 4: full show right after we get off the air.

2313
01:57:40,680 --> 01:57:41,400
Speaker 3: It'll be posted.

2314
01:57:41,640 --> 01:57:44,760
Speaker 4: Shout out to the crew, our trusted producer Bo Benson

2315
01:57:44,880 --> 01:57:48,880
Speaker 4: the Dodgers Zone pod as the Dodgers try to take

2316
01:57:48,920 --> 01:57:52,400
Speaker 4: over the world, not just Major League Baseball. Lots of

2317
01:57:52,440 --> 01:57:56,240
Speaker 4: thoughts there. Our technical producer extraordinariy Chris Purfett. Shout out

2318
01:57:56,280 --> 01:57:58,839
Speaker 4: to our guy Sager on digital posting our clips.

2319
01:57:59,280 --> 01:58:00,360
Speaker 3: Get Fox Sports.

2320
01:58:00,040 --> 01:58:02,600
Speaker 4: Ready will follow on X You'll see our videos, our

2321
01:58:02,640 --> 01:58:05,360
Speaker 4: smiling faces, all that good stuff. Top of the Hour

2322
01:58:05,840 --> 01:58:09,879
Speaker 4: up on Game LaVar Arrington, TJ Huschman, Zada, Plexico Burras

2323
01:58:10,240 --> 01:58:12,839
Speaker 4: in less than eight American minutes. They've got you covered.

2324
01:58:13,080 --> 01:58:14,840
Speaker 4: Keep it locked right here on Fox Sports Radio.

2325
01:58:14,920 --> 01:58:16,200
Speaker 3: All right, we got some picks to make.

2326
01:58:16,280 --> 01:58:20,760
Speaker 2: Let's do it rapid fire.

2327
01:58:21,960 --> 01:58:24,400
Speaker 4: Oh yes, we start with Jared. Now, we'll say we

2328
01:58:24,440 --> 01:58:28,000
Speaker 4: are red hot. Twenty one and six combined the last

2329
01:58:28,040 --> 01:58:28,720
Speaker 4: three weeks.

2330
01:58:28,720 --> 01:58:29,680
Speaker 2: We are on a heater.

2331
01:58:30,280 --> 01:58:32,520
Speaker 3: Strange we all went to and one last week our

2332
01:58:32,560 --> 01:58:33,160
Speaker 3: first pick.

2333
01:58:33,800 --> 01:58:34,640
Speaker 2: All of them were wrong.

2334
01:58:34,880 --> 01:58:36,680
Speaker 4: I don't know what happened, but keep that in mind

2335
01:58:36,720 --> 01:58:38,760
Speaker 4: with the pick today, Jared, we start with you, buddy.

2336
01:58:39,120 --> 01:58:42,360
Speaker 5: Well, I'll start with today's games. I'll go Sam Donald

2337
01:58:42,520 --> 01:58:44,800
Speaker 5: under twenty eight and a half passing attempts. I bet

2338
01:58:44,840 --> 01:58:47,160
Speaker 5: under twenty nine and a half yesterday. I don't know

2339
01:58:47,200 --> 01:58:50,200
Speaker 5: how many attempts he's capable of tonight. And the script

2340
01:58:50,200 --> 01:58:52,680
Speaker 5: says run it, so I think Donald's going to be

2341
01:58:52,720 --> 01:58:55,080
Speaker 5: not as much of a passer in this game. First

2342
01:58:55,120 --> 01:58:57,600
Speaker 5: half under twenty and a half between the Texans and

2343
01:58:57,640 --> 01:58:59,480
Speaker 5: the Patriots. This game is tomorrow. This is a very

2344
01:58:59,480 --> 01:59:01,480
Speaker 5: favorable nore bet MGM and the rest of the markets

2345
01:59:01,480 --> 01:59:06,320
Speaker 5: at twenty so seventeen three, ten, ten, thirteen seven, you

2346
01:59:06,320 --> 01:59:08,600
Speaker 5: would win your bet under twenty and a half Texans Patriots.

2347
01:59:08,600 --> 01:59:11,400
Speaker 5: I just told you Nick Keyley and Josh McDaniel is

2348
01:59:11,480 --> 01:59:13,920
Speaker 5: very familiar with one another. That always leads to an

2349
01:59:14,000 --> 01:59:16,760
Speaker 5: under in my opinion. And then finally I mentioned this

2350
01:59:16,840 --> 01:59:18,800
Speaker 5: during the Rams segment. Blake corm Over forty three and

2351
01:59:18,800 --> 01:59:20,920
Speaker 5: a half rushing yards outside runs big for the Rams.

2352
01:59:21,920 --> 01:59:25,040
Speaker 2: Okay, I'll go quick here, Buffalo Bills plus one and

2353
01:59:25,040 --> 01:59:26,920
Speaker 2: a half. I take them on the money line, but

2354
01:59:26,960 --> 01:59:29,800
Speaker 2: I don't need to for rapid fire salt. Take the points,

2355
01:59:31,320 --> 01:59:33,760
Speaker 2: Houston Texans. Look, I think this is gonna be a

2356
01:59:33,800 --> 01:59:35,760
Speaker 2: close game. I like the Pats to win, but I

2357
01:59:35,760 --> 01:59:38,400
Speaker 2: think Houston keeps it close. And I'm sort of hatching

2358
01:59:38,400 --> 01:59:41,760
Speaker 2: my bets here. So again plus three on the Texans.

2359
01:59:42,000 --> 01:59:44,600
Speaker 2: Give me those, and then the Rams. I'll give up

2360
01:59:44,640 --> 01:59:46,800
Speaker 2: four points here. I think the Rams are a much

2361
01:59:46,800 --> 01:59:49,680
Speaker 2: better team than Chicago, so I like the Rams minus four.

2362
01:59:50,240 --> 01:59:52,600
Speaker 4: I'm with you, We're the same Foxhold give me the

2363
01:59:52,680 --> 01:59:53,560
Speaker 4: Rams minus four.

2364
01:59:54,080 --> 01:59:55,080
Speaker 3: It's like, oh the weather.

2365
01:59:55,400 --> 01:59:58,680
Speaker 4: It was a snowstorm last year against the Eagles, and

2366
01:59:58,840 --> 02:00:02,040
Speaker 4: Matthew Stafford was just fine, and the Eagles defense like

2367
02:00:02,080 --> 02:00:04,880
Speaker 4: the eighty five Bears compared to the twenty twenty five Bears,

2368
02:00:04,920 --> 02:00:07,200
Speaker 4: So I'm fine laying the four with the Rams.

2369
02:00:07,520 --> 02:00:08,480
Speaker 3: Bears are POUKETI.

2370
02:00:08,520 --> 02:00:11,320
Speaker 4: Give me Christian McCaffrey under fifty six and a half

2371
02:00:11,400 --> 02:00:16,640
Speaker 4: rushing yards and give me a bow Knicks pick nixnt