1 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: What's up, guys, Happy Monday. 2 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:18,240 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with 3 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 2: me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt my social handles. 4 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by olmahast Eggs dot com. 5 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: You guys, get to go check out the Heart of 6 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 2: than Fire grill pack, which is available right now. 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You're 18 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: eating right there. Great for cookouts, the jumbo franks are enormous. 19 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 2: You want something quick easy cookout seasons here check it 20 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: out the Hotter than firepack at Omaha Steaks dot com. 21 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: Promo cod Juice in the search bar and that activates 22 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 2: all the savings at Omaha Steaks dot Com. All right, 23 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 2: three and one day yesterday we go three and oh 24 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 2: on the Open Championship, up three point three six units 25 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 2: the seventeenth hole. I cursed both Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood. 26 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 2: I curse both those guys triple bogies on seventeen. Triple 27 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 2: won both head to heads on round two and round four. 28 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: That was good. 29 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 2: We get the plus one thirty six to casual plus 30 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 2: money action there with Jason Day beating Tommy Fleetwood head 31 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 2: to head. Joey Logano wrecked after winning the first stage 32 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 2: at Pocono, so we got that with Kevin Harvick over him, 33 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: got that right over ten for the Dodgers. All three games, 34 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: simple easyps. Dodger over Dodgers on the road. Looked the 35 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: old over more than Dodgers here in just one second. 36 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: But then we got the Mariners wrong. They lost four 37 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: to three. They were winning, then they blew it against 38 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 2: the Blue Jays. So kind of an annoying loss there 39 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,919 Speaker 2: for that. But before we get to the picks today, 40 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 2: it's Monday. The late stinks. Okay, I'm gonna go. I 41 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 2: got two games. I don't love the bets to be 42 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 2: honest with you, they're okay. It's two things I said 43 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 2: I wasn't going to do, but I think I'm going 44 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 2: to do it because I can't find anything else I 45 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 2: want to bet unfortunately at the moment. So it's a 46 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: wonky Monday end of July, about to get into football season, 47 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 2: big time, about to get into really the countdown to football. 48 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: So we'll just kind of bite down and take two 49 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 2: bets going for baseball here today on a Monday, and 50 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 2: look to get some other bets. Big combat sports weekend. 51 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 2: My gosh, is there a lot going on on Saturday. 52 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 2: Cannot wait. I got Poorier fight against Gae Chee. We 53 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 2: got Crawford taking on Spence. I mean, my gosh. We 54 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 2: got a lot of really good stuff to get to 55 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 2: you later on the weekend. But before we do that though, 56 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 2: and give you the picks for today, let's talk a 57 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 2: little bit about the Betting pros app, which is free 58 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 2: to download free iOS free at Android. You get to 59 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 2: follow experts, top rated betters, and betters on a hot 60 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: streak to get insignifications when new bets are placed. You 61 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 2: can customize notifications by sport so you only receive alerts 62 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 2: when your bets go in the interest to You can 63 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 2: even limit the alerts that you get only historical ROI 64 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 2: positive markets of the betters that you do follow. Take 65 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 2: advantage of these features and more by downloading Betting Pros theapp, 66 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 2: by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or by searching 67 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: Betting Pros in the app store right now to go 68 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: in download the Betting Pros app. Okay, so let's start 69 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 2: here with the Toronto Blue Jays and the Los Angeles Dodgers. 70 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 2: The total is nine and a half. It's minus one 71 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: eighteen at fandle. So let's roll through this, Okay. In 72 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: games in which the Dodgers are at home, Okay, this season, 73 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 2: the Dodger are pretty good to the over as the 74 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: home team twenty four nineteen and two. 75 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: But that's not like a gigantic number. Okay, that's not huge. 76 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 2: Yes, they're an over team at home, but they're not 77 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 2: like the Texas Rangers or anything on the road. Toronto 78 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 2: is flat twenty six, twenty six and one, So neither 79 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 2: over or under for these teams. When you take a 80 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 2: look at the pitching matchup and what's going to go 81 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: on here for this game, I really do think that 82 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,479 Speaker 2: the Dodgers and the Blue Jays for that matter. With 83 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,799 Speaker 2: Burrios starting for the for the For the Blue Jays, 84 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 2: I think we got a decent shot at the under 85 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: nine and a half coming in here for Toronto and 86 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 2: Los Angeles. It's the last game of the day. It's 87 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 2: a ten ten Eastern Eastern time start, so I'm kind 88 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 2: of sorry about that. Michael Grove is going for the 89 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 2: Dodgers at home. Michael Grove is a four point eight 90 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 2: three ERA I get that, But in the month of 91 00:04:56,320 --> 00:05:01,239 Speaker 2: July three point six zero and pitch his last three 92 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 2: games one earned run, four earned runs in one earned run. 93 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 2: He goes he's gonna go four to five innings here, 94 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 2: maybe six. Last time home against the Angels ten to five, 95 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 2: it was a four earned run performance at a him, 96 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 2: so he's been touched up. He's twenty six years old, 97 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 2: not the greatest of right handed hitters. But the bullpen 98 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 2: for the Dodgers is good enough for me to say, Okay, 99 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 2: Barrios coming in, and we have to like what Barrios has. 100 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: Done so far this year on the road. 101 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 2: He's been very effective for the Blue Jays this year 102 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 2: on the road, and it's sort of one of those 103 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 2: things where I'm like, can the offense keep this being 104 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 2: this hot? For the Dodgers, I'm actually gonna kind of 105 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 2: fade that a bit. Barrios is a three point eighty 106 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: four ERA, four and four straight up on the road 107 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: this year, two forty two opposing batting average, but Burrios 108 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 2: against the padres to nothing, lost two earned runs against 109 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 2: the Arizona Cardinal. Sorry, you know, Diamondbacks, just one earn 110 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 2: run give it up. On the road against Chicago seven innings, 111 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 2: no earn runs, give it up. So he's been very 112 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 2: good in the month of July. In fact, the cra 113 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 2: is one point four to seven in the month of 114 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 2: July with a one to ninety opposing batting average. 115 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna need that. 116 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 2: Version of Jose Burrios to come in here and to 117 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: do what I'm hoping to have them perform. The bullpen 118 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 2: for the Blue Jays has been fairly decent, and so 119 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: three point seven to four ERA puts them in the 120 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 2: top ten for Major League Baseball Eras for whip for Toronto, 121 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 2: they do give up a little more base runners that 122 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 2: they probably would would like, but they're still one of 123 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 2: the better bullpens one. They have a whip at one 124 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 2: point two to three. That's six in Major League Baseball, 125 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 2: so that's not bad the bullpen in terms of home 126 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,600 Speaker 2: runs given up, Toronto put a middle of the pack, 127 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 2: you know, from from a home run perspective, forty six 128 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 2: home runs that they've been given up this year. They 129 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 2: do walk a little bit more than I would like, 130 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 2: but it's still not bad. Their second best in Major 131 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 2: League Baseball with only one hundred fifteen walks. So all 132 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 2: bullpens this year have been giving up way too many walks. 133 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 2: The ERA again for Toronto, yeah, you know, top ten. 134 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 2: So after Burrios comes in, can they keep the Dodgers' 135 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 2: bats quiet? I think they can at least for nine 136 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: and a half. The Dodgers bullpen four point one ERA 137 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 2: kind of towards the bottom of Major League Baseball. Toronto's 138 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 2: sorry a whip of one point twenty nine. That's top 139 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 2: half of the league for LA. Not outstanding, but you know, 140 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 2: we have to be concerned a little bit with the offense, 141 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 2: in a little bit with what vlad Guerrero Junior has 142 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 2: been doing. But I do think on a Monday, coming 143 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 2: off first game of the series, nine and a half 144 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 2: under nine and a half minus one, eighteen after me 145 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 2: saying I'm not betting unders, I'm not betting unders. I'm 146 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 2: gonna come in here. I'm gonna bet an under for 147 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 2: the Blue Jays and the Dodgers one point one to 148 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: eight units down on that. I'm gonna double down on this. 149 00:07:58,080 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 2: I can't believe I'm gonna do this, but I'm gonna 150 00:07:59,920 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 2: ge you two unders. It just it can't keep going 151 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 2: like this. We can't see all this offense like crazy. 152 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 2: Just keep on coming in and it's the It's a 153 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 2: huge matchup. The game of the day Houston and Texas, 154 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 2: Okay battle for the American League West. John Gray against 155 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: Brandon Beelick. I think it's how to say, is this 156 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 2: kid's last name? Let's start with John Gray for a 157 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 2: second right handed pitcher. Six and five with a three 158 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 2: point three to one ERA. John Gray on the road 159 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 2: has a two thirty one ERA four and two on 160 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 2: the year, two oh seven opposing batting average. John Gray 161 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 2: has been very good on the road against the Red Sox. 162 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 2: Last time out on the road was six innings, three 163 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 2: earned runs against the Yankees one earned run. It went 164 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 2: five innings on the road start for that against Baltimore, 165 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 2: seven innings, one earned run for him. In the month 166 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,559 Speaker 2: of July, for John Gray, he's been a three point 167 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 2: eighty six ERA. 168 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: Not bad. 169 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:52,959 Speaker 2: It's pitched a lot at home, I mean, pretty effective 170 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 2: at home given the offense five to one twelve four 171 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 2: last two starts against at home, but give a four 172 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: and third zero earned runs against Tampa Bay Rays in 173 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 2: his last start. I like John Gray here in this 174 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 2: game against the Astros because the Astros aren't scoring a 175 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 2: ton of runs right now for or at home that matter, 176 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 2: this Brandon Kid five to five are a three point 177 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 2: four to six ERA. He on the road this year 178 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:22,319 Speaker 2: four point zero one, but at home two point eight seven, 179 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,559 Speaker 2: three and two with a opposing batting average of one 180 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 2: ninety five. In July, he has an e array of 181 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 2: one point zero two. Last time out on the road 182 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 2: at Colorado five and two thirds, no earn runs. Last 183 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 2: home start against Seattle three to one loss, five innings 184 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 2: to earned runs against Colorado at home he went seven 185 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 2: zero earned runs. The totals eight and a half. Games 186 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 2: like this we're talking about really big crunch time type 187 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 2: games and when it gets really really important. I know 188 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 2: Texas is the number two team two overs this season 189 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 2: major League Baseball, but Houston's forty eight to fifty to two. 190 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 2: So they are an under team right now. At home 191 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 2: for Houston this year, they're twenty four, twenty two and 192 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 2: one now just. 193 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: A little bit over. 194 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 2: As a road team, Texas awesome at home to overs, 195 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 2: but on the road, Texas is not as good. They're 196 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 2: under twenty one, twenty three and two to the over, 197 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 2: So tell them they're an under team when they go on 198 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 2: the road. So, given all the runs that were scored 199 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 2: they won eight to four yesterday against the Dodgers, I 200 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 2: think we're going under here. I think we're going under. 201 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: It's juice to the over eight and a half. Okay, 202 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: minus went eighteen, but I'm going to say first game 203 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 2: on a Monday, playoff type atmosphere, a lot of intensity 204 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:45,839 Speaker 2: going into this series between Houston and Texas. We're going 205 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,200 Speaker 2: under eight and a half at minus one oh four. 206 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 2: All right, if I add anything else, I'll let you know. 207 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: I could. 208 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: You can fade both these bets if you want. We 209 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 2: had a winning week last week. It was a small 210 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 2: winning week, but these next three weeks we just got 211 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 2: to get through it. Okay, we just got to put 212 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 2: our head down, get through these next three weeks, and 213 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 2: then we get into the real fun of college football. 214 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 2: We do have some cool things coming up later in 215 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,439 Speaker 2: this week, though. This is gonna be a fun week. 216 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a fun weekend. So let's go small 217 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 2: here in the beginning part of the week and then 218 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 2: start to really get going heavy on Friday, Saturday, and 219 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 2: Sunday for big bets coming up this weekend. Under nine 220 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 2: and a half Dodgers and the Blue Jays, Under eight 221 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 2: and a half, Rangers and the Astros. My name is 222 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 2: Matt Paroti. Guys can follow me on socials at sports 223 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 2: Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it is The Diligence Podcast, 224 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 2: being brought to you by olmah steaks dot com